WEBVTT - Amazon Rises as AWS Unit Shows Signs of Stabilizing

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>gloom O Business Finance and tech news the Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebek from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Just all right, folks, were staying with the markets, and

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<v Speaker 2>actually really two particular names, because as we just talked about,

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<v Speaker 2>we've got stocks near their lows, some nervousness, the S

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<v Speaker 2>and P ten percent down from its peak in July.

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<v Speaker 2>But if you look at something like an Amazon, which

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<v Speaker 2>makes up about five and a half percent of the

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<v Speaker 2>Nasdaq one hundred, nearly three point four percent of the

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<v Speaker 2>S and P five hundred earlier, helping send stocks hire

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<v Speaker 2>in the session, you've got Amazon really rallying in a

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<v Speaker 2>big way and holding on to tim most of its

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<v Speaker 2>gains today.

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<v Speaker 3>Yep, seven percent as we speak, help sending stocks overall

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<v Speaker 3>higher at least earlier. In this from Carol, although the

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<v Speaker 3>broader market has slipped since then. Intel is also higher

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<v Speaker 3>on the day today. The company in the midst of

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<v Speaker 3>attempted to turn around, in which the CEO Pat Gelsinger

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<v Speaker 3>commented on saying the chipmaker is quote clearly coming back.

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<v Speaker 3>We're gonna spend this time right now taking a look

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<v Speaker 3>at both of these two very closely washed companies in

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<v Speaker 3>the tech world. Let's start with Amazon.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's do that and with us right now is Punam Goyle.

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<v Speaker 2>She is Bloomberg Intelligence Senior analyst for e commerce at Leisure,

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<v Speaker 2>off Price Retail on Zoom from New Jersey. Punham, I'm

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<v Speaker 2>so glad we have you here. As we always do

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<v Speaker 2>when we want to talk to Amazon, you focus on

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<v Speaker 2>the retail side of this company, but to be fair,

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<v Speaker 2>you look at it holistically. What was the impressive or

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<v Speaker 2>what impressed you about the earnings and the color on

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<v Speaker 2>the business when it comes to Amazon.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, thanks Carol. So there were really two things. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>Amazon has two really big businesses. One is the cloud

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<v Speaker 4>business and one is the retail business. And let's start

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<v Speaker 4>with the retail business. I think the retail business it

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<v Speaker 4>particularly well built. On the one PE and three P side.

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<v Speaker 4>Sales are much stronger than expect did and that's a

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<v Speaker 4>really good sign going into holidays, because we know that

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<v Speaker 4>the consumers are clearly stretched for their dollars, but they're

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<v Speaker 4>finding value in Amazon. Amazon's able to push this value

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<v Speaker 4>again to them through crime days and deal days that

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<v Speaker 4>they'll have I think throughout the Christmas season with Black Friday,

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<v Speaker 4>Cyber Monday, etc. So we think that's good going into holiday.

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<v Speaker 4>And then on the AWUS side, the fact that they

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<v Speaker 4>were more optimistic than their peers on the cloud business

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<v Speaker 4>thing strength with stabilization was really encouraging to hear on

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<v Speaker 4>the call, and we are very positive on the cloud

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<v Speaker 4>business longer term. The margins there thirty percent plus were

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<v Speaker 4>obviously nice to see too, and we do think that

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<v Speaker 4>cloud business in the longer term with scale will be

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<v Speaker 4>over forty percent.

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<v Speaker 3>So put them Why did sales for AWS just missed expectations?

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<v Speaker 3>And I was a little confused by this move yesterday

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<v Speaker 3>I said it on air. I thought AWS was kind

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<v Speaker 3>of everything, and that's you know what either it beat

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<v Speaker 3>or missed was what moved the company's stock. Why are

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<v Speaker 3>you optimistic and why are investors still pushing shares higher

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<v Speaker 3>even if there was that miss on APUs?

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, I guess it depends on how you look

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<v Speaker 4>at this, right, So twelve percent versus the twelve point

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<v Speaker 4>four percent estimate, in my eyes, isn't really a bigness

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<v Speaker 4>it was in line with what they did last quarter,

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<v Speaker 4>meaning the second quarter. So the twelve percent gains relative

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<v Speaker 4>to what we heard at both Google and Microsoft wasn't

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<v Speaker 4>that bad. And I think really the icing on the

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<v Speaker 4>cake here is on the call when Andy Jazzy came

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<v Speaker 4>on and he spoke about how that they're seeing stabilization

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<v Speaker 4>from those trends even into the fourth quarter. I think

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<v Speaker 4>that was just really encouraging. We all know that spending

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<v Speaker 4>will pick up in a matter of time. Businesses have

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<v Speaker 4>to move towards integrating more cloud into their network as

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<v Speaker 4>well as they need to spend more on AI. So

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<v Speaker 4>Amazon is very well positioned for AWS growth in the

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<v Speaker 4>longer turn. And the fact that they are stabilizing was

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<v Speaker 4>good news to us and I think that's how the

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<v Speaker 4>market received it too.

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<v Speaker 3>Can you make the Amazon Ai connection here? I think

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of people might not be familiar with why

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<v Speaker 3>you know boush and AI will help AWS.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so boost and AI helps not only a WS,

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<v Speaker 4>but it also helps the retail text business. So when

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<v Speaker 4>you think about what AI does, it basically helps build

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<v Speaker 4>the models and interpret data and models for businesses. So

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<v Speaker 4>the fact that AWI can lean on new AI technologies

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<v Speaker 4>and embed that into its infrastructure. It's going to help

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<v Speaker 4>companies use that and leverage that in their own businesses.

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<v Speaker 4>The retails side.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh keep going, no, no, no, keep going.

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<v Speaker 4>Keep going. On the retail side, you know, AI has

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<v Speaker 4>been doing phenomenal things, especially generative AI, where it's helping

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<v Speaker 4>you predict demand, it's helping you streamline inventory, and it's

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<v Speaker 4>helping you personalize, which is describing conversion higher and industry

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<v Speaker 4>that typically, especially online, it's very low conversion rates.

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<v Speaker 2>So does it make sense that I always think about,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, when we first learned about AWS and they

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<v Speaker 2>start breaking it out right because of all the streaming

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<v Speaker 2>that was going on, and you're like, I don't really

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<v Speaker 2>care who supplies the content. We're just making sure we

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<v Speaker 2>have the pipe to get it to you basically, right,

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<v Speaker 2>And that's what AWS was just so involved in the

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<v Speaker 2>early days. Is that kind of akin to with AI

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<v Speaker 2>that people are going to need the infrastructure, the backbone,

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<v Speaker 2>and are they going to be involved in that part.

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<v Speaker 4>So it's software, right, So AI basically it's software that's

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<v Speaker 4>powered through AWUS and that they're integrating and embedding into

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<v Speaker 4>the cloud platform. So as businesses need to become more

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<v Speaker 4>agile and move on to the cloud. AI can only

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<v Speaker 4>be done on the cloud, so you need that, you

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<v Speaker 4>need that support. And for businesses that don't have it,

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<v Speaker 4>which money don't, they will need to either tap into Amazon,

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<v Speaker 4>Awus or Google or Microsoft in one of them. But

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<v Speaker 4>keep in mind Amazon is the largest cloud rider of

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<v Speaker 4>the thirty.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, good stuff, as always, so appreciated, Have a

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<v Speaker 2>great week and put them Goil Bloomberg Intelligence, Senior analyst

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<v Speaker 2>for e Commerce at leisure and off price Retail on

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<v Speaker 2>zoom from New Jersey.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 3>Well going on in the world of crypto this week

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<v Speaker 3>Sam Bakman freed testifying at his own fraud trial. He

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<v Speaker 3>says a lot of people got hurt over FTX, so

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<v Speaker 3>that he's not entirely sure about the FTX. Alameda Fund flows. Alameda,

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<v Speaker 3>of course, is the hedge fund, and then there's also

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<v Speaker 3>the actual crypto market. Carol Bitcoin enjoying a solid week

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<v Speaker 3>up roughly twelve percent, and you know you got you

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<v Speaker 3>got to kind of throw that number out there with

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<v Speaker 3>six two thousand one.

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<v Speaker 2>Oops, that was Yeah, that was the past.

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<v Speaker 3>You gotta throw that number out there with the understanding

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<v Speaker 3>that it trades twenty four to seven. So if you

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<v Speaker 3>say that number and you know you gotta, you ought

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<v Speaker 3>to always be looking at it. It's all happening amid

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<v Speaker 3>hopes of fresh demand from the possible approval in coming

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<v Speaker 3>weeks of the first US ETF investing directly in bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 2>Gotta tell you, we got a live blog that's tracking

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<v Speaker 2>the testimony and what's going on in the courthouse today.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's get to it though. We've got our weekly check

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<v Speaker 2>on the world of crypto. We have with us Terrence Yang,

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<v Speaker 2>managing director of Fintech, Law, Tech Privacy at Swan Bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a platform that allows people to buy bitcoin, including

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<v Speaker 2>in iras, and he is joining us on Zoom from

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<v Speaker 2>Los Angeles, California. Terran's nice to have you here with us.

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<v Speaker 2>I feel like the world of crypto is focused and

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<v Speaker 2>maybe rightfully so, on what's going on with SBF and FTX.

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<v Speaker 2>What about the trial and the testimony are you watching

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<v Speaker 2>very closely? And maybe what it means potentially for the

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<v Speaker 2>crypto world going forward.

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<v Speaker 5>I am watching closely. Great to see again, Carol. Bottom line,

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<v Speaker 5>I think a couple of things. Defense finally present their case.

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<v Speaker 5>When they do the cross examinations right, it's usually to

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<v Speaker 5>create doubt about the credibility of the prosecution witnesses. It

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<v Speaker 5>is not to present their case. And now they're doing that.

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<v Speaker 5>I think Sam got very lucky and the defense countcil

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<v Speaker 5>got very lucky to have sort of this mock trial

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<v Speaker 5>profit yesterday with a judge, and now Sam seems to

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<v Speaker 5>be doing a better job. He has a tendency to

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<v Speaker 5>me under, but he's getting the point across.

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<v Speaker 3>Do you know him, Terrence, You're you're kind of you're

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<v Speaker 3>talking to You're using his first name and whereas a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of people you know use his initials. Do you

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<v Speaker 3>know Sam Bankman freed?

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<v Speaker 1>No?

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<v Speaker 5>No, I do not.

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<v Speaker 3>But how are you following the trial?

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<v Speaker 5>I follow through X They have a lot of goods,

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<v Speaker 5>good information, but also at Bloomberg dot com and some

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<v Speaker 5>other sites.

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<v Speaker 3>I agree about Bloomberg dot com. There's some great stuff there.

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<v Speaker 3>Our lifelog is really really good. Now I'm just curious

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<v Speaker 3>because it's you know, we we're not getting We have

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<v Speaker 3>to rely on you know, reporting from there, whereas in

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<v Speaker 3>so many other instances we can actually watch live feeds

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<v Speaker 3>from what's going on in the courtroom, and you know,

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<v Speaker 3>we rely on court sketches and impressions Carol from our

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<v Speaker 3>reporters who are there. So it's you know, it's a

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<v Speaker 3>different experience I think for people who are observing you

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<v Speaker 3>don't you know, you don't necessarily see the way he's feeling,

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<v Speaker 3>at least according to our own interpretations. So talk more

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<v Speaker 3>about about what you're seeing and what you're reading from

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<v Speaker 3>the trial.

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<v Speaker 1>Terrence.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, sure, So based on what I'm reading and seeing,

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<v Speaker 5>the defense is presenting a case since presenting the case

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<v Speaker 5>that Caroline is basically the one to plane did not

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<v Speaker 5>hedge he had doubts about her abilities right, and its

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<v Speaker 5>thinking of shutting down Alameda and other things. So you

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<v Speaker 5>just need really one juror to get a hung jury.

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<v Speaker 5>One jur who thinks there's reasonable doubt does not cave.

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<v Speaker 5>So someone who's a little bit strong minded, because it

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<v Speaker 5>would be eleven to one. But that can happen, and

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<v Speaker 5>then on retrial, what might happen with the black rock

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<v Speaker 5>and fidelity ATF's happening. Arguably, we're in a bull market

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<v Speaker 5>FTX with John Ray, who's excellent in my opinion, at

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<v Speaker 5>this sort of thing, clawing back assets, maybe doing a

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<v Speaker 5>turnaround and so forth. You could have a situation where

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<v Speaker 5>maybe people don't care as much because, for example, the

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<v Speaker 5>investment anthropic and other things mean that everybody gets paid,

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<v Speaker 5>or at least the FTX investors get paid whole kind

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<v Speaker 5>of cents on the dollar that's possible by the time

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<v Speaker 5>they retry, and so that might be how he gets off.

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<v Speaker 5>See it as kind of a two step process, just

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<v Speaker 5>because there's so much evidence against him.

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<v Speaker 6>Terrence.

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<v Speaker 2>What's productive though for the crypto industry here in terms

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<v Speaker 2>of the outcome of this trial specifically.

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<v Speaker 5>So I part ways with my crypto friends, some of

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<v Speaker 5>them are friends with in real life even today, but

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<v Speaker 5>I am bitcoin only and I think that there needs

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<v Speaker 5>to be and there will be massive cleanup in crypto.

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<v Speaker 5>You see that with Senator Lummis and others kind of

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<v Speaker 5>asking the government to the DOJ to the side kind

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<v Speaker 5>of get off the block or not and just issue

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<v Speaker 5>indictments or make a decision on CZ and finance. But

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<v Speaker 5>also tether I think Tether's okay, but I don't want

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<v Speaker 5>to get into that. I think the main point is

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<v Speaker 5>we have massive tailwinds for bitcoin because of Blackrock, Fidelity

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<v Speaker 5>and two other trillion dollar plus asset managers all applying

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<v Speaker 5>for a spotpitcoin ETF and that looks like it's going well.

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<v Speaker 5>On the other hand, you have crypto which has destroyed

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<v Speaker 5>many Americans, especially poor and middle class, of their life

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<v Speaker 5>savings through these pump and dumps, these digital penny stops,

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<v Speaker 5>that these casinos are basically underregulated, casinos are basically shilling

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<v Speaker 5>on the American public, and that does not looks so good.

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<v Speaker 5>I think that's less promising because of all the securities

0:12:04.320 --> 0:12:12.520
<v Speaker 5>violations and allegedly crimes against committed by SBF potentially as

0:12:12.520 --> 0:12:14.360
<v Speaker 5>cz in Binance will see a fee.

0:12:15.120 --> 0:12:19.480
<v Speaker 3>Actually, are you worried about the implications of people changing

0:12:19.520 --> 0:12:23.000
<v Speaker 3>the way they're thinking about crypto because of SBF and

0:12:23.160 --> 0:12:27.160
<v Speaker 3>other people who are in the crosshairs of law enforcement

0:12:27.200 --> 0:12:28.800
<v Speaker 3>Terance that people are saying, Okay, I'm just gonna throw

0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:31.079
<v Speaker 3>in the towel, because well, look look at the performance

0:12:31.600 --> 0:12:34.800
<v Speaker 3>and two sure and two look at the people who

0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:37.360
<v Speaker 3>we thought were reputable. I mean, they named stadiums and

0:12:37.559 --> 0:12:38.520
<v Speaker 3>had Super Bowl ads.

0:12:39.960 --> 0:12:42.440
<v Speaker 5>I am not. The reason is because I'm a long

0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:46.720
<v Speaker 5>term believer in bitcoin. I think five to ten decades

0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:50.360
<v Speaker 5>out bitcoin should be very valuable. There are other threats

0:12:50.400 --> 0:12:54.439
<v Speaker 5>to it, with Finsen and other things that the government's

0:12:54.520 --> 0:12:58.079
<v Speaker 5>doing that's not good. It's under reported for now. I'm

0:12:58.080 --> 0:13:01.880
<v Speaker 5>sure Bloomberg will fix that and others. But bottom line,

0:13:01.960 --> 0:13:06.040
<v Speaker 5>I'm not worried because look, there's been a mess, was

0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:09.560
<v Speaker 5>a massive bubble in twenty twenty one and crypto and

0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:14.280
<v Speaker 5>bitcoin and the fallout from the bear market and the destruction,

0:13:14.920 --> 0:13:16.960
<v Speaker 5>and there needs to be a cleanup. I think it's

0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:20.880
<v Speaker 5>really naive to think that, you know, this is bad

0:13:20.960 --> 0:13:25.640
<v Speaker 5>for bitcoin, because bitcoin has enduring values and it doesn't

0:13:25.640 --> 0:13:26.200
<v Speaker 5>have a CEO.

0:13:26.400 --> 0:13:29.840
<v Speaker 2>It's not a security Hey, terms, forgive me for jumping in.

0:13:29.880 --> 0:13:31.280
<v Speaker 2>We've just got a couple of minutes left here. But

0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:33.480
<v Speaker 2>I'm thinking, you know, there might be people listening or

0:13:33.520 --> 0:13:37.800
<v Speaker 2>watching are broadcast right now listening to you and say, yeah,

0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:39.679
<v Speaker 2>I get it that there needs to be a cleaning out.

0:13:39.720 --> 0:13:42.880
<v Speaker 2>That makes sense, right. We certainly saw that in the Internet,

0:13:43.000 --> 0:13:44.600
<v Speaker 2>you know, in dot com bust, right, there were some

0:13:44.640 --> 0:13:46.160
<v Speaker 2>things that really made sense and there are a lot

0:13:46.200 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 2>of things that didn't. Having said that, you know, you're

0:13:49.320 --> 0:13:52.360
<v Speaker 2>at SWAN Bitcoin and you're of course going to say

0:13:52.440 --> 0:13:56.640
<v Speaker 2>bitcoin is the one to follow, and that has legs here.

0:13:56.800 --> 0:13:58.960
<v Speaker 2>So what would you say to somebody like that that

0:13:59.000 --> 0:14:02.160
<v Speaker 2>you're basically forgive me, for lack of better words, talking

0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:02.640
<v Speaker 2>your book.

0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:05.840
<v Speaker 5>No, no, I am talking my book. I think you

0:14:05.920 --> 0:14:08.640
<v Speaker 5>do want people to talk their book and reveal it

0:14:08.679 --> 0:14:13.040
<v Speaker 5>and explain it. I used to be in crypto. I

0:14:13.080 --> 0:14:16.679
<v Speaker 5>was retired when Corey Klipston, our wonderful founder and CEO,

0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:19.240
<v Speaker 5>pulled me like made a job offer to come out

0:14:19.240 --> 0:14:19.760
<v Speaker 5>of retirement.

0:14:19.840 --> 0:14:23.400
<v Speaker 3>So a lot of time, you're two younger.

0:14:23.440 --> 0:14:26.080
<v Speaker 5>I was paid on Wall Street. I'm older than I look,

0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:28.240
<v Speaker 5>and I was overpaid on Wall Street. And I was

0:14:28.280 --> 0:14:30.880
<v Speaker 5>living frugally taking care of my aging parents. But anyway,

0:14:31.400 --> 0:14:34.120
<v Speaker 5>so bottom line, I would say at SWON, we have

0:14:34.200 --> 0:14:37.920
<v Speaker 5>people on a mission to help other people get bitcoin

0:14:38.000 --> 0:14:41.000
<v Speaker 5>before Wall Street and government supply on the bitcoin. If

0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:43.520
<v Speaker 5>we're right, and I think we are, that this is

0:14:43.560 --> 0:14:48.400
<v Speaker 5>the ultimate hard money asset for the future because it's digital,

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:51.640
<v Speaker 5>it's bare, it's very hard to stop, very hard to

0:14:51.680 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 5>confiscate and take away and incredibly finite at only twenty

0:14:56.040 --> 0:15:01.720
<v Speaker 5>one million bitcoin. So in my view, it's okay to

0:15:01.880 --> 0:15:05.960
<v Speaker 5>be have a view, but you have to reveal why

0:15:06.040 --> 0:15:09.520
<v Speaker 5>and you have to justify it, like defend your position right.

0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:12.440
<v Speaker 2>Transparency is going to be crucial. But I still try

0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:15.440
<v Speaker 2>to get my head around this idea of the purity

0:15:15.440 --> 0:15:17.760
<v Speaker 2>of what bitcoin and maybe blockchain are supposed to be.

0:15:18.640 --> 0:15:21.360
<v Speaker 2>You know, but then are you opening up doors to

0:15:21.800 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 2>a lack of oversight and then problems? So then how

0:15:25.080 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 2>do you balance that with some kind of oversight that

0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 2>really makes it safe and secure. But that's going to

0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:32.760
<v Speaker 2>be something we have to hold for next time and

0:15:32.880 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 2>a future conversation because we do have to run. Terrence,

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:39.280
<v Speaker 2>thanks for spending time with us. Terrence yang Maaging director

0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:42.160
<v Speaker 2>a fintech law tech at Privacy over at Swan Bitcoin,

0:15:42.160 --> 0:15:44.480
<v Speaker 2>as we said, a platform that allows people to buy bitcoin,

0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:47.400
<v Speaker 2>including their iras, which would really open it up to

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:48.000
<v Speaker 2>a lot of people.

0:15:49.920 --> 0:15:53.520
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:57.560
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern on Bloomberg Radio,

0:15:57.760 --> 0:16:01.040
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business app, and YouTube. You can also listen

0:16:01.120 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station.

0:16:04.680 --> 0:16:19.400
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:22.120
<v Speaker 2>All right, it's hard to believe that a year has

0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:25.000
<v Speaker 2>passed since Elon Musk bought Twitter. It seems like three

0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:27.800
<v Speaker 2>years to be honest. Anyway, since then, he has made

0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:31.320
<v Speaker 2>the social media service smaller in almost every way. About

0:16:31.320 --> 0:16:34.080
<v Speaker 2>thirteen percent fewer users signed on each day in September

0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:36.280
<v Speaker 2>compared with the last October. That's according to some data

0:16:36.360 --> 0:16:37.440
<v Speaker 2>from aptopia.

0:16:38.240 --> 0:16:40.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, also, Carol.

0:16:40.320 --> 0:16:42.280
<v Speaker 2>I don't like it anymore? Can I just put it

0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:42.680
<v Speaker 2>out there?

0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:44.880
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's fair. I think that's fair to say. The

0:16:44.880 --> 0:16:47.520
<v Speaker 3>company employs about fifteen hundred people yep, down from seventy

0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:51.040
<v Speaker 3>five hundred days that Musk bought it. And this is

0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:54.920
<v Speaker 3>probably perhaps most relevant in my life. I was relatively

0:16:54.920 --> 0:16:57.440
<v Speaker 3>early on Twitter, and it was like such a place

0:16:57.480 --> 0:17:00.960
<v Speaker 3>for journalists, such a place for media professionals, news junkies.

0:17:01.400 --> 0:17:05.480
<v Speaker 3>And Elon has totally deprioritized news. It's like a place

0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:08.199
<v Speaker 3>for I don't know what, the hustlers and I don't know.

0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:09.080
<v Speaker 2>And then there's the name.

0:17:09.800 --> 0:17:11.560
<v Speaker 3>Yeah it's called X now I guess.

0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:14.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm not going there, so let's.

0:17:13.880 --> 0:17:15.560
<v Speaker 3>Get to it. Yeah, I should count as a social media

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:17.879
<v Speaker 3>reporter for Bloomberg News. He writes for Business Week about it.

0:17:17.960 --> 0:17:20.520
<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk's year of owning X made a mess of

0:17:20.520 --> 0:17:22.960
<v Speaker 3>Twitter's business. She joins us on Zoom from San Francisco.

0:17:23.359 --> 0:17:25.200
<v Speaker 3>Check out her story. It's online at Blomberg dot com,

0:17:25.240 --> 0:17:27.440
<v Speaker 3>slash business Week and also on the Bloomberg terminal. Also

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:29.440
<v Speaker 3>here is the editor of Bloomberg Business Week, Joel Webber.

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:31.720
<v Speaker 3>He's in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. Joel. This was

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:32.440
<v Speaker 3>the longest year.

0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:37.320
<v Speaker 6>That's definitely one way to describe it. So, yeah, this week,

0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:42.480
<v Speaker 6>it's been one year since it became official and Elon

0:17:42.600 --> 0:17:45.880
<v Speaker 6>walked into the place with the sink memorable way to begin.

0:17:46.600 --> 0:17:50.280
<v Speaker 6>I remember that, Yeah, we didn't we didn't forget, and

0:17:50.760 --> 0:17:54.640
<v Speaker 6>you know, look like this has been something It's been

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:59.159
<v Speaker 6>something right and there were many things about the Twitter

0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:03.840
<v Speaker 6>business that weren't successful. But what we're looking at now

0:18:03.960 --> 0:18:08.080
<v Speaker 6>is kind of a shell of itself. That doesn't mean

0:18:08.080 --> 0:18:11.320
<v Speaker 6>that it won't change yet and that maybe he's cut

0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:15.440
<v Speaker 6>so far to bone that there's a growth opportunity that remains,

0:18:15.480 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 6>but that is you know, this has been a different

0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:23.160
<v Speaker 6>experience than I think most people when they look at

0:18:23.200 --> 0:18:27.240
<v Speaker 6>what Elon has built. You know that he builds things,

0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:30.400
<v Speaker 6>and it doesn't feel like it's necessarily off to that

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 6>start here I issue right, Yeah, as.

0:18:34.160 --> 0:18:37.439
<v Speaker 7>You mentioned, it's just a very different place. It's a

0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:40.280
<v Speaker 7>very different feeling. I feel like the types of content

0:18:40.400 --> 0:18:42.320
<v Speaker 7>that are promoted or at least that I see in

0:18:42.359 --> 0:18:44.320
<v Speaker 7>my feet are different than they were, you know, a

0:18:44.400 --> 0:18:47.359
<v Speaker 7>year ago. Right, Like there's more information. I feel like

0:18:47.359 --> 0:18:50.000
<v Speaker 7>there's more hate, Like I get a lot more spam

0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:53.200
<v Speaker 7>in my dms, and like people commenting hateful stuff on

0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 7>stories or posts that I put. So it's totally totally different.

0:18:57.040 --> 0:18:58.840
<v Speaker 7>It's a totally different feel, which is kind of sad

0:18:58.880 --> 0:19:00.640
<v Speaker 7>in a lot of ways. And then I honestly could

0:19:00.640 --> 0:19:02.240
<v Speaker 7>never get used to calling it X. I feel like

0:19:02.280 --> 0:19:03.840
<v Speaker 7>I still call it. I hate it.

0:19:03.920 --> 0:19:06.520
<v Speaker 2>I can't or I'm like you really feel careful. It's

0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:08.359
<v Speaker 2>just like because every time we do it like X,

0:19:08.359 --> 0:19:10.320
<v Speaker 2>well you know we mean Twitter, Like it's just crazy.

0:19:10.400 --> 0:19:14.120
<v Speaker 6>But I do you think like if you're if you're

0:19:14.280 --> 0:19:17.600
<v Speaker 6>Elon and you've and you bought this thing and you

0:19:17.600 --> 0:19:21.359
<v Speaker 6>want to change the conversation, not unlike you know, his

0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:25.560
<v Speaker 6>cage mask match Nemesis over at that place Facebook or

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:30.720
<v Speaker 6>meta changed. Change the conversation. And one way that you

0:19:30.760 --> 0:19:33.520
<v Speaker 6>can do that is to take the name. And you know,

0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:36.080
<v Speaker 6>we still call Google Google, but you know, technically it's

0:19:36.080 --> 0:19:38.480
<v Speaker 6>alphabet and like look again and again and again. There's

0:19:38.480 --> 0:19:42.280
<v Speaker 6>a playbook for this, and you change the conversation. But

0:19:42.400 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 6>you know, X is not Twitter, and you know we

0:19:44.920 --> 0:19:48.199
<v Speaker 6>I think it's reflected, but I what I search for

0:19:48.240 --> 0:19:50.679
<v Speaker 6>it on my phone. I can serve Twitter and it

0:19:50.720 --> 0:19:51.280
<v Speaker 6>pops up.

0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:55.960
<v Speaker 3>Still, right, Wow, that's maybe because I downloaded it recently. Yeah, yeah,

0:19:55.960 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 3>because I try to always give it up a little bit.

0:19:57.720 --> 0:19:59.120
<v Speaker 3>I'm just sorry you were you were going to jump

0:19:59.160 --> 0:20:00.240
<v Speaker 3>in there, go ahead, please.

0:20:00.400 --> 0:20:01.760
<v Speaker 7>I'm just going to say the same thing. Even on

0:20:01.800 --> 0:20:04.800
<v Speaker 7>the web, right, you look up Twitter and it pops up,

0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:06.919
<v Speaker 7>and even some of the links that they post to

0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:09.399
<v Speaker 7>like their policies, it still says like Twitter dot com,

0:20:09.400 --> 0:20:12.719
<v Speaker 7>slash whatever. So I feel like they're still sort of

0:20:13.400 --> 0:20:15.399
<v Speaker 7>I mean that the name brand right of Twitter is

0:20:15.400 --> 0:20:16.760
<v Speaker 7>just so strong and so powerful.

0:20:16.920 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 6>Well, maybe there's a chance that it comes back still,

0:20:18.800 --> 0:20:23.200
<v Speaker 6>so what is you look like the numbers there were

0:20:23.240 --> 0:20:26.720
<v Speaker 6>staggering in terms of the number of employees. It's kind

0:20:26.720 --> 0:20:30.199
<v Speaker 6>of cuts, right, yeah, and look like you remember the

0:20:30.200 --> 0:20:33.640
<v Speaker 6>ones that remain, those fifteen hundred. I'm assuming they clicked

0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:36.760
<v Speaker 6>that button that was like we promised to be hardcore,

0:20:37.040 --> 0:20:39.399
<v Speaker 6>you know, like that whole incident. But but what do

0:20:39.400 --> 0:20:40.280
<v Speaker 6>you what do we think?

0:20:40.840 --> 0:20:41.240
<v Speaker 4>Are you sure?

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:43.520
<v Speaker 6>Like what does it look like when he gets on

0:20:43.520 --> 0:20:44.360
<v Speaker 6>the other side of this?

0:20:46.000 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 7>I mean that that is the big question, right. It

0:20:48.320 --> 0:20:50.800
<v Speaker 7>could go a couple different ways. I mean, one the

0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:53.960
<v Speaker 7>amount of debt right that that Twitter had when when

0:20:54.040 --> 0:20:56.560
<v Speaker 7>must bought it, Like, well he actually he was a

0:20:56.640 --> 0:20:58.040
<v Speaker 7>cause of a lot of that debt. He was like,

0:20:58.480 --> 0:21:01.680
<v Speaker 7>Twitter's going to go into bankruptcyes, Well, yeah, you acquire

0:21:01.680 --> 0:21:03.880
<v Speaker 7>the company and then put thirteen billion dollars of debt

0:21:03.920 --> 0:21:05.800
<v Speaker 7>on the balance sheet. So part of that's kind of

0:21:05.800 --> 0:21:08.200
<v Speaker 7>on you. So they have a big financial holding out

0:21:08.200 --> 0:21:12.119
<v Speaker 7>of advertising revenue is down by sixty percent, like that

0:21:12.280 --> 0:21:15.160
<v Speaker 7>was in September. A lot of big advertisers aren't back

0:21:15.200 --> 0:21:17.320
<v Speaker 7>or they're spinning way less, and so they have this

0:21:17.440 --> 0:21:20.359
<v Speaker 7>huge hole to climb out of. I think the chance

0:21:20.400 --> 0:21:22.200
<v Speaker 7>they have now is if they can really take off

0:21:22.200 --> 0:21:25.000
<v Speaker 7>with this whole everything app idea right now, some people

0:21:25.000 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 7>have said, I don't know if I'm gonna trust X

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:30.879
<v Speaker 7>with my payment information, Like it's a very unstable place

0:21:30.920 --> 0:21:33.400
<v Speaker 7>to maybe want to like do my banking. But there's

0:21:33.480 --> 0:21:35.399
<v Speaker 7>their sort of vision is to like do banking and

0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:38.040
<v Speaker 7>do audio and video calling and all these other things,

0:21:38.040 --> 0:21:39.600
<v Speaker 7>and so I guess they have a chance to make

0:21:39.640 --> 0:21:42.240
<v Speaker 7>money with that. It's really just people to play.

0:21:42.400 --> 0:21:45.520
<v Speaker 3>I should your point. I'm getting like spam in my

0:21:45.600 --> 0:21:48.920
<v Speaker 3>feed about bitcoin and buying different cryptos. Like, I don't

0:21:48.960 --> 0:21:51.080
<v Speaker 3>know how someone would want to do banking on an

0:21:51.119 --> 0:21:54.400
<v Speaker 3>app that doesn't have that type of control a jol you.

0:21:54.320 --> 0:21:58.000
<v Speaker 6>Don't want to get into crypto. It's an amazing opportunity.

0:21:59.119 --> 0:22:01.600
<v Speaker 2>So that's a documentary call me back.

0:22:02.680 --> 0:22:05.480
<v Speaker 3>It's called Ruin. That's the problem. The documentary is called Ruin.

0:22:07.280 --> 0:22:10.360
<v Speaker 6>But you know, look like there if you bought this

0:22:10.480 --> 0:22:15.040
<v Speaker 6>thing and you've changed the name and you're changing the story,

0:22:15.080 --> 0:22:18.879
<v Speaker 6>there's this other opportunity that you have to you know,

0:22:19.080 --> 0:22:21.520
<v Speaker 6>the only option here for him is to try and

0:22:21.600 --> 0:22:24.159
<v Speaker 6>take it to a different place. I think, right, So

0:22:24.680 --> 0:22:27.040
<v Speaker 6>he's going to try and do that, and you know

0:22:27.119 --> 0:22:30.280
<v Speaker 6>we will be back in a year, no doubt, probably

0:22:30.320 --> 0:22:34.800
<v Speaker 6>before to talk about how it's going. But I usually

0:22:34.800 --> 0:22:37.320
<v Speaker 6>when you just think about I mean even just this

0:22:37.440 --> 0:22:39.200
<v Speaker 6>week some of the other things that have come out,

0:22:39.280 --> 0:22:43.800
<v Speaker 6>like do you what does he have to do? You know,

0:22:43.920 --> 0:22:45.720
<v Speaker 6>everything at beside? What does he have to do to

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:49.639
<v Speaker 6>make this thing work? And when we meet again, how

0:22:49.680 --> 0:22:50.880
<v Speaker 6>are we going to be talking about it?

0:22:52.040 --> 0:22:53.560
<v Speaker 7>I mean, he has to get people to pay for it,

0:22:53.920 --> 0:22:57.000
<v Speaker 7>Like so they have the subscription service now and it's

0:22:57.119 --> 0:23:00.280
<v Speaker 7>less than one percent of people that Lava on a

0:23:00.280 --> 0:23:02.720
<v Speaker 7>monthly basis or using it. So somehow you have to

0:23:02.720 --> 0:23:04.560
<v Speaker 7>get people to pay. And people don't like to pay

0:23:04.560 --> 0:23:06.600
<v Speaker 7>for social media. I don't like to pay for social media.

0:23:06.640 --> 0:23:09.199
<v Speaker 7>I don't know other people do. So that's gonna be.

0:23:09.200 --> 0:23:09.720
<v Speaker 2>The biggest thing.

0:23:09.800 --> 0:23:12.840
<v Speaker 7>And then you exactly, and then you have to make

0:23:12.880 --> 0:23:16.439
<v Speaker 7>it work. So cool all these features are being launched,

0:23:16.440 --> 0:23:20.200
<v Speaker 7>but like you think about some of his live streaming stuff,

0:23:20.240 --> 0:23:22.080
<v Speaker 7>like he did this big event with Ronda Santis and

0:23:22.080 --> 0:23:24.399
<v Speaker 7>it was glitchy the whole time. So you have to

0:23:24.680 --> 0:23:27.240
<v Speaker 7>have things actually work otherwise people are not going to want.

0:23:27.080 --> 0:23:29.080
<v Speaker 2>To know, like he's sending rockets up out of the

0:23:29.080 --> 0:23:30.920
<v Speaker 2>air or anything and has figured that one out.

0:23:31.240 --> 0:23:34.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, just saying electric cars thing, Joel, I've said it once,

0:23:34.960 --> 0:23:37.119
<v Speaker 3>I'll say it again, I would pay a monthly fee

0:23:37.280 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 3>to not be allowed on on X.

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:42.240
<v Speaker 6>Well, you know that would help you can you can

0:23:42.440 --> 0:23:45.000
<v Speaker 6>x that at and see what he says.

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:47.040
<v Speaker 2>I kind of miss it because it was a really

0:23:47.040 --> 0:23:49.480
<v Speaker 2>great thing when news was happening, like it was incredib right.

0:23:50.440 --> 0:23:52.679
<v Speaker 6>That to me is a huge part of this is

0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:57.200
<v Speaker 6>like a reminder of like when there was a moment

0:23:57.200 --> 0:23:58.720
<v Speaker 6>that you could get news and it was easy to

0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:01.160
<v Speaker 6>access and like that. This is not that moment. It's killer.

0:24:01.160 --> 0:24:03.320
<v Speaker 2>It's where everybody went. It was just happening in front

0:24:03.320 --> 0:24:05.520
<v Speaker 2>of you. Joe Webber, of course, the editor of Bloomberg

0:24:05.520 --> 0:24:07.440
<v Speaker 2>business Week, Thank you so much. Asha co On, social

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:11.080
<v Speaker 2>media reporter for Bloomberg News. Find this at Bloomberg dot com,

0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:13.720
<v Speaker 2>Slash BusinessWeek and of course always on the Bloomberg terminal.

0:24:14.240 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Elon um brother Marco.

0:24:22.040 --> 0:24:22.720
<v Speaker 7>A journal.

0:24:23.760 --> 0:24:24.720
<v Speaker 4>How about you let me drive?

0:24:25.000 --> 0:24:28.919
<v Speaker 7>Oh no, no, no, no, please going to drive, honey, please,

0:24:29.040 --> 0:24:30.480
<v Speaker 7>I'll do the riding gravels.

0:24:30.880 --> 0:24:31.320
<v Speaker 1>Let's wait.

0:24:31.520 --> 0:24:32.240
<v Speaker 2>I want to try.

0:24:32.240 --> 0:24:35.439
<v Speaker 7>It's a good question.

0:24:35.880 --> 0:24:42.080
<v Speaker 1>Good try. This is the drive to the clothes dot com.

0:24:42.200 --> 0:24:43.280
<v Speaker 4>I think we'll buy your.

0:24:43.440 --> 0:24:46.920
<v Speaker 2>Should it on Bloomberg Radio right just about seventeen and

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:49.400
<v Speaker 2>a half minutes left in today's trading session, getting ready

0:24:49.440 --> 0:24:52.520
<v Speaker 2>to wrap up the day. The week, it's been a

0:24:52.560 --> 0:24:53.040
<v Speaker 2>little crazy.

0:24:53.440 --> 0:24:53.880
<v Speaker 1>What a week.

0:24:55.280 --> 0:24:56.840
<v Speaker 3>Good that the S and P five hundred down almost

0:24:56.840 --> 0:24:59.120
<v Speaker 3>three percent this week. Same at the NASDAK composite.

0:24:59.320 --> 0:25:02.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's some sa right, Yeah, Yeah, it's kind of

0:25:02.400 --> 0:25:06.840
<v Speaker 2>interesting in a week where we got certainly some strong economic.

0:25:06.520 --> 0:25:09.160
<v Speaker 3>News, some earnings that were mixed bag.

0:25:09.520 --> 0:25:12.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, some earnings that were mixed bag. Hot inflation, consumers

0:25:12.680 --> 0:25:15.520
<v Speaker 2>still spending. Yeah, Taylor still a billionaire.

0:25:15.640 --> 0:25:18.080
<v Speaker 3>She is, She's going to be fine. I'm not worried

0:25:18.080 --> 0:25:18.600
<v Speaker 3>about Taylor.

0:25:18.960 --> 0:25:19.280
<v Speaker 7>All right.

0:25:19.359 --> 0:25:21.960
<v Speaker 2>Let's see, though, how investors can maybe be kind of

0:25:22.040 --> 0:25:23.760
<v Speaker 2>fine when it comes to their investments. Let's get to

0:25:23.880 --> 0:25:26.640
<v Speaker 2>Eric Clark. He's portfolio manager at Rational Dynamic Brands Fund

0:25:26.920 --> 0:25:29.000
<v Speaker 2>on Zoom and San Diego. By the way, the Rational

0:25:29.080 --> 0:25:31.800
<v Speaker 2>Dynamic Brands Fund is up this year by nearly sixteen percent,

0:25:31.840 --> 0:25:34.400
<v Speaker 2>so out forming about ninety six percent of its peers.

0:25:34.400 --> 0:25:37.639
<v Speaker 2>According to our own Bloomberg data. On a five year basis, though,

0:25:37.640 --> 0:25:39.800
<v Speaker 2>it's in the twenty first percentile, with a return of

0:25:39.840 --> 0:25:43.360
<v Speaker 2>about eight point four percent on average annually. Hey, Eric,

0:25:43.480 --> 0:25:45.640
<v Speaker 2>nice to have you back with us this year, though,

0:25:46.160 --> 0:25:47.480
<v Speaker 2>turning out to be pretty good.

0:25:47.320 --> 0:25:47.920
<v Speaker 6>For you guys.

0:25:49.280 --> 0:25:53.240
<v Speaker 2>You guys focus on a bunch of names. I always

0:25:53.440 --> 0:25:55.240
<v Speaker 2>I think Tim and I always like to ask you, though,

0:25:55.480 --> 0:25:59.159
<v Speaker 2>big macro, how is it determining those names that you

0:25:59.240 --> 0:25:59.879
<v Speaker 2>want to focus on?

0:26:01.320 --> 0:26:01.520
<v Speaker 1>Well?

0:26:02.160 --> 0:26:07.200
<v Speaker 8>How are you guys? Nice to talk again? I mean,

0:26:07.359 --> 0:26:10.239
<v Speaker 8>there's a lot of macro cross currents, isn't there. I mean,

0:26:10.680 --> 0:26:15.040
<v Speaker 8>between geopolitics and interest rates and the worry about a

0:26:15.160 --> 0:26:18.000
<v Speaker 8>recession and a consumer that might be tapped out, which

0:26:18.040 --> 0:26:21.400
<v Speaker 8>I don't agree with. You know, there's a lot to consider,

0:26:21.480 --> 0:26:23.240
<v Speaker 8>and so when there's a lot to consider, it means

0:26:23.359 --> 0:26:26.720
<v Speaker 8>volatility is probably going to be higher than normal, and

0:26:27.160 --> 0:26:30.720
<v Speaker 8>that gives you some opportunities to trade around your core positions.

0:26:31.320 --> 0:26:34.840
<v Speaker 8>And we're being a little more concentrated in what we own.

0:26:34.960 --> 0:26:37.440
<v Speaker 8>We're being very laser focused rather than being a little

0:26:37.480 --> 0:26:41.040
<v Speaker 8>more broad based. And that's helped this year certainly with

0:26:41.160 --> 0:26:44.200
<v Speaker 8>some good exposure to the you know, the megacap let's

0:26:44.200 --> 0:26:46.480
<v Speaker 8>call them the Magnificent seven that since that I don't

0:26:46.520 --> 0:26:49.280
<v Speaker 8>know who coined that phrase, but you know that's the

0:26:49.320 --> 0:26:52.160
<v Speaker 8>one that we're all running with. But seventy five percent

0:26:52.200 --> 0:26:54.800
<v Speaker 8>of the fund is non magnificent seven, and some of

0:26:54.840 --> 0:26:56.760
<v Speaker 8>those names are having a great year too, even though

0:26:57.119 --> 0:26:59.159
<v Speaker 8>the overall market has been a little sluggish in the

0:26:59.200 --> 0:27:02.040
<v Speaker 8>average stock is actually flatted down on the year, So

0:27:02.119 --> 0:27:04.320
<v Speaker 8>it's been a very interesting year indeed.

0:27:04.520 --> 0:27:06.480
<v Speaker 3>Well, you guys, in addition to Apple and Amazon, you

0:27:06.520 --> 0:27:10.200
<v Speaker 3>also have kkur Live Nation, Draft Kings, you also have Microsoft,

0:27:10.200 --> 0:27:13.040
<v Speaker 3>and they're speaking to Magnificent seven. But I want to

0:27:13.080 --> 0:27:15.560
<v Speaker 3>go back to something you said, Eric, that you don't

0:27:15.560 --> 0:27:17.960
<v Speaker 3>agree that the consumer is tapped out. What evidence do

0:27:18.000 --> 0:27:20.639
<v Speaker 3>you have to show that make the case for us,

0:27:20.680 --> 0:27:21.879
<v Speaker 3>for our listeners, for of yours.

0:27:22.560 --> 0:27:24.639
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, sure, I mean listen, for two years, we've all

0:27:24.720 --> 0:27:28.119
<v Speaker 8>been over paying for everything, right. First we started to

0:27:28.200 --> 0:27:30.879
<v Speaker 8>do it and we just did it without caring, and

0:27:31.320 --> 0:27:33.639
<v Speaker 8>then we started to get mad, but we still did it,

0:27:33.800 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 8>and for most cases we're still doing it. But we're

0:27:37.080 --> 0:27:39.840
<v Speaker 8>finally making choices and we're doing a lot of trade downs,

0:27:39.840 --> 0:27:42.320
<v Speaker 8>which is why we love Amazon and a few other

0:27:42.440 --> 0:27:45.480
<v Speaker 8>en Costco and a few others. But you know, the consumer,

0:27:45.560 --> 0:27:47.840
<v Speaker 8>I don't think. I think some part of the consumer

0:27:48.000 --> 0:27:51.560
<v Speaker 8>retail is certainly tapped out, because if you're on a

0:27:51.600 --> 0:27:54.320
<v Speaker 8>fixed budget and everything that you have to buy is

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:56.960
<v Speaker 8>going up in price, then of course your discretionary spend

0:27:57.000 --> 0:28:00.720
<v Speaker 8>what's left over isn't as robust, and so you really

0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:03.359
<v Speaker 8>start making choices and you and you tighten your belt.

0:28:03.400 --> 0:28:06.200
<v Speaker 8>But for the most part, there's also seven trillion in

0:28:06.280 --> 0:28:09.720
<v Speaker 8>money markets that nobody talks about. And our savings, yes,

0:28:09.840 --> 0:28:13.080
<v Speaker 8>have been dwindling, but that that formula is just doesn't

0:28:13.119 --> 0:28:16.200
<v Speaker 8>take into consideration. You know your household, Well.

0:28:16.119 --> 0:28:18.119
<v Speaker 3>Aren't the people who have the seven trillion dollars in

0:28:18.160 --> 0:28:20.160
<v Speaker 3>money markets? People at the highest end of the income

0:28:20.200 --> 0:28:22.399
<v Speaker 3>spectrum anyway, Well, I think.

0:28:22.359 --> 0:28:24.840
<v Speaker 8>Generally speaking, but that you know, I mean, I people

0:28:24.880 --> 0:28:27.680
<v Speaker 8>in my own family and friends have just said, you know,

0:28:27.720 --> 0:28:29.960
<v Speaker 8>I'm getting I'm getting zero or less, you know, not

0:28:30.119 --> 0:28:32.639
<v Speaker 8>much in my savings account at Chase. So I'm going

0:28:32.720 --> 0:28:34.760
<v Speaker 8>to move that money over to my Schwab brokerage, and

0:28:34.760 --> 0:28:36.520
<v Speaker 8>I'm going to put in the money market. You know

0:28:36.680 --> 0:28:39.480
<v Speaker 8>that that how long that sits is anybody's guest, But

0:28:39.600 --> 0:28:42.440
<v Speaker 8>sentiment is certainly poor. I'm just saying that, you know,

0:28:42.560 --> 0:28:46.120
<v Speaker 8>as long as people have jobs, then then even if

0:28:46.200 --> 0:28:49.200
<v Speaker 8>we moan and groan about things, you know, listen to

0:28:49.280 --> 0:28:51.640
<v Speaker 8>what we do, not as much as what we say.

0:28:52.080 --> 0:28:55.200
<v Speaker 8>Because the retail sales numbers have been super strong, right,

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:57.880
<v Speaker 8>and yet the narrative is that the consumers tapped out

0:28:57.960 --> 0:28:59.880
<v Speaker 8>and very and very you know, kind of dire.

0:29:00.200 --> 0:29:01.800
<v Speaker 2>Eric want to ask you. It's something we just talked

0:29:01.800 --> 0:29:04.960
<v Speaker 2>about with our colleagues over on the TV side on air,

0:29:05.480 --> 0:29:07.520
<v Speaker 2>and we talked about a call by b of A

0:29:07.880 --> 0:29:09.560
<v Speaker 2>on their way to play this market, and they say,

0:29:09.600 --> 0:29:12.840
<v Speaker 2>buy boomers, sell millennials, And basically they're saying, you know,

0:29:12.920 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 2>boomers are flushed with high interest rates fattening their savings accounts.

0:29:16.920 --> 0:29:19.160
<v Speaker 2>Young Americans are struggling with debt, sky high rents and

0:29:19.160 --> 0:29:21.880
<v Speaker 2>mortgage rates that are putting home ownership for their out

0:29:21.920 --> 0:29:22.280
<v Speaker 2>of reach.

0:29:22.440 --> 0:29:23.840
<v Speaker 3>So you forgot childcare?

0:29:24.560 --> 0:29:25.840
<v Speaker 1>Is that too?

0:29:26.080 --> 0:29:30.080
<v Speaker 2>So go look it, Tucks and then avoid those whose

0:29:30.120 --> 0:29:34.120
<v Speaker 2>fortunes ride on cash strap millennials. So American Express and

0:29:34.240 --> 0:29:37.120
<v Speaker 2>cruise ship lines are in out of something like Revolve Group,

0:29:37.160 --> 0:29:39.960
<v Speaker 2>which is a self styled next gen fashion retailer. So

0:29:40.440 --> 0:29:43.440
<v Speaker 2>any of that play into what you are owning in

0:29:43.640 --> 0:29:45.440
<v Speaker 2>your fund Well.

0:29:45.360 --> 0:29:49.400
<v Speaker 8>Sure, certainly demographics play a big role. I mean, you know,

0:29:49.520 --> 0:29:52.360
<v Speaker 8>the goal is if you are a brand that is

0:29:52.600 --> 0:29:57.120
<v Speaker 8>operating in an important spending category and you appeal to kids,

0:29:57.200 --> 0:30:00.320
<v Speaker 8>all the way up to older adults, and you have

0:30:00.520 --> 0:30:04.880
<v Speaker 8>global sales opportunities through with that demographic. That makes a

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:09.680
<v Speaker 8>very interesting setup. But we're certainly focused on the parts

0:30:09.720 --> 0:30:12.600
<v Speaker 8>of spending where you either have to spend like going

0:30:12.960 --> 0:30:16.920
<v Speaker 8>to Costco or spending using your visa card and spending

0:30:16.960 --> 0:30:21.960
<v Speaker 8>on Amazon, or you really want to spend because you've

0:30:21.960 --> 0:30:24.720
<v Speaker 8>made a choice that this particular product or service is

0:30:24.800 --> 0:30:28.760
<v Speaker 8>really important. So concerts through Live Nation they report next week.

0:30:29.560 --> 0:30:31.680
<v Speaker 8>I think the stock has come down way too far

0:30:31.840 --> 0:30:37.400
<v Speaker 8>for the stable business that they have. Spotify wouldn't necessarily

0:30:37.600 --> 0:30:39.840
<v Speaker 8>ring for a baby boomer, but it does. I'm a

0:30:39.920 --> 0:30:43.440
<v Speaker 8>gen X millennials and gen Z are fiercely loyal to

0:30:43.520 --> 0:30:46.800
<v Speaker 8>a Spotify and they just turned profitable and they said

0:30:46.800 --> 0:30:50.480
<v Speaker 8>they're going to stay that way. So we're definitely focused

0:30:50.560 --> 0:30:55.200
<v Speaker 8>on the demographics of what we have to spend on

0:30:55.400 --> 0:30:58.280
<v Speaker 8>and what we just absolutely love to spend on. And

0:30:58.400 --> 0:31:01.080
<v Speaker 8>we do have some Lily Lily's the only healthcare name

0:31:01.120 --> 0:31:03.880
<v Speaker 8>that we have in there, and that's certainly is part

0:31:03.920 --> 0:31:08.600
<v Speaker 8>of the obesity. The trade, which you know is kind

0:31:08.600 --> 0:31:10.120
<v Speaker 8>of a democrat to they have.

0:31:10.120 --> 0:31:14.240
<v Speaker 3>Their own GLP one Indiana. What about Nike down sixteen

0:31:14.280 --> 0:31:17.520
<v Speaker 3>point three percent this year. Concerns over China, concerns over

0:31:17.560 --> 0:31:19.720
<v Speaker 3>the consumer. Are those concerns not in the right place?

0:31:20.680 --> 0:31:23.760
<v Speaker 8>Well, No, I think Shana is a concern in general.

0:31:24.880 --> 0:31:27.719
<v Speaker 8>I think Nike's one of the biggest holdings now because

0:31:27.800 --> 0:31:29.800
<v Speaker 8>it came down. So we like to add to great

0:31:29.840 --> 0:31:33.640
<v Speaker 8>businesses when they're on sale. And their latest quarter was

0:31:33.720 --> 0:31:37.360
<v Speaker 8>really strong. You saw Deckers today with Hoka. Don't bet

0:31:37.400 --> 0:31:43.040
<v Speaker 8>against Hoka right now. There you go. The athleisure trade,

0:31:43.080 --> 0:31:46.040
<v Speaker 8>I think is lu Lu's had a very strong number

0:31:46.320 --> 0:31:48.600
<v Speaker 8>in their latest report and still has great growth in

0:31:48.920 --> 0:31:51.520
<v Speaker 8>Asia coming. So I think there's a lot of places

0:31:51.600 --> 0:31:56.080
<v Speaker 8>to be where the spending category and the brand love

0:31:56.200 --> 0:32:00.600
<v Speaker 8>is really is really important, and we're ignoring the for now.

0:32:00.800 --> 0:32:02.560
<v Speaker 2>I know we're running out of time, but from the

0:32:02.640 --> 0:32:04.720
<v Speaker 2>notes that you shared with our producer Paul Brennan, you're

0:32:04.720 --> 0:32:07.640
<v Speaker 2>excited to add on further. DIP's, Apple, Google, Meta, Blackstone

0:32:07.680 --> 0:32:12.880
<v Speaker 2>and KKR Tencent also a favorite. So interesting. Hey, we'll

0:32:12.880 --> 0:32:14.520
<v Speaker 2>have to get you back real soon. Eric Clark, have

0:32:14.560 --> 0:32:18.600
<v Speaker 2>a good weekend, portfolio manager at Rational Dynamic Brands Fund

0:32:18.920 --> 0:32:22.760
<v Speaker 2>on Steam in San Diego. Yeah, Little Alman.

0:32:22.600 --> 0:32:28.120
<v Speaker 1>Brothers, this is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, all available

0:32:28.160 --> 0:32:31.680
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0:32:32.200 --> 0:32:35.720
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0:32:35.880 --> 0:32:39.200
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0:32:39.240 --> 0:32:42.200
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0:32:42.240 --> 0:32:45.880
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