1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Let's get to Andrew Ferre's our guest. Andrew is the 2 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: CEO of Egnosis Advisory on the line from Hong Kong. Andrew, 3 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:10,200 Speaker 1: I'll be very blunt. Is China, based on what you 4 00:00:10,280 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: heard coming out of the Party Congress uninvestable? UH? An 5 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: investable on certain ways. It is very investable for domestic 6 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 1: UH consumption in both in terms of consumer durables and 7 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: consumer your durables. It might be for the time being 8 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: an investable whilst the thing really clears out, and this 9 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 1: might take quite a while for exactly what the policies 10 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:39,919 Speaker 1: mean as far as tach is concerned and as far 11 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:42,879 Speaker 1: as pure foreign investment is concerned. But it's definitely not 12 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:46,239 Speaker 1: an investable as far as domestic is concerned. And I 13 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 1: do believe that China is going to develop one of 14 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 1: the biggest domestic tourists markets in the world, but to 15 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 1: match the United States. Why Because I do believe that 16 00:00:56,080 --> 00:01:00,520 Speaker 1: under the existing COVID policies, foreign travel is going to 17 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: be almost impossible for quite a while. Yet therefore the 18 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: Chinese instead of traveling overseas, they will travel domestically. So 19 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: there's a lot of places where there are investment opportunities, 20 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 1: despite the fact that the reaction was correct as far 21 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 1: as the foreign investor is concerned, So in the rest 22 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: of Asia for foreign investors, where would you recommend Looking Well, first, 23 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: I want to differentiate very strongly between some Asian markets, 24 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: for example, Jakarta, Singapore, and India the year to date 25 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:38,040 Speaker 1: down by less than ten percent. It's an exceptionally good 26 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 1: performance compared to two SMP which is which is twenty 27 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: and Taiwan which is minus fortic All of them are 28 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: talking about minuses. Okay, so there are markets that they're 29 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: interesting to look at. The second point is is given 30 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 1: that this is the general it's a generalized center of 31 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: there's no point in saying, well, you know, we're going 32 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 1: to avoid text and we're going to consider consider something else. 33 00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: I'm taking one particular sector, and that is defense sector. 34 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 1: And surprisingly enough, Asia has got an excellent defense sector 35 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 1: both in Japan, in South Korea and in India that 36 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: are investable and they are worth looking at. And the 37 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 1: same thing, of course, as far as the United States 38 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 1: and Europe is concerned, because defense spending is going up 39 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 1: as if there is no tomorrow. This has been completely 40 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 1: ignored by the markets of up and it would stay up, 41 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:31,920 Speaker 1: whilst China, at least apparently for some observers, it's becoming 42 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:34,079 Speaker 1: tough as far as the region is concerned. In the 43 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 1: United States, well, let me pick up on that, Andrew. 44 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 1: I mean as it relates to the ban on high 45 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:43,359 Speaker 1: technology in the semiconductor industry. That's US ban on technology 46 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:46,359 Speaker 1: going into the Chinese market. Does China struggle to make 47 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: up by looking to other folks in the Asia Pacific 48 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 1: that have maybe a technology that they can benefit from. Well, 49 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 1: the biggest one is in South Korea, and South Korea 50 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: has already complying very very closely with what United States want. 51 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 1: The second one is Taiwan. That is almost a kind 52 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 1: of a joke here that Taiwanese will be helping the Chinese, 53 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: although there is an enormous amount of Taiwanese investment in 54 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 1: China on microchips, but not necessarily on the high quality, 55 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 1: high density microchips. And of course the other major microchips 56 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 1: producers is Japan. So China is going to find it 57 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: very difficult to to get a sympathetic here in at 58 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 1: least locally in Asia. Very quickly in thirty seconds or so, 59 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 1: does that significantly hold back advancement of very sophisticated technology. 60 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: For China, there are two parts here. One is to 61 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 1: have the equipment to make them okay in others who 62 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 1: have the machines to make the high quality chips. And 63 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 1: the other one is to somehow solve them. And China 64 00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: can always of course trying to invest in order making 65 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: the machines that make in the microchips. Again, that's the 66 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:59,200 Speaker 1: way today quite a while. Andrew, always a pleasure, Thank 67 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 1: you so much for being with us. Andrew Faris is 68 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: the CEO of e Cognosis Advisory, joining us here on 69 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 1: Daybreak Asia