1 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: The show goes on. This is the official show on 2 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:20,600 Speaker 1: the fish Stripes podcast channel where we cover the Miami 3 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:25,240 Speaker 1: Marlins every day in our own way. I am Eli Sussmith, 4 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: the managing editor of Fish Stripes. Wherever you're listening to 5 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 1: this pod, please rate and review and subscribe so that 6 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: you get all of our episodes as well. Fast approaching 7 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:40,159 Speaker 1: the regular season, this episode is supposed to come out 8 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: on Monday morning, but I rushed it for what are 9 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: very obvious reasons to react to the news of Jorg 10 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 1: so Lair signing with the Marlins. A new format of 11 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: our podcasting schedule kind of it started last week. This 12 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 1: will be the first real, full full week that we 13 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 1: are getting it done, where you'll me on the official 14 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:04,960 Speaker 1: show usually dropping on Monday mornings and Thursday mornings. You'll 15 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 1: have the normal Big Fish Small Pod with Daniel Rodriguez 16 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 1: and Aty wordall on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, Thursdays and Fridays, and 17 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 1: so on my Monday episodes. To just create some continuity 18 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:21,119 Speaker 1: to get us make sure we're covering every weekday, I'm 19 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 1: going to start off our Monday pods with a small 20 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: pod portion where I'll run through just some big storylines 21 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: around the Marlins in recent days in ten minutes or less. 22 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 1: Then we're going to go to a commercial. Then we're 23 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 1: going to come back from a commercial with my main 24 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 1: topic and analysis on the Marlins for that episode. So 25 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 1: is that clear? This should give you a good example 26 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 1: as we try out that format. The Marlins just started 27 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 1: their grape Fruit League schedule on Friday and then play 28 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 1: again on Saturday. Two and oh start to the spring 29 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 1: training schedule for the Marlins. That's nothing new. We know 30 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: this team for each of the last four years they've 31 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 1: had a winning records in Grapefruit League play. Certainly looks 32 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 1: like it'll be that case again, dealing with the shortened 33 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 1: schedule and getting off to such a hot start. Friday's 34 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 1: opener started by the presumptive opening day starter in the 35 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:16,880 Speaker 1: regular season for the Marlins, Sandy Alcantra. He was perfect, 36 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:21,519 Speaker 1: literally perfect, nine up, nine down, facing the Washington Nationals, 37 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 1: facing a Nationals lineup that I will add was close 38 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:27,799 Speaker 1: to full strength, not totally. They may have been missing 39 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:31,920 Speaker 1: Nelson Cruise in that game, just about everybody else was 40 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 1: in there, and it was at least somewhat of a 41 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 1: reminder you don't want to overreact to the results, but 42 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 1: it was somewhat of a reminder that the Nationals are 43 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: not going to be particularly good this year. I think 44 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: any rational person would think that the Marlins, especially in 45 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 1: light of this latest signing, seem to be pretty safely 46 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 1: out of the cellar in the National League East this 47 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: upcoming season. Marlins won that game eight to three over 48 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: the Nationals. We got another spring training home run for 49 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:06,639 Speaker 1: Jazz Chisholm Junior. He's been great in spring training. You 50 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 1: may remember at this time last year when he was 51 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 1: competing for the second base job against Eson Diez. His 52 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: home run in the opening game of that spring training 53 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:20,959 Speaker 1: schedule certainly set the tone that he would ultimately earned 54 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:25,400 Speaker 1: that job over Yan no controversy whatsoever. Entering this spring. 55 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:28,640 Speaker 1: He is pretty well set as the everyday second baseman 56 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 1: for the Marlins in twenty twenty two, and as if 57 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:34,079 Speaker 1: that was in any doubt, he hit a three run 58 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 1: homer against Josh Rogers. The left handed pitcher that you 59 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 1: may remember from last season taunted him about his Eurostep celebration. 60 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 1: Jazz was able to get his revenge with a home 61 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 1: run against Josh Rogers, an equally big offensive impact in 62 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: this one from Lorenzo Quintana, the thirty three year old 63 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 1: catcher slash dh slash first baseman. I was surprised how 64 00:03:57,440 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: many people were unaware of him and he had this 65 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 1: big hit. But he was in the Marlins organization last year. 66 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 1: They did make a mid season trade to acquire him 67 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:10,680 Speaker 1: as minor league depth from the Astros. So this was 68 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: his first spring training as a member of the Marlins organization. 69 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: He got off to a good start. Very doubtful that 70 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 1: he sneaks onto the opening day major league roster, yet 71 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: he needs somebody to keep an eye on for at 72 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: some point this year making a debut, and it would 73 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: be a really fun story. As a thirty three year 74 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 1: old who is this close to reaching the majors was 75 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 1: a pretty nice track record of being able to hit 76 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 1: in the minors. It'd be fun to give him an 77 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 1: opportunity at some point down the line. Moving on to Saturday, 78 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: Marlins win again, this one against the Astros ten to two. 79 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 1: Another commanding victory. This one a different vibe around it though, 80 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:57,479 Speaker 1: because the Astros did not send anybody recognizable. I pride 81 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: myself on following every team at least to a certain degree, 82 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: and I did not recognize anybody that was in this 83 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 1: game for the Astros. I could be wrong. I don't 84 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: think more than a couple of them had any major 85 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:13,799 Speaker 1: League experience, and they certainly were not the familiar faces 86 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: that have led the Astros to being very good teams 87 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 1: year in and year out. The Marlins caught a break 88 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 1: here and they took care of business. We had three 89 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: home runs by Avacil, Garcia, by Brian Anderson, by Jar 90 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 1: and Karnassion. In particular, the Garcia and and Karnassion home 91 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 1: runs were no doubters. I can't even remember which one 92 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:39,280 Speaker 1: was the longest. I think Jerrars was actually longer. Aviacil 93 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 1: was only four hundred and forty nine feet, and Jar 94 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 1: even longer than that. You'll remember two years ago in 95 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 1: Jerrar's first year, I think on the forty men roster, 96 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 1: he put on a show that spring as well, showing 97 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 1: power to all fields that there's no doubt about that. 98 00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 1: When it comes to his skill set, the question is 99 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: kind of everything else, whether he's really an outfielder or 100 00:06:02,440 --> 00:06:05,600 Speaker 1: a first baseman. The swing and miss issues he had 101 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 1: last year at Double A were really concerning. It's a 102 00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 1: very critical year in his developments entering his age twenty 103 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: four season and the Brian Anderson home run, it should 104 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 1: not be overlooked. He had another at that in that 105 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:21,560 Speaker 1: game where he hit it all the way to the 106 00:06:21,600 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: warning track at Roger Dean for somebody that is coming 107 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 1: off of shoulder surgery. Really the main concern that I 108 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 1: had about Ba is exactly what the power would look like, 109 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: especially early in the year. So for him to show 110 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,919 Speaker 1: it a little bit in this game, that is a 111 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: nice step in the right direction. On the pitching side, 112 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 1: Pablo Lopez started this game and is now lined up 113 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 1: as the number two starter for the Marlins. That maybe 114 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:52,799 Speaker 1: it slightly surprising that he is slightly is oncepot ahead 115 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:57,239 Speaker 1: of Trevor Rodgers in that order. Will Stewart in relief. 116 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 1: There were what four relievers that came to finish the 117 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,960 Speaker 1: game off behind Pablo and Will Steward pitched three scoreless 118 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 1: innings coming on the pen. Getting stretched out as a 119 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 1: starter where he'll go either to double A or to 120 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 1: triple A this season one of the pieces from the 121 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 1: JT Realmuteau six Do Sanchez Jorgel Tharro trade, so he 122 00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: still arounds. He opened my eyes a little bit the 123 00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 1: fact that he reached all the way up to ninety 124 00:07:24,200 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 1: four miles per hour from the left side with his fastball. 125 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 1: He's not known for that ve low. That's something to 126 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 1: keep an eye on is whether that carries over to 127 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:38,120 Speaker 1: full length starts during the regular season. Through those first 128 00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 1: two spring training games, the Marlins outscoring their opponents eighteen 129 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: to five, and there are by Mike count, only a 130 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 1: small number of position players that have not gotten into 131 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: those games. For the most part, they went with almost 132 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 1: entirely different groups of hitters for the opener on Friday 133 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:58,040 Speaker 1: versus the second game on Saturday. The ones we are 134 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 1: still waiting to see in game action are williams Astadio, 135 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: Delino Deshields, Santiago Chavez, and Jose Devers and unofficially waiting 136 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:14,880 Speaker 1: for the debut of Jorge so Laire. Breaking news on 137 00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 1: Saturday night, we find out a three year, thirty six 138 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 1: million dollar contract for Jorge Solaiir that was somewhat on 139 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 1: the high side of what he was projected to get 140 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 1: coming off his World Series MVP performance. As I've spotlighted 141 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: a couple of times on social media, Miguel Rojas has 142 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: been advocating for this since early in the offseason. He 143 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:42,960 Speaker 1: perhaps optimistically willed it into existence when he predicted that 144 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:46,160 Speaker 1: so Lair would sign a three year deal with the Marlins. 145 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:50,319 Speaker 1: So I gonna bake so Laire to come here for 146 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 1: three years. The prediction from almost four months ago has 147 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 1: finally come to fruition. A unique contract structure for sure, 148 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:01,119 Speaker 1: as opt outs after each of the first two years 149 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 1: of that deal. It's just going a year by year 150 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:07,280 Speaker 1: with him, and it's a twelve million dollars salary for 151 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:11,960 Speaker 1: this upcoming season if he stays, fifteen million for year 152 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 1: two and twenty twenty three, followed by nine million in 153 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: the final year of the deal. That also has four 154 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 1: million dollars of potential bonuses. He can reach those bonuses 155 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 1: depending on a number of plate appearances that he gets. 156 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 1: So maximum value of the deal would be forty million 157 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 1: dollars over those three years. And although as I said, 158 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:31,839 Speaker 1: this is on the high side of what he was 159 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: projected to get entering free agency when you put it 160 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:39,079 Speaker 1: heads ahead with the Nick Castiano's deal that was five years, 161 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:43,440 Speaker 1: one hundred million dollars, the Kyle Schwarber deal four years, 162 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: seventy nine million dollars, and as I record, this, We're 163 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:50,840 Speaker 1: still waiting for a resolution on Michael Confordo's free agency. 164 00:09:51,160 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 1: I think the opinion is certainly that he'll get more 165 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:57,480 Speaker 1: on an annual basis than Solaier is getting on this one. 166 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 1: But how much of a discrepancy that will play a 167 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 1: large role in whether or not the Marlins actually made 168 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 1: the right choice here. So they had alternatives, a couple 169 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 1: of them that are off the board would have been 170 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:10,079 Speaker 1: a whole lot more expensive for guys that are about 171 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 1: the same age as so Layer entering his age thirty season. 172 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: As of this recording, only nineteen days until opening day, 173 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 1: and it's just a fraction of what you normally get 174 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:23,599 Speaker 1: over the course of a full spring training. There's a 175 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 1: question about, you know, exactly how much time is needed 176 00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: for both pitchers and position players who get fully up 177 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 1: to speed for the regular season. With so Layer, it's 178 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 1: now a maximum of thirteen games until spring training games 179 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 1: until opening day, and realistically the steal isn't even official yet, 180 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:44,240 Speaker 1: so more likely he's going to have no more than 181 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 1: eleven or twelve games to get tuned up for the 182 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 1: regular season, and hopefully that is enough time. They were 183 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 1: really not just testing the fans patience. They were really 184 00:10:56,200 --> 00:11:00,079 Speaker 1: just pushing the edge on you know, a realistic I 185 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: should say, like runway for what a player needs in 186 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:06,439 Speaker 1: order to get his timing back at the plate, a 187 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:09,120 Speaker 1: certain amount of reps that are needed, all the stuff 188 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 1: that happens behind the scenes, to get familiar with your 189 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:15,600 Speaker 1: teammates and your coaching staffs, to understand their philosophies and 190 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:17,960 Speaker 1: all that. It takes time. You can't just do it 191 00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:20,040 Speaker 1: at the very last minute and expect that player to 192 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 1: perform up to expectations unless they are given that luxury. 193 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:28,880 Speaker 1: The bottom line is so Lair should provide a substantial 194 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 1: boost to their offense, which we know has been holding 195 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:41,559 Speaker 1: back this team in recent years. For the main body 196 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 1: of this podcast, we're going to get into the five 197 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:47,480 Speaker 1: big questions that I have coming off of this Jorge 198 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:51,200 Speaker 1: Solaiir signing. As I said a moment ago, thirty six 199 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:54,560 Speaker 1: million dollars guaranteed, but with a couple opt outs in 200 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:58,199 Speaker 1: there after each year, with performance bonuses going along as well. 201 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 1: For a player that res has been exclusively a right fielder, 202 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:06,240 Speaker 1: it's an interesting fit. We start off with what this 203 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:09,199 Speaker 1: could possibly mean for the center field situation. We are 204 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 1: just days removed from Kim Ang addressing the media and 205 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 1: reiterating that getting an offensive minded center fielder was the 206 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:21,720 Speaker 1: top priority for them at that time. And we know 207 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:25,240 Speaker 1: in particular, the one name that has been stressed about 208 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 1: from at least local media has been their interest in 209 00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 1: Brian Reynolds of the Pittsburgh Pirates, a deal that I've 210 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:37,200 Speaker 1: reiterated is doubtful to happen before the start of the 211 00:12:37,200 --> 00:12:41,320 Speaker 1: season from the Pirates perspective, And there are some other 212 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:45,319 Speaker 1: potential options out there that could get really creative with 213 00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: With Ramon Lariano on the Oakland Days still having to 214 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 1: finishing up his ped suspension, somebody on Twitter floated to 215 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:58,160 Speaker 1: me the idea of trying to pry Harrison Bader from 216 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 1: the Saint Louis Cardinals. He certainly checked the boxes defensively 217 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:06,839 Speaker 1: and has at times been more than competent offensively as well, 218 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 1: but he is a very popular player among that fan base. 219 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:12,360 Speaker 1: When when you look at options like that for teams 220 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 1: that are pretty clearly in contention this upcoming season, it's 221 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:18,760 Speaker 1: going to be harder to agree to terms on a 222 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:22,800 Speaker 1: deal that is mutually beneficial for both sides. During a 223 00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 1: Twitter Spaces session that we had on Saturday night, ram 224 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:32,199 Speaker 1: Leyden floated the idea of Miles Straw of the Cleveland Guardians, 225 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 1: I believe, really speedy player who is coming off I 226 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 1: think would have to be the best full length season 227 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:43,199 Speaker 1: in the Majors. But the Guardians are team that's kind 228 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 1: of in the middle, just like the Marlins are as 229 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 1: to whether or not they're going to be contending this 230 00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:52,360 Speaker 1: year or not. There's still trade candidates out there, I guess, 231 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 1: but you're dealing with a numbers game at some point. 232 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:59,480 Speaker 1: You know, if you're going to acquire another full time 233 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:03,040 Speaker 1: sort of player in addition to Solaier, in addition to 234 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:08,680 Speaker 1: who you already had, then inevitably somebody that we already 235 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: know when had penciled in for this opening day roster 236 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 1: is going to get squeezed off and more likely moved 237 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 1: in a corresponding trade as well. It gets really messy 238 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:21,880 Speaker 1: if they try to do that absent the acquisition of 239 00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:26,240 Speaker 1: another new player. The internal options they have are interesting. 240 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 1: They have a handful of players that could potentially play 241 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 1: center field, but we begin with probably obviously el Garcia. 242 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 1: Kim has been asked about whether he's an option in centerfield, 243 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 1: and she has essentially said that he's an emergency option. 244 00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 1: He did play center field, played it poorly in the 245 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 1: twenty twenty season with the Brewers for reasons I've discussed 246 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:52,760 Speaker 1: on the site, there's reason to believe he's a little 247 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:55,920 Speaker 1: bit more competent than the defensive metrics and eye tests 248 00:14:55,920 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 1: would say. He was overweight during that twenty twenty season. 249 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:02,840 Speaker 1: As long as he's has more readiness for that challenge 250 00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 1: this year and has been conditioning himself appropriately, has been 251 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 1: practicing it in spring training, at least behind the scenes, 252 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:12,160 Speaker 1: I think he could be more adequate than you would 253 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:15,320 Speaker 1: think as a center fielder. It's just a question of 254 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 1: exactly whether he's good enough to pick up the slack 255 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 1: of the limitations of his teammates. So Layer is a liability. 256 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:28,520 Speaker 1: Defensively decent, a top end speed, but not good reaction 257 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 1: off the bat, the routes that he takes. Even when 258 00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:37,720 Speaker 1: he's just limited to one position in right field, he 259 00:15:37,760 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 1: doesn't really have the tools to compensate for just a 260 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:43,280 Speaker 1: lack of instincts at that position. You need a good 261 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 1: center fielder to fully make up for that. Avisail is 262 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 1: probably not that guy. Hey sus Sanchez probably not that 263 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:54,800 Speaker 1: guy's a lot of similarities to Avisail except even less 264 00:15:55,080 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 1: actual center field experience in pro ball, and yes, some 265 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 1: of the same patterns with him where he's surprisingly agile 266 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 1: for his size. It's just whether he has those instincts, 267 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 1: that communication, that burst off the bat to be able 268 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:14,520 Speaker 1: to make those plays in the outfield, and especially to 269 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: do it at a level that compensates for the limitations 270 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: of his teammates. Brian Delacruz is still here. He's on 271 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:23,680 Speaker 1: the forty man roster, and yes he has minor league options, 272 00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 1: but the way that he hit last year and the 273 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 1: way that he defended, especially in the corner spots, but 274 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 1: he showed already that he's more than just an emergency 275 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 1: option in center field. He would be the best defensive 276 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 1: option of those three. If you can justify actually putting 277 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 1: him in the starting lineup. That's a big question. Then 278 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 1: the non roster invitees in camp I believe are all 279 00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 1: three of them. I don't know if Brian Miller is 280 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 1: technically an NRI, but we saw him in the majors 281 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 1: last year. He's already ready to kind of be pushed 282 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 1: to the major league level if he fits on the 283 00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:01,680 Speaker 1: roster as well as the actual free agent minor league 284 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 1: scitings they brought in for centerfield, Roman Quinn and most 285 00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:08,760 Speaker 1: recently Delino Deshields. Both those guys in Quinn and Deshields, 286 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 1: have pretty considerable major league experience. I can't see them 287 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:16,240 Speaker 1: actually pulling off the Reynolds trade or the Loreano trade 288 00:17:16,920 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 1: before opening day, at least for the start of the season. 289 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 1: This might be the outfield group that they have making 290 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:29,600 Speaker 1: it work now with so Lair joining the others and 291 00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:34,760 Speaker 1: hoping that you can find the right combination between the 292 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: conventional center field defender and those really exciting bats to 293 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 1: not be underscored. You know how much offensive potential both 294 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:48,959 Speaker 1: Avasel and Hayesus have and that goes along way towards 295 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 1: making up for any divisiencies that they bring you when 296 00:17:52,320 --> 00:18:01,160 Speaker 1: forced into center field. Number two big question coming off 297 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 1: this signing is whether Solai can coexist on the roster 298 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 1: with Garrett Cooper and Hayesus Aguilar. There's some redundancy there. 299 00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 1: So Lair is a flawed defensive Flair and in that respect, 300 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:20,800 Speaker 1: you know, to fully take advantage of his skill set, 301 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:22,960 Speaker 1: you're going to be using him as a dh a 302 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,919 Speaker 1: considerable amount of time. The Braves, of course, did not 303 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,000 Speaker 1: have that option last year. This is going to be 304 00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:33,480 Speaker 1: the first year where a universal designated hitter isn't to effect. Previously, 305 00:18:33,520 --> 00:18:35,520 Speaker 1: when he was playing with the Royals, you know, the 306 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:38,160 Speaker 1: Royals did use him quite a bit as a DH 307 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:42,160 Speaker 1: to mitigate some of the limitations he has as a fielder. 308 00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:46,920 Speaker 1: There's a lot of similarities between Solaire and Cooper and Aguilar. 309 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 1: They're all right handed batters, so Lair actually the youngest 310 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:53,000 Speaker 1: of the bunch. That might surprise people that Solaire is 311 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:57,679 Speaker 1: younger than Aguilar or Cooper. They have all three of 312 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:01,760 Speaker 1: them pretty mild platoon splits. They are almost as trustworthy 313 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,360 Speaker 1: against right handed pitching as they are against left handed pitching. 314 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:08,439 Speaker 1: They're not obvious part time platoon candidates. I'm not sure 315 00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:11,960 Speaker 1: how that would work, especially with Cooper. We've seen that 316 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:14,119 Speaker 1: he is a streaky player. When things go bad like 317 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,760 Speaker 1: they did early in twenty twenty one, in the middle 318 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:23,320 Speaker 1: of twenty nineteen, he's pretty useless, just to put it bluntly. 319 00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 1: On the other hand, when he heats up, he is 320 00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:30,640 Speaker 1: legitimately one of the most dangerous hitters in all of baseball. 321 00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:33,480 Speaker 1: We saw that leading up to the middle of the 322 00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:36,399 Speaker 1: season this past year, and at various times in twenty 323 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:40,480 Speaker 1: nineteen as well in twenty eighteen. For most of that year, Yeah, 324 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:45,640 Speaker 1: he was pretty great. So with him, I think he's 325 00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:49,320 Speaker 1: somebody that if he ever were to stay healthy, he 326 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,520 Speaker 1: profiles as an everyday player, not somebody you would really 327 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,600 Speaker 1: wouldn't platoon him, because when he's hot, he could hit 328 00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:58,399 Speaker 1: pretty much anything. When he's not, then he takes a 329 00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 1: back seat. Somebody that I think if you dive deep 330 00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:04,440 Speaker 1: enough into it and look at how he performs against 331 00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:08,360 Speaker 1: pitchers with certain release points or certain pitch mixes, he's 332 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 1: somebody that could be very strategically rested against right handed batters. 333 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 1: That's kind of nickpicking, though, when you look at what 334 00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,160 Speaker 1: he was doing for a lot of the twenty twenty 335 00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:23,840 Speaker 1: one season before his knee started bothering him. It's a 336 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 1: good problem to have to have. So Lair and Cooper 337 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:30,879 Speaker 1: and Aguilar as potential middle of the order hitters, but 338 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:35,360 Speaker 1: the key is going to be with Cooper's defensive fit 339 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 1: right now, how do you fit them all in the 340 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 1: same lineup, presumably Solar and right and Aguilar and Cooper 341 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 1: switching off between first base and DH. I don't think 342 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:50,479 Speaker 1: that's going to be the everyday alignment. As I said, 343 00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 1: you're going to want a DH so lair on occasion, 344 00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:57,440 Speaker 1: and you're gonna have to pay all three of these 345 00:20:57,440 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 1: guys at the same time. I whis from the outside, 346 00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:03,720 Speaker 1: I think is a totally reasonable thing to expect from 347 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:07,119 Speaker 1: a Major League baseball team. The question is whether you 348 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 1: know Bruce Derman has the stomach for that. So layer 349 00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:14,359 Speaker 1: earning twelve million dollars this season, arbitration projections for Cooper 350 00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 1: is three million dollars and for Aguilar it is seven 351 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 1: point four million. We are still waiting on clarity as 352 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 1: to exactly what those guys will be making during the 353 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:29,240 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two season. So combined between all three, you're 354 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:34,160 Speaker 1: looking at right around twenty two million dollars between those 355 00:21:34,320 --> 00:21:38,880 Speaker 1: three guys. Is ownership you know, willing to sign off 356 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:41,800 Speaker 1: on that. I think he's going to be whether Cooper 357 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:47,480 Speaker 1: is okay to play the corner outfield spots in a pinch, 358 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,240 Speaker 1: you know, on days where so Laer needs the DH 359 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:54,920 Speaker 1: or when both when Aguilar definitely needs the DH for 360 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 1: an extended period. Stuff like that. They Cooper reportedly from 361 00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:02,679 Speaker 1: Joe Fersaro Man on Second Baseball. He was under the 362 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:05,879 Speaker 1: impression that there would be no outfield in his diet 363 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 1: for this season, understanding how that affects his injury risk 364 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:12,920 Speaker 1: and how his own defensive performance in the corner spots 365 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:16,959 Speaker 1: is shaky. Are they going to backtrack on that? Are 366 00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:19,520 Speaker 1: they going to open up? Are they going to, you know, 367 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:22,879 Speaker 1: tell him that he needs to change of plans, that 368 00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:25,800 Speaker 1: he needs to be prepared to play those corner spots 369 00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:29,159 Speaker 1: on occasion. If not, it's just difficult for me to 370 00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:33,120 Speaker 1: see all three of those guys on the team together. 371 00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:35,479 Speaker 1: If you're not going to have that versatility to have 372 00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:39,000 Speaker 1: two first baseman DH types and yet to have you know, 373 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 1: invest quite a bit in this player that you know 374 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: is going to be an occasional DH for you as well. 375 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 1: There's kind of this misconception that the designated hitter is 376 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:52,960 Speaker 1: changes everything about offense in the National League. I feel 377 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:57,160 Speaker 1: that's been overstated already. You had in a typical game, 378 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:01,320 Speaker 1: you were using two, sometimes even three pinch hitters in 379 00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,280 Speaker 1: the same game after the starting pitcher exits. You know, 380 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:06,879 Speaker 1: there were already quite a bit of played appearances available 381 00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,880 Speaker 1: in what is in a hitting role. It was pinch 382 00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 1: hitting back then. Now it's daching. Before National League TAM's 383 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:18,920 Speaker 1: already had you know, close to half of a DH spot. 384 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:22,960 Speaker 1: And that's that's especially if you incorporate the Inder league 385 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,679 Speaker 1: games that they played at American League parks. This doesn't 386 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 1: magically open like seven hundred more played appearances for the team. 387 00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: It's more like three hundred or three fifty that you 388 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,240 Speaker 1: didn't have last year that you have now. It's not 389 00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:40,480 Speaker 1: a brand new full spot that appeared at nothing. It's 390 00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,520 Speaker 1: really half a spot that you now have and want 391 00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:46,200 Speaker 1: to figure out how to use. I think what's clear 392 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,720 Speaker 1: is that they can't just sit on their hands from here. 393 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 1: You know, it's either trading one of those guys to 394 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,879 Speaker 1: address a position and make the roster more complimentary, you know, 395 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 1: finding a way to get that last bullpen arm in 396 00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 1: a trade, or even some upper minor league depth that 397 00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 1: you could see contributing later in the year. That the 398 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:11,000 Speaker 1: pieces don't really fit together all that perfectly with this move. 399 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,240 Speaker 1: Understanding that this was not the plan from the beginning. 400 00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 1: You know, the plan once, especially once they signed Avasel 401 00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 1: primarily as a corner outfielder, is to bring in a 402 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:24,440 Speaker 1: second guy in center field and pivoting to so Lair 403 00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 1: the way they did it solves some problems, but it 404 00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,640 Speaker 1: creates new ones as well when you're talking about how 405 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:38,800 Speaker 1: exactly he fits with the pieces they already had. Question 406 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:41,199 Speaker 1: number three I have coming out of the signing is 407 00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:46,240 Speaker 1: how much Solair's Cuban heritage impacted this decision. He is, 408 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:51,160 Speaker 1: you might be surprised by this, only the tenth major 409 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:54,360 Speaker 1: league player of Cuban descent that the Marlins have had, 410 00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:59,440 Speaker 1: most famously Jose Fernandez and Levan Hernandez Jose Fernandez and 411 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:04,199 Speaker 1: Leave on her name and is most recently odrissmer D'spanie 412 00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:09,680 Speaker 1: from twenty sixteen to twenty eighteen. Their Orestus Destrata, of course, 413 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,440 Speaker 1: was on the inaugural team in ninety three, and there 414 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:15,840 Speaker 1: are five other bit players mixed in there, so certainly 415 00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,119 Speaker 1: some prominent ones with Levon and what he meant to 416 00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:21,560 Speaker 1: the ninety seven World Series with Jose and how he 417 00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:25,480 Speaker 1: performed so exceptionally well in his four Marlin seasons. So 418 00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:29,919 Speaker 1: Lair is the first big ticket veteran Major leaguer to 419 00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:33,679 Speaker 1: come via free agency and have that Cuban connection in 420 00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:36,720 Speaker 1: him that this is notable this is different from what 421 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:40,840 Speaker 1: they've done. This feels familiar to how fans were excited 422 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:46,199 Speaker 1: about potentially getting Yasiel Plague what two off seasons ago. 423 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 1: We'll see if the actual anticipation for it converts to 424 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:55,639 Speaker 1: the real life engagement that fans have with this team. Ultimately, 425 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 1: I think we'll find out that they care a whole 426 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:02,879 Speaker 1: lot more about following competitive team then they do. A 427 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:07,160 Speaker 1: Cuban team puts a layer both in his production and 428 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 1: the style that he plays with, even outside of Cubanos. 429 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:15,080 Speaker 1: I mean, for somebody like me to watch him, it's 430 00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:19,160 Speaker 1: it's a it's a really sexy playing style, his tool set, 431 00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 1: the just the awesome raw power that he has. Truly 432 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:25,800 Speaker 1: not at the very top of the scale. It's like 433 00:26:26,040 --> 00:26:29,040 Speaker 1: just a tick below what we saw with gian Carlo 434 00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:31,800 Speaker 1: Stanton for all of those years. He's he's the closest 435 00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:36,720 Speaker 1: they've had to that ever since. Then swaying in a tribe, 436 00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:43,239 Speaker 1: hammer down the line, I'll mess. We know certainly from 437 00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:46,840 Speaker 1: his side, it was appealing to play for the Marlins. 438 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,480 Speaker 1: He makes his off season home in Miami and he 439 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:53,639 Speaker 1: has for quite a while now, so from him it 440 00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:56,120 Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense, and I imagine, especially early 441 00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:58,360 Speaker 1: in the year, there are going to be some marketing 442 00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:02,919 Speaker 1: uh perks that the Marlins reap from having a Cuban 443 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,680 Speaker 1: player in the middle of their lineup almost every single day, 444 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:10,199 Speaker 1: and one that finished last season performing so well and 445 00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:13,760 Speaker 1: especially in the most critical moment winning the World Series 446 00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:18,560 Speaker 1: MVP with the Braves. Like, there's lots of like about that, 447 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,960 Speaker 1: But this goes into point number four. Question number four 448 00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,520 Speaker 1: is whether the adjustments that he made in the middle 449 00:27:30,560 --> 00:27:33,560 Speaker 1: of the twenty twenty one season are legit. If you 450 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,280 Speaker 1: look at the price that they paid for so Lair, 451 00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 1: they are seemingly betting quite a bit that the second 452 00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:44,479 Speaker 1: half so Layer is the one that they'll beginning for 453 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:49,040 Speaker 1: the next several years. He was not playing well at 454 00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:52,720 Speaker 1: all when the Royals traded him to the Braves, moved 455 00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:58,840 Speaker 1: for just two very marginal prospects, a glorified salary dump 456 00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:01,159 Speaker 1: by the Royals to the Brains, because he was playing 457 00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:05,480 Speaker 1: so poorly early in the twenty twenty one season for 458 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:09,399 Speaker 1: a team that was out of contention. So what you 459 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,600 Speaker 1: see when you look a little closer is that there 460 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:13,840 Speaker 1: may have been some bad luck in play with how 461 00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:16,440 Speaker 1: he's performing early on that maybe he was not quite 462 00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:19,440 Speaker 1: as bad as he thought. According to Statcast, there were 463 00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:24,120 Speaker 1: a handful of home runs that were that batted potential 464 00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:27,000 Speaker 1: home runs based on the batted ball quality that simply 465 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,520 Speaker 1: stayed in the park. Zue too, where he was playing, 466 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 1: or the climate that he was playing in the particular 467 00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 1: direction that he was hitting those balls. You that if 468 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 1: you were to control for some of those variables, he 469 00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:45,840 Speaker 1: e could have been more productive with the Royals than 470 00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:48,600 Speaker 1: he actually was. But the bottom line stats were really ugly. 471 00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:51,720 Speaker 1: A one to ninety two batting average a six fifty 472 00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:56,480 Speaker 1: eight ops only about seventy five percent of a league 473 00:28:56,520 --> 00:29:00,840 Speaker 1: average hitter when you adjust for the league and the ball, 474 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,800 Speaker 1: and really it was a continuation of what had been 475 00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:08,480 Speaker 1: his issue throughout his career is swinging and missing. For 476 00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 1: his career, even including the twenty twenty one season, he 477 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:14,000 Speaker 1: strikes out twenty seven percent of the time, and during 478 00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,320 Speaker 1: his portion of the twenty twenty one season with the 479 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:18,840 Speaker 1: Royals it was twenty seven percent. This is on the 480 00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:21,520 Speaker 1: heels of a COVID shortened year in twenty twenty, where 481 00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:25,360 Speaker 1: he struck out thirty four in a half percent more 482 00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:27,960 Speaker 1: than one third of his plate appearances in twenty twenty 483 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 1: were strikeouts. That's a number that, regardless of how hard 484 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,280 Speaker 1: you hit the ball, is very difficult to overcome that 485 00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:38,680 Speaker 1: and be legitimate every day middle of the order hitter 486 00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:42,880 Speaker 1: the way that he was in twenty nineteen. I'll be 487 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 1: interested to see exactly what sort of player the Marlins 488 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:48,120 Speaker 1: envisioned him being moving forward. There was the twenty nineteen 489 00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:51,719 Speaker 1: season where he hit forty eight home runs, where there 490 00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:54,800 Speaker 1: was a considerable amount of swing and miss, but so 491 00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:59,200 Speaker 1: much game power and a lot of discipline as well 492 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:01,600 Speaker 1: at the play. That's something that I think people may 493 00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,200 Speaker 1: be missing about Solaire is for a decent chunk of 494 00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:07,880 Speaker 1: his career, he has been disciplined. He does lay off, 495 00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:12,520 Speaker 1: He does not chase pitches out of the zone the 496 00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:15,520 Speaker 1: way that you might expect. He's somebody that has that 497 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,800 Speaker 1: element in his game. It was just a matter of 498 00:30:18,520 --> 00:30:21,120 Speaker 1: bats of all skills and pitch recognition, you know, when 499 00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 1: it comes to actually doing damage on balls that were 500 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,040 Speaker 1: in the zone, and that's something that was kind of 501 00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,000 Speaker 1: lacking for his game. From his game for a lot 502 00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:31,040 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one and after the trade, it was almost 503 00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,360 Speaker 1: like a switch flipped and down the stretch with the 504 00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:36,680 Speaker 1: Braves hit two sixty nine, had an eight eighty two 505 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:42,560 Speaker 1: OPS that's awesome. And his strikeout rate plummeted, so from 506 00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:45,480 Speaker 1: being twenty seven percent with the Royals early in the year, 507 00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:49,760 Speaker 1: which was considerably worse than league average, he dropped it 508 00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:54,440 Speaker 1: to eighteen point six percent, which is much better than 509 00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:58,280 Speaker 1: league average, and which is far lower than it had 510 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:01,120 Speaker 1: ever been in any season of his career. So that 511 00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,920 Speaker 1: was something that was totally new. That an adjustment you 512 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:07,080 Speaker 1: don't really see from a twenty nine year old, and 513 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:09,600 Speaker 1: when you dig into the the numbers a little bit more, 514 00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:13,240 Speaker 1: you see somebody that was kind of making a conscious 515 00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:18,720 Speaker 1: adjustment in that regard, just not swinging with as much 516 00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:22,520 Speaker 1: ferocity as he had been earlier in the year. That 517 00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:24,640 Speaker 1: was mostly a good thing. He was using the opposite 518 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:29,280 Speaker 1: field more and again just kind of toning down, toning 519 00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:32,320 Speaker 1: down the ferocity of his swing, and a part of 520 00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:34,240 Speaker 1: this was just some of his luck evening out with 521 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:37,080 Speaker 1: those long five balls going over the wall, and also 522 00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,280 Speaker 1: on batting average on balls and play like his babbit 523 00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,440 Speaker 1: early in twenty twenty one was one of the lowest 524 00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:46,600 Speaker 1: in baseball among qualified hitters, and that started to creep 525 00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:51,080 Speaker 1: up closer to his career average later on. If he 526 00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 1: is fully that player that he was in late twenty 527 00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:58,480 Speaker 1: twenty one for the next several years, then he's especially 528 00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:00,760 Speaker 1: if he is that player for this upcoming season, then 529 00:32:00,800 --> 00:32:04,440 Speaker 1: it's really complicated with the setup of this deal. You know, 530 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:07,240 Speaker 1: if he continues to be the Braves version of himself 531 00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:10,760 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two, and he stays healthy, then he's 532 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:12,960 Speaker 1: going to probably race his stocks so much that'll be 533 00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:15,760 Speaker 1: tantilizing for him to opt out of the final two 534 00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 1: years in twenty four million dollars of his deal. Finally, 535 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:27,000 Speaker 1: as we wrap up this podcast, a fifth question in 536 00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,560 Speaker 1: the aftermath of the Solaier signing is in regards to 537 00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:33,200 Speaker 1: that contract and how long we can expect him to 538 00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:38,320 Speaker 1: be here. It's usually not that complicated most contracts that 539 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:41,280 Speaker 1: have been signed in Marlin's history, even if they are 540 00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:44,080 Speaker 1: multi year deals. Maybe there's a club option attached to 541 00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:47,040 Speaker 1: the end of it, maybe there are certain intentives involved. 542 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:50,719 Speaker 1: This would seem to be a first to have multiple 543 00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:54,880 Speaker 1: opt outs in the same multi year deal. He has 544 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:57,760 Speaker 1: an option to opt out after the twenty twenty two 545 00:32:57,800 --> 00:33:03,640 Speaker 1: season and again in twenty twenty three. That first salary 546 00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:05,560 Speaker 1: is going to be twelve million. Then it jumps up 547 00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:09,600 Speaker 1: to fifteen million to entice him to stay one more year. 548 00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:12,640 Speaker 1: And then in that third year, the base salary is 549 00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:16,480 Speaker 1: only nine million, but it can go up to thirteen 550 00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:19,040 Speaker 1: if he hits performance bonuses that are only tied to 551 00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:22,520 Speaker 1: plate appearances. If he makes if he's a qualified hitter 552 00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:25,160 Speaker 1: in that final season, he gets most of that money. 553 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,080 Speaker 1: It's the incentive start. I believe, at what three hundred 554 00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,840 Speaker 1: and fifty plate appearances, So if he just plays half 555 00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:34,720 Speaker 1: the season as a starter, then it goes up to 556 00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:36,840 Speaker 1: nine and a half million, and then it takes up 557 00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:39,080 Speaker 1: to ten and then eleven and twelve, and it maxes 558 00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:42,080 Speaker 1: out at thirteen if he makes five hundred and fifty 559 00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:46,640 Speaker 1: plate appearances in that final year. They're really this is 560 00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 1: kind of five A and a five B. You know, 561 00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,520 Speaker 1: the question of whether or not he opts out of 562 00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:54,040 Speaker 1: this deal at a certain point, and whether or not 563 00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:57,000 Speaker 1: he's actually a Marlin even if he stays for all 564 00:33:57,040 --> 00:34:01,240 Speaker 1: three years. So the second part is almost impossible to 565 00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:05,960 Speaker 1: say the first part. I would lean towards the most 566 00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:09,040 Speaker 1: likely scenario here being that he actually does stay for 567 00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:13,760 Speaker 1: all three years. Really, the only way that he thoroughly 568 00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:16,479 Speaker 1: kind of outperforms those final two years of the deal. 569 00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:20,000 Speaker 1: Is if he stays mostly healthy and if his numbers 570 00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:25,720 Speaker 1: pretty closely resemble the Braves twenty twenty one version of himself, 571 00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:29,160 Speaker 1: and certainly if he somehow gets back to the twenty 572 00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:33,439 Speaker 1: nineteen version where he was right around a five win 573 00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:36,799 Speaker 1: player or excuse me, actually that was just on the 574 00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:39,839 Speaker 1: offensive side. If you incorporate his full elements to his game. 575 00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:42,879 Speaker 1: The peak version of him in twenty nineteen was only 576 00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:45,040 Speaker 1: about three and a half when was above a replacement. 577 00:34:45,120 --> 00:34:47,720 Speaker 1: Let's see, it was three point five according to Baseball 578 00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:50,759 Speaker 1: Reference and from Fangrafts or do they have it at 579 00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:55,800 Speaker 1: also three point six? So that is the realistic ceiling. 580 00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,799 Speaker 1: I don't think he's going to have the best year 581 00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:02,879 Speaker 1: of his life at age thirty, but maybe he does 582 00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:05,000 Speaker 1: revert back to that twenty nineteen form, in which case 583 00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:08,040 Speaker 1: it would make sense to opt out and look for 584 00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:12,160 Speaker 1: a new multi year deal at age thirty one. I 585 00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:16,439 Speaker 1: still think the realistic expectation is for something less than 586 00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:19,920 Speaker 1: that in such a way that makes it tantalizing to 587 00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:24,439 Speaker 1: stay where he's at for twenty twenty three. Again, he'll 588 00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:26,919 Speaker 1: have that option again to opt out after the twenty 589 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:30,600 Speaker 1: twenty three season, and even though the base salary does 590 00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:34,520 Speaker 1: tumble quite a bit entering twenty twenty four, at that 591 00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:36,560 Speaker 1: point he's going to be a thirty two year old. 592 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,320 Speaker 1: We don't think the fielding is going to get any better. 593 00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:43,680 Speaker 1: It's not just the struggles to be a good fielder, 594 00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,719 Speaker 1: it's also just the lack of versatility. That he has 595 00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:53,960 Speaker 1: been exclusively a right field DAH type since twenty eighteen. Yeah, 596 00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:56,200 Speaker 1: twenty seventeen was the last time he even played an 597 00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:59,800 Speaker 1: ending in the regular season in another position. That was 598 00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:03,440 Speaker 1: left field for the Royals. When somebody is that limited 599 00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:07,920 Speaker 1: with their versatility and just grades out pretty negatively as 600 00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:10,359 Speaker 1: a defender, doesn't give you much on the bases either. 601 00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:12,560 Speaker 1: To be noted that you know he hasn't stolen a 602 00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:17,080 Speaker 1: base or even attempted to steal in three years, that 603 00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:21,120 Speaker 1: that type of player is being devalued in baseball these days. 604 00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:23,959 Speaker 1: He was able to get the deal that he did, 605 00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:26,200 Speaker 1: I guess because he is younger than you would think, 606 00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:28,840 Speaker 1: the fact that this is going to be his age 607 00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:32,319 Speaker 1: thirty season. I think for that reason he was able 608 00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:34,480 Speaker 1: to cash in the way that he did. Every year 609 00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:39,400 Speaker 1: after that, it gets almost exponentially harder for somebody to 610 00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 1: get to be trusted to maintain their level of production 611 00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:45,000 Speaker 1: moving forward. That's what we've seen from the way that 612 00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:49,399 Speaker 1: front offices operate. And if he even if he does 613 00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:53,840 Speaker 1: well in twenty twenty three, you know, because of his age, 614 00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:57,920 Speaker 1: and even though four million dollars of those performance bonuses 615 00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:01,239 Speaker 1: are hardly guaranteed that they're just contingent on him being 616 00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:04,759 Speaker 1: a regular in that lineup. So if he finishes off 617 00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:10,120 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three and things are going pretty well and 618 00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:12,600 Speaker 1: he's he at least has that security of a job 619 00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:15,800 Speaker 1: at either right Field or DH or a combination of both, 620 00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:18,680 Speaker 1: it's going to be tempting for him to opt in 621 00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:23,319 Speaker 1: and stay for that security and to stay in a 622 00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:26,360 Speaker 1: place that he is as comfortable as can be. You know, 623 00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:28,480 Speaker 1: that is a big element of how this came together, 624 00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:32,120 Speaker 1: as him wanting to be in Miami year round, where 625 00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:34,600 Speaker 1: you know, he already makes his offensive his off season 626 00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:37,520 Speaker 1: home with his wife and with his children. I think 627 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:40,759 Speaker 1: that plays a little part into it. As long as 628 00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:45,359 Speaker 1: he feels relatively confident in being playing close to every day, 629 00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:47,680 Speaker 1: you know, moving forward that next year and understanding those 630 00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:53,040 Speaker 1: bonuses are well within reach. That's pretty likely. The wrinkle 631 00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:55,440 Speaker 1: in it, of course, as if he gets traded between 632 00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:59,600 Speaker 1: now and then, if the Marlins are not in contention 633 00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:03,480 Speaker 1: by the middle of this season and they expect but 634 00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:06,200 Speaker 1: yet he is doing his part and they feel it 635 00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:09,040 Speaker 1: is a significant threat that he opts out of his deal, 636 00:38:10,080 --> 00:38:12,600 Speaker 1: they'll be They'll be tempted to make a move in 637 00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:16,360 Speaker 1: that regard. It'll be extremely unpopular, of course. It is 638 00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:18,440 Speaker 1: something that you know, we need to consider when you 639 00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:20,920 Speaker 1: look at the strength of this National League East Division. 640 00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:24,319 Speaker 1: For all the Marlins have done on both before and 641 00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:28,640 Speaker 1: after the lockout, are they have they really closed the 642 00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:31,120 Speaker 1: gap all that much with the Mets and with the 643 00:38:31,160 --> 00:38:34,719 Speaker 1: Phillies and with the Braves as well. I think a 644 00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:38,520 Speaker 1: little bit, a little bit for sure with all those teams, 645 00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:41,759 Speaker 1: but enough to make, you know, confidently project them to 646 00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:47,080 Speaker 1: stay in the playoff mix all season long. We need 647 00:38:47,120 --> 00:38:48,920 Speaker 1: to be we need to be prepared, you know, for 648 00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:52,040 Speaker 1: a worst case scenario where potentially they are in the 649 00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:55,200 Speaker 1: same situation situation they were last year, where they're what 650 00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:58,360 Speaker 1: ten twelve games under five hundred by the middle of 651 00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:02,080 Speaker 1: the season, if the rest of the offense around so 652 00:39:02,239 --> 00:39:05,680 Speaker 1: layer doesn't deliver or if as much as we think 653 00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:07,759 Speaker 1: about this young pitching staff, you know, it's a new 654 00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:10,160 Speaker 1: challenge for them to be in this division that is 655 00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:14,160 Speaker 1: absolutely loaded with bats. It's I can't stress that enough 656 00:39:14,160 --> 00:39:19,200 Speaker 1: how much offensive firepower this division has from teams investing 657 00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:22,920 Speaker 1: quite a bit to surround the familiar faces we already 658 00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:26,839 Speaker 1: knew with newcomers like Matt Olsen on the Braves and 659 00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:32,480 Speaker 1: Castianos and Swarber on the Phillies, Starling Marte obviously flipping 660 00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:36,080 Speaker 1: and going to the Mets, the Mets getting Mark Canna 661 00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:40,239 Speaker 1: and free agency as well, like this seems didn't take 662 00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,719 Speaker 1: a step back, and at the very least in the 663 00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:46,719 Speaker 1: case of what the Phillies and the Mets, they both 664 00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:49,200 Speaker 1: seem to be more formidable than they were last year. 665 00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:51,320 Speaker 1: It's not the Marlins in a vacuum just trying to 666 00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:54,319 Speaker 1: get better. It's also accounting for the opponents that make 667 00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:58,520 Speaker 1: up nearly half of your regular season schedule. It's a 668 00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:03,799 Speaker 1: pretty imposing situation that they're up against. Thankfully, they did 669 00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:08,720 Speaker 1: something to draw themselves within reach of those other teams. 670 00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:12,160 Speaker 1: It was a grim outlook if they weren't able to 671 00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:16,080 Speaker 1: get an above average bat to you know, finish off 672 00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:20,279 Speaker 1: their their lineup. So thankfully so Laire is here. It's 673 00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:24,080 Speaker 1: going to be a fun honeymoon. Whether it carries over 674 00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,440 Speaker 1: for the entire length of his three year deal, it's 675 00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:32,560 Speaker 1: it's hard to say. Ultimately, I think it's hard to 676 00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:36,280 Speaker 1: really be too negative about this particular deal just because 677 00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:39,719 Speaker 1: it's not a huge risk. And again, the worst case 678 00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:42,919 Speaker 1: scenario is he makes fifteen million dollars in twenty twenty three, 679 00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:45,880 Speaker 1: and that's a year before the Marlins really have to 680 00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:49,120 Speaker 1: make any other huge investments in their homegrown core. You know, 681 00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:52,120 Speaker 1: Jazz is still going to be pre arbitration eligible, Trevor 682 00:40:52,160 --> 00:40:55,080 Speaker 1: is still going to be pre arb as well. Sandy's 683 00:40:55,280 --> 00:41:00,239 Speaker 1: backloaded extension is is backloaded for that reason, and it 684 00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,080 Speaker 1: does not most of the money does not kick in 685 00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:05,160 Speaker 1: until twenty twenty five, and some of those other guys 686 00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:08,239 Speaker 1: that are still have an extra year of control moving 687 00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:11,080 Speaker 1: forward to everybody from Joey Wendel to Jacob Stallings to 688 00:41:11,160 --> 00:41:14,960 Speaker 1: even Brian Anderson to Miguel Rojas. He's locked in at 689 00:41:15,000 --> 00:41:18,919 Speaker 1: a reasonable number for twenty twenty three. So Solaire could 690 00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:23,600 Speaker 1: completely flop and be you know, either so mediocre or 691 00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:26,640 Speaker 1: so risky from a health standpoint that they're unable to 692 00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:29,319 Speaker 1: move him at any point during the year. Even if 693 00:41:29,320 --> 00:41:31,480 Speaker 1: you enter twenty twenty three and you're kind of stuck 694 00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:35,200 Speaker 1: with him without knowing exactly how to utilize him, it's 695 00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:38,040 Speaker 1: not going to necessarily drag down and doom the team 696 00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:42,120 Speaker 1: from turning that second year into a competitive one. You know, 697 00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:44,960 Speaker 1: they don't need him to be an everyday player for 698 00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:47,279 Speaker 1: this to work out. That is what they're hoping though, 699 00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:49,839 Speaker 1: You know. That's what they're hoping, is that these adjustments 700 00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:53,680 Speaker 1: that he made last year, that the abilities that he 701 00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:57,560 Speaker 1: showed in twenty nineteen are still there for somebody that 702 00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:01,880 Speaker 1: is seemingly in the prime of his career. I feel 703 00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:05,000 Speaker 1: confident in predicting that this is not the final tweak 704 00:42:05,040 --> 00:42:07,560 Speaker 1: you would see to the Marlins forty man roster between 705 00:42:07,560 --> 00:42:11,440 Speaker 1: now in opening day. You don't necessarily have to trust 706 00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:14,719 Speaker 1: that every button they push is the right one. But 707 00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:18,319 Speaker 1: their intentions are good. They are trying to optimize this 708 00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:22,239 Speaker 1: roster for the twenty twenty two season, and that is 709 00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:25,600 Speaker 1: that is exciting. This is really the first time, certainly 710 00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:28,680 Speaker 1: since the ownership changed, that you felt that they are 711 00:42:29,200 --> 00:42:33,840 Speaker 1: kind of pulling in that direction. Hopefully they get the 712 00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:37,360 Speaker 1: support from the highest level from ownership, from Rue Sherman, 713 00:42:37,560 --> 00:42:41,120 Speaker 1: you know, to spend any additional money to bring this 714 00:42:41,200 --> 00:42:44,000 Speaker 1: all home. You know, for the time being, you would 715 00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:46,319 Speaker 1: think that with all the revenue sources that they have 716 00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:49,360 Speaker 1: in a return to normalcy when it comes to the 717 00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:54,399 Speaker 1: fan experience and the television broadcast rights, that they would 718 00:42:54,440 --> 00:42:56,680 Speaker 1: be able to afford to add even more on top 719 00:42:56,719 --> 00:43:01,240 Speaker 1: of this. It's hard for me need to be anything 720 00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:05,239 Speaker 1: but you know, slightly relieved to see them add that 721 00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:08,920 Speaker 1: additional bat in Jorge Solair. This has been Eli Susman 722 00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:12,600 Speaker 1: for the official show. So many more angles of the 723 00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:15,000 Speaker 1: signing to break down, and I mean, by the time 724 00:43:15,040 --> 00:43:17,760 Speaker 1: I put this out it might be official. Just waiting 725 00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:20,600 Speaker 1: on that word to come, to get the deal done 726 00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:25,040 Speaker 1: and to make potential corresponding moves on the heels of 727 00:43:25,080 --> 00:43:28,399 Speaker 1: it in order to get ready for opening day. We're 728 00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:31,920 Speaker 1: going to have podcasts on this feed five days a 729 00:43:31,960 --> 00:43:35,680 Speaker 1: week at least for the foreseeable future. We hope you 730 00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:39,359 Speaker 1: listen in support the pod, share the pod as well 731 00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:42,000 Speaker 1: as all the fish Stripes coverage that we provide on 732 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:56,160 Speaker 1: our many different platforms. Thanks for tuning in go fish