WEBVTT - NFL Super Bowl Prop Bets (Ep. 76) 0:00:13.400 --> 0:00:17.440 Hey there, everybody. Welcome to the final edition of the 0:00:17.600 --> 0:00:20.720 twenty twenty I Guess Season NFL Season of the Betting 0:00:20.720 --> 0:00:23.799 Brothers NFL Podcast. I'm your host, Dan Harris with me 0:00:23.880 --> 0:00:25.720 is Matt Parol. Find us on Twitter at Dan Harris 0:00:25.720 --> 0:00:28.280 Ady and at Sports Talk Matt Matt. This is it 0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:31.720 super Bowl props. It's exciting. Are you ready? 0:00:33.040 --> 0:00:34.560 Yeah? I'm a little sad. 0:00:34.720 --> 0:00:37.000 Oh man, that was so depressing. I was thought it 0:00:37.120 --> 0:00:38.400 was gonna be like, yeah, let's go. 0:00:39.240 --> 0:00:41.600 Now, I'm ready. But it's still I mean, there's a 0:00:41.640 --> 0:00:43.840 couple of things. One, it's the end of the football season, 0:00:43.920 --> 0:00:45.879 so there's no more football for a long time. So 0:00:45.960 --> 0:00:48.640 that's a bummer. I'm excited because it's a heck of 0:00:48.640 --> 0:00:51.239 a game. I'm a little bummed because no matter how 0:00:51.320 --> 0:00:54.200 much they're trying to spin this like it's a super Bowl, Yeah, 0:00:54.280 --> 0:00:56.520 not a super Bowl. Okay, this is not a super Bowl. 0:00:56.960 --> 0:00:59.600 Budweiser is not even advertising in this game. All right, 0:00:59.640 --> 0:01:02.200 this is not a typical year. We got twenty thousand 0:01:02.200 --> 0:01:05.800 fans in Tampa, no radio row, no hype. I mean, 0:01:05.840 --> 0:01:08.200 the Chiefs are showing up on Friday for this game, 0:01:08.240 --> 0:01:10.840 for goodness sakes, and the barber for the Chiefs had 0:01:10.840 --> 0:01:14.759 covid nineteen nearly took down the entire team. For goodness sakes, 0:01:15.120 --> 0:01:17.520 this is just not a typical season. So while I'm 0:01:17.560 --> 0:01:19.720 really excited to get to go with football, I'm bummed 0:01:19.760 --> 0:01:23.000 the year is over. And I'm equally like, man, this 0:01:23.080 --> 0:01:24.880 is not gonna be the same thing as normal. 0:01:25.080 --> 0:01:27.280 I think it's so funny, but I feel like, maybe 0:01:27.280 --> 0:01:29.880 you're right, and maybe that's how everybody feels. I don't 0:01:29.959 --> 0:01:31.800 really feel that way, like, of course it's different, but 0:01:31.840 --> 0:01:35.080 I feel like, probably because you've been doing radio for 0:01:35.200 --> 0:01:38.920 your entire adult life, like you can really tangibly feel 0:01:39.280 --> 0:01:42.080 the difference, right, and not for me, like, of course 0:01:42.120 --> 0:01:44.160 I get it. Of course it's weird and it's not 0:01:44.200 --> 0:01:46.800 the same. But I don't find my enthusiasm for this 0:01:46.880 --> 0:01:49.760 game dimmed whatsoever, even though it's not like the classic 0:01:50.120 --> 0:01:52.320 usual way we're doing it. It might just because you're radio, 0:01:52.400 --> 0:01:54.200 or it might be because I'm an odd human being. 0:01:54.280 --> 0:01:56.880 I don't know the answer to it, but regardless, well, yeah, 0:01:57.480 --> 0:01:58.320 you to your point. 0:01:58.480 --> 0:02:01.360 I mean, so normally, in the week of the Super Bowl, 0:02:01.920 --> 0:02:06.560 there are every every A, B and C list celebrities 0:02:06.600 --> 0:02:08.120 trying to get on the radio, trying to get on 0:02:08.120 --> 0:02:10.440 your radio show, trying to talk right. So, like, the 0:02:10.480 --> 0:02:12.880 biggest name I've had on so far is Barry Sanders. 0:02:13.080 --> 0:02:15.640 Now that's a great, big Hall of Fame football name, 0:02:15.760 --> 0:02:19.400 right right, But normally during football week there's a Barry 0:02:19.400 --> 0:02:20.880 Sanders every day. 0:02:21.040 --> 0:02:21.520 I get it. 0:02:21.800 --> 0:02:24.240 I get So that's the weirdness about it that we're like, 0:02:24.440 --> 0:02:30.200 where is everyone Like, no brand wants their name really 0:02:30.240 --> 0:02:33.359 out there too enthusiastically, nobody wants to do any of 0:02:33.400 --> 0:02:36.200 the stunts of the stupid stuff they always do. So 0:02:36.320 --> 0:02:37.080 it's just different. 0:02:37.320 --> 0:02:39.639 Yeah, No, I do get it. And for me, I've 0:02:39.639 --> 0:02:41.519 got the Chiefs and a Bucks game and we're at 0:02:41.520 --> 0:02:43.280 the Super Bowl, which I really if I were a 0:02:43.320 --> 0:02:45.480 betting man, which obviously I am, I probably would have 0:02:45.520 --> 0:02:47.040 later bet that we would not have made it to 0:02:47.080 --> 0:02:49.840 this point because, you know, kudos to them and continue 0:02:49.840 --> 0:02:52.400 to dodge, you know, the landmines with the barber and 0:02:52.440 --> 0:02:55.360 all that, keep going until we get the Sunday. All right, 0:02:55.400 --> 0:02:57.000 So we've got a few things to talk about. Number One, 0:02:57.000 --> 0:02:58.440 Matt and I are mostly going to be talking about 0:02:58.440 --> 0:03:00.960 prop bets, although Matt, if it's okay to start by 0:03:00.960 --> 0:03:02.519 talking about the side in the total. We talked about 0:03:02.560 --> 0:03:04.560 it last week, but okay, good, so we'll talk about that, 0:03:04.639 --> 0:03:07.000 see where it has ended up, and then see if 0:03:07.000 --> 0:03:09.600 we like either side of it. But we are going 0:03:09.600 --> 0:03:11.760 to be talking about a lot of player props today, 0:03:11.760 --> 0:03:13.880 but we are also going to be talking about player 0:03:13.919 --> 0:03:17.480 props on Sunday before the Super Bowl at four thirty 0:03:17.560 --> 0:03:21.960 pm Eastern on our YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash 0:03:22.000 --> 0:03:25.480 Betting Pros. We are also going to be simulcasting I 0:03:25.480 --> 0:03:27.799 guess it's the right term for it on our Betting 0:03:27.800 --> 0:03:31.360 Pros Twitter account, which is at Betting Pros NFL. I believe, yeah, 0:03:31.520 --> 0:03:33.960 look at us. We may also I think we're probably 0:03:34.000 --> 0:03:35.320 going to also simonich. 0:03:35.000 --> 0:03:37.520 I was not doing that every every weekend, you. 0:03:37.480 --> 0:03:39.600 Know, we try to save it for the special time. 0:03:39.720 --> 0:03:41.760 But you're right, that was my bad. Now on we 0:03:41.800 --> 0:03:44.320 should have been doing that for sure next year, don't worry. 0:03:44.320 --> 0:03:46.920 But for the for the we also may be doing 0:03:47.000 --> 0:03:49.400 it on our Fantasy Pros YouTube account, YouTube dot com. 0:03:50.200 --> 0:03:52.480 It's a big one. But because as you know, we 0:03:52.560 --> 0:03:55.640 have a giant giveaway that we are going to be 0:03:55.720 --> 0:03:58.760 doing on that live stream. At the very least we 0:03:58.840 --> 0:04:01.920 know it's going to be an autographed helmet from a 0:04:01.960 --> 0:04:05.720 former NFL MVP and Super Bowl winner. It's a big one. 0:04:05.720 --> 0:04:08.120 We're gonna have fun. We're gonna be doing player props 0:04:08.120 --> 0:04:10.040 all the time, even though we are also doing them here. 0:04:10.080 --> 0:04:12.480 Some of them will probably overlap, but not all of them. 0:04:12.480 --> 0:04:14.360 That is sponsored by win bet, and we're gonna be 0:04:14.400 --> 0:04:16.520 using their odds for it. So again, go check them 0:04:16.520 --> 0:04:18.479 out and make sure you don't miss at four thirty 0:04:18.600 --> 0:04:21.960 Eastern YouTube dot com slash betting pro So let's talk 0:04:22.000 --> 0:04:23.880 first about the game here, Matt, that we'll get into 0:04:23.880 --> 0:04:25.920 some player props. So when we originally did it, I 0:04:25.920 --> 0:04:27.720 actually can't remember. I should have gone back and listened 0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:29.359 to it. I don't remember if it was at three 0:04:29.520 --> 0:04:31.240 or three and a half the consensus lines. I know 0:04:31.240 --> 0:04:31.520 it was. 0:04:31.600 --> 0:04:34.680 It was a pingpong, but a different book at different prices. 0:04:34.920 --> 0:04:38.680 Okay, so for the most part, it's now settled at three. 0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:41.280 There is bet MGM out there which is at three 0:04:41.320 --> 0:04:43.120 and a half, but our consensus line is three. Even 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:45.680 at DraftKings, by the way, which was holding at three 0:04:45.760 --> 0:04:47.800 and a half, which we had talked about, it was 0:04:47.839 --> 0:04:50.279 there for a while. It dropped today actually it's dropped 0:04:50.279 --> 0:04:51.960 to three, back up to three and a half. 0:04:52.000 --> 0:04:54.320 And then you know why betmgym's at three At three 0:04:54.360 --> 0:04:57.239 and a half though, right, why two point three million 0:04:57.279 --> 0:04:59.919 dollar bet on Chiefs? Sorry? On one? And a lot 0:04:59.920 --> 0:05:02.159 of it was on the bucks, right or the Chiefs? Wait, 0:05:02.160 --> 0:05:04.880 I'm forgetting which one it was on. I thought that 0:05:05.000 --> 0:05:06.560 was on the It was on the bucks, right, three 0:05:06.600 --> 0:05:08.480 point two point three million on the chief it was. Yeah, 0:05:08.520 --> 0:05:10.640 there was two point three on the Chiefs, right? Minus three? 0:05:10.960 --> 0:05:13.200 Well, I would assume if I mean, the reason would 0:05:13.240 --> 0:05:15.080 hold that it would be at three point five because 0:05:15.120 --> 0:05:17.880 they want money on the bucks. So you assume it 0:05:17.920 --> 0:05:19.680 came in on the Chiefs, right. I have to look 0:05:19.680 --> 0:05:22.920 at this all right, now, this is just it was. 0:05:23.120 --> 0:05:25.200 Oh no, it's on Tampa. I'm wrong, okay, all right, 0:05:25.400 --> 0:05:28.960 it's at BETMGM though, So I was right about that. 0:05:29.160 --> 0:05:31.080 It's at BETMGM, but it was on Tampa. So why 0:05:31.080 --> 0:05:32.599 are they at three point five? Well? Why are they 0:05:32.600 --> 0:05:33.240 at three and a half? 0:05:33.560 --> 0:05:33.960 I don't know. 0:05:34.120 --> 0:05:35.880 That's wet there. I forget they'd be at three. 0:05:36.240 --> 0:05:38.360 It's juiced up a little bit. I mean it's at 0:05:38.360 --> 0:05:40.600 minus one fifteen and it's minus one oh five to 0:05:40.640 --> 0:05:42.479 take the Chiefs at minus three and a half. And 0:05:42.480 --> 0:05:44.039 again I'm looking at all of this just so you 0:05:44.040 --> 0:05:47.440 guys know, I'm on bettingpros dot Com. I just go 0:05:47.520 --> 0:05:49.560 to NFL and odds and I look at it and 0:05:49.600 --> 0:05:52.040 it pops up. It's against the spread, and it shows 0:05:52.080 --> 0:05:54.760 me the consensus odds for betting pros do com and 0:05:54.760 --> 0:05:56.560 it shows me at all the various sports books. So 0:05:56.600 --> 0:05:58.920 again I'm in New Hampshire. As I mentioned, I played DraftKings. 0:05:58.920 --> 0:06:01.520 It shows me right now the odds of DraftKings are 0:06:01.800 --> 0:06:04.200 taking the Chiefs laying three. You want to take the trees, 0:06:04.320 --> 0:06:06.200 it's minus one fifteen. You want to take the Bucks 0:06:06.279 --> 0:06:08.000 it's minus one oh six. And you see all these 0:06:08.000 --> 0:06:10.640 books William Hill two and then one. Only one on 0:06:10.680 --> 0:06:12.920 our list right now he's currently at minus three and 0:06:12.960 --> 0:06:15.040 a half and that is bet MGM that So I 0:06:15.080 --> 0:06:17.080 don't know, maybe they're comfortable, maybe they want more money 0:06:17.080 --> 0:06:18.039 on the bucks. I don't know. 0:06:18.080 --> 0:06:19.600 I have to look this up. I wonder if it's 0:06:19.640 --> 0:06:24.680 bet MGM New Jersey or be BETMGM Vegas as well, 0:06:24.720 --> 0:06:28.400 because they split their two. They've got non Nevada in Nevada. 0:06:28.560 --> 0:06:31.120 People don't they're at three and a half here in 0:06:31.200 --> 0:06:33.880 Vegas two. Wow, it's just. 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:37.920 Minus one incorrect yep, wow. 0:06:37.800 --> 0:06:39.560 In the same lines at both Okay. 0:06:39.360 --> 0:06:40.120 Yeah, that's all right. 0:06:40.760 --> 0:06:44.000 With their viability, that's stunning. I have to go where 0:06:44.000 --> 0:06:46.560 we're done here. You know where I'm going. Yeah, I'm 0:06:46.600 --> 0:06:48.160 going to go to be MGM. 0:06:48.640 --> 0:06:51.200 I understand you are, You're going to take it right there. Now, 0:06:51.240 --> 0:06:53.800 the total when we first did it, I remember, was 0:06:53.960 --> 0:06:57.159 at fifty seven and a half one point whatever. Now 0:06:57.400 --> 0:07:00.600 the consensus line is at fifty six. There's fifty five 0:07:00.640 --> 0:07:03.120 and a half over a fandle there's a fifty six 0:07:03.160 --> 0:07:05.400 and a half at bet MGM. But for the most part, 0:07:05.440 --> 0:07:08.440 the books draftings William Hill all points BET. They're all 0:07:08.520 --> 0:07:11.000 at fifty six now for the total. So that has 0:07:11.040 --> 0:07:13.720 come down as we expected, I mean, I think right, 0:07:14.040 --> 0:07:16.000 So all right, how do you feel, Matt? Do you 0:07:16.040 --> 0:07:17.280 have a lead? I mean at three and a half, 0:07:17.360 --> 0:07:18.960 it sounds like you like the bucks and you're gonna 0:07:19.000 --> 0:07:20.000 run and take them if you can. 0:07:21.480 --> 0:07:24.239 Okay, So let me just explain this, bet, okay, because 0:07:24.240 --> 0:07:27.800 this is not done really with logic that this is 0:07:27.880 --> 0:07:30.480 done because I am oh and three and I refuse 0:07:30.560 --> 0:07:32.760 to go oh and four betting against Tom Brady in 0:07:32.760 --> 0:07:37.480 the playoffs. So if I back Brady and he wins, great. 0:07:37.680 --> 0:07:39.680 If I back Brady and he loses, which I think 0:07:39.760 --> 0:07:43.360 is what's gonna happen, I think it's I'm gonna be 0:07:43.360 --> 0:07:46.640 okay with it. I'm okay going down with Brady and 0:07:46.840 --> 0:07:49.960 Gronk and that team over and not backing the Chiefs, 0:07:50.000 --> 0:07:52.280 even though I think I'm doing you all a solid 0:07:52.320 --> 0:07:54.320 by betting the Bucks because that means the Chiefs winning. 0:07:54.400 --> 0:07:57.240 Chiefs cover. So, given how bad I have been in 0:07:57.280 --> 0:07:59.520 the postseason, I'm going to take one for the betting 0:07:59.560 --> 0:08:02.120 pro team, and you guys all bet the Chiefs. I'll 0:08:02.120 --> 0:08:04.360 bet the Bucks. I'll be wrong, and you will cash. 0:08:04.600 --> 0:08:07.040 This is a very scientific analysis that Matt is doing 0:08:07.200 --> 0:08:09.800 right now. He is fading himself basically, is what he 0:08:09.840 --> 0:08:13.480 wants you to do. So I waited, Matt, and when 0:08:13.480 --> 0:08:15.040 we talked about it, originally I said I didn't. 0:08:15.280 --> 0:08:15.640 I didn't. 0:08:15.800 --> 0:08:18.040 First of all, I have a very small wager on 0:08:18.080 --> 0:08:20.520 the side on this because this is a day for props. Okay, 0:08:20.560 --> 0:08:22.920 this is not really a day to go huge on 0:08:22.960 --> 0:08:23.360 the spread. 0:08:23.400 --> 0:08:26.600 It's just I'm betting a quarter unit by the way, yeah, exactly, 0:08:26.800 --> 0:08:28.760 just an idea where I'm betting. This is not I'm 0:08:28.760 --> 0:08:30.640 design a bet. It's a quarter, right. 0:08:30.840 --> 0:08:32.720 I bet a half a unit on the Chiefs layingth 0:08:32.720 --> 0:08:36.240 three when it came down to DraftKings. Really, I wasn't 0:08:36.280 --> 0:08:38.360 convinced that it was going to get there because we 0:08:38.679 --> 0:08:40.120 talked about him. It was at three and a half, 0:08:40.360 --> 0:08:41.920 but I decided to do it when I had three. 0:08:41.920 --> 0:08:43.440 Now it's kind of settled at three, so I didn't 0:08:43.480 --> 0:08:44.839 have to rush to do it, and I think I 0:08:44.960 --> 0:08:47.959 probably got it at like minus one sixteen instead of 0:08:48.000 --> 0:08:50.240 minus one fifteen. But that's fine. But I'm fine with 0:08:50.280 --> 0:08:52.120 the Chiefs leangth three. I do think the Chiefs are 0:08:52.240 --> 0:08:56.199 going to win this game. I could see them dominating 0:08:56.360 --> 0:08:59.199 this game, especially after the way we saw them dismantle 0:08:59.320 --> 0:09:01.520 the Bills and everything like that. But in the end, 0:09:01.600 --> 0:09:04.360 it's not something I'm going heavy on. I do like 0:09:04.480 --> 0:09:06.520 them laying three. I would take them if it was 0:09:06.559 --> 0:09:08.920 three and a half. I just stay away because you know, 0:09:09.360 --> 0:09:13.240 it's my expectation is that it's gonna be a one 0:09:13.240 --> 0:09:14.920 score game. I just don't know whether or not that 0:09:14.960 --> 0:09:16.680 score is going to be within seven or in three, 0:09:16.720 --> 0:09:18.120 But I do think the Chiefs are gonna win, which 0:09:18.120 --> 0:09:19.320 is why I'd be fine too. If you want to 0:09:19.320 --> 0:09:21.520 do the money line, I'd than that Draftings is also 0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:23.960 the lowest money line. It's minus one sixty two. The 0:09:24.000 --> 0:09:26.440 consensus is minus one sixty five, so I'd be fine 0:09:26.440 --> 0:09:28.280 with that. I'm going to be very surprised if the 0:09:28.280 --> 0:09:29.800 Bucks find a way to win this game. What about 0:09:29.800 --> 0:09:31.720 the total, Matt, Do you like it on the over 0:09:31.800 --> 0:09:33.439 now that it's come down to fifty six? Are still 0:09:33.440 --> 0:09:34.640 too high for you? 0:09:34.679 --> 0:09:37.559 No? I like the under. I think it's under play, Okay, 0:09:37.880 --> 0:09:40.000 I think. I mean it's a lot of points. I 0:09:40.080 --> 0:09:43.200 mean I think I don't like it at fifty six. 0:09:43.280 --> 0:09:44.920 I want to over fifty six. That's why I'm going 0:09:44.960 --> 0:09:46.760 to take it before potentially it hits fifty six. I 0:09:46.760 --> 0:09:48.360 think the more money I think money's coming in on 0:09:48.400 --> 0:09:50.640 the under, I think people are going to start to 0:09:50.679 --> 0:09:52.200 I think even the public mind start to get on 0:09:52.200 --> 0:09:55.320 the under. But I'll explain why like the under. It 0:09:55.400 --> 0:09:58.679 correlates with one of my props that I like. I 0:09:58.720 --> 0:10:00.840 just I think this is going to be a slower 0:10:00.880 --> 0:10:03.320 starting game than what we saw. Everyone thinks it's going 0:10:03.400 --> 0:10:05.560 to be like Week twelve, and I think Week twelve 0:10:05.600 --> 0:10:07.280 is really screwing the people's minds. 0:10:07.960 --> 0:10:10.720 Yeah, no, I think that that's fair. Again, you're running 0:10:10.760 --> 0:10:13.400 to bet MGM after this because BETMGM is at fifty 0:10:13.440 --> 0:10:15.120 six and a half. That's the only book I'm seeing 0:10:15.200 --> 0:10:17.160 right now, Yeah, at fifty six and a half. So 0:10:17.240 --> 0:10:19.800 after this, you're running to place your bet on the Bucks, 0:10:19.840 --> 0:10:23.280 and you're running to place your bet on the under 0:10:23.360 --> 0:10:25.160 the fifty six and a half. I don't have a 0:10:25.200 --> 0:10:28.040 strong feel on it. I lean towards the over, but 0:10:28.080 --> 0:10:30.240 it's so public and everything like that. I do think 0:10:30.280 --> 0:10:32.640 there is going to be scoring in this game. But 0:10:32.840 --> 0:10:36.319 you know, again, you have two relatively strong defenses. I 0:10:36.360 --> 0:10:38.319 am a little concerned about what the loss of Eric 0:10:38.360 --> 0:10:40.120 Fisher is gonna do because I think the Bucks are 0:10:40.160 --> 0:10:42.600 going to get pressure on Mahomes. Does that slow them 0:10:42.600 --> 0:10:45.320 down a little bit? But I'm really staying away from 0:10:45.360 --> 0:10:47.440 the side. If I'm forced to choose, I'd probably go 0:10:47.480 --> 0:10:50.440 over fifty six, but I'm not really getting it very close. 0:10:50.520 --> 0:10:52.800 So let's go to some player props. So before we 0:10:52.880 --> 0:10:55.000 get into it, if you want to see the list 0:10:55.040 --> 0:10:57.240 of player props, I told you can see the consensus 0:10:57.960 --> 0:11:00.600 game lines, the spread, the over under. You can do 0:11:00.760 --> 0:11:03.200 the same with player props. You can see the various 0:11:03.240 --> 0:11:05.680 odds that are available at the various books and they 0:11:05.960 --> 0:11:08.480 vary like this is a time where if you have, 0:11:09.080 --> 0:11:12.440 you know, the option to bet at multiple sports books, 0:11:12.480 --> 0:11:14.400 this is a time where you can really take advantage 0:11:14.400 --> 0:11:17.400 of the differences in some sports books. Go to Bettingpros 0:11:17.520 --> 0:11:20.120 dot com slash prop bets. That's going to show you 0:11:20.160 --> 0:11:22.880 basically all the list of player props that are available. 0:11:22.920 --> 0:11:25.120 That's what I'm looking at right now. We also have, 0:11:25.280 --> 0:11:27.320 as we've mentioned before on this show and a Matt 0:11:27.400 --> 0:11:29.559 has mentioned on its live streaming on The Daily Juice, 0:11:29.679 --> 0:11:31.920 the prop bet cheat cheat creator that's going to give 0:11:31.960 --> 0:11:35.040 you the best available props based on Betting Pros projections, 0:11:35.440 --> 0:11:38.400 based on the available thing lines in the market. It 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:40.640 will show you the best line that you can get 0:11:40.679 --> 0:11:42.920 out there. It will also show you specifically if you 0:11:42.960 --> 0:11:47.600 want just available in your state. Again, bettingpros dot Com 0:11:47.640 --> 0:11:51.240 slash props for that. And again, as we've said, this 0:11:51.320 --> 0:11:52.679 is a prop bet game. That's where you want to 0:11:52.679 --> 0:11:54.440 be doing on this game instead of going to the 0:11:54.440 --> 0:11:56.960 side or the total. So with that, Matt, let's start 0:11:56.960 --> 0:11:58.720 with some props. Go ahead, you can kick us off. 0:11:58.800 --> 0:12:00.440 What do you like coming into this game? 0:12:00.920 --> 0:12:03.480 Do you want player props first, or do you want 0:12:03.320 --> 0:12:07.640 one quarter? Or do anything that you want to do, Matt, Okay, 0:12:07.920 --> 0:12:09.280 let's start with the first quarter. 0:12:09.800 --> 0:12:10.040 Okay. 0:12:10.320 --> 0:12:12.720 Historically speaking, Tom Brady, even go through the games with 0:12:12.760 --> 0:12:16.400 Tom Brady, he has not scored a touchdown. I think 0:12:16.480 --> 0:12:19.360 it's in the maybe ever, he's never scored a first 0:12:19.440 --> 0:12:22.120 quarter touchdown in the super Bowl. I think that's right. 0:12:22.559 --> 0:12:25.480 I think that's right. And so the Patriots, as being 0:12:25.480 --> 0:12:27.719 a Patriot fan that I know, I've made money on this. 0:12:28.120 --> 0:12:30.760 When Brady's in the in the super Bowl, they don't 0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:32.199 score in the first quarter. 0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:34.559 All right? Why, by the way, Matt. 0:12:34.360 --> 0:12:37.120 Because defenses come out roaring in the first quarter. It's 0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:41.680 the Super Bowl. Every play, every tackle, every single step 0:12:41.880 --> 0:12:44.840 is put with force and purpose. They know where they're going, 0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:47.719 they've seen the plays, they've studied it, they're coached up. 0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:51.280 These coaches have everything that they need. They've not seen. 0:12:51.400 --> 0:12:54.360 You can't run anything on these guys they haven't seen before. 0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:58.079 So I think defenses are way ahead of the offenses 0:12:58.080 --> 0:13:01.880 early until they get tired. So early. I think there's 0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:05.200 a real chance you see a seven to three first quarter. 0:13:05.679 --> 0:13:09.080 So the numbers ten and a half, Okay, find ten 0:13:09.120 --> 0:13:13.120 and a half. Shop around. It's out there. First quarter 0:13:13.520 --> 0:13:16.480 under ten and a half. It is eight and one 0:13:17.120 --> 0:13:19.240 over the last nine Super Bowls. 0:13:20.200 --> 0:13:21.679 Eight and one under ten and a half in the 0:13:21.720 --> 0:13:22.760 last nine Super Bowls. 0:13:23.000 --> 0:13:23.480 Uh huh. 0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:25.800 Yeah, well I'm looking. So I'm looking at DraftKings right now. 0:13:25.840 --> 0:13:28.200 I don't think that's listed on the on the on 0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:30.160 the game spreads, which, by the way, if you go 0:13:30.320 --> 0:13:32.719 to the page either the player props or the game lines, 0:13:32.760 --> 0:13:34.800 you can also look at game props and all that, 0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:37.840 and yeah it is. It is just Matt under ten 0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:40.800 and a half points minus one fifty over ten and 0:13:40.840 --> 0:13:42.040 a half plus one ten. 0:13:42.320 --> 0:13:45.280 That's too bad. Yeah, like that's not bad. Yeah, that's 0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:46.760 one fifty. That's not bad at all. Take that BA 0:13:46.760 --> 0:13:48.120 all day. Yeah, that's not bad at all. 0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:49.600 No, I do good. 0:13:49.960 --> 0:13:51.800 Sorry, I just I just think that this is going 0:13:51.840 --> 0:13:56.079 to be a different game than the first time around. 0:13:56.440 --> 0:13:59.320 Yes, yeah, so you also think the Chiefs are going 0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:00.120 to start a little slo. 0:14:01.120 --> 0:14:04.600 I yeah, I look. Historically speaking, Patrick Mahomes' best quarter 0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:06.960 is the second quarter. Yeah, I think he's the best 0:14:07.000 --> 0:14:09.880 scoring second quarter quarterback in the NFL. So I think 0:14:09.880 --> 0:14:11.800 they score a touchdown. I mean, I think they'll have 0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:13.920 two drives probably in the first quarter. They probably get 0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.240 seven out of it. But I think the offense for 0:14:16.320 --> 0:14:19.200 the Bucks will not score a touchdown in the first quarter. 0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:21.680 That's run banking on. So first quarter under ten and 0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:22.760 a half is my first play. 0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:25.600 Okay, So you know, obviously we're doing Betting pros. We 0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:27.400 also have Fantasy Pros, and one of the things we 0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:29.320 did on Fantasy Pros is a couple of the riders. 0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:31.440 They basically said, Okay, how do you feel about the spread? 0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:32.760 What do you think the final score is going to be? 0:14:32.800 --> 0:14:36.240 How do you see this game unfolding? And I basically 0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:39.240 wrote exactly that, Matt, which is, I see this game 0:14:39.240 --> 0:14:41.640 getting off to a slow start. I think that it's 0:14:41.680 --> 0:14:44.040 going to be a close game heading into you know, 0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:46.360 probably almost maybe the end of the second quarter, and 0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:48.400 then eventually you're going to have, maybe in the third quarter, 0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:50.960 you're going to have one of these three touchdowns over 0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:53.080 the course of ten minutes with Mahomes or something going 0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:54.920 crazy and stuff like that. I agree with you, though, 0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:56.520 I think it's going to It's a great stat about 0:14:56.520 --> 0:15:00.200 how slow it starts, and I think that that's that's 0:15:00.200 --> 0:15:02.160 how I see it coming going this game as well. 0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:03.680 So I like that. So I'm going to go to 0:15:03.720 --> 0:15:05.720 a player props. I mostly stuck with player props because 0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:08.800 I do mostly projections. Obviously, I'm going to take Brady 0:15:09.280 --> 0:15:12.160 and I'm going to take him to go over two 0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:14.920 and a half passing touchdowns. Now you're getting plus money 0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:17.200 on this, Okay, it's plus one twenty five is the 0:15:17.240 --> 0:15:19.320 consensus lines. If you look around, you can get it 0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:21.480 at better than that. You can get it at plus 0:15:21.520 --> 0:15:24.200 one thirty five at bet MGM or plus one thirty 0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:27.080 two at FANDLE at DraftKings, and our consensus lines it 0:15:27.120 --> 0:15:28.960 is at plus one twenty five over the year. So 0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:32.120 he's gone over two and a half passing touchdowns eight 0:15:32.200 --> 0:15:34.360 times in nineteen games. All right, So that's why nineteen 0:15:34.360 --> 0:15:36.960 games including the playoffs, that's why you're getting plus money. 0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:38.680 But the total points in the games that he has 0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:42.240 gone over fifty seven, seventy one, fifty four, fifty one, 0:15:42.320 --> 0:15:44.680 sixty nine, sixty five, sixty nine, and then one game 0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:47.040 thirty eight, which you manage to go over. So I 0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:50.760 expect this game to be high scoring. Whether or not 0:15:50.920 --> 0:15:53.240 it hits the fifty six or something like that, it's 0:15:53.280 --> 0:15:55.240 going to be a high scoring game. You know, he's 0:15:55.280 --> 0:15:56.920 going to need points. I think he's going to be 0:15:57.000 --> 0:15:59.640 chasing points because I think eventually the Chiefs are going 0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:01.680 to get out out to a big lead. And they 0:16:01.800 --> 0:16:05.200 allow passing touchdowns in the league. I mean they were, 0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:07.600 you know, certainly in the top half. Even though they're 0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:09.920 good against wide receivers, they do allow a lot of 0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:11.760 passing touchdowns because they put up a ton of points. 0:16:11.840 --> 0:16:14.800 So obviously other teams need to just throw. So for me, look, 0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:17.600 you know, I don't expect I expect them to put 0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:20.520 up three four touchdowns again, because I think it's gonna 0:16:20.520 --> 0:16:22.200 be high scoring. So I think Brady gets at least 0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:24.120 three passing touchdowns here. I'll take it with the plus 0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:27.120 money at plus one twenty five. Tom Brady over to 0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:29.200 an a half passing touchdowns like it. 0:16:29.400 --> 0:16:32.880 I think there's a good chance that if you play 0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:35.240 it out and if you like the over, I think 0:16:35.280 --> 0:16:38.480 both Mahomes and Brady touchdowns. Over is probably to play it. 0:16:38.520 --> 0:16:42.360 But I just look historically speaking, you know, inside the 0:16:42.400 --> 0:16:44.960 red zone. Sure, they've got Leonard Fournette who could vulture 0:16:44.960 --> 0:16:48.040 it and take it away, but historically this team tends 0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:50.440 to score throwing the football. 0:16:50.080 --> 0:16:52.560 Correct, So if I wouldn't. You know, it's funny because 0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:55.440 I thought Matt about like Brady anytime touchdowns because you 0:16:55.440 --> 0:16:57.960 can see him sneaking it in, right. And the Chiefs actually, 0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:02.240 oddly enough allowed a ton of rushing dutchdowns to quarterbacks 0:17:02.280 --> 0:17:04.479 and they weren't all like you know, they weren't all 0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:06.560 the Deshaun Watson types or anything like that. They were 0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:08.560 just kind of guys who snuck it in, like with 0:17:08.640 --> 0:17:11.000 two of it and stuff. So I was thinking about 0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:13.280 doing that, But I really do think that in the end, 0:17:13.359 --> 0:17:16.119 especially given what they're gonna need, I think they're gonna 0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:18.199 need to do one of these things where you know 0:17:18.240 --> 0:17:20.800 that Brady has a deep pass that falls down at 0:17:20.800 --> 0:17:23.320 the two for it to be something like Leonard Fournette 0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:25.520 or even Brady sneaking in. So that is why I like. 0:17:25.600 --> 0:17:27.520 But yeah, the passing dutchdowns over two and a half 0:17:27.560 --> 0:17:31.320 for Mahomes obviously is minus one fifty five, right, Like 0:17:31.359 --> 0:17:32.960 there's a big difference. I think they both are going 0:17:33.040 --> 0:17:34.840 to get there, But I like the Brady one because 0:17:34.880 --> 0:17:37.040 of the plus money. All right, what's your next one? 0:17:37.680 --> 0:17:41.879 My next one is Ronald Jones over rushing yards. I 0:17:41.920 --> 0:17:45.679 think everyone is. I think everybody is talking up Leonard 0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:48.640 Fournette and they're forgetting that earlier in the year when 0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:52.399 Ronald Jones ran the ball consistently when he had I 0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:54.159 think the stat was when he ran the ball for 0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:57.720 fifteen more times or more times they were undefeated. They 0:17:57.920 --> 0:18:00.840 just don't They don't want to throw the ball in 0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:04.080 every down. They want to run the ball. Fournette has 0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:06.600 got the carries because Jones got hurt late in the 0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:09.160 year and he missed the game, and then Fournette came 0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:10.879 in and Fornett was running the ball really hard. But 0:18:10.880 --> 0:18:13.200 I think ultimately, I still think they believe that Ronald 0:18:13.280 --> 0:18:16.840 Jones is the better running back. He went for ninety 0:18:16.920 --> 0:18:20.040 nine yard run against the Panthers on the road. He's 0:18:20.080 --> 0:18:23.720 got that breakaway speed. It could be popped in one run, 0:18:23.840 --> 0:18:26.160 thirty four and a half, thirty five, thirty six, Shop 0:18:26.200 --> 0:18:27.800 around and see where you can get this. But I 0:18:27.800 --> 0:18:32.000 think everyone's on the Fournett prop. At FanDuel today, the 0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:33.800 Fournette prop went all the way up to fifty one 0:18:33.880 --> 0:18:36.320 and a half for his rushing total, and they got 0:18:36.400 --> 0:18:39.119 hit with two max bets on the under that dropped 0:18:39.119 --> 0:18:41.760 it back down to forty eight. I just think everyone 0:18:41.840 --> 0:18:43.920 is looking at this Fournette line and saying, Oh, it's 0:18:43.960 --> 0:18:47.480 gonna be playoff Lenny, here he comes. I don't think so. 0:18:47.800 --> 0:18:49.320 I think you're looking at the wrong running back. I 0:18:49.320 --> 0:18:52.200 think Ronald Jones gets gets the bulk of the carries, 0:18:52.440 --> 0:18:55.240 and I think he's gonna obliterate thirty five yards rushing 0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:56.959 in this game. I think he's gonna go for sixty 0:18:57.000 --> 0:18:59.440 plus here, run the ball for the bucks. I love 0:18:59.520 --> 0:19:01.760 Ronald Jone Zones shop around for the best price, But 0:19:01.960 --> 0:19:03.760 Ronald Jones over rushing prop. 0:19:04.000 --> 0:19:06.200 Yeah, the consensus line of them looking at is thirty 0:19:06.200 --> 0:19:08.920 five and a half. DraftKings is thirty seven and a 0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:11.680 half for whatever reason. So there are those out there, 0:19:11.680 --> 0:19:13.280 but for the most part, thirty five and a half. 0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:15.000 William Hill's at thirty four and a half. So this 0:19:15.040 --> 0:19:17.359 is where I'm saying, like those couple of yards, they 0:19:17.359 --> 0:19:19.800 may seem insignificant, but they're huge at this point because 0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:21.880 any edge you can get in that So this is interesting. 0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:25.960 Matt I've tried to feel comfortable with the running game, 0:19:26.000 --> 0:19:27.920 but I think in the end, I just don't know. 0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:31.360 I mean, Fournette ran really well in this last game, 0:19:31.440 --> 0:19:34.680 and I don't know whether or not they're going to 0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:37.480 turn back to Jones. Jones did get some drives all 0:19:37.520 --> 0:19:40.040 to himself in the last game, So if he gets that, 0:19:40.160 --> 0:19:43.000 if he gets two or three drives that are all his, 0:19:43.280 --> 0:19:45.600 I mean, he could easily do this. If he get 0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:47.960 seven carries something like that, he could easily sort of 0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:50.200 go there. So let me ask you something with that, Matt, 0:19:50.240 --> 0:19:53.159 do you have any interest? This isn't available everywhere, but 0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:57.760 there is most rushing yards in the game. Ronald Jones 0:19:57.800 --> 0:19:59.879 at plus two seventy five. Do you think cause if 0:19:59.880 --> 0:20:02.920 he he's gonna outrush Leonard Fournette, which it sounds like 0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:05.439 you might be thinking. I mean, I assume he's going 0:20:05.520 --> 0:20:08.000 to outrush anybody who's on the Chiefs, right, because I 0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:10.160 don't expect them to. They're not who knows how many 0:20:10.200 --> 0:20:13.240 rushing attempts are gonna try anyway, And so do you 0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:14.600 like that at plus two seventy five? 0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:17.760 I like that a lot, actually, And what's interesting, Fandor's 0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:20.440 got some very unique. They're actually doing head to head 0:20:20.480 --> 0:20:23.600 matchups on rushing props. So you can go, there is 0:20:23.680 --> 0:20:28.320 Leonard Fournette versus uh, Daryl Williams, there's Leonard, that, there's 0:20:29.240 --> 0:20:31.840 there's I don't think Le'Veon Bells involves I do. 0:20:32.400 --> 0:20:35.120 I mean if he plays. If you, I here's here's 0:20:35.160 --> 0:20:38.399 my one recommendation if you. I haven't seen a Leonard 0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:41.600 Fournette like rushing prop out yet because I think the 0:20:41.600 --> 0:20:43.960 books are trying to be careful necessarily to see. 0:20:43.960 --> 0:20:44.840 You mean Le'Veon Bell. 0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:48.840 You mean what did I say, Leonardournette? I apologize, Leveon 0:20:48.840 --> 0:20:51.080 Bell correct thank you for correcting me. Yes, I haven't 0:20:51.080 --> 0:20:54.200 seen a Leveon Bell prop out yet. If it comes out, 0:20:54.280 --> 0:20:56.879 I'm hitting the under whatever it is like, I'm not kidding. 0:20:56.920 --> 0:20:59.080 I think that he may get out there even if 0:20:59.080 --> 0:21:01.520 he's active, hell, get like one carry. And I mean 0:21:01.520 --> 0:21:03.840 you heard the report today right or yesterday it was 0:21:03.880 --> 0:21:06.600 like he signed with the Chiefs so he wouldn't get 0:21:06.600 --> 0:21:08.879 work anygain. I think Daryl Williams is looked better and 0:21:09.400 --> 0:21:11.960 Edwards Hilaire is is healthier now, so forget about that. 0:21:12.040 --> 0:21:14.800 But yeah, you do head to head I mean so 0:21:14.920 --> 0:21:17.000 you probably there's got to be value, I'm sure for 0:21:17.040 --> 0:21:18.600 you with Ron Jones going head tore. 0:21:19.080 --> 0:21:21.280 And then the other one is you can The other 0:21:21.280 --> 0:21:25.280 bet is number of players who rush, who will get 0:21:25.280 --> 0:21:27.800 a rushing attempt in the game the Chiefs are The 0:21:27.880 --> 0:21:29.879 Chiefs are four and a half and the and the 0:21:29.920 --> 0:21:33.199 Bucks are three and a half. So the reason the 0:21:33.200 --> 0:21:35.080 reason why, And someone corrected me on my radio show 0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:37.920 because I said, who is the number five that might 0:21:37.920 --> 0:21:43.880 get the carry? Hardman's four? Okay, so it's Williams, It's 0:21:43.880 --> 0:21:48.119 Clyde verichs Hilaire, it's Mahomes, and it's mcerl Holman. 0:21:49.440 --> 0:21:49.640 Yeah. 0:21:49.720 --> 0:21:52.679 Yeah, So then number five. Someone said what about Leveon Bell. 0:21:53.240 --> 0:21:56.080 And I went, oh, no, yeah, I guess. 0:21:55.800 --> 0:21:57.919 Like that could burn you if he's if he's active, 0:21:58.040 --> 0:21:59.800 that could burn you if you're going to bet the under. 0:21:59.840 --> 0:22:01.879 But I had a hard time binding number five for 0:22:01.920 --> 0:22:03.879 the in the same thing for the for the Bucks. 0:22:03.880 --> 0:22:06.160 It's like, okay, so Brady may get a rushing attempt 0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:10.040 to sneak, and then you've got Rojo and you've got Fournette, right, 0:22:10.119 --> 0:22:12.359 and then do you have an Antonio Brown jet sweep? 0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:15.119 Yeah? Who knows even gonna play by the way. 0:22:15.160 --> 0:22:17.640 I mean, you know he's questionable too, So like that's 0:22:17.720 --> 0:22:19.760 where like I was like, hmm, I could actually see 0:22:19.760 --> 0:22:22.119 the under on both those bets come down. I'm not 0:22:22.160 --> 0:22:24.720 playing either one. But it's not always those are availables 0:22:24.800 --> 0:22:26.480 or unique at FANDUL, but those are unique ways of 0:22:26.520 --> 0:22:27.479 betting rushing props. 0:22:27.560 --> 0:22:30.600 Yeah, that's the thing. Get get creative. I remember like 0:22:30.680 --> 0:22:32.679 one of my favorite wides, I forget what it was. 0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:34.720 It was something with most Raheem Mostert. It was like 0:22:34.800 --> 0:22:37.800 first carry over three yards or something like that. Yeah, 0:22:37.800 --> 0:22:39.200 and it hit. It just makes the rest of the 0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:41.320 day easier. So have have a lot of fun. So 0:22:41.320 --> 0:22:42.840 I'm gonna go to a running back, but I'm gonna 0:22:42.840 --> 0:22:44.840 go on the other side. Now here's the thing. I 0:22:44.960 --> 0:22:46.679 do not have a good sense in the same way 0:22:46.680 --> 0:22:48.080 I don't have a good sense of what it's going 0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:49.639 to look like on the Bucks side. I don't have 0:22:49.640 --> 0:22:51.080 a good sense of what it's gonna look like on 0:22:51.080 --> 0:22:54.879 the Chief side, because Edward Hilaire is reportedly pretty healthy 0:22:54.960 --> 0:22:57.480 right now, and again it's against the Bucks. Like, you 0:22:57.520 --> 0:22:59.320 don't want to take running backs against the Bucks, and 0:22:59.359 --> 0:23:01.880 you don't want to running backs on the Chiefs because 0:23:01.880 --> 0:23:03.960 they don't really run the ball. So what I'm gonna 0:23:03.960 --> 0:23:05.840 do is I'm gonna pivot a little bit and I'm 0:23:05.880 --> 0:23:09.840 going to take over twelve and a half receiving yards. 0:23:10.000 --> 0:23:13.199 It set minus one twenty four for Daryl Williams, so 0:23:13.280 --> 0:23:15.280 this is twelve and a half or thirteen and a half. 0:23:15.359 --> 0:23:16.960 I'd take it at thirteen and a half as well. 0:23:16.960 --> 0:23:18.879 It's actually eleven and a half at points bat I 0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:21.080 like that even more. But the reason that I think 0:23:21.119 --> 0:23:23.480 this is because even if Edwards A. Laire is healthy, 0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:26.879 I think Daryl Williams has kind of proven himself recently 0:23:27.000 --> 0:23:29.160 in the playoffs that he's a guy that they feel 0:23:29.160 --> 0:23:33.199 comfortable relying on, and in particular, he's doing really well passbocking, 0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:35.639 and that is what you are going to need desperately 0:23:35.680 --> 0:23:38.840 in this game without Eric Fisher against that Bucks pass rush, 0:23:38.840 --> 0:23:40.080 so I think he's going to be in a lot 0:23:40.080 --> 0:23:41.760 And again, they're going to pass. They're going to pass 0:23:41.800 --> 0:23:43.800 all day long, so I think the chances of him 0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:47.800 getting a dump off are really really high. Again, even 0:23:47.840 --> 0:23:50.439 if Edwards Hlaire is sort of like fully healthy and 0:23:50.480 --> 0:23:52.639 he gets a ton of work in this game, Like 0:23:52.680 --> 0:23:55.280 I think Williams is still going to factor in, and 0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:58.000 I think because he's such a good passbocker, he's going 0:23:58.040 --> 0:24:00.240 to be in there and all that really takes is 0:24:00.320 --> 0:24:02.520 one dump off, one dump off where he gets a 0:24:02.520 --> 0:24:05.320 little running room and gets there. So for me, I'm 0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:07.880 not taking the rushing props on those guys. I actually 0:24:07.960 --> 0:24:10.439 kind of like this is because it's for plus money. 0:24:10.720 --> 0:24:13.560 I don't mind over two and a half catches for 0:24:13.720 --> 0:24:16.520 Darrin Williams as well. That's plus one forty five. Okay, 0:24:16.520 --> 0:24:18.760 that is not likely to happen. You can get it 0:24:18.760 --> 0:24:21.760 at plus one fifty five bet MGM. But this is 0:24:22.000 --> 0:24:23.720 what I kind of think about this game, man. I 0:24:23.720 --> 0:24:25.959 think Williams is going to play a big role, regardless 0:24:26.000 --> 0:24:28.359 of Edwards Laire. I think because he's so good at 0:24:28.359 --> 0:24:30.480 pass blocking, he's going to be in a lot more 0:24:30.520 --> 0:24:33.919 than expected and in unpassing situations, which is basically going 0:24:33.960 --> 0:24:36.280 to be ninety percent of the situations. And I think 0:24:36.280 --> 0:24:38.400 that he's going to get involved enough in like sort 0:24:38.440 --> 0:24:40.080 of the dump off when Mahomes is like, oh my god, 0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:42.120 I'm running for my life for a second to make 0:24:42.160 --> 0:24:43.880 that number work. So for me, I'll take over twelve 0:24:43.920 --> 0:24:45.639 and a half and I'll take the over two and 0:24:45.680 --> 0:24:47.879 a half. I'll put that at receptions, but just because 0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:50.640 you're getting plus one forty five, maybe plus one fifty five. 0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:54.480 Okay, my next two or buy one player, Okay, And 0:24:55.080 --> 0:24:57.960 I'm going to go with Hartman here, and I got 0:24:57.960 --> 0:25:01.520 two plays on him. One. I like his over receiving 0:25:01.640 --> 0:25:06.120 a lot. I think I am going to be fading 0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:08.840 and I'll talk about it later, but the Hill prop 0:25:09.040 --> 0:25:13.000 for passing yards and the Kelsey passing yards prop, I'm 0:25:13.040 --> 0:25:17.400 gonna fade receiving the yard, sorry, not passing receivers. I'm 0:25:17.400 --> 0:25:20.800 just not going to be able to bet them until 0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:23.920 literally right before the game. I'm gonna wait, Oh, we'll 0:25:23.920 --> 0:25:26.560 talk about that. Yeah, Okay. So like those those are 0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:28.679 gonna be plays, but I can't give them out here 0:25:28.680 --> 0:25:30.120 on the podcast because I don't know what the number 0:25:30.160 --> 0:25:32.320 is gonna be. But it should be one hundred. It 0:25:32.320 --> 0:25:33.800 should be one hundred and somewhere, and both of those 0:25:33.800 --> 0:25:35.760 guys should be around one hundred. So we're going I'm 0:25:35.760 --> 0:25:38.639 going under them both. But Hardman, I think the Bucks 0:25:38.640 --> 0:25:41.080 are gonna take away both those two guys as much 0:25:41.119 --> 0:25:43.879 as possible. They're gonna double they're gonna basically say, somebody 0:25:43.920 --> 0:25:45.639 else is beating us. We're not letting Hill, We're not 0:25:45.680 --> 0:25:48.399 letting Kelsey beat us. So that means who else steps up? 0:25:48.440 --> 0:25:51.280 That means I think Hardman's gonna go feast. I think 0:25:51.320 --> 0:25:54.840 he easily gets forty to fifty yards receiving in this game, 0:25:55.040 --> 0:25:57.280 and I like him a score a touchdown to anytime 0:25:57.359 --> 0:26:00.240 touchdown for Hardman. Shop around and find the best rice 0:26:00.320 --> 0:26:02.960 on that. But I think Hardman scores, and I like 0:26:03.000 --> 0:26:05.640 the over on receiving yards for Hardman coming up here. 0:26:05.680 --> 0:26:07.440 You could shop around some of them. Not I saw 0:26:07.520 --> 0:26:09.480 under thirty? Is it still under thirty? What you see? 0:26:09.680 --> 0:26:10.960 Yeah, it's twenty eight and a half. 0:26:11.240 --> 0:26:13.159 Yeah, all day? Give me Hardman. I think he's got 0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:13.840 fifty yards coming. 0:26:14.080 --> 0:26:16.159 Okay, first of all, this is interesting. His odds on 0:26:16.200 --> 0:26:19.280 touchdowns scored, like anytime touchdowns are a little worse than 0:26:19.320 --> 0:26:21.159 I What are you expecting the odds to be met 0:26:21.280 --> 0:26:23.840 or have you looked at them at all? 0:26:23.960 --> 0:26:26.160 What did I What did I see? Like I think 0:26:26.200 --> 0:26:29.280 I thought I saw like plus seventy five one eighty. 0:26:29.240 --> 0:26:31.040 Oh okay, well they are that's where they are. Then 0:26:31.040 --> 0:26:33.480 they're fine actually met Ready when you run to bed 0:26:33.600 --> 0:26:37.600 MGM right after this his anytime touchdown plus two seventy five. 0:26:38.119 --> 0:26:40.240 So that's way out of line with the rest of 0:26:40.280 --> 0:26:42.760 the market. Like everything else is at basically plus two hundred. 0:26:43.040 --> 0:26:45.159 The contents of line is plus two twenty, but it's 0:26:45.160 --> 0:26:47.560 at plus seventy five. Funny, Matt, I was wondering whether 0:26:47.680 --> 0:26:49.280 or not you were going to go over half a 0:26:49.840 --> 0:26:52.640 that's not available everywhere, but at William Hill over half 0:26:52.680 --> 0:26:55.080 a yard rushing, Like whether or not you thought they 0:26:55.080 --> 0:26:57.240 were going to give him a sweep there? It's plus 0:26:57.240 --> 0:26:59.560 two ninety if you go over half a yard rushing. 0:26:59.560 --> 0:27:02.280 For me, he needs one rushing attempt to go over 0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:03.600 one yard and he hits that. 0:27:03.680 --> 0:27:05.280 As long as he gains a yard, Matt, you never 0:27:05.359 --> 0:27:07.600 know you could get that. Yeah, what do you think 0:27:07.640 --> 0:27:08.679 William Hill? Go get it? 0:27:08.720 --> 0:27:08.920 Matt? 0:27:09.040 --> 0:27:11.639 One over over a half yards tonight. 0:27:13.160 --> 0:27:16.480 I mean they gave him one play, correct, It's basically 0:27:16.480 --> 0:27:20.159 a one play bet, right. You know? 0:27:20.640 --> 0:27:23.119 You know at one point they're going to either do 0:27:23.200 --> 0:27:26.280 the handoff or the little drop into him while he 0:27:26.400 --> 0:27:28.919 comes across, which counts as the past, right, because that's 0:27:28.960 --> 0:27:30.440 what they've done the last two games, one of them 0:27:30.520 --> 0:27:31.960 was a run. Yeah, run of them was the one 0:27:31.960 --> 0:27:33.760 where he drops off the Brady Special. 0:27:33.440 --> 0:27:36.040 And that we needed him to have a catch there. 0:27:36.640 --> 0:27:37.280 A rush there. 0:27:37.160 --> 0:27:39.360 Because I've gone over to his crop the last two 0:27:39.359 --> 0:27:42.119 games exactly right, and that unfortunately was a rush. So 0:27:42.160 --> 0:27:44.720 I didn't do anything for us. So that's what it is. 0:27:44.720 --> 0:27:46.560 But yeah, it's over twenty eight and a half his 0:27:46.640 --> 0:27:48.640 receiving yards. I do like that. I do want to ask, 0:27:48.640 --> 0:27:50.720 because it does come into play for me. Are you 0:27:50.800 --> 0:27:53.560 expecting Sammy Watkins to play in this game? And does 0:27:53.600 --> 0:27:54.480 that matter to you at all? 0:27:54.480 --> 0:27:56.440 When you think about it, it matters, But it doesn't sound 0:27:56.480 --> 0:27:57.840 like he's going to be that healthy when if he 0:27:57.880 --> 0:28:00.200 does play. Yeah, so it's one of those things where 0:28:00.200 --> 0:28:02.040 it's like I'm gonna bank on him not being as 0:28:02.040 --> 0:28:04.439 healthy as they would like him to be. It's the 0:28:04.480 --> 0:28:08.040 super Bowl, so I think he'll play. But I think 0:28:08.400 --> 0:28:10.919 I think if Hardman's the guy who's more healthy, who 0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:13.080 gets open, I think Mahomes will trust him more than 0:28:13.080 --> 0:28:14.280 a gimpey Sammy Watkins. 0:28:14.280 --> 0:28:18.960 And I assume are you assuming that DeMarcus Robinson clears 0:28:19.000 --> 0:28:20.639 the COVID because he's on the COVID list, Because he 0:28:20.680 --> 0:28:22.679 was a close he's playing, but you don't think he's 0:28:22.680 --> 0:28:23.200 playing at all. 0:28:23.280 --> 0:28:25.439 I mean, I for what I mean, he sat in 0:28:25.480 --> 0:28:27.920 that barber chair for for long enough that I don't mean. 0:28:28.520 --> 0:28:29.360 It doesn't sound like. 0:28:29.520 --> 0:28:31.560 Was he the barber because he was put on it earlier. 0:28:31.760 --> 0:28:32.760 He was put on I thought he was. 0:28:32.800 --> 0:28:34.640 He was on the barber chair first. I thought both 0:28:34.680 --> 0:28:36.680 guys were in the barber chair, him in the backup center. 0:28:37.320 --> 0:28:39.280 All I know, I know the backup I know he was. 0:28:39.920 --> 0:28:41.520 He's been on the COVID list for a few days 0:28:41.600 --> 0:28:43.360 because it was a close contact. So I don't know 0:28:43.360 --> 0:28:45.960 whether it's to the barber. Okay, all right, because I 0:28:46.000 --> 0:28:46.880 only both guys were. 0:28:46.960 --> 0:28:49.600 Both guys were the barber, but he went first and 0:28:49.640 --> 0:28:52.440 then the rapid test came back when that when in 0:28:52.520 --> 0:28:57.320 knackup center was and he told him to finish. He 0:28:57.320 --> 0:28:58.760 didn't get up and ran. He didn't get up and 0:28:58.800 --> 0:28:59.320 run for the guy. 0:28:59.360 --> 0:29:01.120 Well, at that point, at that point he's a close 0:29:01.120 --> 0:29:03.680 god dect right, So at that point it doesn't really matter. Okay, right, 0:29:03.720 --> 0:29:06.240 But okay, to your point though, regardless of Robinson, I 0:29:06.520 --> 0:29:09.520 like your hardman, but Todd, we mentioned Sammy Watkins. I'm 0:29:09.560 --> 0:29:11.800 in complete agreement with you, Like, I think he probably 0:29:11.880 --> 0:29:14.360 suits up in this game, but I'm gonna be really 0:29:14.400 --> 0:29:16.840 shocked if he's in any way a factor, which is 0:29:16.840 --> 0:29:18.840 why I like the under thirty six and a half 0:29:18.880 --> 0:29:21.320 receiving yards for him, which is at minus one twelve. 0:29:21.400 --> 0:29:24.880 That's the universal across the across the board, it's it's 0:29:24.920 --> 0:29:27.480 thirty six and a half. It's pretty much anywhere between 0:29:27.480 --> 0:29:31.120 minus one ten and minus one fifteen. And again, you know, 0:29:31.320 --> 0:29:35.000 if DeMarcus Robinson is cleared, that makes it really enticing. 0:29:35.040 --> 0:29:37.920 So I don't think this number is gonna move really regardless, 0:29:37.920 --> 0:29:40.960 So you might as well wait if DeMarcus Robinson's cleared 0:29:40.960 --> 0:29:42.400 from the COVID list and he does come back, and 0:29:42.440 --> 0:29:44.400 forget about it, you pound the under all day long 0:29:44.720 --> 0:29:47.600 for sure. But again he's still limited in practice. Like 0:29:47.760 --> 0:29:49.880 I think he'll play, but I agree with you. It's 0:29:49.880 --> 0:29:51.680 a super Bowl, so he'll try to play, but he's 0:29:51.680 --> 0:29:54.040 not at one hundred percent. You're gonna see mcole hardman. 0:29:54.080 --> 0:29:56.440 I agree with you there. So for me, I'm I 0:29:56.440 --> 0:29:58.080 think we're both kind of viewing this in the exact 0:29:58.120 --> 0:30:01.560 same way. We're basically fading Sammy w and buying Mikol Hardman. 0:30:01.640 --> 0:30:03.680 So I'm with you there, but I'm going with it 0:30:03.720 --> 0:30:05.240 in a different way, and I'm gonna go with the 0:30:05.320 --> 0:30:08.840 under thirty six and a half receiving yards for Sammy Watkins. 0:30:09.080 --> 0:30:10.120 All right, what's next for you? 0:30:11.600 --> 0:30:15.040 So we talked about Ronald Jones over YEP. I think 0:30:15.720 --> 0:30:19.960 touch the shortest touchdown prop at one and a half 0:30:20.040 --> 0:30:23.800 yards is an interesting look given the propensity for these 0:30:23.800 --> 0:30:26.080 teams to get down to the one and then who 0:30:26.080 --> 0:30:28.520 gets to punch it in. It's been a pretty consistent 0:30:28.560 --> 0:30:30.400 bet in the Super Bowl to have a team come 0:30:30.440 --> 0:30:32.480 down and to score off from the one yard LINEEP. 0:30:32.760 --> 0:30:35.600 So I like that under one and a half yards 0:30:35.600 --> 0:30:39.280 for the shortest touchdown for the game. Somebody with a 0:30:39.280 --> 0:30:41.680 push in either. You know, you could take Brady, you 0:30:41.680 --> 0:30:43.480 could take my homes. You could take a punch in 0:30:43.520 --> 0:30:45.960 from Leonard Fournette. I don't mind the Leonard Fournette. I 0:30:46.000 --> 0:30:49.600 am close to going Leonard Fournette anytime touchdown. But since 0:30:49.600 --> 0:30:53.560 I'm looking at Ronald Jones, I'm like, nah, I'm kind 0:30:53.560 --> 0:30:56.160 of like I feel like I might middle myself there 0:30:56.160 --> 0:30:58.000 a little bit. I could lose both bets if I'm 0:30:58.000 --> 0:31:01.200 wrong about that. So I I'm eyeballing it there. I'm 0:31:01.240 --> 0:31:02.920 up there yet, But I think under one and a 0:31:02.920 --> 0:31:05.120 half yards for the shortest touchdown is a play I'm 0:31:05.120 --> 0:31:05.479 gonna make. 0:31:05.720 --> 0:31:07.600 Yeah, I like it. Actually, I think I think that 0:31:07.680 --> 0:31:11.160 makes a lot of sense because you know you've seen 0:31:11.200 --> 0:31:13.360 even like that. I guess maybe it comes from the two, 0:31:13.480 --> 0:31:16.200 but even the little flip to Kelsey, you know that 0:31:16.320 --> 0:31:19.080 happens right there, right there. Yeah, I like it. By 0:31:19.080 --> 0:31:22.360 the way, anytime touchdown for Leonard Fournette is plus one 0:31:22.480 --> 0:31:25.400 twenty the consensus lines, so not great there, but yeah, 0:31:25.440 --> 0:31:27.600 I agree with you. All right, Let's let's go to Mahomes. 0:31:27.680 --> 0:31:30.000 Let's go to Mahomes props Mahomes. 0:31:30.040 --> 0:31:32.320 I only have one on Mahomes's. 0:31:32.480 --> 0:31:34.280 One of Momes. Okay, well I have two. They don't 0:31:34.320 --> 0:31:37.080 and I don't. I want to make it very very clear. 0:31:37.360 --> 0:31:39.760 I don't love either one of them, but I am 0:31:39.800 --> 0:31:41.960 going to go with the opposite. And I feel like 0:31:42.040 --> 0:31:45.720 part of it is that I got I and everybody 0:31:45.720 --> 0:31:47.479 else who got this is like a famous thing with 0:31:47.560 --> 0:31:50.880 his rushing yard prop last Super Bowl where he he 0:31:51.000 --> 0:31:53.240 took low past it in the third quarter and then 0:31:53.680 --> 0:31:56.800 took like twelve yards and sacks to run off some 0:31:56.880 --> 0:31:57.640 time to go under. 0:31:57.640 --> 0:32:00.200 The seven yard one was the worst. It was. You 0:32:00.240 --> 0:32:02.680 could have survived the four yard, in the three yard, 0:32:02.720 --> 0:32:04.720 but the seven yard one was the worst. 0:32:04.960 --> 0:32:07.080 You mean the best because you bet. I bet under, 0:32:07.160 --> 0:32:09.080 So I love well you did. Oh, I've been under. 0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:12.360 You're the only one I've ever seen. Somebody on Twitter 0:32:12.400 --> 0:32:15.800 was asking that question, does anyone know anyone who won that? 0:32:15.960 --> 0:32:18.680 On that I saw audio boy, So you're right. Wow. 0:32:19.560 --> 0:32:22.000 I like, team up with a close friend of mine 0:32:22.040 --> 0:32:24.360 and we did you know, prop bets for the Super Bowl, 0:32:24.400 --> 0:32:26.080 and we all did it and that was mine, like 0:32:26.160 --> 0:32:28.000 mine because I did projections for it, and I said, 0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:30.520 I have him under. I feel pretty good about it. 0:32:30.720 --> 0:32:33.840 And he just saidled right over it so early and 0:32:33.880 --> 0:32:35.320 I was like, yeah, my bet on that one, but 0:32:35.520 --> 0:32:38.200 my bad. And then he legitimately like wasn't watching at 0:32:38.240 --> 0:32:40.120 the very end of the game, he just stopped watching. 0:32:40.160 --> 0:32:41.640 And I texted him. I was like, you're not going 0:32:41.720 --> 0:32:43.600 to believe this. We won, and he couldn't. He couldn't 0:32:43.680 --> 0:32:46.800 understand how it was possible. But I am going to 0:32:46.880 --> 0:32:51.440 go under again. Here. It's it's just up. It's minus 0:32:51.440 --> 0:32:53.440 one thirty seven and there is if you go on 0:32:53.520 --> 0:32:56.680 fandels minus one twenty two. Oh, actually, I'm sorry, that's 0:32:56.760 --> 0:33:01.440 to go that's to go over. Apologize to go under. 0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:03.840 It's plus one ten. So that that's one of the 0:33:03.880 --> 0:33:05.800 reasons why I like it. Nineteen and a half yards 0:33:05.880 --> 0:33:08.960 is nothing. There are reports that his toe is feeling 0:33:09.080 --> 0:33:12.920 a lot better, but I don't really expect this to be. 0:33:13.000 --> 0:33:14.719 You know, in the past, you've seen him in these 0:33:14.720 --> 0:33:17.440 playoff games and his rushing totals, I mean they spike 0:33:17.600 --> 0:33:20.360 by good twenty yards a game every single time. I 0:33:20.520 --> 0:33:23.040 just there's no way he's one hundred percent healthy. It's 0:33:23.040 --> 0:33:25.480 turf though, Okay, that takes a long time to get better. 0:33:25.640 --> 0:33:27.560 I'm sure he's gonna be fine. And even when he's gimpy, 0:33:27.600 --> 0:33:29.719 he can still move and stuff like that. I do 0:33:29.920 --> 0:33:32.080 also expect them to win. I do expect them to 0:33:32.120 --> 0:33:34.640 be some kneel downs and those couple of yards, those 0:33:34.680 --> 0:33:36.960 three extra yards, I think for me push it over. 0:33:37.040 --> 0:33:38.640 So I actually like the under, and again you're getting 0:33:38.640 --> 0:33:41.400 plus money on it. So plus one ten the under, 0:33:41.680 --> 0:33:43.840 nineteen and a half rushing yards. That's where I'm gonna 0:33:43.840 --> 0:33:46.640 go with mahomes. What's your mahomes prop that you like. 0:33:47.360 --> 0:33:52.280 My Mahomes prop is to ride the turnover luck that 0:33:52.320 --> 0:33:56.280 the Bucks have had to continue into the Super Bowl. 0:33:56.720 --> 0:33:59.760 Not saying Mahomes is gonna throw a horrible pick, but 0:33:59.800 --> 0:34:03.520 some one's gonna drop a ball, Someone's gonna get an overthrow. 0:34:04.560 --> 0:34:07.760 Mahomes to be intercepted is plus one forty yep. I 0:34:07.840 --> 0:34:09.320 like Mahomes throw a pick in this game. 0:34:09.440 --> 0:34:12.120 Yeah, it's one thirty five on draftings. I like it. Yeah, 0:34:12.480 --> 0:34:16.319 minus one sixty seven for under the half the half, 0:34:16.320 --> 0:34:19.440 but over half is one thirty five that I'm seeing. Yeah, 0:34:19.480 --> 0:34:21.440 I don't mind it. I mean, the Bucks are certainly 0:34:21.560 --> 0:34:23.840 figuring out ways to do it. It's Mahomes, so you 0:34:23.840 --> 0:34:26.839 wouldn't expect it. But yeah, it's most likely gonna take something. 0:34:26.880 --> 0:34:29.359 But again, the Super Bowl, there's always weird stuff. Man, 0:34:29.480 --> 0:34:30.440 there's always some weird stuff. 0:34:30.560 --> 0:34:33.520 They're gonna win the game. Okay, Mahomes is seven and four. 0:34:33.719 --> 0:34:37.560 When he throws two picks or more, he has they 0:34:37.600 --> 0:34:39.600 have to turn the ball over, like, they've got to 0:34:39.640 --> 0:34:42.440 get that offense off the field in some form or fashion. 0:34:42.480 --> 0:34:45.360 So either pick in the end zone, you know, a 0:34:45.440 --> 0:34:48.120 pick you know in at no close to midfield, to 0:34:48.120 --> 0:34:50.520 give Brady a short field, Like, if they're gonna win 0:34:50.560 --> 0:34:52.520 the game outright, they're gonna have to find a way 0:34:52.520 --> 0:34:56.560 to stop Patrick Mahomes. It's so hard to repeat because 0:34:57.000 --> 0:34:59.480 there is so much tape on you and what you do. 0:35:00.160 --> 0:35:03.040 And look, I don't I didn't like Todd Bowlds when 0:35:03.080 --> 0:35:06.319 he was with your Jets, but the guy's doing a 0:35:06.360 --> 0:35:09.320 bang up job with this defense right now and he 0:35:10.200 --> 0:35:12.040 may have maybe he should get a second chance at 0:35:12.040 --> 0:35:13.680 a head coaching job. I don't know, but he's a 0:35:13.719 --> 0:35:17.040 great defensive coordinator and he has really come into his 0:35:17.120 --> 0:35:18.400 own here in the postseason. 0:35:18.680 --> 0:35:20.640 Yeah, you can't hold it against anybody how they do 0:35:20.680 --> 0:35:23.080 with the Jets. Okay, you might need, you know, like 0:35:23.120 --> 0:35:26.359 a PhD to succeed in that job. Yeah, I really 0:35:26.400 --> 0:35:28.880 don't mind it, and I'm I'm going to fade Mahomes 0:35:28.960 --> 0:35:31.560 a little bit on this one. It's not crazy. We 0:35:31.560 --> 0:35:35.560 were talking about the passing yards prop and I see 0:35:35.600 --> 0:35:37.239 it as under as well. I don't want to bet it, 0:35:37.280 --> 0:35:39.799 but I see it there. I would rather go with 0:35:39.840 --> 0:35:43.279 the under twenty eight and a half completions rather than 0:35:43.320 --> 0:35:45.360 the Yordage prop. Now that's juiced up a bit to 0:35:45.400 --> 0:35:47.600 minus one twenty four if you go, if you bet 0:35:47.600 --> 0:35:50.480 the over twenty and a half, it's even money. He 0:35:50.560 --> 0:35:53.200 went under that number of completions twenty eight and a 0:35:53.239 --> 0:35:56.600 half in eleven of his sixteen regular season games. And 0:35:56.840 --> 0:35:59.359 really the issue is just for them to the extent 0:35:59.400 --> 0:36:00.960 you're looking at the un it's just the fact that 0:36:00.960 --> 0:36:03.960 they have so many just incredibly long plays, right the 0:36:04.000 --> 0:36:06.880 slants of Tyreek Hill to turn into fifty sixty yard plays, 0:36:07.080 --> 0:36:09.560 the huge you know, every time you know Travis Kelsey 0:36:09.600 --> 0:36:11.279 catches the ball, it's just a fifteen twenty. They can 0:36:11.320 --> 0:36:13.960 snap off a twenty yard play like other teams snap 0:36:14.000 --> 0:36:16.759 off five yard outs. You know, it's just nothing for them. 0:36:17.040 --> 0:36:20.319 So for me, it's not crazy like when I, you know, 0:36:20.400 --> 0:36:23.000 looked at the my initial run of projections, which again 0:36:23.000 --> 0:36:25.360 i'm going to redo before I get was twenty seven. 0:36:25.400 --> 0:36:27.080 So it's not as if it's like, Wow, I have 0:36:27.120 --> 0:36:28.839 this huge edge here. You're not going to find huge 0:36:28.920 --> 0:36:31.640 edges on any of these things. If people who do projections, 0:36:31.760 --> 0:36:34.240 there's no way because they the lines are so sharp. 0:36:34.480 --> 0:36:37.080 But for me, I don't like the yardage as much, 0:36:37.120 --> 0:36:39.520 even though I lean the under, but I like more 0:36:39.560 --> 0:36:41.640 of the pass completions for the ender, because again, I 0:36:41.680 --> 0:36:43.479 expect them to be ahead in this game. I don't 0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:45.480 think they're going to need to go crazy and they're 0:36:45.480 --> 0:36:47.520 going to pass all day long. But I don't. I 0:36:47.600 --> 0:36:49.960 just think with the long passes that the completion number 0:36:50.160 --> 0:36:51.560 in and of itself is the one that kind of 0:36:51.600 --> 0:36:54.080 leans towards the ender. So that's why two unders on 0:36:54.160 --> 0:36:56.319 the homes is rushing yard. Well, we have done under 0:36:56.360 --> 0:36:59.279 rushing yards, under completions and an interception in this game 0:36:59.320 --> 0:37:02.080 from a home, So I gotta be honest, we got 0:37:02.080 --> 0:37:04.560 to rethink our strategy here. Okay, what else? 0:37:04.680 --> 0:37:04.879 Yeah? 0:37:05.080 --> 0:37:05.399 What else? 0:37:05.440 --> 0:37:08.240 You want? Only one more? And this is just because 0:37:08.280 --> 0:37:11.040 it's hit so consistently during the regular season. I think 0:37:11.239 --> 0:37:12.680 if I go back and look at the number of 0:37:12.680 --> 0:37:16.319 times Mike Evans cast over receiving yards props for me 0:37:16.760 --> 0:37:18.920 in the regular season, it had to have been one 0:37:18.960 --> 0:37:21.000 of one of my favorite prop bets that I bet 0:37:21.000 --> 0:37:24.760 all year. So I'm just gonna go sixty three, sixty 0:37:24.800 --> 0:37:26.680 three and a half, depending on where you're gonna get 0:37:26.680 --> 0:37:30.760 this number, Mike Evans over receiving yards. Brady just hunts 0:37:30.800 --> 0:37:32.560 for him, He just looks for him all the time, 0:37:32.600 --> 0:37:35.080 and there's always that lollipop go up there and get it, 0:37:35.120 --> 0:37:38.160 big eye type of catch that goes for thirty thirty 0:37:38.160 --> 0:37:40.120 five yards. So all we need is one or two 0:37:40.160 --> 0:37:42.520 of those, and we're good here for Mike Evans over 0:37:42.640 --> 0:37:45.640 sixty three yards receiving. So I'm going over with Mike Evans. 0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:47.640 Yeah, they consent this line of sixty three and a 0:37:47.680 --> 0:37:49.960 half overs minus one oh six, so you can get sixty. 0:37:50.000 --> 0:37:51.560 You can always get a better line for what you want. 0:37:51.560 --> 0:37:54.960 Matt at BETMGM, it's sixty two and a half there. Yeah. 0:37:55.000 --> 0:37:57.560 I have a tough time with this because I think 0:37:57.600 --> 0:37:59.879 that that's what's gonna happen. And you're right, because we 0:38:00.120 --> 0:38:02.560 one thing we know about Brady is he's got to 0:38:02.680 --> 0:38:04.600 keep throwing it up. He's got to keep throwing it deep. 0:38:04.640 --> 0:38:06.880 Doesn't really matter the game situation. As we saw against 0:38:06.880 --> 0:38:09.000 the Packers, He's going to keep going with it. And 0:38:09.040 --> 0:38:12.560 so you can see the Chiefs have just done such 0:38:12.560 --> 0:38:17.200 a good job of limiting wide receivers throughout the entire season. 0:38:17.800 --> 0:38:20.000 But I mean, if I have to go one way 0:38:20.080 --> 0:38:22.759 or the other, I will go over. But I just 0:38:22.960 --> 0:38:25.520 you know, it makes me a little nervous to do 0:38:25.560 --> 0:38:27.239 it for anybody against the Chiefs, but. 0:38:28.040 --> 0:38:30.719 It's my least favorite one. I mean, it's just it's 0:38:30.760 --> 0:38:35.000 problematic because I know that pressure to Brady and Chris Jones. 0:38:35.640 --> 0:38:37.520 You know, there are a lot of people. I'm not 0:38:37.600 --> 0:38:41.239 betting the MVP because I don't trust the voters, and so, like, 0:38:41.760 --> 0:38:45.440 the biggest liability that Vanduel has is JPP to win 0:38:45.480 --> 0:38:48.960 the MVP, which is real hysterical. Which is hysterical, right 0:38:49.080 --> 0:38:50.440 because you can play it out right, if he had 0:38:50.640 --> 0:38:52.560 he has two sacks and the pick six or something, 0:38:52.960 --> 0:38:54.880 then it's like, oh my, he might like but Chris 0:38:55.000 --> 0:38:57.200 Jones equally, people think last year Chris Jones should have 0:38:57.200 --> 0:39:00.759 won the MVP. So it's just it's not it's offensive award. 0:39:00.800 --> 0:39:03.000 It's a quarterback award. So it's always like either Brady 0:39:03.040 --> 0:39:06.120 or Mahomes. Mahomes wins, it's Mahomes, Brady wins, it's Brady. 0:39:07.120 --> 0:39:09.359 But that's why the MVP wise, people have been kind 0:39:09.360 --> 0:39:12.000 of looking and kind of trying to find different values 0:39:12.560 --> 0:39:15.160 in there, and and it's a people have said, well, 0:39:15.160 --> 0:39:16.560 maybe it could be a wide receiver. I mean, what 0:39:16.560 --> 0:39:18.440 happens with Mike Evans goes for two hundred yards and 0:39:18.480 --> 0:39:21.120 four touchdowns or something crazy like that. It's so it's 0:39:21.520 --> 0:39:22.399 it's so hard to pick. 0:39:22.840 --> 0:39:24.840 I mean, Edelman won it, but that wasn't it. I 0:39:24.880 --> 0:39:27.040 feel like, if it's a non quarterback, it's got to 0:39:27.080 --> 0:39:31.200 be in a weird game where it's super defensive, right 0:39:31.360 --> 0:39:32.640 in a game like Edelman. 0:39:32.840 --> 0:39:37.160 The Boston media skewed that. Oh really, that was tough. 0:39:37.440 --> 0:39:39.640 That was the Boston media awarding that to Edelman. That 0:39:39.719 --> 0:39:42.080 was a really tight vote for him to win that. Yeah, 0:39:42.080 --> 0:39:43.959 and that was basically just like all the Boston media 0:39:43.960 --> 0:39:45.719 who had votes in the building were like, yep, it's 0:39:45.800 --> 0:39:48.040 Edelman because no one else wanted to vote for him, right. 0:39:48.160 --> 0:39:50.279 That was that was not an easy victory for him 0:39:50.280 --> 0:39:52.160 to pull down. But he should have won it. But 0:39:52.160 --> 0:39:54.960 it was really close for him to win the MVP 0:39:55.040 --> 0:39:55.759 of that Super Bowl. 0:39:55.920 --> 0:39:57.839 Yeah, but you know, you in the in the game 0:39:57.840 --> 0:40:00.720 that the Broncos won in Manning's last game, I forget 0:40:00.920 --> 0:40:03.000 who it was was. Maybe I forget who it was, 0:40:03.040 --> 0:40:05.440 but it was a defensive player in the Seattle game. 0:40:05.239 --> 0:40:07.440 With von Miller, right, yeah, it was von Miller, right, 0:40:07.440 --> 0:40:08.800 he was He was like, he's the last defens a 0:40:08.840 --> 0:40:10.200 player to win the MVP is von. 0:40:10.000 --> 0:40:12.600 Miller right exactly in the Seattle game, I think where 0:40:12.600 --> 0:40:17.880 they destroyed, uh, the Broncos. Before that there was a 0:40:17.880 --> 0:40:19.719 defensive player because you couldn't give it a Wilson because 0:40:19.719 --> 0:40:21.840 the team just crushed. You know that the game is 0:40:21.880 --> 0:40:24.520 just completely out of hand. Other than that, it's almost 0:40:24.520 --> 0:40:26.840 guaranteed to be a quarterback. I think the last like 0:40:27.200 --> 0:40:29.440 regular wide receiver to win and like a really close, 0:40:29.520 --> 0:40:32.279 good game for everybody was like Santonio Holmes in that 0:40:32.520 --> 0:40:36.239 Steelers Arizona game. So a millennium ago basically for me. 0:40:36.520 --> 0:40:39.960 So I'm going to go with a a prop that 0:40:40.120 --> 0:40:42.920 I like. It makes me very uncomfortable to bet it, 0:40:43.000 --> 0:40:46.640 but I'm gonna do it. And it's Tyreek Hill under 0:40:47.320 --> 0:40:51.120 six and a half catches. Now you can get under its. 0:40:51.800 --> 0:40:54.000 Y going yards, You're going receptions. 0:40:54.040 --> 0:40:55.840 I'm going you want to go. So we talked, you 0:40:55.840 --> 0:40:57.359 want to talk about the yards little because you talked 0:40:57.400 --> 0:40:58.880 about it. You want to talk about it with Kelsey. 0:40:59.040 --> 0:41:02.839 The yards are at ninety three and a half. That's 0:41:02.840 --> 0:41:05.600 a lot of yards, and Kelsey is around the same. 0:41:05.680 --> 0:41:06.879 I believe I'm checking it now. 0:41:07.239 --> 0:41:09.680 Kelsey four fandels at ninety eight aren't they. 0:41:10.080 --> 0:41:11.960 For Kelsey Fandles at ninety eight and. 0:41:11.920 --> 0:41:15.480 A half like a tight end? Yeah, ninety I know, 0:41:16.040 --> 0:41:16.680 And you. 0:41:16.719 --> 0:41:19.400 Know what, I can't do it. I can't bet I under. 0:41:19.840 --> 0:41:22.920 I will I can and I will Well, I'm. 0:41:22.719 --> 0:41:24.200 Going to do the worst part and I'm just not 0:41:24.320 --> 0:41:25.920 going to touch either one. Instead, I'm going to go 0:41:25.920 --> 0:41:28.000 wonder on reception. So here's the one thing. If you 0:41:28.120 --> 0:41:29.880 looked right now and again, I don't know what it's 0:41:29.960 --> 0:41:31.480 going to be like when you look at it by 0:41:31.520 --> 0:41:33.239 the time you listen to this, but you look at 0:41:33.239 --> 0:41:35.440 the receptions, you will see that it's all over the 0:41:35.440 --> 0:41:38.160 place between six and a half and seven and a half. 0:41:38.239 --> 0:41:40.759 The difference, obviously is the juice and that if you're 0:41:40.760 --> 0:41:42.880 going under six and a half, you're getting plus money 0:41:43.040 --> 0:41:45.879 on fandle. It's plus one twenty eight to go under 0:41:45.880 --> 0:41:48.960 six and a half receptions. So I'm going to ask you, Matt, 0:41:49.000 --> 0:41:52.680 without looking it up obviously, how many times did Tyreek 0:41:52.760 --> 0:41:55.520 Hill have more Do you think had more than six catches? 0:41:55.520 --> 0:41:57.000 Because it's six and a half, how many times they 0:41:57.000 --> 0:41:59.279 had more than six catches during the regular season? He 0:41:59.320 --> 0:42:01.279 played fifteen y okay, because he took last week off, 0:42:01.320 --> 0:42:03.040 So how many times does he have more than six catches? 0:42:03.640 --> 0:42:03.879 Four? 0:42:04.600 --> 0:42:07.319 Three? I mean, that's the thing. It's not now. Look, 0:42:07.520 --> 0:42:09.879 we're not going to talk about the playoffs at all, 0:42:09.880 --> 0:42:12.399 where he's basically got eight and nine catches and got nuts, 0:42:12.400 --> 0:42:13.920 And we're not going to talk about that first game 0:42:13.960 --> 0:42:15.799 against the Bucks where he had thirteen catches in two 0:42:15.840 --> 0:42:18.560 hundred and six and nine yards. It happens. It happens, 0:42:18.600 --> 0:42:21.280 you know, especially now where he has become the focal point. 0:42:21.520 --> 0:42:25.960 But I kind of do think that you mentioned Bowls again, 0:42:26.120 --> 0:42:28.520 bolds is a good defensive coach for sure. You know, 0:42:28.840 --> 0:42:30.719 hopefully he gets another shot at a head coaching job. 0:42:30.719 --> 0:42:32.200 He's done a really good job in the playoffs, as 0:42:32.200 --> 0:42:34.279 we've talked about. The only game he looked kind of 0:42:34.360 --> 0:42:36.839 shaky was that Washington game, where again I think they 0:42:36.840 --> 0:42:38.760 prepared for Alex Smith. So I'm not going to really 0:42:38.960 --> 0:42:41.880 have too much on him. But I mean, not that 0:42:41.920 --> 0:42:44.640 it matters, there's no revenge factor, but they were, of 0:42:44.760 --> 0:42:47.399 course so embarrassed in that first game with. 0:42:47.360 --> 0:42:49.080 What tyres was a big revenge factor. 0:42:49.320 --> 0:42:51.400 You know, well, you know, at the very least they 0:42:51.960 --> 0:42:54.520 know they have to figure out a way to stop 0:42:54.719 --> 0:42:57.840 that so I think so the under on the yardage 0:42:58.080 --> 0:43:01.120 I don't hate either. It's just I see the scenario 0:43:01.239 --> 0:43:04.640 much more of a little slant going for seventy five yards, 0:43:04.680 --> 0:43:07.720 and I think I see it as him getting peppered 0:43:07.760 --> 0:43:10.439 with targets and catches all day long. That's especially true 0:43:10.440 --> 0:43:13.319 because again without Eric Fisher, they're gonna get a lot 0:43:13.360 --> 0:43:16.000 of pressure on Mahomes. So I don't think you're gonna 0:43:16.040 --> 0:43:19.719 have these chances, a lot of chances for Hill to 0:43:19.800 --> 0:43:22.560 have four seconds to run his really deep route. I 0:43:22.560 --> 0:43:25.279 think Mahomes is gonna focus on getting the ball out quick, 0:43:25.280 --> 0:43:27.399 which again that could be to Tyreek Hill. There could 0:43:27.440 --> 0:43:29.319 be a lot of very quick passes to Tyrek Hill. 0:43:29.440 --> 0:43:31.040 But in the end, I think he'll really makes his 0:43:31.080 --> 0:43:33.120 money on these long passes. That's what they like to 0:43:33.120 --> 0:43:35.320 get him involved, to have roots that take time to develop. 0:43:35.360 --> 0:43:36.600 I don't think they have enough time to do it. 0:43:36.640 --> 0:43:39.200 So for me, especially getting plus money, if it's seven 0:43:39.239 --> 0:43:40.799 and a half, by the way to get the under 0:43:40.840 --> 0:43:43.560 is minus one thirty seven, so it's obviously a huge difference. 0:43:43.800 --> 0:43:45.960 But for me, I'm gonna go with the under six 0:43:45.960 --> 0:43:47.319 and a half. Now, it sounds like Matt you're not 0:43:47.320 --> 0:43:49.440 betting it, but you you lean towards the under on 0:43:49.480 --> 0:43:50.480 both Kelsey and Hill. 0:43:51.200 --> 0:43:54.680 I'm gone on game day, I'll bet it. I'll tell 0:43:54.680 --> 0:43:57.160 you basically, on the live stream, I'll be betting the under. 0:43:57.200 --> 0:43:59.600 I'm just gonna let this thing climb to get to 0:43:59.640 --> 0:44:02.759 beat ups scene number. And here's my thought. And look, 0:44:02.800 --> 0:44:04.520 I'm on a divisive coordinator. So I don't know what 0:44:04.520 --> 0:44:06.080 Todd Bulls is gonna do. But here's what I think 0:44:06.080 --> 0:44:08.439 they're gonna do. I think they're gonna they're gonna copy 0:44:08.440 --> 0:44:11.759 the what the Las Vegas Raiders did. I think they 0:44:11.800 --> 0:44:15.000 can get pressure with four or three down linemen, and 0:44:15.040 --> 0:44:17.879 I think they can play zone behind it, and it's 0:44:17.880 --> 0:44:19.640 gonna open up the middle of the field. And you 0:44:19.640 --> 0:44:21.799 could say, well, maybe they dink and dunk all day long. 0:44:21.840 --> 0:44:24.880 With Kelsey, that's possible, right, but you take away the 0:44:24.880 --> 0:44:27.960 home run hit, and so maybe you look at the 0:44:28.000 --> 0:44:30.799 Kelsey prop and maybe, okay, it's less likely the Kelsey hits, 0:44:30.800 --> 0:44:33.000 and maybe I'll talk myself out of the Kelsey prop. 0:44:33.160 --> 0:44:35.360 But I like the Hill more than the more than 0:44:35.400 --> 0:44:37.600 the Kelsey one, because I think if you are going 0:44:37.680 --> 0:44:40.319 to play what I mean, really, what the Packers should 0:44:40.320 --> 0:44:42.560 have been doing at halftime, which is, no one gets 0:44:42.560 --> 0:44:44.960 behind us. We're just gonna play zone. We're gonna go 0:44:44.960 --> 0:44:47.040 ahead and rush for We're gonna play you want. You 0:44:47.080 --> 0:44:49.080 want to dink and dunk all day long, that's fine, 0:44:49.080 --> 0:44:51.080 we'll clamp down in the red zone. We're gonna give 0:44:51.120 --> 0:44:54.160 you yards, which means maybe Kelsey picks up that hundred. 0:44:54.239 --> 0:44:56.680 But that's how I think they're gonna do it with 0:44:56.680 --> 0:44:59.360 with Thurik Kill, Like, how do they keep him out 0:44:59.400 --> 0:45:02.080 in behind from getting behind them? You just have the 0:45:02.120 --> 0:45:04.520 deepest man. You just you're gonna have one one guy 0:45:04.600 --> 0:45:07.879 deeper than Tarik Kill every single time. You're never gonna 0:45:07.920 --> 0:45:10.000 let him get behind you. So that I think could 0:45:10.000 --> 0:45:12.280 be the strategy. And then if you have offensive line problems, 0:45:12.520 --> 0:45:16.600 you set loose you know, White and JPP, and you 0:45:16.600 --> 0:45:18.560 know if you devea, you let these guys go after it, 0:45:18.880 --> 0:45:20.759 and maybe they're able to clog the middle up enough 0:45:20.800 --> 0:45:23.560 or get to pressure and put pressure on enough that 0:45:23.600 --> 0:45:24.799 makes Mahomes uncomfortable. 0:45:25.040 --> 0:45:27.960 Interesting, So I mean, really, if they do that, it 0:45:28.080 --> 0:45:31.759 is the yardage, less about the receptions really, because you 0:45:31.760 --> 0:45:33.600 know it might be more ding and done. I could 0:45:33.600 --> 0:45:35.160 see that as well. I think that makes a lot 0:45:35.160 --> 0:45:35.560 of sense. 0:45:36.000 --> 0:45:37.359 That's the only way you take him away though, right, 0:45:37.400 --> 0:45:40.120 I mean you can't. You can't put him one on one, 0:45:40.320 --> 0:45:42.480 and you can't even double them. You can't even bracket him. 0:45:42.520 --> 0:45:44.520 He'll run away from you. Right. There's no one in 0:45:44.560 --> 0:45:46.960 that defense that can match his speed. We saw that 0:45:47.239 --> 0:45:49.640 in the first matchup. The only way you're gonna do 0:45:49.640 --> 0:45:52.080 it is a forty yard cushion by taking your strong 0:45:52.120 --> 0:45:54.799 safety or your free safety and putting them forty yards 0:45:54.840 --> 0:45:57.120 ahead of terik kill. So if they throw the bomb, 0:45:57.680 --> 0:45:59.239 that player has a time to come over and knock 0:45:59.239 --> 0:45:59.600 it away. 0:45:59.760 --> 0:46:02.520 Yeah. Yeah, all right, that's a that's a that's a 0:46:02.560 --> 0:46:04.480 decent way down. So you think this number, though, is 0:46:04.520 --> 0:46:08.000 going to continue to climb even now, even as Oh. 0:46:07.880 --> 0:46:10.520 There's no debate in my mind this thing. I don't 0:46:10.560 --> 0:46:13.279 think this thing gets real underplay until it gets to 0:46:13.320 --> 0:46:14.399 one hundred and ten or more. 0:46:15.120 --> 0:46:16.280 What that high? 0:46:16.680 --> 0:46:19.480 Yeah, I'm dead serious. Look at the last Look at 0:46:19.480 --> 0:46:22.200 the last four games, I know, look at the numbers. 0:46:22.280 --> 0:46:25.120 I mean it's absolutely ridiculous. Last game what they had 0:46:25.120 --> 0:46:28.319 one hundred and eighteen, one hundred and twenty. Yeah, I 0:46:28.360 --> 0:46:31.480 mean it's psychotic, what the numbers are doing, and I 0:46:31.520 --> 0:46:34.319 just think everybody it gets to the super Bowl and 0:46:34.360 --> 0:46:38.600 then everybody goes, what the hell happened? Yeah, and what 0:46:38.680 --> 0:46:41.520 you normally have seen during the regular season. It's a 0:46:41.560 --> 0:46:45.080 funky game. There's more timeouts, the halftime is super long, 0:46:45.280 --> 0:46:49.080 the pregame is super long. It's a different flow the game. 0:46:49.480 --> 0:46:52.319 Brady always talks about it. You've got to have experience 0:46:52.360 --> 0:46:55.600 in this game. It's weird. Like the Falcons ran out 0:46:55.600 --> 0:46:58.840 of gas, like they're mentally and physically they just stopped 0:46:58.840 --> 0:47:02.319 thinking because they were tied long day. You're all hyped up, 0:47:02.360 --> 0:47:04.319 and then the fourth quarter comes around and you're like, 0:47:04.360 --> 0:47:07.680 oh my gosh, this game's been going on forever. Because 0:47:07.680 --> 0:47:10.600 you have to run twenty eight commercials, right, They got 0:47:10.600 --> 0:47:13.319 to run twenty eight sixty second commercials in this darn thing, 0:47:13.800 --> 0:47:16.560 so you know, they have to make up commercial breaks 0:47:16.560 --> 0:47:20.000 sometimes if there's long drives and the quarters go fast, 0:47:20.320 --> 0:47:22.040 they got to make up the commercials. So their stop 0:47:22.040 --> 0:47:23.480 of the game left and right, going to make the 0:47:23.480 --> 0:47:26.319 commercials up. This is not a typical football game, and 0:47:26.360 --> 0:47:28.040 a lot of times teams have a tough time with it. 0:47:28.320 --> 0:47:31.280 Yeah, all right, at those are all really good points. Okay, 0:47:31.520 --> 0:47:34.239 this was excellent. I love this podcast and I it 0:47:34.320 --> 0:47:37.160 is a good warm up for the prop livechain that 0:47:37.200 --> 0:47:38.520 we talked about that we're going to be doing on 0:47:38.560 --> 0:47:41.360 Betting pro on YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros again. 0:47:41.400 --> 0:47:43.840 That is going to be on Sunday, Super Bowl Sunday 0:47:44.040 --> 0:47:47.759 at four thirty Eastern to five thirty, and again the 0:47:47.920 --> 0:47:50.840 giveaway is going to be amazing. And let me just 0:47:50.880 --> 0:47:53.600 explain it so you guys like fully understand it. Okay, 0:47:54.000 --> 0:47:57.680 the giveaway, it's not open right now, like nobody's entering. 0:47:57.760 --> 0:48:01.680 We open that giveaway when we get to the live stream. Okay, 0:48:01.680 --> 0:48:03.560 that's gonna be at four thirty and it's only gonna 0:48:03.560 --> 0:48:06.200 be open for an hour. There are not gonna be 0:48:06.560 --> 0:48:10.359 that many entrants into this giveaway to win it. And 0:48:10.400 --> 0:48:13.359 it's awesome. That's gonna unveil it live on the at 0:48:13.360 --> 0:48:15.080 the end of the livestroom. It's going to be awesome. 0:48:15.160 --> 0:48:17.440 I promise you really want to be there again YouTube 0:48:17.440 --> 0:48:21.080 dot com slash Betting Pros four thirty Eastern on Super 0:48:21.080 --> 0:48:23.640 Bowl Sunday. Do not miss it, all right, Matt are 0:48:23.680 --> 0:48:25.360 you are you a little more pumped now? Like we 0:48:25.400 --> 0:48:26.880 did some bets, like I know you were kind of. 0:48:27.120 --> 0:48:30.520 Talking to me on Sunday, alday. I'll be fired up 0:48:30.520 --> 0:48:31.200 on Sunday. 0:48:30.960 --> 0:48:33.160 Alright, Debbie Downer, that's fine, all right, So we will 0:48:33.160 --> 0:48:36.799 talk again on Sunday again four thirty YouTube dot com 0:48:36.800 --> 0:48:38.719 slash betting Pros. We'll talk to you then. Until then, 0:48:38.920 --> 0:48:42.239 enjoy the last few days that we have of the 0:48:42.400 --> 0:48:45.000 twenty twenty NFL season, and we'll talk to you on 0:48:45.040 --> 0:49:04.000 Sunday