1 00:00:02,920 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch 3 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 2: us live weekdays at noon Eastern on applecar Play and 4 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: then Roun Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on 5 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 2: demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live 6 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:23,600 Speaker 2: on YouTube. 7 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 3: I'm Kaylie Lines in Washington tracking the movement in politics, 8 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 3: and while much of that this week has focused on 9 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 3: the incoming president President elect Donald Trump and his transition 10 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:39,839 Speaker 3: the forming of his second administration, there is still an 11 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 3: administration in place right now and a sitting US president 12 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 3: That would be Joe Biden, who is taking his presidential 13 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 3: duties abroad over the course of the next several days. 14 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 3: In fact, right now as we speak, he is in Lima, 15 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 3: Peru for the APEC Summit, and on the sidelines of 16 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 3: that summit. Tomorrow he will be meeting for the third 17 00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 3: time of his presidency face to face with Chinese President 18 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 3: Xi Jinping. We want to get more on this meeting 19 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 3: and the outlook for US and China policy, and turn 20 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 3: out to Anne Ashton. She is founder of Ashton Analytics 21 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 3: and of course knows a lot about China and this 22 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 3: geopolitical relationship. Thanks for joining us on balance of power, Anna, 23 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 3: if we can just focus on tomorrow. Should we expect 24 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 3: any tangible outcome from that Biden she meeting or is 25 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 3: once again this mostly about talking for the sake of 26 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 3: doing so. 27 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 4: Hi, Kailey, thank you for having me on and hopefully 28 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 4: you can hear me clearly, my headphones suddenly stopped working, but. 29 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 5: I can hear you. 30 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 6: I can hear you. Great, Anna, perfect, We'll be fantastic. 31 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:46,039 Speaker 4: So no, I don't think that we should expect any 32 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 4: big outcomes from this talk. The talk is significant as 33 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 4: a sort of taking stock. As Jake Sullivan said that 34 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 4: this is an opportunity to for the two leaders to 35 00:01:56,760 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 4: assess how they've been doing with responsibly manage competition, you know, 36 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 4: and they're likely to talk about sort of the perennial 37 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 4: issues in US China relations, including Taiwan, China's relationship with Russia, 38 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 4: and human rights issues, but really in terms of what 39 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:19,359 Speaker 4: the US policy towards China is going to be moving forward. 40 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 4: Bid Biden is now the lame duck president and all 41 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 4: eyes are on incoming second term President Trump. 42 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 3: Well, yeah, and he certainly has made his feelings about 43 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 3: trade with China, specifically well known, he's floated the idea 44 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:39,639 Speaker 3: of sixty percent tariffs plus on everything exported from China 45 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 3: to the US. And I wonder, Anna, if you think 46 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 3: that discussion around tariffs and those levels of tariffs specifically 47 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 3: is actually just a negotiating tactic or something that is 48 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 3: likely to come to fruition. 49 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,920 Speaker 4: Well, we can all hope that it's a negotiating tactic, 50 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,239 Speaker 4: because of course sixty percent tariffs on everything from China 51 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 4: would be inflationary, and you know, it would raise prices 52 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:08,919 Speaker 4: for American consumers and businesses, which is I think exactly 53 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 4: the opposite of what most people were hoping would be 54 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 4: accomplished with a second Trump presidency when they cast their 55 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:18,239 Speaker 4: vote for him. You know, I think we should fully 56 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 4: expect that there will be an increase in tariffs of 57 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:23,680 Speaker 4: some kind, whether it's sixty percent or something less than that, 58 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 4: whether it's on all Chinese goods or on currently tariff 59 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 4: to Chinese goods. 60 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 5: And I think we should. 61 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:31,679 Speaker 4: Expect that because we know that Lightheiser has been involved 62 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 4: in economic strategy for the incoming Trump administration, and we 63 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 4: know that Trump has appointed you know, a series or 64 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 4: has announced an intention to a point a series of 65 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:45,680 Speaker 4: people to significant roles who are known for being Chinahawks. 66 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 4: But that doesn't necessarily mean that it's not a jumping 67 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 4: off point for negotiations. It could be, And we know 68 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 4: that that Trump has a history of cycling through cabinet 69 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 4: members and senior officials, so this could be the starting lineup. 70 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 2: Well. 71 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 3: And there's not just China hawks that will surround him 72 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 3: in his second administration at the executive branch level of 73 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 3: government ANA, but plenty of China hawks in Congress, which 74 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 3: is going to be controlled by Republicans in both chambers. 75 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 3: In fact, the Republican chair of the China Select Committee 76 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:18,960 Speaker 3: in the House is putting forward new legislation to revoke 77 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 3: the US or China rather hit China's normal trade status 78 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:27,160 Speaker 3: with the United States. What would the consequence of that. 79 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:32,919 Speaker 4: Be significant and not dissimilar to sixty percent tariffs on 80 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 4: everything coming in from China. You know, I think that 81 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:39,600 Speaker 4: the writing has been on the wall for some time 82 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 4: now that most policymakers in Washington feel that there needs 83 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:46,800 Speaker 4: to be a much tougher approach to China and there 84 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 4: needs to be an expedited effort to make the US 85 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 4: less dependent on China. In a full variety of supply chains, 86 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 4: and you know, Republicans by and large have been more 87 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 4: aggressive of them, forward leaning in their approach to that. 88 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:05,279 Speaker 4: So we should fully expect that that will be on 89 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 4: the minds of members of Congress, as well as on 90 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 4: the mind of Donald Trump and his advisors. 91 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 5: And I think the key thing will be to, you know. 92 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 4: Hopefully their ears will also be open to people who 93 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 4: are pointing out the perhaps unintended consequences of the policies 94 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 4: that they're considering and ways to mitigate them. 95 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 3: We spoke anna with someone who did help to shape 96 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:33,359 Speaker 3: trade policy during the first Trump administration at the Commerce 97 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:39,359 Speaker 3: Department earlier this week, and her suggestion to us was 98 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 3: that this is really about addressing China's over capacity problem, 99 00:05:44,440 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 3: like flooding the world with supply that it doesn't actually need, 100 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:48,919 Speaker 3: that there's no demand for, and that you have to 101 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 3: do tariffs, not just on China, but actually globally, inclusive 102 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 3: of say, allies in Europe to actually help level that 103 00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 3: out and address those oversupply concerns. I wonder what you 104 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:03,000 Speaker 3: make of that logic or if there is an alternative 105 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 3: approach that could be utilized to have China stop producing 106 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:08,919 Speaker 3: so much and to pull back on some of this 107 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 3: capacity expansion. 108 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 5: Well, I certainly questioned Kayleie the idea. 109 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 4: That applying tariffs to Europe is going to make a 110 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:21,280 Speaker 4: difference US applying tariffs to Europe would make a difference to. 111 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 5: China's over capacity. 112 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 4: I do think it's worth pointing out that Europe is 113 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 4: actively exploring and pursuing tariffs on certain Chinese goods such 114 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:36,799 Speaker 4: as electric vehicles, because of Chinese over capacity and because 115 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 4: of the fact that it looks like China is doubling 116 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 4: down on its reliance on exports to help generate more robust. 117 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:45,599 Speaker 5: Economic growth at home. 118 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:48,560 Speaker 4: Right now, I think that that is going to continue 119 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:51,039 Speaker 4: to be a problem for the United States as well 120 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:55,560 Speaker 4: as other treating partners with China, unless China rolls out 121 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 4: a very different approach to its economic recovery, one that 122 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:04,400 Speaker 4: more directly benefits consumers and causes consumers to spend money. 123 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:08,479 Speaker 3: So Anna is effectively what you're saying, Actually, the tariffs 124 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 3: could have the opposite of the intended effect, which is 125 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 3: that because of the hit to the economy of China 126 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 3: by not being able to export all those goods necessarily 127 00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 3: to the US, China could actually stimulate more, spend more 128 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 3: money on trying to build out its productive capacity, and 129 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 3: therefore make the over capacity problem even worse. 130 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 4: Well, I certainly think that if China feels that it 131 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 4: can't successfully export to the United States, it's going to 132 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 4: be trying to export elsewhere to our trading partners, and. 133 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 5: It will. 134 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 4: I don't see a sign that China is considering rolling 135 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 4: back its efforts to stimulate growth by increasing exports of 136 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 4: certain kinds of products, such as electric vehicles or lithium 137 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 4: ion batteries. It is possible that tariffs from the United 138 00:07:57,120 --> 00:08:01,320 Speaker 4: States will cause a rethink, or that you know, China 139 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 4: will consider policies that are US specific to improved ties 140 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 4: by not offloading oversupply into the United States, which of 141 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 4: course will be harder to do anyway, given tariffs and 142 00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 4: given other laws and regulations that are in place that 143 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:20,040 Speaker 4: make it hard to send things like Chinese electric vehicles 144 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 4: into the US market. 145 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 3: Just quickly, and we have about a minute left here. 146 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 3: The US China relationship is one thing, but the US 147 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 3: also has concern about China's relationship with other adversaries like Russia. 148 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 3: How should we be thinking about the nature of that 149 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 3: relationship right. 150 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:41,679 Speaker 4: Now it's going to be a really interesting few months 151 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 4: as this new administration gets settled in, because, of course, 152 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 4: you know, the Trump Trump hasn't always had a different 153 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 4: sense of Russia and in Vladimir Putin than the Biden 154 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:56,439 Speaker 4: administration seems to have. 155 00:08:56,640 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 5: He seems to be. 156 00:08:57,960 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 4: Interested in more dialogue and in trying to come to 157 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 4: an agreement that will end the conflict in Ukraine. Maybe 158 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 4: not an agreement that Ukraine would like, but one that 159 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:10,680 Speaker 4: might settle things. 160 00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 5: And I think, you know he's going to be pursuing. 161 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 4: That, which will change the dynamic between the US and 162 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 4: China in terms of China support for Russia. If the 163 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 4: United States is wanting to come to the table with 164 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 4: Russia to talk about ending the conflict in Ukraine in 165 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,520 Speaker 4: some way, you know, China would like to have that 166 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 4: conversation too. And if it is on terms where Russia 167 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:38,320 Speaker 4: is able to retain some of the territory that it 168 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 4: has taken control of. 169 00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 3: Of Astan Analytics, we have to leave it there. Thank 170 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:44,559 Speaker 3: you for joining us on Bloomberg. 171 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast Ketch 172 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:57,079 Speaker 2: just live weekdays at noon Eastern on Applecarplay and then 173 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:59,960 Speaker 2: Roudoto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen 174 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:03,360 Speaker 2: and live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. 175 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:06,439 Speaker 2: Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 176 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:11,679 Speaker 3: So as we consider those that Donald Trump has not 177 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 3: tapped yet, we do know some that he has a 178 00:10:14,280 --> 00:10:16,640 Speaker 3: few of them that he selected have actually been pulled 179 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 3: from the House of Representatives. That includes now former Congressman 180 00:10:20,520 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 3: Matt Gates for ag Florida Congressman another one, Mike Waltz 181 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 3: for National Security Advisor, and then of course Congressman Elisetaphonic, 182 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 3: who has been tapped to be the UN Ambassador for 183 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:35,840 Speaker 3: the US. So that reduces what looks like it could 184 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 3: be a very tight majority. And we want to turn 185 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:40,880 Speaker 3: now to a member of that majority, both the current 186 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 3: one and the one in coming. Congresswoman Ashley Hinson of 187 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 3: Iowa is joining me now here on Bloomberg TV and Radio. Congresswoman, 188 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:50,880 Speaker 3: welcome back to balance of power. Can the Conference afford 189 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 3: to lose one more member to this administration or should 190 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 3: would you encourage the President elect to stop here? 191 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:01,120 Speaker 7: Well, I think it's very very clear we have a 192 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 7: narrow House majority and we need to be able to 193 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,960 Speaker 7: deliver and to govern on President Trump's agenda starting on 194 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 7: day one. 195 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 8: So that's going to be my priority. 196 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 7: I'm very very proud of our of course, next to 197 00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 7: you and Ambassador in Elis Daphonix. She's been a good 198 00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:16,079 Speaker 7: friend of mine and a great mentor to me here 199 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,560 Speaker 7: in Congress as well. And I look forward to seeing 200 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 7: the Senate do its job to confirm all President Trump's 201 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:24,319 Speaker 7: nominees so that we can execute on that agenda. But look, 202 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:26,319 Speaker 7: we have a very narrow house majority, we have one 203 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 7: right now. 204 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 8: I would like to see us work together. 205 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:30,719 Speaker 7: And hopefully I think what you're seeing here on the 206 00:11:30,800 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 7: Hill right now is definitely a more unified government approach, 207 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:37,200 Speaker 7: and certainly in our House Republican conference, we are feeling 208 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:39,760 Speaker 7: that momentum heading into the next Congress. 209 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 3: Well, as the Senate does have to confirm these nominees, 210 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:47,720 Speaker 3: should they be armed with all potentially available information when 211 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 3: they do so, Specifically, when it pertains to your now 212 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 3: former colleague Matt Gates, does that ethics report need to 213 00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 3: come out? 214 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 4: Well? 215 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:57,840 Speaker 7: I think, look who's going to be chairing the Senate 216 00:11:57,880 --> 00:12:00,480 Speaker 7: Judiciary Committee. Every single one of these nomine is going 217 00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:03,319 Speaker 7: to get a thorough vetting from my calling from Iowa 218 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:06,439 Speaker 7: and Senator Chuck Grassley. I know he has a lot 219 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:08,720 Speaker 7: of experience in going through this process, so I would 220 00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:11,559 Speaker 7: just encourage all of the Senators to do their job 221 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 7: and bet every nominee. But I think we do need 222 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 7: to get these nominees through. President Trump did win this election. 223 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:18,439 Speaker 7: We need to make sure that his picks do get 224 00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:20,040 Speaker 7: that vetting, but that we can get them into place 225 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 7: as soon as possible. 226 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:24,440 Speaker 3: Well, all of that, of course, is going to come 227 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:26,800 Speaker 3: in the next Congress, and there is still been a 228 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:30,200 Speaker 3: business to finish in this one, including sorting out funding 229 00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:33,960 Speaker 3: by the deadline in December. Congressman, we were speaking with 230 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:36,959 Speaker 3: your colleague Andy Barr of Kentucky yesterday who suggested to 231 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 3: us he does not want to see the can kick 232 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 3: down the road with another continuing resolution, that there needs 233 00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 3: to be a clean slate in January, and that means 234 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 3: actually getting the appropriations bills passed. I just wonder if 235 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 3: that means we're either going to end up with that 236 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 3: cr that he doesn't want or some kinds of omnibus 237 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 3: to end the year. 238 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:54,480 Speaker 4: Yeah. 239 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:56,320 Speaker 8: Well, I certainly don't want to see an omnibus. 240 00:12:56,559 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 7: As a House appropriator I've worked tirelessly to get all twelve, 241 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 7: all of these individual appropriations bills across the finish line. 242 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:05,079 Speaker 7: I'm very frustrated that we haven't been able to do that, 243 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 7: But I do want to again make sure that on 244 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:09,920 Speaker 7: day one, come the next one hundred nineteenth Congress, that 245 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 7: we're giving President Trump the best success plan. 246 00:13:13,840 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 8: I do think that also means clearing this deck. 247 00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:17,560 Speaker 7: But I'm going to wait to hear from the President, 248 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,520 Speaker 7: and I know our Appropriations Chair Tom Cole is. 249 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 8: Planning to do the same. 250 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 7: We want to see what he wants to do in 251 00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:25,240 Speaker 7: terms of government funding, and all of that is going 252 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 7: to have to kind of come colliding in with the 253 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 7: end of your priorities for the farm bill. We're already 254 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 7: talking about what the tax bill for next year is 255 00:13:32,040 --> 00:13:34,200 Speaker 7: going to look like. So we just want to make 256 00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:36,480 Speaker 7: sure that we're doing this right. What I don't want 257 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 7: to see is a continuation of a lot of really, 258 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 7: really bad Democrat policies that we've had to negotiate on 259 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:43,920 Speaker 7: over the past couple of years. I think with the 260 00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:46,640 Speaker 7: current balance of power and knowing what's coming in the 261 00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 7: next Congress, I think some of my colleagues across the 262 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 7: Aisle may be a little bit more willing to negotiate 263 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 7: heading into the end of the year. 264 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 3: Well, I did want to ask you about that farm bill, Congresswoman, 265 00:13:56,840 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 3: considering you are representing constituents in Iowa that could be 266 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:03,240 Speaker 3: effect did ultimately buy this What is the prospect of 267 00:14:03,280 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 3: that actually happening in this lame duck session. 268 00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:09,600 Speaker 7: Yeah, Well, I've continued to advocate to our leadership about this. 269 00:14:09,760 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 7: Our producers and our manufacturers need this long term stability. 270 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 7: We have some great investments, and therefore precision agriculture for trade, 271 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 7: which I know is going to be a huge priority 272 00:14:20,120 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 7: for the next administration, hasn't been much of one under 273 00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 7: the current administration. 274 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 8: So there are a lot of. 275 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 7: Provisions in there that I am excited to see move 276 00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 7: forward that I think are not only about preserving our 277 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 7: food security, which I think is national security, but also 278 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:34,440 Speaker 7: again making sure that we can be competitive on the 279 00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 7: global stage. So I will continue to advocate to our 280 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:39,320 Speaker 7: leadership to hopefully get that done in the next couple 281 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:43,200 Speaker 7: of weeks. Again, I would defer to the chairman on that, Gt. Thompson, 282 00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:45,920 Speaker 7: who's been working in a bipartisan way. I know that 283 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 7: passed out of the House with bipartisan votes out of 284 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 7: the House Agriculture Committee, and our Senate counterparts haven't done 285 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:54,320 Speaker 7: any bill yet, so that's a little disheartening. 286 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 8: But again I'm. 287 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:57,000 Speaker 7: Hopeful that they'll take up our House bill and I'll 288 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:58,800 Speaker 7: continue to put pressure on our leadership to do that. 289 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 4: Well. 290 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:02,760 Speaker 3: Congressman, I'd like to pick up on your trade point 291 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 3: because earlier this week here on Balance of Power, we 292 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 3: spoke with the CEO of Landis, which is an agricultural 293 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 3: services company, Matt Carson's, and this is what he had 294 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:14,240 Speaker 3: to say about the way in which trade relationships is 295 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:16,920 Speaker 3: that influences agriculture should be approached. 296 00:15:16,920 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 6: Take a listen, and then I'll have your response. 297 00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 9: We've got to make sure that both sides are being understood, 298 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 9: whatever the solve is and whatever the cause and effect 299 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:29,800 Speaker 9: is to agriculture, because those international markets are absolutely critical 300 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 9: for companies like Landis and Conduit that are trying to 301 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:35,760 Speaker 9: move those goods out of our state, out of the 302 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 9: Midwest and get them into a position to go into 303 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 9: a global market. And when you lose a volume like 304 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 9: we have the China, that has a long term ripple 305 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 9: effect and it's hard to recover from. 306 00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 6: So congresswoman. 307 00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:51,440 Speaker 3: As the President elect has talked about ratching ended up 308 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 3: ratcheting up tariffs on China, what should farmers in the 309 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 3: agricultural community be bracing for in terms of potential retaliation. 310 00:16:00,160 --> 00:16:02,480 Speaker 7: Yeah, well, for every action that we take, we know 311 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:05,160 Speaker 7: China is going to take some sort of action and 312 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 7: to retaliate. I think the most important thing here is 313 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 7: that President Trump is the first president in a long 314 00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:12,920 Speaker 7: time to actually stand up to the Chinese Communist Party 315 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 7: and to stand up to President she. If there's one 316 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 7: thing that I know, it's that China has been taking 317 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:20,080 Speaker 7: advantage of the United States for decades. They haven't been 318 00:16:20,120 --> 00:16:23,280 Speaker 7: following normal trade rules. And while they are a very 319 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 7: critical market for our producers, not just from Iowa, but 320 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:28,080 Speaker 7: from this country, we need to make sure that we 321 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 7: are playing fair going forward. You know, it was in 322 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:33,160 Speaker 7: my district just about ten years ago that the Chinese 323 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:36,640 Speaker 7: were discovered trying to literally steal seeds to take them 324 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 7: back to China, to reverse engineer them and cheat. So 325 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 7: they're cheating, they're trying to steal our intellectual property, whether 326 00:16:42,440 --> 00:16:45,240 Speaker 7: that's in the manufacturing space or in the agriculture space. 327 00:16:45,280 --> 00:16:48,280 Speaker 7: So I look forward to seeing a tough stance on China. 328 00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:51,080 Speaker 7: This current administration has not taken a tough stance, has 329 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 7: really acquiesced there. 330 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 8: And now we see that debt trapped diplomacy. 331 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 7: Continuing to happen all over the world with President she 332 00:16:57,880 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 7: you know, going around and handing out cash all of 333 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 7: these nations. We need to be making sure we're making 334 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 7: entrees to people who not just for trade relationships, but 335 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:07,840 Speaker 7: for defense purposes. 336 00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 8: As well, and I will look forward to. 337 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:12,240 Speaker 7: Seeing our new Defense secretary and the President work to 338 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 7: achieve those goals so we can actually be competitive on 339 00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:15,960 Speaker 7: the global stage. 340 00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:16,200 Speaker 1: Again. 341 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 3: Well, we have seen this administration leave intact the tariffs 342 00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:23,520 Speaker 3: in large part that were put into place in the 343 00:17:23,560 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 3: Trump administration and expand export controls as well. But you, 344 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:29,960 Speaker 3: of course did on the China Select Committee, which makes 345 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 3: you a very valuable voice on this, and I wonder 346 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:36,399 Speaker 3: if you support that committee's chairman, Chairman Molinar's legislation that 347 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 3: he put forward this week to revoke China's normal trade status. 348 00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 6: Are the votes there for that. 349 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 7: We're definitely taking a look at all bills, but I 350 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:47,359 Speaker 7: think what I support about the chairman is that he 351 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,199 Speaker 7: is taking a tough stance on China, they have not 352 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:52,240 Speaker 7: been following the rules. I'm not sure if that bill 353 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:55,320 Speaker 7: is the ultimate answer here. We definitely want to be 354 00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:58,919 Speaker 7: cognizant of the impact to agricultural states like Iowa. And 355 00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 7: that is one thing that I I heard loud and 356 00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:03,119 Speaker 7: clear from my producers is you know, we still need 357 00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 7: to be able to sell our products to China. So 358 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:08,000 Speaker 7: I want to be cognizant of that in any stance 359 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 7: that we take. It is a pretty bold stance, and 360 00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 7: what I will say is that I think we do 361 00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:14,360 Speaker 7: need to be signaling though that we're ready to get 362 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:16,680 Speaker 7: tough on them. Right if you don't play by the rules, 363 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 7: and you don't start playing on a level playing field, 364 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,880 Speaker 7: and you continue with these malign practices, then there are 365 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:24,600 Speaker 7: going to be some consequences there, and I support the 366 00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:26,160 Speaker 7: Chairman in his efforts to do that. 367 00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 4: Well. 368 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 3: President Biden is going to be sitting down with Chinese 369 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:33,800 Speaker 3: President Chieshin Ping in person tomorrow on the sidelines of 370 00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:36,399 Speaker 3: the APEC summit in Peru. It's their third such meeting 371 00:18:36,680 --> 00:18:39,840 Speaker 3: of his presidency, and obviously, as his presidency is almost over, 372 00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:42,439 Speaker 3: it will be the last. And I wonder if you 373 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:45,119 Speaker 3: still see room here for some kind of forward movement 374 00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,240 Speaker 3: to be made when it comes to this relationship and 375 00:18:47,280 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 3: the normalization of communication here before President Trump takes office 376 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:52,440 Speaker 3: in January. 377 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 7: Well, I think communication is always a key goal no 378 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:58,160 Speaker 7: matter who it is that we're trying to work with. 379 00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 8: As I said, we need to make sure we still 380 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:02,480 Speaker 8: preserve those markets for trade going forward. 381 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:07,359 Speaker 7: I'm hopeful President Biden will continue to hopefully express that 382 00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:09,960 Speaker 7: we need to have American dominance. America needs to be 383 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:12,600 Speaker 7: strong on the global stage. And again, this is about 384 00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 7: fairness and a level playing field. And so I think 385 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 7: what we will see as president she probably take a 386 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 7: little bit of a different posture knowing who's coming in next. 387 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:22,399 Speaker 7: He's seen this show before. He knows that President Trump 388 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 7: talks tough carries that he's not, you know, speak softly 389 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 7: and carry a big stick. No, it's speak loudly and 390 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 7: carry a big stick too. So I think that he 391 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:32,600 Speaker 7: certainly understands what's coming down the pipeline. 392 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 8: But again, my goal for diplomatic. 393 00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:36,359 Speaker 7: Relations is always going to be to be able to 394 00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:37,719 Speaker 7: have open lines of communication. 395 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:42,120 Speaker 3: How important, as we don't have the announcement yet as 396 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 3: to who Donald Trump would like this to be congressome, 397 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:48,199 Speaker 3: when will the US trade representative be in this next administration? 398 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 3: And is there anyone you hope gets the job. 399 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:55,720 Speaker 7: Yeah, well, certainly, Ambassador Leiheiser did a I think fantastic job. 400 00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 7: We've had him actually as a witness before our China 401 00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:01,360 Speaker 7: Select Committee several times to to talk about the importance 402 00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:04,199 Speaker 7: of trade. I would certainly hope someone like him is 403 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:06,720 Speaker 7: being considered for that. You know, it took far too 404 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,399 Speaker 7: long for the Biden administration to get a trade representative 405 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 7: in place. I think we have suffered economically. We see 406 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:15,439 Speaker 7: major gaps in our trade export numbers, and we are 407 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:18,399 Speaker 7: actually experiencing a deficit in that in some key sectors 408 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:19,160 Speaker 7: for the first time. 409 00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:20,520 Speaker 8: We need to reverse that. 410 00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:22,960 Speaker 7: And I think that someone like Ambassador Lthheiser would be 411 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 7: great if he decides to come back. But I look 412 00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,840 Speaker 7: forward to seeing who the President picks to fill out 413 00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 7: the rest of his cabinet, because I do think Agriculture 414 00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:33,399 Speaker 7: Secretary and obviously Trade rep are going to be critical 415 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:34,440 Speaker 7: for a state like Iowa. 416 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:37,920 Speaker 3: Well, you and me, both, congresswomen, I'm keeping a close 417 00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,679 Speaker 3: eye on the wire to see when more names come down, 418 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:43,120 Speaker 3: But we sincerely appreciate you joining us here on Bloomberg 419 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:46,800 Speaker 3: TV and radio. That is the Republican Congresswoman from Iowa, 420 00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 3: Ashley Henson. 421 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,800 Speaker 6: Life from Capitol Hill, your list name to. 422 00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:55,639 Speaker 2: The Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast Ketch just live weekdays 423 00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,359 Speaker 2: at noon Eastern on Epocarplay and then roud Otto with 424 00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Business app on demand wherever you get your podcasts, 425 00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:06,560 Speaker 2: or watch us live on YouTube. 426 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:11,280 Speaker 3: I literally glued to my Bloomberg terminal and specifically the 427 00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,679 Speaker 3: ni heads function. If you have one, you know what 428 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:16,639 Speaker 3: I'm talking about, because we're tracking everything that's coming out 429 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,399 Speaker 3: of this Trump transition team. Donald Trump just confirming that 430 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,960 Speaker 3: Stephen Chung, who of course was working with his campaign, 431 00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:25,600 Speaker 3: will be joining the administration as director of Communications. But 432 00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,720 Speaker 3: sources now telling Bloomberg someone doesn't want to join this 433 00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:33,640 Speaker 3: second administration, Larry Kudlow. Remember there was reporting earlier today 434 00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 3: that Larry Cudlow could be up for either National Economic 435 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:40,359 Speaker 3: Counsel or even Treasury Secretary. It's currently a host on 436 00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:43,400 Speaker 3: Fox Business. But source is telling us that he has 437 00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:45,679 Speaker 3: told the Trump team that he does not want a 438 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:47,440 Speaker 3: job in this second term. 439 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:49,240 Speaker 6: So who's going to get it. 440 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 3: We still don't know about Treasury secretary or other important 441 00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:56,639 Speaker 3: economic roles that could help shape economic policy under a 442 00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 3: second go round with Donald Trump. So let's turn to 443 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 3: our political pain for more. Jeanie Shanzeno is with me, 444 00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:05,639 Speaker 3: Democratic analyst, Bloomberg Politics contributor, and senior Democracy Fellow at 445 00:22:05,640 --> 00:22:07,760 Speaker 3: the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress, 446 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:13,639 Speaker 3: alongside Ashley Davis, Republican strategists and principle at West Front Strategies. Ashley, 447 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:15,480 Speaker 3: just to begin with you, we've kind of seen this 448 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:19,120 Speaker 3: happening where people are taking themselves out of contention. John 449 00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:21,679 Speaker 3: Paulson did it. It was too financially complicated for him. Now 450 00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,960 Speaker 3: I guess Larry Cudlow maybe would rather stay in the 451 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,880 Speaker 3: anchor chair. And it's all kind of playing out publicly 452 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:30,000 Speaker 3: in the press. What do you make of it? 453 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:33,199 Speaker 1: I mean, that's not real surprising with the Trump you know, 454 00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:36,000 Speaker 1: we're back to the waking up every day to tweets 455 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 1: or now it's yeah, true social posts, true spocial So 456 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:43,000 Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's not surprising. And what I 457 00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:45,520 Speaker 1: was what was really interesting was your earlier segment on 458 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:49,679 Speaker 1: Jamie Diamond, because I think him being a little coy 459 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:53,520 Speaker 1: during the election of really not supporting either candidate was 460 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:55,879 Speaker 1: probably why Trump right away came out and said, you know, 461 00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:57,800 Speaker 1: Jamie Diamond's not going to be I mean, talking about 462 00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:00,119 Speaker 1: one of the best Treasury secretaries he could pick, it 463 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,399 Speaker 1: would be him. I also agree that I think that 464 00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,439 Speaker 1: the names that are being floated right now for Treasury 465 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:07,919 Speaker 1: secretary are probably not who it's going to be. I mean, 466 00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:10,960 Speaker 1: at least the final contenders, because I think that he 467 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,480 Speaker 1: would have made It's obviously one of the most important positions, 468 00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,880 Speaker 1: and I think that he, uh, there's some reason he's 469 00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:19,600 Speaker 1: not picking one of them. But I do think Linda 470 00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:23,639 Speaker 1: McMahon gets commerce because I think she's just slow and steady. 471 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:27,400 Speaker 1: She's keeping under the radar screen, she's being very professional, 472 00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:29,480 Speaker 1: and so I would expect that to happen. 473 00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:30,000 Speaker 5: I hope. 474 00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:32,280 Speaker 3: So she's a good Yeah, of course, former small business 475 00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:35,399 Speaker 3: administrator during the first administration. Genie, I wonder what you 476 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:38,760 Speaker 3: make of that, the fact that people are trying actively 477 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 3: in public to secure this job, could that make them 478 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:44,600 Speaker 3: actually less likely to get it? 479 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:44,679 Speaker 5: It? 480 00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:45,720 Speaker 10: Absolutely could? 481 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:46,280 Speaker 8: You know. 482 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:49,680 Speaker 10: The reality is it's hard to get in Donald Trump's brain. 483 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,480 Speaker 10: I mean, you know, just reading what Mark Caputo was 484 00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,639 Speaker 10: reporting about how Matt Gates rose to the top of 485 00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 10: that list. Apparently early this week he wasn't even on 486 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:00,960 Speaker 10: the list for ag I end up flying to the 487 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 10: Washington together, and Donald Trump, frustrated by the other contenders 488 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:10,080 Speaker 10: talking about legal theories and the constitution, looks at Matt Gates, 489 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 10: and Matt Gates says he's going to go over there 490 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,840 Speaker 10: and start cutting heads, and he gets the nods. So 491 00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:18,080 Speaker 10: you know, this is back to what you guys were 492 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 10: just talking about. The Donald Trump who likes to do 493 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,639 Speaker 10: this as a reality TV game, and so this is 494 00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,320 Speaker 10: where we are. So I would never pretend to know 495 00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:29,960 Speaker 10: what he's going to do next with treasury or otherwise. 496 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:34,199 Speaker 3: Well, it is interesting, though, Ashley, when we consider what 497 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,199 Speaker 3: we were hearing from him on the campaign trail, the 498 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,800 Speaker 3: messaging that ultimately got him elected to a second go 499 00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:41,080 Speaker 3: at the presidency. Part of it was the border, and 500 00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:43,240 Speaker 3: we got a lot of those kind of appointments first, 501 00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 3: not just Christy nun for DHS, but Stephen Miller for example, 502 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:49,720 Speaker 3: being tapped, Tom Homan being tapped as well. I would 503 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:51,959 Speaker 3: have thought, based off of what he was saying, that 504 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 3: he was going to take on the economy next, right, 505 00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 3: It was fixing the economy that he was running on. 506 00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:59,359 Speaker 1: Absolutely, but we have to remember it's only a week. 507 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 6: It feels like it's been a year exactly. 508 00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:04,600 Speaker 1: That's why I do think that he hasn't that there's 509 00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:07,120 Speaker 1: probably someone else out there. I mean, obviously you've still 510 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,280 Speaker 1: have been young, and who would be fantastic as a 511 00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 1: Treasury secretary? You know, is does Haggardy come back? 512 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:14,400 Speaker 8: Maybe? 513 00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 1: You know, he's always someone that's been talked about. But 514 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,160 Speaker 1: I do agree as well that there's probably someone from 515 00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 1: Wall Street that's going to get it. I would expect 516 00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:24,639 Speaker 1: that we find someone over the weekend or by Monday, 517 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:26,720 Speaker 1: or he announces someone. 518 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 3: Well, certainly we're all hoping for that here on Bloomberg. 519 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,520 Speaker 3: This one's really important to us because it's a reminder 520 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,760 Speaker 3: as well that Donald Trump, as I was saying, made 521 00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:37,600 Speaker 3: a lot of promises on the campaign trail, a lot 522 00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:40,640 Speaker 3: of things he would like to do from an economic perspective, 523 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,960 Speaker 3: but he only has so much unilateral power as the president, 524 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 3: especially in kind of enforcing these kind of things. So 525 00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:51,040 Speaker 3: just characterize Ashley how important these roles actually are in 526 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 3: ensuring that Donald Trump's agenda actually becomes reality. 527 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:59,120 Speaker 1: Treasury and USTR Ambassador is very important, especially in regards 528 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 1: to Tara for both friends. Obviously, the Sexuary of Commerce 529 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,280 Speaker 1: is also very important important, but a lot of the policies, 530 00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:08,639 Speaker 1: obviously with tax reform coming up, Treasury is going to 531 00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 1: the Hill's going to look to Treasury a lot to 532 00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:14,000 Speaker 1: see what the Trump administration wants. But at the end 533 00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:16,160 Speaker 1: of the day, they have to pass the bill. And 534 00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:19,560 Speaker 1: I do think some of what Ashwoods Congressman Henson was 535 00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:23,280 Speaker 1: saying in regards to the small numbers in the House, 536 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:25,960 Speaker 1: I do think some of those members that are kind 537 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,040 Speaker 1: of the far right that have caused problems for the 538 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:30,840 Speaker 1: last few years for the Speaker and obviously McCarthy before 539 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:33,760 Speaker 1: that they're going to get in line better if it's 540 00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:38,560 Speaker 1: Trump's policies because they're Trump people. Okay, So I actually 541 00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:42,360 Speaker 1: think that the moderate Republicans Brian Fitzpatrick and others are 542 00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:43,840 Speaker 1: going to be the ones that have more of the 543 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 1: power this time than the extreme right. 544 00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,080 Speaker 3: Well, and they're the ones, right Genie that need to 545 00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:50,760 Speaker 3: get reelected in twenty twenty six so that Donald Trump 546 00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:53,960 Speaker 3: doesn't say, get impeached again if we have a democratic House, 547 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:56,880 Speaker 3: because he has four years. This Congress only has two. 548 00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:00,560 Speaker 3: So it makes those kind of frontline Republican men, if 549 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:01,960 Speaker 3: you will, really important. 550 00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,080 Speaker 10: Oh, they are absolutely important, you know. And I think 551 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:09,160 Speaker 10: we forget that he's coming with a much narrower margin 552 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:11,720 Speaker 10: in the House than he did the first time. But 553 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,800 Speaker 10: to Ashley's point, you have a lot more people who 554 00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:18,560 Speaker 10: line up with his you know, make America First values, 555 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:20,760 Speaker 10: and so he may be able to make up for that. 556 00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:23,679 Speaker 10: But I'm not one of the people who thinks that, 557 00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:25,639 Speaker 10: And I've been debating with so many of my friends 558 00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:30,240 Speaker 10: on this that this is a Washington on the Republican 559 00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 10: side that is without schisms. I think there are schisms 560 00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 10: in Washington on the Republican side, and we are going 561 00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:38,840 Speaker 10: to see those play out. 562 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:40,080 Speaker 5: I mean, you just look at. 563 00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 10: Who he is nominated so far, and you can see 564 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 10: people with vastly different governing philosophies from you know, say 565 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:51,560 Speaker 10: a Marco Rubio all the way to Matt Gates. Now 566 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:53,760 Speaker 10: you know, who knows who's going to get in, but 567 00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:57,440 Speaker 10: you know, America First. The Donald Trump Republican Party is 568 00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:00,640 Speaker 10: a big party now, and they've got p from all 569 00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 10: different elements, and the trick is going to be able 570 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:06,639 Speaker 10: to make them work together and I think it's going 571 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,679 Speaker 10: to be easier said than done when it comes to 572 00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:13,160 Speaker 10: passing some of these economic bills that he has talked 573 00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:14,399 Speaker 10: about on the campaign trail. 574 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:19,920 Speaker 3: Well as we consider potential schisms within the party leadership 575 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:22,000 Speaker 3: is a question here. I actually spoke with a member 576 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:25,720 Speaker 3: of the newly elected and current Senate leadership, Republican Senator 577 00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:28,800 Speaker 3: Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia, last night, specifically on 578 00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 3: this notion of recess appointments that could be made by 579 00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:32,879 Speaker 3: Donald Trump. 580 00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:33,760 Speaker 6: This is what she told me. 581 00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:38,960 Speaker 11: We can fulfill in the regular order way of confirming 582 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 11: the nominees, and that's what we intend to do. I 583 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:45,200 Speaker 11: think all of this talk about recess appointments is way premature. 584 00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:47,840 Speaker 11: I don't believe that's the direction that we want to go, 585 00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:49,800 Speaker 11: and I don't think President Trump will want to go 586 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,440 Speaker 11: that he wants the confirmation of the Senate because we're 587 00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:55,640 Speaker 11: going to be working together all throughout these next several years, 588 00:28:55,680 --> 00:29:00,720 Speaker 11: and we need to make sure that we respect each 589 00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:03,200 Speaker 11: other's roles, but that we have the confirmation from each 590 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:04,959 Speaker 11: other that's we're moving in the right direction. 591 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:08,240 Speaker 3: So she doesn't think Donald Trump is going to want 592 00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 3: to abandon the checks and balances here, Ashley, but she 593 00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:13,720 Speaker 3: can't know for sure what Donald Trump wants any more 594 00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 3: than the rest of US can. And I wonder if 595 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 3: you do think this brand new leadership team that's going 596 00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 3: to take a hold in January could potentially run into 597 00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:24,840 Speaker 3: conflict with Donald Trump pretty early on. 598 00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:25,200 Speaker 2: Well. 599 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,920 Speaker 1: I think the statement that John Thune made is right 600 00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:30,360 Speaker 1: after he got elected, was the fact that he's going 601 00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:33,040 Speaker 1: to keep the filibuster in place. And I to me, 602 00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:35,520 Speaker 1: no matter what side of the out you're on, I 603 00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:37,880 Speaker 1: think that's a very important. If we don't have that 604 00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:41,200 Speaker 1: philibuster in place, no matter if you're a Republican or Democrat, 605 00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:44,040 Speaker 1: there's going to be really bad policies that are passed 606 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:47,880 Speaker 1: beyond what already gets past sometimes. So I really was 607 00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,360 Speaker 1: I was really happy that he came out that. I 608 00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:52,800 Speaker 1: think that Trump will go after him publicly, just like 609 00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:55,200 Speaker 1: he did McConnell when McConnell said he's keeping the philibuster 610 00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:57,400 Speaker 1: in place. So I think that's going to be the 611 00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:00,000 Speaker 1: number one moral I agree with the Senator with Senator Capitol, 612 00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:02,880 Speaker 1: I really as I said earlier in the segment, I 613 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:04,840 Speaker 1: think this recess appointment is a little bit of a 614 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:05,680 Speaker 1: noise right now. 615 00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 3: Well, I guess we'll I'll find out come January whether 616 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:10,600 Speaker 3: or not it's noise or real. 617 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:11,600 Speaker 6: It's sometimes hard to tell. 618 00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:14,200 Speaker 1: You also think we're going to be in until like Easter, 619 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:16,200 Speaker 1: because they're going to want to get stuff done. They're 620 00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:18,000 Speaker 1: going to pass the budget resolution, They're going to do 621 00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,800 Speaker 1: tax reform right away. I think we're never it's going 622 00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:23,680 Speaker 1: to be crazy, so much to look forward to. 623 00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:25,800 Speaker 3: Just when we think we might get a break at 624 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:28,959 Speaker 3: some point, Ashley's like, just wait, you won't keep your 625 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,280 Speaker 3: jobs right. This is very true. Is certainly going to 626 00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:34,040 Speaker 3: keep Genie Shanzano busy as well. 627 00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:34,440 Speaker 6: Genie. 628 00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:38,000 Speaker 3: If we consider everything as Ashley is outlining, this incoming 629 00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:40,040 Speaker 3: Congress is going to want to get done. We already 630 00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:42,480 Speaker 3: discussed what is a very tight majority. It's going to 631 00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 3: be in the House. In the Senate right now, the 632 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:46,640 Speaker 3: majority is fifty three. But there is a recount in 633 00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 3: Pennsylvania in the Dave McCormick, the Republican versus the incumbent 634 00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:54,600 Speaker 3: Democrat Bob Casey race. Do you think there's potential this 635 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:56,600 Speaker 3: goes down to fifty two or is that a recount 636 00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:57,240 Speaker 3: going nowhere? 637 00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:01,480 Speaker 10: You know, historically the recounts done in Pennsylvania. I think 638 00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:04,280 Speaker 10: there were four, and they have all gone the way 639 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:08,440 Speaker 10: that they were originally decided or initially decided. So my 640 00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 10: guess would be that it still remains with Dave McCormick 641 00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:16,200 Speaker 10: and Casey is going to have to concede. And you know, 642 00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 10: while I do agree that Donald Trump may be throwing 643 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,880 Speaker 10: out a trial balloon on the recess or more likely 644 00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:26,560 Speaker 10: to threaten the Senate, no president worth their salt is 645 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,680 Speaker 10: happy with the advice and consent of the Senate. They 646 00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,120 Speaker 10: all want to get rid of it. Nobody wants to 647 00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:35,000 Speaker 10: have to go to somebody else to do their job, 648 00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,360 Speaker 10: so you know, he doesn't want to have to go there. 649 00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:40,640 Speaker 10: And I am waiting with baited breath because Kaylee, remember 650 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,520 Speaker 10: when he said, Mike Johnson and I have a secret, 651 00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:47,400 Speaker 10: And of course that secret is the recess. I don't know, 652 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,880 Speaker 10: but the House Speaker has an enormous role potentially there. 653 00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:54,080 Speaker 10: So Hayley, don't sleep this week and figure the secret out, 654 00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 10: would you. 655 00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:58,360 Speaker 3: I was told that the secret was Teletown Halls during 656 00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:00,800 Speaker 3: the final startch of the campaign for the House. 657 00:32:01,040 --> 00:32:02,240 Speaker 6: I don't know, maybe we'll find out. 658 00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:04,480 Speaker 8: Probably was then who knows. 659 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:08,200 Speaker 3: The secret will remain secret. Perhaps Ashley Davis and Jeanie 660 00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:11,360 Speaker 3: Shanzino our wonderful political panel today. Thank you both so 661 00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:14,400 Speaker 3: much for joining me and enjoy the weekend certainly well 662 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:16,720 Speaker 3: deserved for everyone who has had to keep track of 663 00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:19,160 Speaker 3: what's going on here in Washington. We've talked a lot 664 00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 3: about what could happen in terms of the economic policy team, 665 00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,120 Speaker 3: but we have to focus on the legal and justice 666 00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:26,600 Speaker 3: team as well. Bloomberg Sarah Forden is on her way in, 667 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:30,120 Speaker 3: and we'll have Democratic Congressman Brad Sherman of California as well. 668 00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:30,920 Speaker 6: On Bloomberg. 669 00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:38,240 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast Ketch 670 00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:41,600 Speaker 2: just live weekdays at noon Eastern on Applecarplay and thenroyd 671 00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:44,360 Speaker 2: Oto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also listen 672 00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:47,560 Speaker 2: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, 673 00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,640 Speaker 2: Just Say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 674 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,760 Speaker 3: We're still awaiting some pretty important cabinet picks from the 675 00:32:55,760 --> 00:33:01,000 Speaker 3: President elect Donald Trump, think Treasury or Commerce roles that 676 00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:03,280 Speaker 3: you might think would be pretty high on the checklist 677 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 3: in terms of nominees. You need to get out there, 678 00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:08,760 Speaker 3: maybe less so lower down on the checklist you might 679 00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:11,960 Speaker 3: expect would be say, US Attorney for the Southern. 680 00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,160 Speaker 6: District of New York. But that's what we got yesterday. 681 00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:17,240 Speaker 3: Donald Trump has tapped Jay Clayton, the former SEC Chair, 682 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:19,000 Speaker 3: for that role. He's also tapped a number of his 683 00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:23,960 Speaker 3: personal attorneys to serve him in this upcoming administration, and 684 00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:27,680 Speaker 3: of course most of all, he has tapped former Congressman 685 00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:30,640 Speaker 3: now Matt Gates to serve as Attorney General. Though there 686 00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:33,960 Speaker 3: are some pretty serious confirmation questions there. But we want 687 00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:35,600 Speaker 3: to get into all of these questions and turn to 688 00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:39,480 Speaker 3: Sarah Ford and who leads Bloomberg's legal coverage here in Washington, 689 00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 3: and she's joining me in our DC studio. So, Sarah, 690 00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 3: if we could start with Gates, because if confirmed, he 691 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,280 Speaker 3: would be running the entire Department of Justice. 692 00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:49,280 Speaker 6: What would that actually look like? 693 00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:52,880 Speaker 3: In what ways could he potentially dismantle the existing structure? 694 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:55,760 Speaker 12: Well, I mean, there's been a lot of coverage of 695 00:33:55,800 --> 00:34:00,760 Speaker 12: Trump's angst about the Justice Department, the investigations well also 696 00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:05,880 Speaker 12: dating back to the Russian investigation under the former leader 697 00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,000 Speaker 12: of the FBI. In that case, you know, the Justice 698 00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:11,280 Speaker 12: Department includes the FBI, the Criminal Division, the Civil Division, 699 00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:15,200 Speaker 12: the Human Rights Division. It's a massive law enforcement agency, 700 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:18,680 Speaker 12: and you know the aim is to whittle it down 701 00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:22,080 Speaker 12: and to weed out anybody who isn't loyal to the 702 00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:22,960 Speaker 12: president's agenda. 703 00:34:23,120 --> 00:34:25,319 Speaker 3: Well, of course, Matt Gates has argued that the Justice 704 00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:28,040 Speaker 3: Department has been weaponized against him, and Donald Trump has 705 00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:30,640 Speaker 3: argued the very same, because he, of course has been 706 00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:34,160 Speaker 3: indicted by the DOJ, specifically Special Council Jack Smith in 707 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:37,040 Speaker 3: two separate federal cases that he's now Jack Smith that 708 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:40,720 Speaker 3: is trying to wind down before Donald Trump takes office. 709 00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:43,040 Speaker 3: How is that process likely to go and is everyone 710 00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:45,440 Speaker 3: who was involved in it going to have to leave 711 00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:47,719 Speaker 3: the DOJ before Trump takes the oath. 712 00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:50,920 Speaker 12: Well, it's most likely that they will all leave ahead 713 00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:54,239 Speaker 12: of time, and they're winding down the cases because they 714 00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:57,440 Speaker 12: have a long standing policy to not prosecute sitting presidents. 715 00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:01,640 Speaker 12: So there's no you know, thinking to wait until Trump 716 00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:04,440 Speaker 12: gets into office. You know, this is inevitable. These cases 717 00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:06,799 Speaker 12: are going to go away, and so Jack Smith is 718 00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:10,480 Speaker 12: preparing his filings to dismiss them. He's asked for a 719 00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:13,120 Speaker 12: little more time to do that. This has not been 720 00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:16,799 Speaker 12: postponed till December second, and the issues are a little 721 00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,760 Speaker 12: bit different in the two cases. So the January sixth 722 00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:22,520 Speaker 12: case is about Trump's efforts to overturn the results of 723 00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:25,960 Speaker 12: the election. The Florida case is about his handling of 724 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:29,880 Speaker 12: classified documents, and that case was thrown out by federal 725 00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:34,840 Speaker 12: Judge Eileen Cannon arguing that the special council. The dj 726 00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:38,480 Speaker 12: wasn't authorized to appoint the special council. So that is 727 00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,200 Speaker 12: an issue that Jack Smith wants to actually try to 728 00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:45,920 Speaker 12: preserve because for decades in this country, president and the 729 00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,960 Speaker 12: Justice Department have appointed special councils, you know, going back 730 00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:50,200 Speaker 12: to Nixon and before. 731 00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:53,480 Speaker 6: We're the one that investigated Hunter Biden for example. 732 00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:57,160 Speaker 12: So this has been, you know, very standard practice of 733 00:35:57,239 --> 00:35:59,680 Speaker 12: law enforcement to put a special council in charge of 734 00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:02,799 Speaker 12: a politically sensitive case. So Jack Smith and his team 735 00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:05,719 Speaker 12: are going to try to argue that appeal in a 736 00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:07,680 Speaker 12: way to protect and preserve that right. 737 00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,400 Speaker 3: Well, so that's that team, which was of course the 738 00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:13,960 Speaker 3: prosecution team. Then there was the defense team for Donald 739 00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,239 Speaker 3: Trump in all of these cases, his personal attorneys, some 740 00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:18,640 Speaker 3: of which are now going to be having a role 741 00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:19,759 Speaker 3: in his second administration. 742 00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 12: Well, and these are people that really put out for 743 00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:28,840 Speaker 12: Trump and really successfully got those cases delayed and delegitimized 744 00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:32,239 Speaker 12: in the views of many. And so he's, you know, 745 00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:36,000 Speaker 12: in his loyalty principle, he's rewarding the people who who 746 00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:41,239 Speaker 12: came through for him. So Todd Blanche, Emil Bove, Dean 747 00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:43,120 Speaker 12: John Souer, all of these people are now going to 748 00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:45,359 Speaker 12: be flanking him in his new administration. 749 00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:48,600 Speaker 3: I want to, finally, Sarah, ask you about Jay Clayton 750 00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:50,239 Speaker 3: as well, who, of course is best known to our 751 00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:54,040 Speaker 3: audience here as the former SEC chair. He's getting sd 752 00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:56,920 Speaker 3: and Y. So he's the cop literally on Wall Street. 753 00:36:57,440 --> 00:36:59,920 Speaker 3: And I wonder what we should make of this pick. 754 00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:03,799 Speaker 3: He was, I guess involved in securities law, surely, but 755 00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:05,320 Speaker 3: what about criminal law. 756 00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:05,960 Speaker 8: Well, exactly. 757 00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:09,319 Speaker 12: I mean, he's a seasoned lawyer, he's senior partner with 758 00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:12,920 Speaker 12: Sullivan and Cromwell's part of the establishment. He's seen as 759 00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:16,440 Speaker 12: more of an institutionalist than some of Trump's other picks. 760 00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:19,560 Speaker 12: But at the same time, the whole criminal enforcement area 761 00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:23,239 Speaker 12: is a brand new chapter for him. So it's going 762 00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:26,200 Speaker 12: to be interesting to see how he's going to interpret 763 00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:30,919 Speaker 12: this mandate. For example, s d and Y, the US 764 00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:35,560 Speaker 12: attorney in Manhattan, has been famous for going after financial crime, 765 00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:39,560 Speaker 12: insider trading, white collar crime. So the question is are 766 00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:41,759 Speaker 12: the priorities of this office going to change? Are we 767 00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:44,960 Speaker 12: going to see sdn Y get involved in a push 768 00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:49,160 Speaker 12: on the immigration agenda that the Trump administration has, So 769 00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:51,200 Speaker 12: we're watching that very closely. 770 00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:53,600 Speaker 3: All right, well, we look forward to the continued reporting 771 00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:55,759 Speaker 3: from Sarah and her team on this Bloomberg Sarah Ford, 772 00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:58,040 Speaker 3: and thank you so much, and we want to get 773 00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:00,359 Speaker 3: reaction as well from Capitol Hill to some of these 774 00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:04,000 Speaker 3: conversations and others. In turn, now to Democratic Congressman Brad 775 00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:06,799 Speaker 3: Sherman of California, who's joining me live from the Hill 776 00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:09,759 Speaker 3: here on Bloomberg TV and Radio. Congressman, welcome back to 777 00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:12,080 Speaker 3: Balance of Power. There's much I'd like to discuss with you, 778 00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:13,560 Speaker 3: but would love for you to take a swing, as 779 00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:16,440 Speaker 3: you do sit on the Financial Services Committee, about Jay 780 00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,720 Speaker 3: Clayton being a different kind of cop for the financial 781 00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:21,839 Speaker 3: world potentially in the second administration. 782 00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:25,240 Speaker 13: I think Clayton is one of the more reasonable picks 783 00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:28,600 Speaker 13: for Donald Trump. I realize that isn't a real high standard, 784 00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:32,319 Speaker 13: but I think is an entirely reasonable pick to be 785 00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,960 Speaker 13: the chief prosecutor in the nation's financial capital. 786 00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:40,200 Speaker 3: And what about the other picks that I feel like 787 00:38:40,239 --> 00:38:41,520 Speaker 3: you are alluding to, Sir. 788 00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:48,920 Speaker 13: Oh my god, Matt Gates Attorney general. Wow, it is 789 00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:54,120 Speaker 13: just stunningly bizarre. Especially you'd think that Donald Trump, who 790 00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:57,560 Speaker 13: says we should have openness with the American people, isn't 791 00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:02,319 Speaker 13: demanding that the Ethics Committee investigation, which was supposed to 792 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,920 Speaker 13: report today and might still report today, that that report 793 00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:10,040 Speaker 13: isn't made public. How can we spend all this government money, 794 00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:13,680 Speaker 13: have a Congress, which is a House of Representatives, which 795 00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:18,839 Speaker 13: is in Republican hands, do a bipartisan, fair investigation, and 796 00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:21,839 Speaker 13: then hide it from the American people. I think that's outrageous. 797 00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,120 Speaker 3: Well, I guess we'll see if that either leaks out 798 00:39:25,200 --> 00:39:27,640 Speaker 3: or is formally issued, and we'll see whether or not 799 00:39:27,719 --> 00:39:30,880 Speaker 3: Matt Gates ultimately is confirmed for that job. 800 00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:31,440 Speaker 6: Congressman. 801 00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:33,759 Speaker 3: I'd also like to ask you about a man with 802 00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:37,440 Speaker 3: a job currently, and that is the FED Chair J Powell, 803 00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:39,439 Speaker 3: who has had to field questions about whether he would 804 00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:42,360 Speaker 3: resign if asked by Donald Trump. He's stated it's not 805 00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:44,839 Speaker 3: legal for Trump to demote him or anyone else in 806 00:39:44,880 --> 00:39:47,880 Speaker 3: FED leadership. But I wonder if you think those theories 807 00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:50,520 Speaker 3: will be tested in this incoming administration. 808 00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:55,480 Speaker 13: I wouldn't put it past Trump to try to do 809 00:39:55,640 --> 00:39:57,520 Speaker 13: things that he doesn't have a legal right to do. 810 00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:00,600 Speaker 13: I'm counting on the court system to defend our laws. 811 00:40:01,160 --> 00:40:07,520 Speaker 13: And I think Jay Powell will serve out his term. 812 00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:08,080 Speaker 3: Well, and he certainly has more work ahead of him. 813 00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:10,440 Speaker 3: Just in the next couple of weeks, Congressman, there will 814 00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:14,000 Speaker 3: be a rate decision. The market seems less convinced that 815 00:40:14,040 --> 00:40:16,839 Speaker 3: they're actually going to cut rates again before the year 816 00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:20,920 Speaker 3: is out, But do you believe the economy needs it, Well. 817 00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:22,880 Speaker 13: You've got to look at what the economy is going 818 00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:27,000 Speaker 13: to be next year. Trump is proposing policies which, according 819 00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:30,760 Speaker 13: to the Peterson Institute, are going to boost inflation between 820 00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:35,000 Speaker 13: four and seven percentage points. That's worse than COVID's effect 821 00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:39,200 Speaker 13: on the inflation rate. And we would rely upon the 822 00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:43,400 Speaker 13: Fed to somehow do its best to control inflation. Of course, 823 00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:47,160 Speaker 13: higher interest rates are bad for consumers, just as inflation 824 00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:48,400 Speaker 13: is bad for consumers. 825 00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:52,279 Speaker 3: Well, so I guess we'll see how the Fed navigates 826 00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:56,000 Speaker 3: that next year. But before this year is over, Congressman, 827 00:40:56,040 --> 00:40:58,800 Speaker 3: the government also needs to be funded. There's a deadline 828 00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:01,279 Speaker 3: coming up for that as well in December, and I 829 00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:03,200 Speaker 3: wonder if you think it's more likely we end up 830 00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:09,240 Speaker 3: with a continuing resolution or an omnibus package. 831 00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:12,439 Speaker 13: Congress will tend to kick a can down the road, 832 00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:16,600 Speaker 13: and omnibus is much more difficult to put together. I 833 00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:20,000 Speaker 13: wouldn't be surprised if there was a continuing resolution until 834 00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:24,480 Speaker 13: at least February. Republicans are talking about a continuing resolution 835 00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:28,160 Speaker 13: all the way through the end of the fiscal year 836 00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:33,839 Speaker 13: in September. And given how much I'd disagree with the 837 00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:36,640 Speaker 13: things they would try to do in our Appropriations bill, 838 00:41:37,400 --> 00:41:40,880 Speaker 13: putting the government on automatic pilot is it's not good, 839 00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:42,600 Speaker 13: but it's not as bad as all the things. 840 00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:47,320 Speaker 3: Well, try is an operative word there, sir. The votes 841 00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:50,040 Speaker 3: will still be required, and it does seem that in 842 00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:52,319 Speaker 3: the incoming Congress it is going to be, once again, 843 00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:55,160 Speaker 3: as we've experienced for the last two years, a very 844 00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:58,040 Speaker 3: tight majority, especially with Donald Trump having pulled not just 845 00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:01,160 Speaker 3: Gates but two others out of the Republican Conference for 846 00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:04,399 Speaker 3: roles in the administration. Is there a way Democrats can 847 00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:06,040 Speaker 3: use that to their advantage. 848 00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:10,040 Speaker 13: Well, in the Senate they're going to keep the filibuster, 849 00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:13,760 Speaker 13: and in the Senate. They have only a three vote margin. 850 00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:18,200 Speaker 13: So for example, if only four Republican Senators will stand 851 00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:22,000 Speaker 13: up and say we can't vote on Matt Gates until 852 00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:25,600 Speaker 13: we see the Ethics Committee report, then there'll be an 853 00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:28,560 Speaker 13: important step for for honesty with the American people, the 854 00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:33,320 Speaker 13: openness and uh uh on on that nomination. I would 855 00:42:34,600 --> 00:42:39,120 Speaker 13: suspect that they will not allow, for example, Stephanic to 856 00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:45,279 Speaker 13: take her role as UH as UN ambassador until such 857 00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:48,600 Speaker 13: time as they've had special elections to fill other seats, 858 00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:53,840 Speaker 13: say they can't operate with with you know, with a 859 00:42:53,880 --> 00:42:57,040 Speaker 13: one seat majority, and we'll see how the elections come out. 860 00:42:57,160 --> 00:42:59,520 Speaker 13: I think the ones in California that are still in 861 00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:01,359 Speaker 13: uncalled or going to go our way. 862 00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:05,239 Speaker 3: Well, I'm glad you raised a last stephonics Sir. She, 863 00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:08,400 Speaker 3: of course, as you alluded to, tapped his ambassador for 864 00:43:08,520 --> 00:43:09,440 Speaker 3: the United Nations. 865 00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:12,160 Speaker 6: We also saw former Arkansas Governor Mike. 866 00:43:12,080 --> 00:43:15,839 Speaker 3: Huckabee tapped as ambassador to Israel, and I wonder what 867 00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:18,400 Speaker 3: that says to you about the way in which Israel 868 00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:21,719 Speaker 3: policy could look different as we move forward into this 869 00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:22,640 Speaker 3: next administration. 870 00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:26,480 Speaker 13: I think Stephanic will do a good job, probably in 871 00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:30,040 Speaker 13: the mold of Nikki Haley. I think Huckabee has gone 872 00:43:31,520 --> 00:43:36,720 Speaker 13: way too far and will lead Israel in the wrong direction. 873 00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:43,200 Speaker 13: Israel may be able to take extreme positions and still 874 00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:46,080 Speaker 13: remain popular in the Republican Party of the United States, 875 00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:49,279 Speaker 13: but there are eight billion people on this planet. And 876 00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:53,279 Speaker 13: if Israel only has the support of Israelis, or a 877 00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:57,280 Speaker 13: majority of Israelis and a majority of Republicans, then Israel 878 00:43:57,920 --> 00:44:01,000 Speaker 13: is isolated from the rest of the world. The fact 879 00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:04,840 Speaker 13: is that Israel seventy six years old. During its first 880 00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:08,600 Speaker 13: half of existence, Democrats and Republicans were in control about 881 00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:11,680 Speaker 13: halfway half the time, and that'll be true the next 882 00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:15,360 Speaker 13: seventy six years. And if Israel puts itself in a 883 00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:19,400 Speaker 13: position where it has no appeal to those to the 884 00:44:19,480 --> 00:44:24,200 Speaker 13: left of Donald Trump, that's a terrible position for Israel 885 00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:24,600 Speaker 13: to be in. 886 00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:29,000 Speaker 3: Congressman, we just have a minute or two left here. 887 00:44:29,040 --> 00:44:32,040 Speaker 3: The Washington Post reported this week that the Israeli Prime 888 00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:36,400 Speaker 3: Minister Benjamin net Yahoo is preparing a ceasefire in Lebanon 889 00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:40,399 Speaker 3: as a quote unquote gift to the incoming president Donald Trump. 890 00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:43,960 Speaker 3: Do you think that is actually achievable before he takes office. 891 00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:49,680 Speaker 13: I think if Hezbollah will follow the UN resolution. Usually 892 00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:53,200 Speaker 13: UN resolutions aren't particularly good for Israel, but will follow 893 00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:56,640 Speaker 13: you in resolution and move north of the Latani River 894 00:44:56,960 --> 00:45:00,759 Speaker 13: as they agreed to do decades ago or over a 895 00:45:00,800 --> 00:45:04,640 Speaker 13: decade ago, that we should get a cease fire. And 896 00:45:04,719 --> 00:45:09,120 Speaker 13: I don't think we should continue killing people unnecessarily on 897 00:45:09,200 --> 00:45:13,480 Speaker 13: either side just to make a gift to an incoming 898 00:45:13,800 --> 00:45:18,040 Speaker 13: US administration. Israel should conclude a cease fire when it 899 00:45:18,080 --> 00:45:20,560 Speaker 13: can do so in a way that will keep its 900 00:45:21,600 --> 00:45:25,880 Speaker 13: northern Israeli safe. And that is pretty much a decision 901 00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:29,040 Speaker 13: Hesbola has to make. Are they willing to do what 902 00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:31,920 Speaker 13: they agreed to do over a decade ago and move 903 00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:33,359 Speaker 13: north of the Latani River? 904 00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:37,879 Speaker 3: All right, Congressman, appreciate your time on this Friday, sir, 905 00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:41,920 Speaker 3: enjoy the weekend that is. Democratic Congressman Brad Sherman of California, 906 00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:44,920 Speaker 3: a member of the House Foreign Affairs and Financial Services Committee, 907 00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:47,600 Speaker 3: here with us on Bloomberg TV and Radio. 908 00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:57,080 Speaker 13: Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast. Make 909 00:45:57,120 --> 00:46:00,160 Speaker 13: sure to subscribe if you haven't already an Apple, Spotify, 910 00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:02,719 Speaker 13: or wherever you get your podcasts, and you can find 911 00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:06,040 Speaker 13: us live every weekday from Washington, DC at noontime. Eastern 912 00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:07,880 Speaker 13: at bloomberg dot com.