1
00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:11,600
Speaker 1: Hey there everyone. Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL podcast,

2
00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:14,640
Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris.

3
00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:16,720
Speaker 1: You can find me on Twitter at Dan Harris Hadi.

4
00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:20,000
Speaker 1: It is time for our early look at next week's lines,

5
00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:22,560
Speaker 1: and with me to break it all down is Alex Kaloj,

6
00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:25,160
Speaker 1: a sports betting writer for The Score. You can find

7
00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:28,320
Speaker 1: him on Twitter at aj Kaloj and I will spell

8
00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:30,280
Speaker 1: his last name for you because you will never get

9
00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:35,880
Speaker 1: it right. Ko l O, d z I EJ. Alex.

10
00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:37,400
Speaker 1: Thanks for coming back on the show. How's it going.

11
00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:39,680
Speaker 2: I'm doing well, man, Thanks for having me good.

12
00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:42,680
Speaker 1: I believe you were here for a pre season episode before,

13
00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:43,440
Speaker 1: is that correct?

14
00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:46,000
Speaker 3: Yeah? It was basically just me and you having a nice,

15
00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:49,040
Speaker 3: cordial disagreement on the Houston Texans for about forty five minutes.

16
00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:50,479
Speaker 3: But yes, it was a lot of fun and I'm

17
00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:51,160
Speaker 3: glad to be back.

18
00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,199
Speaker 1: All right. I feel like I was probably right on that,

19
00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:55,720
Speaker 1: but I don't remember it specifically, so I'll leave it

20
00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:58,120
Speaker 1: up to the listeners to go back and tell me differently. Now,

21
00:00:58,120 --> 00:00:59,920
Speaker 1: how is week seven for you? Out of curiosity from

22
00:01:00,560 --> 00:01:02,560
Speaker 1: NFL Betting Perspective, Week.

23
00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:06,200
Speaker 3: Seven was Okay, a lot more totals than sides had

24
00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:09,720
Speaker 3: come through. And it's funny because I had been playing

25
00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:13,560
Speaker 3: strictly totals for the first couple of weeks, and there

26
00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:15,479
Speaker 3: were a couple of sides that stuck out and saw

27
00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:15,880
Speaker 3: a lot.

28
00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:17,360
Speaker 2: Of sharp players that were on the same side, and

29
00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:19,680
Speaker 2: I thought, you know what, I'll try my hand.

30
00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:21,840
Speaker 3: On some sides, and sure enough, I got reverse wept.

31
00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:24,440
Speaker 3: So heading into this week, I'll probably have to regroup

32
00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:26,440
Speaker 3: a little bit and probably go back to just playing

33
00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:29,800
Speaker 3: some totals and player props and stuff like that.

34
00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:31,480
Speaker 2: But yeah, overall, it was a good week.

35
00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:33,640
Speaker 3: I feel like this season in the NFL has been

36
00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:35,840
Speaker 3: pretty kind to me, and I wish I could say

37
00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:38,160
Speaker 3: the same about college football. So it's basically been ass

38
00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:40,559
Speaker 3: backwards the last two years in terms of college football

39
00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:43,240
Speaker 3: and NFL. I feel like my strengths for the past

40
00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:45,959
Speaker 3: decade of and college football and NFL has just kind

41
00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:48,120
Speaker 3: of been throwing some darts here and there. But for

42
00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:51,120
Speaker 3: whatever reason, the NFL has been pretty profitable so far.

43
00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:53,520
Speaker 1: How about yourself, right, Well, our early impressions are going

44
00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,840
Speaker 1: to be spot on right now, I'm making that proclamation,

45
00:01:55,960 --> 00:01:57,560
Speaker 1: so don't you worried about it. Now, Alex and I

46
00:01:57,640 --> 00:01:59,680
Speaker 1: are going to be going through each game on the

47
00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:02,200
Speaker 1: Week eight slate. We're going to be using the consensus

48
00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:05,040
Speaker 1: odds over at bettingpros dot com. Now, unless this is

49
00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:07,520
Speaker 1: your first time listening, you know that the consensus odds

50
00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:10,240
Speaker 1: are an aggregation of the odds that are available on

51
00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:12,080
Speaker 1: the market. But as always, there are going to be

52
00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:15,120
Speaker 1: differences in the various sports books, so go ahead and

53
00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:17,240
Speaker 1: shop around for the best odds. Also, if you want

54
00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:19,560
Speaker 1: to see how some of the top sports betting experts

55
00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:22,079
Speaker 1: are leaning on any given bet at any given time,

56
00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:24,480
Speaker 1: Betting pros dot Com is going to show you that too.

57
00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:26,560
Speaker 1: All right, Alex, let's dive right in here with the

58
00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:30,560
Speaker 1: Redskins at the Vikings on Thursday night. The current aggregate

59
00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:34,280
Speaker 1: odds are Vikings minus fifteen and the over under at

60
00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:36,760
Speaker 1: forty one and a half. Now the spread has dropped

61
00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:38,720
Speaker 1: from the look ahead line it was sixteen and a half,

62
00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,959
Speaker 1: so the Vikings now are down about a point and

63
00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:43,040
Speaker 1: a half from where they were. Vikings are really starting

64
00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:44,840
Speaker 1: to getting a role here. They continue to mix in

65
00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:47,440
Speaker 1: their passing game a little bit more. Does not sound

66
00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:49,919
Speaker 1: like Adam Thielen is going to play. More likely he's

67
00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:53,040
Speaker 1: out until Week nine after he left Sunday's game against

68
00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:55,959
Speaker 1: the Lions with a hamstring injury. I doubt the Vikings

69
00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:57,240
Speaker 1: are going to need him to win, but that could

70
00:02:57,280 --> 00:02:59,760
Speaker 1: account a little bit for the money probably coming in

71
00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,200
Speaker 1: a lit little bit on the Redskins. As for them,

72
00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:04,480
Speaker 1: they are coming off the monsoon game against the forty

73
00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:07,079
Speaker 1: nine ers where you really couldn't draw any specific conclusions.

74
00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,120
Speaker 1: So how do you feel about Vikings playing fifteen and

75
00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:10,960
Speaker 1: the over under forty one and a half.

76
00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:12,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't have much of an edge on this game.

77
00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:16,440
Speaker 3: The numbers look about right, especially with Adam Dala being out.

78
00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:18,280
Speaker 3: Kind of had to adjust a little bit for that.

79
00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,160
Speaker 3: I just, you know, I find it weird because Washington

80
00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:24,000
Speaker 3: to start the season they were such a good overteam.

81
00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,120
Speaker 3: Everybody was throwing on their defense and their secondary and

82
00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:31,200
Speaker 3: then that basically put case Keenum into into full pass mode.

83
00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:32,760
Speaker 3: And I remember the first couple of weeks, you know,

84
00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:35,080
Speaker 3: I was playing his player props over passing years almost

85
00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:37,120
Speaker 3: every week, and it was you know, it worked out

86
00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:39,680
Speaker 3: pretty well given the situation and how games had played out.

87
00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:42,920
Speaker 3: Now you look at the last three four games, Washington's

88
00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,120
Speaker 3: kind of turned into an under team, and I know

89
00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:48,440
Speaker 3: last week's weather or excuse me, yesterday's weather with San

90
00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:51,320
Speaker 3: Francisco kind of you know, I don't know exactly how

91
00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:52,920
Speaker 3: much you can you can put into that. It was

92
00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,440
Speaker 3: basically a slot fest with a lot of running the football.

93
00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,560
Speaker 3: But I agree with the move here from from forty

94
00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:00,960
Speaker 3: I think the opener forty forty half to forty one

95
00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:04,440
Speaker 3: and a half because I think this weekend with Washington,

96
00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:06,760
Speaker 3: you know, they've played you know, they played the Miami,

97
00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:09,400
Speaker 3: they were in there with with San Francisco, you know,

98
00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,280
Speaker 3: yesterday and whatnot, and they were perfectly content with running

99
00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:15,280
Speaker 3: the ball. And with the new coaching change, they've obviously

100
00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:17,400
Speaker 3: adopted that identity that they wanted to run the football.

101
00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:21,120
Speaker 3: But you know, as sixteen point underdogs and probably going

102
00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:23,000
Speaker 3: to be trailing most of the game, I think Washington's

103
00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:24,600
Speaker 3: gonna have to throw the balls to get back into it.

104
00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:26,560
Speaker 3: So my initial lean here is actually the over at

105
00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:29,479
Speaker 3: forty one and a half. So, you know, after the

106
00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:31,280
Speaker 3: first three weeks of going over, in the last three

107
00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:32,960
Speaker 3: weeks being an under team, I think I'm going to

108
00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:34,960
Speaker 3: go back to on the go back on the wagon.

109
00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:37,159
Speaker 2: Here and probably lean over here forty one and a half.

110
00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:39,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that. I mean the Redskins are

111
00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:42,679
Speaker 1: overall relatively healthy in the Vikings defense, while strong, of course,

112
00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:45,920
Speaker 1: I mean they're not this just like lockdown unit anymore.

113
00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:48,800
Speaker 1: As Detroit showed yesterday putting up points with you know,

114
00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:52,000
Speaker 1: relative ease. It was more about the Vikings offense. And yeah,

115
00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:55,719
Speaker 1: you know, a Thursday night game without Adam Thielen. Fine,

116
00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,240
Speaker 1: but you know, I feel like as a general matter,

117
00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:01,599
Speaker 1: defenses aren't you know, always, you know, fully up for

118
00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:03,920
Speaker 1: the challenge going over here. You've got the Vikings coming

119
00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:06,599
Speaker 1: up with games against the Chiefs and then following that

120
00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:08,520
Speaker 1: up with the game against Dallas. This is an easy

121
00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:10,800
Speaker 1: spot for them to look ahead. I don't worry too

122
00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:12,640
Speaker 1: much about the spread, but I don't have a real

123
00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:14,240
Speaker 1: good lean on it. But I agree with you that

124
00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:16,919
Speaker 1: I think that the over is probably the player. At

125
00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,000
Speaker 1: least early, it's already moved that point. I would wouldn't

126
00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:21,960
Speaker 1: be surprised to see it move up to closer to

127
00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:23,839
Speaker 1: forty two, maybe even forty two and a half.

128
00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:26,080
Speaker 3: And I will say this too, Dan, I think early

129
00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:28,719
Speaker 3: in the season the past, you know, the first you know,

130
00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:31,279
Speaker 3: six seven weeks, I saw a lot of primetime games,

131
00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:33,080
Speaker 3: a lot of Thursday Night games go under the total.

132
00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:35,359
Speaker 3: It seems like every primetime game, Sunday night, Moday night,

133
00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:37,400
Speaker 3: Thursday Night seem to be low scoring games.

134
00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:38,360
Speaker 2: And I think now that we're.

135
00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:40,400
Speaker 3: Getting kind of into, you know, the second half of

136
00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,000
Speaker 3: the season here, we're going to start seeing that you know,

137
00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:45,240
Speaker 3: four day rest, the three and a half day rest

138
00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:47,359
Speaker 3: from Sunday to Thursday start taking new effect for the

139
00:05:47,400 --> 00:05:49,280
Speaker 3: defenses here, and I think we'll start seeing a little

140
00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:50,200
Speaker 3: bit more high scoring.

141
00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:51,960
Speaker 2: Games as the season goes on, To be perfectly honest

142
00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:52,280
Speaker 2: with you.

143
00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:55,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely agree. Moving on to the next game, Seahawks

144
00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,240
Speaker 1: at the Falcons, the odds are still Seahawks laying three

145
00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:00,000
Speaker 1: and a half, and the over under at fifty three

146
00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,040
Speaker 1: and a half moved just slightly from the opening line

147
00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:04,800
Speaker 1: of fifty four. You've obviously got some question marks here

148
00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:08,440
Speaker 1: for the Falcons. Matt Ryan has a sprained ankle. He's

149
00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:11,120
Speaker 1: not ruled out for Week eight. He could play. Certainly,

150
00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:14,120
Speaker 1: the Falcon season is a complete dumpster fire and basically

151
00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:17,080
Speaker 1: done already at this point. Edo Smith is ruled out,

152
00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:20,240
Speaker 1: But other than that, this really depends on Matt Ryan.

153
00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:22,640
Speaker 1: So it's a little difficult. But let's assume Ryan plays

154
00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:25,320
Speaker 1: here unless you think it's worth jumping in at the Seahawks.

155
00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:27,440
Speaker 1: Leaning three and a half just given the uncertainty with

156
00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:31,520
Speaker 1: the Seahawks though, Look, they you know, are probably pretty

157
00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,800
Speaker 1: angry coming off a bad loss against Baltimore at home.

158
00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:38,080
Speaker 1: They were a little bit embarrassed. They're relatively healthy, not

159
00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:40,880
Speaker 1: fully of little injuries on the defensive side. But you know,

160
00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:43,360
Speaker 1: I'll be honest, three and a half regardless of Ryan.

161
00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:45,599
Speaker 1: I'm all assume Ryan's healthy. Three and a half struck

162
00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:48,000
Speaker 1: me as a little bit light here. I expected this

163
00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:50,040
Speaker 1: to be more like four and a half somewhere closer

164
00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:51,359
Speaker 1: to that, and I think it's going to move that

165
00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:54,560
Speaker 1: way regardless of whether or not Ryan is ruled out.

166
00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:57,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would expect that to jump even if Ryan's

167
00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,560
Speaker 3: in high ankle sprain. I believe it is. Even if

168
00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:02,479
Speaker 3: he's you know, even if he goes, he's not going

169
00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:04,279
Speaker 3: to be one hundred percent. And if I could be

170
00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:07,479
Speaker 3: wrong here, but I think some shops actually moved this

171
00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:11,960
Speaker 3: up to seven with with Ryan being out. You know,

172
00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:14,000
Speaker 3: I was reading some stuff talking to somebos and had

173
00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:16,200
Speaker 3: a group discussion, and you know that would imply that

174
00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:17,840
Speaker 3: he's worth you know, three and a half points to

175
00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:20,840
Speaker 3: the spread here. But I would actually say that Ryan's

176
00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:23,480
Speaker 3: worth more in this case from you know, the drop

177
00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:25,960
Speaker 3: off from Ryan to Shop. I think it's a lot

178
00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:27,360
Speaker 3: more than that. To be perfectly honest with you, I

179
00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,680
Speaker 3: don't I know, Matt Ryan's not playing like an MVP,

180
00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:33,320
Speaker 3: but you know, for him to keep the Falcons in

181
00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:35,760
Speaker 3: games the shootouts like that takes a lot. Like for

182
00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:39,600
Speaker 3: four quarters, this seems almost always trailing. And you know,

183
00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:41,200
Speaker 3: for all the problems that they've had, I don't think

184
00:07:41,200 --> 00:07:44,520
Speaker 3: he's been that big of a problem. You know, Seattle,

185
00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:46,560
Speaker 3: I've played a lot of Seattle overs early in the season.

186
00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:48,640
Speaker 3: They were one of my favorite teams to players. I

187
00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:52,360
Speaker 3: think they played their overs four straight weeks. You know,

188
00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:54,720
Speaker 3: obviously don't they don't have the defense that they once had.

189
00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:56,760
Speaker 3: But for me, when I made this number, I made

190
00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:58,640
Speaker 3: it fifty two and a half. So fifty three and

191
00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:00,640
Speaker 3: a half is pushing it. Fifty three and a half

192
00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:03,200
Speaker 3: fifty four is pushing it. For me, I would honestly

193
00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:07,840
Speaker 3: lean under here, Seahawks still a run heavy team. Don't

194
00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,280
Speaker 3: let Russell Wilson's pass as fully, they still want to

195
00:08:10,520 --> 00:08:12,000
Speaker 3: want to put the ball on the ground, and in

196
00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:14,320
Speaker 3: Atlanta actually has a very underrated front seven.

197
00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:15,360
Speaker 2: I know they've been bad.

198
00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,360
Speaker 3: I know the numbers would suggest otherwise, but they have

199
00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:21,120
Speaker 3: been getting pressure. So in this case I would lean

200
00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:24,240
Speaker 3: under and and basically hope that you know that Matt

201
00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:26,800
Speaker 3: Shop comes in and plays there, that Ryan isn't exactly

202
00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:27,400
Speaker 3: one hundred percent.

203
00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:29,680
Speaker 2: But my initial lean here is actually under, which is.

204
00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:32,560
Speaker 3: Crazy because I love playing both teams over, but this

205
00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:34,040
Speaker 3: just this number just got.

206
00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:34,560
Speaker 2: Too high for me.

207
00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:36,880
Speaker 1: I think this is a game where the Seahawks can

208
00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,920
Speaker 1: probably win it pretty easily regardless of if Ryan plays,

209
00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:42,200
Speaker 1: particularly though if he's compromised, and I think in the

210
00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:44,320
Speaker 1: end that is what they want to do, right, I mean,

211
00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:47,240
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson has been incredible, but in the end, Brian

212
00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:49,880
Speaker 1: Schottenheimer wants to run the ball, run the ball, run

213
00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:51,600
Speaker 1: the ball. That's all he really wants to do. And

214
00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:53,440
Speaker 1: I think this is a game that they can control

215
00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:57,480
Speaker 1: pretty easily on the ground, you know, just generally because

216
00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:00,520
Speaker 1: Chris Carson has been so good, and you know, I

217
00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:02,200
Speaker 1: think they'll be able to score. But I agree, this

218
00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:04,360
Speaker 1: is not a game that I think trends is a

219
00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:06,560
Speaker 1: shootout regardless. So I grew with the under and if

220
00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:08,440
Speaker 1: you can get again, you know there are shops still

221
00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,600
Speaker 1: offering three point five right now. I jump on it.

222
00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:12,680
Speaker 1: For the Seahxcers, I don't really care if Ryan plays,

223
00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,000
Speaker 1: even if you were one hundred percent. The Falcons are

224
00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:16,960
Speaker 1: just in disarray. I can't believe Dan Quinn still has

225
00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:19,560
Speaker 1: a job at this point. So if you like the line,

226
00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:21,800
Speaker 1: Joe Bonnett and if it pushes to seven, I mean,

227
00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:24,600
Speaker 1: if Ryan's out, I'm still fine to do that with

228
00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:27,000
Speaker 1: Matt schob because, as you pointed out, it is not

229
00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:31,160
Speaker 1: an insignificant downgrade, certainly at the quarterback spot. Let's move

230
00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:33,480
Speaker 1: on here to Broncos at the Colts. Colts here are

231
00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,000
Speaker 1: laying six and a half over under is at forty

232
00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:38,040
Speaker 1: three and a half. Colts just continue to roll. They're

233
00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,679
Speaker 1: still an underrated team, and with Darius Leonard back, they

234
00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:42,760
Speaker 1: can really lock down the run like they did against

235
00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:46,000
Speaker 1: the Texans. Meanwhile, the Broncos were everyone's underrated team that's

236
00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,760
Speaker 1: so much better than their record until they laid a

237
00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:51,880
Speaker 1: terrible egg against the Chiefs, even with Patrick Mahomes out.

238
00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,280
Speaker 1: On Thursday night. Now they have to travel to Indianapolis.

239
00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:56,079
Speaker 1: They get the mini by here because they're coming off

240
00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:57,880
Speaker 1: at Thursday night game. But how do you feel about

241
00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:00,280
Speaker 1: Colts laying six and a half under the keynotber of

242
00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:02,280
Speaker 1: seven and the over under at forty three and a half.

243
00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:06,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is gonna be another under for me. I

244
00:10:06,040 --> 00:10:08,559
Speaker 3: was on the under of this past weekend Indianapolis Houston

245
00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:12,400
Speaker 3: and watching it unfold, this is just reminded me how

246
00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:13,040
Speaker 3: much I.

247
00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:14,160
Speaker 2: Hate betting unders.

248
00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:19,600
Speaker 3: But I sincerely think that this Colts team is not

249
00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:22,360
Speaker 3: the Colts team that we think it is, despite seeing

250
00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:27,320
Speaker 3: the score this past weekend. I know playing Houston's secondary

251
00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:29,680
Speaker 3: is a recipe for playing overs, but I thought it

252
00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:31,920
Speaker 3: was a good under because Jacoby Brissett's basically been.

253
00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:32,480
Speaker 2: A game manager.

254
00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:34,160
Speaker 3: If they haven't really put the ball in his hands,

255
00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:36,679
Speaker 3: they don't mind handing the ball off to Marlon Mack

256
00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:40,000
Speaker 3: and Jeorde Wilkins and you know, letting Jacoby Prissette throw

257
00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:42,920
Speaker 3: here and there. But they're not a shootout team. I

258
00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:46,040
Speaker 3: made this forty two and a half Denver's. Denver's offense,

259
00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:50,200
Speaker 3: to me, doesn't offer any upside. Joe Flacco obviously hasn't

260
00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:53,880
Speaker 3: been playing great. I think their receiving corps is extremely underwhelming.

261
00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:57,760
Speaker 3: Their defense is really the only thing that I can

262
00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:00,640
Speaker 3: can really pinpoint here as a strength. And to me,

263
00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:02,199
Speaker 3: I think this number is a point point and a

264
00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:03,719
Speaker 3: half high and I'm gonna wait to see if i

265
00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,600
Speaker 3: can get forty four. Forty four pops up, then I'm

266
00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:08,320
Speaker 3: gonna be on the under. But already grabs them at

267
00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:09,839
Speaker 3: forty three and a half and I feel real good

268
00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:10,240
Speaker 3: about it.

269
00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:12,440
Speaker 1: How about six and a half because that feels about

270
00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:14,120
Speaker 1: right to me. I mean, I expect the Colts to

271
00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:16,360
Speaker 1: win here. I wasn't surprised to see it under seven,

272
00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:18,880
Speaker 1: but I think this is about where it's gonna end up.

273
00:11:18,880 --> 00:11:20,440
Speaker 1: I don't expect it to move, and I think if

274
00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:23,360
Speaker 1: you like either side, you can wait because I'd be

275
00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:26,079
Speaker 1: shocked if it moves up to the key number of seven.

276
00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:27,240
Speaker 1: But that feels about right to me.

277
00:11:27,640 --> 00:11:32,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, this feels very very early reminiscent of you know

278
00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:35,800
Speaker 3: the Colts they trying to think of. It was week four,

279
00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:38,640
Speaker 3: they were off a win, and then they came back

280
00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:40,439
Speaker 3: home and they were playing in Oakland and laid on

281
00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:42,280
Speaker 3: six and a half and it was just it looked

282
00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:45,320
Speaker 3: just so good to be true. Yeah, you know, road

283
00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:51,200
Speaker 3: teams off buys have typically fared well, and you know

284
00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:53,600
Speaker 3: maybe that plays a part into it too, But no

285
00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:55,520
Speaker 3: play on this on the spread, I made it six,

286
00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:59,280
Speaker 3: So you know, I couldn't tell you I'm terrible at

287
00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:02,560
Speaker 3: reading the market on spreads. I just it's it's gotten

288
00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:04,360
Speaker 3: to the point now where it doesn't matter how hard

289
00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:06,480
Speaker 3: I try. I just I can't get a read on

290
00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:09,920
Speaker 3: the market in terms of spreads. So you know, I'm

291
00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:11,480
Speaker 3: going back to the wall here with the total. I

292
00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:14,120
Speaker 3: just I think Denver and Indianapolis are gonna wind up

293
00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:16,040
Speaker 3: being two of the best under teams once it's all.

294
00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:16,520
Speaker 2: Said and done.

295
00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:18,400
Speaker 3: And I know that some of the box scores for

296
00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:22,320
Speaker 3: Indianapolis would suggest otherwise, but really, their identity under Frank Reich,

297
00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:24,319
Speaker 3: which is kind of weird to say, is it's kind

298
00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:25,960
Speaker 3: of been a conservative approach on offense.

299
00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:27,680
Speaker 2: And I think we're gonna see a slog.

300
00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:29,560
Speaker 1: Here, all right, So you heard it there. First, you

301
00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:31,920
Speaker 1: listen to whatever Alex says on the spread and just

302
00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:35,760
Speaker 1: do the opposite. But no, no, no, I honestly that's

303
00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:38,160
Speaker 1: fine that I've had. You know, a couple of weeks

304
00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:39,400
Speaker 1: where I felt great about it, in a couple of

305
00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:40,760
Speaker 1: weeks where I don't really have a good sense. This

306
00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:42,880
Speaker 1: at six point five feels about right to me. With

307
00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:45,840
Speaker 1: the Colts coming off a giant win against the Texans,

308
00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:47,440
Speaker 1: it feels a little bit like a letdown game, and

309
00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:49,680
Speaker 1: everybody's kind of off the Broncos because of how bad

310
00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:52,000
Speaker 1: they looked. But they're not nearly that bad a team,

311
00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:53,480
Speaker 1: so I think six and a half is good. I

312
00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:56,200
Speaker 1: would probably lean towards the Colts overall, so long as

313
00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:58,280
Speaker 1: it stays below the key number, but it's not something

314
00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:00,600
Speaker 1: where I'm overly excited about, nor I'm i With the

315
00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:04,079
Speaker 1: Cardinals at Saints, this was actually Saints laying eight and

316
00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:06,880
Speaker 1: a half. It's moved all the way up to Saints

317
00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,720
Speaker 1: lang ten, and the over under has stayed relatively where

318
00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:13,240
Speaker 1: it is forty eight open going to forty seven and

319
00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:15,400
Speaker 1: a half. So there's two teams. Look, they're both trending

320
00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:17,640
Speaker 1: in the right direction. The Saints remain undefeated with Teddy

321
00:13:17,640 --> 00:13:20,360
Speaker 1: Bridgewater under center. They don't miss a beat without Alvin

322
00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:24,080
Speaker 1: Kamara yesterday against the Bears. They're playing lights out defensively. Meanwhile,

323
00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:26,240
Speaker 1: the Cardinals have now won three in a row and

324
00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:28,880
Speaker 1: they got Patrick Peterson back. Admittedly, their three wins were

325
00:13:28,880 --> 00:13:31,920
Speaker 1: against the Bengals, Falcons, and Giants, three of the worst

326
00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:34,280
Speaker 1: teams in the league. So thoughts on coming in here

327
00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:36,920
Speaker 1: at Saints when it was eight and a half, it

328
00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:38,800
Speaker 1: was a little shocking to me. Ten makes me a

329
00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:41,760
Speaker 1: little more hesitant. But Saints lang ten and the over under,

330
00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:43,480
Speaker 1: I know that's your bread and butter forty seven and

331
00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:43,840
Speaker 1: a half.

332
00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:47,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, so New Orleans was actually one of the first

333
00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:50,400
Speaker 3: bets I made this week. Arizona right now is probably

334
00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:52,720
Speaker 3: at the peak of their price right now in the market.

335
00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:54,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, you could say.

336
00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:57,560
Speaker 3: That they have momentum, but obviously have to look at

337
00:13:57,559 --> 00:14:00,560
Speaker 3: the schedule. I mean, they beat Cincinnati sinn eighteen. That

338
00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:02,800
Speaker 3: was off a Thursday or excuse me, a you know,

339
00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:07,080
Speaker 3: a primetime loss to Pittsburgh. They beat Atlanta, you know,

340
00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:09,640
Speaker 3: a depleted Atlanta team who was off of beat down

341
00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:11,680
Speaker 3: in Houston, so they were on the second of a

342
00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:14,680
Speaker 3: back to back road game as well. And then last

343
00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:16,800
Speaker 3: week they go into New York. They go up seventeen

344
00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,440
Speaker 3: to nothing and really didn't look back. And the weather

345
00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:21,640
Speaker 3: in that game I think affected both game plans. But

346
00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:24,240
Speaker 3: you know, coming in, I think that New Orleans is

347
00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:27,000
Speaker 3: going to be able to do whatever they want offensively.

348
00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:30,320
Speaker 3: The offensive line is playing as good as anybody in

349
00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:32,000
Speaker 3: football right now, and I think that they're gonna be

350
00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:36,040
Speaker 3: able to contain Arizona's quote unquote pass rush or lack thereof.

351
00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,440
Speaker 3: And you know, Teddy Bridgewater twenty eight and seven against

352
00:14:40,440 --> 00:14:42,840
Speaker 3: a spread as a starter in the NFL, the best record,

353
00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:46,840
Speaker 3: you know for a minimum amount of stars for qualifying quarterback.

354
00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:48,880
Speaker 3: I also lean to the under here at forty eight

355
00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:49,280
Speaker 3: and a half.

356
00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:50,520
Speaker 2: Yeah.

357
00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:53,960
Speaker 3: I obviously don't love Cliff Kingsbury running basically a no

358
00:14:54,080 --> 00:14:57,080
Speaker 3: huddle college set because that tends to give you a

359
00:14:57,080 --> 00:15:00,200
Speaker 3: lot more possessions, tends to get in the a lot

360
00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:02,960
Speaker 3: of shootouts as we've seen this year. But the way

361
00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:07,080
Speaker 3: New Orleans defense is playing with Marshawn Lattimore and the

362
00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:10,000
Speaker 3: pass rush that they have, and you know, I can't

363
00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:13,640
Speaker 3: see Arizona on the second of a back to back

364
00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:16,320
Speaker 3: going into a dome and putting up points against a really,

365
00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:17,520
Speaker 3: really good New Orleans team.

366
00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:20,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I my worry in both of these numbers, the

367
00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:22,640
Speaker 1: Saints slaying ten the over under and forty seven a

368
00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:24,120
Speaker 1: half is that the Saints would get out to a

369
00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:25,720
Speaker 1: big lead and then just kind of sit back a

370
00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:28,320
Speaker 1: little bit like they did against the Bears here in

371
00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:31,080
Speaker 1: this past game where the Bears were completely shut down

372
00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:33,280
Speaker 1: all game and then they just came roaring back at

373
00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:34,840
Speaker 1: the end with two touchdowns. They still lost by a

374
00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:37,720
Speaker 1: significant amount, but that would really be my worry. And

375
00:15:37,760 --> 00:15:39,200
Speaker 1: then I think the way the game plays out, the

376
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:42,040
Speaker 1: Saints should be able to win by ten points. I agree.

377
00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,720
Speaker 1: The Cardinals to me strike me as complete paper tigers.

378
00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:47,680
Speaker 1: With this schedule. The Saints defense is absolutely legitimate in

379
00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:50,280
Speaker 1: that dome. They're getting really excited by the way. Of course,

380
00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:51,920
Speaker 1: there is a question of whether or not Drew Brees

381
00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,120
Speaker 1: is going to play, which could account a little bit

382
00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:55,880
Speaker 1: of the number. I am going to be shocked if

383
00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:58,040
Speaker 1: he plays in this game. I believe that they have

384
00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:00,840
Speaker 1: a bye the week after, right, they do have a

385
00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:02,880
Speaker 1: bye the week after that. I can't see any way

386
00:16:03,040 --> 00:16:05,360
Speaker 1: that they bring them back before the following game against Atlanta.

387
00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:07,920
Speaker 1: So to the extent that's factoring in, I really wouldn't

388
00:16:07,920 --> 00:16:10,520
Speaker 1: I expect it to be Bridgewater. It's it hasn't been that,

389
00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:12,520
Speaker 1: you know, crazy in terms of what the Saints have

390
00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:14,640
Speaker 1: been able to do. But overall, I think the Saints

391
00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:16,880
Speaker 1: minus ten in the over under now at forty seven

392
00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:20,080
Speaker 1: and a half, I agree with with sort of you

393
00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:22,400
Speaker 1: know that line being around right. I just don't think

394
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:23,920
Speaker 1: this is a game I'm going to touch at those

395
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,400
Speaker 1: numbers for fear of kind of like the back door

396
00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:29,440
Speaker 1: cover certainly right by the Cardinals just sitting back a

397
00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:30,520
Speaker 1: little bit and letting it happen.

398
00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:33,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean getting it whacked up all the

399
00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:33,720
Speaker 2: way to ten.

400
00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:36,080
Speaker 3: I mean if even if you're up by seventeen, I mean,

401
00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:38,560
Speaker 3: if you're up by three possessions, seventeen points, I mean,

402
00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:43,040
Speaker 3: I just I would have no faith in you know,

403
00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:45,400
Speaker 3: a defense being in prevent and letting go.

404
00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:46,320
Speaker 2: Lergists.

405
00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:49,120
Speaker 3: It's and that's why the Arizona team scares me that

406
00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:52,239
Speaker 3: that offense there. I would take a lot of offenses

407
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:55,960
Speaker 3: over Arizona's, But in a two minute drill garbage time,

408
00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:58,280
Speaker 3: I don't think there's there's another offense that I want

409
00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:02,400
Speaker 3: to see other than Kyler and you know, the receivers

410
00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:04,919
Speaker 3: and David Johnson, because they play at such a fast

411
00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:07,600
Speaker 3: pace and I've had to adjust for that a lot.

412
00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:09,160
Speaker 2: Again, I've played a lot of.

413
00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:13,080
Speaker 3: Overs and a lot of opponents team total overs when

414
00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:18,359
Speaker 3: I'm playing Arizona, but batting against them, honestly is not fun. Yeah,

415
00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:22,119
Speaker 3: you know the week two against Baltimore. I know, you know,

416
00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:24,840
Speaker 3: I'm from Phoenix, I live in here now, and I

417
00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:26,520
Speaker 3: know a lot of people who were on Baltimore in

418
00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:28,600
Speaker 3: that game, and they were just pulling their hair out

419
00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:31,840
Speaker 3: watching that game. And I faded Arizona last week against

420
00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:33,480
Speaker 3: New York and watching that offense.

421
00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:35,159
Speaker 2: When they're hot, they're hot. But I just don't I

422
00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:35,720
Speaker 2: don't love.

423
00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,800
Speaker 3: The matchup this weekend against you know, arguably the best

424
00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:40,040
Speaker 3: defense will face all year.

425
00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:42,600
Speaker 2: So to me, I took again.

426
00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:44,080
Speaker 3: I took New Orleans at eight and a half. I

427
00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:47,000
Speaker 3: wouldn't recommend them at ten right now, but I might

428
00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,040
Speaker 3: get involved on the total if it if it gets

429
00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:51,080
Speaker 3: to forty nine, because then in that case, I'm gonna

430
00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:52,959
Speaker 3: I'm gonna be on both New Orleans and the other

431
00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:53,600
Speaker 3: in the spot.

432
00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:56,239
Speaker 1: Yeah. Let's move on now here to the Chargers at

433
00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:58,840
Speaker 1: the Bears. The Bears are currently laying four and a half.

434
00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:00,800
Speaker 1: It was five and a half when I saw the

435
00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:02,919
Speaker 1: look aheadline, and the over under is now at forty

436
00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:04,560
Speaker 1: and a half, and it was at thirty nine and

437
00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:06,840
Speaker 1: a half. So like the last game, we've got two

438
00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:09,320
Speaker 1: teams here going in the same direction, but unlike the

439
00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:11,560
Speaker 1: other game, they are heading in the wrong direction. The

440
00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:14,800
Speaker 1: Chargers are coming off their third straight loss, a heartbreaker

441
00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 1: to the Titans, which they should have won. If you

442
00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:20,159
Speaker 1: simulated that game one hundred times, they win probably at

443
00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:22,959
Speaker 1: the end of ninety nine. They're just a disaster at

444
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,320
Speaker 1: this point. Russell o'cun should come back this week, I think,

445
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:29,199
Speaker 1: and help the offensive line, but they're obviously dealing with

446
00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:30,960
Speaker 1: injuries all over the place. On the other side, the

447
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:34,359
Speaker 1: Bears look they're vonta defense. It just it looks completely

448
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,000
Speaker 1: vulnerable against a run with a Keen Hicks down. You

449
00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:39,919
Speaker 1: saw what Latavi's Murray was able to do. Josh Jacobs

450
00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:42,480
Speaker 1: had a big game before that. So they're really not

451
00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:45,479
Speaker 1: looking sort of like that shut down unit that we

452
00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:47,160
Speaker 1: kind of expected them to be and that they look

453
00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,920
Speaker 1: like early in the season. And again on offense, there's

454
00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:54,040
Speaker 1: just nothing. Mitchell Trubisky, he returned, but he looked terrible

455
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,200
Speaker 1: until you know, late when there was garbage time. David

456
00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,800
Speaker 1: Montgomery is barely being used when he is he's not

457
00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:01,480
Speaker 1: getting much on the ground, So it's kind of two

458
00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:03,440
Speaker 1: teams that you don't really want to back either way.

459
00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,280
Speaker 1: But here Bear is now laying four and a half

460
00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,600
Speaker 1: total at forty and a half, what do you think, Yeah.

461
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:08,360
Speaker 2: You hit the nail on the head.

462
00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:11,399
Speaker 3: There two teams trending out or trending in both directions,

463
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:15,119
Speaker 3: you know, the same direction, and it's not up. You know,

464
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:17,640
Speaker 3: there are times and I like playing overs between two

465
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,240
Speaker 3: teams who are really bad because they just really don't care.

466
00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:23,400
Speaker 3: But I have no play on the total. I lean

467
00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:28,040
Speaker 3: Chicago in the spot. I don't really take into account

468
00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:31,400
Speaker 3: hangovers as much to the NFL as I do in college.

469
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:33,679
Speaker 2: But for LA, this is just a terrible loss.

470
00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:37,399
Speaker 3: A week after getting blown out by the Steelers in

471
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,160
Speaker 3: prime time. You didn't think it could get any worse,

472
00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:43,480
Speaker 3: but for some reason, LA found out that it could.

473
00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:45,639
Speaker 3: And it's weird because I think the Chargers are the

474
00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,119
Speaker 3: only franchise in the NFL that could actually have that

475
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:49,360
Speaker 3: happen to them.

476
00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,640
Speaker 2: So West Coast team coming East Coast for an early kick.

477
00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:54,960
Speaker 3: Chicago's kind of heard it all on the media about

478
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:58,280
Speaker 3: how bad they are. They get a beat up Chargers team.

479
00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:00,760
Speaker 3: I still think Chicago's we got a lot to play

480
00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:02,560
Speaker 3: for at three and three on like the two and

481
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:03,400
Speaker 3: five Chargers.

482
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,720
Speaker 2: At this spot, i'd lean Chicago minus four and a half.

483
00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:08,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of like the Chargers at five and

484
00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,359
Speaker 1: a half. I was looking at them right now. This

485
00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:12,400
Speaker 1: entire game is a stay away, and you know, there

486
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,960
Speaker 1: is becoming this sort of thing where there are a

487
00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:17,439
Speaker 1: lot of teams right now where I just do not

488
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,040
Speaker 1: feel comfortable because I just do not know what I'm

489
00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:21,920
Speaker 1: going to see from them week in and week out.

490
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:24,880
Speaker 1: The Chargers are one, the Titans are one. I don't

491
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,160
Speaker 1: know if I will ever lay another line on the Titans,

492
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 1: regardless of which way it's going. The Bucks, I never

493
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:31,120
Speaker 1: know what I'm going to see out of the Bucks,

494
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 1: and I'm seeing that definitely from the Chargers and a

495
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,760
Speaker 1: little bit from the Bears at this point, if anything.

496
00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:39,000
Speaker 1: Even at four and a half, I still actually think

497
00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:41,160
Speaker 1: I kind of lean a little bit towards the Chargers,

498
00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,639
Speaker 1: just because I could see this one being kind of close,

499
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,200
Speaker 1: being more of a three point game. I could see

500
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,200
Speaker 1: the back door cover two even if the Chargers are down,

501
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:50,239
Speaker 1: scoring a lay touchdown to to get it within three.

502
00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:52,520
Speaker 1: Or something like that, and the total at forty and

503
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:54,560
Speaker 1: a half. That's fine. I don't really have a lean

504
00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:56,880
Speaker 1: on that. I would expect that to be around where

505
00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 1: it is. But overall, this is really not a game.

506
00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 1: I kind of want to go to you, so let's

507
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,280
Speaker 1: keep going here. But before we do, I want to

508
00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:06,920
Speaker 1: tell everyone about the sponsor of today's show, BETMGM. Now

509
00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 1: you know about BETMGM already. I tell you about it

510
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:12,960
Speaker 1: pretty much every podcast, and in particular the betmgm Sports app,

511
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,560
Speaker 1: because it's the easiest and best way to place a bet.

512
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:17,879
Speaker 1: If you are in this state of New Jersey, just

513
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:20,840
Speaker 1: search for and download the Betmgmsports app on your phone

514
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,120
Speaker 1: or visit betmgm dot com. Sign up for an account,

515
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 1: and you can place a bet right from your home.

516
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:27,920
Speaker 1: And once you sign up for an account, you will

517
00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,840
Speaker 1: want to pay attention because they offer boosted bets and

518
00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 1: promotions across all major sports. This past week, there was

519
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,399
Speaker 1: a boosted bet where if you bet one dollar on

520
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:39,560
Speaker 1: the forty nine ers to win on the money line,

521
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:42,400
Speaker 1: you would get one hundred dollars in winnings if they won,

522
00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,200
Speaker 1: which of course they did. It's basically like free money

523
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:47,639
Speaker 1: when that happens, so you really need to pay attention.

524
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 1: They also let you track your bet in real time,

525
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:52,240
Speaker 1: and they offer early cash outs where you can settle

526
00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 1: a bet before the game ends to lock in winnings

527
00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:57,800
Speaker 1: or cut your losses. And if you sign up right now,

528
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 1: you get a free five hundred dollars bet. Here's the deal.

529
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 1: When you download the Betmgmsports app and you sign up

530
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 1: using our promo code Harris, then your first bet of

531
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:10,080
Speaker 1: up to five hundred dollars is risk free. If you lose,

532
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:13,280
Speaker 1: BETMGM credits you the amount you lost up to five

533
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 1: hundred dollars. That is basically free money. So just download

534
00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,200
Speaker 1: the app and use the promo code Harris to claim

535
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,800
Speaker 1: the promotion, and you can go to betmgm dot com

536
00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 1: for further details. You must be twenty one years or older,

537
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,960
Speaker 1: and although you can sign up an easily deposit money anywhere,

538
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 1: you must be in the state of New Jersey to

539
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:31,280
Speaker 1: place a sports bet. Visit betmgm dot com for the

540
00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:33,280
Speaker 1: full list of terms and conditions. And if you've got

541
00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:36,600
Speaker 1: a gambling problem, called one eight hundred gambler. All right, Alex,

542
00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:39,359
Speaker 1: let's move on to our next game, Bengals against the Rams.

543
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,760
Speaker 1: This is in London. Rams here are laying twelve and

544
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 1: a half. The over under has moved up to forty

545
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:47,080
Speaker 1: eight and a half from forty seven. The Bengals are terrible.

546
00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,520
Speaker 1: We talked about it when we were breaking down Arizona's schedule.

547
00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 1: The offensive line is in complete shambles, The defenses beat

548
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 1: up and they can't tackle anyone. They tried against the Jaguars.

549
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:57,560
Speaker 1: They kind of kept the close for most of the game,

550
00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:59,760
Speaker 1: but that's hardly enough to give anybody any sort of

551
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:03,399
Speaker 1: app optimism. Meanwhile, the Rams have struggled badly, but certainly

552
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 1: the Falcons can make any team feel better. They look

553
00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 1: much better there. They're still desjointed, though Todd Garley doesn't

554
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:11,160
Speaker 1: look like he's one hundred percent. The receivers aren't really

555
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 1: all that involved. The offensive line is still struggling. So

556
00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 1: at twelve and a half, I still kind of lean

557
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:19,800
Speaker 1: the Rams here. It's under the key numbers, of course,

558
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 1: but I don't feel great about it. Despite how terrible

559
00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:25,520
Speaker 1: the Bengals have been. In the over under moving up

560
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:27,080
Speaker 1: to forty eight and a half, what do you think.

561
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:28,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, Cincinnati hasn't seen that.

562
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:31,640
Speaker 3: I can't say I'm actually gonna say this, like, there

563
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:33,639
Speaker 3: are bad teams in the league, and then there's like

564
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:36,440
Speaker 3: bad but fun teams that I like, I wouldn't mind

565
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:39,679
Speaker 3: watching a full sixteen minutes of Cincinnati's probably one of them. Like,

566
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,639
Speaker 3: you couldn't pay me to watch a Tennessee game, You

567
00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:44,680
Speaker 3: couldn't pay me to watch the Dolphins, you couldn't pay

568
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:45,560
Speaker 3: me to watch the Redskins.

569
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:47,879
Speaker 2: But I like, I don't know what it is. I

570
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 2: just have o weird h Do.

571
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 1: You have an actual rationale for this? Because what you're

572
00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:54,160
Speaker 1: saying makes no sense to me. Because the Bengals are terrible,

573
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:59,320
Speaker 1: the Dolphins are terrible, the Redskins are terrible. Why the Bengals, Oh, well, when.

574
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 3: They had their full when they had their full receiving

575
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 3: corpse of Boyd and John Ross and Audentate and you know,

576
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:11,200
Speaker 3: the ghost of Tyler Eifert and your boy Joe Mixon,

577
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:15,479
Speaker 3: who has I think twelve hundred yards from scrimmage this season.

578
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:18,600
Speaker 3: I don't know what it is. They just they always

579
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:20,280
Speaker 3: get down early and then they have to throw the

580
00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 3: ball and they're always in shootouts and I don't know,

581
00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:25,000
Speaker 3: I just have a weird soft spot for the Bengals.

582
00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 1: This is the weirdest take that I've ever had on

583
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:30,880
Speaker 1: this podcast. I'm just letting you know, legitimately the strangest

584
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:32,880
Speaker 1: sort of let me just tell you what. I love

585
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 1: the Bengals because they're terrible and they throw the ball

586
00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:38,120
Speaker 1: and I like watching them. I don't get it. Does

587
00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,000
Speaker 1: that influence your thoughts on the actual lines rams like

588
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 1: twelve and a half and the over? Are you just like, yeah,

589
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 1: I want the over because I want to root for

590
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:47,120
Speaker 1: the Bengals and the Dalton to just have a shootout

591
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 1: or what.

592
00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 3: That's exactly right. I did play the over in this game.

593
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 3: I play almost every Bengals over if it's that's.

594
00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 1: At least something that's actionable, that's a loose like, all right,

595
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:00,679
Speaker 1: I think the Bengals are good for the over. That's fine,

596
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:02,360
Speaker 1: go for it. So I don't.

597
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 3: I don't play fantasy, but I always have like this,

598
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:08,199
Speaker 3: this this weird rationale of like, oh, I'm sure like

599
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,159
Speaker 3: a lot of people like love the Bengals because they

600
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,640
Speaker 3: have BOYD and I'm sure Dalton's like a streamable guy

601
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:16,199
Speaker 3: and mixed. I just checked yesterday and mixed it as

602
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:17,760
Speaker 3: like two hundred rucking yards.

603
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, he does not do anything right now, Joe Mixon

604
00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 1: in fantasy is like drop a ball. I do not

605
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 1: understand anything you're saying about the Bengals, mad, I mean, legitimately,

606
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 1: let's just say this. You like the over in this game?

607
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:29,680
Speaker 1: Is that fair?

608
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,679
Speaker 2: I thought they are right, I thought they had like

609
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:33,359
Speaker 2: three wins.

610
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 1: But yeah, no, no, they have not won a game.

611
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:38,600
Speaker 1: Where are you looking? All right? All right, here's what I.

612
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:40,439
Speaker 2: Wanted to do. I made I made the total fifty.

613
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:41,200
Speaker 3: I played the over.

614
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:44,679
Speaker 1: Okay, that's fine. I actually agree with you on the

615
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 1: over here. I think both teams are gonna be able

616
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,199
Speaker 1: to score. I think the Rams defense is not what

617
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:51,879
Speaker 1: it once was, even though of course they added Jalen

618
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,919
Speaker 1: Ramsey and so it should be fine. But in London,

619
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,400
Speaker 1: I mean, that's tough that that doesn't number on teams.

620
00:25:57,520 --> 00:25:59,440
Speaker 1: I expect both teams. I do also like the over,

621
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,919
Speaker 1: which is why it's moved significantly. And again for me,

622
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 1: nobody's going to take your advice on the spread at

623
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:06,560
Speaker 1: this point because you love the Bengals too much. But

624
00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 1: I actually kind of lean the Rams here at twelve

625
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 1: and a half. I expect that to move up a

626
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:14,879
Speaker 1: little bit, but I don't know, man, London games are crazy,

627
00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:16,919
Speaker 1: you know, it's one of the It does throw a

628
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:18,520
Speaker 1: little bit of a wrench into it, So I'm fine

629
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,040
Speaker 1: if it's a stay away for most betters. For me

630
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:23,440
Speaker 1: right now, I lean Rams at twelve and a half

631
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 1: and I still lean the over even at forty eight

632
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:26,920
Speaker 1: and a half. When it was forty seven, I got

633
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:28,359
Speaker 1: in one it. But at forty eight and a half,

634
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 1: I'm more than happy.

635
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think you'll see LA struggle against even somewhat

636
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 3: competent defenses. Even last week against Atlanta, seven point seven

637
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:41,439
Speaker 3: yards per pass attempt and only two point five rushing

638
00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:44,800
Speaker 3: yards per attempt, so you know the box score they

639
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:46,919
Speaker 3: put up thirty seven points, but really it wasn't. I

640
00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:49,359
Speaker 3: mean they got set up by some good field position,

641
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 3: had benefited from some turnovers and whatnot. So I think

642
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 3: LA is a team to monitor going forward. I don't

643
00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:56,760
Speaker 3: think that.

644
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,040
Speaker 2: Showing against San Francisco was a fluke.

645
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:01,560
Speaker 3: I think teams more figured out their offensive line is

646
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 3: an have some train wreck, but against Cincinnati it doesn't matter.

647
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 3: I think they can name the score here and Cincinnati

648
00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:09,320
Speaker 3: is gonna have to throw the ball. So it's my

649
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,439
Speaker 3: trade thought for Cincinnati is the same every week, so

650
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 3: it's for me, I just submit overs.

651
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:14,920
Speaker 2: We have Bengals.

652
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 1: All of that is fair. And you know, aj Green,

653
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:19,159
Speaker 1: I don't think has been ruled out yet. I'm not

654
00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 1: expecting him to play here, and you know they've said

655
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:22,520
Speaker 1: he's not going to play before the trade the line,

656
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:24,200
Speaker 1: but then today they said we're not rolling him out.

657
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 1: So who knows. But I don't really think it matters.

658
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:27,840
Speaker 1: I do expect them to be able to move the

659
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 1: ball a little bit here more and put up a

660
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 1: few points. So I do think that over forty eight

661
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,400
Speaker 1: and a half right now would be the play. Let's

662
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,159
Speaker 1: look at the Jets and Jaguars. The Jaguars here are

663
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:38,040
Speaker 1: laying four and a half and the over under is

664
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:39,920
Speaker 1: at forty one. Now, you know, we are recording the

665
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:42,160
Speaker 1: Sun Monday before the Jets Pats game, so we haven't

666
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,720
Speaker 1: seen what they look like tonight. But they obviously looked

667
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 1: far better against the Cowboys than they had all seasons. Meanwhile,

668
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,760
Speaker 1: the Jaguars are just kind of treading along. The defense

669
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:54,520
Speaker 1: is fine, it's not elite without Jalen Ramsey Minshew magic

670
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:56,480
Speaker 1: is fading a little bit. They do win against the

671
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:59,640
Speaker 1: Bengals in a game that the final score doesn't really

672
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:02,080
Speaker 1: reflect that it was a closer game through at it now.

673
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 1: I don't know about you without seeing tonight, and who

674
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 1: knows what's going to happen. I kind of like the

675
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:09,440
Speaker 1: Jets here at getting four and a half, and I

676
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 1: kind of like the over on forty one. I don't

677
00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:12,919
Speaker 1: know how you feel about that.

678
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:14,200
Speaker 2: I'm with you on both.

679
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:17,280
Speaker 3: I'm really hoping for a low scoring game tonight, something

680
00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,240
Speaker 3: in like the twenty seven to like three range, because

681
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 3: I hope this gets pushed down to forty and a

682
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,399
Speaker 3: half forty. This is one of those games that looks

683
00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:27,399
Speaker 3: ugly on paper. I think if you tell somebody all

684
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:30,960
Speaker 3: that Jets are playing the Jaguars like that total forty one,

685
00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:33,159
Speaker 3: that's gross. But like to me, I think that it

686
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 3: could be somewhat of a fun game because I think

687
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 3: with the Jets run defense being able to bottle up

688
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 3: Fournette right now, I think New York's number three and

689
00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 3: rushing yards per attempt in the league right now, which

690
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 3: is fantastic. I mean, we don't necessarily say that about

691
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,480
Speaker 3: the Jets defense, but they are good in that category

692
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:52,160
Speaker 3: and if they can limit Fournette, and I think I

693
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:54,840
Speaker 3: think Jacksonville's offense is a lot better when minshe's throwing

694
00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:57,160
Speaker 3: the ball because he actually has wide receivers and he's

695
00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 3: being used in ways that Bortles wasn't used.

696
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 2: And obviously we didn't.

697
00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 3: Get to see Nick Foles kind of in that offense,

698
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,200
Speaker 3: but I think it would have been great for him

699
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 3: to be able to use these receivers that Jacksonville has.

700
00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 3: And for the Jets obviously with Sam Darnold, I mean,

701
00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:14,600
Speaker 3: he to call it an upgrade over Luke Falk and

702
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:18,120
Speaker 3: Travis Simion just doesn't do a justice, you know, with

703
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:20,760
Speaker 3: the yards per attempt and actually throwing the ball down

704
00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:24,160
Speaker 3: the field like there is actually an offensive identity and

705
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 3: jackson I've just been playing again Jacksonville overs with Ramsey out,

706
00:29:27,720 --> 00:29:28,880
Speaker 3: they have just been getting burned.

707
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 2: They just look like they don't care.

708
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:32,520
Speaker 3: It was you know we saw last year, like midway

709
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:36,120
Speaker 3: through the season they kind of quit and a once

710
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:39,120
Speaker 3: elite defense actually looked like Swiss cheese. And it's kind

711
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:40,880
Speaker 3: of in the same way with Ramsey out. I mean,

712
00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 3: they're they're basically letting any anybody do whatever they want

713
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 3: to them. Sans Cincinnati last week, before that fourth quarter

714
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 3: eruption in points.

715
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:51,720
Speaker 2: But I'm with you here. Jets plus four and a half,

716
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 2: and I'm gonna see if if that total gets pushed down,

717
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:56,720
Speaker 2: I'm gonna probably grab some forty one.

718
00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:58,320
Speaker 3: And then if it gets down even to forty and

719
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:00,720
Speaker 3: a half forty, if there's a lot scoring game tonight,

720
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 3: then I'll probably add more to the over.

721
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 2: But I'm with you on this one, man.

722
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're on the same page here, and again, I

723
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:08,480
Speaker 1: could see this game playing out in a few different ways.

724
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 1: The one way it's really hard for me to see

725
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:13,239
Speaker 1: playing out is a Jaguars like dominant performance where they

726
00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 1: win by like, you know, twenty one or something like that.

727
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 1: The Jets really again, you know, you can't take anything

728
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 1: from what they look like without Sam Darnold in there.

729
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,040
Speaker 1: It was an embarrassment. Luke falk is not equipped to

730
00:30:23,080 --> 00:30:26,200
Speaker 1: be a professional NFL quarterback or anything like that. And

731
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:28,040
Speaker 1: I agree the Jaguars defense. I feel like they still

732
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,600
Speaker 1: have this reputation because of what they were the last

733
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 1: couple of years, and they're just not the same. So

734
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 1: I agree, we're both on the same page here. Let's

735
00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:37,160
Speaker 1: move on to Giants at Lions. The Lions here are

736
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 1: laying six and a half. That's down from seven, and

737
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:42,120
Speaker 1: the over under has ticked up from forty nine to

738
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 1: now fifty. Now, I'm gonna say this, the Lions are

739
00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 1: the best two three and one team of all time.

740
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:51,400
Speaker 1: They played the Vikings hard on Sunday, just coming up short.

741
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 1: They did lose carry On Johnson to a knee injury.

742
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 1: I do not know the sparity yet. We're recording on Monday.

743
00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,640
Speaker 1: We're not sure that could be meaningful. I'm not really

744
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 1: sure you know whether J. D. McKay sick and Ty

745
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,800
Speaker 1: Johnson I believe are are going to really be able

746
00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 1: to make that move there. Meanwhile, the Giants continue to

747
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:09,840
Speaker 1: struggle on defense. Daniel Jones has come crashing down to

748
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,640
Speaker 1: earth since his hot start. They did get Siquon Barkley

749
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:15,680
Speaker 1: back against the Cardinals, but you know, they're really not

750
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: looking nearly as strong as I were. So how do

751
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 1: you feel here? Lions six and a half over under

752
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:21,520
Speaker 1: a fifty.

753
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 3: Yeah. I took the Giants plus seven in this spot

754
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 3: mainly just because I made it six and I said,

755
00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 3: if you know, if I get a six, then I'll

756
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:32,520
Speaker 3: think about it. Anything better than that, I was going

757
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 3: to fire on and I was lucky to get a

758
00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 3: seven at minus one twenty. So yeah, this is just

759
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:41,640
Speaker 3: basically pulling the trigger on a good number and one

760
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 3: that I felt was good. And you know, I don't

761
00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 3: think we're going to see many sevens throughout the week.

762
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 3: I wouldn't be surprised if this one settled six six

763
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,400
Speaker 3: and a half. So I grabbed some seven, made it

764
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 3: five and a half and said that I would take

765
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,560
Speaker 3: anything better than that. So I just I just took

766
00:31:56,560 --> 00:31:59,480
Speaker 3: a good number and hoping that Daniel Jones can can

767
00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 3: do something.

768
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:03,080
Speaker 1: I was a little surprised by the total that it's fifty.

769
00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:04,800
Speaker 1: I mean, I guess that you know that the Lion's

770
00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:07,800
Speaker 1: offense looks good, but you know, you, especially you're on

771
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 1: the spread here, do you have any thoughts on the

772
00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 1: over unders since you've been all over the other until year.

773
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:14,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I made it forty eight and a half. Detroit

774
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 3: is a team. They're a weird team. They're a team.

775
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 3: I think in the past couple of years we've seen

776
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:21,160
Speaker 3: our fair share of fifties.

777
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:23,400
Speaker 2: And you know, Matt Stafford.

778
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,800
Speaker 3: Mister shootout, you know, and you know they're always playing

779
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:27,680
Speaker 3: from behind, they have to throw. But really that's not

780
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:30,280
Speaker 3: the identity this season. I think Matt Matt Patricia's gone

781
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:32,200
Speaker 3: with the more balanced approach finally because he's got a

782
00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 3: running back and some guys in the offensive line, and

783
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 3: the receiving corpses to me is pretty damn good. Adding

784
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 3: Hockinson to Galladay and Jones, is that actually gives them

785
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:44,000
Speaker 3: a pretty nice one to or nice one two three.

786
00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 3: But yeah, it's weird. It seems like the skill players

787
00:32:47,560 --> 00:32:49,640
Speaker 3: have gotten better, but the identity has changed and that

788
00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 3: they want to kind of play ball control.

789
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:53,440
Speaker 2: And I know last week.

790
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:56,960
Speaker 3: They got into a shootout with Minnesota obviously trailing and

791
00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:00,320
Speaker 3: having to trade punches with mister shootout Kirk Cuz since

792
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 3: so yeah, I think this total has kind of gotten

793
00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 3: a little out of hand at fifty. Again, I don't

794
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,080
Speaker 3: really like playing Unders all that much in the NFL,

795
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:13,760
Speaker 3: just because you know, with my luck there the seventeen

796
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 3: points going into the fourth and then thirty five in

797
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 3: the fourth, but I grabbed New York at seven and

798
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:20,120
Speaker 3: I felt really good about it.

799
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,520
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on here to the Bucks at

800
00:33:22,560 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 1: the Titans. The Titans here are now laying two and

801
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 1: a half. It wasn't three, so it's gone down a

802
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 1: little bit under the key number. The over unders held

803
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:31,480
Speaker 1: steady at forty six. The Bucks here are off of bye.

804
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:35,920
Speaker 1: They'll try to recover from that disaster against Carolina in London. Meanwhile,

805
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 1: the Titans switched to Ryan Tannehill really pays off with

806
00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:40,040
Speaker 1: the offense. It's not like they put up a ton

807
00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 1: of points, but it's certainly moved more. They got involved

808
00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:46,280
Speaker 1: both Corey Davis and AJ Brown, so it was nice

809
00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 1: to see sort of the Titans look much more competent

810
00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 1: on offense. So with the offense looking stronger and the

811
00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 1: defense being overall solid, how do you feel here Titans

812
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:56,960
Speaker 1: laying two and a half over under at forty six.

813
00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 3: So you said that the Chargers are one scene that

814
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:00,720
Speaker 3: you don't want anything to do with the season team

815
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 3: that I want nothing to do with on a weekly basis,

816
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:03,920
Speaker 3: mainly because I just.

817
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 2: Cannot get a read on this team.

818
00:34:05,840 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 3: For the life of me, I haven't won its Titans

819
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:12,000
Speaker 3: game since like twenty sixteen. You know, looking at this one,

820
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:15,839
Speaker 3: there's probably a ninety percent chance that I will not

821
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:17,759
Speaker 3: be on anything in this game. But if I had

822
00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:19,359
Speaker 3: to go one way in this game, I'm probably going

823
00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 3: under Tennessee being able to run the balls key for

824
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:26,920
Speaker 3: Ryan Tannehill, and the Buccaneers are like number one in

825
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:28,840
Speaker 3: the league in rush yards per attempt.

826
00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 2: Which is again, really really weird.

827
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 3: If you want to beat Tampa Bay, you got to

828
00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:35,280
Speaker 3: go through their secondary. And I have no problem playing

829
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay overs when they're playing offenses that spread out

830
00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 3: or run play action, but Tennessee just doesn't do that.

831
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:43,840
Speaker 3: And I really don't want to buy into Ryan Tannehill.

832
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:45,840
Speaker 3: I don't think that this is the right time to

833
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:48,320
Speaker 3: do that. But I actually I lean Tampa Bay and

834
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 3: I leaned the under.

835
00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:49,600
Speaker 2: In this spot.

836
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:53,000
Speaker 1: It's my job to talk about these games, so I

837
00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:56,719
Speaker 1: am contractually obligated to discuss this one. But yeah, three

838
00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:59,879
Speaker 1: teams Chargers, Bucks, Titans, and this is two of them

839
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,359
Speaker 1: that I have no read on whatsoever. I can't get

840
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:05,440
Speaker 1: it the only I don't have any sense of the

841
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:07,600
Speaker 1: spread whatsoever. But I do like the under because I

842
00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:09,840
Speaker 1: do think that this sets up, again for the reasons

843
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,160
Speaker 1: that you sort of said, as more of a defensive game,

844
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:15,120
Speaker 1: because like you said, the Bucks are strong against the run,

845
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 1: it's very solid. Their defense is overall underrated. I mean,

846
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:20,080
Speaker 1: they're weak in the secondary. But again, you know, even

847
00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:23,800
Speaker 1: though Tannehill got involved all of the receivers this week

848
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,440
Speaker 1: at least, I don't really expect them to be able

849
00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:29,840
Speaker 1: to move the ball through the air regularly like the Panthers,

850
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,759
Speaker 1: for example, were able to do last week. So for me,

851
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,319
Speaker 1: I agree, I lean under on forty six. I'm not

852
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,280
Speaker 1: touching going anywhere, and I don't know what the spread

853
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,319
Speaker 1: could be which would make me feel confident either way,

854
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 1: because I just never know which one of these teams

855
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:41,239
Speaker 1: is going.

856
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:43,799
Speaker 3: To show up. So this is high for a Titans game.

857
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 3: At forty six and a half, that's this is a

858
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:46,800
Speaker 3: lot of points.

859
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think it's probably reflecting the lack

860
00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:51,839
Speaker 1: of respect for the Bucks defense, given what you've seen

861
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,520
Speaker 1: and given the fact that Tannehill was able to finally

862
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:56,120
Speaker 1: get the balls to the wide receivers. But for me,

863
00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:58,399
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I definitely lean the under. Let's

864
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 1: move on to the Eagles at the Bills. Bills here

865
00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:02,919
Speaker 1: favored by one and a half and the over under

866
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 1: at forty two and a half. Bills don't look, you know,

867
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:08,400
Speaker 1: particularly impressive beating the Dolphins, even though they won by

868
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 1: ten points. They do get the win here they're always

869
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:13,160
Speaker 1: tough at home. The Eagles are in absolute shambles. They're

870
00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 1: beat up hard by the Cowboys on Sunday Night. Despite

871
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 1: all the sharp money pounding the Eagles coming into that game,

872
00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:21,120
Speaker 1: everybody loved them. They can't stop the pass at all.

873
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:23,439
Speaker 1: But that's not really the Bill's strength. So I get

874
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:25,719
Speaker 1: I think why the spread is as close to as

875
00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:28,000
Speaker 1: it is. But what do you think here in Buffalo,

876
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:29,960
Speaker 1: Bill's laying one and a half over under forty two

877
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:30,359
Speaker 1: and a half.

878
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I took the under at forty two and a half.

879
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:35,400
Speaker 3: And this kind of falls in line basically with what

880
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:37,600
Speaker 3: I talked about with Tampa Bay and with Houston.

881
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:40,719
Speaker 2: Philadelphia kind of fits the same.

882
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 3: Bill there where I want to play all Philly overs

883
00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:45,880
Speaker 3: against teams that can throw the ball, that line up

884
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,640
Speaker 3: in three four wide receiver sets and just kind of

885
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:49,480
Speaker 3: run play action.

886
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:52,880
Speaker 2: Philly gets burned by play action more.

887
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:55,319
Speaker 3: Than almost any other team in the league, and Josh

888
00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:57,719
Speaker 3: Allen right now, I believe is twentieth in the league

889
00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:01,319
Speaker 3: in play action attempts. So yeah, it just comes down

890
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:04,320
Speaker 3: to Buffalo's skill players not really having the ability to

891
00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:07,399
Speaker 3: stretch the field to beat Philadelphia. I think this game's

892
00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 3: kind of played in the trenches, and I think that

893
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:12,280
Speaker 3: this is a pretty bad matchup for Carson Wentz against

894
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:16,560
Speaker 3: a pretty good Buffalo secondary. Last week obviously wasn't a

895
00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:19,200
Speaker 3: really good sign for them giving up twenty one to

896
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:23,319
Speaker 3: the Ryan Fitzpatrick lad Dolphins. But still, I think both

897
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:25,239
Speaker 3: edges go to the defenses here. And I played the

898
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 3: under at forty.

899
00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:26,439
Speaker 2: Two and a half.

900
00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:28,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's fair. I think this is right

901
00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 1: about where i'd peg this both ways. I just don't

902
00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:33,120
Speaker 1: have a good sense of it. I agree the game

903
00:37:33,120 --> 00:37:35,799
Speaker 1: does not set up particularly well for a high scoring game,

904
00:37:35,880 --> 00:37:38,960
Speaker 1: one hundred percent correct, because again, like you said, really

905
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:41,719
Speaker 1: where you can attack the Eagles is through their secondary,

906
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:44,000
Speaker 1: which is always banged up and terrible generally, but they're

907
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:46,160
Speaker 1: pretty stout against the run. And you know you're not

908
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,919
Speaker 1: gonna rely on Josh Allen to torch a secondary. That's

909
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 1: just not what he does. He's too inaccurate to do it.

910
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:53,480
Speaker 1: He moves the ball well and again his ability to scramble,

911
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:56,279
Speaker 1: but they like they really prefer to rely on their

912
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:59,239
Speaker 1: ground game if they can. Meanwhile, the Eagles they're just

913
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 1: I mean, there's too many things missing right now from

914
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:05,960
Speaker 1: that offense. I mean even that pass yesterday to Aguilar,

915
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,840
Speaker 1: are you just watching that as that long bomb that

916
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:10,879
Speaker 1: they had where he could have got it and get into,

917
00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:12,960
Speaker 1: you know, the end zone, and he just kind of

918
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 1: doesn't get there. And that's just kind of been what

919
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:18,040
Speaker 1: the Eagles have been all year. So if I did

920
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:19,799
Speaker 1: lean one way, it would be the under, but I

921
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:21,799
Speaker 1: don't have a strong feeling on it, so it's more

922
00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:24,120
Speaker 1: of a game. I think that I'd probably take a

923
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 1: pass on Panthers at forty nine ers. The odds are

924
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:29,440
Speaker 1: moving a little bit here in favor of the Panthers.

925
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 1: It opened at minus six. It's now forty nine ers

926
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:33,920
Speaker 1: laying five, and the over under has come down to

927
00:38:33,960 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 1: point two. It was forty two and a half. It's

928
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: down to forty one and a half. We are going

929
00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:40,040
Speaker 1: to get Kyle Allen again here as the starter for

930
00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 1: the Panthers. Ron Rivera came out and named him, and

931
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:45,480
Speaker 1: he has game managed his way to victory. Sometimes it

932
00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:47,880
Speaker 1: looks kind of impressive, but mostly he's just, you know,

933
00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:52,440
Speaker 1: keeping things moving for the Panthers offense. The defense is

934
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,360
Speaker 1: playing much better of late, particularly the run defense, catching

935
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:58,720
Speaker 1: up to what has been pretty consistently a very strong

936
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:01,720
Speaker 1: pass defense of the forty nine ers. They continue to roll,

937
00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:05,360
Speaker 1: they deal with them onsoon, and they remain undefeated against Washington.

938
00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:08,720
Speaker 1: I kind of expected the Kyle us Check injury would

939
00:39:08,719 --> 00:39:11,480
Speaker 1: be a bigger deal. I can't really say that it's

940
00:39:11,480 --> 00:39:13,279
Speaker 1: made a huge difference. I mean, they didn't put up

941
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:14,839
Speaker 1: a lot of points against the Redskins, and they didn't

942
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 1: put up a lot of points against the Rams necessarily,

943
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:18,840
Speaker 1: but I still think that, you know, you see the

944
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:21,359
Speaker 1: creative play calling, and I'm not really willing to write

945
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:23,879
Speaker 1: it off, but they're strong, obviously undefeated on both sides

946
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:25,440
Speaker 1: of the ball. How do you feel here at forty nine

947
00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:28,439
Speaker 1: ers minus five again trending down and the over under

948
00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:29,399
Speaker 1: at forty one and a half.

949
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:32,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I missed the boat here at six. I should

950
00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:35,239
Speaker 3: have grabbed Carolina when it was up. Obviously, now it's

951
00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 3: down to five, you know, San Francisco obviously, Like you

952
00:39:40,160 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 3: could talk about the schedule and how they've won their games,

953
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:46,560
Speaker 3: like they're still six and zero, Like they've played, like

954
00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:49,920
Speaker 3: their defense is like very very good. I obviously the

955
00:39:50,000 --> 00:39:53,920
Speaker 3: biggest question mark here is Jimmy Garoppolo, who hasn't really played.

956
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:54,279
Speaker 2: All that well.

957
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:57,680
Speaker 3: I think this past game against Washington despite the weather,

958
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:02,520
Speaker 3: you know, they won, despite hosting like four point something

959
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 3: yards per play. I mean, it was just ugly. But

960
00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:07,480
Speaker 3: you know, this is a team that's that's kind of

961
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:10,120
Speaker 3: at the peak of their market price and a team

962
00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 3: that you're probably looking to sell at some point. And

963
00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:13,880
Speaker 3: I think if you got a six, this is a

964
00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 3: pretty good spot. Carolina off a bike. Again, we've talked

965
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:21,000
Speaker 3: about teams on the road coming off buys and how

966
00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:23,280
Speaker 3: how great they've been over the past couple of years,

967
00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 3: and Carolina, you know this this is an East Coast

968
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:27,879
Speaker 3: going to West Coast, but you know it's a four

969
00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:29,799
Speaker 3: h five kick, So I don't really think you need

970
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:30,959
Speaker 3: to do it just for anything there.

971
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:32,320
Speaker 2: And really, Kyle.

972
00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:35,759
Speaker 3: Allen's played exceptionally well in place of Cam Newton. He

973
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:38,640
Speaker 3: looks really comfortable. This is obviously gonna be as tough

974
00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 3: as test. But I really wish I would have grabbed

975
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:44,080
Speaker 3: a six. I really missed the boat on that. I

976
00:40:44,080 --> 00:40:45,920
Speaker 3: should have been a little bit more alert there.

977
00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:46,719
Speaker 2: But again, you.

978
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:50,560
Speaker 3: Know, spreads are not key for me in terms of

979
00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:52,480
Speaker 3: the total. I think, honestly I would lean over here

980
00:40:52,680 --> 00:40:55,239
Speaker 3: at forty and a half. It's just not a lot

981
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:57,279
Speaker 3: of points. And I know, I know San Francisco has

982
00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:59,800
Speaker 3: been an under team, Carolina has kind of been split.

983
00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:03,960
Speaker 3: They've had their kind of wide range of games this season.

984
00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:05,320
Speaker 3: But at forty and a half, man, that's not a

985
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:07,640
Speaker 3: lot of points for those two teams to get there. Obviously,

986
00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:10,120
Speaker 3: with the run defenses being as good as they are,

987
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:11,480
Speaker 3: I think you're going to see a lot of throwing

988
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:17,680
Speaker 3: between Kyle Allen and Jimmy Garoppolo. So I lean you know,

989
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:19,239
Speaker 3: I don't have any play here on the on the

990
00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:21,399
Speaker 3: side at six. If you got it at six, great,

991
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:23,440
Speaker 3: I don't really know what five does for you, but

992
00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 3: I would lean over here at forty and a half with.

993
00:41:25,520 --> 00:41:28,200
Speaker 1: The number going down, Yeah, the number actually is what

994
00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:30,279
Speaker 1: I am seeing, at least for the consensus is now

995
00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:31,920
Speaker 1: at forty one and a half. So I don't know

996
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:33,520
Speaker 1: whether or not that makes a difference to you there.

997
00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:35,879
Speaker 1: I mean, it's at one point. But regardless, I think

998
00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:37,600
Speaker 1: we're viewing this as the same way. I think both

999
00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:39,239
Speaker 1: teams are going to be able to put up some

1000
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:42,160
Speaker 1: points here. I don't expect it to be a crazy

1001
00:41:42,320 --> 00:41:44,840
Speaker 1: shootout or anything like that, but I do think that

1002
00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:48,040
Speaker 1: both offenses are you know, better kind of at least

1003
00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:50,879
Speaker 1: the forty nine ers better than they've showed in recent weeks. Again,

1004
00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 1: the Panthers have a great defense, and they're trending up

1005
00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:55,319
Speaker 1: and they're coming off a buy, so you know they

1006
00:41:55,360 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 1: have plenty of time to game plan for this. But

1007
00:41:58,000 --> 00:42:01,160
Speaker 1: in terms of the spread, at least I agree at six,

1008
00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 1: I like the Panthers. At five, I still think I

1009
00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:07,080
Speaker 1: leaned towards the Panthers, but I certainly not as strong

1010
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:09,359
Speaker 1: as I once felt. And for the total, still at

1011
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,640
Speaker 1: forty one and a half, I'm still leaning the over,

1012
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:15,160
Speaker 1: but not strongly. So before we finish up with our

1013
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 1: last few games, I want to mind everyone about our

1014
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:21,120
Speaker 1: October giveaway. It is a signed Odell Beckham Junior Cleveland

1015
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:23,399
Speaker 1: Brown's helmet. You can go to betting pros dot com

1016
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:26,520
Speaker 1: slash contest for more details, but to enter, just leave

1017
00:42:26,560 --> 00:42:29,240
Speaker 1: a review for the show on Apple Podcasts or Stitcher

1018
00:42:29,520 --> 00:42:32,120
Speaker 1: and send a screenshot of that review to contest at

1019
00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:35,400
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com, and entry into any contest gets you

1020
00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:39,240
Speaker 1: automatically entered into all future contests. So take your two seconds,

1021
00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:42,319
Speaker 1: support the show and maybe win a free helmet. All right,

1022
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:44,960
Speaker 1: let's move on to Raiders at Texans. The Texans here

1023
00:42:45,040 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 1: are laying six and a half. It was at seven,

1024
00:42:47,200 --> 00:42:48,879
Speaker 1: but it's down six and a half. The over under

1025
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:51,799
Speaker 1: is at fifty one. The Raiders defense completely gashed by

1026
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, but their offense actually played pretty well despite

1027
00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 1: all the injuries they've got going on, like Tyro Williams

1028
00:42:57,640 --> 00:43:00,520
Speaker 1: being out with planterfesci iis. They blew plenty of scores

1029
00:43:00,520 --> 00:43:02,480
Speaker 1: here in the red zone, like their car fumbling through

1030
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:04,200
Speaker 1: the end zone, so the game could have been a

1031
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:07,000
Speaker 1: lot tighter. Meanwhile, the Texans is a very tough game

1032
00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:09,440
Speaker 1: to the Colts. They also lose Will Fuller, who's got

1033
00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:11,400
Speaker 1: a hamstring string. He's definitely going to be out for

1034
00:43:11,400 --> 00:43:13,759
Speaker 1: at least this week to the extent that matters to you,

1035
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:16,480
Speaker 1: but they've generally played well overall. So we've got the

1036
00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:18,719
Speaker 1: Raiders at the Texans with the Texans lank six and

1037
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 1: a half and a pretty high over under a fifty one.

1038
00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:21,080
Speaker 1: How do you feel?

1039
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:25,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know what, this this is a weird game

1040
00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:28,600
Speaker 3: for me because i feel like I'm not adjusting enough

1041
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:31,919
Speaker 3: for the Texans offense as well as their defense because

1042
00:43:31,960 --> 00:43:34,000
Speaker 3: I made this forty nine and a half and I

1043
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:36,399
Speaker 3: was gonna get involved on the under at fifty one.

1044
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:40,120
Speaker 3: But I'm starting to have some second thoughts. Houston's secondary

1045
00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:44,080
Speaker 3: is obviously terror like terrible as an understatement, given that

1046
00:43:44,160 --> 00:43:47,719
Speaker 3: they are starting. I believe the Pro Football Focus ranked

1047
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:50,080
Speaker 3: their cornerbacks number one hundred and twenty one and one

1048
00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:52,239
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty two out of one hundred and twenty

1049
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:55,200
Speaker 3: two cornerbacks, so they are legitimately starting the two worst

1050
00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:58,719
Speaker 3: cornerbacks in the in the league. And then you know,

1051
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:02,320
Speaker 3: I've talked myself into, ok, well, you know Oakland's running

1052
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:05,640
Speaker 3: this West Coast horizontal offense, and you know they're not.

1053
00:44:05,719 --> 00:44:08,120
Speaker 3: They don't really necessarily have a guy who can stretch

1054
00:44:08,120 --> 00:44:10,880
Speaker 3: the field vertically unless you know it's Tyrol Williams. Obviously

1055
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:15,080
Speaker 3: he's been dealing with some injuries. I've gone back and

1056
00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:17,279
Speaker 3: forth on this game a hundred times. You know, you

1057
00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:19,239
Speaker 3: could talk about Houston's offense and how good it is

1058
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:23,239
Speaker 3: and how they should just pick apart Oakland's secondary, as

1059
00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:25,239
Speaker 3: Aaron Rodgers did last weekend, and then he talked about

1060
00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:27,440
Speaker 3: will Fuller and how key he is to the offense

1061
00:44:27,480 --> 00:44:29,840
Speaker 3: and stretching the field for Nuke, and I've kind of

1062
00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:32,200
Speaker 3: gone back and forth on this. I have no no

1063
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:35,320
Speaker 3: lean on the spread, but I would in this case,

1064
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:37,719
Speaker 3: per my numbers, I would lean to the under at

1065
00:44:37,719 --> 00:44:40,239
Speaker 3: fifty one. Although I think if you're gonna do that,

1066
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:41,840
Speaker 3: this is just a game that you just do not

1067
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:45,080
Speaker 3: watch because it could get it could get really ugly,

1068
00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 3: really quick, and it could get into a track meet

1069
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:49,040
Speaker 3: pretty pretty damn fast.

1070
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:50,920
Speaker 1: I'll be honest, I lean a little bit towards the over.

1071
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:52,840
Speaker 1: I know it's a high number here, but you know,

1072
00:44:52,960 --> 00:44:54,120
Speaker 1: I mean, it's you.

1073
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:54,239
Speaker 3: You.

1074
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 1: I can hear you. You're hesitant. I know what you're saying.

1075
00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:57,399
Speaker 1: You're saying my number.

1076
00:44:57,680 --> 00:45:01,680
Speaker 3: Yes, I'll probably it's funny because I'm probably gonna this

1077
00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:03,080
Speaker 3: is gonna be one of those games where I have

1078
00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 3: nothing involved in it, and by you know, eleven to

1079
00:45:05,960 --> 00:45:07,640
Speaker 3: fifty five, five minutes before kick, I'm be like, you

1080
00:45:07,680 --> 00:45:09,960
Speaker 3: know what, I might just playing a way, just go

1081
00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:11,879
Speaker 3: score points and it'll be side of three and.

1082
00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:14,080
Speaker 1: A half and not that I mean in the end,

1083
00:45:14,120 --> 00:45:15,960
Speaker 1: I think I think really what it does come down

1084
00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:18,960
Speaker 1: to is the fact that the Raiders, you know, even

1085
00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:21,480
Speaker 1: I mean, somehow without tyroll Williams. I mean, yesterday it

1086
00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:24,200
Speaker 1: was Darren Waller, of course, but Josh Jacobs looks legitimate.

1087
00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 1: He's also getting a little more involved in the passing game,

1088
00:45:26,440 --> 00:45:28,960
Speaker 1: which I really like. They can score. Their offensive scheme

1089
00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:30,759
Speaker 1: is working for them, so I do expect them to

1090
00:45:30,760 --> 00:45:33,160
Speaker 1: be able to put up points, especially given the concerns

1091
00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:35,480
Speaker 1: about the Texans secondary that you mentioned. And on the

1092
00:45:35,480 --> 00:45:37,839
Speaker 1: flip side, look, you can attack the Raiders any way

1093
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 1: you want. I mean, and the Texans can. They showed

1094
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:43,000
Speaker 1: last week, you know, before they faced the Cults, they

1095
00:45:43,320 --> 00:45:47,399
Speaker 1: leaned heavily on Carlos hide there. He had a ginormous game.

1096
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:50,320
Speaker 1: I believe it was against the Chiefs. Yeah, right, against

1097
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:52,319
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, sort of their revenge game. But they're able

1098
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:54,239
Speaker 1: to lean on Hide in Duke Johnson if they really

1099
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 1: want to. But Deshaun Watson can really do whatever he wants.

1100
00:45:57,120 --> 00:45:58,880
Speaker 1: I get will Fuller is a loss, But you know,

1101
00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:00,840
Speaker 1: Kenny still is being healthy. He kind of stepped right in.

1102
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 1: He kind of fills that role kicking QT is still there,

1103
00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:04,879
Speaker 1: so I think this is just going to be a

1104
00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:07,800
Speaker 1: massive shootout, and I really do I lean over watching

1105
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:10,640
Speaker 1: watching the Raiders in recent weeks has basically made me

1106
00:46:10,680 --> 00:46:12,640
Speaker 1: come around on their offense, especially what they were able

1107
00:46:12,680 --> 00:46:14,640
Speaker 1: to do Green Bay, which I admit is sort of

1108
00:46:14,680 --> 00:46:16,839
Speaker 1: not quite as strong as we thought originally with their

1109
00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:19,400
Speaker 1: pass defense, but it's still a pretty strong pass defense,

1110
00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:21,440
Speaker 1: and they easily could have put up like thirty five

1111
00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:22,160
Speaker 1: points on that deep.

1112
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Raiders are so weird because they're not really

1113
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:27,759
Speaker 3: this big play type of Loddens, but they just they

1114
00:46:27,760 --> 00:46:30,120
Speaker 3: can eat up six seven yards at a time. And

1115
00:46:30,200 --> 00:46:33,080
Speaker 3: if you're getting seven every time, you're chewing up five

1116
00:46:33,160 --> 00:46:35,000
Speaker 3: six minutes, like that's that's good enough, you know what

1117
00:46:35,080 --> 00:46:36,799
Speaker 3: I mean, Like as long as you're scoring seven and

1118
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:38,680
Speaker 3: not having to go, you know, and then you're not

1119
00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:39,640
Speaker 3: settling for field.

1120
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:40,080
Speaker 2: Goals in the red zone.

1121
00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:42,319
Speaker 3: Those that's the difference between going over and under and

1122
00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:43,760
Speaker 3: getting into a shootout with Aaron.

1123
00:46:43,640 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 2: Rodgers obviously played a factor in that.

1124
00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:47,399
Speaker 3: But yeah, this is either going to be a game

1125
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:49,480
Speaker 3: that ends up twenty to seventeen or it's gonna be

1126
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:51,359
Speaker 3: forty to thirty five and we're going to be like, well,

1127
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:52,920
Speaker 3: that was the stupidest total.

1128
00:46:52,640 --> 00:46:55,799
Speaker 1: Of all time. So yeah, no, I agree that that's

1129
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:58,799
Speaker 1: a really good point. And again, the Raiders, I do

1130
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:01,080
Speaker 1: feel a little bit more confident, and I have no

1131
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:03,480
Speaker 1: confidence in their defense. So that's a good recipe. Browns

1132
00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,640
Speaker 1: at pats here, Patriots laying ten the over under at

1133
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:08,480
Speaker 1: forty five and a half. Again, we have not yet

1134
00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:11,480
Speaker 1: seen the Patriots tonight against the Jets. Their defense is tremendous,

1135
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:13,960
Speaker 1: the offense is a little bit hit or miss with

1136
00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:17,040
Speaker 1: all the injuries, Josh Gordon not playing tonight. And meanwhile

1137
00:47:17,040 --> 00:47:19,720
Speaker 1: the Browns they just can't seem to get it together.

1138
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:21,879
Speaker 1: They lost a tough game to Seattle where they were

1139
00:47:21,960 --> 00:47:24,960
Speaker 1: way ahead. The sharp play was all over them in

1140
00:47:25,000 --> 00:47:27,319
Speaker 1: that game. So how do you feel here? Patriots at

1141
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:29,600
Speaker 1: home lank ten to the Browns over under at forty

1142
00:47:29,600 --> 00:47:30,239
Speaker 1: five and a half.

1143
00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:33,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, as much as I have faded the Browns this year,

1144
00:47:33,840 --> 00:47:35,240
Speaker 3: I think tens a lot of points.

1145
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:35,640
Speaker 2: Really.

1146
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,600
Speaker 3: You know, this was a primetime spot, and we obviously

1147
00:47:39,640 --> 00:47:41,680
Speaker 3: know how great Bill Belichick and Tom Brady have been

1148
00:47:41,719 --> 00:47:42,440
Speaker 3: in prime time.

1149
00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:45,879
Speaker 2: You know, to me, tens, just tens is too much.

1150
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:47,279
Speaker 2: And I think it comes down to what we kind

1151
00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:47,840
Speaker 2: of talked about in.

1152
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:50,080
Speaker 3: The Arizona New Orleans game, where you know, I think

1153
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:52,279
Speaker 3: this is a fourteen fifteen to sixteen point game.

1154
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:54,760
Speaker 2: The obviously the back door is gonna be be crucial here.

1155
00:47:56,440 --> 00:47:58,680
Speaker 3: I might get involved in the total. The over at

1156
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:00,879
Speaker 3: forty five and a half, I'm glad it's dropped again.

1157
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:03,000
Speaker 3: I'm hoping for another, you know, like we talked about

1158
00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:04,920
Speaker 3: low scoring games today, maybe pushed that total down a

1159
00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:07,520
Speaker 3: little bit more. But I have been impressed with Cleveland's

1160
00:48:07,560 --> 00:48:10,360
Speaker 3: defense at times when healthy. I think Greedy Williams and

1161
00:48:10,400 --> 00:48:13,960
Speaker 3: Denzel Award have played exceptionally well despite being in their

1162
00:48:14,000 --> 00:48:17,640
Speaker 3: second and first years. You know, with if Josh Gordon's out,

1163
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,239
Speaker 3: I think it becomes a lot easier. And I think, uh,

1164
00:48:20,320 --> 00:48:23,040
Speaker 3: I think there's enough talent on Cleveland's offense. If Freddy

1165
00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:26,480
Speaker 3: Kitchens unless unless he just continues to be a train

1166
00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:28,880
Speaker 3: wreck offensively calling plays, I still think ten in the

1167
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:31,279
Speaker 3: spots a little too much, even though i've I've I've

1168
00:48:31,280 --> 00:48:33,520
Speaker 3: faded Cleveland more times than I've played him this season.

1169
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:37,160
Speaker 1: So did you say you lean towards the over? I do? Yeah, yeah, no, no,

1170
00:48:37,239 --> 00:48:38,560
Speaker 1: I did too. I just want to make sure that's

1171
00:48:38,560 --> 00:48:40,160
Speaker 1: what you said, because then you start making some some

1172
00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:43,280
Speaker 1: decent points about the defense frankly, and I was like, yeah, no.

1173
00:48:43,160 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 3: Just to kind of and obviously it's funny because you

1174
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:48,440
Speaker 3: could you could make the case however you want, and

1175
00:48:48,560 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 3: there are always two sides to it. But you know,

1176
00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:53,160
Speaker 3: in this case, I do like the upside that Cleveland's

1177
00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:56,200
Speaker 3: pass secondary has against Tom Brady.

1178
00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:57,560
Speaker 2: If if you know Josh.

1179
00:48:57,280 --> 00:49:00,800
Speaker 3: Gordon's not available, obviously they're gonna scheme and they're score points.

1180
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:02,879
Speaker 3: But you know, in terms of being able to kind

1181
00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:04,839
Speaker 3: of stay in this game and keep it within range,

1182
00:49:04,840 --> 00:49:06,279
Speaker 3: I don't think it's going to be a blaw and

1183
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 3: it's gonna have to be because again, like we talked

1184
00:49:08,200 --> 00:49:10,399
Speaker 3: about it, this is a fourteen to fifteen point game.

1185
00:49:10,840 --> 00:49:13,240
Speaker 3: You know, the back door is wide open, and Tens

1186
00:49:13,320 --> 00:49:16,759
Speaker 3: just getting double digits, even though Cleveland's probably not the

1187
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:18,400
Speaker 3: team that we thought they were going to be on paper.

1188
00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:20,759
Speaker 3: Obviously we know they look good, but Tens ten to

1189
00:49:20,800 --> 00:49:22,440
Speaker 3: me in this spot, it's just is just too much

1190
00:49:22,520 --> 00:49:24,040
Speaker 3: get getting double digits.

1191
00:49:24,440 --> 00:49:26,560
Speaker 1: Yep, I completely agree. I leaned towards the Browns and

1192
00:49:26,600 --> 00:49:28,560
Speaker 1: I lean towards the over I don't feel great about,

1193
00:49:28,680 --> 00:49:30,680
Speaker 1: you know, going with the Browns just because they're another

1194
00:49:30,719 --> 00:49:32,360
Speaker 1: team who I feel like I don't really know what

1195
00:49:32,400 --> 00:49:34,759
Speaker 1: I'm gonna see right now, from you guys, but coming

1196
00:49:34,800 --> 00:49:37,640
Speaker 1: off the buy Pats off a short week, assuming nothing

1197
00:49:37,640 --> 00:49:41,080
Speaker 1: crazy happens tonight, of course, I agree ten just seems

1198
00:49:41,120 --> 00:49:43,919
Speaker 1: too high, and the over under yeah, I think both

1199
00:49:43,920 --> 00:49:45,480
Speaker 1: teams are going to be able to move the ball

1200
00:49:45,480 --> 00:49:47,640
Speaker 1: at bit and put up. Obviously the Patriots will, but

1201
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:48,800
Speaker 1: I do think that the Browns are going to be

1202
00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 1: able to move the ball even on the tough Pats

1203
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:53,360
Speaker 1: d Let's move on here to the Packers at the Chiefs.

1204
00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:56,320
Speaker 1: This one has obviously swung wildly since it originally opened,

1205
00:49:56,320 --> 00:49:59,279
Speaker 1: which was I believe the Chiefs laying four points when

1206
00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:01,120
Speaker 1: Mahomes was healthy. It is now all the way up

1207
00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:03,680
Speaker 1: to the Packers laying four points. The over und are

1208
00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:07,480
Speaker 1: still at forty eight. DeVonta Adams probably still going to

1209
00:50:07,520 --> 00:50:09,160
Speaker 1: be out here for the Packers, is my guest, but

1210
00:50:09,200 --> 00:50:12,160
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers was completely dominant against the Raiders. As we

1211
00:50:12,200 --> 00:50:15,000
Speaker 1: discussed before. How do you feel here, Packers playing four

1212
00:50:15,080 --> 00:50:16,080
Speaker 1: total at forty eight?

1213
00:50:16,200 --> 00:50:17,960
Speaker 3: Well, I wish Mahomes was playing because I would have

1214
00:50:17,960 --> 00:50:20,600
Speaker 3: played the over at anything sixty three or lower.

1215
00:50:20,680 --> 00:50:21,360
Speaker 2: I'm not kidding you.

1216
00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:24,440
Speaker 3: That would have been just the most fun game of

1217
00:50:24,480 --> 00:50:29,880
Speaker 3: all time. So this sounds funny because Green Bay's defense

1218
00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:33,000
Speaker 3: runs out of dime most of the time, and if

1219
00:50:33,040 --> 00:50:34,719
Speaker 3: you look over the past few weeks, they've just been

1220
00:50:34,760 --> 00:50:38,200
Speaker 3: giving rushing yards up like candy on Halloween. And unfortunately

1221
00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:41,560
Speaker 3: Kansas City doesn't necessarily have a rush offense. They've tried

1222
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:45,200
Speaker 3: to get Lashawn McCoy involved. Damian Williams is I don't

1223
00:50:45,239 --> 00:50:47,799
Speaker 3: even know if he's alive anymore. So this would have

1224
00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:50,239
Speaker 3: been a great matchup if you're playing a running team,

1225
00:50:50,280 --> 00:50:53,279
Speaker 3: but obviously, with Casey's tendency to pass the ball, with

1226
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:56,279
Speaker 3: Andy Reid's system, I don't think it boats necessarily well

1227
00:50:56,320 --> 00:50:59,560
Speaker 3: for them. Kansas City at home, I know home in

1228
00:50:59,680 --> 00:51:03,200
Speaker 3: road defensive splits are kind of noisy, but Kansas City's

1229
00:51:03,200 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 3: typically been better.

1230
00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:05,840
Speaker 2: Defensively at home than they have been on the road.

1231
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:08,399
Speaker 3: In all honesty, I kind of lean under here at

1232
00:51:08,400 --> 00:51:11,000
Speaker 3: forty eight, and I like the Chiefs plus four haven't

1233
00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:13,320
Speaker 3: gotten involved in this game just because it gets it

1234
00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:16,040
Speaker 3: always gets so tricky when you're talking about backup quarterbacks,

1235
00:51:16,040 --> 00:51:19,480
Speaker 3: and obviously, with Mahomes, who's arguably the best player in

1236
00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:21,719
Speaker 3: the league, it's kind of tough to pinpoint in an

1237
00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:25,840
Speaker 3: adjustment here. I know, last week, you know, more stepped

1238
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 3: in for a couple of quarters or whatever. We don't

1239
00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:30,520
Speaker 3: have a big enough sample size. But man, this is

1240
00:51:30,600 --> 00:51:32,600
Speaker 3: just this is too tricky for me. But honestly, I

1241
00:51:32,840 --> 00:51:35,160
Speaker 3: would lean the under the spot at forty eight. And

1242
00:51:35,640 --> 00:51:37,640
Speaker 3: to be honest, I don't know if I'll get involved

1243
00:51:37,680 --> 00:51:40,200
Speaker 3: yet because this is a game that could also get

1244
00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:44,839
Speaker 3: stupid if the skill players can do anything for Matt Moore,

1245
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:47,960
Speaker 3: because there's a huge advantage for them against green Bay secondary.

1246
00:51:48,440 --> 00:51:50,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't feel great about the total, but I

1247
00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:53,000
Speaker 1: agree with you that I lean Chiefs here getting four.

1248
00:51:53,080 --> 00:51:54,879
Speaker 1: And you know the thing about Matt Moore, I mean

1249
00:51:55,560 --> 00:51:58,600
Speaker 1: he's not in the same stratosphere of course as Patrick Mahomes,

1250
00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:01,880
Speaker 1: but he's one of the better backup quarterbacks in the league.

1251
00:52:02,040 --> 00:52:05,520
Speaker 1: This is essentially sort of coming off like a mini

1252
00:52:05,560 --> 00:52:07,880
Speaker 1: bi because they played on Thursday, so you know what

1253
00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:10,120
Speaker 1: Andy Reid does when he gets extra time to prepare.

1254
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:13,320
Speaker 1: That's a tough place to play. It doesn't matter, you know,

1255
00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:15,360
Speaker 1: I know they they haven't you know, they lost to

1256
00:52:15,680 --> 00:52:18,800
Speaker 1: Indianapolis and stuff, and so you know, you're thinking about

1257
00:52:18,840 --> 00:52:20,960
Speaker 1: what it's like to play at Arrowhead. But it's historically

1258
00:52:21,040 --> 00:52:23,280
Speaker 1: been a really really difficult place to play. The Packers

1259
00:52:23,320 --> 00:52:25,879
Speaker 1: are coming off this monstrous when they still don't have

1260
00:52:26,040 --> 00:52:29,120
Speaker 1: many offensive skill playmakers, right. I mean, they've got the

1261
00:52:29,160 --> 00:52:32,240
Speaker 1: running backs, but they don't you know, Marcus Valdez Scantling

1262
00:52:32,320 --> 00:52:35,319
Speaker 1: isn't really doing it Toronto, Mo Allison. Those guys are

1263
00:52:35,360 --> 00:52:36,800
Speaker 1: not going to scare you. And in the end, the

1264
00:52:36,880 --> 00:52:39,359
Speaker 1: Chiefs are getting a little healthier on defense. They looked good.

1265
00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:40,440
Speaker 1: You know, you don't want to you don't want to

1266
00:52:40,440 --> 00:52:43,000
Speaker 1: take too much from the Broncos, but they looked like

1267
00:52:43,000 --> 00:52:45,400
Speaker 1: they're getting a little bit better on defense, and they

1268
00:52:45,400 --> 00:52:47,279
Speaker 1: are getting a little healthier. So I agree with you

1269
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:50,120
Speaker 1: with that where I lean initially with the Chiefs on four,

1270
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:52,359
Speaker 1: and I bet you as this gets bet up because

1271
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:54,520
Speaker 1: it was at three, it's at four. The Packers are

1272
00:52:54,520 --> 00:52:57,040
Speaker 1: a really public team. I bet you you're gonna see

1273
00:52:57,040 --> 00:52:59,720
Speaker 1: some sharp money here hitting the Chiefs at some point.

1274
00:52:59,760 --> 00:53:02,680
Speaker 1: So I'm fine to jump on a at four. Let's

1275
00:53:02,680 --> 00:53:05,440
Speaker 1: move on to our final game, Dolphins at the Steelers.

1276
00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:07,880
Speaker 1: Steelers here are now laying fourteen and a half. It

1277
00:53:08,040 --> 00:53:10,759
Speaker 1: was sixteen and a half, So my guess is some

1278
00:53:10,800 --> 00:53:14,360
Speaker 1: money came in here on the Dolphins at that inflated spread,

1279
00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:16,960
Speaker 1: the over under state steady at forty three. The Dolphins

1280
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:20,040
Speaker 1: are what they are. The offense is kind of borderline

1281
00:53:20,160 --> 00:53:23,800
Speaker 1: competent when Ryan Fitzpatrick is under center, and meanwhile for

1282
00:53:23,800 --> 00:53:26,600
Speaker 1: the Steelers, Mason Rudolph should return. But the Steelers offense

1283
00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:29,680
Speaker 1: is successful basically on a pure gimmick. I mean, they're

1284
00:53:29,719 --> 00:53:32,359
Speaker 1: just doing all sorts of crazy things. The defense has

1285
00:53:32,400 --> 00:53:36,000
Speaker 1: been very, very strong, particularly since Mike Fitzpatrick came over.

1286
00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:38,000
Speaker 1: So how do you feel here? Steelers playing fourteen and

1287
00:53:38,040 --> 00:53:40,080
Speaker 1: a half over under at forty three.

1288
00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 4: So this game is so weird because early on in

1289
00:53:43,040 --> 00:53:46,319
Speaker 4: the season, when when Fitzpatrick was benched and Rosen came in,

1290
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:49,719
Speaker 4: I started jumping on the Miami Dolphins over bandwagon because

1291
00:53:49,719 --> 00:53:51,200
Speaker 4: I'm like, okay, well you got Josh Rosen.

1292
00:53:51,200 --> 00:53:54,080
Speaker 2: He's an upgrade, kind of really has you know, nothing

1293
00:53:54,120 --> 00:53:54,600
Speaker 2: to lose.

1294
00:53:54,680 --> 00:53:58,279
Speaker 3: It's and sure enough, like Ryan Fitzpatrick is the guy

1295
00:53:58,280 --> 00:54:01,960
Speaker 3: who has more air yards per a tent than Josh Brosen,

1296
00:54:02,280 --> 00:54:05,239
Speaker 3: and then on the opposite side, Devlin Hodges has more

1297
00:54:05,360 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 3: yards per attempt than Mason Rudolph. So it's just one

1298
00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:12,279
Speaker 3: of those games where everything's kind of ass backwards to me,

1299
00:54:13,640 --> 00:54:15,520
Speaker 3: I don't have a play on this game. I made

1300
00:54:15,520 --> 00:54:18,200
Speaker 3: it thirteen and I made it forty two. I don't

1301
00:54:18,239 --> 00:54:20,760
Speaker 3: know how much you can take away from from last

1302
00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:24,960
Speaker 3: week's game against the Bills, where the offense kind of

1303
00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:29,359
Speaker 3: kind of looked competent against Buffalo. You know, there were

1304
00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:32,279
Speaker 3: some times when Miami got bailed out by penalties, and

1305
00:54:32,719 --> 00:54:34,439
Speaker 3: you know, if it's Patrick kind of just made some

1306
00:54:34,600 --> 00:54:38,719
Speaker 3: other worldly throws in about time of Miami overhit. I

1307
00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:40,759
Speaker 3: think I was like zher and four betting overs this year.

1308
00:54:40,800 --> 00:54:42,960
Speaker 3: So I finally got one last weekend. But you know,

1309
00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:44,640
Speaker 3: I wish I could have could end the show in

1310
00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:46,960
Speaker 3: a bang with a play. But really, I doubt I'm

1311
00:54:46,960 --> 00:54:49,200
Speaker 3: going to be involved here on the spreader total. There

1312
00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:51,360
Speaker 3: are probably some player props I'll get involved in, but

1313
00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:54,720
Speaker 3: spread in total, I really this game just doesn't appeal

1314
00:54:54,800 --> 00:54:58,520
Speaker 3: to me from a viewing standpoint or a betting standpoint.

1315
00:54:58,520 --> 00:54:59,960
Speaker 2: To be perfectly honest with you, man.

1316
00:55:00,360 --> 00:55:02,400
Speaker 1: This is such a terrible way for us to go out,

1317
00:55:02,400 --> 00:55:05,440
Speaker 1: because I completely agree I have nothing on this game whatsoever.

1318
00:55:05,520 --> 00:55:07,640
Speaker 1: And I was like, man, I hope Alex has something

1319
00:55:07,680 --> 00:55:09,520
Speaker 1: coming in because I'm looking at this and I'm just like,

1320
00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:12,680
Speaker 1: uh no, not really. I mean, I don't even have

1321
00:55:12,719 --> 00:55:15,040
Speaker 1: a lean. I really don't. I just I just don't

1322
00:55:15,040 --> 00:55:18,160
Speaker 1: feel good about either of these numbers at this point.

1323
00:55:18,680 --> 00:55:21,279
Speaker 1: You know, I'm not even gonna offer anything. I'm not

1324
00:55:21,280 --> 00:55:23,200
Speaker 1: even gonna try to fill time because I don't have it.

1325
00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:26,040
Speaker 1: I've got nothing going on. So it's an unfortunate way

1326
00:55:26,040 --> 00:55:27,719
Speaker 1: for us to end the show. But overall, I mean,

1327
00:55:27,760 --> 00:55:30,080
Speaker 1: it was fun giving your Bengals bit. I feel like

1328
00:55:30,120 --> 00:55:31,839
Speaker 1: we really saved it, So I'm not I'm not all

1329
00:55:31,840 --> 00:55:32,960
Speaker 1: that concerned about it.

1330
00:55:32,640 --> 00:55:37,359
Speaker 3: I need a soundboard with just just tidbits from that part,

1331
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:39,839
Speaker 3: because that's fantastic. I can't believe that you don't view

1332
00:55:39,840 --> 00:55:42,319
Speaker 3: the Bengals like that. I can't believe that, Like I

1333
00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:44,960
Speaker 3: live in this this alternate universe where I'm like the

1334
00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:46,640
Speaker 3: only one who thinks that the Bengals are like a

1335
00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:47,719
Speaker 3: fun bad team. You know.

1336
00:55:48,080 --> 00:55:50,279
Speaker 1: So if you're listening out there and you are a

1337
00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:53,719
Speaker 1: therapist who specializes in obsession with Bengals, then please give

1338
00:55:53,760 --> 00:55:57,400
Speaker 1: Alex a call. He's gonna remind you right now where

1339
00:55:57,440 --> 00:55:59,839
Speaker 1: you can find more of him and his work ahead

1340
00:55:59,840 --> 00:56:00,760
Speaker 1: out Yeah.

1341
00:56:00,560 --> 00:56:03,360
Speaker 3: You can find me at the Score dot Com obviously

1342
00:56:03,960 --> 00:56:07,600
Speaker 3: download the app. We have everything we're covering now college.

1343
00:56:07,320 --> 00:56:08,240
Speaker 2: Football and NFL.

1344
00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:11,040
Speaker 3: We're also gonna be doing some some world serious stuff.

1345
00:56:11,080 --> 00:56:14,399
Speaker 2: We always have hockey stuff. I'm gonna be doing some.

1346
00:56:14,400 --> 00:56:17,719
Speaker 3: Horse racing stuff this weekend. So anything under the sun

1347
00:56:17,760 --> 00:56:19,880
Speaker 3: that's bettable, you could probably find it at the Score

1348
00:56:19,920 --> 00:56:22,040
Speaker 3: and then you can follow me on Twitter at ajkloj.

1349
00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:23,640
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna spell that out for you.

1350
00:56:23,640 --> 00:56:26,000
Speaker 3: Because you know, if if you can't get it right

1351
00:56:26,000 --> 00:56:27,160
Speaker 3: by now, then really.

1352
00:56:27,040 --> 00:56:30,239
Speaker 1: There's we don't have enough time on the show it

1353
00:56:30,520 --> 00:56:32,560
Speaker 1: But go back to the beginning of the show and

1354
00:56:32,600 --> 00:56:34,880
Speaker 1: you can listen. Alex is a great follow on Twitter.

1355
00:56:35,600 --> 00:56:38,800
Speaker 1: You can tell he's he's got a lot of fantastic insights,

1356
00:56:38,800 --> 00:56:40,640
Speaker 1: so make sure to give him a follow. Alex, thanks

1357
00:56:40,680 --> 00:56:42,160
Speaker 1: again for coming back on the show. I hope we

1358
00:56:42,160 --> 00:56:43,920
Speaker 1: can do it at least once more before the NFL

1359
00:56:43,960 --> 00:56:44,719
Speaker 1: season ends, hope.

1360
00:56:44,719 --> 00:56:46,600
Speaker 2: So Dan, thanks very much and go Bengals.

1361
00:56:47,280 --> 00:56:49,040
Speaker 1: You bet all right, Thanks again to the sponsor of

1362
00:56:49,080 --> 00:56:52,160
Speaker 1: today's show, bet MGM. Remember to download the bet MGM

1363
00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:54,960
Speaker 1: Sports app and use the promo code Harris to get

1364
00:56:54,960 --> 00:56:57,560
Speaker 1: your risk refirst wager of up to five hundred dollars,

1365
00:56:57,760 --> 00:57:00,239
Speaker 1: and don't forget to rate and review the podcast. Send

1366
00:57:00,239 --> 00:57:03,000
Speaker 1: the screenshot of that review to contest at bettingpros dot

1367
00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:05,560
Speaker 1: com for your chance to win a signed Odell Beckham

1368
00:57:05,600 --> 00:57:08,239
Speaker 1: Junior Brown's helmet. We'll be back later this week giving

1369
00:57:08,280 --> 00:57:10,680
Speaker 1: some of our best bets for week eight, I'll talk

1370
00:57:10,680 --> 00:57:10,920
Speaker 1: to you the