WEBVTT - Why U.S. Health Care Systems Weren’t Prepared for COVID-19

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're right here every day bringing you the

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<v Speaker 1>and of course Carol that's part of a team of

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts more than a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>also listen to our radio show at two pm Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio every weekday, or watch us on YouTube

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<v Speaker 1>by searching Bloomberg Global News. Let's talk about where we

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<v Speaker 1>are when it comes to the virus, and especially given

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<v Speaker 1>the backdrop, Carol, of the broader healthcare crisis. We've been

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<v Speaker 1>in the midst of a broader healthcare crisis for a

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<v Speaker 1>long time now, and we're in a very specific one here.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's get into it with Vivian Lee. Dr Vivian Lee,

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<v Speaker 1>president of Health Platforms over at Verily Life Sciences. She

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<v Speaker 1>joins us on the phone from New York. She's the

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<v Speaker 1>author of a book The long fix solving America's healthcare

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<v Speaker 1>crisis with strategies that work for everyone. Man, if this

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic hasn't laid bare everything that you're writing about, Dr Lee,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know what does. First of all, congratulations on

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<v Speaker 1>the book. Tell us what you're seeing out there and

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<v Speaker 1>sort of how it fits in what we're experiencing right

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<v Speaker 1>now fits into your longer term thesis. Well, thanks so

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<v Speaker 1>much for having me. And I think you couldn't have

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<v Speaker 1>said it better. This is like a giant stress test

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<v Speaker 1>for our healthcare system, and I think we're having some

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<v Speaker 1>pretty serious chest pain. You know, we're pretty much struggling

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<v Speaker 1>on almost all fronts except for one, which is I

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<v Speaker 1>have to say that I think that the heroic measures

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<v Speaker 1>that are frontline healthcare workers have been demonstrating. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that that is something that we should all continue to celebrate.

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<v Speaker 1>But in terms of the system itself, I think we

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<v Speaker 1>we are seeing, as you say, so many of its

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<v Speaker 1>flaws right now. All right, so listen, vision that we

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<v Speaker 1>have a strategy session right of all the great minds

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<v Speaker 1>in medical community, global medical community for that matter, and

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<v Speaker 1>we can make this system better. What would be the

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<v Speaker 1>three things you would change from day one. Well, for

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<v Speaker 1>the for to start with, we have to really change

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<v Speaker 1>how we're paying for healthcare and what we're paying for.

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<v Speaker 1>Right now, we are paying in a fee for service

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<v Speaker 1>model for things to be done to us regardless of

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<v Speaker 1>whether they make us healthier or not. And that fee

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<v Speaker 1>for service kind of model means that our health care

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<v Speaker 1>systems just live from fee to fee, and as you

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<v Speaker 1>can see with COVID, as many of them have been having,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, empty clinics and empty hospitals, they're actually being

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<v Speaker 1>forced to shut down or even lay off people in

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<v Speaker 1>so many in so many different parts of the country,

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<v Speaker 1>especially rule parts of the country. So first is we

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<v Speaker 1>really have to change the way in which we are

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<v Speaker 1>paying for healthcare. The second thing is we really have

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<v Speaker 1>to um take advantage of the new technologies. Telehealth is

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<v Speaker 1>one example. We're seeing a lot greater use of that

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<v Speaker 1>more digital health solutions so that people can look after

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<v Speaker 1>their own health in their homes, in their in their

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<v Speaker 1>workplace environments for example. But those have to again be

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<v Speaker 1>used in a way in which they're paid for generating

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<v Speaker 1>better health, not just for doing more things to people.

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<v Speaker 1>So take advantage of more of the technology. And then

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<v Speaker 1>the third is. I think we need a lot more

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<v Speaker 1>transparency about what it is we're going to have to

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<v Speaker 1>pay for, how much it's going to cost, why it cost,

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<v Speaker 1>what it does, so that we can really start to

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<v Speaker 1>link up the costs with what we're actually getting for

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<v Speaker 1>those dollars. And so, dr Lee, part of what you're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about. A lot of what you're talking about, especially

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<v Speaker 1>in that description, goes against some very entrenched economic interests. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>There are a lot of folks, especially big companies on

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<v Speaker 1>the managed care side, on the healthcare system side, on

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<v Speaker 1>the pharmaceutical side, they and maybe they wouldn't admit this

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<v Speaker 1>in the cold light of day, they kind of like

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<v Speaker 1>the way it works. They're making a lot of money.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you essentially make the case to policy officials,

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<v Speaker 1>many of whom hear from these companies through lobbying. How

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<v Speaker 1>do you sort of make this change? How do you

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<v Speaker 1>break the system in a way that people might be

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<v Speaker 1>okay with? Well, there's no question that changes hard. But

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<v Speaker 1>I think you'd be surprised at how much support there

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<v Speaker 1>is for change, especially right now. So when you talk

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<v Speaker 1>about managed care, companies are insurers. They actually really want

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<v Speaker 1>people to stay healthy. The healthier people are the less

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<v Speaker 1>they have to pay out and the better they do.

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<v Speaker 1>Most health care systems, most people who come into health care, physicians, nurses, therapists,

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<v Speaker 1>we want our patients to be healthy. We are not

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<v Speaker 1>hoping for them to be sick. But what we want

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<v Speaker 1>to do is to have just better alignment, so we're

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<v Speaker 1>paid for them to be healthier. You know, right now,

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<v Speaker 1>we just have the wrong incentives, right we are only

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<v Speaker 1>paid if they're sick. But actually in some cases, like

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<v Speaker 1>some clinics that are working in a Medicare advantage model,

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<v Speaker 1>and there are these clinics that are all over the

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<v Speaker 1>country where they're just paid a fixed amount of money

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<v Speaker 1>to keep their UH seniors healthy, and they get paid

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<v Speaker 1>that fixed amount no matter what happens, they actually are

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<v Speaker 1>are doing much better. They're actually spending more time with patients,

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<v Speaker 1>there's less burnout, the patients are hospitalized much less, and

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<v Speaker 1>so they actually do better. So there really are some

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<v Speaker 1>some strong incentives right now for moving to what we

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<v Speaker 1>call it paying for better health or paying for outcomes model.

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<v Speaker 1>But we just have to get it all aligned at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time so that we all make that transition together.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr viving Lee, we have about a minute and we'll

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<v Speaker 1>do some news and then we'll come back. But in

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<v Speaker 1>a minute or so, can you say, who's not buying

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<v Speaker 1>into this whole idea of let's just keep people well

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<v Speaker 1>and that's a smarter system. Who's not buying into that.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure that anyone's not buying into it, but

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<v Speaker 1>I think that we have to make it a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit easier to make that transition. It's almost impossible to

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<v Speaker 1>live in a world where you're getting paid for doing

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of things to people and then Soto getting

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<v Speaker 1>paid for keeping them out of the hospital at the

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<v Speaker 1>same time. That's almost impossible. So we have to make

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<v Speaker 1>that change pretty decisively and help those systems change. But

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<v Speaker 1>I think most people are supportive of it. We do

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<v Speaker 1>want to bring you a little piece of an interview

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<v Speaker 1>that our David Weston did with Dr Anthony Fauci. Check

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<v Speaker 1>it out. Everybody, if you're talking about a medical question,

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<v Speaker 1>listen to the medical experts. That's the advice, and you

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<v Speaker 1>won't get it. You will not get a conflicting message

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<v Speaker 1>from the medical experts about things like hydroxy chloroquine, about

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<v Speaker 1>what the results of the vaccine trial aw or what

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<v Speaker 1>the results of monoclonal anybody. So when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>pure public health medical things, listen to what the medical

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<v Speaker 1>experts say. All right, and we've got a medical expert

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<v Speaker 1>with us. Dr Vivian Lee still with us, President of

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<v Speaker 1>health Platforms at Verily Life Science, former CEO of the

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<v Speaker 1>three and a half billion dollar healthcare system University of

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<v Speaker 1>Utah Health, still with us on the phone in New York. So,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Lee, you are a medical expert. I'm a assuming

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<v Speaker 1>you agree with what we heard from Dr Fauci. What

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<v Speaker 1>would you say then, is the right thing to do

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to reopening schools and colleges and universities.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, we are in such a difficult situation right

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<v Speaker 1>now because we need to keep our economy going. We

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<v Speaker 1>actually need to invest in our future, which is I

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<v Speaker 1>think a big part of why we need to get

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<v Speaker 1>our universities back up this fall. Those students need to

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<v Speaker 1>continue study because there are future and at the same time,

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<v Speaker 1>we have this massive upswing in COVID across the country

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<v Speaker 1>and we have to keep healthy. We have to keep

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<v Speaker 1>everyone healthy, So there's a tension. I think it's pretty

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<v Speaker 1>clear that wearing masks social distancing, hand washing, making sure

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<v Speaker 1>that if you're sick or have been exposed that you

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<v Speaker 1>isolate UM that these precautions or these measures do work

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<v Speaker 1>UM for college campuses. We actually just put out a

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<v Speaker 1>paper last week recommending putting forward a series of four

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<v Speaker 1>recommendations for reopening our college campuses, and I'm happy to

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<v Speaker 1>just go through those very quickly. UM. The first is

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<v Speaker 1>that we're really recommending that on top of all of

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<v Speaker 1>the social discigs and mask and everything, this is specifically

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<v Speaker 1>around COVID nineteen testing. It's recognizing that so many people,

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<v Speaker 1>especially and including college aged kids, UM, are asymptomatic even

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<v Speaker 1>though they may be COVID nineteen positive and may be

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<v Speaker 1>able to infect other people. And so as a result,

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<v Speaker 1>testing is really central to our strategies. So first, we're

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<v Speaker 1>recommending that everyone get tested before they really engage back

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<v Speaker 1>in the college campus, so either before they arrived back

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<v Speaker 1>or right after they arrive. Secondly, we're recommending that they

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<v Speaker 1>get tested about a week afterwards to pick up those

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<v Speaker 1>people who might have gotten sick along the way or

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<v Speaker 1>whose tests were inaccurate, because there are sometimes people may

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<v Speaker 1>have the exposure but the test might not be positive.

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<v Speaker 1>Then we recommend everyone who does become symptomatic get tested

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<v Speaker 1>of course, and then finally we're also recommending that at

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<v Speaker 1>least a sub set of people who are asymptomatic get

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<v Speaker 1>tested regularly throughout the semester. So those are some of

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<v Speaker 1>our recommendations. And so how feasible is that, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you understand the business side of this very well, doctor Lee.

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<v Speaker 1>How feasible is it for a regular, sort of everyday

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<v Speaker 1>college or university to to really execute that plan? Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I think most universities have been spending a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>their summers not on holiday and not on break, but

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<v Speaker 1>really studying this problem and figuring out how to manage

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<v Speaker 1>their campuses. And I really have to have to give

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<v Speaker 1>them a ton of credit for all the work that

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<v Speaker 1>they've been doing. Um, there's the practical aspect of it

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<v Speaker 1>which is challenging, but they all have student health services.

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<v Speaker 1>There are a number of companies, including our own Verily,

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<v Speaker 1>who are working on in these areas to try to

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<v Speaker 1>support this effort. A lot of the lab testing companies

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<v Speaker 1>have really stepped up as well to offer these services.

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<v Speaker 1>In terms of the financial impact, the cost of the

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<v Speaker 1>tests are coming down. There are a number of different

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<v Speaker 1>companies that are in the space now and that's helping

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<v Speaker 1>to increase competition and reduce the costs. So it's financially

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I've estimated in this paper that we wrote

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<v Speaker 1>maybe about five dollars per student for the semester for

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<v Speaker 1>the testing, and you know, that's less than a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of weeks of unemployment pay. So just sort of weighing

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<v Speaker 1>up the trade offs, I think it is definitely worth

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<v Speaker 1>that investment, but it sounds like bottom line, just got

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seconds here, doctor Lee, that we need to have

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<v Speaker 1>tests that are readibly available so we can almost every day,

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<v Speaker 1>every week be taking them and quickly get the results.

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<v Speaker 1>That's what it comes down to. That's right, until we

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<v Speaker 1>have a good treatment or a vaccine, as we heard,

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<v Speaker 1>we need tests that are available and turn around times

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<v Speaker 1>that are quick. There's we can't wait weeks for the

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<v Speaker 1>turnaround and needs to come back right away so that

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<v Speaker 1>we know how to act and how to respond. That's

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<v Speaker 1>a critical part for sure. Great to catch up with you.

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<v Speaker 1>We hope you'll come back and spend more time with us.

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<v Speaker 1>Vivian Ly, president of health Platforms that Verily Life Science,

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<v Speaker 1>is also the author of The Long Fix Solving America's

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<v Speaker 1>healthcare Crisis with strategies of work for everyone and giving

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<v Speaker 1>us a strategy for back to school that it sounds

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<v Speaker 1>like a lot of people maybe following our Thanks to her,

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<v Speaker 1>we do have Joel Webber with us, of course, the

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<v Speaker 1>editor of Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us from Massachusetts,

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<v Speaker 1>along with Shelley Banjo, senior writer for Bloomberg. She's down

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<v Speaker 1>in gorgeous Asheville, North Carolina. Lucky her, and she's got

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<v Speaker 1>a terrific story along with Mark Bergen in the issue

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<v Speaker 1>this current issue of Bloomberg Business Week. It's on the

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<v Speaker 1>terminal and online today. Joel t this up. This is

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<v Speaker 1>such an important topic. We've been talking so much about

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<v Speaker 1>big tech and this is a slightly different twist but

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<v Speaker 1>goes to so many of the big issues around big tech. So,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a week ago now, big tech sort of

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<v Speaker 1>got grilled in front of lawmakers virtually. UM, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think that it was part of uh something that we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to see in a conversation that we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>continue to have in the weeks and months ahead. UM

0:11:58.600 --> 0:12:01.560
<v Speaker 1>And for Google SpeI typically that conversation is gonna be

0:12:01.559 --> 0:12:06.120
<v Speaker 1>a lot about anti trust and what Mark and Shelley

0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:09.120
<v Speaker 1>did in this story was not not so much to

0:12:09.120 --> 0:12:13.000
<v Speaker 1>take the anti trust conversation head on, but to look

0:12:13.040 --> 0:12:18.880
<v Speaker 1>at a corner of Google's business search ads that's literally

0:12:18.920 --> 0:12:23.760
<v Speaker 1>what makes it such a power house and for certain

0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:27.120
<v Speaker 1>small businesses, especially those in the service world, and get

0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:29.400
<v Speaker 1>this in the middle of the pandemic, the ones that

0:12:29.760 --> 0:12:33.400
<v Speaker 1>Mark and Shelley were wise to look at. Specifically, we're

0:12:33.760 --> 0:12:37.880
<v Speaker 1>therapists and mental health professionals who have actually felt the

0:12:38.000 --> 0:12:41.600
<v Speaker 1>impact of of Google's pricing power in a way that

0:12:41.720 --> 0:12:43.880
<v Speaker 1>really resembles attacks. And I think this is gonna be

0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:47.640
<v Speaker 1>something that will be fascinating how much lawmakers want to

0:12:47.679 --> 0:12:50.480
<v Speaker 1>look at that. So, Shelly, what what are the nuances

0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:52.640
<v Speaker 1>that you and Mark discovered as you sort of dug

0:12:52.640 --> 0:12:55.560
<v Speaker 1>into how much power and dominance Google has in the

0:12:55.559 --> 0:13:00.360
<v Speaker 1>search world. Yeah. The craziest thing about the story is that, um,

0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:02.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, as these things go, is that we didn't

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:04.520
<v Speaker 1>actually sit out to right shut out to write an

0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:06.679
<v Speaker 1>antitrust story. We were kind of curious with all these

0:13:06.679 --> 0:13:09.960
<v Speaker 1>ads that kept popping up during the pandemic around mental health.

0:13:09.960 --> 0:13:13.200
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to figure out like someone profiting off of

0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:16.760
<v Speaker 1>this pandemic from like a mental health perspective, and we

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:21.079
<v Speaker 1>just started talking to therapists, and every big, single time

0:13:21.120 --> 0:13:23.679
<v Speaker 1>we spoke to a therapist, it was Google, Google, Google,

0:13:23.760 --> 0:13:27.200
<v Speaker 1>Google and UM. Particularly the one that we UM end

0:13:27.280 --> 0:13:30.240
<v Speaker 1>up featuring the most in our story is this therapist

0:13:30.400 --> 0:13:33.280
<v Speaker 1>UM named Ellen Ross who said, UM, you know, you

0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:36.880
<v Speaker 1>can't have a business, my kind of business without without

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Google search. It's UM. You know, it's just like you know,

0:13:40.880 --> 0:13:43.960
<v Speaker 1>she goes through her list of monthly bills and it's

0:13:44.080 --> 0:13:47.920
<v Speaker 1>you know rent, uh, you know, heating or air conditioning,

0:13:48.080 --> 0:13:52.960
<v Speaker 1>power and and Google. But what you noticed, Shelley, this

0:13:53.040 --> 0:13:57.160
<v Speaker 1>is such a great story is that during the pandemic, UM.

0:13:57.200 --> 0:13:59.120
<v Speaker 1>I think you know, you guys know in your story

0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:02.520
<v Speaker 1>that the prices for regular keywords UM sharply And this

0:14:02.600 --> 0:14:05.200
<v Speaker 1>is kind of a key way of getting noticed uh

0:14:05.240 --> 0:14:09.520
<v Speaker 1>in the online world. Right, So during the pandemic, everything

0:14:09.559 --> 0:14:12.560
<v Speaker 1>else shut down except for the Internet, and so UM

0:14:12.600 --> 0:14:14.839
<v Speaker 1>that was really the only way for people to find

0:14:14.880 --> 0:14:18.600
<v Speaker 1>you UM. And all of a sudden, searches for online

0:14:18.600 --> 0:14:21.720
<v Speaker 1>therapy shot up as people started to realize, oh, shoot,

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:24.000
<v Speaker 1>like this is not something that's going to be over quickly.

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:27.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to need some help with this, UM. And

0:14:27.080 --> 0:14:30.920
<v Speaker 1>it just became prohibitively expensive for um, some of these

0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:34.480
<v Speaker 1>therapists to keep putting Google search ads and keep paying

0:14:34.520 --> 0:14:36.920
<v Speaker 1>for them. That the problem is if you don't pay

0:14:36.960 --> 0:14:38.560
<v Speaker 1>for the search ads, you're not going to get touch

0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:43.560
<v Speaker 1>the customers. And Google's really pushing this. I mean you

0:14:43.560 --> 0:14:46.400
<v Speaker 1>you have some great anecdotes about you know, the sales

0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:49.760
<v Speaker 1>reps calling up you know, these therapists and and kind

0:14:49.760 --> 0:14:52.760
<v Speaker 1>of putting the hard sell in them and using the

0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:57.800
<v Speaker 1>economics and the economics of crisis really uh in many

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.840
<v Speaker 1>ways to to drive the business. Yeah, I mean, it's

0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:05.280
<v Speaker 1>an interesting nuance because it's there's something wrong or illegal

0:15:05.400 --> 0:15:09.400
<v Speaker 1>about making money especially during um, you know, pandemics or

0:15:09.520 --> 0:15:14.240
<v Speaker 1>natural disasters. Every Bloomberg uh story regarding natural disasters will

0:15:14.240 --> 0:15:16.200
<v Speaker 1>look into who's making money off of off of these

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:20.120
<v Speaker 1>kinds of things. Um. But at the same time, these

0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:23.480
<v Speaker 1>people have no other choice, and Google can kind of

0:15:23.480 --> 0:15:29.080
<v Speaker 1>take advantage of that by pushing things like automation um um,

0:15:29.120 --> 0:15:32.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, not having as good as customer service and

0:15:32.240 --> 0:15:34.520
<v Speaker 1>thinks that these people really rely on because there's no

0:15:34.600 --> 0:15:37.240
<v Speaker 1>other place to go. And so the question is, once

0:15:37.240 --> 0:15:40.400
<v Speaker 1>you become that monopoly and you have so much power,

0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:45.240
<v Speaker 1>does it become then an antitrust issue, and so play

0:15:45.280 --> 0:15:47.800
<v Speaker 1>that out a little bit, Shelly, Where where will lawmakers

0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 1>put their gaze? Um? And how does how does all

0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:55.440
<v Speaker 1>of this fit together in the weeks ahead? Yeah, So,

0:15:55.480 --> 0:15:58.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean search dominance in itself is not illegal, UM,

0:15:58.920 --> 0:16:01.560
<v Speaker 1>And so the issue for lawmakers is trying to take

0:16:01.600 --> 0:16:06.080
<v Speaker 1>her out. UM. Is Google actually abusing that power? And

0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 1>so one other part of the story that we look

0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:11.800
<v Speaker 1>into is this idea of Google directing people to certain

0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:14.360
<v Speaker 1>places that make the most money for them. So with

0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:17.920
<v Speaker 1>therapy for example, now if you type in therapists, it's

0:16:17.960 --> 0:16:20.880
<v Speaker 1>going to go up to UM. You're you're gonna spit

0:16:20.920 --> 0:16:25.960
<v Speaker 1>out some UM therapists near you that on Google Maps

0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:29.480
<v Speaker 1>that have paid for these services, and so UM, you know,

0:16:29.560 --> 0:16:34.280
<v Speaker 1>just Google then take take over UM healthcare and search

0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:37.240
<v Speaker 1>and and those types of things that previously might have

0:16:37.360 --> 0:16:40.200
<v Speaker 1>gone UM to to other businesses. Are they going to

0:16:40.240 --> 0:16:43.560
<v Speaker 1>be abusing that power? And what law lawmakers need to

0:16:43.560 --> 0:16:46.960
<v Speaker 1>find out is, you know, does it go beyond just

0:16:47.040 --> 0:16:50.680
<v Speaker 1>being big? Does it go beyond just UM having power?

0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:53.600
<v Speaker 1>It's what do you do with that power? And UM

0:16:53.920 --> 0:16:58.720
<v Speaker 1>is that part of that illegal? And so should we

0:16:58.800 --> 0:17:02.600
<v Speaker 1>be you know what the Google conversation is one that

0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:07.400
<v Speaker 1>is um obviously uh, something that the latmakers will probably

0:17:07.960 --> 0:17:13.200
<v Speaker 1>focus on more more so than other big tech companies

0:17:13.240 --> 0:17:16.639
<v Speaker 1>even perhaps, and and that that power that they have.

0:17:16.720 --> 0:17:19.720
<v Speaker 1>When you actually talked to the small business owners and

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.480
<v Speaker 1>and the therapists that are in the story, you know,

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:24.960
<v Speaker 1>the thing that I found sort of so fascinating about

0:17:25.000 --> 0:17:27.080
<v Speaker 1>it was like, at the end of the day, this

0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:30.440
<v Speaker 1>is the option for them, right, So what other options

0:17:30.480 --> 0:17:34.680
<v Speaker 1>do do they feel like they even have? Yeah, I

0:17:34.680 --> 0:17:37.119
<v Speaker 1>mean when you ask about being which is the second

0:17:37.359 --> 0:17:40.200
<v Speaker 1>church engine, the therapist would just laugh, honestly, they would

0:17:40.200 --> 0:17:42.239
<v Speaker 1>just beee like that's not a thing. Um, we we

0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:45.479
<v Speaker 1>only have Google. Um. And the interesting thing is that

0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:48.760
<v Speaker 1>Google likes to paint this big picture of competition. Would add, oh,

0:17:48.800 --> 0:17:52.000
<v Speaker 1>there's Facebook, and there's um all sorts of different companies

0:17:52.040 --> 0:17:55.960
<v Speaker 1>that even television and billboards like we fight with everyone. Um,

0:17:56.040 --> 0:17:59.159
<v Speaker 1>but you know, uh at Amazon, but like as we

0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:01.680
<v Speaker 1>point out in the store, like nobody's going on Amazon

0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:03.960
<v Speaker 1>to search for a therapist, but at least not yet.

0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:07.760
<v Speaker 1>And um, and so for these service providers, um, you

0:18:07.800 --> 0:18:10.239
<v Speaker 1>know they really there really is no other option. And

0:18:10.280 --> 0:18:12.600
<v Speaker 1>so you know, Google can talk about all the different

0:18:12.600 --> 0:18:15.679
<v Speaker 1>competition that they fake, but in a lot of industries

0:18:15.840 --> 0:18:17.919
<v Speaker 1>they're really the only game in town, and it's up

0:18:17.960 --> 0:18:20.840
<v Speaker 1>to them to to, you know, kind of keep coloring

0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:24.480
<v Speaker 1>in within the lines or or not, and if they don't,

0:18:24.560 --> 0:18:27.639
<v Speaker 1>then the government can go after them. As as one

0:18:27.680 --> 0:18:29.920
<v Speaker 1>source in your story, it's this says, the bigger question

0:18:29.960 --> 0:18:32.200
<v Speaker 1>is whether Google is abusing its power. It really comes

0:18:32.240 --> 0:18:34.560
<v Speaker 1>down to that. It's a great read. It's the cover

0:18:34.640 --> 0:18:36.920
<v Speaker 1>story of the magazine. Shelley Banjo, thank you so much,

0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:39.560
<v Speaker 1>senior writer at Bloomberg News, and thanks to Joe Webber,

0:18:39.680 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 1>editor at Bloomberg Business Week. Well, and what's interesting is

0:18:43.400 --> 0:18:45.920
<v Speaker 1>check out that story because it also points out that,

0:18:46.040 --> 0:18:49.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, people are also taking advantage of YouTube owned

0:18:49.720 --> 0:18:53.240
<v Speaker 1>by Google, and maybe they're doing a therapy session on

0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:57.680
<v Speaker 1>a Google meet. So you know, this all encompassing nature

0:18:57.720 --> 0:18:59.960
<v Speaker 1>is really something worth expoy. It's a great story by

0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:02.199
<v Speaker 1>Shelly Panjo. Are thanks to her. Let's check in with

0:19:02.240 --> 0:19:05.200
<v Speaker 1>our pal Emily Chason. She is back with us to

0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:09.199
<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about the world of green that

0:19:09.320 --> 0:19:12.280
<v Speaker 1>is her vi is Sustainability editor for Blueberg, joiningus on

0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:17.040
<v Speaker 1>the phone from New York City. Big green mortgage dilemma.

0:19:17.119 --> 0:19:20.040
<v Speaker 1>All right, I know about a big green egg Emily Chason,

0:19:20.119 --> 0:19:22.760
<v Speaker 1>I love grilling on that, But big green mortgage dilemma.

0:19:22.840 --> 0:19:26.119
<v Speaker 1>This is a whole other thing. Talk about what's going

0:19:26.200 --> 0:19:28.880
<v Speaker 1>on when it comes to mortgages, because people are thinking

0:19:28.920 --> 0:19:32.880
<v Speaker 1>a lot about that right now, especially with right solo. Yeah,

0:19:32.880 --> 0:19:35.240
<v Speaker 1>well it's interesting. You know, you go out and finance

0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:37.000
<v Speaker 1>your mortgage today and it has nothing to do with

0:19:37.080 --> 0:19:39.840
<v Speaker 1>how green your home is. And this is the thing

0:19:39.880 --> 0:19:42.760
<v Speaker 1>that has actually happened more in the multi family housing

0:19:42.760 --> 0:19:45.240
<v Speaker 1>market for apartment buildings and stuff, is that you can

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:47.520
<v Speaker 1>get lower race than your refinance or something if you're

0:19:47.520 --> 0:19:50.600
<v Speaker 1>going to do um green improvements to your building as

0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:53.680
<v Speaker 1>a landlord. But it hasn't quite made its way into

0:19:53.720 --> 0:19:57.520
<v Speaker 1>residential mortgages. Yea, so um. This is a big question

0:19:57.560 --> 0:20:00.480
<v Speaker 1>for banks in particular because when they look at trying

0:20:00.520 --> 0:20:04.000
<v Speaker 1>to figure out the climate impact of their loans, um

0:20:04.160 --> 0:20:06.200
<v Speaker 1>mortgages are sort of a big question mark. You don't

0:20:06.200 --> 0:20:10.480
<v Speaker 1>really know which houses more energy efficients than others. So

0:20:10.720 --> 0:20:12.919
<v Speaker 1>is it banks just not on board? We need the

0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:15.919
<v Speaker 1>government to incent banks to do it, Like I feel like,

0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:18.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, this is where tax policy right can be

0:20:18.359 --> 0:20:21.879
<v Speaker 1>very persuasive, um, in terms of getting people to do something.

0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:26.199
<v Speaker 1>So where's the breakdown, Emily? Yeah, Well, you know, Europe

0:20:26.240 --> 0:20:28.200
<v Speaker 1>is further ahead, of course, as they normally are in

0:20:28.280 --> 0:20:31.840
<v Speaker 1>this stuff, but they have an energy efficient Mortgages action plan.

0:20:32.119 --> 0:20:35.520
<v Speaker 1>Their COVID nineteen green recovery plan could include you know,

0:20:35.640 --> 0:20:38.080
<v Speaker 1>billions of euros a year and grants and guarantees for

0:20:38.280 --> 0:20:43.360
<v Speaker 1>stealing up draft fee buildings or offering green mortgages. So, um,

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:45.439
<v Speaker 1>there is thf that can happen. What was really exciting

0:20:45.480 --> 0:20:50.200
<v Speaker 1>this past week was that Fanny May sold its first

0:20:50.320 --> 0:20:53.399
<v Speaker 1>um single family home green bonds, which could create a

0:20:53.480 --> 0:20:57.360
<v Speaker 1>market for banks to sell green mortgages in the future.

0:20:58.520 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>All Right, so if I May, I'm going to shift

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:04.719
<v Speaker 1>gears because I'm obsessed. Probably hungry. Are you hungry? I'm

0:21:04.720 --> 0:21:09.840
<v Speaker 1>a little hungry. Um foe meat. Uh. I love impossible.

0:21:09.840 --> 0:21:12.159
<v Speaker 1>In fact, I love impossible and beyond. In fact, on

0:21:12.200 --> 0:21:14.239
<v Speaker 1>my way into the office this morning, I grabbed the

0:21:14.280 --> 0:21:17.359
<v Speaker 1>Impossible sausage from Starbucks, which I have to say, I've

0:21:17.400 --> 0:21:18.920
<v Speaker 1>said it on this program before. This is not a

0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:23.960
<v Speaker 1>product endorsement. Impossible sausage at Starbucks better than the Beyond sausage.

0:21:23.960 --> 0:21:26.800
<v Speaker 1>At Duncan. I've tried in both, trying to both multiple times,

0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:31.520
<v Speaker 1>very tasty. We also know, Emily Jason, you know better

0:21:31.520 --> 0:21:36.040
<v Speaker 1>than I that the venture world they see something work

0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:37.960
<v Speaker 1>and they're like, hmm, is there anything else where we

0:21:37.960 --> 0:21:41.600
<v Speaker 1>can invest in related to that? That is definitely happening

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:47.359
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to the so called alternative protein market. Yeah,

0:21:48.040 --> 0:21:50.600
<v Speaker 1>I would say that, like sustainability companies in the market

0:21:50.680 --> 0:21:53.320
<v Speaker 1>right now are super hot. Beyond Meat was one of

0:21:53.320 --> 0:21:56.680
<v Speaker 1>the best performing I p o s in decades, right, um,

0:21:56.880 --> 0:21:59.919
<v Speaker 1>So venture capital firms really want to see if they

0:22:00.000 --> 0:22:03.960
<v Speaker 1>can repeat that, and they've basically doubled their bet on

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:06.840
<v Speaker 1>alternative protein makers this year, raising over a billion for

0:22:06.960 --> 0:22:10.080
<v Speaker 1>startups that focus on everything from lab grown meat too,

0:22:10.760 --> 0:22:14.320
<v Speaker 1>protein that comes from volcanic microbes. Um. Just this week

0:22:14.359 --> 0:22:17.399
<v Speaker 1>there was on the actual meat side, there was an

0:22:17.400 --> 0:22:19.679
<v Speaker 1>I p O of Vital Farms, which is like a

0:22:19.680 --> 0:22:24.560
<v Speaker 1>sustainable butter and eggs company and sustainable agriculture and just

0:22:24.600 --> 0:22:26.760
<v Speaker 1>that whole area. It had a huge pop of like

0:22:28.000 --> 0:22:30.199
<v Speaker 1>in two days of training. Yeah, that's pretty cool I

0:22:30.240 --> 0:22:31.720
<v Speaker 1>p O And I think it was that was it

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:36.359
<v Speaker 1>twenty two and it's now at forty and change. Um,

0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:40.000
<v Speaker 1>so yeah, it's really it's really popped up big time. Yeah,

0:22:40.080 --> 0:22:42.400
<v Speaker 1>I know, should we anticipate there's gonna be a lot more?

0:22:42.440 --> 0:22:47.120
<v Speaker 1>I feel like that's kind of a no brainer, right, Yeah,

0:22:47.160 --> 0:22:49.480
<v Speaker 1>there's gonna be a ton more an alternative meat. And

0:22:49.560 --> 0:22:51.600
<v Speaker 1>I was talking to an investagor the week to focuses

0:22:51.640 --> 0:22:54.640
<v Speaker 1>on alternative protein and says that meat is so boring.

0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:57.040
<v Speaker 1>We've already figured out all the ways to make that efficient.

0:22:57.080 --> 0:23:01.000
<v Speaker 1>And there's so much new stuff in um, sustainable meat

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:03.359
<v Speaker 1>and alternative meat. There's every you know, everyone wants to

0:23:03.359 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 1>know what the flavor is, what the taste is, what's

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:08.160
<v Speaker 1>this kind is the other kind? So it's just more

0:23:08.200 --> 0:23:12.199
<v Speaker 1>interesting for consumers. Everyone likes variety. So um, there's some

0:23:12.200 --> 0:23:15.560
<v Speaker 1>big raises like Blackstone just did um a big bet

0:23:15.560 --> 0:23:18.600
<v Speaker 1>on Totally, which is the Mills maker where the craze

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 1>this morning. Yeah, valued the company at two billion. That

0:23:23.960 --> 0:23:26.679
<v Speaker 1>was earlier this year. UM. Impossible Foods, which you were

0:23:26.680 --> 0:23:30.560
<v Speaker 1>talking about earlier, they raised five million to support expansion globally.

0:23:30.760 --> 0:23:33.400
<v Speaker 1>But there's also you know, smaller companies like Memphis Meats,

0:23:33.440 --> 0:23:36.280
<v Speaker 1>which grows like lab grown meat. Um, they raised one

0:23:36.320 --> 0:23:39.680
<v Speaker 1>fifty one million this year and um. Another company is

0:23:39.720 --> 0:23:44.160
<v Speaker 1>called Nature's Find which makes this alternative protein developed from

0:23:44.200 --> 0:23:46.840
<v Speaker 1>a volcanic microbe they discovered in Yellowstone Parks. They were

0:23:46.840 --> 0:23:51.679
<v Speaker 1>looking for how NASA could develop protein um on Mars

0:23:51.800 --> 0:23:54.280
<v Speaker 1>or something like that in the future, and they discovered

0:23:54.320 --> 0:23:58.359
<v Speaker 1>this protein and now they're they're making uh food from it. Like,

0:23:58.359 --> 0:23:59.800
<v Speaker 1>who needs to go to Mars? We can do it

0:23:59.880 --> 0:24:04.120
<v Speaker 1>right here, all right, Emily Chason, thank you so much.

0:24:04.119 --> 0:24:06.719
<v Speaker 1>She's our sustainability editor at Bloomberg and he's joining us

0:24:06.720 --> 0:24:08.120
<v Speaker 1>on the phone in New York. Took out her work

0:24:08.359 --> 0:24:10.440
<v Speaker 1>and took out all of the work that Bloomberg Green

0:24:10.560 --> 0:24:12.439
<v Speaker 1>is doing. It's really a cool vertical. It's a broad

0:24:12.840 --> 0:24:15.480
<v Speaker 1>brought worst. Yeah. I was gonna say, didn't you say?

0:24:15.520 --> 0:24:18.760
<v Speaker 1>You went, oh yeah, the beyond me. Beyond that was

0:24:18.840 --> 0:24:22.800
<v Speaker 1>the sausage, the like the Lynk sausage, right, like did

0:24:22.840 --> 0:24:25.200
<v Speaker 1>you sort of like grilled her frien too. It's really good.

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:28.359
<v Speaker 1>This is broad worst that we did with Sara craud Like,

0:24:28.680 --> 0:24:31.280
<v Speaker 1>it was really good. I mean, Emily is exactly right.

0:24:31.320 --> 0:24:34.359
<v Speaker 1>It is all about the taste in many ways. And

0:24:34.520 --> 0:24:38.359
<v Speaker 1>I think if you if you find something that tastes

0:24:38.400 --> 0:24:42.119
<v Speaker 1>good and then you feel like it's better environmentally and

0:24:42.240 --> 0:24:44.920
<v Speaker 1>it's better for you physically, Like you're gonna go with

0:24:45.040 --> 0:24:52.920
<v Speaker 1>that journal. Yeah, but you let me drive? Oh no, no, no,

0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:14.480
<v Speaker 1>I want to try. Just drive the question trying. This

0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:17.880
<v Speaker 1>is the drive to the globe. Give me thanks. We'll

0:25:17.960 --> 0:25:21.520
<v Speaker 1>drying us to dawn on Bluebird Radio. We've just got

0:25:21.560 --> 0:25:24.840
<v Speaker 1>about eleven minutes left in today's trading session bouncing around,

0:25:24.880 --> 0:25:27.240
<v Speaker 1>but we've got a rally underway, in particular, the dow

0:25:27.480 --> 0:25:30.680
<v Speaker 1>up about one in a quarter percent. Let's drive to

0:25:30.760 --> 0:25:33.760
<v Speaker 1>the clothes with Larry Pittkowski. He's co founder and portfolio

0:25:33.840 --> 0:25:37.240
<v Speaker 1>manager at Goodhaven Capital Management, joining us once again on

0:25:37.400 --> 0:25:39.680
<v Speaker 1>the phone in Millburn, New Jersey, which is where he

0:25:39.840 --> 0:25:43.159
<v Speaker 1>is based. How are you. I am pretty well. How

0:25:43.240 --> 0:25:47.440
<v Speaker 1>are you, Carol? Doing okay? Doing okay? You know, life

0:25:47.520 --> 0:25:51.919
<v Speaker 1>is certainly abnormal. Uh, And we continue on. I am curious, um,

0:25:52.200 --> 0:25:55.160
<v Speaker 1>how you see the second half? Do you see things improving?

0:25:55.600 --> 0:25:57.800
<v Speaker 1>I think investors, Larry, right now are trying to figure

0:25:57.800 --> 0:26:01.480
<v Speaker 1>out what's next. You know, Carol, I'm going to share

0:26:01.520 --> 0:26:03.800
<v Speaker 1>with you one of the most important phrases in investing,

0:26:04.080 --> 0:26:08.920
<v Speaker 1>which is I don't know and and I'm not I'm

0:26:08.960 --> 0:26:12.119
<v Speaker 1>only I'm really not being facetious. Uh, I don't know.

0:26:12.760 --> 0:26:15.600
<v Speaker 1>And I think the important thing is is to be

0:26:15.760 --> 0:26:19.760
<v Speaker 1>able to find a couple of opportunities and ways to

0:26:19.800 --> 0:26:24.040
<v Speaker 1>allocate capital when you don't know exactly what's coming. And

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:27.480
<v Speaker 1>I think the way you do that, you know, you

0:26:27.680 --> 0:26:31.200
<v Speaker 1>need to look for where there are sectors that have

0:26:31.359 --> 0:26:33.960
<v Speaker 1>not really participated in the rally, and you need to

0:26:34.240 --> 0:26:38.399
<v Speaker 1>find things that appear undervalued. Even if we have a

0:26:38.920 --> 0:26:42.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, very uneven economic situation, and this is an

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:44.480
<v Speaker 1>unusual period. I mean, even for those of us that

0:26:44.560 --> 0:26:47.240
<v Speaker 1>have been around for a while and have seen a

0:26:47.280 --> 0:26:49.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of different crisis is the last six months were

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:54.320
<v Speaker 1>some of the most unusual ever. Um So. But I

0:26:54.440 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 1>think at good Haven we had a solid second quarter.

0:26:58.119 --> 0:27:00.920
<v Speaker 1>I think we're about the nice oaks at live Or

0:27:01.040 --> 0:27:03.520
<v Speaker 1>keep telling us we're near the top of our category.

0:27:03.880 --> 0:27:05.520
<v Speaker 1>And I think we've still own a lot of cheap

0:27:05.600 --> 0:27:08.920
<v Speaker 1>stocks that I think have plenty of upside, and I

0:27:09.080 --> 0:27:12.000
<v Speaker 1>think we did some good buying during the downturn. But

0:27:12.119 --> 0:27:16.639
<v Speaker 1>the range of economic outcomes from here is still very wide,

0:27:17.080 --> 0:27:21.200
<v Speaker 1>um and I think that should play well for stock pickers. Yeah,

0:27:21.520 --> 0:27:23.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, Larry, it's interesting to hear you say, you know,

0:27:23.840 --> 0:27:27.000
<v Speaker 1>relatively cheap, because we were talking earlier in the show

0:27:27.160 --> 0:27:30.240
<v Speaker 1>about a report at a Bank of America essentially saying, look,

0:27:30.600 --> 0:27:32.720
<v Speaker 1>you need to be buying stocks ahead of a vaccine

0:27:32.800 --> 0:27:37.199
<v Speaker 1>whenever that comes. Because even as we look at an

0:27:37.359 --> 0:27:40.720
<v Speaker 1>SNP that may hit record levels, even as as Carroll

0:27:40.800 --> 0:27:44.560
<v Speaker 1>just mentioned, we have the Dow up plus one percent

0:27:45.080 --> 0:27:50.280
<v Speaker 1>or better right now, Um, you know, we are still

0:27:50.400 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 1>looking at a market that if the economy does start

0:27:53.600 --> 0:27:57.520
<v Speaker 1>to rev at all, there could be some opportunities for

0:27:58.000 --> 0:28:03.520
<v Speaker 1>specific names. You know, Jason, I'm I'm the I'm the

0:28:03.560 --> 0:28:06.120
<v Speaker 1>wayward child of a somewhat biblical family. So I'll leave,

0:28:06.160 --> 0:28:08.080
<v Speaker 1>I'll leave you. I'll give you a biblical comment. You

0:28:08.240 --> 0:28:11.080
<v Speaker 1>can't start building the York when it starts pouring rain.

0:28:11.119 --> 0:28:13.080
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't work that way. You know, you need to

0:28:14.080 --> 0:28:17.440
<v Speaker 1>have laid out a thesis ahead of when the rest

0:28:17.480 --> 0:28:19.399
<v Speaker 1>of the world is discussing it. As a as a

0:28:19.520 --> 0:28:21.760
<v Speaker 1>very smart friend friend of mine likes to always say,

0:28:22.359 --> 0:28:24.520
<v Speaker 1>you can have cheap stocks or good headlines, but you

0:28:24.560 --> 0:28:26.800
<v Speaker 1>can't have them both at the same time. Okay, So,

0:28:27.800 --> 0:28:30.240
<v Speaker 1>for instance, you know, one of our biggest holdings is

0:28:30.280 --> 0:28:33.639
<v Speaker 1>a gold miners Barrick Gold. Okay, nobody thought that was

0:28:33.680 --> 0:28:35.679
<v Speaker 1>such an interesting idea a couple of years ago when

0:28:35.760 --> 0:28:37.480
<v Speaker 1>we were making it a big holding. I mean, we've

0:28:37.480 --> 0:28:41.040
<v Speaker 1>got questions and we've got you know, Snickers and whatnot. Well,

0:28:41.720 --> 0:28:43.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's worked out very well. It's not really

0:28:43.720 --> 0:28:45.760
<v Speaker 1>the thing I really want to talk about. But you know,

0:28:46.000 --> 0:28:48.480
<v Speaker 1>you need to be looking for things that are not

0:28:48.960 --> 0:28:52.600
<v Speaker 1>what everybody thinks today are the greatest idea because those

0:28:52.640 --> 0:28:57.200
<v Speaker 1>are where the opportunities are. So does that mean you

0:28:57.280 --> 0:28:58.960
<v Speaker 1>don't want to be in those big tech names at

0:28:58.960 --> 0:29:00.680
<v Speaker 1>all that have just run up. I mean, they are

0:29:00.800 --> 0:29:03.000
<v Speaker 1>so much the market right and there are so much

0:29:03.080 --> 0:29:05.880
<v Speaker 1>the market momentum um. I know what you say about

0:29:05.960 --> 0:29:08.400
<v Speaker 1>look for those sectors that haven't participated or those names

0:29:08.440 --> 0:29:10.640
<v Speaker 1>that haven't participated in the rally. But you know, if

0:29:10.680 --> 0:29:13.120
<v Speaker 1>you do that, you miss on some miss out on

0:29:13.200 --> 0:29:17.000
<v Speaker 1>some tremendous gains. Well, I think there's a difference between

0:29:17.560 --> 0:29:20.080
<v Speaker 1>saying this is something where I want to back up

0:29:20.160 --> 0:29:23.240
<v Speaker 1>the truck today and versus it's something that I own

0:29:23.280 --> 0:29:25.200
<v Speaker 1>that I'm I think that still has upside. You know,

0:29:25.360 --> 0:29:28.040
<v Speaker 1>Alphabet is a one of our top three holdings. Now

0:29:28.240 --> 0:29:30.560
<v Speaker 1>we've made many multiples of our money on it. The

0:29:30.720 --> 0:29:35.760
<v Speaker 1>price is not in any way, you know, ridiculous compared

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:37.920
<v Speaker 1>to what the earnings might be a year and a

0:29:37.960 --> 0:29:40.200
<v Speaker 1>half from now. I mean, I think I'm I'm not

0:29:40.280 --> 0:29:44.280
<v Speaker 1>looking at the numbers, but I think it's probably exiting

0:29:44.360 --> 0:29:48.240
<v Speaker 1>out the cash probably four times earnings a year and

0:29:48.280 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 1>a half out. You know, that's that's hardly a ridiculous

0:29:51.480 --> 0:29:54.760
<v Speaker 1>number for a company that should get back to growing, uh,

0:29:55.000 --> 0:29:59.240
<v Speaker 1>that has a really dominant position. So there are areas

0:29:59.320 --> 0:30:01.880
<v Speaker 1>that The interest thing about the current environment is you

0:30:02.040 --> 0:30:07.200
<v Speaker 1>have pockets of euphoria, you have negative investor sentiment. Somebody

0:30:07.280 --> 0:30:10.200
<v Speaker 1>just sent me the AI readings, which it's you know,

0:30:10.280 --> 0:30:13.440
<v Speaker 1>the bullish sentiment is low. Okay, but yet you have

0:30:13.600 --> 0:30:16.480
<v Speaker 1>pockets of euphoria, and yet you have certain sectors that

0:30:16.560 --> 0:30:20.160
<v Speaker 1>have really not participated. So you know you need to

0:30:20.320 --> 0:30:23.880
<v Speaker 1>if you own a great quality growing company like an alphabet. Okay.

0:30:24.680 --> 0:30:27.000
<v Speaker 1>One of the mistakes to make in life is thinking, oh,

0:30:27.240 --> 0:30:28.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, you have to sell it and realize the

0:30:29.000 --> 0:30:31.640
<v Speaker 1>gain just to find something a little bit cheaper. Not necessarily.

0:30:31.880 --> 0:30:36.360
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't mean there's not moments where there aren't better buys.

0:30:36.440 --> 0:30:38.160
<v Speaker 1>But that doesn't mean you have to sell it and

0:30:38.200 --> 0:30:40.880
<v Speaker 1>find something else. But you know, we have found areas

0:30:41.000 --> 0:30:44.800
<v Speaker 1>lately that appear to be more attractive places for cash.

0:30:46.280 --> 0:30:50.440
<v Speaker 1>So what are you just altogether avoiding at this moment?

0:30:50.640 --> 0:30:55.200
<v Speaker 1>Larry Well, not to be facetious, but I always avoid

0:30:55.360 --> 0:30:57.680
<v Speaker 1>things that I feel like I don't understand where the

0:30:57.760 --> 0:31:00.800
<v Speaker 1>business is headed within a range, okay, and that's I

0:31:00.840 --> 0:31:03.560
<v Speaker 1>think really important. I mean, it's it's important to buy

0:31:03.600 --> 0:31:05.800
<v Speaker 1>things that attractive valuations, but if you don't think you

0:31:05.920 --> 0:31:08.360
<v Speaker 1>understand what the business is going to look like a

0:31:08.440 --> 0:31:10.440
<v Speaker 1>little bit down the road, I think you should avoid that.

0:31:10.600 --> 0:31:13.680
<v Speaker 1>And by the way, I think the uh, you know,

0:31:15.080 --> 0:31:18.200
<v Speaker 1>what you've seen lately is an acceleration of all kinds

0:31:18.240 --> 0:31:21.760
<v Speaker 1>of trends that were happening anyway from a business model.

0:31:21.840 --> 0:31:25.440
<v Speaker 1>Since um so there's plenty in the world of investing

0:31:25.480 --> 0:31:28.760
<v Speaker 1>our allocating capital. You should pass on a very high

0:31:28.800 --> 0:31:31.600
<v Speaker 1>percentage of the things you look at because you don't

0:31:31.680 --> 0:31:34.000
<v Speaker 1>understand the business, you don't understand where it's going, or

0:31:34.800 --> 0:31:37.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, you should just keep looking for the couple

0:31:37.120 --> 0:31:39.160
<v Speaker 1>of things a year that you think you have an

0:31:39.240 --> 0:31:43.840
<v Speaker 1>edgine understanding and our priced attractively. M hm, yeah, no,

0:31:43.960 --> 0:31:46.680
<v Speaker 1>it makes sense. It's very logical, you know, in terms

0:31:46.720 --> 0:31:48.840
<v Speaker 1>of looking at the market. All right, Larry, thank you

0:31:48.960 --> 0:31:51.280
<v Speaker 1>so much. Good to check in with you. Larry Pitkowski,

0:31:51.360 --> 0:31:54.520
<v Speaker 1>he's a founder portfolio manager at good Haven Capital Management.

0:31:54.560 --> 0:31:57.440
<v Speaker 1>On the phone in Millbourne, New Jersey, which is where

0:31:57.520 --> 0:32:00.560
<v Speaker 1>they're base, Jason, that's exactly right, great to New Jersey.

0:32:00.600 --> 0:32:02.920
<v Speaker 1>I feel like it's well represented here, you know, from

0:32:03.280 --> 0:32:06.440
<v Speaker 1>Larry Pikowski to Bruce Springsteen. You cut it all here

0:32:06.480 --> 0:32:09.400
<v Speaker 1>at the Garden State. Uh. Yeah, we are looking at

0:32:10.000 --> 0:32:13.120
<v Speaker 1>a little laughter or sarcasm and all of that, and

0:32:13.880 --> 0:32:15.560
<v Speaker 1>you're making fun of idea what you're talking about? Are

0:32:15.560 --> 0:32:18.080
<v Speaker 1>you making fun of New Jersey? You really get your

0:32:18.120 --> 0:32:21.040
<v Speaker 1>hackles up when anybody says anything about New Jersey. It's

0:32:21.040 --> 0:32:23.640
<v Speaker 1>sort of like when I question your knowledge of sports

0:32:23.720 --> 0:32:26.040
<v Speaker 1>and you immediately don't make fun of the girl, and

0:32:26.240 --> 0:32:29.880
<v Speaker 1>in reality, I'm just making fun of you. Oh I

0:32:29.960 --> 0:32:34.080
<v Speaker 1>feel so much better. Where's Debbie when I need her? Oh? Boy? Yeah?

0:32:34.440 --> 0:32:38.560
<v Speaker 1>She was carocious on the texting today. Yeah, sending you

0:32:39.440 --> 0:32:43.360
<v Speaker 1>picks and programs from one like it's like blackmail material.

0:32:43.640 --> 0:32:46.520
<v Speaker 1>Yeah it is, it is. Yeah, I don't know. I

0:32:46.560 --> 0:32:48.680
<v Speaker 1>don't know about that. Brooks brothers back in the day.

0:32:49.040 --> 0:32:51.480
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download

0:32:51.480 --> 0:32:53.920
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0:32:54.040 --> 0:32:56.320
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0:32:56.360 --> 0:32:58.640
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0:32:58.720 --> 0:33:01.440
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0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:02.720
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