1 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Saturday 2 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. We are here on Bettingpros dot Com, always 4 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 1: being brought to you by BETMGM. You can follow me 5 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports Doc Matt, same handle in the 6 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:29,120 Speaker 1: discord chat Bettingpros dot com slast chat to join us 7 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:32,920 Speaker 1: on the discord. So Christmas was here, it was great. 8 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: I hope you had a tremendous holiday. I hope you 9 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:37,919 Speaker 1: and your family got everything that they wanted to. Hope 10 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: the big Guy was good. Dea. And well we're back 11 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 1: here on a Saturday with a monster menu. I mean, 12 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: I've been going through this menu of games here for 13 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 1: the last i don't know, three hours, trying to find 14 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 1: what I like, because there are some things I really 15 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 1: do like, but also trying to be selective and not 16 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 1: go overboard here. But I have a play today on 17 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 1: a Bowl game. I have a play today on an 18 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 1: NBA game. I've got two bets in the NFL, and 19 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 1: I've got two props in the NFL. Yesterday we went 20 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 1: two and zero in our props. We went four and 21 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: one on the day. Now I am taping this currently 22 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 1: with the Clippers up by twenty on the Denver Nuggets 23 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: late third quarter, So I wanted to try to hold 24 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 1: out here. But I've got things i gotta do. I 25 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 1: gotta clean a lot of dishes and do stuff for 26 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: the wife upstairs, because well, it was a busy cooking 27 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 1: day for me. If you follow me on Twitter, you 28 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 1: know that I was smoking brisket. My brisket was really good. Man. 29 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 1: I'm really happy, probably the most excited I've been after 30 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: a meal in a really long time. That the brisket 31 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: didn't come out perfect, but it came out really good. 32 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 1: I mean it was, it was good. It was really 33 00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 1: really good. So then we had that the ribs were good. 34 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: Smoker was kicking. It was great, had a lot of fun. 35 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: I'm learning more and more every time I do it. 36 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 1: So one b getting two ribs down. So we'll keep 37 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:05,279 Speaker 1: the cooking. Next up's gonna be a little a little chicken. 38 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:07,559 Speaker 1: We're gonna do a little Alabama white sauce. We're gonna 39 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:10,680 Speaker 1: do next time. So good stuff with that. So I've 40 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 1: been watching games all day, I've been smoking, I've been eating. 41 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 1: It's been just a really really fun day. And we 42 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: went four and one up a unit, so really cool 43 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:21,959 Speaker 1: to have a winning day. You know, Look, the perraults 44 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:24,359 Speaker 1: don't bet pop parlays, but if I have been a 45 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 1: parlay parlay, you know we should just bet all the 46 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 1: overs because you could have taken every over, the sixty 47 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 1: three percent to the under number. Nope, five games, all blowouts, 48 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: all to the over. That was crazy yesterday at the NBA. 49 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: I don't know what I mean, defense just fell asleep 50 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: or what, but no offense, sorry, no defense at all 51 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 1: of those offenses. But we did wind up getting the 52 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:49,959 Speaker 1: Lakers right minus six. We got the Clippers right and 53 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: minus two and a half. I'm assuming that's right, tire. 54 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 1: We got both prop bets right. Jared Cook with a 55 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 1: big receiving day, Justin Justin Jefferson also a big receiving day. 56 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara, Holy bleeping crap. Whoa six rushing touchdowns for 57 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara. Rip to your fantasy team if you were 58 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 1: playing Alvin Kamara in your finals of your fantasy league. Yeah, 59 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 1: that was something man, to watch him go off like that. 60 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara was monstrous. The total was fifty and a half. 61 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 1: Fifty and a half. How about the Saints hitting it 62 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: by themselves. The Saints got fifty two points in that game. 63 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: They easily covered. They got a big win over the Vikings. 64 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 1: The Vikings were done anyway, but at least the Saints 65 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: are flexing a little bit of a muscle. They're showing 66 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 1: off their offense with Drew Brees coming back and Alvin Kamara. 67 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 1: Find it funny looking like Alvin Kamara after kind of 68 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: a rough season for him given the quarterback situation and 69 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 1: whatnot going on in New Orleans. So we're back with 70 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 1: a couple of those and so yeah, just you know, 71 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: we're gonna pick it up and we're gonna put it down. 72 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 1: We've had a couple of good days here, you know, 73 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 1: a couple of winning days, coup one flat day. So 74 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: you know, over the last three days, we're up. We've 75 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 1: been doing well. We turned the corner a little bit. 76 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 1: So starting to heat up here as we head towards 77 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 1: the weekend. And look, this is gonna be a really 78 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: hard week. It's gonna be a really hard week in 79 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 1: the contests. I need a five and oh with Dan 80 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:16,280 Speaker 1: Harris for the DraftKings. If you guys want to hear 81 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:18,720 Speaker 1: Dan Harris and I break down the entire slate of 82 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 1: the NFL games. Go to YouTube or Apple podcasts where 83 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: we get your podcasts. Search our NFL podcast YouTube is. 84 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 1: Go to Betting Pros. You can watch Dan Harrison and 85 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 1: I break down every game and you'll find out just 86 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:33,479 Speaker 1: how how tough it's going to be to find five winners. 87 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:35,920 Speaker 1: But if we go five and oh, not saying we're 88 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 1: going to, but if we do, we should wind up 89 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 1: in the money for the DraftKings Contest, which is pretty cool. 90 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 1: I need a five and oh in the worst way 91 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 1: in the Westgate because I went O four and one 92 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,440 Speaker 1: last week, so the Reboot contest, we were right there 93 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:51,359 Speaker 1: at the top and then we just fell in our face. 94 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: So if we go five and oh in five and 95 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 1: oh here, or if we go ten and oh the 96 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:59,719 Speaker 1: rest of the way, we'll be in the money. But otherwise, eah, 97 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 1: Circa we're pretty much done for the quarter. Pole went 98 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,480 Speaker 1: two and three in the Circa million after going nine 99 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 1: to one, so we're kind of alive there but not really, 100 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: so we're trying to close out. I mean, it's incredible 101 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:15,600 Speaker 1: how tough Week sixteen and seventeen are in the NFL 102 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:18,479 Speaker 1: to find winners and there's all sorts of crazy things 103 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 1: with injuries and guys sitting, and you know, teams that 104 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:24,119 Speaker 1: give up on their coach and teams that play hard 105 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: for a playoff spot, and it's just it's a very 106 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 1: complicated and difficult two week stretch in the NFL. On 107 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 1: top of the fact that we have a Friday game, 108 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 1: a Saturday game, or three games on Saturday today, a 109 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:37,159 Speaker 1: full slight on Sunday, and then Monday. So four straight 110 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: days of betting on the NFL. So a lot to 111 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:41,600 Speaker 1: get to here on the show. You guys know what 112 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:43,920 Speaker 1: to do here with our bet MGM offer. 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Gambling problem called one one hundred and 121 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 1: five to two to two forty seven hundred in Colorado 122 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in New Jersey, West Virginia or one 123 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:16,479 Speaker 1: hundred and nine with it in Indiana. All right, so 124 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 1: let's start with the bowl game. And let's start how 125 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: about like this is fun Belt Saturday. If you like 126 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: Sunbelt games, you're gonna like today because there are I 127 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 1: mean Georgia southerns in this. You've got Louisiana in the 128 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:30,720 Speaker 1: in these bowl games, and you've got Coastal Carolina up 129 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 1: against a team in Liberty that hasn't played that heart 130 00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 1: of a schedule. But Liberty is a team that's gotten 131 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 1: some attention recently. I mean they've you know, Hugh Freeze 132 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: is building something here and I I'm really curious to 133 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:47,440 Speaker 1: watch Coastal Carolina here. I'm very curious to watch and 134 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:51,000 Speaker 1: see how this game goes. This is a Saturday night game. 135 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 1: At seven thirty Eastern time, Coastal Carolina is minus seven. 136 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:57,599 Speaker 1: It opened up at seven and a half. Okay, the 137 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 1: total for this game is fifty nine a half. I 138 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: know that these bowl games have been a little bit funky, 139 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:08,240 Speaker 1: and you know, looking at the bowl games, you know 140 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:10,440 Speaker 1: I don't want want to lay fourteen here, you know, 141 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:14,360 Speaker 1: with Louisiana and I'm just you know, looking at going Okay, 142 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 1: do I want to get involved big time with with 143 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 1: Georgia State. Sorry, I think it's at Georgia Southern Georgia 144 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 1: State's playing Western Kentucky, so I guess that's not a 145 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 1: some ball game. So sorry, But I've bet nothing on 146 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 1: the on that bowl game. But Louisiana Lafayette is going 147 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: on against Texas San Antonio. I'm gonna pass on those 148 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 1: two games. But Liberty and Coastal we're going to talk 149 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 1: about here, and let's talk about the total at fifty 150 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: nine and a half. I'm leaning towards Coastal covering that 151 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 1: seven Okay. If I had to place a bet on 152 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: the conic side, I take Coastal to cover the seven points. However, 153 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 1: Coastal and Liberty both have been very good to the 154 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: number to the over six and four to the over 155 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: for Liberty, six and five for Coastal. Against Troy. In 156 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 1: the last game, fifty four was the total for Coastal. 157 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:59,480 Speaker 1: It went over by twenty six points. The BYU game 158 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 1: was a little It's strange for Coastal, Okay, that game 159 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 1: did go under, and that was such a big game. 160 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 1: It was looking like it was like a Super Bowl 161 00:08:07,000 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 1: for both those teams. The win for Coastal twenty two 162 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 1: to seventeen. Everyone bet the over, right. That was just 163 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 1: like hammer the overhammer the over, and then it never 164 00:08:15,160 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: came in. It was bet the under Texas State before that, 165 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: fifty eight was the total. The over came in by 166 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:24,240 Speaker 1: four and a half points. On the other side, Liberty's 167 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 1: last two games, well, they only scored fourteen points against 168 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 1: NC State. Let's throw that out. They scored forty five 169 00:08:30,640 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 1: against you Mass and the underhit because U Mass got 170 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 1: shut out forty five nothing. Now, it's been a couple 171 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 1: of weeks since Liberty has played. But I like this 172 00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 1: Liberty offense. I think Coastal Carolina's defensive front gets up 173 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 1: the field here, but I think Liberty can get around. 174 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 1: I think Liberty's got plays and can take advantage of that. 175 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 1: They've got better athletes than people think. This offense is 176 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 1: a little bit funky. I think Coastal gives up points here, 177 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 1: all right, I do. I think that they'll wind up 178 00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 1: giving up a little more points than maybe some people think. 179 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 1: Fifty nine and a half is a big number for 180 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:04,320 Speaker 1: Bowl games, right. Costal only gives up eighteen point five 181 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 1: points per game, but I think they'll give up a 182 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 1: little bit more than what they are averaging. And Liberty 183 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:11,440 Speaker 1: gives up twenty one point four points per game. That's 184 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:14,720 Speaker 1: a little inflated based upon who they've played. So you 185 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 1: look at the offenses though, thirty seven point one points 186 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: per game for Liberty, thirty six point nine points per 187 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:22,959 Speaker 1: game for Coastal. I think this is an offensive game. 188 00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 1: I think this is a back and forth battle. Coastal 189 00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 1: and Liberty were going over fifty nine and a half 190 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: for a half a unit. Here, okay, half a unit. 191 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:35,719 Speaker 1: I am taking the other half a unit, and let's 192 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 1: talk about the NBA. I'm looking for bad teams up 193 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 1: against teams that want to prove something. Okay, That's what 194 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:42,959 Speaker 1: I'm doing. Early in the year, It's why I took 195 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,200 Speaker 1: the Lakers after going zero to one bet the Lakers 196 00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 1: minus six. Took the Clippers against the Nuggets after what 197 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:51,560 Speaker 1: happened in the postseason. That was to me, it was like, Okay, 198 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 1: Clippers are gonna come out there and make a message, 199 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 1: send the message and be like, Okay, we beat the Lakers, 200 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 1: but now we want we want the Nuggets, like, let's go. 201 00:09:58,400 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: So they put out they would there instead of sense 202 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 1: of message. Is just two and a half point favorites. Again, 203 00:10:03,280 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 1: I'm taping this as the game starting the fourth quarter. 204 00:10:05,400 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 1: It's a lopsided lead right now for the Clippers. Hopefully 205 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 1: that stays for our four and one mark. But I 206 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 1: just think Philadelphia against the Knicks is another one of 207 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 1: these situations. So you've got Darryl Morey coming in here 208 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 1: to this Philadelphia team. You've got a pretty disappointed Philadelphia 209 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 1: team who won their first game of the season. The 210 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 1: Knicks are not good. The Knicks lost on the road 211 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: at Indiana one twenty one to one oh seven. It 212 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:38,520 Speaker 1: did go over. The spread was seven and a half, 213 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 1: just like it is on this game, and they and 214 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 1: they lost. I predict a very similar thing. I think 215 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 1: Joel Ebid's gonna has a big game. I don't think 216 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:51,560 Speaker 1: the Knicks are very good. I think Philadelphia again wants 217 00:10:51,600 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 1: to send a message. These are games where they come 218 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: out and they want to, you know, put up a 219 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:57,960 Speaker 1: big number. I'm gonna lay the seven and a half 220 00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 1: points here with the Philadelphia seventy six ers Philly minus 221 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 1: seven and a half against the Knicks. Bet MGM's got 222 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:07,199 Speaker 1: it at seven and a half half a unit were 223 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: going on there. I understand there's a huge laundry list 224 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 1: of games in the NBA you can bet on today, 225 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 1: but I was just sort of like going through the 226 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 1: entire schedule and not a lot of them jump off 227 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:22,040 Speaker 1: the page to me exactly that one did. If you 228 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 1: want another one, the Raptors against the Spurs as minus 229 00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 1: one even money, you know, depending on where you find 230 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 1: the line. I think the Raptors on the road at 231 00:11:32,120 --> 00:11:35,240 Speaker 1: San Antonio. After the Raptors lost their first game, I 232 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:38,520 Speaker 1: think Toronto, Toronto will have something to say to the 233 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 1: Spurs who won their first game. That's basically a pick 234 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: after losing to the New Orleans Pelicans in pretty embarrassing 235 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:47,880 Speaker 1: fashion as being favored by four and losing one thirteen 236 00:11:47,920 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 1: to ninety nine. That's a pretty confident and pretty you know, 237 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 1: proud team. I don't think that they'll wind up, you know, 238 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 1: laying down and going zero to two. But that's my 239 00:11:56,760 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 1: lean for the NBA. If you're looking for one, All right, 240 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:02,680 Speaker 1: let's go to the NFL. Got a lot going here, Okay, 241 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 1: let's start with the early game, the Bucks and the Lions. Man, 242 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 1: this line's up to ten I got it at nine 243 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: and a half when I got involved with this game. 244 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 1: I'll explain a bit more here in just one second. 245 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 1: But the Buccaneers need this game, and there's a lot 246 00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:20,000 Speaker 1: of money coming in here on Tampa. So by the 247 00:12:20,000 --> 00:12:22,040 Speaker 1: time you guys listen to this, I don't know it 248 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: maybe eleven. By the time you listen to this, it's 249 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 1: you know, it's one of those games where the Lions 250 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:30,320 Speaker 1: don't have anything going for them. The Buccaneers need to 251 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 1: get a victory. They need to go out and show out, 252 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:35,600 Speaker 1: show out and score and score and play better and 253 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:37,559 Speaker 1: show that their defense can play better so that their 254 00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:40,880 Speaker 1: offense can play better. I just don't like their defense. 255 00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:44,560 Speaker 1: I'm worried about back doors. I'm worried about them going 256 00:12:44,640 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 1: up and just kind of. I mean, ten points is 257 00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:50,199 Speaker 1: a lot in the NFL in these late season standalone games. 258 00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 1: No one wants to get hurt for the playoffs. I 259 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: need a Buccaneers win to cash my over nine and 260 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:58,320 Speaker 1: a half ticket, So I'm looking for ten wins for 261 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:01,679 Speaker 1: the Bucks. So I got two plays here that I 262 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:06,559 Speaker 1: need actually, and the Buccaneers I'm going to take the 263 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:09,760 Speaker 1: over in this game. Fifty three and a half is 264 00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 1: where I got it. I'm guessing it's gonna climb. I 265 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 1: think the Lions are going to score the Bucks get thirty, 266 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 1: all right, I need twenty twenty four points out of 267 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:21,320 Speaker 1: the Lions. The Bucks might get forty, okay, so maybe 268 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,880 Speaker 1: that's I just think the Tampa BA Bucks are gonna 269 00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 1: put a big number up here, and I need the 270 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 1: Lions to contribute, like seventeen points. Like that's all that 271 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:31,319 Speaker 1: I need out of them. Score seventeen points to get 272 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,920 Speaker 1: to the over. But I think the Bucks and the Lions, 273 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 1: I'm going over fifty three and a half here for 274 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,560 Speaker 1: a half a unit for the Bucks and the Lions 275 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:41,560 Speaker 1: in the first game of the day. Here. It is 276 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 1: a one pm Eastern time kick ten am early start. Points. Points. 277 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 1: Points is what I'm going for here with the Bucks 278 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 1: and the Lions. Not gonna be Saints, you know the 279 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 1: Saints game from yesterday. But I think you're gonna see points, 280 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,480 Speaker 1: a lot of points. Not Saints like Vikings, but Bucks Lions. 281 00:13:56,520 --> 00:13:58,560 Speaker 1: I'm going points over fifty three and a half for 282 00:13:58,600 --> 00:14:02,960 Speaker 1: that one, all right, half a unit, two plays, two 283 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,360 Speaker 1: prop bets. I want to talk about point twenty five units, 284 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 1: all right, let's talk about Mike Evans. You want to 285 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 1: talk about points in the Buccaneers. This is when Brady 286 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: and Evans need to get on the same page. Mike Evans, 287 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 1: this number seems criminally low. Mike Evans over fifty eight 288 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:20,280 Speaker 1: and a half yards receiving on bet mgm. Now, this 289 00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 1: is the number four bet for our betting pros prop 290 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. You want to look at the game itself. 291 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:28,920 Speaker 1: If you go under matchups, you can go ahead and 292 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 1: look at Detroit and Tampa Bay. This is number four 293 00:14:32,360 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 1: on the game itself, not overall for the day, but 294 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:38,400 Speaker 1: on the or the week. But Mike Evans receiving over 295 00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:41,440 Speaker 1: fifty eight and half yards receiving at bet mgm for 296 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 1: a quarter unit. I think Mike Evans is going to 297 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 1: be a big part of this offense. I think he's 298 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 1: gonna wind up getting, you know, destroying their secondary. I mean, 299 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 1: Detroit secondary is not good by any means. Last time 300 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:56,080 Speaker 1: out he had six got six balls on seven targets 301 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 1: for one hundred and ten yards and went over the Falcons. 302 00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:01,560 Speaker 1: I would expect similar productive over out of Mike Evans 303 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:03,800 Speaker 1: here for the Timp Bay offense. And I like the 304 00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 1: over so offense is going to be the name of 305 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:08,120 Speaker 1: the game there. So we're going over Mike Evans fifty 306 00:15:08,160 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 1: eight and a half yards receiving. And then if you 307 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 1: do want to go and look at all the matchups 308 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:15,400 Speaker 1: number three on the betting pros prop bet cheat sheet 309 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:18,720 Speaker 1: yesterday three and oh. Top three plays all win three 310 00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: and oh. The number one play is Justin Herbert that's 311 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: for tomorrow. Then Russell Wilson, that's for tomorrow. But Darren 312 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 1: Waller today up against the Miami Dolphins. Fifty five and 313 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: a half yards receiving for Darren Waller. Again, this seems 314 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:36,480 Speaker 1: criminally low to be quite honest, as I mean, Waller 315 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 1: over the last three weeks has had twenty nine receptions, 316 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 1: four hundred and twenty five yards and three touchdowns. I 317 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:46,560 Speaker 1: mean that's the third most points all time for a 318 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 1: tight end in any stretch of NFL history for in fantasy. 319 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:55,800 Speaker 1: So he is now twenty six point five percent of 320 00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 1: the Raiders air yards this year, which is higher than 321 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey at twenty six percent for the Chiefs. To 322 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: give you an idea, what Waller is. The passing attack 323 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: is Darren Waller. Now you could say, well, the Dolphins 324 00:16:07,200 --> 00:16:10,360 Speaker 1: are gonna really key it. I don't like the Dolphins. 325 00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:12,960 Speaker 1: I didn't like him last week. I faded him. I'm 326 00:16:12,960 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 1: gonna fade them again today. But I'll tell you here 327 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 1: in a seconds where we're going with that. But for this, 328 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 1: Darren Waller over fifty five and a half yards receiving 329 00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:24,280 Speaker 1: is our second prop bet forer point two five units 330 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 1: and the Parult two team teaser eleven and six on 331 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 1: the year is back. It's gonna involve the Raiders and 332 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 1: the Bucks. We just told you about the two teams. 333 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 1: We like the two props what Waller and Evans. I 334 00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:40,360 Speaker 1: took the Raiders up to plus nine. I took the 335 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 1: Bucks down to three and a half. And there is 336 00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:45,800 Speaker 1: the Parult two team teaser for one units at minus 337 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 1: one twenty five odds Raiders plus nine Bucks minus three 338 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 1: and a half. Now, there are some different things I'm 339 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:57,720 Speaker 1: gonna sprinkle with. These are not official plays, but I 340 00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 1: am taking the Raiders on the money line, the Raiders 341 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: to win this game. Okay, do what you want with 342 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:06,240 Speaker 1: it does not count for the official play I've got. 343 00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 1: I told you guys before, I bet a lot of 344 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 1: different things, okay, and but this is one of them. 345 00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:12,880 Speaker 1: I think the Raiders win this game, outright, I really do. 346 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:14,879 Speaker 1: And I'm gonna sprinkle on it. Nothing too heavy, but 347 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 1: I'm gonna sprinkle on the Raiders to win this game, 348 00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:19,440 Speaker 1: out right. They have to win this game. I mean 349 00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:22,880 Speaker 1: from a Raider perspective, You've got a rookie quarterback into 350 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:26,240 Speaker 1: They've got so many lucky bounces have gone the way 351 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:28,919 Speaker 1: for the Dolphins this year, and everyone's going to be 352 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,439 Speaker 1: on the Dolphins. I mean everyone is going to be 353 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 1: on the Dolphins. I'm gonna fade the public. I'm gonna 354 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 1: fade the obvious. Everyone's like, oh, it's gonna be obvious. 355 00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,640 Speaker 1: But this is the last home game of the year 356 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:43,399 Speaker 1: and they have lost four or five if they want 357 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:45,479 Speaker 1: any chance of making it. And look, I don't care 358 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 1: if Derek Carr or Marcus Mary going to play either way, Okay, 359 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:51,080 Speaker 1: I think both guys might play. Carr may give it 360 00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: a go. He may try to go. They don't know 361 00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 1: about the groin, they don't know how he'll play. But really, 362 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 1: it could be one of those where I mean Derek 363 00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 1: Carr was a full participant for a second straight for practice, 364 00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:03,480 Speaker 1: so Cleveland Farrell was the only Raiders to be ruled 365 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:06,360 Speaker 1: out against the Dolphins. Everybody else is looking like they're 366 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:08,399 Speaker 1: gonna come back. They're off the COVID list. I mean, 367 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:10,679 Speaker 1: Derek Carr looks like he could play Wednesday and Thursday. 368 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 1: Hitting the Friday and he looked like he could play. 369 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:16,120 Speaker 1: So Carr plays great if he doesn't. Mariota, I think 370 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:18,399 Speaker 1: can play. I like him either or Waller or you 371 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 1: go Matt why he like? Look what Waller did with Mariota. Okay, 372 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:25,320 Speaker 1: I mean great, He's got chemistry with both quarterbacks. So 373 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:27,879 Speaker 1: I'm comfortable with Waller on that prop bet there. But 374 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:30,600 Speaker 1: I think the Raiders win this game. I really do. 375 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:36,359 Speaker 1: I think. I just think the Raiders win. Everyone's on 376 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:38,920 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. I'm taking the Raiders to get their eighth 377 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,399 Speaker 1: win finally to cash that ticket for me. I need it. 378 00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:43,639 Speaker 1: I got seven wins over seven wins on the Raiders 379 00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,359 Speaker 1: because next week it's on the road to Denver, and Okay, 380 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 1: maybe they win the game. But but then again, nine 381 00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:52,560 Speaker 1: and seven is a really good season for the Raiders. 382 00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 1: Last home game Dolphins East Coast team coming west or 383 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:59,159 Speaker 1: taking the Raiders to win the game outright, But the 384 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 1: official play teasing season Raiders to plus nine and Bucks 385 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 1: down to minus three in a half. What will screw 386 00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:08,280 Speaker 1: me up is if the Lions win that game outright, Okay, 387 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 1: that would just throw everything into a wrench. But I 388 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: don't think that's gonna happen. I'd be really really surprised. Okay, 389 00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:15,960 Speaker 1: let's recap the place. There's a bunch of them. Okay, 390 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 1: I know three units overall in play today here Coastal 391 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:21,640 Speaker 1: over fifty one and a half against Liberty in their 392 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:24,680 Speaker 1: bowl game. Half a unit Philadelphia minus seven and a 393 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,400 Speaker 1: half against the Knicks. Bet MGM's got that number. Forty 394 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 1: at a half a unit over Bucks, Lions fifty three 395 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 1: and a half the total there for a half of units. 396 00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:36,160 Speaker 1: Darren Waller over fifty five and a half yards receiving 397 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:39,280 Speaker 1: point twenty five units. Mike Evans over fifty eight and 398 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:42,240 Speaker 1: a half yard receiving point twenty five units per alt 399 00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:45,639 Speaker 1: two team Teaser Raiders plus nine Bucks minus three and 400 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:49,720 Speaker 1: a half for one unit today on a Saturday. Whoo, 401 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:53,960 Speaker 1: that's a lot reminder about the Nick Chubb helmet to 402 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:55,800 Speaker 1: be given away. You gotta go and give us a 403 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:59,720 Speaker 1: review on Apple podcast are Stitcher. We're over five hundred reviews. 404 00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 1: Now we got to get the six hundred reviews. We'll go. 405 00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:05,200 Speaker 1: That's our new goal for the reviews on Apple podcasts. 406 00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 1: Take that screenshot, go drop it off bettingpros dot com 407 00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:10,240 Speaker 1: slash juice, and you'll be entered in to win that 408 00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 1: autograph Nick Chubb Brown's helmet to be given away here 409 00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:16,600 Speaker 1: in just a couple of days. Let's be chatting in 410 00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:19,879 Speaker 1: the discord chat bettingpros dot com slash chat for the 411 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:22,280 Speaker 1: invitation to get in. I will be there all day 412 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:25,760 Speaker 1: today on Saturday, watching NFL football, watching college football, watching 413 00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 1: NBA basketball. Nothing on college basketball today. I know you 414 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,199 Speaker 1: guys were asking. I told you to avoid that Iowa 415 00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:35,119 Speaker 1: game though. That was that was trap city. Iowa laying 416 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 1: six on the road at Maryland. That was trap trap 417 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,240 Speaker 1: City and they lost the game in overtime, blew a 418 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,080 Speaker 1: lead late. I'm very glad that I dodged that. I 419 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,760 Speaker 1: had buddies of mine telling me hammer Iowa, Hammer Iowa. 420 00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 1: I was like, uh, guys, I'm not betting college sports 421 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:52,400 Speaker 1: on Christmas. Nope, that is asking for trouble. Buffalo barely 422 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:54,919 Speaker 1: covered in their bowl game. Jared Patterson didn't play, but 423 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,520 Speaker 1: they still covered in some way seventeen ten. Uh huh. 424 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 1: Don't feel like sweating on Chris miss college games. They're 425 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:03,679 Speaker 1: way too volatile, So I'm glad to I Miss that 426 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,760 Speaker 1: We're back tomorrow for a full Sunday. Our live stream 427 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:10,040 Speaker 1: begins at eleven am off the Betting Pros YouTube channel. 428 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,639 Speaker 1: Looking forward to seeing you guys in there as we 429 00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 1: chat about all the plays, all the prop bets, and 430 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,960 Speaker 1: all the fun coming up for us on a week 431 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 1: sixteen for the NFL. I'm at Peroltz, following me on 432 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,639 Speaker 1: Twitter every at Sports Talk Matt every morning. It's the 433 00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:28,080 Speaker 1: Daily Juice Podcast, brought to by betemgm off at Beettypros 434 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:35,520 Speaker 1: dot com