1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:07,200 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,119 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 2: It's the rarest of product launches, when a company debuts 3 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:14,239 Speaker 2: something most of the general public couldn't have imagined, and 4 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 2: then all of a sudden, it seems like no one 5 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 2: can talk about anything else. 6 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 3: Techi's everywhere short circuiting with excitement. This is the closest 7 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 3: thing I've saying to like the star Trek computer. 8 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 2: Are we going to have this thing filling out like 9 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 2: dating profiles? 10 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 3: Now? 11 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 2: Am I going to fall in love with chat gpt? 12 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 2: Open Ai released chat GPT in twenty twenty two, and 13 00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 2: as enthusiasm for the chatbot surged, so did the company's ambitions, 14 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 2: along with interest from investors, which made another round of 15 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 2: headline grabbing news from open Ai. 16 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 1: So surprising the company that gave us chat GPT fired 17 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 1: it's CEO, Sam Altman, who has drawn comparisons to tech 18 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 1: giants like Steve Jobs, was dismissed by the open Ai 19 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 1: board Friday. We're reporting their efforts to get Sam Altman back. 20 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 2: Open Ai rein stinty Sam Altman is CEO and hitting 21 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 2: go on a bold shake out tapping Altman was fired 22 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 2: and rehired over the course of a long Weekend. Well, 23 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 2: it has been and continues to be a wild ride 24 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 2: for open Ai, a company that's not even ten. A 25 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 2: famous Altman quotation is the days are long, but the 26 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 2: decades are short. He recently amended that to the days 27 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 2: are long and the decades are also being very long. 28 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 2: At least that's what he told journalist Josh Tieringal recently. 29 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 2: Josh got an invite from open Ai to spend a 30 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:32,120 Speaker 2: few days with Altman, someone he's interviewed before, for a 31 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 2: piece that's the cover story of the latest issue of 32 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Business Week. 33 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 3: Two years after the launch of check GPT and a 34 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,480 Speaker 3: year after the board firing, you know, they had some 35 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 3: stuff that kind of wanted to straighten out for the record. 36 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: Josh went to San Francisco and conducted what is the 37 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 2: most wide ranging interview Altman has done as open AI's 38 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 2: chief executive. They talked about the past and looked ahead 39 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 2: to the future, acknowledging that there is only so much 40 00:01:56,520 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 2: faith you can put in predictions about what's next for 41 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 2: a company like open Ai. I'm David Gera, and this 42 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 2: is the big take from Bloomberg News Today. On the show, 43 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:12,000 Speaker 2: Josh Tieringel unpacks his interview with open AI's Sam Altman. 44 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 2: New details about the launch of chat gpt and that 45 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 2: weekend in twenty twenty three when Altman lost his job 46 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 2: and fought to get it back. Plus what Josh expects 47 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,800 Speaker 2: AI regulation will look like during Donald Trump's second term, 48 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 2: and what motivated Altman to donate one million dollars to 49 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:37,959 Speaker 2: Trump's inauguration committee. I'd love to start with some history 50 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 2: and a bit of biography here. What was Sam Waltman's 51 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:43,120 Speaker 2: life like before he founded this company. 52 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:47,280 Speaker 3: Before open ai took off. Sam Altman was a Silicon 53 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 3: Valley famous guy. He was known as a venture capitalist. 54 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 3: He was known as a sort of CEO and startup whisperer. 55 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 3: He had very rigorous standards as far as the kin 56 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 3: of people he would invest in. But he ran y Combinator, 57 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 3: which is a really famous fund that took an active 58 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 3: role in kind of curating leadership. He was also known 59 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 3: on the kind of circuit of you know, Ted talks 60 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:16,679 Speaker 3: and conferences like he was that kind of famous. As 61 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:20,360 Speaker 3: soon as chat gpt launched, I would say within weeks 62 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 3: he was world famous. And that's what happens when you 63 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 3: make something that one hundred million people use within six 64 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 3: eight weeks. 65 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:29,360 Speaker 2: Can you walk us through what the launch of chat 66 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 2: gpt was like for him, how he experienced that moment people. 67 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 3: Knew that there were chatbots. Chatbots were a thing, they 68 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 3: were generally pretty clunky, and so chat GPT three point 69 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 3: five shows up, and people inside open Ai were really 70 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 3: skeptical of why they were launching it. They thought it 71 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 3: wasn't ready. Basically, they thought it was going to fail. 72 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 3: And Sam, as he details in the interview, said that, 73 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 3: you know, he doesn't make a whole lot of I 74 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 3: say we're doing it, we're doing it kinds of decisions, 75 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 3: but in this instance, you know, he kind of put 76 00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 3: his finger in the wind. He read the zeitgeist. He 77 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 3: thought the product was more than good enough, and so 78 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 3: they launched it. And so for the first handful of 79 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 3: days it was doing okay, and there was a lot 80 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 3: of skepticism still within the company, well, well, look, this 81 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 3: is ridiculous. Why did we do it. It's not taking off. 82 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:22,520 Speaker 3: Because he'd been at y Combinator, he was familiar with 83 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:24,800 Speaker 3: the sort of pattern of a launch, and so what 84 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 3: he was seeing was in the first five six days 85 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:29,479 Speaker 3: that you know, there would be a peak of usage 86 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 3: during the day and it would go down at night, 87 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:33,040 Speaker 3: a peak of usage during the day and go down 88 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 3: at night. But what made it different and where he says, 89 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 3: I think that people didn't quite realize inside the company 90 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 3: what they had was that the trough was always higher 91 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 3: and the peak was always higher. And so after about 92 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 3: a week he was like, folks, we are failing to 93 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:48,279 Speaker 3: understand what we have on our hands. 94 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 2: Central to this story is how this company is structured. 95 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 2: It's organized at the beginning as a nonprofit. Why was 96 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 2: that the case? 97 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 3: You know, the structure of the company is almost as 98 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:04,359 Speaker 3: complicated explaining artificial general intelligence. It's weird, And I think 99 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:08,520 Speaker 3: it started from this very sincere place, which was we're 100 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:11,719 Speaker 3: going to make artificial intelligence that will benefit the world. 101 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 3: And so what we shouldn't do is have this incredible 102 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 3: profit motive looming over us at all times. Let's not 103 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 3: make short term quarterly decisions. Let's make decisions in decade 104 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 3: long increments. And that was the thing that all of 105 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:28,479 Speaker 3: the founders agreed to, and among those founders or co 106 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:31,919 Speaker 3: founders was Elon Musk Right. What they found out along 107 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 3: the way is not only that that was a sort 108 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:37,240 Speaker 3: of doomed structure for a lot of just human reasons, 109 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 3: but that the power of compute, which is the noun 110 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 3: that we sort of use to talk about what it 111 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:48,359 Speaker 3: costs to generate an artificial intelligence model. Just the cost 112 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 3: of GPUs, the cost of energy is so huge that 113 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 3: a nonprofit couldn't compete. And so at some point they 114 00:05:56,640 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 3: were confronted with the decision, which is remain this sort 115 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 3: of pure nonprofit in which you're kind of a sleepy 116 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 3: research arm but all the real computing work is happening 117 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:08,839 Speaker 3: within the big three or four companies in the world, 118 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:13,600 Speaker 3: or start to compete. And I think the founding origins 119 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:16,480 Speaker 3: of that were sincere and that they really believed initially 120 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 3: when we're just going to do this for humanity, and 121 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 3: then had to confront reality. 122 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 2: You mentioned the sleepiness of research. It clearly is the 123 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 2: thing that animates him. He has this obsessiveness with research, 124 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 2: obsessiveness with artificial general intelligence. What is AGI? 125 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:35,359 Speaker 3: David, Are you kidding me? You call me and you 126 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 3: go back and forth, you go back and well, I'll 127 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 3: tell you. I mean, well, yeah, one of the most 128 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 3: interesting things and confounding things if you're just a normal person. 129 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:48,159 Speaker 3: Tuning into this debate is that even the people pursuing 130 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:54,600 Speaker 3: artificial general intelligence cannot tell you what artificial general intelligence is. 131 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 3: And so even in the interview, at some point, you know, 132 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 3: Sam says, if it we were to create a model 133 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:05,479 Speaker 3: that could do the work of multiple humans, that you 134 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:07,840 Speaker 3: could assign it a task and it can complete it, 135 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 3: that would be AGI ish. So the guy, the most 136 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 3: famous guy pursuing AGI uses ish. Now that is confounding. 137 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 3: That said, a lot of great scientific discoveries and a 138 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 3: lot of you know, the things that propel us forward 139 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 3: in civilization are a little bit ish, but it's very 140 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 3: hard for me to tell you what AGI is if 141 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 3: Sam Altman can't do it. 142 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 2: Let me ask you one more question along these lines, 143 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:35,600 Speaker 2: which is you mentioned you've spoken with him a number 144 00:07:35,640 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 2: of times. How has your sense of him, your understanding 145 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 2: of him evolved through those interviews. 146 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 3: I think that the one thing that continues to resonate 147 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 3: is he is one hundred percent held on getting to 148 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 3: AGI before anybody else, and he is running the company 149 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 3: with that singular goal in mind. And so when they're 150 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 3: doing all these raises, when they're staying focused on the 151 00:07:59,200 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 3: latest model, tried to stay out in front of everybody 152 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 3: I think it's because he's animated by this sense of 153 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 3: purpose around the science and a belief as a business 154 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 3: person that getting there first is the only thing that matters. 155 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 2: There's this crucial moment in the Open Eye story that 156 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 2: plays out over a weekend. Sam Alton is fired. In 157 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 2: a few days later, he's rehired. We're now more than 158 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 2: a year away from that, and I wonder if anyone 159 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,920 Speaker 2: if he has a clear understanding of why things transpired 160 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 2: the way they did. 161 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 3: I think he has the clearest understanding of anyone who 162 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:34,439 Speaker 3: is not on that board. I tried to get at 163 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 3: it in a number of ways, right. I even offered 164 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 3: my own theory, which is that basically the board was 165 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:44,200 Speaker 3: a bunch of purists and they were formed at a 166 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 3: moment when a nonprofit pursuit of artificial intelligence seemed like 167 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 3: the right thing, and that they were struggling to adapt 168 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:55,599 Speaker 3: to the reality that basically being a nonprofit in this 169 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 3: space was going to doom the company to failure, and 170 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 3: that Sam was determined to let it fail. I think 171 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:05,240 Speaker 3: that is actually the crux of the tension. My hunch, 172 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:08,200 Speaker 3: honestly is that this was something that was doomed to 173 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 3: happen from the moment they decided to be founded as 174 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:14,720 Speaker 3: a nonprofit without getting all the parties together in front 175 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 3: of microphonts. I think we have enough information to know 176 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 3: that this was a conflict around the purpose of the work, 177 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 3: and the original board really felt like it was consistent 178 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 3: with the mission of open Ai to kill the company 179 00:09:28,559 --> 00:09:32,439 Speaker 3: if it couldn't make AI with a sort of rigorous, safe, 180 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:36,959 Speaker 3: nonprofit standard, and he was not going to let the 181 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 3: company die. 182 00:09:37,920 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 2: You asked Sam what the fallout has been from that moment, 183 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 2: from that hectic weekend, if he felt like afterward he 184 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 2: needed to convince his colleagues that he's good, I think 185 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:49,960 Speaker 2: is how you put it. How did his firing, his 186 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 2: rehiring effect his ability to sort of work with people 187 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 2: in open ai and more broadly in the kind of 188 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:55,680 Speaker 2: nascent AI industry. 189 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, look, I'm super fascinated by the human elements behind 190 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 3: all of this stuff. You know, he said that the 191 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:03,000 Speaker 3: first couple of days and probably the first couple of 192 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 3: weeks were super weird. People looked at him funny. People 193 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 3: didn't know exactly what this was all about. I think 194 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 3: within the industry itself, you know, it was the classic 195 00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 3: everybody at a competing company, you know, had a bowl 196 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 3: of popcorn and was like, let's see how this goes, right. 197 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,560 Speaker 3: But I also think that there was an understanding in 198 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 3: the industry writ large, in the companies that they partner 199 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 3: with and the companies that they compete with, that Sam 200 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:33,480 Speaker 3: is a force, and that they didn't question his credibility 201 00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:36,560 Speaker 3: or his credentials to run the company. They were probably 202 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:39,960 Speaker 3: hoping he would get fired and be forced to start 203 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 3: all over again somewhere else that they could catch up 204 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 3: and then as far as it, you know, to return 205 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 3: to what happens inside the company, I think it's one 206 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 3: of those things where if you're there day in and 207 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 3: day out and there is the kind of attrition and 208 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 3: turnover that you would normally expect in a startup, you know, 209 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 3: within a couple of months, it was a blip. So 210 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 3: I think that's how you reckoned with it. 211 00:11:02,679 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 2: After the break, we turned from open AI's past to 212 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 2: its future. When Sam Alton returned as the CEO of 213 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:20,080 Speaker 2: open Ai, he retook the helm of a rapidly evolving 214 00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 2: and closely watched company. He told journalist Josh Tirerngeal that 215 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:28,040 Speaker 2: after Altman was reinstated. His attitude was, as he put it, 216 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 2: we got a complicated job to do. I'm going to 217 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:33,600 Speaker 2: keep doing this, basically resolved to put his head down 218 00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:36,480 Speaker 2: and get back to work. I asked Josh how that 219 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:39,200 Speaker 2: played out and what altman's life is like day to day. 220 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 2: There's a moment where he shows you his calendar, and 221 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 2: I wonder if you could just describe sort of what 222 00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:44,080 Speaker 2: that's like. 223 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:47,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, so, Sam, when I asked about how he runs 224 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 3: the company, just sort of day to day where he's 225 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 3: spending his time, you know, he just flipped his laptop 226 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 3: around and pulled up his Google calendar and it's a mess. 227 00:11:56,559 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 3: I mean, it's just an absolute mess of colors, conflicts 228 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 3: starting from about seven am going to about nine fifteen, 229 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 3: with some dinners after even that, and lots of overlapping meetings, 230 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:12,959 Speaker 3: lots of small meetings, lots of one on ones with engineers. 231 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 3: I'm sure many of your listeners have calendars that look similar. 232 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 3: What I would say is that it was just day 233 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 3: after day after day prescheduled. There's not a lot of 234 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 3: walking around time. It's indicative of a company that is 235 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 3: in a full competitive sprint to get someplace. So yeah, 236 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 3: it was pretty daunting. 237 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 2: Let me ask you a bit about the future of 238 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:36,520 Speaker 2: the company and his plans for it. Opening Eye has 239 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 2: already changed the history the trajectory of the AI industry. 240 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 2: What did Sam tell you about his plans for the 241 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:44,600 Speaker 2: future of the company, sort of where he sees things going. 242 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:48,720 Speaker 3: He used the word protect, that the company is structured 243 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,679 Speaker 3: to protect research, and so I think those are the 244 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:54,880 Speaker 3: words I would look to as I monitor the company 245 00:12:54,920 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 3: over the next few years. He is hell bent on 246 00:12:57,200 --> 00:13:00,920 Speaker 3: protecting the research and getting to AGI. I think he 247 00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 3: believes everything else will take care of itself if they 248 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:07,439 Speaker 3: can do that. And in that way, you know, even 249 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 3: though the tech is wildly new and unconventional, the business 250 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 3: approach is fairly conventional, right. It's not that different to 251 00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:18,240 Speaker 3: a late nineties, you know, web startup, which is we 252 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:20,440 Speaker 3: got to get audience, right, We got to get as 253 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 3: big as possible, as quickly as possible, and then the 254 00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 3: finances will sort themselves out. It's Amazon's strategy, It's Facebook strategy. 255 00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 3: So that's how I would project with the next few 256 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:34,920 Speaker 3: years old protect the research, productize effectively. See where we 257 00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 3: are in eighteen months to two years. 258 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:39,079 Speaker 2: Josh, what are the biggest challenges that he and OpenAI 259 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 2: face sort of seeking that objective. Is it bandwidth? Is 260 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:43,200 Speaker 2: it getting compute? 261 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 3: The three challenges that the industry as a whole phases 262 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 3: are just getting the compute right, getting access to the 263 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:55,439 Speaker 3: GPUs that you need the energy to power those GPUs. 264 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 3: And then the biggest question and most unknowable is are 265 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 3: the models plateau Are you continuing to see artificial intelligence 266 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:09,600 Speaker 3: gain steam in training the models right? He's extremely confident 267 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 3: that their models are not plateauing. There's some debate within 268 00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:16,440 Speaker 3: the industry whether that's bluster or not. On energy, you know, 269 00:14:16,880 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 3: I'd like to be a fairly prepared, smooth interviewer. I 270 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 3: will admit I was rendered a momentarily mute when I 271 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:31,200 Speaker 3: asked him about energy. He's like, Fusion's gonna work. I'm sorry, 272 00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 3: what now? Which fusion? When? Huh? But you know, he 273 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 3: is a co founder of a company called Helion with 274 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 3: reied Hoffman and some others and believes in fusion is 275 00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 3: coming and fusion will be a sort of silver bullet 276 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:47,320 Speaker 3: for our energy issues. And then on chips, you know, look, 277 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:51,320 Speaker 3: they like everybody else, they are finding and buying as 278 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:53,400 Speaker 3: many chips as they possibly can they have their own 279 00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 3: fab effort going to make sure that they're never beholding 280 00:14:56,760 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 3: to one supplier. So those are the three things. He 281 00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:02,440 Speaker 3: feels very confident that their position to address all three. 282 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:04,800 Speaker 3: And then the fourth, which is unique to open AI, 283 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:07,560 Speaker 3: which I asked about, is like, right, let's talk about 284 00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:11,640 Speaker 3: governance because we now are in a place where the 285 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:14,400 Speaker 3: man who really is calling himself a kind of co 286 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 3: president has a competing AI company was once Sam Altman's 287 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 3: co founder and is currently suing the company. That is 288 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 3: a level of volatility. You know, I can't predict, he 289 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 3: can't predict, but Elon Musk's existence is a factor in 290 00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 3: how companies will do in developing AI. 291 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 2: You mentioned governance, Let me ask you about his relationship 292 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 2: with Washington and policymakers and politicians there. He donated a 293 00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 2: million dollars to Donald Trump's inauguration fund. He told you 294 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 2: he supports any president. How authentic did that sound to 295 00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 2: you when he said that that he, you know, would 296 00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:52,360 Speaker 2: support a Democrat or Republican, whoever's in. 297 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 3: The White House. You know, it's hard for me to 298 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 3: speculate about his authenticity. What I can say is that 299 00:15:57,720 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 3: taking a step back strategy whether I'm Sam Waltman or 300 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:06,160 Speaker 3: anyone else who is competing with Elon Musk, I think 301 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:10,080 Speaker 3: the smartest approach is to lavish praise on the President 302 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 3: and to try and create any sort of friction I 303 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:17,200 Speaker 3: possibly could between Elon Musk and the President. And so 304 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 3: by saying oh, I support of course, I support the 305 00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:23,280 Speaker 3: American President. I may not agree with everything, but he's 306 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 3: the president. I wish for his great success, and then 307 00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 3: saying oh, you know Elon, you know he's going to 308 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 3: do what he's going to do. He's the co president. 309 00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 3: I think anything that creates that friction is probably beneficial 310 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 3: to people competing with Elon. It will not surprise me 311 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 3: if that's a tactic taken by others as well. But 312 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:42,760 Speaker 3: I you know, as I said, I can't speak to 313 00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 3: the authenticity of it. I just think there's not the 314 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 3: worst strategy. 315 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 2: How does he see the role of Washington in regulating 316 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:52,800 Speaker 2: this new technology? Does he see a role for Washington here? 317 00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 2: And what does that role look like under this new administration? 318 00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 3: Yeah? Famously, Look, Sam is a he thought this should 319 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 3: be a nationalized technology similar to nuclear power. He thought 320 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:06,440 Speaker 3: it was that powerful, that dangerous, and that important to 321 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:10,040 Speaker 3: the national interest and he got no buyers, no bites, 322 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 3: no interest, and he needed the money, I mean, the 323 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 3: open AI needed the money in the investment. Under the 324 00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:19,600 Speaker 3: Biden administration, he was very close with Secretary of Commerce 325 00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 3: Jeania Romando. He was very close to the commission that 326 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:26,920 Speaker 3: worked on the executive order around AI. He wants regulation. 327 00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 3: I think some of that is ideological. I think some 328 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:34,200 Speaker 3: of it's competitive when you're out in front, Hey, let's 329 00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 3: tap the brakes on everybody else, right, But in the 330 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 3: last four years he has been an active participant and 331 00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:42,960 Speaker 3: collaborator with the federal government in figuring out what to 332 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 3: do with artificial intelligence. But he's no dummy. I think 333 00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:48,240 Speaker 3: he's going to take the temperature of the Trump administration 334 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:53,440 Speaker 3: see where it is, react accordingly. But yeah, historically he's 335 00:17:53,440 --> 00:18:00,480 Speaker 3: been very much in favor of regulation of these models. 336 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:07,240 Speaker 2: This is the Big Take from Bloomberg News. I'm David Gura. 337 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:09,919 Speaker 2: This episode was produced by Alex Tie and it was 338 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:13,080 Speaker 2: edited by our senior producer, Naomi Shavin. It was mixed 339 00:18:13,080 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 2: and sound designed by Alex Segura and fact checked by 340 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 2: Adriana Tapia. Our senior editor is Elizabeth Ponso. Our executive 341 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 2: producer is Nicole Beamster Boor Sage Bauman is Bloomberg's head 342 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,879 Speaker 2: of podcasts. If you liked this episode, make sure to 343 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:28,840 Speaker 2: subscribe and review The Big Take wherever you listen to podcasts. 344 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:31,760 Speaker 2: It helps people find the show. Thanks for listening, we'll 345 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:32,480 Speaker 2: be back tomorrow