1
00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,480
Speaker 1: Welcome back, everybody. It's the Betting Pros College Football preview Show.

2
00:00:04,480 --> 00:00:06,600
Speaker 1: I'm your host, Scott Bogman. Follow me on the Twitter

3
00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:09,320
Speaker 1: app Bogman Sports. I'm here as always with thorn Nystrom

4
00:00:09,400 --> 00:00:12,479
Speaker 1: at thor k, you on Twitter machine, and Mike Ferrell

5
00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,960
Speaker 1: at m farrell Sports on the Twitter to ours two.

6
00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:20,720
Speaker 1: L's guys, interesting week five we had. It is week six.

7
00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:25,159
Speaker 1: We're almost halfway through the regular season. Here. This is

8
00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:30,080
Speaker 1: some teams full schedule, So thor your thoughts on week

9
00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:32,280
Speaker 1: five before we move ahead and look at week six.

10
00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:33,960
Speaker 2: Super fun week.

11
00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:37,040
Speaker 3: We didn't have quite the matchups as we had the

12
00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:41,000
Speaker 3: week before in terms of qualitatively, but another fun week

13
00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:44,000
Speaker 3: at college football. A lot of quarterback injuries and different

14
00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,280
Speaker 3: stuff like that that we're gonna have to sort through today.

15
00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:48,800
Speaker 3: But looking forward to this weekend as well, and we're

16
00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:50,040
Speaker 3: gonna give out some winners today.

17
00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:53,840
Speaker 1: Farrell, your thoughts on week five in the season so far?

18
00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:55,760
Speaker 1: What have you likely to be disliked?

19
00:00:56,200 --> 00:01:00,240
Speaker 4: What? You know? My new number one is Michigan. Not

20
00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:02,200
Speaker 4: that anybody cares what my new number one is, but

21
00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:04,920
Speaker 4: you know, Georgia's surprised me a little bit. Struggling against Auburn.

22
00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:09,679
Speaker 4: You know, I'm kind of most interested to see how

23
00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:11,600
Speaker 4: this this Big twelve plays out, because I think this

24
00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:15,240
Speaker 4: is kind of like a pseudo championship game this weekend.

25
00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,520
Speaker 4: And you know, I don't know, it's good to see

26
00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:22,120
Speaker 4: Florida State back this weekend because you know, I had

27
00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:24,280
Speaker 4: them at number one. I hate dropping somebody from number

28
00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:26,160
Speaker 4: one when they didn't play. But you know they'll be

29
00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,000
Speaker 4: back at it this weekend too. So Big ten looks great.

30
00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:32,240
Speaker 4: It looks like a lot of fun Michigan, Ohio State,

31
00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:33,840
Speaker 4: Penn State, all cruise and along.

32
00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:38,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, it is tech. You know, you know you don't

33
00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,160
Speaker 1: have to wonder what the Big twelve. What's going to

34
00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:43,040
Speaker 1: happen in the Big twelve? Farrell, It's definitely going to

35
00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:43,720
Speaker 1: be Texas.

36
00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:45,520
Speaker 4: We're getting at that right now. We're going to go

37
00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:47,120
Speaker 4: into your homerism immediately.

38
00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:49,920
Speaker 1: That's right, that's right. But before we get to that,

39
00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:52,080
Speaker 1: let me tell you some of the college football fans.

40
00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:54,320
Speaker 1: Are you ready to put your betting skills to the test.

41
00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:58,080
Speaker 1: Join the Betting Pros College Football podcast betting group. Make

42
00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:00,640
Speaker 1: your picks all season long, and if you're among the

43
00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:03,600
Speaker 1: top ROI performers, you can win big prizes include a

44
00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:07,040
Speaker 1: sign Garrett Wilson Ohio State Jersey and premium subscriptions to

45
00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,880
Speaker 1: Fantasy pros and betting Pros. Just make at least one

46
00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:12,320
Speaker 1: hundred picks for out the season. To qualify, jump in

47
00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:15,239
Speaker 1: now at bettingpros dot com, sace College or in the

48
00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:19,000
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app under the College Football podcast group. May

49
00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:22,240
Speaker 1: the best better win. Let's dive right into it. As

50
00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:25,800
Speaker 1: Pharaoh mentioned, Texas a six and a half point favorite

51
00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:29,200
Speaker 1: in the Red River Rivalry game. Sixty is the total

52
00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:34,359
Speaker 1: here cash tickets. However, you cut it both on Texas

53
00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:37,000
Speaker 1: and the over here thor is that where you're heading

54
00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:38,720
Speaker 1: with this one as well? What do you think about

55
00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:39,880
Speaker 1: the Red River Rivalry.

56
00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:43,400
Speaker 3: I'm taking the points with Oklahoma just because I feel

57
00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,079
Speaker 3: like the line is inflated. My line in this game

58
00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:50,320
Speaker 3: is Longhorn's minus three over the six. You know, and

59
00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,280
Speaker 3: you get why the market is betting Texas. Of course,

60
00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:56,000
Speaker 3: they've looked really good this year. Obviously they'd be at Alabama, etc.

61
00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:59,360
Speaker 3: But I just feel like this thing objectively is too high.

62
00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:00,880
Speaker 3: So I'm going to I'm going to jump in with

63
00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:02,959
Speaker 3: the Sooners on this one. I think there's a couple

64
00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:05,600
Speaker 3: of different things that they can do at least to

65
00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:08,720
Speaker 3: keep it close and or with where the line's gotten

66
00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:12,480
Speaker 3: coming through the back door potentially even if the handicap

67
00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:15,520
Speaker 3: gets away from us in that regard. But Texas at defense,

68
00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:18,959
Speaker 3: bog mean, you know this, It's gotten better, for sure,

69
00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,040
Speaker 3: very strong against the run, but they give up too

70
00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:25,240
Speaker 3: many explosive plays, you know, against both the run and

71
00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:28,720
Speaker 3: the pass. That's what Gabriel needs to take, Dylan, Gabriel

72
00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:32,080
Speaker 3: needs to take advantage of in this game for Oklahoma

73
00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:32,919
Speaker 3: to keep it close.

74
00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:34,839
Speaker 2: I do think text.

75
00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:36,480
Speaker 3: Is going to win this game, bagman, So don't get

76
00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:38,560
Speaker 3: too upset with me, don't kick me out of the stream.

77
00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:40,840
Speaker 3: But I think it's going to be closer than the

78
00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:41,600
Speaker 3: book makers do.

79
00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:44,400
Speaker 1: Barrel, where are you at in this game? It is?

80
00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:47,240
Speaker 1: It's traditionally a close when last year was not close

81
00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:50,800
Speaker 1: at all. But this is always a fun game to watch,

82
00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:52,480
Speaker 1: Game of the week, that kind of stuff. Do you

83
00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:54,200
Speaker 1: think it's going to live up to that hype as well?

84
00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:58,360
Speaker 4: It'll be better than last year. I'm pretty sure that

85
00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:01,240
Speaker 4: I like the over more than I like the side here.

86
00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:05,720
Speaker 4: I'm leaning towards Texas. They're more complete football team. You know,

87
00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:10,720
Speaker 4: Oklahoma's offense has been impressive. You know, Dylan Gabriel has

88
00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,600
Speaker 4: been great. They haven't missed a beat there. Their offense

89
00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:15,520
Speaker 4: probably looks a little better than they didn't last year.

90
00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:17,920
Speaker 4: Defense looks slightly better, but I think they're going to

91
00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:20,559
Speaker 4: be exposed a little bit here. If Texas can fire

92
00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:23,800
Speaker 4: on all cylinders, you know, and the more balanced football

93
00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:25,680
Speaker 4: team is going to win this one. So if I

94
00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:27,479
Speaker 4: had to pick a side, I'm going to take Texas

95
00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:30,040
Speaker 4: by seven to ten. But I like the over. I

96
00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:31,520
Speaker 4: think this is going to be a high scoring game

97
00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:34,960
Speaker 4: because if Texas does get out in front, Oklahoma's going

98
00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,520
Speaker 4: to get the shooting match. And if Oklahoma gets out

99
00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:39,680
Speaker 4: in front, Texas going to have to really, you know,

100
00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:42,800
Speaker 4: air it out as well. So I do see quite

101
00:04:42,839 --> 00:04:46,040
Speaker 4: an aerial assault here on both sides. We just did

102
00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:48,000
Speaker 4: an article too, Boggan, You're gonna be happy of this

103
00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:51,360
Speaker 4: on the website. You know, who's better prepared for the SEC?

104
00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:54,919
Speaker 4: We dove into like an opus. Kyle goligrote it for me.

105
00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:58,960
Speaker 4: We dove into who's ready for the SEC, and Texas

106
00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,560
Speaker 4: is the answer. So they're going to win this football game.

107
00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:03,599
Speaker 4: They're going to probably cover, but the over is going

108
00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:04,280
Speaker 4: to be what you hit.

109
00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:09,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, So Pharaoh's point about the total both the defenses,

110
00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,680
Speaker 3: they have the same common problem that's passing explosion on

111
00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,279
Speaker 3: both sides. So I you know, I do think Quinn

112
00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:17,040
Speaker 3: you weres in the Texas passing attack is going to

113
00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:19,359
Speaker 3: have a big day. But I also think this opens

114
00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,080
Speaker 3: up the door for Oklahoma's passing attack to continue to

115
00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:23,000
Speaker 3: have success as well.

116
00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:25,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, Wyoming had a big play against Texas too, that

117
00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:28,200
Speaker 1: big run in the first quarters. So yeah, the big

118
00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,760
Speaker 1: plays giving up. You know, it still all goes back

119
00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,480
Speaker 1: to tackling, which is frustrated me with my longhorns for

120
00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:36,520
Speaker 1: a while, but let's move on. I will not homeer

121
00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:37,159
Speaker 1: out any.

122
00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:44,799
Speaker 4: Man that's tackles or something, so happy with that.

123
00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:48,200
Speaker 3: That defense is horrible. L s U is the Kent

124
00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:49,920
Speaker 3: State defense of the Power five.

125
00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:51,120
Speaker 2: Like it's it's.

126
00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:57,000
Speaker 4: Shocking there, it's embarrassing, legitimately embarrassing that it's crazy.

127
00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:00,800
Speaker 1: Let's go to that one now then, reason skipping just

128
00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:04,240
Speaker 1: like a good hope. Yeah, number twenty three LSU a

129
00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:07,919
Speaker 1: six point road favorite. At number twenty one. Missouri sixty

130
00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:10,680
Speaker 1: four and a half is a total here and guys,

131
00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:13,440
Speaker 1: I'm with you. Like you know, I kind of prep

132
00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:17,000
Speaker 1: for my article late tonight going into tomorrow. But the

133
00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:19,279
Speaker 1: one thing I know that I'm already taking is the

134
00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:22,960
Speaker 1: over in this game because Missouri can score. Luther Burden

135
00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:25,800
Speaker 1: is a stud. Brady Cook has been great and he

136
00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:28,080
Speaker 1: looked healthy last week, which is what we want to

137
00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:32,000
Speaker 1: see from him. So thor LSU and Missouri, are you

138
00:06:32,000 --> 00:06:34,400
Speaker 1: picking the side here? Is it just all over over over?

139
00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:39,760
Speaker 3: Well, just speaking in the data to LSU's defense, I

140
00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:42,800
Speaker 3: got some stats for you, guys. LSU fans, you're gonna

141
00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:45,560
Speaker 3: want to skip do this get button for thirty seconds

142
00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:49,040
Speaker 3: on your podcast. For the rest of us, though, LSU's

143
00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:52,560
Speaker 3: defense outside the top one oh five nationally in the

144
00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:57,880
Speaker 3: following categories, have a great success rate efficiency i PPP

145
00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:03,679
Speaker 3: an explo explosion metric, marginal explosiveness, explosive play rate, points

146
00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:08,839
Speaker 3: per opportunity allowed, run success rate, pass success rate, passing explosion.

147
00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,920
Speaker 3: I could keep going, We'll just cut it off there. Basically,

148
00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:16,160
Speaker 3: literally every single category you look at, it's like LSU

149
00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:19,720
Speaker 3: is one ten or one twenty one, twenty five. Uh,

150
00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:23,160
Speaker 3: it's awful. They're They're not going on the road to Missouri.

151
00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:25,600
Speaker 3: And as you guys know, I'm a Kansas alum. There

152
00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:28,840
Speaker 3: there's you know, very few things that I like less

153
00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:32,080
Speaker 3: than supporting Missouri. And but I got to put my

154
00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:35,040
Speaker 3: money on Missouri this week. You're getting seven points at

155
00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:38,679
Speaker 3: home against a team that cannot play defense. And Bagman,

156
00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:43,600
Speaker 3: like you mentioned, Luther Burden, superstar. Guy's an absolute stut.

157
00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:46,560
Speaker 2: He's going to be a first though a five star,

158
00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:50,040
Speaker 2: he's a five star, but.

159
00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:53,400
Speaker 3: He's gonna go ballistic in this game with LSU has

160
00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:56,360
Speaker 3: allowed way less receivers to go over one hundred yards

161
00:07:56,480 --> 00:08:00,200
Speaker 3: multitudes of them already this season. There is no cap

162
00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:03,239
Speaker 3: on the amount of number that the numbers, receptions, yards,

163
00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:05,640
Speaker 3: et cetera, that Luther Burden could get in this game.

164
00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:09,280
Speaker 3: LSU's offense has been very good. Their special teams actually

165
00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:11,560
Speaker 3: has been good too. It's just they have the joke

166
00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:14,360
Speaker 3: of the defense. Missouri's offense should be able to stay there.

167
00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:17,560
Speaker 3: In the last point I'll make about Missouri, their defense

168
00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:20,720
Speaker 3: has remained solid despite the fact that they lost guys

169
00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,800
Speaker 3: to the NFL over the offseason. Missouri's defense right now

170
00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:27,040
Speaker 3: number eighteen SP plus, so it's not just going to

171
00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:31,200
Speaker 3: be the total sieve they're also pretty good against the run, right,

172
00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:34,079
Speaker 3: and so all the LSU is gonna have to very

173
00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,640
Speaker 3: good offense, top five offense by the advanced numbers, but

174
00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:38,040
Speaker 3: it is going to have to play a bit one

175
00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:40,679
Speaker 3: handed in this game going to the air. LSU is

176
00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:42,719
Speaker 3: going to get theirs, but Missouri is going to get

177
00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:44,319
Speaker 3: more than their fair share as well.

178
00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:46,600
Speaker 2: LSU, you gotta put them on upset alert.

179
00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:50,120
Speaker 1: Here are you with that Pharaoh? Do you think Elis's

180
00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:51,920
Speaker 1: on upset alert against Missouri?

181
00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:55,120
Speaker 4: Yeah? I do, But I'm taking the over. I'm not

182
00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:58,360
Speaker 4: messing with the side here because you know, Missouri is

183
00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:00,720
Speaker 4: a nice story that he Kansas stay a very good win.

184
00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:04,880
Speaker 4: You know, Cook hasn't thrown a pick burden we all

185
00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:09,360
Speaker 4: you know, it's it's it's never surprising for me to

186
00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:12,280
Speaker 4: see a kid that's superstar, five star talent go to

187
00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:16,080
Speaker 4: a school that is close to home where he's going

188
00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:18,319
Speaker 4: to be the guy. I mean, he could have gone

189
00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:21,800
Speaker 4: Alabama and been you know, well, actually this year he

190
00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:23,920
Speaker 4: could be the guy. But that's not a great example.

191
00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:25,880
Speaker 4: But he could have gone someplace else, you know where

192
00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:28,240
Speaker 4: he could just be another you know, piece of the puzzle.

193
00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,959
Speaker 4: He stayed home. He is the piece of the puzzle.

194
00:09:32,040 --> 00:09:35,360
Speaker 4: He's having a great season. The issue I have here

195
00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:38,520
Speaker 4: is LS he was just so Jeckyll and Hyde. They

196
00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:42,120
Speaker 4: have been under Brian Kelly. You know, he was supposed

197
00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:44,719
Speaker 4: to fix this thing because the knock against him was

198
00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:46,520
Speaker 4: he didn't have a quarterback in Notre Dame. Well, he's

199
00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,079
Speaker 4: got a quarterback. That's not an issue. The other knock

200
00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:52,280
Speaker 4: was he couldn't recruit as effectively as he wanted to

201
00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:56,200
Speaker 4: because of academic restrictions. Those are not existing at LSU.

202
00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:59,280
Speaker 4: You look at the talent on this team, you know,

203
00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:02,120
Speaker 4: from Harold Perk to Wingo to Smith the Jones that

204
00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:06,320
Speaker 4: defensively they've got talented players. Their scheme is awful. They

205
00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:09,560
Speaker 4: have no idea how to game plan. They're going to struggle.

206
00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:13,280
Speaker 4: But with that, there's still LSU. They could you know,

207
00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:20,080
Speaker 4: struggle against you know, Arkansas and then lose badly last

208
00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:21,640
Speaker 4: week and then come back and win this game. So

209
00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:23,600
Speaker 4: give me the over on this one second game in

210
00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:25,920
Speaker 4: a row. I just like the number. It's going to

211
00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:26,679
Speaker 4: be higher than that.

212
00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:29,840
Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to Ohio State Maryland on the

213
00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:32,960
Speaker 1: road at number four. Ohio State nineteen and a half

214
00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:35,000
Speaker 1: is the line here? Fifty seven and a half is

215
00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:39,479
Speaker 1: the total money and tickets are on Maryland, not like substantially,

216
00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:43,480
Speaker 1: but they're on Maryland against Ohio State. Here a lot

217
00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:47,720
Speaker 1: of high, high percentage on the over in this game

218
00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:49,360
Speaker 1: as well. Thora How do you see this one going?

219
00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,880
Speaker 3: I think the line is fair. It is a couple

220
00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:56,480
Speaker 3: of points inflated towards Ohio State, but it's not over

221
00:10:56,520 --> 00:10:59,760
Speaker 3: a key number, you know, as typically happens. My line

222
00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:02,720
Speaker 3: on this one is Ohio State minus seventeen point four.

223
00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:06,040
Speaker 3: My system's total is basically smacked down on what the

224
00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:09,400
Speaker 3: Vegas one is. For me, this is a no play

225
00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:12,280
Speaker 3: in this game. I could see for sure. We've seen

226
00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:16,840
Speaker 3: like isolated spots under the Loxley Maryland regime there where

227
00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:20,320
Speaker 3: they've given scares or more to really good teams like

228
00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:23,840
Speaker 3: this this This could be one of those occurrences, but

229
00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:26,440
Speaker 3: you would really have to be jumping on a limb

230
00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:27,040
Speaker 3: to do that.

231
00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:29,280
Speaker 2: Like I said, fair line, I'm not going to be

232
00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:29,800
Speaker 2: on this one.

233
00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:32,000
Speaker 1: A Pharaoh is a Longhorns fan. I know to never

234
00:11:32,080 --> 00:11:35,240
Speaker 1: underestimate Maryland. Maryland is a good team and if you

235
00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:36,720
Speaker 1: do not respect them, they will come.

236
00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:40,480
Speaker 4: In and be the memory. You have the memory, it's.

237
00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:42,640
Speaker 1: All it's all pain. You know, it's.

238
00:11:43,280 --> 00:11:46,200
Speaker 4: Crapped teams you had. Though these weren't good football. I

239
00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:49,640
Speaker 4: know this Maryland version is even better than those those

240
00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:51,520
Speaker 4: not so good Maryland teams.

241
00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:53,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, it's each in history.

242
00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:57,800
Speaker 4: Man. You guys are yeah, sure, different stratosphere are they are?

243
00:11:57,840 --> 00:11:59,840
Speaker 1: They competing against Ohio State.

244
00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:03,839
Speaker 4: Too much for me. I mean, they're not going to

245
00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:06,839
Speaker 4: win the football game. But I'm still not sold. I mean,

246
00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:09,679
Speaker 4: I Kyle McCord had he grew up against Notre Dame.

247
00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:11,920
Speaker 4: He had the big drive, but he's still there's still

248
00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:16,040
Speaker 4: some wonkiness to you know, his his reads progressions. This

249
00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:18,839
Speaker 4: is a pretty easy offense for you know, you put

250
00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:23,640
Speaker 4: up big numbers, you've got so many talented players, and

251
00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:27,480
Speaker 4: you're not you know, it's not Tennessee's dumb down offense,

252
00:12:27,520 --> 00:12:31,680
Speaker 4: but it's just close to that. And he still hasn't

253
00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:33,760
Speaker 4: broken out. He still hasn't put it all together yet.

254
00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:37,920
Speaker 4: I believe he will. But win. Maryland is a pretty

255
00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:41,439
Speaker 4: good football team. They're not great. You know, we get

256
00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,840
Speaker 4: a tag of Aloa who can spin the ball. They

257
00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:46,480
Speaker 4: don't want to get in a shootout. They want to

258
00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:48,960
Speaker 4: keep this low scoring if they can. So I'm not

259
00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:51,560
Speaker 4: touching the over under, but I will say that's just

260
00:12:51,640 --> 00:12:53,920
Speaker 4: a little too much for me. I would think more

261
00:12:54,760 --> 00:12:57,160
Speaker 4: if that's seventeen, then I'm not touching it. But nineteen

262
00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:58,320
Speaker 4: and a half, you're going to give me an extra

263
00:12:58,320 --> 00:12:59,920
Speaker 4: two and a half points. Give me Maryland to cover.

264
00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:02,920
Speaker 3: We're going to find out a lot about Maryland this weekend.

265
00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:05,480
Speaker 3: To this point, they rank one hundred and twenty fifth

266
00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:08,920
Speaker 3: in the nation and strength to schedule. The best opponent

267
00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:10,920
Speaker 3: so Maryland is five to oh You got to give

268
00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:13,319
Speaker 3: them that credit. But the best opponent they have played

269
00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:15,319
Speaker 3: so far, I'm going to put that in air quotes

270
00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:18,960
Speaker 3: best Michigan State. That was also the only road game

271
00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:24,839
Speaker 3: that Maryland has played so far. The other four opponents Towson, Charlotte, Virginia, Indiana.

272
00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:27,079
Speaker 3: We're going to find out a lot about Maryland. If

273
00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:30,920
Speaker 3: their metrics hold, they could give Ohia State a little

274
00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:33,480
Speaker 3: bit of trouble here because of the way that specifically

275
00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:36,599
Speaker 3: their defense is constituted. Parrell was mentioning their offense. I

276
00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:39,360
Speaker 3: think that part of it speaks for itself. Right now.

277
00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:42,080
Speaker 3: You look at sp plus. Maryland has the twenty eighth

278
00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:46,280
Speaker 3: defensive passing success rate, and they're number eleven in suppressing

279
00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:50,760
Speaker 3: passing explosion. But again, the five opponents I just said,

280
00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:52,560
Speaker 3: few of those teams.

281
00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:54,200
Speaker 2: Are able to get the ball down the field.

282
00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:58,480
Speaker 3: Maryland, their defensive weakness by far is their run defense.

283
00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:02,240
Speaker 3: That's not what Ohio State prefers. But again, we're gonna

284
00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:04,520
Speaker 3: learn a lot about Maryland now that they're playing a

285
00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:05,439
Speaker 3: legitimate opponent.

286
00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:08,640
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to Virginia Tech at number five

287
00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:11,760
Speaker 1: Florida State. Florida State is a twenty three and a

288
00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:15,480
Speaker 1: half point favorite at home. Fifty two and a half

289
00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:20,240
Speaker 1: is the number on this one. Cash is heavy on

290
00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:23,800
Speaker 1: the Hokies here, very heavy on the Hokies in this game.

291
00:14:25,560 --> 00:14:29,520
Speaker 1: The tickets in cash are split on the total here,

292
00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:32,160
Speaker 1: tickets are on the over, cashes on the under here,

293
00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:35,760
Speaker 1: thor figure this game out for us. How do you

294
00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:37,840
Speaker 1: see this one going? Because every time I pick against

295
00:14:37,880 --> 00:14:40,720
Speaker 1: votech they show up. Every time I pick them they don't,

296
00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:42,840
Speaker 1: So let me know how they're gonna go here.

297
00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:46,040
Speaker 3: I'm just as annoyed by votech as you. Just just

298
00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,120
Speaker 3: for the record on that. My line on this game

299
00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:50,760
Speaker 3: is Florida State minus twenty three point one. We're right

300
00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,520
Speaker 3: around where Vegas is. You said it was twenty four

301
00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:54,040
Speaker 3: and a half, now.

302
00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:56,400
Speaker 1: Right, twenty three and a half? I believe, yeah, football.

303
00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,800
Speaker 3: Twenty three and a half. It came down Yeah, I

304
00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:00,880
Speaker 3: mean we're so we're right there. Am I total too?

305
00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:03,720
Speaker 3: My system's total fifty two point four, So we're right

306
00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:07,080
Speaker 3: around where the Vegas one is. This is gonna be

307
00:15:07,080 --> 00:15:10,000
Speaker 3: a stay away for me. But the thing to watch

308
00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:13,920
Speaker 3: for in this game is Virginia Obviously, Virginia Tech still

309
00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:18,480
Speaker 3: has a terrible offense. Their run defense isn't great as well,

310
00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:21,200
Speaker 3: And so you wonder, is this the game where Trey

311
00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:24,160
Speaker 3: Benson turns it around. You know, he's been a little

312
00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:27,280
Speaker 3: bit sluggish, got a couple of flashes, but like he

313
00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:30,760
Speaker 3: hasn't lived up at least to my preseason expectation yet.

314
00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:34,080
Speaker 3: This game would profile as a Trey Benson game where

315
00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:38,080
Speaker 3: Virginia Tech could potentially give Florida State problems. And if

316
00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:41,480
Speaker 3: they get within this number, it's because of this. So far,

317
00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:45,760
Speaker 3: Virginia Tech's pass defense number twelve and success rate, you

318
00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,480
Speaker 3: can beat them down the field. So we'll have to see,

319
00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:52,360
Speaker 3: you know, Travis, how the accuracy is going down the field.

320
00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:57,960
Speaker 3: But the Virginia Tech has a shot to hinder their

321
00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:02,280
Speaker 3: Florida State's passing efficiency and potentially force a few more

322
00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:03,400
Speaker 3: punts than you might think.

323
00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:07,160
Speaker 1: Uh, Perrel, what do you think?

324
00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:12,400
Speaker 2: No, No, trying to make the case.

325
00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:15,560
Speaker 4: I know it's fine, it's fine. I mean, Pitt, what

326
00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:18,880
Speaker 4: happened to you? I don't understand, you know, Chakovic, It's

327
00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:21,320
Speaker 4: not just the only excuse. You just your god off

328
00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:24,320
Speaker 4: a football team. You get drilled by Virginia Tech. Virginia Tech,

329
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:28,040
Speaker 4: as Brent Pryce saying, one to zero. They are undefeated

330
00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:31,080
Speaker 4: in acc play. But here's the problem. Here's the problem,

331
00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:34,760
Speaker 4: Lord of State. And I know this because I know people.

332
00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:38,720
Speaker 4: They're a little bit ticked off. You know that they're

333
00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:41,880
Speaker 4: not ranked high and you know they're fifth. That's great,

334
00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:43,960
Speaker 4: but they should be in the discussion. They believe number

335
00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:45,960
Speaker 4: one to beat LSU. They be clumps and punches, the

336
00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:48,480
Speaker 4: solid football team, not the same clumps in a year's half.

337
00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:53,160
Speaker 4: But they feel they're getting punished for the style points

338
00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:56,280
Speaker 4: of the red bandana game. And guess what they're going

339
00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:59,960
Speaker 4: to do from here on out against crap teams. Style

340
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,360
Speaker 4: points are going to be important. So they're going to

341
00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:04,800
Speaker 4: run this up. They're going to win this game twenty

342
00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:07,080
Speaker 4: five to thirty points. They're going to cover the spread.

343
00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:12,320
Speaker 4: Florida State. You know, they're going to get on track

344
00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:14,440
Speaker 4: at Thorsa. They haven't got on track running the ball yet.

345
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,880
Speaker 4: Once they get on track running the ball and put

346
00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:20,399
Speaker 4: a game together, they put up that many points against LSU.

347
00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:24,159
Speaker 4: We've learned LSU's defense stinks, so you know, that's not

348
00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:29,520
Speaker 4: a surprising number. Looking now, Virginia text things too, so

349
00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:31,840
Speaker 4: they're going to put up, you know, potentially forty five

350
00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:33,399
Speaker 4: to fifty points and cover that number.

351
00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:38,280
Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to Syracuse on the road

352
00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:41,320
Speaker 1: at number fourteen North Carolina. North Carolina is an eight

353
00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:45,040
Speaker 1: point favorite. The total is fifty nine in this game,

354
00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:49,040
Speaker 1: tickets and cash are split. Tickets are on Syracuse, cash

355
00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:53,879
Speaker 1: is on UNC, also favoring the under a little bit

356
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,000
Speaker 1: in terms of the total. Here Thor, how do you

357
00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:59,200
Speaker 1: see this ACC matchup going down?

358
00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I definitely lean Syracuse, but I got a

359
00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,560
Speaker 3: big asterisk on this one. That the reason I haven't

360
00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:10,920
Speaker 3: bought a ticky is because Garrett Trader looking at him

361
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,480
Speaker 3: with the concussion. Uh, there was a bit of a

362
00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:17,280
Speaker 3: scare with that in the last game. Schrader said that

363
00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:19,359
Speaker 3: it you know, him getting hit in the head, it

364
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:23,119
Speaker 3: didn't affect him whatnot. But we're still sort of waiting

365
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:25,800
Speaker 3: for an update on that if that is anything that's

366
00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:29,320
Speaker 3: gonna linger. Certainly there's been no question about his availability

367
00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:33,840
Speaker 3: for this game, but that was a lingering concern coming

368
00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:36,440
Speaker 3: out of the last one. So we're waiting for more

369
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:39,960
Speaker 3: news on on that specific thing. But if Shrader is

370
00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,840
Speaker 3: good to go, I do think that this is too

371
00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:49,200
Speaker 3: many points. My line on this game is, uh, North

372
00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:53,399
Speaker 3: Carolina by five point seven, and we're obviously over the

373
00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:57,479
Speaker 3: key number here, but that is dependent on Garrett Trader

374
00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:59,760
Speaker 3: being healthy. If he's not and they have to go

375
00:18:59,840 --> 00:19:03,159
Speaker 3: to the backup, then yeah, you're probably looking at a

376
00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:04,760
Speaker 3: North Carolina double digit win.

377
00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:06,760
Speaker 2: Syracuse will only be able to run.

378
00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:12,639
Speaker 3: But that you know, getting better North Carolina defense fainting

379
00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:14,840
Speaker 3: by Dan praise there, but it has gotten a little

380
00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:17,320
Speaker 3: bit better. If they only have to go up against

381
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:19,560
Speaker 3: a one handed offense where they know what's coming, it's

382
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,560
Speaker 3: gonna make North Carolina's defense way more viable. Whereas if

383
00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:26,760
Speaker 3: Strader's there, the Syracuse has some of those emerging receivers.

384
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,919
Speaker 3: I thought the Gadson injury might kill them, but it

385
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,240
Speaker 3: hasn't so far because they've had some receivers step up

386
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,960
Speaker 3: and whatnot. But this one is a wait and see

387
00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:36,600
Speaker 3: on Garrett Trader status.

388
00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:39,560
Speaker 1: What do you think Farrel? Do you think UNC is

389
00:19:39,560 --> 00:19:41,600
Speaker 1: pulling this out? Are you waiting on Garrett straight or too?

390
00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:43,480
Speaker 1: Do you not trust their defense? Where are you going?

391
00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:48,480
Speaker 4: I don't trust the defense, honestly, I don't think. You know,

392
00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:53,720
Speaker 4: North Carolina's defense is slightly improved. You know, we haven't

393
00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:57,480
Speaker 4: really seen them play, you know, South Carolina. We thought

394
00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,720
Speaker 4: would be a test in South Carolina really a test.

395
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:03,680
Speaker 4: You know, app State always gives them trouble, at least

396
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:07,160
Speaker 4: a recent history, so you know, they've had some okay opponents,

397
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:10,800
Speaker 4: but nothing great. But I think the offense is ready

398
00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:15,280
Speaker 4: to start, you know, gelling peaking. I think Drake May

399
00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:18,080
Speaker 4: is ready to start putting up some numbers. I don't

400
00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 4: trust Syracuse defense. Syracuse is kind of doing their nose

401
00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:24,359
Speaker 4: dive a little bit early usually, you know, in my

402
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:27,280
Speaker 4: mind last year especially was after six games. I didn't

403
00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 4: like what I saw against Clemson. Trader is a key,

404
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:34,520
Speaker 4: I mean, he's huge Key. This is a situation where

405
00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 4: without him it's like a four or five point difference

406
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 4: in the spread. So I'm not I'm not really trusting Syracuse.

407
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,320
Speaker 4: I'm going over because I think North Carolina's going to

408
00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:50,240
Speaker 4: put up no points. I think Trader, if he plays,

409
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 4: he's going to be able to put up points against

410
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:55,640
Speaker 4: that weak defense. I don't trust Carlos del Rio Wilson

411
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,879
Speaker 4: or whatever his name is now keeps changing h if

412
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,720
Speaker 4: he's the backup. But I'm leaning over right now, and

413
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:03,400
Speaker 4: if I had to pick a side, I would pick

414
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:07,960
Speaker 4: North Carolina because I think, surecy San, they really really

415
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 4: disappointed me. Last week didn't look that good. Clemson's there

416
00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 4: for the taking. They played him close the last couple

417
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:15,639
Speaker 4: of years, and last week just wasn't a good performance.

418
00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:18,800
Speaker 1: Del Rio Wilson sounds like a made up coach in

419
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:22,119
Speaker 1: Madden when you're on like year twenty forty two, so

420
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:24,880
Speaker 1: it sounds like one of those guys. Before we move

421
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:27,480
Speaker 1: on to a couple sec matchups, I gotta ask you, guys,

422
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,080
Speaker 1: have you downloaded the free betting pros app for iOS

423
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:33,680
Speaker 1: and Android yet use Sportsbooks Sink to automatically track your

424
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 1: bets across all major sports books in one spot. Easily

425
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 1: track your bet performance by sport and by bet type,

426
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:44,240
Speaker 1: including game picks, props, and parlays. Get personalized bet recommendations

427
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:47,119
Speaker 1: tailored to your interest, including line alerts. When viewing a

428
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 1: game of interest, simply set a game notification so that

429
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,800
Speaker 1: you are alerted once a line hits a certain number.

430
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:55,880
Speaker 1: At that point, you'll be notified so you can lock

431
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,800
Speaker 1: in your bet at the ideal line. You can set

432
00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:02,000
Speaker 1: the number to be set it by sportsbook. Headed over

433
00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:04,720
Speaker 1: to bettingpros dot com slash apps to start setting your

434
00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,760
Speaker 1: line alerts now, or download the Betting Pros app in

435
00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:11,359
Speaker 1: the iTunes or Google Play Store. Today, let's go to

436
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 1: the sec here. Alabama number eleven at Texas A and M.

437
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,000
Speaker 1: Bama is a two and a half point road favorite.

438
00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:20,679
Speaker 1: Forty six and a half is the total in this game.

439
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 1: Everything is selling Isbama in the over in terms of

440
00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 1: public tickets and money and cash and everything? Is that

441
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:30,560
Speaker 1: where you're at in this game? Thoor, Are you on

442
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:33,359
Speaker 1: Bama in the over? Because the line is low? But

443
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 1: we know A and M plays pretty well. They got

444
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:39,640
Speaker 1: a good home crowd. The original twelfth Man the Seattle

445
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,200
Speaker 1: Seahawks actually have to lease that from them, which a

446
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:46,119
Speaker 1: lot of people don't know. But A and M's a

447
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 1: tough place to play. Bama looked good last week, though,

448
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 1: So where are we standing on Obama at this point

449
00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:54,359
Speaker 1: in this season? They've been a bit of a roller coaster.

450
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:59,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I'm fading Alabama again, and I think I

451
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:01,199
Speaker 3: think Texas A and M going to win this game. Now,

452
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,439
Speaker 3: I did say that about Omess when they played out.

453
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:06,560
Speaker 3: I was right when I called it on Texas upsetting Alabama.

454
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:08,200
Speaker 3: We missed the last one, so I guess this is

455
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:12,119
Speaker 3: the rubber match of me calling against against Alabama. But

456
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:14,399
Speaker 3: A and M does a lot of things that I

457
00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,119
Speaker 3: think are going to give Alabama problems. A and M

458
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 3: has a top ten sp plus defense. They also have

459
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:25,360
Speaker 3: arguably the most improved run defense in the nation. Last year,

460
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 3: anybody could run on Texas A and M. As Ferrell knows,

461
00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 3: a resident recruiting expert, A and M. A couple of

462
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 3: years ago they had the most voted defensive line class,

463
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:37,119
Speaker 3: and the history of recruiting was like, was it Farrell

464
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 3: six of the top nine or something or five of

465
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 3: the top whatever.

466
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:43,840
Speaker 4: I'm not going to say in the history of recruiting,

467
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,480
Speaker 4: because everybody says that because you remember that class was

468
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:47,000
Speaker 4: also the.

469
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:49,200
Speaker 2: Best by the RAN history one position.

470
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:53,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, the garbage crap rankings. Yeah no, No, really good

471
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,439
Speaker 4: defensive line class, absolutely for sure. I just hate that

472
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 4: phrase in the history of recruiting. But yes, Walter Nolan,

473
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,119
Speaker 4: those guys, I hear what you're saying.

474
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:06,440
Speaker 2: So the you know, last year, those kids were all, you.

475
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:07,880
Speaker 3: Know, young, I mean, they was just out of high

476
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:10,240
Speaker 3: school and you know, again you could push them around.

477
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 2: You can't do that anymore.

478
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 3: And like I said, top ten overall, but also now

479
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 3: a really good run defense to go with what was

480
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,119
Speaker 3: already a really good pass defense. I believe A and

481
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,919
Speaker 3: M finished number one just by the rote numbers in

482
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:25,879
Speaker 3: pass defense last year, even though like I said, the

483
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 3: run defense was at travesty and the offense has has

484
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:33,879
Speaker 3: jumped way up as well. Uh, that's largely attributable to

485
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 3: Bobby Petrino. But also it was the same sort of

486
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:38,720
Speaker 3: deal on their offense, whereas a bunch of these value

487
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 3: would recruits and then a Chan as well. But a

488
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,480
Speaker 3: Chan got hurt last season on Nyah Smith got you know,

489
00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 3: got hurt whatever, So I mean then you know, you

490
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 3: saw the offensive struggles, but A and M their their

491
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 3: offense have gotten better. With Milroe running the offense for Alabama,

492
00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:59,919
Speaker 3: Alabama becomes this sort of throwback the Alabama team. They

493
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,879
Speaker 3: they have I think the number nine SB plus defense,

494
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:07,439
Speaker 3: but the passing offense it's not great, right, I mean, like,

495
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,600
Speaker 3: in terms of success rate, I believe Alabama ranks in

496
00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 3: the eighties in the country. They have a little bit

497
00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:16,080
Speaker 3: of explosion because Milroe can push it down the field,

498
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,080
Speaker 3: but you're not afraid of Bama throwing the ball. And

499
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:22,639
Speaker 3: because of this, they have toggled the temple way back.

500
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 2: Alabama.

501
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 3: I believe they're in the eighties as well in adjusted

502
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,240
Speaker 3: temple in the country. They're also top ten in the

503
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 3: nation in standard down run rate. So Alabama's just run, run, run,

504
00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,720
Speaker 3: When they're not handing it off, it's to Milrow. But

505
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:38,119
Speaker 3: again the problem here is A and M's run defense

506
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:41,960
Speaker 3: have gotten really good, and Alabama certainly is not gonna

507
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,439
Speaker 3: be able to throw on Texas A and M. So

508
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,359
Speaker 3: you know, all these different things together, I.

509
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:47,919
Speaker 2: Like A and M.

510
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:51,640
Speaker 3: Last point I'll make is Max Johns. You know, Connor Weigman. Obviously,

511
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,960
Speaker 3: the A and M started. He's out for this season.

512
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:56,880
Speaker 3: I said on last week's show, I didn't think Max

513
00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 3: Johnson was a big downgrade from him. Max Johnson play

514
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 3: pretty well in the Arkansas game. In the limited sample

515
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 3: that we have so far, Max s Johnson this season

516
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:08,840
Speaker 3: six to one td I and t rate, seven point

517
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 3: eight adjusted air yards in fifty nine attempts. Weakman in

518
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:16,119
Speaker 3: those stats eight two td I and t rate and

519
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 3: eight point four over one hundred and nineteen attempts. Johnson

520
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,400
Speaker 3: was moving around pretty decent too, outside of the one

521
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:23,480
Speaker 3: where he got he got smoked when he was running

522
00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 3: by the Arkansas guy and then he fumbled. But a

523
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 3: very good game outside of that in A and M

524
00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 3: obviously comfortably covered in that one.

525
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,200
Speaker 2: I think A and mbats Alabama on Saturday.

526
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,399
Speaker 1: Ferrell, do you think that as well? I know, you know,

527
00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:37,240
Speaker 1: just like Thorn mentioned, Max Johnson one of the better

528
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 1: replacement qbs in the country. So Texas A and M

529
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 1: isn't necessarily hurting too bad as as much as other

530
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,480
Speaker 1: teams would if they're starting QB had gone down, I

531
00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:49,560
Speaker 1: guess is what I should say here. So are you

532
00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:51,440
Speaker 1: buying on the aggies or do you think the tide

533
00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 1: rolls here.

534
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,679
Speaker 4: I think it's gonna be under the side's tough. I mean,

535
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:57,200
Speaker 4: Alabam would be in a two and a half point

536
00:26:57,240 --> 00:27:02,320
Speaker 4: favorite on the road. Kyle Field twelve man. I don't

537
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:04,960
Speaker 4: trust Jimbo. I don't trust this A and M team yet.

538
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:08,000
Speaker 4: You know, I thought Arkansas would cover last week. That

539
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:11,760
Speaker 4: didn't work out. You know, Johnson's a solid quarterback. Evan

540
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:14,480
Speaker 4: Stewart is a guy that if they don't start targeting

541
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:17,159
Speaker 4: him more, I don't know what I'm gonna do. He

542
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:20,440
Speaker 4: should be Luther Bird. That's what he should be. He's

543
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 4: so talented, he's unbelievably unstoppable. He have one good game

544
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:28,159
Speaker 4: this year against Miami where he caught eleven for one

545
00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:31,160
Speaker 4: forty two. I mean he had the New Mexico game

546
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 4: that doesn't really count last week two for fifty, but

547
00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:39,600
Speaker 4: one of the catches was a professional NFL football catch

548
00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:42,000
Speaker 4: on the sideline. It was amazing. I don't know why

549
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:44,600
Speaker 4: they're not targeting anymore. And Johnson's one of those guys

550
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 4: who tends to lock on. If we remember his LSU days,

551
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:50,159
Speaker 4: he would lock on the best receiver and feed him,

552
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:51,960
Speaker 4: feed him, feed him. And he hasn't done that. Yet

553
00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:56,879
Speaker 4: that being said, you know, I don't trust either offense

554
00:27:57,560 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 4: Texas A and M's good against the run. What does

555
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 4: Milroe do he runs? You know, A and M's offense

556
00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 4: isn't opened up enough. I don't think they're you know,

557
00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 4: throwing the ball downfield as much. You know, the secondary

558
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 4: of Alabama is pretty solid, so I think this is

559
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:15,199
Speaker 4: gonna be a lower scoring game. I think, you know,

560
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 4: forty six and a half isn't a high number by

561
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,399
Speaker 4: any stretch of the imagination. But I see this like

562
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,639
Speaker 4: at twenty to seventeen. I don't know who's gonna win though,

563
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:23,760
Speaker 4: so I'm not taking the side.

564
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,720
Speaker 1: Let's stick in the SEC and go ranked on ranked

565
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:31,320
Speaker 1: matchup here number twenty Kentucky at number one Georgia. Georgia

566
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,399
Speaker 1: is a fourteen point home favorite. Forty eight and a

567
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 1: half is total here. Cash and tickets so far have

568
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 1: been on Kentucky. They look good last week, tickets on

569
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:44,760
Speaker 1: the under, cash on the over here, So a little

570
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 1: bit split in terms of the total thwar. But I

571
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,160
Speaker 1: don't know, you know, Georgia likes to sleepwalk through that

572
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 1: first half, and they absolutely cannot do that against Kentucky.

573
00:28:55,520 --> 00:28:58,160
Speaker 1: I don't know that Kentucky is as good as people

574
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 1: are making them out to be, but they are not

575
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 1: a team that you can sleep on at all whatsoever.

576
00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 1: So how do you see this game playing out? And

577
00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:07,720
Speaker 1: do you think Kentucky can pull it off?

578
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:11,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, we made some good money with Kentucky last week

579
00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 3: against Florida. The line went against I was I was

580
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,000
Speaker 3: confused by the lion. It was three at the beginning

581
00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:17,920
Speaker 3: of the week and went down to one. I was like,

582
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:20,960
Speaker 3: who's betting on Florida in this spot? And then Kentucky

583
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,640
Speaker 3: just pistol weft them for sixty minutes.

584
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 4: You know what they didn't do though, thor like they

585
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:28,880
Speaker 4: we thought they were going to beat him with the pass. Yeah,

586
00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 4: you know, because Florida is actually Florida. Florida was good

587
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 4: against the run all season long, and then Ray Davis

588
00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,360
Speaker 4: comes along and just has the career.

589
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 1: Game of the Great Blue Wall as he talked about it.

590
00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 4: So you know, yeah, crops kind of evened out. I

591
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 4: was big on Kentucky up and you know, on Kentucky

592
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:48,440
Speaker 4: all season one. The props kind of even that out

593
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 4: because I thought that would be more of a passing game.

594
00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 4: But you know, back to your point, Yeah, Kentucky won

595
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:54,960
Speaker 4: us some money last week.

596
00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:59,480
Speaker 2: They definitely did this week. I think I'm gonna stay

597
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 2: away from an side.

598
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:02,240
Speaker 3: If I had to lean one way, it would be

599
00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:06,120
Speaker 3: Kentucky based on what we've seen. And with Georgia it's like,

600
00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:08,960
Speaker 3: you know, every week we talk about the sleepwalking thing.

601
00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:13,560
Speaker 3: I'm starting to wonder, is this team just not as

602
00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 3: good as the last two? Like I'm not really going

603
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:19,240
Speaker 3: out on a limb, but it's like, at what point

604
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:22,479
Speaker 3: is it? Like you know, like it's we we have

605
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 3: to wake up to what we're seeing there. They're down

606
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:27,520
Speaker 3: a little bit, and I do think, you know, Kentucky

607
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:29,400
Speaker 3: could give them a scare here, but that's not my

608
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 3: favorite bet of this game. And like I said, I

609
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:35,720
Speaker 3: might just stay away from the side. The one I

610
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 3: really like is the under. I bought a ticket on

611
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,840
Speaker 3: that on Sunday. I think I think it's come down

612
00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,400
Speaker 3: from from the last time I seen it. But both

613
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:50,240
Speaker 3: these teams play good defense. Both the offenses are run

614
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 3: slow as molasses tempo. You know, for Kentucky's part, they're

615
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:57,640
Speaker 3: one hundred and thirtieth and adjusted tempo. Georgia does they

616
00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:00,600
Speaker 3: They've never moved quick during the Kirby smart era. So

617
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:03,520
Speaker 3: I think it's more like the struggle thing and the

618
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 3: you know run play clock runs down to five. Now

619
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:10,120
Speaker 3: we snap it again and sort of that thing, and

620
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:12,760
Speaker 3: then the back and forth we're trading punts and feeling

621
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:15,200
Speaker 3: each other out and whatnot. I felt like the number

622
00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 3: drop too high. My systems total on that one was

623
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 3: forty one flat and it opened year fifty forty eight

624
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 3: and a half the last time I seen it.

625
00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 2: But I'm on the under. I really like the under

626
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 2: in this game.

627
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 1: And Farrell, are you on the under as well here?

628
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 1: Or are you taking they too?

629
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 4: Like crops more, you know, texting them games forty six

630
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 4: and a half them on the under there. This game's

631
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:45,240
Speaker 4: even more of a you know, knuckle punch to the

632
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 4: face type of to as Thorman's just low moving offenses,

633
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 4: not a lot of dynamic playmakers, conservative you know play calling,

634
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 4: want of established the run, you know. So I'm on

635
00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:01,240
Speaker 4: the under. I think if I had to pick a side,

636
00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 4: it would be Kentucky. You know, I think fourteen's a

637
00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 4: little much. This Georgia team. Yeah, it's definitely not what

638
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 4: we saw two years ago. You know, Defensively, they don't

639
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:12,960
Speaker 4: have you know they've got the dudes the four and

640
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 4: five sevent they don't have the same ability up front.

641
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 4: I mean it just you know, so I think Ray

642
00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 4: Davis can actually run the football fairly effectively here. They

643
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 4: don't have the freaky pass rushers you know that can

644
00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:31,320
Speaker 4: come in the hybrid guys. They've got some, but nothing

645
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:33,880
Speaker 4: to the to the level of you know, Nolan Smith

646
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:37,719
Speaker 4: and what he could do when he was healthy and offensively.

647
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 4: Brock Bauers veiled their butts out. I mean, just bail

648
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:46,200
Speaker 4: them out, and that's okay, but you know you're going

649
00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:48,560
Speaker 4: to bracket him more. You know, you're gonna watch that

650
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 4: film and sovereign. It's not that Auburn gave him those receptions,

651
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,160
Speaker 4: but he's going to be bracketed much more in this game.

652
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:55,120
Speaker 1: You know, the.

653
00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 4: Defensive coaches at Kentucky very smart. It's a good defense.

654
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 4: They're not going to be beaten that way. So I

655
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:03,960
Speaker 4: think you know they're going to cover the fourteen. But

656
00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 4: take the under. This is going to be, you know,

657
00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:10,520
Speaker 4: a smash mouth kind of ugly sec game. You know,

658
00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:12,440
Speaker 4: it could end up being twenty to fourteen.

659
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to number ten. Notre Dame

660
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,080
Speaker 1: on the road. At now ranked number twenty five, Louisville

661
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,760
Speaker 1: Notre Dame is a six and a half point road favorite.

662
00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:25,000
Speaker 1: The total is fifty four and a half heavy cash

663
00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:28,320
Speaker 1: on the under, heavy cash on Notre Dame as well.

664
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 1: Or is that how you see this game going? Notre

665
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 1: Dame in the under?

666
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:33,280
Speaker 2: Yeah?

667
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:35,760
Speaker 3: I like Notre Dame. Yeah, and I guess I would

668
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 3: probably lean the under that one. Not as strong. I'm

669
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:39,920
Speaker 3: not going to play the total in this one, but

670
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 3: my my system sided line on it is Notre Dame

671
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 3: eight point four, so we're above, you know, in this

672
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 3: line being beneath the touchdown. I think that's a smash

673
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:55,160
Speaker 3: for sure. You look at Notre Dame like offensively and defensively,

674
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:58,760
Speaker 3: run and pass, all the metrics, efficiency and explosion. They're

675
00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 3: top thirty in every single one, their top fifteen and

676
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:04,640
Speaker 3: multiple ones, you know, top twenty five and a couple

677
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 3: of the other ones whatnot. I just don't I don't

678
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:10,360
Speaker 3: love this matchup for I've seen a lot of Louisville

679
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:12,239
Speaker 3: this year because I was bullished on him coming into

680
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:14,480
Speaker 3: the year. They played some of these Friday night games

681
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:18,200
Speaker 3: and whatnot. They're just not the sum of their parts yet,

682
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 3: and that makes sense because it's the first month of

683
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 3: the Jeff brom era. But like, I like their running

684
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 3: back that Jordan Kidd, you know, like he gives them

685
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:27,760
Speaker 3: a little bit of an explosive element.

686
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:31,720
Speaker 2: I like Plumber enough. I certainly like Thrash as top receiver.

687
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:35,160
Speaker 1: But couldn't they score an NCTOR exactly?

688
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:35,800
Speaker 2: Exactly?

689
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:40,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, And the NC State team stinks so bad by

690
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:43,240
Speaker 3: the way that they bench the veteran court Brennan Armstrong,

691
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:46,280
Speaker 3: who came over there and reunited with Robert and I.

692
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 3: They were forced to bench him after that game. And

693
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:50,879
Speaker 3: Louisville only beat that team by a field goal.

694
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,960
Speaker 1: And this was up pretty mad about that one. I thought,

695
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:56,759
Speaker 1: yea sure was going to beat them up.

696
00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 2: And one last word on that game.

697
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:02,800
Speaker 3: The the biggest bugaboo with this Louisville team that we've seen,

698
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:07,080
Speaker 3: it's allowing the explosive plays over the top defensively. That

699
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,880
Speaker 3: was a bugaboo that NC State categorically is not equipped

700
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 3: to take advantage of, particularly when Brennan Armstrong is quarterbacking

701
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:16,959
Speaker 3: because he's a noodle arm who doesn't see the field

702
00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 3: very well either. But Robert and I system, it's the

703
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:22,799
Speaker 3: quick getting passing, you know, system whatnot. It always has

704
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 3: been Notre Dame. I mentioned before they're not only you know,

705
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:29,960
Speaker 3: way up there in terms of the passing success rate,

706
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:33,319
Speaker 3: the passing efficiency, they also are in terms of explosion.

707
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:35,560
Speaker 3: And you don't think typically think about them like that

708
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 3: because they're still running at the snails pace on offense.

709
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 3: But I mean, very very good. Sam Hartman's gonna be

710
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:45,880
Speaker 3: able to take aim downfield here. I think this is

711
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:47,839
Speaker 3: a big game for Sam Hartman. I think he goes

712
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,399
Speaker 3: ballistic in this one, and I think Notre Dame wins

713
00:35:50,400 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 3: by double digits.

714
00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:54,319
Speaker 1: And Farrell, are you on the Notre Dame side here

715
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,879
Speaker 1: as well? Are you disappointed Louisville or do you think

716
00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:58,399
Speaker 1: that maybe they can pull this one off.

717
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:01,560
Speaker 4: I like, I think he's a good coach. I think

718
00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:03,279
Speaker 4: they're five and ZH because of him. I don't think

719
00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:07,120
Speaker 4: they'll be five and oh Sadurfield is still there. I

720
00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:09,279
Speaker 4: don't like Plumber. I don't think he's very good. He

721
00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:13,560
Speaker 4: makes some just absolutely head scratching decisions and doesn't see

722
00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:15,799
Speaker 4: the field that well, and his numbers are you know,

723
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:20,480
Speaker 4: extremely inflated by one game against a horrible Boston College defense,

724
00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:24,200
Speaker 4: you know where he completed eighty six percent of his

725
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:27,120
Speaker 4: passes through for five touchdownsital picks. But other than that,

726
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 4: I think he's got more interceptions and touchdowns his completion percentage.

727
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 4: If you take away the Boston College game and the

728
00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:36,399
Speaker 4: Murray State game, which is by the way through two

729
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:40,280
Speaker 4: picks in that game, he's about a fifty four percent passer.

730
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:44,160
Speaker 4: Nothing great. They have a solid running back, they got

731
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,360
Speaker 4: rash at wide receiver. Their offense is capable, but I

732
00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:49,320
Speaker 4: don't think they're going to be able to stop them defensively,

733
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:52,879
Speaker 4: especially up front. I mean their secondary. To me, they

734
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 4: got some guys back there, but they don't have the front.

735
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:58,839
Speaker 4: Estimate is going to you know, establish the run. That's

736
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 4: going to open things up for Hartman. They're going to

737
00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 4: be out physical. This is not a good matchup for them. Whatsoever.

738
00:37:04,560 --> 00:37:07,120
Speaker 4: You got to give me Notre Dame here, and I'm

739
00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:08,960
Speaker 4: big on the side. I think they're going to win

740
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 4: by ten to fourteen points.

741
00:37:10,680 --> 00:37:12,840
Speaker 3: I mentioned when we were talking about the Maryland O

742
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:15,760
Speaker 3: House State game, Maryland strength to schedule. At this point,

743
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:18,520
Speaker 3: we got something similar going on with Louisville one hundred

744
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 3: and seventeenth Strength to schedule to this point. Opponents so

745
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:25,840
Speaker 3: far Georgia Tech, Murray State, Indiana, Boston College.

746
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:27,600
Speaker 2: Pharrell is talking about that one.

747
00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:29,879
Speaker 3: And then NC State last Friday night when NC State

748
00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:32,800
Speaker 3: had to bench the quarterback who has a long standing

749
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:34,719
Speaker 3: relationship with their offensive coordinator.

750
00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 2: But they can't play them anymore.

751
00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:38,760
Speaker 3: We're going to learn a lot about Louisville this weekend,

752
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:40,279
Speaker 3: but I don't think we're going to learn good stuff

753
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:40,799
Speaker 3: about them.

754
00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:43,200
Speaker 4: Here's the thing too, they'd be Georgia Tech by five.

755
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 4: Remember they had to come back in that game. Yeah,

756
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:49,160
Speaker 4: they didn't cover that ticked me off in the end

757
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:54,040
Speaker 4: of by seven, you know, in Umpty State by three.

758
00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:59,719
Speaker 4: Just those are you know, three bad football teams, categorically

759
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:03,400
Speaker 4: a football teams. I mean, Georgia Texas lost to I

760
00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:05,000
Speaker 4: don't even want to say who they lost too, because

761
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:06,799
Speaker 4: Georgia Tech fans might be watching, but they.

762
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 2: Just lost one of the worst teams back in the building.

763
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:10,919
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah.

764
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,440
Speaker 4: And then you know, Indiana is not a good football

765
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:15,320
Speaker 4: team at all and they barely beat them. And z

766
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:18,440
Speaker 4: State's horrible, as we talked about. You know, they just

767
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 4: they're just not there. Notre Dame is going to take

768
00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:24,279
Speaker 4: this game and Notre Dame again. Like I said last week,

769
00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:26,480
Speaker 4: I faded Duke last week. It worked out for me.

770
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:31,160
Speaker 4: They are really really good against the ACC. Notre Dame

771
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:34,080
Speaker 4: is really really good. And that's not just beating up

772
00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:37,360
Speaker 4: on CRAFT teams. It's beating up a ranked teams or

773
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:41,279
Speaker 4: beating ranked teams like Duke last week. Louisville's ranked. They're

774
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:44,839
Speaker 4: twenty fifth. You know Clemson in the past. Notre Dame

775
00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:48,120
Speaker 4: beats the ACC like a drum. So they're gonna They're

776
00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:49,400
Speaker 4: gonna win this game pretty easily.

777
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:52,120
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the Pac twelve for the

778
00:38:52,200 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 1: last game we'll talk about tonight. Arizona at number nine

779
00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:59,800
Speaker 1: usc USC is a twenty one and a half point favorite.

780
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:04,120
Speaker 1: Seventy one and a half is the total here. Tickets

781
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:07,919
Speaker 1: are on USC, but cash is on the Wildcats here

782
00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:13,000
Speaker 1: thor total is high. But I just think until further notice,

783
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,720
Speaker 1: you just take the over on a USC game because

784
00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:19,080
Speaker 1: they score on everyone and cannot stop anyone. So how

785
00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 1: do you see this one going?

786
00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:21,359
Speaker 4: Well?

787
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:24,759
Speaker 3: Arizona got pretty good news here recently. It looks like

788
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:27,840
Speaker 3: DeLaura is coming back for this one, and that's especially

789
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:29,160
Speaker 3: good news. I mean, not only do you have to

790
00:39:29,239 --> 00:39:31,920
Speaker 3: keep up in the shootout and whatnot. In Arizona's passing

791
00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:33,919
Speaker 3: offense when Dolora is out there is very good because

792
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 3: they have the two stud receivers as well, but also

793
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:41,560
Speaker 3: the freshman Noah Fafita or whatever.

794
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:43,120
Speaker 2: I'm blanket on the last name.

795
00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 3: But anyhow, he was decent last week, a little bit

796
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 3: better than I thought he was gonna be just throwing

797
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:48,280
Speaker 3: to the walls whatever.

798
00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:50,400
Speaker 2: But he got a little banged up in that game.

799
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,520
Speaker 3: But it doesn't appear it's gonna matter because DeLaura back

800
00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:54,240
Speaker 3: for this one.

801
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:54,800
Speaker 2: Delora.

802
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,480
Speaker 3: I mean that allows Arizona to, like you mentioned and

803
00:39:57,560 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 3: putting up the points right, like I mean, Arizona's gonna

804
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 3: throw throw throw, Especially if Michael Wiley doesn't play in

805
00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 3: this game. I think his status is more up in

806
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:07,920
Speaker 3: the air Arizona's running back. But with the Laura, you

807
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:11,360
Speaker 3: have the higher powered passing offense and you can drop

808
00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 3: parallels there between. You were setting this up, Bogman, between

809
00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:19,400
Speaker 3: this game and last week's game USC Colorado. I you know,

810
00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:21,840
Speaker 3: I had the Colorado plus twenty four and a half ticket,

811
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 3: and was it late first quarter? It was already us.

812
00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:27,839
Speaker 3: He had the twenty one point lead, yeah, and you're like,

813
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:32,200
Speaker 3: oh boy, you know, like you know, But then USC defense,

814
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 3: like you're mentioning, they just they can't tackle.

815
00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 1: To the Mancoln Riley Special. It happened in Oklahoma.

816
00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:39,240
Speaker 2: Too, Lincoln Riley Special.

817
00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:41,560
Speaker 3: And now they have a couple guys like the bar

818
00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:44,120
Speaker 3: Alexander kid. They have a couple of guys on that

819
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:45,919
Speaker 3: defense where it's like that guy is going to play

820
00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 3: in the NFL for sure, But there's too many spots

821
00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:53,880
Speaker 3: where it's either inexperience or simply lack of talent. Arizona,

822
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:56,080
Speaker 3: the receivers, they are going to be able to do stuff.

823
00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:58,360
Speaker 3: I would be concerned if I laid this many points

824
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 3: with us that the same thing is going to happen

825
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:01,560
Speaker 3: and the Arizona's just going to come in through the

826
00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:04,480
Speaker 3: back door later on or all. I suppose actually Colorado

827
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,120
Speaker 3: was technically covering that whole game. I think I'm not

828
00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:09,080
Speaker 3: sure if the lead ever got higher than that from USC,

829
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 3: but that's a concern. I would lean Arizona in this game,

830
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:13,759
Speaker 3: knowing that the Laura is going to.

831
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:17,160
Speaker 1: Be back fairal same spot. I mean, are you going

832
00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:18,520
Speaker 1: in Arizona.

833
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:21,360
Speaker 4: I'm going over. I took USC last week they were

834
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:23,480
Speaker 4: up twenty one at that half, and I was like

835
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:27,320
Speaker 4: ready to you know, just this is going to be ugly.

836
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:29,040
Speaker 4: This is going to be you know, at the very

837
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:32,720
Speaker 4: least forty two to six or you know, Oregon level ugly.

838
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:34,719
Speaker 4: But then I thought, you know, we got Caleer Williams here,

839
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:38,440
Speaker 4: are going to be fifty five to seventeen ten whatever,

840
00:41:39,800 --> 00:41:43,440
Speaker 4: And then they just that defense is just awful. Alex

841
00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:47,560
Speaker 4: Grinch has something on Lincoln Riley something this year. There's

842
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 4: some sort of pictures out there that he's keeping. There's

843
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:56,319
Speaker 4: some blackmail, you know, you remember, you remember, and I

844
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 4: like this guy, so I don't want to really call

845
00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:00,160
Speaker 4: him up, but I guess nobody really watches this. So

846
00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:04,600
Speaker 4: you remember Al Golden Fanbrio, You remember Al Goldon and

847
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:09,080
Speaker 4: Marcia Danafrio, the defensive coordinator from Miami. And everybody's like, why, why,

848
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:10,840
Speaker 4: why I want to fire him? Why I want to

849
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:12,719
Speaker 4: get rid of him? And Al Golden went down with

850
00:42:12,760 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 4: the ship with the Oprio and they're both Jersey guys,

851
00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:17,960
Speaker 4: they both run the same staff at UVA. They had

852
00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:20,719
Speaker 4: a long standing coaching relationship and Golden was never going

853
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:23,120
Speaker 4: to get rid of him, and he let an Ochrio

854
00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:25,839
Speaker 4: anchor him down, not that that was the reason. I mean,

855
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:29,320
Speaker 4: Al Golden was a disaster in Miami for many different reasons.

856
00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:32,359
Speaker 4: It's the same thing here. It's just inexplicable. He's never

857
00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:34,480
Speaker 4: gonna win. He's never going to make the playoff. With

858
00:42:34,560 --> 00:42:37,160
Speaker 4: all experiences a defensive coordinator, he was able to do

859
00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:39,320
Speaker 4: that at Oklahoma, He's not gonna do it a UFC,

860
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:42,200
Speaker 4: even with one of the best quarterbacks would have ever

861
00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 4: seen in college football history, because honestly, they get worse.

862
00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:51,800
Speaker 4: They're getting worse. This was embarrassing, and so I'm taking

863
00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:54,480
Speaker 4: the over because what's gonna happen here is Caleb Williams.

864
00:42:54,520 --> 00:42:56,840
Speaker 4: He's going to march out there. He's gonna throw more touchdowns,

865
00:42:56,880 --> 00:42:58,759
Speaker 4: no picks. He's going to be Caleb Williams. They're going

866
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:01,680
Speaker 4: to go up by twenty to twenty five points, and

867
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:07,360
Speaker 4: then for some inexplicable reason, USC is going to stop tackling.

868
00:43:07,640 --> 00:43:11,200
Speaker 4: They're going to play soft. They're gonna let everything be

869
00:43:11,280 --> 00:43:13,600
Speaker 4: completed in front of them. Then they're going to inch

870
00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:15,880
Speaker 4: up let things be completed over there. It's going to

871
00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:20,000
Speaker 4: be exact replicave of Colorado. So take the over because

872
00:43:20,040 --> 00:43:22,360
Speaker 4: it's going to be probably a ten point USC victory

873
00:43:22,400 --> 00:43:23,560
Speaker 4: with a lot of points.

874
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:26,800
Speaker 3: I have to jump in with my for this episode.

875
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:30,800
Speaker 3: What's becoming a theme, my strength to schedule, caveat USC

876
00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:32,680
Speaker 3: strength to schedule to this point.

877
00:43:32,760 --> 00:43:33,920
Speaker 2: One hundred and twenty.

878
00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:38,360
Speaker 3: Fourth and they played absolutely nobody San Jose State, Nevada, Stanford,

879
00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:40,360
Speaker 3: Arizona State, and Colorado.

880
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:43,240
Speaker 2: Colorado by far the best team that USC has played

881
00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:43,600
Speaker 2: so far.

882
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:47,200
Speaker 3: Arizona's played you know, I mean not a murderer's role,

883
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:49,280
Speaker 3: but you know, he played Washington last week.

884
00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:52,799
Speaker 2: So this is one where I think we maybe we

885
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:55,839
Speaker 2: learn a little bit more about USC, but we're really going.

886
00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:59,360
Speaker 3: To learn more about USC next week when they travel

887
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:03,200
Speaker 3: to South and that is another data point to potentially

888
00:44:03,239 --> 00:44:07,480
Speaker 3: consider Arizona here. This is a classic look ahead spot

889
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:11,480
Speaker 3: for USC. I would be on Arizona, all right.

890
00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:14,640
Speaker 1: So any more games that we didn't hit thor that

891
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:18,759
Speaker 1: you are really in on, that you really like that

892
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:20,280
Speaker 1: we want to let the people know about.

893
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:25,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's do a Thursday one. There's an underdog on

894
00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:30,160
Speaker 3: Thursday that I am irrationally confident is going to upset

895
00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:34,400
Speaker 3: the favorite. And the ironic thing is last Thursday I

896
00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:38,439
Speaker 3: was on the favorite, laying the points, very similar point

897
00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:41,759
Speaker 3: spread and easily won that one. I'm talking about Western Kentucky.

898
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:44,000
Speaker 3: They were in five and a half six point favorite

899
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:47,080
Speaker 3: over Middle Tennessee. I loved Western Kentucky in that game.

900
00:44:47,239 --> 00:44:51,000
Speaker 3: They blew out Middle Tennessee. This week, Western Kentucky a

901
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:54,160
Speaker 3: six six and a half point favorite over Louisiana Tech

902
00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:57,120
Speaker 3: on the road, depending on the book that you're looking at.

903
00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:01,160
Speaker 2: But here's the problem. The reason that you were.

904
00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:04,880
Speaker 3: On Western Kentucky last week against Middle is because Middle

905
00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:08,160
Speaker 3: has a really good front seven. They shut down the run.

906
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:12,720
Speaker 3: Middle's secondary is awful, so it was a really good

907
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 3: matchup for Western Kentucky. This one is the total opposite.

908
00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:21,360
Speaker 3: Louisiana Tech stinks against the run. They're they're absolutely horrid

909
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 3: against the run, but they are awesome against the pass.

910
00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:27,799
Speaker 3: They have one of the G five's best secondaries. In fact,

911
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 3: I believe they have two corners ranked in the PFF

912
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:34,440
Speaker 3: Top ten grading for the coverage grades and whatnot. One

913
00:45:34,480 --> 00:45:37,800
Speaker 3: of the kids is a nickel the slot guy. Obviously,

914
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:40,319
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky throws into the slot quite a bit. But

915
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:44,640
Speaker 3: just the overall metrics here looking at the Louisiana Tech,

916
00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 3: so the Bulldogs number eight in the nation and defensive

917
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:52,319
Speaker 3: passing success rate on defense number thirteen and yards per

918
00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:54,520
Speaker 3: dropback allowed number.

919
00:45:54,280 --> 00:45:55,479
Speaker 2: Two in the nation.

920
00:45:55,680 --> 00:45:59,920
Speaker 3: In complete completion percentage allowed. Louisiana Tech. That's what Western

921
00:46:00,040 --> 00:46:02,640
Speaker 3: Kentucky does. That's all that they do. They do not

922
00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:05,080
Speaker 3: have the running thing to go to in this game.

923
00:46:05,120 --> 00:46:08,880
Speaker 3: You would almost be like, well, let's try Marcus Marquis

924
00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:10,960
Speaker 3: step a little bit more or some of the but

925
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:11,839
Speaker 3: that's not what they do.

926
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:14,319
Speaker 2: They throw, throw, throw, that's what they're gonna do.

927
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:16,960
Speaker 3: You have to go right into the pronounced strength of

928
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:18,920
Speaker 3: Louisiana Tech and like I mentioned, one of the G

929
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:20,879
Speaker 3: five's best pass defenses, and.

930
00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:23,279
Speaker 2: Then you flip the field Louisiana Tech.

931
00:46:23,440 --> 00:46:26,600
Speaker 3: The quarterback play there, they still haven't really figured it

932
00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 3: out that the passing attack you'd like to see a

933
00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:30,319
Speaker 3: little bit more, but they have been able to run

934
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:32,399
Speaker 3: the ball effectively this year because they got a couple

935
00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:35,640
Speaker 3: good running backs back there. Western Kentucky's run defense is

936
00:46:35,680 --> 00:46:40,120
Speaker 3: an abomination. This is an awesome matchup for Louisiana Tech,

937
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:42,240
Speaker 3: and it's in this spot where I don't think Western

938
00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:45,440
Speaker 3: Kentucky is gonna take them as seriously as they probably should.

939
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:47,560
Speaker 3: You're getting six to six and a half points if

940
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:49,680
Speaker 3: you want it with Louisiana Tech, certainly I'm doing that.

941
00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:52,359
Speaker 3: I also think Louisiana Tech wins this one out right,

942
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:54,520
Speaker 3: so I'm on the money line as well.

943
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:57,480
Speaker 1: Beryl, what games do you like this week that you

944
00:46:57,520 --> 00:46:58,719
Speaker 1: want to let the people know about?

945
00:46:58,760 --> 00:46:58,920
Speaker 2: Here?

946
00:47:00,440 --> 00:47:02,440
Speaker 4: I got one and people are going to be confused

947
00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:04,480
Speaker 4: by this a little bit because they just got drilled

948
00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:07,840
Speaker 4: by Kentucky and everybody wants Billy Napier fired. But the

949
00:47:07,920 --> 00:47:12,759
Speaker 4: revenge game against Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt is getting eighteen and a

950
00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:15,000
Speaker 4: half points, I believe early, which sounds like a lot.

951
00:47:15,080 --> 00:47:19,080
Speaker 4: But Vanderbilt is really really bad against the run second

952
00:47:19,160 --> 00:47:23,080
Speaker 4: to last, you know, to the infamous LSI Tigers in

953
00:47:23,480 --> 00:47:27,799
Speaker 4: rush defense, overall defense really bad as well. You know,

954
00:47:27,840 --> 00:47:30,000
Speaker 4: Billy Napier will not change the offense. He came out

955
00:47:30,040 --> 00:47:31,799
Speaker 4: and said he's not changed the offense. They're gonna run.

956
00:47:31,920 --> 00:47:34,600
Speaker 4: They gonna be heavy run. They're gonna wear Vanderbilt down.

957
00:47:34,840 --> 00:47:38,640
Speaker 4: And don't forget it's a revenge game, and you know Sunbelt,

958
00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:40,640
Speaker 4: Billy needs a big win. He needs to win by

959
00:47:40,680 --> 00:47:42,960
Speaker 4: a lot of points. I think they're gonna run it

960
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:45,759
Speaker 4: up on Vandy. So you know, lay the eighteen and

961
00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:48,759
Speaker 4: a half, which sounds ridiculous because of course two weeks ago,

962
00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:51,319
Speaker 4: three weeks ago, you know, he.

963
00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:51,799
Speaker 1: Was our guy.

964
00:47:51,840 --> 00:47:54,280
Speaker 4: Billy Naprier was our guy. We Tennessee. Then they struggle

965
00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:56,600
Speaker 4: against Charlotte, they lose to Kentucky. Now we want him fired.

966
00:47:56,640 --> 00:47:58,480
Speaker 4: He's horrible. What's his buyout? Let's get rid of him,

967
00:47:58,520 --> 00:48:03,520
Speaker 4: just like we did it. It must Maclwayne Mullen. You

968
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:06,319
Speaker 4: know he's gonna this is gonna be a big win

969
00:48:06,360 --> 00:48:07,879
Speaker 4: for Florida. They're going to come back, and then people

970
00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:10,640
Speaker 4: are gonna say, oh, maybe the offense works. The typical

971
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:14,440
Speaker 4: Florida fans who are just completely moronic and overreacting in

972
00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:16,120
Speaker 4: every way, shape or form. They're at least going to

973
00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:17,960
Speaker 4: be happy for one week. They're going to win this game,

974
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:19,480
Speaker 4: probably by three touchdowns.

975
00:48:20,040 --> 00:48:23,799
Speaker 1: All right, Well, that will wrap us up here, you know,

976
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:27,120
Speaker 1: get your bets in good luck in week six. Here.

977
00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:30,000
Speaker 1: Remember you can follow us all on Twitter at Bogman Sports,

978
00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:33,040
Speaker 1: at thor Ku at m Ferrell Sports to ours two

979
00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 1: l's on the Twitter and we'll see you guys next week.

980
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:38,600
Speaker 1: Take it easy, everybody, Thanks for listening. To the Betting

981
00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:41,800
Speaker 1: Pros podcast. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

982
00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:45,640
Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

983
00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:48,760
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros