1 00:00:11,657 --> 00:00:14,937 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Buck Sexton Joe podcast, make sure 2 00:00:14,937 --> 00:00:17,977 Speaker 1: you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app or 3 00:00:17,977 --> 00:00:30,657 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts. The twenty twenty two midterm 4 00:00:30,697 --> 00:00:33,777 Speaker 1: elections are just a few months away, and with Democrats 5 00:00:33,817 --> 00:00:37,617 Speaker 1: unable to find answers on the struggling economy, are open borders, 6 00:00:37,737 --> 00:00:41,337 Speaker 1: rising crime rates, a lot of stuff, Republicans are poised 7 00:00:41,337 --> 00:00:44,137 Speaker 1: to make significant gains. I think that's putting it mildly. 8 00:00:44,497 --> 00:00:46,817 Speaker 1: In this special edition of Hold the Line, we'll take 9 00:00:46,857 --> 00:00:49,497 Speaker 1: a deep dive into the races you should be keeping 10 00:00:49,497 --> 00:00:59,777 Speaker 1: an eye on as November rolls around. Welcome to this 11 00:00:59,857 --> 00:01:02,857 Speaker 1: special edition of Hold the Line. I'm Buck Sexton. Let's 12 00:01:02,857 --> 00:01:07,657 Speaker 1: start with this. Biden is in free fall, the Democrats 13 00:01:07,857 --> 00:01:10,737 Speaker 1: going along with them. It is a mess for the 14 00:01:10,857 --> 00:01:15,257 Speaker 1: left or the Libs. Joe Biden's approval rating as we 15 00:01:15,417 --> 00:01:19,937 Speaker 1: go to air here approve thirty seven percent. Okay, disapprove 16 00:01:20,737 --> 00:01:25,977 Speaker 1: fifty eight percent. Those are abysmal numbers. Those aren't like. 17 00:01:26,137 --> 00:01:27,937 Speaker 1: Those are rookie numbers. Get them up a little bit. 18 00:01:27,937 --> 00:01:32,897 Speaker 1: Those are time to throw your hat in the ring 19 00:01:33,137 --> 00:01:36,297 Speaker 1: of or rather put your hat up and retire. How 20 00:01:36,297 --> 00:01:39,497 Speaker 1: about that one time to be done. Joe Biden can't 21 00:01:39,537 --> 00:01:41,817 Speaker 1: get it done. That's why the numbers are going in 22 00:01:41,857 --> 00:01:44,617 Speaker 1: this direction. We can all see it now. What's pushing 23 00:01:44,657 --> 00:01:47,497 Speaker 1: this sentiment right American voters in the condition of the 24 00:01:47,537 --> 00:01:50,737 Speaker 1: economy we got is a Fox News poll. Five percent 25 00:01:50,817 --> 00:01:52,897 Speaker 1: say it's excellent, and I wonder how many of them 26 00:01:52,937 --> 00:01:58,177 Speaker 1: get stock tips from Nancy Pelosi. Thirteen percent say good, 27 00:01:58,737 --> 00:02:03,617 Speaker 1: they're twenty five percent poor, fifty seven percent those there 28 00:02:03,617 --> 00:02:06,297 Speaker 1: are also people who are known as readers or those 29 00:02:06,297 --> 00:02:10,697 Speaker 1: who pay attention. So yeah, it's bad add out there 30 00:02:10,697 --> 00:02:13,777 Speaker 1: for Democrats, there is no question about it. The only 31 00:02:13,857 --> 00:02:16,177 Speaker 1: questions that remain outstanding, it seems, right now as we 32 00:02:16,297 --> 00:02:20,737 Speaker 1: go into this midterm election are will Republicans have a 33 00:02:20,977 --> 00:02:24,617 Speaker 1: historic win in the House and will they be able 34 00:02:24,657 --> 00:02:27,377 Speaker 1: to take control of the Senate. Senate race is probably 35 00:02:27,377 --> 00:02:29,537 Speaker 1: going to be close, because this isn't a great cycle 36 00:02:30,097 --> 00:02:35,017 Speaker 1: for Republicans irrespective of the political conditions right now, but 37 00:02:35,617 --> 00:02:38,657 Speaker 1: voters that rather voters that issues care about and that 38 00:02:38,737 --> 00:02:41,497 Speaker 1: the GOP handles better take a look at this inflation, 39 00:02:41,577 --> 00:02:44,297 Speaker 1: which is so high in the list, Republicans are up 40 00:02:44,417 --> 00:02:49,977 Speaker 1: nineteen points on that one. Border security also up nineteen points, crime, 41 00:02:50,017 --> 00:02:53,857 Speaker 1: Republicans up thirteen points, even foreign policy up eight. Well, 42 00:02:53,897 --> 00:02:55,777 Speaker 1: let's talk about how we got to this point before 43 00:02:55,777 --> 00:02:59,697 Speaker 1: we break down some of the places where there will 44 00:02:59,737 --> 00:03:05,657 Speaker 1: be key contests and hopefully some big Republican pickups. But 45 00:03:05,737 --> 00:03:08,337 Speaker 1: let's see how we got here. On inflation, the Biden 46 00:03:08,377 --> 00:03:11,497 Speaker 1: administration decided thing they did when they came into office 47 00:03:11,497 --> 00:03:14,737 Speaker 1: really was trying to push and did push a party 48 00:03:14,817 --> 00:03:18,137 Speaker 1: line one point nine trillion dollars spending packet. Now that 49 00:03:18,257 --> 00:03:22,297 Speaker 1: alone is a point of some madness, obviously, because they 50 00:03:22,337 --> 00:03:26,297 Speaker 1: had already gone through a period under COVID of lockdowns 51 00:03:26,377 --> 00:03:30,857 Speaker 1: of trillions of dollars of additional spending. This was a 52 00:03:31,137 --> 00:03:35,497 Speaker 1: really bad idea. Okay, this was a really bad idea. 53 00:03:35,577 --> 00:03:37,657 Speaker 1: And what did Joe Biden want to do beyond that? 54 00:03:38,297 --> 00:03:42,337 Speaker 1: He decided that he should spend five trillion additional dollars 55 00:03:42,337 --> 00:03:46,337 Speaker 1: with Bill back better. So, if you think inflation comes 56 00:03:46,417 --> 00:03:51,937 Speaker 1: from poor monetary policy and too much government expenditure, then 57 00:03:52,017 --> 00:03:54,497 Speaker 1: you realize that the Democrats are to blame here. On 58 00:03:54,537 --> 00:03:59,377 Speaker 1: the border, it's rather straightforward. The Democrats do not believe 59 00:03:59,537 --> 00:04:03,537 Speaker 1: that illegal immigration is a problem. They think that it's 60 00:04:03,577 --> 00:04:06,977 Speaker 1: just something to be managed. But in terms of the 61 00:04:07,017 --> 00:04:10,817 Speaker 1: incentives that it should really be in purred because they 62 00:04:10,937 --> 00:04:13,937 Speaker 1: view this as helpful to them over the long term 63 00:04:13,977 --> 00:04:17,377 Speaker 1: for their electoral prospect. They think that the more people 64 00:04:17,417 --> 00:04:21,297 Speaker 1: who come here illegally from developing countries around the world, 65 00:04:21,617 --> 00:04:24,257 Speaker 1: the likelier it is that Democrats will have a permanent 66 00:04:24,537 --> 00:04:27,457 Speaker 1: voting majority. They speak about this openly. This is part 67 00:04:27,497 --> 00:04:30,097 Speaker 1: of their strategy. One interesting part of this, though, is 68 00:04:30,097 --> 00:04:34,977 Speaker 1: that the numbers actually for Hispanic Americans are increasingly trending 69 00:04:35,017 --> 00:04:38,057 Speaker 1: toward Republicans. In fact, in a lot of recent polling, 70 00:04:38,097 --> 00:04:41,937 Speaker 1: you've seen that Hispanic voters in this country may well 71 00:04:42,057 --> 00:04:47,137 Speaker 1: go as a majority for the Republican candidates. So that's 72 00:04:47,137 --> 00:04:52,017 Speaker 1: a big deal. On crime, it couldn't be any more obvious. 73 00:04:52,057 --> 00:04:57,577 Speaker 1: Democrats are the party of defund the police, of progressive prosecutors, 74 00:04:57,617 --> 00:05:02,337 Speaker 1: of ending mass incarceration, and these are the things that 75 00:05:02,377 --> 00:05:06,377 Speaker 1: have led to the rapid deterioration of safety and security 76 00:05:06,417 --> 00:05:09,577 Speaker 1: in our cities, in our towns, even in rural areas 77 00:05:10,097 --> 00:05:13,097 Speaker 1: of the country. It turns out that when you undermine 78 00:05:13,137 --> 00:05:16,977 Speaker 1: the very foundation of your criminal justice system because of 79 00:05:17,017 --> 00:05:22,817 Speaker 1: a panic over systemic racism and a desire to go 80 00:05:23,057 --> 00:05:27,297 Speaker 1: easier on criminals. I mean, these Democrat notions could only 81 00:05:27,377 --> 00:05:30,617 Speaker 1: lead in one direction in terms of defunding police and 82 00:05:30,697 --> 00:05:33,817 Speaker 1: the things that the policy decisions they've made, and here 83 00:05:33,857 --> 00:05:36,057 Speaker 1: we are seeing what's going on with it. And then, 84 00:05:36,057 --> 00:05:39,217 Speaker 1: of course, on foreign policy, Joe Biden was supposed to 85 00:05:39,257 --> 00:05:42,057 Speaker 1: be a foreign policy expert. He realized that they brought 86 00:05:42,177 --> 00:05:44,417 Speaker 1: him on to the Obama ticket to be vice president 87 00:05:44,457 --> 00:05:47,057 Speaker 1: because he was a steady hand on foreign policy. But 88 00:05:47,177 --> 00:05:50,217 Speaker 1: what do we really know about Joe. He is on 89 00:05:50,377 --> 00:05:54,817 Speaker 1: foreign policy issues the most consistently wrong person in the game. 90 00:05:54,857 --> 00:05:57,657 Speaker 1: Over the last forty or so years. We saw this 91 00:05:57,697 --> 00:06:00,337 Speaker 1: with the debacle of the US pull out in Afghanistan, 92 00:06:00,457 --> 00:06:04,697 Speaker 1: how it was done, the actual pullout, and the decision 93 00:06:04,737 --> 00:06:08,457 Speaker 1: making day to day there, and then also with just 94 00:06:08,497 --> 00:06:10,457 Speaker 1: the fact that we have the biggest war in Europe 95 00:06:10,457 --> 00:06:13,217 Speaker 1: since World War Two underway, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, 96 00:06:13,697 --> 00:06:16,297 Speaker 1: which has not been managed well by the Biden administration. 97 00:06:16,497 --> 00:06:19,497 Speaker 1: This war never should have even been able to start 98 00:06:19,697 --> 00:06:22,777 Speaker 1: if there was deft diplomacy in the White House. Though, 99 00:06:22,817 --> 00:06:24,537 Speaker 1: these are some of the things we're going to be 100 00:06:24,537 --> 00:06:28,217 Speaker 1: looking at here as issues that are going to be center, 101 00:06:28,977 --> 00:06:32,017 Speaker 1: front in center in some of these major campaigns, with 102 00:06:32,177 --> 00:06:34,777 Speaker 1: just one pickup needed for Republicans to swing the balance 103 00:06:34,817 --> 00:06:36,897 Speaker 1: of power in their favor. Millions of dollars are pouring 104 00:06:36,897 --> 00:06:39,657 Speaker 1: into a number of key US Senate races. We'll take 105 00:06:39,657 --> 00:06:42,177 Speaker 1: a look at those races to watch with commentary editor 106 00:06:42,217 --> 00:06:52,257 Speaker 1: for The Washington Examiner con Carrol. Coming up. Does the 107 00:06:52,257 --> 00:06:55,737 Speaker 1: current nationwide shortage of infant formula have you asking what next? 108 00:06:55,817 --> 00:06:57,377 Speaker 1: Did you know that nearly one hundred percent of our 109 00:06:57,457 --> 00:07:00,617 Speaker 1: nation's supply of antibiotics is produced outside the United States, 110 00:07:00,737 --> 00:07:03,777 Speaker 1: mainly in China and India. If we can't control our 111 00:07:03,857 --> 00:07:06,297 Speaker 1: domestically produced baby formula, what about all the life saving 112 00:07:06,297 --> 00:07:09,977 Speaker 1: medications produced overseas. Many experts predict that if there were 113 00:07:10,137 --> 00:07:13,937 Speaker 1: supply chain disruption in the pharmaceutical industry, pharmacies could run 114 00:07:13,977 --> 00:07:16,857 Speaker 1: out of most antibiotics in a matter of weeks. Thankfully, 115 00:07:16,897 --> 00:07:18,977 Speaker 1: there's a new service to help you prepare for such 116 00:07:19,017 --> 00:07:21,497 Speaker 1: an event. Have you heard of the Chase case. It's 117 00:07:21,497 --> 00:07:23,937 Speaker 1: a back of five different courses of antibiotics that you 118 00:07:23,937 --> 00:07:26,537 Speaker 1: can use to treat a long list of bacterial illnesses, 119 00:07:26,577 --> 00:07:31,977 Speaker 1: including UTI's, respiratory infections, sinusitis, and skin infections. Every household 120 00:07:32,017 --> 00:07:34,937 Speaker 1: needs at least one Jace case. Go to Jace medical 121 00:07:35,057 --> 00:07:37,817 Speaker 1: dot com slash buck right now and use the code 122 00:07:37,817 --> 00:07:40,617 Speaker 1: word buck ten for ten dollars off your Jase case. 123 00:07:41,017 --> 00:07:43,577 Speaker 1: That's code word buck ten for ten dollars off at 124 00:07:43,617 --> 00:07:48,217 Speaker 1: Jase medical dot com slash buck Jacemedical dot com slash buck. 125 00:08:03,217 --> 00:08:05,897 Speaker 1: With the United States sent an evenly split fifty fifty 126 00:08:05,937 --> 00:08:09,137 Speaker 1: between parties, there's a very good chance that the Chamber 127 00:08:09,177 --> 00:08:13,017 Speaker 1: could flip to publican control in November. In total, thirty 128 00:08:13,017 --> 00:08:15,417 Speaker 1: five US Senate seats will be contested in this year's 129 00:08:15,457 --> 00:08:18,977 Speaker 1: midterm elections. The GOP needs just one pickup to change 130 00:08:18,977 --> 00:08:21,777 Speaker 1: the balance of power. There are four competitive races in 131 00:08:21,817 --> 00:08:26,537 Speaker 1: particular that Republicans should be keeping an eye on Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, 132 00:08:26,577 --> 00:08:29,977 Speaker 1: and Arizona. I mean, now makes sense of all this 133 00:08:30,057 --> 00:08:33,937 Speaker 1: commentary editor at the Washington Examiner, mister Cohn, Carol Cohn, 134 00:08:34,017 --> 00:08:37,097 Speaker 1: great to see it, Go to see you buck. So, 135 00:08:37,657 --> 00:08:41,737 Speaker 1: just at the at the overview level, how's it looking 136 00:08:41,817 --> 00:08:45,657 Speaker 1: for Republicans in terms of just Senate control going into 137 00:08:45,657 --> 00:08:51,337 Speaker 1: this mid term? I mean, I'm seeing House percentage likelihood 138 00:08:51,857 --> 00:08:55,817 Speaker 1: going to the GOP ninety percent, ninety two percent of 139 00:08:55,857 --> 00:08:58,737 Speaker 1: people seem very very confident. Sen It feels like a 140 00:08:58,737 --> 00:09:02,697 Speaker 1: different deal. What are you seeing, Yeah, I've seen the 141 00:09:02,777 --> 00:09:06,017 Speaker 1: Republicans just not getting good candidates in the races they need. 142 00:09:06,257 --> 00:09:09,617 Speaker 1: In the House. It's a lot more about the environment 143 00:09:09,657 --> 00:09:13,857 Speaker 1: as more about the president's approval rating. When the Senate, 144 00:09:13,857 --> 00:09:16,617 Speaker 1: it's going to come down to candidates and Republican sister 145 00:09:16,737 --> 00:09:20,897 Speaker 1: not getting the candidates they need to guarantee a Senate victory. 146 00:09:21,137 --> 00:09:22,737 Speaker 1: I still think they're going to pull it out, but 147 00:09:22,857 --> 00:09:25,257 Speaker 1: it's going to be close. So let's take a look 148 00:09:25,297 --> 00:09:29,857 Speaker 1: at some of these individual races you have In Pennsylvania 149 00:09:30,057 --> 00:09:33,457 Speaker 1: seat that was or is vacated now we'll be vacated 150 00:09:33,497 --> 00:09:38,977 Speaker 1: by retiring Pennsylvania Senator Pat Toomey, Republican Senator Pat Toomey. So, 151 00:09:39,137 --> 00:09:43,057 Speaker 1: right now the race is between doctor Oz, doctor methmt OZ, 152 00:09:43,177 --> 00:09:45,177 Speaker 1: known to a lot of people, and this guy John Fetterman. 153 00:09:45,257 --> 00:09:49,297 Speaker 1: Feederman's ahead at fifty percent, the Ozz is forty four percent. Now, 154 00:09:49,337 --> 00:09:51,617 Speaker 1: Oz got a lot of money personally, and I've got 155 00:09:51,617 --> 00:09:55,537 Speaker 1: a lot of recognition because of his media profile. Why 156 00:09:55,657 --> 00:09:57,697 Speaker 1: is Fetterman ahead of Ozz at this point? Do you 157 00:09:57,697 --> 00:10:01,457 Speaker 1: think he can close the gap? I do think OZ 158 00:10:01,457 --> 00:10:03,457 Speaker 1: could close the gap. He's going to have to have 159 00:10:03,537 --> 00:10:06,257 Speaker 1: a couple of things break his way. Feederman's just a 160 00:10:06,297 --> 00:10:10,337 Speaker 1: real authentic person. He's a great candidate. Oz is an 161 00:10:10,337 --> 00:10:13,337 Speaker 1: okay Candidate's he's a newbie. This is his first race. 162 00:10:14,297 --> 00:10:18,017 Speaker 1: But as your viewers may know, Fetterman did have a 163 00:10:18,017 --> 00:10:20,937 Speaker 1: stroke on actually election night, and he hasn't had a 164 00:10:20,937 --> 00:10:24,457 Speaker 1: lot of public appearances since then. In fact, he's going 165 00:10:24,497 --> 00:10:27,617 Speaker 1: to have a fundraiser in Philadelphia to night, and it's 166 00:10:27,617 --> 00:10:29,417 Speaker 1: gonna be really going to the first time he could 167 00:10:29,417 --> 00:10:33,177 Speaker 1: see him in action, and what I'm hearing is he's 168 00:10:33,217 --> 00:10:35,977 Speaker 1: not all there yet. And he even admitted himself he 169 00:10:36,017 --> 00:10:38,177 Speaker 1: went to go visit some campaign workers and said I'm 170 00:10:38,217 --> 00:10:40,697 Speaker 1: not back yet. So it's really going to come down 171 00:10:40,777 --> 00:10:44,177 Speaker 1: to the debate and how with it Fetterman scenes at 172 00:10:44,217 --> 00:10:47,537 Speaker 1: that time. If it appears that he's lost a step, 173 00:10:47,817 --> 00:10:51,737 Speaker 1: Oz could definitely pull out this race, no problem. So 174 00:10:52,257 --> 00:10:55,537 Speaker 1: that one is going to be obviously very closely watched. 175 00:10:55,577 --> 00:11:00,017 Speaker 1: Another one, I think the one that the media focus 176 00:11:00,137 --> 00:11:03,377 Speaker 1: maybe the most intense on of all these upcoming Senate 177 00:11:03,457 --> 00:11:07,857 Speaker 1: races could be the Georgia Senate race. This seat that's 178 00:11:07,897 --> 00:11:09,657 Speaker 1: up for grabs, well, not up for grabs. I mean, 179 00:11:09,697 --> 00:11:15,017 Speaker 1: it's obviously right now in Raphael Warnock's possession, but it's 180 00:11:15,017 --> 00:11:19,337 Speaker 1: gonna be Warnock versus Herschel Walker forty seven for Walker 181 00:11:19,457 --> 00:11:22,297 Speaker 1: the latest polling, we could pull fifty percent for Warnock. 182 00:11:22,377 --> 00:11:24,817 Speaker 1: We know it's gonna be a close one. How is 183 00:11:24,857 --> 00:11:27,697 Speaker 1: Herschel doing as a candidate, and what do you think 184 00:11:27,737 --> 00:11:29,497 Speaker 1: the chances are he could pull this off? What has 185 00:11:29,537 --> 00:11:33,977 Speaker 1: to happen in Georgia. This is another newbie candidate, someone 186 00:11:34,017 --> 00:11:37,257 Speaker 1: who's never run a race before. But even even worse 187 00:11:37,297 --> 00:11:40,297 Speaker 1: than oz, Oz had a very competitive primary. He went 188 00:11:40,297 --> 00:11:42,897 Speaker 1: out and debated, he went out and met with people, 189 00:11:43,297 --> 00:11:46,617 Speaker 1: He interacted with the press multiple occasions, gave tons of interviews, 190 00:11:46,737 --> 00:11:51,977 Speaker 1: was on talk radio, very comfortable on television. Walker's not 191 00:11:52,017 --> 00:11:56,017 Speaker 1: doing any of that. He's basically bunkered down, sitting in 192 00:11:56,057 --> 00:11:59,137 Speaker 1: his campaign room, not doing anything. He's not going anywhere, 193 00:11:59,177 --> 00:12:01,617 Speaker 1: he's not talking to people, he's not giving interviews, and 194 00:12:01,657 --> 00:12:03,377 Speaker 1: it has a lot of people nervous because he just 195 00:12:03,417 --> 00:12:06,217 Speaker 1: hasn't been tested. Meanwhile, you've got war Knock out there. 196 00:12:06,297 --> 00:12:09,177 Speaker 1: He's gonna raise probably more money than any other Senate candidate, 197 00:12:09,697 --> 00:12:12,977 Speaker 1: and people in Georgia. Republicans and Georgia have a right 198 00:12:13,017 --> 00:12:15,137 Speaker 1: to be worried. He just doesn't look like herschel Walker 199 00:12:15,617 --> 00:12:19,297 Speaker 1: is so far a fighter. He's someone who wants to 200 00:12:19,297 --> 00:12:22,377 Speaker 1: stay home and let the party do the work for him. 201 00:12:23,057 --> 00:12:27,377 Speaker 1: Is Warnock getting a ton of donation money from out 202 00:12:27,377 --> 00:12:29,577 Speaker 1: of state? We've seen that in some other some other 203 00:12:29,657 --> 00:12:33,257 Speaker 1: races up to this point. Yeah, him and Abrams are 204 00:12:33,337 --> 00:12:36,297 Speaker 1: getting tons of money, particularly from California. This is a 205 00:12:36,337 --> 00:12:38,857 Speaker 1: seat that National Democrats really want to hold on to. 206 00:12:39,257 --> 00:12:40,977 Speaker 1: It's sort of what they see as a red steat, 207 00:12:41,017 --> 00:12:43,177 Speaker 1: maybe a purple steat, but it's one of the redder 208 00:12:43,217 --> 00:12:44,977 Speaker 1: ones out there, and they really feel like they can 209 00:12:45,017 --> 00:12:48,057 Speaker 1: win this. And then Warnock has a shot. Now we 210 00:12:48,177 --> 00:12:53,777 Speaker 1: move to Nevada and the Senate race there between Adam Laxalt, 211 00:12:53,937 --> 00:12:56,657 Speaker 1: who I've I've interviewed him many times. He was state 212 00:12:56,737 --> 00:13:00,737 Speaker 1: attorney general there, the very sharp guy, smart guy, and 213 00:13:01,057 --> 00:13:06,337 Speaker 1: I believe it was actually the roommate of Rhonda Santis 214 00:13:06,417 --> 00:13:08,817 Speaker 1: do I have that. I think they bunked together in 215 00:13:08,857 --> 00:13:11,217 Speaker 1: the military at one point, or maybe it was in 216 00:13:11,297 --> 00:13:13,657 Speaker 1: law school. I can't remember now. And then there's Catherine 217 00:13:13,737 --> 00:13:17,377 Speaker 1: Cortez Mastow, the Democrat there, she's a little ahead. Tell 218 00:13:17,457 --> 00:13:20,577 Speaker 1: me in this Devata sedate race, what's going on? Well, here, 219 00:13:20,617 --> 00:13:22,697 Speaker 1: you have a more blue state, you have an incumbent. 220 00:13:22,897 --> 00:13:25,657 Speaker 1: This is one Republicans should not be winning. But unlike 221 00:13:25,657 --> 00:13:28,137 Speaker 1: the last two races, here the Republicans have a good candidate. 222 00:13:28,257 --> 00:13:30,537 Speaker 1: Lax also good like like like you said, he's smart, 223 00:13:30,857 --> 00:13:33,697 Speaker 1: he's with it, he does media appearances, he's on the trail, 224 00:13:33,817 --> 00:13:38,097 Speaker 1: he's out mixing it up with a ranking profile voters. 225 00:13:38,097 --> 00:13:41,697 Speaker 1: He's the real deal. So in a wave year when 226 00:13:41,857 --> 00:13:44,497 Speaker 1: Republicans are doing well and the economy is not doing well, 227 00:13:44,937 --> 00:13:47,217 Speaker 1: Laxil's the type of candidate who can put in the 228 00:13:47,217 --> 00:13:52,137 Speaker 1: work and can definitely beat the Democratic incumbent out there. Absolutely. Now, 229 00:13:52,537 --> 00:13:55,577 Speaker 1: we got an interesting situation here in Arizona where the 230 00:13:55,617 --> 00:13:59,737 Speaker 1: GOP primary is just going to be decided coming up 231 00:13:59,777 --> 00:14:02,657 Speaker 1: here in a matter of weeks. We've got three candidates 232 00:14:02,697 --> 00:14:06,297 Speaker 1: who are all pretty much in striking distance of each other. Right, 233 00:14:06,337 --> 00:14:08,977 Speaker 1: We've got Blake Masters out front twenty five percent, but 234 00:14:09,457 --> 00:14:12,297 Speaker 1: Mark Burne of Itch the AG is at fourteen percent. There, 235 00:14:12,377 --> 00:14:16,337 Speaker 1: Jim Lamon is at eighteen percent. Now, Masters has a 236 00:14:16,417 --> 00:14:18,817 Speaker 1: solid lead, but there's still some time left here, and 237 00:14:18,857 --> 00:14:20,897 Speaker 1: obviously if you would only had two candidates, it might 238 00:14:20,897 --> 00:14:23,337 Speaker 1: be a very different situation. What do you think of 239 00:14:23,817 --> 00:14:25,657 Speaker 1: you know, what do you think of this race so far? 240 00:14:25,897 --> 00:14:27,857 Speaker 1: Why has Masters been able to get out front? Do 241 00:14:27,857 --> 00:14:30,937 Speaker 1: you think? Do you think he keeps that lead? I do? 242 00:14:31,177 --> 00:14:32,937 Speaker 1: I do. I think Masters is a new breed of 243 00:14:32,977 --> 00:14:36,857 Speaker 1: Republican along the lines of Jade Vance. All. Both of 244 00:14:36,857 --> 00:14:39,857 Speaker 1: those guys are backed by Peter Teel. I think they're 245 00:14:39,897 --> 00:14:44,817 Speaker 1: a strong kind of new national conservative type Republican that's 246 00:14:45,097 --> 00:14:49,497 Speaker 1: a very big America first on American families and protecting 247 00:14:49,497 --> 00:14:52,537 Speaker 1: American families. They're both a lot of rhetoric and policy 248 00:14:52,537 --> 00:14:55,137 Speaker 1: along those lines. I think that's going to sell. I 249 00:14:55,177 --> 00:14:57,377 Speaker 1: think Masters is going to pull this out, and then 250 00:14:57,417 --> 00:14:58,817 Speaker 1: I think he's going to be Mark Kelly in the 251 00:14:58,817 --> 00:15:02,097 Speaker 1: general election. Yeah, tell me about that. How's Kelly doing 252 00:15:02,657 --> 00:15:05,617 Speaker 1: right now in terms of support Mark Kelly? I saw 253 00:15:05,657 --> 00:15:07,697 Speaker 1: something that Blake Masters said that, you know, not everything 254 00:15:07,737 --> 00:15:09,617 Speaker 1: can be about how I used to be an astronaut. 255 00:15:09,697 --> 00:15:12,377 Speaker 1: So how's Kelly actually doing in his home state in 256 00:15:12,457 --> 00:15:17,817 Speaker 1: terms of polling? Not well, He's underwater approval wise. He 257 00:15:17,857 --> 00:15:20,937 Speaker 1: hasn't really staked out an idea beyond being voting with 258 00:15:20,977 --> 00:15:24,097 Speaker 1: Schumer all the time. You know, unlike Cinema, who's really 259 00:15:24,137 --> 00:15:28,097 Speaker 1: definitely established a brand of independence and has bucked her party, 260 00:15:28,577 --> 00:15:30,577 Speaker 1: Mark Kelly has gone in the opposite direction and has 261 00:15:30,617 --> 00:15:33,057 Speaker 1: basically done whatever Truck Schumer tells him to do, and 262 00:15:33,097 --> 00:15:34,737 Speaker 1: that's going to hurt him in a state where you know, 263 00:15:34,777 --> 00:15:36,897 Speaker 1: you have mavericks like John McKay and et cetera. And 264 00:15:37,217 --> 00:15:40,617 Speaker 1: you know, sometimes think that's a little silly, but it's 265 00:15:40,617 --> 00:15:42,857 Speaker 1: a brand that Cinema has embraced and is doing well, 266 00:15:43,217 --> 00:15:46,417 Speaker 1: and it's something where Mark Kelly hasn't, and he's has 267 00:15:46,977 --> 00:15:49,457 Speaker 1: Blake Masters or real Republican Canada is is gonna have 268 00:15:49,457 --> 00:15:52,737 Speaker 1: a great opportunity to define Kelly as a national Democrat 269 00:15:52,737 --> 00:15:55,057 Speaker 1: who needs to be kicked out of office. Don I 270 00:15:55,057 --> 00:15:57,377 Speaker 1: always appreciate the insight, sir, Thanks for being with us. 271 00:15:57,937 --> 00:16:02,777 Speaker 1: Absolutely blackay time. While national races make the headlines, it's 272 00:16:02,817 --> 00:16:04,777 Speaker 1: local elections that may have the biggest impact on the 273 00:16:04,777 --> 00:16:06,977 Speaker 1: lives of Americans when we come back. The founder of 274 00:16:06,977 --> 00:16:11,297 Speaker 1: the seventeen seventy six Project Pack, Ryan Grdusky, joins us 275 00:16:11,337 --> 00:16:20,297 Speaker 1: to explain how a lot of companies promise that your 276 00:16:20,337 --> 00:16:23,417 Speaker 1: privacy is guaranteed, but we know that's not true. That's 277 00:16:23,457 --> 00:16:26,897 Speaker 1: why you need a new privacy and cybersecurity application tool 278 00:16:26,937 --> 00:16:31,457 Speaker 1: called Secure spelled sek You are Secure is using proprietary 279 00:16:31,537 --> 00:16:35,577 Speaker 1: encryption and offering secure instant messaging and email. With Secure, 280 00:16:35,657 --> 00:16:38,177 Speaker 1: all of your communication is based on servers and data 281 00:16:38,217 --> 00:16:41,017 Speaker 1: centers hosted in Switzerland without using any of the big 282 00:16:41,057 --> 00:16:44,777 Speaker 1: tech platform. Privacy is a big issue now. Without real security, 283 00:16:44,977 --> 00:16:48,137 Speaker 1: people can read your emails, messages, even your bank information. 284 00:16:48,497 --> 00:16:50,937 Speaker 1: Secure will never mind your data and never ask your 285 00:16:50,937 --> 00:16:53,937 Speaker 1: phone number. You can send emails to your doctor, banker, lawyer, 286 00:16:54,017 --> 00:16:56,537 Speaker 1: or anyone else with total confidence you're not being spied 287 00:16:56,537 --> 00:17:00,057 Speaker 1: on by your internet provider or big tech. Secure is 288 00:17:00,057 --> 00:17:03,017 Speaker 1: your solution to stop the constant theft of your digital identity. 289 00:17:03,177 --> 00:17:05,937 Speaker 1: It costs only five dollars to the messenger only ten 290 00:17:05,977 --> 00:17:08,977 Speaker 1: dollars for the messenger and email combination package. Go to 291 00:17:09,017 --> 00:17:11,577 Speaker 1: secure dot com and take back your privacy today. That's 292 00:17:11,657 --> 00:17:15,137 Speaker 1: sekure dot com and use promo code buck for twenty 293 00:17:15,137 --> 00:17:18,177 Speaker 1: five percent off. We'll be right back with more. Hold along. 294 00:17:32,657 --> 00:17:36,057 Speaker 1: While congressional, Senate and governor's races make the headlines, local 295 00:17:36,097 --> 00:17:39,337 Speaker 1: elections arguably have just as much of an impact on 296 00:17:39,377 --> 00:17:42,257 Speaker 1: the everyday lives of americ kids. Perhaps the most important 297 00:17:42,337 --> 00:17:44,377 Speaker 1: races are those for local school boards in many ways, 298 00:17:44,377 --> 00:17:47,177 Speaker 1: which said and implement the policies that kids are being 299 00:17:47,217 --> 00:17:50,417 Speaker 1: taught in public schools. For more on how twenty twenty 300 00:17:50,417 --> 00:17:53,337 Speaker 1: two is shaping up for America's school board races, let 301 00:17:53,377 --> 00:17:55,897 Speaker 1: me turn to Ryan Grdusky, the founder of a seventeen 302 00:17:55,937 --> 00:17:58,897 Speaker 1: seventy six project pack End, which is an organization that 303 00:17:58,937 --> 00:18:02,257 Speaker 1: supports candidates around the country who oppose critical race theory 304 00:18:02,297 --> 00:18:06,697 Speaker 1: instruction in schools. Ryan, good to see him. Hey, thanks 305 00:18:06,697 --> 00:18:09,377 Speaker 1: for having me. So can you give us just an 306 00:18:09,417 --> 00:18:12,737 Speaker 1: overview of why school board races which is something that 307 00:18:13,017 --> 00:18:14,777 Speaker 1: I think even a few years ago people would have 308 00:18:14,777 --> 00:18:18,257 Speaker 1: thought are as important as local dogcatcher There's been an 309 00:18:18,297 --> 00:18:22,417 Speaker 1: awakening about this. Where does that come from? Yeah, school boards. 310 00:18:22,457 --> 00:18:24,337 Speaker 1: I mean they decided a lot of things during COVID 311 00:18:24,377 --> 00:18:28,737 Speaker 1: that were really impactful, like school shutdowns, like mask mandates, 312 00:18:28,737 --> 00:18:32,817 Speaker 1: which people are continuing to push. San Diego County schools 313 00:18:32,857 --> 00:18:35,137 Speaker 1: just announced that they're into a mask mandate comes September 314 00:18:35,257 --> 00:18:39,297 Speaker 1: for students, and they also promoted a lot of superintendents 315 00:18:39,297 --> 00:18:43,337 Speaker 1: that pushed from promoted critical theory throughout schools. This is 316 00:18:44,257 --> 00:18:46,537 Speaker 1: what children learned, This is how they learned. This is 317 00:18:46,537 --> 00:18:50,057 Speaker 1: how teachers are forced to teach him any respects. And 318 00:18:50,057 --> 00:18:53,057 Speaker 1: this is also how disciplinary action is held within schools. 319 00:18:53,417 --> 00:18:55,897 Speaker 1: A couple of years ago, they about a decade ago, 320 00:18:56,937 --> 00:18:59,697 Speaker 1: Barack Obama sat there and said, hey, we're anything called 321 00:18:59,937 --> 00:19:03,537 Speaker 1: ending the school to prison pipeline. And that allowed a 322 00:19:03,577 --> 00:19:06,977 Speaker 1: lot of children who should have been notified by police 323 00:19:06,977 --> 00:19:09,977 Speaker 1: officers that they had criminal conduct in school to evade 324 00:19:10,417 --> 00:19:12,537 Speaker 1: being detected by police. And I'm a young man named 325 00:19:12,577 --> 00:19:16,617 Speaker 1: Nicholas Cruz was never ever brought to police's attention and 326 00:19:17,137 --> 00:19:19,817 Speaker 1: in any serious way anyway, and he was able to 327 00:19:19,857 --> 00:19:22,497 Speaker 1: buy a gun and commit a mass shooting. This all 328 00:19:22,617 --> 00:19:25,817 Speaker 1: happens through the school board process, through the superintendent process, 329 00:19:25,817 --> 00:19:28,177 Speaker 1: and people have rarely ever paid attention to it. And 330 00:19:28,177 --> 00:19:30,937 Speaker 1: that's why I'm very passionate about this issue to get 331 00:19:30,977 --> 00:19:33,497 Speaker 1: conservatives involved and actually know who to vote for, because 332 00:19:33,497 --> 00:19:36,217 Speaker 1: most superintendent elections are nonpartisan. They don't have our Republican 333 00:19:36,297 --> 00:19:39,697 Speaker 1: Energy Democrat behind their name, and a lot of people 334 00:19:39,777 --> 00:19:41,777 Speaker 1: drop off the ballot. They vote for president or governor 335 00:19:41,857 --> 00:19:43,977 Speaker 1: or senator or maybe Congress, and then they stopped voting. 336 00:19:43,977 --> 00:19:46,217 Speaker 1: They don't vote to the city councilman, or the mayor 337 00:19:45,897 --> 00:19:51,657 Speaker 1: or the school board attendant. Remember, So that is why 338 00:19:51,657 --> 00:19:53,737 Speaker 1: it's critical to why you should care about this issue. 339 00:19:54,537 --> 00:19:59,537 Speaker 1: Have the anti critical race theory candidates for school board? 340 00:19:59,537 --> 00:20:02,457 Speaker 1: Have they been making some serious gains over the last 341 00:20:02,537 --> 00:20:06,497 Speaker 1: year and what are your expectations going into the next cycle. Yeah. 342 00:20:06,537 --> 00:20:08,977 Speaker 1: Last year we did my pack support of fifty eight 343 00:20:09,057 --> 00:20:12,857 Speaker 1: candidates and forty two one in Texas. We did fifteen races, 344 00:20:12,897 --> 00:20:15,297 Speaker 1: all fifteen one. We lost some in Georgia and we 345 00:20:15,337 --> 00:20:17,857 Speaker 1: won some in New York. We're looking at Florida right now. 346 00:20:17,857 --> 00:20:19,977 Speaker 1: Florida is a big state. Governor to Santas is the 347 00:20:19,977 --> 00:20:23,817 Speaker 1: first governor in recent times any way to endorse dozens 348 00:20:23,817 --> 00:20:26,257 Speaker 1: of school board candidates, to try to get school board 349 00:20:26,257 --> 00:20:29,217 Speaker 1: candidates who actually believe in his opinions and his views. 350 00:20:29,497 --> 00:20:33,137 Speaker 1: And there's races across this entire country in November, a 351 00:20:33,177 --> 00:20:36,617 Speaker 1: lot of big ones in California, Michigan, Rhode Island, Maryland, 352 00:20:37,297 --> 00:20:41,057 Speaker 1: really really important. Georgia again, they're really important races, you know. 353 00:20:41,137 --> 00:20:43,857 Speaker 1: And it's it's it's convenient because people think I'm you know, 354 00:20:43,897 --> 00:20:46,177 Speaker 1: I live in a red state or red county, I'm not. 355 00:20:46,377 --> 00:20:48,337 Speaker 1: I don't have to worry. You know, my kids are 356 00:20:48,377 --> 00:20:51,297 Speaker 1: completely fine in my area is completely fine. But but 357 00:20:51,417 --> 00:20:54,777 Speaker 1: what Governor Santas understands, it's in red county America, It's 358 00:20:54,777 --> 00:20:58,417 Speaker 1: in red state America. It's not something that is that's hidden, 359 00:20:58,657 --> 00:21:02,257 Speaker 1: you know, beyond the pale. And a lot of governors, unfortunately, 360 00:21:02,297 --> 00:21:04,937 Speaker 1: who could do more. I have not done enough. And 361 00:21:05,097 --> 00:21:08,097 Speaker 1: a lot of school board members and superintendents have not 362 00:21:08,217 --> 00:21:11,057 Speaker 1: been pushed out who are really support of this idea. 363 00:21:11,137 --> 00:21:12,897 Speaker 1: One of the give you a perfect example. One of 364 00:21:12,937 --> 00:21:15,217 Speaker 1: the races that we're looking at right now is Indian 365 00:21:15,297 --> 00:21:20,897 Speaker 1: Falls County, Florida, perfectly Republican county. Voted for Donald Trump twice, 366 00:21:20,977 --> 00:21:24,937 Speaker 1: voted for Romney, John McCain, George W. Bush twice, Republican 367 00:21:25,017 --> 00:21:29,857 Speaker 1: county right now, in their school, in their school platform, 368 00:21:29,937 --> 00:21:33,257 Speaker 1: it says that they're going to eliminate disparities in classrooms, 369 00:21:33,257 --> 00:21:36,857 Speaker 1: removal based on race and ethnic subgroups. What does that mean? 370 00:21:36,977 --> 00:21:39,257 Speaker 1: That means that they're trying to make all kids who 371 00:21:39,257 --> 00:21:43,297 Speaker 1: are suspended from schools, black, Hispanic, white, exactly the same. 372 00:21:43,777 --> 00:21:45,897 Speaker 1: Nothing in life is exactly the same. And with a 373 00:21:45,937 --> 00:21:48,417 Speaker 1: lot of kids going you know, who are black and 374 00:21:48,497 --> 00:21:52,457 Speaker 1: Hispanic being who shouldn't been suspended, they're creating alternatives from suspension, 375 00:21:52,537 --> 00:21:54,657 Speaker 1: so that way black and Hispanic kids who should be 376 00:21:54,697 --> 00:21:56,617 Speaker 1: suspended should be me being notified for the police that 377 00:21:56,657 --> 00:21:59,977 Speaker 1: they have criminal behavior, are looking at alternatives to suspension. 378 00:22:00,297 --> 00:22:03,257 Speaker 1: White children, they are who should be suspended, are being 379 00:22:03,257 --> 00:22:05,697 Speaker 1: suspended because the white number needs to be high enough 380 00:22:05,697 --> 00:22:08,257 Speaker 1: to match blackness back numbers. We're seeing this right now 381 00:22:08,257 --> 00:22:10,857 Speaker 1: in San Francisco, which we saw the removal three school 382 00:22:10,897 --> 00:22:14,777 Speaker 1: board members in America's most liberal city. Sixty five percent 383 00:22:15,137 --> 00:22:18,897 Speaker 1: of Black students in San Francisco are chronically absent, twenty 384 00:22:18,897 --> 00:22:22,777 Speaker 1: seven percent are proficient in reading, forty percent are proficient 385 00:22:22,817 --> 00:22:25,977 Speaker 1: in math, and yet graduation rates are at eighty seven 386 00:22:26,017 --> 00:22:29,177 Speaker 1: percent for black students in San Francisco public schools. That 387 00:22:29,377 --> 00:22:32,097 Speaker 1: is not because they are able to read, write, due math, 388 00:22:32,457 --> 00:22:35,337 Speaker 1: or they are you know, an investment in an educated 389 00:22:35,377 --> 00:22:39,057 Speaker 1: workforce into the future. This is really a complete loss 390 00:22:39,097 --> 00:22:42,377 Speaker 1: of their ability. Is that there be extremely functioning adults 391 00:22:42,377 --> 00:22:45,097 Speaker 1: in the best possible way and fully capable of getting 392 00:22:45,097 --> 00:22:49,017 Speaker 1: a great job. Hispanic numbers are not as high, but very, 393 00:22:49,097 --> 00:22:51,057 Speaker 1: very high at the same exact amount, and yet fifty 394 00:22:51,057 --> 00:22:53,457 Speaker 1: percents they'll go to college. This is a dumbing down 395 00:22:53,457 --> 00:22:56,017 Speaker 1: on our standards, it's a dumbing down of our workforce, 396 00:22:56,057 --> 00:22:58,537 Speaker 1: and it's a future that's very, very hard for a 397 00:22:58,577 --> 00:23:01,097 Speaker 1: lot of people to grass where it's easy people to 398 00:23:01,217 --> 00:23:04,137 Speaker 1: victims because they are being victims from the early age 399 00:23:04,177 --> 00:23:06,937 Speaker 1: of going to a grammar school and or a public 400 00:23:06,977 --> 00:23:11,057 Speaker 1: elementary school and being pushed through simply because you have 401 00:23:11,177 --> 00:23:14,977 Speaker 1: to keep quotas very high. You mentioned Florida Governor of Scientists, 402 00:23:15,297 --> 00:23:20,137 Speaker 1: Florida's Governor of scientists endorsing board school board candidates. I'm 403 00:23:20,137 --> 00:23:23,537 Speaker 1: just wondering, why haven't governors done that, and are you 404 00:23:23,577 --> 00:23:28,497 Speaker 1: expecting that there'll be more Republican governors who follow suit well, 405 00:23:28,537 --> 00:23:30,817 Speaker 1: because I mean, in my experience, every time that I 406 00:23:30,857 --> 00:23:33,777 Speaker 1: got involved in a school board election, I was politicizing 407 00:23:33,937 --> 00:23:38,017 Speaker 1: education because you know, teachers unions have never politicized education. 408 00:23:38,537 --> 00:23:40,257 Speaker 1: And I think that a lot of people thought it 409 00:23:40,337 --> 00:23:42,617 Speaker 1: was just beyond the pale that a governor care right 410 00:23:42,657 --> 00:23:45,137 Speaker 1: an executive order or pass a bill and that was 411 00:23:45,177 --> 00:23:48,417 Speaker 1: good enough, or they could, you know, even appoint people 412 00:23:48,497 --> 00:23:51,257 Speaker 1: who are you know, governor youngcan in Virginia has now 413 00:23:51,297 --> 00:23:54,897 Speaker 1: appointed people who are part of the statewide Virginia school 414 00:23:54,937 --> 00:23:58,017 Speaker 1: system that are very much against the equity, against against 415 00:23:58,177 --> 00:24:02,737 Speaker 1: the critical theory version of equity. The previous Democratic governor 416 00:24:02,777 --> 00:24:06,817 Speaker 1: had school a statewide school program that was very much 417 00:24:06,817 --> 00:24:10,777 Speaker 1: a promoting equity, which which has cause a lot of 418 00:24:10,777 --> 00:24:13,777 Speaker 1: these problems. So I think some governors are really grasping 419 00:24:13,777 --> 00:24:15,937 Speaker 1: it or understanding it. But I don't know if any 420 00:24:16,017 --> 00:24:19,737 Speaker 1: of yet sat there and have jumped jumped into the 421 00:24:19,737 --> 00:24:23,777 Speaker 1: school board races. Governor Schmidt, you know, Oklahoma has endorsed 422 00:24:23,777 --> 00:24:27,737 Speaker 1: and campaign on behalf of a statewide superintendent, which is 423 00:24:27,777 --> 00:24:30,937 Speaker 1: a rare position that meant not many states have. And 424 00:24:31,017 --> 00:24:33,977 Speaker 1: he's working, you know, with a man named Ryan Walters, 425 00:24:33,977 --> 00:24:37,057 Speaker 1: who we've also at seventeen sent project backs also endorsed 426 00:24:37,537 --> 00:24:40,977 Speaker 1: for statewide superintendent of education. But aside from those very 427 00:24:41,057 --> 00:24:44,297 Speaker 1: rare cases, a lot of them are still not understanding 428 00:24:44,337 --> 00:24:47,777 Speaker 1: how detrimental the system is right now towards young people. 429 00:24:48,257 --> 00:24:51,697 Speaker 1: And Ryan, you know, you understand these races and are 430 00:24:51,817 --> 00:24:54,537 Speaker 1: and are involved in trying to get people to become 431 00:24:54,537 --> 00:24:57,897 Speaker 1: involved themselves. What is it require if someone's watching this, 432 00:24:57,977 --> 00:25:00,257 Speaker 1: say you know what I want to get into the 433 00:25:00,257 --> 00:25:04,057 Speaker 1: school board race in my county, in my town district, 434 00:25:04,097 --> 00:25:07,457 Speaker 1: whatever it may be. What do you what's required? How 435 00:25:07,497 --> 00:25:09,817 Speaker 1: do they do it? Well? I mean you just file 436 00:25:09,857 --> 00:25:11,737 Speaker 1: a run. I mean anyone can file to run, and 437 00:25:11,817 --> 00:25:14,497 Speaker 1: every state it's different, sometimes require signatures. Some I think 438 00:25:14,537 --> 00:25:16,417 Speaker 1: it's just putting some money, like five dollars down to 439 00:25:16,457 --> 00:25:19,137 Speaker 1: get on the ballot. It's not very complicated, and running 440 00:25:19,137 --> 00:25:21,617 Speaker 1: for school board is not as expensive obviously is running 441 00:25:21,617 --> 00:25:24,097 Speaker 1: for state legislature or Congress. You can probably run with 442 00:25:24,217 --> 00:25:26,497 Speaker 1: just a few thousand dollars if you're in a rural district, 443 00:25:26,577 --> 00:25:28,337 Speaker 1: or maybe fifth up to fifty thousand dollars in a 444 00:25:28,417 --> 00:25:32,017 Speaker 1: more urban or suburban district. The bigger thing is is 445 00:25:32,057 --> 00:25:33,777 Speaker 1: that most people are not going to run there, but 446 00:25:33,817 --> 00:25:35,897 Speaker 1: they are going to vote. So what I would always 447 00:25:35,897 --> 00:25:37,817 Speaker 1: recommend a vote or is this vote from the bottom 448 00:25:37,857 --> 00:25:40,017 Speaker 1: of the ballot up most of the vote for the 449 00:25:40,017 --> 00:25:42,137 Speaker 1: governor or the senator, and they just forget to vote 450 00:25:42,137 --> 00:25:44,537 Speaker 1: down ballot, vote at the bottom and then work your 451 00:25:44,577 --> 00:25:47,537 Speaker 1: way up and be very well informed of who you know. 452 00:25:47,577 --> 00:25:49,977 Speaker 1: Your teacher's union is supporting because they always endorse public 453 00:25:50,017 --> 00:25:55,377 Speaker 1: school candidate super school board candidates look at who maybe 454 00:25:55,377 --> 00:25:58,697 Speaker 1: some local politicians have indorsed. That's always very, very important. 455 00:25:58,977 --> 00:26:02,457 Speaker 1: But also school board candidates are all year long. The 456 00:26:02,497 --> 00:26:05,177 Speaker 1: Florida elections are August twenty third, Primary day, and if 457 00:26:05,177 --> 00:26:08,097 Speaker 1: you get over fifty percent, you don't have a November election. 458 00:26:08,497 --> 00:26:11,097 Speaker 1: So primary day in the case of that's the whole 459 00:26:11,177 --> 00:26:13,297 Speaker 1: kit and caboodle. In many of these races, they won't 460 00:26:13,337 --> 00:26:15,697 Speaker 1: have an election come November, so you need to find 461 00:26:15,697 --> 00:26:18,137 Speaker 1: out when these dates are and actually vote on them 462 00:26:18,377 --> 00:26:20,817 Speaker 1: when the election matters. Florida does not have a competitive 463 00:26:20,817 --> 00:26:24,097 Speaker 1: Republican governor or Senate primary, so a lot of people 464 00:26:24,137 --> 00:26:25,697 Speaker 1: are not looking to vote. They feel like they don't 465 00:26:25,697 --> 00:26:27,577 Speaker 1: have any too. But your school board is on the 466 00:26:27,617 --> 00:26:30,977 Speaker 1: ballot in Florida on primary in August twenty third and 467 00:26:31,017 --> 00:26:32,777 Speaker 1: most of these counties, and there will not be another 468 00:26:32,857 --> 00:26:37,537 Speaker 1: chance to vote for them come November. Ryan Gerdusky, always illuminating, sir, 469 00:26:37,697 --> 00:26:41,697 Speaker 1: thanks for being with us. Thank you. We'll be right 470 00:26:41,697 --> 00:26:50,177 Speaker 1: back with more of this special edition of Hold the Line. 471 00:26:51,457 --> 00:26:52,857 Speaker 1: I don't know if you saw this, but there was 472 00:26:52,857 --> 00:26:55,297 Speaker 1: a recent story about an Arizona real estate agent that 473 00:26:55,337 --> 00:26:57,417 Speaker 1: found the home she lived in was listed for sale. 474 00:26:57,737 --> 00:26:59,737 Speaker 1: Problem was she wasn't selling her home. She was the 475 00:26:59,817 --> 00:27:03,017 Speaker 1: victim of home title fraud, a devastating crime happening all 476 00:27:03,017 --> 00:27:05,697 Speaker 1: over the country. According to the experts at home title lock, 477 00:27:05,777 --> 00:27:08,577 Speaker 1: the crime is incredibly profitable and hard to detect. An 478 00:27:08,617 --> 00:27:11,377 Speaker 1: identity thief simply creates a fake title transfer for your 479 00:27:11,377 --> 00:27:13,777 Speaker 1: home and refiles as a new owner. Then he can 480 00:27:13,777 --> 00:27:16,377 Speaker 1: take out loans on your home or sell it. Typical 481 00:27:16,417 --> 00:27:19,817 Speaker 1: identity theft services don't cover you, and neither there's homeowners insurance. 482 00:27:20,097 --> 00:27:23,337 Speaker 1: Home title lock does. Home tedtle lock puts a barrier 483 00:27:23,417 --> 00:27:26,377 Speaker 1: around your home's title. The instant they detects anyone tampering 484 00:27:26,377 --> 00:27:28,457 Speaker 1: with your home's title, they help shut it down and 485 00:27:28,497 --> 00:27:30,657 Speaker 1: help get your home back in your name. Here's what 486 00:27:30,777 --> 00:27:33,297 Speaker 1: you should do. Go to home titlelock dot com and 487 00:27:33,417 --> 00:27:37,017 Speaker 1: read the testimonials from FBI agents and government officials. Then 488 00:27:37,137 --> 00:27:39,497 Speaker 1: register address to see if you're already a victim and 489 00:27:39,537 --> 00:27:41,537 Speaker 1: don't even know it. And when you protect your home, 490 00:27:41,617 --> 00:27:44,057 Speaker 1: tell him Buck sent you to get thirty free days 491 00:27:44,057 --> 00:28:02,577 Speaker 1: of protection hometedlelock dot com. Again, that's hometedle lock dot com. 492 00:28:02,577 --> 00:28:04,897 Speaker 1: As we get closer to the midterm elections, it remains 493 00:28:04,977 --> 00:28:06,697 Speaker 1: likely that a red wave is going to sweep over 494 00:28:06,697 --> 00:28:09,937 Speaker 1: the House of Representatives. None of the Republicans, but Democrats 495 00:28:10,057 --> 00:28:12,137 Speaker 1: are now upset with the way the country is moving 496 00:28:12,137 --> 00:28:16,417 Speaker 1: backwards under President Biden, plumbting approval ratings inflation through the roof. 497 00:28:16,657 --> 00:28:19,337 Speaker 1: So well we see some Democratic voters jump ship and 498 00:28:19,417 --> 00:28:23,057 Speaker 1: join the right and be in the rights election day. 499 00:28:23,417 --> 00:28:26,297 Speaker 1: I mean, now to discuss c of American majority, Ned, 500 00:28:26,657 --> 00:28:30,097 Speaker 1: Ryan my man, Ned, how are you doing doing well? Buck? 501 00:28:30,137 --> 00:28:32,617 Speaker 1: Good to be back with you. So let's let's just 502 00:28:32,697 --> 00:28:36,497 Speaker 1: let's set the table here. Okay, going into we talk 503 00:28:36,497 --> 00:28:40,537 Speaker 1: about the Senate. Senate looks like a very close House Representatives. 504 00:28:40,897 --> 00:28:43,177 Speaker 1: We gotta win. If we don't, I mean, why are 505 00:28:43,217 --> 00:28:46,537 Speaker 1: we even showing up to pretend Republican party matters? But 506 00:28:46,697 --> 00:28:48,617 Speaker 1: how much do we have to win by? I mean, 507 00:28:48,657 --> 00:28:50,937 Speaker 1: here's a graphic showing the current House balance of power. 508 00:28:51,457 --> 00:28:55,657 Speaker 1: Democrats two twenty, Republicans two eleven, need two eighteen for control. 509 00:28:56,057 --> 00:29:00,737 Speaker 1: What's your target, Ned, what are we trying to get to? Well, 510 00:29:00,737 --> 00:29:02,897 Speaker 1: first of all, Buck, you're right, if we do not 511 00:29:02,937 --> 00:29:05,697 Speaker 1: take the majority back in the House in a year 512 00:29:05,737 --> 00:29:08,097 Speaker 1: like twenty twenty two, and all the dynamics are in 513 00:29:08,097 --> 00:29:11,137 Speaker 1: our favor, again, this is a political that goes back 514 00:29:11,137 --> 00:29:15,337 Speaker 1: to really twenty ten. But would I would tell people 515 00:29:15,497 --> 00:29:19,977 Speaker 1: for perspective. I've seen recent approval polls with Biden's approval 516 00:29:20,017 --> 00:29:24,217 Speaker 1: in the low thirties, and right before Democrats got wiped 517 00:29:24,257 --> 00:29:26,577 Speaker 1: out in the twenty ten mid terms, Obama was about 518 00:29:26,657 --> 00:29:30,297 Speaker 1: mid forty forty four point seven. So when a president 519 00:29:30,337 --> 00:29:33,497 Speaker 1: is that far underwater, the party in power in the 520 00:29:33,537 --> 00:29:36,337 Speaker 1: White Houses that far under water, it does not bode well. 521 00:29:37,137 --> 00:29:39,697 Speaker 1: So we've really got to gain just a handful of 522 00:29:39,697 --> 00:29:41,937 Speaker 1: seats to take the majority back. But I don't want 523 00:29:41,937 --> 00:29:44,257 Speaker 1: to settle for that Buck. I think we need to 524 00:29:44,257 --> 00:29:46,657 Speaker 1: go for forty or fifty, and I think that's very 525 00:29:46,737 --> 00:29:49,697 Speaker 1: doable if you look at some of these these districts, 526 00:29:49,737 --> 00:29:53,257 Speaker 1: and I've even been saying this in a variety of places, Buck, 527 00:29:54,097 --> 00:29:56,297 Speaker 1: based off what I saw in Virginia, and again that's 528 00:29:56,337 --> 00:29:59,097 Speaker 1: where I'm at. I'm in Loudon County, a state that 529 00:29:59,137 --> 00:30:02,017 Speaker 1: Biden won by ten points in twenty twenty, young Ken 530 00:30:02,097 --> 00:30:04,657 Speaker 1: wins by two, and I want people to look at 531 00:30:04,657 --> 00:30:07,457 Speaker 1: that and realize, I think in these mid terms, anything 532 00:30:07,577 --> 00:30:09,897 Speaker 1: any of the new districts, and there's about forty five 533 00:30:10,057 --> 00:30:14,097 Speaker 1: Democratic district that are Biden plus twelve or less. I 534 00:30:14,137 --> 00:30:16,817 Speaker 1: think all forty five of those are absolutely in play. 535 00:30:17,457 --> 00:30:21,057 Speaker 1: That's remarkable. I mean, that would be a red wave 536 00:30:21,097 --> 00:30:23,537 Speaker 1: the likes of which we have not seen in a 537 00:30:23,537 --> 00:30:26,897 Speaker 1: long time, and you could have Republicans in a position 538 00:30:27,537 --> 00:30:30,057 Speaker 1: of power in the House that would go back to 539 00:30:30,217 --> 00:30:34,497 Speaker 1: historic proportions, right, all time proportions. Here's a chart made 540 00:30:34,537 --> 00:30:37,897 Speaker 1: from Real Clear Politics that shows the generic congressional vote 541 00:30:38,257 --> 00:30:40,537 Speaker 1: from July of last year to July of this year. 542 00:30:40,577 --> 00:30:43,297 Speaker 1: The generic vote has kind of done a one eighty 543 00:30:43,577 --> 00:30:49,057 Speaker 1: in favor of Republicans. I mean, the based on the data, ever, 544 00:30:49,137 --> 00:30:52,497 Speaker 1: can assume the economy inflation huge part of this. But 545 00:30:52,577 --> 00:30:55,057 Speaker 1: are there any other things that are really moving this 546 00:30:55,137 --> 00:30:58,937 Speaker 1: in the direction of is just the realization that Joe 547 00:30:58,937 --> 00:31:01,377 Speaker 1: Biden and his party haven't gotten anything done? I mean, 548 00:31:01,377 --> 00:31:03,817 Speaker 1: what are the key indicators here, or rather the you know, 549 00:31:03,817 --> 00:31:06,537 Speaker 1: the key signposts along the way to what seems to 550 00:31:06,577 --> 00:31:13,377 Speaker 1: be a huge shift in sentiment toward the generic Kennedy Well, 551 00:31:13,537 --> 00:31:16,017 Speaker 1: I think part of it comes from the Biden White House. 552 00:31:16,377 --> 00:31:18,977 Speaker 1: You're seeing in the more recent polls in which he 553 00:31:19,017 --> 00:31:22,737 Speaker 1: has absolutely bummited with his approval rating they're asking, do 554 00:31:22,777 --> 00:31:25,577 Speaker 1: you think that Joe Biden has the answers or the 555 00:31:25,617 --> 00:31:28,617 Speaker 1: ability to fix these problems? And of course a lot 556 00:31:28,657 --> 00:31:31,257 Speaker 1: of people are saying no. The overwhelming majority of people 557 00:31:31,257 --> 00:31:33,937 Speaker 1: are saying no. Again, because I would remind people they're 558 00:31:33,977 --> 00:31:36,617 Speaker 1: not interested in solution all of this that has brought 559 00:31:36,617 --> 00:31:40,017 Speaker 1: about the inflation and the high gas prices. It's intentional. 560 00:31:40,337 --> 00:31:42,017 Speaker 1: So of course they don't have the solutions because they 561 00:31:42,057 --> 00:31:45,177 Speaker 1: don't want the solutions. What they are doing is absolutely intentional. 562 00:31:45,217 --> 00:31:47,457 Speaker 1: But the other thing I would point out block that 563 00:31:47,777 --> 00:31:50,297 Speaker 1: they're always an important dynamic. You've always got the red 564 00:31:50,457 --> 00:31:52,777 Speaker 1: versus Blue teams, and a lot of the Red's going 565 00:31:52,817 --> 00:31:54,457 Speaker 1: to vote Republican, a lot of the blue are going 566 00:31:54,497 --> 00:31:57,457 Speaker 1: to vote for Democrats, don't forget the independent. And a 567 00:31:57,457 --> 00:32:01,257 Speaker 1: lot of these approval rating polls, Joe Biden's at nineteen percent, 568 00:32:01,297 --> 00:32:03,057 Speaker 1: I've even seen in some of them, but most of 569 00:32:03,057 --> 00:32:06,697 Speaker 1: the time a mid to low twenties. That's staggering those 570 00:32:06,777 --> 00:32:09,977 Speaker 1: numbers that the independent voters look at the Democratic par 571 00:32:10,257 --> 00:32:13,777 Speaker 1: and Joe Biden and in such low approval ratings, and 572 00:32:13,937 --> 00:32:15,817 Speaker 1: I think a lot of them are going to vote Republican. 573 00:32:15,817 --> 00:32:17,457 Speaker 1: That's where you're going to see the major shift in 574 00:32:17,537 --> 00:32:20,057 Speaker 1: the electorate because again, a lot of people vote either 575 00:32:20,097 --> 00:32:23,457 Speaker 1: Democrat or Republican based off their actual affiliation. Is the 576 00:32:23,577 --> 00:32:26,017 Speaker 1: independence of which there's a significant amount that I think 577 00:32:26,017 --> 00:32:27,697 Speaker 1: are going to really prove the difference because they have 578 00:32:27,857 --> 00:32:30,937 Speaker 1: absolute susdain for Joe Biden and as policies. Do you 579 00:32:30,937 --> 00:32:35,697 Speaker 1: think there could be some major upsets or some pickups 580 00:32:35,737 --> 00:32:40,257 Speaker 1: of Republicans winning in winning a congressional race, let's say, 581 00:32:40,417 --> 00:32:42,297 Speaker 1: in what was a deep blue state that would have 582 00:32:42,297 --> 00:32:47,697 Speaker 1: been unthinkable even a year ago. I do. I've even 583 00:32:48,017 --> 00:32:50,577 Speaker 1: had the thought, and it sounds maybe a little crazy 584 00:32:50,657 --> 00:32:54,257 Speaker 1: right now, book, but these trajectories. Inflation is not getting better, 585 00:32:54,337 --> 00:32:57,097 Speaker 1: Joe Biden's approval ratings are not getting better. All of 586 00:32:57,097 --> 00:32:59,697 Speaker 1: these trajectories. As you get closer to the mid germs, 587 00:32:59,697 --> 00:33:01,937 Speaker 1: and we're not that far away, they start to harden 588 00:33:02,257 --> 00:33:04,057 Speaker 1: and they're going in a certain direction, which is not 589 00:33:04,097 --> 00:33:06,897 Speaker 1: good for Democrats. I think, and I know this sounds 590 00:33:06,897 --> 00:33:09,217 Speaker 1: crazy even as I'm saying it. If anything that Joe 591 00:33:09,217 --> 00:33:12,257 Speaker 1: Biden won by two twenty points or less in twenty 592 00:33:12,337 --> 00:33:14,417 Speaker 1: twenty might actually be in place. So think about the 593 00:33:14,457 --> 00:33:16,857 Speaker 1: forty five Democratic seas that are plus twelve or less, 594 00:33:17,137 --> 00:33:19,097 Speaker 1: you might even get up to the plus twenty range 595 00:33:19,257 --> 00:33:23,137 Speaker 1: or less. That Republicans could absolutely be competitive him and 596 00:33:23,217 --> 00:33:25,177 Speaker 1: sneak a few House seats, and I think even maybe 597 00:33:25,177 --> 00:33:29,417 Speaker 1: sneak the Senate tater two as well. Here is MSNBC, 598 00:33:29,697 --> 00:33:34,537 Speaker 1: for example, worried that losing the midterms could be worse 599 00:33:34,577 --> 00:33:37,377 Speaker 1: for them than even losing the presidency. They say, watch this, 600 00:33:37,977 --> 00:33:40,457 Speaker 1: we're approaching the hundred day out from the mid term. 601 00:33:40,897 --> 00:33:43,777 Speaker 1: If things don't go well in the mid term, as 602 00:33:43,777 --> 00:33:46,777 Speaker 1: if meaning if these election deniers win Secretary of State, 603 00:33:47,297 --> 00:33:50,497 Speaker 1: the win, governorships, win attorney General, take back the Senate, 604 00:33:50,777 --> 00:33:53,897 Speaker 1: take over the House, it doesn't matter who's on the 605 00:33:53,977 --> 00:33:59,657 Speaker 1: ballot in twenty twenty four. You know, Doubts and moron, 606 00:33:59,817 --> 00:34:02,377 Speaker 1: But I do think he's right in so far as 607 00:34:03,097 --> 00:34:07,817 Speaker 1: if Biden has a divided Congress going into whatever the 608 00:34:07,857 --> 00:34:09,777 Speaker 1: re election cycle is going to be, whether it's Biden 609 00:34:09,817 --> 00:34:12,017 Speaker 1: or somebody else, it's not going to be good for 610 00:34:12,017 --> 00:34:15,897 Speaker 1: the Democrats. But even more, that's probably the most intelligent 611 00:34:15,977 --> 00:34:18,617 Speaker 1: thing I've heard Doubt say in years. But I think 612 00:34:18,657 --> 00:34:20,937 Speaker 1: what he's really alluding to, Buck is even beyond the 613 00:34:21,017 --> 00:34:25,697 Speaker 1: federal races, there's thirty six gubernatorial, thirty five, I think 614 00:34:25,737 --> 00:34:31,217 Speaker 1: attorney general, twenty six, twenty seven secretary of state races 615 00:34:31,257 --> 00:34:35,577 Speaker 1: this midterm. If Republicans can take the gubernatorial seats, and 616 00:34:35,617 --> 00:34:37,177 Speaker 1: I think they have a legitimate chance on all of 617 00:34:37,177 --> 00:34:42,537 Speaker 1: these in Pennsylvania, in Michigan, and Wisconsin, maybe even in Nevada, 618 00:34:42,697 --> 00:34:44,657 Speaker 1: you win in twenty twenty four. By winning in twenty 619 00:34:44,657 --> 00:34:47,657 Speaker 1: twenty two, Democrats can't pull the same tricks they pulled 620 00:34:47,697 --> 00:34:50,177 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty if you're holding on to the gubernatorial 621 00:34:50,497 --> 00:34:52,337 Speaker 1: and the secretary of state and you've got all the 622 00:34:52,417 --> 00:34:55,657 Speaker 1: legislative seats, I think, really what doubt is realizing that 623 00:34:55,737 --> 00:34:58,497 Speaker 1: if they get obliterated, not only at the federal level 624 00:34:58,497 --> 00:35:01,097 Speaker 1: but at the state level, Democrats are gonna have a 625 00:35:01,217 --> 00:35:04,177 Speaker 1: very very hard time winning in twenty twenty four because 626 00:35:04,377 --> 00:35:06,457 Speaker 1: they can't pull the center for tecon civic life, they 627 00:35:06,497 --> 00:35:09,697 Speaker 1: can't skirt state laws and constitutions, they can't pull the 628 00:35:09,777 --> 00:35:11,937 Speaker 1: univer some mail in ballot tricks that they pulled in 629 00:35:11,937 --> 00:35:13,897 Speaker 1: a lot of these battleground states in twenty twenty four. 630 00:35:13,977 --> 00:35:17,457 Speaker 1: That's what he's starting to realize, and it might be 631 00:35:17,497 --> 00:35:20,417 Speaker 1: a reugh election for some Rhinos. Out there. From what 632 00:35:20,497 --> 00:35:24,537 Speaker 1: I understand, Wyoming GOP primary race, for example, shows Liz 633 00:35:24,657 --> 00:35:31,417 Speaker 1: Cheney behind Harriet Hadria Hageman. I don't know Harriet thirty 634 00:35:31,417 --> 00:35:33,857 Speaker 1: one to fifty nine Liz Cheney, she's gonna lose her 635 00:35:33,897 --> 00:35:38,577 Speaker 1: seeing you think, you know. The only dynamic that people 636 00:35:38,617 --> 00:35:41,337 Speaker 1: should be aware of his Democrats can crossover, and a 637 00:35:41,377 --> 00:35:43,617 Speaker 1: lot of Liz Cheney's campaign right now is trying to 638 00:35:43,617 --> 00:35:46,817 Speaker 1: get Democrats to cross over and vote for her in 639 00:35:47,297 --> 00:35:51,537 Speaker 1: that primaries. An open primary in Wyoming, there's just simply 640 00:35:51,577 --> 00:35:54,377 Speaker 1: not enough Democrats in the state of Wyoming, though, I 641 00:35:54,377 --> 00:35:57,737 Speaker 1: think the sable is Cheney. But the August primaries are 642 00:35:57,737 --> 00:36:00,177 Speaker 1: going to be very interesting. Back I would encourage people. 643 00:36:00,217 --> 00:36:03,337 Speaker 1: August second got some really interesting primaries in Michigan and 644 00:36:03,377 --> 00:36:06,657 Speaker 1: in Washington State in which Trump endorsed candidates are going 645 00:36:06,737 --> 00:36:09,977 Speaker 1: up against impeachment voters. And then you've got also a 646 00:36:10,257 --> 00:36:12,817 Speaker 1: couple of weeks later that Wyoming primary as well. So 647 00:36:13,057 --> 00:36:15,377 Speaker 1: I think you're going to see some pretty interesting results 648 00:36:15,577 --> 00:36:18,737 Speaker 1: in Republican primaries in August. It's also going to be 649 00:36:18,777 --> 00:36:22,057 Speaker 1: another telling sign how is Trump's endorsement record going to 650 00:36:22,097 --> 00:36:26,257 Speaker 1: hold up against incumbents. But again, these incumbent incumbents voted 651 00:36:26,257 --> 00:36:27,857 Speaker 1: for impeachment. I think a lot of them are in 652 00:36:27,897 --> 00:36:31,297 Speaker 1: serious trouble, like Liz Cheney. Then, thanks so much. Good 653 00:36:31,297 --> 00:36:35,377 Speaker 1: to see you. Thanks Buck. In addition to federal elections, 654 00:36:35,377 --> 00:36:38,297 Speaker 1: Americans in thirty six states we'll choose their next governor. 655 00:36:38,417 --> 00:36:40,737 Speaker 1: We'll take a look at some of those races with 656 00:36:40,817 --> 00:36:43,977 Speaker 1: the politics editor for the Washington Examiner, Jim Ansel. When 657 00:36:43,977 --> 00:37:00,857 Speaker 1: we come back with the mid terms just around the corner, 658 00:37:00,937 --> 00:37:03,337 Speaker 1: everyone's wondering if we're going to see this red wave 659 00:37:03,417 --> 00:37:05,777 Speaker 1: takeover at the state level as well as the federal 660 00:37:06,137 --> 00:37:09,497 Speaker 1: For gubernatorial races, there are thirty six states to elect 661 00:37:09,537 --> 00:37:12,537 Speaker 1: their new governor. For more on this, let me bring 662 00:37:12,537 --> 00:37:16,417 Speaker 1: in Jim Antil. He's the politics editor at the Washington Examiner. Jim, 663 00:37:16,457 --> 00:37:19,857 Speaker 1: thanks for being with us. Thanks for having me so 664 00:37:19,977 --> 00:37:23,257 Speaker 1: a new USA. Today's Suffolk University poll shows Democrats with 665 00:37:23,297 --> 00:37:27,137 Speaker 1: a narrow advantage over Republicans of the congressional ballot forty 666 00:37:27,137 --> 00:37:30,177 Speaker 1: four to forty percent, a bit better than the forty 667 00:37:30,257 --> 00:37:32,937 Speaker 1: forty split they scored in June. But gloom about the 668 00:37:33,017 --> 00:37:36,257 Speaker 1: nation's economy and its politics still pose big hurdles for 669 00:37:36,297 --> 00:37:40,937 Speaker 1: Democrats to avoid significant losses going forward. What are you 670 00:37:40,977 --> 00:37:43,737 Speaker 1: looking at in terms of some of these governors races, 671 00:37:43,777 --> 00:37:45,537 Speaker 1: I mean one of the big ones that are top 672 00:37:45,577 --> 00:37:48,897 Speaker 1: of your radar right now. Well, there are a couple 673 00:37:48,977 --> 00:37:52,177 Speaker 1: of different things. I mean, one, you have a couple 674 00:37:52,217 --> 00:37:57,297 Speaker 1: of really important sitting Republican governors who are running for reelection, 675 00:37:57,737 --> 00:38:01,817 Speaker 1: and I think chief among those is Florida Governor Ronda Santis, 676 00:38:01,857 --> 00:38:05,257 Speaker 1: who is widely considered to be a twenty twenty four 677 00:38:05,337 --> 00:38:09,537 Speaker 1: possibility may become the front runner of former President Donald 678 00:38:09,537 --> 00:38:14,177 Speaker 1: Trump doesn't run, but certainly would be a competitive candidate 679 00:38:14,257 --> 00:38:17,137 Speaker 1: should they both choose to run. And so he's running 680 00:38:17,137 --> 00:38:22,617 Speaker 1: for reelection this year, and the margin by which he wins, 681 00:38:22,617 --> 00:38:25,657 Speaker 1: should he win and he is favored to do so, 682 00:38:26,097 --> 00:38:29,337 Speaker 1: could tell us a lot about his future prospects. He's 683 00:38:29,417 --> 00:38:34,937 Speaker 1: taken some pretty strong stands, conservative stands in which historically speaking, 684 00:38:35,417 --> 00:38:39,497 Speaker 1: within a battleground state, and he fought a close election 685 00:38:39,897 --> 00:38:42,337 Speaker 1: in twenty eighteen to get elected in the first place. 686 00:38:42,657 --> 00:38:45,177 Speaker 1: So if he's able to get re elected by a 687 00:38:45,257 --> 00:38:48,897 Speaker 1: comfortable margin, that should be a pretty good indicator of 688 00:38:48,937 --> 00:38:52,857 Speaker 1: his electoral strength that may have national implications. Can I 689 00:38:52,897 --> 00:38:55,337 Speaker 1: just see another You're throwing the mix here really quickly, Jim, 690 00:38:55,657 --> 00:38:59,017 Speaker 1: the state of Florida, we got some numbers here Desantists 691 00:38:59,057 --> 00:39:03,057 Speaker 1: versus his expected Democrat opponents, right, either Charlie Christ or 692 00:39:03,137 --> 00:39:07,177 Speaker 1: Nicky Freed versus Christ. Desantist is at fifty percent, and 693 00:39:07,217 --> 00:39:09,457 Speaker 1: the most recent polling we could find Charlie Chris is 694 00:39:09,497 --> 00:39:12,137 Speaker 1: at forty one, so he seems to have a pretty 695 00:39:12,137 --> 00:39:16,097 Speaker 1: comfortable lead there. And then if it is DeSantis versus 696 00:39:16,177 --> 00:39:19,457 Speaker 1: Nikki Freed, who believes the Agricultural Commissioner for the State 697 00:39:19,457 --> 00:39:23,577 Speaker 1: of Florida, Desantist is a fifty two to thirty nine percent, 698 00:39:24,297 --> 00:39:28,697 Speaker 1: is there any expectation that that's going to turn around 699 00:39:28,817 --> 00:39:30,617 Speaker 1: or is it? Look I mean, doesn't DeSantis have like 700 00:39:30,617 --> 00:39:34,097 Speaker 1: one hundred million dollars war chest. I mean, if you're 701 00:39:34,097 --> 00:39:36,977 Speaker 1: looking in terms of how much money he has, in 702 00:39:37,097 --> 00:39:40,297 Speaker 1: terms of how much exposure he has, and in terms 703 00:39:40,297 --> 00:39:43,137 Speaker 1: of how well he's doing in the polls, the Democrats 704 00:39:43,177 --> 00:39:45,977 Speaker 1: don't seem to have a very good chance here. And 705 00:39:46,297 --> 00:39:50,537 Speaker 1: in the recent past, the Republicans have actually outperformed their 706 00:39:50,577 --> 00:39:53,857 Speaker 1: poll numbers, have tended to do better on election day 707 00:39:53,857 --> 00:39:56,577 Speaker 1: than the bulls have predicted. So if that's the case, 708 00:39:57,097 --> 00:39:59,737 Speaker 1: he could be looking at a re election landslide. It's 709 00:39:59,737 --> 00:40:03,417 Speaker 1: obviously it'll be a good year for Republicans, but that 710 00:40:03,457 --> 00:40:06,537 Speaker 1: would really put him in a strong position to say 711 00:40:06,577 --> 00:40:10,417 Speaker 1: that he easily won re election in a battleground state 712 00:40:10,817 --> 00:40:14,497 Speaker 1: as a sort of conservative model on things ranging from 713 00:40:14,537 --> 00:40:20,057 Speaker 1: COVID nineteen to fighting corporations. Now, let's take a look 714 00:40:20,057 --> 00:40:23,937 Speaker 1: at Pennsylvania. Jam the Democratic nominee. There is current Attendant 715 00:40:23,937 --> 00:40:27,657 Speaker 1: Attorney General Josh Shapiro. There are a number of Republican 716 00:40:27,697 --> 00:40:31,817 Speaker 1: candidates fighting for the possibility of being the next governor. 717 00:40:31,857 --> 00:40:33,857 Speaker 1: There who stands out in your mind? How's this race 718 00:40:33,897 --> 00:40:39,857 Speaker 1: looking so? Doug Masciano was the Trump endorsed candidate in 719 00:40:39,937 --> 00:40:44,297 Speaker 1: the Republican primary. He will be the Republican nominee against Shapiro. 720 00:40:44,697 --> 00:40:48,457 Speaker 1: This is the candidate many Democrats wanted to face off against, 721 00:40:48,817 --> 00:40:53,817 Speaker 1: and establishment Republicans didn't want him, largely due to his 722 00:40:53,937 --> 00:40:57,897 Speaker 1: stance on the twenty twenty presidential election and questioning some 723 00:40:58,017 --> 00:41:02,377 Speaker 1: of Pennsylvania's practices. There. You know it's a close race. 724 00:41:02,417 --> 00:41:04,617 Speaker 1: If you look at the polling, it's competitive, and the 725 00:41:04,737 --> 00:41:08,057 Speaker 1: national Party has been hesitant to get involved. If he 726 00:41:08,177 --> 00:41:12,177 Speaker 1: can't show that he'll be com editive, but the indications 727 00:41:12,177 --> 00:41:15,417 Speaker 1: are that this could be a tight race. So Democrats 728 00:41:16,057 --> 00:41:18,777 Speaker 1: often need to be careful what they wish for because 729 00:41:18,857 --> 00:41:20,537 Speaker 1: they just might get it. And this is going to 730 00:41:20,617 --> 00:41:24,377 Speaker 1: be a key state nationally in twenty twenty four as well, 731 00:41:24,457 --> 00:41:27,937 Speaker 1: So this is an important race for Republicans and if 732 00:41:27,977 --> 00:41:29,937 Speaker 1: they were to win, it would be a pickup of 733 00:41:29,937 --> 00:41:33,257 Speaker 1: a seat. Another showdown that's going to get a lot 734 00:41:33,297 --> 00:41:35,937 Speaker 1: of attention for a governor's mansion, at least a lot 735 00:41:35,937 --> 00:41:39,457 Speaker 1: of media attention going to be down in Texas where 736 00:41:40,257 --> 00:41:43,257 Speaker 1: current governor or Greg Abbott is going to be up 737 00:41:43,297 --> 00:41:49,097 Speaker 1: against Beto Robert O'Rourke. Right now, Greg abbotts at forty 738 00:41:49,097 --> 00:41:53,257 Speaker 1: seven percent to Beto at forty one percent. How is 739 00:41:53,297 --> 00:41:57,257 Speaker 1: this lining up and what are your expectations? Well, see 740 00:41:57,257 --> 00:41:59,977 Speaker 1: o Rourke is an interesting character because he's kind of 741 00:41:59,977 --> 00:42:04,137 Speaker 1: gotten this reputation among national Democrats and has a huge 742 00:42:04,577 --> 00:42:09,417 Speaker 1: national fundraising base basically from running a little bit better 743 00:42:09,457 --> 00:42:12,857 Speaker 1: than you'd expect to Democrat to run statewide in Texas 744 00:42:13,657 --> 00:42:17,377 Speaker 1: but still losing and that's only an impressive thing to 745 00:42:17,417 --> 00:42:20,617 Speaker 1: do so many times, So that's going to be a 746 00:42:20,617 --> 00:42:23,577 Speaker 1: big problem. All Rourke has going into this race, now, 747 00:42:23,617 --> 00:42:26,137 Speaker 1: I would expect Abbott to have a much bigger lead 748 00:42:26,457 --> 00:42:29,577 Speaker 1: than what he currently does in the polls, so that 749 00:42:29,617 --> 00:42:33,777 Speaker 1: would be him being below fifty percent is mildly concerning. 750 00:42:34,057 --> 00:42:36,537 Speaker 1: But when you think of the fact that O'Rourke came 751 00:42:36,617 --> 00:42:40,777 Speaker 1: up short in twenty eighteen in a statewide race during 752 00:42:40,777 --> 00:42:44,337 Speaker 1: a very good cycle for Democrats nationally, you can't really 753 00:42:44,377 --> 00:42:48,257 Speaker 1: expect him to pull off the upset here this November. 754 00:42:48,937 --> 00:42:53,417 Speaker 1: And now moving to the state of Georgia, Stacy Abrams 755 00:42:53,777 --> 00:42:58,137 Speaker 1: square it off against the current governor, Kemp. How do 756 00:42:58,177 --> 00:43:00,777 Speaker 1: you think Abrams is looking in this race? How is 757 00:43:00,817 --> 00:43:03,857 Speaker 1: that going to shake out? You know, the polling has 758 00:43:03,937 --> 00:43:06,257 Speaker 1: been a little varied there, but most of the polls 759 00:43:06,377 --> 00:43:10,617 Speaker 1: do show Brian Kemp ahead, and it only he differs 760 00:43:10,617 --> 00:43:14,017 Speaker 1: in terms of how far he's ahead. You know. Stacy 761 00:43:14,097 --> 00:43:17,617 Speaker 1: Abrams is another case where coming close in twenty eighteen 762 00:43:18,017 --> 00:43:21,497 Speaker 1: a great Democratic cycle might not cut it in a 763 00:43:21,577 --> 00:43:24,897 Speaker 1: more republican cycle, in a more republican year. So if 764 00:43:24,937 --> 00:43:28,057 Speaker 1: there's a red wave, Stacy Abrams might not be able 765 00:43:28,097 --> 00:43:33,297 Speaker 1: to claim that voter suppression somehow denied her her rightful governorship. 766 00:43:33,337 --> 00:43:36,137 Speaker 1: It may not be close enough for her to plausibly 767 00:43:36,817 --> 00:43:39,577 Speaker 1: make those types of contentions, although that may not stop her, 768 00:43:40,377 --> 00:43:43,377 Speaker 1: but it's not looking like it's shaping up to be 769 00:43:43,417 --> 00:43:45,857 Speaker 1: a good year for her now that the Senate race 770 00:43:46,017 --> 00:43:49,217 Speaker 1: being tight, and maybe with the Democrats still leading there, 771 00:43:49,697 --> 00:43:54,417 Speaker 1: Republicans can't completely give up on the idea that Georgia 772 00:43:54,457 --> 00:43:57,737 Speaker 1: will be a competitive state across the board. Obviously, it 773 00:43:57,857 --> 00:44:00,377 Speaker 1: was a closely fought state in twenty twenty, so they 774 00:44:00,417 --> 00:44:03,857 Speaker 1: can't really rest on their laurels. But at the moment, 775 00:44:03,897 --> 00:44:07,097 Speaker 1: it doesn't look like the best time for Stacy Abrams 776 00:44:07,137 --> 00:44:10,377 Speaker 1: to be forcing this rematch. And I'm just wondering if 777 00:44:10,417 --> 00:44:13,817 Speaker 1: there are any places, any other governors' races you're looking 778 00:44:13,817 --> 00:44:15,937 Speaker 1: at where you think you could actually get a GOP 779 00:44:16,337 --> 00:44:21,137 Speaker 1: or a Democrat upset. Well, the big thing will be 780 00:44:21,577 --> 00:44:25,657 Speaker 1: there is similar to Pennsylvania. There was Democrats tried to 781 00:44:25,697 --> 00:44:29,297 Speaker 1: intervene in the Republican primary in Maryland and they got 782 00:44:29,297 --> 00:44:31,377 Speaker 1: their wish and it was also a Trump in doors 783 00:44:31,377 --> 00:44:34,657 Speaker 1: to candidate. This is a state that is very, very blue. 784 00:44:35,417 --> 00:44:39,737 Speaker 1: But the two term, retiring term limited Republican Governor Larry Hogan, 785 00:44:40,337 --> 00:44:43,977 Speaker 1: who has some presidential aspirations of his own, has held 786 00:44:44,137 --> 00:44:46,337 Speaker 1: the Fort down there pretty well in terms of being 787 00:44:46,337 --> 00:44:49,977 Speaker 1: able to beat Democratic challengers. Is this a year that's 788 00:44:50,017 --> 00:44:55,417 Speaker 1: read enough that Democrats will have miscalculated by helping the 789 00:44:55,457 --> 00:44:59,617 Speaker 1: Republican nominee win this time in this primary. That's a 790 00:44:59,617 --> 00:45:03,097 Speaker 1: good question, and we'll have to see it. Jim appreciate 791 00:45:03,137 --> 00:45:05,737 Speaker 1: the expertise, Thanks for being with us, Thank you for 792 00:45:05,777 --> 00:45:08,057 Speaker 1: having me. That's all the time we have for the 793 00:45:08,137 --> 00:45:09,857 Speaker 1: special edition up hold the line. I'd like to thank 794 00:45:09,897 --> 00:45:12,897 Speaker 1: my guess ned Ryan con Carol, Jim Antle, and Ryan 795 00:45:12,937 --> 00:45:15,337 Speaker 1: gre Dusky for sharing their expertise with us. The No 796 00:45:15,537 --> 00:45:18,017 Speaker 1: Spin News with Bill O'Reilly is coming up next. Shield's 797 00:45:18,057 --> 00:45:26,417 Speaker 1: High