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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome in to another episode?

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Speaker 1: A Monday episode of the Daly Jue podcast would be

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Speaker 1: Matt paroltat Sports Talk Matt to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by bet MGM and

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Speaker 1: the offer for new users. It is a one thousand

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Speaker 1: dollars first bet offer available at betemgm dot com when

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Speaker 1: you use the promo code Juice for new users. Okay,

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Speaker 1: an end to a frustrating week and well, not a

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Speaker 1: good week. We are fully transparent here on the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: We talk about when we win, talk about when we lose.

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Speaker 1: So the record by my count went ten and sixteen,

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Speaker 1: down two point nine units on the week. I think

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Speaker 1: that's right. It might be a little bit off, but

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Speaker 1: that's by my calculations. One and two. Yesterday, the Celtics

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Speaker 1: scored fifty points. If Jason Tatum does literally anything in

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Speaker 1: the first half, we go over. They went over for

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Speaker 1: the game, so I had a bet on the over.

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Speaker 1: I was flat on that game. I bet over fifty

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Speaker 1: three and a half in over one oh six and

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Speaker 1: a half. Kind of a bummer. Over hits for the game,

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Speaker 1: not for the first half. That was frustrating. To have

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Speaker 1: that come in. We got the hockey bet right, which

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Speaker 1: was nice. We got the over again another over. Every

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Speaker 1: single game between Seattle and Dallas has gone over this

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Speaker 1: season over five and a half game, flew over tonight,

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Speaker 1: cracking all over seven goals, seven to two. Final, huge

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Speaker 1: win for them. So we got that, and I'm blanking

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Speaker 1: on the third bet at the moment. Oh, Denver, Denver,

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Speaker 1: yikes fifty three points from Yo kitchen, you lose. Yuck.

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Speaker 1: Horrible defensive effort for the Denver Nuggets. So we're back

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Speaker 1: with three bets here today. I have a baseball bet,

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Speaker 1: I have a hockey bet, and I have a basketball bet.

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Speaker 1: So three sports in three bets in three sports going here, fortunite.

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Speaker 1: I didn't do player pops yesterday. I got too busy.

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Speaker 1: I wanted to, but I got too busy. I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to do it today because I know I'm not

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Speaker 1: doing player pops props with one game. I need multiple

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Speaker 1: NBA games to do NBA player props. I don't like

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Speaker 1: it just with one game. So just three bets here

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Speaker 1: on a Monday. But before we talk about the place

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Speaker 1: for today, as we start a brand new week, let's

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Speaker 1: talk about Betting Pros and the application you guys can

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Speaker 1: go and download right now. It is free to download

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app. You can on the app. There,

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Speaker 1: you can use the prop bet cheat sheet that's got

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Speaker 1: daily rankings for the best prop bets based on the

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Speaker 1: updated projection models. For more advanced insights on any prop,

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Speaker 1: you can take advantage of the brand new prop bet

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Speaker 1: Analyzer that's a view of the player's historical performances from

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Speaker 1: every prop bet across different timeframe and opponents. You can

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Speaker 1: also see how comparable players have performed against the same

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Speaker 1: opponent for that prop that you like. You can get

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Speaker 1: matchup ratings for how well the player's opponent performs against

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Speaker 1: that very prop bet, and you can get an overview

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Speaker 1: of the over and the underrecommendations for every prop to

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Speaker 1: guide your betting decisions. To access these prop bet tools

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Speaker 1: in more, download the Betting prosapp by visiting Bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: slash apps or search Betting Pros in the app store.

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Speaker 1: I use it all the time. That is how I

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Speaker 1: find the NBA player props. I want to take a

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Speaker 1: look at it. How I search and find what I

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Speaker 1: like and what I don't like. Very cool to use

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Speaker 1: the betting pros app for the prop bet chi Chie

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Speaker 1: cool stuff there. Okay, if you want a first five

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Speaker 1: over today, I think Pittsburgh and Colorado probably gets it done.

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Speaker 1: But Kyle Freelan makes me a little bit concerned with this.

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Speaker 1: Mitch Keller has been decent at home, but the numbers

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Speaker 1: four and a half minus one ten, I think that

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Speaker 1: game goes over, but I'm not positive. So if you

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Speaker 1: want a first five over today in baseball, that's a

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Speaker 1: play I will make, but I'm not making it official.

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Speaker 1: I want to still kind of figure out the formula

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Speaker 1: that I'm trying to work out here. But there is

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Speaker 1: a first five under that I want to get into,

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Speaker 1: and it's Zach Grank at home. The trends are staying

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Speaker 1: put with Zach Greenke at home. He's outstanding. On the road.

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Speaker 1: He is a gas can. Unbelievable how many runs he

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Speaker 1: gives up on the road versus what he does at

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Speaker 1: Kaufman Stadium. It actually doesn't make really any sense. I

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Speaker 1: don't really understand it, to be honest. Why a pitcher

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Speaker 1: is that much better at home than he is on

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Speaker 1: the road. But we've got Granky at home here today

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Speaker 1: and Granky is a guy you have to take a

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Speaker 1: look at from an under perspective. He's taking on the

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Speaker 1: White Sox. It's Dylan Cees on the other side. Granky's

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Speaker 1: two to one with a four point five eight alright,

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Speaker 1: one in four with a five point two five e RA.

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Speaker 1: You might go, Matt, that's crazy. How in the world

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Speaker 1: do you bet Zach Greenke to go under a first five. Well,

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Speaker 1: his last start at home against Baltimore, he went five innings,

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Speaker 1: no earned runs. His last start before that, against Atlanta,

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Speaker 1: he went six innings, gave up four earned runs. Pitched

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Speaker 1: time before that against Toronto, went six innings, gave up

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Speaker 1: one earned run. Time before that against Minnesota, when's five

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Speaker 1: and a third innings, gave up two earned runs. It's

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Speaker 1: not bad. I mean, this guy on the road is horrific.

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Speaker 1: Last road start against the Twins seven earned runs. Start

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Speaker 1: against the Angels on the road, four earned runs against

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Speaker 1: Texas on the road, three earned runs. You put him

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Speaker 1: away from coffin Cidium, he's awful. You put him at home, though.

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Speaker 1: Granky is really really good at home and a guy

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Speaker 1: I think you just have to look at and go.

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Speaker 1: When Zach Greenky pitches at home two point eight to

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Speaker 1: two urn run average and a two point fifty opposed

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Speaker 1: batting average versus nine point two to two ERA on

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Speaker 1: the road and a three forty four batting average Granky's

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Speaker 1: at home here, Okay, it's a monster difference. Dylan Cees

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Speaker 1: for the White Sox on the road this year has

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Speaker 1: been pretty good. And his last start Dylan See's, when

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Speaker 1: five innings did give up four earned runs. That was

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Speaker 1: a little concerning, Okay, I was like, don't love it,

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Speaker 1: but that game was at home. Equally, the game against

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Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Rays, where he gave up six earned

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Speaker 1: runs in four innings was at home. His last road

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Speaker 1: start against Tampa Bay four innings, three earned runs against

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Speaker 1: the Twins five innings, three earned runs against Houston six

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Speaker 1: and a third one earned run. Dylan Sees on the

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Speaker 1: road has a two point nine to three ER. At home,

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Speaker 1: Dylan Ce's has a five point eighty five. These are

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Speaker 1: opposite guy in their better positions. They're both in their

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Speaker 1: proper spot pitching wise, I like this under four and

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Speaker 1: a half runs in the first five for Cease and Granky.

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Speaker 1: You got to dig down a little deeper into the

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Speaker 1: numbers here, but let's get a two to one game

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Speaker 1: after five here and get the starting pitchers to pitch

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Speaker 1: well on a Monday to start a new series. Here,

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Speaker 1: I'm going under minus one twelve four and a half

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Speaker 1: runs Royals and the White Sox first five under four

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Speaker 1: and a half for one point one to two units.

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Speaker 1: Second bet hockey, the Vegas Golden Knights are playing on

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Speaker 1: the road at the Edmonton Oilers, who not just had

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Speaker 1: the best over record on the road this year, one

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Speaker 1: of the best over records at home as well. So

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Speaker 1: the Vegas Golden Knights have played two games so far

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Speaker 1: this year in Edmonton for to three finals in both

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Speaker 1: of them four to three Golden Knights Edmonton. The Vegas

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Speaker 1: Golden Knights their team total over two and a half

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Speaker 1: goals is minus one fifty. I don't mind that bet

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Speaker 1: at all. Okay, three and a half for Edmonton makes

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Speaker 1: me a little queasy, Like I think they get four.

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Speaker 1: They probably get four. Maybe they get three though, and

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Speaker 1: you lose that on the hook makes me a little concern.

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Speaker 1: But two and a half, I think the gold Knights

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Speaker 1: score three goals here tonight. I think they had a

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Speaker 1: good shot of winning the game. To be quite honest.

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Speaker 1: Edmonton was twenty three to twelve and six at home

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Speaker 1: straight up this season. In the regular season, Golden Knights

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Speaker 1: were twenty six, seven and eight. Much like Seattle, the

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Speaker 1: gold Knights were probably a better team on the road

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Speaker 1: than they were at home this year. This is one one.

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Speaker 1: This is zig zag theory. I like a bet on

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Speaker 1: the Golden Knights. You get good plus money. I will

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Speaker 1: be on Vegas to win this game. But I'm the

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Speaker 1: darn penalty box. The only reason why I'm not making

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Speaker 1: this official is because I'm scared of what happened in

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Speaker 1: Game two. If the Golden Knights keep taking penalties, they

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Speaker 1: will lose this series going away. If Jack Eichel keeps

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Speaker 1: on taking penalties, they will lose this series going away.

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Speaker 1: Stay out of the penalty box, the gold Knights, stay

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Speaker 1: out of the penalty box. They got a really good

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Speaker 1: shot of winning this game here in Game three. If

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Speaker 1: they don't, they might get routed. The better bet, the

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Speaker 1: safer bet is over six and a half for this game.

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Speaker 1: Over one and a half goals in the first period

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Speaker 1: is minus one to eighty five. Ridiculous two gives you

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Speaker 1: a push potential that stinks. I hate betting. You know,

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Speaker 1: I hate betting that you get to two. It's okay,

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Speaker 1: ninety three three goals in the first period is tough.

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Speaker 1: Even though there were what four goals scored in the

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Speaker 1: first period of Game two. Still think it's a little

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Speaker 1: bit tough to get that from in particularly the gold

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Speaker 1: Knights on the road were a good defensive team as well,

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Speaker 1: So that's the reason why I'm kind of concerned about Edmonton.

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Speaker 1: I think Vegas wins, but I think the over six

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Speaker 1: and a half and minus one thirty five is is

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Speaker 1: a safe play. I think we get seven goals here

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Speaker 1: in this got six last time bet Last time burned us.

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Speaker 1: Let's go back and see if we can get another

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Speaker 1: one and make up for it. Over six and a

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Speaker 1: half goals oilers and the Vegas gold Knights tonight one

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Speaker 1: point three to five units down on that and then finally,

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Speaker 1: I don't need to break it down too much here.

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Speaker 1: The Miami Heat have covered six straight games and eight

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Speaker 1: of nine. They beat New York by nineteen points. In

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Speaker 1: their last game, they lost to New York, catching ten

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Speaker 1: points by six they covered they were catching four points

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Speaker 1: and they won the game outright. In Game one, they

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Speaker 1: won by seven. Just don't think New York's very good, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I don't think they have the horses. And I think

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Speaker 1: Eric Spolso is a really good coach, and Jimmy Butler

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Speaker 1: is Jimmy Butler. Best coach is on Miami side. Best

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Speaker 1: player is on Miami side. Again, point spreads don't matter.

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Speaker 1: If you think the Heat are going to win, you

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Speaker 1: bet and lay the points. You don't worry about it.

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Speaker 1: I laid four and a half, don't worry about if

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Speaker 1: it's five, five and a half, it probably doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: Nicks win the game though possible, okay, But much like yesterday,

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Speaker 1: although there's some debate as to what the Sixers went

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Speaker 1: off at. Some books closed with Philly minus one, so

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Speaker 1: it pushed. In Vegas, it closed as a pick, so

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Speaker 1: Philly covered. They were favored in a way Againstance. Say

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Speaker 1: they covered, but it was a pick them. Boston was

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Speaker 1: the favorite for the most part for a while, and

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Speaker 1: then money came in on Philadelphia late. Boston had a

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Speaker 1: wide open three to win the game. Marcus Martin missed it. Yuck,

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Speaker 1: But you know, Philly wins. And then obviously the Suns

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Speaker 1: were dogs and or I guess they're a favorite. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: I think they were favored, right, Well, Son's won the game,

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Speaker 1: they won outright, But I think that no, no, no, because

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Speaker 1: I had plus money on Denver, so the Sons were favored.

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Speaker 1: But the Sun's covered, So Suns covered on that even

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Speaker 1: if they're a series of two games apiece. So favorite wins,

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Speaker 1: favorite covers here, Favorite wins, Favorite covers mine me mins

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Speaker 1: four and a half, one point one units down. Take

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Speaker 1: a three to one lead. No one else took a

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Speaker 1: three to one lead. Let's see the Heat do it.

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Speaker 1: Because Celtics couldn't do it, the Nuggets couldn't do it.

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Speaker 1: Let's see if the Heat can do it. I think

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Speaker 1: that they can. The Lake game between the Warriors and

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Speaker 1: the Lakers and the Warriors, I lean Warriors, but I

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Speaker 1: Domina in game that I have no idea pregame what

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Speaker 1: to make of that game. That could be the end

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Speaker 1: of the era for the Warriors in a way, or

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Speaker 1: it could be a return to the king for the

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Speaker 1: Warriors as they smack around the Lakers after getting smacked

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Speaker 1: dround in Game three. They're so bad on the road.

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Speaker 1: I just can't bet the Warriors to do it. But

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Speaker 1: I also can't trust the Lakers, Lebron James inn ad

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Speaker 1: have we've seen the weird stats with Anthony Davis. Game one,

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Speaker 1: Game three, awesome, Game two, Game four he sucks. It's

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Speaker 1: Game four. Tough to bet either side of that game.

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Speaker 1: But Miami is four and a half. That's Davis oplay

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Speaker 1: here for basketball on the night. All right, three plays

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Speaker 1: on the nights. We're going under four and a half

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Speaker 1: runs for the Royals and their game against the White Sox.

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Speaker 1: Kind of funny, we're bet over with the White Sox

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Speaker 1: and the Reds. We're gonna come with the under now

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Speaker 1: four and a half because of Grankey and cease going

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Speaker 1: there under four and a half at Mius won twelve

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Speaker 1: Golden Knights, we are going with the over six and

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Speaker 1: a half at minus one thirty five there. I do

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Speaker 1: like the gold Knights to win that game though, on

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Speaker 1: the money line, and then we're taking the heat Mius

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Speaker 1: four and a half at minus four and a half

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Speaker 1: at misus one ten for that minus. Matt Parl. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning,

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Speaker 1: it is the Dili Duce Podcast being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by betam GM