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Speaker 1: The volume. It's the Colin Coward Podcast presented by FanDuel

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Speaker 1: Football Seasons. Here no better place to get in on

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Speaker 1: a lot of ways to play the spread, the money line,

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Speaker 1: team totals, players, props, a lot of stuff over unders,

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Speaker 1: Just use the promo code Colin and download the Fan

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Speaker 1: Duel app today. All right, here's my take before we

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Speaker 1: get to sharpened Square our bets of the Week with

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Speaker 1: Chad Millman. Let's start with a Tua injury. Good news

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Speaker 1: he's flying back with the team. Obviously there's going to

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Speaker 1: be The NFL Players Association's not happy. It looks bad

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Speaker 1: standalone game, only four days off for to it to

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Speaker 1: recover from a situation where he got up and wobbled

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Speaker 1: really serious. It looked like injury. Being slammed with the turf.

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Speaker 1: Turf one of the things I first thought when he

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Speaker 1: got slammed to the turf. It was very obvious immediately

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Speaker 1: he had to be taken out of the game and

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Speaker 1: it was a serious medical issue. Is about two or

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Speaker 1: three times a year, and I'm just throwing that number

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Speaker 1: out during a game, I'll see a player get up

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Speaker 1: and I'll watch him wobble, and you know, to eliminate

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Speaker 1: the doubt and the questions, why not have something called

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Speaker 1: like a wobble rule. If you get up at any

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Speaker 1: point on the field indecisive struggle with balance, you're out.

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Speaker 1: The next week, you're out. You know. Now a team

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Speaker 1: could manipulate that. Keep players on the field, you know,

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Speaker 1: tell the players never get up. But I see this

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Speaker 1: too often, fairly regularly, that you see players get up,

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Speaker 1: like Tua last week against Buffalo and he's you know,

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Speaker 1: he's got an issue above the shoulders. Now the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: say it's a back issue or it's a it's a

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Speaker 1: it's some other issue. They don't right now their owner

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Speaker 1: is suspended. So within that organization, who makes that call

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Speaker 1: is at the GM, is at the head coach, is

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Speaker 1: at Tua. Players generally fight to play, especially quarterbacks, because

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Speaker 1: they don't get hit like other players. They get protected

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Speaker 1: at practice. So quarterbacks, you know, they want buy in

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Speaker 1: from players. They're justin Herbert, he's gonna want to play.

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Speaker 1: You saw him last week. He was in complete pain

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Speaker 1: in the very first quarter for the Chargers against the Jags.

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Speaker 1: He's trying to make a point. I'm tough too. I

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Speaker 1: can take the pain too. I know you guys are

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Speaker 1: in collisions constantly, so the player generally has to be

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Speaker 1: saved from himself, and so the wobble rule put it

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Speaker 1: into effect. Two is flying back with the team. He

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Speaker 1: is a smaller athlete, hurt a lot at Bama, hurt

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Speaker 1: a little bit in Miami. Now this he's also not

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Speaker 1: only a smaller athlete, but he's fairly stationary. You know

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Speaker 1: a lot of the smaller quarterbacks who have had success

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Speaker 1: in the NFL, Russell Wilson, fran Tarkenton, when I grew up,

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Speaker 1: Kyler Murray. They move around Michael Vick. They can avoid hits,

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Speaker 1: also sometimes run into him. But you know, to it's

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Speaker 1: kind of your classic pocket passer. He was a Drew

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Speaker 1: Breese comp coming out of college. Sit in the pocket,

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Speaker 1: very accurate, get rid of it, quit. Not a great

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Speaker 1: deep ball thrower, not hyper athletic, and that's a lot

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Speaker 1: of what he is. He's a very very accurate thrower,

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Speaker 1: but he is a smaller athlete and a stationary target.

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Speaker 1: And I mean, you saw the violence in which he

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Speaker 1: was slammed to the turf. So the good news he's

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Speaker 1: flying back with the team. But I think we have

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Speaker 1: to create safety really does matter in the NFL. I mean,

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Speaker 1: everybody's planning some degree, but I do think there needs

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Speaker 1: to be some sort of absolute, a definitive rule. You

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Speaker 1: get up, you'll wobble your out next game, regardless of

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Speaker 1: when that next game is. Let's talk about the football game.

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Speaker 1: I said, I felt Cincinnati would win because I thought

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Speaker 1: the Miami defense, which was on the field for nineties

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Speaker 1: snaps in that South Miami heat against Buffalo, would run

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Speaker 1: out of gas in the second half. And I think

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Speaker 1: as you watched, you could see it's a very good

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Speaker 1: defensive effort by the Dolphins in the first half, very feisty,

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Speaker 1: very twitchy. I thought they'd run out of gas. They

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Speaker 1: just kind of you know, there was some those big

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Speaker 1: plays over the top which Cincinnati could not engineer in

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Speaker 1: the first half. They got several in the fourth quarter

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Speaker 1: over the top. That's just corners that are exhausted. That's

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Speaker 1: too much time on the field. I thought, you know, Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: here's something to remember. So I'm going to defend Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: not just because Joe Burrows on this podcast with a

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Speaker 1: volume first week, they gave up seven sacks, second week

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Speaker 1: six sacks, third week two sacks, Tonight one sack. New

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Speaker 1: offensive line takes them a while to gel as a unit.

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Speaker 1: I think they've mostly mostly solve their offensive line issues.

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Speaker 1: You're not going to confuse it with the Dallas Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: you know, six seven years ago, or whenever Dad came

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Speaker 1: into the league, or the mid seventy Steelers. You're not

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Speaker 1: going to confuse it for that or the Hogs in DC.

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Speaker 1: But I think it's a competent offensive line, not particularly

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Speaker 1: great at center. Guards. They've upgraded. Tackles are I think fine,

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Speaker 1: But seven sacks, six sacks, fewer sacks one sack. I

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Speaker 1: think they've largely solved that, especially in the second half

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Speaker 1: for a gas defense for the Dolphins a lot of time.

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Speaker 1: This is an offense in Cincinnati that needs to hit

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Speaker 1: on big plays. When did they separate in this game?

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Speaker 1: Fourth quarter? Why did they separate in the fourth quarter?

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Speaker 1: Over the top, big explosion plays. That's what they are.

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Speaker 1: That's what Joe Burrow is. He's gonna throw some picks.

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Speaker 1: He's got a little Matt Stafford. He's gonna be at

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Speaker 1: times a little reckless. He's gonna let it rip. He's

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Speaker 1: gonna throw some picks, he's gonna make mistakes, but he

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Speaker 1: is going to burn you and take big swings over

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Speaker 1: the top. The realization of what happened in the game

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Speaker 1: kind of what we thought would happen. I don't think

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Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater's one of the top what four or five

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Speaker 1: backups in the NFL. He and two actually kind of athletically, stylistically,

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Speaker 1: two is a little better, kind of the same guy,

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Speaker 1: sit in the pocket. Not great deep throwers, don't push

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Speaker 1: them all down the field particularly well not you know,

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Speaker 1: not going to move around a lot. But smart guys

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Speaker 1: get the game, get the offense, good at the line

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Speaker 1: of scrimmage, super accurate, get rid of it quick. But

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Speaker 1: the team that I think now is going to surge

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Speaker 1: here for the next couple of months is going to

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Speaker 1: be the Cincinnati Bengals. I think they'll only get better.

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Speaker 1: Remember Joe Burrow didn't take practice because of the surgery.

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Speaker 1: He didn't play in the preseason. They're two losses now, overtime, overtime.

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Speaker 1: This is a real good football team. But Miami serves

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Speaker 1: a lot of credit outside of their medical staff. Very

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Speaker 1: very good effort on a short week, cross your fingers

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Speaker 1: prayers for two. He's flying back with a team, and

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Speaker 1: I think we would all agree at this point he

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Speaker 1: needs to worry about his health. First, sit out a

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Speaker 1: couple of weeks. Teddy Bridgewater takes control. That feels like

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Speaker 1: an obvious one for me and probably you. So that's it.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to chat Millman Action Network, this CCO. We're

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Speaker 1: doing sharp and square two thousand, two thousand and eight,

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. When it comes to the economy, those

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Speaker 1: are some scary years. Dot Com crash, housing crash, and

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Speaker 1: the roller coaster we're going through right now. One thing

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Speaker 1: Cowherd NetSuite dot com slash Cowherd slash Cowherd. That's me NetSuite.

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Speaker 1: Time for another edition of sharp or Square with the

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Speaker 1: CCO of the Action Network, Chad Millman, host the favorites.

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Speaker 1: You see them on the Cowherd podcast feed. All of

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Speaker 1: our odds provided by a fan duel. Okay, I went

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Speaker 1: two and three. Damn Julio Jones late scratch Jesus. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go. Cowboys went on Monday night standalone game overvalued.

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Speaker 1: Dallas is only averaging fifteen and a half points of

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Speaker 1: offense a game. Washington humiliated Philadelphia is just really good.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the points Commanders plus three sharper square. Dude,

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Speaker 1: that is the Commanders as a side one hundred percent sharp.

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Speaker 1: You're nailing it, and you're nailing it for all the

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Speaker 1: reasons that the wise guys would say, bet the Commanders, right,

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Speaker 1: Dallas wins a dramatic game in prime time. There, Dallas

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Speaker 1: is always inflated as it is, right, So there's going

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Speaker 1: to be a little bit more value on betting whoever

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Speaker 1: they play in the next week, especially if the Commanders

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Speaker 1: in that next week and the week before got blown

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Speaker 1: by a team and a lot of people thought the

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Speaker 1: Commanders maybe could cover in that game. So you're one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent on the rights on the right team. The

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Speaker 1: challenge here, and this is a nuanced thing. And as

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Speaker 1: a better and all the time, because you're a very

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Speaker 1: popular guy, there's new people listening to this podcast who

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Speaker 1: may not be regular betters. There's something called getting the

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Speaker 1: best of the number, and you have to decide as

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Speaker 1: a better as you are deciding now where is the value?

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Speaker 1: And so, yes, the Commanders are still the right side,

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Speaker 1: but this game was at five and a half, so

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Speaker 1: you're not getting the best of the number anymore. So

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Speaker 1: you kind of got to make your personal choice. Do

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Speaker 1: you still believe that it's the right side even though

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Speaker 1: you're getting it at three? All right, Patriots plus nine

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Speaker 1: and a half again, odds provided by a fan duel.

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Speaker 1: Mac Jones will play high. Ankle sprain doesn't hurt him

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Speaker 1: much because he doesn't move anyway. The reality of this

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Speaker 1: is the Packers have scored one touchdown in the second

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Speaker 1: half all year. Why because Aaron Rodgers once he's off

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Speaker 1: scripted plays was young receivers, doesn't trust them once again

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Speaker 1: last week touchdown drive, touchdown drive, they fumble, he loses trust.

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Speaker 1: He packs it in nine and a half points. It'll

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Speaker 1: be low scoring, way too much Patriot sharper Square. Oh

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Speaker 1: my god, Colin, it's you just hit all the key

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Speaker 1: phrases that every professional vetter is thinking about in this game.

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Speaker 1: The numbers too high. Aaron Rodgers offense is not what

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Speaker 1: it seems just because they beat on the Bucks. It's

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Speaker 1: not that pretty. They're not playing that well. It's going

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Speaker 1: to be a low scoring game in which the Patriots

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Speaker 1: will try to control the ball, keep it out of

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers hands. A low scoring game and a high

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Speaker 1: spread are two things that if you're going to correlate them,

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Speaker 1: you tie it to the underdog that is getting a

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Speaker 1: lot of the points. This is a big pros Joe's game,

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Speaker 1: meaning the pros are putting their money on the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: and the Joe's the betters, the average betters, the square betters,

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Speaker 1: they're putting their money on the Packers. One hundred percent

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Speaker 1: sharp Colin Cowherd, all right, Cardinals getting plus one and

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Speaker 1: a half against Carolina. It's a much better roster. Arizona

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Speaker 1: is fairly desperate to quiet the critics. They need a

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Speaker 1: w or like badly. I don't like Carolina. I feel

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Speaker 1: like it's a pick um. They don't have much of

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Speaker 1: a home field advantage. I'm gonna roll here, desperate in

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Speaker 1: a good division for a win. Carolina is still rebuilding

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Speaker 1: limitations McCaffrey's health. I'm gonna take Arizona plus the point

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Speaker 1: Sharper square. Well, look, it's it's sharp only in so

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Speaker 1: much as if you're going to have to make a

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Speaker 1: plan this game, you're gonna play Arizona, you know, in

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Speaker 1: a battle of two coaches that have probably the least

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Speaker 1: respect of any coaches in the NFL. From a wise

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Speaker 1: guy point of view, Matt Rule probably has a little

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Speaker 1: bit less respect than Cliff Kingsbury. If you're gonna bet

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals, you want to bet them before it gets

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Speaker 1: into October and November, when every coach is outstrategized and

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Speaker 1: outscheme Cliff Kingsbury and he hasn't figured out how to

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Speaker 1: make any changes. They do have the better athletes. I

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Speaker 1: was big on Baker going into the year, I thought

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Speaker 1: this Carolina team could outperform expectations. He's been worse than

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Speaker 1: he ever was in Cleveland. And I will say this,

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Speaker 1: I completely agree with you about the fan base in CHARLOTTTTE.

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Speaker 1: I've got this theory. People hate me for it. Fan

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Speaker 1: bases in Charlotte, fan bases in Jacksonville, fan bases in

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Speaker 1: the AFC and NFC South teams. For the most part,

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Speaker 1: there's no passion there. Like I watched a lot of

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Speaker 1: that Carolina game this past weekend, and I might as

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Speaker 1: well have been watching a Royals Tigers midday game because

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Speaker 1: it was so quiet. Right, So, I agree with you

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Speaker 1: there is no home field advantage there. It's sharp, But

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Speaker 1: I don't know why you'd want to bet it. No, Right, Well,

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Speaker 1: you know there's better to me, There's so many better

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Speaker 1: options on the board. Okay, I'll throw this one out. Yeah. So, basically,

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs had a special team's meltdown, extra points, field goals.

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Speaker 1: It was a complete meltdown. The Colts can't score. I'm

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Speaker 1: not giving up three and a half points to anybody.

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Speaker 1: It's an Indivision rivalry game and the Titans are totally desperate.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the three and a half. I'm taking Tennessee

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Speaker 1: against the Colts. Sharper square. That's square. Now, the wise guys,

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Speaker 1: this is another one. This is a corner TV game,

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Speaker 1: and meaning this is the one the bookmakers are going

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Speaker 1: to put on in the corner because they know they

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Speaker 1: got to put it up because they're gonna be five

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Speaker 1: people that bet it. But no one really wants to

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Speaker 1: pay attention to it. The Colts have probably one of

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Speaker 1: the best rush defenses in the NFL right now. In fact, statistically,

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Speaker 1: they're giving up the fewest yards per carry on the

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Speaker 1: ground two point six yards per carry on the ground.

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Speaker 1: The Titans, when they are one dimensional passing team, that

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Speaker 1: is a recipe for disaster. Right now, they're a one

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Speaker 1: dimensional passing team without any real proven weapons on the

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Speaker 1: edges for Ryan Tannehill. Meanwhile, the Titans defense thirty first

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Speaker 1: in allowing explosive plays. They are last and in the

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Speaker 1: running game last in the NFL in yards per carry.

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Speaker 1: So the Cults, all of a sudden, they're at home

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Speaker 1: feeling a little bit better, getting a little bit better

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Speaker 1: sense of what their scheme can be. Jonathan Taylor unleashed

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Speaker 1: against the worst rushing defense in the NFL and oh,

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Speaker 1: by the way, the Colts may get shackle enter bat.

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Speaker 1: They're playing great defense without their best defensive player. The

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Speaker 1: wise guys are on the Colts here at minus three. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so I don't want to take all underdogs because that

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Speaker 1: looks like I'm just playing to just underdogs. I've got

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Speaker 1: one more underdog. I like Rams plus the points one

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Speaker 1: and a half at San Francisco, Trent Williams is out.

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Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo is a timing thrower. This means they're going

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Speaker 1: to have to keep George Kittle in to block a lot.

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Speaker 1: Takes away a weapon they've already got. Jalen Ramsey. He'll

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Speaker 1: take away Brandon Ayuk or debot match him up singularly

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Speaker 1: Troy Hill. By the way, statistically, PFF is having a

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Speaker 1: monster year, so they have two really good corners that

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Speaker 1: match up. It's one of the few games McVeigh doesn't

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Speaker 1: have a coaching advantage. But I'm sorry, I don't think

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Speaker 1: home field matters here. It's in division. They play a lot.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the points. I think the Trent Williams injury

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Speaker 1: is a huge issue for them. It forces them to

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Speaker 1: keep Kittle in, makes a much less dynamic. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to take the RAMS plus the point Sharper square. So

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Speaker 1: the RAMS opened at two and a half two and

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Speaker 1: a half point underducks. The wise guys liked it at

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Speaker 1: two and a half. The number has come down to

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Speaker 1: one and a half. This to me, and this from

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Speaker 1: a wise guy point of view, you have a lot

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Speaker 1: of challenges because you've lost the best of the number.

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Speaker 1: And Kyle Shanahan, for all of his faults, of which

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Speaker 1: he is proving to have many, in certain situations, he

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Speaker 1: dominates the Rams. Right. Other than that title game, that

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Speaker 1: NFC title game last year, he's generally that plaff game

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Speaker 1: last year, He's generally dominated the RAM. So I think

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Speaker 1: it's an interesting coaching matchup because I do think Shanahan

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Speaker 1: has proven that he can do the right things against

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Speaker 1: mcvay's schemes. I'm waffling here because there is no consensus.

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Speaker 1: I get this number right now. The wise guys don't

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Speaker 1: have a strong opinion one way or the other. This

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Speaker 1: week's gold medal performance goes to a young star who

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Speaker 1: is quickly climbing up the quarterback rankings. I always say

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Speaker 1: first impressions are powerful, right. That's an old cliche, right,

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Speaker 1: but the Eagles are bucking Matt Trent. We thought Jalen

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Speaker 1: Hurts was too small and inaccurate. We thought Nick Sirianni

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Speaker 1: initially was a joke way over his head. But Hurtz

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Speaker 1: has put in the work, clearly, runs, throws, moves with

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Speaker 1: the best of them. Philly today looks like the best

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Speaker 1: seen Jared Goff's numbers at home, They're like fantastic and

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Speaker 1: Seattle is bad on third down, bad throwing two rookie

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Speaker 1: tackles that are having, you know, classic rookie tackle issues.

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Speaker 1: Detroit scores a lot of points, a lot more at home.

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Speaker 1: Goff's getting unbelievable protection. Amron Saint Brown's banged up, didn't practice,

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Speaker 1: but at four and a half, I'd swallow it. I

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Speaker 1: think they went by a touchdown or more. I think

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Speaker 1: Seattle played a great half of football against Denver. They

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Speaker 1: haven't done anything since. I like Detroit to win and cover.

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Speaker 1: So interesting you're talking about this game. So, as you mentioned,

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Speaker 1: I host The Favorites on the Volume podcast network. On Thursdays,

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Speaker 1: we do a segment called Sharp Calls, in which professional

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Speaker 1: betters react to the conversations my co host and I

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Speaker 1: had on Tuesday. Why don't you ever mention his name?

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Speaker 1: He's very talented. I mentioned him all the time, Simon Hunter.

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Speaker 1: He's amazing because it seems like you're always gloss over

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Speaker 1: his name. I'm not trying to start anything, you just

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Speaker 1: gloss over it. Really well. Yeah, I mean if I

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Speaker 1: said constantly my wife had never mentioned Anne, I'd be

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Speaker 1: like that suspicious. They're having problems. No, I love Simon.

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Speaker 1: I mentioned it, dude. I made Simon a co host

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Speaker 1: of the podcast. We added his picture. Now you're getting

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Speaker 1: very defensive. There's something going on. Are you guys struggling.

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Speaker 1: I'm such a dick. Oh my god, you're so annoying

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Speaker 1: me and some of the guy who the podcast with.

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Speaker 1: We get these calls from professional betters, and the one

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Speaker 1: game that they kept telling us we weren't talking enough

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Speaker 1: about was the Seahawks and the Lions. Who do they like?

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Speaker 1: They love the Seahawks, And I was like, I was like, really,

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Speaker 1: they love the Seahawks. They love the Seahawks down to

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Speaker 1: three and a half the game of that four and

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Speaker 1: a half, I'm as shocked as you are. So I

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Speaker 1: think there's some analysis about Geno Smith that is being overlooked,

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Speaker 1: that he's playing just much better than people expected. I

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Speaker 1: think that you know, you're not going to often get

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Speaker 1: running backs who have an impact on a team's power

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Speaker 1: rating and on a point spread. But I do think

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Speaker 1: with DeAndre Swift being out, he's the playmaker on that team.

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Speaker 1: Aman Ross Saint Brown is great and he's the guy

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00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:55,480
Speaker 1: that they can go to to keep drives going, but

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Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift breaks open huge plays and sort of tilts

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Speaker 1: the game for them in different way. So I think

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Speaker 1: they're counting on that. And this defense is terrible and

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Speaker 1: so it's going to be hard for them to stop anybody.

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Speaker 1: And I think that with the combination of Geno Smith

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Speaker 1: playing better than they thought, the wise guys are betting

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks right now. I'm not going to bet this game.

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Speaker 1: I don't think talk me into it. Raiders minus two

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Speaker 1: and a half. So the numbers telling you about the Raiders.

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Speaker 1: But here's my problem, and I do think they've lost

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Speaker 1: three close games. Derek Carr's been fine, they've lost very close,

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Speaker 1: competitive games. But what worries me about the Broncos is

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Speaker 1: that in that last series against San Francisco, a great defense,

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Speaker 1: Russell's like, okay, I'm just going to take the offense over.

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Speaker 1: I've been deferential to you. My gut says that last

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Speaker 1: drive is Russells saying, listen, I try to be a

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Speaker 1: good soldier. I've got to win games. And I think

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Speaker 1: that's the offense we're going to see from Denver now

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Speaker 1: going forward. That's my feeling. So I like Denver and

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00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:05,280
Speaker 1: I wrong plus polls Denver. Denver plus two and a

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00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:09,680
Speaker 1: half is the spot here. And I agree with you

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent. You know, look, you and I before

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Speaker 1: the season began, we both love the Russell on the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: We think this defense is amazing. It's proven to be amazing.

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Speaker 1: I don't think we realized how over his head Nathaniel

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Speaker 1: Hackett would be to start the year. Yeah, and I

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Speaker 1: am not a guy who says, oh well, he sucks

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Speaker 1: in the beginning, so he's not gonna be able to

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Speaker 1: grow into it. Everybody has their opportunity to do that,

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Speaker 1: but I do think that what you saw at the

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Speaker 1: end of that game was Russell Wilson b and Russell

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Speaker 1: Wilson and against a Raiders team that just feels like

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Speaker 1: it's in disarray right now. You're having team meetings, you know,

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Speaker 1: three weeks into it. Man, that's a different conversation. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I like the Broncos. Here at plus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: All right, finally, Sharper Square, there's a game that you

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Speaker 1: like and want to talk about. I haven't discussed Chad Milman.

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Speaker 1: I really hope. I do hope you and Simon can

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Speaker 1: hatch it up because I really like the synergy and

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Speaker 1: the relationship. So work on it, go on a retreat

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Speaker 1: or something. All right, what's your game? Listen me too,

422
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 1: and I'll definitely relate to him that you might concern

423
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 1: about everything you and your best wishes. You come on

424
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 1: the show, and we've loved having you, and I know

425
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:21,880
Speaker 1: you guys have gotten to know each other. So I'm

426
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 1: excited about that. Not really, I'm totally jealous, but I

427
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 1: here's what I love. A couple of games this week

428
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 1: Jags plus six and a half at the Eagles. Boy,

429
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 1: their defense up front, who they got first round linebackers

430
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 1: everywhere people are I mean, Trevor Lawrence has been great,

431
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:43,160
Speaker 1: but they're front seven. That's top five in the league.

432
00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:45,960
Speaker 1: It is good. So you look at it from a

433
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:48,880
Speaker 1: personnel perspective. I'm looking at it from a market perspective,

434
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 1: which is the bookmakers have not adjusted to how good

435
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:57,440
Speaker 1: the Jaguars are yet. It normally takes bookmakers, and we've

436
00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,359
Speaker 1: I've talked about this with a lot of bookmakers. It

437
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:02,399
Speaker 1: takes them about a month before they can truly adjust

438
00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 1: their power ratings. You can't look at a team in

439
00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 1: week one or week two and say, oh my god,

440
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:09,880
Speaker 1: this team is better than I thought and adjust their

441
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 1: power ratings three or four points. Like. You have to

442
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,840
Speaker 1: gradually do it. You know, it's like taking yourself off

443
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:18,120
Speaker 1: some kind of drug, right, like you gotta slowly detox.

444
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:23,879
Speaker 1: The market was already overvaluing the Eagles. They are the

445
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 1: team that everybody loves in the NFC. So this client

446
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 1: opened at seven, it moved down to six and a half.

447
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 1: You look at Fandal right now. The Jags are still

448
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 1: plus two twenty five to win the AFC South. They're

449
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:36,159
Speaker 1: leading the division. The Colts are plus one hundred like

450
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,840
Speaker 1: the Jags aren't even shortest in their division. The market

451
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 1: is just not catching up from my perspective to how

452
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 1: good this Jags team can be and how good they

453
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:46,360
Speaker 1: can be offensively. So I love the Jags this week.

454
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 1: And there's another one, Well, there's two other ones, if

455
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 1: you'll indulge me. The Texans plus five at home against

456
00:26:56,640 --> 00:27:00,159
Speaker 1: the Chargers. I am always going to look to at

457
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:04,359
Speaker 1: a home underdog, A home underdog of more than a

458
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:08,960
Speaker 1: field goal historically will pay out a home underdog in

459
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 1: which every game they've played they've been competitive. And I'm

460
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 1: getting a visiting team. It has lost their left tackle

461
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:22,119
Speaker 1: and Rashaan Slater. They've lost their defensive end in Joey Bosa.

462
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:26,760
Speaker 1: Their playmaking quarterback is playing with four broken ribs. It's

463
00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 1: not like he's that much better this week, right. Those

464
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:33,480
Speaker 1: things take many, many weeks to heal. So to me,

465
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 1: how am I not betting a decent sized home underdog

466
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 1: in this game? So those are two that I'm thinking about.

467
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,120
Speaker 1: I'm surprised you didn't bring either of those up. Well,

468
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 1: the Jags I have circled. I thought about it. Philadelphia

469
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:54,240
Speaker 1: at home, you talk about Jacksonville has an impassionate crowd

470
00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 1: or dispassionate crowd. Philadelphia at home is a handful. It's

471
00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:02,120
Speaker 1: like a college crowd. It's a lot, and I think

472
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:05,560
Speaker 1: they're Jalen Hurts great. Kosel told me today He's like

473
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:07,359
Speaker 1: he's just got time to throw. It's a clean pocket,

474
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:12,200
Speaker 1: every drop, everything's clean. It's hard to stop quarterbacks who

475
00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:15,840
Speaker 1: feel no pressure on almost no snaps. So now the

476
00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 1: question is do they create pressure, which I'm telling you

477
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 1: the D line of Jacksonville and the old line of

478
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:26,240
Speaker 1: Philly maybe the best unit matchup all week. Like it's

479
00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:32,000
Speaker 1: going to be unbelievable. All right, good stuff. That was very,

480
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,480
Speaker 1: very strong. The Sharper Square is really coming into its own.

481
00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:37,399
Speaker 1: People are starting to talk about it. I like that.

482
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 1: That's why is it grows in popularity. And you know,

483
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:45,040
Speaker 1: you and Simon may have a little skirmish. I don't

484
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:46,960
Speaker 1: want any jealousy as the numbers start to spike on

485
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:50,520
Speaker 1: this thing, because we're all one big family. Then if

486
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 1: I think what could really bring us all together is

487
00:28:54,520 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 1: if me, you, Simon Kim Kardashian, you ever paid for

488
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 1: your dinner. I saw her sat next to her like

489
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:09,760
Speaker 1: she first of all, she happily married. She's a stunning woman,

490
00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 1: which is obvious, but when you see her in person,

491
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 1: she's beautiful and she has almost metallic hair, it's like silver,

492
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 1: so it's very wow. She's really, really, genuinely one of

493
00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:24,640
Speaker 1: those one percenters, not even a one percenter, one percent

494
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:30,520
Speaker 1: and one percenter like startlingly beautiful. And did she notice

495
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 1: you took a picture of her? No? I did it

496
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:36,640
Speaker 1: very casually, like I was taking a picture of the

497
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 1: check and then last second I just moved the camera

498
00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 1: back down, because I mean, her life is a series

499
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 1: of weirdos, right, what is it like? Do you ever

500
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:53,720
Speaker 1: notice if someone's taking a picture of you? Law enforcement? Naturally,

501
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:58,000
Speaker 1: but those are the stats you post for. People come

502
00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 1: up to me and say they exact same thing every

503
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:06,680
Speaker 1: time heard love the show. It's the exact same thing

504
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 1: every day and all day. It's you know, it feels

505
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 1: they don't take your picture, They don't surreptitiously take your

506
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:18,280
Speaker 1: picture the way you do of Kim Kardashian. No, nobody's

507
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:21,080
Speaker 1: really interested in being connected to me visually. That's not

508
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 1: something nobody's nobody's hoping for. That You've got, You've got

509
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:28,480
Speaker 1: La La, The La audience. Remember, people in LA are

510
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:31,800
Speaker 1: casual and cool. You know, if I if I lived

511
00:30:31,840 --> 00:30:34,720
Speaker 1: in Columbus, Ohio, they'd swear at you and do dumb stuff.

512
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,160
Speaker 1: But like LA is always like hey, you know, like

513
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 1: I'm the I'm the thirteenth level of stardom. In LA,

514
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:45,520
Speaker 1: there's like movie stars, TV stars, soap opera stars, sports stars.

515
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 1: You know, I'm like the thirteenth level. So I'm like,

516
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 1: you know, nobody cares. That's what really shiny metalic. But

517
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:58,320
Speaker 1: it's amazing. Not that I was awestruck. I don't really care.

518
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:01,960
Speaker 1: I saw like Jamie Foxx once in person, he came up.

519
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:04,560
Speaker 1: That was kind of cool. I don't really care. But um,

520
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 1: I gotta be honest. When she walked in, I kind

521
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 1: of stared. I wasn't an awe or anything, but I

522
00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 1: did stare. She's very um. You know, there are certain

523
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:18,640
Speaker 1: people you just stare at like she, Like if Shack

524
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 1: walked into a room, you'd stare at Shack. Kim Kardashian,

525
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:24,800
Speaker 1: you kind of you know, the whole entourage, that the hair.

526
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,400
Speaker 1: She's like a superstar. I don't I've been in the

527
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 1: presence take out sports. I've been in the presence of

528
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:34,600
Speaker 1: Jamie Fox and Kim Kardashian. That's it in my life,

529
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 1: and you can you can sense it, you can feel it, right,

530
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:40,120
Speaker 1: That's how I feel when I go out in West Hartford.

531
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 1: Happened to me last night when I went to Bartaco,

532
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 1: who'd you run into? The question? Was people walking away

533
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 1: saying I ran in, Chad Noman. You know, well, I

534
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,120
Speaker 1: hope they're watching this podcast. Buddy, we got bills to pay,

535
00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 1: all right, I'll talk to you later, all right, buddy.

536
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:18,440
Speaker 1: The Volume make sure to check out The Draymond Green Show.

537
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:21,240
Speaker 1: I brought Draymond Green into the Volume because one of

538
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:25,360
Speaker 1: the more entertaining voices in sports. Unique perspective understands Behind

539
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 1: the rope also chops up with guests like Gary Peyton,

540
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 1: Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. Make sure download The Draymond Green

541
00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 1: Show wherever you get your podcasts, only on the Volume

542
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 1: podcast Network.