1 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: On this episode of Newsworld, we're going to discuss the 2 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:11,240 Speaker 1: results of Super Tuesday, Nikki Haley dropping out of the race, 3 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: and what's next in the twenty twenty four election. We'll 4 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: also discuss some of the key congressional races around the country. 5 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 1: I'm really pleased to welcome back my good friend and 6 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: my guest, Shawn Spicer, former White House Press Secretary and 7 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 1: the Trump administration and current host of The Shawn Spicer Show, 8 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:48,320 Speaker 1: a terrific podcast. Shawn, Welcome and thank you for joining 9 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: me on Newtsworld. 10 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:51,319 Speaker 2: Always a pleasure, mister speaker, thanks for having me. 11 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 1: You know, I want to start if I could back 12 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 1: before you became Press secretary and became nationally known. What 13 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: was your background leading up to going to the White House. 14 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 2: The quick version is, I went off to college. I 15 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 2: grew up at best working class. I went off to 16 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 2: college as a Japanese language major because I was told 17 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 2: that that's how I could make money. This is in 18 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 2: the late eighties. The long and short of it is 19 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 2: I was very bad at Japanese and I had no 20 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 2: desire to pursue it. There was no passionate it. I 21 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:25,320 Speaker 2: took a government course and had this intellectual awakening and 22 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 2: began getting involved. I interned met at Connecticut State Legislature. 23 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 2: I interned on some campaigns in Connecticut, and ultimately, as 24 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 2: you were making the case for a Republican majority for 25 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 2: the first time in decades and going around doing the 26 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 2: Contract of America, I had graduated from college got my 27 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 2: first paid job one thousand dollars a month in Connecticut's 28 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 2: second district, a guy named Ed Munster running against a 29 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 2: multi termin coment, Sam Gagenson, and that began what I 30 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 2: tell people affectionally. I became like a minor league ballplayer. 31 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 2: I went from camp paying to campaign trying to get 32 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 2: the next level up job, go from making one thousand 33 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 2: dollars a month to like twelve hundred dollars a month. 34 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 2: I worked in Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, wherever I could get 35 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:14,799 Speaker 2: the next race in New Jersey. I kind of floated 36 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 2: back and forth between Capitol Hill during even years and 37 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,799 Speaker 2: on the campaign trail in odd years, and ended up 38 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,919 Speaker 2: doing a race in Florida's twenty second district, Clay Shaw's 39 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 2: race in the year two thousand, which was a very 40 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 2: very close race. Clay had been a long term in 41 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 2: comedy at a tight race for the first time, and 42 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 2: never we pulled the race out that I went to 43 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 2: the NRCC, the National Republican Congressional Committee, as you know, 44 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 2: and then kind of made my way into House leadership. 45 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 2: I went to work for the House Republican Conference under 46 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 2: Debora Price, and then went to the Bush White House 47 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 2: as the Assistant US Trade rep for Public Affairs, so 48 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 2: basically the trade spokesman. I got mobilized and the Navy 49 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 2: spent about twenty months on active duty, and then when 50 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 2: I got off ed, Gillespie connected me with Wright's previous 51 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 2: who had just been elected chairman of the RNC and said, Sean, 52 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 2: I know you've always wanted to work at the r 53 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 2: and c Rice just got elected, and I hit it 54 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 2: off with Rights. I ended up spending three cycles, which 55 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,519 Speaker 2: is six years, at the RNC as communications structor and 56 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:15,639 Speaker 2: then chief strategist for the party. And that kind of 57 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 2: got me to Donald Trump world, because when Trump became 58 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 2: the nominee, he didn't have the usual campaign apparatus that 59 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 2: a presidential campaign had, and so I began performing a 60 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 2: lot of the functions that would normally get done through 61 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:30,799 Speaker 2: the campaign. I traveled back and forth to New York. 62 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:33,679 Speaker 2: I flew with them and developed a relationship with them. 63 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 2: I would love to say that I had fifty people 64 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 2: lined up to be press secretary and I beat them 65 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 2: all out. But the reality is, if we're being honest, 66 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 2: that when Trump won, if you looked around the room 67 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 2: at the number of people that had a experience, b 68 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 2: had worked with him and had a relationship with him, 69 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 2: there wasn't a heck of a lot of people that 70 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 2: that would have amounted to. And we started having conversations 71 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,120 Speaker 2: about what my place and my role would be. You know, 72 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 2: I'm not dummy. He said, you know, what would you 73 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 2: want to do? And I said, well, how about presecretary? 74 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 2: I was like, okay, So that was kind of the interview. 75 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: I just did a column on Trump's triumph in terms 76 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:16,520 Speaker 1: of Super Tuesday, and I deliberately in the column spend 77 00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 1: most of the time trying to describe how he actually operates, 78 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 1: because if you think about it and you lived through it, 79 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:27,119 Speaker 1: this is a stunningly intense, very very smart guy who 80 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:31,839 Speaker 1: imposes his will twenty four hours a day. It's astonishing. 81 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 1: And I think in that sense, your point's exactly right. 82 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 1: It wasn't the Trump campaign the one in twenty sixteen. 83 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:41,239 Speaker 1: It was Trump. Yeah. 84 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 2: I think we provided resources and tools for him, but 85 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 2: it wasn't like massive focus grips. I had been at 86 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 2: the RNC for six years in two cycles. We weren't 87 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 2: feeding up research to him saying say this, don't say 88 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 2: that they witchhed, not that you know more than let 89 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 2: It was he knew what he was going to say, 90 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 2: and we drafted right basically said Okay, we'll go out 91 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 2: there and support you in what you're doing. Will help 92 00:05:05,720 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 2: take these people that are supporting you, make sure that 93 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 2: we're signing them up. But it was his message and 94 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 2: his momentum that carried us. 95 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:14,280 Speaker 1: You in a sense, were dropped right into the middle 96 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:18,280 Speaker 1: of the war. Because of course the left deeply repudiated 97 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:21,160 Speaker 1: Trump having won, and you only wrote a book about 98 00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:23,600 Speaker 1: it called The Briefing. I mean, that must have been 99 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: just an extraordinary immersion in things that almost nobody's ever 100 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: gotten to do. 101 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,840 Speaker 2: The good part of it was this, I spent over 102 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 2: twenty five years in the Navy. I've worked in government before, 103 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 2: both on Capitol Hill and as I mentioned, in the 104 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:39,159 Speaker 2: Bush administration. I've seen bureaucracy up close. Let's put it 105 00:05:39,160 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 2: that way. With Trump, if you came to him with 106 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 2: an idea and you said, miss President, or at that 107 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 2: you know, mister Trump or the campaign, Miss President. Afterwards, 108 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 2: here's what I want to do and why, and he 109 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 2: would go, great, go do it. There was no memos 110 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 2: and PowerPoint presentations. You were given the authority to execute things. 111 00:05:56,960 --> 00:05:59,039 Speaker 2: That was a good thing, and there's also times when 112 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:00,839 Speaker 2: it was a bad thing. But for the most part, 113 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 2: it was very helpful to cut through that because we 114 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:06,920 Speaker 2: were able to do things in a way that normally 115 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 2: would have gotten lost in a bureaucratic shuffle. But to 116 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:14,039 Speaker 2: see that up close with something that I had never thought. 117 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 2: I told people when you're at the RNC, it's like 118 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,840 Speaker 2: you're on the JV team. You get the jersey, you're 119 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 2: part of the big team, you get invited to the 120 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 2: end of the year party, but you're not the starter. 121 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,359 Speaker 2: And so I always joke that, you know, during the 122 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 2: previous cycle, if Romney had won, I probably would have 123 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 2: been the Deputy Undersecretary for Public Affairs at HUD, which 124 00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 2: I'm sure is a very good job. But you know, 125 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:38,400 Speaker 2: we would have gotten something, we would have been taken 126 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,279 Speaker 2: care of. But having the opportunity to be up close 127 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:44,159 Speaker 2: and see this in a way that normally wouldn't have 128 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 2: been part of the trajectory of that job. Was just 129 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 2: something fascinating for me, and it was great because there's 130 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 2: an old saying by a Marine Corps commandant by the 131 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 2: name of Charles Krulocke, and he says, in the absence 132 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:59,479 Speaker 2: of leadership, take charge. And what the Trump campaign and 133 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 2: frankly overall, really empowers you to do is if you're 134 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 2: seeing something that needs to get done, then go do it. 135 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 2: Don't sit around, and you know, ask eighteen people, put 136 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 2: a plan together, and execute it. And I think that 137 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 2: was from a campaign perspective, just so unique. And I 138 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 2: don't know that it's going to happen again because I 139 00:07:21,280 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 2: think Trump knows better now. He still has the same mentality, 140 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 2: but there's more of a professionalization now with the current 141 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 2: campaign structure, which, by the way, I do think there's 142 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:31,160 Speaker 2: a balance and it's a good thing. 143 00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: I think if he can have professionalization without bureaucracy, yep, 144 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: he will be even more powerful and more capable of 145 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 1: getting things done. And so far, I would say that 146 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:46,960 Speaker 1: Susie Wiles and Chris Losovita are running a textbook operation 147 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:48,880 Speaker 1: which people will study for a long time. 148 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:52,680 Speaker 2: Yeah. I keep telling people it's like Goldilocks. Like twenty sixteen, 149 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 2: the porridge was too cold, twenty twenty, the porridge was 150 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 2: too hot. This time, it's just right. And I think 151 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 2: they've gotten that balance. You've got to understand that Trump 152 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 2: is not a typical candidate. He's going to say what 153 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 2: he wants to say first, and then you follow up, 154 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 2: and they understand him as a candidate and as a 155 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 2: person and are able to supplement what he's doing. And 156 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 2: that's the unique part about this. To your point, you 157 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 2: can't replicate what Trump's doing. There's no one that's going 158 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 2: to come after him and say, okay, give me the 159 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 2: Trump campaign. It's driven by him first and foremost. 160 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 1: The reason I decided to write a piece on Trump's 161 00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 1: triumph is here's the guy who's been battered, attacked, assaulted, 162 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 1: and derided light about. And the result is I'm just 163 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:40,200 Speaker 1: going to read the numbers quickly, but you have our 164 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:45,439 Speaker 1: listeners a flavor. Alaska eighty seven percent, Alabama eighty three percent, 165 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 1: Arkansas seventy seven percent, California seventy eight percent, Colorado sixty 166 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:55,840 Speaker 1: three percent, Massachusetts fifty nine point nine Maine seventy two. 167 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: When you go down this list of states, this is 168 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: all in one day, represents a total dominance onlike any 169 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:08,240 Speaker 1: non incumbent I can remember, except Andrew Jackson in eighteen 170 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 1: twenty eight. It's astonishing to see somebody who that totally 171 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 1: dominates the entire National Party to a point where nobody 172 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:18,840 Speaker 1: else can seriously compete with him. 173 00:09:19,320 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 2: Well, so here's the other piece of that that just 174 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 2: so that listeners understand this, of the sixteen contests that 175 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:28,360 Speaker 2: were held on the Republican side, ten well, let me 176 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 2: back up a second. The RNC rules dictated prior to 177 00:09:31,000 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 2: March fifteenth, all states must be proportional. The idea was 178 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 2: that they didn't want a runaway candidate, somebody who had 179 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 2: massive national idea or a self funder to come in 180 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 2: and run away with the process. They wanted more voters 181 00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:45,040 Speaker 2: to be part of the process. So they said, if 182 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 2: you're going to go before March fifteenth, you've got to 183 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 2: be proportional. So what the Trump team did last year, 184 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 2: while the Santus was still deciding whether to get in, 185 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 2: whether Nikki Haley was still deciding to get in, they 186 00:09:57,960 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 2: went and sat down with these state parties and said, 187 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:02,079 Speaker 2: we're gonna work within the rules. We're gonna make sure 188 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 2: that you're proportional technically, but we want to add a 189 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:08,320 Speaker 2: caveat to all of your plans that says, if you 190 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 2: hit over fifty percent, you get all of the at 191 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,760 Speaker 2: large delegates, and the same would be true with the 192 00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:17,679 Speaker 2: congressional delegates that would be awarded from your state. So 193 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 2: he goes in and wins these states by fifty plus one. 194 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 2: California yesterday one hundred and sixty nine delegates, Texas one 195 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:26,240 Speaker 2: hundred and sixty one delegates. He walks out of the 196 00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:31,199 Speaker 2: state with all of them. It's the professionalization of what 197 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 2: they did actually is so important. It's not just the 198 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:38,320 Speaker 2: percentages that you're reading out, which are huge, it's the 199 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:40,319 Speaker 2: amount of delegates that he walked out of there with. 200 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:43,720 Speaker 2: Look at Nikki Haley and she gets anywhere from twenty 201 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 2: five to thirty whatever, even forty percent. He walked out 202 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 2: of the eight hundred and fifty four delegates with probably 203 00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:54,800 Speaker 2: seven hundred and ninety something. He totally dominated. It's interesting 204 00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 2: today she drops out and I was trying to tell 205 00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 2: people early this morning, this is the equivalent of saying 206 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 2: I quit after someone says, you're fired. Her dropping out 207 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:07,559 Speaker 2: was irrelevant, it was over. 208 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: She would have been better off psychologically to have dropped out. 209 00:11:11,640 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: After South Carolina. She said, look, I ran all the 210 00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:18,320 Speaker 1: way I was governor. He's clearly more popular. She had 211 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 1: a fair amount of money coming from anti Trump people. 212 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:25,319 Speaker 1: The only state she carried was Vermont, which allows Democrats 213 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 1: to vote in the Republican primary, and she still only 214 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:31,079 Speaker 1: carried it by I think four percent. She also won DC, 215 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:35,240 Speaker 1: which I thought was perfectly appropriate. A very weak Republican party, 216 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 1: almost no votes, and all the lobbyists who Trump was 217 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 1: going to try to make unemployed decided they'd vote against him. 218 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, but here's the thing, look at the median error 219 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:46,200 Speaker 2: this morning was well, Trump's got to figure out how 220 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:49,400 Speaker 2: to attract the Nicki Haley voters. NBC News did a 221 00:11:49,400 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 2: poll an exit pole. Forty one percent of Nicki Haley 222 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 2: support was from independence, twenty five percent was from Democrats. 223 00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 2: What those people were never going to vot for Trump. 224 00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 2: They were people that didn't know there wasn't a contest 225 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 2: on their Democratic side and said, fine, I'll go vote 226 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:08,920 Speaker 2: for Nicki Haley just cause I get to the other 227 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 2: interesting sat that NBC News came out with is They 228 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:14,080 Speaker 2: asked people who had voted for Trump in twenty twenty 229 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 2: if they were still voting for him. Ninety seven percent 230 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 2: said yes. They asked the same question of people who 231 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:22,640 Speaker 2: voted for Biden in twenty twenty, eighty five percent said yes. 232 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,680 Speaker 2: Biden has the problem with maintaining his coalition, not Trump. 233 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 2: And again, the media narrative is what's Trump going to 234 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:31,679 Speaker 2: do to get the Nicki Haley supporters? And my answer 235 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 2: is the Nicki Haley supporters, by and large were Biden 236 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 2: voters that just didn't have anything better to do. 237 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 3: Tuesday, the chief analysts for the New York Times, Nate Cohen, 238 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 3: did a piece and said, the fact is Trump is ahead, 239 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:01,200 Speaker 3: is like to stay ahead. 240 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 1: And the number one reason is people don't like Joe Biden. Now, 241 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:07,080 Speaker 1: if a New York Times analyst right that, I thought 242 00:13:07,080 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 1: it was first of all an act of great courage, 243 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:13,440 Speaker 1: but also tells you how bad Biden is doing, that 244 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:15,959 Speaker 1: he's really truly losing his base in the news media. 245 00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 2: Well, I think that the problem that I tried to 246 00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:22,200 Speaker 2: figure this out, and my only answer to this is 247 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 2: that some of these reporters need to at some point 248 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 2: have to want to save face. Right. They've been carrying 249 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,400 Speaker 2: the Biden water now for three years, and pole after 250 00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 2: pole shows that it's not working and that they have 251 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 2: to at least at some point say, well, see, I 252 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:42,559 Speaker 2: said that he was in trouble, so that when he loses, 253 00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:45,680 Speaker 2: they can say the I hall this. But they're not 254 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:49,840 Speaker 2: doing this happily. They are begrudgingly coming to the realization 255 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:52,679 Speaker 2: that after all the wadi that they've carried for him 256 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 2: for three years, it's just not there. And the thing 257 00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:58,520 Speaker 2: is that you know from all of your time in 258 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:01,000 Speaker 2: this game, is that at some point point the problem 259 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 2: that Biden has between his metal acuity, his physical frailness, 260 00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:09,600 Speaker 2: and just his unlikability is that those can't be fixed. 261 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:13,320 Speaker 2: Those aren't policy prescriptions. You can't say we'll just you know, 262 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:16,040 Speaker 2: add some more stimulus to the economy and get things going. 263 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 2: Those are personal things. Unless he's Benjamin Button, he's not 264 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 2: going to get younger. 265 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 1: And I think he has this dual problem. Though when 266 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 1: you ask people were you better off personally, they overwhelmingly 267 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:31,840 Speaker 1: picked the Trump years over the Biden years, And so 268 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 1: he has a policy performance problem and a personality performance problem. 269 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 1: The two combined that's what you know. 270 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 2: It's funny. Biden did this interview, I think it was 271 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:44,640 Speaker 2: with David Muir probably six seven months ago, and he said, 272 00:14:45,040 --> 00:14:48,680 Speaker 2: you can't turn on the TV and hear about anything 273 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 2: that's going right. Even he admitted it, and it's true. 274 00:14:51,560 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 2: Think about it. Trump's speech last night when he got 275 00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:58,080 Speaker 2: on stage at Marlago, he talked about the economy, unemployment 276 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 2: rates under him, interest rates, to the border, energy independence. 277 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 2: The contrast is so sharp. It's not one or two issues. 278 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:10,040 Speaker 2: It's not fighting over statistics from the Bureau of Labor 279 00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 2: Management or something like that, and saying, if you look 280 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 2: at this, it's literally issue after issue after issue. Here's 281 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:18,440 Speaker 2: my record, here's yours. Which one do you like better? 282 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:22,560 Speaker 2: And I think that people are going to have a choice, 283 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 2: unlike ever before. This is not a hypothetical race where 284 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 2: you say, my policies will grow the economy in this 285 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 2: thing and I will continue. It's hey, here's what I did. 286 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:36,320 Speaker 2: Here's my record of results for four years. Here's Joe 287 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:38,960 Speaker 2: Biden's record of results for four years. Which one do 288 00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:41,840 Speaker 2: you like better? This is sort of like the old school, 289 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 2: you know, diet PEPSI, diet coke challenge, that they used 290 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 2: to do or sit both. Tell me which one you 291 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 2: like better. But at some point you just can't couch. 292 00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:53,080 Speaker 2: You can't hide it anymore. That's what it is. People 293 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:55,480 Speaker 2: are going to choose the Trump record over and over again. 294 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:59,080 Speaker 1: I have to say, just as a brief aside, one 295 00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:04,360 Speaker 1: of the most interesting minor things yesterday was that Jason Palmer, 296 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 1: who is an entrepreneur one Samoa. Well, what I love 297 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 1: about it is that the territory gets six delegates, and 298 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:18,120 Speaker 1: that he got fifty one votes and Biden got forty. 299 00:16:18,800 --> 00:16:21,720 Speaker 1: But he now has won I think the only place 300 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:26,760 Speaker 1: that Biden's lost. I just thought it's something basically American 301 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 1: that you can have these little anomalies and this guy 302 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 1: goes out. I mean, I apparently American Sooa likes to 303 00:16:32,920 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 1: vote for outlives. They've voted for Bloomberg last time. It 304 00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 1: was humor in the middle of an otherwise very serious process. 305 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 2: It is funny. I mean. The thing is with Bloomberg, 306 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 2: though he actually campaigned there, he spent money in American 307 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 2: Samoa to get those delegates, which I get. It makes 308 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 2: sense if you're running in a contested primary, go get them. 309 00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 2: But this is a dude who lives in Maryland. This 310 00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:55,840 Speaker 2: isn't like some samoan that was the local favorite. The 311 00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 2: guy lives in Maryland. And by the way, Dean Phillips 312 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:01,600 Speaker 2: and Mary and Williamson were on the ballt like who 313 00:17:01,640 --> 00:17:04,399 Speaker 2: have at least are officially running and people knew about it. 314 00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:07,640 Speaker 2: I mean, think about that, this guy out of nowhere. 315 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 2: No one knew his name yesterday. I don't think anyone 316 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 2: knew his name this morning. They were probably still googling it. 317 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 2: But it's an embarrassment. And look, a bigger problem is 318 00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:20,200 Speaker 2: when you look at the Minnesota uncommitted vote and the 319 00:17:20,280 --> 00:17:23,680 Speaker 2: vote in North Carolina where they got to basically vote 320 00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:28,040 Speaker 2: none of the above, both swing states. That's a problem 321 00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 2: for Joe Biden. People are going out of their way 322 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:33,040 Speaker 2: and I always tell people stop for a moment and 323 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:36,320 Speaker 2: think about it. Like I live, I don't know a 324 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:38,959 Speaker 2: quarter of a mile for my voting the school that's 325 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:41,239 Speaker 2: down where I vote, but it still takes, you know, 326 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 2: ten minutes to walk down there. You got to go in, 327 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:47,080 Speaker 2: show your ID because it's Virginia, and then you walk out. 328 00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:48,919 Speaker 2: But my point is it's a thirty minute in and 329 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:51,720 Speaker 2: out kind of deal. If you're going to spend thirty 330 00:17:51,760 --> 00:17:55,679 Speaker 2: minutes to go vote for Jason whatever it will. You 331 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 2: have to think about how much you dislike the president 332 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:01,240 Speaker 2: of the United States, if you're a Democrat that you're 333 00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:04,399 Speaker 2: taking thirty minutes out of your day to go cast 334 00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:05,080 Speaker 2: this vote. 335 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:08,440 Speaker 1: It's Jason Palmer. On the other hand, since the total 336 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: primary was ninety one people, it may not have taken 337 00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 1: very long. 338 00:18:12,800 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 2: That's true, but you still got to leave your house 339 00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:18,160 Speaker 2: and go somewhere. I think that it speaks volumes. 340 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:20,560 Speaker 1: You probably had time for the luau after. 341 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:22,159 Speaker 2: The vote, That's right, That's right. 342 00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:25,720 Speaker 1: One of the things I'm intrigued with that also broke yesterday. 343 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 1: I want to get your reaction to in a very 344 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 1: tight Cenate wherethy bias of who's up for reelection this 345 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:37,119 Speaker 1: year strongly favors Republicans. Kirsten Cinema decided she would not 346 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:41,720 Speaker 1: run for reelection. It is sort of the last independent 347 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:45,120 Speaker 1: Democrat in the Senate. What do you make of that? 348 00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,240 Speaker 1: And do you think it makes it easier or harder 349 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:49,200 Speaker 1: for the Republicans? Fool in Arizona. 350 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 2: Well, let me say a couple of things. Number One, 351 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 2: the reason the filibuster still exists, right, now is because 352 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 2: of kirston Cinema Right and her party forced her out. 353 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 2: She left the Democratic Party came independent because they put 354 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:04,680 Speaker 2: so much pressure on her and made it so difficult 355 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,520 Speaker 2: for her. She's from a probably not as ruby red 356 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:09,600 Speaker 2: as it used to be, but it's not purple yet, 357 00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 2: but it's getting there. And instead of embracing her and 358 00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:17,000 Speaker 2: saying okay, she's a key vote that gives us the majority, 359 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 2: they pushed her out. The media loves to fixate on 360 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:23,240 Speaker 2: the prompts and the Republican Party. It speaks volumes about 361 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 2: the Democratic Party that they wanted her out, number one, 362 00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 2: number two. Like I said, I think it's important to 363 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:30,920 Speaker 2: give her credit for standing firm on the importance of 364 00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:34,160 Speaker 2: the filibuster. Lastly, to your question about where there's the thing, 365 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,800 Speaker 2: I think it made it easier for Carrie Lake, who 366 00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 2: will be the Republican nominee, to win with her in 367 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,480 Speaker 2: the race. She was a Democrat, she served in the 368 00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:44,200 Speaker 2: House prior to the Senate, so even if she took 369 00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:49,440 Speaker 2: five ten, twenty forty thousand votes, that probably helped Carrie Lake. 370 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,600 Speaker 2: It's going to be more of a dogfight now. Luckily, 371 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:57,080 Speaker 2: Rubuguello is an extremely far left Democrat, but it's going 372 00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:00,679 Speaker 2: to cost money, some real money in Arizona. Will obviously 373 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,440 Speaker 2: play there as a battleground state, so that helps get 374 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,040 Speaker 2: out the vote, but this is going to cost a 375 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:06,800 Speaker 2: lot more money. 376 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:06,960 Speaker 3: Now. 377 00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:11,439 Speaker 1: I think Terry Lake has managed to maintain sort of 378 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:16,160 Speaker 1: her national attraction through the governor's race, which she lost 379 00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:19,160 Speaker 1: in a very controversial way, and now ever since then, 380 00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:22,760 Speaker 1: she's managed to stay remarkably public and she's very, very 381 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,000 Speaker 1: close to Trump. So I think it's going to be 382 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:28,359 Speaker 1: fascinating to see how that particular race comes up. The 383 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 1: one other thing that's sort of an anomaly this year, 384 00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:34,199 Speaker 1: which I'd like to year reaction to before I dive in, 385 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,720 Speaker 1: is the whole effort of the no labels people. What 386 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:38,720 Speaker 1: is your sense of that? 387 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:43,160 Speaker 2: So probably the biggest question that I get, and I'm 388 00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:45,159 Speaker 2: almost certain that if it's not the number one that 389 00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:47,760 Speaker 2: you get, it's probably in the top three, is tell 390 00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:51,359 Speaker 2: me who's going to win the presidential race. My answer is, 391 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 2: tell me how many third party candidates are on the 392 00:20:56,160 --> 00:21:01,040 Speaker 2: ballot this November. If you go back and look for example, 393 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 2: at twenty sixteen, Michigan has fifteen electoral votes, was won 394 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 2: by Trump, by ten thousand, seven hundred and three votes 395 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:09,919 Speaker 2: er point two to two percent overall. That was the 396 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 2: margin of victory there. Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, 397 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 2: took fifty five thousand votes. 398 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:16,760 Speaker 1: Okay. 399 00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 2: In twenty twenty, Trump lost Michigan. The Green Party candidate 400 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:22,640 Speaker 2: who I don't know who it was, then got one 401 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:28,879 Speaker 2: thousand votes. How the third party candidates get are on 402 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,800 Speaker 2: the ballot is going to matter. So no labels right 403 00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:34,960 Speaker 2: now says they're on sixteen ballots. Robert F. Kennedy Junior 404 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:38,040 Speaker 2: yesterday says that he's now on the Nevada ballot. He 405 00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,639 Speaker 2: was on the Utah ballot. He says he's on probably Arizona, 406 00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:46,800 Speaker 2: potentially one other one. If you're on the ballot in 407 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:49,239 Speaker 2: battleground stage, of which there are eight, that's it. There 408 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,520 Speaker 2: are only eight states that in my opinion, will determine 409 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,879 Speaker 2: this election, then that's going to have a big shift. 410 00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,840 Speaker 2: I mean, look at Arizona and Georgia. We're talking ten 411 00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:01,439 Speaker 2: fifteen thousand votes that decide I did those states, So 412 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:05,879 Speaker 2: there's no question in my mind that's how the race goes. Specifically, 413 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 2: with no labels, they're going to decide this Friday at 414 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,080 Speaker 2: their virtual convention. Whether they're going to run a race, 415 00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:14,920 Speaker 2: I'm torn on this. I'll defer to you because they've 416 00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 2: raised all this money, they've really spent a ton of 417 00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:21,280 Speaker 2: time on ballot access, but they've had a lot of 418 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:24,000 Speaker 2: the high profile people turned them down that said that 419 00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:26,240 Speaker 2: they didn't want to be the standard bearer. If No 420 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:30,240 Speaker 2: Labels runs a candidate, and they run the Republican as 421 00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 2: the president and the Democrat as the vice presidential candidate, 422 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,720 Speaker 2: and it's somebody of stature, so I'm thinking like a 423 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 2: John Huntsman of Utah, somebody who people can look at 424 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:42,920 Speaker 2: and say, Okay, that's a legitimate candidate. I think it's 425 00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:45,520 Speaker 2: trouble for Trump, but I think if they run a 426 00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:47,720 Speaker 2: week candidate or they put the Democrat at the top, 427 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 2: then it's great. I also question their motives, and that's 428 00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 2: the last thing I'll say on this, because they keep 429 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:55,240 Speaker 2: saying we don't want to put a candidate forward if 430 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:58,560 Speaker 2: it helps Trump, well that defeats the whole purpose No 431 00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,640 Speaker 2: Labels was to say we want to find a unifying candidate. 432 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:03,880 Speaker 2: Now it's turned into if it's going to help Trump, 433 00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 2: we don't want to do anything. And I'm like, well, 434 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:07,879 Speaker 2: that's not what you were told everyone. You were all 435 00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:08,879 Speaker 2: about something. 436 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:11,679 Speaker 1: It's very funny that you have no labels except. 437 00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:14,119 Speaker 2: Andi Trump, right, it's one label. 438 00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,200 Speaker 1: I'm just very dubious about the whole thing. I think 439 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:21,480 Speaker 1: the most formidable third party candidate is Robert Kennedy, Yeah, 440 00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:25,200 Speaker 1: Robert Kennedy Junior, because I think he has a genuine personality, 441 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:29,240 Speaker 1: he has a national name, he has a pretty intense 442 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:34,200 Speaker 1: following on issues, including the whole vaccination issue. Now he's 443 00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:36,320 Speaker 1: only on four states. I always thought if the no 444 00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:39,879 Speaker 1: Labels people were clever, they would swallow their pride and 445 00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:43,120 Speaker 1: accept Kennedy as their candidate, and that would put him 446 00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,520 Speaker 1: on enough states that he would be very formidable. That, however, 447 00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:47,760 Speaker 1: would truly hurt Biden. 448 00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:50,160 Speaker 2: I think at the end of the day, the Kennedy name, 449 00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:53,119 Speaker 2: enough Democrats would vote for him who are not happy 450 00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:55,320 Speaker 2: with Biden. You'd give him a place to park their vote. 451 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 2: But that's why I'm saying, how this plays out matters 452 00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:02,600 Speaker 2: how many ballots does he get on, how many ballots, 453 00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:05,600 Speaker 2: and does No Labels put a candidate for it. How 454 00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:08,440 Speaker 2: does Jill Stein, who is now running again. By the way, 455 00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,280 Speaker 2: all of that to me is pretty important to tell 456 00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 2: you who's going to win. If they're on the ballot 457 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 2: in California and Texas or whatever, who cares. But if 458 00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:22,640 Speaker 2: they're on the ballot in Pennsylvania and Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan, 459 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 2: that's going to make a difference. And Kennedy says he's 460 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:29,120 Speaker 2: on the ballot in Nevada, that's a big deal. That's 461 00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 2: potentially enough electoral votes to make a difference. 462 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,800 Speaker 1: One of the things somebody said today was that they 463 00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:55,240 Speaker 1: thought that the Fanny Willis case has turned out to 464 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 1: be so absurd and so indefensible that they think it 465 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:02,680 Speaker 1: has actually put Georgia to reach for the Democrats. People 466 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:04,200 Speaker 1: are just going to say, this is crazy. 467 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:07,800 Speaker 2: It is amazing. You know when you watch a show 468 00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:09,880 Speaker 2: or you read a book or whatever it is, and 469 00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:13,000 Speaker 2: the author or the director just goes too far that 470 00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:14,879 Speaker 2: you went from enjoying it to be like, okay, you 471 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:17,840 Speaker 2: just ruined it. The Democrats did this each one of 472 00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:21,040 Speaker 2: these cases. They took it just a step too far 473 00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:24,280 Speaker 2: in each case where even Trump hater said, okay, guys, 474 00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,919 Speaker 2: that was too much, like you can't do that. And 475 00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:30,639 Speaker 2: the idea that she's paying her boyfriend to prosecute. I 476 00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:32,680 Speaker 2: think people are like, oh, guys, you got us, you 477 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:34,640 Speaker 2: had us for a little while, but then you did this. 478 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,280 Speaker 1: Come on, well, and I think the next phase is 479 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 1: going to be you know, they are going to try 480 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,680 Speaker 1: to take Trump to court during the campaign. 481 00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:43,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, and it. 482 00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:49,120 Speaker 1: Strikes me that they really don't think through the president. 483 00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:52,199 Speaker 1: They're setting in a way that could come back to 484 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:53,280 Speaker 1: bite them pretty badly. 485 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:55,280 Speaker 2: No, you know, I'm glad you said that because it's 486 00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:59,840 Speaker 2: interesting to me. So Trump, in this other case January 487 00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:02,480 Speaker 2: and even to some degree in the Morologuer cases, making 488 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 2: an immunity claim. And I've had this conversation with Democrats 489 00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:07,159 Speaker 2: and I'll say, you guys, realize right now, the president 490 00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:09,800 Speaker 2: of United States has no immunity. Right, So you could 491 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 2: theoretically sue Joe Biden for the failed Afghanistan withdrawal. You 492 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:18,520 Speaker 2: could sue Barack Obama if you had standing for drone 493 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,320 Speaker 2: strikes to killed Americans, And they were like, oh, that's silly. Well, no, 494 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:23,960 Speaker 2: that's the issue if the president United States doesn't have immunity. Now, 495 00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:26,800 Speaker 2: the question is was Trump acting in this capacity as 496 00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,880 Speaker 2: president the United States? But when they say oh, they 497 00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:32,840 Speaker 2: should throw it out. I'm like, you do realize you 498 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:36,679 Speaker 2: do that, you're opening the door to say, then the 499 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:40,320 Speaker 2: president has no immunity full stop, and now you can 500 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:44,600 Speaker 2: start suing him for adverse actions. Maybe somebody was killed 501 00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:46,560 Speaker 2: by an illegal alien that was let in or whatever, 502 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 2: and they don't ever think about the consequences of what 503 00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,120 Speaker 2: they're doing. It is all in an effort to get 504 00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:55,320 Speaker 2: Trump at any cost. It doesn't matter. The president of 505 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,920 Speaker 2: the set the bridges, they burn, the buildings they tear down. 506 00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:02,440 Speaker 1: It's who I always hope people. It's not that these 507 00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 1: people can't play chess, they can't play tik tac toe. 508 00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:09,120 Speaker 2: But here's the thing that I find fascinating. They don't care. Right. 509 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,119 Speaker 2: You talk to them and it's like, you say, you 510 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:13,000 Speaker 2: realize the present they'll set, and they're like, well, we 511 00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:15,840 Speaker 2: have to stop Trump. Okay, So you're willing to burn 512 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 2: down everything just to stop this guy, yep. 513 00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:20,919 Speaker 1: Which means I think we need to be braced for 514 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,800 Speaker 1: a very interesting period when he wins. 515 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:27,680 Speaker 2: Oh, you've already seen what Adam shippen Swallwell talk about, 516 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:31,199 Speaker 2: the fact that the Supreme Court nine to zero so 517 00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:32,639 Speaker 2: that you can't take them off the ballot. So what 518 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:34,479 Speaker 2: do they do. They said, well, we're going to introduce 519 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:38,120 Speaker 2: legislation that allows us to take him off once he's 520 00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:41,680 Speaker 2: in office and therefore declare him an insurrectionists And say, fine, 521 00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,080 Speaker 2: you guys said that Section five needs to get clarified 522 00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:47,199 Speaker 2: in terms of Congress doing its job, then we'll do it. 523 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:49,159 Speaker 2: And I've said this over and over again on my 524 00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:53,720 Speaker 2: podcast every single day. Remember, we are two votes short 525 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,400 Speaker 2: of them being able to execute all of this. If 526 00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:01,879 Speaker 2: the Republicans lose the House majority, it's all going to happen. 527 00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:05,440 Speaker 2: And people have to understand that if we don't maintain 528 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:09,560 Speaker 2: a Republican majority and hopefully both houses, but at least one, 529 00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:10,400 Speaker 2: we're screwed. 530 00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 1: They will use all the force of the law basically 531 00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:17,400 Speaker 1: to destroy its freedom. I mean, it's astonishing. I would 532 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,320 Speaker 1: never have predicted this, both in my political career and 533 00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:24,480 Speaker 1: my profession as a historian. This is all a level 534 00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:26,920 Speaker 1: of decay beyond anything I could have imagined. 535 00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,399 Speaker 2: The thing that's amazing, we went back prior to starting 536 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,840 Speaker 2: you and I were talking about this three hundred and 537 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:36,680 Speaker 2: twenty thousand people that were flown into this country in secret. 538 00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 2: I still can't get my head around the fact that 539 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:44,920 Speaker 2: that's not a massive scandal, Like what is going on? 540 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 2: I mean, this is every single day something happens. I 541 00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:52,360 Speaker 2: go back and forth between saying to myself, maybe we 542 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:55,440 Speaker 2: should just accept the craziness as this is what's going 543 00:28:55,520 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 2: to happen. But I can't believe that we are going 544 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:01,720 Speaker 2: down the path that we are going down. To your point, 545 00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:03,400 Speaker 2: than thinking to myself five years ago, I would have 546 00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:06,000 Speaker 2: told you were nuts if you brought up a third 547 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 2: of what is happening now, you're going to kick someone 548 00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,560 Speaker 2: off a ballot. We're going to fly in three hundred 549 00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,880 Speaker 2: and twenty thousand people. I grew up in Rhode Island. 550 00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:16,360 Speaker 2: We have just under a million people depending on the year. 551 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,440 Speaker 2: That's a third of the state flying in to make 552 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:22,360 Speaker 2: sure that Biden can have more voters, which is what 553 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:25,360 Speaker 2: it's really all about. And I just keep saying to myself, 554 00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:28,800 Speaker 2: like this is insane. How are we not outraged by 555 00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:33,240 Speaker 2: these tactics? But every day they chip away, chip away, 556 00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:33,840 Speaker 2: chip away. 557 00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:37,920 Speaker 1: Somebody can actually do a book just entitled scandals. Every 558 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,840 Speaker 1: chapter would be different, and every chapter would be appalling, 559 00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:44,440 Speaker 1: and you couldn't quite believe it. We live in remarkable times. 560 00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 2: This is the problem. I think we're getting numb to like, oh, 561 00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 2: that was Tuesday, what's Wednesday, since the State of the 562 00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 2: Union is this week. I remember watching Speaker Pelosi stand 563 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:56,000 Speaker 2: there and tear up President Trump's State of the Union address, 564 00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:59,880 Speaker 2: standing at the rostrum, thinking to myself, there's no way, 565 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,080 Speaker 2: there's no way that this is happening. The Speaker of 566 00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,720 Speaker 2: the House is tearing up the State of the Union address, 567 00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 2: and she was applauded by the folks in the media 568 00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:12,840 Speaker 2: for taking a tough stand, and I'm like, what is 569 00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:13,920 Speaker 2: going on? 570 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:16,640 Speaker 1: Well, there was a clever decision on her part to 571 00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:20,120 Speaker 1: guarantee that nobody would be talking about his speech. They 572 00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 1: would be talking about what she did. It was cynical 573 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:26,720 Speaker 1: and ruthless, but it was also pretty effective. Listen, Sean, 574 00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 1: I want to thank you for joining me. I want 575 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,000 Speaker 1: to remind our listeners they can find your podcast, The 576 00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:36,800 Speaker 1: Shawn Spicer Show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or YouTube, and 577 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:39,400 Speaker 1: they can find out everything you're doing these days on 578 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:43,480 Speaker 1: your website at Shawnspicer dot com. And I really appreciate 579 00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 1: you joining me to talk about Super Tuesday and where 580 00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:47,600 Speaker 1: we're at right now. 581 00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:50,800 Speaker 2: Always an honor view with you I wouldn't be where 582 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:54,080 Speaker 2: I am in politics, for good or bad without you 583 00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:57,080 Speaker 2: and all the ground that you laid with all the 584 00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:59,840 Speaker 2: things that you and your team, Joe Gaylor, Tony Blank, 585 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:02,719 Speaker 2: countless folks that I looked up to as I started 586 00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 2: up that ladder. So thank you for everything that you've 587 00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 2: done for the movement, because that's what it was. The 588 00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 2: Republican Contract with America got so many people excited and involved, 589 00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:15,520 Speaker 2: and I think there's a reason that people keep asking 590 00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 2: you can we do another one? Because it was that consequential. 591 00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,080 Speaker 2: So thank you for being a friend and a mentor 592 00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 2: and a leader of a movement that changed this country. 593 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:29,920 Speaker 1: Thank you to my guest, Sean Spicer. You can learn 594 00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:32,760 Speaker 1: more about Super Tuesday results on our show page at 595 00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 1: nisworld dot com. News World is produced by Gangwich three 596 00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 1: sixty and iHeartMedia. Our executive producer is Guarnsey Sloan. Our 597 00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:44,240 Speaker 1: researcher is Rachel Peterson. The artwork for the show was 598 00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:47,600 Speaker 1: created by Steve Penley. Special thanks to the team at 599 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:51,120 Speaker 1: Gingwish three sixty. If you've been enjoying newts World, I 600 00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:53,959 Speaker 1: hope you'll go to Apple Podcast and both rate us 601 00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:57,160 Speaker 1: with five stars and give us a review so others 602 00:31:57,240 --> 00:32:00,240 Speaker 1: can learn what it's all about. Right now as a 603 00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:05,120 Speaker 1: Nutsworld consigner for my three free weekly columns, Gangwishtree sixty 604 00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:09,960 Speaker 1: dot com slash newsletter, I'm nid Gandrich. This is nuts World,