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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game.

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Speaker 2: Ju Us Prout read enough there were running a game.

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Speaker 3: So smoothe so sweet.

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Speaker 2: Sid sisting just glorious text procution.

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Speaker 4: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

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Speaker 4: thousand percent.

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Speaker 3: Of the time.

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Speaker 2: How shot with that shop with mind, buddy, and that's

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Speaker 2: why you see you as beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 3: Look at his movements the most.

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Speaker 2: Dangerous amount of the planet. Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 5: Up.

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Speaker 1: I'm trying.

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Speaker 6: The one.

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Speaker 4: It's left to one, the wide eyed drill pibus how

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Speaker 4: old earth pick that happens?

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Speaker 1: Hello everybody, Welcome back to Wonder Goal soccer betting podcast

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Speaker 1: from the Action Network. My name is Michael lebuff joining

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Speaker 1: me in just a moment to go over all the

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Speaker 1: boxing day fixtures coming our way December twenty sixth and

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Speaker 1: it's a coupled to twenty seventh won the twenty eighth.

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Speaker 1: My co hosts, my colleagues, my brothers embedding, BJ Cunningham

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Speaker 1: Anthony Dubunda were fresh after what forty eight hours from

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Speaker 1: the World Cup final. I was just in England at

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Speaker 1: the World Darts Championship. But we're back, baby, and I

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Speaker 1: would be remiss not to mention that the last time

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Speaker 1: we had a Premier League episode, our underdog parlay a

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Speaker 1: two hundred and one to one Underdog parlay hit. So

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Speaker 1: hopefully we could keep that momentum going as we head

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Speaker 1: towards the new year. But before I bring in Anthony

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Speaker 1: and bj a reminder that this episode of Wonder Goal,

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Speaker 1: and every episode of Wonder Goal are brought to you

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Speaker 1: by Bet three sixty five, the world's favorite sportsbook brand.

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Speaker 1: Sign up with promo code action to get BET three

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Speaker 1: six fives exclusive sign up off for a new jersey

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Speaker 1: and Colorado. Bet one dollar on any game, get two

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars free, and a little note, a little special

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Speaker 1: treat for the listeners. We actually had a conversation with

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Speaker 1: Eric Ronalda that you can listen to at the very

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Speaker 1: end of this podcast, where we kind of finally put

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Speaker 1: a bow on the US men's national team.

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Speaker 3: In the World Cup.

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Speaker 1: We talked little Geo Rayina, some great Berhalter MESSI to

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Speaker 1: enter Miami, and of course some bocum uh. But before

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Speaker 1: we get to that, we got to talk about Boxing Day.

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Speaker 1: We got to talk about the first match on Boxing Day,

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Speaker 1: seven thirty am. Anthony, your Brentford Bees plus three hundred

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Speaker 1: hosting your Tottenham Hotspurs minus one ten. The draw here

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Speaker 1: is plus two forty. Are we going to see an

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Speaker 1: upset to start to fest sip the fest of season?

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Speaker 7: There was a time in the middle of the World

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Speaker 7: Cup where I didn't want to think about international soccer anymore.

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Speaker 7: So I pulled up the Boxing day calendar and I

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Speaker 7: just wanted to feel something.

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Speaker 1: And so I think I know exactly when that was.

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Speaker 3: Because it was too I believe it was.

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Speaker 2: Somewhere it might have I think it might have been

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Speaker 2: right before.

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Speaker 3: It's probably the day I bet against.

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Speaker 7: It was somewhere after that, but at some point I

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Speaker 7: don't remember when I could actually go look and when

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Speaker 7: I actually bet it. But uh, I decided that I

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Speaker 7: wanted to look at the calendar on Boxing Day and

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Speaker 7: immediately I was like, oh, that's right. Tottenham goes to

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Speaker 7: Brentford on Boxing Day. Tottenham top six in the world

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Speaker 7: of all the club teams in UH players minutes played

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Speaker 7: at the World Cup, Guys like Sonny Caine, Laurie Romero.

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Speaker 2: In the world charlis the best player in the world

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Speaker 2: at the World Cup.

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Speaker 7: So there was a lot of Benton Kerr getting hurt

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Speaker 7: after playing well and missing big chances for Uruguay. But yeah,

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Speaker 7: I mean when you compare that to Brentford, who had

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Speaker 7: pretty much nobody at the World Cup, just a huge difference.

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Speaker 7: Ivan Tony has been charged with another one hundred and

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Speaker 7: thousand counts of breaching the violations of the gambling and

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Speaker 7: I'm wondering, did Ivan Tony have the wonder goal underdog Parlat.

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Speaker 3: He's probably a big.

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Speaker 7: He did score the two goals for Brentford. That that

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Speaker 7: catch the largest leg for Michael there that nineteen to one.

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Speaker 7: But anyway, yeah, from this match, look, Tottenham's biggest dominance

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Speaker 7: and biggest success and their luck boxery has come from

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Speaker 7: set pieces all season long. They've been the number one

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Speaker 7: team going forward and defending set pieces. It's a big

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Speaker 7: advantage and it's carried their attack, which has been otherwise

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Speaker 7: very mediocre all season long.

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Speaker 2: Well, Brentford's a very good defensive.

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Speaker 7: Set peace team and they can kind of mitigate the

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Speaker 7: Spurs advantage there. They're a good defensive set piece team,

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Speaker 7: rank in the top seven defensively and defending set pieces,

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Speaker 7: and Brentford also has the largest or longest average shot

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Speaker 7: distance allowed now in past years Spurs have been very

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Speaker 7: good every in the past year. The second half of

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Speaker 7: last season, Spurs were very good at generating big scoring chances.

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Speaker 7: They were one of the best in the league at

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Speaker 7: getting the one or two big chances of every game.

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Speaker 2: This year ninth, ninth and big scoring chances created.

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Speaker 7: And it's kind of the point here, right, Like Spurs

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Speaker 7: just have not been quite as good a passing and

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Speaker 7: creating and moving and creating those big chances. They just

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Speaker 7: haven't been as good at ball retention. And I like

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Speaker 7: Brentford at home here catching half a goal. It's a

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Speaker 7: classic Brentford spot. We've talked about this before home against

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Speaker 7: the Big six team. They've been very good in those

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Speaker 7: spots always. They only have one home loss all season long,

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Speaker 7: and it came against Bjay's gunners. They've had three wins

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Speaker 7: three draws otherwise at home. I do think this is

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Speaker 7: a good Brentford spot, with Spurs potentially a bit flat

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Speaker 7: coming off of the break, Brentford had their whole team together,

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Speaker 7: big difference there.

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Speaker 2: I like the B's plus a half.

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Speaker 7: That's my first bet, but it is a seven thirty match,

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Speaker 7: so I'm probably doomed. But also it's a it's Monday,

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Speaker 7: so maybe I'm not doomed.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you. This Brentford money line, I think is

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Speaker 1: a nice post Christmas gift at three to one. You

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Speaker 1: said it. Everybody at Spurs went to the World Cup

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Speaker 1: and they went deep and they they just like left it.

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Speaker 1: How many players on Tottenham had their World Cup ended

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Speaker 1: with them holding their face in their shirt, knees on

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Speaker 1: the ground, mud stains on their knees, right, Like, that's

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Speaker 1: gonna take. I don't care what you say, it's gonna take.

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Speaker 2: Even Amero.

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Speaker 1: Were Charlison Lourice like this. I'm just saying, like, that's

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Speaker 1: gonna take a toll. And it's gonna sound like that

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Speaker 1: like the argument I made for Brentford against Man City

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Speaker 1: before the World Cup, which was what manager would you

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Speaker 1: want leading his charges into battle against a team like

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Speaker 1: this where he's just like, look, these are gonna be wilting.

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Speaker 1: They're not gonna want to be here man.

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Speaker 3: Like.

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Speaker 1: This is a great spot, like Brentford is. Brentford possibly

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Speaker 1: caught the two best spots when you think about their

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Speaker 1: opposition on on like if you bookend the World Cup right,

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Speaker 1: they get Man City right before the World Cup and

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Speaker 1: now they're gonna get Spurs right after the World Cup

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Speaker 1: when they just had everybody on their team. Spurs were

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Speaker 1: basically a World Cup team.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna beat them anyway. The would have beat him anyway.

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Speaker 7: They could have played him on a rainy night on

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Speaker 7: a Tuesday or on a Saturday or the World Cup.

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Speaker 7: But also it looks like Charlaton's gonna be out anyway

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Speaker 7: with an injury, so he's out too, which he's been

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Speaker 7: that good for Spurs, but doesn't help not having him.

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Speaker 1: It's it's a it's a wonderful spot. So yeah, bees

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Speaker 1: for me, BJ have we convinced you.

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Speaker 3: Here or yeah, I'll probably end up being on the Beast.

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Speaker 3: The one thing that just it's gonna be kind of

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Speaker 3: concerning for me, And one thing I kind of wanted

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Speaker 3: to watch with Brentford is is the Ivan Tony thing

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Speaker 3: because they really don't have anybody behind him. He's only

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Speaker 3: missed one match this season. It's gonna be my guy

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Speaker 3: Keen Lewis Potter probably playing up to.

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Speaker 7: Out though, because I think Tony has until January fourth

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Speaker 7: to respond.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it'd be a very eligible he might be eligible

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Speaker 3: to play if he is. I'm definitely betting Brentford. That

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Speaker 3: was my only hook, hiccup.

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Speaker 2: Look, it looks to me like everything you guys said,

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Speaker 2: the spot is.

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Speaker 3: Perfect here for Brentford, all the minutes that spurs of

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Speaker 3: log at the World Cup, for Charleston being out obviously

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Speaker 3: cool with Stepski's back, which helps them. But I mean

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Speaker 3: this is classic just bes versus the top six, Like

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Speaker 3: it's as simple as that. So I will be on Brentford.

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Speaker 3: If Tony plays, that's obviously big for them. But if

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Speaker 3: he doesn't, I think if.

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Speaker 4: He and if he does it, the number will go

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Speaker 4: will go higher at one, so get a better way.

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Speaker 4: I'm probably gonna wait until we have a lineup and

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Speaker 4: we know what happens. Right now, Tomam's actually kind of

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Speaker 4: getting steamed right now, like they were even money now

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Speaker 4: they're minus one fifteen, so I don't really know what's

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Speaker 4: going on there.

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Speaker 3: I think it probably it's the Tony thing. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: for me, I'm I'm gonna wait and see what happens

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Speaker 3: with all these lineups. There's just a lot of uncertainty

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Speaker 3: right now with Brentford, and I do have concerns to

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Speaker 3: them going forward. If Tony's obviously he's obviously probably going

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Speaker 3: to not play uh for the rest of the season,

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Speaker 3: if you even if he does play for these next

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Speaker 3: few matches.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Tripier got what a ten month ban for for

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Speaker 2: gambling and that was way less of a yeah.

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Speaker 3: Or you might not be seeing I have in Tony

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Speaker 3: for a while. Maybe maybe it was all big, just

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Speaker 3: a big misunderstanding.

187
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Speaker 2: I'm choosing to hope that that's the case, because they

188
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Speaker 2: would hate him. I would hate to see him ruin

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Speaker 2: Brentford for.

190
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Speaker 3: All of our Brentford futures that we have.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, oh I I by the way I pulled it up.

192
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Speaker 7: It was when Japan lost on the penalty shootout.

193
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Speaker 2: Was when I bet.

194
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Speaker 1: Pal All right, let's stick around in London. Palace is

195
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Speaker 1: an even money favorite hosting Fulham. The draw here is

196
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Speaker 1: plus two seventy five. I've got nothing here U. I

197
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Speaker 1: think the number on Palace is probably a little too short.

198
00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:06,199
Speaker 1: But can you trust this full of defense BJ.

199
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Speaker 3: I think, yeah, this is a pass for me, Like

200
00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:11,000
Speaker 3: I have Palace projected at plus one oh six. So

201
00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:14,280
Speaker 3: I think this is one of those matches that, especially

202
00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:19,079
Speaker 3: coming off a World Cup break, where like Fulham, their

203
00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:22,520
Speaker 3: defense is so bad like they have only there's only

204
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Speaker 3: one match this season where they haven't allowed a big

205
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Speaker 3: scoring chance. So they're one of the worst defenses. I

206
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Speaker 3: don't see it getting any better anytime soon.

207
00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:31,599
Speaker 6: You know.

208
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Speaker 3: Palace is classical Palace at home. Uh, but again I'm

209
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Speaker 3: with you. I think the number is a little bit

210
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Speaker 3: too short here on Palace who even going into the

211
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Speaker 3: break didn't really look that good against Nottingham for us.

212
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Speaker 3: So yeah, this is a pass for me.

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Speaker 1: That was for sure.

214
00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:52,600
Speaker 3: It was a wonderful That was a big one far overturn.

215
00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:53,319
Speaker 3: It was wonderful.

216
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Speaker 1: It's just great to the anything here before we move on.

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Speaker 7: You know, we have our little matrix that we use

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Speaker 7: to kind of prep for the and you pull up

219
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Speaker 7: the Palace Fullham one and it's like a ticking time

220
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Speaker 7: bomb with these two teams.

221
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Speaker 1: It's really it's really bad.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Palace man.

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Speaker 7: Like refs actually numbers don't have them as a bad team,

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Speaker 7: like they just have them as like a mediocre team.

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Speaker 7: But if you look at around in some of the

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Speaker 7: other websites that that maybe chart actually a little bit

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Speaker 7: different they or have you know, different methodologies. Uh, some

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Speaker 7: of them have them have them way lower than than

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Speaker 7: I do, for sure, And so I think we need

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Speaker 7: to take another closer look at Palace. This is not

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Speaker 7: the spot to do it, though, because Fulham is also

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Speaker 7: a team with plenty of regression coming.

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Speaker 2: The biggest thing for Fulham, and the only thing Fulham does.

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Speaker 7: Well is cross I mean, they've scored, you know, more

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Speaker 7: goals off of headers than any team in the league.

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Speaker 7: Matrovich has has been the goat h and he's been

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Speaker 7: incredible this season. You know, how sustainable is that? You know,

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Speaker 7: we'll see for metro, but I think that this is

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Speaker 7: a good stay away game. You know, we never liked

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Speaker 7: really betting Palace as a favorite. They have won three

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Speaker 7: straight home games, but you know, you go look at

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Speaker 7: like they just can't ever get the ball into the box,

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Speaker 7: see Like it's a problem that they're never able to

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Speaker 7: progress the ball into the penalty area with consistency like

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Speaker 7: they were last year, and even keeping opponents out of

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Speaker 7: their own penalty area has been a bigger problem this

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Speaker 7: year than it was last year too.

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Speaker 2: So maybe we're heading to VIIa second year here.

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Speaker 7: I don't know, but it's it's concerning for both of

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Speaker 7: these teams and something to watch, and I would I

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Speaker 7: would maybe, you know, maybe even playing under But again,

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Speaker 7: like the Fula minders have burned me so many times

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Speaker 7: this year, this team just loves to concede and score

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Speaker 7: goals out of nothing from no like rhyme or reason.

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Speaker 7: And it's been an ongoing thing for the last two years.

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Speaker 7: It's just they don't regress. So I'm gonna I'm gonna

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Speaker 7: proably pass here.

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Speaker 1: Congratulations to anybody who catched of Wolverhampton last a Christmas bet.

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Speaker 1: They will head to boxing Day in twentieth place, where

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Speaker 1: they will head to Goodison Park in a relegation six

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Speaker 1: point or against Anthony's Everdent h Everdent plus one twenty

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Speaker 1: five at home Wolverhampton plus two twenty The draw here

263
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Speaker 1: is plus two thirty. Julian low Patake, I just I

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Speaker 1: was kind of hoping that when Wolves hired him, they

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Speaker 1: were just going to shift from from all Portuguese players

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Speaker 1: to just like Spanish players.

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Speaker 3: Brazili They're going brazil but now they're going Brazilian.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they just brought it with the same language, Yeah, exactly,

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Speaker 1: so basically Portuguese, Yeah exactly. It's it's I don't think

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Speaker 1: that this number is going to stick where it is.

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Speaker 1: Is the point. I don't think everything's going to close

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty five. I believe that Wolves will take

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Speaker 1: money at plus two twenty. It's got to be Wolves

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Speaker 1: or nothing. And that hurts for you, Anthony, going against

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Speaker 1: your boys, the Taffies.

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Speaker 2: You know, I like forgot what happened in the Premier

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Speaker 2: League in the last month.

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Speaker 7: Like I had to go back and like re reaffirm

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Speaker 7: myself of everything, and I don't realized just how bad

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Speaker 7: Everton's defense was.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's really bad.

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Speaker 7: There are twentieth and shots allowed, nineteenth and non penalty

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Speaker 7: XG allowed. They played fifteen matches, so that means there's

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Speaker 7: four teams in the league they haven't played. Two of

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Speaker 7: them are Man City and Arsenal, so they have not

286
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Speaker 7: played the two best attacks in the league.

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Speaker 2: That's that's far.

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Speaker 7: There are maybe you know, two of the three best

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Speaker 7: with Liverpool best attacks in the league, and they are

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Speaker 7: still the second worst defense and.

291
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Speaker 2: Like they've been bailed out by Pickford. This is one

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Speaker 2: of those like classic.

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Speaker 7: Overrated, underrated, you know, regression on both ends pointing in

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Speaker 7: the same direction for me here and look, it's not

295
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Speaker 7: like a pretty bad I'm not gonna sit here and

296
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Speaker 7: wax poetically about Wolves. By the way, Josey's soft third

297
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Speaker 7: worst keeper in the league by post shot.

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Speaker 2: Expected goals this year. So yeah, but as far as

299
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Speaker 2: this game goes, I like Wolves.

300
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Speaker 1: I like Wolves.

301
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Speaker 2: Teams total over one and a half.

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Speaker 7: I think that this Everton team is just is another

303
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Speaker 7: you know, I said taking time bomb, Like they're on

304
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Speaker 7: the verge of potential trouble here with given how badly

305
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Speaker 7: they've been playing defense, and I wonder, like how much

306
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Speaker 7: of it is you know, they're getting away with it,

307
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Speaker 7: so they're they're not really tinkering with the system because

308
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Speaker 7: they're in theory not seeing that many goals, and like

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Speaker 7: they're kind of okay in the middle of the table

310
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Speaker 7: right now, but they keep playing like this, the goals

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Speaker 7: are going to be coming in in bunches. And I

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Speaker 7: think Wolves, you know, you know, when we're now, he's

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Speaker 7: making the easiest bets here and betting Wolves to score

314
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Speaker 7: and Wolves overs and Wolves. It's never easy, but you like,

315
00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:18,760
Speaker 7: they are going to start scoring at some point. And

316
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Speaker 7: now that they have a competent manager, I think, and

317
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Speaker 7: somebody who has a plan. You know, you may not

318
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Speaker 7: like him, he may be boring, but he does have

319
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Speaker 7: a plan of you know, we're going to get the

320
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Speaker 7: ball to pitch slowly, We're going to progress it out.

321
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Speaker 7: Why we're going to get crosses in Wolves do cross

322
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Speaker 7: at a pretty good rate. Everyton doesn't stop crosses either.

323
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Speaker 7: They're dead last and stopping crosses.

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Speaker 1: So like you to say that the counter codey to

325
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Speaker 1: his face.

326
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Speaker 7: Yeah, so you know they they have major issues and

327
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Speaker 7: I'm going to back Wolves here on the road.

328
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Speaker 1: Yeah, as painful as that is.

329
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Speaker 7: They only have eight goals this year from you know,

330
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Speaker 7: fifteen expected like there are there is positive aggression coming

331
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Speaker 7: for this Wolves team like they are not.

332
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Speaker 2: I have a relegation ticket on them. I would be

333
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Speaker 2: surprised if they were relegated.

334
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's fair. I think that's that's the

335
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Speaker 1: funny thing about the table right now too. It's better

336
00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:08,960
Speaker 1: than I thought. If you yeah, the twentieth the table

337
00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:14,640
Speaker 1: is better than I thought. I just let's just quickly

338
00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:17,280
Speaker 1: look at the bottom three since we're talking or the

339
00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:19,920
Speaker 1: bottom of the table, since we're talking about two team

340
00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:23,000
Speaker 1: at seventeenth and Eddon and Wolves who are at the

341
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Speaker 1: foot they're propping it up. Wolves at ten points, Southampton

342
00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:30,920
Speaker 1: twelve nodding a force at thirteen. Those are your three

343
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Speaker 1: teams in the drop zone right now. Then right above

344
00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:39,720
Speaker 1: them Everdon west Ham leads and Bournemouth Bournemuth at sixteen

345
00:16:39,800 --> 00:16:43,400
Speaker 1: leads fifteen. Everdon and west Ham both at fourteen. And

346
00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:47,400
Speaker 1: if just if you take those teams you can kind

347
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Speaker 1: of separate them into what kind of what you just said, Anthony,

348
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,360
Speaker 1: which is like west Ham is much better than I

349
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Speaker 1: think we've seen out of them, and we've given them credit.

350
00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:02,440
Speaker 1: For Wolves similarly, I think are going to get better,

351
00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:06,359
Speaker 1: and then you got team like Bourne. Myth. It has

352
00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:08,760
Speaker 1: just been kind of creatoring down the table. But still

353
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Speaker 1: I mean for them to be on sixteen points through

354
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Speaker 1: fifteen games is still impressive.

355
00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:16,399
Speaker 2: Anyways, not way to bet them this weekend.

356
00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:20,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, I know so much before we get there. Uh,

357
00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:22,439
Speaker 1: what are your thoughts here on Wolves and ever Did

358
00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:24,399
Speaker 1: because you're kind of going in a different direction for me.

359
00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:28,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, Michael, this happens all the time, right

360
00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:30,880
Speaker 3: we have a euros or we have a World Cup,

361
00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,159
Speaker 3: and you know it's similar than sport, whether it be

362
00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:35,280
Speaker 3: horse racing, whatever it is. You say, oh my gosh,

363
00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:36,800
Speaker 3: this is so much fun. I'm gonna do this every

364
00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:41,320
Speaker 3: single day. Well, then you pull up this match. It's

365
00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:43,240
Speaker 3: on Peacock Premium. Thank god, I thought they were gonna

366
00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:46,560
Speaker 3: put it on USA Network, and you watch ninety minutes

367
00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:48,800
Speaker 3: of it and you're like to the common you know,

368
00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:51,159
Speaker 3: the common fan and being like, yeah, I can't, I

369
00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:53,239
Speaker 3: can't do this. When is uh, I don't know one

370
00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:55,080
Speaker 3: of the twin of the Jags and Jets play.

371
00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:57,679
Speaker 1: Because I got like, I like board.

372
00:17:57,680 --> 00:17:59,280
Speaker 3: Both teams to score. Now one of my favorite bets

373
00:17:59,320 --> 00:17:59,959
Speaker 3: minus one of five.

374
00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:02,240
Speaker 1: I've put these two teams in LA League.

375
00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:03,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, put them in LA Liga. Put them at the

376
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:07,080
Speaker 3: bottom half of the table. No, it's just I get it,

377
00:18:07,160 --> 00:18:09,439
Speaker 3: Like when it's Anthony's point, Like, Everton's defense has been

378
00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:12,200
Speaker 3: very fortunate because of Pickford has been an incredible form.

379
00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,760
Speaker 3: But do you really I don't really expect Wolves to

380
00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:18,520
Speaker 3: break down another low block here. I mean, Everton's playing,

381
00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:22,240
Speaker 3: you know, the second deepest average defensive line, only to

382
00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:25,840
Speaker 3: Manchester United, Like they're eighteenth and field tilt like their

383
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,920
Speaker 3: sixteenth passes per defensive action. They are truly just a

384
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:32,080
Speaker 3: low block and hope type of team. But we forget

385
00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:35,560
Speaker 3: that Wolves has one of the highest average shot distance

386
00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:37,639
Speaker 3: in the Premier League, forty two percent of the shots

387
00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:40,320
Speaker 3: come from outside of the box. They've created just eight

388
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,720
Speaker 3: big scoring chances. That's dead last in the Premier League.

389
00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,840
Speaker 3: And listen, the flip side of the coin is it's

390
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:49,720
Speaker 3: like there have been large stretches where Everton has taken

391
00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:52,240
Speaker 3: maybe one or two shots over one hundred and twenty

392
00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:54,720
Speaker 3: minutes on the pitch. Now yet it now Dominic Calvart

393
00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:57,920
Speaker 3: Lewin's back like that helps, But I mean Everton's at

394
00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:01,720
Speaker 3: what one non penalty expected goal? There's seventeenth in shots

395
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,840
Speaker 3: for ninety they got the fourth lowest expected threat.

396
00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:07,680
Speaker 1: Uh and they just they did just beat aston Villa

397
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,680
Speaker 1: in a behind closed door friendly so ooh look out.

398
00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:15,280
Speaker 3: Yeah it was Jerry anyway, But no, I like, I

399
00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:17,280
Speaker 3: like to value on this side of projected at minus

400
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:19,119
Speaker 3: one twenty nine, I think this is one of those

401
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:22,000
Speaker 3: matches that Everdon's gonna concede a ton of possession to Wolves.

402
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 3: Wolves is gonna do what they do best, do absolutely

403
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:26,640
Speaker 3: nothing with all that possession, take a ton of shots

404
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:31,879
Speaker 3: from outside the box against both teams to score. Now

405
00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:33,119
Speaker 3: at minus one oh five.

406
00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,760
Speaker 2: I will say, uh, was it what episode? Maybe it

407
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:39,280
Speaker 2: was two episodes before the end of the year.

408
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:41,240
Speaker 7: I went on this thing and I said, Wolves are

409
00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:44,639
Speaker 7: gonna They're gonna like they're They're gonna take a ton

410
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:46,080
Speaker 7: of shots from distance, and then like one or two

411
00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:46,720
Speaker 7: there was gonna go in.

412
00:19:46,760 --> 00:19:48,520
Speaker 2: And then they played like a three to two thriller.

413
00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:49,560
Speaker 2: It was the Brighton game.

414
00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:51,119
Speaker 7: They played a three too thriller with Brighton, and I

415
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:53,560
Speaker 7: was sitting there like, oh, I was gonna bet both

416
00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:55,240
Speaker 7: teams to score, and it never actually did and that

417
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,159
Speaker 7: was that feels like this kind of game for me.

418
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:01,480
Speaker 2: But I don't know. I trust my Wolves. Maybe they'll

419
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 2: win two nil. Everybody's happened.

420
00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:05,159
Speaker 3: I trust ever since defense Michael.

421
00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:07,640
Speaker 1: I don't think kind of Cody can play this one though,

422
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 1: since he's on loan from Wolves.

423
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:15,440
Speaker 3: And actually it's true, Hey, your I mean is back?

424
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:15,880
Speaker 3: Were okay?

425
00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:19,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly and Cody Cody. So the first twenty minutes

426
00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 1: Cody scored his only goal in what six years in

427
00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:27,520
Speaker 1: this reverse fixture last year gets Everden one nil. All right,

428
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 1: Leicester City Newcastle. This is at the king Power Leicester

429
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:36,040
Speaker 1: plus two thirty, Newcastles plus one twenty. The draw here

430
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,120
Speaker 1: is plus one twenty. I think it's Newcastle or nothing.

431
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:42,040
Speaker 1: I know Lester started to trend up going into the break,

432
00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:47,600
Speaker 1: but sort of Newcastle, like the Newcastle team is out

433
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:48,160
Speaker 1: of control.

434
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:48,480
Speaker 5: Good.

435
00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:52,440
Speaker 1: It's kind of annoying, but it is what it is.

436
00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:58,959
Speaker 1: They've lost one game this season once there plus eighteen

437
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:01,440
Speaker 1: goal differential is the third best market in the league.

438
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,760
Speaker 1: They're in third on the table. They've got the third

439
00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:10,000
Speaker 1: best expected goals difference at Football ref Like, I just

440
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:14,800
Speaker 1: think they are much better team than Leicester City. So

441
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:18,520
Speaker 1: I'll probably be on Newcastle here as a short road favorite,

442
00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 1: which is, you know, the greatest number in the world.

443
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:24,440
Speaker 1: But I'm still gonna try to keep going against this

444
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:30,360
Speaker 1: Leicester team here, and I hope for the best. Anthony.

445
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:33,880
Speaker 7: Yeah, I like the under you know, famous last words

446
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 7: and these damn Lester matches. But Lester been scoring goals

447
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,399
Speaker 7: and bunches again and not really doing much to actually

448
00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:40,160
Speaker 7: create good.

449
00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:41,200
Speaker 2: Chances in those times.

450
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 7: Newcastle has done a much better job of strangling possession

451
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:48,960
Speaker 7: from opponents, which should make it more difficult for Lesser

452
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 7: to kind of just have all dangerous areas to get

453
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,680
Speaker 7: off those one or two bad shots that always seem

454
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:54,560
Speaker 7: to miraculously go in.

455
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:56,000
Speaker 2: But also this Newcastle team.

456
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:57,199
Speaker 7: I think we're at the peak of the market here

457
00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:59,879
Speaker 7: on them, Like I do think that Newcastle is a

458
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 7: little bit overvalued even but again like the Lesters, not

459
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:04,199
Speaker 7: the team I want to fade them against, Like there

460
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,399
Speaker 7: will be fad opportunities I think for Newcastle as we

461
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:08,320
Speaker 7: get into the new year, because I.

462
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:09,879
Speaker 2: Do think that they're a little bit hot right now.

463
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 7: I mean they're plus eight team goal difference, but the

464
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:14,400
Speaker 7: xt SHE difference is much closer to like nine to ten,

465
00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 7: which is still good of course, Like they're a very

466
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 7: good team, but they've also been much better away for

467
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 7: at home, they've been away but about a half goal

468
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,360
Speaker 7: half an expected goal worse on the road as they've

469
00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,399
Speaker 7: been at home maybe point six sich, so they've been

470
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:32,080
Speaker 7: considerably worse. You know, defense are going forward on the road,

471
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:33,840
Speaker 7: so I think it'll be a kind of a cag

472
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:37,200
Speaker 7: back and forth kind of game. And so under two

473
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 7: and a half plus money is a good bet for me.

474
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:42,920
Speaker 7: Both teams just running really hot going forward and I

475
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:45,960
Speaker 7: think there's regression coming for these attacks, so iright the ender.

476
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:49,080
Speaker 1: Both teams were in action in the EFL Cup over

477
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 1: the midweek as well. BJ what are your thoughts here

478
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:53,520
Speaker 1: Fox's Magpies.

479
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:56,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with Anthony. I'm gonna go both team to

480
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:59,360
Speaker 3: score now plus one thirty, I think we forget going

481
00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:03,280
Speaker 3: into the break. How ridiculously hot Leicester was offensively nineteen

482
00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 3: goals off of twelve point five expected since September fourth.

483
00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,159
Speaker 3: I mean, they're similar to Wolves where they're you know,

484
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:13,080
Speaker 3: they have a very very long average shot distance, like

485
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 3: they lead the Premier League with nine goals from outside

486
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:17,639
Speaker 3: the box off a two point nine expected. It's just

487
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,199
Speaker 3: not sustainable. And they also have created the third fewest

488
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:23,560
Speaker 3: big scoring chances. So this Leicester offense is going to

489
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:26,720
Speaker 3: crater and fall off. And you also have to think, okay,

490
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 3: this James Madison or Yurie Tillman's are they pushing for

491
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:33,520
Speaker 3: a January move? So you also have to factor that in.

492
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 3: And I mean, listen, Lester. What they obviously do a

493
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:38,320
Speaker 3: great job of is they play through pressure very well

494
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 3: because they have great ball progressors, you know, Telaman's and

495
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,800
Speaker 3: Madison who could play through that type of pressure. But

496
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:46,439
Speaker 3: if you look through their performances against good pressing teams,

497
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:48,719
Speaker 3: like it hasn't really been that good. So against top

498
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,639
Speaker 3: five pressing teams, which he leads, Man City, Chelsea and Arsenal.

499
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 3: In every single one of those matches, Leicester allowed to

500
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:59,160
Speaker 3: pass per defensive action under eleven they allowed to combine

501
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 3: twenty four high turnovers. And Newcastle they've turned into one

502
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,040
Speaker 3: of the best pressing teams in the Premier League. Like

503
00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:08,200
Speaker 3: their third and pass per defensive action they're second and

504
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 3: high turnovers and right before the break against Chelsea they

505
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:13,000
Speaker 3: had a passive per defensive action of seven point seven

506
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 3: against them. So and the Newcastle defense, I mean they've held,

507
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,440
Speaker 3: They've had seven clean sheets, they're only allowing point nine

508
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 3: non midd only expected goals per match for top five

509
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,600
Speaker 3: and expected thread aloud and all these other defensive categories,

510
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,440
Speaker 3: and in only six of their fifteen opponents have carried

511
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 3: over one expected goal and that was Liverpool City, Brighton, Brentford,

512
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 3: Tottenham in Southampton. So this is another situation where you know,

513
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:39,800
Speaker 3: similar to Wolves, like, if you're gonna bet on either

514
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,200
Speaker 3: Leicester to score or Lester in this match, is probably

515
00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:43,800
Speaker 3: gonna have to be from outside the box because I

516
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 3: don't really see them getting anything of value inside the

517
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 3: box against them, So I like the valley and both

518
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:49,680
Speaker 3: teams to score nine at plus one thirty.

519
00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:54,400
Speaker 1: Southampton and Brighton in a South Coast derby Saints plus

520
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:58,120
Speaker 1: two forty at home, Brighton plus one ten on the road.

521
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:04,879
Speaker 1: The draw sitting up there around two hundred. Nathan Jones

522
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 1: and from Lutontown. Good bid to Ralph Hassen Hudel terrible.

523
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:12,359
Speaker 2: I hate it.

524
00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 1: It is said it would be Saints or nothing for me,

525
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:19,760
Speaker 1: but Anthony and I don't have anything here. BJ What

526
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 1: are your thoughts on Nathan Jones and Saints.

527
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't have anything for this match, but I

528
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 3: can tell you what we're gonna expect from from Nathan Jones.

529
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,880
Speaker 3: It's gonna be. They are going to be the most

530
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,640
Speaker 3: direct team in the Premier League by a long shot.

531
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 3: It's funny if you go to if you go to OPTA,

532
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 3: they have this wonderful chart that shows whether teams are

533
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:43,240
Speaker 3: basically how direct they play or how possession based and

534
00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:46,160
Speaker 3: slow and edtricate and Lutontown is like all the way

535
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 3: up in the left hand corner. They're kind of gonna be.

536
00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:52,160
Speaker 3: They're kind of like the unyan Balin of the Championship.

537
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,920
Speaker 3: But with that being said, that doesn't mean Southampton's gonna

538
00:25:55,920 --> 00:26:00,400
Speaker 3: stop their frenetic pressing, because Lutontown this season was top

539
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 3: five in pass per defensive action and high turnovers in

540
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 3: the Championship. And what Nathan Jones is going to have

541
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 3: them do. They're gonna set a ton of pressing traps

542
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:09,679
Speaker 3: in the middle of the pitch, which is a lot

543
00:26:09,680 --> 00:26:11,200
Speaker 3: of different from what a lot of teams try to do.

544
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:13,000
Speaker 3: A lot of teams try to get you know, get

545
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 3: teams to push them all out wide, especially given the

546
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,480
Speaker 3: fact that they play at three to five too, but

547
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:19,520
Speaker 3: they actually want people to play through the middle and

548
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:22,480
Speaker 3: then trap them there, which is a very dangerous game

549
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:24,040
Speaker 3: to play. If it works, it works out great because

550
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 3: then you can counterpress and go right back through the

551
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,159
Speaker 3: middle of the pitch. But yeah, it'll be it'll be

552
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 3: interesting to see how Southampton kind of adapts to that

553
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:36,119
Speaker 3: and that becomes how they become, you know, essentially the

554
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:38,480
Speaker 3: most direct team in the Premier League. So that'll be

555
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 3: something to look out for in this match, especially against Brighton,

556
00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:43,960
Speaker 3: a team that's very possession based, a team that's really

557
00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 3: really good at playing through pressure U This will be

558
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,200
Speaker 3: a very very good barometer to see if Nathan Jones's

559
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:51,600
Speaker 3: style of play can work in the Premier League.

560
00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 7: Yeah, I think generally we're gonna find out kind of

561
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:58,359
Speaker 7: just like what how much was Ralph elevating?

562
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 2: What is on paper a bad team?

563
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 3: Like, I mean they're very young, Like they're very young,

564
00:27:03,040 --> 00:27:03,360
Speaker 3: very young.

565
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:04,840
Speaker 7: They have a bunch of dudes who can run around

566
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:07,520
Speaker 7: a lot, but like they're not good right uh and

567
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:10,680
Speaker 7: they don't have like good play, Like they have a

568
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:12,960
Speaker 7: couple of guys where you're you know, you're kind of

569
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 7: you know, one for the future types, but nobody on

570
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:18,399
Speaker 7: that team where I'm like, oh, there's a guy you know.

571
00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:20,680
Speaker 7: And that's the thing that we're gonna find out is,

572
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:24,080
Speaker 7: you know, Nathan Jones might be a decent manager, I

573
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:27,720
Speaker 7: don't know, but if he's not as good as Ralph

574
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 7: and he doesn't get that level, they're in danger of

575
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 7: going down, I think. But we're gonna find out soon.

576
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:36,359
Speaker 7: They'll probably get a new manager. Bounce even Southampton was

577
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,600
Speaker 7: kind of playing right around their numbers anyway, so maybe not.

578
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:43,439
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, this would be the spot I would actually

579
00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:47,840
Speaker 1: bet them. Yeah here, like just the new manager of

580
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:52,960
Speaker 1: Bounce Boxing, they should be a good at exactly, yeah, exactly.

581
00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 1: So then you have Mcowis.

582
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:56,680
Speaker 7: People are saying the biggest winners of the World Cup

583
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 7: with the Brighton scouting department.

584
00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:00,200
Speaker 1: I'm mean.

585
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:04,439
Speaker 3: Mac allisterair, I mean we for two years, we've been

586
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:05,879
Speaker 3: just pumping them up.

587
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:10,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, right, this is a good one. A couple of

588
00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:13,719
Speaker 1: nights ago, I was just looking at the boxing day

589
00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:18,920
Speaker 1: schedule asen Villa plus three fifty they're hosting Liverpool minus

590
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,320
Speaker 1: one thirty eight. The draw is plus two seventy five,

591
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 1: and I was thinking I would have been nice to

592
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 1: see Steven Gerard and going up against his old teams.

593
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:28,440
Speaker 1: Too bad that he's gone. And I could, for the

594
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,119
Speaker 1: life of me, I couldn't remember who was managing assen

595
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,160
Speaker 1: Villa for a couple of minutes, and then I realized

596
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:42,720
Speaker 1: it's our our guy from via Reale. This is a

597
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:45,800
Speaker 1: huge match for us, and this is assive. This is

598
00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 1: a good number on assen Villa with the way that

599
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 1: they're going as Anthony, as you pointed out early on

600
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: the year that this team should be good, but they

601
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:56,080
Speaker 1: had a manager who you adored, you had posters of

602
00:28:56,200 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 1: him in your bedroom, and now they're all down. They're

603
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:05,440
Speaker 1: all down, and uh, we're finally seeing Villa unleashed and

604
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:08,520
Speaker 1: they're actually a better team. Who would have saw it coming.

605
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 1: I liked it.

606
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 2: If they've played two matches with you and I right,

607
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:15,160
Speaker 2: here's it three. What I know they beat I know

608
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 2: they I know that they beat man United.

609
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 1: Yes, and he's also he also is.

610
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:23,840
Speaker 2: They also beat Brighton on the road.

611
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, right, uh And he also took Vioreal to the

612
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 1: Champions League set My finals last year. So he's a

613
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 1: pretty good manager. This guy, I like Unai Emerye a

614
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 1: savilla on the money line. Here, long story short, What

615
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:41,360
Speaker 1: do you got for us, Anthony? Yeah?

616
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 2: I agree. I mean this is all about Liverpool too, though.

617
00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 7: I mean again, another club that you know finds itself

618
00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:48,680
Speaker 7: at the high end of players who played in.

619
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:49,240
Speaker 2: The World Cup.

620
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:51,320
Speaker 7: Not as high as some of the other teams if

621
00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:53,080
Speaker 7: you kind of look across their roster. But they did

622
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 7: have plenty of guys. But they've been a disaster away from.

623
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:56,720
Speaker 2: Manfield this year.

624
00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:00,640
Speaker 7: They've conceded almost eleven expected goals in six league is away.

625
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 2: The only away when they've had was Spurs, a game.

626
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:06,400
Speaker 7: That was very even and their best chance came off

627
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 7: of Eric Dyer backheader that just fell right to Mosala.

628
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 2: So you know, that is not encouraging. They've been really bad.

629
00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 2: Still no ds, still no Jota, So.

630
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 7: Like this is not your normal Liverpool pressing front either.

631
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 7: Like they normally get great pressing out of Jota and

632
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:24,520
Speaker 7: DZ when they're out there. They're not going to get

633
00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:27,080
Speaker 7: that from you know, like a Salah and even a

634
00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 7: Doug Darwin. So there are some question marks for Liverpool here.

635
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 7: And Emory has seen this. I mean he's seen the

636
00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 7: clop press. He's he's had experience breaking out of a

637
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:38,400
Speaker 7: much better version of it. The team that he saw

638
00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:43,680
Speaker 7: last year for Via Real much better. So now he's

639
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:45,440
Speaker 7: getting a Villa team that I don't know that they're

640
00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 7: that suited to play you know, emery ball, but they

641
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 7: can definitely break a press, and you know with the

642
00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 7: World Cup advantage. I think this is interesting because not

643
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 7: only did Emory not have all of his guys at

644
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:56,640
Speaker 7: the World Cup, but he just.

645
00:30:56,680 --> 00:31:00,120
Speaker 2: Came in so he gets a full you know, international break.

646
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,640
Speaker 7: A month long train. It can't to train it, but yeah,

647
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 7: to basically it's like an off season.

648
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 2: Essentially. It was damn near almost as long as the

649
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:09,479
Speaker 2: off season. You talk about the math. So I love

650
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 2: this spot for for Villa at home plus a half

651
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:13,720
Speaker 2: plus money.

652
00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 7: I'm in might even money line sprinkle it too, because

653
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:18,120
Speaker 7: I do think we have a high variance weekend here,

654
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:21,040
Speaker 7: just coming into the Christmas period with a lot of

655
00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:23,160
Speaker 7: these clubs, you know, going from no games to a

656
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,600
Speaker 7: lot of games really quickly. Liverpool does play City, it's

657
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 7: kind of a tune up into Carabao, but they do

658
00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:32,600
Speaker 7: play a Thursday against the City, so they you know,

659
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:34,480
Speaker 7: could be a little bit of fatigue depending on who

660
00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 7: plays and whatnot.

661
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:40,840
Speaker 1: BJ your Arsenal minus two hundred league leaders Arsenal.

662
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:42,360
Speaker 3: We forget yeah, they.

663
00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 1: They went into the they went into the World Cups

664
00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:48,480
Speaker 1: as your league leaders. Uh they are minus two hundred

665
00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 1: hosting west Ham five to one. The Druss plus three

666
00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:55,160
Speaker 1: thirty three. This west Ham team is severely underrated right now.

667
00:31:56,560 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 1: If you just look at the table US, it's banatus.

668
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 1: They have a minus five goal differential. They're a plus

669
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 1: three expected goal differential. They're the best, not the best,

670
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:12,360
Speaker 1: but the third best team in terms of preventing big

671
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:16,120
Speaker 1: scoring chances or non penalty expected goals. Fifth best team

672
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 1: in preventing big scoring chances. They have nine losses.

673
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 2: Am I for last year's luck box.

674
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:28,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, it could be. But even like the beginning part

675
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:31,800
Speaker 1: of last year, they were playing better, like they deserved

676
00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:33,800
Speaker 1: a lot of their results. It was just towards the end.

677
00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:38,719
Speaker 1: They're dangerous underdog, and they're a very dangerous underdog when

678
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:41,360
Speaker 1: the price is this big five to one. So I'll

679
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:46,160
Speaker 1: be in the hammers here. It's I think it's it's

680
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 1: a great spot. BJ What do you have here?

681
00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the under two and a half plus

682
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:53,360
Speaker 3: one five. You're getting plus money on two of the

683
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 3: top three defenses in the Premier League, so I think

684
00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 3: it's a fantastic price. I mean, let's be honest. The

685
00:32:57,280 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 3: reason Arsenal's in first place is because they're defense like.

686
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 3: They're only allowing point seven to three non penalty expected

687
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 3: goals for match. They've allowed just five big scoring chances

688
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:08,440
Speaker 3: all season long. That's obviously the best in the Premier League.

689
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:10,920
Speaker 3: And what they do a fantastic job of Michael is

690
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 3: they are so good in transition defense. They're allowing the

691
00:33:14,280 --> 00:33:16,800
Speaker 3: fewest progressive passes and dribbles in the Premier League because

692
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,160
Speaker 3: of Saliba, Thomas Party and Shaka, who are all outstanding

693
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:22,880
Speaker 3: defending in transition and that's basically what west Ham is

694
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 3: going to do in this match, because I mean, listen,

695
00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:30,200
Speaker 3: I'll be honest. West Ham has underperformed offensively. They have

696
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:32,120
Speaker 3: been fortunate, they have got quite a few penalties, and

697
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 3: since Pokeda has joined, they have been better. But I

698
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,400
Speaker 3: mean against the Big six, they've they've only created four

699
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 3: point nine expected goals in five matches. They've only created

700
00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 3: twelve big scoring chances all season long. They're seventeenth and

701
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 3: touched in the opponent's penalty area. So this still isn't

702
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 3: a top ten offense. And I mean listen, David Moys,

703
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:53,320
Speaker 3: to his credit, I mean, he's got this defense playing

704
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:56,240
Speaker 3: exactly how he wants them to. Like their low block

705
00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:58,840
Speaker 3: has been incredibly effective, Like they're gonna they're gonna have

706
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:02,200
Speaker 3: no problem conceding a ton possession to Arsenal, Like I mean,

707
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:04,320
Speaker 3: west Ham's dead last, second to last and pass per

708
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,400
Speaker 3: defensive action. Like they have one of the lowest average

709
00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:08,920
Speaker 3: defensive lines and they're getting the field tilted on them

710
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:12,439
Speaker 3: at the forty three percent, but they're only allowing point

711
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:14,239
Speaker 3: eight nine non pell leagues bet goals for match, Like

712
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:16,840
Speaker 3: this is really really, really good defense and we have

713
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,840
Speaker 3: to remember that Arsenal, well, they do have some impressive

714
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:23,080
Speaker 3: offensive numbers. Guyriel Jesus is out, which means Eddie Nakata

715
00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 3: is going to be up top. And he's been basically

716
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:27,759
Speaker 3: a consistently point four xtg for ninety striker throughout his career,

717
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:31,719
Speaker 3: so it is a downgrade up top for Arsenal. So, uh,

718
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 3: this is gonna be a situation where the pace of

719
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 3: this match is going to be very, very slow. West

720
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 3: Ham's going to sit deep and look to counter, and

721
00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:38,759
Speaker 3: I don't think they're gonna be able to do that

722
00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:41,520
Speaker 3: very effectively. So I only have two point three to

723
00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:43,839
Speaker 3: nine goals projected, So if you give me under two

724
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 3: and a half plus money, I gotta take it.

725
00:34:46,840 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 1: All right, Let's flip it to December twenty seventh. There

726
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:52,839
Speaker 1: two games and then there's one on the twenty eighth,

727
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:55,560
Speaker 1: the first of the two that we'll talk about on

728
00:34:55,640 --> 00:35:02,359
Speaker 1: the twenty seventh. Chelsea minus three hundred board myth eight one,

729
00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:04,440
Speaker 1: the draws four to what BJ I take it.

730
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:11,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we forget how truly bad Chelsea was

731
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:15,080
Speaker 3: going into the break under Graham Potter. They have a

732
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:17,759
Speaker 3: minus three point two expected goal differential in their last

733
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 3: six matches before the break, you take away penalties. They

734
00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:24,000
Speaker 3: lost the expected goals battle in every single match to Villa,

735
00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:27,120
Speaker 3: Brentford United, Brighton Arsenal and newcast Now Bournemouth is not

736
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:29,279
Speaker 3: one of the level of those teams. I get that.

737
00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:32,279
Speaker 3: But the problem still exists for Chelsea, and I don't

738
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:34,440
Speaker 3: think they've solved it or they're going to solve it

739
00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 3: anytime soon, is that they just don't have an out

740
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:38,960
Speaker 3: and out striker and they're struggling to turn final third

741
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,480
Speaker 3: possession into any type of scoring chance. I mean, if

742
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 3: you look at it, I said this before the break,

743
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:45,400
Speaker 3: but like their top ten and progressive passes and dribbles,

744
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:50,000
Speaker 3: box entries, like expected threat, which is awesome, but they've

745
00:35:50,080 --> 00:35:52,439
Speaker 3: taken the fewest shots inside the six yard box. They're

746
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:55,239
Speaker 3: outside the top ten and big scoring chances allowed. They're

747
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:58,080
Speaker 3: only averaging one non penalty expected goal per match, like

748
00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:00,319
Speaker 3: that's fifteenth in the Premierly. And if you look at

749
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:03,719
Speaker 3: their injury report, like it hasn't gotten much better over

750
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:06,120
Speaker 3: the World Cup break, like Conte is gonna be out,

751
00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:08,759
Speaker 3: Brojia Tours acl FAfN is going to be out, and

752
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:12,400
Speaker 3: they have Reece James Chiel Keppa and asked Pelaqueta all

753
00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 3: questionable for this match. And listen, I understand Bournemouth is

754
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,839
Speaker 3: finishing at a ridiculous rate right now, but this match

755
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 3: sets up perfectly for their direct counter attacking style, and

756
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 3: their offense has gotten better since the beginning of the season.

757
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:27,799
Speaker 3: Like the last nine matches they have created nine expected goals,

758
00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:29,279
Speaker 3: which is a lot better than what we saw in

759
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:32,040
Speaker 3: the first seven or so, and they have created eleven

760
00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 3: big scoring chances over those nine matches. And listening, they're

761
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:37,720
Speaker 3: gonna sit deep, They're gonna concede a ton of possession

762
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:39,879
Speaker 3: to Chelsea, allow them to tilt the field on them.

763
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 3: But if you look at the matches that Chelsea's played

764
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:45,720
Speaker 3: against low blocks, I mean, since Potter's taken over Pallace,

765
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 3: only one point one expectacles created, Villa only point nine created,

766
00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:53,359
Speaker 3: Bradford only point nine, United only one point one. I mean. Also,

767
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:57,400
Speaker 3: you know Bournemouth, they went to Newcastle right at the

768
00:36:57,480 --> 00:37:00,880
Speaker 3: end of September. Newcastle closed him minus two to fifty.

769
00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:03,919
Speaker 3: Now we're getting Chelsea, who has been really, really bad

770
00:37:04,840 --> 00:37:07,120
Speaker 3: going into the break and they're sitting at minus three

771
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:11,000
Speaker 3: twenty like this is an overpriced Chelsea team. So I'm

772
00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:13,080
Speaker 3: gonna take Born with plus plus one and a half

773
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 3: at minus one oh five. I it's one of those

774
00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 3: type of situations where I think we all believe that

775
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 3: Potter's gonna turn this around, right and we want to

776
00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 3: get in when that happens. But you're looking at this

777
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 3: price and you're like, this is too big for Chelsea

778
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:28,600
Speaker 3: right now. So if they prove me wrong and they

779
00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 3: win this match for nothing and they pound them, then

780
00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:32,920
Speaker 3: yes they may have turned the corner. But with all

781
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:35,800
Speaker 3: the injuries, with how bad they've looked, I'm not so

782
00:37:35,920 --> 00:37:37,919
Speaker 3: sure it's gonna happen. So I like Born with plus

783
00:37:38,040 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 3: plus one and a half at minus one oh five.

784
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:42,560
Speaker 1: I mean you get to follow that one up with

785
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:46,359
Speaker 1: another beauty. Yeah, Manchester United is minus three thirty four

786
00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:49,080
Speaker 1: forst plus seven fifty of the draw is plus four

787
00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:50,799
Speaker 1: to fifty this game. Also, I can't do it here.

788
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:52,040
Speaker 1: The seven twenty seventh.

789
00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:53,840
Speaker 3: I don't know if I can do it either.

790
00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:55,799
Speaker 2: Both of these games. I kind of lean forward.

791
00:37:56,160 --> 00:38:01,719
Speaker 7: I'll go first here because please four Force has improved defensively.

792
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:03,919
Speaker 7: I think that's the biggest thing we've seen with this team,

793
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:06,360
Speaker 7: you know, and they do get you know, like a

794
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 7: month to vet in some of these new guys. I

795
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:09,919
Speaker 7: mean they bought a lot of these players. They gonna

796
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:11,839
Speaker 7: play them. That's kind of the biggest question.

797
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:12,400
Speaker 2: Like a remo for.

798
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:14,560
Speaker 3: January transfer windows coming up, Anthony.

799
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:16,200
Speaker 7: We got right, and so they got to get twenty

800
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:19,480
Speaker 7: more players. But yeah, they have improved offensively. I think,

801
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:21,120
Speaker 7: like if you look at a rolling xch chart, they

802
00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:23,960
Speaker 7: are trending up in the right direction and I and

803
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,360
Speaker 7: like things are improving, like they weren't going to continue

804
00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:30,520
Speaker 7: to conceive goals at the rate they were, but even improved,

805
00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:33,240
Speaker 7: Forrest is still giving up like one and a half

806
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:39,239
Speaker 7: x she per match. United like their defense has made

807
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:41,239
Speaker 7: huge strides, but I still have question marks about this

808
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,240
Speaker 7: attack as well. Getting Ronaldo out of the picture probably

809
00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 7: a net positive. Rashford scored today, had a nice run.

810
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:50,680
Speaker 7: I do think this is a comfortable United win in

811
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:53,440
Speaker 7: the end, but uh, you know, an under three is

812
00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:57,560
Speaker 7: staring me in the face, and I may get there

813
00:38:57,680 --> 00:38:59,360
Speaker 7: by the end because this just strikes me as a

814
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:01,520
Speaker 7: two nil kind of win for United.

815
00:39:01,520 --> 00:39:03,040
Speaker 2: I don't see them having a ton of problems with

816
00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:03,600
Speaker 2: Forest here.

817
00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:06,680
Speaker 3: I mean United's overpriced again, Like I'll say it a

818
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:09,000
Speaker 3: week in and week out like they are. Yeah, obviously,

819
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:11,839
Speaker 3: Like so, I mean Anthony hit the nail on the head.

820
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:15,000
Speaker 3: Is that Noningham Forest's defense has improved, Like they've allowed

821
00:39:15,040 --> 00:39:16,920
Speaker 3: what nine or ten goals from outside the box? Like

822
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:20,879
Speaker 3: that just can't continue over a long stretch. And yeah,

823
00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:24,719
Speaker 3: United got a comfortable win over Burnley on Monday, but

824
00:39:25,680 --> 00:39:27,320
Speaker 3: you know Rashford is gonna have to be him or

825
00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:29,400
Speaker 3: Marshall are going to be the out and out striker now,

826
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:31,719
Speaker 3: which both are obviously capable of doing, like they have

827
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:34,759
Speaker 3: a ton of talent. But I mean United at this

828
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 3: big a price and we forget that United what they're

829
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:39,720
Speaker 3: doing under ten hogs once they score, they are sitting

830
00:39:39,960 --> 00:39:42,240
Speaker 3: way deep and they are just looking to win matches

831
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:44,320
Speaker 3: one nothing. I mean, they have the lowest defense average

832
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:46,719
Speaker 3: defensive line in the Premier League and they're getting the

833
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:49,040
Speaker 3: deal tilted on them at a very very high rate.

834
00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:52,320
Speaker 3: So this is one of those situations like do I

835
00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:54,400
Speaker 3: trust noting him for us to not give up a

836
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:58,120
Speaker 3: counter attacking goal like obviously that could happen very easily. Yeah,

837
00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:00,160
Speaker 3: I'm gonna be staying away like we're sitting at a

838
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:02,600
Speaker 3: flat plus one and a half right now, if that,

839
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:04,440
Speaker 3: if plus one and a half gets to even money,

840
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:07,600
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take Nottingham forrest and I'm gonna watch some

841
00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:11,799
Speaker 3: dumb goal going in the eighty eighth minute. But yeah,

842
00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:13,960
Speaker 3: I mean United once again, they're overpriced. I mean this

843
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:16,880
Speaker 3: team hasn't basically an even expected golden French shill like

844
00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:19,560
Speaker 3: and stop acting like this team is good, everybody.

845
00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:20,719
Speaker 2: They're good.

846
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:22,359
Speaker 3: They're not good.

847
00:40:23,200 --> 00:40:25,759
Speaker 2: Oh is the best manager in the world.

848
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 7: December twenty eighth, he owns he's got real estate in

849
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:32,440
Speaker 7: bj side though, that's for sure, because we're back from

850
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 7: the World Cup.

851
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 2: Beaj I got a month off from fanning idea. Yeah no,

852
00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:36,480
Speaker 2: and he's back.

853
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:41,640
Speaker 1: I'm probably speaking speaking of the best manager in the world.

854
00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:45,440
Speaker 2: Uh damn right, Pep Cardiola.

855
00:40:45,560 --> 00:40:48,520
Speaker 7: Pep Cardiole they went on at the end of the year,

856
00:40:49,040 --> 00:40:52,360
Speaker 7: right before cupbreak, was absolutely this, this stuff of legends,

857
00:40:52,960 --> 00:40:56,800
Speaker 7: Leeds United, baby, literally was doubting. They head back to

858
00:40:56,920 --> 00:41:00,799
Speaker 7: back just ridiculous victories against Liverpool and Borne, come from

859
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:04,520
Speaker 7: behind against Bournemuth the game of the year, and then

860
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,000
Speaker 7: they had the most ridiculous loss to Tottenham on the

861
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:07,640
Speaker 7: final day.

862
00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:10,520
Speaker 2: I love them in this spot. I love them.

863
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:13,759
Speaker 7: Man City had the most players at the World Cup.

864
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,640
Speaker 7: My minutes played. You can go across the list. I

865
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:19,920
Speaker 7: know early in Holland didn't play and like I'm kind

866
00:41:19,960 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 7: of terrified of the matchup there. But plus one and

867
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:28,279
Speaker 7: a half Leeds at home this year, Boston Arsenal boss

868
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:31,560
Speaker 7: Chelsea when toe to toe Liverpool at.

869
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:34,480
Speaker 1: Anfield Everdon took him to the woodshed.

870
00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:37,120
Speaker 2: All all things that.

871
00:41:37,160 --> 00:41:41,680
Speaker 7: Happened again at ellen Road. They've been a very good

872
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:46,320
Speaker 7: team there. Like I said, very impressive showing. Yeah, I

873
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:50,480
Speaker 7: mean that game was like daddy, yeah, yeah, that was

874
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:53,040
Speaker 7: a long time ago. My point here is like, look.

875
00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:55,640
Speaker 2: They're still undervalued.

876
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:58,879
Speaker 7: I'm catching a goal and a half at home. It's

877
00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:00,839
Speaker 7: the flat spot for City coup off the World Cup.

878
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 1: City just lost. I don't think, I know, they just lost.

879
00:42:04,440 --> 00:42:06,680
Speaker 2: I don't care. I love leads plus one and a

880
00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:07,960
Speaker 2: half and I will bet this.

881
00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:11,239
Speaker 7: And if you're heaving scored home, by the way, that

882
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:15,960
Speaker 7: means I'm betting against Liverpool City and Tottenham the first weekend.

883
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 3: And that is if you're somebody who's coming off the

884
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:22,799
Speaker 3: World Cup and you're like you just got into sock

885
00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:24,279
Speaker 3: and you're like, oh, yeah, I'll stay with these guys

886
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:26,600
Speaker 3: through the Premier League. You're like, oh boy, this is

887
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:28,959
Speaker 3: going to turn a lot of our new leaders off, Anthony.

888
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:31,360
Speaker 1: Well, if they did, if they did us, then they

889
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:35,240
Speaker 1: heard us betting in Spain and against Germany.

890
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:38,040
Speaker 2: We look, we were we were right on some of those.

891
00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:43,520
Speaker 1: We're very ragged. Let me just read the odds brought

892
00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:45,160
Speaker 1: to you by our great friends at bet three six

893
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:48,000
Speaker 1: five for the leads at City match A leads on

894
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:49,879
Speaker 1: the three way money line. They're at home plus six

895
00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:53,400
Speaker 1: fifty City minus three fifty, the dress plus five fifty.

896
00:42:54,719 --> 00:43:00,360
Speaker 1: I will say that there's this It's not a bad spot,

897
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:02,239
Speaker 1: you know. I get that they just lost City and

898
00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:06,200
Speaker 1: it was being facetious, but uh, and I just I

899
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:10,560
Speaker 1: just don't trust, Like I just don't trust this style

900
00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:13,759
Speaker 1: against City City, I know, I just like I don't.

901
00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:16,800
Speaker 7: The bost arsenal Chelsea and went to too to Liverpool

902
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:18,480
Speaker 7: and they've only had one player at the World Cup

903
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:20,000
Speaker 7: who played more than two and fifty minutes and it.

904
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:20,640
Speaker 2: Was Tyler Adams.

905
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:22,920
Speaker 3: I mean, he's not gonna play in this match, right.

906
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:26,239
Speaker 3: That hurts, it doesn't. I don't know if Cincintara is

907
00:43:26,239 --> 00:43:30,560
Speaker 3: gonna play like there's there's some actually some quite syminjury concerned.

908
00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:32,920
Speaker 1: And I know you know it's Bielsa, but is it?

909
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 3: This isn't this a They're still pressing just as much

910
00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:38,880
Speaker 3: as it as it might just be a little might

911
00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:41,040
Speaker 3: be more controlled, but like they're still pressing at a

912
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:45,600
Speaker 3: crazy rate. And I know Anthony doesn't want me to

913
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:48,759
Speaker 3: mention this, but City beat the Leeds Academy seven nothing

914
00:43:48,880 --> 00:43:52,920
Speaker 3: last year and yeah, this is I don't know if

915
00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:55,160
Speaker 3: I can do it. I don't hate both. I don't

916
00:43:55,160 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 3: hate it both teams to score here, Anthony, like I

917
00:43:57,000 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 3: do think leads when they're down a ton could pick

918
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:03,560
Speaker 3: sit off on transition. But yeah, no, I can't do

919
00:44:03,680 --> 00:44:03,920
Speaker 3: it here.

920
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:07,319
Speaker 1: All right, that's the Premier League.

921
00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:10,960
Speaker 7: I just don't think like an average Premier League team.

922
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:13,959
Speaker 7: I don't think City are going to half better away

923
00:44:14,000 --> 00:44:15,560
Speaker 7: from home against an average Premier League team.

924
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:18,880
Speaker 2: Think they're about a goal better. That's my take. We

925
00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:21,839
Speaker 2: will see, we will see.

926
00:44:22,120 --> 00:44:26,759
Speaker 1: We all hate leads. We all hate leads. Legal is

927
00:44:27,040 --> 00:44:27,840
Speaker 1: playing this weekend.

928
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:33,600
Speaker 3: This is a great hangar the World Cup. You just

929
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:36,000
Speaker 3: you think he's the greatest player.

930
00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:37,920
Speaker 1: In the world, and then you go, that's video that

931
00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:42,480
Speaker 1: our friend uh and former guest of this podcast two

932
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:47,239
Speaker 1: times guest of this podcast, Fabrizio Romano posted of a

933
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:49,759
Speaker 1: bo by getting out of his car. I just felt

934
00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 1: bad for him as he had headed to PSG training

935
00:44:54,160 --> 00:44:55,959
Speaker 1: Legal BJ you can go first.

936
00:44:57,000 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like Nice, Drono Bett and plus one two.

937
00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:03,160
Speaker 3: I think what you're getting is just an overpriced Lens

938
00:45:03,280 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 3: team that I mean, they're really good, like they're the

939
00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 3: second best team in league on right now, but if

940
00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:09,799
Speaker 3: you look at their home and the waste splits they're

941
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 3: you know, they're a plus eleven point four overall expecting

942
00:45:13,160 --> 00:45:15,160
Speaker 3: old differential ten point six of that has come at

943
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:19,239
Speaker 3: home and Nice they've actually gotten quite better, like they've

944
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 3: only expected goals battle their last six matches before the

945
00:45:21,600 --> 00:45:24,280
Speaker 3: World Cup break, and what they did is they switched

946
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:25,839
Speaker 3: back to the four to four two that they had

947
00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 3: so much success with Christoph Galtier and it's they drew

948
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 3: leone right before the break, you know, beat them unexpected

949
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:36,080
Speaker 3: goals one point six to one point three. So I

950
00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:37,960
Speaker 3: really don't know think they should be the significant of

951
00:45:38,040 --> 00:45:42,160
Speaker 3: underdogs here at home against Lens, who really hasn't played

952
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:44,239
Speaker 3: that difficult of a schedule here in League on. They've

953
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:47,000
Speaker 3: played layone and they've played Monaco, but they've got PSG

954
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:50,320
Speaker 3: on decks here on New Year's Day, So maybe a

955
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 3: little bit of a little head spot here for Lens.

956
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:55,359
Speaker 3: So I like, nice, John Obett plus one twenty at.

957
00:45:55,320 --> 00:46:03,320
Speaker 1: Home, Anthony, you've got a legal piss piss, don't cut that,

958
00:46:03,640 --> 00:46:06,719
Speaker 1: don't put that. You've got a legal pick for us

959
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:08,799
Speaker 1: as well. Yeah.

960
00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 2: Strasburg plus one and a half against the pet Yeah.

961
00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 7: I mean, look, this is just like Messi and and

962
00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:19,680
Speaker 7: Bape and Neymar, Like I had the spot circle before

963
00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:21,720
Speaker 7: the World Cup because I was gonna bet Strasburg. Anyway,

964
00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:24,840
Speaker 7: Strasburg continues to be a team that I don't understand.

965
00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:27,000
Speaker 2: I can't comprehend their incompetence.

966
00:46:27,880 --> 00:46:30,319
Speaker 7: Uh, they're sitting in nineteenth with like the sixteenth best

967
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:31,960
Speaker 7: expected goals, Like they're really bad.

968
00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:34,080
Speaker 2: They're playing really.

969
00:46:34,040 --> 00:46:36,000
Speaker 3: My top is my top three ticket dead yet?

970
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,960
Speaker 7: Yeah, j And I know I know another person that

971
00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 7: has that ticket. I'm not the only person who's wondering

972
00:46:43,239 --> 00:46:44,280
Speaker 7: what happened to Strasburg.

973
00:46:44,320 --> 00:46:47,400
Speaker 2: But they were really good last year. They were, you know,

974
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:49,360
Speaker 2: like four tons of a goal better than their opponents.

975
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:51,320
Speaker 3: They were like they were a match away from the

976
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:51,799
Speaker 3: top three.

977
00:46:52,360 --> 00:46:54,279
Speaker 7: Yeah, and now they're like in the relegation battle, and

978
00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:56,120
Speaker 7: that just doesn't make any sense to me. So I'm

979
00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:59,600
Speaker 7: gonna keep buying Strasburg. They haven't lost any key players,

980
00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:03,480
Speaker 7: it's just the other manager. No, So it's very strange,

981
00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:06,399
Speaker 7: and I'm gonna just keep buying low on this damn

982
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:07,320
Speaker 7: team until.

983
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 3: The results.

984
00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:11,399
Speaker 2: And this is just this is just a great spot though,

985
00:47:11,440 --> 00:47:11,759
Speaker 2: I mean.

986
00:47:12,080 --> 00:47:14,719
Speaker 7: Getting PSG like the whole the whole reason PSG is

987
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:16,719
Speaker 7: good is the three dudes at the top, and they

988
00:47:16,800 --> 00:47:19,200
Speaker 7: all have their mind elsewhere, I think, so uh.

989
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:24,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I don't know if Leonel Messi's gonna be

990
00:47:24,719 --> 00:47:25,920
Speaker 1: I don't know if he'll be there. I don't know

991
00:47:25,960 --> 00:47:29,359
Speaker 1: if he's gonna have his mind on this one. All right,

992
00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:33,120
Speaker 1: that brings us to our three like underdog parlay. As

993
00:47:33,200 --> 00:47:35,799
Speaker 1: you might have heard, we hit our last word.

994
00:47:36,080 --> 00:47:40,400
Speaker 3: We're never gonna hit one again. Although this one feels

995
00:47:40,400 --> 00:47:40,839
Speaker 3: pretty good.

996
00:47:40,880 --> 00:47:43,919
Speaker 1: I gotta feel good. Look good, BJ. You just talked

997
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:44,359
Speaker 1: about him.

998
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:48,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like nice plus two twenty again. I think

999
00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:51,000
Speaker 3: just an over valued lens team here on the road

1000
00:47:51,120 --> 00:47:54,120
Speaker 3: getting ah, you know, Nisse in a pretty good spot

1001
00:47:54,120 --> 00:47:55,799
Speaker 3: here at home, so plus two twenty is good enough

1002
00:47:55,840 --> 00:47:56,200
Speaker 3: price for me.

1003
00:47:56,760 --> 00:48:02,560
Speaker 1: I like west Ham five to one. They're taking on

1004
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:07,600
Speaker 1: Arsenal on the road. You're getting a top five Premier

1005
00:48:07,680 --> 00:48:10,120
Speaker 1: League defense here against a team that hopefully you're catching

1006
00:48:10,120 --> 00:48:14,160
Speaker 1: in a perhaps sleepy spot coming off the World Cup.

1007
00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:16,880
Speaker 1: So give me David Moyes. Give me west Ham. I

1008
00:48:16,920 --> 00:48:18,720
Speaker 1: think that they should be able to punch up pretty

1009
00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:23,520
Speaker 1: well here. Good number five to one, Anthony, Yeah.

1010
00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:28,280
Speaker 7: I'm gonna go with Brentford plus three hundred against the Tottenham.

1011
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:29,160
Speaker 2: My boys.

1012
00:48:30,360 --> 00:48:32,359
Speaker 7: This is all about, of course, it's Brentford at home

1013
00:48:32,400 --> 00:48:34,400
Speaker 7: in a situational spot where they've been excellent at home

1014
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:36,399
Speaker 7: against a Big six team. They only have one loss

1015
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,279
Speaker 7: at home all year it came against Arsenal, but they've

1016
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:40,839
Speaker 7: been very competitive in their other home matches against other

1017
00:48:40,920 --> 00:48:42,880
Speaker 7: top teams, getting a draw with Chelsea where they were

1018
00:48:42,880 --> 00:48:45,880
Speaker 7: the better side. They've been very good as always at

1019
00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:49,120
Speaker 7: the Brentford Community Stadium. They can also neutralize Spurs effectiveness

1020
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:52,800
Speaker 7: on set pieces. So give me the Bes as my

1021
00:48:52,960 --> 00:48:55,640
Speaker 7: underdog pick of the week. All right, let's move to

1022
00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:58,080
Speaker 7: our best bets and I'll go first because I'll stay

1023
00:48:58,120 --> 00:49:01,759
Speaker 7: right there. My favorite bet on the w Brentford plus

1024
00:49:01,840 --> 00:49:03,440
Speaker 7: three hundred against Tottenham.

1025
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:06,000
Speaker 1: Anthony kind of just laid it all out there. The

1026
00:49:06,080 --> 00:49:08,520
Speaker 1: Bees fifth and big scoring chances created on the season

1027
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:13,480
Speaker 1: as well, should catch a pretty tired distracted Tottenham Hotspur

1028
00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:16,040
Speaker 1: team here in their first match back from the World

1029
00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:21,080
Speaker 1: Cup seven thirty am Saturday morning. Let's start things off

1030
00:49:21,120 --> 00:49:24,759
Speaker 1: with a nice win on those Brentford Bees, baby, bj

1031
00:49:24,920 --> 00:49:25,319
Speaker 1: what do you got?

1032
00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:29,399
Speaker 3: I like Bournemouth plus one and a half at five.

1033
00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:34,040
Speaker 3: I mean, listen, we forget how bad Chelsea was going

1034
00:49:34,080 --> 00:49:35,880
Speaker 3: into the break like they under Potter. They have a

1035
00:49:35,960 --> 00:49:38,680
Speaker 3: minus three point two expect a gold differential. They've lost

1036
00:49:38,719 --> 00:49:41,319
Speaker 3: the expected golf's battle in their last six matches before

1037
00:49:41,360 --> 00:49:45,560
Speaker 3: the break, and the same problem still exists for Chelsea

1038
00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:48,080
Speaker 3: that I don't think they've solved is that they can't

1039
00:49:48,120 --> 00:49:51,040
Speaker 3: turn fine off third possession into any type of scoring chance.

1040
00:49:51,120 --> 00:49:53,000
Speaker 3: Like if you look through a lot of their metrics,

1041
00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:55,680
Speaker 3: their top six and progressive pass and dribbles, their top

1042
00:49:55,760 --> 00:49:59,279
Speaker 3: six and expected threat, but they're outside the top ten

1043
00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:01,359
Speaker 3: and big scoring chain. It says they've only taken six

1044
00:50:01,440 --> 00:50:03,600
Speaker 3: shots from inside the six yard box. That's the lowest

1045
00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:05,600
Speaker 3: in the Premier League, So that's why you see them

1046
00:50:05,640 --> 00:50:08,839
Speaker 3: only averaging one non penalty expected goal per match. That's

1047
00:50:08,880 --> 00:50:10,640
Speaker 3: fifteenth in the Premier League. And if you look at

1048
00:50:10,640 --> 00:50:13,040
Speaker 3: their injuries as well, Content is not going to play Brosia.

1049
00:50:13,080 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 3: They're only out and out striker right now has torn

1050
00:50:15,560 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 3: his acl and they have a ton of other guys questionable.

1051
00:50:19,080 --> 00:50:23,640
Speaker 3: So Bournemouth, who yes, has overperformed, but they have gotten

1052
00:50:23,640 --> 00:50:27,440
Speaker 3: a lot better as the season has progressed, especially offensively,

1053
00:50:27,600 --> 00:50:30,120
Speaker 3: Like their last nine matches they've created at least one

1054
00:50:30,200 --> 00:50:33,040
Speaker 3: expected goal on average. In those nine matches, they've created

1055
00:50:33,080 --> 00:50:35,600
Speaker 3: eleven big scoring chances as well, and this is a

1056
00:50:35,640 --> 00:50:37,520
Speaker 3: perfect match for them to sit in their deep low

1057
00:50:37,560 --> 00:50:41,120
Speaker 3: block to counter Chelsea, who has been very vulnerable in transition,

1058
00:50:41,719 --> 00:50:44,440
Speaker 3: especially with how weak their midfield has been. So I

1059
00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:46,719
Speaker 3: think you're just getting an overpriced Chelsea team here. I

1060
00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:49,080
Speaker 3: think the market is betting on Chelsea to make this

1061
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:51,600
Speaker 3: turn under Potter, who we all believe is a great manager.

1062
00:50:52,160 --> 00:50:55,880
Speaker 3: But I need to see it first before it actually happens.

1063
00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 3: So I like Bournemuth plus one and a half at minus.

1064
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:01,719
Speaker 1: One oh five Anthony take us home.

1065
00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:03,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, we'll make it.

1066
00:51:04,080 --> 00:51:06,359
Speaker 7: Another Brentford pick I'll go Brentford plus a half, though

1067
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:08,080
Speaker 7: I'll get that draw protection because I could see the

1068
00:51:08,160 --> 00:51:10,560
Speaker 7: ending in a draw. But I do think Brentford is

1069
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:13,319
Speaker 7: undervalued to get all three points. The set pieces are

1070
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:15,880
Speaker 7: just really important for me. Spurs have been not very

1071
00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:17,920
Speaker 7: good at creating big scoring chances this year. That was

1072
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:20,960
Speaker 7: their calling card. Brentford doesn't conceive big scoring chances. They

1073
00:51:21,040 --> 00:51:23,480
Speaker 7: forced you to shoot from distance. Tottenham could get very

1074
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:25,600
Speaker 7: frustrated in this game. If they're not creating set pieces,

1075
00:51:25,640 --> 00:51:28,120
Speaker 7: they're not generating chances off of them. Their attack has

1076
00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:31,360
Speaker 7: been very mediocre otherwise, Caine not getting the shots he

1077
00:51:31,440 --> 00:51:33,919
Speaker 7: normally does, Son not getting the shots he normally does.

1078
00:51:34,120 --> 00:51:36,719
Speaker 7: And Spurs, of course one of the biggest clubs for

1079
00:51:37,080 --> 00:51:41,200
Speaker 7: World Cup minutes, guys like Benton, Pircaine and Son for

1080
00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:44,200
Speaker 7: Charleston nowt for this match, Laurie just coming off the

1081
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:46,759
Speaker 7: World Cup final. There's a lot of hangover potential here

1082
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:49,239
Speaker 7: for Spurs, whereas Brentford has had pretty much their whole

1083
00:51:49,239 --> 00:51:51,719
Speaker 7: team together and I think they're gonna have Tony in

1084
00:51:51,800 --> 00:51:52,640
Speaker 7: the lineup for now.

1085
00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 2: We'll see how long that lasts. But Brentford plus a

1086
00:51:55,680 --> 00:51:56,960
Speaker 2: half for me, that.

1087
00:51:57,080 --> 00:51:59,440
Speaker 1: Does it for this part of Wonderful, but be sure

1088
00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:02,479
Speaker 1: to stick around for our interview with former US men's

1089
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:07,319
Speaker 1: national team Remember, Eric Wenalda. We talked about the state

1090
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:09,200
Speaker 1: of the US team as we look ahead to twenty

1091
00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:12,560
Speaker 1: twenty six and recap what just happened in Qatar. Talk

1092
00:52:12,560 --> 00:52:15,359
Speaker 1: a little bocum, talk a little messy, so be sure

1093
00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:18,640
Speaker 1: to check that out. All right, Eric, it is Boxing day.

1094
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:21,319
Speaker 1: We talked a ton of Premier lea, but we still

1095
00:52:21,440 --> 00:52:24,120
Speaker 1: the World Cup is still in everyone's mind and here

1096
00:52:24,200 --> 00:52:27,239
Speaker 1: in the States with the World Cup coming to the

1097
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:30,719
Speaker 1: States in twenty twenty six along with the US along

1098
00:52:30,760 --> 00:52:34,840
Speaker 1: with Canada and Mexico, I want you to set odds

1099
00:52:36,840 --> 00:52:43,400
Speaker 1: Greg Burhalter managing Team USA at twenty twenty six, or

1100
00:52:43,440 --> 00:52:45,920
Speaker 1: I can put it simply, would you make him the favorite?

1101
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:47,200
Speaker 5: No?

1102
00:52:47,280 --> 00:52:50,000
Speaker 6: I would not. I don't even think it's it will

1103
00:52:50,040 --> 00:52:51,200
Speaker 6: be a topic, to be honest.

1104
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:55,080
Speaker 5: From what we're hearing right now, a lot of rumblings

1105
00:52:55,120 --> 00:52:58,080
Speaker 5: on the inside, there is some leveraging going on, let's

1106
00:52:58,120 --> 00:53:01,000
Speaker 5: put it that way, in those conversation and that's why

1107
00:53:01,080 --> 00:53:04,560
Speaker 5: it's leaked that sometimes Greg Burholter has been offered a

1108
00:53:04,640 --> 00:53:05,240
Speaker 5: new deal.

1109
00:53:05,280 --> 00:53:08,719
Speaker 6: Or is in discussions about one. I don't. I don't

1110
00:53:08,719 --> 00:53:09,839
Speaker 6: think he's going to stay.

1111
00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:13,600
Speaker 5: Ernie Stewart and Brian McBride, the's two guys that, really,

1112
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:17,080
Speaker 5: you know, for the majority will make them make that decision.

1113
00:53:17,400 --> 00:53:20,120
Speaker 6: They'll do that with a new CEO, J T.

1114
00:53:20,280 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 5: Batson, who has very high aspirations for the World Cup team.

1115
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:29,120
Speaker 5: He is not interested in being mediocre anymore. Those are

1116
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:33,239
Speaker 5: his words, not mine. I would I would tend to

1117
00:53:33,680 --> 00:53:36,760
Speaker 5: lean towards the idea of having a very high profile manager.

1118
00:53:37,239 --> 00:53:39,719
Speaker 5: We might go through a period in the next six

1119
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:44,839
Speaker 5: to maybe six six months to a year, possibly maybe

1120
00:53:44,920 --> 00:53:47,319
Speaker 5: less than that six to eight months where we could

1121
00:53:47,360 --> 00:53:50,600
Speaker 5: have an interim coach. We've done that before. Well, the

1122
00:53:50,640 --> 00:53:53,000
Speaker 5: search continues if we can't land the guy we want.

1123
00:53:53,040 --> 00:53:55,600
Speaker 6: But I don't. I don't think Greg Burholter will be there.

1124
00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:56,240
Speaker 6: And it's twofold.

1125
00:53:56,280 --> 00:53:57,920
Speaker 5: It's not because we don't want him or he's not

1126
00:53:58,080 --> 00:54:00,759
Speaker 5: you know, it's it's it's it's a fail because you

1127
00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:03,880
Speaker 5: could write this off as a World Cup success story

1128
00:54:04,040 --> 00:54:08,200
Speaker 5: to a certain extent, But he's really leaning towards an

1129
00:54:08,239 --> 00:54:09,000
Speaker 5: international job.

1130
00:54:09,080 --> 00:54:11,600
Speaker 6: He wants to go back to Europe and I think

1131
00:54:11,680 --> 00:54:12,800
Speaker 6: that he's positioned.

1132
00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:15,480
Speaker 5: Himself well for that, so expect that, But I do

1133
00:54:15,600 --> 00:54:20,080
Speaker 5: not expect him to be the coach in twenty twenty six.

1134
00:54:20,160 --> 00:54:22,839
Speaker 6: If he is the coach, I'm changing my nationality to Dutch.

1135
00:54:25,480 --> 00:54:27,759
Speaker 3: If you had your choice, then who would you want

1136
00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:30,160
Speaker 3: to be the next United States men's national team manager

1137
00:54:30,200 --> 00:54:32,239
Speaker 3: for twenty twenty six? Would you want to be an

1138
00:54:32,239 --> 00:54:34,600
Speaker 3: American or would you want to maybe go to a

1139
00:54:34,680 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 3: higher profile European manager.

1140
00:54:36,640 --> 00:54:38,480
Speaker 6: Well, I mean this is the big rub, guys.

1141
00:54:38,600 --> 00:54:41,360
Speaker 5: I mean, the biggest thing that we've realized over the

1142
00:54:41,440 --> 00:54:45,120
Speaker 5: course of forever is that nobody has ever won the

1143
00:54:45,160 --> 00:54:46,520
Speaker 5: World Cup with a foreign manager.

1144
00:54:46,640 --> 00:54:48,040
Speaker 6: It's just happened.

1145
00:54:48,960 --> 00:54:51,480
Speaker 5: The problem is is that we're behind in this game,

1146
00:54:51,719 --> 00:54:58,640
Speaker 5: and finding a US manager of the of the ability

1147
00:54:58,760 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 5: to really take our team far in this competition is

1148
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:03,840
Speaker 5: the real question. Jesse Marsh would be the four you know,

1149
00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:06,759
Speaker 5: the front runner, I would say, and maybe that's what

1150
00:55:06,880 --> 00:55:08,000
Speaker 5: that six months is about to.

1151
00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:11,440
Speaker 6: See if he lasts in the lead. So it's gonna

1152
00:55:11,440 --> 00:55:13,479
Speaker 6: be a really interesting couple of weeks.

1153
00:55:13,760 --> 00:55:17,080
Speaker 5: I personally I loved I didn't love that, I love that,

1154
00:55:17,080 --> 00:55:22,319
Speaker 5: and hated the Rgan Cleinsman experiment. But Kleinsman's I guess

1155
00:55:22,400 --> 00:55:26,560
Speaker 5: frustrations with the way things work over here. We were

1156
00:55:26,800 --> 00:55:27,520
Speaker 5: actually led.

1157
00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:29,880
Speaker 6: To his demise. He wanted to stay on.

1158
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:33,560
Speaker 5: But if you really look at all the things he said,

1159
00:55:33,840 --> 00:55:35,960
Speaker 5: he said, we need our Americans playing at the highest level.

1160
00:55:36,000 --> 00:55:37,480
Speaker 5: We need him playing in the Champions League, we need

1161
00:55:37,600 --> 00:55:40,200
Speaker 5: him in the EPL and the Bundesliga. All those things

1162
00:55:40,239 --> 00:55:42,880
Speaker 5: are now happening. And then we had a manager who

1163
00:55:42,920 --> 00:55:46,080
Speaker 5: couldn't handle that. So it it It really is a

1164
00:55:46,160 --> 00:55:50,560
Speaker 5: unique situation for us. But I personally, I like the

1165
00:55:50,640 --> 00:55:54,920
Speaker 5: idea of high profile. I do think that we have

1166
00:55:55,080 --> 00:55:57,520
Speaker 5: the quality and we'll have more quality by the time

1167
00:55:57,600 --> 00:56:00,400
Speaker 5: we get to the next phase, and we're going to

1168
00:56:00,440 --> 00:56:03,440
Speaker 5: need somebody that's not going to make it all about

1169
00:56:04,400 --> 00:56:07,000
Speaker 5: the methodology and the philosophies and all the other stuff.

1170
00:56:07,160 --> 00:56:09,839
Speaker 5: We're going to have to have an Ancelotti type who

1171
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:13,319
Speaker 5: just is the calm in the storm and doesn't waiver

1172
00:56:13,640 --> 00:56:16,360
Speaker 5: and just knows what to do next, as opposed to guessing.

1173
00:56:16,880 --> 00:56:21,080
Speaker 5: The guessing game that we saw in this world cups.

1174
00:56:19,840 --> 00:56:21,560
Speaker 7: From a town perspective, like what do you see as

1175
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:24,279
Speaker 7: the biggest area where the United States is kind of lacking?

1176
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:25,960
Speaker 2: Is it the center backs, is it the forwards.

1177
00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:28,400
Speaker 7: Where do you see the US need to kind of

1178
00:56:28,440 --> 00:56:30,520
Speaker 7: find town or develop talent or take the next step

1179
00:56:30,600 --> 00:56:33,680
Speaker 7: forward to try to compete with nations you know in

1180
00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:37,080
Speaker 7: that next tier like the Dutch and you know, maybe

1181
00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:39,799
Speaker 7: maybe it's Croatia or where the team's you know, up

1182
00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:40,920
Speaker 7: near the elite of the elite.

1183
00:56:41,719 --> 00:56:43,800
Speaker 5: Well, I mean, look, I mean it's pretty obvious, isn't it.

1184
00:56:43,880 --> 00:56:45,279
Speaker 5: I think we need a nine. I don't think we

1185
00:56:45,360 --> 00:56:47,520
Speaker 5: have a goal scorer. I mean we had one in

1186
00:56:47,600 --> 00:56:48,279
Speaker 5: p Folk and.

1187
00:56:50,120 --> 00:56:51,719
Speaker 6: He kind of fell off a little bit.

1188
00:56:52,320 --> 00:56:54,960
Speaker 5: DJ got heard, which I thought would have been a

1189
00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:59,560
Speaker 5: pretty good option as well. I never understood that hasues

1190
00:56:59,600 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 5: fer Era experiment a false nine five foot eight guy

1191
00:57:03,040 --> 00:57:05,279
Speaker 5: playing against the Netherlands in a knockout game.

1192
00:57:06,160 --> 00:57:08,680
Speaker 6: Anybody else can you can explain that to me? That'd

1193
00:57:08,680 --> 00:57:09,000
Speaker 6: be great.

1194
00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:12,000
Speaker 5: But I think I think we need we need to

1195
00:57:12,080 --> 00:57:14,120
Speaker 5: find a nine. I mean you just mentioned the Netherlands.

1196
00:57:14,160 --> 00:57:15,759
Speaker 5: Look at Gackquo for example. I mean, but he has

1197
00:57:15,800 --> 00:57:18,760
Speaker 5: been able to do in one good tournament is move,

1198
00:57:19,000 --> 00:57:21,080
Speaker 5: move the meter and he's possibly on his way to

1199
00:57:21,120 --> 00:57:24,480
Speaker 5: Manchester United. So look, it's it's it's it's gonna be

1200
00:57:24,480 --> 00:57:26,320
Speaker 5: about scoring goals. We just came out of a big

1201
00:57:26,440 --> 00:57:30,720
Speaker 5: tournament where we went, you know, basically one one zero

1202
00:57:30,880 --> 00:57:34,560
Speaker 5: zero one zero one goal again, so we need to

1203
00:57:34,560 --> 00:57:35,840
Speaker 5: start finding the back of the net.

1204
00:57:35,800 --> 00:57:36,920
Speaker 6: On a regular basis.

1205
00:57:37,640 --> 00:57:39,800
Speaker 1: I think it kind of speaks to the fact that

1206
00:57:41,240 --> 00:57:44,760
Speaker 1: we might have underrated Josie out the Door a lot

1207
00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:48,320
Speaker 1: as a country, just because his usefulness to the team

1208
00:57:48,520 --> 00:57:50,520
Speaker 1: and what he does and the fact that he puts

1209
00:57:50,560 --> 00:57:53,920
Speaker 1: a shift in and he is he's a number nine one.

1210
00:57:54,120 --> 00:57:56,640
Speaker 1: One other question I have to on just on the coach,

1211
00:57:56,960 --> 00:58:00,120
Speaker 1: the fact that there is no qualifications cycle, right, like

1212
00:58:00,160 --> 00:58:02,120
Speaker 1: the US can put their feet up, so to speak,

1213
00:58:02,200 --> 00:58:06,480
Speaker 1: and just get into it. Does that make it more

1214
00:58:06,560 --> 00:58:09,240
Speaker 1: difficult to find, you know, the right guy because he's

1215
00:58:09,280 --> 00:58:10,960
Speaker 1: not gonna be fake. I mean, I know that they

1216
00:58:11,000 --> 00:58:12,840
Speaker 1: want to go to the Copa America and stuff like that,

1217
00:58:13,000 --> 00:58:16,480
Speaker 1: But does that make the search a little more a

1218
00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:19,440
Speaker 1: trickier endeavor because you're gonna have to have someone who's

1219
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:21,800
Speaker 1: not gonna have to go through CONCA cap qualifying.

1220
00:58:22,280 --> 00:58:24,000
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, it's it's gonna be interesting.

1221
00:58:24,080 --> 00:58:26,240
Speaker 5: You know, you know the teams like Jamaica and Costa Rica,

1222
00:58:26,640 --> 00:58:29,320
Speaker 5: you know, Hondura, Salt salvad Or, Gueemala. Those teams are

1223
00:58:29,800 --> 00:58:33,040
Speaker 5: are gonna battle it out this time in Canada and

1224
00:58:33,440 --> 00:58:36,560
Speaker 5: Mexico and the United States. Get the free pass, as

1225
00:58:36,600 --> 00:58:37,080
Speaker 5: you would say.

1226
00:58:37,200 --> 00:58:38,120
Speaker 6: Look, we went through this.

1227
00:58:38,160 --> 00:58:40,960
Speaker 5: In ninety four, and I think Borama Aatonovich did a

1228
00:58:41,080 --> 00:58:44,520
Speaker 5: fantastic job of just making sure that we got real games.

1229
00:58:44,720 --> 00:58:46,640
Speaker 5: He didn't give a crap about our record. He didn't

1230
00:58:46,680 --> 00:58:48,960
Speaker 5: care if we lost. We needed to get better and

1231
00:58:49,040 --> 00:58:53,000
Speaker 5: play really good teams. That's the polar oppostion what we

1232
00:58:53,160 --> 00:58:56,000
Speaker 5: just did with this national team. We didn't play anybody, guys.

1233
00:58:56,080 --> 00:58:59,280
Speaker 5: We played a bunch of Conca Calf teams. He would

1234
00:58:59,280 --> 00:59:01,960
Speaker 5: play like Martinique and and and you know, all these

1235
00:59:02,040 --> 00:59:06,120
Speaker 5: smaller teams. And we played Mexico a few times, Honduras

1236
00:59:06,160 --> 00:59:08,560
Speaker 5: a few times. I'm not this is no disrespect to

1237
00:59:08,640 --> 00:59:11,120
Speaker 5: those guys, but we need to be playing the Belgiums,

1238
00:59:11,160 --> 00:59:14,760
Speaker 5: the Romanias, uh, the Russias. We need to we need

1239
00:59:14,800 --> 00:59:16,360
Speaker 5: to play against teams that that can.

1240
00:59:16,400 --> 00:59:19,360
Speaker 6: Really test us. And I thought Clintsman did a pretty

1241
00:59:19,360 --> 00:59:20,760
Speaker 6: good job of that, right, I really do.

1242
00:59:21,440 --> 00:59:23,480
Speaker 5: But if you look at who we played, guys, we

1243
00:59:23,560 --> 00:59:28,920
Speaker 5: didn't play anybody, anybody, Bosnia, Herzegovina and then maybe Morocco.

1244
00:59:29,000 --> 00:59:32,080
Speaker 5: But that Moroccan team was was a dud and Uruguay

1245
00:59:32,280 --> 00:59:36,440
Speaker 5: was was completely outplayed us. But I think that that

1246
00:59:36,600 --> 00:59:37,760
Speaker 5: that's the greatest challenge.

1247
00:59:38,240 --> 00:59:39,480
Speaker 3: What I would really.

1248
00:59:39,400 --> 00:59:42,720
Speaker 5: Encourage the federation to do uh and I have spoken

1249
00:59:42,800 --> 00:59:45,320
Speaker 5: to to some people on the inside there is to

1250
00:59:45,760 --> 00:59:47,560
Speaker 5: not just discount the Olympics.

1251
00:59:48,040 --> 00:59:52,200
Speaker 6: The Olympics is an unbelievable opportunity to play against multiple

1252
00:59:52,240 --> 00:59:55,400
Speaker 6: styles of play and to establish a winning culture. We

1253
00:59:55,520 --> 00:59:58,360
Speaker 6: have the second or third youngest team in the World Cup.

1254
00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:01,240
Speaker 5: We got guys like Musa who we're still qualifying for

1255
01:00:01,320 --> 01:00:04,600
Speaker 5: the an under twenty three tournament. Go win that tournament.

1256
01:00:05,120 --> 01:00:07,360
Speaker 5: Go put a medal around your neck. Change the perception

1257
01:00:07,520 --> 01:00:10,800
Speaker 5: of the way Americans think about this team. The Copo

1258
01:00:10,840 --> 01:00:12,160
Speaker 5: America can be secondary.

1259
01:00:12,520 --> 01:00:13,280
Speaker 6: It really can't.

1260
01:00:14,040 --> 01:00:14,840
Speaker 3: That's for you know.

1261
01:00:14,920 --> 01:00:16,400
Speaker 6: We played it, and we played it in ninety five.

1262
01:00:16,480 --> 01:00:17,200
Speaker 6: We did really well.

1263
01:00:17,280 --> 01:00:20,440
Speaker 5: We beat the likes of Argentina and Chile and everyone

1264
01:00:20,760 --> 01:00:24,200
Speaker 5: was astonished by that. But in the end, I just

1265
01:00:24,280 --> 01:00:26,480
Speaker 5: think that tournament beat us up more than it helped

1266
01:00:26,560 --> 01:00:31,360
Speaker 5: us getting into real leagues in Europe and being in

1267
01:00:31,480 --> 01:00:35,600
Speaker 5: real competitions like the Champions League, Europa League and those

1268
01:00:35,640 --> 01:00:37,120
Speaker 5: are going to be the true.

1269
01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:38,680
Speaker 6: Test for these guys to get better.

1270
01:00:40,000 --> 01:00:41,840
Speaker 5: When we get to that stage, we have to have

1271
01:00:41,960 --> 01:00:44,160
Speaker 5: played real games, and we have to have played in

1272
01:00:44,240 --> 01:00:47,320
Speaker 5: real tournaments where we have not just the gold comp

1273
01:00:47,600 --> 01:00:50,080
Speaker 5: and the nation stuff, because it doesn't it's not good enough.

1274
01:00:51,080 --> 01:00:52,919
Speaker 6: So that will be the challenge. It's a great question.

1275
01:00:53,680 --> 01:00:56,720
Speaker 5: And that's why maybe I'll high profile coach Matters because

1276
01:00:56,800 --> 01:00:58,080
Speaker 5: he has the cachet.

1277
01:00:57,800 --> 01:00:59,840
Speaker 6: To go in there and say, no, I need the money,

1278
01:01:00,040 --> 01:01:02,640
Speaker 6: they need to go play in these games. Uh, finance

1279
01:01:02,720 --> 01:01:05,560
Speaker 6: these games because they're important. Because that's the way it works.

1280
01:01:05,600 --> 01:01:07,360
Speaker 6: In the end, we gotta we gotta get over there.

1281
01:01:07,480 --> 01:01:10,680
Speaker 6: We got to get in real environments and play against

1282
01:01:10,760 --> 01:01:14,360
Speaker 6: real opposition. Not you know, go from sleep to sprint.

1283
01:01:14,400 --> 01:01:16,720
Speaker 5: You play, you play the CONCACAF teams over and over again,

1284
01:01:16,720 --> 01:01:18,120
Speaker 5: and then all of a sudden, you standing next to

1285
01:01:18,280 --> 01:01:19,240
Speaker 5: you know, Virgil van Dyke.

1286
01:01:19,280 --> 01:01:21,800
Speaker 6: It's it's a pretty it's a pretty big change.

1287
01:01:23,360 --> 01:01:26,240
Speaker 3: One last thing on the men's national team. Obviously the

1288
01:01:26,320 --> 01:01:29,120
Speaker 3: Geo and bear Healt situation was headline news, and obviously

1289
01:01:29,160 --> 01:01:30,400
Speaker 3: you were all over and I see the rain of

1290
01:01:30,480 --> 01:01:32,479
Speaker 3: Jersey behind you, So I'm guessing you're on his side.

1291
01:01:34,040 --> 01:01:37,080
Speaker 3: We've heard everybody. We've heard both comments, both the manager

1292
01:01:37,160 --> 01:01:39,480
Speaker 3: off record and then Rain on his Instagram. The one

1293
01:01:39,560 --> 01:01:41,120
Speaker 3: thing that and I don't know if you know the

1294
01:01:41,120 --> 01:01:43,480
Speaker 3: answer to this, the one thing that stood out to

1295
01:01:43,520 --> 01:01:45,120
Speaker 3: me is Geo said that his role is gonna be

1296
01:01:45,120 --> 01:01:48,000
Speaker 3: limited coming into the World Cup. Why why was that

1297
01:01:48,120 --> 01:01:49,840
Speaker 3: the case? Was it because he was injured and battling

1298
01:01:49,920 --> 01:01:51,880
Speaker 3: much injuries coming into it? That just never made sense

1299
01:01:51,920 --> 01:01:52,120
Speaker 3: to me.

1300
01:01:52,720 --> 01:01:54,800
Speaker 6: All Right, here's the part that nobody wants to say.

1301
01:01:55,080 --> 01:01:56,880
Speaker 5: And and I'm at a point in my life where

1302
01:01:56,920 --> 01:01:59,720
Speaker 5: I just don't care because this is this is my

1303
01:02:00,680 --> 01:02:04,720
Speaker 5: assessment of the situation. But aalter is not about anything

1304
01:02:04,880 --> 01:02:09,080
Speaker 5: but control and manipulation. He wanted people to behave He

1305
01:02:09,160 --> 01:02:11,920
Speaker 5: didn't want to manage people. He wanted him to fall

1306
01:02:11,960 --> 01:02:16,760
Speaker 5: in line. Now what we saw with Rena in the

1307
01:02:16,920 --> 01:02:19,320
Speaker 5: last games with Dortmund, finally got a goal and then

1308
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:21,800
Speaker 5: his team actually pushed him to have the penalty kick,

1309
01:02:22,520 --> 01:02:24,439
Speaker 5: which I thought was really cool to let a nineteen

1310
01:02:24,520 --> 01:02:26,120
Speaker 5: year old kid take a penalty kick in a major

1311
01:02:26,160 --> 01:02:28,960
Speaker 5: competition to try and get his confidence out. Because he

1312
01:02:29,080 --> 01:02:32,160
Speaker 5: was clearly beloved by his teammates. Sebastian Kiel came out

1313
01:02:32,240 --> 01:02:37,160
Speaker 5: and defended him. Who is the replacement for Michelle Sork

1314
01:02:37,160 --> 01:02:41,000
Speaker 5: who was there for a long time. What happened here

1315
01:02:41,120 --> 01:02:44,520
Speaker 5: is this is just a really poorly managed scenario. The

1316
01:02:44,680 --> 01:02:48,400
Speaker 5: worst part about it is upon arrival, Gio Rena was

1317
01:02:48,440 --> 01:02:48,880
Speaker 5: told he's not.

1318
01:02:48,920 --> 01:02:52,040
Speaker 6: Going to play. How do you react to that? I mean,

1319
01:02:52,440 --> 01:02:54,280
Speaker 6: if you're a nineteen year old kid who has just

1320
01:02:54,480 --> 01:02:56,480
Speaker 6: worked so hard to get back.

1321
01:02:57,760 --> 01:02:59,880
Speaker 5: In a space where he really feels he can contribute

1322
01:02:59,880 --> 01:03:02,680
Speaker 5: to the team, and then upon arrival, you tell the

1323
01:03:02,760 --> 01:03:04,560
Speaker 5: kid you're not going to be in the team, and

1324
01:03:04,640 --> 01:03:08,480
Speaker 5: then you criticize him for acting up or sulking or

1325
01:03:08,600 --> 01:03:09,240
Speaker 5: not bringing the.

1326
01:03:09,240 --> 01:03:10,080
Speaker 6: Effort at practice.

1327
01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:13,680
Speaker 5: I don't know what Greg Burholter expected from him in

1328
01:03:13,760 --> 01:03:15,080
Speaker 5: those three practices after he.

1329
01:03:15,120 --> 01:03:18,200
Speaker 6: Told him he wasn't going to play. I mean, honestly,

1330
01:03:18,240 --> 01:03:19,720
Speaker 6: if you're a player and now you say.

1331
01:03:19,560 --> 01:03:21,720
Speaker 5: All right, well, I'm on the other team that's going

1332
01:03:21,800 --> 01:03:23,919
Speaker 5: to play against the starters, and I really had high

1333
01:03:23,960 --> 01:03:27,320
Speaker 5: hopes to play and I'm not trying hard enough.

1334
01:03:27,960 --> 01:03:30,919
Speaker 6: You can't really use that as a basis to bench

1335
01:03:30,960 --> 01:03:31,280
Speaker 6: a guy.

1336
01:03:31,840 --> 01:03:34,880
Speaker 5: The only problem I had is that he was basically

1337
01:03:35,000 --> 01:03:39,200
Speaker 5: untruthful with the media, saying that he had experienced tightness

1338
01:03:39,240 --> 01:03:41,280
Speaker 5: and the reason why he didn't play is because of injury.

1339
01:03:41,520 --> 01:03:44,560
Speaker 5: That's unfair with a player, man, and you cannot do that.

1340
01:03:45,240 --> 01:03:48,560
Speaker 5: You cannot be untruthful with the media and then expect

1341
01:03:48,640 --> 01:03:51,360
Speaker 5: the player to go along with that narrative and then

1342
01:03:51,520 --> 01:03:55,840
Speaker 5: behave So it's very very mismanaged situation. It's just a

1343
01:03:55,960 --> 01:03:59,920
Speaker 5: shame because it's a shame because the kid is really talented.

1344
01:04:00,080 --> 01:04:01,280
Speaker 6: He really could have helped us.

1345
01:04:01,360 --> 01:04:04,240
Speaker 5: He is miles better than hayesus Ferrara and if anybody

1346
01:04:04,320 --> 01:04:07,920
Speaker 5: doesn't see that, then they're just they really don't understand

1347
01:04:07,960 --> 01:04:08,880
Speaker 5: football whatsoever.

1348
01:04:09,080 --> 01:04:10,720
Speaker 6: So it's a shame.

1349
01:04:11,400 --> 01:04:14,000
Speaker 5: The irony here, guys, is that Claudio and his dad

1350
01:04:14,440 --> 01:04:17,600
Speaker 5: had a very similar first World Cup and that's what

1351
01:04:18,240 --> 01:04:22,920
Speaker 5: got me completely perplexed because Claudio at that stage was

1352
01:04:23,000 --> 01:04:25,760
Speaker 5: twenty years old and he was clearly our best player.

1353
01:04:26,600 --> 01:04:28,720
Speaker 5: We would have been a far better team in nineteen

1354
01:04:28,760 --> 01:04:30,560
Speaker 5: ninety four if we would have had him on the field,

1355
01:04:30,640 --> 01:04:34,440
Speaker 5: but he pulled his hamstring in the last practice before

1356
01:04:34,520 --> 01:04:37,720
Speaker 5: the game. He was a scheduled starter, so he had

1357
01:04:37,760 --> 01:04:40,840
Speaker 5: to set the entire World Cup out. So it's just

1358
01:04:41,120 --> 01:04:43,280
Speaker 5: it's a family thing, man, It's a family curse. I

1359
01:04:43,320 --> 01:04:45,400
Speaker 5: don't know what it is, but I think that the

1360
01:04:46,760 --> 01:04:50,800
Speaker 5: logical thing now is to get a manager who can

1361
01:04:50,920 --> 01:04:54,520
Speaker 5: manage and doesn't create situations like this. You don't get

1362
01:04:54,560 --> 01:04:56,840
Speaker 5: the credit for putting out a fire that you started.

1363
01:04:57,240 --> 01:05:00,440
Speaker 5: You don't, especially if you've been untruthful about it. And

1364
01:05:00,440 --> 01:05:02,320
Speaker 5: and I guess the other irony and all this is

1365
01:05:02,400 --> 01:05:05,720
Speaker 5: he chose a leadership symposium to share with the world

1366
01:05:06,040 --> 01:05:07,320
Speaker 5: what leadership.

1367
01:05:07,000 --> 01:05:09,960
Speaker 3: That was off record though, oh yeah, but of record,

1368
01:05:10,280 --> 01:05:12,160
Speaker 3: Oh this is how could that gets?

1369
01:05:12,720 --> 01:05:14,439
Speaker 5: You know? I think there's been a lot of people

1370
01:05:14,520 --> 01:05:19,680
Speaker 5: who have not understood the difference between calling somebody a.

1371
01:05:19,760 --> 01:05:22,720
Speaker 6: Liar and pointing it out when they lie. Mm hm,

1372
01:05:23,080 --> 01:05:24,040
Speaker 6: those are two different things.

1373
01:05:24,480 --> 01:05:24,680
Speaker 3: Yep.

1374
01:05:26,040 --> 01:05:30,440
Speaker 1: Uh, just one word before we go. Obviously, Leo Messi,

1375
01:05:31,720 --> 01:05:35,640
Speaker 1: he wins his World Cup and he's got the Champions

1376
01:05:35,720 --> 01:05:37,960
Speaker 1: League with I mean, PSG's never won the Champions League,

1377
01:05:38,000 --> 01:05:40,600
Speaker 1: so maybe that's the next horizon for him. But as

1378
01:05:40,640 --> 01:05:43,120
Speaker 1: soon as he lifted that trophy, everybody started talking about

1379
01:05:43,320 --> 01:05:45,200
Speaker 1: into Miami. I mean even before he.

1380
01:05:45,280 --> 01:05:50,400
Speaker 6: Did, maybe a year ago. Yeah, this has been planned out.

1381
01:05:51,200 --> 01:05:53,880
Speaker 1: What's but what's the vision for MLS? That's like it's

1382
01:05:53,920 --> 01:05:57,920
Speaker 1: a general question here like, where is this league going?

1383
01:05:58,080 --> 01:06:02,680
Speaker 1: It feels like it's it's expanding to where we're going

1384
01:06:02,720 --> 01:06:06,040
Speaker 1: to be at thirty two teams soon and Leo Messi

1385
01:06:06,160 --> 01:06:07,520
Speaker 1: is going to be in on one of them. Like,

1386
01:06:07,960 --> 01:06:11,800
Speaker 1: what is the vision here as you see it? And

1387
01:06:12,040 --> 01:06:13,720
Speaker 1: is it the right one or are we going to

1388
01:06:13,840 --> 01:06:15,960
Speaker 1: kind of just look at like a saturated league that's

1389
01:06:16,000 --> 01:06:18,360
Speaker 1: going to become too big to fail.

1390
01:06:19,480 --> 01:06:22,120
Speaker 5: Well, it's it's not. It's an entertainment league, guys. It's

1391
01:06:22,160 --> 01:06:26,440
Speaker 5: not about you know, you know, you don't have success.

1392
01:06:26,120 --> 01:06:30,200
Speaker 6: On real merit. There is no promotion and relegation as

1393
01:06:30,280 --> 01:06:33,000
Speaker 6: an owner. You can never really take a massive had.

1394
01:06:33,200 --> 01:06:35,360
Speaker 5: I mean, it's a single entity, but people don't understand

1395
01:06:35,360 --> 01:06:38,160
Speaker 5: what a single entity franchise system is is this is

1396
01:06:38,200 --> 01:06:38,880
Speaker 5: a kumbaya.

1397
01:06:38,960 --> 01:06:39,960
Speaker 6: We're all in this together.

1398
01:06:40,720 --> 01:06:43,520
Speaker 5: If in the event that that Messi would come to

1399
01:06:43,680 --> 01:06:47,000
Speaker 5: the to the United States and play for Miami, everybody

1400
01:06:47,120 --> 01:06:49,480
Speaker 5: is under the assumption that Miami is signing him.

1401
01:06:50,280 --> 01:06:53,720
Speaker 6: No, that's not how this works. The league is signing him.

1402
01:06:53,720 --> 01:06:56,160
Speaker 6: He will have a contract with the league.

1403
01:06:56,240 --> 01:07:00,200
Speaker 5: That's why there's no in There's never a situation where

1404
01:07:00,240 --> 01:07:04,000
Speaker 5: Virgil van Dyke is playing in Southampton and Liverpool has

1405
01:07:04,040 --> 01:07:05,560
Speaker 5: to have and they're going to spend sixty million.

1406
01:07:06,520 --> 01:07:07,600
Speaker 6: This league has been.

1407
01:07:07,520 --> 01:07:11,360
Speaker 5: Put together to prohibit that from ever happening, and innercompetition

1408
01:07:11,520 --> 01:07:14,400
Speaker 5: between owners where they would make a bad decision and

1409
01:07:14,480 --> 01:07:17,800
Speaker 5: then they'd spend all their money on one player. If

1410
01:07:17,880 --> 01:07:20,720
Speaker 5: Messi comes, each one of the owners is going to

1411
01:07:20,840 --> 01:07:25,120
Speaker 5: chip in tends to twenty million each because it's going

1412
01:07:25,160 --> 01:07:28,200
Speaker 5: to benefit the entire league and that's how that'll work.

1413
01:07:28,360 --> 01:07:31,520
Speaker 5: So when Beckham came over, it was the same story.

1414
01:07:32,040 --> 01:07:35,960
Speaker 5: They basically had me on ESPN saying that it was

1415
01:07:35,960 --> 01:07:38,560
Speaker 5: a two hundred and fifty million dollar contract. When the

1416
01:07:38,640 --> 01:07:40,600
Speaker 5: numbers came out, he made six point five a year.

1417
01:07:41,320 --> 01:07:43,160
Speaker 5: He got all the rest of the money from Pepsi

1418
01:07:43,320 --> 01:07:46,240
Speaker 5: and all of the other big sponsors that made that

1419
01:07:46,480 --> 01:07:48,680
Speaker 5: deal happen. It's more of the same stuff.

1420
01:07:48,920 --> 01:07:51,240
Speaker 1: So what is the overall view or.

1421
01:07:51,600 --> 01:07:52,960
Speaker 6: The vision of the league?

1422
01:07:53,960 --> 01:07:56,400
Speaker 5: You know, it's really interesting that the league would actually,

1423
01:07:56,880 --> 01:07:59,760
Speaker 5: with a straight face say that they're a developmental league

1424
01:08:00,320 --> 01:08:03,680
Speaker 5: when they actively gave over one hundred and twenty million

1425
01:08:03,760 --> 01:08:09,880
Speaker 5: dollars to Lampard, Gerard Beckham, Terryn Ree pure Low here

1426
01:08:09,960 --> 01:08:10,400
Speaker 5: Low and.

1427
01:08:11,880 --> 01:08:15,880
Speaker 6: There's there's like three more way. Yeah, came home.

1428
01:08:16,040 --> 01:08:18,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, so it's it's.

1429
01:08:18,479 --> 01:08:20,800
Speaker 2: Yes there now sort of that moment.

1430
01:08:20,800 --> 01:08:23,160
Speaker 6: We should have been invested in young players that and

1431
01:08:23,520 --> 01:08:26,240
Speaker 6: we should be relying on on.

1432
01:08:28,120 --> 01:08:32,679
Speaker 5: Victories that that that that actually that actually factor into

1433
01:08:33,640 --> 01:08:36,760
Speaker 5: what what champion really looks like and earning.

1434
01:08:38,240 --> 01:08:39,280
Speaker 6: Your way through these things.

1435
01:08:39,320 --> 01:08:42,479
Speaker 5: They're valuable lessons that our era players aren't aren't getting

1436
01:08:43,320 --> 01:08:44,160
Speaker 5: through competition.

1437
01:08:44,439 --> 01:08:47,519
Speaker 6: So that's why I'm all about getting the guys to Europe.

1438
01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:49,719
Speaker 5: I think guys like Weston mckinne, when they find themselves

1439
01:08:49,720 --> 01:08:52,280
Speaker 5: in a Juventus outfit and they realize how tough those

1440
01:08:52,360 --> 01:08:53,880
Speaker 5: practices are and how much those.

1441
01:08:53,760 --> 01:08:56,280
Speaker 6: Games mean to those fans, makes you better. It makes

1442
01:08:56,320 --> 01:08:59,640
Speaker 6: you sharper uh. And you know, I will leave you

1443
01:08:59,680 --> 01:09:01,240
Speaker 6: with this. I mean, the biggest difference.

1444
01:09:00,960 --> 01:09:03,360
Speaker 5: Between America and over there, and I played over there,

1445
01:09:03,439 --> 01:09:07,679
Speaker 5: so I know is you could lose a game. Let's

1446
01:09:07,720 --> 01:09:10,160
Speaker 5: say you lose the game for nothing, and you'll come

1447
01:09:10,200 --> 01:09:11,599
Speaker 5: out of your locker room and you're on your way

1448
01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:14,439
Speaker 5: to your car in America and there'd be some dad

1449
01:09:14,520 --> 01:09:16,519
Speaker 5: with two kids that says, hey, can you sign for

1450
01:09:16,640 --> 01:09:18,800
Speaker 5: my kid? We're a really big fans of yours, and

1451
01:09:18,920 --> 01:09:21,559
Speaker 5: you're nice and you sign the autographs and you say hey,

1452
01:09:21,600 --> 01:09:24,320
Speaker 5: you know, keep going, or say something nice and you

1453
01:09:24,400 --> 01:09:28,519
Speaker 5: go to your car. If you're in Europe, you put

1454
01:09:28,560 --> 01:09:31,640
Speaker 5: your hood up. You don't want anybody to see you.

1455
01:09:31,800 --> 01:09:34,000
Speaker 5: And if some dad with two kids sees you, because

1456
01:09:34,040 --> 01:09:36,760
Speaker 5: there he is. There's the guy that's that's the guy

1457
01:09:36,840 --> 01:09:40,200
Speaker 5: that you would never be like that kid. Never you

1458
01:09:40,360 --> 01:09:42,479
Speaker 5: hear me, son, No, that guy's terrible.

1459
01:09:42,520 --> 01:09:45,479
Speaker 6: He's a loser. And that's the way it is over

1460
01:09:45,560 --> 01:09:46,000
Speaker 6: there now.

1461
01:09:46,040 --> 01:09:47,720
Speaker 5: It's the same guy that if you win next week

1462
01:09:47,760 --> 01:09:50,000
Speaker 5: three nothing, he's going to come back and apologize and

1463
01:09:50,040 --> 01:09:54,000
Speaker 5: say you're the greatest things. That is the pressure that

1464
01:09:54,200 --> 01:09:56,320
Speaker 5: you are under and the microscope that you were under

1465
01:09:56,360 --> 01:09:58,200
Speaker 5: over there that we don't have here.

1466
01:10:00,360 --> 01:10:04,160
Speaker 3: I would say one last last question, does you does

1467
01:10:04,200 --> 01:10:05,519
Speaker 3: your former club Bocome survive?

1468
01:10:06,520 --> 01:10:07,080
Speaker 6: Probably not.

1469
01:10:07,479 --> 01:10:10,439
Speaker 5: I'm just gonna be honest. I didn't speak to Ilia

1470
01:10:11,200 --> 01:10:15,120
Speaker 5: a couple of times. Uh CRN chicks. He's pulling his

1471
01:10:15,200 --> 01:10:17,519
Speaker 5: tear out and having to make the move to get

1472
01:10:17,560 --> 01:10:22,280
Speaker 5: away from Rice was was tough because he was he

1473
01:10:22,520 --> 01:10:25,760
Speaker 5: was really I played with with with him. I knew

1474
01:10:25,800 --> 01:10:28,040
Speaker 5: where his heart was and he always had that knack

1475
01:10:28,120 --> 01:10:30,680
Speaker 5: of of getting results when they really shouldn't have. But

1476
01:10:30,720 --> 01:10:33,639
Speaker 5: when they got pounded at home by Byron, you knew

1477
01:10:33,640 --> 01:10:35,240
Speaker 5: the writing was on the wall and the team was

1478
01:10:36,120 --> 01:10:39,400
Speaker 5: was was just not in good form. So uh, it'll

1479
01:10:39,439 --> 01:10:42,759
Speaker 5: be really difficult, really difficult this year. They put themselves

1480
01:10:42,760 --> 01:10:45,200
Speaker 5: in a bad spot. But I mean, don't count them out.

1481
01:10:45,320 --> 01:10:48,600
Speaker 5: But I'm saying maybe not. But Falafella will always have

1482
01:10:49,160 --> 01:10:52,400
Speaker 5: a fighting spirit about them and they they will fight

1483
01:10:52,520 --> 01:10:55,640
Speaker 5: to the end. They even if they're already relegated, they

1484
01:10:55,680 --> 01:10:57,880
Speaker 5: will still be kicking people in the last fixt year.

1485
01:10:59,439 --> 01:11:02,120
Speaker 1: Awesome. Mary. Uh, we will be catching up with you

1486
01:11:02,720 --> 01:11:06,240
Speaker 1: throughout the next couple of weeks talking Champions League, US

1487
01:11:07,560 --> 01:11:11,920
Speaker 1: national team, maybe messy stuff as well, but we appreciate

1488
01:11:12,000 --> 01:11:14,599
Speaker 1: it as always and we'll talk to you soon.

1489
01:11:15,080 --> 01:11:16,760
Speaker 5: You know why, guys, last thing, you know why we

1490
01:11:16,920 --> 01:11:20,559
Speaker 5: know Messi's coming here because they actually had somebody logging

1491
01:11:20,720 --> 01:11:23,799
Speaker 5: his plane and he has taken more trips to Miami

1492
01:11:24,800 --> 01:11:25,479
Speaker 5: Weather Place.

1493
01:11:25,680 --> 01:11:27,920
Speaker 6: That plane's been to Miami so many times it's got

1494
01:11:27,960 --> 01:11:28,599
Speaker 6: its own hangar.

1495
01:11:28,720 --> 01:11:33,320
Speaker 1: So that's amazing. Expect Lionel Messi International Airport.

1496
01:11:33,720 --> 01:11:36,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, and he did it on a rainy night in Chuester.

1497
01:11:36,880 --> 01:11:37,240
Speaker 2: That'll be.

1498
01:11:39,840 --> 01:11:42,000
Speaker 6: Or sunderment or still either way.

1499
01:11:43,200 --> 01:11:44,519
Speaker 1: All right, Eric, we appreciate it.

1500
01:11:44,600 --> 01:11:45,760
Speaker 6: Man, we got a guy.

1501
01:11:54,439 --> 01:11:57,840
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1502
01:11:58,280 --> 01:12:01,080
Speaker 5: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1503
01:12:01,400 --> 01:12:04,360
Speaker 5: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred

1504
01:12:04,400 --> 01:12:04,839
Speaker 5: gambler