1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,160 Speaker 1: All right, let's get over to our next guest, because 2 00:00:02,160 --> 00:00:04,920 Speaker 1: we're being told that the US is exploring the possibility 3 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:08,480 Speaker 1: of new export controls that would limit China's access to 4 00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:12,479 Speaker 1: some of the most powerful emerging computing technologies. Were joined 5 00:00:12,520 --> 00:00:16,800 Speaker 1: them by Jordan Strauss, Kroll Managing Director and Kroll Institute Fellow. Jordan, 6 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:18,919 Speaker 1: thank you for joining us. Let's just look at what 7 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 1: is perhaps the bigger picture here. This is about not 8 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: just semiconductors, which is a very very wide subject, but 9 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: also in technologies to do with AI and quantum computing. 10 00:00:31,560 --> 00:00:36,159 Speaker 1: Is it now really explicit that the wine House is 11 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: doubling down in its efforts to contain China. Hey, risch 12 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 1: It's nice to spend the morning with Hugh and Bloomberg. 13 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: Absolutely clear. We've seen that happen over the past few 14 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:50,879 Speaker 1: weeks where the Biden administration has finally settled on and 15 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 1: really doubled down on a very aggressive strategy. You saw 16 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 1: that two weeks ago with the release of the new 17 00:00:57,040 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 1: National Security Strategy, which identifies China as primary geopolitical competitor 18 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: in the world with the United States, with the change 19 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:12,679 Speaker 1: in UM verification for certain Chinese companies that are engaged 20 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: in advanced semiconductor research, and these rumors are are certainly 21 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:20,680 Speaker 1: fitting with all of that. You know, it's clear that, 22 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: you know, the future of national security and national prosperity 23 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: as much as it's been energy for the last hundred years, 24 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: is high technology, is quantum AI and other chip enabled stuff. 25 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,399 Speaker 1: So you know, the Biden administration is recognizing that the 26 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 1: chips are the new oil, and they're doing everything they 27 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: can to try to create a competitive advantage for America. 28 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 1: So in terms of timing, Jordan, do you think that 29 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 1: the horse has left the barn so to speak? I mean, 30 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: is there still time to contain China in this in 31 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: this way or have they already or the country at 32 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 1: large as it kind of advanced its own ambition to 33 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:05,040 Speaker 1: the extent that they have done work in quantum computing 34 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 1: and AI. So there's been a lot of very healthy 35 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 1: competition between the current great powers in this space and 36 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: that will continue. You know, I think that the administration's 37 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 1: actions and the actions that other Western governments are considering um. 38 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:23,639 Speaker 1: You know, in the United States, the passage of the 39 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 1: so called Chips act Um and the Western equivalents of 40 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: that that are likely about to pass in a few 41 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:32,919 Speaker 1: European countries have made clear that everybody is trying to 42 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 1: bring this stuff closer to their shores to build a 43 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 1: domestic ability to conduct R and D and to conduct 44 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 1: fabrication of advanced technologies. I would say, by the way, 45 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 1: that that competition is good, and not just good long 46 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 1: term for companies that are engaged in this, but good 47 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: for progress and innovation. On the US China front, there's 48 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:56,080 Speaker 1: been so much tension for the last twenty years that 49 00:02:56,160 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 1: it I think short of a real diplomatic or scientific breakthrough, Um, 50 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 1: you know, the next the next year or two are 51 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:07,840 Speaker 1: probably gonna be fairly difficult to navigate. UM. Jordan Mike 52 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: colleague in the studios, Brian Kurtz, and he's gonna doozy 53 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 1: if a question it's that would it make a difference 54 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 1: if China were a free country. I'm going on to say, 55 00:03:17,720 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 1: is it competition or is it politics? Um? So great, 56 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:31,519 Speaker 1: great question, Brian. The you know, this is about the 57 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:35,600 Speaker 1: most critical developing technologies in the national security space. So 58 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 1: these things can be used for everything from automated vehicles, 59 00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: to automated drones, to missiles and to h very very 60 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 1: advanced cybersecurity challenges, particularly with cryptography. I think that the states, 61 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: regardless of their way of government, are competing as as 62 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: private actors are, and they're competing with all of their might. 63 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 1: So we have Anthony blink In today, Secretary of State, 64 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 1: picking up on what I thought was kind of an 65 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 1: obvious conclusion based on the speech the other night from 66 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: President Chi that Taiwan has created a much faster timeline. 67 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:18,520 Speaker 1: Are I'm sorry, Mainland China has created a much faster 68 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:22,599 Speaker 1: timeline for its seizure of Taiwan. Is this How does 69 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:28,039 Speaker 1: this enter into the conversation around advanced technologies? So Taiwan 70 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 1: is the source of depending on who you talked to, 71 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 1: between of the market to include fabrication for certain kinds 72 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 1: of next generation semiconductor technologies, you know, particularly the kinds 73 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,359 Speaker 1: of things that you need to do really really powerful 74 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: computational exercises. So there's a regional security issue, and then 75 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 1: there's also kind of a um a concentration of knowledge 76 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 1: there as far as the US and the West are concerned. 77 00:04:55,279 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: In addition to the other strategic priorities to keeping Taiwan 78 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 1: free UM, the loss of Taiwan would also represent you know, 79 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 1: perhaps not a crippling but a very serious setback in 80 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: terms of access to not just the kinds of semiconductors 81 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:14,159 Speaker 1: that we need to power the technology today, but also 82 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:15,920 Speaker 1: the problems of the future. And I know it by 83 00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 1: the way that I suspect that's one of the reasons 84 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: that the US Chips Act received such why bipartisan support, 85 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 1: that there was an overwhelming recognition that the US and 86 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: the West dependence on on Asia and particularly on Taiwan 87 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:33,360 Speaker 1: for advanced technology development was near total. Very interesting times, 88 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 1: great conversation, Jordan, Thank you so much for being with us. 89 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 1: Jordan Strauss there He is managing director at Kroll. He 90 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 1: is also a Kroll Institute Fellow