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Speaker 1: Hey there, everybody. Welcome to the final edition of the

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty I Guess Season NFL Season of the Betting

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Speaker 1: Brothers NFL Podcast. I'm your host, Dan Harris with me

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Speaker 1: is Matt Parol. Find us on Twitter at Dan Harris

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Speaker 1: Ady and at Sports Talk Matt Matt. This is it

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Speaker 1: super Bowl props. It's exciting. Are you ready?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I'm a little sad.

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Speaker 1: Oh man, that was so depressing. I was thought it

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Speaker 1: was gonna be like, yeah, let's go.

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Speaker 2: Now, I'm ready. But it's still I mean, there's a

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Speaker 2: couple of things. One, it's the end of the football season,

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Speaker 2: so there's no more football for a long time. So

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Speaker 2: that's a bummer. I'm excited because it's a heck of

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Speaker 2: a game. I'm a little bummed because no matter how

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Speaker 2: much they're trying to spin this like it's a super Bowl, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: not a super Bowl. Okay, this is not a super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: Budweiser is not even advertising in this game. All right,

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Speaker 2: this is not a typical year. We got twenty thousand

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Speaker 2: fans in Tampa, no radio row, no hype. I mean,

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs are showing up on Friday for this game,

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Speaker 2: for goodness sakes, and the barber for the Chiefs had

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Speaker 2: covid nineteen nearly took down the entire team. For goodness sakes,

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Speaker 2: this is just not a typical season. So while I'm

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Speaker 2: really excited to get to go with football, I'm bummed

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Speaker 2: the year is over. And I'm equally like, man, this

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Speaker 2: is not gonna be the same thing as normal.

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Speaker 1: I think it's so funny, but I feel like, maybe

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Speaker 1: you're right, and maybe that's how everybody feels. I don't

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Speaker 1: really feel that way, like, of course it's different, but

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Speaker 1: I feel like, probably because you've been doing radio for

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Speaker 1: your entire adult life, like you can really tangibly feel

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Speaker 1: the difference, right, and not for me, like, of course

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Speaker 1: I get it. Of course it's weird and it's not

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Speaker 1: the same. But I don't find my enthusiasm for this

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Speaker 1: game dimmed whatsoever, even though it's not like the classic

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Speaker 1: usual way we're doing it. It might just because you're radio,

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Speaker 1: or it might be because I'm an odd human being.

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Speaker 1: I don't know the answer to it, but regardless, well, yeah,

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Speaker 1: you to your point.

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Speaker 2: I mean, so normally, in the week of the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 2: there are every every A, B and C list celebrities

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Speaker 2: trying to get on the radio, trying to get on

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Speaker 2: your radio show, trying to talk right. So, like, the

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Speaker 2: biggest name I've had on so far is Barry Sanders.

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Speaker 2: Now that's a great, big Hall of Fame football name,

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Speaker 2: right right, But normally during football week there's a Barry

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Speaker 2: Sanders every day.

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Speaker 1: I get it.

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Speaker 2: I get So that's the weirdness about it that we're like,

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Speaker 2: where is everyone Like, no brand wants their name really

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Speaker 2: out there too enthusiastically, nobody wants to do any of

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Speaker 2: the stunts of the stupid stuff they always do. So

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Speaker 2: it's just different.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, No, I do get it. And for me, I've

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Speaker 1: got the Chiefs and a Bucks game and we're at

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, which I really if I were a

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Speaker 1: betting man, which obviously I am, I probably would have

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Speaker 1: later bet that we would not have made it to

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Speaker 1: this point because, you know, kudos to them and continue

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Speaker 1: to dodge, you know, the landmines with the barber and

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Speaker 1: all that, keep going until we get the Sunday. All right,

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Speaker 1: So we've got a few things to talk about. Number One,

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Speaker 1: Matt and I are mostly going to be talking about

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Speaker 1: prop bets, although Matt, if it's okay to start by

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Speaker 1: talking about the side in the total. We talked about

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Speaker 1: it last week, but okay, good, so we'll talk about that,

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Speaker 1: see where it has ended up, and then see if

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Speaker 1: we like either side of it. But we are going

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Speaker 1: to be talking about a lot of player props today,

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Speaker 1: but we are also going to be talking about player

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Speaker 1: props on Sunday before the Super Bowl at four thirty

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern on our YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros. We are also going to be simulcasting I

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Speaker 1: guess it's the right term for it on our Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros Twitter account, which is at Betting Pros NFL. I believe, yeah,

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Speaker 1: look at us. We may also I think we're probably

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Speaker 1: going to also simonich.

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Speaker 2: I was not doing that every every weekend, you.

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Speaker 1: Know, we try to save it for the special time.

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Speaker 1: But you're right, that was my bad. Now on we

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Speaker 1: should have been doing that for sure next year, don't worry.

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Speaker 1: But for the for the we also may be doing

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Speaker 1: it on our Fantasy Pros YouTube account, YouTube dot com.

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Speaker 1: It's a big one. But because as you know, we

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Speaker 1: have a giant giveaway that we are going to be

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Speaker 1: doing on that live stream. At the very least we

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Speaker 1: know it's going to be an autographed helmet from a

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Speaker 1: former NFL MVP and Super Bowl winner. It's a big one.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna have fun. We're gonna be doing player props

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Speaker 1: all the time, even though we are also doing them here.

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Speaker 1: Some of them will probably overlap, but not all of them.

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Speaker 1: That is sponsored by win bet, and we're gonna be

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Speaker 1: using their odds for it. So again, go check them

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Speaker 1: out and make sure you don't miss at four thirty

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Speaker 1: Eastern YouTube dot com slash betting pro So let's talk

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Speaker 1: first about the game here, Matt, that we'll get into

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Speaker 1: some player props. So when we originally did it, I

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Speaker 1: actually can't remember. I should have gone back and listened

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Speaker 1: to it. I don't remember if it was at three

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Speaker 1: or three and a half the consensus lines. I know

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Speaker 1: it was.

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Speaker 2: It was a pingpong, but a different book at different prices.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so for the most part, it's now settled at three.

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Speaker 1: There is bet MGM out there which is at three

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Speaker 1: and a half, but our consensus line is three. Even

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Speaker 1: at DraftKings, by the way, which was holding at three

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Speaker 1: and a half, which we had talked about, it was

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Speaker 1: there for a while. It dropped today actually it's dropped

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Speaker 1: to three, back up to three and a half.

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Speaker 2: And then you know why betmgym's at three At three

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Speaker 2: and a half though, right, why two point three million

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Speaker 2: dollar bet on Chiefs? Sorry? On one? And a lot

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Speaker 2: of it was on the bucks, right or the Chiefs? Wait,

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Speaker 2: I'm forgetting which one it was on. I thought that

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Speaker 2: was on the It was on the bucks, right, three

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Speaker 2: point two point three million on the chief it was. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: there was two point three on the Chiefs, right? Minus three?

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Speaker 1: Well, I would assume if I mean, the reason would

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Speaker 1: hold that it would be at three point five because

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Speaker 1: they want money on the bucks. So you assume it

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Speaker 1: came in on the Chiefs, right. I have to look

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Speaker 1: at this all right, now, this is just it was.

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Speaker 2: Oh no, it's on Tampa. I'm wrong, okay, all right,

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Speaker 2: it's at BETMGM though, So I was right about that.

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Speaker 2: It's at BETMGM, but it was on Tampa. So why

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Speaker 2: are they at three point five? Well? Why are they

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Speaker 2: at three and a half?

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: That's wet there. I forget they'd be at three.

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Speaker 1: It's juiced up a little bit. I mean it's at

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Speaker 1: minus one fifteen and it's minus one oh five to

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Speaker 1: take the Chiefs at minus three and a half. And

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Speaker 1: again I'm looking at all of this just so you

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Speaker 1: guys know, I'm on bettingpros dot Com. I just go

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Speaker 1: to NFL and odds and I look at it and

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Speaker 1: it pops up. It's against the spread, and it shows

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Speaker 1: me the consensus odds for betting pros do com and

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Speaker 1: it shows me at all the various sports books. So

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Speaker 1: again I'm in New Hampshire. As I mentioned, I played DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: It shows me right now the odds of DraftKings are

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Speaker 1: taking the Chiefs laying three. You want to take the trees,

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Speaker 1: it's minus one fifteen. You want to take the Bucks

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Speaker 1: it's minus one oh six. And you see all these

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Speaker 1: books William Hill two and then one. Only one on

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Speaker 1: our list right now he's currently at minus three and

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Speaker 1: a half and that is bet MGM that So I

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Speaker 1: don't know, maybe they're comfortable, maybe they want more money

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Speaker 1: on the bucks. I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I have to look this up. I wonder if it's

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Speaker 2: bet MGM New Jersey or be BETMGM Vegas as well,

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Speaker 2: because they split their two. They've got non Nevada in Nevada.

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Speaker 2: People don't they're at three and a half here in

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Speaker 2: Vegas two. Wow, it's just.

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Speaker 1: Minus one incorrect yep, wow.

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Speaker 2: In the same lines at both Okay.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's all right.

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Speaker 2: With their viability, that's stunning. I have to go where

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Speaker 2: we're done here. You know where I'm going. Yeah, I'm

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Speaker 2: going to go to be MGM.

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Speaker 1: I understand you are, You're going to take it right there. Now,

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Speaker 1: the total when we first did it, I remember, was

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Speaker 1: at fifty seven and a half one point whatever. Now

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Speaker 1: the consensus line is at fifty six. There's fifty five

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Speaker 1: and a half over a fandle there's a fifty six

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Speaker 1: and a half at bet MGM. But for the most part,

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Speaker 1: the books draftings William Hill all points BET. They're all

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Speaker 1: at fifty six now for the total. So that has

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Speaker 1: come down as we expected, I mean, I think right,

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Speaker 1: So all right, how do you feel, Matt? Do you

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Speaker 1: have a lead? I mean at three and a half,

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Speaker 1: it sounds like you like the bucks and you're gonna

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Speaker 1: run and take them if you can.

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Speaker 2: Okay, So let me just explain this, bet, okay, because

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Speaker 2: this is not done really with logic that this is

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Speaker 2: done because I am oh and three and I refuse

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Speaker 2: to go oh and four betting against Tom Brady in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. So if I back Brady and he wins, great.

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Speaker 2: If I back Brady and he loses, which I think

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Speaker 2: is what's gonna happen, I think it's I'm gonna be

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Speaker 2: okay with it. I'm okay going down with Brady and

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Speaker 2: Gronk and that team over and not backing the Chiefs,

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Speaker 2: even though I think I'm doing you all a solid

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Speaker 2: by betting the Bucks because that means the Chiefs winning.

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Speaker 2: Chiefs cover. So, given how bad I have been in

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Speaker 2: the postseason, I'm going to take one for the betting

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Speaker 2: pro team, and you guys all bet the Chiefs. I'll

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Speaker 2: bet the Bucks. I'll be wrong, and you will cash.

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Speaker 1: This is a very scientific analysis that Matt is doing

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Speaker 1: right now. He is fading himself basically, is what he

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Speaker 1: wants you to do. So I waited, Matt, and when

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Speaker 1: we talked about it, originally I said I didn't.

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Speaker 2: I didn't.

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Speaker 1: First of all, I have a very small wager on

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Speaker 1: the side on this because this is a day for props. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is not really a day to go huge on

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Speaker 1: the spread.

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Speaker 2: It's just I'm betting a quarter unit by the way, yeah, exactly,

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Speaker 2: just an idea where I'm betting. This is not I'm

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Speaker 2: design a bet. It's a quarter, right.

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Speaker 1: I bet a half a unit on the Chiefs layingth

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Speaker 1: three when it came down to DraftKings. Really, I wasn't

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Speaker 1: convinced that it was going to get there because we

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Speaker 1: talked about him. It was at three and a half,

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Speaker 1: but I decided to do it when I had three.

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Speaker 1: Now it's kind of settled at three, so I didn't

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Speaker 1: have to rush to do it, and I think I

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Speaker 1: probably got it at like minus one sixteen instead of

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Speaker 1: minus one fifteen. But that's fine. But I'm fine with

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs leangth three. I do think the Chiefs are

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Speaker 1: going to win this game. I could see them dominating

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Speaker 1: this game, especially after the way we saw them dismantle

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Speaker 1: the Bills and everything like that. But in the end,

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Speaker 1: it's not something I'm going heavy on. I do like

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Speaker 1: them laying three. I would take them if it was

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Speaker 1: three and a half. I just stay away because you know,

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Speaker 1: it's my expectation is that it's gonna be a one

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Speaker 1: score game. I just don't know whether or not that

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Speaker 1: score is going to be within seven or in three,

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Speaker 1: But I do think the Chiefs are gonna win, which

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Speaker 1: is why I'd be fine too. If you want to

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Speaker 1: do the money line, I'd than that Draftings is also

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Speaker 1: the lowest money line. It's minus one sixty two. The

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Speaker 1: consensus is minus one sixty five, so I'd be fine

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Speaker 1: with that. I'm going to be very surprised if the

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Speaker 1: Bucks find a way to win this game. What about

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Speaker 1: the total, Matt, Do you like it on the over

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Speaker 1: now that it's come down to fifty six? Are still

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Speaker 1: too high for you?

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Speaker 2: No? I like the under. I think it's under play, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I think. I mean it's a lot of points. I

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Speaker 2: mean I think I don't like it at fifty six.

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Speaker 2: I want to over fifty six. That's why I'm going

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Speaker 2: to take it before potentially it hits fifty six. I

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Speaker 2: think the more money I think money's coming in on

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Speaker 2: the under, I think people are going to start to

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Speaker 2: I think even the public mind start to get on

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Speaker 2: the under. But I'll explain why like the under. It

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Speaker 2: correlates with one of my props that I like. I

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Speaker 2: just I think this is going to be a slower

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Speaker 2: starting game than what we saw. Everyone thinks it's going

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Speaker 2: to be like Week twelve, and I think Week twelve

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Speaker 2: is really screwing the people's minds.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I think that that's fair. Again, you're running

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Speaker 1: to bet MGM after this because BETMGM is at fifty

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Speaker 1: six and a half. That's the only book I'm seeing

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Speaker 1: right now, Yeah, at fifty six and a half. So

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Speaker 1: after this, you're running to place your bet on the Bucks,

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Speaker 1: and you're running to place your bet on the under

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Speaker 1: the fifty six and a half. I don't have a

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Speaker 1: strong feel on it. I lean towards the over, but

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Speaker 1: it's so public and everything like that. I do think

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Speaker 1: there is going to be scoring in this game. But

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Speaker 1: you know, again, you have two relatively strong defenses. I

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Speaker 1: am a little concerned about what the loss of Eric

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Speaker 1: Fisher is gonna do because I think the Bucks are

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Speaker 1: going to get pressure on Mahomes. Does that slow them

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Speaker 1: down a little bit? But I'm really staying away from

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Speaker 1: the side. If I'm forced to choose, I'd probably go

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Speaker 1: over fifty six, but I'm not really getting it very close.

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Speaker 1: So let's go to some player props. So before we

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Speaker 1: get into it, if you want to see the list

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Speaker 1: of player props, I told you can see the consensus

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Speaker 1: game lines, the spread, the over under. You can do

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Speaker 1: the same with player props. You can see the various

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Speaker 1: odds that are available at the various books and they

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Speaker 1: vary like this is a time where if you have,

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Speaker 1: you know, the option to bet at multiple sports books,

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Speaker 1: this is a time where you can really take advantage

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Speaker 1: of the differences in some sports books. Go to Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com slash prop bets. That's going to show you

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Speaker 1: basically all the list of player props that are available.

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Speaker 1: That's what I'm looking at right now. We also have,

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Speaker 1: as we've mentioned before on this show and a Matt

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Speaker 1: has mentioned on its live streaming on The Daily Juice,

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Speaker 1: the prop bet cheat cheat creator that's going to give

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Speaker 1: you the best available props based on Betting Pros projections,

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Speaker 1: based on the available thing lines in the market. It

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Speaker 1: will show you the best line that you can get

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Speaker 1: out there. It will also show you specifically if you

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Speaker 1: want just available in your state. Again, bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: slash props for that. And again, as we've said, this

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Speaker 1: is a prop bet game. That's where you want to

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Speaker 1: be doing on this game instead of going to the

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Speaker 1: side or the total. So with that, Matt, let's start

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Speaker 1: with some props. Go ahead, you can kick us off.

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Speaker 1: What do you like coming into this game?

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Speaker 2: Do you want player props first, or do you want

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Speaker 2: one quarter? Or do anything that you want to do, Matt, Okay,

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Speaker 2: let's start with the first quarter.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Historically speaking, Tom Brady, even go through the games with

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Speaker 2: Tom Brady, he has not scored a touchdown. I think

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Speaker 2: it's in the maybe ever, he's never scored a first

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Speaker 2: quarter touchdown in the super Bowl. I think that's right.

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Speaker 2: I think that's right. And so the Patriots, as being

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Speaker 2: a Patriot fan that I know, I've made money on this.

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Speaker 2: When Brady's in the in the super Bowl, they don't

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Speaker 2: score in the first quarter.

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Speaker 1: All right? Why, by the way, Matt.

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Speaker 2: Because defenses come out roaring in the first quarter. It's

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Speaker 2: the Super Bowl. Every play, every tackle, every single step

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Speaker 2: is put with force and purpose. They know where they're going,

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Speaker 2: they've seen the plays, they've studied it, they're coached up.

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Speaker 2: These coaches have everything that they need. They've not seen.

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Speaker 2: You can't run anything on these guys they haven't seen before.

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Speaker 2: So I think defenses are way ahead of the offenses

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Speaker 2: early until they get tired. So early. I think there's

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Speaker 2: a real chance you see a seven to three first quarter.

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Speaker 2: So the numbers ten and a half, Okay, find ten

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Speaker 2: and a half. Shop around. It's out there. First quarter

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Speaker 2: under ten and a half. It is eight and one

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Speaker 2: over the last nine Super Bowls.

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Speaker 1: Eight and one under ten and a half in the

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Speaker 1: last nine Super Bowls.

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Speaker 2: Uh huh.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well I'm looking. So I'm looking at DraftKings right now.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that's listed on the on the on

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Speaker 1: the game spreads, which, by the way, if you go

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Speaker 1: to the page either the player props or the game lines,

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Speaker 1: you can also look at game props and all that,

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Speaker 1: and yeah it is. It is just Matt under ten

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Speaker 1: and a half points minus one fifty over ten and

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Speaker 1: a half plus one ten.

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Speaker 2: That's too bad. Yeah, like that's not bad. Yeah, that's

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Speaker 2: one fifty. That's not bad at all. Take that BA

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Speaker 2: all day. Yeah, that's not bad at all.

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Speaker 1: No, I do good.

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Speaker 2: Sorry, I just I just think that this is going

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Speaker 2: to be a different game than the first time around.

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Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, so you also think the Chiefs are going

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Speaker 1: to start a little slo.

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Speaker 2: I yeah, I look. Historically speaking, Patrick Mahomes' best quarter

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Speaker 2: is the second quarter. Yeah, I think he's the best

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Speaker 2: scoring second quarter quarterback in the NFL. So I think

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Speaker 2: they score a touchdown. I mean, I think they'll have

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Speaker 2: two drives probably in the first quarter. They probably get

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Speaker 2: seven out of it. But I think the offense for

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Speaker 2: the Bucks will not score a touchdown in the first quarter.

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Speaker 2: That's run banking on. So first quarter under ten and

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Speaker 2: a half is my first play.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So you know, obviously we're doing Betting pros. We

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Speaker 1: also have Fantasy Pros, and one of the things we

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Speaker 1: did on Fantasy Pros is a couple of the riders.

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Speaker 1: They basically said, Okay, how do you feel about the spread?

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Speaker 1: What do you think the final score is going to be?

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Speaker 1: How do you see this game unfolding? And I basically

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Speaker 1: wrote exactly that, Matt, which is, I see this game

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Speaker 1: getting off to a slow start. I think that it's

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Speaker 1: going to be a close game heading into you know,

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Speaker 1: probably almost maybe the end of the second quarter, and

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Speaker 1: then eventually you're going to have, maybe in the third quarter,

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Speaker 1: you're going to have one of these three touchdowns over

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Speaker 1: the course of ten minutes with Mahomes or something going

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Speaker 1: crazy and stuff like that. I agree with you, though,

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Speaker 1: I think it's going to It's a great stat about

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Speaker 1: how slow it starts, and I think that that's that's

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Speaker 1: how I see it coming going this game as well.

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Speaker 1: So I like that. So I'm going to go to

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Speaker 1: a player props. I mostly stuck with player props because

360
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Speaker 1: I do mostly projections. Obviously, I'm going to take Brady

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Speaker 1: and I'm going to take him to go over two

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Speaker 1: and a half passing touchdowns. Now you're getting plus money

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Speaker 1: on this, Okay, it's plus one twenty five is the

364
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Speaker 1: consensus lines. If you look around, you can get it

365
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Speaker 1: at better than that. You can get it at plus

366
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Speaker 1: one thirty five at bet MGM or plus one thirty

367
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Speaker 1: two at FANDLE at DraftKings, and our consensus lines it

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Speaker 1: is at plus one twenty five over the year. So

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Speaker 1: he's gone over two and a half passing touchdowns eight

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Speaker 1: times in nineteen games. All right, So that's why nineteen

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Speaker 1: games including the playoffs, that's why you're getting plus money.

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Speaker 1: But the total points in the games that he has

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Speaker 1: gone over fifty seven, seventy one, fifty four, fifty one,

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Speaker 1: sixty nine, sixty five, sixty nine, and then one game

375
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Speaker 1: thirty eight, which you manage to go over. So I

376
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Speaker 1: expect this game to be high scoring. Whether or not

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Speaker 1: it hits the fifty six or something like that, it's

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Speaker 1: going to be a high scoring game. You know, he's

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Speaker 1: going to need points. I think he's going to be

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Speaker 1: chasing points because I think eventually the Chiefs are going

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Speaker 1: to get out out to a big lead. And they

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Speaker 1: allow passing touchdowns in the league. I mean they were,

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Speaker 1: you know, certainly in the top half. Even though they're

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Speaker 1: good against wide receivers, they do allow a lot of

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Speaker 1: passing touchdowns because they put up a ton of points.

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Speaker 1: So obviously other teams need to just throw. So for me, look,

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Speaker 1: you know, I don't expect I expect them to put

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Speaker 1: up three four touchdowns again, because I think it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be high scoring. So I think Brady gets at least

390
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Speaker 1: three passing touchdowns here. I'll take it with the plus

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Speaker 1: money at plus one twenty five. Tom Brady over to

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Speaker 1: an a half passing touchdowns like it.

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Speaker 2: I think there's a good chance that if you play

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Speaker 2: it out and if you like the over, I think

395
00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:38,480
Speaker 2: both Mahomes and Brady touchdowns. Over is probably to play it.

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00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:42,360
Speaker 2: But I just look historically speaking, you know, inside the

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Speaker 2: red zone. Sure, they've got Leonard Fournette who could vulture

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Speaker 2: it and take it away, but historically this team tends

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Speaker 2: to score throwing the football.

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Speaker 1: Correct, So if I wouldn't. You know, it's funny because

401
00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:55,440
Speaker 1: I thought Matt about like Brady anytime touchdowns because you

402
00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:57,960
Speaker 1: can see him sneaking it in, right. And the Chiefs actually,

403
00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:02,240
Speaker 1: oddly enough allowed a ton of rushing dutchdowns to quarterbacks

404
00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:04,479
Speaker 1: and they weren't all like you know, they weren't all

405
00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:06,560
Speaker 1: the Deshaun Watson types or anything like that. They were

406
00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:08,560
Speaker 1: just kind of guys who snuck it in, like with

407
00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:11,000
Speaker 1: two of it and stuff. So I was thinking about

408
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Speaker 1: doing that, But I really do think that in the end,

409
00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:16,119
Speaker 1: especially given what they're gonna need, I think they're gonna

410
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:18,199
Speaker 1: need to do one of these things where you know

411
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Speaker 1: that Brady has a deep pass that falls down at

412
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Speaker 1: the two for it to be something like Leonard Fournette

413
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Speaker 1: or even Brady sneaking in. So that is why I like.

414
00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:27,520
Speaker 1: But yeah, the passing dutchdowns over two and a half

415
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Speaker 1: for Mahomes obviously is minus one fifty five, right, Like

416
00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:32,960
Speaker 1: there's a big difference. I think they both are going

417
00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:34,840
Speaker 1: to get there, But I like the Brady one because

418
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Speaker 1: of the plus money. All right, what's your next one?

419
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Speaker 2: My next one is Ronald Jones over rushing yards. I

420
00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:45,679
Speaker 2: think everyone is. I think everybody is talking up Leonard

421
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Speaker 2: Fournette and they're forgetting that earlier in the year when

422
00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:52,399
Speaker 2: Ronald Jones ran the ball consistently when he had I

423
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,159
Speaker 2: think the stat was when he ran the ball for

424
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Speaker 2: fifteen more times or more times they were undefeated. They

425
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Speaker 2: just don't They don't want to throw the ball in

426
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Speaker 2: every down. They want to run the ball. Fournette has

427
00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:06,600
Speaker 2: got the carries because Jones got hurt late in the

428
00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,160
Speaker 2: year and he missed the game, and then Fournette came

429
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:10,879
Speaker 2: in and Fornett was running the ball really hard. But

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Speaker 2: I think ultimately, I still think they believe that Ronald

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00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:16,840
Speaker 2: Jones is the better running back. He went for ninety

432
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:20,040
Speaker 2: nine yard run against the Panthers on the road. He's

433
00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:23,720
Speaker 2: got that breakaway speed. It could be popped in one run,

434
00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,160
Speaker 2: thirty four and a half, thirty five, thirty six, Shop

435
00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:27,800
Speaker 2: around and see where you can get this. But I

436
00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:32,000
Speaker 2: think everyone's on the Fournett prop. At FanDuel today, the

437
00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:33,800
Speaker 2: Fournette prop went all the way up to fifty one

438
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:36,320
Speaker 2: and a half for his rushing total, and they got

439
00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:39,119
Speaker 2: hit with two max bets on the under that dropped

440
00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:41,760
Speaker 2: it back down to forty eight. I just think everyone

441
00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:43,920
Speaker 2: is looking at this Fournette line and saying, Oh, it's

442
00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:47,480
Speaker 2: gonna be playoff Lenny, here he comes. I don't think so.

443
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:49,320
Speaker 2: I think you're looking at the wrong running back. I

444
00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:52,200
Speaker 2: think Ronald Jones gets gets the bulk of the carries,

445
00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:55,240
Speaker 2: and I think he's gonna obliterate thirty five yards rushing

446
00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:56,959
Speaker 2: in this game. I think he's gonna go for sixty

447
00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:59,440
Speaker 2: plus here, run the ball for the bucks. I love

448
00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:01,760
Speaker 2: Ronald Jone Zones shop around for the best price, But

449
00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:03,760
Speaker 2: Ronald Jones over rushing prop.

450
00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:06,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, the consensus line of them looking at is thirty

451
00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,920
Speaker 1: five and a half. DraftKings is thirty seven and a

452
00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:11,680
Speaker 1: half for whatever reason. So there are those out there,

453
00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 1: but for the most part, thirty five and a half.

454
00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:15,000
Speaker 1: William Hill's at thirty four and a half. So this

455
00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:17,359
Speaker 1: is where I'm saying, like those couple of yards, they

456
00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:19,800
Speaker 1: may seem insignificant, but they're huge at this point because

457
00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:21,880
Speaker 1: any edge you can get in that So this is interesting.

458
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:25,960
Speaker 1: Matt I've tried to feel comfortable with the running game,

459
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:27,920
Speaker 1: but I think in the end, I just don't know.

460
00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:31,360
Speaker 1: I mean, Fournette ran really well in this last game,

461
00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:34,680
Speaker 1: and I don't know whether or not they're going to

462
00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:37,480
Speaker 1: turn back to Jones. Jones did get some drives all

463
00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:40,040
Speaker 1: to himself in the last game, So if he gets that,

464
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 1: if he gets two or three drives that are all his,

465
00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:45,600
Speaker 1: I mean, he could easily do this. If he get

466
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:47,960
Speaker 1: seven carries something like that, he could easily sort of

467
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,200
Speaker 1: go there. So let me ask you something with that, Matt,

468
00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:53,159
Speaker 1: do you have any interest? This isn't available everywhere, but

469
00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:57,760
Speaker 1: there is most rushing yards in the game. Ronald Jones

470
00:19:57,800 --> 00:19:59,879
Speaker 1: at plus two seventy five. Do you think cause if

471
00:19:59,880 --> 00:20:02,920
Speaker 1: he he's gonna outrush Leonard Fournette, which it sounds like

472
00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:05,439
Speaker 1: you might be thinking. I mean, I assume he's going

473
00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:08,000
Speaker 1: to outrush anybody who's on the Chiefs, right, because I

474
00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,160
Speaker 1: don't expect them to. They're not who knows how many

475
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,240
Speaker 1: rushing attempts are gonna try anyway, And so do you

476
00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:14,600
Speaker 1: like that at plus two seventy five?

477
00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:17,760
Speaker 2: I like that a lot, actually, And what's interesting, Fandor's

478
00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:20,440
Speaker 2: got some very unique. They're actually doing head to head

479
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 2: matchups on rushing props. So you can go, there is

480
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:28,320
Speaker 2: Leonard Fournette versus uh, Daryl Williams, there's Leonard, that, there's

481
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 2: there's I don't think Le'Veon Bells involves I do.

482
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,120
Speaker 1: I mean if he plays. If you, I here's here's

483
00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,399
Speaker 1: my one recommendation if you. I haven't seen a Leonard

484
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 1: Fournette like rushing prop out yet because I think the

485
00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:43,960
Speaker 1: books are trying to be careful necessarily to see.

486
00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 2: You mean Le'Veon Bell.

487
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:48,840
Speaker 1: You mean what did I say, Leonardournette? I apologize, Leveon

488
00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:51,080
Speaker 1: Bell correct thank you for correcting me. Yes, I haven't

489
00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:54,200
Speaker 1: seen a Leveon Bell prop out yet. If it comes out,

490
00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:56,879
Speaker 1: I'm hitting the under whatever it is like, I'm not kidding.

491
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 1: I think that he may get out there even if

492
00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:01,520
Speaker 1: he's active, hell, get like one carry. And I mean

493
00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:03,840
Speaker 1: you heard the report today right or yesterday it was

494
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:06,600
Speaker 1: like he signed with the Chiefs so he wouldn't get

495
00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:08,879
Speaker 1: work anygain. I think Daryl Williams is looked better and

496
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,960
Speaker 1: Edwards Hilaire is is healthier now, so forget about that.

497
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:14,800
Speaker 1: But yeah, you do head to head I mean so

498
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:17,000
Speaker 1: you probably there's got to be value, I'm sure for

499
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 1: you with Ron Jones going head tore.

500
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:21,280
Speaker 2: And then the other one is you can The other

501
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:25,280
Speaker 2: bet is number of players who rush, who will get

502
00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 2: a rushing attempt in the game the Chiefs are The

503
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:29,879
Speaker 2: Chiefs are four and a half and the and the

504
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:33,199
Speaker 2: Bucks are three and a half. So the reason the

505
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 2: reason why, And someone corrected me on my radio show

506
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:37,920
Speaker 2: because I said, who is the number five that might

507
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:43,880
Speaker 2: get the carry? Hardman's four? Okay, so it's Williams, It's

508
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:48,119
Speaker 2: Clyde verichs Hilaire, it's Mahomes, and it's mcerl Holman.

509
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:49,640
Speaker 1: Yeah.

510
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, So then number five. Someone said what about Leveon Bell.

511
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 1: And I went, oh, no, yeah, I guess.

512
00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:57,919
Speaker 2: Like that could burn you if he's if he's active,

513
00:21:58,040 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 2: that could burn you if you're going to bet the under.

514
00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:01,879
Speaker 2: But I had a hard time binding number five for

515
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:03,879
Speaker 2: the in the same thing for the for the Bucks.

516
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:06,160
Speaker 2: It's like, okay, so Brady may get a rushing attempt

517
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:10,040
Speaker 2: to sneak, and then you've got Rojo and you've got Fournette, right,

518
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:12,359
Speaker 2: and then do you have an Antonio Brown jet sweep?

519
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 1: Yeah? Who knows even gonna play by the way.

520
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,640
Speaker 2: I mean, you know he's questionable too, So like that's

521
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 2: where like I was like, hmm, I could actually see

522
00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 2: the under on both those bets come down. I'm not

523
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,720
Speaker 2: playing either one. But it's not always those are availables

524
00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 2: or unique at FANDUL, but those are unique ways of

525
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:27,479
Speaker 2: betting rushing props.

526
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:30,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the thing. Get get creative. I remember like

527
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,679
Speaker 1: one of my favorite wides, I forget what it was.

528
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:34,720
Speaker 1: It was something with most Raheem Mostert. It was like

529
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 1: first carry over three yards or something like that. Yeah,

530
00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 1: and it hit. It just makes the rest of the

531
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:41,320
Speaker 1: day easier. So have have a lot of fun. So

532
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:42,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to a running back, but I'm gonna

533
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 1: go on the other side. Now here's the thing. I

534
00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:46,679
Speaker 1: do not have a good sense in the same way

535
00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:48,080
Speaker 1: I don't have a good sense of what it's going

536
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:49,639
Speaker 1: to look like on the Bucks side. I don't have

537
00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:51,080
Speaker 1: a good sense of what it's gonna look like on

538
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:54,879
Speaker 1: the Chief side, because Edward Hilaire is reportedly pretty healthy

539
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 1: right now, and again it's against the Bucks. Like, you

540
00:22:57,520 --> 00:22:59,320
Speaker 1: don't want to take running backs against the Bucks, and

541
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:01,880
Speaker 1: you don't want to running backs on the Chiefs because

542
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:03,960
Speaker 1: they don't really run the ball. So what I'm gonna

543
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:05,840
Speaker 1: do is I'm gonna pivot a little bit and I'm

544
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 1: going to take over twelve and a half receiving yards.

545
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:13,199
Speaker 1: It set minus one twenty four for Daryl Williams, so

546
00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 1: this is twelve and a half or thirteen and a half.

547
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 1: I'd take it at thirteen and a half as well.

548
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:18,879
Speaker 1: It's actually eleven and a half at points bat I

549
00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 1: like that even more. But the reason that I think

550
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 1: this is because even if Edwards A. Laire is healthy,

551
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:26,879
Speaker 1: I think Daryl Williams has kind of proven himself recently

552
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 1: in the playoffs that he's a guy that they feel

553
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:33,199
Speaker 1: comfortable relying on, and in particular, he's doing really well passbocking,

554
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:35,639
Speaker 1: and that is what you are going to need desperately

555
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,840
Speaker 1: in this game without Eric Fisher against that Bucks pass rush,

556
00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 1: so I think he's going to be in a lot

557
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:41,760
Speaker 1: And again, they're going to pass. They're going to pass

558
00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:43,800
Speaker 1: all day long, so I think the chances of him

559
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:47,800
Speaker 1: getting a dump off are really really high. Again, even

560
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,439
Speaker 1: if Edwards Hlaire is sort of like fully healthy and

561
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 1: he gets a ton of work in this game, Like

562
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 1: I think Williams is still going to factor in, and

563
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:58,000
Speaker 1: I think because he's such a good passbocker, he's going

564
00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 1: to be in there and all that really takes is

565
00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: one dump off, one dump off where he gets a

566
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 1: little running room and gets there. So for me, I'm

567
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:07,880
Speaker 1: not taking the rushing props on those guys. I actually

568
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:10,439
Speaker 1: kind of like this is because it's for plus money.

569
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,560
Speaker 1: I don't mind over two and a half catches for

570
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 1: Darrin Williams as well. That's plus one forty five. Okay,

571
00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:18,760
Speaker 1: that is not likely to happen. You can get it

572
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:21,760
Speaker 1: at plus one fifty five bet MGM. But this is

573
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 1: what I kind of think about this game, man. I

574
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,959
Speaker 1: think Williams is going to play a big role, regardless

575
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,359
Speaker 1: of Edwards Laire. I think because he's so good at

576
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 1: pass blocking, he's going to be in a lot more

577
00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,919
Speaker 1: than expected and in unpassing situations, which is basically going

578
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 1: to be ninety percent of the situations. And I think

579
00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,400
Speaker 1: that he's going to get involved enough in like sort

580
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:40,080
Speaker 1: of the dump off when Mahomes is like, oh my god,

581
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,120
Speaker 1: I'm running for my life for a second to make

582
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:43,880
Speaker 1: that number work. So for me, I'll take over twelve

583
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:45,639
Speaker 1: and a half and I'll take the over two and

584
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:47,879
Speaker 1: a half. I'll put that at receptions, but just because

585
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:50,640
Speaker 1: you're getting plus one forty five, maybe plus one fifty five.

586
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 2: Okay, my next two or buy one player, Okay, And

587
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,960
Speaker 2: I'm going to go with Hartman here, and I got

588
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:01,520
Speaker 2: two plays on him. One. I like his over receiving

589
00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:06,120
Speaker 2: a lot. I think I am going to be fading

590
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:08,840
Speaker 2: and I'll talk about it later, but the Hill prop

591
00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 2: for passing yards and the Kelsey passing yards prop, I'm

592
00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:17,400
Speaker 2: gonna fade receiving the yard, sorry, not passing receivers. I'm

593
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 2: just not going to be able to bet them until

594
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,920
Speaker 2: literally right before the game. I'm gonna wait, Oh, we'll

595
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,560
Speaker 2: talk about that. Yeah, Okay. So like those those are

596
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:28,679
Speaker 2: gonna be plays, but I can't give them out here

597
00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:30,120
Speaker 2: on the podcast because I don't know what the number

598
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 2: is gonna be. But it should be one hundred. It

599
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 2: should be one hundred and somewhere, and both of those

600
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:35,760
Speaker 2: guys should be around one hundred. So we're going I'm

601
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:38,639
Speaker 2: going under them both. But Hardman, I think the Bucks

602
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 2: are gonna take away both those two guys as much

603
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:43,879
Speaker 2: as possible. They're gonna double they're gonna basically say, somebody

604
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:45,639
Speaker 2: else is beating us. We're not letting Hill, We're not

605
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,399
Speaker 2: letting Kelsey beat us. So that means who else steps up?

606
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,280
Speaker 2: That means I think Hardman's gonna go feast. I think

607
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 2: he easily gets forty to fifty yards receiving in this game,

608
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 2: and I like him a score a touchdown to anytime

609
00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 2: touchdown for Hardman. Shop around and find the best rice

610
00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 2: on that. But I think Hardman scores, and I like

611
00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:05,640
Speaker 2: the over on receiving yards for Hardman coming up here.

612
00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:07,440
Speaker 2: You could shop around some of them. Not I saw

613
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,480
Speaker 2: under thirty? Is it still under thirty? What you see?

614
00:26:09,680 --> 00:26:10,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's twenty eight and a half.

615
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:13,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, all day? Give me Hardman. I think he's got

616
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:13,840
Speaker 2: fifty yards coming.

617
00:26:14,080 --> 00:26:16,159
Speaker 1: Okay, first of all, this is interesting. His odds on

618
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 1: touchdowns scored, like anytime touchdowns are a little worse than

619
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,159
Speaker 1: I What are you expecting the odds to be met

620
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,840
Speaker 1: or have you looked at them at all?

621
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:26,160
Speaker 2: What did I What did I see? Like I think

622
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:29,280
Speaker 2: I thought I saw like plus seventy five one eighty.

623
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 1: Oh okay, well they are that's where they are. Then

624
00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:33,480
Speaker 1: they're fine actually met Ready when you run to bed

625
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 1: MGM right after this his anytime touchdown plus two seventy five.

626
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 1: So that's way out of line with the rest of

627
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:42,760
Speaker 1: the market. Like everything else is at basically plus two hundred.

628
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,159
Speaker 1: The contents of line is plus two twenty, but it's

629
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 1: at plus seventy five. Funny, Matt, I was wondering whether

630
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:49,280
Speaker 1: or not you were going to go over half a

631
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,640
Speaker 1: that's not available everywhere, but at William Hill over half

632
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 1: a yard rushing, Like whether or not you thought they

633
00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 1: were going to give him a sweep there? It's plus

634
00:26:57,240 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 1: two ninety if you go over half a yard rushing.

635
00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:02,280
Speaker 2: For me, he needs one rushing attempt to go over

636
00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 2: one yard and he hits that.

637
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:05,280
Speaker 1: As long as he gains a yard, Matt, you never

638
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 1: know you could get that. Yeah, what do you think

639
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:08,679
Speaker 1: William Hill? Go get it?

640
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:08,920
Speaker 2: Matt?

641
00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,639
Speaker 1: One over over a half yards tonight.

642
00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 2: I mean they gave him one play, correct, It's basically

643
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:20,159
Speaker 2: a one play bet, right. You know?

644
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 1: You know at one point they're going to either do

645
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,280
Speaker 1: the handoff or the little drop into him while he

646
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:28,919
Speaker 1: comes across, which counts as the past, right, because that's

647
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:30,440
Speaker 1: what they've done the last two games, one of them

648
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:31,960
Speaker 1: was a run. Yeah, run of them was the one

649
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:33,760
Speaker 1: where he drops off the Brady Special.

650
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 2: And that we needed him to have a catch there.

651
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:37,280
Speaker 2: A rush there.

652
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,360
Speaker 1: Because I've gone over to his crop the last two

653
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,119
Speaker 1: games exactly right, and that unfortunately was a rush. So

654
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,720
Speaker 1: I didn't do anything for us. So that's what it is.

655
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's over twenty eight and a half his

656
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,640
Speaker 1: receiving yards. I do like that. I do want to ask,

657
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:50,720
Speaker 1: because it does come into play for me. Are you

658
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:53,560
Speaker 1: expecting Sammy Watkins to play in this game? And does

659
00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 1: that matter to you at all?

660
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:56,440
Speaker 2: When you think about it, it matters, But it doesn't sound

661
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 2: like he's going to be that healthy when if he

662
00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:00,200
Speaker 2: does play. Yeah, so it's one of those things where

663
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:02,040
Speaker 2: it's like I'm gonna bank on him not being as

664
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:04,439
Speaker 2: healthy as they would like him to be. It's the

665
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 2: super Bowl, so I think he'll play. But I think

666
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:10,919
Speaker 2: I think if Hardman's the guy who's more healthy, who

667
00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 2: gets open, I think Mahomes will trust him more than

668
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 2: a gimpey Sammy Watkins.

669
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:18,960
Speaker 1: And I assume are you assuming that DeMarcus Robinson clears

670
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 1: the COVID because he's on the COVID list, Because he

671
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:22,679
Speaker 1: was a close he's playing, but you don't think he's

672
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 1: playing at all.

673
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:25,439
Speaker 2: I mean, I for what I mean, he sat in

674
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 2: that barber chair for for long enough that I don't mean.

675
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:29,360
Speaker 2: It doesn't sound like.

676
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 1: Was he the barber because he was put on it earlier.

677
00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:32,760
Speaker 1: He was put on I thought he was.

678
00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:34,640
Speaker 2: He was on the barber chair first. I thought both

679
00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:36,680
Speaker 2: guys were in the barber chair, him in the backup center.

680
00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:39,280
Speaker 1: All I know, I know the backup I know he was.

681
00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 1: He's been on the COVID list for a few days

682
00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:43,360
Speaker 1: because it was a close contact. So I don't know

683
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:45,960
Speaker 1: whether it's to the barber. Okay, all right, because I

684
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:46,880
Speaker 1: only both guys were.

685
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,600
Speaker 2: Both guys were the barber, but he went first and

686
00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 2: then the rapid test came back when that when in

687
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 2: knackup center was and he told him to finish. He

688
00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 2: didn't get up and ran. He didn't get up and

689
00:28:58,800 --> 00:28:59,320
Speaker 2: run for the guy.

690
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,120
Speaker 1: Well, at that point, at that point he's a close

691
00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 1: god dect right, So at that point it doesn't really matter. Okay, right,

692
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 1: But okay, to your point though, regardless of Robinson, I

693
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:09,520
Speaker 1: like your hardman, but Todd, we mentioned Sammy Watkins. I'm

694
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:11,800
Speaker 1: in complete agreement with you, Like, I think he probably

695
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: suits up in this game, but I'm gonna be really

696
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,840
Speaker 1: shocked if he's in any way a factor, which is

697
00:29:16,840 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 1: why I like the under thirty six and a half

698
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 1: receiving yards for him, which is at minus one twelve.

699
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 1: That's the universal across the across the board, it's it's

700
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 1: thirty six and a half. It's pretty much anywhere between

701
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 1: minus one ten and minus one fifteen. And again, you know,

702
00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 1: if DeMarcus Robinson is cleared, that makes it really enticing.

703
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:37,920
Speaker 1: So I don't think this number is gonna move really regardless,

704
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 1: So you might as well wait if DeMarcus Robinson's cleared

705
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:42,400
Speaker 1: from the COVID list and he does come back, and

706
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 1: forget about it, you pound the under all day long

707
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 1: for sure. But again he's still limited in practice. Like

708
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:49,880
Speaker 1: I think he'll play, but I agree with you. It's

709
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 1: a super Bowl, so he'll try to play, but he's

710
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 1: not at one hundred percent. You're gonna see mcole hardman.

711
00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 1: I agree with you there. So for me, I'm I

712
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,080
Speaker 1: think we're both kind of viewing this in the exact

713
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:01,560
Speaker 1: same way. We're basically fading Sammy w and buying Mikol Hardman.

714
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 1: So I'm with you there, but I'm going with it

715
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:05,240
Speaker 1: in a different way, and I'm gonna go with the

716
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 1: under thirty six and a half receiving yards for Sammy Watkins.

717
00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 1: All right, what's next for you?

718
00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:15,040
Speaker 2: So we talked about Ronald Jones over YEP. I think

719
00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:19,960
Speaker 2: touch the shortest touchdown prop at one and a half

720
00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:23,800
Speaker 2: yards is an interesting look given the propensity for these

721
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 2: teams to get down to the one and then who

722
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 2: gets to punch it in. It's been a pretty consistent

723
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 2: bet in the Super Bowl to have a team come

724
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,480
Speaker 2: down and to score off from the one yard LINEEP.

725
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 2: So I like that under one and a half yards

726
00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 2: for the shortest touchdown for the game. Somebody with a

727
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 2: push in either. You know, you could take Brady, you

728
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:43,480
Speaker 2: could take my homes. You could take a punch in

729
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:45,960
Speaker 2: from Leonard Fournette. I don't mind the Leonard Fournette. I

730
00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 2: am close to going Leonard Fournette anytime touchdown. But since

731
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 2: I'm looking at Ronald Jones, I'm like, nah, I'm kind

732
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 2: of like I feel like I might middle myself there

733
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:58,000
Speaker 2: a little bit. I could lose both bets if I'm

734
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:01,200
Speaker 2: wrong about that. So I I'm eyeballing it there. I'm

735
00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:02,920
Speaker 2: up there yet, But I think under one and a

736
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 2: half yards for the shortest touchdown is a play I'm

737
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:05,479
Speaker 2: gonna make.

738
00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like it. Actually, I think I think that

739
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense because you know you've seen

740
00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 1: even like that. I guess maybe it comes from the two,

741
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,200
Speaker 1: but even the little flip to Kelsey, you know that

742
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:19,080
Speaker 1: happens right there, right there. Yeah, I like it. By

743
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:22,360
Speaker 1: the way, anytime touchdown for Leonard Fournette is plus one

744
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,400
Speaker 1: twenty the consensus lines, so not great there, but yeah,

745
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 1: I agree with you. All right, Let's let's go to Mahomes.

746
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 1: Let's go to Mahomes props Mahomes.

747
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 2: I only have one on Mahomes's.

748
00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:34,280
Speaker 1: One of Momes. Okay, well I have two. They don't

749
00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 1: and I don't. I want to make it very very clear.

750
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 1: I don't love either one of them, but I am

751
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 1: going to go with the opposite. And I feel like

752
00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:45,720
Speaker 1: part of it is that I got I and everybody

753
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:47,479
Speaker 1: else who got this is like a famous thing with

754
00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 1: his rushing yard prop last Super Bowl where he he

755
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,240
Speaker 1: took low past it in the third quarter and then

756
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 1: took like twelve yards and sacks to run off some

757
00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:57,640
Speaker 1: time to go under.

758
00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 2: The seven yard one was the worst. It was. You

759
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,680
Speaker 2: could have survived the four yard, in the three yard,

760
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:04,720
Speaker 2: but the seven yard one was the worst.

761
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 1: You mean the best because you bet. I bet under,

762
00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 1: So I love well you did. Oh, I've been under.

763
00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:12,360
Speaker 2: You're the only one I've ever seen. Somebody on Twitter

764
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 2: was asking that question, does anyone know anyone who won that?

765
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:18,680
Speaker 2: On that I saw audio boy, So you're right. Wow.

766
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 1: I like, team up with a close friend of mine

767
00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,360
Speaker 1: and we did you know, prop bets for the Super Bowl,

768
00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 1: and we all did it and that was mine, like

769
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:28,000
Speaker 1: mine because I did projections for it, and I said,

770
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 1: I have him under. I feel pretty good about it.

771
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:33,840
Speaker 1: And he just saidled right over it so early and

772
00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, my bet on that one, but

773
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 1: my bad. And then he legitimately like wasn't watching at

774
00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:40,120
Speaker 1: the very end of the game, he just stopped watching.

775
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 1: And I texted him. I was like, you're not going

776
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: to believe this. We won, and he couldn't. He couldn't

777
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 1: understand how it was possible. But I am going to

778
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 1: go under again. Here. It's it's just up. It's minus

779
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:53,440
Speaker 1: one thirty seven and there is if you go on

780
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,680
Speaker 1: fandels minus one twenty two. Oh, actually, I'm sorry, that's

781
00:32:56,760 --> 00:33:01,440
Speaker 1: to go that's to go over. Apologize to go under.

782
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 1: It's plus one ten. So that that's one of the

783
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:05,800
Speaker 1: reasons why I like it. Nineteen and a half yards

784
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 1: is nothing. There are reports that his toe is feeling

785
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 1: a lot better, but I don't really expect this to be.

786
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:14,719
Speaker 1: You know, in the past, you've seen him in these

787
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:17,440
Speaker 1: playoff games and his rushing totals, I mean they spike

788
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 1: by good twenty yards a game every single time. I

789
00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 1: just there's no way he's one hundred percent healthy. It's

790
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:25,480
Speaker 1: turf though, Okay, that takes a long time to get better.

791
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 1: I'm sure he's gonna be fine. And even when he's gimpy,

792
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:29,719
Speaker 1: he can still move and stuff like that. I do

793
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 1: also expect them to win. I do expect them to

794
00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:34,640
Speaker 1: be some kneel downs and those couple of yards, those

795
00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:36,960
Speaker 1: three extra yards, I think for me push it over.

796
00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 1: So I actually like the under, and again you're getting

797
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:41,400
Speaker 1: plus money on it. So plus one ten the under,

798
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 1: nineteen and a half rushing yards. That's where I'm gonna

799
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:46,640
Speaker 1: go with mahomes. What's your mahomes prop that you like.

800
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 2: My Mahomes prop is to ride the turnover luck that

801
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:56,280
Speaker 2: the Bucks have had to continue into the Super Bowl.

802
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 2: Not saying Mahomes is gonna throw a horrible pick, but

803
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:03,520
Speaker 2: some one's gonna drop a ball, Someone's gonna get an overthrow.

804
00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 2: Mahomes to be intercepted is plus one forty yep. I

805
00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:09,320
Speaker 2: like Mahomes throw a pick in this game.

806
00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's one thirty five on draftings. I like it. Yeah,

807
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:16,319
Speaker 1: minus one sixty seven for under the half the half,

808
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 1: but over half is one thirty five that I'm seeing. Yeah,

809
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,440
Speaker 1: I don't mind it. I mean, the Bucks are certainly

810
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:23,840
Speaker 1: figuring out ways to do it. It's Mahomes, so you

811
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:26,839
Speaker 1: wouldn't expect it. But yeah, it's most likely gonna take something.

812
00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:29,359
Speaker 1: But again, the Super Bowl, there's always weird stuff. Man,

813
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 1: there's always some weird stuff.

814
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:33,520
Speaker 2: They're gonna win the game. Okay, Mahomes is seven and four.

815
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:37,560
Speaker 2: When he throws two picks or more, he has they

816
00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:39,600
Speaker 2: have to turn the ball over, like, they've got to

817
00:34:39,640 --> 00:34:42,440
Speaker 2: get that offense off the field in some form or fashion.

818
00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:45,360
Speaker 2: So either pick in the end zone, you know, a

819
00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 2: pick you know in at no close to midfield, to

820
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 2: give Brady a short field, Like, if they're gonna win

821
00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:52,520
Speaker 2: the game outright, they're gonna have to find a way

822
00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:56,560
Speaker 2: to stop Patrick Mahomes. It's so hard to repeat because

823
00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 2: there is so much tape on you and what you do.

824
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 2: And look, I don't I didn't like Todd Bowlds when

825
00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:06,319
Speaker 2: he was with your Jets, but the guy's doing a

826
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:09,320
Speaker 2: bang up job with this defense right now and he

827
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 2: may have maybe he should get a second chance at

828
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:13,680
Speaker 2: a head coaching job. I don't know, but he's a

829
00:35:13,719 --> 00:35:17,040
Speaker 2: great defensive coordinator and he has really come into his

830
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:18,400
Speaker 2: own here in the postseason.

831
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, you can't hold it against anybody how they do

832
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 1: with the Jets. Okay, you might need, you know, like

833
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:26,359
Speaker 1: a PhD to succeed in that job. Yeah, I really

834
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:28,880
Speaker 1: don't mind it, and I'm I'm going to fade Mahomes

835
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:31,560
Speaker 1: a little bit on this one. It's not crazy. We

836
00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:35,560
Speaker 1: were talking about the passing yards prop and I see

837
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:37,239
Speaker 1: it as under as well. I don't want to bet it,

838
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,799
Speaker 1: but I see it there. I would rather go with

839
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:43,279
Speaker 1: the under twenty eight and a half completions rather than

840
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:45,360
Speaker 1: the Yordage prop. Now that's juiced up a bit to

841
00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 1: minus one twenty four if you go, if you bet

842
00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:50,480
Speaker 1: the over twenty and a half, it's even money. He

843
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:53,200
Speaker 1: went under that number of completions twenty eight and a

844
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:56,600
Speaker 1: half in eleven of his sixteen regular season games. And

845
00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:59,359
Speaker 1: really the issue is just for them to the extent

846
00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:00,960
Speaker 1: you're looking at the un it's just the fact that

847
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:03,960
Speaker 1: they have so many just incredibly long plays, right the

848
00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:06,880
Speaker 1: slants of Tyreek Hill to turn into fifty sixty yard plays,

849
00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 1: the huge you know, every time you know Travis Kelsey

850
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:11,279
Speaker 1: catches the ball, it's just a fifteen twenty. They can

851
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 1: snap off a twenty yard play like other teams snap

852
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:16,759
Speaker 1: off five yard outs. You know, it's just nothing for them.

853
00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:20,319
Speaker 1: So for me, it's not crazy like when I, you know,

854
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:23,000
Speaker 1: looked at the my initial run of projections, which again

855
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:25,360
Speaker 1: i'm going to redo before I get was twenty seven.

856
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:27,080
Speaker 1: So it's not as if it's like, Wow, I have

857
00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:28,839
Speaker 1: this huge edge here. You're not going to find huge

858
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:31,640
Speaker 1: edges on any of these things. If people who do projections,

859
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,240
Speaker 1: there's no way because they the lines are so sharp.

860
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,080
Speaker 1: But for me, I don't like the yardage as much,

861
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:39,520
Speaker 1: even though I lean the under, but I like more

862
00:36:39,560 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 1: of the pass completions for the ender, because again, I

863
00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:43,479
Speaker 1: expect them to be ahead in this game. I don't

864
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 1: think they're going to need to go crazy and they're

865
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:47,520
Speaker 1: going to pass all day long. But I don't. I

866
00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 1: just think with the long passes that the completion number

867
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:51,560
Speaker 1: in and of itself is the one that kind of

868
00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:54,080
Speaker 1: leans towards the ender. So that's why two unders on

869
00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:56,319
Speaker 1: the homes is rushing yard. Well, we have done under

870
00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:59,279
Speaker 1: rushing yards, under completions and an interception in this game

871
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 1: from a home, So I gotta be honest, we got

872
00:37:02,080 --> 00:37:04,560
Speaker 1: to rethink our strategy here. Okay, what else?

873
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:04,879
Speaker 2: Yeah?

874
00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:05,399
Speaker 1: What else?

875
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:08,240
Speaker 2: You want? Only one more? And this is just because

876
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 2: it's hit so consistently during the regular season. I think

877
00:37:11,239 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 2: if I go back and look at the number of

878
00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:16,319
Speaker 2: times Mike Evans cast over receiving yards props for me

879
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 2: in the regular season, it had to have been one

880
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 2: of one of my favorite prop bets that I bet

881
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:24,760
Speaker 2: all year. So I'm just gonna go sixty three, sixty

882
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:26,680
Speaker 2: three and a half, depending on where you're gonna get

883
00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:30,760
Speaker 2: this number, Mike Evans over receiving yards. Brady just hunts

884
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:32,560
Speaker 2: for him, He just looks for him all the time,

885
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:35,080
Speaker 2: and there's always that lollipop go up there and get it,

886
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:38,160
Speaker 2: big eye type of catch that goes for thirty thirty

887
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:40,120
Speaker 2: five yards. So all we need is one or two

888
00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:42,520
Speaker 2: of those, and we're good here for Mike Evans over

889
00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:45,640
Speaker 2: sixty three yards receiving. So I'm going over with Mike Evans.

890
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, they consent this line of sixty three and a

891
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:49,960
Speaker 1: half overs minus one oh six, so you can get sixty.

892
00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 1: You can always get a better line for what you want.

893
00:37:51,560 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 1: Matt at BETMGM, it's sixty two and a half there. Yeah.

894
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:57,560
Speaker 1: I have a tough time with this because I think

895
00:37:57,600 --> 00:37:59,879
Speaker 1: that that's what's gonna happen. And you're right, because we

896
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 1: one thing we know about Brady is he's got to

897
00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:04,600
Speaker 1: keep throwing it up. He's got to keep throwing it deep.

898
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:06,880
Speaker 1: Doesn't really matter the game situation. As we saw against

899
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 1: the Packers, He's going to keep going with it. And

900
00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:12,560
Speaker 1: so you can see the Chiefs have just done such

901
00:38:12,560 --> 00:38:17,200
Speaker 1: a good job of limiting wide receivers throughout the entire season.

902
00:38:17,800 --> 00:38:20,000
Speaker 1: But I mean, if I have to go one way

903
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:22,759
Speaker 1: or the other, I will go over. But I just

904
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,520
Speaker 1: you know, it makes me a little nervous to do

905
00:38:25,560 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 1: it for anybody against the Chiefs, but.

906
00:38:28,040 --> 00:38:30,719
Speaker 2: It's my least favorite one. I mean, it's just it's

907
00:38:30,760 --> 00:38:35,000
Speaker 2: problematic because I know that pressure to Brady and Chris Jones.

908
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 2: You know, there are a lot of people. I'm not

909
00:38:37,600 --> 00:38:41,239
Speaker 2: betting the MVP because I don't trust the voters, and so, like,

910
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:45,440
Speaker 2: the biggest liability that Vanduel has is JPP to win

911
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,960
Speaker 2: the MVP, which is real hysterical. Which is hysterical, right

912
00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:50,440
Speaker 2: because you can play it out right, if he had

913
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 2: he has two sacks and the pick six or something,

914
00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:54,880
Speaker 2: then it's like, oh my, he might like but Chris

915
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 2: Jones equally, people think last year Chris Jones should have

916
00:38:57,200 --> 00:39:00,759
Speaker 2: won the MVP. So it's just it's not it's offensive award.

917
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,000
Speaker 2: It's a quarterback award. So it's always like either Brady

918
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 2: or Mahomes. Mahomes wins, it's Mahomes, Brady wins, it's Brady.

919
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:09,359
Speaker 2: But that's why the MVP wise, people have been kind

920
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:12,000
Speaker 2: of looking and kind of trying to find different values

921
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:15,160
Speaker 2: in there, and and it's a people have said, well,

922
00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:16,560
Speaker 2: maybe it could be a wide receiver. I mean, what

923
00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:18,440
Speaker 2: happens with Mike Evans goes for two hundred yards and

924
00:39:18,480 --> 00:39:21,120
Speaker 2: four touchdowns or something crazy like that. It's so it's

925
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:22,399
Speaker 2: it's so hard to pick.

926
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:24,840
Speaker 1: I mean, Edelman won it, but that wasn't it. I

927
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:27,040
Speaker 1: feel like, if it's a non quarterback, it's got to

928
00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:31,200
Speaker 1: be in a weird game where it's super defensive, right

929
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:32,640
Speaker 1: in a game like Edelman.

930
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:37,160
Speaker 2: The Boston media skewed that. Oh really, that was tough.

931
00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:39,640
Speaker 2: That was the Boston media awarding that to Edelman. That

932
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 2: was a really tight vote for him to win that. Yeah,

933
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:43,959
Speaker 2: and that was basically just like all the Boston media

934
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:45,719
Speaker 2: who had votes in the building were like, yep, it's

935
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 2: Edelman because no one else wanted to vote for him, right.

936
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:50,279
Speaker 2: That was that was not an easy victory for him

937
00:39:50,280 --> 00:39:52,160
Speaker 2: to pull down. But he should have won it. But

938
00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 2: it was really close for him to win the MVP

939
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:55,759
Speaker 2: of that Super Bowl.

940
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:57,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, but you know, you in the in the game

941
00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:00,720
Speaker 1: that the Broncos won in Manning's last game, I forget

942
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:03,000
Speaker 1: who it was was. Maybe I forget who it was,

943
00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:05,440
Speaker 1: but it was a defensive player in the Seattle game.

944
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 2: With von Miller, right, yeah, it was von Miller, right,

945
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:08,800
Speaker 2: he was He was like, he's the last defens a

946
00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 2: player to win the MVP is von.

947
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:12,600
Speaker 1: Miller right exactly in the Seattle game, I think where

948
00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:17,880
Speaker 1: they destroyed, uh, the Broncos. Before that there was a

949
00:40:17,880 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 1: defensive player because you couldn't give it a Wilson because

950
00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:21,840
Speaker 1: the team just crushed. You know that the game is

951
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:24,520
Speaker 1: just completely out of hand. Other than that, it's almost

952
00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:26,840
Speaker 1: guaranteed to be a quarterback. I think the last like

953
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:29,440
Speaker 1: regular wide receiver to win and like a really close,

954
00:40:29,520 --> 00:40:32,279
Speaker 1: good game for everybody was like Santonio Holmes in that

955
00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:36,239
Speaker 1: Steelers Arizona game. So a millennium ago basically for me.

956
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:39,960
Speaker 1: So I'm going to go with a a prop that

957
00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:42,920
Speaker 1: I like. It makes me very uncomfortable to bet it,

958
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:46,640
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna do it. And it's Tyreek Hill under

959
00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:51,120
Speaker 1: six and a half catches. Now you can get under its.

960
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 2: Y going yards, You're going receptions.

961
00:40:54,040 --> 00:40:55,840
Speaker 1: I'm going you want to go. So we talked, you

962
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:57,359
Speaker 1: want to talk about the yards little because you talked

963
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:58,880
Speaker 1: about it. You want to talk about it with Kelsey.

964
00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:02,839
Speaker 1: The yards are at ninety three and a half. That's

965
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 1: a lot of yards, and Kelsey is around the same.

966
00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:06,879
Speaker 1: I believe I'm checking it now.

967
00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 2: Kelsey four fandels at ninety eight aren't they.

968
00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:11,960
Speaker 1: For Kelsey Fandles at ninety eight and.

969
00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:15,480
Speaker 2: A half like a tight end? Yeah, ninety I know,

970
00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 2: And you.

971
00:41:16,719 --> 00:41:19,400
Speaker 1: Know what, I can't do it. I can't bet I under.

972
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,920
Speaker 2: I will I can and I will Well, I'm.

973
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:24,200
Speaker 1: Going to do the worst part and I'm just not

974
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:25,920
Speaker 1: going to touch either one. Instead, I'm going to go

975
00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:28,000
Speaker 1: wonder on reception. So here's the one thing. If you

976
00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:29,880
Speaker 1: looked right now and again, I don't know what it's

977
00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 1: going to be like when you look at it by

978
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:33,239
Speaker 1: the time you listen to this, but you look at

979
00:41:33,239 --> 00:41:35,440
Speaker 1: the receptions, you will see that it's all over the

980
00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:38,160
Speaker 1: place between six and a half and seven and a half.

981
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:40,759
Speaker 1: The difference, obviously is the juice and that if you're

982
00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:42,880
Speaker 1: going under six and a half, you're getting plus money

983
00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:45,879
Speaker 1: on fandle. It's plus one twenty eight to go under

984
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,960
Speaker 1: six and a half receptions. So I'm going to ask you, Matt,

985
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 1: without looking it up obviously, how many times did Tyreek

986
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 1: Hill have more Do you think had more than six catches?

987
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 1: Because it's six and a half, how many times they

988
00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:59,279
Speaker 1: had more than six catches during the regular season? He

989
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:01,279
Speaker 1: played fifteen y okay, because he took last week off,

990
00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:03,040
Speaker 1: So how many times does he have more than six catches?

991
00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:03,879
Speaker 2: Four?

992
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:07,319
Speaker 1: Three? I mean, that's the thing. It's not now. Look,

993
00:42:07,520 --> 00:42:09,879
Speaker 1: we're not going to talk about the playoffs at all,

994
00:42:09,880 --> 00:42:12,399
Speaker 1: where he's basically got eight and nine catches and got nuts,

995
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:13,920
Speaker 1: And we're not going to talk about that first game

996
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:15,799
Speaker 1: against the Bucks where he had thirteen catches in two

997
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 1: hundred and six and nine yards. It happens. It happens,

998
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:21,280
Speaker 1: you know, especially now where he has become the focal point.

999
00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 1: But I kind of do think that you mentioned Bowls again,

1000
00:42:26,120 --> 00:42:28,520
Speaker 1: bolds is a good defensive coach for sure. You know,

1001
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:30,719
Speaker 1: hopefully he gets another shot at a head coaching job.

1002
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:32,200
Speaker 1: He's done a really good job in the playoffs, as

1003
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 1: we've talked about. The only game he looked kind of

1004
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:36,839
Speaker 1: shaky was that Washington game, where again I think they

1005
00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:38,760
Speaker 1: prepared for Alex Smith. So I'm not going to really

1006
00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:41,880
Speaker 1: have too much on him. But I mean, not that

1007
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,640
Speaker 1: it matters, there's no revenge factor, but they were, of

1008
00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:47,399
Speaker 1: course so embarrassed in that first game with.

1009
00:42:47,360 --> 00:42:49,080
Speaker 2: What tyres was a big revenge factor.

1010
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:51,400
Speaker 1: You know, well, you know, at the very least they

1011
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:54,520
Speaker 1: know they have to figure out a way to stop

1012
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:57,840
Speaker 1: that so I think so the under on the yardage

1013
00:42:58,080 --> 00:43:01,120
Speaker 1: I don't hate either. It's just I see the scenario

1014
00:43:01,239 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 1: much more of a little slant going for seventy five yards,

1015
00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:07,720
Speaker 1: and I think I see it as him getting peppered

1016
00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:10,439
Speaker 1: with targets and catches all day long. That's especially true

1017
00:43:10,440 --> 00:43:13,319
Speaker 1: because again without Eric Fisher, they're gonna get a lot

1018
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:16,000
Speaker 1: of pressure on Mahomes. So I don't think you're gonna

1019
00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:19,719
Speaker 1: have these chances, a lot of chances for Hill to

1020
00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:22,560
Speaker 1: have four seconds to run his really deep route. I

1021
00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 1: think Mahomes is gonna focus on getting the ball out quick,

1022
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:27,399
Speaker 1: which again that could be to Tyreek Hill. There could

1023
00:43:27,440 --> 00:43:29,319
Speaker 1: be a lot of very quick passes to Tyrek Hill.

1024
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:31,040
Speaker 1: But in the end, I think he'll really makes his

1025
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 1: money on these long passes. That's what they like to

1026
00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:35,320
Speaker 1: get him involved, to have roots that take time to develop.

1027
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: I don't think they have enough time to do it.

1028
00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 1: So for me, especially getting plus money, if it's seven

1029
00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:40,799
Speaker 1: and a half, by the way to get the under

1030
00:43:40,840 --> 00:43:43,560
Speaker 1: is minus one thirty seven, so it's obviously a huge difference.

1031
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:45,960
Speaker 1: But for me, I'm gonna go with the under six

1032
00:43:45,960 --> 00:43:47,319
Speaker 1: and a half. Now, it sounds like Matt you're not

1033
00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:49,440
Speaker 1: betting it, but you you lean towards the under on

1034
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 1: both Kelsey and Hill.

1035
00:43:51,200 --> 00:43:54,680
Speaker 2: I'm gone on game day, I'll bet it. I'll tell

1036
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 2: you basically, on the live stream, I'll be betting the under.

1037
00:43:57,200 --> 00:43:59,600
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna let this thing climb to get to

1038
00:43:59,640 --> 00:44:02,759
Speaker 2: beat ups scene number. And here's my thought. And look,

1039
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:04,520
Speaker 2: I'm on a divisive coordinator. So I don't know what

1040
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:06,080
Speaker 2: Todd Bulls is gonna do. But here's what I think

1041
00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:08,439
Speaker 2: they're gonna do. I think they're gonna they're gonna copy

1042
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:11,759
Speaker 2: the what the Las Vegas Raiders did. I think they

1043
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:15,000
Speaker 2: can get pressure with four or three down linemen, and

1044
00:44:15,040 --> 00:44:17,879
Speaker 2: I think they can play zone behind it, and it's

1045
00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 2: gonna open up the middle of the field. And you

1046
00:44:19,640 --> 00:44:21,799
Speaker 2: could say, well, maybe they dink and dunk all day long.

1047
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:24,880
Speaker 2: With Kelsey, that's possible, right, but you take away the

1048
00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:27,960
Speaker 2: home run hit, and so maybe you look at the

1049
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:30,799
Speaker 2: Kelsey prop and maybe, okay, it's less likely the Kelsey hits,

1050
00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:33,000
Speaker 2: and maybe I'll talk myself out of the Kelsey prop.

1051
00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:35,360
Speaker 2: But I like the Hill more than the more than

1052
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:37,600
Speaker 2: the Kelsey one, because I think if you are going

1053
00:44:37,680 --> 00:44:40,319
Speaker 2: to play what I mean, really, what the Packers should

1054
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:42,560
Speaker 2: have been doing at halftime, which is, no one gets

1055
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:44,960
Speaker 2: behind us. We're just gonna play zone. We're gonna go

1056
00:44:44,960 --> 00:44:47,040
Speaker 2: ahead and rush for We're gonna play you want. You

1057
00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 2: want to dink and dunk all day long, that's fine,

1058
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:51,080
Speaker 2: we'll clamp down in the red zone. We're gonna give

1059
00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:54,160
Speaker 2: you yards, which means maybe Kelsey picks up that hundred.

1060
00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:56,680
Speaker 2: But that's how I think they're gonna do it with

1061
00:44:56,680 --> 00:44:59,360
Speaker 2: with Thurik Kill, Like, how do they keep him out

1062
00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 2: in behind from getting behind them? You just have the

1063
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:04,520
Speaker 2: deepest man. You just you're gonna have one one guy

1064
00:45:04,600 --> 00:45:07,879
Speaker 2: deeper than Tarik Kill every single time. You're never gonna

1065
00:45:07,920 --> 00:45:10,000
Speaker 2: let him get behind you. So that I think could

1066
00:45:10,000 --> 00:45:12,280
Speaker 2: be the strategy. And then if you have offensive line problems,

1067
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:16,600
Speaker 2: you set loose you know, White and JPP, and you

1068
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:18,560
Speaker 2: know if you devea, you let these guys go after it,

1069
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:20,759
Speaker 2: and maybe they're able to clog the middle up enough

1070
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:23,560
Speaker 2: or get to pressure and put pressure on enough that

1071
00:45:23,600 --> 00:45:24,799
Speaker 2: makes Mahomes uncomfortable.

1072
00:45:25,040 --> 00:45:27,960
Speaker 1: Interesting, So I mean, really, if they do that, it

1073
00:45:28,080 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 1: is the yardage, less about the receptions really, because you

1074
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:33,600
Speaker 1: know it might be more ding and done. I could

1075
00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:35,160
Speaker 1: see that as well. I think that makes a lot

1076
00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:35,560
Speaker 1: of sense.

1077
00:45:36,000 --> 00:45:37,359
Speaker 2: That's the only way you take him away though, right,

1078
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 2: I mean you can't. You can't put him one on one,

1079
00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:42,480
Speaker 2: and you can't even double them. You can't even bracket him.

1080
00:45:42,520 --> 00:45:44,520
Speaker 2: He'll run away from you. Right. There's no one in

1081
00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:46,960
Speaker 2: that defense that can match his speed. We saw that

1082
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 2: in the first matchup. The only way you're gonna do

1083
00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 2: it is a forty yard cushion by taking your strong

1084
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:54,799
Speaker 2: safety or your free safety and putting them forty yards

1085
00:45:54,840 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 2: ahead of terik kill. So if they throw the bomb,

1086
00:45:57,680 --> 00:45:59,239
Speaker 2: that player has a time to come over and knock

1087
00:45:59,239 --> 00:45:59,600
Speaker 2: it away.

1088
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, all right, that's a that's a that's a

1089
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:04,480
Speaker 1: decent way down. So you think this number, though, is

1090
00:46:04,520 --> 00:46:08,000
Speaker 1: going to continue to climb even now, even as Oh.

1091
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:10,520
Speaker 2: There's no debate in my mind this thing. I don't

1092
00:46:10,560 --> 00:46:13,279
Speaker 2: think this thing gets real underplay until it gets to

1093
00:46:13,320 --> 00:46:14,399
Speaker 2: one hundred and ten or more.

1094
00:46:15,120 --> 00:46:16,280
Speaker 1: What that high?

1095
00:46:16,680 --> 00:46:19,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm dead serious. Look at the last Look at

1096
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:22,200
Speaker 2: the last four games, I know, look at the numbers.

1097
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:25,120
Speaker 2: I mean it's absolutely ridiculous. Last game what they had

1098
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:28,319
Speaker 2: one hundred and eighteen, one hundred and twenty. Yeah, I

1099
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:31,480
Speaker 2: mean it's psychotic, what the numbers are doing, and I

1100
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:34,319
Speaker 2: just think everybody it gets to the super Bowl and

1101
00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:38,600
Speaker 2: then everybody goes, what the hell happened? Yeah, and what

1102
00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:41,520
Speaker 2: you normally have seen during the regular season. It's a

1103
00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:45,080
Speaker 2: funky game. There's more timeouts, the halftime is super long,

1104
00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:49,080
Speaker 2: the pregame is super long. It's a different flow the game.

1105
00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:52,319
Speaker 2: Brady always talks about it. You've got to have experience

1106
00:46:52,360 --> 00:46:55,600
Speaker 2: in this game. It's weird. Like the Falcons ran out

1107
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:58,840
Speaker 2: of gas, like they're mentally and physically they just stopped

1108
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:02,319
Speaker 2: thinking because they were tied long day. You're all hyped up,

1109
00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:04,319
Speaker 2: and then the fourth quarter comes around and you're like,

1110
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:07,680
Speaker 2: oh my gosh, this game's been going on forever. Because

1111
00:47:07,680 --> 00:47:10,600
Speaker 2: you have to run twenty eight commercials, right, They got

1112
00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,319
Speaker 2: to run twenty eight sixty second commercials in this darn thing,

1113
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:16,560
Speaker 2: so you know, they have to make up commercial breaks

1114
00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:20,000
Speaker 2: sometimes if there's long drives and the quarters go fast,

1115
00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 2: they got to make up the commercials. So their stop

1116
00:47:22,040 --> 00:47:23,480
Speaker 2: of the game left and right, going to make the

1117
00:47:23,480 --> 00:47:26,319
Speaker 2: commercials up. This is not a typical football game, and

1118
00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:28,040
Speaker 2: a lot of times teams have a tough time with it.

1119
00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:31,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, at those are all really good points. Okay,

1120
00:47:31,520 --> 00:47:34,239
Speaker 1: this was excellent. I love this podcast and I it

1121
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:37,160
Speaker 1: is a good warm up for the prop livechain that

1122
00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:38,520
Speaker 1: we talked about that we're going to be doing on

1123
00:47:38,560 --> 00:47:41,360
Speaker 1: Betting pro on YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros again.

1124
00:47:41,400 --> 00:47:43,840
Speaker 1: That is going to be on Sunday, Super Bowl Sunday

1125
00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:47,759
Speaker 1: at four thirty Eastern to five thirty, and again the

1126
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:50,840
Speaker 1: giveaway is going to be amazing. And let me just

1127
00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:53,600
Speaker 1: explain it so you guys like fully understand it. Okay,

1128
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:57,680
Speaker 1: the giveaway, it's not open right now, like nobody's entering.

1129
00:47:57,760 --> 00:48:01,680
Speaker 1: We open that giveaway when we get to the live stream. Okay,

1130
00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:03,560
Speaker 1: that's gonna be at four thirty and it's only gonna

1131
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:06,200
Speaker 1: be open for an hour. There are not gonna be

1132
00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:10,359
Speaker 1: that many entrants into this giveaway to win it. And

1133
00:48:10,400 --> 00:48:13,359
Speaker 1: it's awesome. That's gonna unveil it live on the at

1134
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,080
Speaker 1: the end of the livestroom. It's going to be awesome.

1135
00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:17,440
Speaker 1: I promise you really want to be there again YouTube

1136
00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:21,080
Speaker 1: dot com slash Betting Pros four thirty Eastern on Super

1137
00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:23,640
Speaker 1: Bowl Sunday. Do not miss it, all right, Matt are

1138
00:48:23,680 --> 00:48:25,360
Speaker 1: you are you a little more pumped now? Like we

1139
00:48:25,400 --> 00:48:26,880
Speaker 1: did some bets, like I know you were kind of.

1140
00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:30,520
Speaker 2: Talking to me on Sunday, alday. I'll be fired up

1141
00:48:30,520 --> 00:48:31,200
Speaker 2: on Sunday.

1142
00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 1: Alright, Debbie Downer, that's fine, all right, So we will

1143
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:36,799
Speaker 1: talk again on Sunday again four thirty YouTube dot com

1144
00:48:36,800 --> 00:48:38,719
Speaker 1: slash betting Pros. We'll talk to you then. Until then,

1145
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:42,239
Speaker 1: enjoy the last few days that we have of the

1146
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:45,000
Speaker 1: twenty twenty NFL season, and we'll talk to you on

1147
00:48:45,040 --> 00:49:04,000
Speaker 1: Sunday