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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network,

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Speaker 1: or as I am officially renaming this podcast, not the

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Speaker 1: Favorites the Frustration. I am Shad Moman and I'm going

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Speaker 1: to be joined by professional Better Simon Hunter, who before

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Speaker 1: we came on said I am officially aunt Hilt Simon

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Speaker 1: say hello and buckle the fuck up brother. Hey guys,

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Speaker 1: all right, Simon, we got a lot to discuss. A reminder,

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Speaker 1: Simon Hunter is a professional better. He has joined us

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Speaker 1: every week on the pod and together we have entered

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Speaker 1: the Draft Kings Pro Football pick Up National Championship. We

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Speaker 1: will decide what picks he should put in and frankly, listen,

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Speaker 1: our heads are spinning right now, at least mine is.

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Speaker 1: And before we get to the recap, just a reminder,

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Speaker 1: go great and review the podcast using the phrase Simon says,

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Speaker 1: we need to communicate and if we like it and

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Speaker 1: randomly choose that phrase that review, you will win a

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Speaker 1: free Action Network coody. We will announce last week's winner

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Speaker 1: at the end of this show. Now here's a recap

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Speaker 1: for last week. We went two and three and we

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Speaker 1: are having all kinds of communication issues, Simon, because last

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Speaker 1: week we love the Vikings. We love the Ravens. Like

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Speaker 1: everyone was tweeting at us, like how much we love

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Speaker 1: the Vikings. How we were saying I thought Joe Burrow

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Speaker 1: would get killed by the Ravens. How the Ravens don't

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Speaker 1: play down to the competition. And yet on Sunday morning

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Speaker 1: at nine, I get a text and the Bengals and

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks are two over five picks. I don't understand. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 1: I basically like like I said to you before the pot,

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Speaker 1: like I was just in full tilt mode where I've

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Speaker 1: been running hot with my own picks, and I was

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Speaker 1: just I was just like, I'm so due for a

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Speaker 1: bad week these games that we end up going with.

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Speaker 1: It was mainly because of weather. I got a bunch

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Speaker 1: of like info that all the all these games are

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Speaker 1: gonna get a ton of rain. So it's like, we

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Speaker 1: really liked the Rams and I switched off of it

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Speaker 1: because of the QB switch and the weather. Everyone you know,

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Speaker 1: there's too much, there's too much variants in that. And

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Speaker 1: when it came to the Ravens and the Bengals, I

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Speaker 1: just thought, well, this will be easy if it's just

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Speaker 1: a game or all you have to do is stop

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Speaker 1: the run for the Bengals. This this, this must be

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Speaker 1: this must be an easy pick for the Bengals, and

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Speaker 1: the line kept coming down. So I feel like an

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Speaker 1: idiot because I got the I thought I was gonna

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Speaker 1: get number said on the show at getting the Ravens

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Speaker 1: at twelve and a half, and I think he closed

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Speaker 1: at eleven the Bengals. So yeah, like we were talking, uh,

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Speaker 1: everyone that's let's in the show that puts to their

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Speaker 1: picks in on Thursday, they did really well. All the

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Speaker 1: people hit us up there like, man, you guys killed

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Speaker 1: it this week, Like you guys did so good on

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Speaker 1: the show, and we did two and three. That's that.

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Speaker 1: That hurts. It hurts so much. But it's so interesting

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Speaker 1: because it speaks to something that I don't think a

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Speaker 1: lot of people would really believe happens, which is you're

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Speaker 1: a professional better you do this for a living, Like

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Speaker 1: it's possible to get in your own head even when

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Speaker 1: you have all the numbers in front of you, even

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Speaker 1: when everything says to you, do this, do this, Like

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Speaker 1: Sunday comes around and it is not easy to sort

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Speaker 1: of make these decisions in a vacuum when a lot

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Speaker 1: of other things that could lead to biases from your

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Speaker 1: experiences betting or just being a fan are going to

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Speaker 1: make you think about things differently. Yeah, honestly, I think

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Speaker 1: it's because of Twitter. I was never really on Twitter before,

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Speaker 1: like even last year. If I ever went on Twitter,

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Speaker 1: it was just literally posting our pics. Because I think

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Speaker 1: about like twenty fans and maybe found me last year

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Speaker 1: from the show, and they're the only ones that I

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Speaker 1: even ask me questions. We're now like, I'm on there

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Speaker 1: all the time and I'm hearing a lot of other

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Speaker 1: people's opinions and it's messing in my head. Like especially um,

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Speaker 1: there's another pick tournament we don't have to name, but

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Speaker 1: we won't name because we're not sponsored by him out

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Speaker 1: in the Desert, and those picks came out earlier than ours,

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Speaker 1: and I see that stuff and it really it's like,

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Speaker 1: holy crap. Me and Chat are really with the public

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Speaker 1: on a lot of these picks, and I really do,

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Speaker 1: like I'll bet with the public, but in these pick pools,

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Speaker 1: I hate you in the public because the usually doesn't

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Speaker 1: work out, and of course the public when five and

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Speaker 1: oh in these pick pools out in the desert last week,

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Speaker 1: like the most selected, and it is one of those

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Speaker 1: we're navigating, and it just stinks because me and you

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Speaker 1: both love the Giants in Miami, and I was just like,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to be killing myself riding these two

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Speaker 1: teams in the Lake games. Like I'd rather start good

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Speaker 1: at the one pms and then just close out with

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Speaker 1: the Browns and the Seattle. So like, I need to

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Speaker 1: push thing this side and just get used to the

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Speaker 1: dread I'm starting to. That's what these Sundays are gonna be.

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Speaker 1: But I'm still positive because it's like we're fourteen eleven

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Speaker 1: and we're not even at the halfway mark for our

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Speaker 1: pick pool, so I'm not too worried yet. Like the

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Speaker 1: guy who's ahead of us, he's only had by five,

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Speaker 1: so if we go five, you know, he goes on five.

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Speaker 1: We're literally tied with the guy as the leader of

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Speaker 1: this week. So that's why it's like each week, if

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Speaker 1: we keep avoiding these own five weeks and these one

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Speaker 1: in four weeks and our bad weeks or two and three,

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Speaker 1: and we can sprinkle in five and oh weeks what

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Speaker 1: you're hoping for this week, We're gonna be fine. You

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Speaker 1: know what I love about your brother. Right now, you

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Speaker 1: are showing real vulnerability, am I. You are you are,

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Speaker 1: You are in the thick of it with the rest

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Speaker 1: of us, and it's hard. It's hard to separate all

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Speaker 1: of the noise from the signals that really matter. I

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Speaker 1: almost feel like I've corrupted you by having you come

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Speaker 1: on and now you're on Twitter, and like you're getting

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Speaker 1: poisoned by the well, uh, you're poisoned by all this

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Speaker 1: smoke that is coming in um. But you're not wrong,

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Speaker 1: Like I think, I know. I think over the weekend,

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Speaker 1: not only did we go two and three, but like,

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Speaker 1: instead of taking the games that I loved on Tuesday

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Speaker 1: last week were the Browns, the Texans, the Giants, the Vikings,

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Speaker 1: and the Dolphins, how many of those games did I

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Speaker 1: end up betting on Thursday through Sunday two oh two?

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Speaker 1: And like I ended up betting like the Eagles Steelers

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Speaker 1: under twenty one in the first half. Oh God, actually,

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Speaker 1: like I like that over just because my whole reason

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Speaker 1: for liking the Eagles was that I thought the steel

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Speaker 1: is gonna come out sloppy after the bye week and

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Speaker 1: their defense. Did I mean the Eagles should not be

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Speaker 1: putting up that many points on that defense a little.

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Speaker 1: Did I know that that they had a rookie on

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh that was gonna score four touchdowns? So that was

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Speaker 1: go one of those where I think that they missed

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Speaker 1: the field able to put the Eagles up one and

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Speaker 1: the Deils game down put a touchdown, and I go,

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Speaker 1: oh man, it's gonna one of those days for me

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Speaker 1: and chat huh. So it's one of those weeks where

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Speaker 1: like we were on the wrong side of a couple

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Speaker 1: of picks, but the ones we should have been on there,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna be no sweats for us. We missed on those.

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Speaker 1: That's what hurts. But that's what this week I'm looking

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Speaker 1: forward to because there's a lot of games that stick

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Speaker 1: out again here on Tuesday. All right, we'll listen, let's

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Speaker 1: let's talk about this games. We're gonna get our big

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Speaker 1: balls better the week we're gonna get that's one. And

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Speaker 1: now on the Giants. I was gonna say, which was

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Speaker 1: the Giants last week? Uh, we're gonna get our hornets

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Speaker 1: nest pick of the week, the one we are just

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Speaker 1: walking into a hornets nest. Well, right, Jesus Christ, we

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Speaker 1: we could have been five and oh this week different

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Speaker 1: ways it's so upsetting. All right, let us talk about

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Speaker 1: the first game on the board that we can talk about,

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Speaker 1: because obviously there's a Titan Texans game that we can't

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Speaker 1: talk about. There's no numbers available yet. You want the

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Speaker 1: I mean the early listeners listen to night the Bills

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Speaker 1: and the Titans play at night? All right? Let's okay, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: let's do that. You got the what the public and

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Speaker 1: everything like that are doing on the Action I don't

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Speaker 1: have it. I'm gonna look it up right now. Let me, Um,

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Speaker 1: it's a question what I'm looking at this? What did

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Speaker 1: you do? Hold on, Simon, hold on. I'm gonna do

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Speaker 1: what I should have done. I'm going to open the

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Speaker 1: Action Network app where I get all my data information.

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Speaker 1: It's a free app. You can download it and you'll

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Speaker 1: be able to see who the public goes on, who

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Speaker 1: the wise guys are on. You'll get the latest data

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Speaker 1: and information everything you need to really enjoy the games

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Speaker 1: from a variety of perspectives. Action Network App download for free.

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Speaker 1: Houston minute. Let's see that is week five. It's the

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Speaker 1: last game of week five, so we got Buffalo three

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Right now, it looks like, um,

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Speaker 1: the majority of the bets are on Buffalo, and the

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Speaker 1: majority of the money is on Buffalo. Of course, So

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Speaker 1: these COVID games, we all knew they were coming, and

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Speaker 1: it's been funny trying to adjust to him where it

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Speaker 1: seems like it's been beneficial for the favorites. I don't

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Speaker 1: know the exact how many games have been affected, but

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs and Patriots, that was a very noticeable game

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Speaker 1: or because the QB was out, the Chiefs had a

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Speaker 1: huge advantage and they probably would have lost that game

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Speaker 1: outright if Cam had played. Who knows, But we're looking

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Speaker 1: at another game of the Titans was not many people

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Speaker 1: know who's playing for the Titans. We don't know who's

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Speaker 1: missing from their team. And you can go and you

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Speaker 1: can look and see what starters won't be there because

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Speaker 1: of this whole COVID thing. And you have a Bills

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Speaker 1: team that this was a great trap spot for the Bills.

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Speaker 1: This is a look ahead because they're playing that they're

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Speaker 1: supposed to be playing the Chiefs on Thursday. Now that

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Speaker 1: game has moved the Monday still a huge game. Where

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Speaker 1: the Bills saw that game with Oakland against the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: They see that the Chiefs are gonna be desperate now.

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Speaker 1: They need They need this win more than the Bills do.

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Speaker 1: So I'm a little worried to hear about the Bills

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Speaker 1: look ahead, and especially with all the money coming on

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Speaker 1: the Bills. I'm gonna take the Titans, but I don't

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Speaker 1: feel great about it tonight. But this is just one

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Speaker 1: of those games where I'm gonna take the points. Titans cleack,

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Speaker 1: keep games close, and I think they'll lose this game

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Speaker 1: by field goal. So I like that three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Do you know what our weekend did to me? Do

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Speaker 1: you know what? Not sticking to your guns? And I

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Speaker 1: I agree with you, Like I'm feeling a little vulnerable

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Speaker 1: with myself in that I used to have a very

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Speaker 1: clear opinion, like I bet against the big favorites, I

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Speaker 1: bet on short home dogs. I bet sort of the

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Speaker 1: teams that I thought were trending and being undervalued because

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Speaker 1: they aren't public teams that they didn't play in prime time.

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Speaker 1: And I've lost all of those principles the last couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks, and it screwed me up. And even last night,

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Speaker 1: you know we're taping this on Tuesday afternoon. Last night,

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Speaker 1: the Saints played the Chargers, and the Chargers were big dogs,

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Speaker 1: and like, of course I would have wanted to be

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Speaker 1: on the Chargers in that game. I think the Saints

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Speaker 1: have been overvalued all year, and I just didn't do it.

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Speaker 1: I texted a buddy, He's like, what should we do.

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Speaker 1: I'm like, I need a night off. I gotta get

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Speaker 1: my head. It's like I can't, like, I know I

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Speaker 1: want to be in the Chargers and like this same scenario,

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Speaker 1: Like it scares me to bet the Titans, even though

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Speaker 1: I know they are the right side. Yeah, I think,

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Speaker 1: especially if it listed in the show. That's why I

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Speaker 1: always talk about the best of the number gives you

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Speaker 1: peace of mind. When that Charges game we talked on Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: I got it like on Thursday. Maybe it was Friday

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Speaker 1: once injury reports came out at eight and a half

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Speaker 1: and eight. So when that game end up at seven

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Speaker 1: on Monday, I told you I didn't feel comfortable taken

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Speaker 1: the seven, just because I felt like the value was gone. Clearly,

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Speaker 1: it wasn't no matter what when we went to t

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Speaker 1: they were going to cover that seven. But that's why

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Speaker 1: I like, for you, I wouldn't get too too much

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Speaker 1: in your own head about it, just because this principles

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Speaker 1: you're talking about. There, there's always times in place when

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Speaker 1: to play those like a print like new principle is

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Speaker 1: for us as the Ravens as they just beat the

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Speaker 1: crap out of bad teams, even when the numbers are

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Speaker 1: saying that you should take the bad team. We talked

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Speaker 1: last week, this is what the Ravens are. They break

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Speaker 1: those numbers where they steam roll and the same situation

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Speaker 1: we talked about the Dallas. They should never be favored

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Speaker 1: by that many points against the team. So that's why

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Speaker 1: we like the Giants so much. Last week where it

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Speaker 1: just didn't make sense that number where it was no

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Speaker 1: one knows why it was so big. It was like, who,

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Speaker 1: Who's giving Dallas this much respect? So I'm with you, Bud,

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Speaker 1: like we'll we'll keep grinding away here. But it is

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Speaker 1: COVID year. That's why, like a lot of the principles

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Speaker 1: that you do use on a normal year there they

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Speaker 1: hold true every time for the most part. But there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of old rules you follow that you need

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Speaker 1: to break, especially right now. You know what, man, I'm

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Speaker 1: glad I have you buy my side for this. That's

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Speaker 1: what I think it would be misery just misery. I'm glad,

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Speaker 1: you know what. I almost feel like for someone like me,

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Speaker 1: this was almost like our first fight, and I feel

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Speaker 1: like we got through it. If those are our fights, Dad,

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Speaker 1: this is gonna be a very enjoyable relationship. I've had

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Speaker 1: like two massive aout with my wife in maybe we

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Speaker 1: started dating twenty eight years ago when we were in college,

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Speaker 1: and in twenty eight years of being together, I can

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Speaker 1: think of two massive fights that we had. One was

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Speaker 1: when her best friend started dating a guy, and after

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Speaker 1: the first time we all went out together, She's like,

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Speaker 1: what do you think. I'm like, oh, that guy's a douche.

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Speaker 1: Like we are never we are never going out with

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Speaker 1: them again. She's like, what are you talking about? Is

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Speaker 1: my best friend? Of course we're going to go out

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Speaker 1: with them again. I'm like, Stace, that is a bad guy.

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Speaker 1: I don't ever want to sit with him at a

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Speaker 1: dinner table again. And like it became like an argument

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Speaker 1: because she was like, what if we did this with

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Speaker 1: your friends blah blah blah blah blah blah. I'm like,

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Speaker 1: I'm just telling you I can't stand this guy. And um,

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Speaker 1: sure enough, they dated for like three months and then

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Speaker 1: he was a bad dude. They broke up. This second time,

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Speaker 1: my wife and I got in a massive fight. It

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Speaker 1: was when our first son was born, and my wife

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Speaker 1: and I had different opinions on this is personal, but

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Speaker 1: you'll anyone can appreciate this on breastfeeding. And I was like,

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Speaker 1: you got a breastfeed for as long as you can,

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Speaker 1: and she was like, I'm done with it and it's

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Speaker 1: my body and I'm like, nope, we gotta keep going.

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Speaker 1: And she's like, shut the funk up. Go to the

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Speaker 1: fucking drug store and buy some fucking formula. Uh. And

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Speaker 1: that was like a ten thirty at night. I remember

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Speaker 1: I jumped in a cab. We lived in the city.

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Speaker 1: I went to the store, I got the formula. I

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Speaker 1: came back and uh, it was the last we spoke

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Speaker 1: of it. And that was are your only two fights?

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Speaker 1: Those are like the two that I can remember. Like

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Speaker 1: where like we're not We're not like overly dramatic fighting.

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Speaker 1: People were pretty like, yeah, I'm like a snake man.

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Speaker 1: It's impossible to fight with me for real, Like I

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Speaker 1: can always kind of talk my way at the corner,

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Speaker 1: especially if I get caught with something. It's just like,

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Speaker 1: let's just move on. That's the past. What can you

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Speaker 1: do right? Oh yeah, totally. And I was always the

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Speaker 1: kid like when my mom would get mad, like I'd

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Speaker 1: be able to get out of it just like with

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Speaker 1: charm and a smile, and my sister would not be

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Speaker 1: able to when she gets so angry about it. Anyways,

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Speaker 1: this was our first fight, Simon, and now we're through it.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about the Giants being I think two

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites at home against the Washington

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Speaker 1: football team on our friends at DraftKings, and uh wow,

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Speaker 1: they've made it. They've made it interesting for us here

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Speaker 1: in the Washington Giants game of the Betsy of the

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Speaker 1: Money on Washington right now. Yeah, I'm shocked and moved

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Speaker 1: down that much. I know it opened at three and

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Speaker 1: a half um, so people must have word the cala

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Speaker 1: Allen's gonna be back for this game. I doubt people

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Speaker 1: would bet this if a thought Alex Smith was playing

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Speaker 1: because that that honest, he was truly painful to watch

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Speaker 1: last week. Alex Smith in that game. I'm happy for him,

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Speaker 1: like I bet on him for Comeback Player of the

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Speaker 1: Year and that's all you needed with him to take

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Speaker 1: pretty much a snap this season to win that, but

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Speaker 1: he really can't move on that leg right, And and

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Speaker 1: then the way the league is now, you need mobility.

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Speaker 1: You can't be a statue anywhere. You have to be

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Speaker 1: able to weave in and out of the pocket and

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Speaker 1: get around people. And I know the weather was bad

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Speaker 1: last week, but I would feel way way more comfortable

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Speaker 1: taking Washington here if I knew it was Kyle Allen

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Speaker 1: that would take in the Giants end. We talked last

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Speaker 1: week that was a make or break game for Daniel

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Speaker 1: Jones career, that that was the game that he really

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Speaker 1: needed to win and show up and prove that people

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Speaker 1: he is a starting quarterback. And he does what he does.

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Speaker 1: He got sacked, he fumbled, and they scored a touchdowf at.

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Speaker 1: All the kid does is have turnovers. And this is

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Speaker 1: one of those where early in the week, right now,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna go Washington if it's moved off

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Speaker 1: good numbers, it's moved off to three and a half

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Speaker 1: in the three, I think Washington win this game out

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Speaker 1: right if they go with Kyle Allen. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: back to the football team here. I agree with you.

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Speaker 1: I think the way that you look at this is

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Speaker 1: that you've got You've got a low and a high, right,

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Speaker 1: and the Washington football team such a low point, uh

337
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Speaker 1: with what happened last week, not looking very good, Alex

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Speaker 1: Smith getting sacked pretty much every time he dropped back.

339
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Speaker 1: And then the Giants who looked so good in what

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Speaker 1: has been the highest rated afternoon game for Fox in

341
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Speaker 1: five years. Okay, we all of a sudden they look competent.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget it's against a really bad team. And this

343
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Speaker 1: Washington football team, if they've been good at anything, their

344
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Speaker 1: defensive line has been halfway decent. I like Washington here,

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Speaker 1: I might like, let me ask you this is this

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Speaker 1: a money line play? Forget about the spread? Is this

347
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:51,280
Speaker 1: a money line play? Because you've already lost the value

348
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Speaker 1: on the number. It's rare games fall on two or one.

349
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Speaker 1: I mean, I know, I saw it with the Seahawks game,

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Speaker 1: everything like that, But this is one of those. Ride

351
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Speaker 1: Field have just taken them straight up. And that's insane.

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Speaker 1: We've said about the ratings. I saw something crazy where

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Speaker 1: the Sunday night game had double the views of the

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Speaker 1: NBA Finals, and it's really incredible to see. That's how

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Speaker 1: much I always knew there was a kind of the

356
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Speaker 1: big split. We've never seen it because these finals never

357
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Speaker 1: happened the same time as the NFL schedule. So I

358
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Speaker 1: know football is king. Like I've told you plenty of times,

359
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Speaker 1: the amount of people that take my picks on our

360
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Speaker 1: client lists compared to the other sports as tamesfold. But

361
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Speaker 1: to see it in actual time, real time, like Lebron

362
00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 1: James maybe the greatest player ever to play. I know

363
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Speaker 1: we're both Michael Jordan fans, but you can't deny what

364
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Speaker 1: Lebron has done. It's it's one of the craziest things

365
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Speaker 1: we've ever seen. And the fact that their viewership was

366
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Speaker 1: half of a week five Seahawks Vikings game, it's it's

367
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Speaker 1: pretty insane. How much football really is king in this country.

368
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Speaker 1: So Falcons Vikings, I almost feel like Matt Mitchell should

369
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Speaker 1: be playing. I want you to play a little song here.

370
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Speaker 1: I can see clearly now the rain is gone. I

371
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:13,359
Speaker 1: can see clear the rain. Let's go. I can see

372
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Speaker 1: all in the Falcons Vikings game. The bet to nine

373
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Speaker 1: of the money on Vikings right now. Obviously very early,

374
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Speaker 1: but I will say this. Chris Raybon wrote an incredible

375
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Speaker 1: story that is up on Action network dot Com. Right now.

376
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:34,960
Speaker 1: That was so prescient about how a t S record

377
00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:38,119
Speaker 1: is really a great indicator of whether or not you

378
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Speaker 1: are a good coach. And dan Quinn was a horrible coach,

379
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Speaker 1: horrible against the spread. And he breaks down sort of

380
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Speaker 1: all the reasons why there's very specific betting stat is

381
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Speaker 1: a really thoughtful way to look at success for coaches,

382
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Speaker 1: um and we already know that. The week before Stuck,

383
00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:55,320
Speaker 1: he wrote this great story at Action Network about betting

384
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Speaker 1: on teams after their coaches fired. Right now, you've got

385
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Speaker 1: a Vikings team that show well on Sunday night against

386
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Speaker 1: you know, the cardiac kid Seahawks, and the Falcons team

387
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 1: that just lost their coach. The only question to me, Simon,

388
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:12,880
Speaker 1: is do we wait to get the best of the number,

389
00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:17,760
Speaker 1: because right now Atlanta is a three point dog in Minnesota. Yeah.

390
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 1: And I think back to your dan quin point. It's

391
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:22,199
Speaker 1: more that remember where he came from. He he had

392
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Speaker 1: helped build a legion of boom in Seattle, and so

393
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,440
Speaker 1: he went from there. He went to Atlanta and he

394
00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:31,880
Speaker 1: had Cayl shaneas off offensive coordinator who took i think

395
00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:36,560
Speaker 1: took the team to the Super Bowl. And he the owner,

396
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:38,560
Speaker 1: Arthur Blank We joked every week we could not believe

397
00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:39,679
Speaker 1: he was a find the guy, and it was just

398
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:43,399
Speaker 1: crazy he built up that much leeway with the with

399
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Speaker 1: the owner just because he got to that team to

400
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 1: the super Bowl, even though they lost in legendary fashion. Um,

401
00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 1: how do you not like a Landa here? This is

402
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:56,520
Speaker 1: like a perfect bil situation, especially now you just said

403
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:59,720
Speaker 1: all that money is coming in on Minnesota, Like I

404
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:01,879
Speaker 1: many times on here when you talk about that money,

405
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:05,000
Speaker 1: that's Parley money, that's teaser money, that's all these things

406
00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:08,919
Speaker 1: that the bookmakers need broken. And like last week the

407
00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,760
Speaker 1: Raiders were a big breaker of teasers. Money line parlay

408
00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:13,879
Speaker 1: is a bunch of different things like that. This feels

409
00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 1: like a good good spot here with Falcons. Everyone's down

410
00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:21,080
Speaker 1: on them, Minniester, like you just had played a hell

411
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:22,680
Speaker 1: of a game last week. They should have won that

412
00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 1: fourth and tent buyer Wilson was incredible. Um, I just

413
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:31,240
Speaker 1: think people are forgetting that Matt Ryan. He's looked bad

414
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:33,080
Speaker 1: for a couple of weeks here, but it's one of

415
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Speaker 1: those where you get rid of a coach and it's

416
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,240
Speaker 1: just a weightlifted off the team. And we saw that

417
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:38,800
Speaker 1: Houston where the whole team played well last week for Houston,

418
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Speaker 1: even if Romer Camel is a crappy coach and we're

419
00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:42,919
Speaker 1: gonna be able to fade him the rest of the season.

420
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Speaker 1: The first game, I do feel really comfortable taking these

421
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:47,879
Speaker 1: teams after they fired their coach. So I'm with you

422
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Speaker 1: on the on the Falcons. We'll wait to get back

423
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Speaker 1: to three and a half. Yeah, that's that's the only thing.

424
00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:55,360
Speaker 1: We just gotta wait. We just gotta wait until there's

425
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 1: a better number. But I'm gonna take the case, all right,

426
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,680
Speaker 1: all right, I like having the Falcon on our list. Yeah,

427
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:08,200
Speaker 1: I hear you. I hear you. Maybe I will too. Uh,

428
00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 1: all right, my favorite team, the Chicago Bears, in case

429
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:15,600
Speaker 1: you haven't noticed the World championship banner over my shoulder

430
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 1: for anyone who's watching our videos, are getting seventy of

431
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 1: the money. Uh. This line has moved from Bears plus

432
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 1: three to Bears plus two and a half of the

433
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:30,280
Speaker 1: beats of the Beats coming in and the Panthers um

434
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:33,439
Speaker 1: Bears now two and a half point dogs on the

435
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 1: road at Resurgent Carolina. You know what this is right now,

436
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 1: I'm looking at this. This game is a Hornets nest.

437
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 1: I'm walking to a fucking Hornets nest. All right, now'll

438
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:48,160
Speaker 1: be my companion and let me explain to you why

439
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:51,280
Speaker 1: you've got a Bears team that one on Thursday night

440
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:55,720
Speaker 1: and against the Bucks in dramatic fashion, and a Panther's

441
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:57,399
Speaker 1: team that is now won three in a row. And

442
00:22:57,440 --> 00:22:59,359
Speaker 1: it's starting to show, like what those of us like

443
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:01,679
Speaker 1: you and I who had been on the Panthers from

444
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:06,359
Speaker 1: the beginning, they're very well coached. Teddy Bridgewater a k a.

445
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:09,639
Speaker 1: Teddy covers like, this is a team to be reckoned with.

446
00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 1: This is one of those where you said seventy of

447
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the Bears lines moved

448
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: from three to two and a half. Wow, Yeah, I

449
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 1: love the Bears here. This is like another opportunity where, yeah,

450
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,960
Speaker 1: the Panthers have looked really good, but let's look at

451
00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 1: the team's defenses they looked good against and how they've

452
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 1: done it. And we saw the Panthers Falter was against

453
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, like a good defense that we just saw

454
00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:37,439
Speaker 1: against the Bears, and the Bears played pretty well against

455
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 1: on the thurs and it, yeah, it was sloppy at times,

456
00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 1: and the referee shure definitely did help the Bears at times,

457
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 1: but I guess the professionals are thinking here that the

458
00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:50,399
Speaker 1: same way I'm so. I'm looking at that the Bears defense,

459
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:53,879
Speaker 1: it is just so good that I think they'll be

460
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:57,520
Speaker 1: able to stop this Panthers often, especially in the sense

461
00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:01,480
Speaker 1: that Teddy is really good everyone he's a dog. I

462
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:03,560
Speaker 1: forget the Star Wars. I think it's like he's eighteen

463
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 1: and four and nineteen and four covering as a dog.

464
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:11,159
Speaker 1: And I don't know if people are thinking themselves like

465
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,439
Speaker 1: you were just saying, the Panthers keep covering their three now,

466
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 1: so so they're thinking themselves this we'll keep going. But

467
00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,880
Speaker 1: it's hard a young team like the Panthers that went

468
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,639
Speaker 1: four in a row. So I'm gonna back the veteran

469
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:24,919
Speaker 1: QB on the Bears and the veteran defense of the

470
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,679
Speaker 1: Bears to go down to North Carolina and get a

471
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 1: win here. And I like that we're getting two and

472
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:33,879
Speaker 1: a half. Still, I love this Bears team right now

473
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 1: in this game. Yeah, I think we're the number one

474
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:41,160
Speaker 1: Bear podcast outside of Chicago, so we have to be

475
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 1: the biggest backers of the Bears in the history of

476
00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 1: It's insane. Do you know who we don't. I don't

477
00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:51,920
Speaker 1: want to talk about this next game. Uh and right now,

478
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:53,879
Speaker 1: by the way, I feel like we are we We

479
00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,600
Speaker 1: love Washington, we love the Falcons, we love the Bears.

480
00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 1: This is what makes for misery. This is why we

481
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 1: wake up on Sunday morning and start texting each other

482
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,879
Speaker 1: and saying, why don't we take the Seahawks. That seems

483
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,439
Speaker 1: like a good idea, But all right, let's yeah. Well

484
00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:11,960
Speaker 1: I'm scary we're on three road dogs right now, but yeah,

485
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 1: we'll keep moving. By the way, that's the wise guy side.

486
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:18,640
Speaker 1: I know you know we're not doing anything wrong. It's

487
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,639
Speaker 1: not a listen, all right, Lions minus three and a

488
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:24,639
Speaker 1: half against the Jaguars, can we skip this game? Like?

489
00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:26,880
Speaker 1: I'd love to hear your number. And by the way,

490
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 1: I want to get your numbers. I forgot to ask you,

491
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,200
Speaker 1: like your numbers on the games we've talked about so far,

492
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:34,359
Speaker 1: But like Lions Jags, I guess I want to hear

493
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 1: your number, but I want nothing to do with either

494
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:39,800
Speaker 1: of these teams. Yeah, and it's it's one of those

495
00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:42,240
Speaker 1: games where I like the jag and I think the

496
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:45,640
Speaker 1: values on the Jack side, but it's hard to take

497
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:47,920
Speaker 1: the Jaguars if they're gonna be a down Josh Allen

498
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 1: their best d N and they're gonna be out a

499
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 1: linebacker and not a corner. So I'd wait on the

500
00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 1: injury forward this one. And I'm with you, like I

501
00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:58,760
Speaker 1: don't want to backmap for Tressure. Everything we've seen from them,

502
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,160
Speaker 1: he's the same, same with these other coaches I've been fired.

503
00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 1: It feels like he's just a dead man walking. And

504
00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:05,680
Speaker 1: we'll wait for the lines to fire him and then

505
00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 1: we'll back them that fine week once he's gone, because

506
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:11,760
Speaker 1: I just don't think he's a good coach. And I

507
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 1: like the way that Jaguars played against Houston. The their

508
00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:16,200
Speaker 1: kicker really kind of messed up that game for them,

509
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,919
Speaker 1: and they were they were just in throw mode. And

510
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:21,840
Speaker 1: we well, we've watching the Jaguars. They need to run

511
00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:23,880
Speaker 1: with that kid Robinson to being games and you could

512
00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:27,600
Speaker 1: run on the lines. So I'll put this on the side,

513
00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:29,440
Speaker 1: and I would wait to see what the injury report is.

514
00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 1: But at the end of the week, because you have

515
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:32,800
Speaker 1: to make sure that Jaguars have these guys back healthier.

516
00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: Us their defense can't stop anybody, all right, real quickly,

517
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 1: give me your numbers on Washington, New York Falcons, Vikings, Bears, Panthers,

518
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 1: so Washington. I had this at plus one for Washington,

519
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,280
Speaker 1: like I just made them like it pretty much as

520
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 1: a pick. But I have it as if Alex Smith's playing,

521
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:55,320
Speaker 1: so like, that's why I don't feel great taking where

522
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 1: if if Kyle Allen's playing or even Haskins, I'd have

523
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 1: them at minus one. And the Falcons game, that's the

524
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:05,359
Speaker 1: thing we're not We're not getting the best of the

525
00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:07,800
Speaker 1: number because I had this set three. That's what I

526
00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:09,679
Speaker 1: thought this should just be. I thought, this is just

527
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:14,480
Speaker 1: like a classic home team minus three with Minnesota, because

528
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 1: we all know Minnesota's defense is suspect. And the tough

529
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 1: part with me doing these lines right now is that

530
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:28,280
Speaker 1: um so much changes from week to week with all

531
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:31,160
Speaker 1: these injuries we've been going through, like the Dak Prescott

532
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:34,640
Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook now is out for the Vikings. Like every

533
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,640
Speaker 1: week I've tried to been updating. It's been really hard

534
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:38,479
Speaker 1: because you're you're taking numbers of these players that are

535
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 1: filling in from you know, a year or two ago,

536
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:43,959
Speaker 1: where it depends on the season. So it's been definitely

537
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:51,919
Speaker 1: been tough with all the injuries, and then uh, there's Panthers.

538
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 1: I had a pick, just to straight up pick. I

539
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 1: think that the line they put up early was just

540
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:02,760
Speaker 1: because they assumed most people would be coming in on

541
00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:04,639
Speaker 1: the Panthers, just because they, like you said, they've been

542
00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 1: playing so well and it is shocking here the money

543
00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 1: is coming on the Bears. I'm happy to ride the

544
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 1: sharp So that's that's a good side to be on.

545
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:17,439
Speaker 1: We got the Browns visiting the Steelers plus three and

546
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 1: a half. This is a burn burner of brain twisting enigma.

547
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,200
Speaker 1: The Steelers have not looked good. The Browns have won

548
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:33,280
Speaker 1: four in a row. Am I right to think? I

549
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 1: like getting the hook? Yeah, you're stepping in it. That's

550
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,680
Speaker 1: why it feels like a huge trap. As someone that's

551
00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 1: back the Browns now for I feel like it's like

552
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:47,160
Speaker 1: three or four weeks like you just said, and these

553
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 1: other weeks we're going to get value on the Browns

554
00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 1: because people still were unsure about them, so we kept

555
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 1: getting the best of the number. And I think here

556
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 1: the way the Pittsburgh matches up against the Browns, I

557
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 1: think it's gonna catch up to the Browns. I think

558
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 1: we're gonna see you on those classic Baker games. Because

559
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh defense played like crap against the Eagles, and I

560
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,120
Speaker 1: think this will be a big rebound game for Pittsburgh's defense.

561
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:12,760
Speaker 1: So I'm fine with taking Pittsburgh minus three and a

562
00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 1: half minus four. Um, I would wait on that line

563
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 1: because I do think the public will keep coming on

564
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:21,760
Speaker 1: the Browns and I'll get down to three. Well, what

565
00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:25,720
Speaker 1: I'm saying is you're saying you want to take Pittsburgh.

566
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:27,520
Speaker 1: I was thinking him, I want to take the Browns.

567
00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 1: I know that's what I'm saying. You're stepping in it,

568
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:31,640
Speaker 1: thinking they're doing you a little favor giving you the

569
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 1: three and a half of the hook. I think it's

570
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 1: a little trap that you're saying. Oh, I see what

571
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:39,200
Speaker 1: you're saying. You're saying, wait and maybe take the Steelers

572
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:42,520
Speaker 1: at three. Yeah, I like the Steeler side, all right,

573
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,440
Speaker 1: I don't. We're not taking this game for the for

574
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 1: the contest. This feels by the way, cut to Sunday morning. Am,

575
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:57,760
Speaker 1: We've got the Browns. We've got the Browns like plus

576
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 1: two and a half. That interesting, That is exactly what's

577
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:06,200
Speaker 1: gonna happen. Uh Cincinnati visiting Indie Joe Burrow going to

578
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:09,200
Speaker 1: visit Philip Rivers, the old man and the young man.

579
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 1: The Bengals are eight point dogs, getting a lot of

580
00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 1: money against this cold steam that has just not looked

581
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 1: very good. Yeah, tough spot for Joe you just got

582
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,520
Speaker 1: when you got the crackticked out of him in Baltimore.

583
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 1: Now I've got to go to a cold steam who

584
00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:28,960
Speaker 1: there if their defense gets healthy, if Leonard's back and

585
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 1: they're all firing, they might kill him again. That old

586
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 1: line won't be able to block this colds front. So

587
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 1: I can see why the public is coming in earlier here.

588
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 1: They think it's a good bounce back spot for Joe

589
00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:43,760
Speaker 1: and it's a lot of points for Philip Rivers to

590
00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 1: be laying. So yeah, I wouldn't put this in the competition,

591
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:48,720
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna I'm gonna take the cold side in

592
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 1: this one. You are you know what? I feel that too.

593
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:55,160
Speaker 1: It's a big but I feel it. I feel like

594
00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 1: I feel like a week ago this might have been

595
00:30:57,400 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 1: ten or like you say, they covered last week the Bengals,

596
00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 1: this this might have dropped all the way down to seven,

597
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 1: especially after the way the Colts played last week. Because

598
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,000
Speaker 1: we talked last week, we went into fade Rivers because

599
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 1: we were saying, this guy's do for a crap game.

600
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 1: We know he's not as good as the record indicates.

601
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,719
Speaker 1: And this is more of a play on the Colts

602
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:23,160
Speaker 1: defense that Frank Reich. He's good off the loss um

603
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:27,440
Speaker 1: the Bengals, the way their old line is shaped, they

604
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 1: can just get beat really easy by good ed rogishers.

605
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 1: And I'm with you this is this is a big number,

606
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 1: but I'm cool with taking a hum team like like

607
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:41,640
Speaker 1: the Colts. Here mindus eight, just making a note, I'm

608
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:43,920
Speaker 1: just writing it down. Can you guys hear the rain

609
00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:47,360
Speaker 1: pounding against my window? It is I don't know what

610
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 1: it's like in in South Jersey for you, Simon, but

611
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:55,680
Speaker 1: it is ugly and rain here in central Connecticut. You know,

612
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:57,840
Speaker 1: the kind of rain that would make you rethink everything

613
00:31:57,880 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 1: about what you want to bet on a Sunday morning.

614
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:06,360
Speaker 1: Ravens seven and a half point road favorites at Philadelphia.

615
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 1: Oh God, here I am again. I don't want to

616
00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:12,239
Speaker 1: do it. I mean, of course, you gotta take the

617
00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:15,560
Speaker 1: Eagles seven and a half home dog should have covered

618
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:19,520
Speaker 1: last week. They didn't. The Ravens just blew, just destroyed

619
00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 1: a team in their own division at home, but I

620
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:26,000
Speaker 1: can't do it. It's the Ravens beat up bad teams.

621
00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:28,480
Speaker 1: As an Eagles fan, we have no doubt we're a

622
00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: bad team. We have a really good d line. I

623
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:33,200
Speaker 1: still think Went is a good quarterback. We have no

624
00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 1: offensive line. We we we are the worst linebacking team

625
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:41,719
Speaker 1: in the NFL. Without a doubt. I as an Eagles fan,

626
00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:43,880
Speaker 1: we this is the worst linebacking corps I've ever had

627
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 1: in my entire life. And every like my numbers are

628
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:50,200
Speaker 1: telling me I should take the Eagles. I have this

629
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 1: at six, and being a professional, this is a spot

630
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 1: you take the Eagles. But I can't do it. I

631
00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:00,280
Speaker 1: can't put the competition here. I'm gonna probably end up

632
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 1: on the Ravens. But I don't like it that it's

633
00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 1: seven and a half. It's really it's really a good

634
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 1: number that Vegas put up. It's a great number that

635
00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:14,560
Speaker 1: will entice everybody. And I'm just disappointed that, like, you know,

636
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 1: you're getting two points of value here and you're letting

637
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:20,800
Speaker 1: a motion get in the way. I am, but there's

638
00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:22,920
Speaker 1: times where I gotta fade in my computer because it's

639
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 1: like it doesn't get it. It doesn't get the human

640
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:29,080
Speaker 1: element of the game. It's just data and it's just numbers.

641
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:32,360
Speaker 1: But I'm with you, like, this is the smart place

642
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,520
Speaker 1: the Eagles here, But I just don't want to stand

643
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 1: in front of the Ravens train. You can run on

644
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:39,160
Speaker 1: the Eagles and that's all the Ravens do, So it

645
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:42,160
Speaker 1: just feels like a bad, bad spot for the Eagles. Simon,

646
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:47,640
Speaker 1: this is the bet your balls pick of the week. There,

647
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 1: You're insane. That is true, my friend, But I feel like, listen,

648
00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 1: maybe we're not going to put it in the competition.

649
00:33:56,840 --> 00:34:00,480
Speaker 1: I can guarantee you I will be on the Eagles

650
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:04,280
Speaker 1: come Sunday. You know why because the money right now

651
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:06,640
Speaker 1: is coming in on the Ravens. So this number is

652
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:08,839
Speaker 1: gonna go up, and the bets are going to come

653
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:10,759
Speaker 1: in on the Ravens because everyone has been watching the

654
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,720
Speaker 1: Ravens blow everybody out except for the Chiefs, the Eagles

655
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:18,080
Speaker 1: struggling every single time there's a big game. By Sunday,

656
00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:21,120
Speaker 1: I can guarantee you the percentage of bets on the

657
00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:24,600
Speaker 1: Ravens as a road favorite will be north of if

658
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:26,719
Speaker 1: you are getting north of eight percent of the money

659
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:29,919
Speaker 1: as a road favorite, especially a big road favorite, which

660
00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:33,480
Speaker 1: meaning the bets are coming in on the Eagles, on

661
00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 1: the whole team. That is an automatic play for me.

662
00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:37,759
Speaker 1: I don't care how bad they are. I don't care

663
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:39,920
Speaker 1: what I've seen. This is what I'm talking about. We

664
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 1: are letting what we're seeing get in the way of

665
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:46,080
Speaker 1: your computer. And now it's saying I don't want to

666
00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:49,759
Speaker 1: fade my computer. I don't want to I I I

667
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:53,279
Speaker 1: am not going to fade your computer. And I would

668
00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:56,279
Speaker 1: be with you in a normal year that wasn't COVID you.

669
00:34:56,520 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 1: Everything you just said is so true. But like I

670
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 1: keep trying to talk to the shows, those numbers you

671
00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:04,600
Speaker 1: can't really go off. Like last week we were on

672
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 1: the Cardinals. They're probably getting like nine of the money

673
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:10,320
Speaker 1: on the road. Against the Jets they covered by two touchdowns.

674
00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 1: So it's like I'm with you, and like I'm gonna

675
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:16,160
Speaker 1: be betting the Eagles. That's what I'm saying. I'm betting

676
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 1: the Eagles, um, and I hate myself for it, But

677
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:22,200
Speaker 1: to anyone listening out there, I would just take the Ravens.

678
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:23,879
Speaker 1: So you're not like me and Chad. You're not gonna

679
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:30,640
Speaker 1: be miserable. And some days it's a tough signing misery

680
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:34,240
Speaker 1: loves company. You laid it out for me. There's nothing

681
00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:36,319
Speaker 1: else needs to be. All right, let's go to the

682
00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 1: last of our are the last of our early games

683
00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:42,360
Speaker 1: or last of our one PM games? Um, one of

684
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:46,239
Speaker 1: these crazy scheduling quirks. We've got the Broncos and the

685
00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:51,600
Speaker 1: Patriots Patriots eight and a half. Uh, Patriots part of

686
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:58,319
Speaker 1: part of this sort of COVID indecision rescheduling quirkiness. What

687
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 1: do you think here? This is? This is huge for

688
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:04,440
Speaker 1: the Patriots that they might be able to get all

689
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:06,880
Speaker 1: these guys back off COVID before this game, Like they

690
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:08,320
Speaker 1: might be able to get Cam back, they might be

691
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 1: able to get killed Gilmore back. And if this is

692
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:14,360
Speaker 1: in our competition at this line and Drew Lock is

693
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:16,840
Speaker 1: still out, this is waly an automatic way from me.

694
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 1: The Patriots, they just got blown out on the road.

695
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:23,840
Speaker 1: They've had I mean it feels like a month but

696
00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:26,080
Speaker 1: a week to prepare now an extra week to prepare

697
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:30,480
Speaker 1: for this team. Uh. This will be a big public

698
00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:33,520
Speaker 1: bet with the Patriots, but I'm gonna back Belichick here.

699
00:36:33,520 --> 00:36:37,759
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take them as well. Yeah, I don't care

700
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:40,120
Speaker 1: that it's public. I like the Patriots in this spot.

701
00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 1: And I've never been afraid of backing the Patriots is

702
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,360
Speaker 1: big favorites. And that's also, by the way, something I

703
00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:47,320
Speaker 1: think that has been getting in my head, like backing

704
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:49,480
Speaker 1: big favorites all of a sudden became so in vogue

705
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:58,839
Speaker 1: that like I started losing my principles again. It's tough

706
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:02,040
Speaker 1: for that. If this game is played, we're taking the paths.

707
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:06,000
Speaker 1: That's all the rest to it. I'm all right, let's

708
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:07,799
Speaker 1: go on, let's go onto the lake games. We got

709
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:12,799
Speaker 1: a Jets Dolphins game. Uh, it looks like this game

710
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:15,000
Speaker 1: is a four or five game. What do we see

711
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 1: in the Dolphins are eight point favorites. What kind of

712
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:21,719
Speaker 1: world are we living in where the Miami Dolphins are

713
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:24,319
Speaker 1: suddenly eight point favorites. We are living in a world

714
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:27,080
Speaker 1: where the New York Jets, for some reason, still have

715
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:30,680
Speaker 1: their head coach even though, uh, their quarterback is clearly

716
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 1: a flame out and isn't really playing. And what did

717
00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:38,440
Speaker 1: what did I text you on Sunday? Well, you want

718
00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:40,440
Speaker 1: to take the Cardinals out? You said you like your

719
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:43,719
Speaker 1: numbers like this, And all I said back was Joe Flacco,

720
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 1: Joe fucking Flacca. And it's another one of those if

721
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 1: he's playing against for the Jets here, I'm more than

722
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:53,319
Speaker 1: happy to take this number for the Dolphins. I know

723
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:58,279
Speaker 1: it's a divisional game and it's a huge number, but

724
00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:01,319
Speaker 1: that that's how much of a downgrade I really think

725
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:03,400
Speaker 1: Flacco is. I just do not think that man should

726
00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 1: be playing the NFL anymore. And the Jets if if

727
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 1: they get Donald back, I don't hate it. I wouldn't

728
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:14,759
Speaker 1: put the competition because I just don't want to back

729
00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:17,879
Speaker 1: the Jets. But like we always keep saying that there's

730
00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 1: no teams going own sixteen against the spread, eventually Vegas

731
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:23,319
Speaker 1: is gonna make this line so high that they're gonna

732
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:26,480
Speaker 1: catch up and cover a couple of these games. So

733
00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:28,839
Speaker 1: if you're taking the Dolphins here, you're taking them after

734
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:32,879
Speaker 1: an incredible game like the one of the It could

735
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:34,880
Speaker 1: people end up playing on the biggest flute games of

736
00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:38,879
Speaker 1: the year where they literally dominated the forty nine yars

737
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:41,600
Speaker 1: by like thirty thirty points or twenty four points, just

738
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 1: absolutely destroyed them. So I don't like taking the Dolphins here,

739
00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,399
Speaker 1: but I would take them if it's Flacco again, because

740
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 1: I'm just I'm just gonna keep fading Flacco as long

741
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:54,440
Speaker 1: as he's the starter. Yeah, I can't argue with you, Like,

742
00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 1: and you said that the other day and I totally

743
00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:57,960
Speaker 1: didn't listen to you. And we probably should have put

744
00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:00,440
Speaker 1: the Cardinals in instead of you know, since a Natty

745
00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 1: but uh or the Eagles. That was just the Eagle.

746
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:09,880
Speaker 1: I can't even talk about it. Um, alright, So all right,

747
00:39:09,920 --> 00:39:11,239
Speaker 1: we'll keep them on the list. We'll keep them on

748
00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:13,560
Speaker 1: the list. I love Miami. I love Brian Flores as

749
00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:16,120
Speaker 1: a coach. I think they play really hard. You've seen

750
00:39:16,160 --> 00:39:18,319
Speaker 1: the effort week to week. Like they are a team

751
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 1: that gets better. They are a to a playmaker away

752
00:39:23,280 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 1: from becoming a legit playoff contender. Like obviously they're not

753
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,799
Speaker 1: gonna get there with Fitzpatrick, but um they are. They

754
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:34,319
Speaker 1: are a playmaker away from becoming a seriously dangerous team.

755
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 1: All right, now, we got a good one late Sunday afternoon,

756
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:42,879
Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers one and a half point dogs on

757
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:46,279
Speaker 1: the road at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I feel like

758
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 1: this is where we finally get a chance to see

759
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:50,759
Speaker 1: like who's for real? Right? Are the Bucks for real?

760
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:53,600
Speaker 1: Is Tom Brady the guy who through five touchdowns against

761
00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:56,000
Speaker 1: the Chargers? Is he the guy who forgot it was

762
00:39:56,080 --> 00:39:59,240
Speaker 1: forthdown against the Bears. Is Aaron Rodgers going in against

763
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:02,320
Speaker 1: the defense that is finally good that he doesn't automatically

764
00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 1: get to light up like you had earlier in the year.

765
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:11,279
Speaker 1: Your take, Simon Hunter, This this is definitely one of

766
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 1: those you put your balls on the table games. The

767
00:40:15,560 --> 00:40:18,200
Speaker 1: whole public will be coming in on the Packers here,

768
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:24,040
Speaker 1: especially the bets on the Packers right now. Easy bet

769
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 1: on the bucks here. I know people are going to

770
00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 1: wait and see what the deal is with the receivers.

771
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:33,600
Speaker 1: But like you were just talking, these these big road favorites,

772
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:35,600
Speaker 1: especially when they have a lot of the public money

773
00:40:35,600 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 1: on them, weird stuff is just gonna happen. And what

774
00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:41,879
Speaker 1: the way I'm looking at is that you just made

775
00:40:41,880 --> 00:40:45,560
Speaker 1: a joke and made fun of Tom Brady, which you

776
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:47,440
Speaker 1: don't think Tom Brady's here and that stuff. The guy

777
00:40:47,520 --> 00:40:52,720
Speaker 1: is on Twitter posting memes of himself. So I really

778
00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:57,200
Speaker 1: really like the bucking years here, and I'm hoping this

779
00:40:57,239 --> 00:40:59,719
Speaker 1: gets up to plus three with the Bucketeer, especially if

780
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:01,360
Speaker 1: the but keeps coming in, It's up to two and

781
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 1: a half of some books. Don't don't overthink this one.

782
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:06,600
Speaker 1: This is the same where the Chiefs, like these teams

783
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:09,160
Speaker 1: just lose random games throughout the year. No, no team's

784
00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:12,960
Speaker 1: going sixteen and o fourteen and two, Like it's it's rare.

785
00:41:13,040 --> 00:41:15,280
Speaker 1: We're more than one team can go better than thirteen

786
00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:18,799
Speaker 1: and three. So I like this for a letdown spot

787
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:21,279
Speaker 1: for the Packers. I'm gonna back the Buccaneers here. I

788
00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:23,919
Speaker 1: love it. I agree with you. I'm moving our bet

789
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:26,279
Speaker 1: your Balls of the Week pick from the Eagles to

790
00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:32,520
Speaker 1: the box A reminder A reminder review the podcast using

791
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,560
Speaker 1: the phrase, Simon says, we need to communicate, and I

792
00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:36,560
Speaker 1: would say, I think we're communicating much better. And I

793
00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:39,239
Speaker 1: think we've opened a dialogue that on Sunday morning is

794
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:41,759
Speaker 1: going to make this really really valuable. If we like

795
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:43,759
Speaker 1: your review, we will randomly choose it. You will win

796
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:46,839
Speaker 1: a free Action Network hoodie. Here's the thing. We need

797
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:49,920
Speaker 1: to figure out better timing on Sunday morning, because, uh,

798
00:41:50,160 --> 00:41:53,919
Speaker 1: we do an Action Network live pregame show that goes

799
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:57,600
Speaker 1: on at eleven, and we usually from ten to eleven. Like,

800
00:41:57,680 --> 00:41:59,799
Speaker 1: everybody's on the show. It's me, it's Chris Raybond, it's

801
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,160
Speaker 1: Matt Free Minutes, John Corner, it's Katie Rich creaky stan

802
00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 1: ravel from ten to eleven. We're normally like working on

803
00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:09,080
Speaker 1: last minute notes and you know, getting in our seats

804
00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 1: and sort of setting up we need to set up

805
00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:13,160
Speaker 1: to do this technically, and so like in that last

806
00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 1: ten minutes before UM I go up to like get ready.

807
00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:22,320
Speaker 1: In my office, I'm usually at my desk like pounding

808
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 1: away on last minute notes, you know, talking to my

809
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 1: team talking about all these different things, and your text

810
00:42:29,200 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 1: comes in and sometimes like I like miss the screen

811
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,160
Speaker 1: grab and like I can't see all the buttons on

812
00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:38,560
Speaker 1: it because my eyes are so bad. So I didn't

813
00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 1: even realize we had Cincinnati and Seattle until it was

814
00:42:42,680 --> 00:42:45,719
Speaker 1: I think we need to have a conversation earlier. Yeah,

815
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:48,200
Speaker 1: I mean it's stuff like I wake up Sunday morning,

816
00:42:48,239 --> 00:42:52,279
Speaker 1: I go swimming in my pile of money, get out,

817
00:42:52,400 --> 00:42:54,960
Speaker 1: I Hoppen on Ferrari and just driving circles, and then

818
00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:57,640
Speaker 1: I get back inside and have a cappuccino. I text Chad,

819
00:42:58,080 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 1: who cares about these picks? No, man, I'm with you.

820
00:43:01,080 --> 00:43:04,440
Speaker 1: It's like I'll have our picks in on Saturday, like

821
00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:06,360
Speaker 1: the picks I had it on Saturday. I took a screenshot.

822
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 1: We're five and oh and then I woke up Sunday

823
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 1: and like the weather and report came in, I was

824
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:16,319
Speaker 1: just overthinking everything. So I'm with you, I uh, we

825
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:18,839
Speaker 1: gotta talk on Saturday. Like earlier the year, we were

826
00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:22,160
Speaker 1: talking on Saturday, we were feeling pretty good and like

827
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:25,360
Speaker 1: we gotta talk on Saturday. Then we just gotta confirm

828
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:28,840
Speaker 1: on Sunday. I'm with you. Yeah, I'm not gonna do

829
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 1: I won't do anymore Sunday switching because, like like you said,

830
00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:35,600
Speaker 1: it's just we're thinking clear and then we overthink it

831
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:38,400
Speaker 1: when it comes crunched on that. There's no point of

832
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:40,880
Speaker 1: of doing that. All right, We're betting our balls on

833
00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:48,319
Speaker 1: the Bucks B B B Big Baller Brand Rams three

834
00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:51,640
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites on the road at the

835
00:43:51,719 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 1: Niners Sunday night, all the money, all the bets coming

836
00:43:56,640 --> 00:43:59,640
Speaker 1: in on the Rams. This is where you bet the Niners.

837
00:44:00,360 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 1: I would agree with you if I feel like we're

838
00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:05,160
Speaker 1: due for a chalk Sunday night win. We've had it

839
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:08,400
Speaker 1: feels like we've had three or four straight dog covers

840
00:44:08,480 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 1: and some outright wins on Sunday Night. I don't like

841
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:14,480
Speaker 1: this number. Like in my in my system, I had

842
00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:17,680
Speaker 1: this at minus five for the Rams, And it makes

843
00:44:17,719 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 1: me a little weird because the Rams are coming off

844
00:44:19,640 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 1: a big road wind coming back to the West Coast

845
00:44:22,680 --> 00:44:24,520
Speaker 1: and the forty Niners just got blown out of the home.

846
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:28,439
Speaker 1: But we said it last week, the forty Niners haven't

847
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:31,440
Speaker 1: one or covered at home yet, Like do we want

848
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,480
Speaker 1: to step in front of that train? Like I know

849
00:44:33,560 --> 00:44:35,359
Speaker 1: they're due to win one or cover one at home,

850
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:37,719
Speaker 1: but I don't like it. I don't want to take

851
00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:39,239
Speaker 1: san f Ani. I'm probably gonna end up on the

852
00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:43,560
Speaker 1: rams with the public. Is Kyle Shanahan the next day

853
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:45,360
Speaker 1: and Quinn two years from now? Are we having the

854
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:49,160
Speaker 1: same conversation? No, no, no, no, they're just they've they've

855
00:44:49,160 --> 00:44:51,800
Speaker 1: had the injury bug and it's the super Bowl hangover.

856
00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 1: Like we talked, it's just the way it is now.

857
00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:56,880
Speaker 1: Teams aren't the Patriots The year after the Super Bowl,

858
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:59,080
Speaker 1: they just don't play as well. We're also seeting with

859
00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:02,200
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. They they should have lost the Chargers, and

860
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:04,000
Speaker 1: I think they should have lost the Patriots and then

861
00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:07,040
Speaker 1: they would have lost Oakland. So it's a real thing.

862
00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:08,879
Speaker 1: You win the Super Bowl, you come in the next year,

863
00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:10,960
Speaker 1: things are just different. The teams are different. It's just

864
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:13,719
Speaker 1: a weird feeling for these teams where I think they

865
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:15,759
Speaker 1: put too much of themselves in too much pressure. Like

866
00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:19,480
Speaker 1: that Jimmy g game he was fishing. He looked like

867
00:45:20,680 --> 00:45:22,719
Speaker 1: every time he was dropping back the throat he was

868
00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:24,960
Speaker 1: just trying to make the big play into double coverage

869
00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:28,560
Speaker 1: and it was getting picked off. It was just I'm

870
00:45:28,560 --> 00:45:30,359
Speaker 1: with you that, like most like this is a good

871
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:33,920
Speaker 1: bounceback spot for the forty, but I cannot. I cannot

872
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:39,359
Speaker 1: back this team right now. Alright, Monday night makeup game. Uh,

873
00:45:39,560 --> 00:45:42,240
Speaker 1: Bills and Chiefs. It's a weird one to talk about

874
00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:44,719
Speaker 1: given the Bills plan tonight. We just don't know enough.

875
00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:46,520
Speaker 1: So the numbers are kind of all over the place.

876
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:49,520
Speaker 1: Maybe the Chiefs are three, three and a half four

877
00:45:49,520 --> 00:45:53,399
Speaker 1: point favorites, depending on where you look. Um, I don't

878
00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 1: know that we can accurately assess this game until we

879
00:45:57,280 --> 00:46:01,160
Speaker 1: see what happens tonight. Yeah, yeah, I mean it depends

880
00:46:01,200 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 1: where you're thinking going in. If like you think the

881
00:46:03,080 --> 00:46:05,520
Speaker 1: Bills are gonna win tonight, and even if they don't cover,

882
00:46:05,719 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 1: I don't see much movement in this line. But if

883
00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,960
Speaker 1: the Bills would lose and straight up to Tennessee tonight.

884
00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:14,719
Speaker 1: I could see this going up to like four and

885
00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:20,359
Speaker 1: a half five for the Chiefs, But You're right, it's hard.

886
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:23,880
Speaker 1: It's hard to say where I feel good back in

887
00:46:23,920 --> 00:46:26,080
Speaker 1: the Chiefs here because they're coming off such a bad

888
00:46:26,160 --> 00:46:29,200
Speaker 1: loss at home, and I could just see them coming

889
00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:33,040
Speaker 1: out for blood right as I'm I'm guessing the Bills

890
00:46:33,040 --> 00:46:35,960
Speaker 1: are gonna win tonight and they're gonna come up feeling

891
00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:38,279
Speaker 1: pretty good due for a loss in the year, Like

892
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:40,160
Speaker 1: they're gonna be five in oil at this point. So

893
00:46:41,200 --> 00:46:43,279
Speaker 1: I don't mind taking the Chiefs minds three and a half,

894
00:46:43,280 --> 00:46:44,960
Speaker 1: but I'm with you, I'll just wait on this and

895
00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:47,880
Speaker 1: win until after the game. Wait a second, Wait a second.

896
00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 1: When we started the podcast, you said you like the

897
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:53,960
Speaker 1: Titans to cover, but you think the Bills are gonna win,

898
00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:56,919
Speaker 1: Like so you think there's gonna be a really close game. Yeah,

899
00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:58,879
Speaker 1: I think that's what the Titans play. I think they're

900
00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:01,319
Speaker 1: like one of those teams are they just played up

901
00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:04,640
Speaker 1: to their competition or down to their competition. And Tannehill,

902
00:47:04,640 --> 00:47:06,839
Speaker 1: even if he's down by two touchdowns, he's gonna keep

903
00:47:06,880 --> 00:47:08,680
Speaker 1: chucking and they could come and back door game. So,

904
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:10,439
Speaker 1: like I said, I do like the three and a half,

905
00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:12,640
Speaker 1: but I'm I think the Bills are gonna win tonight.

906
00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:16,640
Speaker 1: I just think they're a better team. You're giving me

907
00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:19,160
Speaker 1: so much to think about, all right, Cardinals last game

908
00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 1: and last game of the slate. Uh, you know, knock

909
00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:25,600
Speaker 1: on wood that everyone gets to play. Cardinals visiting Dallas

910
00:47:25,640 --> 00:47:29,600
Speaker 1: obviously a drastically different game. Kyler Murray's first every Monday

911
00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:32,799
Speaker 1: night football game. Cardinals big, sort of get healthy win

912
00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:35,080
Speaker 1: against the Jets this past week on the road again

913
00:47:35,120 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 1: against Dallas two and a half point favorites Andy Dalton

914
00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:43,880
Speaker 1: and the Cowboys. I don't know that the adjustment because

915
00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:46,720
Speaker 1: like the Cowboys probably would have been three point favorites

916
00:47:46,760 --> 00:47:48,560
Speaker 1: at home, so we're talking about five and a half points.

917
00:47:48,920 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 1: Is Dak Prescott worth five and a half points? Is

918
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:52,840
Speaker 1: that what you think this adjustment is? Where would you

919
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:56,960
Speaker 1: have this right now? I just think it's a good number.

920
00:47:57,239 --> 00:47:59,439
Speaker 1: I had Dallas a plus two, so it's like two

921
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:01,360
Speaker 1: and a half three right now. It's a pretty good number.

922
00:48:02,680 --> 00:48:06,359
Speaker 1: My whole thinking here is that Dalton, we know he's

923
00:48:06,360 --> 00:48:08,520
Speaker 1: not that bad of a quarterback. He's not very good,

924
00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:10,799
Speaker 1: but when he had weapons around him, he made the

925
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:13,239
Speaker 1: Bang was a playoff team year in and and year out

926
00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:17,399
Speaker 1: when he had good weapons around him. So what we've

927
00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:20,000
Speaker 1: seen from the Cordinals, they can't run the ball, and

928
00:48:20,160 --> 00:48:22,920
Speaker 1: it doesn't seem like their defense can get consistent stops

929
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:27,040
Speaker 1: on third down. And I know how bad the Cowboys defenses,

930
00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:28,480
Speaker 1: so I know they're gonna give up a bunch of

931
00:48:28,480 --> 00:48:31,799
Speaker 1: plays and this will be a big sweat as a

932
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 1: Cowboy backer. But I have to take the Cowboys tore

933
00:48:35,680 --> 00:48:39,319
Speaker 1: especially the game, the first start for Dalton and the

934
00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:42,120
Speaker 1: game after like a week after this whole injury with Doc.

935
00:48:42,200 --> 00:48:43,920
Speaker 1: It just seems like it's the kind of game that

936
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:48,000
Speaker 1: the Cowboys are gonna win. And the Cardinals after a

937
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:51,040
Speaker 1: win a win last week, I could see them letting

938
00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:54,440
Speaker 1: down here on Monday night. Well, I agree with you.

939
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:56,560
Speaker 1: I actually feel like the numbers too big. I mean,

940
00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:58,720
Speaker 1: you're making it too you're making it two and a half. Whatever.

941
00:48:59,080 --> 00:49:01,120
Speaker 1: I think the Cowboys are totally the right side here.

942
00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:06,920
Speaker 1: But here's our dilemma. So right now I have start

943
00:49:07,040 --> 00:49:11,480
Speaker 1: of the games we like, Uh, you like Washington. I

944
00:49:11,560 --> 00:49:13,319
Speaker 1: like Washington on the money line, but we're not going

945
00:49:13,400 --> 00:49:15,400
Speaker 1: to put that one in the contest. I think we

946
00:49:15,480 --> 00:49:17,600
Speaker 1: both like the Falcons for the contest. I think we

947
00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:21,120
Speaker 1: both like the Bears for the contest. Colts and Eagles

948
00:49:21,120 --> 00:49:23,040
Speaker 1: are two teams were probably gonna bet. But I don't

949
00:49:23,080 --> 00:49:26,400
Speaker 1: think we like him for the contest. Pats we love

950
00:49:27,040 --> 00:49:31,000
Speaker 1: for the contest. The fans will talk if if Flacco

951
00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:36,920
Speaker 1: plays Miami against the Jets. Uh, the Buccaneers we love.

952
00:49:37,560 --> 00:49:40,520
Speaker 1: We want to marry the Buccaneers. Um. Right now it's

953
00:49:40,520 --> 00:49:42,239
Speaker 1: plus one and a half against the Packers. We're hoping

954
00:49:42,239 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 1: against the plus three. You like the Rams his favorites

955
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:47,520
Speaker 1: on the road on Sunday Night, and we both like

956
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:50,160
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. Are the Cowboys are fifth entry right now

957
00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:53,680
Speaker 1: we're missing one team. Yeah, I would lock them in.

958
00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:57,600
Speaker 1: And as all the fans are told us, told me

959
00:49:57,640 --> 00:50:00,359
Speaker 1: NonStop on social media, we forgot to ride ever pick

960
00:50:00,480 --> 00:50:04,479
Speaker 1: last week, so we have to do survivor pick. So

961
00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:07,680
Speaker 1: we dodged, we dodged bullets last week. We kept it

962
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:09,959
Speaker 1: simple like I put it out to a Twitter poll

963
00:50:10,000 --> 00:50:12,360
Speaker 1: and people voted. The Cardinals were overwhelming voted, and I

964
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:15,080
Speaker 1: like that side too. As we talked Fade and Joe Flacco.

965
00:50:16,920 --> 00:50:21,600
Speaker 1: So this is a funny week where it's gonna be

966
00:50:21,600 --> 00:50:23,680
Speaker 1: a little bit of game theory, buddy. It's like, what

967
00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:24,880
Speaker 1: do you want to do here? Do we want to

968
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:26,560
Speaker 1: just get rid of the Colts and playing against the

969
00:50:26,640 --> 00:50:30,279
Speaker 1: rookie here after a bad loss, or do we just

970
00:50:30,280 --> 00:50:32,759
Speaker 1: want to keep riding fade the Jets and take the Dolphins,

971
00:50:32,800 --> 00:50:35,000
Speaker 1: Like this might be the only time for sure we

972
00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:39,359
Speaker 1: can play the Dolphins all year. So maybe you can

973
00:50:39,360 --> 00:50:41,000
Speaker 1: put a poll out, or I'll put a poll on Twitter.

974
00:50:41,200 --> 00:50:43,759
Speaker 1: We're gonna go in between the Dolphs, the Dolphins, and

975
00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:46,399
Speaker 1: the cold stuff. I could see the Colts losing where

976
00:50:46,400 --> 00:50:48,239
Speaker 1: I can't see the Dolphins losing this game. So I

977
00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:50,359
Speaker 1: do feel better about the Dolphins, all right, So why

978
00:50:50,360 --> 00:50:52,200
Speaker 1: don't you put the poll out and then we can

979
00:50:52,239 --> 00:50:54,319
Speaker 1: decide whether people vote for the Dolphins of the cult.

980
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:56,440
Speaker 1: Either way, we can decide on the Dolphins, and I

981
00:50:56,440 --> 00:50:59,799
Speaker 1: will retweet you when the poll comes out. Yeah that works.

982
00:50:59,800 --> 00:51:03,840
Speaker 1: So basically, we got unlucky. If the Cowboys would have

983
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:05,879
Speaker 1: lost that game last week, we would have been down

984
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 1: to like ten thousand people in our day competition. It

985
00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:12,279
Speaker 1: was like overwhelming. It was like thirty of the people

986
00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 1: had taken the Cowboys. So we we got a decent

987
00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:17,400
Speaker 1: knocked out. A lot of people took same frame, A

988
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:20,480
Speaker 1: decent amount of people took the chief, so we do

989
00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:22,960
Speaker 1: need one. We do need some of these big dogs

990
00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:25,239
Speaker 1: to keep getting these upsets as we go along here,

991
00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:28,440
Speaker 1: because the smaller this the group gets just go through

992
00:51:28,440 --> 00:51:30,600
Speaker 1: the roof to make it to the final hundred. That's

993
00:51:30,640 --> 00:51:36,279
Speaker 1: what'll probably end up with. We are survivors. I'm a survivor,

994
00:51:37,600 --> 00:51:40,279
Speaker 1: alright to recap our picks right now that we're going with.

995
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:42,400
Speaker 1: And by the way, we're much smarter on Tuesday than

996
00:51:42,440 --> 00:51:49,879
Speaker 1: we are on Sunday morning. Capkins, Bears, Pats Bucks, Cowboys, Um,

997
00:51:50,920 --> 00:51:56,920
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, guess what it's time to reward our favorite

998
00:51:56,960 --> 00:51:59,920
Speaker 1: review last week? As we do every week, we have

999
00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:02,319
Speaker 1: fans to rate and review the podcast. Those who did

1000
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:04,640
Speaker 1: and use the winning phrase in the review were eligible

1001
00:52:04,680 --> 00:52:07,319
Speaker 1: to win a free action network. Could he loads and

1002
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:10,160
Speaker 1: loads of reviews and a second We will reveal the

1003
00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:14,520
Speaker 1: winner first, Remember we are doing another phrase that pays contest.

1004
00:52:14,600 --> 00:52:18,120
Speaker 1: Go rate and review the podcast using the phrase. Simon says,

1005
00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:21,120
Speaker 1: we need to communicate and we will randomly choose the

1006
00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:23,319
Speaker 1: winner to get a free action network. Could he the

1007
00:52:23,360 --> 00:52:27,439
Speaker 1: winner of last week's contest? Winning that Action Network. Could

1008
00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:33,120
Speaker 1: he is Mike Houston quote, Simon says, I'm sorry, but

1009
00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:36,040
Speaker 1: I am the sorry one. Sorry for having just found

1010
00:52:36,040 --> 00:52:39,960
Speaker 1: this podcast, Sorry for having missed your undefeated start to

1011
00:52:39,960 --> 00:52:43,880
Speaker 1: the season. Sorry to have scoffed at value plays and

1012
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:48,000
Speaker 1: short home dogs and fading the Jets into oblivion. I

1013
00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:51,840
Speaker 1: was lost, but this podcast found me. I was blind,

1014
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:57,040
Speaker 1: but this podcast helped me see again. Wow, that was

1015
00:52:57,040 --> 00:52:59,920
Speaker 1: actually pretty amazing. We didn't know the theme of the

1016
00:53:00,000 --> 00:53:05,840
Speaker 1: podcast was going to be vulnerability principles like seeing clearly,

1017
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:10,080
Speaker 1: but I think Mike Houston sums it up alrighty For

1018
00:53:10,120 --> 00:53:12,319
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, I am Chad Milman. This has been the

1019
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:15,640
Speaker 1: favorite from the Action Network. Download from Apple, from Spotify,

1020
00:53:15,680 --> 00:53:19,560
Speaker 1: whatever you get your podcasts. Until next time, I love you.