WEBVTT - Why a Former Freight Broker Is Making a Major Bet on Mexico

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lags podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Jill Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Allaway.

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<v Speaker 2>So obviously, Tracy is something that we've grown more interested

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<v Speaker 2>in lately and it has very interesting sort of a

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<v Speaker 2>macro trade maybe political implications. Is this sort of the

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<v Speaker 2>booming numbers we see in US Mexico trade?

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<v Speaker 1>Absolutely so, US Mexico trade has picked up, as you

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<v Speaker 1>have pointed out, and I'm kind of curious about the

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<v Speaker 1>reasons why this is what most interests me at the moment,

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<v Speaker 1>as well as like the physical process of moving goods

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<v Speaker 1>from Mexico into the US. But there's the story this

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<v Speaker 1>idea here about friend shoring. So given the Trump trade

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<v Speaker 1>war and its ongoing evolution under the Biden administration, tensions

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<v Speaker 1>happened rising with China, there's this idea of companies maybe

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<v Speaker 1>moving some of their production away from China into either

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<v Speaker 1>Southeast Asia or maybe Mexico. So we've seen a bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a pickup. I really want to know what is

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<v Speaker 1>driving it. Is it actually that friend shoring idea, or

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<v Speaker 1>is it maybe something else. I know, Mexico, for instance,

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<v Speaker 1>is a really big exporter of car parts, so how

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<v Speaker 1>much of that is driving it? I've seen Brad Setzer

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<v Speaker 1>discuss this a little bit on Twitter. So I am

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<v Speaker 1>excited to get into Mexico US trade totally.

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<v Speaker 2>And you know you mentioned, you know, sort of Trump

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<v Speaker 2>kicked it off after he won the twenty sixteen election

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<v Speaker 2>by beginning the process of tariffs sound China and rewriting

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<v Speaker 2>NAFTA which became the USMCA and really sort of encouraging

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<v Speaker 2>a shift in supply chains to North America to the

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<v Speaker 2>Western hemisphere. And then it probably really accelerated further with

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<v Speaker 2>COVID and just the mass of headaches that everyone had

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<v Speaker 2>getting stuff out of China. And so right, that's sort

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<v Speaker 2>of when the idea of like friends showing or near

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<v Speaker 2>shoring like really picked up, like just sort of this

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<v Speaker 2>supply chain resiliency idea. And then this raises all sorts

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<v Speaker 2>of other interesting questions because of course, if you're a

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<v Speaker 2>Chinese company, like you're a Chinese automaker, say, or a

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<v Speaker 2>company that makes other high tech goods and maybe you're

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<v Speaker 2>worried about terrorists, we're like, well, can you set up

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<v Speaker 2>in Mexico and get around evidence so that it's like,

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<v Speaker 2>so it is still coming in from Mexico, but the

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<v Speaker 2>beneficial owner somewhere in China. Like, there are some really

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<v Speaker 2>interesting questions that arise out of cross border US Mexico trade.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's funny you mentioned that. I was just reading

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<v Speaker 1>an article in the FT that came out recently and

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<v Speaker 1>they were talking about the number of container ships going

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<v Speaker 1>from China to Mexico has hit eight hundred and eighty

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<v Speaker 1>one thousand in the first three quarters of twenty twenty three,

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<v Speaker 1>which is up from like six hundred eighty nine thousand

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<v Speaker 1>in the same period from so a lot of growth

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<v Speaker 1>just in the space of a year. And it does

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<v Speaker 1>beg the question again of what exactly is coming through Mexico.

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<v Speaker 1>How much of this is a genuine shift in US

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<v Speaker 1>trade away from China versus the sort of rerouting totally.

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<v Speaker 2>So we see the numbers and we want to get

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<v Speaker 2>a better understanding what are the types of goods and

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<v Speaker 2>so on. And I'm very excited to say, we really

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<v Speaker 2>do have the perfect guest. It's someone from the freight

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<v Speaker 2>world who's been working with US Mexico trade for a

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<v Speaker 2>long time and now the co founder of a new

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<v Speaker 2>company that's sort of going to focus on freight that

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<v Speaker 2>goes cross border from Mexico to the US. Matt Silver,

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<v Speaker 2>co founder and CEO of car Gato, Matt, thank you

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<v Speaker 2>so much for coming on odd Laws.

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<v Speaker 3>Absolutely thank you for having me excited to be here.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, So, really simple question to start. If there's

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<v Speaker 2>some piece of machinery that you want to ship from,

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<v Speaker 2>say Texas to California, how much easier is that than

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<v Speaker 2>shipping a piece of machinery from Mexico to California. May

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<v Speaker 2>to flip it the other way around. For a given

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<v Speaker 2>unit of good, what is the complexity of getting that

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<v Speaker 2>good across the border rather than just shipping it.

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<v Speaker 3>Domestically, So shipping something from Texas to California, if you're

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<v Speaker 3>a logistics provider or a trucking company, your main responsibility

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<v Speaker 3>is to make sure that you get the freight picked

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<v Speaker 3>up at that location in Texas, that it's scheduled to delivery,

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<v Speaker 3>and that ultimately you go deliver the load on time,

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<v Speaker 3>and that you get what was considered the bill of

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<v Speaker 3>lading signed by the receiver and it turns into a

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<v Speaker 3>proof of delivery and you're good to go. When you're

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<v Speaker 3>moving a shipment from Mexico to the United States. And

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<v Speaker 3>let's say you're going from somewhere Lake Monterey to California.

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<v Speaker 3>You would get that load picked up in Monterey by

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<v Speaker 3>a Mexican trucking company that would bring the freight up

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<v Speaker 3>to the border. It would clear Mexico customs, go through

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<v Speaker 3>US customs, dealing with a Mexico customs broker and a

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<v Speaker 3>US customs broker and a border crossing carrier, and then

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<v Speaker 3>you're working with a US trucking company that's going to

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<v Speaker 3>bring that load from say Laredo, Texas to Los Angeles.

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<v Speaker 3>And so for a cross border shipment, there's somewhere between

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<v Speaker 3>six and eight parties involved in a single shipment, whereas

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<v Speaker 3>the domestic shipment has you know, the trucking company and

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<v Speaker 3>the shipper and the receiver.

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<v Speaker 1>As someone who has shipped a lot of stuff like

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<v Speaker 1>home goods between the US and other places, the customs

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<v Speaker 1>process is always more complex and more time consuming than

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<v Speaker 1>you think it will be. On which note, Matt, how

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<v Speaker 1>long would it take for that entire end to end

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<v Speaker 1>process versus say a domestic shipment, which I guess just

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<v Speaker 1>gets picked up. And then the uncertainty on the time

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<v Speaker 1>is really just the driver going somewhere, and how long

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<v Speaker 1>that takes. How long does that sort of customs process

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<v Speaker 1>usually take.

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<v Speaker 3>Customs can take anywhere from one to three days. It

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<v Speaker 3>could really go up to ten days. It could get

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<v Speaker 3>longer than that if it takes a long time to

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<v Speaker 3>prepare the paperwork. So the way that I always compare

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<v Speaker 3>it from explaining this to somebody that has a basic

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<v Speaker 3>understanding of freight is that a domestic shipment is your

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<v Speaker 3>responsibility as a broker for you know, call it one

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<v Speaker 3>to two days, maybe three days if it's a longer

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<v Speaker 3>length of haul, but that load picks up and it delivers,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's it. For a cross border shipment, it can

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<v Speaker 3>be any anywhere from seven to twenty days. So you

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<v Speaker 3>got your your standard transit time that you know from

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<v Speaker 3>Monterey is four to six hours. From Central Mexico could

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<v Speaker 3>be about a day, and then it could take anywhere

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<v Speaker 3>from one to three days to cross the border, and

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<v Speaker 3>then you know there might be a twenty four hour

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<v Speaker 3>wait time before the load actually gets dispatch for delivery

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<v Speaker 3>and then your standard transit in the US. So that's

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<v Speaker 3>where it ends up at that seven to ten if

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<v Speaker 3>not twenty days.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's back up a little bit. I mentioned that you're

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<v Speaker 2>the co founder of a new company that's going to

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<v Speaker 2>focus on US Mexico trade. You've been interested in Mexico

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<v Speaker 2>for several years. Why don't you just sort of give

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<v Speaker 2>us the quick background of how you became a Mexico

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<v Speaker 2>trade person and why you want to continue making this bet.

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<v Speaker 1>A Mexico trade mega.

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<v Speaker 2>Let you know you can describe your proper title. I'm

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<v Speaker 2>just going to call you a Mexico trade.

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<v Speaker 3>Person, Mexico freight expert, Mexico freight expert. May that's a

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<v Speaker 3>little bitter Mexico Matt, there's a joke, but all right.

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<v Speaker 3>So I got involved in Mexico freight when I was

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<v Speaker 3>at Coyote. I was at Coyote for about a decade

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<v Speaker 3>and some freight brokerage, yes, Coyote Logistics Brokerage. And I

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<v Speaker 3>started the Mexico business while I was there by by

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<v Speaker 3>sheer dumb luck and started building the network out and

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<v Speaker 3>growing the Mexico business. And I spent about three three

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<v Speaker 3>and a half years doing that, and then I left

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<v Speaker 3>Coyote in twenty eighteen started my own company called Forager.

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<v Speaker 3>We were a cross border digital freight brokerage. So we

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<v Speaker 3>built our own proprietary technology similar to like an uber

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<v Speaker 3>freight or a convoy, but specifically focused on moving freight

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<v Speaker 3>between the US and Mexico. We were acquired by Arrival

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<v Speaker 3>Logistics at the end of January of twenty twenty two,

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<v Speaker 3>and then I left at the end of September of

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<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty three. After helping integrate Forgernal Arrive and helping

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<v Speaker 3>leading grow the Mexico business, ultimately left at the end

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<v Speaker 3>of September and started working on Cargado shortly after that.

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<v Speaker 1>So what was the in inspiration behind creating a company

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<v Speaker 1>that is dedicated to Mexico US freight. What's the opportunity

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<v Speaker 1>that you see there.

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<v Speaker 3>I think there is so much complexity involved in moving

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<v Speaker 3>across order shipment. Like I just kind of outlined that,

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<v Speaker 3>I think there's a lot of need for technology, and

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<v Speaker 3>with near shoring becoming such a major trend, all these

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<v Speaker 3>manufacturers are moving production in Mexico. That's leading to the

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<v Speaker 3>suppliers that have to support those manufacturers, whether it's their

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<v Speaker 3>physical suppliers that are building the goods that are going

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<v Speaker 3>into the parts that go into the car, or the

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<v Speaker 3>packaging that goes into CpG products. Ultimately, it could be

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<v Speaker 3>those types of suppliers, or it could be logistics companies

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<v Speaker 3>and trucking companies, but they're all rushing to support their

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<v Speaker 3>customers in Mexico. And so as all these logistics providers

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<v Speaker 3>and trucking companies get involved in Mexico, I believe that

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<v Speaker 3>they're going to need tools to be able to do

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<v Speaker 3>their jobs. And I think that there's a better way

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<v Speaker 3>to help them do their jobs. And it's just a

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<v Speaker 3>matter of starting with the roadmap that we've built out

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<v Speaker 3>to build what we're building at Cargatto.

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<v Speaker 2>Talk to us about what you see on the ground.

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<v Speaker 2>So I know a lot of the investments in Monterey,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, we know there's a Tesla factory, say twenty

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<v Speaker 2>twenty four versus I think you said you've gotten to

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<v Speaker 2>Mexico stuff about a decade ago. Talk to us about,

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<v Speaker 2>like what you see happening on the ground in various

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<v Speaker 2>parts of northern Mexico and elsewhere in twenty twenty four

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<v Speaker 2>versus what it looked like in twenty fourteen.

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<v Speaker 3>Let me start at a really high level. When I

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<v Speaker 3>started building with Mexico at Coyote, we were communicating with

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<v Speaker 3>drivers in Mexico via those nextele phones where it was

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<v Speaker 3>like a walkie talkie they would click to communicate with them.

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<v Speaker 3>And so now most of the drivers in Mexico, most

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<v Speaker 3>of the trucking companies have smartphones, they have iPhones or androids,

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<v Speaker 3>they've got laptops, they've got iPads or tablets, and so

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<v Speaker 3>technology has come a lot further along in the last

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<v Speaker 3>decade from a you know, physically what's on the ground perspective,

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<v Speaker 3>Monterey has expanded massively. You know, I was down there

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<v Speaker 3>a few weeks ago and the amount of new facilities

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<v Speaker 3>that are still getting built. Everywhere you drive, you see

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<v Speaker 3>brands that you recognize, like I saw LG. I saw

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<v Speaker 3>some of the different golf companies that produce golf balls

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<v Speaker 3>and golf clubs and everything else that comes along with that.

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<v Speaker 3>Manufacturing in money, there's lots of CpG brands that are

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<v Speaker 3>starting to build up plants in money, appliances and electronics,

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<v Speaker 3>and so you see all these different companies that are

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<v Speaker 3>building in Monterey right now that the same things happening

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<v Speaker 3>in Ramasresepei, which is just south of Monterey, and Salteo.

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<v Speaker 3>It's happening in the Baihio, which is in Central Mexico, Cadetro, Aguas, Calientis, Guadalajara,

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<v Speaker 3>Mexico City, Puebla. It's starting to spread all throughout Mexico

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<v Speaker 3>as people realize makes a lot more sense to manufacture

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<v Speaker 3>there than it does overseas.

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<v Speaker 1>What exactly is Mexico actually exporting to the US? So

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<v Speaker 1>I mentioned in the intro famously there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>car components and vehicles involved here, and you were just

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<v Speaker 1>discussing some of the car companies that have been moving

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<v Speaker 1>some aspects of production down there. But what are the

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<v Speaker 1>things that are actually coming across the border? And has

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<v Speaker 1>there been any changed there over the past couple of

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<v Speaker 1>years or so.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's been a lot of the same stuff. So,

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<v Speaker 3>like a lot of the automotive companies, for example, have

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<v Speaker 3>been in Mexico for decades, like General Motors and Ford

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<v Speaker 3>and Brysler and everybody else. Like Tesla's the newest entrant

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<v Speaker 3>to come into Mexico, and they've done it the loudest,

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<v Speaker 3>but they've been there for a long time. Most of

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<v Speaker 3>the automotive suppliers, and so automotive has along been a

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<v Speaker 3>big part of it. Electronics, whether it's appliances or computers

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<v Speaker 3>or TVs. I remember we used to ship video game

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<v Speaker 3>consoles to Mexico for a large electronics manufacturer. Beer is

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<v Speaker 3>a major product that comes out of Mexico. All sorts

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<v Speaker 3>of food products. Obviously, tequila comes out of Mexico, out

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<v Speaker 3>of Jalisco. You've got mezcal coming out of Wahaka and

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<v Speaker 3>some other parts of Mexico. There's a lot of components

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<v Speaker 3>that go into anything electrical. And then you've got anything

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<v Speaker 3>that you would find in an office, anything that you'd

0:11:51.880 --> 0:11:54.920
<v Speaker 3>find around your house that's got wiring in it, there's

0:11:54.920 --> 0:11:57.040
<v Speaker 3>a really good chance that it came from Mexico. So

0:11:57.120 --> 0:11:59.960
<v Speaker 3>most of the major appliance manufacturers have plants throughout back,

0:12:00.480 --> 0:12:03.760
<v Speaker 3>whether it's LG or Samsung or higher which is ge.

0:12:04.360 --> 0:12:06.640
<v Speaker 3>The majority of them are manufacturing in Mexico.

0:12:06.920 --> 0:12:09.000
<v Speaker 2>So what is the main case? Why are they doing it?

0:12:09.040 --> 0:12:11.120
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I guess obviously some of it must be

0:12:11.520 --> 0:12:15.480
<v Speaker 2>the USMCA and Trump's the tariffs on China. Maybe some

0:12:15.640 --> 0:12:19.680
<v Speaker 2>of it the COVID supply chain frailties. But what is

0:12:19.720 --> 0:12:22.240
<v Speaker 2>the pitch right now? A company is thinking about setting

0:12:22.280 --> 0:12:24.000
<v Speaker 2>up to Mexico, how much is it about that and

0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:27.680
<v Speaker 2>how much is it about, say, improvements in Mexico's own

0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:31.000
<v Speaker 2>infrastructure such that a neighbor that's so close to the

0:12:31.120 --> 0:12:35.160
<v Speaker 2>United States actually makes more sense as a manufacturing hub.

0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:38.199
<v Speaker 3>I think it boils down to a few things. USMCA

0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:40.679
<v Speaker 3>update from NAFTA is definitely one of them, and so

0:12:40.760 --> 0:12:44.560
<v Speaker 3>you touched on that. That encouraged more automotive parts, for example,

0:12:44.559 --> 0:12:47.080
<v Speaker 3>to be made in North America that go into a car.

0:12:47.280 --> 0:12:49.480
<v Speaker 3>That raised that percentage from sixty two and a half

0:12:49.520 --> 0:12:52.720
<v Speaker 3>to seventy five percent. Pandemic was definitely another major piece.

0:12:52.760 --> 0:12:55.760
<v Speaker 3>So I remember at Forger we had a customer reach

0:12:55.800 --> 0:12:58.920
<v Speaker 3>out a company called Premium Guard that said, we just

0:12:58.960 --> 0:13:02.600
<v Speaker 3>acquired this plant from Federal Mogul in Mexico because our

0:13:02.640 --> 0:13:04.960
<v Speaker 3>manufacturing in China was slowing down and so we needed

0:13:04.960 --> 0:13:08.000
<v Speaker 3>to be able to continue to manufacture and sell filters

0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:10.360
<v Speaker 3>in spite of the fact that China was shut down,

0:13:10.440 --> 0:13:12.719
<v Speaker 3>and so we bought a plant in Mexico. We need

0:13:12.720 --> 0:13:15.000
<v Speaker 3>your help shipping their freight from Mexico the United States,

0:13:15.160 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 3>and so overnight their volume just started shipping. And we

0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:21.160
<v Speaker 3>saw that happen with a lot of other companies, and

0:13:21.200 --> 0:13:24.000
<v Speaker 3>so the pandemic secured everybody is the second piece, and

0:13:24.040 --> 0:13:27.360
<v Speaker 3>then the third piece is that the proximity makes a

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:30.680
<v Speaker 3>lot of sense. Like it's a three hour flight from Chicago,

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:32.600
<v Speaker 3>monor A to go meet with a customer, to go

0:13:32.640 --> 0:13:35.120
<v Speaker 3>meet with the team, to meet with a potential vendor.

0:13:35.559 --> 0:13:37.559
<v Speaker 3>It's I think, what fifteen to eighteen hours to fly

0:13:37.640 --> 0:13:41.599
<v Speaker 3>to China from the US. So getting to Mexico's a

0:13:41.640 --> 0:13:44.360
<v Speaker 3>lot easier. Time zones are a lot more similar. They're

0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:47.280
<v Speaker 3>not exactly the same, but they're similar, and so it's

0:13:47.320 --> 0:13:50.520
<v Speaker 3>easier from a communication perspective. There's also a lot more

0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:52.960
<v Speaker 3>people that speak Spanish in the United States than Mandarin,

0:13:53.080 --> 0:13:56.679
<v Speaker 3>and so you're much likelier to find more cultural alignment,

0:13:57.080 --> 0:13:59.920
<v Speaker 3>easier to communicate with people in Mexico than people in

0:14:00.160 --> 0:14:04.199
<v Speaker 3>Asia or overseas. And ultimately, that time that you can

0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:07.920
<v Speaker 3>cut down on travel and everything else directly affects your

0:14:07.920 --> 0:14:11.440
<v Speaker 3>ability to control quality and control cost and everything else.

0:14:11.520 --> 0:14:14.120
<v Speaker 3>And so Mexico has just made so much more sense.

0:14:14.160 --> 0:14:16.360
<v Speaker 3>And then on top of it, if you're setting up

0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:19.720
<v Speaker 3>manufacturing and Monterey right now, it's like shooting fish in

0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:21.720
<v Speaker 3>a barrel to be able to go find a provider

0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 3>that can help you. If you're freight or help you

0:14:25.080 --> 0:14:29.080
<v Speaker 3>manage your customs process because of the density that's already there.

0:14:29.480 --> 0:14:32.360
<v Speaker 3>You're walking into a market that already exists. It's getting

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:48.840
<v Speaker 3>more expensive, but it's there already.

0:14:50.360 --> 0:14:52.680
<v Speaker 2>Tracy, have you been to Mexico. I have not, So

0:14:52.960 --> 0:14:54.920
<v Speaker 2>I just this is going to be like the most part.

0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:56.640
<v Speaker 1>But I mean I have when I was like a

0:14:56.720 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 1>kid and we lived in Dallas. I think we went

0:14:58.920 --> 0:15:02.200
<v Speaker 1>to one of the border towns, but I barely remember it. Sorry,

0:15:02.240 --> 0:15:04.520
<v Speaker 1>I feel like I have to be very specific here.

0:15:04.680 --> 0:15:07.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, this is like gonna be the most boring point.

0:15:07.160 --> 0:15:09.440
<v Speaker 2>But like to Matt's point about how it's just a

0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:12.280
<v Speaker 2>three hour flight, Mexico is so close from like anywhere,

0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:14.200
<v Speaker 2>and like you could just take a long weekend trip.

0:15:14.240 --> 0:15:17.200
<v Speaker 2>There's so easy. And every time I traveled to Mexico,

0:15:17.240 --> 0:15:20.160
<v Speaker 2>like on a vacation, I'm just like it's like it's

0:15:20.280 --> 0:15:22.720
<v Speaker 2>right here. And so that point about I was just

0:15:22.800 --> 0:15:25.400
<v Speaker 2>a three hour flight from Mexico maybe seems obvious, but

0:15:25.480 --> 0:15:27.480
<v Speaker 2>it also is like it is so easy.

0:15:27.680 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 1>Wait, I'm glad you brought that up. Actually, the idea

0:15:30.560 --> 0:15:34.280
<v Speaker 1>of obvious. So I'm thinking how to frame this question.

0:15:34.640 --> 0:15:37.800
<v Speaker 1>So I realized there is already a degree of trade

0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:40.640
<v Speaker 1>between the US and Mexico obviously, and there is the

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:44.720
<v Speaker 1>free Trade Agreement, of course, But why hasn't Mexico been

0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:48.560
<v Speaker 1>a bigger market before, like, let's say, twenty years ago.

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:51.520
<v Speaker 1>Why didn't this happen earlier? What was the hold up?

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 3>I think the technology advancement was a big piece. Again,

0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:58.320
<v Speaker 3>there's been manufacturing down there for decades, like General Motors

0:15:58.360 --> 0:16:00.200
<v Speaker 3>has been down there I think for fifty years or

0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:02.440
<v Speaker 3>something like that. But it was while Trump was in

0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:05.040
<v Speaker 3>office and started the whole trade war thing with China

0:16:05.200 --> 0:16:07.440
<v Speaker 3>and said we're going to bring everything closer to home

0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:11.680
<v Speaker 3>and branded the usmcas America First. But in reality, quote

0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:14.320
<v Speaker 3>unquote America First was really about North America, and so

0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:17.360
<v Speaker 3>that encouraged trade for all of North America. And I

0:16:17.360 --> 0:16:20.640
<v Speaker 3>think that was the catalyst that caused all this growth

0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 3>to happen. And then the pandemic kind of tipped it

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.440
<v Speaker 3>all over. But you know, it's been growing steadily for

0:16:26.680 --> 0:16:27.960
<v Speaker 3>twenty or thirty years. Now.

0:16:28.760 --> 0:16:31.840
<v Speaker 1>What about infrastructure, You know, Joe brought that up. We've

0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:36.480
<v Speaker 1>seen some concerns over things like congestion in the Suez Canal.

0:16:36.520 --> 0:16:39.760
<v Speaker 1>At various points in time, You've seen attacks on ships.

0:16:39.840 --> 0:16:44.360
<v Speaker 1>You've seen drought in the Panama Canal. Has Mexico built

0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:47.680
<v Speaker 1>out its infrastructure at all to make the exchange of

0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:51.920
<v Speaker 1>goods easier or is it benefiting from I guess, deteriorating

0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:54.880
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure elsewhere in the world both.

0:16:55.200 --> 0:16:58.840
<v Speaker 3>I think, you know, there's definitely those external factors that

0:16:58.880 --> 0:17:02.160
<v Speaker 3>are providing benefit. But you know, there's been some investment

0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:05.640
<v Speaker 3>in infrastructure in Mexico, and the highways are getting better,

0:17:05.800 --> 0:17:07.720
<v Speaker 3>the toll ways that most trucks are going to use

0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:10.640
<v Speaker 3>are getting better. There's definitely still a need to better

0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:13.960
<v Speaker 3>support it and better regulate it. So, for example, in

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:16.080
<v Speaker 3>the United States, you could go on a website and

0:17:16.119 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 3>you could find a bunch of details about a trucking

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:21.159
<v Speaker 3>company and a matter of you know, three minutes if

0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:24.080
<v Speaker 3>you just type in their MC number their dot number.

0:17:24.280 --> 0:17:26.159
<v Speaker 3>You can't do that with the trucking company in Mexico.

0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:29.280
<v Speaker 3>And there's no regulation over freight brokeriges in Mexico. And

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:32.000
<v Speaker 3>so I think what I would ask of Mexico to

0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:35.040
<v Speaker 3>do to make things better would be figuring out ways

0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:38.679
<v Speaker 3>to help with security issues like theft in Mexico. You know,

0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:41.880
<v Speaker 3>the cartel issues in Mexico definitely continue to be an issue.

0:17:42.400 --> 0:17:45.440
<v Speaker 3>And then the infrastructure side of it is really related

0:17:45.480 --> 0:17:48.919
<v Speaker 3>to the actual information related to the companies that are

0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:51.679
<v Speaker 3>involved in the transactions and being able to register them,

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:54.160
<v Speaker 3>being able to understand what they do, because otherwise it's

0:17:54.200 --> 0:17:55.760
<v Speaker 3>just the wild West, and that's how you end up

0:17:55.800 --> 0:17:56.719
<v Speaker 3>with freak getting stolen.

0:17:57.359 --> 0:18:00.359
<v Speaker 1>Joe, have you been on the Mexican trucking boards there

0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:01.600
<v Speaker 1>are Mexican shocking boards.

0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:03.159
<v Speaker 2>No, I have it, But I find that to be

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:06.000
<v Speaker 2>a really interesting point that I'd never thought of, which

0:18:06.040 --> 0:18:10.479
<v Speaker 2>is we talk about infrastructure as highways or toll roads

0:18:10.760 --> 0:18:14.600
<v Speaker 2>or canals or whatever, but the idea of like also

0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:17.840
<v Speaker 2>it's important that there be some sort of centralized place

0:18:17.880 --> 0:18:20.159
<v Speaker 2>where you can just look up the reputation of a

0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 2>freight brokerage or a truck and company, and how valuable

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:25.760
<v Speaker 2>it is for the government to be able to centralize

0:18:25.760 --> 0:18:28.919
<v Speaker 2>that and just sort of smooth. That is not something

0:18:29.000 --> 0:18:32.119
<v Speaker 2>I had really thought about before, but it is infrastructure

0:18:32.240 --> 0:18:33.960
<v Speaker 2>in the sense talk to us a little bit more

0:18:34.000 --> 0:18:37.320
<v Speaker 2>obviously the security situation. So it seems like this is

0:18:37.359 --> 0:18:40.280
<v Speaker 2>one area where under the Homlo years, over the last

0:18:40.280 --> 0:18:43.880
<v Speaker 2>five or six years, maybe no progress at all on security,

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:47.239
<v Speaker 2>whether we're talking about homicides or the strength of the

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:49.719
<v Speaker 2>cartels in certain parts of the country. Talk to us

0:18:49.720 --> 0:18:52.879
<v Speaker 2>a little bit more about what you're seeing on the

0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:56.359
<v Speaker 2>ground from that perspective, and then how risk of freight, theft,

0:18:56.400 --> 0:18:59.800
<v Speaker 2>et cetera goes into companies making investment decisions.

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:03.639
<v Speaker 3>So there are parts of Mexico that are totally fine

0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:06.800
<v Speaker 3>when it comes to moving freight, like you know, knock

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:09.760
<v Speaker 3>on wood. I rarely hear about issues with product coming

0:19:09.760 --> 0:19:12.840
<v Speaker 3>out of Monterey, like out of northern Mexico or central Mexico.

0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 3>It's usually product coming out of southern Mexico, like near Puebla,

0:19:17.080 --> 0:19:20.000
<v Speaker 3>So Pueblo. There's a big Volkswagen plant there and it's

0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:24.320
<v Speaker 3>about two hours south of Mexico City, and so it's

0:19:24.400 --> 0:19:26.520
<v Speaker 3>relatively close to what I would consider to be a

0:19:26.520 --> 0:19:29.879
<v Speaker 3>major market, but a lot of carris are scared to

0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:31.439
<v Speaker 3>go there because of theft, and there's a lot of

0:19:31.440 --> 0:19:34.680
<v Speaker 3>cartile activity there. And then Vera Cruz, which is along

0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:37.960
<v Speaker 3>the Gulf of Mexico, and so that's southern part of Mexico,

0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:40.200
<v Speaker 3>is still very frightening for a lot of trucking companies,

0:19:40.200 --> 0:19:42.480
<v Speaker 3>for a lot of shippers, for a lot of freight

0:19:42.480 --> 0:19:45.240
<v Speaker 3>brokridges to get involved in moving freight there, and so

0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:48.320
<v Speaker 3>that's where there's a lot of cartele activity. I've also seen,

0:19:48.640 --> 0:19:51.200
<v Speaker 3>you know, shipments get stolen coming out of Jalisco and

0:19:51.280 --> 0:19:54.719
<v Speaker 3>Aguas Calientis, which is in central Mexico. So it's not

0:19:54.760 --> 0:19:58.240
<v Speaker 3>to say that it doesn't happen, but the concern is

0:19:58.280 --> 0:20:02.200
<v Speaker 3>definitely in southern Mexico. And then from a perspective of

0:20:02.400 --> 0:20:05.040
<v Speaker 3>what people think about when they start investing in Mexico.

0:20:05.640 --> 0:20:08.720
<v Speaker 3>Another thing related to the regulation and infrastructure side is

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:11.719
<v Speaker 3>that in the United States, cargo insurance is something that

0:20:12.080 --> 0:20:15.639
<v Speaker 3>is required of freight brokerages and trucking companies, and so

0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:18.959
<v Speaker 3>anybody that's shipping goods in the United States, there's cargo

0:20:19.000 --> 0:20:21.720
<v Speaker 3>insurance that insured those goods if there were a truckload

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:25.000
<v Speaker 3>that got into an accident and the goods were destroyed. Separately,

0:20:25.000 --> 0:20:27.280
<v Speaker 3>there's insurance if a car was damaged or if anybody

0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:30.320
<v Speaker 3>was hurt, but there's insurance for the freight. In Mexico,

0:20:30.400 --> 0:20:33.359
<v Speaker 3>there's no requirement for freight to be insured, and so

0:20:33.520 --> 0:20:36.119
<v Speaker 3>none of the freight providers insure it, none of the

0:20:36.119 --> 0:20:39.760
<v Speaker 3>trucking companies insure it, and most of the beneficial cargo owners,

0:20:39.760 --> 0:20:43.320
<v Speaker 3>like the manufacturers, some of them don't know that it's required,

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:46.400
<v Speaker 3>and if they do, they try to get it insured,

0:20:46.400 --> 0:20:49.280
<v Speaker 3>but it becomes kind of a headache. And so that's

0:20:49.320 --> 0:20:52.000
<v Speaker 3>another big area is the fact that insurance isn't required.

0:20:52.040 --> 0:20:54.280
<v Speaker 3>And so when people think about where they're going to

0:20:54.280 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 3>set up manufacturing, they think, is my freight potentially going

0:20:57.119 --> 0:20:59.240
<v Speaker 3>to get stolen? And if so, am I going to

0:20:59.240 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 3>have to replace it? Or do I have insurance that

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:01.760
<v Speaker 3>can cover that?

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:04.439
<v Speaker 1>Wait, this might be a good opportunity. And I realized

0:21:04.480 --> 0:21:07.439
<v Speaker 1>we probably should have asked you about this earlier. But

0:21:07.520 --> 0:21:11.480
<v Speaker 1>can you walk us in excruciating detail, like the process

0:21:11.720 --> 0:21:16.240
<v Speaker 1>of how these goods get moved? And again we touched

0:21:16.280 --> 0:21:20.200
<v Speaker 1>on it earlier, but like who hires the trucking company here?

0:21:20.840 --> 0:21:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Or like who hires the freight broker? And then like

0:21:24.480 --> 0:21:29.119
<v Speaker 1>is the trucking company? Is the freight company actually US incorporated?

0:21:29.280 --> 0:21:32.120
<v Speaker 1>Or is it Mexican? Who are the drivers? How does

0:21:32.160 --> 0:21:34.960
<v Speaker 1>that like immigration process work? Is it a Mexican driver

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:38.240
<v Speaker 1>going into the US? Do they switch over at the border?

0:21:38.560 --> 0:21:41.639
<v Speaker 1>Is it a US driver? I honestly have no idea,

0:21:41.720 --> 0:21:44.960
<v Speaker 1>but it seems like the process is important here.

0:21:45.359 --> 0:21:48.600
<v Speaker 3>Yes, let's start at the very beginning. I'm a transportation

0:21:48.760 --> 0:21:53.240
<v Speaker 3>leader that works at a large manufacturer in the United States,

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:56.800
<v Speaker 3>like one of the big automotive companies, and I have

0:21:57.280 --> 0:22:00.240
<v Speaker 3>my manufacturing plants set up in Mexico. I've got some

0:22:00.280 --> 0:22:02.760
<v Speaker 3>of my suppliers set up in Mexico. I've got some

0:22:02.800 --> 0:22:04.920
<v Speaker 3>of my factories in the United States or my assemblies

0:22:04.920 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 3>in the United States, and I need to make sure

0:22:07.800 --> 0:22:10.720
<v Speaker 3>that my stuff gets from Mexico to the United States

0:22:10.760 --> 0:22:13.240
<v Speaker 3>on a regular basis. And so I'm probably going to

0:22:13.320 --> 0:22:16.760
<v Speaker 3>run an RFP or request for pricing on an annual basis.

0:22:16.760 --> 0:22:18.560
<v Speaker 3>I'm going to reach out to all of my providers.

0:22:18.960 --> 0:22:21.280
<v Speaker 3>I'm going to go to a group of freight brokerages

0:22:21.280 --> 0:22:23.400
<v Speaker 3>that I work with, especially when it comes to Mexico,

0:22:23.760 --> 0:22:26.080
<v Speaker 3>that I trust and know, that can provide good quality

0:22:26.080 --> 0:22:28.920
<v Speaker 3>cross border service, who have the scale that I need.

0:22:28.960 --> 0:22:31.120
<v Speaker 3>And then I'm also going to rely on a lot

0:22:31.119 --> 0:22:33.800
<v Speaker 3>of the trucking companies that I've had long relationships with

0:22:34.240 --> 0:22:37.040
<v Speaker 3>that continue to provide dedicated direct service to me. And

0:22:37.080 --> 0:22:39.800
<v Speaker 3>so I'm going to say, hey, let's say I've got

0:22:40.119 --> 0:22:42.080
<v Speaker 3>ten thousand shipments a year that are coming out of

0:22:42.119 --> 0:22:45.280
<v Speaker 3>Mexico to the United States. I need capacity for that.

0:22:45.680 --> 0:22:48.480
<v Speaker 3>I've got out of those ten thousand, two thousand of

0:22:48.520 --> 0:22:50.080
<v Speaker 3>them are going to come out of Monterey going to

0:22:50.119 --> 0:22:52.840
<v Speaker 3>my plants in the southeast. Four thousand of them are

0:22:52.880 --> 0:22:55.400
<v Speaker 3>going to come out of my Mexico City facility going

0:22:55.400 --> 0:22:57.760
<v Speaker 3>to my plants in the Southeast and in the Midwest,

0:22:58.119 --> 0:22:59.520
<v Speaker 3>and then the rest of them are going to come

0:22:59.520 --> 0:23:02.120
<v Speaker 3>out of my Stanley's boot to see a facility going

0:23:02.160 --> 0:23:05.480
<v Speaker 3>to Dallas, in Atlanta and Chicago. So, all of you

0:23:05.560 --> 0:23:07.800
<v Speaker 3>trucking companies and your freight brokerges, I need you guys

0:23:07.840 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 3>to provide pricing for me. And typically they're going to

0:23:11.119 --> 0:23:13.080
<v Speaker 3>say I need it to be door to door, which

0:23:13.119 --> 0:23:14.760
<v Speaker 3>means that I need you to be able to handle

0:23:14.800 --> 0:23:17.879
<v Speaker 3>the entire thing from the pickup in Mexico to the

0:23:17.920 --> 0:23:20.760
<v Speaker 3>delivery in the United States. Separately, I'm going to hire

0:23:20.760 --> 0:23:23.600
<v Speaker 3>my own customs broker because I already have a customs

0:23:23.600 --> 0:23:25.520
<v Speaker 3>broker that clears the freight for me at the border,

0:23:26.119 --> 0:23:28.760
<v Speaker 3>and I've got that relationship. I've had it for fifteen

0:23:28.840 --> 0:23:29.600
<v Speaker 3>or twenty years.

0:23:29.640 --> 0:23:31.679
<v Speaker 2>Real quickly, what does a customs broker do?

0:23:32.280 --> 0:23:35.800
<v Speaker 3>So customs broker acts on behalf of the manufacturer the

0:23:35.840 --> 0:23:40.280
<v Speaker 3>importer and works between them and the US or Mexican

0:23:40.320 --> 0:23:43.600
<v Speaker 3>government to file taxes and duties and make sure all

0:23:43.600 --> 0:23:45.640
<v Speaker 3>the paperwork gets fine, all right, keep going thank you

0:23:46.240 --> 0:23:48.720
<v Speaker 3>like a travel agent kind of yeah. And so they

0:23:48.720 --> 0:23:51.080
<v Speaker 3>act on behalf of the shipper, and so you there's

0:23:51.119 --> 0:23:53.520
<v Speaker 3>always just saying that, like you marry your customs worker

0:23:53.520 --> 0:23:57.200
<v Speaker 3>and you date your forwarder, you're stuck a lot longer

0:23:57.200 --> 0:23:59.840
<v Speaker 3>with your customs borker. You sign a power of attorney

0:23:59.880 --> 0:24:03.560
<v Speaker 3>with them, and they're filing all this paperwork that has

0:24:04.080 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 3>the exact number of nuts and bolts that are inside

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:10.000
<v Speaker 3>of your trailer, every single little piece of detail. If

0:24:10.040 --> 0:24:11.920
<v Speaker 3>they get one thing wrong, that could cost you a

0:24:11.960 --> 0:24:14.199
<v Speaker 3>lot of money. And so you have a long standing

0:24:14.200 --> 0:24:16.679
<v Speaker 3>relationship and you don't want that to change. And so

0:24:16.880 --> 0:24:20.120
<v Speaker 3>you go to your trucking and freight providers and say,

0:24:20.280 --> 0:24:23.400
<v Speaker 3>give me your pricing on all these locations in Mexico

0:24:23.440 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 3>to all these locations in the US. Those guys are

0:24:26.119 --> 0:24:29.080
<v Speaker 3>going to then either use whatever pricing data they already have,

0:24:29.680 --> 0:24:31.520
<v Speaker 3>or they're going to go out to their existing network,

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:33.639
<v Speaker 3>or if they're their own trucking companies, they already have

0:24:33.680 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 3>their pricing internally, and they're going to provide pricing door

0:24:36.840 --> 0:24:39.240
<v Speaker 3>to door to be able to handle those moves. And

0:24:39.320 --> 0:24:42.240
<v Speaker 3>so let's fast forward after the RFP, after the shipper

0:24:42.400 --> 0:24:45.280
<v Speaker 3>decides or I decide, Hey, I'm going to hire these

0:24:45.280 --> 0:24:47.879
<v Speaker 3>brokers and these carriers to be my main providers on

0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:50.800
<v Speaker 3>this freight. I'm going to start tendering them loads. And

0:24:50.880 --> 0:24:53.159
<v Speaker 3>so I'm going to go and tender a load to

0:24:54.040 --> 0:24:57.080
<v Speaker 3>Joe's Trucking in Laredo, Texas, and say, hey, Joe, I've

0:24:57.080 --> 0:24:59.600
<v Speaker 3>got a load for you guys going from Monterey to Atlanta.

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:02.320
<v Speaker 3>Can you pick it up for me? And you're based

0:25:02.320 --> 0:25:04.320
<v Speaker 3>in Laredo, Texas, so you're based in the United States.

0:25:04.320 --> 0:25:07.320
<v Speaker 3>You've got an MC number, a dot number, insurance and

0:25:07.359 --> 0:25:09.600
<v Speaker 3>all that stuff. You're going to turn around and go,

0:25:09.920 --> 0:25:12.480
<v Speaker 3>all right, which of my partner companies in Mexico have

0:25:12.600 --> 0:25:16.000
<v Speaker 3>my trailers in Monterey? And so you're going to call

0:25:16.280 --> 0:25:19.760
<v Speaker 3>Jose's Trucking in Monterey and say, hey, Jose, can you

0:25:19.800 --> 0:25:22.320
<v Speaker 3>take one of my trailers over to this factory in Monterey,

0:25:22.720 --> 0:25:25.320
<v Speaker 3>get loaded with these automotive parts, and then bring it

0:25:25.359 --> 0:25:27.520
<v Speaker 3>up to Neueva Laredo, which is the Mexican side of

0:25:27.520 --> 0:25:30.200
<v Speaker 3>the border and drop it off. At that point, we're

0:25:30.200 --> 0:25:32.560
<v Speaker 3>going to hire a border transfer company kind of like

0:25:32.600 --> 0:25:35.560
<v Speaker 3>a drage company at the ports, and we're going to say,

0:25:35.560 --> 0:25:39.680
<v Speaker 3>can you guys move this trailer from neuevl Laredo to Laredo, Texas.

0:25:40.119 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 3>So that's the trucking company. Joe's Trucking does that. Then

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:46.680
<v Speaker 3>Joe's Trucking has a driver that's based in Laredo that's

0:25:46.680 --> 0:25:48.560
<v Speaker 3>going to take the load from Laredo in the same

0:25:48.600 --> 0:25:51.200
<v Speaker 3>trailer all the way to the final destination in Atlanta.

0:25:51.720 --> 0:25:53.040
<v Speaker 3>That's one way that it happens.

0:25:53.080 --> 0:25:55.800
<v Speaker 1>Wow, I see, So it sounds like the majority of

0:25:55.840 --> 0:25:58.240
<v Speaker 1>it does switch over at the border.

0:25:58.600 --> 0:26:01.760
<v Speaker 3>There's a version of a switch over, whether it happens

0:26:01.800 --> 0:26:03.760
<v Speaker 3>where the freight goes on the same trailer all the

0:26:03.760 --> 0:26:06.160
<v Speaker 3>way through, which is called through trailer or door to door,

0:26:06.800 --> 0:26:09.160
<v Speaker 3>or if it gets unloaded at the border and moved

0:26:09.160 --> 0:26:12.080
<v Speaker 3>onto a different trailer, which is called transloading. Both of

0:26:12.119 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 3>those are options, and both of those get done every

0:26:14.400 --> 0:26:18.560
<v Speaker 3>day by brokers and three pels and carriers. Sometimes it's

0:26:18.600 --> 0:26:22.399
<v Speaker 3>a US driver, sometimes it's a Mexican driver that takes

0:26:22.400 --> 0:26:24.840
<v Speaker 3>the load from Nuevo Laredo, they cross it with what's

0:26:24.840 --> 0:26:27.119
<v Speaker 3>called B one visa and then they go deliver the

0:26:27.119 --> 0:26:40.920
<v Speaker 3>load into the United States.

0:26:44.240 --> 0:26:45.760
<v Speaker 2>I don't know why. It's always amused me. There are

0:26:45.760 --> 0:26:47.280
<v Speaker 2>a lot of cities in the US that start with

0:26:47.400 --> 0:26:50.480
<v Speaker 2>new because the old country is the original name, except

0:26:50.560 --> 0:26:53.240
<v Speaker 2>in the case of Laredo in the US, and then

0:26:53.400 --> 0:26:57.560
<v Speaker 2>the Mexican partner on the other side is Nuevo Laredo.

0:26:57.720 --> 0:27:00.439
<v Speaker 2>It's the only one that I know of like that.

0:27:00.880 --> 0:27:04.439
<v Speaker 2>So you mentioned that there are not requirements for freight insurance,

0:27:04.640 --> 0:27:07.159
<v Speaker 2>that there isn't a centralized database where you can just

0:27:07.200 --> 0:27:10.160
<v Speaker 2>type in the number of the trucking company and figure

0:27:10.200 --> 0:27:12.199
<v Speaker 2>out like who they are and what their deal is.

0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:15.760
<v Speaker 2>How much does that put an emphasis on, basically the

0:27:15.840 --> 0:27:18.679
<v Speaker 2>sort of like boots on the ground or feed on

0:27:18.720 --> 0:27:22.600
<v Speaker 2>the ground of trusted relationships and actually getting to know

0:27:22.920 --> 0:27:26.359
<v Speaker 2>who you actually can work with in the absence of

0:27:26.480 --> 0:27:28.800
<v Speaker 2>sort of like more formal regulatory regimes.

0:27:29.600 --> 0:27:32.240
<v Speaker 3>So it's a culture thing and it's a process thing.

0:27:32.400 --> 0:27:35.119
<v Speaker 3>So when you're doing business in Mexico, you're usually going

0:27:35.160 --> 0:27:36.720
<v Speaker 3>to go to dinner, You're going to go get drinks

0:27:36.720 --> 0:27:39.320
<v Speaker 3>with somebody. You're going to build a relationship It's not

0:27:39.359 --> 0:27:42.240
<v Speaker 3>just about a formal, you know, commercial agreement. You sit

0:27:42.280 --> 0:27:44.320
<v Speaker 3>down in an office and you shake hand and you're done.

0:27:44.680 --> 0:27:47.760
<v Speaker 3>And this is something that I experienced definitely when I

0:27:47.840 --> 0:27:50.919
<v Speaker 3>was at Coyote and forger and arrived, but also something

0:27:50.960 --> 0:27:52.480
<v Speaker 3>that I've heard a lot over the last few months

0:27:52.520 --> 0:27:55.879
<v Speaker 3>as I've talked to other brokerage leaders who are leading,

0:27:55.920 --> 0:27:58.640
<v Speaker 3>you know, the Mexico business for other freight burgriges, and

0:27:58.760 --> 0:28:01.000
<v Speaker 3>I say, what's the number one thing that drives how

0:28:01.040 --> 0:28:04.320
<v Speaker 3>you go about evaluating your carrier base? And several people

0:28:04.320 --> 0:28:06.080
<v Speaker 3>have said, I have to go down and be able

0:28:06.119 --> 0:28:06.800
<v Speaker 3>to get drunk with.

0:28:06.760 --> 0:28:09.280
<v Speaker 1>Them on tequila.

0:28:09.880 --> 0:28:11.280
<v Speaker 3>I have to be able to Yeah, I have to

0:28:11.280 --> 0:28:13.080
<v Speaker 3>be able to drink tequila and kind of he os

0:28:13.119 --> 0:28:15.840
<v Speaker 3>with them and look them in the face and understand

0:28:15.920 --> 0:28:18.200
<v Speaker 3>or look them in the eyes and understand if they're

0:28:18.240 --> 0:28:20.280
<v Speaker 3>actually going to provide great service for us and if

0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:22.000
<v Speaker 3>they're going to answer their phone when I call them.

0:28:22.920 --> 0:28:27.159
<v Speaker 1>So you've obviously founded your own company to specialize in

0:28:27.280 --> 0:28:31.240
<v Speaker 1>US Mexico freight. Do you see other competitors in that space?

0:28:31.280 --> 0:28:36.000
<v Speaker 1>Are people like building out trucking supply in this particular

0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:37.159
<v Speaker 1>area at the moment.

0:28:37.359 --> 0:28:40.640
<v Speaker 3>We're building software. We're not building a service business. You know,

0:28:40.640 --> 0:28:43.120
<v Speaker 3>we're not trying to build like another cross border freight brokerage.

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:46.280
<v Speaker 3>We're building software for all those brokerages. I don't see

0:28:46.280 --> 0:28:48.320
<v Speaker 3>anybody else trying to do what we're doing because of

0:28:48.360 --> 0:28:50.520
<v Speaker 3>the complexity that goes into it. I do see a

0:28:50.560 --> 0:28:52.720
<v Speaker 3>lot of freight companies that are expanding in the Mexico.

0:28:53.360 --> 0:28:55.640
<v Speaker 3>So just like a Arrive bought Forager a couple of

0:28:55.680 --> 0:28:58.800
<v Speaker 3>years ago, there are tons of other brokerages now in

0:28:58.840 --> 0:29:01.040
<v Speaker 3>the US that are looking to buy companies in Mexico

0:29:01.480 --> 0:29:05.160
<v Speaker 3>by specialized cross border providers. There's also I've seen people

0:29:05.160 --> 0:29:06.680
<v Speaker 3>that used to work for me, I think that have

0:29:06.760 --> 0:29:09.640
<v Speaker 3>gone and started their own businesses that are either focusing

0:29:09.680 --> 0:29:12.400
<v Speaker 3>on cross border or including it as a part of

0:29:12.440 --> 0:29:15.160
<v Speaker 3>what they do. And so I think there's a lot

0:29:15.200 --> 0:29:17.600
<v Speaker 3>of these providers that are going to come out, you know,

0:29:17.680 --> 0:29:20.640
<v Speaker 3>we're trying to go solve these problems for their customers,

0:29:21.040 --> 0:29:22.520
<v Speaker 3>and I'm excited to be able to support all of

0:29:22.560 --> 0:29:23.240
<v Speaker 3>them as they do that.

0:29:23.760 --> 0:29:25.800
<v Speaker 2>So I realized this is going to be sort of

0:29:25.880 --> 0:29:30.320
<v Speaker 2>like a gimme or softball question or book talking opportunity.

0:29:30.360 --> 0:29:33.640
<v Speaker 2>But you wouldn't be starting yet another sort of Mexico

0:29:33.760 --> 0:29:37.360
<v Speaker 2>focused company if you weren't bullish on the prospects of

0:29:37.680 --> 0:29:40.200
<v Speaker 2>continued growth. So we had this incredible growth of the

0:29:40.280 --> 0:29:43.960
<v Speaker 2>last ten years, Mexico has surpassed China over as the

0:29:44.080 --> 0:29:48.440
<v Speaker 2>number one source of imports into the United States. How

0:29:48.480 --> 0:29:51.760
<v Speaker 2>much more could it grow? Like how much more runway

0:29:51.880 --> 0:29:55.240
<v Speaker 2>or green space is there for the US Mexico trade.

0:29:55.440 --> 0:29:57.680
<v Speaker 3>There's two things that I'll point out about this. One is,

0:29:58.320 --> 0:30:00.400
<v Speaker 3>first of all, Tesla is building their plan there. It's

0:30:00.440 --> 0:30:03.960
<v Speaker 3>not built yet, So none of that increased volume that

0:30:04.000 --> 0:30:07.160
<v Speaker 3>we've seen is because Tesla is a plant there, it's

0:30:07.200 --> 0:30:09.200
<v Speaker 3>not built yet. And there's a lot of other companies

0:30:09.200 --> 0:30:11.920
<v Speaker 3>that have announced investments but that are not built yet,

0:30:11.920 --> 0:30:14.720
<v Speaker 3>which means that there's a lot more growth coming from

0:30:14.760 --> 0:30:16.320
<v Speaker 3>just that volume. And I think there's gonna be a

0:30:16.360 --> 0:30:19.000
<v Speaker 3>few things that are going to come from that. One

0:30:19.040 --> 0:30:23.040
<v Speaker 3>is intra Mexico volume is going to grow significantly along

0:30:23.080 --> 0:30:25.400
<v Speaker 3>with drayage volume in Mexico, and that's why you know

0:30:25.560 --> 0:30:29.200
<v Speaker 3>we're seeing the skyrocketing of container moves going into Mexico

0:30:29.240 --> 0:30:32.280
<v Speaker 3>from China. And then the other big thing is that

0:30:32.640 --> 0:30:35.800
<v Speaker 3>as all of this starts to happen. I think there's

0:30:35.840 --> 0:30:37.800
<v Speaker 3>a lot of other room in Mexico in terms of

0:30:37.840 --> 0:30:39.800
<v Speaker 3>like you know, white space or green space that people

0:30:39.920 --> 0:30:42.960
<v Speaker 3>go build in the Baheo is still not saturated yet,

0:30:43.000 --> 0:30:47.120
<v Speaker 3>Like there's still markets in central Mexico that is not saturated.

0:30:47.400 --> 0:30:50.120
<v Speaker 3>If public can get better from a security perspective, there

0:30:50.120 --> 0:30:52.840
<v Speaker 3>could be a lot more manufacturing in that area. There's

0:30:53.000 --> 0:30:56.000
<v Speaker 3>I think over six hundred Mekilidoras that are just in

0:30:56.120 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 3>Wares alone, which by the way, Mikilidora is a manufacturer

0:30:59.680 --> 0:31:02.360
<v Speaker 3>that it's sports the United States from Mexico. There's a

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:05.080
<v Speaker 3>ton of manufacturing opportunity there. And then I think we

0:31:05.080 --> 0:31:07.280
<v Speaker 3>can end up seeing a lot of production end up

0:31:07.480 --> 0:31:11.840
<v Speaker 3>moving to Tijuana, Mexicali and hermo Cio, which is south

0:31:11.880 --> 0:31:15.080
<v Speaker 3>of Nogallas. And so I wouldn't be surprised at all

0:31:15.080 --> 0:31:19.080
<v Speaker 3>to see growth happening well beyond monter A and most

0:31:19.120 --> 0:31:21.160
<v Speaker 3>of the rest of Mexico is still you know, wide

0:31:21.200 --> 0:31:23.080
<v Speaker 3>open in terms of investment opportunity.

0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:27.800
<v Speaker 1>What happens if Trump wins the presidency. So I realized

0:31:27.800 --> 0:31:33.440
<v Speaker 1>that Trump administration renegotiated NAFTA, so you know, presumably Trump

0:31:33.520 --> 0:31:38.920
<v Speaker 1>isn't targeting Mexico specifically. But on the other hand, given

0:31:39.240 --> 0:31:43.000
<v Speaker 1>the growing trade deficit and given that Trump you know,

0:31:43.120 --> 0:31:47.920
<v Speaker 1>sometimes unveils ideas that are not exactly expected, and one

0:31:47.920 --> 0:31:52.440
<v Speaker 1>of those recently was a universal ten percent tariff on imports.

0:31:53.320 --> 0:31:57.960
<v Speaker 1>Is there a risk there that Mexico trade does come

0:31:58.080 --> 0:31:59.720
<v Speaker 1>under scrutiny from that administration?

0:31:59.760 --> 0:32:03.400
<v Speaker 3>Again, I think he definitely made some comments last time

0:32:03.400 --> 0:32:05.480
<v Speaker 3>around when he was in office that made it seem

0:32:05.480 --> 0:32:07.600
<v Speaker 3>like he was gonna start a trade war with both Mexico,

0:32:08.120 --> 0:32:10.920
<v Speaker 3>and I think it was posturing around getting the USMCA done.

0:32:11.280 --> 0:32:13.400
<v Speaker 3>And so look, I think if he gets re elected,

0:32:13.480 --> 0:32:16.960
<v Speaker 3>it's it could definitely cost some issues with trade because

0:32:17.240 --> 0:32:20.160
<v Speaker 3>we've already seen it cause issues. I do think what

0:32:20.200 --> 0:32:22.800
<v Speaker 3>would end up happening is he would be much more

0:32:22.840 --> 0:32:26.320
<v Speaker 3>affirm about the whole thing about China sending stuff into

0:32:26.360 --> 0:32:29.520
<v Speaker 3>Mexico and then coming to the United States. And I

0:32:29.560 --> 0:32:31.560
<v Speaker 3>don't know that we're going to see any bid cars

0:32:31.600 --> 0:32:34.120
<v Speaker 3>like certainly throughout the United States anyway anytime soon, but

0:32:34.200 --> 0:32:36.360
<v Speaker 3>like I saw them everywhere in Mexico and I was there,

0:32:36.640 --> 0:32:37.040
<v Speaker 3>Oh yeah, I.

0:32:37.040 --> 0:32:39.200
<v Speaker 2>Saw be a bunch of bids on the road when.

0:32:39.040 --> 0:32:42.080
<v Speaker 3>You're there, Oh yeah, MG. I think is another brand

0:32:42.120 --> 0:32:43.480
<v Speaker 3>that used to be British and it's owned by the

0:32:43.560 --> 0:32:46.120
<v Speaker 3>Chinese now, Like oh, I think yeah. I was in

0:32:46.480 --> 0:32:49.600
<v Speaker 3>all cars that were Chinese cars, and they it didn't

0:32:49.600 --> 0:32:52.600
<v Speaker 3>seem any different than a European car or a Created

0:32:52.680 --> 0:32:55.000
<v Speaker 3>car or American car anything that I've been in before,

0:32:55.040 --> 0:32:56.719
<v Speaker 3>but the brands were different.

0:32:57.120 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 2>I was in Salulita recently near Port of Ayre, and

0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:01.760
<v Speaker 2>I was looking out to see if I would see

0:33:01.760 --> 0:33:03.880
<v Speaker 2>an Ebuyds. I didn't see any when I was there,

0:33:03.920 --> 0:33:05.880
<v Speaker 2>but maybe I just missed them. Also, there weren't a

0:33:05.920 --> 0:33:07.960
<v Speaker 2>lot of cars around there. Sorry, keep going no.

0:33:07.920 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 3>But and like you've got to like be looking for it.

0:33:09.880 --> 0:33:11.920
<v Speaker 3>But and I noticed it when I walked out of

0:33:11.960 --> 0:33:13.560
<v Speaker 3>the airport because I was like, oh, that's a logo

0:33:13.600 --> 0:33:15.640
<v Speaker 3>I've never seen before. And I just I know a

0:33:15.640 --> 0:33:17.880
<v Speaker 3>lot of these automotive companies from working with them in

0:33:18.040 --> 0:33:21.240
<v Speaker 3>past roles. And so I think I could see Trump

0:33:21.640 --> 0:33:25.760
<v Speaker 3>putting a lot more emphasis on Chinese imports in New

0:33:25.800 --> 0:33:28.120
<v Speaker 3>Mexico that come in the United States and making a

0:33:28.160 --> 0:33:30.520
<v Speaker 3>push to try to stop that, and then that will

0:33:30.520 --> 0:33:33.200
<v Speaker 3>have a downstream effect because there's a lot of manufacturers

0:33:33.200 --> 0:33:35.440
<v Speaker 3>that I've talked to in the United States who have said, hey,

0:33:35.920 --> 0:33:39.320
<v Speaker 3>my suppliers were in China. They've established joint ventures in

0:33:39.360 --> 0:33:43.360
<v Speaker 3>Mexico to support US, and they've they're building plants in Mexico.

0:33:43.520 --> 0:33:46.280
<v Speaker 3>And so if that ends up being something where Trump

0:33:46.320 --> 0:33:48.840
<v Speaker 3>puts a teriff on those types of companies, it will

0:33:48.840 --> 0:33:52.880
<v Speaker 3>have a direct impact on every American consumer and all

0:33:52.920 --> 0:33:55.960
<v Speaker 3>the manufacturers that are building stuff and selling stuff to

0:33:56.000 --> 0:33:59.040
<v Speaker 3>the consumers, because their prices will go up and the

0:33:59.080 --> 0:33:59.680
<v Speaker 3>cost will go up.

0:33:59.680 --> 0:34:03.920
<v Speaker 2>To make what is the effect on trade if there

0:34:03.960 --> 0:34:07.800
<v Speaker 2>was a much tighter border crackdown when it comes to migration,

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:10.440
<v Speaker 2>and we did see this a little bit, I believe

0:34:10.920 --> 0:34:15.000
<v Speaker 2>last year when the US Customs and Border Protection halted

0:34:15.040 --> 0:34:18.640
<v Speaker 2>trade in some areas out of due to the rise

0:34:18.800 --> 0:34:21.239
<v Speaker 2>in migrants. How do they interact with each other?

0:34:21.640 --> 0:34:24.040
<v Speaker 3>It causes delays when they pull people that are supposed

0:34:24.040 --> 0:34:27.000
<v Speaker 3>to be clearing freight away from clearing freight to go

0:34:27.320 --> 0:34:31.400
<v Speaker 3>you know, heard people and so I remember when this happened,

0:34:31.400 --> 0:34:33.600
<v Speaker 3>I think while Trump was in office, and then Governor

0:34:33.640 --> 0:34:36.600
<v Speaker 3>Abbott did the same thing or similar thing somewhat recently.

0:34:36.719 --> 0:34:39.279
<v Speaker 3>Is like they pulled people away from helping clear the

0:34:39.280 --> 0:34:42.120
<v Speaker 3>freight examining it and enabling it to come across the

0:34:42.120 --> 0:34:44.640
<v Speaker 3>border and said go, you know, round people up and

0:34:44.680 --> 0:34:46.400
<v Speaker 3>make sure you get them where they need to be.

0:34:46.880 --> 0:34:49.640
<v Speaker 3>And that pulled people away from clearing freight, which created

0:34:49.640 --> 0:34:52.839
<v Speaker 3>longer lines of the border, created longer truck lines, which

0:34:52.880 --> 0:34:56.120
<v Speaker 3>caused delays, and ultimately could have caused disruptions in people's

0:34:56.120 --> 0:34:59.080
<v Speaker 3>supply chains because of the need for a lot of

0:34:59.080 --> 0:35:00.839
<v Speaker 3>these parts. Most what's this freight, by the way, coming

0:35:00.880 --> 0:35:04.560
<v Speaker 3>out of Mexico is manufacturing driven. It's not distribution driven,

0:35:04.600 --> 0:35:07.040
<v Speaker 3>and so it's all stuff that's going into production that's

0:35:07.080 --> 0:35:09.839
<v Speaker 3>going to help make something at all. And so if

0:35:09.880 --> 0:35:12.759
<v Speaker 3>you stop at the truckload from moving, it could cause

0:35:12.760 --> 0:35:14.799
<v Speaker 3>an entire supply chain to shut down.

0:35:15.920 --> 0:35:18.719
<v Speaker 2>Matt Silver, thank you so much for coming on odd Locks.

0:35:18.840 --> 0:35:22.799
<v Speaker 2>Really appreciate explanation, the level of detail and clarity, and

0:35:23.120 --> 0:35:24.799
<v Speaker 2>maybe I have some I think I have a little

0:35:24.840 --> 0:35:27.560
<v Speaker 2>bit more understanding now of how goods get across the border,

0:35:27.560 --> 0:35:28.800
<v Speaker 2>but I appreciate.

0:35:28.400 --> 0:35:30.680
<v Speaker 3>You taking the time. Absolutely, thank you for having me.

0:35:43.560 --> 0:35:45.600
<v Speaker 2>Tracy. There was a lot in there that I like,

0:35:45.760 --> 0:35:48.480
<v Speaker 2>but I'll just start with the simple point, the idea

0:35:48.560 --> 0:35:52.960
<v Speaker 2>of like sort of registries and regulation as sort of

0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:56.959
<v Speaker 2>making doing business much easier. I think is a point

0:35:56.960 --> 0:35:59.520
<v Speaker 2>that's easy to forget. Like we think of regulation as

0:35:59.520 --> 0:36:02.000
<v Speaker 2>some sort of like a curtailman of business. But if

0:36:02.000 --> 0:36:04.160
<v Speaker 2>the regulation is you have to put in some info

0:36:04.200 --> 0:36:06.600
<v Speaker 2>about yourself into a website that anyone can look up,

0:36:06.760 --> 0:36:08.160
<v Speaker 2>it makes life easier for everyone.

0:36:08.560 --> 0:36:11.880
<v Speaker 1>Yes, to some extent. I mean I guess it helps

0:36:11.880 --> 0:36:14.399
<v Speaker 1>from an insurance perspective and things like that. It goes

0:36:14.440 --> 0:36:17.720
<v Speaker 1>back to sure the sort of like rule of law

0:36:17.880 --> 0:36:20.920
<v Speaker 1>institutional strength thing. Yes, I have to say I kind

0:36:20.920 --> 0:36:21.920
<v Speaker 1>of want to go to Laredo.

0:36:22.560 --> 0:36:23.279
<v Speaker 3>No, I do too?

0:36:23.600 --> 0:36:24.120
<v Speaker 2>Is that weird?

0:36:24.480 --> 0:36:25.080
<v Speaker 3>I have this.

0:36:25.040 --> 0:36:27.960
<v Speaker 1>Weird impression of Laredo because my dad always complains about

0:36:27.960 --> 0:36:30.360
<v Speaker 1>it because I think he did his Air Force training there,

0:36:30.719 --> 0:36:34.040
<v Speaker 1>which wasn't a fun experience for him. So he's always

0:36:34.080 --> 0:36:36.160
<v Speaker 1>been kind of down on Laredo. But I feel like

0:36:36.200 --> 0:36:38.800
<v Speaker 1>I want to go and watch the like the truck

0:36:38.840 --> 0:36:40.120
<v Speaker 1>switch over totally.

0:36:40.200 --> 0:36:40.520
<v Speaker 3>I would.

0:36:40.520 --> 0:36:43.960
<v Speaker 2>I've always wanted to go to Laredo and also go

0:36:44.000 --> 0:36:46.960
<v Speaker 2>across the border to Nuevo Laredo. Also, I really want

0:36:47.000 --> 0:36:49.600
<v Speaker 2>to go to Nuevo Leone, the capital of Monterey, Like

0:36:49.640 --> 0:36:52.480
<v Speaker 2>if you look at its skyline. There's some great pictures

0:36:52.480 --> 0:36:54.920
<v Speaker 2>of it, like it looks like this sort of like

0:36:54.920 --> 0:36:56.880
<v Speaker 2>like if you just looked at the skyline on a

0:36:56.920 --> 0:36:59.879
<v Speaker 2>picture like Google Images, you'd think it's like some rise

0:37:00.680 --> 0:37:04.360
<v Speaker 2>East Asian city because it looks so modern and gleaming

0:37:04.440 --> 0:37:06.239
<v Speaker 2>and nestled in the mountains, like you think you'd be

0:37:06.280 --> 0:37:08.960
<v Speaker 2>looking at somewhere in Taiwan or Career or something. So

0:37:09.200 --> 0:37:10.840
<v Speaker 2>I want to take a I want to take a

0:37:10.880 --> 0:37:12.200
<v Speaker 2>Nueva Leone trip as well.

0:37:12.320 --> 0:37:16.040
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that'd be interesting. So that was fascinating. I especially

0:37:16.160 --> 0:37:19.640
<v Speaker 1>liked Matt's detailed description of you know, from the time

0:37:19.840 --> 0:37:23.520
<v Speaker 1>the request for trucking or a quote is made to

0:37:23.760 --> 0:37:26.279
<v Speaker 1>like the end goal of actually moving the goods. That

0:37:26.360 --> 0:37:29.439
<v Speaker 1>was really interesting. I guess the one question I have,

0:37:29.800 --> 0:37:33.160
<v Speaker 1>and Brad Setzer has written quite a bit about this,

0:37:33.320 --> 0:37:37.040
<v Speaker 1>but like, how much of the increase in Mexico US

0:37:37.160 --> 0:37:42.319
<v Speaker 1>trade that widening deficit has been a post pandemic recovery

0:37:42.520 --> 0:37:46.800
<v Speaker 1>and maybe more car imports being made. We've certainly seen

0:37:46.880 --> 0:37:51.080
<v Speaker 1>that in the numbers versus that friend shoring idea or

0:37:51.120 --> 0:37:53.120
<v Speaker 1>a mix of both. But it does seem to me

0:37:53.480 --> 0:37:57.080
<v Speaker 1>like maybe there's also the thing that you mentioned in

0:37:57.120 --> 0:38:00.759
<v Speaker 1>the intro the idea that like the trade statistics undercount

0:38:01.040 --> 0:38:04.600
<v Speaker 1>some Chinese imports or they don't take into account Chinese

0:38:04.640 --> 0:38:07.840
<v Speaker 1>imports that are going through Mexico and then onto the US.

0:38:08.360 --> 0:38:11.840
<v Speaker 1>So I guess I still have some questions around that

0:38:12.040 --> 0:38:15.520
<v Speaker 1>overall picture, but that was super interesting.

0:38:15.800 --> 0:38:19.000
<v Speaker 2>The thing that I'm really interested is whether, like we're

0:38:19.040 --> 0:38:22.480
<v Speaker 2>going to see a sustained capital deepening in Mexico. So

0:38:22.600 --> 0:38:25.719
<v Speaker 2>you build a big Tesla factory and then suddenly there

0:38:25.719 --> 0:38:28.400
<v Speaker 2>are a lot more people that have had the experience

0:38:28.520 --> 0:38:31.680
<v Speaker 2>of building a factory, right, and so that presumably you

0:38:31.719 --> 0:38:33.440
<v Speaker 2>can do. I mean, it's the story we always talk

0:38:33.480 --> 0:38:36.319
<v Speaker 2>about with the rise of East Asian manufacturing. But then

0:38:36.320 --> 0:38:38.080
<v Speaker 2>you have that sort of learning, and then you have

0:38:38.200 --> 0:38:40.959
<v Speaker 2>more people that know how to do other advanced manufacturing.

0:38:41.239 --> 0:38:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Some monkeys jumping from trees, that's right, are monkeys going

0:38:45.120 --> 0:38:47.520
<v Speaker 1>from tree to tree as Housemen's.

0:38:47.000 --> 0:38:49.920
<v Speaker 2>Dis cardio houseman pudding. Like to me, like, that's really

0:38:50.160 --> 0:38:53.800
<v Speaker 2>exciting if that sort of takeoff, those sort of network

0:38:53.800 --> 0:38:56.200
<v Speaker 2>effects can be built up, and so then you have

0:38:56.280 --> 0:38:59.560
<v Speaker 2>manufacturing that leads to more manufacturing. And then of course

0:39:00.080 --> 0:39:03.359
<v Speaker 2>theory at least that it requires like some success from

0:39:03.400 --> 0:39:08.280
<v Speaker 2>the public sector, both on security and then also infrastructure, electricity,

0:39:08.880 --> 0:39:12.360
<v Speaker 2>highways through almost the country. Still not great, but it

0:39:12.440 --> 0:39:14.839
<v Speaker 2>seems like there could be the seeds there of some

0:39:14.880 --> 0:39:18.680
<v Speaker 2>sort of like sustained, sustained increase in wealth, which would

0:39:18.680 --> 0:39:19.640
<v Speaker 2>be pretty cool, or just the.

0:39:19.560 --> 0:39:23.000
<v Speaker 1>Idea that capital attracts additional capital. Yeah, people see stuff

0:39:23.040 --> 0:39:25.520
<v Speaker 1>getting built. It's kind of like a network effect. Everyone

0:39:25.719 --> 0:39:29.200
<v Speaker 1>gets excited one thing is built and that enables a

0:39:29.239 --> 0:39:31.600
<v Speaker 1>bunch of other things. Absolutely, I can't believe I said

0:39:31.640 --> 0:39:35.279
<v Speaker 1>monkeys jumping from trees. I suddenly had an image of, like,

0:39:35.920 --> 0:39:38.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, a chimpanzee, like just leaping out of

0:39:38.239 --> 0:39:40.560
<v Speaker 1>a tree, going ah and falling to the ground. That

0:39:40.600 --> 0:39:42.920
<v Speaker 1>doesn't make sense in a trade context. That's not a

0:39:42.920 --> 0:39:43.800
<v Speaker 1>good trade analogy.

0:39:44.520 --> 0:39:48.160
<v Speaker 2>Leave it there, Okay, all right, we're.

0:39:48.080 --> 0:39:50.520
<v Speaker 1>Leaving it there. This has been another episode of the

0:39:50.560 --> 0:39:53.400
<v Speaker 1>All Thoughts podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me

0:39:53.640 --> 0:39:55.080
<v Speaker 1>at Tracy Alloway and.

0:39:55.000 --> 0:39:57.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm Jill Wysenthal. You can follow me at the Stalwart.

0:39:58.160 --> 0:40:01.960
<v Speaker 2>Follow our guest Matt Silver Hea at Matt Silver Follow

0:40:02.000 --> 0:40:06.120
<v Speaker 2>our producers Kerman Rodriguez at Kerman Arman, Dashel Bennett at

0:40:06.200 --> 0:40:09.400
<v Speaker 2>Dashbot and Kelbrooks at Kelbrooks and thank you to our

0:40:09.440 --> 0:40:13.040
<v Speaker 2>producer Moses Ondem. For more Oddlots content, go to Bloomberg

0:40:13.080 --> 0:40:16.200
<v Speaker 2>dot com slash odd Lots. We have transcripts, a blog,

0:40:16.400 --> 0:40:19.359
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0:40:19.719 --> 0:40:23.120
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0:40:27.680 --> 0:40:30.840
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0:40:30.880 --> 0:40:33.359
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0:41:07.320 --> 0:41:07.360
<v Speaker 3>In