1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,440 Speaker 1: Cable news is ripping us apart, dividing the nation, making 2 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: it impossible to function as a society and to know 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: what is true and what is false. The good news 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: is that they're failing and they know it. That is 5 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: why we're building something new. Be part of creating a new, better, healthier, 6 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: and more trustworthy mainstream by becoming a Breaking Points Premium 7 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: member today at breakingpoints dot com. Your hard earned money 8 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: is going to help us build for the midterms and 9 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: the upcoming presidential election so we can provide unparalleled coverage 10 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 1: of what is sure to be one of the most 11 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: pivotal moments in American history. So what are you waiting for? 12 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 1: Go to Breakingpoints dot com to help us out. Good morning, everybody, 13 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 1: Happy Tuesday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 14 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: We have Crystal. Indeed, we do a lot of interesting 15 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 1: political news breaking this morning. First of all, Republicans signaling 16 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 1: increasing concerns about Trump being at the center of the 17 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 1: midterm election, so we'll break all of that down for you. Also, 18 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:12,319 Speaker 1: the new developments in terms of the mar A Lago 19 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 1: rate and what's going on with the judge. All of 20 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,559 Speaker 1: that stuff we have for you as well. We also 21 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,320 Speaker 1: have a number of Republican candidates very concerned about where 22 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 1: they stand on abortion. They said one thing during the 23 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 1: primaries to make sure they secured the GOP nomination. Now 24 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 1: that they're into the general election, they're deleting entire sections 25 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: from their website, changing their tune, back pedaling all of 26 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: that as well. And at the same time, the House 27 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: Republicans have kind of decided, you know, maybe we should 28 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: run on an actual policy agenda. They brought out New 29 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 1: Gingrich for an old consult on the whole contract with America, 30 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: a little bit of a nineties throwback situation, So we'll 31 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: break that down for you. We also have some big 32 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 1: foreign policy news in terms of Ukraine is reportedly now 33 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: launching that long awaited counter offensive. How is that going 34 00:01:56,720 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 1: and what does it mean for energy prices here but 35 00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: in particular in Europe, where things are looking increasingly dire 36 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: At the same time, massive deadly protests breaking out in 37 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 1: a rock of some twenty plus years since we, of 38 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: course invaded that country. The government is in complete freefall. 39 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 1: They've been unable to form a government since sometime last year. 40 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 1: So we've got all of that for you as well, 41 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 1: as well as a new guest on the show, excited 42 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 1: to talk to Freddie Brewster about the way that cryptocurrency 43 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: billionaires are shaping our politics. Before we get to that, 44 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 1: two things first off, Live show, Live Show. Put it 45 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: up there on the screen. Only a couple tickets left. 46 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 1: As we said, we're in the currently final negotiation stages 47 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: for the rest of the dates. So get ready, folks. 48 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 1: This is the opening salvo. It's really exciting. It's kind 49 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:41,799 Speaker 1: of fun. Crystal looking across the map and be like, hmm, 50 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 1: should we go here? Should we go there? So all 51 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 1: of that is in development. Come and join us. But 52 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 1: number two, Crystal go ahead, Yes, So we are hiring, 53 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 1: yes producer James. Need some help, guys, and the show 54 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 1: is expanding, as we've been sort of teasing for you guys, 55 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 1: we're going to have a big announcement after Labor Day 56 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 1: about an official expansion of Breaking Points. Along with that, 57 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 1: we need someone to help us manage all of the 58 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 1: content that we are putting out, to help us, especially 59 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 1: with the partner program, and make sure that we're getting 60 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:14,680 Speaker 1: the best out of that. Someone who has, you know, 61 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 1: editorial skills, news judgment. So remind me what the email 62 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 1: jobs If you're interested dot com send us an email. 63 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:26,959 Speaker 1: Jobs at Breakingpoints dot com. As you guys know, I mean, 64 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 1: we are a very lean and very small team, so 65 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 1: really important that we're able to have someone else who 66 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: is trained on all of the things that James does 67 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 1: because basically, right now, if James gets sick, yes we're 68 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 1: kind of screwed. So Love you're going to be a 69 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 1: partnership management position. We need somebody with at least a 70 00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 1: couple of years experience. In general, you need to be 71 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: familiar with social media, some sort of video production production background, 72 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 1: knowledge of how some of the back end systems work, 73 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: like between YouTube, Spotify and more. But in general, you're 74 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 1: just going to have to have a know how of 75 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: what it means to work in the content business, and 76 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 1: another standing. Probably the most important skill is like a 77 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 1: deep understanding of our show, yeah exactly, our values, what 78 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: we're aiming to do here, and yeah, a willingness to 79 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:18,960 Speaker 1: sort of do whatever it takes, because since we are 80 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 1: such a small team, everybody pitches in with every aspect, 81 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 1: from you know, initial show conception and the editorial process 82 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,279 Speaker 1: to actually you know, doing the behind the scenes work 83 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:31,280 Speaker 1: to get the show up every day, to helping out 84 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:33,599 Speaker 1: with some of the you know, the help requests that 85 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,480 Speaker 1: we get through emails, people having trouble with their account, 86 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: those sorts of managing that part of it as well. 87 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 1: But the big focus that we want this person to 88 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: have is on helping us to manage the partner content, 89 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,479 Speaker 1: especially as we continue to expand in that direction. So 90 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: one more time was the job job Breaking Points. Breakingpoints 91 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 1: dot Com put out an announcement on Twitter as well, 92 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 1: but officially, consider yourselves the first and forem. We'll have 93 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 1: a link down in the description, so send it in. 94 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 1: I don't want to put anything official because I don't 95 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 1: want Look. It could be somebody who's twenty one and 96 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:04,040 Speaker 1: has been doing this on the side since they were 97 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 1: like fifteen. It could be somebody who's like forty five 98 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:08,479 Speaker 1: and has also been working in TV for like twenty years. 99 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 1: Whatever it is, all people will be considered. The best 100 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 1: woman person shall win. So there we go. Yes, it'll 101 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: be fun indeed. And one other thing we should say 102 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:19,919 Speaker 1: about that is thank you to the premium subscribers for 103 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: helping to make that expansion possible. James thanks you very 104 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:28,160 Speaker 1: much as well, because he's getting increasingly overloaded. We just 105 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: keep putting more and more things on his plate and 106 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:32,839 Speaker 1: on the team that you don't see in the background 107 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 1: on their plate as well. So thank you guys for 108 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 1: making this expansion possible. It's going to make everything run 109 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 1: more smoothly and help us to be able to optimize 110 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:43,039 Speaker 1: the content so the experience is as good as possible 111 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: as it can be. Exactly right, So, all the premium subscribers, 112 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:47,360 Speaker 1: the reason why we ask some of the monthlies to 113 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 1: upgrade was specifically for this reason. Realize the cash, have 114 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:52,160 Speaker 1: the budget, we can make sure that we can hire 115 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: the right person at the right price, and also expand 116 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 1: out content partnership as well. It costs a hell of 117 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 1: a lot of money in order to do video productions. 118 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 1: So thank you all so much, and if you can 119 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: help us out sign up. We're just giving you a 120 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: very clear view. This is exactly what you use we 121 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: use the money for, so thank you all so so much. 122 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,040 Speaker 1: With that, though, let's get to the show all right, 123 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: So let's jump into some of the political news that 124 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,839 Speaker 1: we are focused on this morning. The first piece here 125 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: is that as Republican fortunes have kind of soured for 126 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: the midterms, there are starting to be a lot of 127 00:06:21,320 --> 00:06:24,480 Speaker 1: angst about what exactly is going wrong for them. And look, 128 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: I want to start this whole section by saying Republicans 129 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 1: are still very likely to take the House, probably fifty 130 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,039 Speaker 1: to fifty. In the Senate, maybe Democrats have a little 131 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:35,159 Speaker 1: bit of an edge in holding onto the Senate. It's 132 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: still not a terrible landscape for Republicans. But we also 133 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:41,279 Speaker 1: have to say this is a landscape that looks a 134 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:44,039 Speaker 1: lot different than what they were anticipating just a few 135 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 1: months ago. And it is a landscape that looks a 136 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:49,159 Speaker 1: lot different even from you know, historical precedent, and with 137 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: the president's approval rating and the number of people who 138 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 1: say the country is on the wrong track, the fact 139 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:56,040 Speaker 1: that there's any chance at all the Democrats could hold 140 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: either the House or the Senate is a major change 141 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:02,719 Speaker 1: in the four of Republicans. So finger pointing is beginning. 142 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:05,159 Speaker 1: One of the places that people are starting to look 143 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:08,599 Speaker 1: is that the adverse impact Donald Trump himself is having 144 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: on Republican fortunes for these midterms. And that's on a 145 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 1: few fronts. Let's put this first tear sheet up on 146 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: the screen. This is from the New York Times. They 147 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:19,480 Speaker 1: say Republican signal worries about Trump and the midterms. They 148 00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: point in particular to the fact that just very few 149 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: Republicans even willing to go on the Sunday talk shows 150 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: to defend former President Trump. Those who did indicated they 151 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 1: would rather be talking about almost anything else. That marks 152 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,160 Speaker 1: a dramatic turn even from when this raid. When the 153 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 1: news of this raid first came out, I mean we 154 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 1: tracked here. How instantly everybody was on the talking points. 155 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 1: Every single potential challenger to Trump was out there saying 156 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: exactly what he wanted them to say, was this thing 157 00:07:48,200 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 1: is worn on. And more details have come out, they've 158 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,040 Speaker 1: gotten a lot quieter. They haven't really stepped away from 159 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,360 Speaker 1: their comments, but they've gotten a lot quieter. And how 160 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 1: they're approaching this whole thing. A couple quotes from within 161 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:01,320 Speaker 1: this piece of some of the Republicans who did go 162 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 1: on the Sunday shows. You had Senator Roy Blunt, Republican 163 00:08:04,080 --> 00:08:06,960 Speaker 1: of Missouri, acknowledging that mister Trump quote should have turned 164 00:08:07,000 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 1: the documents over, but then quickly pivoted to the timing 165 00:08:09,640 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 1: of the search quote. What I wonder about is why 166 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 1: this could go on for almost two years. In less 167 00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: than one hundred days, before the election. Suddenly we're talking 168 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 1: about this rather than the economy or inflation or even 169 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: the student loan program. Governor Christan Nunouz sounding a similar note. He, 170 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:25,240 Speaker 1: of course, is a Republican of New Hampshire who actually 171 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 1: took a pass on running for the Senate, which damaged 172 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 1: their chances because he would be a strong contender in 173 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 1: that state, because he felt like they didn't really have 174 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:34,080 Speaker 1: an agenda that they were running on, they just wanted 175 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 1: to be in opposition. Anyway, what he said is former 176 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 1: President Trump has been out of office for going on 177 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 1: two years now, you think this is a coincidence, just 178 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:45,679 Speaker 1: happening a few months before the midterm elections. So very 179 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:50,079 Speaker 1: different approach from Republicans, many of whom are just saying 180 00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: I'm just going to stay quiet for now and sort 181 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:54,600 Speaker 1: of see what shakes out, and those who are talking 182 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: about it are basically trying to pivot immediately to inflation, 183 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 1: the economy, basically anything else. Look, at the end of 184 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:05,400 Speaker 1: the day, Trump was with the biggest motivating factor in 185 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 1: the history of modern American politics for Democrats and Republicans. However, 186 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 1: you don't want the Democrats motivated, even to the extent 187 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 1: that they are it's because of Dobbs, but that still 188 00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:20,280 Speaker 1: is not yet from what we have seen, reached the 189 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:24,560 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen level of fervor of people who just hated Trump. 190 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: The more that you elevate him as a figure, the 191 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,559 Speaker 1: more likely you are to turn it into a referendum 192 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 1: on him as a historically unpopular politician. Again, he's still 193 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:36,280 Speaker 1: at forty one percent what our current president is. But 194 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: you don't want the other people to come out and 195 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:40,960 Speaker 1: make it about him. You want them to either stay 196 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:43,520 Speaker 1: home and possibly if you can have those swing voters 197 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 1: come out, we want to talk about inflation, you want 198 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 1: to talk about gas, and you want to talk about 199 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:50,319 Speaker 1: Joe Biden, who is the most relevant figure in their lives. 200 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 1: If you start to paper over all that stuff, well 201 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 1: it's going to be a hell of a lot more 202 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 1: different election. Not to say Republicans can't win. It still 203 00:09:58,040 --> 00:10:00,199 Speaker 1: would be, you know, I would say probably that's where 204 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 1: your money should be. But now it all comes down 205 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 1: to the extent of how exactly the turnout is going 206 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 1: to be. And then furthermore, it matters the most in 207 00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:12,000 Speaker 1: the swing states, places like Arizona and in Georgia, where 208 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:15,280 Speaker 1: Trump lost very very narrowly in twenty twenty in a 209 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:18,120 Speaker 1: Biden you know, thirty eight percent approval environment, those should 210 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 1: have been absolute slam dogs, even with Blake Masters and 211 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 1: herschel Walker. They should have not been cruising to election. 212 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 1: But you know, they should have been a fight. Now, 213 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 1: if you make it a referendum on Trump, we already know, Crystal, 214 00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:32,559 Speaker 1: how those two states think about Donald Trump. Yes, very 215 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: very differently. Well, and so here's what Republicans wanted, and 216 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 1: we're very clear about this. I mean, Mitch McConnell, who 217 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 1: I think is you know, one of their smarter strategists, 218 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:43,319 Speaker 1: however we feel about him, was like, we're not running 219 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 1: on anything except for Joe. Biden is bad and inflation 220 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:48,240 Speaker 1: is bad and the economy is bad. That's it. Smart. 221 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 1: And now they don't really have that option because it 222 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 1: is no longer just a referendum on Joe Biden. You 223 00:10:56,600 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 1: already saw in this CBS News battleground tracker that we 224 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 1: were talking about yesterday that you have more people motivated 225 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 1: to vote in opposition to Trump than you do motivated 226 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: to vote in opposition to Biden, even though Biden is 227 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:11,560 Speaker 1: obviously the guy in charge. So in some senses that 228 00:11:11,640 --> 00:11:15,640 Speaker 1: ship has already sailed, and the problems pre date the 229 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: FBI raid, which of course has put Trump back at 230 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 1: the center of our politics, and you know, is sucking 231 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 1: up tons of media attention, and now his truths are 232 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 1: being covered relentlessly. We're going to cover one of his 233 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:29,520 Speaker 1: truths ourselves in the show because it was quite noworthy 234 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 1: and very not helpful in terms of the Republicans, but 235 00:11:33,760 --> 00:11:37,840 Speaker 1: it predates that even because he played so heavily in 236 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:42,440 Speaker 1: shaping the Republican nomination process that so many of these 237 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 1: candidates are his candidates. It's hard to distance yourself from 238 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 1: the guy when you know these are his hand picks 239 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:51,960 Speaker 1: late of candidates by and large, which are running in 240 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 1: all of these states. So that also made it difficult 241 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:57,199 Speaker 1: for them to sort of say, oh, let's not talk 242 00:11:57,240 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: about that guy, let's just focus on Biden. Kind of 243 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 1: hard to do that at this point. I think it's 244 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:04,000 Speaker 1: going to be very hard to put that genie back 245 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:07,440 Speaker 1: in the bottle. I mean, they are begging Trump to 246 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 1: not announce his presidential run before the midterms, which he, 247 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:14,080 Speaker 1: I think was kind of inclined to do. Because it 248 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:18,439 Speaker 1: is true that the raid has consolidated Republican support behind him, 249 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:22,359 Speaker 1: even as it has been a net negative for independence 250 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:25,400 Speaker 1: and of course a motivating factor for Democrats and in 251 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:28,520 Speaker 1: terms of opposing him. But yeah, they are begging him 252 00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:30,719 Speaker 1: to wait till after the midterms, telling him like, oh, 253 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:32,680 Speaker 1: if it doesn't go well for Republicans, then you'll be 254 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:34,920 Speaker 1: blamed and that'll be so much of a problem. But 255 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 1: whether he announces before the midterms or not, and we'll 256 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:39,600 Speaker 1: get to this in a minute, it's already a major 257 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:42,680 Speaker 1: issue because he's become again the central dividing line in 258 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 1: our politics, the center of media coverage, and also is 259 00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 1: sucking up a bunch of the money that would otherwise 260 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:53,319 Speaker 1: potentially be going to Republican candidates. So just so you know, 261 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:56,160 Speaker 1: this analysis is coming from all kinds of corners, Ben 262 00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 1: Shapiro actually had a very interesting thread on exactly this 263 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 1: topic that I want to take the time to read 264 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 1: through so we can go through the whole analysis. So 265 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:07,079 Speaker 1: he says, the Republicans are losing steam in the twenty 266 00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 1: twenty two election. There are some reasons for this, the 267 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 1: Democratic upswing in the wake of Dobbs being the most obvious, 268 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 1: but there's something else going on here that represents a 269 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 1: deeper problem for the Republican Party. The GOP is miscalibrating 270 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:21,200 Speaker 1: the very nature of the American political scene right now 271 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:24,160 Speaker 1: based on a myth. In fact, the entirety of American 272 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 1: politics is based on dueling versions of the same false mythology, 273 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:31,720 Speaker 1: the mythology of the emerging Democratic minority majority. So this 274 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 1: is the ideal of the coalition of the ascendant that 275 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,680 Speaker 1: you here talked about a lot on the Democratic side. 276 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 1: But he's saying, you know, Republicans really buy into this 277 00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:43,040 Speaker 1: myth as well and see it as a direct threat 278 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:45,360 Speaker 1: to them. He says, Democrats have banked on the Smith 279 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:48,680 Speaker 1: since twenty twelve, believing excuses their cultural and economic excesses. 280 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 1: This is untrue and has led them into an electoral 281 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:53,200 Speaker 1: box canyon as many minorities turn away from their woke 282 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 1: progressive overreach. Meanwhile, Republicans have also banked on this to 283 00:13:57,679 --> 00:14:00,199 Speaker 1: the extent that they believe only a magical person and 284 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:02,719 Speaker 1: he looks like the little trademark like Donald Trump, can 285 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:06,000 Speaker 1: defeat it. This means that when Trump is attacked, Republicans 286 00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:08,760 Speaker 1: immediately return to making the centerpiece of the conversation, and 287 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,840 Speaker 1: this harms them electorally, as every poll is now showing 288 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,079 Speaker 1: two things can be true at once. First, the FBI 289 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: rate on Trump looks like a political hit. But second, 290 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 1: the more Republicans talk about Trump, the worse they do. Electorally, 291 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:23,520 Speaker 1: Americans vote against things, not for them. If Republicans want 292 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 1: Americans to vote against Biden, they have to campaign against him, 293 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 1: not against the FBI or the deep state, or on whatever. 294 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:31,680 Speaker 1: Whether Trump had the right to have boxes of classified 295 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:35,000 Speaker 1: documents in his closet. There's a reason Democrats are eager 296 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 1: to keep Trump at the center of the conversation. Half 297 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:39,800 Speaker 1: of Independence Day, Trump is a major factor in their vote. 298 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 1: They are breaking four to one for Democrats. Republicans should 299 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 1: not play that game if they do their cruising for 300 00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:48,080 Speaker 1: a bruising. And then this last p series says Democrats, 301 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 1: we don't want to talk about Biden, the economy, our 302 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 1: perversion of the education system, were Afghanistan. Let's talk about Trump, Republicans. 303 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 1: Great idea, let's talk about Trump. But why are Republicans 304 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: losing momentum? A mystery wrapped in in a nickma. So 305 00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,080 Speaker 1: there you go. What do you think of that? Zugura? 306 00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:05,320 Speaker 1: I think he's absolutely spot on and it's correct. I 307 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 1: do want to say it is definitely, Ben Shapiro, most 308 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 1: of the Daily Wire crew have already made it known 309 00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: that they're all in on Ron DeSantis, so I think 310 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 1: it's to be fair, you know, their ideology, they never 311 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 1: really were like Trump is in two thousand and original. 312 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 1: He is more of a true they call it true 313 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 1: cons like true conservative. There these are guys like traditionally 314 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 1: of the conservative movement aligned more with like the WSJ 315 00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:31,160 Speaker 1: editorial page, but you know better at content frankly, more 316 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:33,920 Speaker 1: comfortable with Tea Party than with mag absolutely. I mean 317 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 1: that's the that's the environment in which they came up in. 318 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 1: So they never particularly liked Trump and to the extent 319 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 1: of they've trumpe did anything populous like, they were not 320 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:43,080 Speaker 1: fans of it, right, So to them, an environment in 321 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 1: which it's all culture war all the time, and then 322 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 1: Republicans are much more slipping back into twenty ten era 323 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 1: economic dogma. That's a very good environment for them. That's 324 00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: ideologically kind of why where they fit, and that's the 325 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:57,320 Speaker 1: natural preference of the state of politics. But he is 326 00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 1: not incorrect, which is that the current even truecan critique 327 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 1: of the economy of inflation was landing. Why because inflation 328 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 1: is very high. I mean, you know, it's very difficult 329 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 1: in order to tell people about supply chains when government 330 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: spending is a much easier and convenient explanation that has 331 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:15,360 Speaker 1: been baked into the way that a lot of people 332 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:18,760 Speaker 1: look at politics. So that was definitely landing. And more 333 00:16:18,800 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 1: than that, what Shapiro does correctly into it is that 334 00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:24,480 Speaker 1: in the last thirty years, especially the last ten years, 335 00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 1: in American politics, people do vote against That's that's simply 336 00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: what it is. A vote for Trump in twenty sixteen 337 00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 1: was a vote against the status quo, against hillaryology. It 338 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 1: always has been a vote for Joe Biden, frankly, was 339 00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:38,720 Speaker 1: basically the same thing. You know, more than two thirds 340 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 1: of the people supported Joe Biden. Said that it was 341 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 1: a vote not for Biden but against Donald Trump specifically. 342 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 1: And even those who are voting against Trump are voting 343 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 1: against the tides of cultural leftism. So he's not wrong, 344 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: which is that Republicans really were at this ascended position, 345 00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: let's say, three months ago, because inflation was very high. 346 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:58,240 Speaker 1: They were critiquing this, you know, central part of American life, 347 00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 1: which was going wrong. Leaderless Rudderless phenomenon, which actually makes 348 00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:04,400 Speaker 1: it better because you can't have a flashpoint on one 349 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:07,480 Speaker 1: person like Trump or Ron DeSantis. The flashpoint itself was 350 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,199 Speaker 1: Joe Biden, who kind of became the branding figure of 351 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,920 Speaker 1: which all of our problems get coalesced around. But when 352 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:16,159 Speaker 1: you put him up against somebody else who is similarly unpopular, 353 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 1: then it just throws a major mix into things. And 354 00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:21,439 Speaker 1: Ben is not wrong. I think that by elevating Trump, 355 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:24,880 Speaker 1: you do dramatically not minimize, but you make it fifty 356 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 1: fifty when it should be seventy five to twenty five. 357 00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 1: On the Senate, you make a twenty point twenty house 358 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,680 Speaker 1: gain seat what should be a forty five or a fifty. 359 00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 1: And so I think that his analysis is pretty spot 360 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 1: on from a political point of view, even though I 361 00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:39,360 Speaker 1: understand like why it's very convenient kind of for his ideology. 362 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:42,399 Speaker 1: It's also convenient because obviously very very pro life, so 363 00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:45,920 Speaker 1: downplaying like the importance of the Dobbs decision is also 364 00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:50,679 Speaker 1: ideologically convenient for him, And like, we really can't downplay 365 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:53,480 Speaker 1: how important that that. There's just no denying that was 366 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:56,520 Speaker 1: the turning point. But is it the only factor? No, 367 00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 1: I mean, we've continued to see sort of Democratic gains 368 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:01,960 Speaker 1: even host Dobbs. Now that we're a little while out 369 00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:05,280 Speaker 1: from Dobbs, we continue to see Democrats solidifying their positions 370 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:08,119 Speaker 1: in the polls, you know, improving on the generic ballot. 371 00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 1: We certainly see Biden's approval rating going up, which is 372 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:13,080 Speaker 1: a really important predictor of how Democrats are ultimately going 373 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:16,520 Speaker 1: to perform. And part of that, I think is Biden 374 00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 1: getting a little bit of momentum back, having some legislative wins, 375 00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:21,639 Speaker 1: seeming like he's you know, kind of got his mojo 376 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:23,719 Speaker 1: and dark bright and rising and all that stuff. And 377 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 1: part of it, I do think is Trump is very 378 00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:31,040 Speaker 1: unhelpful to them as much as he is like motivating 379 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:34,240 Speaker 1: for the base, and they love him. They already were 380 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:38,159 Speaker 1: ready to go to vote Republican in the midterms. And 381 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 1: so it reminds me of when Emmanuel mackerel in France 382 00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 1: won re election and he had like a thirty six 383 00:18:44,840 --> 00:18:47,840 Speaker 1: percent or something approval rating and run clan. Biden's chief 384 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 1: of staff tweeted that out and said, oh, that's interesting, 385 00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:53,919 Speaker 1: how did that work out? That's basically their plan is, Listen, 386 00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:56,040 Speaker 1: you may not be in love with us, but look 387 00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 1: at who the alternative is, and Republicans are sort of 388 00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:02,600 Speaker 1: going out of their way to remind American voters who 389 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:05,520 Speaker 1: the alternative is and what this, you know, sort of 390 00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:08,200 Speaker 1: reinserting that dividing line, which is not great for them 391 00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 1: in the midterms and led them to massive midterm defeat 392 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,159 Speaker 1: back in twenty eighteen. Again, doesn't mean it's going to 393 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 1: look the same this time, but there's no doubt that 394 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,360 Speaker 1: their fortunes are flagging. The other part of this, which 395 00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:20,080 Speaker 1: I referenced earlier, but worth breaking some of the numbers down, 396 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:24,080 Speaker 1: is Trump. Because the Republican Party is all about him, 397 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,760 Speaker 1: he sucks up not all, not only all of the 398 00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:30,320 Speaker 1: attention and gets his nominees pushed through, but he also 399 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,639 Speaker 1: sucks up so much of the money. Go ahead and 400 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:35,600 Speaker 1: put this piece up on the screen. Here are the numbers. 401 00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 1: Trump Save America pack raised over one hundred and three 402 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 1: million dollars between the insurrection to July this year. That's 403 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 1: nine figures. His Mega pack has piled on an additional 404 00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:47,919 Speaker 1: sixteen million, and those numbers were reported before the August 405 00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:50,800 Speaker 1: raid of mar A Lago. Trump's team claims they've been 406 00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:53,919 Speaker 1: getting a million dollars per day in donations after that 407 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:57,399 Speaker 1: raid put together the former president's political action committees have 408 00:19:57,440 --> 00:19:59,080 Speaker 1: sucked up some of the neighborhood of one hundred and 409 00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:04,120 Speaker 1: twenty five million million dollars of Republican donor money. And 410 00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,439 Speaker 1: so now as they head down the stretch, and a 411 00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 1: lot of their candidates are right now down in the 412 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:14,119 Speaker 1: polls in key swing states, they do not have the 413 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:16,080 Speaker 1: money to be able to compete in the way that 414 00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:18,639 Speaker 1: they should have been. Now, listen, do I think that 415 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,680 Speaker 1: Republican billionaires are probably going to ride to the rescue. Yes, 416 00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 1: but this makes it a lot more difficult. And it 417 00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:28,480 Speaker 1: also the drying up of the grassroots online fundraising in 418 00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:30,920 Speaker 1: particular is a problem for these candidates because then they're 419 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,400 Speaker 1: just really reliant on you know, you see Blake Masters, 420 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:36,120 Speaker 1: like basically begging Mitch McConnell to come in and save him, 421 00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:40,400 Speaker 1: which mcconald's basically said screw you at this point. But yeah, 422 00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: they're basically dependent on like Mitch McConnell or the Republican 423 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,320 Speaker 1: elites to kind of ride to their rescue and come 424 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:48,119 Speaker 1: in with multimillion dollar advice. Yeah, I think it's going 425 00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 1: to be a huge problem. I mean, this has always 426 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:51,239 Speaker 1: been the issue with Trump, which is he sucks up 427 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,280 Speaker 1: all the money. And actually, this is why you'll remember this. 428 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:57,639 Speaker 1: Remember during the twenty twenty campaign, the RNC and the 429 00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:00,399 Speaker 1: Trump campaign had like a mutual finance and gri and 430 00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:02,879 Speaker 1: wish their cash was shared. And the reason why is 431 00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:07,439 Speaker 1: RNC needed access to Trump's fundraising dollars. He is the 432 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:11,400 Speaker 1: single fundraising behemoth. He's it raises money like nobody else. 433 00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:14,840 Speaker 1: He's raising a million dollars a day after the FBI 434 00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:17,640 Speaker 1: raid and no other candidate can come close. The other 435 00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:19,760 Speaker 1: issue is is that he doesn't spend money on behalf 436 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,399 Speaker 1: of people unless their name ends with Trump. Yeah, what 437 00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:24,840 Speaker 1: was that story recently about how like he donated a 438 00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:27,600 Speaker 1: bunch of this money to the what the to the 439 00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:32,080 Speaker 1: National Archive Museum or the Yeah, create portraits of him 440 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:34,200 Speaker 1: and Millennia, Like that's part of what this money is 441 00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 1: going towards. Well, yeah, hopefully they can do a better 442 00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,199 Speaker 1: job than the Obama portrait. I freaking hate that. That That 443 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:41,200 Speaker 1: has nothing to do with Obama. I just genuinely hate 444 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:42,919 Speaker 1: that portrait. They got the Portrait Gallery if you're ever 445 00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,840 Speaker 1: here in Washington, d C. Beautiful building. But again, the 446 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:50,200 Speaker 1: issue continues to be that Trump's interests are not aligned 447 00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,399 Speaker 1: with the national GOP, and that's been the case for 448 00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,400 Speaker 1: some time. It is in Donald Trump's interest to solidify 449 00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:57,879 Speaker 1: total control of the Republican Party. If I was him, 450 00:21:57,920 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 1: I would have announced last week whatever, the day after 451 00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 1: after the FBI raid. I've got every single one of 452 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:07,679 Speaker 1: my supposed, you know, supposed opposition candidates, Pompeo, DeSantis, all 453 00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:10,320 Speaker 1: these other people towing the line. Everybody's like, this is 454 00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:12,960 Speaker 1: an outrage. Nuke them. Just come out and be like, 455 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:15,439 Speaker 1: that's it. You're all behind me. I'm coming forward. I'm 456 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:18,080 Speaker 1: running against the corrupt deep state and against Joe Biden. 457 00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:20,440 Speaker 1: That's good for him, it would ramp up fundraising dollars, 458 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 1: but it makes it less about the national cultural, electoral, 459 00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:28,199 Speaker 1: ect economic tides that Republicans were cruising in on, just 460 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,359 Speaker 1: by simply being opposed to whatever the status quo is, 461 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:34,439 Speaker 1: and so by making it less amiable and making it 462 00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:37,600 Speaker 1: much more about Trump and MAGA, it's just going to 463 00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:40,280 Speaker 1: be difficult for the Republican Party going forward. And this 464 00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: is just going to be remain the case. I mean, 465 00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:43,920 Speaker 1: you know, in a way, what happened in Georgia was 466 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,399 Speaker 1: good for Trump. Trump can continue to say the election 467 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:49,320 Speaker 1: was rigged, stolen, all this stuff, but Republicans lose seats 468 00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:52,320 Speaker 1: in the Senate. So it's like, well, which one is better? 469 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,280 Speaker 1: Right for Trump's purposes, probably the fact that there were 470 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:58,560 Speaker 1: Democrats in control of the Senate for the Republicans, well, 471 00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,240 Speaker 1: it was kind of a catastrophe and basically it allowed 472 00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:04,600 Speaker 1: Joe Biden to pass all these pieces of legislation. And 473 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 1: I just think that dual track will be the ute, 474 00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:09,600 Speaker 1: will remain the case until the day Donald Trump dies. 475 00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:11,800 Speaker 1: Whether he is running for reelection or not, he is 476 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:14,760 Speaker 1: a single most important figure in the Republican Party. It 477 00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:18,359 Speaker 1: certainly looks that way. And again we've mentioned before he 478 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:22,040 Speaker 1: is his truths are getting covered a lot more. I 479 00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,399 Speaker 1: think he said this morning he was retweeting a q 480 00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:27,200 Speaker 1: andon Q drop, that's what they're called. It's great, that's 481 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,520 Speaker 1: the parlance flack Q drop. Great, great stuff from our 482 00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,159 Speaker 1: former president. But this got a lot of attention. Go 483 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,560 Speaker 1: ahead and put this up on the screen, so he said. 484 00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,560 Speaker 1: So now it comes down conclusively that the FBI buried 485 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,159 Speaker 1: the Hunter Biden laptop story before the election, all caps 486 00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:44,680 Speaker 1: knowing that if they didn't, Trump would have easily won 487 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:48,200 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty president's election. Okay, this is massive fraud 488 00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:50,879 Speaker 1: and election interference at a level never seen before in 489 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 1: our country. Remedy ready for this one. Declare the rightful winner. 490 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 1: Or and this would be the minimal solution, declare the 491 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:03,119 Speaker 1: twenty twenty election. Reprobably compromise and have a new election immediately. 492 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,120 Speaker 1: We think about that with zc See, I always think 493 00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 1: it's important again, you know, I'm just gonna call out 494 00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,760 Speaker 1: once again, Josh Holly, many my other friends here in 495 00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:13,640 Speaker 1: Washington who kind of play foot see with they played 496 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:15,320 Speaker 1: foot see would stop the steal. They're like, well, you 497 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:18,119 Speaker 1: don't understand. Like, he's not saying the election was rigged. 498 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:21,080 Speaker 1: He's not saying the election was stolen. Is specifically about 499 00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:24,000 Speaker 1: mail in balloting or the lack of voter ID or 500 00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:29,440 Speaker 1: media or zuck Bucks as in like Zuckerberg, you know, algorithmically, 501 00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,080 Speaker 1: which what did we cover yesterday? We said it was outrageous. 502 00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:35,399 Speaker 1: Does it constitute like literal you know, changing the election? 503 00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:37,919 Speaker 1: I mean I don't know, maybe in a legal sense, 504 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:39,640 Speaker 1: but if you want to make it illegal, then pass 505 00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:42,280 Speaker 1: the bill. Oh wait, Republicans have been the ones who 506 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:45,520 Speaker 1: are blocking anything going after big Tech on the FCC. 507 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:48,920 Speaker 1: Interesting how that works anyway. The point that I'm making 508 00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:52,000 Speaker 1: is that he believes it, and whenever you play foot 509 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,600 Speaker 1: see with this stuff, you have to just buy it 510 00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 1: all in. Marjorie Taylor Green and Matt Gates and all 511 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,240 Speaker 1: of them, they are willing to just be like, yeah, 512 00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 1: the election was straight up rigged. It was straight up stolen. No, 513 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:05,960 Speaker 1: my particular election, there was nothing going on with Georgia 514 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,240 Speaker 1: Voda fraud and Marjorie Hiller Green's restue. But you know, 515 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,120 Speaker 1: on the national level, absolutely right, that's what happened. Yeah, 516 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:14,600 Speaker 1: And you point to specifics and they're like they talk. 517 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,200 Speaker 1: They use the word audit a lot, right, They're like, oh, 518 00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 1: did you watch the audit? Did you watch this edited 519 00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:22,879 Speaker 1: YouTube video? By the way, just so everybody knows, the 520 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,000 Speaker 1: two thousand and Mules book by Denesh JESUSA just was 521 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:29,400 Speaker 1: issued a full recall from Barnes and Noble and everybody else. 522 00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:32,879 Speaker 1: Just yesterday the news came out. I wonder if maybe 523 00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:34,919 Speaker 1: some of the claims in there were opening them up 524 00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,440 Speaker 1: to leave the ability. By the way, that doesn't come 525 00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:40,359 Speaker 1: from Barnes and Noble. That came directly from the publisher exactly, 526 00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:43,400 Speaker 1: which is like a right wing outfit. So the publisher 527 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,800 Speaker 1: was like, yeah, we got some trouble here. It wasn't 528 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,400 Speaker 1: like liberal Barnes and Noble or whatever. The woke first 529 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:50,960 Speaker 1: thank you off because I didn't even consider it that 530 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 1: the low IQ response, and that would be what people 531 00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,199 Speaker 1: would assume. Yeah, this is what he believes. He believes 532 00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:58,680 Speaker 1: the election was stolen. He believes it should be overturned. 533 00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 1: He believes he should be immediate reinstated as president, like 534 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 1: a dictator. He's saying, she did you declare the rightful winner. 535 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 1: And you'll recall also that everybody attacked Moe Brooks because 536 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 1: Mo Brooks said that he would not commit to overturning 537 00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:15,199 Speaker 1: immediately the election, and that's what Trump accused him of, 538 00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:18,480 Speaker 1: quote going woke for So, I just think it's important 539 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 1: that we understand at a very visceral level what riding 540 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,240 Speaker 1: with Trump throughout all of this means. Yes, he doesn't 541 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 1: mean voter ballots, he doesn't talk he doesn't mean Pennsylvania 542 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:32,040 Speaker 1: election law. He doesn't even care about the Georgia voting law. 543 00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 1: He doesn't care about voter iety, even if there are 544 00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:37,919 Speaker 1: merits any of these laws or policies. He only cares 545 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,119 Speaker 1: if you are willing to say that the election was 546 00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:43,880 Speaker 1: straight up illegitimate and should be reversed overnight and going 547 00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 1: down every rabbit today is talking about you know, Facebook 548 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:49,960 Speaker 1: and the FBI or whatever, but that is he will 549 00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:54,120 Speaker 1: go down rabbit hole of conspiracy to justify that he 550 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 1: is the rightful president. I mean, you see this too, 551 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:58,879 Speaker 1: and this goes back to our sort of general in 552 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:02,160 Speaker 1: general view that the Ron DeSantis taking you know, being 553 00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,680 Speaker 1: able to defeat Trump and a primary is foolish wish 554 00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 1: casting by DC types. He's doing the same thing in Florida. 555 00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 1: He had this voter frog. He made a big deal 556 00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 1: like all we've arrested these twenty people, et cetera, et cetera. Well, 557 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:16,000 Speaker 1: who were they? They were in Florida. They passed a 558 00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:19,440 Speaker 1: ballot initiative saying that convicted felons should have their voting 559 00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:21,959 Speaker 1: rights restored. Like the voters wanted that, they backed it. 560 00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:24,399 Speaker 1: Republicans came in and put all these provisions on and 561 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:26,400 Speaker 1: you got to pay these fines and court fees, which 562 00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:28,359 Speaker 1: are very hard to figure out. What turned out a 563 00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:30,800 Speaker 1: lot of these people they had actually been told that 564 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:33,920 Speaker 1: their rights had been restored they had had a voter 565 00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:36,919 Speaker 1: registration card sent to them that they filled down and 566 00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:40,320 Speaker 1: turned in and thought that they were genuinely able. This 567 00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 1: was not some conspiracy to like rig the election with 568 00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,960 Speaker 1: twenty people for Donald Trump. Not that he needed delop 569 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: in Florida anyway. He won just fine on his own. 570 00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:52,119 Speaker 1: But again, this is their attempt to sort of like 571 00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:55,719 Speaker 1: dabble in some legitimate version of this. And guess what, 572 00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:58,080 Speaker 1: when you get on a stage with Donald Trump and 573 00:27:58,119 --> 00:27:59,880 Speaker 1: you're up against him head to head, do you think 574 00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 1: it's going to be sufficient. It's not. It's not even 575 00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:05,399 Speaker 1: close to where they want you to go. And you 576 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,680 Speaker 1: see this with the type of candidates who got nominated 577 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,200 Speaker 1: in places like Arizona who were willing to just flat 578 00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,240 Speaker 1: out go all the way in with every conspiracy two 579 00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,600 Speaker 1: thousand mules and say, well, I wouldn't have certified the 580 00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:18,400 Speaker 1: election if I was the governor at the time. That's 581 00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:20,120 Speaker 1: where you have to be, and if you're not there, 582 00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 1: then you're going to end up like, you know, being 583 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:25,600 Speaker 1: free painted as like Liz Chaining basically you've gotten woke, Yes, 584 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,520 Speaker 1: you've gotten woke, as No Brooks did by just basically 585 00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,200 Speaker 1: saying like let's stop talking about this, Okay. There's one 586 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,520 Speaker 1: more legal piece of this that we wanted to bring you. 587 00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:36,400 Speaker 1: So yesterday we talked to you about the fact that 588 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 1: the Trump legal team with regards to the FBI raid 589 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 1: of mar A Lago, had been asking for what's called 590 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:45,600 Speaker 1: a special master. Now, what is a special master Usually 591 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:50,360 Speaker 1: sort of independent expert who's brought in to evaluate materials 592 00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 1: that are seized in a raid like this to see 593 00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:54,720 Speaker 1: if any of them are subject to a turning client privilege, 594 00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:58,720 Speaker 1: to filter those out before they go to the investigatory team. 595 00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:01,800 Speaker 1: So in this case, and these have been used with 596 00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,800 Speaker 1: Michael Cohen, there was a special master. Rdu Giulani in 597 00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:06,520 Speaker 1: one of his things, there was a special master, So 598 00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:09,960 Speaker 1: this is not unusual. Was different about the Trump team 599 00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:13,760 Speaker 1: request for a special master is number one. They aren't 600 00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:17,080 Speaker 1: really focused on attorney client privilege. What they're focused on 601 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,640 Speaker 1: is so called executive privilege. That they have a legal 602 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:23,760 Speaker 1: theory believing that Trump can assert over some of these 603 00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:27,200 Speaker 1: documents as a former president. Though this is a very 604 00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:31,240 Speaker 1: contested sort of ground in terms of legal theory, so 605 00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:33,880 Speaker 1: their request or special master is a little bit different. Anyway, 606 00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:37,120 Speaker 1: this judge who happened to have been appointed by Trump. 607 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,200 Speaker 1: Looked like she was going in the direction she ish 608 00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:41,240 Speaker 1: due to preliminary order, saying I think I'm going to 609 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:42,880 Speaker 1: side with the Trump team on this, and I think 610 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 1: I'm going to appoint a special master. That hearing where 611 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:49,400 Speaker 1: we'll get the official decision, I believe is today. One 612 00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:52,200 Speaker 1: of the things that we posited yesterday is, you know, 613 00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 1: they got these documents a while ago, so the investigatory 614 00:29:56,440 --> 00:30:00,320 Speaker 1: team has probably already gone through everything we're talking. This 615 00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:02,600 Speaker 1: was weeks ago that this happened, and sure enough, let's 616 00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 1: go ahead and put this up on the screen. This 617 00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 1: tweet says Trump's maroolago documents already have been examined by 618 00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:12,480 Speaker 1: the filter team at the Justice Department. That's what the 619 00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 1: government is telling the judge. Official say the attorney client 620 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:18,840 Speaker 1: privilege review was completed even before the judge's weekend ruling 621 00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:21,920 Speaker 1: suggesting a special Master might be appointed. So the basic 622 00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:25,720 Speaker 1: idea here is the government saying, y'all, we already, like 623 00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 1: we already went through these documents. It's kind of too late, 624 00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 1: Like you may want to appoint this person and filter 625 00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,120 Speaker 1: out these documents or those documents, but you're too late. 626 00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:37,080 Speaker 1: We've already done this, And even in her preliminary order 627 00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:39,800 Speaker 1: over the weekend, she didn't tell the government stop going 628 00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:41,959 Speaker 1: through the documents. She just said I might rule, you know, 629 00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:45,080 Speaker 1: in favor of this on the Trumps side. So that's 630 00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,959 Speaker 1: ultimately where we are now. One thing to point out 631 00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 1: here is again the government is saying we filtered these 632 00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:54,160 Speaker 1: out for attorney client privilege, and what the Trump team 633 00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:57,280 Speaker 1: is concerned about is executive privilege. So you sort of 634 00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,240 Speaker 1: have them talking past each other. But the fact that 635 00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:03,280 Speaker 1: it looks like the sort of special Master conversation is 636 00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:06,000 Speaker 1: a little bit mood at this point. It's a bit moot. However, 637 00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:08,520 Speaker 1: what they say is that the appointment of the Master 638 00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:11,800 Speaker 1: itself would actually slow the pace of the current litigation, 639 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: which apparently the game plan is to run out the 640 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:20,520 Speaker 1: clock on congressional oversight, and that by instituting this kind 641 00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:22,840 Speaker 1: of gum up the works either ahead of the midterm 642 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:26,360 Speaker 1: elections or either they want a money water the water stats. 643 00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:28,160 Speaker 1: We talked about this with Bradley Moss yesterday and all 644 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 1: the current reporting into cases, which is the Trump team 645 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,520 Speaker 1: is really just scrambling around. They're trying to find a 646 00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 1: legal defense that would actually work in court, and as 647 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 1: we said, you know, inserting political pressure, slowing down things 648 00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:40,640 Speaker 1: and making it as hot as possible for as long 649 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:42,960 Speaker 1: and kind of turning it back into a Mueller or 650 00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:45,920 Speaker 1: russia Gate type level event which drags on on and 651 00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 1: becomes like a national scandal, kind of like the Hillary emails. Me, 652 00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:50,480 Speaker 1: how long did that last? That was over a year? 653 00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:53,360 Speaker 1: It was a long time. Having lived through that one, 654 00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:57,320 Speaker 1: way too long that we all learned about, you know, 655 00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 1: servers in the basement and acid y. I could still 656 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,000 Speaker 1: recite like every chain of event on those things anyway. 657 00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:08,640 Speaker 1: I acid washed, acid watched by brain. I already did 658 00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:11,240 Speaker 1: that for BEng Ghazi at least that has been washed 659 00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:14,200 Speaker 1: out spun so far. The point is is that by 660 00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:17,360 Speaker 1: gumming up the works, pointing and pushing things in a 661 00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 1: further direction and dragging on the legal process, it increases 662 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:23,800 Speaker 1: the likelihood that he might be able to quote unquote 663 00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:25,760 Speaker 1: wriggle his way out of this one. I still personally 664 00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 1: think that's probably gonna happen somehow, someway where the way 665 00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:32,280 Speaker 1: things will ultimately end up with the DOJ. But I 666 00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:34,400 Speaker 1: do think it is still you know, it's probably still 667 00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 1: a quote unquote victory for the Trump team because if 668 00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:39,360 Speaker 1: you can delay things by a couple of months, that's 669 00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 1: a couple of months more of maneuver time, which we 670 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,560 Speaker 1: saw work to is benefit in the Muller investigation and further, 671 00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:48,600 Speaker 1: and it also just throws this like complicated legal issue 672 00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:52,640 Speaker 1: of executive privilege into the conversation, something else for people 673 00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:55,480 Speaker 1: to sort of like debate, and where the Trump people 674 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:57,320 Speaker 1: feel like they have at least somewhat are a leg 675 00:32:57,400 --> 00:32:59,600 Speaker 1: to stand on. Now, it's a bit of a distraction 676 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:02,880 Speaker 1: from the core issues here of why he had these documents, 677 00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 1: why he refused to give them back, the level of classification, 678 00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:08,240 Speaker 1: how sensitive they are. All of those things are really 679 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:11,720 Speaker 1: the core issue. And you know, potential obstruction, which is 680 00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:13,600 Speaker 1: the thing that Bradley was talking about yesterday, which she 681 00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:16,280 Speaker 1: found to be very significant in what we learn from 682 00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:19,959 Speaker 1: the affidavit. But it again allows them to sort of 683 00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:23,560 Speaker 1: confuse the conversation and get into these complicated legal discussions 684 00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:26,800 Speaker 1: about executive privilege and you know, and it also sort 685 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,160 Speaker 1: of brings Biden into this thing by saying, like, oh, 686 00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,120 Speaker 1: he's blocking our ability to start executive privilege, which has 687 00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:35,360 Speaker 1: been the other strategy that they've been attempting is to somehow, 688 00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,000 Speaker 1: you know, bring Biden into this in order to paint 689 00:33:38,040 --> 00:33:40,760 Speaker 1: it as just a political hit job coming directly from 690 00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:44,400 Speaker 1: Joe Biden. So that's the latest of where those things stand, 691 00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:48,000 Speaker 1: all right. Another specific issue that we've been taking a 692 00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,400 Speaker 1: look at and that is proving to be very problematic 693 00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:54,800 Speaker 1: for Republicans is their positions on abortion. Now, the pro life, 694 00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:58,000 Speaker 1: the like very extreme pro life part of the GOP 695 00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,760 Speaker 1: coalition is not a majority of the voters, but they're 696 00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:05,240 Speaker 1: very influential, and so a lot of Republican candidates in 697 00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:11,040 Speaker 1: their primaries took very extreme and really unequivocal positions on abortion. 698 00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:15,040 Speaker 1: Perfect case in point is Blake Masters. He is the 699 00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:20,439 Speaker 1: Republican nominee in Arizona for Senate, and he has been 700 00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:25,680 Speaker 1: caught now changing his website to really moderate his views 701 00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:28,919 Speaker 1: on the issue of abortion. As you know, Dobbs has 702 00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:31,200 Speaker 1: made this issue really central and has become a big 703 00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:34,399 Speaker 1: problem for Republicans in places like Arizona. So let's goad 704 00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:37,760 Speaker 1: and put this up on the screen. So this tweet 705 00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,719 Speaker 1: says new Blake Master's campaign scrubbed the abortion section of 706 00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,960 Speaker 1: his policy page. It's the latest sign of how abortion 707 00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:46,239 Speaker 1: rates are shifting the political landscape. They've got screen shops here, 708 00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:49,919 Speaker 1: shots here of the before and after, just to give 709 00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:53,080 Speaker 1: you a taste of some of the changes that were made, 710 00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:57,200 Speaker 1: which were, you know, really clear and quite dramatic. Federal 711 00:34:57,520 --> 00:35:01,520 Speaker 1: In the original version, he advocates for a federal personhood 712 00:35:01,600 --> 00:35:06,319 Speaker 1: law that would basically ban abortion all together from you know, 713 00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:08,799 Speaker 1: the minute that there's a heartbeat. So this is a 714 00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:11,239 Speaker 1: very extreme law that he's saying he wants pass at 715 00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:15,439 Speaker 1: the federal level, very clear, nonequivocal. In the primary now 716 00:35:15,640 --> 00:35:18,400 Speaker 1: it says, well, I want to ban late term abortions, 717 00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:21,719 Speaker 1: so on much more solid political ground there. Now that 718 00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:24,319 Speaker 1: doesn't directly contradict the idea that you also would want 719 00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:27,160 Speaker 1: a federal personhood build. But that's a you know, very 720 00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:29,759 Speaker 1: different thing to focus on. And another thing he just 721 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,839 Speaker 1: outright took down is he used to say that, you know, 722 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,480 Speaker 1: he would have a litmus test on all judges they 723 00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:38,560 Speaker 1: had to understand that Roe and Casey were wrongfully decided. 724 00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:40,920 Speaker 1: That has been taken down. You know, this is a 725 00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:44,200 Speaker 1: guy who he called abortion genocide. He was really really 726 00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,080 Speaker 1: out there in terms of the type of inflammatory language 727 00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:49,080 Speaker 1: he would use on this issue, and that has all 728 00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:52,160 Speaker 1: now been dramatically moderated in terms of his website. Well, 729 00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:54,480 Speaker 1: stripping it off of his website in a way is 730 00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:56,960 Speaker 1: just such a stupid move because you only draw even 731 00:35:57,080 --> 00:36:00,279 Speaker 1: more more attention to it. And the Kelly cam pain 732 00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,160 Speaker 1: is actually just smacking him over the head even more. 733 00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:06,000 Speaker 1: They're like, look, he realizes that it's so bad that 734 00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:09,080 Speaker 1: we're going to continue attacking him. And Blake is trying 735 00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:11,560 Speaker 1: to change the message with his new ad. Just take 736 00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:17,000 Speaker 1: a listen on how he's trying to spin it. Most 737 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:21,440 Speaker 1: people support common sense regulation around abortion, but Mark Kelly 738 00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,800 Speaker 1: votes for the most extreme abortion laws in the world. 739 00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:29,120 Speaker 1: We're talking no limits up until birth. Think about how 740 00:36:29,160 --> 00:36:32,359 Speaker 1: crazy that is. That's more extreme than Western Europe. It's 741 00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:36,000 Speaker 1: way more extreme than what Arizonas want. Look, I support 742 00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:38,840 Speaker 1: a ban on very late term and partial birth abortion, 743 00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,960 Speaker 1: and most Americans agree with that. That would just put 744 00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:46,520 Speaker 1: us on part with other civilized nations, Mark Kelly. The 745 00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:50,800 Speaker 1: only countries that support his no limits extreme abortion policies 746 00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:55,160 Speaker 1: are China and North Korea. I'm Blake Masters that I 747 00:36:55,239 --> 00:37:01,600 Speaker 1: have for his message tie fighter incoming. Surely the problem 748 00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:05,000 Speaker 1: for Masters is that most of the Republican pro let 749 00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,600 Speaker 1: Me give you this example. If I had come out 750 00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:12,080 Speaker 1: sixty months ago and said, you know, rovers's way, I 751 00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:14,960 Speaker 1: don't know, I support European style abortion law, which is 752 00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 1: fifteen weeks, pretty much universal, There's no way they would 753 00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:19,879 Speaker 1: have called me pro life. That's not what peing pro 754 00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:23,680 Speaker 1: life means. Being pro life means you're opposed in all circumstances, 755 00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:26,239 Speaker 1: which is like, listen, I actually, by the way, do 756 00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:29,719 Speaker 1: support European style abortion law. I seventy some percent of 757 00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:32,360 Speaker 1: the American people does as well. I think it's like 758 00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:35,000 Speaker 1: seventy six, which is a fifteen weekman. Okay, fine, you 759 00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:38,280 Speaker 1: know whatever. That seems pretty reasonable. And yet though they 760 00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:41,640 Speaker 1: have to now defend every extreme case of the ten 761 00:37:41,680 --> 00:37:45,520 Speaker 1: year old and others instead of being defenders of a 762 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:50,000 Speaker 1: much more popular status quo. And again, this is all 763 00:37:50,120 --> 00:37:54,120 Speaker 1: American politics is which side seems like they're the most extreme. 764 00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:57,319 Speaker 1: For a while in abortion politics again, for a while, 765 00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:59,719 Speaker 1: I would say, like three years, it was a lot 766 00:37:59,719 --> 00:38:02,919 Speaker 1: of the cultural left figures were, you know, coalescing around 767 00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:05,280 Speaker 1: late term abortion. And I was proud of an abortion 768 00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,719 Speaker 1: abandoning safe legal and rare Caitlin Flanagan wrote a whole 769 00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:11,360 Speaker 1: good piece about this in twenty nineteen about the death 770 00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:13,560 Speaker 1: of safe, legal and rare and how it was possibly 771 00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:16,160 Speaker 1: one of the best political slogans and policy kind of 772 00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:21,040 Speaker 1: campaigns of all time for a very complicated human issue. Well, now, though, 773 00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:23,880 Speaker 1: it seems that the Democrats, by just trying to defend 774 00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:26,799 Speaker 1: a rose status quo, are on the side of more 775 00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:28,880 Speaker 1: of a safe, legal and rare rather than the most extreme, 776 00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:30,400 Speaker 1: and then the Republicans are the ones who have to 777 00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:32,839 Speaker 1: defend all this other stuff. And when he came out 778 00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:35,200 Speaker 1: and said not only quote one hundred percent pro life, 779 00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:37,960 Speaker 1: but after the reversal of roe versus Wade and Dobbs, 780 00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:39,480 Speaker 1: what he said is that he's like, I think I 781 00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:42,239 Speaker 1: would go further than that, basically intimating that he would 782 00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:46,040 Speaker 1: support a complete ban and you know, even the personhood legislation. 783 00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:48,200 Speaker 1: Now he opens himself up to the point where he 784 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,400 Speaker 1: has to be like, no, no no, no, I'm a defender 785 00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:53,360 Speaker 1: of the European status quo. First of all, that's a 786 00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:56,560 Speaker 1: complete flip flop. And once again, having known I know 787 00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:58,719 Speaker 1: a lot of people who are pro life, they would 788 00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,440 Speaker 1: not call you pro life if you actually support that position. 789 00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:03,719 Speaker 1: They'd say, yeah, it's better on balance, but it's not 790 00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:06,920 Speaker 1: a quote unquote pro life position. So yeah, they're in 791 00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:09,200 Speaker 1: a real they got I mean, it's a problem of 792 00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:12,719 Speaker 1: their own making. And yeah, well, and I mean there's 793 00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:14,480 Speaker 1: a lot to say about this. First of all, all 794 00:39:14,520 --> 00:39:16,160 Speaker 1: of these people are trying to be like, they took 795 00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:18,719 Speaker 1: me out of context. It's like, you literally had on 796 00:39:18,760 --> 00:39:21,879 Speaker 1: your website that you want a federal personhood law, which 797 00:39:21,960 --> 00:39:25,239 Speaker 1: is effectively a national ban on abortion. How is that 798 00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:27,600 Speaker 1: taking you out of context? They're not lying about you. 799 00:39:27,600 --> 00:39:29,880 Speaker 1: They're just literally saying what your position was on the 800 00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:32,920 Speaker 1: in the primary and repeating some of the things that 801 00:39:33,080 --> 00:39:37,040 Speaker 1: you yourself said. So that's number one. Number two, I mean, 802 00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:39,400 Speaker 1: it is very revealing that they felt the need to 803 00:39:39,680 --> 00:39:42,759 Speaker 1: go up with very limited campaign funds that they had, 804 00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:45,279 Speaker 1: by the way, especially since the Senate Leadership Fund is 805 00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:48,080 Speaker 1: taking amount to dry to go up with this ad 806 00:39:48,520 --> 00:39:50,880 Speaker 1: trying to push back because they very clearly see this 807 00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,240 Speaker 1: as a real problem for them and a real issue, 808 00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:55,719 Speaker 1: and trying to reframe the debate because yeah, this was 809 00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:58,920 Speaker 1: firmer ground for Republicans back when the question was about 810 00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:01,440 Speaker 1: late term abortion, and how does that all work out? 811 00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:04,279 Speaker 1: That's very difficult ground. For Democrats. But I think it's 812 00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:08,799 Speaker 1: really important to understand why the debate has shifted so dramatically, 813 00:40:09,200 --> 00:40:12,600 Speaker 1: because under the Roe regime, when Roe was still in place, 814 00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:16,600 Speaker 1: you could still ban late term abortions. The whole question 815 00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:21,040 Speaker 1: was around fetal viability. And so now inherently, if you 816 00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:24,640 Speaker 1: support the Dobb's decision, you support Roe being overturned. That 817 00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:28,720 Speaker 1: means you support bans and restrictions that are in those 818 00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:32,239 Speaker 1: early days where it is much more extreme, much more controversial. 819 00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,319 Speaker 1: And of course, as we said, these people during their 820 00:40:34,320 --> 00:40:38,040 Speaker 1: primary campaigns were pushed into very extreme language and very 821 00:40:38,560 --> 00:40:43,200 Speaker 1: very provocative, incendiary language, and very very extreme positions. You know, 822 00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:46,080 Speaker 1: A good sort of test case of whether it's going 823 00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:49,120 Speaker 1: to work for Blake Masters and other candidates to try 824 00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:52,200 Speaker 1: to now moderate their positions is the special election that 825 00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:54,520 Speaker 1: we just had in New York, where a lot of 826 00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:59,480 Speaker 1: the conversation was around abortion. The Republican who was running there, Malnaro, 827 00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:03,040 Speaker 1: He actually was more of a moderate on abortion and 828 00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:05,919 Speaker 1: did not have this kind of extreme language in terms 829 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,840 Speaker 1: of his pass and in terms of his history. Didn't matter. 830 00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:13,000 Speaker 1: Didn't matter because the whole party now has been you know, 831 00:41:13,040 --> 00:41:15,759 Speaker 1: painted with this brush of extremism, and so this ended 832 00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:17,839 Speaker 1: up being a big problem for him in that race. 833 00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:20,160 Speaker 1: There's a couple other little tidbits here that are kind 834 00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:24,680 Speaker 1: of interesting. So first of all, Master's team is leaking 835 00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:27,200 Speaker 1: to the press that he himself edits his own website, 836 00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:30,239 Speaker 1: So it's not like this was some's just blame a 837 00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:33,080 Speaker 1: staffers exactly, So it's not like it was some consultant 838 00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:35,080 Speaker 1: who just came in and did this and tried to 839 00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:38,399 Speaker 1: massage it. Apparently his staff, and this is also tells 840 00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:40,600 Speaker 1: you like his staff must hate him. His staff leaked 841 00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:43,959 Speaker 1: to the press that he himself changes the language, which 842 00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:46,680 Speaker 1: is funny. And then the other piece that's also revealing 843 00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 1: is put this next one up on the screen. This 844 00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:53,160 Speaker 1: is another dude who, yes, a Republican. Yeah, there's another 845 00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:57,560 Speaker 1: Republican congressional candidate who removed his entire value section of 846 00:41:57,640 --> 00:42:01,000 Speaker 1: his campaign website because it had his anti abortion positions 847 00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:03,160 Speaker 1: on it, which is hilarious. But put the next one 848 00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:07,080 Speaker 1: up on the screen. Zone Masters apparently has excluded his 849 00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:11,080 Speaker 1: campaign website from the Internet archives wayback machine, so his 850 00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:14,280 Speaker 1: campaign is explicitly instructing web crawlers and robots to skip 851 00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:17,040 Speaker 1: the site altogether. So they're trying not to get caught 852 00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:20,279 Speaker 1: on that one and then the other thing. There are 853 00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:22,160 Speaker 1: a bunch of candidates who are in the same boat. 854 00:42:22,200 --> 00:42:25,040 Speaker 1: There's the dude who deleted his whole value section. There's 855 00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:28,239 Speaker 1: this other dude who's running in Iowa who said all 856 00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:30,880 Speaker 1: abortions should be illegal. Now he's published an op ed 857 00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:36,120 Speaker 1: saying like, actually, I support exceptions. You've got Minnesota Republican 858 00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:40,160 Speaker 1: gubernatorial nominee who was asked about abortion during his primary 859 00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:42,200 Speaker 1: he said he would try to ban abortion as governor. 860 00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:45,799 Speaker 1: Now he's saying he supports except various exceptions. So a 861 00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:49,520 Speaker 1: lot of backtracking, a lot of trying to moderate the position, 862 00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:52,600 Speaker 1: scrub the websites, all of those things. And this all 863 00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:55,680 Speaker 1: comes at a time when things are not going particularly 864 00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:59,840 Speaker 1: well for Masters from the sort of monetary stand for 865 00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:02,760 Speaker 1: We covered before how he was basically begging mich McConnell, 866 00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:05,480 Speaker 1: who's very critical of during the primary and said he 867 00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:07,640 Speaker 1: wasn't going to vote for him for leadership, to come 868 00:43:07,680 --> 00:43:11,120 Speaker 1: in with his Senate Leadership fund money and rescue him. 869 00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:15,080 Speaker 1: Let's go and put this up on the screen. McConnell's like, yeah, 870 00:43:15,200 --> 00:43:18,680 Speaker 1: not so much. The Senate Republicans' primary super pac is 871 00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:23,239 Speaker 1: canceling nearly ten million dollars in Arizona and Alaska ad reservations. 872 00:43:23,600 --> 00:43:28,160 Speaker 1: So in Alaska they feel confident Murkowski's in good position, 873 00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:31,560 Speaker 1: so that's why they're pulling the money there. In Arizona, 874 00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:35,200 Speaker 1: apparently they've decided that they've got a better shot in 875 00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:41,040 Speaker 1: taking Georgia and or Nevada than they do of taking Arizona. 876 00:43:41,160 --> 00:43:44,160 Speaker 1: So they are kind of hanging Blake Masters down to dry, 877 00:43:44,239 --> 00:43:46,879 Speaker 1: and to be honest with you, they're kind of kind 878 00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:49,799 Speaker 1: of direct about it. In this piece. Senate Leadership Fund 879 00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:51,879 Speaker 1: President Stephen Law told them, We're leaving the door wide 880 00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:54,360 Speaker 1: open in Arizona, but we want to move additional resources 881 00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:58,239 Speaker 1: to other offensive opportunities that have become increasingly competitive, as 882 00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:01,080 Speaker 1: well as an unexpected expense Ohio where they're having to 883 00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:03,560 Speaker 1: shore up JD Vance with tens of millions of dollars 884 00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:06,160 Speaker 1: in order to overcome a tougher than expected challenge from 885 00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:08,920 Speaker 1: Tim Ryan. Yeah. I mean, I'm reading this and also 886 00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:11,920 Speaker 1: even looking at the poll. So remember Trafalgar, one of 887 00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:15,200 Speaker 1: the most Republican polsters that is out there. Here's how 888 00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:18,439 Speaker 1: they rate Arizona. This just came out last night, Mark 889 00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:20,919 Speaker 1: Kelly at forty eight and Blake Masters at forty four. 890 00:44:21,120 --> 00:44:26,239 Speaker 1: That doesn't mean it's ann completely like runaway campaign by 891 00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:29,759 Speaker 1: Mark Kelly. Blake Masters certainly has a shot. But this 892 00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:32,640 Speaker 1: is where some of his trifling with Mitch McConnell and 893 00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:35,120 Speaker 1: the Senate Leadership Fund is a real problem. This brings 894 00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:36,800 Speaker 1: me back to something that I was talking about yesterday, 895 00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:39,320 Speaker 1: which is that because Trump is sucking up so much money, 896 00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,640 Speaker 1: it actually means that the NRSC, which has been chronically 897 00:44:42,680 --> 00:44:46,200 Speaker 1: financially mismanaged and Rick Scott clearly is a complete moron 898 00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:48,880 Speaker 1: eve while he's vacationing on his super yacht and has 899 00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:51,239 Speaker 1: blown over one hundred million dollars, it means that you 900 00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:54,200 Speaker 1: need the Senate Leadership Fund more than ever because they're 901 00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:57,000 Speaker 1: one of the only large organizations with massive amounts of 902 00:44:57,000 --> 00:44:59,440 Speaker 1: cash that can come in and buy ads. Now, to 903 00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:00,920 Speaker 1: be clear, they are are still going to buy some 904 00:45:00,920 --> 00:45:05,120 Speaker 1: ads on his behalf come October, but just noteworthy, you know, 905 00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:08,239 Speaker 1: Masters was not included in. There was a confab that 906 00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:11,000 Speaker 1: McConnell recently just did. He did a fundraising thing and 907 00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:13,799 Speaker 1: doctor Oz was there, even herschel Walker was there, Blake 908 00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:15,799 Speaker 1: Masters was not there, so he was like, I picked 909 00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:18,000 Speaker 1: the candidates who I think I can win once again, 910 00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:22,000 Speaker 1: they're all sorts of subtle. If you speak McConnell, he's 911 00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:25,799 Speaker 1: basically twisting the knife in his chest and making it known. 912 00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:27,279 Speaker 1: It's like, hey, you know, you come at the King, 913 00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:30,080 Speaker 1: you best not miss. And with Masters look as a 914 00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:32,160 Speaker 1: major unforced ra Honestly, he should have just kept on 915 00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:34,520 Speaker 1: his website and taken the hit, like, at that point 916 00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:36,360 Speaker 1: you said what you said, there ain't much else you 917 00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,960 Speaker 1: can do about it. Apparently he also removed the ad 918 00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:43,000 Speaker 1: f or the section of his campaign website where he 919 00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:46,160 Speaker 1: said that the election was stolen. Yes, he also removed 920 00:45:46,360 --> 00:45:48,799 Speaker 1: that portion of his website. He did that infamous ad 921 00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:51,040 Speaker 1: whenever he was trying to get Trump's endorsement, and he's like, 922 00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:53,120 Speaker 1: I think Trump won, but even if you didn't, you 923 00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:56,720 Speaker 1: have to admit the media, you know whatever. And coming 924 00:45:56,760 --> 00:45:58,840 Speaker 1: back to the kind of the high minded stopped this 925 00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:02,040 Speaker 1: deal that I've discussed before. So look, he shot himself 926 00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:04,520 Speaker 1: in the foot big time. And you know who could 927 00:46:04,520 --> 00:46:07,600 Speaker 1: have seen this coming coming out against contraception at the 928 00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:10,759 Speaker 1: Supreme Court level, could have had electoral consequences on a 929 00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:14,520 Speaker 1: statewide campaign. And the funniest thing to me about all 930 00:46:14,600 --> 00:46:17,160 Speaker 1: this is that now that he's just campaigning against late 931 00:46:17,239 --> 00:46:20,800 Speaker 1: term abortion Crystal, he's essentially turned himself into John McCain. 932 00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:25,720 Speaker 1: Think about it, the senator from Arizona. McCaine got hammered 933 00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:27,719 Speaker 1: in two thousand and eight for not being one hundred 934 00:46:27,760 --> 00:46:31,040 Speaker 1: percent pro life, and he's like, well against late term abortions, Like, well, 935 00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:34,480 Speaker 1: now you have become you have become McCain. It is 936 00:46:34,520 --> 00:46:37,400 Speaker 1: no longer Crenshaw is you are watching in his footstee 937 00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:39,319 Speaker 1: He also, I mean, he also has the issue if 938 00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:42,319 Speaker 1: he's one who's flirted with privatizing social Security and they're 939 00:46:42,320 --> 00:46:44,680 Speaker 1: a lot of old yeah, which they are smacking him 940 00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:46,919 Speaker 1: across that. That's I'm glad you brought that up. Yeah, 941 00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:49,000 Speaker 1: forgot about that. Yeah, is that he actually still stands 942 00:46:49,040 --> 00:46:52,360 Speaker 1: by that, which is insane as much as the abortion 943 00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:55,919 Speaker 1: stuff is a problem for him, like in Arizona, Yeah, 944 00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:59,680 Speaker 1: you know, this is an issue. Arizona exactly has a 945 00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:02,960 Speaker 1: very very big issue that you know, he is dramatically 946 00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:04,480 Speaker 1: on the wrong side of it. I do want to 947 00:47:04,520 --> 00:47:06,799 Speaker 1: point like Mark Kelly, whatever you think of him, you know, 948 00:47:06,880 --> 00:47:09,080 Speaker 1: he's more of a sort of centrist corporatis figure than 949 00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:12,239 Speaker 1: my ideology. But he's got a good profile in the state. 950 00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:15,320 Speaker 1: He's a solid candidate and isn't like particularly polarizing and 951 00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:19,919 Speaker 1: or divisive. He's a hero. Yeah, married to Garby Gabby Gifford. Yeah, 952 00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:24,160 Speaker 1: And so they can they are able since his bio 953 00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:27,560 Speaker 1: is well established in the state, They're able to focus 954 00:47:27,600 --> 00:47:30,319 Speaker 1: most of their resources on making the case against Blake 955 00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:34,600 Speaker 1: Masters and that appears to be a big problem for us. Absolutely. Okay. 956 00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:36,840 Speaker 1: One other piece to this, which again is just a 957 00:47:36,880 --> 00:47:39,440 Speaker 1: sign of the times and how and why so many 958 00:47:39,480 --> 00:47:42,840 Speaker 1: of these Republicans are backtracking is, of course we covered 959 00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:46,520 Speaker 1: that Kansas ballad initiative, which very surprisingly went strongly in 960 00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:48,400 Speaker 1: the pro choice direction. Well, there are a number of 961 00:47:48,440 --> 00:47:52,839 Speaker 1: other states that also have abortion related ballid initiatives set 962 00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:56,000 Speaker 1: to be on the ballot this November, Michigan being one 963 00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:57,360 Speaker 1: of them. And let's go and put this up on 964 00:47:57,400 --> 00:48:00,200 Speaker 1: the screen. We just got some pulling on how this 965 00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:02,400 Speaker 1: is expected to go, and it looks like it is 966 00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:06,640 Speaker 1: going to be a landslide. This is from Daniel and Shanian, 967 00:48:07,040 --> 00:48:09,800 Speaker 1: who great editor in chief of Bolts magazine. Really useful, 968 00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:13,959 Speaker 1: really useful website that I highly recommend. So he says 969 00:48:14,000 --> 00:48:16,640 Speaker 1: a huge poll lead for abortion rights in Michigan. Sixty 970 00:48:16,719 --> 00:48:19,759 Speaker 1: seven percent plan to support the ballot initiative too and 971 00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:23,560 Speaker 1: shrine abortion rights in the state constitution, versus just twenty 972 00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:26,840 Speaker 1: four percent who are against. This would effectively sideline the 973 00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:30,120 Speaker 1: state's pre row abortion man that looms large in the state. 974 00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:33,440 Speaker 1: He goes on to say, seventy percent of independence and 975 00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:36,120 Speaker 1: eighty one percent of voters under the age of thirty 976 00:48:36,120 --> 00:48:39,799 Speaker 1: four are saying yes in the poll. So, you know, 977 00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:44,000 Speaker 1: Michigan obviously the quintessential swing state at this point, there 978 00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:47,560 Speaker 1: are some key races on the ballot, including Governor Greshen Whitmer, 979 00:48:47,560 --> 00:48:50,239 Speaker 1: who you know Republicans had previously very hopeful that they'd 980 00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:54,359 Speaker 1: been able to defeat. Having this abortion ballot initiative on 981 00:48:54,440 --> 00:48:56,200 Speaker 1: the ballot, first of all, I think helps to drive 982 00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:59,280 Speaker 1: out turnout on the Democratic side, but also just again 983 00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:03,200 Speaker 1: assign of how outstep Republicans are even with there's I mean, 984 00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:05,160 Speaker 1: if you're when you're getting sixty seven percent, you're talking 985 00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:07,160 Speaker 1: about you've got a sizeable trunk of Republicans who are 986 00:49:07,200 --> 00:49:09,480 Speaker 1: planning to yes on this initiative. Well, and Look, we'll 987 00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:11,759 Speaker 1: see what the final vote tally is, but we'll just 988 00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:13,440 Speaker 1: a reminder, which is that one of the people that 989 00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:18,000 Speaker 1: we showed you before was specifically a Michigan Republican. And listen, 990 00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:20,439 Speaker 1: I mean, Michigan is a state which Donald Trump won 991 00:49:20,680 --> 00:49:22,680 Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen, I want to say, by what ten 992 00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:24,920 Speaker 1: thousand votes, and he didn't lose it by all that 993 00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:28,640 Speaker 1: much in twenty and twenty. So what happened, folks, Well, 994 00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:31,240 Speaker 1: it's just kind of like a minimum wage in Florida. 995 00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:34,560 Speaker 1: When you decouple this away from the traditional party lines, 996 00:49:34,600 --> 00:49:36,520 Speaker 1: it turns out there's a hell of a lot of 997 00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:40,160 Speaker 1: crossover appeal. And as I have said, literally ad nauseum, 998 00:49:40,560 --> 00:49:42,759 Speaker 1: at least one third of the people who voted for 999 00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:46,279 Speaker 1: Donald Trump were art themselves pro choice. And if you 1000 00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:48,360 Speaker 1: put it in this stark language and you make it 1001 00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:50,320 Speaker 1: kind of an up or down thing and remove it 1002 00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:52,920 Speaker 1: from party politics, then you're going to find out that 1003 00:49:53,040 --> 00:49:56,400 Speaker 1: even in quote unquote swing states like actual fifty to fifty, 1004 00:49:56,600 --> 00:49:59,520 Speaker 1: the margin is somewhere like two thirds to almost seventy 1005 00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:02,399 Speaker 1: five percent. Again, we will see what the actual vote 1006 00:50:02,400 --> 00:50:05,120 Speaker 1: total is, but given what happened in Kansas, which is 1007 00:50:05,120 --> 00:50:07,640 Speaker 1: what R plus fifteen, I want to say, what does 1008 00:50:07,640 --> 00:50:10,560 Speaker 1: that indicate from what I read, if you extrapolate the 1009 00:50:10,640 --> 00:50:13,239 Speaker 1: Kansas results in terms of what it means on the 1010 00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:16,719 Speaker 1: electoral results for the whole country. Yeah, it would mean 1011 00:50:16,800 --> 00:50:20,160 Speaker 1: forty out of fifty states in the nation which side 1012 00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:23,400 Speaker 1: with the Kansas view of the law as in making 1013 00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:26,440 Speaker 1: it so that you cannot have an outright ban. As 1014 00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:30,040 Speaker 1: to what the eventual time frame was six you know, 1015 00:50:30,120 --> 00:50:33,560 Speaker 1: heartbeat bill at six weeks, fifteen weeks, whatever, that always, 1016 00:50:33,680 --> 00:50:36,880 Speaker 1: of course remains to be seen. But if that's the case, 1017 00:50:37,120 --> 00:50:39,680 Speaker 1: that is not exactly what a lot of the pro 1018 00:50:39,760 --> 00:50:41,960 Speaker 1: life people said what America was going to look like. 1019 00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:43,680 Speaker 1: And it turns out that a lot of Republicans actually 1020 00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:46,279 Speaker 1: don't even agree with them in terms of the outright ban. 1021 00:50:46,520 --> 00:50:49,240 Speaker 1: It's a problem for them at the governor's race level, 1022 00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:52,239 Speaker 1: huge problem because you know, Graschen Wimerch she actually her 1023 00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:55,319 Speaker 1: approval rating was not that bad, but she obviously came 1024 00:50:55,400 --> 00:50:57,040 Speaker 1: under a lot of fire and really became quite a 1025 00:50:57,040 --> 00:51:00,479 Speaker 1: sort of lightning rod figure during the COVID pandemic for 1026 00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:05,880 Speaker 1: having relatively stringent COVID policies. They nominated the Republicans nominated 1027 00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:08,759 Speaker 1: these supposedly more moderate figure in Tutor Dixon, who's like 1028 00:51:08,760 --> 00:51:11,239 Speaker 1: a sort of conservative media personality. She was picked by 1029 00:51:11,280 --> 00:51:15,040 Speaker 1: Mike Pence, So Mike Pence, Betsy Devas came in heavy four. 1030 00:51:15,200 --> 00:51:17,439 Speaker 1: The Devas's are big political players, and that's say they're 1031 00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:20,080 Speaker 1: sort of the political players in that state. Trump Eventually, 1032 00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:21,799 Speaker 1: because it looked like she was going to win, he 1033 00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:25,879 Speaker 1: eventually decides to endorse as well. So, but she has, 1034 00:51:26,040 --> 00:51:29,800 Speaker 1: you know, continued to reiterate very extreme positions on abortion. 1035 00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:32,760 Speaker 1: She usually recently got asked about like a child victim 1036 00:51:32,760 --> 00:51:34,840 Speaker 1: of incest and rape, and wouldn't back down from the 1037 00:51:34,880 --> 00:51:36,960 Speaker 1: idea that yes, this child should be forced to have 1038 00:51:37,040 --> 00:51:40,160 Speaker 1: them to have the baby. So if you don't think 1039 00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:43,520 Speaker 1: that that's going to show up in some ads here, 1040 00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:47,480 Speaker 1: if it hasn't already, then you are sadly mistaken. And 1041 00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:50,840 Speaker 1: just having this initiative on the ballot will help to 1042 00:51:51,320 --> 00:51:54,359 Speaker 1: center that issue and make it a really important part 1043 00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:56,560 Speaker 1: of this election come the fall. Yeah, absolutely, that's okay 1044 00:51:56,600 --> 00:52:01,719 Speaker 1: with things Dan talk about the GOP. So, as you said, 1045 00:52:01,719 --> 00:52:03,920 Speaker 1: Mitch McConnell is doing something he didn't want to do, 1046 00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:06,200 Speaker 1: which is talk about what they may do if they 1047 00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:08,080 Speaker 1: were to take powers. So let's go ahead and put 1048 00:52:08,080 --> 00:52:10,200 Speaker 1: this up there on the screen, which is that McConnell 1049 00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:13,640 Speaker 1: is now saying that a US recession is likely and 1050 00:52:13,680 --> 00:52:16,720 Speaker 1: that he's vowing that the GOP will curb Biden's spending. 1051 00:52:16,760 --> 00:52:19,400 Speaker 1: So what he's saying is he's basically framing things as 1052 00:52:19,440 --> 00:52:23,000 Speaker 1: democratic spending is responsible for inflation, and now pitching it 1053 00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:25,960 Speaker 1: at the GOP as a check on Biden if they 1054 00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:28,080 Speaker 1: are to win the House and the Senate. Now, the 1055 00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:30,840 Speaker 1: reason that I think that this is important, Crystal, is 1056 00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:33,440 Speaker 1: that for some reason he actually felt the need to 1057 00:52:33,480 --> 00:52:35,880 Speaker 1: have to come forward and give a little bit more detail. 1058 00:52:35,920 --> 00:52:37,520 Speaker 1: Now we already knew that this is what it was 1059 00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:40,080 Speaker 1: going to be, but it does show to me that 1060 00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:43,400 Speaker 1: just simply saying but inflation does not seem to be 1061 00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:46,080 Speaker 1: hitting enough. And I think there's complicated reasons for that. 1062 00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:48,640 Speaker 1: Number One is that inflation, in the mind of most 1063 00:52:48,680 --> 00:52:52,319 Speaker 1: Americans is just inextricably tied to gas prices. And even 1064 00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:54,680 Speaker 1: though gas right now is way too expensive and it's 1065 00:52:54,719 --> 00:52:57,399 Speaker 1: three dollars and eighty five cents a gallon nationally, five 1066 00:52:57,560 --> 00:53:00,480 Speaker 1: twenty still at the state level in California, which means 1067 00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:02,920 Speaker 1: five fifty or so in Los Angeles County and other 1068 00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:06,040 Speaker 1: places in the state. It does mean that people saw 1069 00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:09,279 Speaker 1: it come down in the relative immediate term, and like 1070 00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:12,480 Speaker 1: it or not, President gets blamed for gas prices going up, 1071 00:53:12,600 --> 00:53:15,239 Speaker 1: he also gets credit whenever you blame him when they 1072 00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:17,400 Speaker 1: go down. Biden's seeing a little bit of a boost 1073 00:53:17,480 --> 00:53:19,600 Speaker 1: from that. At the same time, look, cor inflation is 1074 00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:21,879 Speaker 1: still very high. Inflation is still like eight percent, which 1075 00:53:21,880 --> 00:53:25,160 Speaker 1: is insane. Food prices and all that the astronomically increases 1076 00:53:25,400 --> 00:53:28,560 Speaker 1: beginning to plateau off a little bit, so Biden is 1077 00:53:28,800 --> 00:53:32,040 Speaker 1: almost getting a benefit from Yeah, it's definitely worse than 1078 00:53:32,040 --> 00:53:34,520 Speaker 1: it was in twenty nineteen, but it's not as bad 1079 00:53:34,560 --> 00:53:37,200 Speaker 1: as it's not increasing at the same rate as it 1080 00:53:37,239 --> 00:53:40,000 Speaker 1: was three months ago, which I personally would not run on. 1081 00:53:40,280 --> 00:53:43,920 Speaker 1: But when it's the centerpiece of everything now, the Republicans 1082 00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:46,239 Speaker 1: are going to stick into a bit more of having 1083 00:53:46,280 --> 00:53:49,360 Speaker 1: to criticize and give a little bit more specific So 1084 00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:52,359 Speaker 1: here is specifically what McConnell said. He said, no more 1085 00:53:52,520 --> 00:53:55,680 Speaker 1: mass spending bills. But here is something interesting. He said, quote, 1086 00:53:55,760 --> 00:53:59,440 Speaker 1: I would be open to more modest bipartisan bills, noting 1087 00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:03,400 Speaker 1: laws that he had recently supported legislation on postal reform, infrastructure, 1088 00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:06,960 Speaker 1: school safety, mental health, et cetera. So I do think 1089 00:54:06,960 --> 00:54:08,960 Speaker 1: it is interesting that he is not committing to a 1090 00:54:09,000 --> 00:54:12,680 Speaker 1: total even though that roughly translates to like a basic blockade. 1091 00:54:12,800 --> 00:54:16,200 Speaker 1: That is, still he's not pitching it as a complete 1092 00:54:16,200 --> 00:54:18,719 Speaker 1: and total like dead stop in the Senate. In the 1093 00:54:18,760 --> 00:54:21,680 Speaker 1: same way, we should recall how Mitch McConnell talked about 1094 00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:25,319 Speaker 1: Barack Obama the day after Obama gets elected, something like that, 1095 00:54:25,360 --> 00:54:28,440 Speaker 1: it's apocryphal story that Obama always tells. He's like McConnell 1096 00:54:28,440 --> 00:54:30,480 Speaker 1: would always come out and say, our number one goal 1097 00:54:30,560 --> 00:54:32,799 Speaker 1: is to make sure I don't get reelected, which he 1098 00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:36,040 Speaker 1: did say that that is basically the goal from the Senate, 1099 00:54:36,480 --> 00:54:38,719 Speaker 1: and they committed. They're like, no, we're not only not 1100 00:54:38,760 --> 00:54:40,160 Speaker 1: going to work with you, We're going to try and 1101 00:54:40,160 --> 00:54:44,000 Speaker 1: tank your presidency and make America so such chaos that 1102 00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:47,000 Speaker 1: we win the election, which did work in twenty ten 1103 00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:49,239 Speaker 1: to their credit. So the point is though, that they 1104 00:54:49,280 --> 00:54:51,960 Speaker 1: feel the need to color in the lines a bit more. 1105 00:54:52,320 --> 00:54:55,520 Speaker 1: As the national environment changes. Joe Biden hits a one 1106 00:54:55,560 --> 00:54:58,960 Speaker 1: year approval high, and if trends continue, he's exactly on 1107 00:54:59,000 --> 00:55:02,000 Speaker 1: the same upswing headed right into November, which is exactly 1108 00:55:02,160 --> 00:55:04,239 Speaker 1: where you want to be. Frankly, through no real action 1109 00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:07,600 Speaker 1: of his own except for some machinations by Chuck Schumer 1110 00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:10,719 Speaker 1: and by ro Mansion. Yeah, I guess, let's put that aside. Yeah. 1111 00:55:10,719 --> 00:55:14,120 Speaker 1: At the same time, the House GOP also feeling the screws. 1112 00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:16,439 Speaker 1: Let's put this up there. This actually is even more 1113 00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:18,799 Speaker 1: important because this is probably the place where you're most 1114 00:55:18,880 --> 00:55:21,799 Speaker 1: likely to actually see a Republican win. They are now 1115 00:55:21,800 --> 00:55:25,160 Speaker 1: plotting their quote unquote policy agenda for twenty twenty two 1116 00:55:25,239 --> 00:55:28,640 Speaker 1: and recently had a confab with Newt Gingrich, who obviously 1117 00:55:28,680 --> 00:55:34,239 Speaker 1: famously created the Contract for America Plan. Now the interesting thing, 1118 00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:36,440 Speaker 1: here's what they say. Republicans are expected to focus our 1119 00:55:36,480 --> 00:55:41,200 Speaker 1: new platform on education policy, tapping into parental discontent, countering 1120 00:55:41,280 --> 00:55:44,400 Speaker 1: the rise of China with new economic measures quote oversight 1121 00:55:44,520 --> 00:55:47,080 Speaker 1: of the Biden administration. And they are also looking at 1122 00:55:47,160 --> 00:55:52,200 Speaker 1: invoking other traditional GOP goals such as cutting taxes, restricting immigration, 1123 00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:56,359 Speaker 1: criticizing Silicon Valley, and repealing environmental rules. Now, look at 1124 00:55:56,360 --> 00:56:00,040 Speaker 1: a national level, if the president is a Democrat, no 1125 00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:02,000 Speaker 1: matter anything you do is not going to become policy. 1126 00:56:02,080 --> 00:56:05,880 Speaker 1: So then it all just becomes kind of shaping operations 1127 00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:09,279 Speaker 1: or signaling for what would happen if Trump were to 1128 00:56:09,280 --> 00:56:12,319 Speaker 1: get reelected. These shaping operations you should pay attention to 1129 00:56:12,400 --> 00:56:14,960 Speaker 1: because a lot of them were used to pass the 1130 00:56:14,960 --> 00:56:18,200 Speaker 1: Tax Custom Jobs Act in twenty seventeen. And also we're 1131 00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:20,399 Speaker 1: used you know, if John McCain hadn't put his thumb down, 1132 00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:23,080 Speaker 1: like Obamacare, also would have been repealed essentially with a 1133 00:56:23,160 --> 00:56:25,759 Speaker 1: law that was developed under Paul Ryan. So that's why 1134 00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:29,359 Speaker 1: we should pay attention. However, what I'm really getting here 1135 00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:32,800 Speaker 1: from this, though, is that McCarthy is in a real bind. 1136 00:56:33,080 --> 00:56:36,560 Speaker 1: Originally they were pointing and trying to do things more populous, 1137 00:56:36,560 --> 00:56:38,439 Speaker 1: like they had talked about the stock band. They haven't 1138 00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:40,839 Speaker 1: talked about that quite a long time, and in fact 1139 00:56:40,920 --> 00:56:43,200 Speaker 1: you have John Fetterman now running ads against that, but 1140 00:56:43,239 --> 00:56:46,319 Speaker 1: it kind of disappeared from the lexicon of McCarthy. The 1141 00:56:46,360 --> 00:56:49,240 Speaker 1: other issue that McCarthy has is he basically probably cannot 1142 00:56:49,239 --> 00:56:53,160 Speaker 1: commit to any any even effort at government spending or action, 1143 00:56:53,400 --> 00:56:56,400 Speaker 1: even on big tech, because he's got the Freedom Caucus 1144 00:56:56,520 --> 00:56:59,799 Speaker 1: who are inside and are likely to have a tremendous 1145 00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:01,759 Speaker 1: amunt of power They could make his life a living hell, 1146 00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:04,160 Speaker 1: and they could even deny him the speakership Crystal. So 1147 00:57:04,160 --> 00:57:06,680 Speaker 1: there's a lot of machinations happening at the top level 1148 00:57:06,719 --> 00:57:09,280 Speaker 1: as Biden's pull numbers start to take off. I laughed 1149 00:57:09,400 --> 00:57:14,080 Speaker 1: so hard reading this, like ninety four throwback agenda. They 1150 00:57:14,160 --> 00:57:17,280 Speaker 1: literally say that they want to Okay, let me read 1151 00:57:17,400 --> 00:57:19,600 Speaker 1: this part of it because this was really hilarious to me. 1152 00:57:20,360 --> 00:57:23,120 Speaker 1: Gingrich said, he's hopeful that you if he will incorporate 1153 00:57:23,160 --> 00:57:27,360 Speaker 1: a balanced budget amendment long sack conservative policy egal that 1154 00:57:27,360 --> 00:57:29,760 Speaker 1: would require numerus cuts to federal spending programs. When you're 1155 00:57:29,760 --> 00:57:31,680 Speaker 1: talking about a balanced budget amendment, first of all, this 1156 00:57:32,720 --> 00:57:35,600 Speaker 1: is total one hundred percent throwback to the nineties. This 1157 00:57:35,680 --> 00:57:39,200 Speaker 1: is Paul Ryan era austerity politics. Remember when you put 1158 00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:43,040 Speaker 1: out these like theoretical budgets and just slashed literally every 1159 00:57:43,040 --> 00:57:49,280 Speaker 1: spending program, including social securitycluding medicarecluding medicaid, absolutely everything, because 1160 00:57:49,280 --> 00:57:52,160 Speaker 1: of course they're not willing to touch the defense spending. 1161 00:57:52,240 --> 00:57:55,800 Speaker 1: So this just means like massive slash and burn of 1162 00:57:55,880 --> 00:57:59,000 Speaker 1: every single social program. So that's number one. Number two, Yeah, 1163 00:57:59,000 --> 00:58:01,120 Speaker 1: they say they're going to challenge big tech. Okay, you 1164 00:58:01,160 --> 00:58:03,360 Speaker 1: actually have an opportunity to do that now because there 1165 00:58:03,360 --> 00:58:05,360 Speaker 1: are Democrats who will side with you, and you're not 1166 00:58:05,480 --> 00:58:07,680 Speaker 1: doing it. In fact, you're oppositional to all of it. 1167 00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:09,640 Speaker 1: And as Matt Stellar has been pointing on, I think 1168 00:58:09,720 --> 00:58:12,560 Speaker 1: Stoller has been very fair in trying to find any 1169 00:58:12,600 --> 00:58:17,040 Speaker 1: sort of populist Republican that will do anything on challenging 1170 00:58:17,080 --> 00:58:20,080 Speaker 1: corporate power. You know, that ship in terms of the 1171 00:58:20,120 --> 00:58:23,120 Speaker 1: sort of economic realignment on the right has really sailed. 1172 00:58:23,280 --> 00:58:27,040 Speaker 1: Like he points to the provision that Cinema got through 1173 00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:29,320 Speaker 1: in the Inflation Reduction Act, which is just a giant 1174 00:58:29,400 --> 00:58:32,840 Speaker 1: direct giveaway to the private equity industry. Yeah, Cinema voted 1175 00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:37,400 Speaker 1: for it, so did literally every Republican. So the idea 1176 00:58:37,640 --> 00:58:40,760 Speaker 1: that they're going to challenge big tech with antitrust and 1177 00:58:40,800 --> 00:58:44,640 Speaker 1: other measures, lol, No way, the other things they put 1178 00:58:44,640 --> 00:58:48,160 Speaker 1: in here are so like online that it's hilarious to me. 1179 00:58:48,640 --> 00:58:53,200 Speaker 1: They want to change congressional rules by repealing mask mandates, 1180 00:58:53,560 --> 00:58:56,480 Speaker 1: removing magnetic scanners from the floor of the House, and 1181 00:58:56,560 --> 00:58:59,400 Speaker 1: abolishing voting by proxy, because I'm sure those are the 1182 00:58:59,480 --> 00:59:03,720 Speaker 1: issues that our center to your family and your household budget. 1183 00:59:04,120 --> 00:59:09,000 Speaker 1: They're also going to resist Biden's tax hikes on corporations, 1184 00:59:09,200 --> 00:59:12,520 Speaker 1: so again, how's that for the populist side of this, 1185 00:59:12,920 --> 00:59:15,160 Speaker 1: you know, they want to McCarthy is also they point 1186 00:59:15,200 --> 00:59:17,960 Speaker 1: to he released this parental Bill of Rights, which kind 1187 00:59:17,960 --> 00:59:20,040 Speaker 1: of had more juice back in the fall when the 1188 00:59:20,080 --> 00:59:23,160 Speaker 1: sort of COVID and the lockdown conversation. It was just 1189 00:59:23,840 --> 00:59:26,240 Speaker 1: so dated to me, I'm like, it's exactly right, twenty 1190 00:59:26,440 --> 00:59:29,160 Speaker 1: twenty one. Why he's not the central concerns not saying 1191 00:59:29,200 --> 00:59:31,680 Speaker 1: it isn't a concern And even the thing that he released, 1192 00:59:31,720 --> 00:59:34,440 Speaker 1: I mean it really wasn't. It was literally just like 1193 00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:37,680 Speaker 1: virtue signaling on you. It didn't actually change, wouldn't actually 1194 00:59:37,800 --> 00:59:39,680 Speaker 1: change anything. So well, that's the other thing. You know, 1195 00:59:39,680 --> 00:59:41,880 Speaker 1: it sound like the FEDS have all that much influence 1196 00:59:41,960 --> 00:59:44,360 Speaker 1: on state and local government, that's all we do. How 1197 00:59:44,360 --> 00:59:46,600 Speaker 1: do we all find that out with masks, which is like, yeah, 1198 00:59:46,920 --> 00:59:49,600 Speaker 1: if crazy jurisdictions want to do crazy stuff, well there's 1199 00:59:49,600 --> 00:59:51,400 Speaker 1: actually not a hell of a lot you can do 1200 00:59:51,440 --> 00:59:53,600 Speaker 1: about it. So to me, it just reads is very dated. 1201 00:59:53,640 --> 00:59:56,360 Speaker 1: It reads his twenty twenty one document, and it tries 1202 00:59:56,400 --> 00:59:59,320 Speaker 1: to extrapolate Glenn Youngkin's victory onto the rest of the country. 1203 00:59:59,400 --> 01:00:02,800 Speaker 1: The Youngctory was a specific moment in time November of 1204 01:00:02,840 --> 01:00:07,360 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, very different. There's vaccination campaign, critical race theory, 1205 01:00:07,400 --> 01:00:09,880 Speaker 1: all that other stuff was at the foe, inflation was on, 1206 01:00:09,960 --> 01:00:13,400 Speaker 1: the massive spike Afghanistan had just happened. It's just a 1207 01:00:13,440 --> 01:00:16,720 Speaker 1: completely different national environment. I mean now we're almost what 1208 01:00:16,840 --> 01:00:19,600 Speaker 1: ten months or so removed from that, and the country's changed. 1209 01:00:19,640 --> 01:00:21,840 Speaker 1: The Ukraine War obviously, you know, at the height of 1210 01:00:21,880 --> 01:00:24,560 Speaker 1: inflation was really bad for Biden. And now when things 1211 01:00:24,560 --> 01:00:26,880 Speaker 1: start to go down, people kind of you know, it's 1212 01:00:26,920 --> 01:00:28,320 Speaker 1: still on the front page of the New York Times 1213 01:00:28,320 --> 01:00:30,840 Speaker 1: where it's not like people care all that much anymore. 1214 01:00:30,960 --> 01:00:33,240 Speaker 1: And you see the gas price go down, you see 1215 01:00:33,280 --> 01:00:36,600 Speaker 1: the plateau happen with inflation, and overall it's a challenging 1216 01:00:36,640 --> 01:00:38,920 Speaker 1: thing because they just don't know what to do. And 1217 01:00:38,960 --> 01:00:41,320 Speaker 1: as we already discussed in the Trump block, they also 1218 01:00:41,400 --> 01:00:44,840 Speaker 1: have this Trump behemoth shadowy for them at the same time. Yeah, 1219 01:00:44,880 --> 01:00:46,640 Speaker 1: it's a tough spot for them. I'm not saying I 1220 01:00:46,680 --> 01:00:49,480 Speaker 1: feel all that bad though. All right, Let's move on. 1221 01:00:49,600 --> 01:00:52,200 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Ukraine. So important news out of Ukraine 1222 01:00:52,240 --> 01:00:54,400 Speaker 1: on a couple of fronts. Number one is the actual 1223 01:00:54,440 --> 01:00:56,960 Speaker 1: front line, So let's start with that now, Ukraine and 1224 01:00:57,040 --> 01:00:59,560 Speaker 1: let's put this on the screen, is claiming that breakthroughs 1225 01:00:59,560 --> 01:01:02,160 Speaker 1: have been made against the Russian forces in their Southern 1226 01:01:02,200 --> 01:01:05,360 Speaker 1: Offensive and officially have launched what they say is the 1227 01:01:05,400 --> 01:01:08,800 Speaker 1: Southern Offensive to retake the strategic city of Kerson, which 1228 01:01:08,880 --> 01:01:12,240 Speaker 1: was occupied by the Russian forces earlier in the war. 1229 01:01:12,400 --> 01:01:15,400 Speaker 1: Kerson has now become a flashpoint and a symbol of 1230 01:01:15,400 --> 01:01:18,160 Speaker 1: the Ukrainian military for wanting to retake it. It has 1231 01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:21,840 Speaker 1: major strategic importance both to the Russians and to the Ukrainians, 1232 01:01:22,080 --> 01:01:25,920 Speaker 1: and its access to more strategic areas where Ukraine should 1233 01:01:25,960 --> 01:01:28,440 Speaker 1: be able or wants to be able to continue to 1234 01:01:28,480 --> 01:01:31,520 Speaker 1: export goods, have supply lines and more, and also would 1235 01:01:31,520 --> 01:01:34,520 Speaker 1: be a frontline if they were to ever continue to 1236 01:01:34,560 --> 01:01:36,800 Speaker 1: move on to crime Yat. It's in the very southernmost 1237 01:01:36,960 --> 01:01:39,280 Speaker 1: part of the country. So anyway, this is going to 1238 01:01:39,320 --> 01:01:42,440 Speaker 1: be a major flashpoint going forward in terms of the 1239 01:01:42,480 --> 01:01:45,520 Speaker 1: actual operations and more. I have not been able to 1240 01:01:45,520 --> 01:01:49,680 Speaker 1: find a lot of information about the actual strategic success 1241 01:01:49,720 --> 01:01:53,240 Speaker 1: in what is happening now. The way that the Ukraine 1242 01:01:53,320 --> 01:01:56,440 Speaker 1: is saying is that this is the beginning of the offensive. However, 1243 01:01:56,680 --> 01:01:59,360 Speaker 1: the way that the Western press is interpreting what's actually 1244 01:01:59,360 --> 01:02:01,680 Speaker 1: happening on the ground, Crystal. And again, look, we're not 1245 01:02:01,720 --> 01:02:05,640 Speaker 1: in Ukraine. It's difficult to say. They say Ukraine steps 1246 01:02:05,720 --> 01:02:09,040 Speaker 1: up strikes in the south. So they are casting the 1247 01:02:09,120 --> 01:02:13,280 Speaker 1: Ukrainian government the beginning of more strikes on the south 1248 01:02:13,560 --> 01:02:16,360 Speaker 1: as the beginning of the offensive that certainly would be. However, 1249 01:02:16,440 --> 01:02:18,480 Speaker 1: we also need to see the movement of actual troops 1250 01:02:18,480 --> 01:02:20,880 Speaker 1: on the ground and the movement of the front line. Now, 1251 01:02:20,960 --> 01:02:23,440 Speaker 1: so here's what they say. The Ukrainian military is pounding 1252 01:02:23,480 --> 01:02:26,760 Speaker 1: targets across southern Ukraine as they seek to disrupt Russian 1253 01:02:26,800 --> 01:02:31,760 Speaker 1: supply lines, degrade Russia's combat capabilities, and isolate Russian forces, 1254 01:02:31,960 --> 01:02:35,280 Speaker 1: part of what analysts said could be the beginnings of 1255 01:02:35,320 --> 01:02:38,400 Speaker 1: a broad and a coordinated counter offensive. In other words, 1256 01:02:38,520 --> 01:02:41,920 Speaker 1: we have not yet actually seen the movement of mass 1257 01:02:41,960 --> 01:02:45,120 Speaker 1: forces and the employment of all of these troops in 1258 01:02:45,160 --> 01:02:48,920 Speaker 1: the south. We are simply beginning to see rockets being fired, 1259 01:02:49,200 --> 01:02:52,080 Speaker 1: the use of Also, the Ukrainians are using some decoy 1260 01:02:52,080 --> 01:02:54,240 Speaker 1: missiles and other things in order to try and fool 1261 01:02:54,360 --> 01:02:57,880 Speaker 1: the Russian forces. But and here's the caveat Russia has 1262 01:02:57,920 --> 01:03:02,440 Speaker 1: now had months to reinforce those lines of defense in 1263 01:03:02,520 --> 01:03:06,680 Speaker 1: the south, making any Ukrainian advance there going to be 1264 01:03:06,840 --> 01:03:09,520 Speaker 1: very tough and very bloody. The reason that we all 1265 01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:12,160 Speaker 1: have to pay a massive amount of attention to this 1266 01:03:12,600 --> 01:03:15,600 Speaker 1: is we have all shipped a hell of a lot 1267 01:03:15,920 --> 01:03:19,800 Speaker 1: of weapons to Ukraine for this purpose, not just to 1268 01:03:19,800 --> 01:03:23,680 Speaker 1: be defensive, but to give them some sort of offensive capability. 1269 01:03:23,960 --> 01:03:27,800 Speaker 1: So what is the actual fighting capability of the Ukrainian 1270 01:03:27,880 --> 01:03:31,840 Speaker 1: force when they are offensively taking on the military of 1271 01:03:31,880 --> 01:03:35,200 Speaker 1: a great power nation with tremendous more economic and military 1272 01:03:35,280 --> 01:03:37,720 Speaker 1: might resources than they have. To be fair, it's not 1273 01:03:37,720 --> 01:03:40,120 Speaker 1: like Russia's employed the full force of its military or 1274 01:03:40,200 --> 01:03:42,680 Speaker 1: anything like that in this war. So we'll see. But 1275 01:03:43,080 --> 01:03:46,280 Speaker 1: the beginnings of this operation could mount a real decisive 1276 01:03:46,360 --> 01:03:48,560 Speaker 1: point in the war, which is that if the Ukrainians 1277 01:03:48,560 --> 01:03:50,800 Speaker 1: are outright defeated, or if they are unable to have 1278 01:03:50,840 --> 01:03:53,120 Speaker 1: any sort of successful offensive, it's just gonna be like, 1279 01:03:53,160 --> 01:03:55,080 Speaker 1: all right, well, what are we doing here? You know, like, 1280 01:03:55,320 --> 01:03:57,520 Speaker 1: what is the point of all these weapons that were 1281 01:03:57,520 --> 01:03:59,360 Speaker 1: giving you. Sure, it's great that you have a defensive 1282 01:03:59,400 --> 01:04:01,960 Speaker 1: front line Russians can't move forward, but if you can't 1283 01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:04,640 Speaker 1: retake anything, then it's time to negotiate, right, You know 1284 01:04:05,040 --> 01:04:07,600 Speaker 1: that's where they what you would certainly think, that's what 1285 01:04:07,600 --> 01:04:10,600 Speaker 1: you would think. Again, we don't know. There's a lot 1286 01:04:10,640 --> 01:04:13,520 Speaker 1: of propaganda being cast by the Ukrainians. They're trying to 1287 01:04:13,560 --> 01:04:17,800 Speaker 1: cast us into this big grand movement. We should believe 1288 01:04:17,840 --> 01:04:20,520 Speaker 1: it when we actually see to start to see troops 1289 01:04:20,720 --> 01:04:23,240 Speaker 1: roll on the ground. As for now, it just seems 1290 01:04:23,280 --> 01:04:25,520 Speaker 1: to be a set level of strikes, even though they 1291 01:04:25,520 --> 01:04:28,560 Speaker 1: are claiming breakthroughs and all this other stuff that is 1292 01:04:28,560 --> 01:04:31,920 Speaker 1: going on. And Zelenski obviously under a lot of pressure 1293 01:04:32,000 --> 01:04:35,120 Speaker 1: to start this counter offensive. And so yeah, the way 1294 01:04:35,160 --> 01:04:37,920 Speaker 1: that I saw this described previously in the New York Times, 1295 01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:40,480 Speaker 1: which again is like it's important to see the New 1296 01:04:40,560 --> 01:04:43,880 Speaker 1: York Times view because that's like the official US government view, 1297 01:04:44,000 --> 01:04:49,080 Speaker 1: like a center left lib message. Yeah, well, and with 1298 01:04:49,160 --> 01:04:51,600 Speaker 1: a lot of direct sort of like sourcing from the 1299 01:04:51,640 --> 01:04:54,439 Speaker 1: Biden administration and exactly the portrait of this that they 1300 01:04:54,640 --> 01:04:56,360 Speaker 1: want to paint. But they talked about how this was 1301 01:04:56,360 --> 01:04:58,640 Speaker 1: intended to sort of shape the battlefield to try to 1302 01:04:58,680 --> 01:05:02,200 Speaker 1: prepare them for the counter offensive. But Zelensky is under 1303 01:05:02,240 --> 01:05:04,800 Speaker 1: a lot of international pressure and a lot of domestic 1304 01:05:04,840 --> 01:05:07,560 Speaker 1: pressure to begin this counter offensive because remember they also 1305 01:05:07,600 --> 01:05:10,320 Speaker 1: have to contend with the changing seasons. It's going to 1306 01:05:10,320 --> 01:05:11,880 Speaker 1: start to get cold there soon, It's going to start 1307 01:05:11,880 --> 01:05:14,400 Speaker 1: to get really muddy there very soon, and that makes 1308 01:05:14,400 --> 01:05:17,000 Speaker 1: it very, very difficult to launch the kind of counter 1309 01:05:17,040 --> 01:05:20,040 Speaker 1: offensive that they ultimately want to be able to, you know, 1310 01:05:20,080 --> 01:05:23,080 Speaker 1: push Russian troops back and show that they have the 1311 01:05:23,120 --> 01:05:26,800 Speaker 1: ability to retake this territory. Because Zlensky continues to say 1312 01:05:26,960 --> 01:05:29,360 Speaker 1: very directly, their goal is not just to retake the 1313 01:05:29,880 --> 01:05:32,680 Speaker 1: territory from before this particular of invasion, but they want 1314 01:05:32,680 --> 01:05:35,280 Speaker 1: to retake Crimea. They want to retake the areas in 1315 01:05:35,400 --> 01:05:37,680 Speaker 1: the eastern part of Ukraine that had already been sort 1316 01:05:37,680 --> 01:05:41,400 Speaker 1: of de facto, you know, Russian controlled before this new 1317 01:05:41,800 --> 01:05:45,080 Speaker 1: Russian invasion. So we're going to see very quickly whether 1318 01:05:45,120 --> 01:05:48,439 Speaker 1: that is a pipe dream or whether that has any 1319 01:05:48,480 --> 01:05:51,160 Speaker 1: grounding in reality. With the incredible support that we've given them. 1320 01:05:51,200 --> 01:05:53,520 Speaker 1: In the history of warfare in this region, this has 1321 01:05:53,560 --> 01:05:56,320 Speaker 1: been always the most critical part of time. So from 1322 01:05:56,360 --> 01:06:01,439 Speaker 1: Operation Odessa with the Nazis to Napoleon, and they're every time. 1323 01:06:01,440 --> 01:06:03,680 Speaker 1: It's really interesting. Actually, you go and you read this 1324 01:06:04,320 --> 01:06:06,520 Speaker 1: counts of the soldiers. I'm getting some of this from 1325 01:06:06,600 --> 01:06:09,720 Speaker 1: Dan Carlin, but he talks about how the first snowfall 1326 01:06:09,880 --> 01:06:13,960 Speaker 1: in October is always like the death. Now that the 1327 01:06:14,000 --> 01:06:17,200 Speaker 1: soldiers realize, they're like, this is it. The snow is coming, 1328 01:06:17,400 --> 01:06:20,480 Speaker 1: and it's like October fifteenth or so is when the 1329 01:06:20,480 --> 01:06:23,240 Speaker 1: first snowfall is always recorded, and from there it just 1330 01:06:23,280 --> 01:06:27,360 Speaker 1: becomes exponential as it gets cold. Sometimes the cold is advantageous, 1331 01:06:27,480 --> 01:06:30,840 Speaker 1: it's not as muddy, the road's ice over, but it's brutal, 1332 01:06:30,960 --> 01:06:34,000 Speaker 1: right in order to actually conduct military operations in so 1333 01:06:34,120 --> 01:06:37,720 Speaker 1: decisive campaigns are always aimed both by Hitler, by Napoleon, 1334 01:06:37,760 --> 01:06:41,280 Speaker 1: anybody who's fought in this region as right now, So 1335 01:06:41,400 --> 01:06:43,600 Speaker 1: things need to begin the month of September when the 1336 01:06:43,600 --> 01:06:46,320 Speaker 1: weather is temperate, especially it's not as hot, in order 1337 01:06:46,360 --> 01:06:48,400 Speaker 1: to fight in this will cease probably some of the 1338 01:06:48,400 --> 01:06:50,720 Speaker 1: most decisive times in the war. And if we don't 1339 01:06:50,760 --> 01:06:53,640 Speaker 1: see that, that also tells us that means yes, then 1340 01:06:53,680 --> 01:06:56,560 Speaker 1: you're in for this grinding winter where there's unlikely to 1341 01:06:56,560 --> 01:06:59,240 Speaker 1: be many gains made on either side. And you know, 1342 01:06:59,280 --> 01:07:01,680 Speaker 1: does anyone start to look for an exit ramp? Do 1343 01:07:01,760 --> 01:07:04,439 Speaker 1: we start to push for an exit ramp? The last 1344 01:07:04,440 --> 01:07:06,560 Speaker 1: thing I want to say here is something that we 1345 01:07:06,560 --> 01:07:08,480 Speaker 1: haven't really focused on here too much. But I think 1346 01:07:08,480 --> 01:07:11,320 Speaker 1: it's really important to note that the Biden administration is 1347 01:07:11,360 --> 01:07:14,720 Speaker 1: actually assigned a general to oversee this, you know, what 1348 01:07:14,720 --> 01:07:17,120 Speaker 1: they call our military a to Ukraine, but really is 1349 01:07:17,160 --> 01:07:21,200 Speaker 1: in effect a US proxy war against Russia. And that 1350 01:07:21,400 --> 01:07:23,960 Speaker 1: just shows you that even though you know, yes, this 1351 01:07:24,040 --> 01:07:25,720 Speaker 1: is still on the front page of the New York Times, 1352 01:07:25,800 --> 01:07:28,000 Speaker 1: but a lot of the cable news media has moved on. 1353 01:07:28,080 --> 01:07:32,160 Speaker 1: They are not doing anything like the intensive, intensive coverage 1354 01:07:32,200 --> 01:07:35,040 Speaker 1: of this conflict that they were in the early days. 1355 01:07:35,280 --> 01:07:37,720 Speaker 1: You know, the American people are understandably focused on a 1356 01:07:37,800 --> 01:07:40,960 Speaker 1: lot of other issues here at home and abroad as well. 1357 01:07:41,440 --> 01:07:45,880 Speaker 1: This continues to be, you know, an exceptionally volatile conflict. 1358 01:07:46,400 --> 01:07:49,640 Speaker 1: We continue to have sort of these little incremental escalations, 1359 01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:53,120 Speaker 1: and it continues to be a major, major, sort of 1360 01:07:53,240 --> 01:07:58,000 Speaker 1: military focus that is occupying a large pieces of our 1361 01:07:58,040 --> 01:08:02,120 Speaker 1: defense infrastructure at great cop So that's why we continue 1362 01:08:02,480 --> 01:08:04,440 Speaker 1: to really try to focus on it and not take 1363 01:08:04,480 --> 01:08:08,200 Speaker 1: our eye off of it, because this thing could escalate 1364 01:08:08,400 --> 01:08:13,280 Speaker 1: or turn it at any moment and is already reshaping 1365 01:08:13,320 --> 01:08:16,680 Speaker 1: global politics in a ways that have incredibly direct implications 1366 01:08:16,720 --> 01:08:19,240 Speaker 1: for you and for our European friends. Let's tug on 1367 01:08:19,280 --> 01:08:21,240 Speaker 1: that string a little bit. Let's go to this next 1368 01:08:21,240 --> 01:08:22,960 Speaker 1: part and put it up there on the screen. This 1369 01:08:23,320 --> 01:08:27,880 Speaker 1: is complete insanity and is not being grappled with here 1370 01:08:27,920 --> 01:08:30,280 Speaker 1: in the West. Our gas prices may be going down, 1371 01:08:30,439 --> 01:08:32,599 Speaker 1: we are staring down the barrel of a full fledged 1372 01:08:32,640 --> 01:08:36,760 Speaker 1: catastrophe on the European continent. European power prices futures are 1373 01:08:36,920 --> 01:08:41,439 Speaker 1: up one thousand percent since last year and have broken 1374 01:08:41,560 --> 01:08:45,160 Speaker 1: one thousand euros for the very first time, smashing records 1375 01:08:45,280 --> 01:08:49,000 Speaker 1: every single day and literally crystal. As you and I 1376 01:08:49,040 --> 01:08:51,920 Speaker 1: are doing this show, gas prom came out and said 1377 01:08:52,160 --> 01:08:55,879 Speaker 1: they had notified Germany that they would be further reducing 1378 01:08:56,000 --> 01:09:00,559 Speaker 1: natural gas stockpiles to Germany ahead of the wind. The 1379 01:09:00,640 --> 01:09:04,080 Speaker 1: reason this matters is you may not know this, but 1380 01:09:04,120 --> 01:09:07,360 Speaker 1: the Europeans do not have air conditioning. Usually doesn't get 1381 01:09:07,439 --> 01:09:10,360 Speaker 1: very hot over there. They use most of their consumer 1382 01:09:10,439 --> 01:09:13,360 Speaker 1: and electric power in the winter because it gets cold, 1383 01:09:13,560 --> 01:09:16,519 Speaker 1: and they especially need it for German manufacturing and for 1384 01:09:16,560 --> 01:09:19,920 Speaker 1: everybody else. Now, the reason why is that they run 1385 01:09:20,000 --> 01:09:23,240 Speaker 1: almost the entirety of that on natural gas, and specifically 1386 01:09:23,320 --> 01:09:26,479 Speaker 1: natural gas which is supplied by Russia some sixty percent 1387 01:09:26,840 --> 01:09:30,840 Speaker 1: pre war period in Germany to have new European power 1388 01:09:30,840 --> 01:09:34,680 Speaker 1: prices spike so high effectively means a recession. There is 1389 01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:37,320 Speaker 1: just not like even what we're flirting with, like a 1390 01:09:37,320 --> 01:09:42,519 Speaker 1: full fledged Eurozone crisis. To have the biggest power in Europe, 1391 01:09:42,600 --> 01:09:48,519 Speaker 1: the fourth largest economy in the world, waylaid by energy prices. Furthermore, France, 1392 01:09:48,840 --> 01:09:51,680 Speaker 1: even though through some idiocy really of their own, and 1393 01:09:51,720 --> 01:09:54,000 Speaker 1: there's a lot to discuss on this. The French Prime 1394 01:09:54,040 --> 01:09:57,360 Speaker 1: Minister came out yesterday and said, listen, if they cut 1395 01:09:57,400 --> 01:09:59,280 Speaker 1: us off, we're probably going to have to go to 1396 01:09:59,360 --> 01:10:02,040 Speaker 1: word rationing. And she's like, if you don't need power, 1397 01:10:02,439 --> 01:10:04,920 Speaker 1: turn it off, do not use it. So they are 1398 01:10:04,960 --> 01:10:09,120 Speaker 1: already moving to voluntary consumer reduction ahead of a full 1399 01:10:09,160 --> 01:10:11,880 Speaker 1: fledge shutdown. And the interesting thing behind that is France 1400 01:10:11,880 --> 01:10:14,360 Speaker 1: actually has a tremendous amount of nuclear power. Part of 1401 01:10:14,360 --> 01:10:16,519 Speaker 1: the problem is apparently they've not been taking very good 1402 01:10:16,720 --> 01:10:19,160 Speaker 1: care of their plants, and so some of these plants 1403 01:10:19,200 --> 01:10:22,280 Speaker 1: had to shut down for maintenance purposes and more, and 1404 01:10:22,360 --> 01:10:24,800 Speaker 1: so they've been using more natural gas than they usually do. 1405 01:10:25,200 --> 01:10:27,120 Speaker 1: It was a bit precarious, and they haven't been updating 1406 01:10:27,160 --> 01:10:30,200 Speaker 1: their stock. Because of the green movement in their nuclear 1407 01:10:30,240 --> 01:10:33,040 Speaker 1: power plants, and that has now led to a crunch there. 1408 01:10:33,080 --> 01:10:35,920 Speaker 1: So again we're talking here about France, the second largest 1409 01:10:35,920 --> 01:10:39,040 Speaker 1: economy on the European continent, a member of the G seven. 1410 01:10:39,760 --> 01:10:43,800 Speaker 1: Supposed US ally, especially in terms of our trade, this 1411 01:10:43,880 --> 01:10:48,880 Speaker 1: could cripple the European economies. So you would say, well, yeah, 1412 01:10:48,880 --> 01:10:52,439 Speaker 1: it's worth it if Russia is being crippled even further, 1413 01:10:52,520 --> 01:10:56,080 Speaker 1: you could make that argument. There's just one problem. Let's 1414 01:10:56,160 --> 01:11:00,160 Speaker 1: throw this up there, which is that Russian corporate profits 1415 01:11:00,439 --> 01:11:05,559 Speaker 1: in the last quarter went up twenty five percent as 1416 01:11:05,640 --> 01:11:11,840 Speaker 1: sanctions quote hit muted economy net income gains despite economic 1417 01:11:11,880 --> 01:11:16,400 Speaker 1: contraction and inflation. Now even more so I was reading 1418 01:11:16,439 --> 01:11:19,720 Speaker 1: even more this morning, Crystal, which is that Russia has 1419 01:11:19,840 --> 01:11:24,479 Speaker 1: continued to print record amounts of profit off of oil. 1420 01:11:24,760 --> 01:11:27,840 Speaker 1: So we talked previously about that one hundred billion the 1421 01:11:27,880 --> 01:11:31,280 Speaker 1: euros that they had made. Now this last month or so, 1422 01:11:31,400 --> 01:11:36,280 Speaker 1: they only made ninety billion. Of that ninety billion, seventy 1423 01:11:36,400 --> 01:11:40,400 Speaker 1: billion is coming from oil. Now, the way that they're 1424 01:11:40,400 --> 01:11:43,240 Speaker 1: making a profit on this just shows you the difficulty 1425 01:11:43,360 --> 01:11:46,960 Speaker 1: in trying to quote unquote ban or sanctioned commodity markets. 1426 01:11:47,080 --> 01:11:50,559 Speaker 1: Oil basically is kind of the same regardless of chemical 1427 01:11:50,560 --> 01:11:52,840 Speaker 1: makeup from all over the world. So what are the 1428 01:11:52,920 --> 01:11:55,160 Speaker 1: Russians doing now? This is from the Wall Street Journal 1429 01:11:55,240 --> 01:11:59,240 Speaker 1: I'm reading. They have taken their oil, shifted it to 1430 01:11:59,320 --> 01:12:02,639 Speaker 1: Saudi Rabi. Saudi Arabia is buying it at a discount 1431 01:12:02,680 --> 01:12:05,639 Speaker 1: to the global market price. Saudi Arabia is then burning 1432 01:12:05,680 --> 01:12:08,639 Speaker 1: the cheap oil to power their economy and then taking 1433 01:12:08,640 --> 01:12:11,000 Speaker 1: all of their oil and selling it to US at 1434 01:12:11,040 --> 01:12:14,599 Speaker 1: the highest market price. Furthermore, here what else they're doing. 1435 01:12:14,640 --> 01:12:17,439 Speaker 1: This is on top of India and China, they're buying them. 1436 01:12:17,640 --> 01:12:20,559 Speaker 1: The Russians are also sending a ton of oil via 1437 01:12:20,640 --> 01:12:23,920 Speaker 1: Egypt to the United Arab Emirates. There are now all 1438 01:12:23,960 --> 01:12:27,519 Speaker 1: sorts of sketchy facilities in the UAE where if you 1439 01:12:27,600 --> 01:12:30,000 Speaker 1: drop it off there in the morning, it's Russian. When 1440 01:12:30,040 --> 01:12:32,400 Speaker 1: you sell it, it's something else, even though the sulfur 1441 01:12:32,439 --> 01:12:35,960 Speaker 1: content means it's from Russia. Furthermore, they're taking like Iranian 1442 01:12:36,000 --> 01:12:39,120 Speaker 1: and Venezuelan oil and they're doing like blends and then 1443 01:12:39,200 --> 01:12:42,360 Speaker 1: selling it too yours truly here in the United States 1444 01:12:42,520 --> 01:12:45,160 Speaker 1: and to the rest of the world at a market price. 1445 01:12:45,320 --> 01:12:49,920 Speaker 1: So the arbitrage opportunities for traders in New Delhi in Beijing, 1446 01:12:50,320 --> 01:12:56,320 Speaker 1: in Sharjah and in riod are tremendous. Without fail, these 1447 01:12:56,360 --> 01:13:01,040 Speaker 1: people are making untold billions of dollars on top of 1448 01:13:01,080 --> 01:13:05,559 Speaker 1: our sanctions. And who is paying the price? Currently? Russian 1449 01:13:05,600 --> 01:13:10,040 Speaker 1: consumers are certainly paying the price. Russian government is not 1450 01:13:10,120 --> 01:13:13,880 Speaker 1: paying the price. They are continuing to fund their war machine. 1451 01:13:13,920 --> 01:13:17,720 Speaker 1: Putin just signed an order drafting even more people now 1452 01:13:17,720 --> 01:13:20,400 Speaker 1: are asking for more people to enter the military. Military 1453 01:13:20,400 --> 01:13:24,680 Speaker 1: spending is fine. Their war machine grinds on. Our consumers 1454 01:13:24,760 --> 01:13:26,559 Speaker 1: are paying the price. And since we live in a 1455 01:13:26,640 --> 01:13:29,280 Speaker 1: democracy and it's a little bit different the way that 1456 01:13:29,320 --> 01:13:32,920 Speaker 1: our country is structured, our government is also suffering the 1457 01:13:33,400 --> 01:13:37,680 Speaker 1: totaling effects of an unstable country racked by inflation on 1458 01:13:37,840 --> 01:13:42,400 Speaker 1: top of the European continent, which is it's difficult to describe, 1459 01:13:42,400 --> 01:13:45,360 Speaker 1: but like genuinely almost ten times more vulnerable than we 1460 01:13:45,400 --> 01:13:48,000 Speaker 1: are to the effects of the sanctions policy. So the 1461 01:13:48,080 --> 01:13:51,320 Speaker 1: quote unquote United West, because it is unable to actually 1462 01:13:51,360 --> 01:13:53,720 Speaker 1: cut off the Russians from the global financial system and 1463 01:13:53,800 --> 01:13:57,519 Speaker 1: especially the Russians from the oil markets, is suffering to 1464 01:13:57,560 --> 01:14:00,400 Speaker 1: a tremendous degree. And the Russian war machine of which 1465 01:14:00,400 --> 01:14:03,320 Speaker 1: we were meant to inflict pain on is doing just fine, yes, 1466 01:14:03,439 --> 01:14:06,599 Speaker 1: and that's a big problem. But because we went so 1467 01:14:07,000 --> 01:14:10,880 Speaker 1: all in on our economic warfare against Russia, well that 1468 01:14:10,920 --> 01:14:14,000 Speaker 1: gave them the green light to use their own tools 1469 01:14:14,000 --> 01:14:15,880 Speaker 1: that they have in their toolkit to inflict a lot 1470 01:14:15,880 --> 01:14:18,120 Speaker 1: of pain and you know, do their side of the 1471 01:14:18,160 --> 01:14:21,120 Speaker 1: economic warfare which they have been toying. Why with the 1472 01:14:21,439 --> 01:14:23,760 Speaker 1: exactly I mean by us taking that step and this 1473 01:14:23,800 --> 01:14:26,400 Speaker 1: is what we always warnt like these things when you 1474 01:14:26,560 --> 01:14:29,559 Speaker 1: when you exact these when you impose these sanctions, when 1475 01:14:29,600 --> 01:14:31,720 Speaker 1: you take these actions and send in all of this 1476 01:14:32,240 --> 01:14:35,200 Speaker 1: military at as well, they have an ability to respond. 1477 01:14:35,280 --> 01:14:37,040 Speaker 1: And so they took this as a green light to hey, 1478 01:14:37,040 --> 01:14:39,639 Speaker 1: we're going to toy with the natural gas apply to Europe. 1479 01:14:39,680 --> 01:14:41,280 Speaker 1: And they have done that and that's part of why 1480 01:14:41,280 --> 01:14:44,320 Speaker 1: you see these massive price increases. It's also going back 1481 01:14:44,360 --> 01:14:47,120 Speaker 1: to why Zelensky is feeling so much pressure right now, 1482 01:14:47,160 --> 01:14:50,040 Speaker 1: because he's not a fool. He knows that you're going 1483 01:14:50,120 --> 01:14:52,479 Speaker 1: to have a lot of waning sentiment in Europe as 1484 01:14:52,520 --> 01:14:55,080 Speaker 1: they see the tremendous cost that is exacted on their 1485 01:14:55,120 --> 01:14:58,320 Speaker 1: lives and the crisis that they're being pushed into by 1486 01:14:58,560 --> 01:15:02,040 Speaker 1: you know, Russia's invasion and the Western response to Russia's invasion, 1487 01:15:02,160 --> 01:15:05,000 Speaker 1: So he has got to be concerned that sort of 1488 01:15:05,040 --> 01:15:08,320 Speaker 1: public sentiment to continue in the direction that we've been 1489 01:15:08,360 --> 01:15:12,160 Speaker 1: continuing is very likely to become a lot tougher this winter, 1490 01:15:12,439 --> 01:15:16,439 Speaker 1: as Europeans in particular really suffer with these high gas 1491 01:15:16,479 --> 01:15:19,200 Speaker 1: prices that they are just full stop unable to afford. 1492 01:15:19,560 --> 01:15:24,000 Speaker 1: So that's part of why the landscape is increasingly difficult 1493 01:15:24,040 --> 01:15:27,559 Speaker 1: from the Ukrainian side and why you know, we need 1494 01:15:27,600 --> 01:15:30,519 Speaker 1: to have more serious conversations about like what next, what 1495 01:15:30,560 --> 01:15:32,200 Speaker 1: does this look like? Are we just going to continue 1496 01:15:32,240 --> 01:15:35,280 Speaker 1: to ship package after package regardless of how Ukrainians perform 1497 01:15:35,360 --> 01:15:38,680 Speaker 1: the battlefield, regardless of whether their maximal steams are realistic, 1498 01:15:38,760 --> 01:15:42,040 Speaker 1: regardless of what it means in terms of like Europeans lives, 1499 01:15:42,080 --> 01:15:44,040 Speaker 1: regardless of what it means in terms of famine and 1500 01:15:44,040 --> 01:15:46,080 Speaker 1: the Horn of Africa and these other places that have 1501 01:15:46,120 --> 01:15:48,880 Speaker 1: been suffering as well. These are the conversations that we 1502 01:15:49,040 --> 01:15:52,080 Speaker 1: really need to be having about what comes next. Yeah, 1503 01:15:52,120 --> 01:15:55,280 Speaker 1: the overall, so I talked about Germany's up one thousand, 1504 01:15:55,720 --> 01:15:58,519 Speaker 1: All of Europe is up seven hundred percent in terms 1505 01:15:58,600 --> 01:16:02,080 Speaker 1: of gas for the over the last year, and it's 1506 01:16:02,160 --> 01:16:04,920 Speaker 1: up double just from the end of July, the closer 1507 01:16:04,960 --> 01:16:07,200 Speaker 1: that we get to winter, the Russians are turning off 1508 01:16:07,200 --> 01:16:10,680 Speaker 1: the spigot. They're reducing and dwindling the supply, and this 1509 01:16:10,760 --> 01:16:15,440 Speaker 1: has massive economic ramifications for Europe. You know, Joe Wisenthal, 1510 01:16:15,439 --> 01:16:18,400 Speaker 1: who've cided before, is basically saying this is a redux 1511 01:16:18,479 --> 01:16:21,760 Speaker 1: of the Eurozone crisis from twenty twelve in terms, I mean, 1512 01:16:22,160 --> 01:16:24,040 Speaker 1: what did we all learn than people, which is that 1513 01:16:24,400 --> 01:16:26,800 Speaker 1: given the amount of collateralized debt and all the other 1514 01:16:27,360 --> 01:16:30,080 Speaker 1: financial arrangements that we have with the continent and our 1515 01:16:30,120 --> 01:16:33,320 Speaker 1: banks and all that, crises like that, don't just stay 1516 01:16:33,640 --> 01:16:36,320 Speaker 1: over there. It will impact us. And also, don't forget this, 1517 01:16:36,600 --> 01:16:38,479 Speaker 1: we produce a hell of a lot of the world's 1518 01:16:38,640 --> 01:16:41,960 Speaker 1: liquefied natural gas. They need it more than anybody else, 1519 01:16:42,000 --> 01:16:43,760 Speaker 1: and they are going to be driving that price up 1520 01:16:44,040 --> 01:16:46,840 Speaker 1: sky high, which means higher energy bills, not just in 1521 01:16:46,880 --> 01:16:49,840 Speaker 1: Berlin but here and all over the United States. The 1522 01:16:49,880 --> 01:16:51,600 Speaker 1: other the last thing I want to say about this, 1523 01:16:51,720 --> 01:16:54,559 Speaker 1: going back to the Russian corporate profits jump twenty five 1524 01:16:54,600 --> 01:16:57,240 Speaker 1: percent as sanctions hit. Needed that piece that we had 1525 01:16:57,320 --> 01:17:00,880 Speaker 1: above the screen, it does say something calls into question 1526 01:17:00,960 --> 01:17:03,519 Speaker 1: some of the core tenants of like the free market 1527 01:17:03,640 --> 01:17:07,880 Speaker 1: and the neoliberal mindset that Russia's been totally shut off from. 1528 01:17:08,000 --> 01:17:12,120 Speaker 1: You know, large sectors of the global economy and quite 1529 01:17:12,160 --> 01:17:14,960 Speaker 1: a lot of their you know, of their concerns are 1530 01:17:15,000 --> 01:17:19,360 Speaker 1: doing just fine. You had profits jumping nine and a 1531 01:17:19,360 --> 01:17:22,800 Speaker 1: half trillion rubles with the year on year increase, outpacing 1532 01:17:22,800 --> 01:17:25,599 Speaker 1: the seventeen percent rise in consumer prices over the period, 1533 01:17:25,680 --> 01:17:29,919 Speaker 1: So they're outpacing inflation. The manufacturing sector, which was especially 1534 01:17:29,960 --> 01:17:33,160 Speaker 1: hard hit by sanctions cut off key imported components, still 1535 01:17:33,200 --> 01:17:36,960 Speaker 1: managed to forty four percent profit gain. Transportation and storage 1536 01:17:36,960 --> 01:17:39,080 Speaker 1: were up one hundred and sixty eight percent. Profits in 1537 01:17:39,080 --> 01:17:41,639 Speaker 1: real estate and construction surge as at earnings and hotels 1538 01:17:41,680 --> 01:17:44,799 Speaker 1: and catering as Russian stayed home as international air service 1539 01:17:45,080 --> 01:17:48,360 Speaker 1: was limited. So just interesting to think about that. You know, 1540 01:17:48,520 --> 01:17:52,320 Speaker 1: the impact here in Russia was the polar opposite of 1541 01:17:52,360 --> 01:17:56,800 Speaker 1: what all our brightest economists told the American public was 1542 01:17:56,840 --> 01:17:59,640 Speaker 1: actually going to occur. Well, if the audience will indulge me, 1543 01:17:59,800 --> 01:18:02,680 Speaker 1: it validates and economic theory of how I think the 1544 01:18:02,720 --> 01:18:07,200 Speaker 1: country should operate, which is that we've banked everything on globalization, financialization, 1545 01:18:07,560 --> 01:18:09,759 Speaker 1: and the service economy. But in a time of conflict. 1546 01:18:09,800 --> 01:18:11,800 Speaker 1: The only thing you can really count on is quote 1547 01:18:11,840 --> 01:18:16,160 Speaker 1: unquote autarchic economy, which means things that you produce for yourself. 1548 01:18:16,240 --> 01:18:18,799 Speaker 1: So what are the Russians teaching us? Commodities are everything. 1549 01:18:18,840 --> 01:18:22,479 Speaker 1: It's all about howard power, It's about internal and supply chains. 1550 01:18:22,560 --> 01:18:25,559 Speaker 1: It's about having a robust, dec domestic state which is 1551 01:18:25,600 --> 01:18:29,479 Speaker 1: capable of wearying and stopping attacks from the outside and 1552 01:18:29,760 --> 01:18:33,120 Speaker 1: choking off all of the areas that you have vulnerable 1553 01:18:33,120 --> 01:18:36,840 Speaker 1: points like Germany's Russian gas, like our you know, own 1554 01:18:37,240 --> 01:18:43,760 Speaker 1: foreign gas prices showed us. But anyway, autarchy has showed us. Yea, 1555 01:18:44,800 --> 01:18:47,439 Speaker 1: autarchy is good. The neo Libs can attack they want, 1556 01:18:47,479 --> 01:18:49,439 Speaker 1: all right, let's go ahead and move on. This is 1557 01:18:49,439 --> 01:18:51,280 Speaker 1: another important story. Usually it is the fun block. We 1558 01:18:51,320 --> 01:18:53,080 Speaker 1: wanted to you know, we want to maintain some of 1559 01:18:53,120 --> 01:18:57,200 Speaker 1: our focus on global affairs. So Iraq is currently undergoing 1560 01:18:57,600 --> 01:19:01,640 Speaker 1: a continuing, really slow rolling domestic crisis. Some of you 1561 01:19:01,680 --> 01:19:04,639 Speaker 1: may remember the name muktadaal Sutter. Everybody in the US 1562 01:19:04,680 --> 01:19:06,600 Speaker 1: knew his name in like two thousand and six, but 1563 01:19:06,960 --> 01:19:10,640 Speaker 1: he's still there very much. A prominent claike she hait 1564 01:19:10,680 --> 01:19:14,160 Speaker 1: cleric in the Iraqi government has his own political party. 1565 01:19:14,200 --> 01:19:16,479 Speaker 1: They've been unable to form a major government there now 1566 01:19:16,520 --> 01:19:20,280 Speaker 1: for some time, and protests have erupted outside of parliament 1567 01:19:20,280 --> 01:19:23,680 Speaker 1: in the presidential palace now for months, but really culminated 1568 01:19:23,880 --> 01:19:26,400 Speaker 1: in the last week with a total curfew being imposed 1569 01:19:26,600 --> 01:19:28,680 Speaker 1: on the Green Zone and in Baghdad. Now, we had 1570 01:19:28,680 --> 01:19:31,040 Speaker 1: some crazy footage. We're only going to show you guys 1571 01:19:31,320 --> 01:19:32,760 Speaker 1: a little bit of it, but just to give you 1572 01:19:32,800 --> 01:19:45,320 Speaker 1: an idea of how nuts things were last So that 1573 01:19:45,479 --> 01:19:48,000 Speaker 1: was inside the Green Zone. It was fighting between pro 1574 01:19:48,080 --> 01:19:51,840 Speaker 1: Iran forces the Sodarists. There's a coalitional fight. The Dutch 1575 01:19:51,880 --> 01:19:55,439 Speaker 1: embassy actually had to evacuate to the German embassy. There 1576 01:19:55,439 --> 01:19:59,320 Speaker 1: were false reports last night that the US embassy itself 1577 01:19:59,680 --> 01:20:02,960 Speaker 1: was being evacuated. But there's still a lot of questions 1578 01:20:03,000 --> 01:20:04,880 Speaker 1: about this. I mean, you know, it's not as stark 1579 01:20:04,920 --> 01:20:08,040 Speaker 1: as Afghanistan. Iraq was not a complete, like, you know, 1580 01:20:08,040 --> 01:20:10,599 Speaker 1: a throwback to the Middle Ages in terms of it 1581 01:20:10,640 --> 01:20:14,479 Speaker 1: was a real like economy and society that it existed 1582 01:20:14,520 --> 01:20:17,120 Speaker 1: as a polity for a little bit longer, and they 1583 01:20:17,120 --> 01:20:20,280 Speaker 1: had more of a developed society. The issue though, is 1584 01:20:20,320 --> 01:20:23,200 Speaker 1: that basically since the US, you know, we came in. 1585 01:20:23,920 --> 01:20:28,360 Speaker 1: We left in twenty eleven, everything collapsed and went terrible. 1586 01:20:28,520 --> 01:20:32,240 Speaker 1: Isis comes takes the city of Mosul. Our operations from 1587 01:20:32,280 --> 01:20:35,280 Speaker 1: that point forward were all military and we're just supporting 1588 01:20:35,280 --> 01:20:38,240 Speaker 1: the Iraqi security forces to drive out ISIS. But on 1589 01:20:38,280 --> 01:20:40,800 Speaker 1: the political level, a lot of the machinations that we 1590 01:20:40,840 --> 01:20:44,000 Speaker 1: did in the surge and more or try and balance 1591 01:20:44,040 --> 01:20:47,000 Speaker 1: different elements of the government, which is ultimately what erupted 1592 01:20:47,040 --> 01:20:51,519 Speaker 1: into outright sectarian genocide before. All of that is still 1593 01:20:51,600 --> 01:20:54,080 Speaker 1: and has been bubbling to the surface, Crystal, which is 1594 01:20:54,320 --> 01:20:56,960 Speaker 1: really why this is happening. So let's put this up there. 1595 01:20:57,439 --> 01:21:01,320 Speaker 1: You know, the Iraqi protests really turned town, including you know, 1596 01:21:01,360 --> 01:21:03,880 Speaker 1: in the green Zone, the Palace, the Parliament and more. 1597 01:21:04,200 --> 01:21:07,800 Speaker 1: After soder says that he is lead quitting politics. Now 1598 01:21:07,920 --> 01:21:10,519 Speaker 1: he's done this before. This has always been kind of 1599 01:21:10,600 --> 01:21:13,960 Speaker 1: a threat. He is claiming this is his final retirement. 1600 01:21:14,280 --> 01:21:18,240 Speaker 1: The news broke this morning, Crystal, that he says, and 1601 01:21:18,320 --> 01:21:21,599 Speaker 1: he's called off and told his people to stand down. 1602 01:21:21,840 --> 01:21:24,360 Speaker 1: But this is not the final end kind of of 1603 01:21:24,400 --> 01:21:26,759 Speaker 1: this saga, and it just shows you like these countries, 1604 01:21:27,000 --> 01:21:28,960 Speaker 1: you know, you may not read about them anymore, but 1605 01:21:29,240 --> 01:21:31,360 Speaker 1: as we all found out, in Afghanistan more like things 1606 01:21:31,360 --> 01:21:34,120 Speaker 1: can flare up very very hot, and then all this, 1607 01:21:35,040 --> 01:21:38,160 Speaker 1: all these questions about our role comes into into question. 1608 01:21:38,240 --> 01:21:41,160 Speaker 1: I mean, I believe our embassy in Iraq is one 1609 01:21:41,200 --> 01:21:44,160 Speaker 1: of the single most embassies ever built. So if we 1610 01:21:44,240 --> 01:21:47,160 Speaker 1: have to abandon that one in the Green Zone, it 1611 01:21:47,160 --> 01:21:51,200 Speaker 1: will be a symbol of something I really don't even ascribe. Yeah, well, 1612 01:21:51,240 --> 01:21:53,880 Speaker 1: we've got a lot of those littered around the Middle East, 1613 01:21:53,960 --> 01:21:56,800 Speaker 1: I would say, I mean, you know, how is Syria doing, 1614 01:21:56,840 --> 01:21:59,960 Speaker 1: How's Libya doing, How's Afghanistan doing? As we continue to 1615 01:22:00,000 --> 01:22:02,640 Speaker 1: deny their government their own money? And now how is 1616 01:22:02,680 --> 01:22:05,760 Speaker 1: a rock doing? As you point out, So, Solder's coalition 1617 01:22:07,080 --> 01:22:09,679 Speaker 1: was the winner of the elections last that he secured 1618 01:22:09,680 --> 01:22:11,679 Speaker 1: the large number of seats, but not enough to form 1619 01:22:11,720 --> 01:22:16,519 Speaker 1: a government. So they've been without a government for months 1620 01:22:16,520 --> 01:22:18,720 Speaker 1: and months now, and this all kind of comes to 1621 01:22:18,800 --> 01:22:21,479 Speaker 1: a head. He's she a c cleric. He kind of 1622 01:22:21,560 --> 01:22:24,960 Speaker 1: is like against US influence, but also against Iranian influence. 1623 01:22:25,280 --> 01:22:29,400 Speaker 1: His major rivals are these Iranian backed militias. That's where 1624 01:22:29,439 --> 01:22:31,519 Speaker 1: a lot of the flashpoints and attention and the fighting 1625 01:22:31,560 --> 01:22:34,240 Speaker 1: and violence is now. So he says in this very 1626 01:22:34,280 --> 01:22:37,439 Speaker 1: sort of dramatic flourish like you're free of me, I'm 1627 01:22:37,520 --> 01:22:41,880 Speaker 1: leaving and his followers. The analysis that I was listening 1628 01:22:41,920 --> 01:22:45,400 Speaker 1: to said, basically, see this as a green light to 1629 01:22:45,520 --> 01:22:49,360 Speaker 1: then sort of like you know, go riot and storm 1630 01:22:49,439 --> 01:22:51,160 Speaker 1: and all this stuff, and that's when you have this 1631 01:22:51,280 --> 01:22:55,360 Speaker 1: violence with twenty plus protesters dead, dozens more injured, and 1632 01:22:55,400 --> 01:22:58,120 Speaker 1: effectively the ideas this was a political ploy to say 1633 01:22:58,120 --> 01:23:01,160 Speaker 1: basically like look, when I'm not he keeping a lid 1634 01:23:01,200 --> 01:23:04,760 Speaker 1: on things, see what happens, so sort of making good 1635 01:23:04,840 --> 01:23:06,920 Speaker 1: on this on this type of a thread. But yeah, 1636 01:23:06,960 --> 01:23:09,760 Speaker 1: I mean listen, the bottom line from our perspective is 1637 01:23:09,920 --> 01:23:13,439 Speaker 1: just it turns out freedom and democracy did not rain, 1638 01:23:13,800 --> 01:23:17,880 Speaker 1: and you know, we continue to live with and Iraqis 1639 01:23:18,000 --> 01:23:21,840 Speaker 1: continue to live with the fallout and the chaos that 1640 01:23:21,880 --> 01:23:25,640 Speaker 1: we that we created in their country and have you know, 1641 01:23:25,920 --> 01:23:29,280 Speaker 1: largely just sort of left and turned the other cheek 1642 01:23:29,280 --> 01:23:32,400 Speaker 1: and only pay attention when something dramatic and shocking like 1643 01:23:32,439 --> 01:23:35,479 Speaker 1: this occurs. Yeah, so we hope things, you know, people 1644 01:23:35,479 --> 01:23:38,240 Speaker 1: will listen. But it's possible this could flare up into 1645 01:23:38,520 --> 01:23:41,720 Speaker 1: even more of a even more of like a conflagration 1646 01:23:42,120 --> 01:23:44,040 Speaker 1: over the weekend. We're going to see how the coalitions 1647 01:23:44,040 --> 01:23:45,960 Speaker 1: and all those other people on the Yeah, well, I'm 1648 01:23:45,960 --> 01:23:49,000 Speaker 1: sure they have the same economic stress that is going 1649 01:23:49,000 --> 01:23:51,840 Speaker 1: on around the globe. High high food prices, you know, 1650 01:23:52,120 --> 01:23:54,720 Speaker 1: and a lot of strain there. And we know as 1651 01:23:54,720 --> 01:23:57,080 Speaker 1: we've tracked throughound history and this was a major contributor 1652 01:23:57,120 --> 01:23:58,880 Speaker 1: to the Arab spring as well and led to a 1653 01:23:58,880 --> 01:24:01,080 Speaker 1: lot of governments being topped and a return. So definitely 1654 01:24:01,080 --> 01:24:05,200 Speaker 1: something to keep an eye on. Yeah, Grissel, what are 1655 01:24:05,200 --> 01:24:06,960 Speaker 1: you taking a look at? So in their opposition to 1656 01:24:06,960 --> 01:24:10,280 Speaker 1: Biden's student debt relief programs, some Republicans are really telling 1657 01:24:10,280 --> 01:24:14,080 Speaker 1: on themselves, accidentally revealing what a cramped and outdated definition 1658 01:24:14,120 --> 01:24:16,000 Speaker 1: they have of the working class and how they really 1659 01:24:16,040 --> 01:24:19,280 Speaker 1: feel about workers. Take for example, this tweet which went 1660 01:24:19,320 --> 01:24:22,000 Speaker 1: megaviral and not in a good way, from Republican congress 1661 01:24:22,040 --> 01:24:25,679 Speaker 1: and Jim Banks, who said, quote, student loan forgiveness undermines 1662 01:24:25,760 --> 01:24:28,439 Speaker 1: one of our military's greatest recruitment tools at a time 1663 01:24:28,479 --> 01:24:33,240 Speaker 1: of dangerously low enlistments. As she replied, you're probably not 1664 01:24:33,280 --> 01:24:36,040 Speaker 1: supposed to say out loud that the country depends on poor, 1665 01:24:36,040 --> 01:24:39,519 Speaker 1: desperate people to feed the military industrial complex. But the 1666 01:24:39,560 --> 01:24:42,240 Speaker 1: real winner in this category was one Senator Ted Kruz, 1667 01:24:42,280 --> 01:24:44,280 Speaker 1: who exposed a lot about his view of the world 1668 01:24:44,320 --> 01:24:47,240 Speaker 1: when he said this on his own podcast, that there 1669 01:24:47,360 --> 01:24:51,560 Speaker 1: is a real risk if you are that slacker barista 1670 01:24:52,840 --> 01:24:56,839 Speaker 1: who wasted seven years in college studying completely useless things, 1671 01:24:57,160 --> 01:25:00,599 Speaker 1: now has loans and can't get a job. Joe Biden 1672 01:25:00,680 --> 01:25:04,000 Speaker 1: just gave you twenty grand, like holy cow, twenty grand 1673 01:25:04,040 --> 01:25:06,519 Speaker 1: that you know, maybe you weren't going to vote November 1674 01:25:06,560 --> 01:25:08,720 Speaker 1: and suddenly you just got twenty grand. And you know, 1675 01:25:08,760 --> 01:25:10,559 Speaker 1: if you can, you know, get off the bong for 1676 01:25:10,600 --> 01:25:13,720 Speaker 1: a minute and head down to the voting station, or 1677 01:25:13,840 --> 01:25:16,920 Speaker 1: just send in your mail in ballot that the Democrats 1678 01:25:16,920 --> 01:25:23,440 Speaker 1: have helpfully sent you. It could drive up turnout, particularly 1679 01:25:23,439 --> 01:25:26,960 Speaker 1: among young people. What you see there is Ted Cruz 1680 01:25:27,000 --> 01:25:30,120 Speaker 1: displaying complete, utter contempt for workers, especially workers who don't 1681 01:25:30,120 --> 01:25:33,240 Speaker 1: happen to fit his narrow and selective definition of the 1682 01:25:33,280 --> 01:25:35,920 Speaker 1: working class. Now, he and other Republicans have kind of 1683 01:25:35,920 --> 01:25:39,200 Speaker 1: constructed an elaborate series of deceptions to painton Biden's policy 1684 01:25:39,240 --> 01:25:42,880 Speaker 1: as directly oppositional to the working class. So let's start 1685 01:25:42,920 --> 01:25:45,439 Speaker 1: with a few facts first about who benefits from Biden's 1686 01:25:45,479 --> 01:25:49,599 Speaker 1: doubt relief policy and who constitutes the modern working class. First, 1687 01:25:49,680 --> 01:25:52,360 Speaker 1: let's consider Ted Cruz's definition of the working class here 1688 01:25:52,400 --> 01:25:54,360 Speaker 1: what it seems to be. Apparently, if you don't have 1689 01:25:54,400 --> 01:25:56,640 Speaker 1: a hard hat, you need not apply. Like most of 1690 01:25:56,640 --> 01:25:59,000 Speaker 1: the modern gops happy to co opt the language of 1691 01:25:59,000 --> 01:26:02,799 Speaker 1: working class struggle when it's convenient, but shows absolute scorn 1692 01:26:02,880 --> 01:26:06,400 Speaker 1: for workers who don't meet his archaic image. In reality, 1693 01:26:06,680 --> 01:26:09,640 Speaker 1: service sector and pink collar workers are a massive and 1694 01:26:09,760 --> 01:26:12,800 Speaker 1: rapidly growing part of the modern working class. The top 1695 01:26:12,920 --> 01:26:15,240 Speaker 1: three most common jobs in the US according to Bureau 1696 01:26:15,280 --> 01:26:18,679 Speaker 1: of Labor are retail sales, home health aids, and fast 1697 01:26:18,720 --> 01:26:21,360 Speaker 1: food workers. If you claim to support the working class 1698 01:26:21,400 --> 01:26:23,960 Speaker 1: but your definition does not include those workers, you are 1699 01:26:24,000 --> 01:26:27,080 Speaker 1: a fraud. But the truth is Republicans like Ted Cruz, 1700 01:26:27,160 --> 01:26:29,880 Speaker 1: they haven't been there for their stereotypical white guy and 1701 01:26:29,880 --> 01:26:32,559 Speaker 1: a hard hat worker either. Just as the coal miners 1702 01:26:32,560 --> 01:26:34,600 Speaker 1: at Warrior met Cole who've been out on strike for 1703 01:26:34,760 --> 01:26:38,120 Speaker 1: well over a year now. Republicans were happy to posture 1704 01:26:38,200 --> 01:26:40,400 Speaker 1: like they supported the coal miner in order to own 1705 01:26:40,479 --> 01:26:43,760 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton, but not a damn one of them has 1706 01:26:43,760 --> 01:26:47,559 Speaker 1: supported these workers in their struggle. Not one so the 1707 01:26:47,560 --> 01:26:50,280 Speaker 1: modern working class that Ted Cruz supposedly cares so much 1708 01:26:50,280 --> 01:26:54,120 Speaker 1: about includes his imaginary Starbucks barista who spent seven years 1709 01:26:54,120 --> 01:26:56,880 Speaker 1: in college. And by the way, baristas are not the 1710 01:26:56,920 --> 01:26:59,400 Speaker 1: only folks who might find themselves with a college degree 1711 01:26:59,479 --> 01:27:02,280 Speaker 1: or having a tended some college and still being very 1712 01:27:02,400 --> 01:27:04,760 Speaker 1: much a part of the working class. According to US 1713 01:27:04,760 --> 01:27:08,120 Speaker 1: Census Bureau, more than sixty three percent of Americans over 1714 01:27:08,160 --> 01:27:10,400 Speaker 1: the age of twenty five have in fact gone to 1715 01:27:10,439 --> 01:27:12,920 Speaker 1: some college. And in case you are wondering, since there 1716 01:27:12,960 --> 01:27:15,920 Speaker 1: seems to be so much concern among Republicans about subsidizing 1717 01:27:16,040 --> 01:27:19,559 Speaker 1: gender studies and other quote woke majors, degrees and ethnic 1718 01:27:19,560 --> 01:27:22,920 Speaker 1: and gender studies are exceptionally rare, only zero point four 1719 01:27:23,040 --> 01:27:26,400 Speaker 1: percent of all degrees conferred. As one person pointed out, 1720 01:27:26,600 --> 01:27:29,439 Speaker 1: that literally rounds to zero. Now. Some of the former 1721 01:27:29,439 --> 01:27:32,120 Speaker 1: students in the most dire circumstances right now are the 1722 01:27:32,160 --> 01:27:35,040 Speaker 1: ones who started college but were then unable to finish 1723 01:27:35,120 --> 01:27:37,920 Speaker 1: because the cost was so high. So they got the debt, 1724 01:27:38,120 --> 01:27:40,479 Speaker 1: but they did not get the degree. But plenty of 1725 01:27:40,479 --> 01:27:43,200 Speaker 1: those who did obtain a four year degree graduated to 1726 01:27:43,240 --> 01:27:46,479 Speaker 1: find that the stable middle class jobs supposedly at the 1727 01:27:46,640 --> 01:27:49,559 Speaker 1: end of the college rainbow was as mythical as a leprechaun. 1728 01:27:49,960 --> 01:27:53,840 Speaker 1: Somewhere around forty percent of college degree holders are under employed, 1729 01:27:54,000 --> 01:27:57,320 Speaker 1: working in jobs that do not require a four year degree. 1730 01:27:57,640 --> 01:28:00,280 Speaker 1: In fact, as I've documented before, some of these college 1731 01:28:00,360 --> 01:28:02,680 Speaker 1: educated workers have been at the forefront of the new 1732 01:28:02,760 --> 01:28:06,120 Speaker 1: labor movement. Amazon Labor Union leaders Chris Malls and Derek 1733 01:28:06,120 --> 01:28:10,040 Speaker 1: Palmer are both community college dropouts. Buffalo Starbucks United leader 1734 01:28:10,120 --> 01:28:13,240 Speaker 1: Jazz Brissak she was literally a Rhodes scholar and helps 1735 01:28:13,240 --> 01:28:15,639 Speaker 1: spark a labor movement that has now swept the nation. 1736 01:28:16,040 --> 01:28:18,439 Speaker 1: The fact that there are so many degree holders working 1737 01:28:18,439 --> 01:28:22,000 Speaker 1: at Starbucks exposes, in fact, that the college dream sold 1738 01:28:22,000 --> 01:28:24,400 Speaker 1: to them by political elites was a sham and was 1739 01:28:24,439 --> 01:28:27,519 Speaker 1: a fraud. The career trajectory has been especially cruel for 1740 01:28:27,520 --> 01:28:30,439 Speaker 1: those millennials who graduated into the Great Recession, but I 1741 01:28:30,520 --> 01:28:34,160 Speaker 1: suspect the zoomers who graduated into the COVID pandemic have 1742 01:28:34,360 --> 01:28:37,320 Speaker 1: not exactly had a cake walk either. Ted Cruz says 1743 01:28:37,360 --> 01:28:39,920 Speaker 1: these people wasted their time in college, and you know what, 1744 01:28:40,240 --> 01:28:43,080 Speaker 1: on that front, he might just be correct, because new 1745 01:28:43,120 --> 01:28:47,280 Speaker 1: research shows the college wage premium is actually collapsing, making 1746 01:28:47,280 --> 01:28:49,639 Speaker 1: the high cost of college much less of a sure 1747 01:28:49,640 --> 01:28:52,200 Speaker 1: thing In terms of the economic trade offs. Of course, 1748 01:28:52,479 --> 01:28:55,400 Speaker 1: the fact that students got scammed is just more compelling 1749 01:28:55,439 --> 01:28:57,720 Speaker 1: evidence that they deserve a bit of help on the 1750 01:28:57,760 --> 01:29:00,640 Speaker 1: other side. So Cruz and other Republicans are able to 1751 01:29:00,680 --> 01:29:03,840 Speaker 1: frame their opposition to debt relief as populist by this 1752 01:29:03,960 --> 01:29:07,040 Speaker 1: series of well constructed lies and deceptions. The live of 1753 01:29:07,080 --> 01:29:09,280 Speaker 1: the working class is only dudes and hard hats, the 1754 01:29:09,360 --> 01:29:11,559 Speaker 1: lie that everyone in college is studying some kind of 1755 01:29:11,560 --> 01:29:14,360 Speaker 1: woke stuff, and the lie that they're narrowly defined working 1756 01:29:14,360 --> 01:29:17,679 Speaker 1: class is free from student loan debt. None of these 1757 01:29:17,680 --> 01:29:20,960 Speaker 1: things are true. What's funny is Cruz actually likely gets 1758 01:29:20,960 --> 01:29:24,439 Speaker 1: the political analysis correct here. He predicts the policy will 1759 01:29:24,439 --> 01:29:28,040 Speaker 1: motivate young voters and will increase dem turnout. Sure enough, 1760 01:29:28,120 --> 01:29:31,280 Speaker 1: young voters are over the moon about this policy. According 1761 01:29:31,320 --> 01:29:33,880 Speaker 1: to the CBS News Battleground Tracker, Biden's debt relief was 1762 01:29:33,920 --> 01:29:36,760 Speaker 1: backed by seventy five percent of voters under thirty. His 1763 01:29:36,840 --> 01:29:40,920 Speaker 1: approval rating among that same group it has skyrocketed a 1764 01:29:41,000 --> 01:29:45,000 Speaker 1: full ten points, going from forty nine percent approval so 1765 01:29:45,200 --> 01:29:49,520 Speaker 1: underwater to fifty nine percent approval For some of the beneficiaries. 1766 01:29:49,560 --> 01:29:52,640 Speaker 1: This is literally a life changing moment. Elijah Watkins, a 1767 01:29:52,640 --> 01:29:55,120 Speaker 1: twenty eight year old from Atlanta, had this to say, quote, 1768 01:29:55,439 --> 01:29:58,280 Speaker 1: this means I can begin taking greater steps within my 1769 01:29:58,320 --> 01:30:01,240 Speaker 1: adulthood for purchases like I'm my first home, getting a 1770 01:30:01,280 --> 01:30:04,479 Speaker 1: new car, or investing back into my own business. Outside 1771 01:30:04,520 --> 01:30:07,400 Speaker 1: of Obamacare, this is the first time a president has 1772 01:30:07,439 --> 01:30:11,360 Speaker 1: directly influenced my day to day decision making. So yeah, 1773 01:30:11,600 --> 01:30:14,639 Speaker 1: I have to imagine for someone like Elijah and forty 1774 01:30:14,640 --> 01:30:19,040 Speaker 1: three million others who benefit, having your life directly materially 1775 01:30:19,160 --> 01:30:21,280 Speaker 1: change is going to make you want to vote and 1776 01:30:21,320 --> 01:30:23,559 Speaker 1: may also create a bit of a lasting loyalty to 1777 01:30:23,600 --> 01:30:26,799 Speaker 1: the party that had your interest in mind. And perhaps 1778 01:30:26,920 --> 01:30:29,960 Speaker 1: the contempt showed by some Republicans who've suddenly decided to 1779 01:30:30,000 --> 01:30:32,840 Speaker 1: cast everyone whoever attended a single college class as a woke, 1780 01:30:32,880 --> 01:30:36,080 Speaker 1: slacker gender studies major that might just weigh on your 1781 01:30:36,160 --> 01:30:39,200 Speaker 1: vote as well. There's a few things here, Soccer. I 1782 01:30:39,200 --> 01:30:41,160 Speaker 1: think it tracks somewhat with the conversation and if you 1783 01:30:41,160 --> 01:30:43,880 Speaker 1: want to hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue, become a 1784 01:30:43,920 --> 01:30:49,760 Speaker 1: premium subscriber today at Breakingpoints dot Com. All right, Sager, 1785 01:30:49,760 --> 01:30:51,960 Speaker 1: are you looking at it? Well? If there's anything positive 1786 01:30:51,960 --> 01:30:54,200 Speaker 1: that has come from COVID. At least for me, it's this. 1787 01:30:54,600 --> 01:30:56,439 Speaker 1: I do a lot more of my own research for 1788 01:30:56,520 --> 01:30:58,960 Speaker 1: my own health, for public health on pretty much any 1789 01:30:59,000 --> 01:31:02,480 Speaker 1: topic where I previously try trusted the experts with help. Specifically, 1790 01:31:02,479 --> 01:31:04,519 Speaker 1: what COVID opened my eyes to was that the public 1791 01:31:04,520 --> 01:31:07,439 Speaker 1: health authorities, the very top of the medical system and 1792 01:31:07,479 --> 01:31:10,559 Speaker 1: others really are more concerned with a particular narrative than 1793 01:31:10,600 --> 01:31:13,719 Speaker 1: with ensuring the best health outcomes. It was a profound lesson, 1794 01:31:13,760 --> 01:31:15,759 Speaker 1: and it's a gut punt for anyone who ever trusted 1795 01:31:15,760 --> 01:31:17,960 Speaker 1: the system, and I suspect I'm not alone in that. 1796 01:31:18,280 --> 01:31:21,599 Speaker 1: COVID awoke millions more to the influence of the pharmaceutical industry, 1797 01:31:21,760 --> 01:31:24,200 Speaker 1: to the biases held by the medical profession, and to 1798 01:31:24,280 --> 01:31:26,880 Speaker 1: show how social stigmas and culture wars of today are 1799 01:31:26,920 --> 01:31:30,120 Speaker 1: stifling advice that can save your life. For me personally, 1800 01:31:30,160 --> 01:31:32,400 Speaker 1: in area of life I've become obsessed with is the 1801 01:31:32,439 --> 01:31:35,599 Speaker 1: way that we handle mental health broadly in the United States, 1802 01:31:35,720 --> 01:31:38,080 Speaker 1: and what I believe is a deeply troubling trend of 1803 01:31:38,120 --> 01:31:42,000 Speaker 1: prescribing medicine first in lieu of massive side effects while 1804 01:31:42,000 --> 01:31:46,240 Speaker 1: overlooking time tested common sense. Perhaps no area of this 1805 01:31:46,320 --> 01:31:50,040 Speaker 1: debate concerns me more than over prescription of SSRIs, which 1806 01:31:50,120 --> 01:31:53,240 Speaker 1: tens of millions of Americans are on currently. I've covered 1807 01:31:53,280 --> 01:31:56,439 Speaker 1: here before how new meta analyzes shows definitively that the 1808 01:31:56,479 --> 01:31:59,799 Speaker 1: mechanism which SSRIs were thought to quote unquote cure depression 1809 01:32:00,080 --> 01:32:04,120 Speaker 1: does not hold scientific scrutiny whatsoever. Again, to be clear, 1810 01:32:04,320 --> 01:32:07,680 Speaker 1: the study did show SSRIs are effective against depression, but 1811 01:32:07,760 --> 01:32:10,439 Speaker 1: it raises the question as to why billions of dollars 1812 01:32:10,439 --> 01:32:13,200 Speaker 1: of these drugs are sold yearly if we don't even 1813 01:32:13,240 --> 01:32:16,240 Speaker 1: know how they work. Furthermore, if the medical industry is 1814 01:32:16,280 --> 01:32:19,080 Speaker 1: going to prescribe a drug which the pathway is unknown 1815 01:32:19,240 --> 01:32:22,360 Speaker 1: but the terrifying side effects are well known, then shouldn't 1816 01:32:22,360 --> 01:32:25,479 Speaker 1: we look at many other potential treatments for depression, spanning 1817 01:32:25,479 --> 01:32:28,919 Speaker 1: psychedelic treatment in a clinical setting to simply major lifestyle 1818 01:32:28,920 --> 01:32:32,240 Speaker 1: interventions like changing diet and more exercise. But of course, 1819 01:32:32,400 --> 01:32:34,479 Speaker 1: there is not nearly the same amount of cash in 1820 01:32:34,479 --> 01:32:37,479 Speaker 1: the latter, and they are not discussed whatsoever. A deeper 1821 01:32:37,520 --> 01:32:39,920 Speaker 1: element to that discussion is starting to break through into 1822 01:32:39,920 --> 01:32:44,000 Speaker 1: the mainstream discourse. It's something that matters even more than overprescription. 1823 01:32:44,479 --> 01:32:47,000 Speaker 1: Altering the brain chemistry of an adult is one thing, 1824 01:32:47,280 --> 01:32:49,120 Speaker 1: but today we are learning the extent to which we 1825 01:32:49,160 --> 01:32:52,920 Speaker 1: are also pushing these same drugs and many other powerful ones, 1826 01:32:52,960 --> 01:32:57,160 Speaker 1: on to children. A terrifying expose over the weekend revealed 1827 01:32:57,160 --> 01:33:00,800 Speaker 1: how one teenager suffering from depression at one point prescribed 1828 01:33:00,920 --> 01:33:05,960 Speaker 1: ten separate powerful psychiatric drugs. Worse, these drugs, in many 1829 01:33:06,000 --> 01:33:09,679 Speaker 1: cases are not even approved under their so called known 1830 01:33:09,720 --> 01:33:13,200 Speaker 1: methods of action for adolescents and are instead being pushed 1831 01:33:13,320 --> 01:33:16,920 Speaker 1: by the US medical system. Regardless, the current numbers are 1832 01:33:17,040 --> 01:33:19,880 Speaker 1: stunning as you look deeper. One in twelve children in 1833 01:33:19,920 --> 01:33:22,479 Speaker 1: the United States are on some form of psychiatric medication, 1834 01:33:22,760 --> 01:33:26,479 Speaker 1: including one percent of preschoolers thirteen percent of twelve to 1835 01:33:26,520 --> 01:33:28,720 Speaker 1: seventeen year olds. One of the most common uses of 1836 01:33:28,720 --> 01:33:33,320 Speaker 1: psychiatric drugs is treating attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. However, a 1837 01:33:33,400 --> 01:33:36,760 Speaker 1: recent Pediatric Journal study found that things rarely end there. 1838 01:33:36,960 --> 01:33:39,960 Speaker 1: Forty percent of the kids diagnosed and medicated for quote 1839 01:33:40,040 --> 01:33:45,480 Speaker 1: unquote ADHD are on some form of other psychiatric drug Furthermore, 1840 01:33:46,080 --> 01:33:48,559 Speaker 1: a growth rate in prescription of these drugs for children, 1841 01:33:48,800 --> 01:33:54,000 Speaker 1: including for depression, is skyrocketing. Pharmacy data currently indicates that 1842 01:33:54,080 --> 01:33:58,000 Speaker 1: the growth rate for approved depression medication for teenagers increased 1843 01:33:58,080 --> 01:34:02,280 Speaker 1: by forty percent for twenty fifteen to twenty nineteen, compared 1844 01:34:02,280 --> 01:34:04,880 Speaker 1: to the growth rate of twelve for adults. The crazy 1845 01:34:04,920 --> 01:34:06,720 Speaker 1: thing about this is that the huge portion of the 1846 01:34:07,280 --> 01:34:10,800 Speaker 1: psychiatric drugs given to children in tandem with each other 1847 01:34:10,880 --> 01:34:14,439 Speaker 1: in many cases is all occurring through off label use, 1848 01:34:14,760 --> 01:34:18,040 Speaker 1: as in, outside of FDA approval for a specific ailment 1849 01:34:18,120 --> 01:34:21,360 Speaker 1: they are suffering from now. The reason this matters is 1850 01:34:21,400 --> 01:34:24,800 Speaker 1: because we already barely know the long term use of 1851 01:34:24,920 --> 01:34:29,280 Speaker 1: multiple psychiatric drugs used in tandem have on the adult brain. 1852 01:34:29,680 --> 01:34:32,559 Speaker 1: We have even less data to indicate how it affects 1853 01:34:32,640 --> 01:34:35,160 Speaker 1: the brains of developing kids. Now, I'm not going to 1854 01:34:35,160 --> 01:34:37,440 Speaker 1: go out. I'm going to go out on an unscientific 1855 01:34:37,560 --> 01:34:39,800 Speaker 1: limb and state something I don't think that should be 1856 01:34:39,800 --> 01:34:42,920 Speaker 1: that controversial. It is going to have some effect. To 1857 01:34:43,000 --> 01:34:46,040 Speaker 1: what extent, I don't know. My guess is screwing with 1858 01:34:46,080 --> 01:34:49,040 Speaker 1: the brain chemistry of someone who's going through puberty. Probably 1859 01:34:49,080 --> 01:34:53,479 Speaker 1: bad again. The industry is making untold amounts of money 1860 01:34:53,520 --> 01:34:56,800 Speaker 1: through these prescriptions, in many cases off desperate teenagers and 1861 01:34:56,840 --> 01:34:59,559 Speaker 1: parents who simply want their kids to be happy. They 1862 01:34:59,560 --> 01:35:02,680 Speaker 1: are paying hand over fist. In some cases, getting the 1863 01:35:02,680 --> 01:35:05,439 Speaker 1: insurance company to do so with drugs that we barely 1864 01:35:05,520 --> 01:35:08,559 Speaker 1: understand on the most precious resource that we have kids. 1865 01:35:08,840 --> 01:35:10,720 Speaker 1: This is where the culture war is now coming in. 1866 01:35:10,960 --> 01:35:13,920 Speaker 1: There is growing social pressure and norms that discourage doctors 1867 01:35:13,920 --> 01:35:17,439 Speaker 1: and medical professionals from dispensing obvious advice for fear of 1868 01:35:17,479 --> 01:35:21,000 Speaker 1: social backlass. First and foremost is weight. It doesn't take 1869 01:35:21,000 --> 01:35:23,520 Speaker 1: a genius to figure out that being overweight, and specifically 1870 01:35:23,600 --> 01:35:27,439 Speaker 1: being obese, will dramatically influence your mental health, especially given 1871 01:35:27,520 --> 01:35:30,479 Speaker 1: emerging research that indicates much of our mental state is 1872 01:35:31,200 --> 01:35:34,639 Speaker 1: tied directly tied to our physical health. In adults, this 1873 01:35:34,720 --> 01:35:37,640 Speaker 1: research is well well known, showing much higher risk of 1874 01:35:37,680 --> 01:35:40,520 Speaker 1: having depression in the course of your life bi directionally 1875 01:35:40,760 --> 01:35:43,920 Speaker 1: if you're obese. Childhood obesity, though, is and has been 1876 01:35:43,960 --> 01:35:47,439 Speaker 1: skyrocketing now for some time, especially after the pandemic. Pre 1877 01:35:47,560 --> 01:35:50,000 Speaker 1: twenty twenty figures were bad. At the start of the pandemic, 1878 01:35:50,080 --> 01:35:53,000 Speaker 1: fifteen percent of American kids between two and nineteen were 1879 01:35:53,040 --> 01:35:56,120 Speaker 1: obese fifteen million kids, with the rate at full twenty 1880 01:35:56,160 --> 01:35:59,799 Speaker 1: two percent amongst teenagers. We still don't know the final figures, 1881 01:36:00,040 --> 01:36:03,120 Speaker 1: but after lockdowns, the current indication is that obesity increase 1882 01:36:03,160 --> 01:36:06,320 Speaker 1: for children across the board. Those suffering so vere obesity, 1883 01:36:06,360 --> 01:36:09,760 Speaker 1: in many cases sought double the weight gain, And yet 1884 01:36:09,800 --> 01:36:13,200 Speaker 1: in our culture today it is somehow considered taboo outside 1885 01:36:13,240 --> 01:36:16,080 Speaker 1: of the most tepid language to state the obvious. Being 1886 01:36:16,160 --> 01:36:18,599 Speaker 1: fat is terrible for your physical and mental health as 1887 01:36:18,600 --> 01:36:21,639 Speaker 1: an adult, and it is especially terrible for kids. Yet 1888 01:36:21,840 --> 01:36:24,240 Speaker 1: in my perusal of overall literature which I have in 1889 01:36:24,240 --> 01:36:27,120 Speaker 1: front of me, exercise and diet do not even appear 1890 01:36:27,160 --> 01:36:30,639 Speaker 1: in the FAQs at online at Harvard or at Yale. 1891 01:36:30,840 --> 01:36:33,519 Speaker 1: For parents who are searching for remedies for their children 1892 01:36:33,600 --> 01:36:37,000 Speaker 1: who are suffering from depression. The social stigma around discussion 1893 01:36:37,040 --> 01:36:41,559 Speaker 1: of weight, of alternative treatments, of exercise, of lifestyle, of 1894 01:36:41,600 --> 01:36:46,120 Speaker 1: basically any area of inquiry outside of psychiatric drugs needs 1895 01:36:46,280 --> 01:36:49,439 Speaker 1: to end immediately. At the heart of all of this 1896 01:36:49,640 --> 01:36:53,160 Speaker 1: is profit and ideology. Profit is propping up a corrupt 1897 01:36:53,160 --> 01:36:55,880 Speaker 1: industry that makes it easier to plug coods full of 1898 01:36:55,960 --> 01:36:59,920 Speaker 1: mind altering drugs rather than pursue alternatives. And then ideology 1899 01:37:00,160 --> 01:37:03,040 Speaker 1: is sprung up in recent years that stigmatizes raising questions 1900 01:37:03,120 --> 01:37:06,920 Speaker 1: I'm raising today. The ideology happens to protect profit. I'm 1901 01:37:06,960 --> 01:37:08,759 Speaker 1: not sure which one that we have to go after first. 1902 01:37:08,960 --> 01:37:11,519 Speaker 1: It's perhaps a full fledged war on both, but it 1903 01:37:11,560 --> 01:37:14,160 Speaker 1: all starts with all of us and with you to 1904 01:37:14,240 --> 01:37:17,040 Speaker 1: your own research, and don't critically accept a pill is 1905 01:37:17,080 --> 01:37:20,040 Speaker 1: the answer to all of our problems. Sometimes it might be, 1906 01:37:20,520 --> 01:37:23,200 Speaker 1: but perhaps many times it is not. And we shouldn't 1907 01:37:23,200 --> 01:37:25,439 Speaker 1: be so casual with our kids because one day they 1908 01:37:25,439 --> 01:37:27,559 Speaker 1: will grow up and if you screw it up, we 1909 01:37:27,600 --> 01:37:30,320 Speaker 1: will pay that price for years to come. I think 1910 01:37:30,320 --> 01:37:32,719 Speaker 1: it's crazy, and the more I think about a crystal 1911 01:37:32,840 --> 01:37:36,120 Speaker 1: Johann Hari was a real hero charging into this And 1912 01:37:36,160 --> 01:37:38,800 Speaker 1: if you want to hear my reaction to Sager's monologue, 1913 01:37:38,840 --> 01:37:45,280 Speaker 1: become a premium subscriber today at Breakingpoints dot com, a 1914 01:37:45,320 --> 01:37:49,040 Speaker 1: thirty year old cryptocurrency billionaire, Sam Bekmun Freed has suddenly 1915 01:37:49,040 --> 01:37:51,600 Speaker 1: become sort of the center of political gravity, making a 1916 01:37:51,600 --> 01:37:53,479 Speaker 1: lot of moves here in DC, playing in a lot 1917 01:37:53,479 --> 01:37:56,120 Speaker 1: of primaries across the country, and the La Times had 1918 01:37:56,160 --> 01:37:57,760 Speaker 1: an interesting look at this. Let's go ahead and put 1919 01:37:57,800 --> 01:38:00,040 Speaker 1: this up on the screen. The headline here is a 1920 01:38:00,080 --> 01:38:05,240 Speaker 1: young crypto billionaire's political agenda goes well beyond pandemic preparedness. 1921 01:38:05,680 --> 01:38:08,040 Speaker 1: That's the area that he claims to be really focused 1922 01:38:08,080 --> 01:38:10,800 Speaker 1: on with the money that he's spending and the candidates 1923 01:38:10,800 --> 01:38:14,280 Speaker 1: that he is endorsing, and the journalist behind that piece, 1924 01:38:14,320 --> 01:38:17,479 Speaker 1: Freddie Brewster of the La Times, joins us. Now, Freddy, welcome, 1925 01:38:17,479 --> 01:38:19,599 Speaker 1: glad to have you. Good to see you man. Yeah, 1926 01:38:19,640 --> 01:38:21,640 Speaker 1: thanks so much for having me on. Guys really appreciate it. 1927 01:38:21,800 --> 01:38:24,799 Speaker 1: Defin of course, so as I just said, Sam Bankman 1928 01:38:24,880 --> 01:38:27,720 Speaker 1: Freed really been thrown his weight and his money around. Now. 1929 01:38:27,760 --> 01:38:30,320 Speaker 1: He says, the candidates that he's backing, For example, there 1930 01:38:30,400 --> 01:38:33,479 Speaker 1: was one that prevailed gosh, I'm blanking on his name 1931 01:38:33,520 --> 01:38:36,080 Speaker 1: in a primary down in Florida recently, who was like 1932 01:38:36,120 --> 01:38:38,320 Speaker 1: a Bernie Sanders back candidate, but also got a bunch 1933 01:38:38,320 --> 01:38:40,519 Speaker 1: of money from Sam Bankuin Freed. He says, he's just 1934 01:38:40,720 --> 01:38:44,000 Speaker 1: interested in backing candidates who are going to focus on 1935 01:38:44,080 --> 01:38:47,479 Speaker 1: pandemic preparedness. What did you find when you looked into 1936 01:38:47,520 --> 01:38:51,840 Speaker 1: this in terms of where his interests may ultimately lie. Yeah, so, 1937 01:38:52,720 --> 01:38:54,839 Speaker 1: you know, in the interviews I had with us Sam, 1938 01:38:55,120 --> 01:38:58,960 Speaker 1: he said that, you know, obviously his interests in pandemic preparedness, 1939 01:38:59,000 --> 01:39:03,080 Speaker 1: but his on hill activity is much different. He's testified 1940 01:39:03,080 --> 01:39:06,240 Speaker 1: in front of the House and Senate Agriculture committees, and 1941 01:39:06,360 --> 01:39:10,440 Speaker 1: those two committees oversee the regulations of the Commodity Futures 1942 01:39:10,479 --> 01:39:15,400 Speaker 1: Trading Commission, which part of bankman Freed's lobbying efforts has 1943 01:39:15,439 --> 01:39:19,840 Speaker 1: been to try to get cryptocurrencies regulated by the CFTC 1944 01:39:20,160 --> 01:39:24,120 Speaker 1: rather than the Securities Exchange the Securities and Exchange Commission, 1945 01:39:25,240 --> 01:39:28,240 Speaker 1: which is much better funded and much more aggressive in 1946 01:39:28,320 --> 01:39:30,680 Speaker 1: their enforcement actions. Yeah, that's what I was just going 1947 01:39:30,760 --> 01:39:33,280 Speaker 1: to ask. Why would he, as someone who has made 1948 01:39:33,360 --> 01:39:36,560 Speaker 1: his fortune in crypto, why would he prefer it be 1949 01:39:36,680 --> 01:39:40,200 Speaker 1: regulated by the CFTC. Yeah, So the CFTC is only 1950 01:39:40,240 --> 01:39:43,479 Speaker 1: about a fifth of the size of the SEC and 1951 01:39:43,600 --> 01:39:46,600 Speaker 1: the SEC is, like I said, much more aggressive in 1952 01:39:46,640 --> 01:39:50,679 Speaker 1: their enforcement actions that they bring against you know, different 1953 01:39:50,920 --> 01:39:54,639 Speaker 1: different securities actions, you know, fraud and such and such. 1954 01:39:55,439 --> 01:39:58,520 Speaker 1: So what I'm interested in is about the broader political 1955 01:39:58,520 --> 01:40:02,080 Speaker 1: agenda and specifically kind of glombing on to the Democratic 1956 01:40:02,120 --> 01:40:05,840 Speaker 1: Party but also bipartisan. What do you see as the 1957 01:40:05,960 --> 01:40:09,320 Speaker 1: overall agenda and who's benefiting from some of the money 1958 01:40:09,360 --> 01:40:11,400 Speaker 1: that he's spending here because he's become a major political 1959 01:40:11,479 --> 01:40:14,559 Speaker 1: force in his own right. Yeah, yeah, definitely, and so 1960 01:40:14,720 --> 01:40:17,280 Speaker 1: you know, he's pledged anywhere between one hundred million and 1961 01:40:17,360 --> 01:40:20,519 Speaker 1: one billion dollars, but puts him on par with George 1962 01:40:20,520 --> 01:40:23,000 Speaker 1: Soros and the Koch brothers. And if he spends a 1963 01:40:23,040 --> 01:40:26,240 Speaker 1: billion dollars, that's putting him well past even those figures 1964 01:40:27,400 --> 01:40:30,040 Speaker 1: and his spending. You know, he's donated like soccer, like 1965 01:40:30,080 --> 01:40:33,000 Speaker 1: you said, to mostly the Democrats, but also took some 1966 01:40:33,080 --> 01:40:37,680 Speaker 1: of the key moderates like Joe Manchin, Susan Collins, Ledsa Murkowski. 1967 01:40:38,400 --> 01:40:42,960 Speaker 1: He's donated to Hikeem Jefferies and Pete Aguar, the you know, 1968 01:40:43,000 --> 01:40:46,280 Speaker 1: the chair and vice chair of the Democratic Caucus who 1969 01:40:46,280 --> 01:40:50,080 Speaker 1: oversees kind of what gets priority in the House. Gave 1970 01:40:50,120 --> 01:40:52,479 Speaker 1: a million dollars to the Senate Majority Pack, six million 1971 01:40:52,479 --> 01:40:54,840 Speaker 1: to the House Majority Pack. And one thing I found 1972 01:40:54,920 --> 01:40:57,200 Speaker 1: rather interesting is that he gave one hundred and five 1973 01:40:57,240 --> 01:41:01,200 Speaker 1: thousand dollars to the Alabama Conservatives Fun, which that is 1974 01:41:01,280 --> 01:41:05,880 Speaker 1: a pack that's backing blanking on her name the Senate 1975 01:41:05,880 --> 01:41:08,960 Speaker 1: that I think Katie Britt is her name, yes, yes, yeah, 1976 01:41:08,960 --> 01:41:12,679 Speaker 1: the Senate, the Senate Republican coming out of Alabama, and 1977 01:41:12,920 --> 01:41:16,519 Speaker 1: that pack describes itself as a super pac that supports 1978 01:41:16,560 --> 01:41:20,400 Speaker 1: quote candidates who will bring true Christian conservative Alabama values 1979 01:41:20,400 --> 01:41:23,719 Speaker 1: to Washington, such as defending the unborn, protecting our Second 1980 01:41:23,720 --> 01:41:27,439 Speaker 1: Amendment rights, restoring integrity in our elections, and fighting the 1981 01:41:27,479 --> 01:41:30,960 Speaker 1: socialists who want to change our country. So definitely has 1982 01:41:31,000 --> 01:41:36,720 Speaker 1: some biparts in spending and that Sam's personal spendings to 1983 01:41:36,800 --> 01:41:39,120 Speaker 1: Katie Britt and some of those other ones. So for 1984 01:41:39,200 --> 01:41:43,599 Speaker 1: Protect our Future, they've really focused on House primaries and 1985 01:41:43,920 --> 01:41:49,800 Speaker 1: really focused on challengers rather than incumbents, although some key 1986 01:41:49,800 --> 01:41:54,320 Speaker 1: incumbents have gotten donations from Protect our Future. I think 1987 01:41:54,400 --> 01:41:59,040 Speaker 1: Sam really came on board and everybody's radar back when 1988 01:41:59,400 --> 01:42:03,799 Speaker 1: it was like the House primary in Oregon where Protect 1989 01:42:03,840 --> 01:42:08,000 Speaker 1: our Future the super pac that has received twenty seven 1990 01:42:08,040 --> 01:42:11,439 Speaker 1: million dollars from Sam bankmin Freed. They really backed this 1991 01:42:11,640 --> 01:42:15,799 Speaker 1: candidate called his name's Carrick Flynn and he was mounting 1992 01:42:15,800 --> 01:42:19,160 Speaker 1: a big challenge to somebody named Andrea Salinas. Selenas ended 1993 01:42:19,240 --> 01:42:22,120 Speaker 1: up winning out pretty easily. But you know, they put 1994 01:42:22,160 --> 01:42:26,280 Speaker 1: ten million dollars into a primary run. So how's it going? 1995 01:42:26,360 --> 01:42:29,280 Speaker 1: I mean, has he secured any sort of legislative goodies 1996 01:42:29,360 --> 01:42:32,679 Speaker 1: here in Washington? Does he have some sympathetic legislators now 1997 01:42:32,720 --> 01:42:36,640 Speaker 1: that he's working with? Yeah, definitely so one of his 1998 01:42:36,760 --> 01:42:38,920 Speaker 1: like you know, one of the committees that he tests 1999 01:42:38,920 --> 01:42:41,320 Speaker 1: and fight in front of was the Senate Agriculture Committee, 2000 01:42:41,640 --> 01:42:44,760 Speaker 1: and the chair and ranking member, so that the chair 2001 01:42:45,040 --> 01:42:49,400 Speaker 1: is Senator Debbie Stabinau and the ranking member is John Bosman. 2002 01:42:49,880 --> 01:42:53,960 Speaker 1: And Stabanaw and Boozman both received donations from Sam Bankman 2003 01:42:54,000 --> 01:42:56,920 Speaker 1: Freed just weeks before he tested fight in front of them. 2004 01:42:56,960 --> 01:43:00,960 Speaker 1: Bankman Freed gave twenty six thousand dollars to de Wie, 2005 01:43:00,960 --> 01:43:03,880 Speaker 1: Stabanawan and some of our allied funding groups. And then 2006 01:43:04,720 --> 01:43:09,280 Speaker 1: John Boozman received five hundred dollars from Sam Bankman Freed 2007 01:43:09,800 --> 01:43:14,360 Speaker 1: and those two just recently, just back in mid August, 2008 01:43:14,400 --> 01:43:17,360 Speaker 1: if if I remember right, they introduced a bill called 2009 01:43:17,400 --> 01:43:20,599 Speaker 1: the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act of twenty twenty two, 2010 01:43:21,360 --> 01:43:25,840 Speaker 1: and that bill would seek to define cryptocurrencies AD as 2011 01:43:25,840 --> 01:43:30,240 Speaker 1: a commodity and truly bring its regulation under the CFTC 2012 01:43:30,520 --> 01:43:33,880 Speaker 1: rather than the SEC. Some in the bill it says 2013 01:43:33,880 --> 01:43:38,840 Speaker 1: that some actions that would truly be like whatever like 2014 01:43:38,920 --> 01:43:42,120 Speaker 1: regulated through the SEC will be regulated through the SEC, 2015 01:43:42,600 --> 01:43:44,519 Speaker 1: but by and large the oversight would be under the 2016 01:43:44,560 --> 01:43:48,839 Speaker 1: Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Well, Freddie, thank you for breaking 2017 01:43:48,840 --> 01:43:51,400 Speaker 1: this all down fors I really recommend people go read 2018 01:43:51,439 --> 01:43:53,880 Speaker 1: the full article because I mean, look, it was didn't 2019 01:43:53,880 --> 01:43:56,000 Speaker 1: take a genius to figure out that a crypto billionaire 2020 01:43:56,080 --> 01:43:58,280 Speaker 1: might have some of his own monetary interests, did heart 2021 01:43:58,320 --> 01:44:00,680 Speaker 1: while he's donating these big sums of money. But you 2022 01:44:00,760 --> 01:44:02,720 Speaker 1: lay it out in a very systematic way and had 2023 01:44:02,760 --> 01:44:05,640 Speaker 1: access to him himself. So that makes a big difference too. 2024 01:44:05,840 --> 01:44:07,920 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for joining us today. We're really grateful. 2025 01:44:08,000 --> 01:44:10,880 Speaker 1: Thanks man, Thank you, see you guys, see you later. 2026 01:44:11,120 --> 01:44:13,120 Speaker 1: Thanks so much for watching guys. We really appreciate it. 2027 01:44:13,160 --> 01:44:14,720 Speaker 1: As we said, if you want to work for us, 2028 01:44:14,760 --> 01:44:16,720 Speaker 1: we need a little bit of experience, but we will 2029 01:44:16,720 --> 01:44:20,120 Speaker 1: consider anybody jobs at Breakingpoints dot Com. Send in your resume, 2030 01:44:20,720 --> 01:44:23,200 Speaker 1: maybe some samples of your work. We're going to sift 2031 01:44:23,200 --> 01:44:24,960 Speaker 1: through that over the next couple of weeks and we're 2032 01:44:24,960 --> 01:44:27,080 Speaker 1: hoping to hire somebody soon. And we've got a major 2033 01:44:27,120 --> 01:44:30,000 Speaker 1: announcement coming after Labor Day of which this person will 2034 01:44:30,000 --> 01:44:32,919 Speaker 1: be intimately involved. We'll be supporting and we'll be supporting 2035 01:44:32,960 --> 01:44:34,880 Speaker 1: so much of the other expansions that we're doing here, 2036 01:44:34,920 --> 01:44:38,200 Speaker 1: all enabled by our amazing premium subs. Thank you premium subs. 2037 01:44:38,200 --> 01:44:39,519 Speaker 1: We love you so much and if you want to 2038 01:44:39,520 --> 01:44:41,960 Speaker 1: help us out, link to the description. Otherwise, we'll see 2039 01:44:41,960 --> 01:44:43,519 Speaker 1: you on Thursday. Love, You'll see you soon.