1 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:14,319 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:17,320 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt Paralt at Sports Talk. 4 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 2: Matt my Twitter account to follow me. This podcast being 5 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 2: brought to you by our great friends at Omaha Steaks 6 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: dot com with the promo code Juice gets you thirty 7 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 2: dollars off a qualifying order at Omaha Steaks right now 8 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 2: for Father's Day. I know you might say, Matt, it's 9 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 2: only May thirty. First, it's coming up quickly. This is 10 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 2: how you get to support the podcast. Juice promo code 11 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 2: at Omaha Steaks dot com. More on them here just 12 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 2: one second, all right, one and two night last night? 13 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: Really for me? 14 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:49,559 Speaker 2: One in three because the A's. What is going on 15 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 2: with the Atlanta Braves. They've now lost back to back games. 16 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 2: The A's have twelve wins. This is not allowed. We're 17 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 2: not allowed to let the A's get hot. What's going 18 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 2: on here? 19 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 1: Yes? Am I betting the A's to against the A's tonight? 20 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 2: Of course, run line minus one thirty five one point 21 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 2: three five units unofficial, but now we're seven and five 22 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 2: up one point twenty five units. So we lose tonight 23 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 2: and we're in the in the red for this experiment 24 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 2: of betting against the A's every night on the run line. 25 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:27,559 Speaker 2: It was gonna go up and down. It's an experiment. 26 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 2: You know, if it gets really nasty, maybe I'll stop 27 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 2: right now. There's no reason to stop. Brays can't get swept, 28 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 2: can they? Huh? 29 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 1: WHOA? 30 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 2: Okay, so I think this is the third game. There 31 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 2: might be a four, it might be a four game series. 32 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 2: But regardless, lose three games in a row to the 33 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 2: Oakland A's. They had eleven wins. They had ten wins 34 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 2: going into the series. Yee okay, So what are we 35 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 2: doing today? I'm gonna give you two futures. I'm gonna 36 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 2: bet the World's the World two. I'm gonna bet the 37 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 2: Stanley Cup, and I'm going to bet the NBA Finals. 38 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 2: To explain the Stanley Cup bet here in just one second, 39 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 2: and I'm going to explain why I'm betting what I'm 40 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 2: betting for the NBA Finals here, as well as one. 41 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 1: Bet in baseball today. 42 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 2: Today's the kind of day where I would probably not 43 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,079 Speaker 2: be betting anything today, but I will have two baseball 44 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 2: plays and play actually for today, just because I got 45 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 2: a lot of stuff going on. And it's one of 46 00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 2: those days where I don't love the card. It's just baseball. 47 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 1: We've got a. 48 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:26,799 Speaker 2: Lot coming up here with the NBA Finals, and we've 49 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 2: got the Stanley Cup Finals and everything else coming at 50 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 2: us very soon. So we'll obviously have plays in Game 51 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 2: one on Thursday, and then we'll get into the NHL 52 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 2: Finals here with the game in Vegas. 53 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: So all that stuff still to come. 54 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 2: But before we do anything else, let me tell you 55 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 2: about my friends, our friends at olmost steakes dot com. 56 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:44,840 Speaker 1: Father's Day. 57 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 2: Okay, so when you go to Omas stakes dot com, 58 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 2: that promo code Juice get you thirty bucks off of 59 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 2: qualifying offer. 60 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 1: Minimum order may be required. 61 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 2: But when you go through the whole menu, everything they got, 62 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 2: they have so many things. 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All right, before we 81 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 2: give you the picks, though, this is a reminder about 82 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 2: sinking your bets with Betting Pros and the Betting Pros app. 83 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 2: Download the free Betting Pros app for iOS or Android. 84 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 2: Sink your sports books in less than a minute to 85 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 2: automatically track your bets across all sports books in one spot. 86 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 2: After sinking, you'll enjoy access to detailed bet analytics by 87 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 2: sport and by bet type, including game picks, props, and parlays. 88 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 2: You'll also get insights and personalized recommendations for props, game picks, 89 00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:15,680 Speaker 2: and more tailored to your interest plays. To enjoy the 90 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 2: benefits of sports book Sync, download the Betting Pros app 91 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 2: by visiting Bettingpros dot Com, slash apps, or by searching 92 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 2: Betting Pros in the app store. All right, let's start 93 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 2: with the NBA Finals and then we'll get to the 94 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 2: Stanley Cup because the NBA Finals starts earlier, so you 95 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:35,839 Speaker 2: need to get this bet in early. Okay, DraftKings has 96 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 2: this at the best price. Vegas is pretty expensive. Some 97 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 2: books in Vegas are already at minus one ninety. You 98 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 2: get a thirty cent break at DraftKings to bet this 99 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:45,359 Speaker 2: at DraftKings. 100 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: I do work. 101 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 2: Got it down on DraftKings. The gold the gold Nuggets, 102 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:52,440 Speaker 2: the Denver Nuggets. 103 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: It is golden. 104 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 2: I guess the Denver Nuggets minus one and a half 105 00:04:57,440 --> 00:05:00,120 Speaker 2: games to win the NBA Championship is minus one one 106 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:04,720 Speaker 2: sixty one point six units down on this play. Why Okay, 107 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 2: here's why. This bet says Denver wins it all Denver. 108 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:11,600 Speaker 2: It's come down a little bit. It was minus four 109 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 2: to eighty at some places. Now it's down to four dollars. 110 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 2: DraftKings at least is seeing quite a bit of Miami money, 111 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 2: so they're down to four dollars. That's still a monster favorite. Okay, 112 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 2: I was doing this this is what came up on 113 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 2: my on my other show. Some stats that are worth 114 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:29,039 Speaker 2: paying attention to here that are actually kind of crazy, 115 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 2: all right. Here, the Pistons were plus five hundred in 116 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:37,880 Speaker 2: two thousand and four and they beat the Lakers. The 117 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:41,599 Speaker 2: next highest odds to win a championship where the Raptors 118 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 2: at plus two point thirty in twenty eighteen twenty nineteen. 119 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 2: The Bucks were plus six plus one sixty in twenty 120 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 2: twenty one. Only thirteen underdogs have won the NBA title 121 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:58,599 Speaker 2: since nineteen seventy two. However, dogs have won five of 122 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 2: the last twelve, so seven in five for the favorites 123 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 2: over the last twelve NBA championships, so in recent times 124 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 2: the dogs have fared better, but they've never been anywhere 125 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,360 Speaker 2: near the Pistons at five to one returned to beat 126 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 2: the Lakers in two thousand and four plus two thirty 127 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 2: in twenty eighteen nineteen for the Raptors the Cavaliers in 128 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 2: twenty fifteen and sixteen, or plus one sixty. So were 129 00:06:21,640 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 2: the Bucks at plus one sixty at twenty in the 130 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 2: year twenty twenty. 131 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 1: In twenty twenty one. 132 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 2: Okay, a year after the bubble, you shop around, you 133 00:06:30,440 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 2: start looking at some of the prices here for the 134 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 2: Miami Heat. And yes, you could say, Matt history doesn't 135 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 2: matter to the Heats. Eric Spolsh is an incredible coach. 136 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 2: Jimmy Butler's on a mission. He might be okay in Miami, 137 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,839 Speaker 2: might even win Game one because Denver might be really 138 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 2: you know, Rusty, it's possible. I don't think so, but 139 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:52,839 Speaker 2: it's possible. But we're talking about a team that's plus 140 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 2: three ten. I just gave you those stats. This would 141 00:06:56,080 --> 00:07:00,760 Speaker 2: be the second biggest upset in NBA history, at least 142 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:05,040 Speaker 2: in recent history, in terms of catching three dollars over 143 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 2: three dollars some books three point fifty for the Miami Heat. 144 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 2: Denver has rest, they have coaching, they have preparation, and 145 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 2: they have Jokic. Explain to me, who is stopping the 146 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 2: Kola Jokicic for the Miami Heat. This was the problem 147 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 2: I said for Boston too. Boston was gonna have no 148 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 2: answer for Jokic either. And you might go, ah, Matt, 149 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:30,119 Speaker 2: let them have, you know, let Yokis get his stop. 150 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:34,440 Speaker 2: Everybody else, It's not that easy. Denver's really deep. They 151 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 2: got a bench with Brown who can come off and 152 00:07:36,360 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 2: score Michael Porter Junior is playing really well. You got 153 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 2: Jamal Murray who can go off for forty in any 154 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 2: given game. 155 00:07:44,600 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 1: He can go off. It's what Boston didn't have. 156 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 2: If Boston had a real robin, then that Game seven 157 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 2: could have gone differently, but they didn't. Derek White's a 158 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 2: great player, but he's nowhere near what he needs to be, 159 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 2: not Jamal Murray. Jamal Murray could be, you know, a 160 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:00,920 Speaker 2: top ten scorer in the league when he's really hot, 161 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 2: and he's been really hot. I don't think this series 162 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 2: is gonna be very close. This bet basically says that 163 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 2: Denver won't go to a game seven, they'll win the title, 164 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 2: and they'll do it within six games. Minus one and 165 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 2: a half games, it's one sixty one point six units 166 00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 2: down the Denver Nuggets to win the championship, to get 167 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 2: their first ever title in their first ever run to 168 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:29,320 Speaker 2: beat the Miami Heat, Denver minus one and a half games. 169 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:34,079 Speaker 2: At minus one sixty, it's minus four hundred if you 170 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 2: want to bet them to go to seven games, but 171 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:38,160 Speaker 2: we get the four that's a sweep. 172 00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 1: That counts. 173 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 2: Five that's good or six that's good here with this bet, 174 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:47,400 Speaker 2: Denver in four Denver and five, Denver and six. The 175 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 2: only thing it doesn't cover is is Denver in seven. Okay, 176 00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:53,719 Speaker 2: Denver and seven, we lose one point six units. 177 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 1: Okay. 178 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 2: Official bet Denver to win the NBA title inside of 179 00:08:58,440 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 2: six games. 180 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:01,439 Speaker 1: No seventh game for that. Now. 181 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:05,959 Speaker 2: The other bet for the NHL is a little more sticky, okay. 182 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 2: So I have a Panthers over Golden Knights exacta that 183 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:15,560 Speaker 2: I bought after the first round of the playoffs. It's 184 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 2: forty eight and a half to one, all right. So 185 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 2: while I'm betting the Vegas gold Knights to win the 186 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 2: Stanley Cup. 187 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 1: It doesn't matter to me who wins, all right. 188 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 2: I have a monster return if we see a win 189 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 2: for the Florida Panthers. It was not official, although I 190 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 2: did post it on the Discord channel. So some of 191 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 2: you may have this ticket, and if you do, you 192 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 2: can talk to me. We can explain. I can talk 193 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 2: to you what I'm doing to kind of play off 194 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 2: of it. But I'm going to guarantee that I make money. 195 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:47,200 Speaker 1: Okay. 196 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:50,319 Speaker 2: So while officially I'm taking the Vegas Golden Knights and 197 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 2: minus one twenty two to win the Stanley Cup, I'll 198 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 2: be betting way more than that, way, way way more 199 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 2: than one unit coming in multiple multiple units on the 200 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 2: Golden Knights too. I'm gonna cover every bet I made, 201 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 2: all the dollars. I'm gonna cover it. All that I 202 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:10,320 Speaker 2: bet for the exact is and I want to guarantee 203 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:14,679 Speaker 2: myself making money, all right, So at plus forty at 204 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:17,440 Speaker 2: forty eight to one, forty eight and a half to one, 205 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 2: plus forty eight to fifty is what the ticket is. 206 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 1: I'm in a really good spot, Okay. 207 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 2: So do I think Vegas wins, Yes, I do, But 208 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:30,200 Speaker 2: it's gonna be tough. It might be a seven game series. 209 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 2: It's gonna be really hard. The Panthers are a very 210 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:36,199 Speaker 2: good hockey team and they are playing extremely well right now. 211 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:40,960 Speaker 2: Vegas is kind of like the Boston Celtics. Some nights 212 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:43,800 Speaker 2: they look incredible, like they want six nothing against Dallas. 213 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:48,800 Speaker 1: Other nights they look awful and they get torched. I 214 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: like that. 215 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:52,080 Speaker 2: Vegas has home ice, but Vegas is really good on 216 00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:56,200 Speaker 2: the road. Vegas in game one, it's gonna be a 217 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 2: really interesting matchup. Vegas won't be pushed around their blue 218 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:02,800 Speaker 2: line and very well could be the difference. Petranngelone company, 219 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:05,680 Speaker 2: they have a big, physical defensive corps that will give 220 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:07,880 Speaker 2: this Panther team fits. 221 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:09,079 Speaker 1: They won't get. 222 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 2: Pushed around the way that Toronto was or the way 223 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 2: that the Bruins got late. I don't think the Panthers 224 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 2: will be able to dictate five on five the way 225 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 2: they did against Boston. I don't think they'll get the 226 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 2: same scoring opportunities that they did against Carolina. I think 227 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:27,199 Speaker 2: Vegas has the goaltending right now with Aiden Hill playing 228 00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 2: extremely well, even with a fifth goaltender of. 229 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 1: The year, he's playing great. 230 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:34,599 Speaker 2: And I'm not positive that Bobroski is not going to 231 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 2: be ice after sitting for nine days. That's a long 232 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 2: time to sit for a guy at at his age, 233 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 2: with how well he was playing, I'm not positive that 234 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 2: Barbrovski is going to be the same Bob playoff Bob 235 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 2: that we've seen. I think he could be. I mean, look, 236 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 2: he'll just beat Ottener for Dallas, which was incredible. Didn't 237 00:11:56,600 --> 00:11:59,839 Speaker 2: think that was going to happen. Vegas to win their 238 00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 2: first ever Stanley Cup. The original three guys, Marciso and 239 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 2: William Carlson, these guys, Carrie A, these guys have been 240 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 2: here the whole all six years these guys get the 241 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 2: job done. They missed it in game one or sorry, 242 00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 2: year one, They're gonna get it in year six to 243 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 2: win Lord Stanley's Cup. The Las Vegas market is gonna 244 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 2: have a Big four champion. Now one point two units 245 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 2: down on this again, I'm betting totally differently on this. 246 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:31,720 Speaker 2: I will have multiple units on Vegas because I've got 247 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 2: a big return coming back on Florida. 248 00:12:33,400 --> 00:12:34,319 Speaker 1: I don't care who wins. 249 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:36,320 Speaker 2: So if you don't want to bet this, that's fine, 250 00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 2: but I do think Vegas is gonna win. Okay, So 251 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 2: with that state stated, you can parlay the two bets 252 00:12:44,640 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 2: I just talked about and or just take Denver on 253 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 2: the money line. A Denver Championship ticket parlayed with a 254 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:56,160 Speaker 2: Vegas Championship ticket is a plus one twenty five return 255 00:12:56,240 --> 00:13:01,400 Speaker 2: at DraftKings. It's a pretty good bet plus one twenty five. 256 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 2: If you don't want to put out the multiple units, 257 00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:06,800 Speaker 2: if you don't want to lay one point six units 258 00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:09,280 Speaker 2: on Denver, you just want you don't want to lay 259 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 2: the one point two units on the Golden Knights, and 260 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 2: you just want to go ahead and take Vegas and 261 00:13:15,320 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 2: Denver to win. Parlay it together, you get plus money 262 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:19,920 Speaker 2: at plus one twenty five. 263 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:24,000 Speaker 1: I feel very good about Denver. I do not know. 264 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:27,559 Speaker 2: I do not love the Golden Knights play. Okay, Vegas 265 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,600 Speaker 2: is going to have their hands full, and that's the 266 00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:34,439 Speaker 2: leg that could cost us. I don't think Miami's beating Denver. Okay, 267 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 2: I would be very, very surprised. Miami has been doubted 268 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 2: the entire time, but to go from the play into 269 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 2: the title would be one of the more improbable runs 270 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 2: in the history of sports, let alone the NBA. Denver 271 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:50,439 Speaker 2: is sitting there and waiting. It feels like the fun. 272 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:53,439 Speaker 2: It feels like the NAA tournament, like with Butler or 273 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 2: George Mason or you know. You just go up against 274 00:13:56,640 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 2: a really talented, tough team that's ready to go, and 275 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 2: that they're not going to be caught by surprise. They 276 00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 2: see you coming, they respect you, they can break you down. 277 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:08,679 Speaker 2: They know what to expect. I don't think Caleb Martin's 278 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:11,680 Speaker 2: gonna beat the Denver Nuggets, okay. I don't think that 279 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,600 Speaker 2: you're gonna see Vincent and company shoot the same way. 280 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:17,199 Speaker 2: I think defensively, Denver will be out there on the 281 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 2: shooters and then getting to the rim with Yokis. There 282 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:21,320 Speaker 2: is going to be a real problem. And on the 283 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 2: offensive end, I don't think they can stop Yokich. I mean, 284 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:27,280 Speaker 2: there's a prop right now out there for him to 285 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 2: average a triple double, and you're laying juice on it 286 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 2: for him to average a triple double every game in 287 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 2: this series. 288 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 1: Too tough. 289 00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 2: I'll make the beneficial sorry, unofficial. I'll make it myself, 290 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 2: but I'm telling you that to play. I like plus 291 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 2: one twenty five, okay, but officially so Golden Knights to 292 00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 2: win the Stanley Cup at minus one twenty two, one 293 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:50,920 Speaker 2: point twenty two units down on that, and the Denver 294 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:54,080 Speaker 2: Nuggets laying one and a half games, So Denver by 295 00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 2: four or five or six at minus one sixty for 296 00:14:57,480 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 2: one point six units down on that. 297 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:01,560 Speaker 1: Now, just so we have. 298 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:03,600 Speaker 2: Something in play again, you can bet the A's and 299 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 2: the Braves. If you want Braves on the run line 300 00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:08,320 Speaker 2: is mine one thirty five. I am betting that, but 301 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:10,800 Speaker 2: that's it's non official play. If you want some extra action, 302 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:13,000 Speaker 2: you can bet that and say what's going on with 303 00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 2: the Braves? But officially, the Boston Red Sox are now 304 00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 2: the number one team at home in baseball to the over. 305 00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 2: They are nineteen seven and one to the over at 306 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 2: home Cincinnati. When they are on the road, they are 307 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 2: now the one, two, three, four, five six, seventh best 308 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:36,040 Speaker 2: team on the road to the over nine to seven 309 00:15:36,120 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 2: walk off Grand Slam yesterday, right think I believe it 310 00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:41,840 Speaker 2: was by the Reds against the Red Sox nine to 311 00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:45,480 Speaker 2: eight finals. Seventeen runs were scored in that game. Yeah, 312 00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 2: Grand Slam. So there you go. Five runs to the 313 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 2: ninth Grand Slam in the ninth inning. Just a horrific 314 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 2: way for the Red Sox. If you were on the 315 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 2: Red Sox money line last night, Oh my gosh, they 316 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 2: entered the ninth inning leading. 317 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know how to even say this. 318 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 1: They entered the they were an up. Uh. 319 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:10,880 Speaker 2: They entered the ninth inning up nine to three. Oh 320 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 2: that was the Red Sox that came back and made 321 00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 2: it a game. Oh I thought thought they blew it. Okay, sorry, 322 00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:16,640 Speaker 2: I flipped it around nine. It was the final with 323 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 2: the Red Sox were able to score a ton of 324 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 2: runs in the ninth inning. They were down nine to 325 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 2: three entering the ninth They scored five runs and lost 326 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:27,800 Speaker 2: nine to eight. So if you were on the Reds, 327 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 2: run line reverse runnine. I guess because the Redsucks were 328 00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 2: favored that would have been. That was brutal. That's a 329 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 2: tough loss for the Red Sox to come all the 330 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 2: way back and then not get there. But game went 331 00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 2: way over obviously, totals ten. These pitchers going for the 332 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:48,040 Speaker 2: Red Sox and the reds not exactly a barn burning 333 00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:51,280 Speaker 2: pitching matchup we are expecting here. Between these two teams, 334 00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 2: we have Luke Weaver and James Paxton. 335 00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 1: Luke Weavers one and two with. 336 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 2: A five point four five point four five ERA James 337 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 2: Paxson's one one with five point one four ERA left 338 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 2: handed pitching. Paxton lefties at Fenway Park are always scary, 339 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:10,760 Speaker 2: I mean always scary at Fenway Park with its a 340 00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 2: left handed starter. At home, Packson has been better. He's 341 00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:17,720 Speaker 2: only pitched one game at home, gave up two earned 342 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 2: runs in five innings worth of work. Not a huge 343 00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:24,360 Speaker 2: sample size to talk about here. But on the other side, 344 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:26,919 Speaker 2: we've got this Red Sox lineup that's starting to come around, 345 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:29,679 Speaker 2: starting to score runs or eight runs yesterday, just the 346 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:32,200 Speaker 2: way the Red Sox play right now, in particular at home, 347 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 2: whether it's warming up in New England, and we're starting 348 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:38,159 Speaker 2: to see offense being you know, generated by an offense 349 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,400 Speaker 2: that is still one of the best in baseball. On 350 00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 2: the road, Luke Weaver has a five point one seven ERA. 351 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:47,440 Speaker 2: A posting batting average of three thirteen. Red Sox team 352 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:49,199 Speaker 2: total might be a good bet as well here in 353 00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,760 Speaker 2: this game or first five team total over for the 354 00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:55,159 Speaker 2: Red Sox here against Luke Weaver. Again, it's you know, 355 00:17:55,320 --> 00:17:58,359 Speaker 2: he's a righty, but five point one seven zero to 356 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 2: two on the year, nine earned run and fifteen and 357 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 2: two thirds worth of work three thirteen of posting batting 358 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:06,199 Speaker 2: average a Red Sox should score. I'm gonna play the 359 00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,679 Speaker 2: over for both teams. Red Sox bullpen to give up 360 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:13,199 Speaker 2: some runs over ten is minus one twenty Reds and 361 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 2: the Red Sox over ten one point two units down 362 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:19,960 Speaker 2: on this one. Expecting a high scoring game again at 363 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 2: Fenway Park after this. I'll say this, the Red Sox 364 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 2: at home over will be a trend that I'm gonna 365 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:29,919 Speaker 2: look to follow. I'm gonna I'm gonna look to to 366 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:33,359 Speaker 2: start to bet this here. I mean, nineteen seven and 367 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:35,480 Speaker 2: one is seventy three percent of the time the Red 368 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 2: Sox games are going over at home. We're gonna start 369 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:42,439 Speaker 2: to look to bet this with the Red Sox, maybe 370 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:46,040 Speaker 2: not blindly, but in spots that make a lot of sense, 371 00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:48,480 Speaker 2: We'll start We'll start to do this just because the 372 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:50,600 Speaker 2: schedule is gonna start to come around for some teams 373 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,000 Speaker 2: that can score, and the Red Sox offense is starting 374 00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,639 Speaker 2: to look a little bit more, you know, look better. 375 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:59,639 Speaker 2: I mean after Cincinnati, the offense for the Raids comes in. 376 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 2: Even the Rays have kind of gone to sleep. I 377 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,760 Speaker 2: don't know what happened against the Cubs. They scored one 378 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 2: run in two games against the Cubs. What's going on 379 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:09,800 Speaker 2: with the race? But they'll score against Boston because they 380 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,159 Speaker 2: always do. That's a four gamer. Every one of those 381 00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:15,119 Speaker 2: games could go over against Tampa. Then Boston's on the 382 00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:18,359 Speaker 2: road against Cleveland, then they're on the road against New York. 383 00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:19,919 Speaker 1: Those games could all go over. 384 00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:22,680 Speaker 2: Although those are on the road, they come back home 385 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,639 Speaker 2: against Colorado and then the Yankees coming to town. So 386 00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:29,639 Speaker 2: Red Sox at home right now, going over will be 387 00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:31,359 Speaker 2: something that every night we're going to take a look at. 388 00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 2: We may start to bet those games consistently. Here for 389 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:36,720 Speaker 2: tonight for sure, one point two units down officially Red 390 00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:40,119 Speaker 2: Sox over ten up against the Reds. Red Sox and 391 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,359 Speaker 2: the Reds tonight only one play officially going tonight, but 392 00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 2: again Knights to win the Stanley Cup minus one twenty 393 00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:49,720 Speaker 2: two one point two two units down on that and 394 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,320 Speaker 2: the Nuggets laying one and a half games and minus 395 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 2: won sixty one point six units down on that. If 396 00:19:56,800 --> 00:19:58,920 Speaker 2: you want extra action, obviously, the Braves on the run 397 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:00,960 Speaker 2: line as well a p I'll follow me on Twitter 398 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 2: at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning. It is 399 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 2: The Diligence Podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks 400 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:18,400 Speaker 2: dot com