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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Throwing out, so we're saying it's a cash touchdown.

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Speaker 3: All we see most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 3: but they go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible, Big banks, I'm all banks.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money. All right, this is the

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Speaker 1: ultimate combine if you want to back, and we are underway.

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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. I'm

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Speaker 1: Brendan glass Sheen, joined by Brandon Anderson. We come to

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Speaker 1: you for the Week sixteen NFL recap one day later

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Speaker 1: than usual, folks. With Christmas yesterday, we put off our

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Speaker 1: episode to the twenty sixth, so if you're tuning in

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Speaker 1: on a Tuesday morning, that is why. So you did

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Speaker 1: not miss us. We come to you a daylight recapping

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Speaker 1: Week sixteen, all sixteen matchups for us to break down

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Speaker 1: and like I mentioned, coming to you later in the

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Speaker 1: week with the holidays. Happy holidays to you and yours.

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Speaker 1: It's just after midnight or close to midnight here on

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Speaker 1: the East Coast, so we all just took in that

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Speaker 1: wonderful football game the Indianapolis Colts and Los Angeles Chargers.

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Speaker 1: Indy not great. Nick Foles not pretty three picks. The

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Speaker 1: Colts are inept, Chargers are going to the playoffs thanks

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Speaker 1: to that victory today twenty to three. They cover the

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Speaker 1: spread wherever you got the line at three and a half, four,

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Speaker 1: four and a half. A lot of folks at action.

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Speaker 1: We're on the Colts tonight, So sad night for us,

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Speaker 1: but Chargers are in the playoffs. Brandon, you want to

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Speaker 1: give a quick thirty second recap on this whatever we

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Speaker 1: watched there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that was pretty much.

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Speaker 4: It's got to wonder how many quarterbacks are the Colts

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Speaker 4: going to send into retirement at this point. I mean

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Speaker 4: we're on Philip Rivers, Carson Wentz, I'm gonna count Frank Reich,

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Speaker 4: Matt Ryan, nick Foles.

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Speaker 2: Nick Foles looked like you.

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Speaker 4: Came out of retirement and then they play game I

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Speaker 4: sent away back to retirement. Look, I was one of

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Speaker 4: the action people on the Colts tonight, and it was

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Speaker 4: pretty clear pretty quickly that that was probably not going

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Speaker 4: to go well for me. So we had a very

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Speaker 4: Thursday night Monday night game. We had three interceptions and

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Speaker 4: nine plays sequence. Honestly, I don't feel super impressed with

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Speaker 4: the Chargers. They clinched the playoffs, but kind of the

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Speaker 4: usual from them, the garbage and early downs and Herbert

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Speaker 4: bailed them out with some third down plays, but the

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Speaker 4: Colts just were 'n apted. I think Fools was sacked

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Speaker 4: seven or eight times. Indie season is done and I

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Speaker 4: don't know what quarterback the're going to put in next

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Speaker 4: or where they go from here. But yeah, didn't really

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Speaker 4: move the neil a lot. Chargers were pretty high percentage

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Speaker 4: to make the playoffs. Didn't really hurt anyone else's chances

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Speaker 4: too much because of that. And you know, takeaway for

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Speaker 4: me was won my fantasy matchup, got into my championship branding.

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Speaker 2: You did the same.

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Speaker 4: So hopefully if you were playing fantasy at home, hopefully

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Speaker 4: not too much in this game, or if you did,

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Speaker 4: maybe Austin Ekeler, not much else.

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Speaker 1: Three straight wins for the Chargers. They get the Rams

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Speaker 1: next a battle of La That one will take place

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Speaker 1: on New Year's Day. Much of the action next week

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Speaker 1: on New Year's Day being Sunday. Some big games from

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Speaker 1: the weekend. Philadelphia and Dallas was a game that jumped

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Speaker 1: out to many because of the line movement throughout the week.

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Speaker 1: These teams played on Saturday, right Saturday, Christmas Eve. Yes,

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Speaker 1: they were Christmas Eve in the afternoon. That the Saturday

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Speaker 1: Sunday things totally thrown me off, but yes they were

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Speaker 1: on Saturday in the afternoon. Dallas forty to thirty four winners.

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Speaker 1: They covered and a three and a half, four and

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Speaker 1: a half, five, five and a half. If he got

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Speaker 1: him at six, it's a push, that's a bummer. But

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Speaker 1: they covered most that were out there throughout the week.

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Speaker 1: With the Jalen Hurts news being ruled out, Nick Sirianni

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Speaker 1: was outspoken about holding him out for a week. Then

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Speaker 1: there was like a chance maybe he'd play because Minshew

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Speaker 1: went to the funeral from Mike Leach rip coach Leach.

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Speaker 1: So it turns out it was Minshew. He looked pretty

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Speaker 1: good doing it. Ten to nothing lead early for Philly

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Speaker 1: and then Dallas muster to comeback. They are in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Would you take away from this one?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Philly had their chances here. You know, obviously they're

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Speaker 4: a big underdog on the road in Dallas. They blew

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Speaker 4: a ten zero leader off the bat. They got that

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Speaker 4: Dak pick six second week in a row for that

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Speaker 4: up twenty seventeen and a half for Philly up thirty

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Speaker 4: four to twenty seven with ten minutes left.

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Speaker 2: Probably not gonna matter.

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Speaker 4: Probably because the Eagles win one more game they clinched

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Speaker 4: the one seed, or Dallas loses the game, they clinched

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Speaker 4: the division. The Eagles probably are fun, but you never

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Speaker 4: know with football, You never know when you might ruin

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Speaker 4: one of those lost leads he gave away. I think though,

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Speaker 4: the takeaway from the game itself, the Cowboys face the

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Speaker 4: backup quarterback, the ostensible MVP candidate not playing. The Eagles

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Speaker 4: turned it over five times and the Cowboys bitterly got

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Speaker 4: over the line at home. That's not a great sign

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Speaker 4: for the Cowboys. So they got the win. They stay

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Speaker 4: alive here. We had some awful clock management down the

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Speaker 4: stretch by both teams that was very frustrating to watch. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: I thought Minshaw was good. Minshew played really well. I

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Speaker 4: sort of feel like that that made the whole Jalen

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Speaker 4: Hurts MVP thing look a little silly when you can

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Speaker 4: bring in your backup and he just steps right into

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Speaker 4: the fray without any problems. Dak those interceptions now, I

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Speaker 4: think Jill's mentioned that Dak's an interception every single game

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Speaker 4: two straight with the pick six I post on Twitter today,

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Speaker 4: if you do plays with no turnovers, Dak by ep

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Speaker 4: per play is basically Patrick mahomes like they are one

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Speaker 4: A and one B on the season, but turnovers count.

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Speaker 2: You don't just get to.

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Speaker 4: Take those plays out. So that tells me Dak is

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Speaker 4: putting up the big plays. The Cowboys are moving the ball.

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Speaker 4: I mean, like, I think we had one punt in

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Speaker 4: this game forty to thirty four, so got a lot

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Speaker 4: of action in this one. But you got to get

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Speaker 4: rid of those mistakes if you can, can you cut

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Speaker 4: mistakes out for a month? Dallas might still make a run,

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Speaker 4: but I don't know. I think Philly has to feel

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Speaker 4: pretty good. The one other thing, Lane Johnson, the stud

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Speaker 4: lineman for Philadelphia, is out. Looks like he'll be out

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Speaker 4: till at least the postseason. A little bit worrisome. Jalen

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Speaker 4: Hurts injured, Lane Johnson injured. It doesn't look long term,

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Speaker 4: but man, this is not the time of the year

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Speaker 4: that the team at the one seed wants to be

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Speaker 4: picking up these big injuries.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, for Dallas too, concerns about their defense because that's

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Speaker 1: how they were winning a lot of games early in

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Speaker 1: the year. You let so it's one in one breath.

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Speaker 1: You're looking at Philly like, well, hey, they can just

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Speaker 1: insert another quarterback, and that insults all of Philadelphia. By

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Speaker 1: the way, if you say, well, you know, our quarterback

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Speaker 1: is really good, he's an MVP. Take them out, minshew,

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Speaker 1: it's a well oiled machine. Still looks pretty much the same.

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Speaker 1: But Dallas, it almost feels like they better get the

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Speaker 1: Vikings in the first round of the playoffs because if

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Speaker 1: they're on the road potentially cooler weather or inclement weather,

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Speaker 1: How does that change things? How about their defense?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, the defense is struggling lately, especially the past defense.

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Speaker 4: Micah Parson, I think, had twelve sacks through eleven games

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Speaker 4: and now only won the last four games. He was

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Speaker 4: an odds on favor for Defensive Player of the Year.

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Speaker 4: Nick or Bosa now has passed him and is now

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Speaker 4: clearly the odds on favorite.

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Speaker 2: There So the defense of slipping back. Brendon. You and

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Speaker 2: I on Green.

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Speaker 4: Dot Daily talked about the Cowboys and Eagles as the

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Speaker 4: class of the NFC right now. I think it'd be

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Speaker 4: hard to argue that that's just not the forty nine ers.

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Speaker 4: The forty nine ers arehead of both of these teams

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Speaker 4: right now, adding in the Eagles injuries, and the Cowboys

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Speaker 4: seem like really slipped back. The one good thing for

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Speaker 4: the Cowboys here is you want to still win. You

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Speaker 4: want to get the one seed or win the division

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Speaker 4: if you can. But you said the Vikings. With respect

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Speaker 4: to the Vikings, the even better path is the NFC

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Speaker 4: five seed. You get to play whoever comes out of

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Speaker 4: the NFC South. And that's basically where it looks like

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Speaker 4: Dallas is headed. They're pretty well locked into the five seed.

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Speaker 4: Dallas versus Tampa or whoever that is is the most

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Speaker 4: likely first round playoff matchup across the NFL right now.

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Speaker 2: So I think I think.

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Speaker 4: The reaction to this game or overall will be, all right, Dallas,

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Speaker 4: we're out on them. We're done with Dallas. That didn't happen.

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Speaker 4: The defense is bad, Dak is throwing interceptions.

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Speaker 2: I don't go there.

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Speaker 4: I think Dallas is still in the mix. They're gonna

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Speaker 4: have a good matchup and a solid path. I want

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Speaker 4: to get that Dallas Philly third game. We got one

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Speaker 4: with no Dak. That was the first one. Yep, we

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Speaker 4: got one with no Hurts. Now give us their real matchup.

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Speaker 4: And I don't know, respect to Brock Purdy who hasn't

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Speaker 4: lost yet, but I still think if we get that

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Speaker 4: healthy Dallas Philly third matchup, I think that's the NFC

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Speaker 4: king maker.

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Speaker 1: Still that was the game of the day on Saturday

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Speaker 1: and then Sunday, Christmas Day is most sensed that first

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Speaker 1: game between Green Bay and Miami was the game to watch.

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Speaker 1: Thinking back now a month or so, three weeks even,

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Speaker 1: I'm thinking, oh, well, you know, even if it's not

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers and it's Jordan Love, I'm compelled to watch

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Speaker 1: because if Jordan Love outperforms TUA, then maybe the Packers.

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Speaker 1: Not only does it create conversations in Miami, but oh okay,

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Speaker 1: maybe the Packers have more clarity in their quarterback room.

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Speaker 1: Perhaps they'd be more willing to make a move to

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Speaker 1: move off of Rogers, move off of Love, someone gets silly,

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Speaker 1: more draft capital, etc. Etc. Packers have found themselves back

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Speaker 1: into this thing. They are back in the hunt at

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Speaker 1: seven and eight. They have a chance to make the

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Speaker 1: playoffs in the NFC. They're one of those many teams

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Speaker 1: that are in the hunt, lurking in the playoff picture.

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Speaker 1: They win and beat Miami twenty six to twenty they

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Speaker 1: cover getting the three and a half four points. Whatever

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Speaker 1: you got to that. I know you played them on

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Speaker 1: the money line, So that makes you happy that the

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Speaker 1: Packers handled their stuff. I know we should be thrilled,

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Speaker 1: but it felt the angle here, Brandon is Miami gave

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Speaker 1: the game away. Their final three possessions all interceptions. They

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Speaker 1: get shut out in the second half. Oh and by

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Speaker 1: the way, the guy who did all that, he's hurt.

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Speaker 1: He's back in concussion protocol. To a tongue of Iloa,

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Speaker 1: back in concussion protocol. NFL Network is reporting his status

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Speaker 1: is in doubt for the game in New England next week.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, the concussion report that came out Monday afternoon. I'm

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Speaker 4: literally mid rewatching this game. I kind of, you know,

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Speaker 4: did the half watch thing with family on Christmas. Keep

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Speaker 4: an eye on my bets. I think Dubundo had this

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Speaker 4: one on our Best Bets episode. We had a lot

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Speaker 4: of our guys on Colts tonight at Action. Well, I

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Speaker 4: think Packers was the other one. A lot of us

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Speaker 4: were on, so we kind of evened out there. Glad

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Speaker 4: to get the Packers win. But yeah, that to a

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Speaker 4: news kind of twists the whole narrative of what happened

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Speaker 4: here because the supposed hit that you know that they're showing.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if those.

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Speaker 4: Schefter who reported the possible hit was like right before

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Speaker 4: the half, about two minutes before. So I noticed a

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Speaker 4: clear pivot point as I was watching back and forth

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Speaker 4: early another long touchdown to Waddle second straight week for that,

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Speaker 4: a long near touchdown to Tyreek kill down to the

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Speaker 4: one and a touchdown. It's seventeen ten. The Packers have

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Speaker 4: the ball in their own twenty and do a fake

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Speaker 4: fake punt and get stuffed. So Miami basically has a chance.

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Speaker 4: Now I go up twenty four to ten, really take control. Well,

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Speaker 4: there's a play right then, we're about four minutes till

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Speaker 4: and a half.

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Speaker 2: Tua gets strip sacked on a fumble.

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Speaker 4: They recover it, but your touchdown is gone. You settle

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Speaker 4: for the field goal, and from then forward, the next

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Speaker 4: drive they got is when he took the hit that

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Speaker 4: supposed the concussion possibly came or concussion symptoms. But that moment,

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Speaker 4: that mistake that Tua made getting the strip sack, everything

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Speaker 4: went wrong after that for Miami. And it's interesting how

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Speaker 4: so close it was like three Miami plays away from

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Speaker 4: the hit that he took, because yeah, as you said,

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Speaker 4: from there, the next possession they fumble the ball right

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Speaker 4: before the half, the Packers get a field goal out

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Speaker 4: of it. Packers go out of the half, so we're tied.

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Speaker 4: And then here's the rest of Mimmu's possession. Second half,

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Speaker 4: they missed a field goal and then yeah, interception, Packers

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Speaker 4: field goal interception, Packer's field goal interception. Game over three

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Speaker 4: interceptions in twelve Miami plays. At that point, the timing

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Speaker 4: looked off.

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Speaker 2: It was like, Uh, here we go. It's the same

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Speaker 2: Miami we've been seeing the last three weeks. Now.

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Speaker 4: Now you see the reports today and it's like, well,

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Speaker 4: is it that or are we seeing double or are

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Speaker 4: we throwing the shadows.

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Speaker 2: It's really it's hard to say.

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Speaker 4: And like, I mean, what is like the fourth time

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Speaker 4: that we've had this kind of conversation a different week

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Speaker 4: with him, which honestly is a little scary, just test

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Speaker 4: as a human standpoint for a football player. From a

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Speaker 4: football standpoint, the last four weeks, we had that Dolphins

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Speaker 4: game against the Niners when they got totally shut down.

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Speaker 4: Since then, you know, we talked about it was that

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Speaker 4: the blueprint did we solve Miami. The twelve weeks before that,

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Speaker 4: Tua led the league in EPA per play among quarterbacks.

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Speaker 4: He was so far he's ahead of Mahomes. He was

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Speaker 4: so far ahead that Jalen Hurts is sixth tool was double.

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Speaker 4: He was twice as good as possible MVP Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 4: for twelve weeks. In the four weeks since then, starting

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Speaker 4: with that Niners game, out of twenty five quarterbacks with

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Speaker 4: at least a hundred passes, dead last in the NFL,

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Speaker 4: dead last for Tua in EPA per play, literally from

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Speaker 4: first to worst. I don't know what's happening with that

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Speaker 4: two fumbles, three interceptions, the weird concussion thing that just

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Speaker 4: keeps hanging around. I'm worried. I'm very worried about this team.

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Speaker 4: They're way over reliant on those long plays, which they're

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Speaker 4: tending to get to get like two per game, but

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Speaker 4: it's not enough, and really too if you look at

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Speaker 4: their profile over these four weeks, the offense is bad,

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Speaker 4: like they're like twenty fifth by DVA in the NFL.

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Speaker 4: The defense has been good, so it's kind of offset

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Speaker 4: and we haven't totally knows just how bad the offense

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Speaker 4: has gone, but I don't know. Man, Miami plays the

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Speaker 4: Patriots and the Jets still, those are good defenses, smart

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Speaker 4: talented defenses. Miami is not moving the ball right now

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Speaker 4: and might not have TUA depending on how things go.

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Speaker 4: If they lose both of those games, they're out. There's

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Speaker 4: no back door for Miami. They got to win at

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Speaker 4: least one win either game. They get eighty eight percent

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Speaker 4: and they're fine. And the U rest too. Will you

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Speaker 4: get healthy? I don't think they're there yet. I am

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Speaker 4: worried about this team. I believe they have lost four

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Speaker 4: in a row now. Yep, they're in some trouble.

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Speaker 1: Yep. And the line flipped on this game too. If

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Speaker 1: you were looking to get ahead on this, the Patriots

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Speaker 1: were one and a half point home underdogs. The line

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Speaker 1: has flipped and on FanDuel now the Patriots are favored

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Speaker 1: by a point in a half. I saw some two

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Speaker 1: and a half's out there tonight too, so the line

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Speaker 1: has moved a score to moved a field goal four

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Speaker 1: points based on this news. So it could be very

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Speaker 1: well could be Teddy Bridgewater and at quarterback this week

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Speaker 1: in New England.

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Speaker 4: They could And for me, the play I made already

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Speaker 4: you may have seen in the app. I took the

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Speaker 4: under on this one. I took it out forty three.

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Speaker 4: I believe there's still forty two and a half out there.

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Speaker 4: I don't really I don't believe in the Patriots right now.

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Speaker 2: Either. That offense is rough.

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Speaker 4: But if you have a faltering Miami offense that's not

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Speaker 4: as good as we think it is, and then you

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Speaker 4: got a better Miami defense than we think and a

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Speaker 4: better Patriots defense, well, we know the Patriots defense is good,

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Speaker 4: and sorry, we know the offense is not very good.

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Speaker 4: So I think the under is probably the way to go.

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Speaker 4: I don't really know what to make of the game itself.

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Speaker 4: I just think that there's not going to be a

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Speaker 4: ton of points on that one. But it's a really

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Speaker 4: big one for a playoff picture. We'll just have to

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Speaker 4: see how it plays out.

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Speaker 1: We'll discuss that now. Patriots Bengals was on Christmas Eve.

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Speaker 1: On Saturday, Bengals won twenty two eighteen, so they cover again.

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Speaker 1: The Bengals have been a covering machine dating back to

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Speaker 1: the end of last year. They cover the minus three

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Speaker 1: three and a half if you took the Pats, which

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of folks thought the Pats were

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Speaker 1: the right side, the sharp side, and did not look

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Speaker 1: like that early Brandon twenty two to nothing, that in

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Speaker 1: atmosphere in Foxborough. I'm just watching the game. I look

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Speaker 1: at my family. You couldn't pay me enough to go

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Speaker 1: to this game. You couldn't. You couldn't pay me enough

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Speaker 1: to go to Foxborough. Freeze my ass off on Christmas Eve,

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Speaker 1: last minute shopping, the weather itself being so cold, and

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Speaker 1: this team the way that looked last week, and then

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Speaker 1: to be down the way they got down in this game,

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Speaker 1: down twenty two to nothing, then they muster some comeback.

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Speaker 1: The fact they have three defensive touchdowns the last three

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Speaker 1: weeks and they're one and two is insane. Like most teams,

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Speaker 1: when you watch red Zone or watch your team, when

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Speaker 1: you're getting defensive scores, it means usually means it's your day,

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Speaker 1: like you're having your way and your day and the

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Speaker 1: other team is income from behind mode because they've got

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Speaker 1: to throw it or they make a contested throw. Nope,

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Speaker 1: just they've benefited from the other team making some mistakes.

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Speaker 1: Derek Carr Joe Burrow through some contested balls here. The Patriots, though,

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Speaker 1: like you mentioned, you mentioned Miami's gonna win next week

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Speaker 1: against New England. Same for the Patriots. They If the

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Speaker 1: Patriots win their last two, which not easy home Miami

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Speaker 1: at Buffalo, they're in. There's no if fans or Bots.

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Speaker 1: They're in. If they win their next two, they could

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Speaker 1: still get in. I think, oh, actually that might be

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Speaker 1: out the door now because the Chargers win tonight. But anyway,

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Speaker 1: they've got to win this. They've gotta win out a

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Speaker 1: concern about Cincinnati, You've already kind of said everything I

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Speaker 1: need to know about New England. Their offense sucks.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean for New England.

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Speaker 4: First, they're now zer one to five against teams that

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Speaker 4: are above five hundred on the season, and if you

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Speaker 4: look at the quarterbacks, that's what's really stark for this team.

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Speaker 4: We talked about how good the defense, says the wins

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Speaker 4: seven wins have come against Trubisky, Goff who's been playing

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Speaker 4: well at Alia to give him some credit, Yep Brissett,

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Speaker 4: Zach Wilson twice, Sam Ellinger, and Colt McCoy. The losses Tua, Lamar, Rogers, Fields, Cousins,

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Speaker 4: Josh Allen, Derek Carr, Joe Burrow. So if the opposing

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Speaker 4: team has an NFL quarterback, it's not going well.

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Speaker 2: And if they've got Zach Wilson.

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Speaker 4: Or Colt McCoy or Mitch Trubisky, I mean literally we

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Speaker 4: got If we count Zach Wilson as a backup at

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Speaker 4: this point, we literally have that's a whole list of backups.

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Speaker 4: Brissett is a backup playing as a starter for part

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Speaker 4: of the year. Is Wilson's a backup now? Trubisky is

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Speaker 4: a backup only Jared Goff is the only literal NFL starter,

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Speaker 4: and he's one that nobody wanted.

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Speaker 2: He's playing well, but no one wanted him.

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Speaker 4: So that's not great, especially when you consider, well, I

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Speaker 4: don't know, they might get to play back up next week,

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Speaker 4: they get to play Teddy or possibly Skyler Thompson.

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Speaker 1: Unbelievable.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, they're probably not going to play it back up

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Speaker 4: in the week eighteen, though at Buffalo it's very unlikely

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Speaker 4: that the Bills would not have a reason to play

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Speaker 4: at that point. They're almost certainly to be playing for

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Speaker 4: some positioning still, probably for the one seed. So yeah,

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Speaker 4: I don't feel great about the Patriots. I would love

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Speaker 4: a chance to fade the Patriots if it wasn't for

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Speaker 4: the fact that I'd be loving the chance to fade

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Speaker 4: the Dolphins too, because this this comeback quote unquote not

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Speaker 4: really a comeback to me. I mean we had we

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Speaker 4: had a Jacoby Meyers hail Mary that like I don't

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Speaker 4: know if that was that was.

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Speaker 2: That was on purpose? Was that like a Diddy Tippett

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Speaker 2: back or was it accident?

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure who, I don't know. Eighty eight Washington

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Speaker 1: is never heard of him until that play. It looked

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Speaker 1: sort of intentional by it did.

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Speaker 4: It looked like it was like designed that way. But

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Speaker 4: remember last week, we can't run a hill Mary, we

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Speaker 4: can't do it, So we got to run the lateral

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Speaker 4: play instead. Start to bring that up Ramande Stevenson. I

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Speaker 4: know this dude's going to play another down because last

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Speaker 4: week he did the lateral starter thing.

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Speaker 2: This week it's first.

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Speaker 4: Down, no Bengals timeouts, under a minute, Patriots down four

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Speaker 4: on the five yard line. Just run it in a

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Speaker 4: couple of times.

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Speaker 2: You get the win.

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Speaker 4: You're basically in the playoffs at that point. And then

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Speaker 4: Stevenson fumbles a little shady like this is like about

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Speaker 4: six seconds after stopped, and they still decided allowed to

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Speaker 4: keep going.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, no, forward progress was awarded.

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Speaker 4: Nope, no, no, make that up as they go. Take

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Speaker 4: away for the Bengals here, by the way, if you're

406
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Speaker 4: the over on this game, horrendous beat on the olver.

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Speaker 4: It's forty one and a half. We finished out forty.

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Speaker 4: So you missed that touchdown at the end. I would

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Speaker 4: have done it, sincatty missed a field goal and we

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Speaker 4: had three missed extra points to this game, So sorry

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Speaker 4: about that. A lot of miss points this weekend with

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Speaker 4: a lot of bad Christmas weather. Here's my takeaway for

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Speaker 4: the Bengals.

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Speaker 2: Got the win.

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Speaker 4: Burrow was awesome, put up a monster line just throwing

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Speaker 4: all over the field. Here's a problem. Cincinnati would be

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Speaker 4: a team that I would be looking at like as

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Speaker 4: here's my super Bowl pick right now. I love this team.

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Speaker 4: They're playing great, they're passing, the defense is good. Luanaarumo,

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Speaker 4: the defensive corner is great. However, awoozieh the star corner

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Speaker 4: out for the season, has been out for about a

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Speaker 4: month now. Gray Hendrickson and Sam Hubbard, the pass rushers,

423
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Speaker 4: both are injured and now in this one Lyle Collins

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Speaker 4: probably their best offensive lineman for an ACL out for

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Speaker 4: the season. These are not the stars. We still got

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Speaker 4: Burrow and Chase and Higgins and all the fun players.

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Speaker 4: These are the guys that win you football games. Your

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Speaker 4: pass rushers, your star blocker, your star corner. We talked

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Speaker 4: early with the Eagles. You want to be getting these

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Speaker 4: injuries right now. I'm worried about Cincinnati. These are four

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Speaker 4: big names that they're missing right now, and it is

432
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 4: really bad timing for this. And it's a bummer because

433
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:06,400
Speaker 4: this team was playing some really good football.

434
00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:10,280
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans fall, they were favorites. They fall to the

435
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:14,920
Speaker 1: Houston Texans nineteen fourteen. The spread was three, didn't matter.

436
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 1: Texans got there straight up. Titans are now seven and eight,

437
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:20,240
Speaker 1: so they joined the Patriots, the Dolphins, the Jets, and

438
00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:24,240
Speaker 1: the Steelers at seven and eight. There's still plus two hundred.

439
00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 1: They're plus two hundred to win the division in the

440
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:30,240
Speaker 1: AFC South. But the Jags got a pretty favorable schedule

441
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,199
Speaker 1: here down the stretch. And then again, the Texans have been

442
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:34,320
Speaker 1: feisty and they just want to f everything up for everybody,

443
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 1: so they're having fun doing that. You got a quick

444
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,000
Speaker 1: thought here on Tennessee and what this means.

445
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:42,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, what it means is week seventeen. It literally is

446
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:46,680
Speaker 4: a meaningless for Tennessee. It's now down to week eighteen

447
00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:47,919
Speaker 4: in Jacksonville.

448
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 2: That's it.

449
00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 4: You win the game for the Titans. You could literally

450
00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:54,000
Speaker 4: lose six in a row. They've lost five right now.

451
00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:57,440
Speaker 4: They can lose Thursday night. It doesn't matter. It literally

452
00:21:57,480 --> 00:22:00,520
Speaker 4: means nothing to the team. I think that makes this

453
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:03,280
Speaker 4: a bye week for Tennessee, especially on a short week.

454
00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:06,280
Speaker 4: We'll come back to that in the hot read. Tennessee

455
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 4: has just been besieged by injuries. Their defense, especially Cannehill

456
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 4: has obviously injured. Malik Willis socks so bad. He's so terrible.

457
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 4: They can't pass to do anything. You lose to Houston.

458
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:23,440
Speaker 4: The takeaway is week seventeen does not matter. We'll come

459
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 4: back to that.

460
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 1: Okay, Very good Vegas. Pittsburgh, congrats to the Steelers on

461
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:30,679
Speaker 1: getting that win that cashes your in season win total

462
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,359
Speaker 1: over that you had. They cover the two and a

463
00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 1: half points. That was where the line closed. I'm pretty

464
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 1: sure at two and a half. So if you're a

465
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:42,080
Speaker 1: Steelers better you got there. Pittsburgh's still alive. What a

466
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 1: surprise with ra Ram Mike Tomlin.

467
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, somehow Pittsburgh stays alive. They're now six and two

468
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 4: with TJ. Watt this year. I believe they are four

469
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:54,320
Speaker 4: and one since we recommended that over if I remember right,

470
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:57,520
Speaker 4: I think that we we cash the over here and

471
00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:01,679
Speaker 4: we're still alive on possible that streak, the five hundred streak,

472
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 4: Mike Tomlin, never under five hundred.

473
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:07,400
Speaker 2: We're alive. We're still alive on the streak somehow.

474
00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 1: That one, that that bet that I brought up that

475
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 1: cash last week, I believe.

476
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:14,640
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think this one. Yeah, that's all right.

477
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:16,439
Speaker 2: So yeah, I was in.

478
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:20,240
Speaker 1: Vegas, you know, not thinking about that, thinking about Chandler Jones.

479
00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 4: And yeah, sure, sure, yeah, you've got other things on

480
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 4: your mind there. I think the takeaway from this game is,

481
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:28,760
Speaker 4: like we talked about a lot of bad weather. This

482
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:33,719
Speaker 4: was a cold, lustery Pittsburgh evening, and it looked like

483
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 4: Derek Carr wanted to know part of this game. Derek

484
00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:40,280
Speaker 4: Carr looked like, get me back to Fresno State, get

485
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 4: me out of here. Like he is sailing passes all night,

486
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 4: three interceptions. He was terrible. He's absolutely terrible. He couldn't

487
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 4: hit his guys. The Raiders were still in the playoff hunt.

488
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,159
Speaker 4: They technically have about a one percent chance now, but

489
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:57,399
Speaker 4: they're cooked. They're They're playing State and Fran in Kansas City. Left,

490
00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:01,240
Speaker 4: that's done. Pittsburgh has a real chance now they play

491
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,919
Speaker 4: Baltimore in Cleveland. Those are winnable games. I believe the

492
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:08,800
Speaker 4: Steelers need Miami to lose out which Hey two is injured,

493
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,040
Speaker 4: we'll see what happens. And I think they need the

494
00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:15,680
Speaker 4: Jets to lose in Seattle this week. Those are realistic outcomes. Pittsburgh,

495
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,120
Speaker 4: after being totally left for dead, is in this thing.

496
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,359
Speaker 1: Let's go to the NFC playoff picture some games to

497
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 1: recap the Giants and the Vikings. The Vikings just continue

498
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:28,200
Speaker 1: to do things in these close games. It is really

499
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 1: mind blowing stuff what they're doing here. In these one

500
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:34,639
Speaker 1: score games. They outlast the Giants thanks to a sixty

501
00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 1: one yard field goal by Greg Joseph to win the

502
00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:41,560
Speaker 1: game twenty seven twenty four. The Giants did cover the spread.

503
00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:45,880
Speaker 1: Giants were four point underdogs, three and a half point dogs.

504
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:49,520
Speaker 1: Whenever you got, Giants got there. At the end. Vikings

505
00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:51,520
Speaker 1: are in as we know, and the Giants are still

506
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,359
Speaker 1: the sixth seed. I think a big theme of this.

507
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,159
Speaker 1: I know we already talked about green Bay. Everything that

508
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 1: had to go, and they hammered this on the broadcast

509
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:00,919
Speaker 1: on Sunday. Everything and it had to go right for

510
00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:03,280
Speaker 1: green Bay went right and this was one of those results.

511
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:03,840
Speaker 2: Yeah.

512
00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:05,760
Speaker 4: I mean, everything seems to be going all right for

513
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 4: the Vikings all year too. What could possibly go wrong

514
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 4: from my team? Greg Joseph's sixty one yard winner at

515
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:15,880
Speaker 4: the last play, longest field goal in Vikings history. Now

516
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:20,200
Speaker 4: the eleventh one score victory for this fraudulent Vikings team

517
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:23,879
Speaker 4: over the fraudulent Giants team eleven to one score wins

518
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 4: is the most an NFL history. Like, look, everything screams

519
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:31,040
Speaker 4: this team is not very good, but they just keep

520
00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:33,159
Speaker 4: pulling it out here. I had a little fun on

521
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:36,160
Speaker 4: this one as a better I played the bet where

522
00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 4: you can do Vikings to win by one to six

523
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 4: or Giants to win by one to six, kind of

524
00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:42,600
Speaker 4: both sides. I go to the Steelers Ravens a couple

525
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 4: weeks ago. So we got that one there. Fourth quarter

526
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 4: really weird, of course, how could it be anything else

527
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:51,480
Speaker 4: with these teams? We had Giants interception, then a turnover

528
00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:54,200
Speaker 4: and downs, then a field goal seventeen sixteen.

529
00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,400
Speaker 2: I think we had a block punt justin.

530
00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:59,800
Speaker 4: Jefferson was great, by the way, set a couple of

531
00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:03,560
Speaker 4: Vikings records for the season here, had the late touchdown,

532
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,479
Speaker 4: had a big screen to set up the field goal winner.

533
00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 4: I think at this point Jefferson has Offensive Player of

534
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:12,159
Speaker 4: the Year pretty well locked up. The odds reflect that

535
00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 4: at this point as well. So yeah, Minnesota, I mean,

536
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:17,760
Speaker 4: I don't know. I not as a fan. I can't

537
00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:19,760
Speaker 4: do it as a fan. I am a nihilist. We

538
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:24,639
Speaker 4: Vikings fans assume the worst. But Minnesota plays Green Bay

539
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 4: in Chicago. If they win those games, and if the Eagles,

540
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:32,200
Speaker 4: who remember, are missing lots of guys and maybe their quarterback.

541
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 4: If the Eagles lose out and the Vikings went out,

542
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:38,119
Speaker 4: Minnesota is the one seed. And if you're the one seed,

543
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 4: and if you get up by a week and you

544
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 4: are two games away from the super Bowl, you can

545
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 4: be fraudulent all you want, But if you're getting a

546
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 4: couple of home games and have a chance to win

547
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 4: these close ones, we about to take them seriously at

548
00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:50,800
Speaker 4: some point.

549
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're plus nineteen hundred on FANDUL right now to

550
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:57,600
Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. The Minnesota Vikings behind the Eagles,

551
00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 1: behind the Niners and behind the Cowboy as it pertains

552
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:05,160
Speaker 1: to teams in their conference. And speaking of those Niners,

553
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:07,360
Speaker 1: they win again. They've won eight in a row, eight

554
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:11,640
Speaker 1: in a row. Rock Party at quarterback again, thirty seven

555
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 1: to twenty your final, so the Niners cover the touchdown

556
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:17,679
Speaker 1: spread six and a half was a number out there

557
00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,439
Speaker 1: as well. Luke swayin Vegas refund he got that on

558
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 1: the Best Bets episode. Niners are in, as we know

559
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:26,480
Speaker 1: they were already in. The Commanders remain the seventh seed

560
00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:30,920
Speaker 1: despite the loss. But the San fran defense really took

561
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:32,240
Speaker 1: the game over in the second half.

562
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:34,840
Speaker 4: It did, and honestly the offense did to it. It

563
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:37,679
Speaker 4: feels right now like San Fran is playing so well.

564
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 4: It just feels like they could just name the score

565
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:42,760
Speaker 4: just I want to score a touchdown, this drive, great touchdown,

566
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 4: Oh another field goal, I will sell for that. Well,

567
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:47,919
Speaker 4: let's get another turnover on defense. Like it feels like

568
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 4: they can do anything they want right now, which is absurd.

569
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 4: Rock Party can't lose suddenly as like second or third

570
00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:56,359
Speaker 4: and Rookie of the Year odds having played like what

571
00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 4: three starts so far, which we've never seen a Rookie

572
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:01,680
Speaker 4: of the Year like that. I can't take that seriously

573
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:04,639
Speaker 4: as a better just because we've never seen resident for it.

574
00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:05,760
Speaker 1: Plus seven hundred.

575
00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:10,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, Christian McCaffrey has skyrocketed and cal Shanahan, I believe,

576
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:13,360
Speaker 4: are both now second for comeback Player of the Year

577
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:16,439
Speaker 4: and Coach of the Year. The Niners I have a

578
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:19,399
Speaker 4: chance here to be this buzz saw entering the playoffs

579
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 4: on a ten game winning streak. They're still alive for

580
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:24,560
Speaker 4: the one seed as well. Sam scenario as the Vikings

581
00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 4: just talked about. They see the Vikings lost somewhere along

582
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:31,959
Speaker 4: the way, So Niners are buzzsaw. Washington, my family got

583
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 4: a little Christmas present. My guy Carson Wentz got to

584
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 4: play some football on Christmas Christmas Eve, I guess.

585
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:39,640
Speaker 2: But it wasn't bad.

586
00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 4: Taylor Hennike two more turnovers. I don't know anythink Wentz

587
00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 4: plays going forward or what was that about?

588
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 1: Great question? Maybe just to get a spark in the room.

589
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 1: I'm not too sure they're whole now. They got Cleveland next,

590
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:56,480
Speaker 1: laying two and a half points. John Datson's a pretty

591
00:28:56,520 --> 00:28:59,520
Speaker 1: nice surprise for Washington. Now he's taking advantage of more

592
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:03,880
Speaker 1: were snaps and relishing. But yeah, it's a great question.

593
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,960
Speaker 1: I don't know Heineke had that whole room believing. I'm

594
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 1: not sure if winzprings that same belief.

595
00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you pretty muchuch bring some belief in

596
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:13,280
Speaker 4: my house, and no other house is left at this point.

597
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:14,560
Speaker 2: So we'll see.

598
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 4: Washington's got two home games. They went out and they

599
00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:20,280
Speaker 4: were in, but it doesn't feel great for them. It

600
00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 4: feels like that Washington spot is the one that we

601
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 4: have earmarked as if Detroit, or if Green Bay or

602
00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:29,880
Speaker 4: if Seattle, it's it's Washington. That's the spot that we're

603
00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,040
Speaker 4: iffing to put them in. And I think it's pregnant

604
00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 4: had that way.

605
00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:36,640
Speaker 1: Browns and Cowboys remaining those two home games for the

606
00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:41,160
Speaker 1: Washington Commanders and then the Detroit Lions, as their coach said,

607
00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 1: Dan Campbell told told the Carolina folks that was a

608
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 1: good old ass kicking by the Carolina Panthers underdogs heading

609
00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:52,520
Speaker 1: in This is a low total as well record low

610
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 1: temperatures in Carolina for this game. Panthers won thirty seven

611
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 1: to twenty three, so they cover as underdogs one of

612
00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 1: six to do that underdogs to win outright. That is

613
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:06,880
Speaker 1: in Week sixteen, so Detroit is still alive. They're still

614
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:10,080
Speaker 1: alive for the seventh seed in the in the in

615
00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 1: the NFC, and then the Panthers, even with Tampa winning

616
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:18,640
Speaker 1: last night, the Panthers are still alive and they're going

617
00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 1: to take on the Bucks this week.

618
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you nailed.

619
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 4: This was a bottle up, and this was the Panthers

620
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 4: just just took the lines and then brought out a

621
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 4: Padlan on them because, like I was on the Lions

622
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,680
Speaker 4: on this game, Holy cow, did I get that one wrong?

623
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 4: Like that, Dante Foreman and Cuba Hubbard.

624
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 2: Ran all over this.

625
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 4: First play of the game, I believe thirty yard run,

626
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:44,240
Speaker 4: next play, thirty five yard run. And that was basically

627
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,240
Speaker 4: just the whole rest of the game. Like, they didn't

628
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 4: really slow down from there. Forty three rushes, three hundred

629
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:53,360
Speaker 4: and twenty rushing yards, and three scores over two hundred

630
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 4: by halftime five hundred seventy yards. Honestly, Sam Darnold played

631
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:01,560
Speaker 4: pretty well over eleven yards per town. They Panthers put

632
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:04,560
Speaker 4: up eight point eight yards of play for the entire game.

633
00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 4: This was just a bottle up, and on a Lion's

634
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,640
Speaker 4: team that had been a red hot lately, so really

635
00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:13,320
Speaker 4: two interesting teams at this point. I think a lot

636
00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:16,440
Speaker 4: of fans neutrals are kind of rooting for the Lions because,

637
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:18,640
Speaker 4: you know, let's give them something once every three decades,

638
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:20,480
Speaker 4: put them in the playoffs and see what they can do.

639
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,000
Speaker 4: But the Panthers have kind of become that team too,

640
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:26,280
Speaker 4: So I think both of these teams are teams that

641
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 4: a lot of folks will be rooting for down the stretch.

642
00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:30,880
Speaker 2: Here Panthers at Tampa Bay next week.

643
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 4: It's gonna be interesting to want to see where the

644
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 4: money comes in on that one. As hot as Carolina looks,

645
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 4: and man, Tampa could not be ice cold anymore. I

646
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 4: was cold at this point. But yeah, both of these

647
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:47,920
Speaker 4: teams really fascinating and fun. But the bad news bearers

648
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:50,120
Speaker 4: in me feels like we might end up with neither

649
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 4: of them in the playoffs, just because that's kind of

650
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:54,280
Speaker 4: how things go. But they're in it. They're right there,

651
00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 4: They're right there, and it'll be fun to watch them.

652
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was the Lions too defensively, had really turned

653
00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:00,959
Speaker 1: to corner. I think, you know, I think we all

654
00:32:01,040 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 1: knew they could score points, but they'd done pretty good.

655
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 1: They did a good job defensively in games before that

656
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:10,280
Speaker 1: Bills game. But I thought the way they handled the

657
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 1: Bills on Thanksgiving, they didn't get completely annihilated. They kept

658
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,520
Speaker 1: it close. I know they allowed twenty eight points. I

659
00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:18,600
Speaker 1: realized that, but to a team like that, that's beyond

660
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 1: good to hang in there. So they were hanging in

661
00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:24,440
Speaker 1: there against good teams bad teams. Minnesota Game two is

662
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:27,800
Speaker 1: another one. So all right, let's whip through these last

663
00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:28,360
Speaker 1: couple here.

664
00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 2: I really don't have anything to offer you, guys, except

665
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:32,160
Speaker 2: for frozen Paige.

666
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:37,600
Speaker 1: The Buffalo Chicago Bills cover. They win thirty five thirteen,

667
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:41,920
Speaker 1: cover the eight and a half points spread. So the

668
00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:44,440
Speaker 1: scenario here for the AFC one seed, and we'll just

669
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 1: kind of put these together. Seattle played Kansas City Chiefs

670
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:50,600
Speaker 1: won twenty four to ten. Chiefs cover minus ten. So

671
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 1: the way I've got it all mapped out, you correct

672
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,480
Speaker 1: me if I'm wrong. If the Bills win this week

673
00:32:55,960 --> 00:33:00,160
Speaker 1: and Kansas City were to somehow lose to Denver, the

674
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:03,760
Speaker 1: Bills could answer your question earlier. They could breast guys

675
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:06,680
Speaker 1: in week eighteen. I just don't see Kansas City losing

676
00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:07,640
Speaker 1: to that outfit.

677
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, Kansidy losing at home to Denver on top of it. Yeah,

678
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 4: the Buffalo Buffalo. It's our final Monday Night game of

679
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:16,520
Speaker 4: the year. Well, I guess we had the playoff game,

680
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 4: but Monday Night Buffalo in Cincinnati obviously one that you

681
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,520
Speaker 4: will want to block off on your calendar and make

682
00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 4: sure you can make time for that one. Yeah, Bills

683
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 4: win out both of their games, you're the one seed,

684
00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:30,600
Speaker 4: or like you said, you win and get a Chiefs loss,

685
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:33,239
Speaker 4: then you're the one seed that way as well. This

686
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:35,120
Speaker 4: game was actually I think ten to six at the

687
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:38,400
Speaker 4: half that the Bears ten six at the half were ahead. Yes,

688
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 4: wasn't close. Was not close at all. It's kind of

689
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:45,920
Speaker 4: fluky bounces up until then the Bills nearly actually they did.

690
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 2: They doubled the Bears in yardage, so they ran away.

691
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,880
Speaker 4: With this one. The Chiefs game actually looked like more

692
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 4: of comfortable when and actually now one. I thought the

693
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:58,080
Speaker 4: Chiefs were not really impressive, so it's good that the

694
00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:00,360
Speaker 4: Chiefs are finding ways to win some of these games.

695
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 4: But I don't know, the Seattle kind of moved the

696
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 4: ball a little bit and then just kind of kept

697
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 4: making mistakes where they needed to. Seattle Island definitely dead

698
00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 4: and gone six straight failed covers at this point. But Seattle,

699
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:16,720
Speaker 4: if they just win at home against the Jets this week,

700
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 4: that's basically like you know, in a wrestling we have

701
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,080
Speaker 4: the well what's it called, like the loser goes home

702
00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:25,520
Speaker 4: sort of match or whatever. That's Seattle New York. Winner

703
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 4: is not necessarily in, not even close. You got work

704
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:31,080
Speaker 4: to do. Loser is basically out. You're pretty much down

705
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:34,319
Speaker 4: below five percent. Seattle and the Jets, both teams have

706
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:36,839
Speaker 4: been a lot of fun this season, but really.

707
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:38,880
Speaker 2: Trailing off lately. But Seattle wins.

708
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 4: They play the Rams in Week eight, team who are

709
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:44,280
Speaker 4: playing better, but you want the Rams compared to other choices.

710
00:34:44,920 --> 00:34:48,040
Speaker 4: So I don't know, Seattle looked better than the score

711
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 4: would indicate. Here, they just too a fourteen and a

712
00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:53,880
Speaker 4: third down three turners and downs one to three in

713
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:57,600
Speaker 4: the red zone didn't happen. Chiefs are kind of coasting.

714
00:34:57,680 --> 00:35:00,560
Speaker 4: I don't know if that's like they they are just

715
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:03,399
Speaker 4: in third gear and we'll get there when it matters again,

716
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 4: or if they're a little bit of kind of breadcrumbs

717
00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:08,440
Speaker 4: of like, hey, you know, this is more like the

718
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,919
Speaker 4: sixth best team rather than the second best team.

719
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:12,280
Speaker 2: It's hard to tell right now.

720
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 1: How about some other ones here before we wrap up

721
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,200
Speaker 1: New Orleans and Cleveland. This was hyped up to be

722
00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:21,359
Speaker 1: the coldest game, one of the coldest games really ever

723
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:24,520
Speaker 1: in league history. And the total reflected that total was

724
00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:26,360
Speaker 1: it thirty one and a half thirty two and a

725
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:29,200
Speaker 1: half thirty two and it was the lowest total since

726
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:31,719
Speaker 1: twenty twelve. And of course the game went under and

727
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:35,799
Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints I know they've got that, they

728
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:38,239
Speaker 1: had injuries at wide receiver, but they just still don't

729
00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 1: seem to get like, just give the ball to Kamara

730
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 1: and get out of the way. Now. They figured it

731
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 1: out and they won the game seventeen to ten and

732
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:44,319
Speaker 1: they covered plus three. Cleveland lost again.

733
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:47,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, honestly, the running game has not been

734
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:50,319
Speaker 4: great for the Saints slately. What by the metrics, it's

735
00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:52,759
Speaker 4: actually the passing game and Andy Dalton that's moving the

736
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:55,840
Speaker 4: ball a little bit. But yeah, it was ugly. It

737
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:58,239
Speaker 4: was a very very Taysom Hill game. As that our

738
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:01,719
Speaker 4: producer David points out. We had several of our guys

739
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,200
Speaker 4: at Action Network at Taysom Hill plus three thirty three

740
00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:05,040
Speaker 4: to hit the touchdown.

741
00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:06,520
Speaker 2: I think Jill was on that one.

742
00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:09,080
Speaker 4: I went for Broke, I went for the two touchdown

743
00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:12,360
Speaker 4: Taysom Hill thirty five to one. Couldn't quite get there.

744
00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:13,000
Speaker 2: But we had a chance.

745
00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:15,279
Speaker 4: We were in the mix there, So yeah, we had

746
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:17,640
Speaker 4: some fun with it. You know, he's not having fun,

747
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:21,759
Speaker 4: Shaun Watson. He's now played sixteen quarters of football and

748
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 4: scored thirty nine points of offense.

749
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:25,319
Speaker 2: I'll do the math for you.

750
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,680
Speaker 4: That's basically two points a quarter after four games for

751
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:31,840
Speaker 4: our guy, Deshaun Watson. The Browns are getting much worse

752
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:35,200
Speaker 4: with him. The Saints are still alive. They win out

753
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:37,520
Speaker 4: and the Bucks lose out, and the Saints are in

754
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:40,000
Speaker 4: the playoffs. And I'll tell you this, I think the

755
00:36:40,040 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 4: Saints are the best team in that division right now.

756
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:43,880
Speaker 4: I don't think they're going to get in, but I

757
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:47,360
Speaker 4: think if I were the Cowboys scouting who I'm going

758
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:49,880
Speaker 4: to probably play in that four to five matchup, I

759
00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:51,799
Speaker 4: think the Saints are the team I do not want

760
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:52,480
Speaker 4: in that game.

761
00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:56,040
Speaker 1: Andy Dalton, former Cowboy.

762
00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 4: At Jasom Hill. That's the I mean, this is a

763
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:02,400
Speaker 4: wild card. The Saints you don't know, and the Cowboys

764
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:04,759
Speaker 4: you don't want. A team that's gonna have Taysom and

765
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:07,600
Speaker 4: Kamara just like running for three hundred yards on you

766
00:37:07,960 --> 00:37:11,400
Speaker 4: and you just can't do anything about it, especially because like,

767
00:37:11,640 --> 00:37:14,920
Speaker 4: couldn't you just see the Cowboys of all teams, the

768
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 4: Cowboys just getting just run over by a tight end

769
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:21,239
Speaker 4: third string quarterback and that's how the season ends. Like

770
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,359
Speaker 4: doesn't that just feel like a Cowboys narrative that we'd

771
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:27,440
Speaker 4: spend six months talking about. It seems like it's right there.

772
00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 1: I no matter who they play, and no matter what

773
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:33,080
Speaker 1: it looks like, I could just see I can already

774
00:37:33,080 --> 00:37:35,400
Speaker 1: see it because it's typically what we're used to. Just

775
00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 1: the Dak Prescott running up to the line after a

776
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:42,120
Speaker 1: draw is that's still stuck in my head, which is

777
00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 1: why folks keep thinking if it's Tampa in the first round,

778
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 1: I don't know if you feel great about that. If

779
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:51,640
Speaker 1: you're Dallas Cowboys fan. Atlanta and Baltimore Ravens are in

780
00:37:51,680 --> 00:37:54,399
Speaker 1: the AFC playoffs, they win seventeen to nine, they cover

781
00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 1: six and a half. Anything to add.

782
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:57,720
Speaker 2: Here, easy under.

783
00:37:57,760 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 4: I had the under on this one, and the Ravens,

784
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,960
Speaker 4: I believe now four straight have been thirty points our

785
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:04,760
Speaker 4: last combined in their games.

786
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:06,520
Speaker 2: So you want to take the under?

787
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,840
Speaker 4: I took the Ravens under against the Steelers for this

788
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:12,439
Speaker 4: coming week. I took that on the look ahead at

789
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:16,239
Speaker 4: forty two, it's thirty six. They dropped the total by

790
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:19,759
Speaker 4: six points, which, to be fair, I think reflects that

791
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,319
Speaker 4: I'm not sure Lamar Jackson's back this week yet either.

792
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:24,759
Speaker 4: Tyler Hanley not really putting up a lot of points

793
00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:25,440
Speaker 4: for this team.

794
00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:28,000
Speaker 1: Hey, Tyler Huntley is a pro bowler. Did you not hear?

795
00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:29,840
Speaker 2: He's the Oh my gosh, are you serious?

796
00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 1: It's pretty go He's an alternate. He's the alternate AFC. Yes,

797
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:38,480
Speaker 1: which to me being here over here in New England,

798
00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:41,720
Speaker 1: it's like a huge indictment. Mac Jones like, Tyler Huntley

799
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:44,880
Speaker 1: is over you. Zach Wilson also all shout out to

800
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 1: the Jets fans, Tyler Huntley is a pro bowler, not you.

801
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:52,120
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Arizona wrapped up the evening. We still have

802
00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:53,759
Speaker 1: one more game to get to after that because we

803
00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:57,440
Speaker 1: had to save it for last. But Tampa Arizona bucks

804
00:38:57,480 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 1: win close wasn't pretty off then. You know, Tampa was

805
00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:03,879
Speaker 1: down sixteen to six in the fourth quarter and they

806
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 1: somehow just put it together. But you know, you just

807
00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:11,640
Speaker 1: eyeball test. It don't look right, Todd Bowles halftime interview. Miserable.

808
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 1: SOB looks miserable and like confused Cliff Kingsbury. Thankfully for him,

809
00:39:17,360 --> 00:39:19,040
Speaker 1: he's got his play sheet out so he can just

810
00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 1: keep looking like he's like that kid in class who

811
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:23,880
Speaker 1: wants to look like he's paying attention to the teacher

812
00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:26,440
Speaker 1: or like he's pretending to do his reading when everyone

813
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:28,279
Speaker 1: has that separate time to do their reading and he's

814
00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:32,279
Speaker 1: just doing this like I have no fucking clue what

815
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:35,759
Speaker 1: I'm doing. Like it's just it's so bad, man. Like

816
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 1: I just I love the cutaways to the coaches in

817
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:40,440
Speaker 1: that game because it was it was funny. It was funny.

818
00:39:40,560 --> 00:39:43,040
Speaker 4: I laugh when you when the when the teacher is

819
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:44,880
Speaker 4: looking to call on someone and you're just like, just

820
00:39:44,880 --> 00:39:47,160
Speaker 4: don't make eye contact, just don't make eye contact.

821
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:48,680
Speaker 2: That's Cliff Kingsbury.

822
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 4: We apparently got two games of Cliff fun left for

823
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:56,800
Speaker 4: a while here in the NFL. Buccaneers since Week two, okay,

824
00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,480
Speaker 4: here here's the season for them, Buccaneers. The last time

825
00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:01,200
Speaker 4: they'd be a t that has a winning record right

826
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:04,040
Speaker 4: now was Dallas Week one, and that was with injured

827
00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:07,320
Speaker 4: Dak Prescott three of their last four wins, they trailed

828
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:10,239
Speaker 4: by double digits in the fourth quarter, and those I

829
00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:13,360
Speaker 4: think we're against the Rams, the Saints, and the Cardinals,

830
00:40:13,600 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 4: who you may recall are all terrible, and they trailed

831
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 4: by double digits and had to come back.

832
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:20,239
Speaker 2: Here's my take for you. Ready for this?

833
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:23,520
Speaker 4: This is like a steaming hot take Tom Brady and

834
00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:24,920
Speaker 4: these Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

835
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:27,359
Speaker 2: Right now, I figured out. I figured it out. Who

836
00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:30,240
Speaker 2: they remind me of. Tom Brady is Tim Tebow.

837
00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:34,080
Speaker 4: That's it. Tom Brady is Tim Tebow. And that's the

838
00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 4: stage that we're at, and we're getting these garbage, late,

839
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:40,760
Speaker 4: weird comebacks that don't make any sense. The teams are terrible,

840
00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:43,319
Speaker 4: they're just coming up with weird plays, and it's going

841
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 4: to end really badly by a lot.

842
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:49,279
Speaker 1: At some point, I am kind of offended by that

843
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:52,760
Speaker 1: take on Tom Brady. I'm not gonna lie Tim Tebow.

844
00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:57,160
Speaker 1: Good God, it's bad, But is it that bad? I

845
00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:59,439
Speaker 1: think I still think he's got the right stuff going

846
00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:01,719
Speaker 1: on upstairs. And the ball did not come out great

847
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 1: at times last night, But when in the gotta have

848
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:06,880
Speaker 1: it moments, I still think he's got a clue. He

849
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 1: just can't do it all by himself. And I'm really

850
00:41:09,080 --> 00:41:14,080
Speaker 1: talking about coaching in that regard, not the skill positions. Anyway,

851
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:15,040
Speaker 1: let's wrap.

852
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:16,719
Speaker 4: You're welcome to you a fan. I had to save

853
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 4: that take for deep down in the rundown here. Thanks

854
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,319
Speaker 4: for our loyal listeners hearing the terrible tim Tibo take.

855
00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:25,920
Speaker 1: It's almost fitting that we recorded a day later than usual.

856
00:41:26,560 --> 00:41:29,520
Speaker 1: So we're here on a Monday, it's after Monday Night football,

857
00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:33,680
Speaker 1: and of course we get the news this morning afternoon,

858
00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:38,240
Speaker 1: whatever time zone you're in. The Denver Broncos fired Nathaniel Hackett.

859
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:42,799
Speaker 1: He lasted fifteen games year one in his contract head

860
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:46,399
Speaker 1: coach of the Broncos no longer. They lost on Christmas Day,

861
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:50,240
Speaker 1: fifty one to fourteen. It was thirty one to six

862
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 1: at halftime. Russell Wilson was awful. You've got Rippin and Wilson,

863
00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:59,240
Speaker 1: an offensive lineman, jarring at each other. There's a clip

864
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,719
Speaker 1: of Courtland's waving his arms, but it's not because he

865
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:03,560
Speaker 1: wanted the ball thrown to them. He wanted russ to

866
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:07,160
Speaker 1: run and run for the first down. Just they are

867
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:09,239
Speaker 1: so out of sorts and I don't have it in

868
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:11,240
Speaker 1: front of me, so I apologize for this. They also

869
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:15,439
Speaker 1: they fired their special teams coordinator today. I think their

870
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:18,520
Speaker 1: tight ends coach got let go is well offensive line coach,

871
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:25,040
Speaker 1: Butch Barry, he's gone, Yeah, what a freaking disaster like that.

872
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:26,319
Speaker 2: By the way, cool, cool.

873
00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:28,640
Speaker 1: There was points that made it more fun, I suppose.

874
00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:30,680
Speaker 1: And Baker Mayfield is such a good little story here.

875
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 1: The overhits the tickets. All the tickets are on the

876
00:42:33,640 --> 00:42:36,239
Speaker 1: under in this game. But yeah, go ahead, what do

877
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:36,760
Speaker 1: you got.

878
00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:38,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, Denver unders our caput. You can get rid

879
00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:41,200
Speaker 4: of the Denver unders trend worth three in a row

880
00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:43,319
Speaker 4: on the over. And now, by the way, some more

881
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 4: coaching notes. I think I'm saying this right At Giro

882
00:42:46,280 --> 00:42:49,799
Speaker 4: everro Has is their defensive coordinator, who obviously has done

883
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:52,160
Speaker 4: a great job coaching up that defense all year.

884
00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:55,400
Speaker 2: He turned down the interim job. I don't know what

885
00:42:55,560 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 2: exactly a job asked.

886
00:42:57,320 --> 00:43:00,920
Speaker 4: There's thirty two coaching jobs in the world, old and

887
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 4: this dude, who's never been ahead coach in the NFL

888
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,399
Speaker 4: is like, pass, I'm good, thank you. I don't need

889
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:08,879
Speaker 4: this on the resume, thank you very much. The guy

890
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:12,120
Speaker 4: who they gave the coaching job to literally wasn't on

891
00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:14,560
Speaker 4: the team the start of the year. You all remember

892
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 4: Nathaniel Hackett with all the terrible clock management and bad timeouts.

893
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:20,879
Speaker 4: They had to bring in the guy to come in and.

894
00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:23,040
Speaker 2: Help with that. He's the coach. Now.

895
00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:26,280
Speaker 4: This is where we're at with this franchise. It's a disaster.

896
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:28,400
Speaker 4: Is a game so bad we had to air it

897
00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 4: on Nickelodeon. Is a game so bad that we had

898
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,920
Speaker 4: to send Jill to Boxing Day celebration just so he

899
00:43:34,960 --> 00:43:37,080
Speaker 4: didn't have to be here to talk about this game.

900
00:43:37,520 --> 00:43:40,799
Speaker 4: This is our Christmas present to him. Sixty seven year

901
00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:44,400
Speaker 4: old head coach for the Broncos. Fifteen games in the

902
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 4: Nathaniel Hacketts coaching career with them. Honestly like at least

903
00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:52,120
Speaker 4: seven or eight too many. This has been over for

904
00:43:52,120 --> 00:43:54,480
Speaker 4: a long time. The game I can't get out of

905
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:56,680
Speaker 4: my head because tonight we remember we just after the

906
00:43:56,719 --> 00:44:01,239
Speaker 4: Colts game, Remember that Thursday night game Holts Broncos. I

907
00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 4: believe it was twelve to nine and we couldn't get

908
00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:05,680
Speaker 4: anyone to do anything, and it felt like a ty

909
00:44:05,719 --> 00:44:08,600
Speaker 4: if there ever was one, that was like maybe week

910
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:11,319
Speaker 4: four or five, that was both of these teams, Like

911
00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:15,160
Speaker 4: we could have just just simulated that game across all

912
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:18,239
Speaker 4: the rest of Colton Broncos games and missed nothing the

913
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:18,879
Speaker 4: rest of the season.

914
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:20,680
Speaker 2: In these teams get him out of here.

915
00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:23,320
Speaker 1: And I'm happy for Jill because he cashed on his

916
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:27,840
Speaker 1: Tyler Higbee anytime touchdown, so it all worked out fantastically

917
00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:30,480
Speaker 1: for Jill. He got a touchdown score right in the game.

918
00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:35,319
Speaker 1: There's no more Nathaniel Hackett. The Denver outfit is bad.

919
00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:37,000
Speaker 1: I guess the only negative is what you said. If

920
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:38,839
Speaker 1: you wanted to bet of Denver under and you bet

921
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:40,400
Speaker 1: the under in the game, that did not go your

922
00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 1: way because there were sixty five points fifty one from

923
00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:47,439
Speaker 1: the Rams. Wow, you know, good for Baker. This little

924
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:50,120
Speaker 1: stretch here maybe makes the Rams feisty. Guys will care

925
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:53,080
Speaker 1: right if he's got guys. Just something to keep in

926
00:44:53,080 --> 00:44:55,799
Speaker 1: mind if you're betting against the Rams. They're bad, their

927
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:58,120
Speaker 1: records bad, but there might they might be one of

928
00:44:58,120 --> 00:45:01,839
Speaker 1: those bad teams that do give a crap here down

929
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:02,280
Speaker 1: the stretch.

930
00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:04,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, and don't forget, they don't have their first round

931
00:45:04,600 --> 00:45:06,719
Speaker 4: pick or any of their picks. Really, they've traded them

932
00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:08,680
Speaker 4: all away, so they don't really have any reason to tank.

933
00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:11,200
Speaker 4: They're gonna keep on trying. Baker has playing for his

934
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,719
Speaker 4: career at this point. So yeah, they're one of those

935
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:15,959
Speaker 4: teams that look like a freebe a couple weeks ago

936
00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:18,760
Speaker 4: that now, like the Seahawks play them in Week eighteen,

937
00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 4: look like an easy one. Not so fast now, Baker,

938
00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:22,640
Speaker 4: these guys.

939
00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 2: I don't know.

940
00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:25,480
Speaker 4: I think Denver they just look like quitting that one.

941
00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:28,440
Speaker 4: Like you said, the body language and all that just horrendous.

942
00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:31,359
Speaker 4: So we'll see where that goes. But yeah, the Rams, Yeah,

943
00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:33,120
Speaker 4: I think Baker is a guy that you want to

944
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:35,880
Speaker 4: root for. Former number one pick, he's getting a third

945
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:39,120
Speaker 4: chance this season. Sure, go play some ball, Baker, Merry

946
00:45:39,160 --> 00:45:39,759
Speaker 4: Christmas to you.

947
00:45:40,000 --> 00:45:42,160
Speaker 1: And they're getting six and a half points against the

948
00:45:42,200 --> 00:45:44,920
Speaker 1: other team in LA, the LA Chargers, who just as

949
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:46,800
Speaker 1: we saw we just saw them play tonight they covered

950
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:52,000
Speaker 1: and beat the Indianapolis Colts. Okay, So for the entirety

951
00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:55,680
Speaker 1: of Week sixteen, eight and eight, eight wins for the underdogs,

952
00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:59,640
Speaker 1: eight wins for the favorites, six dogs, one outright best

953
00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:02,319
Speaker 1: bets episode Brandon, what the hell we need you back

954
00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:06,120
Speaker 1: next week? I guess three and seven week for the crew. Well,

955
00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:09,600
Speaker 1: there is some crossover to in that green Bay Miami game.

956
00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:12,000
Speaker 2: But yeah, we got the We.

957
00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:16,320
Speaker 1: Definitely got green Bay. Anthony Dubundo got green Bay for us,

958
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:19,239
Speaker 1: and the Niners pick was definitely another one. I don't

959
00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:20,600
Speaker 1: have the other pick off the top of my head,

960
00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:22,880
Speaker 1: so we'll bounce back. We've had a good year overall,

961
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:25,640
Speaker 1: seventy five, sixty six and four record for the season.

962
00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:29,840
Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Action Network podcast NFL Best Bets

963
00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:35,120
Speaker 1: episode airs every Thursday night Friday morning, and you can

964
00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:37,000
Speaker 1: also catch the you can catch the picks in the

965
00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:40,880
Speaker 1: app Action Network NFL Picks. Okay, before we jump into

966
00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:42,760
Speaker 1: the hot red, you've got to hear some more stats

967
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:45,840
Speaker 1: and trends from the engine behind our Action Labs database,

968
00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:49,280
Speaker 1: Evan Abrams. Let's check it out what Action Network director

969
00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:51,919
Speaker 1: of Research has for us this time. Evan take it away.

970
00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:53,760
Speaker 2: Thanks guys.

971
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:56,359
Speaker 3: Hope everyone had a great Christmas weekend. I had cam

972
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:58,719
Speaker 3: Akers in Fantasy, so the egg nog hit a little

973
00:46:58,719 --> 00:47:02,200
Speaker 3: bit better. Looking back at the slate, I'm not sure

974
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:04,799
Speaker 3: how we don't start off with Brady after Sunday night,

975
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:09,319
Speaker 3: so the Bucks win, but the Bucks don't cover. That's

976
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:12,760
Speaker 3: now been undered five times already this season. Brady hasn't

977
00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:16,160
Speaker 3: won and covered a game on US soil fun nod

978
00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:19,280
Speaker 3: to the overseas game since Week two against the Saints.

979
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:23,440
Speaker 3: That week they started Jamis Winston, so it's literally been forever.

980
00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:26,040
Speaker 3: Looking at a few notes in that spot, Brady is

981
00:47:26,160 --> 00:47:29,680
Speaker 3: two and sixteen against the spread in his last eighteen

982
00:47:29,800 --> 00:47:35,040
Speaker 3: starts at night and this season Bucks team totals thirteen

983
00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:38,880
Speaker 3: and two to the under just unreal. And if you

984
00:47:38,880 --> 00:47:40,680
Speaker 3: look at the Bucks as a whole this whole season,

985
00:47:41,160 --> 00:47:44,640
Speaker 3: three eleven and one against the spread, that is the

986
00:47:44,719 --> 00:47:47,640
Speaker 3: worst ATS start to a season in Brady's career, and

987
00:47:48,280 --> 00:47:52,560
Speaker 3: over the last twenty years, only Mark Bolger at two

988
00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:54,720
Speaker 3: and ten against the spread in two thousand and seven

989
00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:59,240
Speaker 3: was less profitable of any quarterback any season than Brady

990
00:47:59,320 --> 00:48:02,440
Speaker 3: is right now. What a crazy weather weekend in the

991
00:48:02,560 --> 00:48:05,279
Speaker 3: NFL with all the cold and the wind. I hope

992
00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:09,399
Speaker 3: everyone casts some tickets outdoor games with ten plus malin

993
00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:11,880
Speaker 3: hour wins and there were ten of them this weekend

994
00:48:12,239 --> 00:48:16,040
Speaker 3: went eight and two to the under. Since Week six,

995
00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:21,040
Speaker 3: outdoor games with ten plus malin hour wins are thirty

996
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:24,360
Speaker 3: two to twelve to the under seventy three percent. And

997
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,040
Speaker 3: now that's going under by a field goal per game too.

998
00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:32,080
Speaker 3: As of now, Cowboys, Titans and Bill's Bengals are two

999
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 3: candidates to fall into this trend for Week seventeen. Some

1000
00:48:35,560 --> 00:48:38,840
Speaker 3: horrible breaking news entering Week seventeen for anyone that's been

1001
00:48:38,880 --> 00:48:42,680
Speaker 3: fading the Broncos this season, Nathaniel Hackett has parted ways

1002
00:48:42,719 --> 00:48:46,800
Speaker 3: with Denver. Just some unreal facts around Hackett. The Broncos

1003
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:50,520
Speaker 3: offense ranked lastest season in scoring. In the sixty three

1004
00:48:50,600 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 3: year history of the Broncos franchise, They've never finished last

1005
00:48:54,040 --> 00:48:57,680
Speaker 3: in scoring. Eleven of Denver's last fifteen games have gone

1006
00:48:57,719 --> 00:49:00,400
Speaker 3: under the total this season. Tug for the most defitable

1007
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:02,440
Speaker 3: team to the under this year, they are the least

1008
00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:05,160
Speaker 3: profitable team on the money line, losing one hundred dollars

1009
00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:08,440
Speaker 3: better this year seven hundred and ninety eight dollars On

1010
00:49:08,520 --> 00:49:11,160
Speaker 3: the other side, here we go again with the Chiefs.

1011
00:49:11,560 --> 00:49:14,560
Speaker 3: They're going to be about thirteen or fourteen point favorites

1012
00:49:14,600 --> 00:49:17,799
Speaker 3: at home against the Broncos. Patrick Mahomes is just two

1013
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:20,080
Speaker 3: to nine against the spread this season after a straight

1014
00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:22,960
Speaker 3: up win, and sixteen and twenty four against the spread

1015
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:25,960
Speaker 3: after a straight up win since twenty twenty, Not to

1016
00:49:26,040 --> 00:49:30,480
Speaker 3: mention double digit favorites eight and fifteen against the spread

1017
00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:33,600
Speaker 3: this season, the worst start for double digit favorites in

1018
00:49:33,640 --> 00:49:37,160
Speaker 3: the last twenty years. So this is both a recap

1019
00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:40,239
Speaker 3: and a look ahead because it's absolutely unreal what the

1020
00:49:40,239 --> 00:49:42,640
Speaker 3: Bengals are doing and now they have the Bills on

1021
00:49:42,640 --> 00:49:45,840
Speaker 3: Monday Night Football. So the Bengals are twenty and three

1022
00:49:46,280 --> 00:49:49,479
Speaker 3: against the spread in their last twenty three games. Joe

1023
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:53,000
Speaker 3: Burrow himself nineteen and three in his last twenty two starts.

1024
00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:57,760
Speaker 3: The last time the Bengals won and covered seven straight,

1025
00:49:57,800 --> 00:50:00,360
Speaker 3: which they have right now, all the way back in

1026
00:50:00,480 --> 00:50:04,600
Speaker 3: nineteen seventy. The Dolphins and Patriots matchup probably needs to

1027
00:50:04,600 --> 00:50:07,279
Speaker 3: be set up like this. The Dolphins enter on a

1028
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:11,480
Speaker 3: four game losing streak after winning five straight, but now

1029
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:14,279
Speaker 3: they're favored in New England by about a point point

1030
00:50:14,280 --> 00:50:17,680
Speaker 3: and a half. If they close as favorites, Miami would

1031
00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:20,239
Speaker 3: be favored in New England for the first time since

1032
00:50:20,280 --> 00:50:23,440
Speaker 3: December twenty nine, two thousand and two. Their quarterback and

1033
00:50:23,560 --> 00:50:28,000
Speaker 3: offense that day, Jay Fiedler, Ricky Williams, and Chris Chambers.

1034
00:50:28,640 --> 00:50:30,920
Speaker 1: Okay, Evin, thank you great stuff. As always, you'll hear

1035
00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:33,640
Speaker 1: more of Evans stats and trends in our Best Bets

1036
00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:35,920
Speaker 1: episode later this week. You can also find more on

1037
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:39,960
Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot com. All right, Brandon, we're a day late,

1038
00:50:40,120 --> 00:50:41,480
Speaker 1: so we got to jump into the hot read. You

1039
00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,000
Speaker 1: had some look ahead stuff you mentioned already. I should

1040
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:45,919
Speaker 1: say one of our look ahead spots and this goes

1041
00:50:45,960 --> 00:50:50,279
Speaker 1: against your vikings. Dubundo gave out the Packers minus two

1042
00:50:50,320 --> 00:50:52,919
Speaker 1: and a half at home against Minnesota. The lines moved

1043
00:50:52,960 --> 00:50:56,319
Speaker 1: to three and at Fandel at three. That minus three

1044
00:50:56,360 --> 00:50:59,200
Speaker 1: for Green Bay is slightly juiced. What are you have

1045
00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:01,000
Speaker 1: two hot reads for us? What do you have hot?

1046
00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:07,279
Speaker 1: Rap bo say on ice right ice cream pulls r

1047
00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:10,719
Speaker 1: nineteen nineteen, holtright.

1048
00:51:13,480 --> 00:51:16,400
Speaker 4: I'm gonna jump in on that Packers vikings because I

1049
00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:19,720
Speaker 4: am with Da Bundo on this one. I'm gonna grab

1050
00:51:19,760 --> 00:51:22,840
Speaker 4: that Packers at the minus three. I'll take the juice.

1051
00:51:22,880 --> 00:51:24,920
Speaker 4: I want the three. You don't want to wait till

1052
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:27,400
Speaker 4: it gets the three and a half. It's clearly moving

1053
00:51:27,400 --> 00:51:31,240
Speaker 4: in that direction. The Packers are just batter the vikings.

1054
00:51:31,280 --> 00:51:33,640
Speaker 4: They look at the last six weeks by DVA, the

1055
00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:36,520
Speaker 4: vikings are twenty fifth in DVA the last six weeks,

1056
00:51:36,520 --> 00:51:38,720
Speaker 4: and honestly, that's not even really far from the season

1057
00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:42,840
Speaker 4: bottom ten offense and defense. Packers are ninth in DVA

1058
00:51:42,960 --> 00:51:45,839
Speaker 4: during last stretch we're talking about the matchup with them.

1059
00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:49,439
Speaker 4: Packers run defense is bad. The Vikings are thirtieth running

1060
00:51:49,440 --> 00:51:52,480
Speaker 4: the football the last six weeks. Packers' special teams has

1061
00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:56,040
Speaker 4: been bad but better lately. The Vikings special teams even worse.

1062
00:51:56,120 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 4: So it's a matchup thing. The Vikings have had only

1063
00:51:59,719 --> 00:52:02,120
Speaker 4: six games a season against a team that is currently

1064
00:52:02,120 --> 00:52:05,160
Speaker 4: in the top twelve by DVOA. They get the miracle

1065
00:52:05,200 --> 00:52:08,320
Speaker 4: win over the Bills, they beat the Dolphins, but Scaler

1066
00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:11,919
Speaker 4: Thompson Dolphins, and they beat these Packers back in Week one,

1067
00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:14,359
Speaker 4: which we kind of learned after that. Hey, this team

1068
00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:17,520
Speaker 4: didn't play in the preseason. You may recall Christian Watson

1069
00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:20,320
Speaker 4: drop the first pass of the season a bomb touchdown.

1070
00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:24,080
Speaker 4: Very different sort of player now not the same Packers team.

1071
00:52:24,520 --> 00:52:27,440
Speaker 4: The other games, they got blown out by Dallas, they

1072
00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:28,160
Speaker 4: have blown out.

1073
00:52:28,000 --> 00:52:30,760
Speaker 2: By Philly, They lost by double diedges to the Lions.

1074
00:52:31,120 --> 00:52:32,759
Speaker 4: When they play a team that's pretty good, that has

1075
00:52:32,880 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 4: not look good for the Vikings, and it's possible the

1076
00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:38,919
Speaker 4: one seed can be clinched before this game kicks off.

1077
00:52:39,040 --> 00:52:42,920
Speaker 4: It's a Sunday afternoon game. If the Eagles win before that,

1078
00:52:43,280 --> 00:52:45,320
Speaker 4: the Vikings don't allow to play for the Packers. Do

1079
00:52:45,520 --> 00:52:48,400
Speaker 4: The Packers have to keep the season alive. So I

1080
00:52:48,400 --> 00:52:51,880
Speaker 4: think that's another good reason motivationally. And all Aaron Rodgers

1081
00:52:51,880 --> 00:52:56,480
Speaker 4: trends division favorite sixty four percent, home favorite sixty five percent.

1082
00:52:56,880 --> 00:52:58,640
Speaker 2: And it's in Green Bay. You're not going to get

1083
00:52:58,640 --> 00:52:59,640
Speaker 2: some cold Lambeau.

1084
00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:03,240
Speaker 4: Why the forty five degrees are below? Rogers is sixty

1085
00:53:03,280 --> 00:53:05,560
Speaker 4: three percent against the spread. I don't have the Kirk

1086
00:53:05,560 --> 00:53:07,680
Speaker 4: Cousins number, but I can tell you what it's not.

1087
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:10,720
Speaker 2: That it's not good, So I'll take the three.

1088
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:13,719
Speaker 4: I had to wear my Vikings jersey to cancel out

1089
00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 4: my pick against the Vikings. But Packers are clearly the

1090
00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:20,360
Speaker 4: better side. That you said Bundos on the Packers as well.

1091
00:53:20,920 --> 00:53:22,840
Speaker 1: Yes, Packers minus two and a half.

1092
00:53:23,040 --> 00:53:25,759
Speaker 4: Yep, yeah, yeah, I looked at this one before. If

1093
00:53:25,800 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 4: the Packers had lost that Christmas game, which I was confident,

1094
00:53:28,560 --> 00:53:30,919
Speaker 4: I love the Packers there. If they lost, the season's over.

1095
00:53:31,520 --> 00:53:34,319
Speaker 4: So sometimes you wait, you get a little more certainty here.

1096
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:37,200
Speaker 4: Now we know the game matters. We lost the half point.

1097
00:53:37,520 --> 00:53:39,680
Speaker 4: I don't think it's gonna matter too much. The other

1098
00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:41,640
Speaker 4: one here. If you want to go early in the

1099
00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:44,840
Speaker 4: week Thursday night, I kind of teas this one earlier,

1100
00:53:45,440 --> 00:53:49,000
Speaker 4: Dallas at Tennessee. I still see a few Dallas minus

1101
00:53:49,080 --> 00:53:51,480
Speaker 4: nine and a halfs out there trickle in towards ten

1102
00:53:51,520 --> 00:53:53,960
Speaker 4: and up. I think this line's going to get towards

1103
00:53:53,960 --> 00:53:55,480
Speaker 4: thirteen or fourteen by the time.

1104
00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:55,919
Speaker 2: We kick off.

1105
00:53:56,280 --> 00:53:59,480
Speaker 4: And here's why the Titans, this is a preseason game

1106
00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:03,560
Speaker 4: for them. This is an absolute nothing burger. It literally

1107
00:54:03,600 --> 00:54:06,680
Speaker 4: doesn't matter. It does not matter what happens here. The

1108
00:54:06,800 --> 00:54:10,440
Speaker 4: defense for the Tennessee Titans has cratered over the last

1109
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:14,000
Speaker 4: six weeks. They're thirty first in passing defense. And it's

1110
00:54:14,040 --> 00:54:16,560
Speaker 4: not because Mike Ribel forgot how to coach. They don't

1111
00:54:16,600 --> 00:54:20,520
Speaker 4: have anyone left. Everybody is hurt. Nobody arguably needs this

1112
00:54:20,560 --> 00:54:23,600
Speaker 4: week off more than Tennessee. On a short week, they're

1113
00:54:23,640 --> 00:54:27,000
Speaker 4: definitely resting dudes. I think in the next day or

1114
00:54:27,000 --> 00:54:29,160
Speaker 4: two we're gonna get like the mass announcement of like

1115
00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:32,520
Speaker 4: here's the injury list, thirteen guys out, you know, like

1116
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:34,279
Speaker 4: where already now a few of them out. I think

1117
00:54:34,280 --> 00:54:36,399
Speaker 4: we're gonna get more and that number is gonna go up.

1118
00:54:36,760 --> 00:54:41,560
Speaker 4: Malik Willis not good. Tennessee's defense is beatable the way

1119
00:54:41,560 --> 00:54:44,600
Speaker 4: it is right now, and the Cowboys defense we talked

1120
00:54:44,600 --> 00:54:45,480
Speaker 4: about them faltering.

1121
00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:47,680
Speaker 2: It's mostly the passing d well.

1122
00:54:47,680 --> 00:54:49,720
Speaker 4: You gotta have a quarterback to pass on a beatable

1123
00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:52,680
Speaker 4: passing defense, and Milik Willis is not going to be that.

1124
00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:54,640
Speaker 2: So I like the Cowboys here.

1125
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:58,680
Speaker 4: Big Thursday night favorites typically do well, So I'm gonna

1126
00:54:58,680 --> 00:55:00,239
Speaker 4: grab the nine and a half and get it or

1127
00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:03,360
Speaker 4: the ten if you need to. We talked about teaser

1128
00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:06,520
Speaker 4: protection before. I think this line gets to thirteen or

1129
00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:09,319
Speaker 4: thirteen and a half because that way you can't tease

1130
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:11,839
Speaker 4: it down below the touchdown. So I think that's where

1131
00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:14,680
Speaker 4: this line moves. If you want the Thursday Cowboys take

1132
00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:15,320
Speaker 4: it now?

1133
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:19,439
Speaker 1: Interesting good, that's a good point. And yeah, of course,

1134
00:55:19,440 --> 00:55:21,600
Speaker 1: as we hit off the top and earlier in the podcast,

1135
00:55:21,640 --> 00:55:25,720
Speaker 1: there's importance here for Dallas because of the possibility still

1136
00:55:26,120 --> 00:55:27,799
Speaker 1: playing early in the week that you can set the

1137
00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:31,200
Speaker 1: tone for the weekend with the chance of getting a

1138
00:55:31,280 --> 00:55:33,560
Speaker 1: number one seed potentially. But they need a lot to

1139
00:55:33,600 --> 00:55:37,520
Speaker 1: go right here down the stretch. So two hot reeds

1140
00:55:37,600 --> 00:55:41,279
Speaker 1: Green Bay minus three and then Dallas minus ten. You're

1141
00:55:41,320 --> 00:55:42,239
Speaker 1: okay with ten? Right?

1142
00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:42,600
Speaker 2: Ten?

1143
00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:43,640
Speaker 1: Nine and a half? Ten?

1144
00:55:43,880 --> 00:55:45,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll take the ten. Get the nine and a half.

1145
00:55:45,680 --> 00:55:46,319
Speaker 2: You can find it.

1146
00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:48,520
Speaker 4: But we think this goes to thirteen or longer, so

1147
00:55:48,600 --> 00:55:50,359
Speaker 4: if you want to grab it, it's now or never.

1148
00:55:50,760 --> 00:55:53,400
Speaker 1: Okay, very good, folks. Don't forget that. If you like

1149
00:55:53,520 --> 00:55:56,360
Speaker 1: basketball betting content, at Action Network, we have you covered

1150
00:55:56,400 --> 00:56:01,000
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Speaker 1: also have Big Bets on Campus for college hoops. Those

1152
00:56:04,120 --> 00:56:08,480
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1153
00:56:08,760 --> 00:56:11,800
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1154
00:56:11,880 --> 00:56:16,040
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1155
00:56:16,080 --> 00:56:17,680
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1156
00:56:17,760 --> 00:56:19,760
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1157
00:56:19,760 --> 00:56:22,759
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1158
00:56:22,800 --> 00:56:25,600
Speaker 1: subscribe button. Also, if you like what you're here, please

1159
00:56:25,600 --> 00:56:27,799
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1160
00:56:27,880 --> 00:56:30,719
Speaker 1: go a long way. We greatly appreciate it. That'll do

1161
00:56:30,800 --> 00:56:34,239
Speaker 1: it for the Action Network podcast, the NFL Week sixteen

1162
00:56:34,960 --> 00:56:39,520
Speaker 1: Betting Recap. This pod presented by Fandel Wednesday morning, you'll

1163
00:56:39,560 --> 00:56:43,120
Speaker 1: get Raybon and Sean Kerner. They're a Player Projections episode.

1164
00:56:43,360 --> 00:56:46,839
Speaker 1: Thursday Morning, Raybon and Stucky their NFL betting preview which

1165
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:51,600
Speaker 1: features the Sunday six Pack. Friday Mornings, Brandon Anderson, Joe Glant,

1166
00:56:51,640 --> 00:56:54,200
Speaker 1: Luke Swain, myself, we have the NFL Best Bets Pod

1167
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:58,720
Speaker 1: from the entire Action Network family. Thanks again everyone for listening.

1168
00:56:59,080 --> 00:57:01,040
Speaker 1: Good luck with your bets this week. For Brandon Anderson,

1169
00:57:01,080 --> 00:57:19,600
Speaker 1: Brandan Glassheen, We'll see you later. Action Network reminds you

1170
00:57:20,000 --> 00:57:23,640
Speaker 1: please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care about

1171
00:57:23,640 --> 00:57:26,560
Speaker 1: has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four to

1172
00:57:26,640 --> 00:57:28,520
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