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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 2: And the kicks Block the college football Laura.

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Speaker 3: Stunts, Oh my goodness, please.

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Speaker 2: Stumbled and bubble the lateral turn a car on the job.

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Speaker 3: Do you believe that I'm not the table up the

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Speaker 3: fail to night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the side of the gag in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the side of the fight in.

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Speaker 1: The What's up the general nation? Welcome to the.

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Speaker 3: Action Work Podcast and Week fourteen college football betting preview.

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Speaker 3: I'm stuck in with me as always as Colin Wilson.

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Speaker 3: You ready for some time? We got some action tonight,

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Speaker 3: some Thursday night lights. We'll get to later football all

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Speaker 3: day Friday Saturday, and we even have a kickoff for

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Speaker 3: those on the East Coast that starts on Sunday, that

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Speaker 3: twelve thirty kick between Army and Hawaii, which we'll get to.

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Speaker 3: What's going on, Colin?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't wait. We've got just a huge number

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Speaker 2: of days of football coming up, and we got some

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Speaker 2: major things to decide before we get to conference championships

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Speaker 2: and we don't know what kind of shakeup is going

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Speaker 2: to be to the college football playoffs. There's no telling

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Speaker 2: who's gonna get upset this weekend. Yep.

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Speaker 3: Well, there's two enormous games on Saturday, and in order

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Speaker 3: to ensure that we give both adequate amount of coverage,

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Speaker 3: let's we might as well just start there, and then

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Speaker 3: we'll go conference by conference. We'll update everyone on what's

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Speaker 3: going on to each conference and hit on a couple

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Speaker 3: of games that either we like or marquee games in

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Speaker 3: each conference. But from a timing perspective, let's go chronologically

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Speaker 3: on Saturday, and look, we say it every week. I

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Speaker 3: wish these games weren't at noon, but they are. And

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Speaker 3: speaking of timing, there's only one game one Friday night,

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Speaker 3: which is UCFUSF after I think seven o'clock, which is

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Speaker 3: kind of weak. But we have funny football all weekend.

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Speaker 3: But let's start with Ohio State Michigan. Michigan is a

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Speaker 3: nine and a half point underdog over under, sitting at

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Speaker 3: fifty one ish, down from an open of fifty two.

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Speaker 3: And look, this team is playing extremely good football. They

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Speaker 3: still struggle to run the ball a little bit, but

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Speaker 3: they're passing offense, their pass protection with their very experienced

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Speaker 3: offensive line playing very well, their defense is playing really well.

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Speaker 3: And look no further than what they've done against the market,

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Speaker 3: you know. I mean it really happens since that first

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Speaker 3: quarter of the Penn State game when they almost came

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Speaker 3: back more drop away from winning and they covered that game.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they've really held everybody to fourteen or fewer points. Now,

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Speaker 3: this is obviously a big step up in competition. Plus

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Speaker 3: Ohio State has owned this series. I mean, Ohio State

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Speaker 3: won sixty two to thirty nine last year in a

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Speaker 3: wild one. But they're fourteen and one the last fifteen meetings.

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Speaker 3: The only loss came with an interim coach. That includes

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Speaker 3: ten and five against the spread. The last time that

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Speaker 3: Michigan beat Ohio State by the way back in two

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Speaker 3: thousand and three, and that was to end Ohio States

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Speaker 3: almost sixteen years ago to the day, to end Ohio

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Speaker 3: State's chance at a repeat national title. It's been a

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Speaker 3: long time it's been dominated by Ohio State. Does Michigan

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Speaker 3: have a shot here and is there any value in

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Speaker 3: the number? What say you found?

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Speaker 2: Don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers, avoided like the Plague.

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Speaker 3: Let's check in with Botog Jim.

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Speaker 2: Well vote on. Jim desperately needs this win, especially in

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Speaker 2: this series. I mean, this is the rival game, and

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Speaker 2: this is what he judged upon. It'd be nice if

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Speaker 2: you'd make the college football playoff, that would help out

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Speaker 2: a little bit with his job position. But this game

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Speaker 2: really is the measuring stick, the thermostat for everything Wolverine

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Speaker 2: football revolves around this game. For me. The number I

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Speaker 2: said it at ten and a half when we came

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Speaker 2: out with the article on the Action Network on Sunday,

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Speaker 2: Circa opened this up. I believe it nine and a half,

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Speaker 2: And you know, I think that really was If they

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Speaker 2: would open it at ten and a half, they would

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Speaker 2: have taken all Michigan money, which probably eventually would have

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Speaker 2: got it to nine a half. So I think they

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Speaker 2: were kind of getting ahead of the steam that was

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Speaker 2: coming in right now. You can get anywhere between eight

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Speaker 2: and a half and nine and a half, but that's

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Speaker 2: not really what catches my attention. In this game, Penn

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Speaker 2: State was able to expose that sacrate that you and

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Speaker 2: I talked about a little bit, the one where Ohio

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Speaker 2: State we're ninety eighth and on the offensive line in

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Speaker 2: sacrate and Penn State was able to get three sacks,

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Speaker 2: plenty of hurries ten tackles for a loss. They were

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Speaker 2: all in the Buckey's backfield. Buck guys now have twenty

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Speaker 2: five sacks on the season. They average two point twenty

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Speaker 2: seven per game. That's eighty fourth in the country. Michigan

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Speaker 2: could do the same thing. Their top ten in sacrate.

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Speaker 2: Michigan is now top twenty five and rushing in passing

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Speaker 2: success rate. That is a far contrast and where they

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Speaker 2: started off with Middle Tennessee State, where they started off

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Speaker 2: with army beginning of the season. It's just been nothing

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Speaker 2: but spectacular since conference play started. JK. Dobbins should have

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Speaker 2: the success at least getting to the line of scrimmage

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Speaker 2: because Michigan's only seventy eighth and stuff rate and both teams,

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Speaker 2: like we said, the stats are just unbelievable. On the

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Speaker 2: defensive side, Michigan is eleventh and opponent third down conversion

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Speaker 2: Ohio State is eighteenth in special teams sp plus and

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Speaker 2: fourth and opponent red zone points per attempt. They're not

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Speaker 2: allowing any points when anybody gets down past the forty

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Speaker 2: or pass down the twenty and then you throw in

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Speaker 2: mother nature, whether it's sixty percent chance of rain, maybe

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Speaker 2: take away any of the aerial salts that Justin Fields

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Speaker 2: will have, or maybe shape Patterson and try to go

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Speaker 2: to the air. I took the under at fifty two

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Speaker 2: and a half, and that thing is steadily climbed down.

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Speaker 2: It is still moving down as you and I record

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Speaker 2: this at fifty and so I think the under is

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Speaker 2: the only way to play this.

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Speaker 3: I tend to agree with the under as well. I mean,

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Speaker 3: you know, we've talked about with Ohio State, once you

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Speaker 3: start to play these elite teams, what their two biggest

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Speaker 3: weaknesses are are they allow, you know, explosive runs, and

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Speaker 3: it's a lot of that is how their scheme and

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Speaker 3: how they play DP defense. Penn State's not really an

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Speaker 3: explosive running team. Neither is Michigan. That is not Michigan's

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Speaker 3: game at all. So I don't think Michigan can expose that.

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Speaker 3: But like you said, the sack rate they can Fields

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Speaker 3: tends to hold onto the ball a while, and I

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Speaker 3: think I would have to look at Michigan's it seems

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Speaker 3: like the market, myself, you everyone, we can't catch up

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Speaker 3: to how much better Michigan is playing over the last

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Speaker 3: month or so because they're just obliterating the closing line.

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Speaker 3: But like you said, with Dobbins, it's that defensive line

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Speaker 3: for Michigan. I still have questions about so Ohio State. Look,

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Speaker 3: Penn State coming into the into last week was the

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Speaker 3: number one rushing defense in the country, and Ohio State

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Speaker 3: in that game had a ton of success running the ball,

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Speaker 3: so you know, I mean, if you look back at

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Speaker 3: some of the sets, Dobbins at thirty six carries for

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Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty seven yards, so that's not, you know, crazy,

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Speaker 3: but enough success to sustain drives. And I value the

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Speaker 3: Penn State front seven more than the Michigan front seven.

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Speaker 3: So I do think they'll have They'll have we'll be

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Speaker 3: able to have some success running the ball. Also, you

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Speaker 3: saw Fields last week finally start to pull you know,

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Speaker 3: those Reid options, which he hasn't been doing all year,

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Speaker 3: so you know, his legs I think can be an

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Speaker 3: X factor two in keeping the chains moving. And then

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Speaker 3: when Ohio States on defense, Look, we don't talk enough

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Speaker 3: about this Ohio State defense. I think their offense might

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Speaker 3: be a tad overrated, but as a team, I don't

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Speaker 3: think that they are their special teams are really good,

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Speaker 3: and their defense is I think the best in the country.

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Speaker 3: I mean we always talk everyone talks about Chase Young,

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Speaker 3: and rightfully so. But without Chase Young, there are still

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Speaker 3: pros all over this defense and at every single level. Now,

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Speaker 3: they haven't had the hardest schedule, but they're allowing two

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Speaker 3: hundred and seventeen yards per game. You know, the last

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Speaker 3: time that someone allowed less than two hundred and fifty

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Speaker 3: yards per game in the season twenty eleven, Alabama one

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Speaker 3: of the best defenses ever. They allowed one hundred and

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Speaker 3: eighty three. There's ridiculous. Ohio States also allowing three point

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Speaker 3: five yards per play since twenty ten. Here's the list

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Speaker 3: of teams that have allowed under four yards per play

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Speaker 3: twenty eleven, Alabama three point three, twenty nineteen Ohio State

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Speaker 3: two point five, and twenty twelve Florida State three point nine. So,

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Speaker 3: I mean, this defense is really good, and I don't

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Speaker 3: think the Michigan run game can give them problems.

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Speaker 2: I agree.

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Speaker 3: I agree with you. I think it's under or nothing,

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Speaker 3: and with the way Michigan's playing, as long as they

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Speaker 3: don't get down early, they're gonna get a shot in

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Speaker 3: this game.

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Speaker 2: If you're gonna pick a pool, and you have to

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Speaker 2: have an absolute pick for this, because I mean, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna stick with the under here and ride this out.

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Speaker 2: But if you had to have a pick, I guess

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Speaker 2: you would take Michigan just because of the low possible

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Speaker 2: low number of points that could be scored here, which

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Speaker 2: would give value to the number. And right, we have

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Speaker 2: engaged it properly. We don't know how good this Michigan

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Speaker 2: defense is because we are our projection just can't catch

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Speaker 2: up with them.

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Speaker 3: And we'll have in depth preview on this game and

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Speaker 3: so many other games all week on the Action Network

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Speaker 3: app and Action Network dot Com. All right, let's move

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Speaker 3: on to the other big game, and that's at three thirty,

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Speaker 3: the three thirty CBS game. All eyes will be on

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Speaker 3: Alabama Auburn. And you know, after last week, Alabama's playoff

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Speaker 3: chances definitely got better with what happened to Oregon, who's

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Speaker 3: now out of it. And then Oregon, because they're now

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Speaker 3: out of it, will make a potential Utah win over them.

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Speaker 3: It'll look a little worse than it would have had Oregon,

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Speaker 3: you know, one out. So here's their chance their playoff

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Speaker 3: tryouts they are three and a half four point favorites.

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Speaker 3: This overunder is sitting at fifty. The last fifteen years,

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Speaker 3: Alabama's seven and eight against the spread, so it's been

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Speaker 3: fairly even against the spread. Alabama's won four to the

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Speaker 3: last five, but Auburn's actually won two of the last

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Speaker 3: three at home. Look the way I look at this game.

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Speaker 3: I told you last week, I make this game close

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Speaker 3: to a pick.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 3: I rate the difference between Tua and Mac Jones bigger

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Speaker 3: than almost everyone that I've seen Mac Jones. I'm tired

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Speaker 3: of people talking about Mac Jones's numbers. And first of all,

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Speaker 3: he has the best receiving core in the country, so

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Speaker 3: it helps. And you know, you or I could go

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Speaker 3: out there and put up some numbers. But he played

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Speaker 3: against Western Carolina, which is outside the top one hundred

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Speaker 3: in passing efficiency defense in FCS, and then his other

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Speaker 3: game was against Arkansas. This is a guy who's a

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Speaker 3: red shirt sophomore. He's obviously talented. He was going to

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Speaker 3: go to Kentucky he changed and went to Alabama. But

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Speaker 3: I mean he was the seventeenth eighteenth rated pro style

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Speaker 3: quarterback in twenty seventeen. This isn't a generational quarterback like

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Speaker 3: we have with Tua. But let's cool our jets on

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Speaker 3: Mac Jones. What I'm not ready to cool my jets

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Speaker 3: on is the Auburn defense. I mean this alburn defense.

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Speaker 3: And by the way, they've played top fifty offenses this

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Speaker 3: year and they've held him the nineteen points per game

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Speaker 3: on average played. Georgia held him the twenty one points

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Speaker 3: three point nine yards per play, LSU to twenty three

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Speaker 3: points five point eight yards per play. You know Ole

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Speaker 3: Miss fourteen points, three point nine yards per play, Florida

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Speaker 3: twenty four points, Oregon twenty one points a and m

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Speaker 3: twenty points. Tulane. Yeah, it's the top forty offense six points.

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Speaker 3: And you look at the comparison with the Alabama defenses

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Speaker 3: on which is also really good, but it's not as

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Speaker 3: dominant as it has been in years past. But look

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Speaker 3: at what Alabama did against LSU. They got absolutely demolished.

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Speaker 3: He gets Old Miss almost put up thirty one against them,

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Speaker 3: and they've had a significantly easier schedule. We've talked about

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Speaker 3: this all year. There are some soft spots in that

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Speaker 3: front seven of Alabama. Look this Albird team I think

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Speaker 3: is just continues to be severely underrated because of their record,

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Speaker 3: because of bo Nicks. Although I think you're seeing some

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Speaker 3: improvement every week, as you would expect to with a freshman,

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Speaker 3: but because of their schedule. I mean, their schedule has

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Speaker 3: been as hard as it gets in the country. I

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Speaker 3: think they're being disrespected. You're catching four points. I think

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Speaker 3: this is basically a coin flip. Give me the Tigers.

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Speaker 3: What do you think here?

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Speaker 2: Let me start off with saying that from everything I see,

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Speaker 2: from the statistics and who's played who and resumes and

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Speaker 2: everything else, absolutely I think Aubrid should be favored. But

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Speaker 2: let me start off by saying the Nick Saven came

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Speaker 2: out and he said, this is the best team we've

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Speaker 2: faced all season, and the media, the media just got

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Speaker 2: in an uproar all about LSU. And I know LSU

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Speaker 2: fans don't want to hear this. I know you guys

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Speaker 2: have been waiting for me to turn on you, and

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Speaker 2: I'm not turning on LSU fans. I'm just saying Saban

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Speaker 2: is right. When you look at it from a defensive standpoint,

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Speaker 2: Auburn's defense is seventy first against pass explosiveness. That's not great,

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Speaker 2: But ls US one hundred and twenty seventh. Auburn's defense

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Speaker 2: is eleventh in finishing drives. LSU's thirty fifth, so Auburn's

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Speaker 2: got him there. Auburn's top ten in defensive rush and

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Speaker 2: passing success rate. LSU is thirty fourth and defensive passing

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Speaker 2: success rate. This defense is far beyond better than LSU's defense.

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Speaker 2: It's not even close. And the biggest difference in the

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Speaker 2: stat sheet is that Auburn is tenth and stuff rate

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Speaker 2: on offense and Bama is one hundred and eleventh on defense.

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Speaker 2: That defensive front is soft. Alabama is going to be

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Speaker 2: able to take it. They're gonna get taken advantage of

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Speaker 2: by Auburn. They're gonna get all the short runs in

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Speaker 2: this game, no problem now. Mac Jones quickouts to the

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Speaker 2: flats to DeVonta Smith, quick outs to the flats to waddle,

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Speaker 2: try to let them make something happen. But how often

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Speaker 2: can you do that against this Auburn secondary. It's going

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Speaker 2: to be able to limit those plays. And they don't

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Speaker 2: fear the deep ball at all. It's not like they're

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Speaker 2: gonna sit back with two safeties back there waiting for

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Speaker 2: something big to happen. For mac Jones's arm it's not

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Speaker 2: gonna happen now. Henry Ruggs did practice today, he was

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Speaker 2: listed as questionable. I'll just keep going on the Alabama

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Speaker 2: train where I don't believe in them. Their strength is

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Speaker 2: schedule this year is eighty fourth, Auburn's is thirteenth. Auburn's

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Speaker 2: special teams is thirtieth an SMP plus Bama's a seventy fourth.

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Speaker 2: Everything tells me to take them with the points. Everything

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Speaker 2: tells me to take them on the money line. I

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Speaker 2: don't think we need to discuss anymore about Alabama hopping

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Speaker 2: anybody into the college football playoff. And you know we'll

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Speaker 2: get to Utah later. But I hope this, I hope

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Speaker 2: this iron ball pulls it into this Crimson tied stuff.

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Speaker 3: It certainly would do that. And look, the one thing,

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Speaker 3: you know, I have to mention this at least once

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Speaker 3: per podcasts. I'll mention a few more times. But special

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Speaker 3: teams eventage also for Auburn Alabama, besides their you know,

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Speaker 3: their punt return game, their special teams are very shaky

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Speaker 3: and Auburn has solid special teams across the board. See

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Speaker 3: I agree with you grabbed out four. I think it's extremely,

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Speaker 3: extremely generous and yeah, I wouldn't shock me in the

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Speaker 3: least if Auburn pulls off this upset at home. Here

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Speaker 3: bow Nicks now even more seasoned. It's I think Bama

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Speaker 3: is ripe for the picking bow nixt season the effect. Okay,

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Speaker 3: let's just go through each conference alphabetically. We'll start with

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Speaker 3: the AAC. We'll talk about the Egg Bowl Thursday night,

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Speaker 3: the only game on Thursday. We'll talk about that later

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Speaker 3: in the podcast when we go three and out. But

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Speaker 3: let's start in the AAC. On Friday at three thirty,

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Speaker 3: we have Cincinnati at Memphis. Memphis is an eleven point

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Speaker 3: favorite over under fifty seven. Now, this is a fascinating

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Speaker 3: game theory game because Cincinnati has already clinched they're going

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Speaker 3: to the AAC Championship. So you know, if they lose

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Speaker 3: this game, they're gonna play Memphis again, and they'll play

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Speaker 3: Memphis at Memphis in the same stadium next week. Now,

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Speaker 3: if they win this game and then Navy beats Houston,

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Speaker 3: which we'll touch out on in a second, then Memphis

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Speaker 3: does not even though they went undefeated in their division,

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Speaker 3: they do not go to the conference championship. It would

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Speaker 3: be Navy or Sincy and that game I believe would

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Speaker 3: be in Cincy. So it comes down to just since

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Speaker 3: the how much since you want to try and throw

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Speaker 3: it to the throw another wrench in that their quarterback

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Speaker 3: doesn't Ritter is banged up, so he might not go,

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Speaker 3: and you know, Fickle might just say, look, I'm going

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Speaker 3: to rest more guys than usual, which makes this tougher

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Speaker 3: to cap. Makes me want to potentially look at an

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Speaker 3: under here. But what do you see here in Memphis?

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Speaker 3: Since he two top twenty matchup on Friday afternoon.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's actually the under is what I've played so

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Speaker 2: far at the key number of fifty seven there. So

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Speaker 2: I think it may actually dip a little bit farther

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Speaker 2: before as we get closer to kick. But no, you're right,

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Speaker 2: with Ritter possibly sitting out, Fickle may make the decision

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Speaker 2: not to expose anything if this could be a rematch

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Speaker 2: the following week. I mean, Cincinnati's path is safe. At

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Speaker 2: least they're going to be in the AAC Championship game,

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Speaker 2: and you know they there's clear advantages for the Memphis

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Speaker 2: offense in this game, especially say in passing success. Right,

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Speaker 2: you know they're sixteenth against Cincinnati. Cincinnati's rank of forty eighth.

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Speaker 2: But you know, Cincinnati has been really good at limiting explosiveness.

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Speaker 2: They're fifteenth against pass explosiveness and their ninth and finishing drives,

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Speaker 2: which is the measurement of how many points you get

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Speaker 2: past your opponent's forty yard line. And since He's defense,

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Speaker 2: this has been really good. They've tightened up once opponents

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Speaker 2: have gotten past the forty yard line. So for purposes

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Speaker 2: of Cincinnati's defense in terms of finishing drives, in terms

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Speaker 2: of havoc, in terms of limiting explosiveness, I like the

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Speaker 2: under from that perspective. If Ritter doesn't play, I like

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Speaker 2: the under from that perspective. Point spread I think is

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Speaker 2: too close to call. But I think you know, all

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Speaker 2: those things that I mentioned right there point to this

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Speaker 2: game well going under fifty seven.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and you also have the fact that Cincinnati's they

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Speaker 3: have a great partner which always helps with it under

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Speaker 3: as well two solid special team units here. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: with Cincinnati, it's there's so many different factors in here

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Speaker 3: when I talk about this game from a game theory perspective,

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Speaker 3: because then you could also argue, well, maybe Cincinnati has

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Speaker 3: a shot at a New Year six Bowl if they

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Speaker 3: went out right, So maybe they want to try from

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Speaker 3: that perspective. But yeah, I mean, chances are, you know,

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Speaker 3: just going based on win probability and this spread, that

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Speaker 3: we're going to see the same exact matchup next week.

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Speaker 3: Cincinnati's defense at times on the road has scared me.

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Speaker 3: This is also the most penalized team in the nation,

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Speaker 3: I believe, you know, especially on offense with that offensive line.

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Speaker 3: It just puts them behind the sticks and it's not

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Speaker 3: a great offense at all. The Memphis defense at times

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Speaker 3: struggles to contain explosive plays that is not the Cincinnati offense.

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Speaker 3: So I agree with you there that the look is

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Speaker 3: certainly the under all right. Elsewhere in the AC, I

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Speaker 3: mean there's gonna be Look, there's gonna be a lot

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Speaker 3: of games this week that are really meaningful, and there's

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Speaker 3: gonna be a lot that don't mean anything. You know,

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Speaker 3: you can look at Tulsa at ECU. I mean, there's

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Speaker 3: a three and eight team at a four and seven team.

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Speaker 3: But there are some decent games. I mean, Navy has

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Speaker 3: to win and then they need. The thing is with Navy,

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Speaker 3: to keep in mind, I don't usually worry about motivation

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Speaker 3: with the Service Academy teams, but they play at Saturday night,

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Speaker 3: and since the Memphis plays Friday, so Navy will know

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Speaker 3: whether or not that game means something to them or not.

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Speaker 3: Just throwing that out there. They're eight and a half pint

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Speaker 3: favorites at a four and seven Houston team. We also

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Speaker 3: have SMU three and a half point favorite at home

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Speaker 3: against Ulan. I'll be looking at our Green Wave boys

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Speaker 3: there over under seventy one. The SMU overstreak stopped finally

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Speaker 3: last week on a drive where they turned it overrun

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Speaker 3: downs against Navy. In a second half, they only scored

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Speaker 3: seven points. What do you see here in not two

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Speaker 3: lane SMU.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I wanted to back to lane in

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Speaker 2: this spot, but there's just a couple of things in

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Speaker 2: the stat sheet that just kind of took me by surprise.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 2: The major advantage for SMU is that they're twenty first

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Speaker 2: and pass explosiveness and two lanes one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 2: fourth and defending pass explosiveness. So that definitely gives me

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Speaker 2: pause and back in the Green Wave. I mean, they're

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Speaker 2: able to score points, but if SVU is going to

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Speaker 2: be able to do it so easily, I can understand

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Speaker 2: why this total is sitting around at seventy first two lanes,

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Speaker 2: one hundred and ninth. Defensively and finishing drives, they're allowing

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Speaker 2: just about anybody to score that gets past the forty.

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Speaker 2: If the number gets back down to three, maybe I'll

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Speaker 2: consider an SMU. But it's just one of those things

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Speaker 2: where a total is so high. Whenver there's a point

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Speaker 2: spread that's around three, I'm just resigned to play in

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Speaker 2: a game like that live because there's just going to

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Speaker 2: be so many points you're gonna be able to get

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Speaker 2: any number that you want.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what I did last week with Tulana. I

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Speaker 3: may do that again here. All right, So let's move

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Speaker 3: on to the Big twelve. And with the Big twelve,

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Speaker 3: everything is set in stone because of Baylor's win over

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Speaker 3: Texas last week. Baylor and Oklahoma each have a two

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Speaker 3: game lead over Oklahoma State and Iowa State. Texas is

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Speaker 3: at four and four, which is pretty crazy, as well

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Speaker 3: as Kansas State. But Oklahoma Baylor will be your Big

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Speaker 3: Twelve championship, a rematch of that thrilling Oklahoma comeback this week. First,

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Speaker 3: Baylor is a fourteen point favorite at Kansas. You know,

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Speaker 3: this game, I guess you can say, and I think

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Speaker 3: that it's reasonable that Baylor isn't out of it yet.

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Speaker 3: They'd have to have chaos happen and obviously have to

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Speaker 3: win out, so I wouldn't necessarily say this game is meaningless,

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Speaker 3: and because you could argue going to Lawrence, it might

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Speaker 3: still be semi trappish after that big win over Texas,

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Speaker 3: you know, big twelve championship rematch against Oklahoma on deck.

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Speaker 3: Kansas has been an odd team to figure out what

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Speaker 3: their offense looked great again last weekend against Iowa State.

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Speaker 3: Any value on less than the Boys catching fourteen at

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Speaker 3: home three point thirty kick on Saturday over under fifty two.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the number is completely discounted on the

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Speaker 2: fact that Baylor they've had Arlington locked up next week.

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Speaker 2: Our projection over at Action Network actually makes this nineteen.

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Speaker 2: So the number is too low for me to back

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Speaker 2: a Kansas side. And then you look at Baylor. You know,

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Speaker 2: Matt Rules says he doesn't have a feel on when

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Speaker 2: Brewer is going to return, and then Brewer comes out,

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Speaker 2: I think either earlier today or yesterday, and said that

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Speaker 2: he's ready to roll, and he got upgraded to probable,

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Speaker 2: So I think whether he's going to play or not,

432
00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 2: and how mobile he's going to be is up for question,

433
00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:30,680
Speaker 2: and how long he plays in this game is also

434
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:32,919
Speaker 2: a variable that you have to contend with if you're

435
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:34,879
Speaker 2: going to lay some money in here. There are wins

436
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:36,959
Speaker 2: of seventeen miles an hour at this game. I'm going

437
00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 2: to get up to twenty miles an hour win guffs

438
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:41,399
Speaker 2: even higher than that at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.

439
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,800
Speaker 2: But the problem is the landscape. The orientation of the

440
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 2: stadium is that it's all going to blow through one

441
00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:48,040
Speaker 2: end zone, So you know, for a half of a

442
00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 2: game for each team, they're going to have a problem

443
00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:52,239
Speaker 2: kicking field goals, which may be the reason why this

444
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,760
Speaker 2: number keeps on ticking down from a total perspective. But

445
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,920
Speaker 2: you know, Brewer's status obviously affects the total perspective too,

446
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 2: So for me, there's no play. There's too many variables here.

447
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,560
Speaker 2: I did like an over if everybody's healthy and if

448
00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 2: the wind wasn't affecting kicking, But I can't go in

449
00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:09,480
Speaker 2: and play it when you know we may have a

450
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:11,800
Speaker 2: limited amount of time in which Baylor starters are playing.

451
00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Baylor. I mean, Matt Rules a type of

452
00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:15,399
Speaker 3: coach that once he gets a lead, he's not going

453
00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:17,199
Speaker 3: to run it up. You know, he's gonna hill our

454
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:19,680
Speaker 3: super conservative and just try to get out of dodge

455
00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:23,360
Speaker 3: with a win. Elsewhere in the Big Twelve, we have

456
00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:27,520
Speaker 3: two games on Friday, West Virginia at TCU. TCU's laying

457
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,400
Speaker 3: thirteen and a half here and then that's at four

458
00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:33,680
Speaker 3: fifteen Eastern. But the noon kick is Texas Tech at Texas.

459
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:37,920
Speaker 3: Texas Tech not Bowl eligible, they're four and seven. Some

460
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:41,160
Speaker 3: teams can get, you know, win five games we've seen

461
00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:43,800
Speaker 3: in the past and get to a bowl. You know,

462
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:47,560
Speaker 3: if you played some FCS games when they don't normally

463
00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:50,919
Speaker 3: count and they need some spots, they might look at you.

464
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:55,879
Speaker 3: And also based on your academic standing. And that's who

465
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,440
Speaker 3: that applies to. Is like a Duke and a Stanford.

466
00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 3: They get the five wins and they're still spots available

467
00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:02,560
Speaker 3: for a bowl. You know, those are the teams that

468
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,480
Speaker 3: are at the top of the academic standing rankings, as

469
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 3: you would expect. But Texas is here laying ten points

470
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 3: at home over under sixty three Texas Tech. I you know, look,

471
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 3: I have to give a lot of credit to Texas

472
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,560
Speaker 3: Tech for the way that they fight. Now, they can't

473
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 3: really close out games. But if you look at, you know,

474
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,399
Speaker 3: a lot of their losses this year. Let's see, they

475
00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:26,919
Speaker 3: lost by three to Baylor overtime during a double overtime

476
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 3: in a controversial call. And they lost to Kansas on

477
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 3: a you know, a field goal block that they then fumbled,

478
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,879
Speaker 3: lost the TCU by two. They lost to Kansas State

479
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 3: by three last week, so they've lost four games by

480
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,160
Speaker 3: three points or fewer. I'm not sure where Texas's head

481
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 3: is at after last week. They're playing to get to

482
00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 3: what seven wins to seven and five on the year.

483
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:50,679
Speaker 3: I did see you put a play through on Texas.

484
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:51,640
Speaker 3: You're buying herman here?

485
00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:53,960
Speaker 2: Well, no, I put him on on a moneyline parlay

486
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 2: with another team this week, so you know, I needed

487
00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:59,159
Speaker 2: somebody else to attach it to. And I like Texas

488
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 2: at home here. And really, when it comes down to it,

489
00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:03,120
Speaker 2: when I look at the stat sheet on these two

490
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 2: teams going up against each other, Texas Tech doesn't have

491
00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:09,000
Speaker 2: the ability to expose Texas's biggest weakness, which is is

492
00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:11,640
Speaker 2: through the air. Tell you know, Texas Tech just has

493
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:15,439
Speaker 2: no explosiveness and no success rate whatsoever. Offensively, they're one

494
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:18,720
Speaker 2: hundred and eighth in passing and pass explosiveness, and that

495
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 2: is something that we all know that Texas has struggled

496
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:23,600
Speaker 2: with all season, especially with injuries. And since Texas Tech

497
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:26,440
Speaker 2: can't expose Texas in their weakest aspect, and I expect

498
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 2: Sam Ellinger should be able to run and throw on

499
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,160
Speaker 2: this Texas Tech defense. It is ninety six and against

500
00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:34,080
Speaker 2: explosive rushing and there one hundred and thirteenth against explosive passing.

501
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:35,600
Speaker 2: So at the end of the day, this is more

502
00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:38,119
Speaker 2: about how Ellinger can expose what the Texas Tech defense

503
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 2: can do and that the Texas Tech offense can't expose

504
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 2: what Texas all their deficiencies that they have on defense.

505
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 2: I'm happy with the money line play for the Longhorns

506
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 2: and Autome, but the side you know, I've got it marked.

507
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 2: It projected at ten point five, so I think the

508
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:54,199
Speaker 2: number is pretty stat It looks like it's coming down.

509
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,480
Speaker 2: It's taken plenty of Texas Tech money, but like you said,

510
00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 2: they can't close that game, so I wouldn't be too

511
00:23:58,080 --> 00:23:59,400
Speaker 2: comfortable back in Texas.

512
00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:02,200
Speaker 3: Tech is you have to talk about bed them Oklahoma

513
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:05,640
Speaker 3: Oklahoma State. Oklahoma's still at outside shot at the college

514
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 3: football Playoff. They're going to need help and they're going

515
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:10,280
Speaker 3: to need But the good thing is they play you know,

516
00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:14,560
Speaker 3: Oklahoma State, right, I believe the Pokes are still ranked.

517
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,520
Speaker 3: Then they'll play Baylor. They need style points out and

518
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,920
Speaker 3: then obviously need to help elsewhere. Oklahoma, by the way,

519
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 3: is just and I like them here. They've been so

520
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:29,200
Speaker 3: unlucky and you can say that like Hurts, it's mind

521
00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 3: blowing to me that Jalen Hurts wants to get another yard.

522
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:36,600
Speaker 3: I mean, I respect it right when he gets down

523
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,399
Speaker 3: into the red zone and he will fight for like

524
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,520
Speaker 3: another yard or two. But you know, it's causing them

525
00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:45,360
Speaker 3: so many turnovers, it's causing them covers. Last week, they's

526
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 3: just been really unlucky in the red zone. Part of

527
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 3: that is because of Hurts fighting. But what makes that

528
00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:52,480
Speaker 3: so mind blogging me? They're averaging eight point four yards

529
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,600
Speaker 3: per play, Like, all right, if you're down at the

530
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 3: nine instead of the eight, it's fine, you're gonna score

531
00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:58,919
Speaker 3: on the next play. Then last week against so but

532
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 3: these scores, some of these scores recently have been misleading

533
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:02,760
Speaker 3: because of some of those turns they led, and they

534
00:25:02,840 --> 00:25:04,920
Speaker 3: led by twenty one a number of times. Against Iowa State,

535
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 3: who made a furious comeback. They should have rolled TCU.

536
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:09,200
Speaker 3: I mean, he's you couldn't even get a yard. They're

537
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:11,960
Speaker 3: up eleven, and you know, the receiver falls down and

538
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:13,639
Speaker 3: there's one hundred yard pick six. By the way, I

539
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:15,720
Speaker 3: can't wait to see what hundred yard pick six fucks

540
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 3: me this week. But they're averaging eight point four yards

541
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:20,399
Speaker 3: per play, I think the third most of all time

542
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 3: if the season ended today. Last year with Kyleer Murray

543
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,280
Speaker 3: was eight point six, which was a record. But look

544
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:29,160
Speaker 3: the Oklahoma State offense we saw last week. You know,

545
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 3: it's not as explosive with Obviously they don't have Wallace now,

546
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,040
Speaker 3: you know now it's Drew Brown instead of Spencer Sanders

547
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,520
Speaker 3: at quarterback. You know, they still have Hubbard, who should

548
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:40,720
Speaker 3: have some success against Oklahoma, but this is a much

549
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,680
Speaker 3: easier offense to game plan against. Was very conservative, dink

550
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 3: and dunk, not really an explosive factor here to take

551
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:53,080
Speaker 3: advantage of some of Oklahoma's deficiencies. You know, and you don't.

552
00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 3: You also don't have Drew Brown. He's not as mobile

553
00:25:55,760 --> 00:26:00,840
Speaker 3: of a quarterback, so I think Oklahoma needing STUF points here.

554
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 3: They are just a much better team. This red zone

555
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:06,640
Speaker 3: turnover variance has to break their way eventually. I think

556
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,600
Speaker 3: the Sooners blow this open. You could argue that Hubbard

557
00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:11,920
Speaker 3: could be the difference at a cover in maybe giving

558
00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:14,480
Speaker 3: the Pokes a shot. And historically it's been a crazy game.

559
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 3: What do you see here?

560
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:17,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got it projected at eleven and a half.

561
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 2: I took Oklahoma minus twelve. Their numbers up to thirteen

562
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:22,360
Speaker 2: and a half in some places, but I would still

563
00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:24,160
Speaker 2: suggest taking a thirteen or a twelve and a half.

564
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 2: And you know, Oklahoma is now minus seven and net

565
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,480
Speaker 2: turnovers they're one hundred and fifteenth in the nation and

566
00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 2: turnover margin, it's just terrible. I think the thing that

567
00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:32,679
Speaker 2: really stood out for me from the statue was that

568
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 2: they only have three fumbles gained on the season. That's it.

569
00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:38,359
Speaker 2: Out of all the loose balls, they have three fumbles gained.

570
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:40,480
Speaker 2: One of the most amazing things I've ever seen, especially

571
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:43,679
Speaker 2: from you know, a defense that was added just a

572
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 2: whole new culture with Alex Grinch and the speed d

573
00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:48,879
Speaker 2: and you know, creating havoc and they've only gained three

574
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:51,640
Speaker 2: fumbles on the season, Oklahoma State still covered the closing

575
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:54,280
Speaker 2: number against West Virginia, Drew Brown had just one explosive

576
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:56,440
Speaker 2: play the entire time. Most of them were under ten yards.

577
00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:58,840
Speaker 2: So there's nothing explosive going on with the Oklahoma State

578
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,560
Speaker 2: offense unless Ubbard makes something of a short pass.

579
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:03,120
Speaker 3: I got a push in that game, but I mean

580
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 3: Westerviginia probably should have won that game out right.

581
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:05,320
Speaker 1: Yeah.

582
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, And you know the thing is, as Hubbard was

583
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 2: the leading targets too, So yeah, I think he had

584
00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,160
Speaker 2: six receptions on the day. And you're just not gonna

585
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:12,359
Speaker 2: be able to do that over and over and over

586
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:14,399
Speaker 2: against Oklahoma. They're they're gonna be ready for that and

587
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,680
Speaker 2: ready to blow it up. And so the Sooners lead

588
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 2: this series eighty eight to eighteen with seven ties. That's

589
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 2: one of the more amazing rivalry statistics records I've ever seen.

590
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 2: But the Cowboys have four victories so far this century.

591
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:30,119
Speaker 2: They've upset some really good Oklahoma teams in the past,

592
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:31,880
Speaker 2: but I think it's gonna be a little bit tougher

593
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 2: to do it here, especially with the backup quarterback. Oklahoma

594
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:37,359
Speaker 2: is seventy fourth against the explosive passing, but hitting Hubbard

595
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:39,920
Speaker 2: out of the backfield. That's not the formula to expose

596
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:42,720
Speaker 2: O use defense and explosive passing. There's a very large

597
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 2: discrepancy in finishing drives here. Oklahoma's fifteenth and finishing drives

598
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:49,120
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State is ninety sixth the an opponent red zone

599
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:52,040
Speaker 2: scoring percentage. So if anybody gets within the forty, hey

600
00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:55,080
Speaker 2: it's the Cowboys are going to let you score. Oklahoma,

601
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:57,480
Speaker 2: you know, I think that they're feeling the gap between

602
00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:00,399
Speaker 2: their current rank and the College Football Playoff getting to

603
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,680
Speaker 2: the fourth spot. So not only do I think there's

604
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:06,399
Speaker 2: plenty of statistical advantages and Oklahoma State offensively is going

605
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,120
Speaker 2: to be limited that OE is going to be able

606
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 2: to stiff out. But I think overall the Sooners here

607
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,120
Speaker 2: just know where their places and the rankings, and they're

608
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:13,919
Speaker 2: going to try to improve it.

609
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:15,000
Speaker 1: Yeah.

610
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:16,879
Speaker 3: And but this Oklahoma State team, by the way, just

611
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:18,960
Speaker 3: they're not very good. I mean, if you look at

612
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 3: their offensive line.

613
00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:22,159
Speaker 2: They're nine to two against the spread. Now, hold on,

614
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:23,960
Speaker 2: they've they've done some work this year.

615
00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:28,160
Speaker 3: They also when they get into passing situations, they don't

616
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 3: have a great pass blocking offensive line. And this is

617
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,399
Speaker 3: a very aggressive blitzing Oklahoma defense, it's top twenty and

618
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:35,280
Speaker 3: sack rate, so I think that they're going to be

619
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 3: able to get to Brown and look all Oklahoma needs.

620
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 3: And it's amazing that Oklahoma's fifteenth and finishing drives with

621
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:42,600
Speaker 3: all these random turnovers in the red zone. So and

622
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:44,719
Speaker 3: Oklahoma State has all kinds of problems in the red

623
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 3: zone with their offense. So yeah, I think finishing drives,

624
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 3: a couple fourth punts on sacks will be the difference

625
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:53,240
Speaker 3: for Oklahoma. I like the Sooners. I'm gonna split them

626
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 3: between first half in game. All right, So let's move

627
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 3: on here to the Big ten. We have another one

628
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:02,360
Speaker 3: which will side the division. Who gets to go on

629
00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:05,080
Speaker 3: to play a lot of Wisconsin's two point favorite here

630
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:07,960
Speaker 3: over under forty seven and a half. You know, this

631
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 3: Minnesota defense, it's still vulnerable up the middle and you

632
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 3: can run on them, and you know who better to

633
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 3: do that than Jonathan Taylor. There's gonna be some rain

634
00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:21,760
Speaker 3: and wind here, which she would think would favor Wisconsin.

635
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 3: You know, Wisconsin's pass defense numbers are really good, but

636
00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:29,320
Speaker 3: a lot of that is inflated from horrible offenses that

637
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 3: they played early in the year. Minnesota is two of

638
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 3: the best receivers in college football in Johnson and Bateman.

639
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:39,080
Speaker 3: So you know, Morgan's obviously playing so well at quarterback.

640
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 3: Minnesota short home dog here, any value there.

641
00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 2: The number is right, but I'm not hedging any of

642
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 2: my Wisconsin futures whatsoever. I'll save that for the Big

643
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,400
Speaker 2: Ten Championship game. So I do make this game three.

644
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 2: But it's just things with Minnesota. I just I don't

645
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 2: I still don't believe in you. I don't care that

646
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:56,520
Speaker 2: you beat Penn State. It was a home You know,

647
00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 2: they have a big gap in their secondary and Tanner

648
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,680
Speaker 2: Morgan was able to to expose that Wisconsin strength. The

649
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 2: schedule is twelve, Minnesota is a seventy seven. So there's

650
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 2: just a huge discrepancy here and the quality of teams

651
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 2: that both of these two have faced. Jonathan Taylor should

652
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:12,040
Speaker 2: have a huge day. They have a rushing success rank

653
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 2: of ninth. That's going to take advantage of Minnesota right there.

654
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:17,200
Speaker 2: They have a power success and stuff rate that's in

655
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 2: the top eleven against a Minnesota defense that is one

656
00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:23,040
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty third and one hundred and third respectively

657
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:25,920
Speaker 2: in those categories. What does that mean Wisconsin is going

658
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:30,080
Speaker 2: to tear Minnesota apart on the short yardage runs. Anything

659
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:32,040
Speaker 2: at the line of scrimmage, Minnesota is never going to

660
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 2: get into the backfield. It should be a really good

661
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,840
Speaker 2: day for Jonathan Taylor. Minnesota exposed Penn State on the

662
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:39,120
Speaker 2: deep ball. Like I said, the Badgers have a way

663
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 2: better secondary. Wisconsin's rate fifteenth in defensive passing success rate,

664
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,920
Speaker 2: they're second in sac rate, They're second in defensive havoc.

665
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,240
Speaker 2: I know that Penn State's defense is considered one of

666
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 2: the best of the nation, and they are especially on

667
00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:52,520
Speaker 2: the front seven, but when you throw in their secondary,

668
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 2: Wisconsin kind of has a claim that maybe they're overall

669
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:57,520
Speaker 2: one of the best defenses in the nation, especially from

670
00:30:57,560 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 2: a havoc and is sacrate and a passing success rate perspective.

671
00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:03,400
Speaker 2: You mentioned weather, that's actually something people should pay a

672
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 2: lot of attention to. Minneapolis right now is currently in

673
00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:09,120
Speaker 2: a winter storm warning, so safe travels for everybody on Thanksgiving.

674
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:11,480
Speaker 2: This is pretty bad weather up there. So there is

675
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:13,560
Speaker 2: a snow and a rain chance, and there's fifteen miles

676
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:17,160
Speaker 2: wind gus projected, So it just screams ground game to me.

677
00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:19,080
Speaker 2: So if Minnesota's bread and butter and putting points up

678
00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 2: on the board. Is Tanner Morgan going deep and they

679
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 2: can't do that against the Wisconsin secondary. And Wisconsin's bread

680
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:26,200
Speaker 2: and butter is running it with Jonathan Taylor in the trenches.

681
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:27,960
Speaker 2: That I'm taking Wisconsin all day in this.

682
00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:30,760
Speaker 3: Game, all right, and then let's just go rapid fire

683
00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:33,960
Speaker 3: to close out the big ten. Iowa's that Friday afternoon

684
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 3: game at two thirty five and a half point favorites

685
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 3: at Nebraska. Any love for the corn playing to get

686
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 3: the six wins symbol eligibility.

687
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:44,440
Speaker 2: I'm on Nebraska plus six. Defense is healthy and they're

688
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:46,960
Speaker 2: finally having clean box scores. As far as turnovers go, oh,

689
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 2: they're placekicking, they're actually making field goals.

690
00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 3: Indiana under a touchdown now against Purdue. Any interest? There?

691
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:56,440
Speaker 3: Nothing there for me from a numbers perspective. People are

692
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 3: going to hate it, and I hate it. Northwestern's probably

693
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:00,960
Speaker 3: one of the best bets on the I mean, the

694
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 3: Illinois my nine point favorite here. I know, when Northwestern's

695
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 3: down their nineteenth quarterback and fifteenth running back and seventeenth

696
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:10,640
Speaker 3: wide receiver. Not like it matters with that offense. But

697
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,040
Speaker 3: this Illinois team, which has been the luckiest team in

698
00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 3: the country by far. When it comes to turnovers, teams

699
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 3: just missed field goals against them, they just throw them

700
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 3: the ball. I mean, they caught a sleepy Wisconsin team

701
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 3: and they won that game. And I think they're just

702
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 3: override because that. They beat Connecticut by eight. Great, they

703
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 3: beat Accurate to start the year. Great. They lost at

704
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:29,360
Speaker 3: home to Eastern Michigan. They lost at home to Nebraska,

705
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:32,560
Speaker 3: they got trucked by Minnesota, truck by Michigan. They blew

706
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 3: out Purdue, congrat and then they blew out Rutgers, and

707
00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 3: then Michigan State was up by fifty and somehow blew

708
00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 3: that lead. And then they were severely outplayed against Iowa

709
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:43,920
Speaker 3: last week. So I mean, this Illinois team stinks. Nine

710
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:46,080
Speaker 3: is anything over a touchdown is crazy in this game?

711
00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:46,480
Speaker 1: Now?

712
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 3: Am I wrong?

713
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,040
Speaker 2: No? No, you're right. I've got this projected it If

714
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:52,320
Speaker 2: I'm reading this right, I've got this projected at four.

715
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 2: How is this number so high? Now I've got to

716
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:56,480
Speaker 2: end up playing north Western. I don't know how Northwestern

717
00:32:56,520 --> 00:33:00,320
Speaker 2: scores their offensive splits are. Really I can't find an

718
00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:03,000
Speaker 2: adjective for how bad, how red everything is on my screen.

719
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:05,960
Speaker 2: But I mean Northwestern's outside not just the top one hundred,

720
00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,120
Speaker 2: but like the top one hundred and ten in almost

721
00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:12,680
Speaker 2: every offensive statistical category. Illinois has a really superb Special

722
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 2: Teams ranking over Northwestern. They're ninth and Special Teams SP

723
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,160
Speaker 2: plus and Northwestern is one hundred and twelfth. Now, after that,

724
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:21,720
Speaker 2: Northwestern is gonna be to play some defense against Illinois.

725
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:23,360
Speaker 2: So I'm not sure if under is the look. But

726
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:25,840
Speaker 2: this point spread is inflated way too high.

727
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, there's just some perception that Illinois is good, but

728
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:28,920
Speaker 3: they're just lucky.

729
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:31,520
Speaker 2: And I think they were like a one percent post

730
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 2: win expectancy against Michigan State. I mean, they had no

731
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 2: they had no business winning that game whatsoever.

732
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,880
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to Conference USA, which is

733
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 3: the craziest uh as far as to who's going to

734
00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:45,400
Speaker 3: win each division in the East, Florida Atlantic, this is

735
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 3: pretty simple. Florida Atlantic, Lane Kiffin and his boys. They're

736
00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 3: nine point favorites at home against Southern Miss. Southern Miss

737
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,800
Speaker 3: can actually still win the West. They're in a three

738
00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:58,720
Speaker 3: way tie with LA Tech and UAB and as of

739
00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:00,840
Speaker 3: right now, they're all one and one against each other.

740
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 3: Would come down to division tiebreakers if they all win

741
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 3: or they all lose. We're getting crazy, but let's just

742
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 3: focus on copy to USA East. And also Southern Mister

743
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:09,879
Speaker 3: quarterback Abraham is questionable. They don't know if he's gonna

744
00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:12,440
Speaker 3: play at but FA is a nine point favorite here.

745
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 3: And then in regards to the West, I mean Marshall

746
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:19,120
Speaker 3: could win it too. If Marshall wins and Florida Atlantic loses,

747
00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:20,320
Speaker 3: they could win the East. But in the West you

748
00:34:20,360 --> 00:34:23,560
Speaker 3: have ua B, LA Tech, and Southern Miss are all

749
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,600
Speaker 3: tied at five and two. If we assume Southern Miss

750
00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:30,640
Speaker 3: loses at FAU. You know, UAB is a three point

751
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:32,840
Speaker 3: favorite at North Texas. It's pretty funny to see that

752
00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:34,799
Speaker 3: line open at one. You have an eight and three

753
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:37,279
Speaker 3: team that needs to win at a four and seven

754
00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:40,439
Speaker 3: North Texas and I'll let you get to your boys

755
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,080
Speaker 3: in a second. And then you also have LA Tech,

756
00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 3: who's a twenty point favorite at home against UTSA. They

757
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,359
Speaker 3: will get their star quarterback Jamar Smith back. They'll get

758
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:51,360
Speaker 3: Adrian Hardiback at receiver as well. So really, what did

759
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 3: most of this division will come down to is whether

760
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:58,879
Speaker 3: or not UAB can beat North Texas. If UAB does

761
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 3: indeed be North Texas, then ua B, and we assume

762
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,839
Speaker 3: Southern Mis loses to Florida Atlantic. UAB already beat law Tech,

763
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,080
Speaker 3: so UAB would then win the division and it would

764
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:11,000
Speaker 3: be UAV versus FAU and the Conference USA championship.

765
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:11,480
Speaker 2: Got all that.

766
00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 3: Probably not, but I thought i'd throw it out there

767
00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:16,040
Speaker 3: for any conference Essay diehards, any games that you want

768
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 3: to touch on specifically in Commage USA.

769
00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 2: Let me talk to the Conference USA diehearts here real quick.

770
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:23,000
Speaker 2: So Marshall FIU is the first game of the day.

771
00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,920
Speaker 2: That game directly impacts Florida Atlanta and Southern Miss. Why

772
00:35:27,080 --> 00:35:30,320
Speaker 2: because if Florida Atlantic loses their game, Marshall has the tiebreakers,

773
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 2: so Floridatlantic really needs Marshall to lose, and then Florida

774
00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:36,400
Speaker 2: Atlantic can not necessarily have to beat Southern Miss to

775
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:39,480
Speaker 2: be in the championship game now, So Marshall FIU affects

776
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:43,360
Speaker 2: FAU Southern Miss that way. Jack Abraham questionable. Like you said,

777
00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:46,000
Speaker 2: there's one report out there that says he's completely fine.

778
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 2: There's another report out there that said, well, he had

779
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 2: an ice pack on his knee during the middle of

780
00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:52,759
Speaker 2: the game. He's at least questionable, probably doubtful. So I'm

781
00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:55,319
Speaker 2: getting two different beat reporters or two different stories on

782
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:57,360
Speaker 2: the quarterback. So it's really a no play in the

783
00:35:57,360 --> 00:35:59,360
Speaker 2: Southern Miss game for me. N FAU, plus they're going

784
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:02,359
Speaker 2: to be scoreboard watching with Marshall. And if that wasn't enough,

785
00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:04,799
Speaker 2: UAB is going to be kicking off thirty minutes after

786
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:08,360
Speaker 2: the Southern Miss FAU game scoreboard watching that game because

787
00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 2: UAB has to have Southern Miss lose this game for

788
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 2: UAB to have a shot. So UAB thirty minutes kickoff

789
00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:16,799
Speaker 2: later against North Texas will be scoreboard watching a game

790
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 2: that's already in progress. And if Florida Atlantic has like

791
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:21,680
Speaker 2: a thirty point lead on Southern Miss, UAB has a

792
00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:25,319
Speaker 2: real shot to go to the Conference USA Championship. And

793
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:27,719
Speaker 2: so that's why this number is like, it's really hard

794
00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:30,080
Speaker 2: to balance all these variables. As far as you AB goes,

795
00:36:30,080 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 2: the number is steaming too high. I've got it listed

796
00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:34,239
Speaker 2: as one. UAB minus three is too much. Look at

797
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:36,480
Speaker 2: what happened last week. I mean UAB opened at minus one,

798
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 2: they seemed all the way out to six and a half.

799
00:36:38,080 --> 00:36:40,360
Speaker 2: They only beat La Tech by six, even though La

800
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:42,319
Speaker 2: Tech was missing all their players, which, by the way,

801
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:45,000
Speaker 2: LA Tech gets Jamar Smith and Adriene Hardy back for

802
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:48,719
Speaker 2: senior Day against UTSA. But as far as UAB goes,

803
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:51,600
Speaker 2: I mean North Texas can take advantage of UAB defense.

804
00:36:51,680 --> 00:36:54,799
Speaker 2: It is, you know, pretty low rankings against exposive rush

805
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 2: against supposed to pass, you know, Southern Miss. FAU game

806
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,400
Speaker 2: just having a whole ton of influence on how the

807
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,440
Speaker 2: Blazers play this game. I think it's a second half play.

808
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:06,439
Speaker 2: If FAU is up big, it's a second half play

809
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:08,680
Speaker 2: for me to come in and play UAB because of

810
00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:10,759
Speaker 2: the motivation to win their division. And so that's how

811
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:12,600
Speaker 2: I'm playing it this weekend. It's crazy all these games

812
00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:14,760
Speaker 2: intersect with each other, and the only thing that matters

813
00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 2: is is if FAU is winning big over Southern Miss,

814
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:19,600
Speaker 2: UAB is going to have a very fired up second half.

815
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:20,480
Speaker 1: Yeah. UTSA.

816
00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:22,359
Speaker 3: Also, they might play their backup quarterback. Some of these

817
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:23,799
Speaker 3: teams that are way out of it might do that.

818
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 3: So that's something to keep an eye on. All right,

819
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:28,839
Speaker 3: let's move on to I guess we let's let's cover

820
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:31,560
Speaker 3: the Independence off quickly. Well, I'm going to cover Army

821
00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:33,640
Speaker 3: Hawaii later. I'll let you jump in there as well.

822
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:35,520
Speaker 3: BYU with three and a half point favorite of San

823
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:37,080
Speaker 3: Diego State, who is dead now anything there.

824
00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:39,280
Speaker 2: You know, San Diego State's got this new look offense,

825
00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:41,359
Speaker 2: but it didn't do too well against Hawaii. They've gone

826
00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:44,279
Speaker 2: over the total just once this season, and BYUS off

827
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:47,440
Speaker 2: of a billion point performance against UMass so and you

828
00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 2: know BYU, by the way, is locked into the Hawaii Bowl,

829
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:51,680
Speaker 2: so nothing that happens in this game can affect where

830
00:37:51,680 --> 00:37:54,040
Speaker 2: they're going to go. And the Cougars are top fifteen

831
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:56,920
Speaker 2: overall opponent explosiveness, and you know, San Diego State has

832
00:37:56,960 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 2: a better statistical rank defensively than BYUS any BYU offensive category.

833
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:03,839
Speaker 2: So I know the numbers at forty, but with San

834
00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 2: Diego State being one hundred and twenty fifth and finishing

835
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 2: drives and BYU being eighty seventh and finishing drives, the

836
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 2: only way to look is to go under that total.

837
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, and the good news is that U mass is done,

838
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:16,360
Speaker 3: so we don't have to watch that dumpster fire any longer.

839
00:38:16,640 --> 00:38:16,960
Speaker 1: Anything.

840
00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:19,759
Speaker 3: Notre Dame Stanford. Notre Dame's up to a sixteen point favorite.

841
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:21,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to back Notre Dame, but the number

842
00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:23,520
Speaker 2: just got a little bit too high for me. You know,

843
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:25,200
Speaker 2: I think I had this power raided around thirteen and

844
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:27,680
Speaker 2: a half fourteen, it opened up fourteen and a half,

845
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 2: and I wanted to just kind of roll the dice

846
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:31,280
Speaker 2: and see if it'd get down to fourteen. It briefly

847
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 2: got to fourteen and then before it took off and

848
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 2: got up to sixteen. So I would really like to

849
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:36,800
Speaker 2: have this game at fourteen. But I think I'm in

850
00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:38,800
Speaker 2: the same boat I am last week with Boston College.

851
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 2: There is a way for Notre Dame to get some

852
00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:43,279
Speaker 2: points up on the board here, especially against the secondary

853
00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:45,200
Speaker 2: of Stanford. So I think the better players to take

854
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:46,960
Speaker 2: Notre Dame on a team total over than it is

855
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:48,320
Speaker 2: to actually take them against the spread.

856
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:51,799
Speaker 3: And then you know, we have to talk about liberty.

857
00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:54,600
Speaker 3: They were playing New Mexico State again for the second

858
00:38:54,640 --> 00:38:57,439
Speaker 3: time this year. The fourteen point favorites seems a little

859
00:38:57,440 --> 00:38:59,800
Speaker 3: tad high, but not sure I can stomach in Mexico

860
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:00,840
Speaker 3: State eight here anything there.

861
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:04,200
Speaker 2: Well, this is probably Hugh Freeze's last attempt to give

862
00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:07,680
Speaker 2: a resume kind of building bullet point experience for anybody

863
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:09,239
Speaker 2: that might want to scoop him up and make them

864
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:12,120
Speaker 2: their head coach. So for me, it's liberty or nothing

865
00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:14,320
Speaker 2: here in the fourth time they played in New Mexico

866
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:15,800
Speaker 2: State in the last fourteen months.

867
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:19,080
Speaker 3: Unbelievable. All right, let's move on to some Mactionin minem

868
00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 3: of Ohio has already clinched the division. They play Ball State.

869
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:24,200
Speaker 3: Ball State's three and a half point favorite. They're at

870
00:39:24,200 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 3: four wins, not Bowl eligible, but I throw Ball State

871
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:28,799
Speaker 3: in the moneyline parlay. I'm glad to fade Minad of

872
00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:32,279
Speaker 3: Ohio here. But Central Michigan can win the division with

873
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:35,800
Speaker 3: a win at home over Toledo on Friday. You also

874
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 3: have Kent State, who's just seems like they're made of

875
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,520
Speaker 3: magic with their last two wins, a miracle win and

876
00:39:41,520 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 3: then you know, a crazy win last week. They're five

877
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:46,680
Speaker 3: and six, one win away from six wins in bull eligibility,

878
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:50,440
Speaker 3: catching five at Eastern Michigan. I'm so close to pulling

879
00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:52,719
Speaker 3: that trigger there. Tell me, convinced me not to? And

880
00:39:52,920 --> 00:39:55,080
Speaker 3: do you see anything else in the mac Toledo.

881
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:56,600
Speaker 2: Has yet to cover a game on the road this season,

882
00:39:56,640 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 2: so Central Michigan's top thirty and passing success rate, and

883
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,040
Speaker 2: there's plenty of holes in the two Leedo pass defense,

884
00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 2: So I mean that one should be a pretty easy

885
00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:05,440
Speaker 2: one that I'll probably have to get involved in, at

886
00:40:05,480 --> 00:40:07,040
Speaker 2: least with the money line. It is a lot of points.

887
00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 2: But at the same time, I'm not sure what I mean.

888
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:12,200
Speaker 2: Toledo's head is just spinning right now for what they've

889
00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 2: gone through and the losses that they have on.

890
00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:17,759
Speaker 3: The team Toledo is Let's see, they got blown out

891
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:20,560
Speaker 3: by Buffalo, but before then they lost by three to NIU.

892
00:40:20,680 --> 00:40:22,879
Speaker 3: They you know, they beat Kent State by two. Thought

893
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 3: they beat Eastern Michigan by three, so they had some

894
00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:27,399
Speaker 3: easy wins. But yeah, I mean they've had a lot

895
00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:28,040
Speaker 3: go down here.

896
00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:29,839
Speaker 2: I took Kent on opener. I forgot to tell you, Yeah,

897
00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:31,759
Speaker 2: I took Kent on opener. Really, there was a lot

898
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:35,399
Speaker 2: of offensive advantages that they have against the Eastern Michigan defense. Kent,

899
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:37,719
Speaker 2: if you don't know, is like on a crazy hot

900
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:41,279
Speaker 2: streak at the roulette table these days. They came within

901
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:43,719
Speaker 2: two two points of going to overtime a couple of

902
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:45,759
Speaker 2: weeks ago. They were able to pull off this twenty

903
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:48,359
Speaker 2: four point comeback in the fourth quarter against Buffalo. They

904
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:50,440
Speaker 2: got ahead last week against Ball State and never let

905
00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:52,200
Speaker 2: the Ball you know, never let ball State come back

906
00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:54,160
Speaker 2: and take the lead. They're just hot right now and

907
00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:56,880
Speaker 2: they have to have this game to qualify for qualify

908
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,160
Speaker 2: for bowl season. So yeah, I'm all over Kent State.

909
00:40:59,160 --> 00:41:00,640
Speaker 2: I was able to get it I think five and

910
00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:02,120
Speaker 2: a half and it looks like the market's dropping.

911
00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:06,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, and look Falls State. The last three games they've

912
00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:08,680
Speaker 3: lost by a total of eight points, so they've been

913
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:11,520
Speaker 3: right there. They're still fighting. Miami, Ohio is one of

914
00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:13,799
Speaker 3: the worst division champs you'll ever see. All right, let's

915
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:18,319
Speaker 3: move on to the Mountain West, where you know we

916
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:20,359
Speaker 3: have Boise State. You know you want to talk about

917
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:21,919
Speaker 3: we talk about teams. We don't know where their heads

918
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:25,720
Speaker 3: are at Colorado State. I mean some of their losses lately,

919
00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 3: they still can't beat any of their rivals, which I

920
00:41:27,680 --> 00:41:31,359
Speaker 3: think they lost twelve times in a row two when

921
00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:35,040
Speaker 3: we're talking about you know, Wyoming and Colorado and air Force.

922
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:39,799
Speaker 3: But Boise State has already won the Mountain Division. They

923
00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:42,000
Speaker 3: are seven and zero, one game ahead of Air Force,

924
00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:44,000
Speaker 3: but they beat air Force. Boise State's thirteen and a

925
00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 3: half point favorites at Colorado State. And then in the

926
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 3: West Division you have Hawaii, who beat San Diego State

927
00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:54,880
Speaker 3: to clinch that division at five and three, So Hawaii

928
00:41:55,040 --> 00:41:58,640
Speaker 3: will be in the Mountain West Championship against Boise State.

929
00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 3: So interesting spots both of them knowing where they're going

930
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:02,879
Speaker 3: to be. Boise State, I guess you could argue still

931
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:05,879
Speaker 3: has you know, Bowl aspirations and maybe New Year six,

932
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:09,440
Speaker 3: so they might be a little more inspired than Hawaii.

933
00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:12,960
Speaker 3: Which look, Hawaii has come out and said and it's

934
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:15,480
Speaker 3: senior night there, which is important, always important in Hawaii.

935
00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:17,600
Speaker 3: They said that they're going to play everybody, but they

936
00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 3: didn't do that early in the year against Central Arkansas.

937
00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:22,600
Speaker 3: You have to think that there's this is one of

938
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:25,040
Speaker 3: the biggest sandwiches you'll oversee beating San Diego State to

939
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:27,840
Speaker 3: clinch the division, which is so big for Hawaii program.

940
00:42:27,880 --> 00:42:30,839
Speaker 3: With Boise State in the Mountain West Championship on deck

941
00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:34,320
Speaker 3: against an Army team that has off of a bye

942
00:42:34,560 --> 00:42:37,480
Speaker 3: playing for boy eligibility because guess what, Army does have

943
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:39,879
Speaker 3: one more game left against Navy, but they hand out

944
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:43,200
Speaker 3: the bowl bids before that game. You want to talk

945
00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 3: about a motivational mismatch, it's Army at Hawaii. Here, Armies

946
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,160
Speaker 3: should be able to move the ball will on the ground,

947
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:52,880
Speaker 3: just like Air Force did with their triple option offense

948
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 3: early in the air although I will say, you know,

949
00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 3: teams are about fifty six to fifty seven percent against

950
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,200
Speaker 3: the spread historically when you're seeing a triple option offense

951
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:01,400
Speaker 3: for the second time of the year. Not sure how

952
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:04,000
Speaker 3: much that's going to help. Really bad Hawaii run de

953
00:43:04,080 --> 00:43:07,080
Speaker 3: But Hawaii, you know, if they're starting everyone and motivated,

954
00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:08,719
Speaker 3: they should be able to move the ball through the

955
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:10,719
Speaker 3: air as well through Army. Do you see anything there

956
00:43:10,920 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 3: or elsewhere in conference you with that?

957
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, it should be interesting. Yeah, the Army Hawaii game

958
00:43:15,520 --> 00:43:17,160
Speaker 2: is the biggest game of the weekend in my opinion,

959
00:43:17,160 --> 00:43:18,880
Speaker 2: because you know, Army has all the motivation of the

960
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:21,120
Speaker 2: world to get their six win. Hawaii, on the other

961
00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:26,080
Speaker 2: on the other hand, program defining division championship. This is

962
00:43:26,400 --> 00:43:28,359
Speaker 2: a goal of theirs that they had all season long.

963
00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 2: Just a tremendous victory over San Diego State and that

964
00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:33,239
Speaker 2: stadium was actually full. I watched that entire game on

965
00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:36,520
Speaker 2: Facebook with seventeen other people. Huge victory for the Rainbow

966
00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:38,400
Speaker 2: Warriors and now they get to look ahead to possibly

967
00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:40,719
Speaker 2: capturing a conference crown. So I can't really say that

968
00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:44,240
Speaker 2: they have a whole bunch of you know, revengej angle

969
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:46,320
Speaker 2: or anything in them after what happened at Mitchie Stadium

970
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:48,480
Speaker 2: last year when they lost an Army You know, I

971
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:50,880
Speaker 2: think they got their minds completely on Boise State. And

972
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,719
Speaker 2: then also there's another thing going on, and at least

973
00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:56,560
Speaker 2: from a newspaper standpoint, at least from a couple of

974
00:43:56,960 --> 00:44:00,200
Speaker 2: player Twitter accounts mentioning that BYU has accept up to

975
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:02,120
Speaker 2: the Hawaii Bowl. Now, you say, why is that so big?

976
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:05,040
Speaker 2: If you go look at BYU's recruiting, they recruit the

977
00:44:05,040 --> 00:44:07,400
Speaker 2: state of Hawaii very well. They go and pull recruits

978
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:10,319
Speaker 2: out of there a lot. So BYU making the Hawaii Bowl,

979
00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:13,040
Speaker 2: although it has no effect on this Hawaii Army game

980
00:44:13,040 --> 00:44:15,520
Speaker 2: and has no effect on the Hawaii Boise's game next week,

981
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:17,960
Speaker 2: it's in the players heads. It's in the program's heads

982
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:19,959
Speaker 2: that if they lose that Boise game for the Mountain

983
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 2: West Conference Championship, they're going to get a date with BYU.

984
00:44:23,000 --> 00:44:25,520
Speaker 2: So for some reason, that's seems to be coming out

985
00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:27,600
Speaker 2: into the media and affecting the Hawaii team this week

986
00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:31,359
Speaker 2: when it has absolutely no reason to deal with Army

987
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:35,239
Speaker 2: or Boise. So besides that Hawaii struggles in the trench. Defensively,

988
00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:38,279
Speaker 2: they're outside the top one hundred defensive rushing success rate,

989
00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:41,759
Speaker 2: stuff rate, power success rate, and five and six. Army

990
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:43,799
Speaker 2: team is going to have plenty of success running their

991
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:46,239
Speaker 2: fourth and success rate. They're first and stuff right on

992
00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:49,399
Speaker 2: offense their fifth and power success rate on offense, They're

993
00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 2: going to be able to move the ball and do

994
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:54,360
Speaker 2: what Army does efficiently run it, trim clock, grind clock,

995
00:44:54,480 --> 00:44:58,200
Speaker 2: and limit possessions by the Hawaii offense. Army will trim

996
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:01,720
Speaker 2: all those possessions and they'll expect Cordero or Cole McDonald.

997
00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:03,319
Speaker 2: Cole McDonald's not gonna be able to get out there.

998
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:05,480
Speaker 2: Sometimes he's hot and some drives and then he gets

999
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:07,040
Speaker 2: cold and they got to pull him, and Cordero will

1000
00:45:07,040 --> 00:45:09,919
Speaker 2: come out there. You know. Hawaii's just doesn't have any

1001
00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:12,319
Speaker 2: time with the limited number of possessions to have any

1002
00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:14,360
Speaker 2: kind of sloppy play. And Hawaii is one hundred and

1003
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:16,279
Speaker 2: fourth and penalty yards, so they're not gonna get a

1004
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:18,480
Speaker 2: whole bunch offensive drives in this game. So I do

1005
00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:19,920
Speaker 2: like Army here a lot. I think they're going to

1006
00:45:20,000 --> 00:45:21,960
Speaker 2: be Hawaii again. I think they're gonna get their six win,

1007
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:25,359
Speaker 2: and I think Rolovich cares about that conference championship way

1008
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:27,160
Speaker 2: more than he cares about playing this Army game.

1009
00:45:27,600 --> 00:45:29,680
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, I mean, we always say that the triple

1010
00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:32,920
Speaker 3: option Triple Options Service Academy teams are model breakers, and

1011
00:45:32,920 --> 00:45:36,160
Speaker 3: when they play a team that's more talented, which Hawaii

1012
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:39,680
Speaker 3: is on paper, it's the great equalizer. Army as a

1013
00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:42,080
Speaker 3: dog here. It's not a big dog, but I like

1014
00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:44,279
Speaker 3: them as well. All right, let's move on to the

1015
00:45:44,480 --> 00:45:48,560
Speaker 3: Pac twelve. The pack fall's pretty much settled, Oregon pretty

1016
00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:50,759
Speaker 3: much out of the college football playoff right after that

1017
00:45:50,800 --> 00:45:52,160
Speaker 3: lost last week that I was going to stay. They've

1018
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:54,279
Speaker 3: won the Pac twelve North, the PAC twelve South, and

1019
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,400
Speaker 3: for all of our Pac twelve features still has not

1020
00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:59,520
Speaker 3: been decided. All we need USC is done. All we

1021
00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 3: need is Utah to win at home against Colorado their

1022
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:06,279
Speaker 3: twenty eight point favorites, So it's pretty much done. You

1023
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:09,719
Speaker 3: also have you know Arizona State is a thirteen and

1024
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:12,520
Speaker 3: a half point favorite against a fading Arizona team that's

1025
00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:14,240
Speaker 3: lost I think four or five in a row by

1026
00:46:14,239 --> 00:46:16,959
Speaker 3: fourteen plus. They're just getting blown out. Now they've played,

1027
00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:19,760
Speaker 3: they're coming off games against Utah or again, they played

1028
00:46:19,760 --> 00:46:22,160
Speaker 3: some of the best teams in the Pac twelve, but

1029
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:24,880
Speaker 3: they've looked messy. But this is a huge letdown spot

1030
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:27,120
Speaker 3: for a herm team that usually is in the game

1031
00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:30,600
Speaker 3: against everyone, regardless of they are a favorite or an underdog.

1032
00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:33,279
Speaker 3: You know, you have two of the rivalry games. We

1033
00:46:33,360 --> 00:46:36,680
Speaker 3: have the Apple Cup with Washington Washington State, Washington seven

1034
00:46:36,719 --> 00:46:40,000
Speaker 3: point favorite, Washington's own Washington State, their defense is built

1035
00:46:40,120 --> 00:46:43,000
Speaker 3: to shut down that air raid, and then Oregon trying

1036
00:46:43,040 --> 00:46:46,680
Speaker 3: to bounce back after that loss. They will take on

1037
00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:49,439
Speaker 3: Oregon State in the Civil War. They are nineteen point

1038
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 3: favorites over under sixty five and a half. Oregon State's

1039
00:46:52,040 --> 00:46:55,080
Speaker 3: an odd team in that they score fifty points against

1040
00:46:55,120 --> 00:46:58,000
Speaker 3: bad defenses and then don't score any against good defenses.

1041
00:46:58,360 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 3: What do you see on anywhere at the PAC twelve? Really,

1042
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:02,080
Speaker 3: I let you go where you want here.

1043
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:04,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll start with the Civil War because you kind

1044
00:47:04,040 --> 00:47:05,840
Speaker 2: of nailed it right there. I'm taking the under in

1045
00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:08,080
Speaker 2: that game, and I projected to be about ten points

1046
00:47:08,200 --> 00:47:09,800
Speaker 2: less than what the current market is, and I expect

1047
00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:12,759
Speaker 2: that number to keep dropping. Oregon State has just wilted

1048
00:47:13,080 --> 00:47:17,840
Speaker 2: against stronger trenches. You look at Washington, Utah, Cal Oregon

1049
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:20,680
Speaker 2: Stali has scored a grand total of thirty one points

1050
00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:23,440
Speaker 2: against those three defenses, when they average around thirty five

1051
00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:26,000
Speaker 2: points against every other defense that they play. Oregon State's

1052
00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:27,800
Speaker 2: made just thirty seven trips to the red zone. This

1053
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:29,399
Speaker 2: is one of the more amazing things about Oregon State

1054
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:31,600
Speaker 2: this year in my opinion. Oregon State has made the

1055
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:35,200
Speaker 2: red zone thirty seven times this year. Thirty two times

1056
00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:38,280
Speaker 2: has resulted in a touchdown. They have the highest percentage

1057
00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:40,480
Speaker 2: of touchdown rate per red zone trip. The problem is,

1058
00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:42,080
Speaker 2: thirty seven red zone trips at this point in the

1059
00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:44,200
Speaker 2: season isn't a lot, but thirty two have turned into

1060
00:47:44,239 --> 00:47:46,719
Speaker 2: a touchdown only two have turned into a field goal.

1061
00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:48,400
Speaker 2: I just don't know if they can get to the

1062
00:47:48,400 --> 00:47:51,520
Speaker 2: red zone. Oregon is seventh and finishing drives and second

1063
00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:55,400
Speaker 2: in opponent red zone scoring per attempt. Oregon's defense is stellar.

1064
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:57,200
Speaker 2: That's been the heart beat of the team all season.

1065
00:47:57,480 --> 00:47:59,520
Speaker 2: But they're even better once an opponent gets to the

1066
00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:01,680
Speaker 2: forty yards line. So you know, if ore State it's

1067
00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:03,200
Speaker 2: going to score, they've at least got to get down

1068
00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 2: to the twenty, which may be a tough thing to do.

1069
00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:07,480
Speaker 2: I think Oregon is going to bounce back here, especially

1070
00:48:07,520 --> 00:48:09,880
Speaker 2: from a defensive perspective, from a havoc perspective, because I

1071
00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:12,240
Speaker 2: think this is an under all the way the points spread,

1072
00:48:12,239 --> 00:48:14,920
Speaker 2: I actually have listed at twenty one projected at twenty one,

1073
00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:16,440
Speaker 2: so I think there is a little bit of value

1074
00:48:16,520 --> 00:48:18,319
Speaker 2: on the nineteen, which is probably going to get some

1075
00:48:18,360 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 2: steam up here. But now it's all Oregon, all under

1076
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:22,839
Speaker 2: in that game for me, as far as Utah goes,

1077
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:25,000
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not We're not backing off this overdog

1078
00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:28,080
Speaker 2: thing with these guys for you know, until it loses,

1079
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:30,239
Speaker 2: because I think Utah absolutely knows where they are and

1080
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:31,600
Speaker 2: they're just like oh you, They're going to try to

1081
00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 2: throw up as many points as possible, Unlike I mean,

1082
00:48:34,080 --> 00:48:36,200
Speaker 2: unlike O you. They've actually been very successful in doing

1083
00:48:36,200 --> 00:48:38,759
Speaker 2: it and blowing out all their conference opponents. Colorado's eighty

1084
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 2: third in offensive rush explosiveness their ninety six and offensive

1085
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:46,040
Speaker 2: pass explosiveness. Utah is first and second defensively in those categories.

1086
00:48:46,200 --> 00:48:49,960
Speaker 2: Nobody is exploding for plays against the Utah defense. Colorado's

1087
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,920
Speaker 2: defense is in deep trouble in this game. They're bottom

1088
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:55,839
Speaker 2: ten and success rate for both passing and rushing Utah

1089
00:48:55,960 --> 00:48:59,040
Speaker 2: is to is top thirteen and rushing and passing success

1090
00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 2: rate to be really ugly for Colorado in this game,

1091
00:49:02,320 --> 00:49:05,400
Speaker 2: especially with a motivated Utah team that is not getting

1092
00:49:05,440 --> 00:49:07,560
Speaker 2: mentioned enough on Tuesday nights when those rankings come out.

1093
00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:09,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, completely agree. And then how about in the Apple

1094
00:49:10,000 --> 00:49:12,919
Speaker 3: Cup with Washington, I mean Washington's coming, They're sitting at

1095
00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:15,239
Speaker 3: six and five. Both of these teams are six and

1096
00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:18,080
Speaker 3: five on the year. I mean Washington State. Yeah, I

1097
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:21,640
Speaker 3: get they had they had a miracle win over Oregon State,

1098
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:23,879
Speaker 3: and by the way, you know, Oregon State is five

1099
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:26,120
Speaker 3: and six and they could still get the six wins,

1100
00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:27,360
Speaker 3: but you also have to think that they're going to

1101
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:29,640
Speaker 3: be potentially a little flat, even though this is a

1102
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:33,240
Speaker 3: rivalry game after that stunning loss. But anything in Washington

1103
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:36,560
Speaker 3: Washington State is Washington just shut down this Mike Leach

1104
00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:37,359
Speaker 3: offense once again.

1105
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:40,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's the whole I think Washington Washington money

1106
00:49:40,480 --> 00:49:42,600
Speaker 2: line was what I had paired with Texas to get

1107
00:49:42,600 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 2: a good money line card going between two favorites at home.

1108
00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:48,640
Speaker 2: And it really goes back to defensive coordinator Jimmy Lake

1109
00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:50,399
Speaker 2: last year when they asked them after the game because

1110
00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:52,000
Speaker 2: you know, Washington State was on just a huge run

1111
00:49:52,040 --> 00:49:55,319
Speaker 2: with Gardner Minshew last year, Max Borgie, who's still there now.

1112
00:49:55,560 --> 00:49:57,279
Speaker 2: They just had a you know, they've been tearing people

1113
00:49:57,320 --> 00:49:59,359
Speaker 2: apart last season. We're even getting mintioned for the College

1114
00:49:59,360 --> 00:50:03,920
Speaker 2: Football Playoff. They faced Washington and got shut down completely.

1115
00:50:04,200 --> 00:50:06,360
Speaker 2: And if it's a coordinator for Washington came out and

1116
00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 2: said right after the game, he said, hey, it's Washington State,

1117
00:50:09,200 --> 00:50:11,120
Speaker 2: it's the air Raid. We know exactly what to do

1118
00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:13,399
Speaker 2: against this defense. We don't even have to coach that much.

1119
00:50:13,440 --> 00:50:14,880
Speaker 2: It's just culture around here. We know what to do

1120
00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:16,799
Speaker 2: against these guys. I was. I mean, it was just

1121
00:50:16,840 --> 00:50:20,440
Speaker 2: a stunning statement from an upset game shutting down one

1122
00:50:20,440 --> 00:50:21,400
Speaker 2: of the teams is in the top ten of the

1123
00:50:21,400 --> 00:50:23,680
Speaker 2: College Football Playoff, but it was just a thing where

1124
00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:26,640
Speaker 2: they systematically and schematically know how to shut down what

1125
00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:28,880
Speaker 2: Mike Leech is trying to do. If you look at

1126
00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:31,359
Speaker 2: what Washington did, another air Raid team that they shut

1127
00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:34,200
Speaker 2: down earlier this season was usc. Usc came up to

1128
00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:36,640
Speaker 2: play Washington earlier this year lost twenty eight to fourteen.

1129
00:50:36,680 --> 00:50:38,560
Speaker 2: Is one of Caadon Slovas's worst days of the year.

1130
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:41,400
Speaker 2: So I have no problem throwing Washington money line and

1131
00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:44,319
Speaker 2: any tickets that I have right now, the seven is

1132
00:50:44,320 --> 00:50:46,239
Speaker 2: about where I project it, So I mean, you're kind

1133
00:50:46,239 --> 00:50:48,120
Speaker 2: of rolling the dice taking the spread there. But it's

1134
00:50:48,160 --> 00:50:50,280
Speaker 2: just not a game where I expect Washington to lose whatsoever.

1135
00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:54,560
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to the SEC and this

1136
00:50:54,600 --> 00:50:57,240
Speaker 3: should be interesting. You know, we already talked about Alabama,

1137
00:50:57,320 --> 00:51:00,960
Speaker 3: Auburn elsewhere. There are a number of just ridiculous spreads.

1138
00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:03,640
Speaker 3: First we'll start with your boys.

1139
00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:05,719
Speaker 2: Whoo pig Suey.

1140
00:51:06,680 --> 00:51:08,479
Speaker 3: Absolute dumpster fine, dumpster fine.

1141
00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:09,839
Speaker 2: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1142
00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:12,000
Speaker 2: of the year. Just blow a program up, give us

1143
00:51:12,000 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 2: a death sentence, Collins talking razorback football.

1144
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:21,480
Speaker 3: Arkansas is catching twelve at home against a corpse Missouri

1145
00:51:21,520 --> 00:51:24,000
Speaker 3: team who just came out that the NCAA denied the

1146
00:51:24,120 --> 00:51:26,520
Speaker 3: rope and upheld their postseason bands. So they're at five

1147
00:51:26,560 --> 00:51:29,920
Speaker 3: wins and they just lost to Tennessee at home. Before then,

1148
00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:32,439
Speaker 3: they lost to Florida at home. They lost twenty seven

1149
00:51:32,400 --> 00:51:34,680
Speaker 3: to nothing to Georgie at home. Before then, they got

1150
00:51:34,680 --> 00:51:37,239
Speaker 3: blown out by Kentucky the week before that. The week

1151
00:51:37,280 --> 00:51:40,880
Speaker 3: before that, they lost that Dandy. I mean, it's bad

1152
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:43,160
Speaker 3: right now with Missouri. So if there's ever a time

1153
00:51:43,640 --> 00:51:47,000
Speaker 3: to back the Hogs, it would be here. Can we

1154
00:51:47,040 --> 00:51:47,239
Speaker 3: do it?

1155
00:51:47,320 --> 00:51:47,480
Speaker 1: Or no?

1156
00:51:48,000 --> 00:51:50,279
Speaker 2: Let me give everybody a geography lesson real quick. They've

1157
00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:52,239
Speaker 2: decided that this game needs to be in Little Rock.

1158
00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:56,080
Speaker 2: I find that ridiculous, considering it's the day after Thanksgiving,

1159
00:51:56,120 --> 00:51:58,200
Speaker 2: and that means that our players have to travel for

1160
00:51:58,280 --> 00:52:00,960
Speaker 2: a home game the day after Thanksgiving. But that means

1161
00:52:01,160 --> 00:52:03,920
Speaker 2: Missouri on a bus has to go an extra four hours,

1162
00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:06,440
Speaker 2: which makes it even worse on Missouri because getting from

1163
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:08,400
Speaker 2: Columbia to Fable is no easy drive. You can go

1164
00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:11,000
Speaker 2: through the Ozarks, it's curvy, it's nasty, or you can

1165
00:52:11,000 --> 00:52:13,360
Speaker 2: take the Interstate all all the way over to Kansas City.

1166
00:52:13,520 --> 00:52:16,440
Speaker 2: We are at least motivated, We are at least putting

1167
00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:19,040
Speaker 2: in some effort. But you're right the quarterback situation. I mean,

1168
00:52:19,040 --> 00:52:21,880
Speaker 2: if kJ Jefferson was playing this game, I would absolutely

1169
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:23,799
Speaker 2: want to take Arkansas, probably put him on the money line.

1170
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:27,040
Speaker 2: But he went into concussion protocol Nick Starkle, which I

1171
00:52:27,080 --> 00:52:29,440
Speaker 2: mean positive or not, whether he's on the field, he's

1172
00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:31,680
Speaker 2: also a concussion protocol. So I think we're down to

1173
00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:35,360
Speaker 2: grand Baby. We're down to a real estate moguls grand

1174
00:52:35,360 --> 00:52:39,240
Speaker 2: baby North was a local Northwest Arkansas real estate moguls

1175
00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:42,560
Speaker 2: grand baby. Basically, anybody that's got a legacy grandchild in

1176
00:52:42,560 --> 00:52:45,279
Speaker 2: the Northwest Arkansas area can bring their child down and

1177
00:52:45,280 --> 00:52:46,960
Speaker 2: put a helmet on them and they will get some

1178
00:52:46,960 --> 00:52:49,640
Speaker 2: snaps to score a touchdown, to bust people's overs and

1179
00:52:49,960 --> 00:52:53,279
Speaker 2: LSU points spreads. Now, this is a spot for Arkansas

1180
00:52:53,320 --> 00:52:57,200
Speaker 2: to play absolutely, one hundred percent, but I would feel

1181
00:52:57,239 --> 00:53:01,080
Speaker 2: more comfortable if it was kJ Jefferson. Jury has completely

1182
00:53:01,080 --> 00:53:02,759
Speaker 2: given up on the season. Their defense is good enough

1183
00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:04,640
Speaker 2: to shut down Arkansas, but I don't think either part

1184
00:53:04,680 --> 00:53:06,480
Speaker 2: of them are going to show up, and there's questions

1185
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:08,520
Speaker 2: around Barry ot OF's job. I don't know how to

1186
00:53:08,560 --> 00:53:10,960
Speaker 2: make this bet without kJ Jefferson. I want more information

1187
00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:13,640
Speaker 2: on kJ Jefferson his concussion protocol. But if he is

1188
00:53:13,680 --> 00:53:15,839
Speaker 2: cleared to play and is going to play, absolutely I'm

1189
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:18,040
Speaker 2: playing Arkansas. So that's how it'll be. All right.

1190
00:53:18,000 --> 00:53:20,359
Speaker 3: We've a couple of the rivals. We won't spend much time,

1191
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:23,400
Speaker 3: but we'll go rapid fire here. Louisville Kentucky, Kentucky three

1192
00:53:23,480 --> 00:53:24,560
Speaker 3: three and a half, wet favorite at home.

1193
00:53:24,600 --> 00:53:27,439
Speaker 2: Anything there, big game. If you took Kentucky under six

1194
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,719
Speaker 2: and a half with me or under six, you're gonna

1195
00:53:29,719 --> 00:53:31,360
Speaker 2: have to hedge out and play a minus one fifty

1196
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:34,279
Speaker 2: on Kentucky here to cover those win total tickets.

1197
00:53:34,680 --> 00:53:37,880
Speaker 3: Clemson minus twenty seven like they are every week between

1198
00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:41,120
Speaker 3: twenty seven and thirty four at South Carolina. I mean

1199
00:53:41,160 --> 00:53:43,320
Speaker 3: it's a South Carolina season not going to a bowl.

1200
00:53:43,840 --> 00:53:45,480
Speaker 3: Is this line too high?

1201
00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:47,560
Speaker 2: The number is spot on. I think the play here

1202
00:53:47,600 --> 00:53:49,880
Speaker 2: is to take at Clemson in the first half before

1203
00:53:49,920 --> 00:53:52,680
Speaker 2: the Venables and Herbstreet kids are out on the field.

1204
00:53:53,000 --> 00:53:53,160
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1205
00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:54,640
Speaker 3: I would think that Clemson now is going to go

1206
00:53:54,640 --> 00:53:56,799
Speaker 3: back to what they were doing before and sit is

1207
00:53:56,840 --> 00:53:59,239
Speaker 3: a rivalry game. You know, they've showed that, hey, look

1208
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:01,920
Speaker 3: we can blow out teams. People are no longer on

1209
00:54:01,960 --> 00:54:04,439
Speaker 3: their case. So I think that you will see Dabba

1210
00:54:04,480 --> 00:54:05,560
Speaker 3: do what he was doing early in the air and

1211
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:08,719
Speaker 3: pool people eat it sooner than he has been in

1212
00:54:08,880 --> 00:54:12,719
Speaker 3: recent weeks. Georgia minus twenty eight at Georgia Tech. I

1213
00:54:12,719 --> 00:54:16,120
Speaker 3: didn't know that Georgia could score twenty eight points. Keep

1214
00:54:16,160 --> 00:54:17,960
Speaker 3: it Ony on Lawrence Cajor. Their offense is just so

1215
00:54:18,040 --> 00:54:20,239
Speaker 3: much better with him. But this offense is just broke

1216
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:23,320
Speaker 3: into play calling is just so bad. It's but they're

1217
00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 3: just solid and find ways to win. It's funny that

1218
00:54:25,400 --> 00:54:28,360
Speaker 3: we bash Oklahoma for winning close games, but we credit

1219
00:54:28,440 --> 00:54:31,080
Speaker 3: Georgia for doing so. And by we, I just mean

1220
00:54:31,160 --> 00:54:33,120
Speaker 3: a lot of people that I hear anything Georgia, Georgia.

1221
00:54:32,960 --> 00:54:35,360
Speaker 2: Tech, No, thank you. I mean, this is just a

1222
00:54:35,400 --> 00:54:37,440
Speaker 2: game where don't get anybody hurt. And let's roll to

1223
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:38,640
Speaker 2: the SEC Championship game.

1224
00:54:39,200 --> 00:54:40,719
Speaker 3: And in A and M Texas A and M like

1225
00:54:40,800 --> 00:54:42,279
Speaker 3: the heart one of the hardest skitches I've ever seen

1226
00:54:42,280 --> 00:54:45,600
Speaker 3: in my life. They're now catching seventeen at LSU.

1227
00:54:46,000 --> 00:54:46,120
Speaker 1: Edo.

1228
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:48,600
Speaker 3: He wants this one. Does LSU blow this open?

1229
00:54:48,840 --> 00:54:51,480
Speaker 2: Yeah? He wants this one and his assistant coaches want

1230
00:54:51,480 --> 00:54:53,160
Speaker 2: this one too. After there were some fights on the

1231
00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:55,439
Speaker 2: field and LSU had a hard time getting home after

1232
00:54:55,440 --> 00:54:58,040
Speaker 2: this game. Just travel logistics nightmare. Texas A and M

1233
00:54:58,040 --> 00:55:00,400
Speaker 2: as a high success rate on offense, but they just

1234
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:04,680
Speaker 2: can't expose the l LSU defense and pass explosiveness. LSU's

1235
00:55:04,680 --> 00:55:06,880
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty seventh in the country and defending

1236
00:55:06,880 --> 00:55:09,200
Speaker 2: pass explosiveness, but Kellen Mond and the offensive Texas A

1237
00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:10,520
Speaker 2: and M is only one hundred and twenty second and

1238
00:55:10,560 --> 00:55:13,080
Speaker 2: throwing the ball deep. Both teams rank high in finishing

1239
00:55:13,160 --> 00:55:15,880
Speaker 2: drives LSU is fourth and finishing drives Texas A and

1240
00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:19,319
Speaker 2: M is twelve and finishing drives with defenses that are

1241
00:55:19,320 --> 00:55:21,560
Speaker 2: twenty fourth and thirty fifth in those categories. I expect

1242
00:55:21,640 --> 00:55:23,680
Speaker 2: points in this game. I'm not sure who's going to cover,

1243
00:55:23,760 --> 00:55:25,040
Speaker 2: but I'm very close to taking it over.

1244
00:55:25,560 --> 00:55:27,839
Speaker 3: And then one of the most meaningless Florida Florida State

1245
00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:30,120
Speaker 3: games I've ever seen. Florida is an eighteen point favorite

1246
00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:33,120
Speaker 3: at home against Florida State. Any interest in the Knoles

1247
00:55:33,200 --> 00:55:33,640
Speaker 3: is a dog.

1248
00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:36,200
Speaker 2: I do trust the Florida defense here, and this is

1249
00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:37,640
Speaker 2: a game that they kind of have to have if

1250
00:55:37,680 --> 00:55:39,879
Speaker 2: they want to make a New Year six. So it's

1251
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:41,200
Speaker 2: for me, it's Florida or nothing.

1252
00:55:41,320 --> 00:55:44,120
Speaker 3: All right. And then before we go three and out here,

1253
00:55:44,840 --> 00:55:46,400
Speaker 3: let's talk about this fun belt.

1254
00:55:47,000 --> 00:55:49,719
Speaker 2: Don't let the latest come between you and the bill.

1255
00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:55,120
Speaker 3: Our Louisiana futures are alive. They just keep rolling everybody,

1256
00:55:55,160 --> 00:55:57,600
Speaker 3: although I think they're spread. This week of twenty one

1257
00:55:57,680 --> 00:56:01,040
Speaker 3: is a tad high against a ULM team is playing

1258
00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:04,160
Speaker 3: to get the six wins. But the problem is Ulm's

1259
00:56:04,200 --> 00:56:06,680
Speaker 3: defensive line. Both these defensive lines are horrible. I don't

1260
00:56:06,680 --> 00:56:09,200
Speaker 3: know who stops too, but I feel like ULM can

1261
00:56:09,239 --> 00:56:11,920
Speaker 3: score enough to keep this within three touchdowns. But they're

1262
00:56:11,960 --> 00:56:15,720
Speaker 3: they're gonna get run all over by Louisiana's elite rushing attack.

1263
00:56:15,760 --> 00:56:19,239
Speaker 3: But it'll be Louisiana versus app State in the championship

1264
00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:23,120
Speaker 3: teams playing for a bowl. Troy is sitting at five

1265
00:56:23,160 --> 00:56:25,919
Speaker 3: and six. They're playing app State catching thirteen at home.

1266
00:56:26,640 --> 00:56:28,960
Speaker 3: Elsewhere you have Georgia Southern is sitting at six and

1267
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:32,400
Speaker 3: five hosting Georgia State. It's not the most advertising centell

1268
00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:34,799
Speaker 3: card with everything locked up. What are you saying here?

1269
00:56:34,840 --> 00:56:35,720
Speaker 3: What do you want to point out?

1270
00:56:36,040 --> 00:56:38,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, Georgia Southern is probably worthy of a play even

1271
00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:41,239
Speaker 2: at minus seven because this is a no motivation, This

1272
00:56:41,320 --> 00:56:43,239
Speaker 2: is a I don't think Dan Ellington's gonna play. This

1273
00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:45,120
Speaker 2: is a Georgia State sit them all kind of game.

1274
00:56:45,120 --> 00:56:48,040
Speaker 2: They've they've made seven wins, they've qualified for a bowl.

1275
00:56:48,520 --> 00:56:50,640
Speaker 2: The number is projected right, I think I have it

1276
00:56:50,680 --> 00:56:52,000
Speaker 2: at six and a half, so seven is where it

1277
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:54,239
Speaker 2: should be. But I would try to lock in seven.

1278
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:55,560
Speaker 2: I see a lot of seven halves in the market,

1279
00:56:55,600 --> 00:56:56,680
Speaker 2: and it may be worth it to buy it down

1280
00:56:56,719 --> 00:56:59,600
Speaker 2: to seven considering it's a triple option offense. So Georgia

1281
00:56:59,600 --> 00:57:01,880
Speaker 2: Southern's going very fired up to get their seventh win.

1282
00:57:02,600 --> 00:57:05,160
Speaker 2: And then as far as ulm ul goes, yeah, I

1283
00:57:05,239 --> 00:57:07,680
Speaker 2: projected it's seventeen, so twenty one wait for to seem

1284
00:57:07,719 --> 00:57:09,640
Speaker 2: up twenty one. That's way too much. At that point

1285
00:57:09,640 --> 00:57:11,799
Speaker 2: you would want to consider taking ulm All.

1286
00:57:11,760 --> 00:57:13,439
Speaker 3: Right, before we get out of here, let's go three

1287
00:57:13,520 --> 00:57:13,839
Speaker 3: and out.

1288
00:57:15,160 --> 00:57:19,080
Speaker 2: Great, let's make it a quick three and out on.

1289
00:57:19,240 --> 00:57:23,720
Speaker 3: First down, favorite overdog who you got? You know, I'm

1290
00:57:23,760 --> 00:57:28,640
Speaker 3: going Utah, I'm gonnay Mississippi State, which I guess we

1291
00:57:28,680 --> 00:57:30,800
Speaker 3: could do that now for second down Thursday night lights,

1292
00:57:30,840 --> 00:57:33,560
Speaker 3: Miss State, Oh, Miss, I think you're getting misstake cheap

1293
00:57:33,600 --> 00:57:36,560
Speaker 3: here plumbly does scare you? But any thoughts here on

1294
00:57:36,760 --> 00:57:39,040
Speaker 3: the egg Bowl on Thursday night, Yeah, I completely agree.

1295
00:57:39,040 --> 00:57:41,880
Speaker 2: You're getting Misissippi State extremely cheap here, you know. I mean,

1296
00:57:41,920 --> 00:57:43,720
Speaker 2: although it was earlier in the season, Misssippi State has

1297
00:57:43,720 --> 00:57:45,880
Speaker 2: been able to contain dual threat quarterbacks ones it like

1298
00:57:45,960 --> 00:57:48,360
Speaker 2: to use their legs. Lynn Bowden Junior only had thirty

1299
00:57:48,400 --> 00:57:50,560
Speaker 2: seven yards on three rushing attempts. He was really a

1300
00:57:50,640 --> 00:57:53,920
Speaker 2: non factor. Kellen mand was good running the ball, but scrambling.

1301
00:57:54,520 --> 00:57:56,200
Speaker 2: You know, he took off more times than he should

1302
00:57:56,200 --> 00:57:57,560
Speaker 2: and he didn't have I think his average is like

1303
00:57:57,600 --> 00:58:00,240
Speaker 2: seven yards per carry. You to expect more explosive place

1304
00:58:00,280 --> 00:58:02,560
Speaker 2: for somebody that takes off. And Missippi State is twenty

1305
00:58:02,600 --> 00:58:04,920
Speaker 2: seventh and in time of possession compared to the Rebels

1306
00:58:04,920 --> 00:58:06,280
Speaker 2: at one hundred and second. So I think they're gonna

1307
00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:08,000
Speaker 2: be able to control the clock, They're gonna be able

1308
00:58:08,000 --> 00:58:10,040
Speaker 2: to take advantage of a really bad old miss defense,

1309
00:58:10,040 --> 00:58:11,480
Speaker 2: and they're gonna be able to limit what Plumble he

1310
00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:12,200
Speaker 2: does with his legs.

1311
00:58:12,520 --> 00:58:14,040
Speaker 3: All right, and then before we get out of here,

1312
00:58:14,120 --> 00:58:17,720
Speaker 3: third down, time for Monday nine underdog parlay.

1313
00:58:20,560 --> 00:58:23,760
Speaker 2: Turning good weekends into great weekends.

1314
00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:26,920
Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay.

1315
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:29,760
Speaker 3: You'r money on underdog. What you're wronging with?

1316
00:58:30,080 --> 00:58:32,320
Speaker 2: I hope I didn't take years. I took Auburn, you did.

1317
00:58:32,640 --> 00:58:34,040
Speaker 2: So Army's out there though.

1318
00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:36,760
Speaker 3: Army would be number two fIF yep, and that's my

1319
00:58:36,880 --> 00:58:38,520
Speaker 3: number two as well. So we are on the same

1320
00:58:38,560 --> 00:58:40,320
Speaker 3: page here. I'm going with the Army. We talked about

1321
00:58:40,320 --> 00:58:43,760
Speaker 3: the situational spot, just a nightmare for Hawaii. We might

1322
00:58:43,800 --> 00:58:45,200
Speaker 3: do a live show on Friday morning. By the way,

1323
00:58:45,240 --> 00:58:47,360
Speaker 3: ten thirty, I definitely doing one on Saturday morning. Catch

1324
00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:49,560
Speaker 3: us there. We'll tweet out the link at Stucky too

1325
00:58:49,560 --> 00:58:52,680
Speaker 3: an at Underscore Colin number one with two l's. Thanks

1326
00:58:52,720 --> 00:58:54,240
Speaker 3: for listening, Thanks for joining me, Colin.

1327
00:58:55,720 --> 00:58:59,800
Speaker 2: Happy Thanksgiving Gamblers, We're thankful for you.

1328
00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:04,040
Speaker 3: Make sure you rate, review, subscribe, leave a review. It

1329
00:59:04,080 --> 00:59:06,200
Speaker 3: helps us a ton. You also go into Raffle for

1330
00:59:06,320 --> 00:59:09,080
Speaker 3: some gear. Don't forget about the voicemails all week. Enjoy

1331
00:59:09,160 --> 00:59:12,400
Speaker 3: the football, enjoy your holidays. I hope that you enjoyed

1332
00:59:12,400 --> 00:59:13,760
Speaker 3: the US. Getting this out to you soon so you

1333
00:59:13,800 --> 00:59:40,280
Speaker 3: could listen on Wednesday. Cheers, he's out. We're finished talking.