1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:05,360 Speaker 1: your bets. It is meet Joey P. Joe P's a 3 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 1: PA and this is BP NFL. It's Week sixteen. Can 4 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:11,360 Speaker 1: you believe it? We're here already, and there's a full 5 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: slate of games to break down. Some fun, wackiness, lots 6 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:17,759 Speaker 1: of scoring, especially in Detroit. Also lots of bad decision 7 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:19,959 Speaker 1: making in that game, but that's a horse of a 8 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: different color. Today. We're trying to get the color green. 9 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: That's what we're trying to do here, and we're trying 10 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 1: to look ahead and he has his early value. A 11 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 1: lot of quarterback injuries too that could unpack some of 12 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: these lines. So make sure, if you haven't already, download 13 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app sink your sportsbooks are free and 14 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,400 Speaker 1: use the custom line alerts because I imagine Andrew in 15 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:40,159 Speaker 1: a week where Patrick Mahomes, Gino Smith all came out injured. 16 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 1: There could be a lot of fluctuation in some of 17 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: these lines as we get closer and closer to game day. 18 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, and of course it's Mahomes. It's the classic case 19 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 2: of end of the season. He has this weird ankle injury. 20 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 1: We all think he's always the mahomes ankle. 21 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 3: Every December Jedi, he's the Mahomes ankle. 22 00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 2: I mean, they have the best ankle staff in the 23 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 2: entire universe in Kansas City, so they're gonna find a way. 24 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 2: I know that he's been labeled week to week, and 25 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 2: it's really tough because just dating back with yesterday, you 26 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 2: had to play three games in eleven days, which they 27 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 2: were already really upset about, and now you're throwing this 28 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 2: ankle injury into the mix. And I don't know what 29 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 2: the exact playoff implications are, but it seems like the 30 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:18,600 Speaker 2: Chiefs could probably afford to lose one of these games 31 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 2: in the next two. I think they have a two 32 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 2: game lead still on the Buffalo Bills obviously don't have 33 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:24,119 Speaker 2: the tiebreaker, but. 34 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 1: Say, yeah, I gotta watch that because of the tiewerk. 35 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 2: That's the lad would you rather rest in week eighteen 36 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 2: or would you rather rest right now so you don't 37 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 2: have to, you know, risk losing your quarterbacks. So again, 38 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 2: also at Houston Texans, so you know they don't usually 39 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:38,039 Speaker 2: beat anybody that's good. And I got him, so glad 40 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:40,760 Speaker 2: I jumped off the Dolphins. I was like because I knew, 41 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 2: I knew this was gonna happen. And what happened the 42 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:45,039 Speaker 2: undercash because ball teams are underwhelming. 43 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 1: So par Alta, well, you hit the over in Detroit 44 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 1: and Parlton was right about stay away, run away from 45 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: this Miami game. We talked about that on Tuesday. Check 46 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: that out every Tuesday too, Mat Joey p talking ball here. 47 00:01:57,200 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 1: But before we get to the games for a week sixteen, 48 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: quick reminder that sign Lawrence Taylor Jersey the perfect gift 49 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 1: for somebody, maybe you. And if you want a chance 50 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 1: to win this sign Lawrence Taylor Giants Jersey win. Once 51 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: upon a time, the Giants were a good organization. You 52 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 1: can get it for free courtesy of our friends at 53 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 1: Pristine Auction dot com. All you need to do is 54 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: head over to Bettingpros dot com slash contest, complete the 55 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 1: form and either download the Betting Pros app, leave a 56 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe to our 57 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,560 Speaker 1: social media channels at Betting Pros on X on TikTok 58 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 1: and Betting Pros NFL on the Instagram. The more actions 59 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 1: you complete, the more entries you receive, and we'll be 60 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 1: announcing the winner right here on the channel. So subscribe 61 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: to the YouTube channel Ring that Bell to goos Ding 62 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 1: for notifications and you can win the prize of the 63 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 1: LT autographed jersey. All right, let's start here. You'll go 64 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: with the Denver Broncos on a roll. Denver's feeling good 65 00:02:46,960 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: going against the Los Angeles Chargers, who Chargers got their 66 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 1: butt kicked and they can't run the football anymore. 67 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 3: JK. 68 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: Dobbins got hurt and you know what, it's just ain't 69 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 1: happening for this football team right now. So the Broncos 70 00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 1: are somehow still three points underdogs in this game. I 71 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:04,959 Speaker 1: don't get this. So the Chargers are favorites at home. 72 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 1: I know it's like your standard three whatever. You know, 73 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: this is what you get when Vegas is like, eh, 74 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 1: you know, it's not the way to pick them, but 75 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:14,079 Speaker 1: choose your own adventure. Forty two and a half is 76 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 1: the number plus one forty on the Denver side. To me, 77 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: the value is right on Denver. I'm believing in the 78 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:20,639 Speaker 1: Denver Broncos. They really am. The defense has played well, 79 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:24,480 Speaker 1: they're creating turnovers. Bo Nix continues to grow confidence with 80 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 1: every single win, and it's the Chargers inability to run 81 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 1: the football. That worries me here, Andrew, and I think 82 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:32,079 Speaker 1: that's what's kind of happening towards the end here. They're 83 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 1: falling apart a little bit. They had a really good 84 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: run and then the identity of this team was running 85 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 1: the football, and they can't seem to do that very well. 86 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 1: And I worry about their ability to beat a good 87 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: Denver Broncos team even in their own building. 88 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know. 89 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 2: The Broncos played really bad last week against the colt 90 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 2: I mean they should have lost that game. I mean 91 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 2: Jonathan Tish, Yeah, But that matters though, because that's why 92 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:52,839 Speaker 2: the line is what it is, because they should have lost. 93 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,560 Speaker 2: They played crappy Bonnicks three three interceptions, and they had 94 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 2: no business winning that game because they barely could move 95 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 2: the ball. I mean, they held the Colts offense in 96 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 2: the second half, and then you look at the total 97 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 2: yards the Moroncs were putting up that many yards either 98 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 2: until things kind of unraveled in the fourth court. I mean, 99 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 2: Jonathan Tators scores that touchdown, they're up two touchdowns and 100 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 2: that game is totally different and we're not and we're 101 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 2: looking at this game, be like, man, Broncos coming off 102 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:17,160 Speaker 2: a monster, disappointing, huge home loss, and I think you're 103 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:19,799 Speaker 2: probably getting more points with them on the road against 104 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 2: the Chargers. So I don't think there's a lot more 105 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 2: value on If anything, it's the team I want to 106 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 2: bet on. The teams just got blown out by the 107 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 2: Tampa Bay buckle Geers playing at home. I don't think 108 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:29,920 Speaker 2: you need to just or run the ball effectively. I 109 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 2: still believe in Hardbass, still believe in Herbert. I know 110 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 2: he's a little bit banged up, but yeah, I like 111 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 2: the Chargers, all right. 112 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:39,280 Speaker 1: The aforementioned Kansas City Chiefs at home plus two and 113 00:04:39,320 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 1: a half right now, that's the number beginning on them, 114 00:04:41,279 --> 00:04:43,840 Speaker 1: because the anticipation is getting Carson Wentz. They're taking on 115 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: the Houston Texans. Texans are now nine to five the 116 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 1: kansadly Chiefs go to thirteen and one. Forty and a 117 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 1: half is the number plus one ten on the Kansas 118 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: the Chiefs money line. So you said the Texans aren't 119 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:55,280 Speaker 1: very good? How good are the Chiefs right now? 120 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't do you feel confident making a 121 00:04:58,320 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 2: bet on this game when you don't know who the 122 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 2: quarback is going to be? 123 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 1: No. 124 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 3: I guess for me, it's. 125 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:05,240 Speaker 1: If anything, maybe I want the two and a half 126 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: with the Chiefs to tell you the truth In case 127 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 1: Mahomes play is then it's a huge value. That's the 128 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:12,359 Speaker 1: biggest risk and roll the dice of the week. Is 129 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:13,600 Speaker 1: this game right now today? 130 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say that. 131 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, if you have to make a decision now, I 132 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:18,839 Speaker 2: think it's probably just best to roll the dice with 133 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:22,839 Speaker 2: the Kansas City Chiefs. Again going back to the ankle 134 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 2: doctors that they have in Kansas City. So I always 135 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,360 Speaker 2: find a way to get Mahomes a play and then 136 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 2: you get the cheeses underdogs. 137 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 3: It's like, that's not the worst of that. 138 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 2: I mean, obviously part of the reason I'm so good 139 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 2: as underdogs is because of my homes so having Carson. 140 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 1: I'm also looking at the offensive line of the Texans 141 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 1: too and some of the problems that they have. Yeah, 142 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:41,800 Speaker 1: I think that's another thing to talk about. So you know, look, 143 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: I think at the end of the day, I still 144 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:45,479 Speaker 1: want to be on the Kansasity side. If you think 145 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: that Carson Wentz is going to play, then you know, 146 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 1: maybe you don't bet this game at all. 147 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 2: You think it's going to wait do you think that 148 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 2: this line is more middling than anything else? Though? 149 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 3: Like, is it going to close at three? 150 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:57,839 Speaker 2: If Carson Wentz announced as a starter, Like, do you 151 00:05:57,839 --> 00:05:59,039 Speaker 2: think that would be in the line. 152 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:03,000 Speaker 3: Probably not. So that's why it's wrong in one direction. 153 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 2: Right, So you're gonna get either gonna get destroyed by 154 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 2: value or you're gonna getting a lot of great value. 155 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:09,040 Speaker 1: Well that's why I said, Look, it's a giant gamble, 156 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 1: it's a giant role the dice. But that's what we're 157 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: talking about. You you think Mahomes is gonna find a 158 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: way to figure it out and play, then the two 159 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: and a half is a strong value right now in 160 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: this game. Now that's it and let you figure it out. 161 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh coming off a loss here, they're ten and four 162 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:23,640 Speaker 1: going against the Baltimore Ravens were nine to five. The 163 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 1: Ravens finally, after a little you know, struggle bust in 164 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 1: that first quarter, they put it on him, Lamar Jackson 165 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:32,719 Speaker 1: slinging the ball over the place. The Giants were awful 166 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: in that game. They covered the huge sixteen and a 167 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:36,839 Speaker 1: half chi ching. Yeah, let's go, buddy. 168 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:38,840 Speaker 3: Tommy was gonna get hurt in the game. 169 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 1: It didn't matter. Come on, oh yeah, Tommy bes. 170 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:44,480 Speaker 3: Close in the first half, it was, and then. 171 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 1: They also because the Lamar had a fumble day. It was. 172 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 1: It was close in the half because the Ravens came 173 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 1: out a. 174 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 2: Little I mean, and then they again would not I 175 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,239 Speaker 2: would need at least twenty one points to lay anything 176 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 2: with Tim Boyle as the quarterback. 177 00:06:56,800 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 1: Well, here's the situation, so Pittsburgh always plays Lamar tougher 178 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:02,799 Speaker 1: than anybody. Six and a half is the number, forty 179 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 1: six and a half is the total, and then plus 180 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:06,599 Speaker 1: two twenty five for the Pittsburgh Steelers. Now, the Steelers 181 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:09,840 Speaker 1: don't have George Pickens this time around this game. Most likely, 182 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 1: I don't think he's going to be back for this one. 183 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 1: With the way this hamstring injury has been laid out 184 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 1: to us, it would be a surprise at the very least. 185 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 1: So my instinct is Pittsburgh to cover and keep this close. 186 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: I think six and a half is a little much. 187 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 1: That's my instincts right now. Despite that, I don't like 188 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:28,240 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh to win outright. I think Baltimore gets their revenge here, 189 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 1: and I think Baltimore sees a path now where they 190 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 1: win this game win outright, they're right back at potentially 191 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: at the top of this division because I think good 192 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 1: down the stretch, in my opinion, the Steelers have the 193 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:39,559 Speaker 1: tougher road. Your thoughts on this game. 194 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 2: I mean, if you just bet the underdog and these 195 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 2: Tom and Harbaugh matchups, like that's the team that always covers, right, 196 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 2: I know that it becomes a little bit tougher to 197 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 2: look at an upset, especially with I believe TJ. Watt 198 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 2: is also dealing with an injury too. Did he get 199 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 2: hurt at the end? 200 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, he had a sprained ankle too. It was a 201 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 1: lower grade one though, so they're optimistic that he'll be 202 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 1: able to play through it. But that would also impact 203 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 1: this line quite a bit, and that might give me 204 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 1: pause at some point where you know, how many pieces 205 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 1: can you lose the Steelers and be competitive against this 206 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 1: Ravens team that it gives at home, And I think 207 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 1: that that loss stung for them quite a bit. 208 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if anything, if you want to bet 209 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:18,120 Speaker 2: on the classic case of the Steelers having Lamar's number 210 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 2: just at the under and the bet in the under 211 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 2: in the game, right, it's forty five and a half points, 212 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 2: and I know just from the research I did between 213 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:27,000 Speaker 2: the last time these teams played, Baltimore and Pittsburgh were 214 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:29,119 Speaker 2: both on like over streaks, like all over the place, 215 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 2: and then you look at these two teams, they always 216 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 2: go under. 217 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 3: And now you're getting a tole. 218 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:34,319 Speaker 2: It's at forty five and a half, which that's just 219 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 2: a pretty good again, more of a middling number. Not saying, hey, 220 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 2: this is going to be a lowest scoring affair, but 221 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 2: not a forty eight and a half point Twitter or 222 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 2: oh looking at a shootout. I mean, if you're gonna 223 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:45,720 Speaker 2: blindly bet Steelers Ravens, usually just bet. 224 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:47,600 Speaker 3: On the under. That usually cash is more often than not, 225 00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 3: it's a good point. 226 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 1: So I like that point, all right. Cleveland at Cincinnati, 227 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:53,679 Speaker 1: the Battle of Ohio. The Cincinnati Bengals go to six 228 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: and eight. The Cleveland Browns are three and eleven. Cincinnati 229 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 1: Bengals are seven point favorites in this one at home. 230 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:01,559 Speaker 1: This feels about right to me. Winston's health in question 231 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:03,200 Speaker 1: for this one. Forty nine and a half is the 232 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 1: total plus two seventy five on the money line for Cleveland, 233 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 1: which I am not interested in, thank you very much. 234 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:11,240 Speaker 1: So it's a question of how do you feel about 235 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:14,559 Speaker 1: the seven or are you looking at the total potentially 236 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 1: being underwhelming if Winston isn't a no go? Is it 237 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: too early to beout this one or the right time 238 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,080 Speaker 1: based upon the opportunity the lines present. 239 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 3: I don't see a lot of value on it. 240 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 2: It kind of matches up with my projections, and there's 241 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 2: there's so many question marks about So what is Cleveland doing? 242 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:29,720 Speaker 2: Are they gonna just ride with DTRC so I want 243 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 2: to see what they have in him? Are they gonna 244 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 2: go back to Jamis? Because Jamis? You need Jamis for 245 00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 2: this game to go over forty nine and a half 246 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:38,120 Speaker 2: points or whatever the total is. I think unless you 247 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:40,440 Speaker 2: expect this, I mean Cincinna Bengals could have score forty 248 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 2: points possibly potentially. But the other thing holding back is 249 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 2: Joe Burrow. Just his stats against the AFC North are 250 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:49,880 Speaker 2: so much worse than every other team, than every other 251 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:52,080 Speaker 2: team that he faces, Like he just doesn't play as 252 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 2: well against teams that are more familiar with him. And 253 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 2: it's not like the Cincinnati Big I mean, they beat 254 00:09:57,800 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 2: the Titans, but if you just look at that, the 255 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 2: way the Joe Burrow was being frustrated on the sideline. 256 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 2: You think that they lost that game? Right, just an 257 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:08,839 Speaker 2: absolutely ugly game up and down the board. Yeah, I'm 258 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:10,679 Speaker 2: probably just gonna shy away from this game. 259 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:13,920 Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to the New York Football Giants. 260 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: We're now two and twelve taking on the Falcons. The 261 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:18,400 Speaker 1: Falcons will play tonight. We'll see what they do and 262 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 1: if they can get Kirk Cousins right. But right now, 263 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:22,840 Speaker 1: this number is still nine and a half for the 264 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:25,800 Speaker 1: Falcons at home. But it's a huge number for the Falcons. 265 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 1: I mean, I know the Giants are awful, but I 266 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 1: don't feel comfortable with the Falcons at almost double digits. 267 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 4: I just don't. 268 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 1: Forty two and a half is the number plus four 269 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:35,920 Speaker 1: hundred right now on the New York Giants side. I 270 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:38,439 Speaker 1: feel comfortab about the Giants upset either, but nine and 271 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:40,640 Speaker 1: a half feels like that's pushing the limit a little 272 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 1: too much for me. I don't care if it's Drew 273 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 1: Lock or Tommy DeVito, whoever, it is probably gonna be locked. 274 00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 1: But Andrew Wherd, you standing with this one? Just too 275 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 1: many points? You want to take the Giants on? 276 00:10:48,920 --> 00:10:50,719 Speaker 2: I mean, I think that's probably the only value you 277 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:54,359 Speaker 2: can take right now, especially if the Falcons somehow implode 278 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:56,760 Speaker 2: against the Las Vegas Raiders. I mean, I think that 279 00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 2: the Falcons are gonna roll. I mean they should roll 280 00:10:58,640 --> 00:11:00,160 Speaker 2: against the Raiders. That they're gonna be starting to has 281 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 2: been rider and I think that you might even see more. 282 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:05,640 Speaker 1: Money coming if they roll. Here's the question. If they roll, 283 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: then this number is probably going to go up exactly. 284 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:10,200 Speaker 1: If so, so let's wait on that. If that's your 285 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:12,320 Speaker 1: instinct right now that they're gonna roll, then you wait 286 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:15,440 Speaker 1: till Tuesday to bet this number. All right, let's get 287 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: to Buffalo at home fourteen point favorites, two touchdowns against 288 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:21,480 Speaker 1: now our New England Patriots. So there you have a 289 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:23,959 Speaker 1: forty four and a half is the total for this game, 290 00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 1: plus six hundred for the Patriots side. You know watching 291 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 1: yesterday is Drake May is a quarterback that they're gonna 292 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: be able to build on. It's just not happening this season. 293 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:34,719 Speaker 1: Like Drake May made some nice plays, did some things 294 00:11:34,760 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 1: you want to see a young quarterback do. I'm optimistic 295 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:40,080 Speaker 1: for the future. I don't think this is a letdown 296 00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:41,959 Speaker 1: here for the Bills. I think the Bills smell blood 297 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 1: in the water. I think they're going to kick themselves 298 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: for losing that RAMS game and getting caught in that 299 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: trap in between two big games. They look terrific. They 300 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:52,839 Speaker 1: look at a team that's playing together, that is really 301 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:55,679 Speaker 1: buying in Josh Allen's the MVP. It's it's over, period. 302 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:58,280 Speaker 1: It's a Nigus nine hundred. We told you six weeks 303 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 1: ago to be betting it in the plus three you know, 304 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:02,200 Speaker 1: four range, and hopefully you got it then I know 305 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:05,120 Speaker 1: I did, so that's gonna be a winner. But when 306 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 1: you're looking here, fourteen is a huge number. The way 307 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 1: that they're putting up points is incredible. However, the way 308 00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:13,439 Speaker 1: they're giving up points lately too. They've given up almost 309 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:15,959 Speaker 1: one hundred points in the last two games. So that 310 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 1: being said, how do you want to approach this one? 311 00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:20,040 Speaker 1: I would just go to the over your thoughts. 312 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:23,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, go towards the over. That's usually where 313 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 2: games have been going. With Drake may as the quarterback 314 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:28,560 Speaker 2: for the Patriots, the Patriots defense is so bad at 315 00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 2: stopping literally anything. 316 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 3: Drod Mayo is trying to justify, well. 317 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:34,559 Speaker 2: If we take away the big runny game to James Connor, 318 00:12:34,640 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 2: we really weren't that bad, Like that's the crux that 319 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 2: like fantasy analyst will use sometimes. 320 00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:40,720 Speaker 3: Well, if you just take away of his good plays, 321 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 3: he really wasn't that good. I can't do that as 322 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:46,440 Speaker 3: a head coach. It still counts. So yeah, it's the 323 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 3: over for me. 324 00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:50,440 Speaker 2: Again, this is in Buffalo, so I'm not looking at like, oh, well, 325 00:12:50,480 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 2: they're double digits at home, Like, no, that's not the case. 326 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 2: Like they're on the road in Buffalo, a team that 327 00:12:54,640 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 2: is reeling right now. I mean I have a bye 328 00:12:56,640 --> 00:13:00,600 Speaker 2: week against Arizona Cardinals. They look terrible, like they look 329 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:04,680 Speaker 2: like they had no plan. No, yeah, it's not good 330 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:06,560 Speaker 2: for them right now. Again, Drake may is the only 331 00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:09,560 Speaker 2: thing that works in this game is when he basically 332 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,959 Speaker 2: goes off script is when things happen. 333 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:14,959 Speaker 1: So that's great because look in this in this day 334 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:17,000 Speaker 1: and age, you need a quarterback. I think they have 335 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 1: the quarterback. I don't know if they've got anything else, 336 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:20,960 Speaker 1: but they've got the quarterback. So now you gotta put 337 00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 1: some stuff around him. This is where the GM's got 338 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 1: to step up and make some good decisions. Detroit reeling 339 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:29,800 Speaker 1: after some awful decision making. Oh my god, on side kicks, 340 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:31,720 Speaker 1: what the hell are you doing? With twelve minutes left, 341 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 1: especially now where it's not like a surprise, you know 342 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 1: it's an on side kick ten bucks, says Dan Campbell. 343 00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 1: Did not know that it or forgot that, you know, 344 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:42,679 Speaker 1: you had to announce it, and everyone's got to move 345 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 1: up now because all the kickoffs are different. Like he's 346 00:13:44,840 --> 00:13:47,000 Speaker 1: just living in nineteen eighty five in his mind. I 347 00:13:47,040 --> 00:13:49,000 Speaker 1: feel like, I just I don't. I don't know what 348 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:51,920 Speaker 1: the thought process was there. It's such a terrible play. 349 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:54,040 Speaker 1: There's so much time left in that game, almost an 350 00:13:54,160 --> 00:13:56,040 Speaker 1: entire quarter of football. You're not down by ten. I 351 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 1: don't get it at all. But regardless, they're going on 352 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:00,480 Speaker 1: the road to Chicago. All this su acts in the 353 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:03,200 Speaker 1: world against Kayleb Williams, who has been sacked fifty six 354 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 1: times already this year. That's ten more than the second guy, CJ. Strout. 355 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 1: Actually it's eleven, but who's counting. 356 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:11,120 Speaker 3: So we'll watch out. Sam Howe might get the start. 357 00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 2: He mind, you can rack up sacks at hurry. 358 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, well at any rate. So here we go. So 359 00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 1: let's talk about Chicago Bears plus seven at home against 360 00:14:22,560 --> 00:14:24,720 Speaker 1: the Lions. Forty six and a half is the number. 361 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 1: Plus two seventy for the Chicago Bears in the money 362 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 1: line ericson. I mean, I know the Lions have taken 363 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 1: a lot of injuries here on their defensive side the 364 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. They're a little beaten, banged up. 365 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:38,680 Speaker 1: It's an in division game. I don't know if seven's enough, though, 366 00:14:38,760 --> 00:14:40,440 Speaker 1: I really don't. I think the Lions are just a 367 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 1: superior football team. I know it's on the road, I 368 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:45,320 Speaker 1: know it's in Chicago, I know it's outdoors. All that 369 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 1: scares me. I still think I'm confident that Chicago goes 370 00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:52,480 Speaker 1: with the seven. I'm sorry that Detroit can go ahead 371 00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:53,320 Speaker 1: and cover this seven. 372 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 2: Your thoughts, I'm not trusting Jared gob outside, especially after 373 00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 2: he throws like like again, he's not gonna throw five 374 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:03,080 Speaker 2: touchdowns that throw for what four hundred yards every single week? 375 00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:04,600 Speaker 2: And this is this is only the second time they 376 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:06,720 Speaker 2: played outside all year, right, so the first time they 377 00:15:06,760 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 2: played against Green Bay they passed the test they were 378 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 2: to run the ball effectively. I actually worry about this 379 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 2: game total actually going over at forty six and a 380 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 2: half points. Again, Detroit, you bet on the over is 381 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:19,960 Speaker 2: when they're playing at home. They're not playing at home 382 00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 2: they're playing on the road against a team that knows them, 383 00:15:22,960 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 2: and as bad as Chicago has been this year, especially 384 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 2: in Division, games like these games have gone down to 385 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 2: the wire a lot of the time. They trudged back 386 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 2: in that game and they're getting destroyed on Thanksgiving, they 387 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 2: came back in the second half. You also have Chicago 388 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 2: playing on a short week because they're playing on Monday night. 389 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 2: I don't know how offense, how effective their offense is 390 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 2: going to be, even against this really banged up Detroit defense. 391 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 2: So I like the under this game. I think this 392 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 2: game kind of goes gets ugly, gets muddy, and it's 393 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 2: just a game that I think it's just going to 394 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 2: go under. Just kind of disappoint from both. I think 395 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 2: maybe the I don't even I don't have a lot 396 00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:54,440 Speaker 2: of commentsy that Lions cover. Honestly, it's so many points, 397 00:15:54,520 --> 00:15:57,280 Speaker 2: seven and a half on the road, I don't I 398 00:15:57,280 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 2: don't like it. 399 00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: The Carolina Panthers were favorites for the first time in years, 400 00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:03,400 Speaker 1: and well that didn't last very long because they got 401 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 1: their buck kicked by the Dallas Cowboys. They're at home again, 402 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:08,160 Speaker 1: this time four and a half point underdogs to the 403 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals are now seven and seven, so 404 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: four and a half is the number here. You get 405 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:15,400 Speaker 1: forty six and a half on the total plus one 406 00:16:15,440 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 1: seventy five for Carolina for the upset. Honestly, I don't 407 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: think there's a whole lot of value here. I'm not 408 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 1: a big Arizona Cardinal fan. You know that Carolina has 409 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 1: been plucky. Last week was not a good week for them. 410 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: Forty six and a half is the total of anything. 411 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 1: Maybe I'm looking at the total a little bit. Maybe 412 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:36,000 Speaker 1: I'm shying the over just a tad, But honestly, this 413 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 1: game has very little appeal to me at this stage. 414 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 1: So I don't know how much people it's gonna have 415 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 1: to me on Sunday. 416 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I like you over in this game. I'm not 417 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 2: again the Panthers, of course, you know on once everybody's 418 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 2: in on them. Of course they lay the egg at home. 419 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 2: I guess, course Dallas, because that's just how it works. 420 00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:56,600 Speaker 2: And Arizona's not playing the Seahawks, so that usually means 421 00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 2: that they'll probably play pretty good and cover the four points. 422 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:01,960 Speaker 2: But I think that the fact that Carolina for the 423 00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:06,119 Speaker 2: most part has played teams closer Arizona's is very inconsistent. 424 00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:09,960 Speaker 2: You don't know, you don't ever understand or can easily 425 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:11,200 Speaker 2: project what they're going to do on a day to 426 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:14,439 Speaker 2: day basis, Like you don't really know. So I just 427 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,399 Speaker 2: like game total over me. Most Panthers games have been 428 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 2: going over the total because their defense, I mean, Bryce 429 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 2: Young has no effect on the defense, right, Their defense 430 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 2: gave up how many points to Dallas? Like over thirty points? 431 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 2: So yeah, I like you over in this game. 432 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 1: The Tennessee Titans and Colts are going to meet up 433 00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:31,560 Speaker 1: in Indianapolis. Minus four and a half for the Colts 434 00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 1: right now at home, forty two and a half is 435 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:36,399 Speaker 1: the total plus one s every five for the Titans. Again, 436 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:38,000 Speaker 1: this one kind of feels right to me. I don't 437 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:40,120 Speaker 1: see a whole lot of value on this one. As 438 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:41,960 Speaker 1: you said, you know, the Colts had opportunities this week 439 00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 1: and let it slop through their fingers. So do you 440 00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:48,240 Speaker 1: think they rebound this week and get to playing a 441 00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:50,400 Speaker 1: little bit better football against the Tennessee Titans. 442 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:51,760 Speaker 3: I do, yeah. 443 00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 2: I mean the Anthey Richardson experience is always going to 444 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:56,280 Speaker 2: be it's going to be up and down, right, You're 445 00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 2: go to look up but he's like, wow, he's four 446 00:17:57,359 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 2: to fourteen, How did that happen? But he's scored a 447 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 2: rushing touchdown, And so I think this is a good 448 00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:04,080 Speaker 2: opportunity to buy on the Colts after I mean, they 449 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 2: should have won that game against the Denver Broncos. Like 450 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 2: they were out playing the denvero Broncos. They were creating 451 00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:12,520 Speaker 2: turnovers for Bononicks. And whether the Titans start Will Levis, 452 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:14,160 Speaker 2: I mean, the Titans are, hey, we need to find 453 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,440 Speaker 2: our new quarterback. If they rolled Mason Rudolph out there, 454 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:19,480 Speaker 2: We've already seen this play out this year. And maybe 455 00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:22,440 Speaker 2: Mason Rudolf adds a little bit more stability to the offense, 456 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,159 Speaker 2: but it doesn't give them more upside. And the Colts 457 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 2: tend to play better win their favorites. They're playing at home. 458 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 2: The Titans are one of the worst teams to ever 459 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:32,720 Speaker 2: bet on on the road, So I like the Colts here. 460 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:35,959 Speaker 1: Next one in the Rams and Jets. The Jets won 461 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:39,160 Speaker 1: a football game. Hooray, way to get into the middle 462 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:40,920 Speaker 1: of the first round of the draft. Guys, good job, 463 00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 1: good job, later remake the organization. The Rams are three 464 00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:47,119 Speaker 1: point favorites on the road in New York, so it's 465 00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 1: gonna be a little colder than they're used to. Forty 466 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:50,800 Speaker 1: seven and a half is the total plus one thirty 467 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:54,520 Speaker 1: five for the Jets to win this game? Outright? Am 468 00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:56,280 Speaker 1: I crazy? Do you think the Rams just steamroll the 469 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:56,760 Speaker 1: Jets here? 470 00:18:57,359 --> 00:18:57,479 Speaker 3: No? 471 00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 2: Because this is the this is a classic Rams right 472 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:01,360 Speaker 2: where they're like they've been. 473 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 3: They've been up and down on offense. 474 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:04,960 Speaker 2: So it's like four weeks ago there was the Saints game, 475 00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 2: they did absolutely nothing. The next week they come out, 476 00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:10,040 Speaker 2: they go like eighty points in the game against Buffalo. 477 00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:14,200 Speaker 2: Obviously Thursday night the rain, it was absolutely terrible overall offense. 478 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:16,960 Speaker 2: And now they come back play the Jets, whose defense 479 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:17,800 Speaker 2: has not looked great. 480 00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:21,560 Speaker 1: Last quarterback something to play for. The Rams have all 481 00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 1: three of those things, Yeah, they can win the division. 482 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:27,760 Speaker 1: Jets don't have any of them. Like, That's how my 483 00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:29,679 Speaker 1: take is here. So I would just jump on the 484 00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:31,560 Speaker 1: Rams right now and that minus three. I mean, I 485 00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:33,520 Speaker 1: don't think it's gonna change much to you as the 486 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:34,119 Speaker 1: week goes on. 487 00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:37,480 Speaker 3: I mean, I don't know who's betting on the Jets. 488 00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:38,359 Speaker 3: I mean not me. 489 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 2: I mean I felt pretty good about the Jaguars last week. 490 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:42,879 Speaker 2: I mean until the end we went down to the wire. 491 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:45,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, so did they had a shot there at the 492 00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:47,320 Speaker 1: end to it. I kept going, here they go again, 493 00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 1: they're gonna find a way to lose this game, and they, oh, 494 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,280 Speaker 1: it's so close. They fell short. But I mean that's 495 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:54,159 Speaker 1: the problem. I don't think you can. Let you know. 496 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:55,960 Speaker 1: It's one thing when you're you know, falling short here 497 00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:58,520 Speaker 1: with the Jacksonville Jaguars. It's another thing here too, you know, 498 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 1: to give the Rams that staffer too many opportunities. And 499 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 1: I know everyone's got that idea in their brain about 500 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:06,359 Speaker 1: how bad they looked against the you know, the terrible 501 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 1: game against the forty nine ers in Division gross weather. 502 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:11,679 Speaker 1: The whole thing was bad. They've had a lot of 503 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:13,439 Speaker 1: time to rest up. Puts a good thing for a 504 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 1: Cooper Cup and he's coming off a goose egg game too, 505 00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,040 Speaker 1: So you know, I'm looking for a bounce back here 506 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:21,200 Speaker 1: for the Rams in a big way. The Eagles twelve 507 00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:24,600 Speaker 1: and two. Don't look now, kids, I think the Eagles 508 00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 1: might end up being the one seed when all is 509 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 1: said and done. I just got this feeling the weird 510 00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:31,320 Speaker 1: dysfunction of the Eagles. It feels like the seventies Yankees, 511 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:33,240 Speaker 1: where they don't all like each other, but they go 512 00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 1: out there and they find a way to win, and 513 00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:37,120 Speaker 1: that's fine. Like you can have teams that are like that, 514 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:38,920 Speaker 1: that that's kind of their mojo. They're three and a 515 00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:41,199 Speaker 1: half point favors against Washington. I think they're a superior 516 00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:44,600 Speaker 1: football team to Washington. I do as a collective. Forty 517 00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:46,679 Speaker 1: six and a half is the number plus one fifty 518 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:49,400 Speaker 1: five on the Washington for the upset. This one's in Washington. 519 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:52,880 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go ahead and you know, close my eyes. 520 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:54,360 Speaker 1: Bet the Eagles with the minus three and a half 521 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:57,400 Speaker 1: and think that the Eagles actually win this game comfortably. 522 00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:00,199 Speaker 2: Your thoughts, Yeah, I think what I mean, I think 523 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,680 Speaker 2: the Eagles should be favored by more than I feel. 524 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:03,120 Speaker 1: I agree. 525 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:05,240 Speaker 2: I think it should be closer to four and a half. 526 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:07,679 Speaker 2: I get, you know, division game a little bit tougher. 527 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,639 Speaker 2: Washington's playing at home, their defensive played better at home. 528 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,359 Speaker 2: And the score at the end of the Saints game 529 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,080 Speaker 2: is a little fluky because there was that you know, 530 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 2: officiating error essentially that that happened that kind of gave 531 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 2: the Saints a chance to win. At the end, I 532 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 2: was die laughing that after the score a touchd on, 533 00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:25,240 Speaker 2: Spencer Ratleys like we're going for two, Like it is 534 00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:26,919 Speaker 2: like I don't even know if the coach Tom was like, 535 00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:28,960 Speaker 2: it doesn't matter, We're going for two no matter what. 536 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,120 Speaker 2: So I thought that was funny to see that from 537 00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:34,879 Speaker 2: Spencer Rattler. But yeah, I just think that the Commanders 538 00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:37,320 Speaker 2: are the classic case of a team like, yes, they've 539 00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 2: beaten up on the bad teams this year, but they 540 00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 2: scream like a hey, we get in the playoff and 541 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:42,400 Speaker 2: then we just get destroyed. 542 00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 3: Were twenty twenty five is really their year? Where hey 543 00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 3: do they take that next step? 544 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,240 Speaker 2: And again going against the Philadelphia Eagles, to tell this 545 00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,600 Speaker 2: match up play, These teams played each other already this season, right, 546 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,359 Speaker 2: I believe, yes they did already. 547 00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, but look regardless, it's it's who the are now. 548 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,119 Speaker 1: And I think the Eagles right now defensively are just 549 00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:06,520 Speaker 1: a very different team. And you know, and if AJ 550 00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,040 Speaker 1: Brown's happy, now we can all go about our lives 551 00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,760 Speaker 1: and you know, look, it's important. It's important to get 552 00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:13,720 Speaker 1: your your stars of the football. I like the Hjalen 553 00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 1: Hurts quote after you can't expect the grass to grow 554 00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:17,879 Speaker 1: if you don't water it or something to that effect. Well, 555 00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:20,679 Speaker 1: there you go. Aj Brown got a little bit of 556 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,400 Speaker 1: the watering can so here, now we can grow. Minnesota 557 00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:25,879 Speaker 1: is eleven and two. We'll see what they do. On 558 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:30,680 Speaker 1: Monday night. They take on the Seattle Seahawks, who disappointing Seattle, 559 00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:32,480 Speaker 1: you had it right there, you lost to the Packers, 560 00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 1: and now the Packers are streaking. But the Minnesota Vikings 561 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 1: two and a half point favorites on the road against 562 00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:40,359 Speaker 1: Seattle forty five. Is the total minus one fifty on 563 00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:43,840 Speaker 1: the money line for Minnesota plus one twenty five for Seattle. 564 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:47,679 Speaker 1: So the Geno Smith injury right now, that is the 565 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,280 Speaker 1: big question. How long is it going to be? Is 566 00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:52,320 Speaker 1: he going to be able to play? That question is 567 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,439 Speaker 1: going to loom, So there might be some early value. 568 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:56,959 Speaker 1: I kind of feel like either way, even if they 569 00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 1: had Geno healthy, I beat on the Vikings. I know 570 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,400 Speaker 1: that juice is heavy at minus one fifty, but I'd 571 00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,879 Speaker 1: rather go heavy and bet more. You know, multiple units 572 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:07,680 Speaker 1: on the Vikings this week. Just winning that football game 573 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:09,919 Speaker 1: before it goes into like the minus two hundred or 574 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:11,440 Speaker 1: something like that, or three hundred if he's out. 575 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:13,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that the Vikings are probably to play 576 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:18,200 Speaker 2: because even if Gino plays, how how mobile is he 577 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 2: going to be? 578 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:18,920 Speaker 3: Right? 579 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 1: Like, in fact, guess what this number has moved already, 580 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,040 Speaker 1: the minus two ten. I'm looking at the refresh from 581 00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:27,120 Speaker 1: when we started early this morning and put the show 582 00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 1: together till now some of the markets have changed. You're 583 00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 1: getting minus two ten now, so already that's happened. So 584 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:33,760 Speaker 1: oh good, My instincts were right. I was just too 585 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:34,360 Speaker 1: late on it. 586 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:37,400 Speaker 3: Oh good, that's you're thinking the right way. That sounds 587 00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 3: he's thinking the right way. 588 00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:41,520 Speaker 2: Still there, Yeah, because I think that it's problematic because 589 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:44,120 Speaker 2: you're either going to get a hampered Gino where he's 590 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 2: got an ankle injury, he's not as mobile in the 591 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:48,120 Speaker 2: pod because Gino like uses his legs like we've seen 592 00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,680 Speaker 2: him scramble around a little bit. That's if he doesn't 593 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,680 Speaker 2: have that, that's gonna hurt him against a Brian Flores 594 00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 2: heavy blitz defense. And if it's Sam Howell, well, the 595 00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,640 Speaker 2: good dude's gonna take like ten sacks in that game 596 00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 2: because Sam Hoow just he just holds on to the 597 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:03,480 Speaker 2: ball for so long every single time he takes a snap, 598 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 2: and that's gonna kill drives if anything, again without the 599 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:11,680 Speaker 2: quarterback or with the question marks about the quarterback looking 600 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 2: towards the under in the game. Because the reason Seattle 601 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,080 Speaker 2: had been playing so well and why you were right 602 00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:18,360 Speaker 2: about it's because their defense have been playing so well, 603 00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,320 Speaker 2: and their defense did not play great against the Green 604 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:21,920 Speaker 2: Bay Packers. 605 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:23,800 Speaker 3: So can they step up? Hey? 606 00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,040 Speaker 2: Knowing that hair quarterbacks down, the defense really needs to 607 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,679 Speaker 2: play well against the Vikings team playing on a short weekend, 608 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,359 Speaker 2: they're playing back at home. So maybe looking at the under, 609 00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:33,239 Speaker 2: which I believe is around the totals at forty two 610 00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:35,639 Speaker 2: and a half points, you get a Dome team outdoors 611 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,920 Speaker 2: in December. I don't necessarily hate that play if you've 612 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:39,600 Speaker 2: kind of like I don't love the value anymore on 613 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,200 Speaker 2: the spread because you know, like you said, we kind 614 00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,359 Speaker 2: of missed the boat potentially with looking at the Vikings 615 00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:45,040 Speaker 2: just winning the game. 616 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:48,480 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the Jaguars and Vike. Excuse me, 617 00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,760 Speaker 1: the Jaguars and Las Vegas Raiders. This one's practically a pick, 618 00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,400 Speaker 1: and you got Jacksonville plus one, Las Vegas minus one 619 00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:56,240 Speaker 1: thirty nine and a half is the number minus one 620 00:24:56,320 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 1: oh five. Look, if I'm gonna throw a dart on 621 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 1: this one for the jack Wars, which I know that 622 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 1: sounds crazy, Andrew, but that's where I'm gonna be at. 623 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:05,479 Speaker 1: So that would just be straight up money line. At 624 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:07,600 Speaker 1: minus one oh five, that's the best you're gonna get here. 625 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:10,399 Speaker 1: But you could also look for some more points, or 626 00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 1: if you really feel good about the Jaguars, maybe tease 627 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 1: this one up a couple of points. But I don't know. 628 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:17,360 Speaker 1: That's just kind of where I'm at with the Jags 629 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,199 Speaker 1: in the in the Raiders, two teams that are kind 630 00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:20,640 Speaker 1: of going in the wrong direction each. 631 00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 2: Oh, the Jaguars. I'm not sure why the Raiders are favorite. 632 00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,440 Speaker 2: I mean, they're playing at home, I guess. I mean, look, 633 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:28,480 Speaker 2: the Jaguars had a chance to beat the Jets. That 634 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 2: game went down to the wire. They beat the I 635 00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:33,479 Speaker 2: believe there's Houston Texans right the week before that. So 636 00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:36,560 Speaker 2: the Titans the Titan excuse me, yeah, the Titans in 637 00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 2: a lower scoring game, so they've been plucky again. Are 638 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 2: they playing for Doug Peterson? I guess kind of. I 639 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:44,480 Speaker 2: don't really, I don't really know what they're doing. But 640 00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:48,000 Speaker 2: maybe Mac Jones is filmed himself every time he rushes 641 00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 2: first Matt Look. 642 00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 1: I think if you're mac Jones, you look at what 643 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,080 Speaker 1: Sam Donold's done. You look at someone like, hey man, 644 00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:56,160 Speaker 1: the quarterback class is not great. Mac Jones could absolutely 645 00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 1: get an opportunity to compete somewhere next year if he 646 00:25:58,200 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 1: plays well down the stretch. I don't know if he's 647 00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:01,160 Speaker 1: quite done that yet. 648 00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:02,920 Speaker 3: Mack Jones got a couple of games. 649 00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 1: Hey man, you got a couple of games left. You 650 00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,920 Speaker 1: played okay against the Jets, you won against the Titans. 651 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,879 Speaker 1: You have a winnable game here for the Las Vegas Raiders. 652 00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:14,359 Speaker 1: Mac Jones has something to prove there for sure. San 653 00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 1: Francisco forty nine ers, They've had a long time to 654 00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:20,000 Speaker 1: think about all their transgressions. They are six and eight 655 00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,639 Speaker 1: Niking on the six and eight Miami dofhins. Isn't that perfect? 656 00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 1: These two teams have the same record. That's that's like 657 00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:29,320 Speaker 1: perfection right there. Minus two and a half for Miami 658 00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:31,359 Speaker 1: at home as favorites forty six and a half of 659 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,959 Speaker 1: the total, plus one oh five for San Francisco. I'm 660 00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:35,960 Speaker 1: just gonna throw the stat at you again. Rock Party 661 00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:37,960 Speaker 1: on the Road has the best passer rating in the league. 662 00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:41,719 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go and again blindly bet the San 663 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:43,800 Speaker 1: Francisco forty nine ers. I know the forty nine ers 664 00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:45,960 Speaker 1: have a lot of issues, there's no doubt about it. 665 00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 1: But I'll take the forty nine ers a plus money 666 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 1: plus one oh five on the money line period. End 667 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:50,520 Speaker 1: of story. Your thoughts. 668 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:53,760 Speaker 2: What's the forty nine ers record is six and eight, 669 00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 2: so it's a losing record, right, So some miam is 670 00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:57,520 Speaker 2: gonna win because. 671 00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:58,680 Speaker 3: Because that's that's to happen. 672 00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 2: They're playing home against a two in a losing right, 673 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:02,920 Speaker 2: and that's why they're gonna win. Because when you're looking 674 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:05,160 Speaker 2: at the fraudulent teams, the forty nine ers are right 675 00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:07,399 Speaker 2: up there with the Miami Dolphins, except they're on the 676 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,240 Speaker 2: road and they have a losing record. 677 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:10,960 Speaker 3: So Mike Daniel has a chance. 678 00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,679 Speaker 1: I just spite that you the forty nine ers on 679 00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 1: betting pros. I just locked that that justice. 680 00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:18,280 Speaker 3: Why do you to go back to the forty nine 681 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:18,680 Speaker 3: ers job? 682 00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 2: I don't understand like you You're like, you're like that 683 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,840 Speaker 2: the guy was talking to year, Well I was, but 684 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 2: I feel like I feel like but now that it's 685 00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:28,359 Speaker 2: all part of the reason I faded them all. 686 00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:31,080 Speaker 1: I'll tell you Part of the reason why I faded 687 00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:33,439 Speaker 1: them all year was because they were fraudulent and they 688 00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:35,200 Speaker 1: were getting way too much love, way too many points, 689 00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:38,040 Speaker 1: all that stuff. Now it's become the other sense where 690 00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,800 Speaker 1: I think it's over compensation, where I think it's becoming 691 00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:44,680 Speaker 1: a value. Look, man, I think I think they're going 692 00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:48,520 Speaker 1: to beat the Dolphins. The Dolphins are You're right, they 693 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,480 Speaker 1: have the same record. Neither are a great team. But 694 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,120 Speaker 1: I think the forty niners are a better team than 695 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:53,560 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. 696 00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:55,720 Speaker 2: I mean, I mean you were on the Bears on 697 00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,160 Speaker 2: against forty nine ers, correct, right. 698 00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:00,639 Speaker 1: I was. It was the dead coach bounds and it 699 00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:02,960 Speaker 1: really hurt if you, by the way, screw the Packers. 700 00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:04,800 Speaker 1: You really loop me in there with the whole the 701 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:08,120 Speaker 1: Packers coming off the Honolulu flu. Hey all got their shots. 702 00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:10,720 Speaker 1: They all got their shots, they took their vitamin C. 703 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:13,080 Speaker 4: Sort of. 704 00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:17,080 Speaker 1: The Bears they are on Thanksgiving, that did nothing. Nothing. 705 00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:17,920 Speaker 3: What's the Bears? 706 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:18,280 Speaker 2: Also? 707 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,560 Speaker 3: So they're very again fair one of the teams. A 708 00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:22,520 Speaker 3: loss of the Patriots you always have. 709 00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:27,480 Speaker 1: All right, let's roll through these last couple here, Tampa 710 00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:30,760 Speaker 1: and Dallas, Tampa bay Man, Baker Mayfield. Can we get 711 00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 1: some MVP. Love for Baker Mayfield, please God. Eight and 712 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:38,520 Speaker 1: six or the Tampa Buccaneers. They rolled the Chargers, the 713 00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:41,840 Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys came off. They're six and eight, Tampa on 714 00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:43,720 Speaker 1: the road, four and a half point favorites, which always 715 00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 1: makes me uneasy. Baker is a favorite, don't love it? 716 00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 1: Forty eight and is and half is the number plus 717 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 1: one eighty on the Dallas side. So question is, can 718 00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:53,920 Speaker 1: Tampa take care of this four and a half and 719 00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:54,880 Speaker 1: take care of the Cowboys? 720 00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:55,719 Speaker 3: I think so. 721 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 2: Yeah. I know that we love Baker as a but 722 00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:00,160 Speaker 2: I think that just in his mind, he's like, we're 723 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:03,920 Speaker 2: always under Dalls. And the fact they're on the road, 724 00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,360 Speaker 2: I think I think they're on the road does make 725 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 2: it feel like it's not as a comfany as a spot, 726 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 2: especially with Dallas coming off a huge win. Right, so 727 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,959 Speaker 2: Dallas is feeling good, like Cooper Rush playing well, he's cooking. 728 00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:16,520 Speaker 2: They come off a big win on the road, and 729 00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:18,760 Speaker 2: Tampa Bay like, hey man, they have to keep winning 730 00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:20,719 Speaker 2: games if they want to, you know, try to win 731 00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:23,720 Speaker 2: this division, make the playoffs. And look, Tampa Bay has shown, hey, 732 00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:26,800 Speaker 2: we can throw punches with anybody. Like they've beaten Detroit 733 00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:28,960 Speaker 2: like they know that, Hey, we got Baker, we got 734 00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:31,920 Speaker 2: Mike Evans, who is somehow going to get on pace 735 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:33,840 Speaker 2: to have a thousand receiving yards. But though we missed 736 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:35,760 Speaker 2: so many games this year, he needs to average like 737 00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:36,840 Speaker 2: eighty five receiving yards. 738 00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:37,400 Speaker 3: Rest of the way. 739 00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:40,720 Speaker 2: I just I hope Evans gets another a thousand yards, 740 00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:43,240 Speaker 2: which absolutely love to see that. So yeah, give me, 741 00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:44,840 Speaker 2: give me Tampa Bay here. 742 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, Sunday night does you're being in an entertaining game? Actually, 743 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 1: actually you know by the fact that Dallas Cowboys are 744 00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,400 Speaker 1: and look that Dallas has been terrible at home. Yeah, 745 00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:53,040 Speaker 1: for the last. 746 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 3: Years for them to win at home. 747 00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:58,360 Speaker 1: Seriously, that's what it took, folks. And that was a 748 00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,600 Speaker 1: squeaker at times orlands in Green Bay. Last one here 749 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 1: Monday night football. So the Packers look really good. They 750 00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 1: are thirteen and a half point favorites, big spread. I 751 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 1: know that scares the hell out of Andrew. Doesn't scare 752 00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:10,680 Speaker 1: the hell out of me. Forty two and a half 753 00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:12,440 Speaker 1: is the number plus five to twenty five on the 754 00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:14,920 Speaker 1: money line for the New Orleans Saints. I'll tell you what, 755 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:16,800 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take it at the thirteen and a half 756 00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 1: before it grows, because I think it's going to and 757 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:22,920 Speaker 1: I mean, god knows who's playing quarterback. Give me Spencer 758 00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,600 Speaker 1: Rattler in twenty degree weather in Green Bay. I think 759 00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:27,760 Speaker 1: this is going to be an ugly, butt kicking stomp, 760 00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,080 Speaker 1: a mudd hoole kind of game for the green Bay Packers. 761 00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 1: Who are I'll tell you you know, Packers, Vikings, Lions, Eagles. 762 00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:36,520 Speaker 1: That's it. There's four teams that can come out of 763 00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:39,120 Speaker 1: the NFC. That's it. I mean, the Buccaneers are fun, 764 00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,719 Speaker 1: but I don't think they've got the juice necessarily these 765 00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 1: other four teams. Your thoughts, big number, I know that 766 00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:45,160 Speaker 1: scares you. 767 00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:46,840 Speaker 2: No, I mean the big numbers always scare me when 768 00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 2: it's for the road team. So the fact that Green 769 00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 2: Bay is playing at home, I feel more comfortable Lake 770 00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 2: laying this amount of points. 771 00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:53,680 Speaker 1: This is going to get the sixteams, especially against. 772 00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:54,760 Speaker 3: Tell you a rookie quarterback. 773 00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 2: And the thing with green Bay that's so interesting is 774 00:30:57,200 --> 00:31:01,120 Speaker 2: they're ten and four and the team that they've lost 775 00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:03,320 Speaker 2: to are combined for one of the highest records in 776 00:31:03,360 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 2: the NFL. So they've lost the lines twice, the Vikings 777 00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:08,560 Speaker 2: and the Eagles, like all of the best teams in 778 00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:11,240 Speaker 2: the NFC. So I think that is someone telling about 779 00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 2: what are they gonna do with in the playoffs, because 780 00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:15,600 Speaker 2: the only teams that they've lost to are really really 781 00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:17,680 Speaker 2: like the top tier teams. But also, are they gonna 782 00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,520 Speaker 2: beat the lines three times like that's hard? Or are 783 00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:22,120 Speaker 2: they gonna lose the lines three times in real like 784 00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:25,320 Speaker 2: that's tough? That they usually isn't how things shake out? 785 00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:28,400 Speaker 2: So yes, against a team that's five and nine starting 786 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 2: our rookie quarterback would expect Rebay to roll here all right. 787 00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 1: Make sure you're using the Betting Pros app to stay 788 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,040 Speaker 1: on top of the lines. And while you're there, you 789 00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:40,680 Speaker 1: check out the Betting Pros betting Systems tool that's assigned 790 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,360 Speaker 1: to help you find winning strategies and make smarter bet today. 791 00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:45,360 Speaker 1: You can use it for any single sport. You can 792 00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,840 Speaker 1: track your performance of the different systems that you create, 793 00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,080 Speaker 1: and you could check out systems that other people create 794 00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:53,720 Speaker 1: right now at bettingpros dot com. So make sure you 795 00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:55,440 Speaker 1: download the app wherever you get your apps and start 796 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:57,680 Speaker 1: betting smarter or not harder. That'll do it for us. 797 00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Andrew Erickson, 798 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:03,320 Speaker 1: I'm with Joey p Well see you next time. Kids. 799 00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:06,800 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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