1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:10,039 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Apple second quarter revenue 2 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:12,879 Speaker 1: ninety point seventy five billion. That's slightly better than the 3 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: forecast of ninety point three to three billion. iPhone revenue 4 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,600 Speaker 1: forty five point ninety six billions, slightly above the estimate 5 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,279 Speaker 1: of forty five point seventy six billion. The company here's 6 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,600 Speaker 1: a big one to buy back additional one hundred and 7 00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: ten billion dollars worth of shares and boosting its quarterly dividend. 8 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: That's the Apple playbook, and it is now up two 9 00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 1: point three percent. Initial reaction here in the after mark, Yeah. 10 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 2: I was going to say, who cares about those other numbers. 11 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 2: It's that buyback of additional one hundred and ten billion 12 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 2: dollars of shares and boosting that quarterly dividend that certainly 13 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 2: has investors expected. Some additional color here. Second quarter Greater 14 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 2: China revenue Carol sixteen point three seven billion. Even though 15 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:50,639 Speaker 2: that was a decline of over eight percent year over year, 16 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:53,160 Speaker 2: it still did beat estimates of fifteen point eight seven 17 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 2: billion dollars. Second quarter revenue coming in above estimates at 18 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 2: ninety point seventy five billion. Estimates are for ninety point 19 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 2: three to three iPhone revenue also coming in above estimates 20 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 2: forty five point nine to six billion. Estimates were forty 21 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 2: five point seven six billion dollars. 22 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:10,640 Speaker 1: Apple raising that dividend to twenty five cents a share 23 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: from the previous dividend of twenty four cents a share. 24 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 1: So just to keep in mind that we start, you know, slowly. 25 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: We've seen all of these big tech companies, the Magnificent 26 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 1: seven offering up things like a dividend and so on. 27 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 2: Our own Mark German all over this story. Here's his take. Initially, 28 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 2: Apple sales decline less sharply than feared last quarter, held 29 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 2: by stronger than expected demand in China, sparking optimism that 30 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 2: the company slow down, maybe easing. Apple also set it 31 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:36,200 Speaker 2: expects three turned sales growth in the current period, with 32 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 2: revenue climbing by a percentage in the low single digits. 33 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 2: That's according to Luka Maistri, the company's CFO. He told 34 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 2: ut Bloomberg Television's Emily Chang in an interview. 35 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: All right, so let's get some analysis right now. Our 36 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 1: own Ana Agrana is standing by of our Bloomberg intelligence 37 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 1: team on RAG. You've got the numbers, and of course 38 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 1: the additional big buy back of one hundred and ten 39 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: billion dollars worth of share, boosting its quarterly dividend. But 40 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: it looks like, you know, they came in either online 41 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: or better than expected. But what's your smart take on this? 42 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say anything. The number that stands out 43 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 3: really is that the decline in China was not as 44 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 3: bad as I guess it was communicated before, so slightly 45 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:18,079 Speaker 3: better than before, but it's still overall still a negative number. 46 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 3: There is no and then you know, we will find 47 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:22,680 Speaker 3: out on the conference call whether they make a comment 48 00:02:22,800 --> 00:02:24,480 Speaker 3: or not, or what kind of guidance they give for 49 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:27,399 Speaker 3: next quarter. But overall, I would say the results were 50 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 3: okay compared to I'd say going into the quarter when 51 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 3: the pessimism is very high. 52 00:02:33,040 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 2: What's the big headline here? Is it the boarder proving 53 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 2: plans to buy back an additional one hundred and ten 54 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 2: billion dollars worth of company stocks? Is it Apple increasing 55 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 2: its dividend four percent to twenty five cents a share? 56 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 2: Are those the numbers that investors should be focused on 57 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 2: right now? 58 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 3: I would have been expecting, you know, them to buy 59 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 3: at least one hundred million dollars of stock every year. 60 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 3: So that's you know, to me at a table stake 61 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 3: ten billion. Yeah, it's just it's just normal. I really 62 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 3: need to know where the growth is going to come from, 63 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 3: and you know, how our things shaping up for the 64 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:03,839 Speaker 3: second half of the year. And but most importantly, what 65 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 3: are they doing in the AI of you know, arena 66 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 3: at this point and what kind of features should we 67 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 3: expect going forward. 68 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: So remind us to Honora, this company typically doesn't release 69 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:16,079 Speaker 1: the outlook in their call. I forget. I mean you 70 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 1: talk about it on the call, but not in the release, correct. 71 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's not in the release. They're going to give 72 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,519 Speaker 3: some indication about each of the product lines on the call. 73 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 3: So when we look at these results, you know, services 74 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 3: is good, you know, iPhone modestly better, you know overall, 75 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 3: I would say, in line to slightly better quarter. But 76 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:35,880 Speaker 3: it all boils down to the commentary on the conference 77 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 3: call about how the things shaping up in the current quarter. 78 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 1: So if they are talking down China in particular, or 79 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 1: revenues or overall, that is going to get you concerned. 80 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that is going to you know all 81 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 3: the all the you know, the current you would say, 82 00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 3: the minor beat will be all offset by if there 83 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 3: are any comments negative comments about you know, continued weakness 84 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 3: of the iPhone in the third quarter, because remember, if 85 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 3: we consensus right now, iPhone revenue for next quarter is 86 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 3: supposed to be down two percent. Now, remember in this 87 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 3: quarter was down ten percent, So we need to know 88 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 3: whether that two minus two percent holds true or are 89 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 3: we going to see better than that in line or worse. 90 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 2: Shear's higher in the after hours right now by about 91 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 2: four percent. Fair to say, we're seeing this reaction as 92 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 2: a result of just expectations being so low going into 93 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 2: this exactly. 94 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, absolutely, this is this is a true game 95 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 3: of where pessimism has been so high and they go 96 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:30,840 Speaker 3: out and you know, beat by a slight amount. But 97 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 3: again I will give you my final verdict after the call. 98 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:36,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, and we're also seeing where we said Greater China 99 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 1: revenue better than expected, it was still about a billion 100 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 1: and a half low a year ago. Sales are down considerably. 101 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: Also in Japan, the rest of Asia Pacific, and in 102 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 1: the Americas. The lone bright spot seems to be some 103 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,839 Speaker 1: minor growth in Europe. You know, it's interesting on surveillance 104 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 1: this morning, Ana Rag Tom Keane asking one of his guests, 105 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:56,559 Speaker 1: is this a growth stock? Is this a value stock? 106 00:04:56,600 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: How do you think about it? I know you don't 107 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:00,840 Speaker 1: give stock recommendations, but in terms of the growth metrics, 108 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:04,359 Speaker 1: it's always big numbers. But is it big growth numbers 109 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 1: anymore when it comes to Apple. 110 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 3: No, we don't think it's good growth numbers for Apple 111 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,880 Speaker 3: at all, only because I think the big spike we 112 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:14,479 Speaker 3: saw during the pandemic, people buying a lot of iPads, 113 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 3: computers or AirPods, all of that is now, you know, 114 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:20,920 Speaker 3: basically you could say haunting them. We are coming into 115 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 3: a world where Apple's growth rate is going to hover 116 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 3: somewhere between zero to five percent for at least the 117 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 3: next two to three years. Now that's a good case. 118 00:05:28,880 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 3: We really need to get make sure that the China 119 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:35,479 Speaker 3: situation is handled, even if even before we can make 120 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:38,159 Speaker 3: that claim. Otherwise it's going to be closer to that 121 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,839 Speaker 3: zero to two percent rather than closer to five percent. 122 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 2: Honor Ragaran Mark German on the lifeblog, making the point 123 00:05:44,440 --> 00:05:47,280 Speaker 2: that the company declined nearly across the board on an 124 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 2: annual basis, despite the fact that they beat Wall Street estimates. 125 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 2: So that's overall revenue the iPhone buy a lot, the 126 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 2: iPad buy a lot, Wearables, home and accessories, buy a lot. 127 00:05:57,560 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 2: The bright spots are growth and services and for the 128 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 2: Mac to the M three due to the M three 129 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 2: Mac book care. Let's talk services. This is a category 130 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 2: that was fair to say, was really created under Tim 131 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 2: Cook and it's just been an incredible growth over the 132 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:14,120 Speaker 2: last few years. What are the bright spots within services? 133 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,479 Speaker 3: So in our view, services is really what's holding Apple 134 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 3: together only because it gives you in the ecosystem field. 135 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 3: It's not easy to get out of the ecosystem and 136 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 3: leave Apple for another product. And which is why you know, 137 00:06:25,960 --> 00:06:29,279 Speaker 3: the numbers over here are truly important because you know 138 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 3: this time they grew around close to fourteen percent if 139 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:35,320 Speaker 3: I remember correctly, that's that's better than what the company 140 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 3: had initially you know indicated. So this is this is 141 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 3: a growth driver. This is what provides value to the ecosystem, 142 00:06:42,080 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 3: and we are hoping that they're going to come out 143 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 3: and you know, talk good things about the next quatter 144 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:48,919 Speaker 3: also from services, because this is the only growth drivate 145 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:49,599 Speaker 3: left of this point. 146 00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:52,039 Speaker 1: Hey Anna rok, how much of now it's just under 147 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 1: a four percent gain here in the aftermarket for shares 148 00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:56,719 Speaker 1: of Apple. How much of it is at a relief 149 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 1: that it wasn't worse than expected, especially when it comes 150 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: to what's going on in China, but also that big 151 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 1: boost in terms of buyback and the dividend. 152 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, it is a big relief, frankly, because again, this 153 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:09,840 Speaker 3: is the one company everybody has been concerned about over 154 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 3: the last twelve months. Now, that's why I'm saying, this 155 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 3: is not like you know, Amazon or Microsoft beating their 156 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:17,640 Speaker 3: cloud numbers by a big amount. It's just you know, 157 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 3: somebody saying, oh my god, it's not bad enough, It's 158 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 3: just okay. So it's a very different sentiment. But again 159 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 3: that's the way market behaves, Frankly, it's a game of expectations. 160 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: But I mean, how much of the jump in the 161 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 1: aftermarket is it mostly just that it wasn't worse than 162 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: is expected? Or is it also a big check of 163 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 1: the buyback. 164 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 3: Now, the buybacks, as I said, they do about one 165 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 3: hundred million dollars a year, so one hundred and ten 166 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 3: billion is not a big deal. 167 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 2: Go to quarterly dividend increasing penny. 168 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, But once again, you know, this is a technology stock. 169 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 3: We really need to see the growth for this company 170 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 3: to actually see their valuation go up. 171 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 2: Okay, so what has you concerned here? 172 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:55,080 Speaker 3: I mean, I just want to know what's happening in China. 173 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:58,040 Speaker 3: Frankly we don't. This report has not has told me 174 00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 3: that the things in China are not as bad as 175 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 3: what the street was looking at. But that doesn't mean 176 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 3: it's still a decline. 177 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 2: How much of an issue is it? And again Mark 178 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 2: Krman pointing this out, Wearable's Home and Accessories a big decline, 179 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 2: dipping nearly a billion dollars. He says it's shocking because 180 00:08:11,480 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 2: it's the same quarter that Apple launched the Vision Pro, 181 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 2: which is included in that category, its first major new 182 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 2: product in nearly a decade. Bad news for Vision Pro. 183 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, we were never expecting any major contribution from that device. 184 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 3: Think about it, three five hundred dollars. Even if you 185 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 3: sell four hundred thousand units the entire year, which is 186 00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 3: very big, you're not going to get that much revenue 187 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 3: boost from it. So it's not really a needle mover. 188 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 3: The thing that actually surprised me more was that the 189 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 3: IPID decline was very sharp. Now, this is something that 190 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 3: I think they're going to have to explain on the call, 191 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:47,199 Speaker 3: and they're launching a new series next week. So seventeen 192 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 3: percent decline is what I remember, you know, briefly from 193 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 3: a couple of minutes ago. That's a big decline in iPads. Also, 194 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 3: all right, gonna lead there. 195 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 1: We know you've got lots going on, so appreciate your 196 00:08:56,840 --> 00:09:01,079 Speaker 1: immediate response to Apple earnings. Our own Ragrana, who follows 197 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 1: Apple for a Bloomberg Intelligence team. Apple shares, by the way, 198 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 1: continuing to move up in the aftermarket, up about three 199 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:09,679 Speaker 1: and a half percent. We've got another great voice for 200 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:13,680 Speaker 1: us on this, Dan Morgan, senior portfolio manager at Sonova's Trust, Dan, 201 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 1: which jumps out for you here. 202 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:18,640 Speaker 4: Well, I'm trying to come up with some great ideas 203 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:21,679 Speaker 4: different than what you've already talked about. Again, it was 204 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 4: kind of a mixed report, I think. You know, as 205 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 4: you were talking about earlier. The big things that stood 206 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 4: out to me were obviously the better than better than 207 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 4: expected numbers in China. You know, obviously iPhone a slight beat, 208 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 4: which is a positive. But you know, Carol Timo, it's 209 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:41,199 Speaker 4: kind of interesting. I've been following Apple stock for about 210 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 4: thirty years, and I can remember back in twenty fourteen, 211 00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:48,400 Speaker 4: they had a very similar situation where everybody was very negative. 212 00:09:48,440 --> 00:09:51,560 Speaker 4: They were having issues in China and the stock was 213 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 4: really floundering. 214 00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 3: And then they came out and. 215 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:55,560 Speaker 4: They did a seven for one stock split, they raised 216 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 4: a dividend, and they started buying more shares and everybody 217 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 4: went crazy. So it's kind of interesting in this scenario, 218 00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:04,439 Speaker 4: we see the dividend going up, and we see, as 219 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 4: you were talking about before, an announcement of one hundred 220 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 4: and ten a billion dollars are going to purchase at stock. 221 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:12,559 Speaker 4: It'd be interesting to see if they call up thing 222 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 4: else on the conference call in terms of, you know, 223 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 4: financial engineering to try to kind of reinvigorate interest back 224 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 4: into Apple. 225 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:22,240 Speaker 1: Well, you know, I'm kind of glad you went there 226 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:24,439 Speaker 1: because I mean, and this maybe just gets to how 227 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:28,080 Speaker 1: do we classify Apple. I mean, this is a behemoth, 228 00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 1: and I feel like whenever the numbers come across, maybe 229 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:33,959 Speaker 1: the growth rate isn't there, but I mean, revenue above 230 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 1: ninety billion dollars every time, we have to kind of 231 00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:38,719 Speaker 1: dissect these numbers, Dan, and we've done it a lot 232 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 1: of times with you. I mean, this is a company 233 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: that's very entrenched globally, kind of in the consumer space, 234 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,840 Speaker 1: and I just I think is that enough to continue 235 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 1: just by selling a lot of stuff? As long as 236 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 1: they continue to sell a lot of stuff, even if 237 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 1: the growth trajectory isn't there, still makes it an interesting 238 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 1: and engaging company for investors. 239 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 4: Did on the button, Carroll, I mean, just think about 240 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:04,640 Speaker 4: the new vision pro I mean, they're supposed to do 241 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 4: four hundred million dollars in revenue alone just on that product. 242 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:11,560 Speaker 4: And I heard you just mentioned that the wearables missed, 243 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 4: so it's kind of itching. That's more than some companies 244 00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 4: generate toil a revenue. And you're right. I mean, they 245 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 4: have what one point five billion users you put together 246 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 4: the whole house, it's close to two billion when you 247 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:26,080 Speaker 4: look at all the different services that they have, and 248 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 4: it's just a tremendous cash generator. I'm sure you've talked before, 249 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:33,079 Speaker 4: what one hundred and seventy two billion dollars with marketable 250 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 4: securities and cash. They generate free cash flow about one 251 00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:39,520 Speaker 4: hundred and five hundred and seven billion. So those numbers 252 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 4: are kind of going back to the Warrant Buffett school 253 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 4: kind of the old security analysis they teach out to 254 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 4: your Chicago and you know there's value in that, and 255 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 4: even though we want to see an incredible new AI 256 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 4: product that's just going to be like the next iPhone, 257 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 4: it's probably not. 258 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 3: Going to happen. 259 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 4: And I think we just have to kind of accept 260 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,840 Speaker 4: that and look at the company just for what it 261 00:11:59,880 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 4: is is and it doesn't mean they can increase your 262 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:04,680 Speaker 4: stock price through these other avenues. Does that make sense? 263 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes sense. Dan, Hey, I want to keep 264 00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:09,319 Speaker 2: you because I also want to bring in Markerman, Bloomberg 265 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 2: News chief technology correspondent, who was fresh off the live blog, 266 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 2: has the write up that you need to read about 267 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:18,560 Speaker 2: these earnings. But I do want to start at the top. 268 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 2: Mark big picture, what sticks out to you. We've been 269 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 2: discussing this NonStop for the past twelve minutes. 270 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:26,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, so a big picture here is that Apple's doing 271 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 5: a little bit better than feared. Right, you still see 272 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 5: declines across all of their segments other than the MAC 273 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 5: and services, but a little bit better than what we 274 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 5: had anticipated, or not what we had anticipated, but what 275 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 5: had some it anticipated. In China, certainly a lot of 276 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:44,480 Speaker 5: optimism around artificial intelligence. But you know, the big picture 277 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 5: here is that Apple is no longer in growth mode. 278 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 5: They're a stable company generating as much revenue as they 279 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:51,760 Speaker 5: did the past year and the year before that and 280 00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:54,880 Speaker 5: the year before that. So nothing is necessarily broken here, 281 00:12:54,920 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 5: but they do need to figure out a way to 282 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 5: grow in the future, and just it's very unclear how 283 00:12:58,880 --> 00:12:59,440 Speaker 5: that's going to happen. 284 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 2: Okay, that was next question for you, Mark, What is 285 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:04,600 Speaker 2: going to return Apple to growth mode? And give us 286 00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:06,319 Speaker 2: a little Apple history here, like when was the last 287 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:08,240 Speaker 2: time Apple found itself in this position and what did 288 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:09,560 Speaker 2: they do to get themselves out of it. 289 00:13:10,880 --> 00:13:12,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, so I'm gonna answer this question this way. The 290 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:15,440 Speaker 5: scariest line that you're going to see in Apple's press 291 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:19,040 Speaker 5: release is the wearables, home and Accessories number. That's about 292 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:23,719 Speaker 5: an eight hundred nine hundred million dollar annual decline, pretty considerable, 293 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 5: about a ten percent decline there for that business that 294 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 5: covers Airpod's, Apple Watch, appel TV, HomePod, you name it. 295 00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 5: Why is that so concerning? Because this is the launch 296 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 5: quarter of the Apple Vision pro which is supposedly their 297 00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 5: future and their savior for growth. And if you're going 298 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 5: to have that category of the Vision pros and have 299 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:43,120 Speaker 5: one of its biggest declines ever in the launch quarter 300 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 5: of your new product. Clearly things are not going so 301 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 5: hot in what you're betting your future on. The last 302 00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:53,000 Speaker 5: time that Apple was sort of stuck in terms of 303 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:56,240 Speaker 5: lack of growth was really before the iPhone came out. 304 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 5: So it has the company has been growing for a very, very, 305 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 5: very long time. Right at some point momentum runs out. 306 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 5: The momentum has run out. The good news is that 307 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 5: it's not like they're you know, creating. 308 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:10,040 Speaker 2: Hey, Mark, real quick, I did bring that up. I 309 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 2: saw you wrote wrote that about that in the our 310 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 2: great live blog. Everybody should check that out as they're 311 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:17,080 Speaker 2: listening to this. And I brought that up to Honor 312 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 2: rog and he made he made the point that, you know, 313 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 2: the Vision pro is still very expensive, and even if 314 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:25,160 Speaker 2: they sold a ton of them, then it wouldn't have 315 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 2: a huge impact just because it's still relatively early in 316 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:30,960 Speaker 2: the product life cycle. Why is it still so scary 317 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 2: to you though? 318 00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 5: Oh well, I mean I look at it differently. It 319 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:36,280 Speaker 5: is so expensive, and so if they do sell a 320 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 5: ton of them, that should generate you know, a good 321 00:14:38,280 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 5: amount of revenue. Right and we're talking We're not talking 322 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:43,200 Speaker 5: hundreds of billions of dollars here, We're talking about an 323 00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:45,520 Speaker 5: eight nine billion dollar category, So an eight hundred million 324 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 5: dollars percent is actually quite a lot. And so if 325 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:52,080 Speaker 5: they're if they're if they want to bet a lot 326 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:54,000 Speaker 5: on this product, it's just going to have to start 327 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 5: creating some momentum. But it's done nothing to date, and 328 00:14:57,360 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 5: sales for these types of devices, especially at this price point, 329 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 5: you're getting the bulk of those sales very early on 330 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 5: in the process. You're getting them this quarter. So it 331 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 5: only really goes down here downhill from here for the 332 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:11,200 Speaker 5: Vision Pro until they make major improvements on price. 333 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:12,720 Speaker 3: And wait, hey, still with us. 334 00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 1: We're talking with our own marker and in Bloomberg News, 335 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 1: chief technology correspondent Dan Morgan, still with us, senior portfolio 336 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:20,680 Speaker 1: manager over at Sonovas. As we are looking at Apple 337 00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:22,640 Speaker 1: shares up about six and a half or set here 338 00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 1: in the aftermarket as their second quarter revenue tops estimates 339 00:15:26,600 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 1: and they also boost their buyback. Dan Morgan, come on 340 00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 1: in on it. You've been listening to the conversation thoughts 341 00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 1: when it comes to wearables and the Vision Pro. 342 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean that was one of the mark was 343 00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:38,280 Speaker 4: mentioning that was kind of one of the catalysts that 344 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:41,640 Speaker 4: people are looking out for that. Potentially Apple could start 345 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 4: to get some momentum back in the stock. We know 346 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:46,360 Speaker 4: they've got a new tablet that's supposed to come out 347 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 4: I guess next week in May. They've got the big 348 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 4: Developers conference in June, and then of course they come 349 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 4: out with iPhone sixteen and the new iOS eighteen in September. 350 00:15:57,080 --> 00:15:59,640 Speaker 4: So there are going to be some opportunities down the road, guys. 351 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 4: I know this reports as exciting as we would have 352 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 4: hoped for for Apple to kind of reinvigorate, you know, 353 00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 4: interest in what they're doing obviously along that road. Hopefully 354 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 4: they'll lay out some sort of AI roadmap that's a 355 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 4: little more specific than what they have so far on 356 00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:16,640 Speaker 4: the conference calls. But again, I think this is just 357 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 4: kind of a quiet period right now for Apple, and 358 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:21,360 Speaker 4: I don't think we have to hit I don't think 359 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:23,360 Speaker 4: you'd hit the panic button if you hold chair. Let's 360 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 4: just see how this thing plays out. Hey, Mark Germott, 361 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:28,760 Speaker 4: not everybody's in video, Mark. 362 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:31,360 Speaker 1: Germant, I'm wondering if you have a question for from 363 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:34,080 Speaker 1: Dan Morgan, who's been following you know, Apple for thirty years, 364 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 1: seeing times when you know a lot of investors gave 365 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:38,000 Speaker 1: up on this company only to see it come roaring back. 366 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 3: Do you have a question maybe for Dan? 367 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 5: That's a good question. I don't have a question for Dan, 368 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 5: but I'd love to engage in a back and forth 369 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 5: with Dan on this. I mean, you know, I agree 370 00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 5: with you. There is no reason to panic here, Dan, 371 00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 5: especially if you're a shareholder of Apple, right. I mean, 372 00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 5: you put money into Apple. It's kind of like a bond. 373 00:16:57,600 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 5: You're not going to lose all your cash there, right, 374 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 5: But you're also not going to get those in Nvidia 375 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 5: like returns. At this point. The question is how long 376 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 5: our investors willing to wait until there's a next big thing? 377 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:10,719 Speaker 5: And what I will say is I don't anticipate there 378 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:13,960 Speaker 5: being any new next big thing on the horizon anytime soon, 379 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:15,560 Speaker 5: so we'll be looking out for that. 380 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:18,240 Speaker 2: Dan, do you anticipate any next big thing being on 381 00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:18,760 Speaker 2: the horizon? 382 00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:22,520 Speaker 4: I would agree with Mark one hundred percent. I mean, 383 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,720 Speaker 4: I remember, guys, Carol, probably I don't want to date us, 384 00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:27,520 Speaker 4: but we've been around a while. You've brought up in 385 00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:30,920 Speaker 4: the nineteen nineties, when you know, we made the migration 386 00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:34,159 Speaker 4: from a client server environment and we went to the 387 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,399 Speaker 4: IBM compatibles, and everybody was into Gateway and Dell and 388 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:40,920 Speaker 4: HP and all the big PC makers were going crazy, 389 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 4: and Apple was almost ready to go bankrupt. I mean, 390 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,600 Speaker 4: they had a very you know, very niche group of 391 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:48,960 Speaker 4: people that bought Max and then in two thousand and 392 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:50,880 Speaker 4: seven they came out with the iPhone, and a couple 393 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:52,640 Speaker 4: of years before that they came out with the iPod 394 00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:56,400 Speaker 4: and the rest is history. So Apple's been down before, 395 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,680 Speaker 4: and Apples had setbacks and been through periods of time 396 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:03,040 Speaker 4: with when people kind of film aside and you know, 397 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:04,639 Speaker 4: we'll just see where they are ten years from now. 398 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:05,360 Speaker 4: That's all I can say. 399 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:07,440 Speaker 2: Hey, I just want to end with Mark on AI, 400 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:10,120 Speaker 2: because ten years from now, I know that Apple would 401 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 2: love to be a leader when it comes to. 402 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 1: AI, I will be replaced by AI. 403 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:16,520 Speaker 2: Hey maybe, Mark, what's the vision? What's the vision that 404 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,000 Speaker 2: internally they're talking about it Apple when it comes to AI, 405 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 2: lay it out for us. 406 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:24,680 Speaker 5: The vision of AI is integration, deep integration into hardware, 407 00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:29,720 Speaker 5: privacy and security, and really not an Apple designed chapot 408 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:35,480 Speaker 5: like you've seen from Chat, GPT, open AI, Google, Gemini, Microsoft, 409 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:38,280 Speaker 5: you name it. This is about integrated into the phone. 410 00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 5: I'll give you an example. We're on this call, my 411 00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:44,280 Speaker 5: phone's in my pocket. I probably missed twenty notifications depple 412 00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 5: earning season. I'll take my phone out of my pocket 413 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:48,639 Speaker 5: when this is done, and it'll catch me up with 414 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,439 Speaker 5: some AI and tell me everything I missed. That's the 415 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:54,520 Speaker 5: type of AI feature to think about if you're when 416 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 5: you're expecting AI features from Apple summaries, useful day to 417 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 5: day tools based on artificial intelligence, not sort of twenty 418 00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:02,959 Speaker 5: one questions. 419 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:05,760 Speaker 2: I mean that's Apple's DNA, right, all about enhancing the 420 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,320 Speaker 2: value of the hardware and getting you to buy that 421 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 2: next phone. 422 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:11,880 Speaker 1: Dan Morgan thirty seconds left here, so something like that. 423 00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:15,399 Speaker 1: How does as AI is integrated into the Apple model 424 00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:18,040 Speaker 1: and they figure out, you know, how to monetize it. 425 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:21,159 Speaker 1: How important is that in terms of maybe making the 426 00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 1: growth trajectory change? And again, just kint about thirty seconds. 427 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,199 Speaker 4: I mean it's huge, Carol. You know, as Mark was 428 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 4: mentioning when they have taken a dive into the chip space, 429 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,479 Speaker 4: they're creating their own silicon. They do have a product 430 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 4: they're working on called Ajax, which is kind of like 431 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 4: a chat GPT, but it's on your phone. So there 432 00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,120 Speaker 4: are things they are doing, but as Mark was saying, 433 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,720 Speaker 4: it's all integrated into the iOS, into the phone. It's 434 00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 4: not going to be some new product that we've never 435 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:47,919 Speaker 4: heard of that just comes out of left field. 436 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 1: All right, Well, I know I can't live without my iPhone, 437 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:53,560 Speaker 1: so bring it on, all right, guys, thank you so much. 438 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:57,119 Speaker 1: Mark German, Bloomberg News Chief Technology correspondent, Dan Morgan, senior 439 00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:00,159 Speaker 1: portfolio manager at Sonva's trust on Apple stock is up 440 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 1: about six and a half percent here