1 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:17,240 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:20,680 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peroult at Sports Talk. 4 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:23,799 Speaker 2: Matt is my handle across all socials to follow me. 5 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 2: This podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot com. 6 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 2: Go there, Enterjuice in the promo code. It will save 7 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 2: you thirty dollars off the already fifty percent off sale 8 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:37,519 Speaker 2: going on right now. The semiannual sale going on at 9 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:41,279 Speaker 2: Omaha Steaks dot com. Go check them out. Support our 10 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:45,600 Speaker 2: great title sponsor here for the podcast, because well, it's 11 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 2: one of those weeks. Talked about it online a little bit, 12 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 2: just about the roller coaster ride of all this and 13 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 2: man Alive. Yesterday could have been a three to oh day, 14 00:00:56,080 --> 00:01:00,080 Speaker 2: could have been. Islanders just couldn't get the go ahead go. 15 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 2: They kept on playing catch up one nothing, one to one, 16 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 2: two to one, two two, all the way up to overtime, 17 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 2: in which they lost the game in overtime because they 18 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 2: tied it up late at four down four to three, 19 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 2: got the tying goal and then gave up the game 20 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 2: winner in overtime, So unfortunately we lost there. The over 21 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 2: was the better play in that game. Then we got 22 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 2: a miracle with the Astros, probably should have lost that game, 23 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:29,480 Speaker 2: and then a complete collapse by Craig Kimbrel, who is 24 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 2: a disaster. 25 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:32,759 Speaker 1: I mean an absolute disaster. 26 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 2: He was. He's been a disaster everywhere, Dodgers, Red Sox, 27 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 2: now the Phillies. I don't know how the guy keeps 28 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 2: on getting jobs. I don't understand five to three lead 29 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:44,759 Speaker 2: in the eighth you lose that game. 30 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man. 31 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 2: Both series, it's crazy to watch some of the pitching 32 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 2: staffs and some of the bullpen. I mean the Rangers bullpen. 33 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 2: I mean once, once you get deep in that Ranger's bullpen, 34 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 2: it's it's tough, man, It's bad, bad, And now a 35 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 2: monster lead for the Astros, and just you know, you 36 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 2: look at this and you're like, man, three games in 37 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,959 Speaker 2: a row. We go back to Houston now with a 38 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:13,960 Speaker 2: chance for the Astros to wrap things up. 39 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 1: We'll see. 40 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 2: I still think Game six can be won by the Rangers, 41 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:20,880 Speaker 2: and the Astros play really poorly at home and Nathan 42 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 2: Avaldi going in Game six, so I still tomorrow will 43 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 2: look at leaning the Rangers way. I'm not going to 44 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,239 Speaker 2: bet baseball today because I think the Phillies win today. 45 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,680 Speaker 2: But that was a shell shocker. I'll be curious as 46 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:33,919 Speaker 2: you see how they bounce back from losing that game. 47 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 2: No idea how they lost that So one in two day, 48 00:02:36,960 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 2: down one point two to five units on the day, 49 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 2: and so now that's a bleed out. Okay, Now I 50 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 2: think we're down about two units for the week heading 51 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 2: towards Saturday, College football Saturday. I have way too many 52 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 2: bets going for tonight. I mean, I have combat sports, 53 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 2: not going to make it official. I've got hockey, one 54 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 2: of Phish, bunch of other plays I'll tell you about quickly. 55 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 2: I've got four official bets in college football, but I've 56 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 2: got more than that going in college football. So this 57 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 2: is one of those days where I'm like, I like 58 00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 2: too many things on the board. I'm betting too many 59 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 2: things on the board. Sometimes these days blow up in 60 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 2: my face just talking history now, historically speaking, when I 61 00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:25,800 Speaker 2: like this much, I normally don't do that well, just 62 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 2: saying it. 63 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: Hopefully I'm wrong. 64 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 2: Hopefully it's a good day today, and if I have 65 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 2: a big day, five bets official. If we can go 66 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 2: like four and one, we'll go right back up into 67 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 2: a spot where we're profitable. 68 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 1: For the week heading towards Sunday. So hopefully it's a. 69 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 2: Winning day, you know, three and two, Win a unit 70 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 2: and then get ourselves heading towards Sunday with another unit 71 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 2: or a couple within a couple units there and then 72 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 2: we'll have a profitable week. So that's the hope for today. 73 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 2: All right, enough talking, let's hit the bets. Let's start 74 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 2: with the early game Penn State and Ohio State. This 75 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 2: is going to be an awesome football game. The number 76 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 2: has been pingponging five and a half, five and a half. 77 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 2: It's been going up and down, down as low as four. 78 00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 2: Also in this game, Penn State is really good. Okay. 79 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 2: Penn State has been phenomenal against the number this season. 80 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 2: They are six and oh against the spread. They are 81 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 2: four and oh at home, two and zero on the road. 82 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 2: The road covers were at Illinois and at Northwestern. This 83 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 2: is Ohio State much different. James Franklin has had a 84 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:31,159 Speaker 2: horrible record against pennst against Ohio State in Michigan. He 85 00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 2: really can't win the big one. This defense for Penn 86 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:38,480 Speaker 2: State is phenomenal. Penn State's four and two to the over, 87 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 2: but mostly because of their offense against bad football teams. 88 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 2: Penn State has given up fifteen, seven, thirteen, nothing, thirteen 89 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 2: and nothing for points. Defensively, They're tremendous. Offensively, they've been 90 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 2: playing cupcakes. UMass sixty three points, Northwestern forty one points, 91 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:03,239 Speaker 2: Iowa thirty one points, Illinois thirty points, Delaware sixty three points. 92 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 2: All those teams. Iowa's defense is pretty good, but not good. 93 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:13,039 Speaker 2: Noom stop Penn State, Northwestern, UMass, Illinois, Delaware suck defensively. 94 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 2: On the other side, Ohio State's five and one to 95 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 2: the under. Ohio State is at home two and one 96 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:22,840 Speaker 2: to the under. The only game that went over was 97 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 2: Western Kentucky, where they scored sixty three points, much like 98 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:29,479 Speaker 2: Penn State. Ohio State three points, seven points, ten points, 99 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 2: fourteen points, seventeen points and seven points given up defensively. 100 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 2: Five and one to the under up against real good teams, 101 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 2: I mean, Notre Dame under Purdue, under Maryland under Indiana 102 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:44,960 Speaker 2: under what am I betting under? 103 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:46,919 Speaker 1: Forty five and a half? 104 00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 2: This does lean towards the dog in Penn State covering 105 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 2: a five and a half point spread. Okay, but I 106 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:55,719 Speaker 2: think Penn State's defense is really good. I love the 107 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 2: start time here at noon Eastern for the under. I 108 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:01,920 Speaker 2: think as long long as we don't see pick sixes 109 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:05,359 Speaker 2: and kick returns for touchdowns, I think will be good. 110 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 2: I do think Penn State's got a shot to win 111 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,839 Speaker 2: the game, but only if we're talking like a twenty 112 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:13,920 Speaker 2: to seventeen type of matchup. Okay, for this game is 113 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:17,039 Speaker 2: getting in the twenties, that's real bad news for Penn State. Okay. 114 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:20,239 Speaker 2: You gotta keep Ohio State under. Ohio State's team total 115 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:24,840 Speaker 2: I believe is twenty six. No, it's twenty three, twenty 116 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 2: four and a half something like that. Gotta keep Ohio 117 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 2: State under their team total. You can do that, this 118 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 2: game will go under. I don't like Penn State's offense, 119 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 2: not against Ohio State's defense under forty five and a 120 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:38,720 Speaker 2: half one point one units. Penn State and Ohio State 121 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 2: bet number two. Let's go to Alabama at Tennessee. This 122 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:47,799 Speaker 2: is a three thirty Eastern time kickoff the third Saturday 123 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 2: in October. Alabama Tennessee. This is a holiday in the South. Tremendous, 124 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 2: tremendous game, legendary, long time, long time rivalry. 125 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:56,960 Speaker 1: They hate each other. 126 00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 2: Alabama lost last year to Tennessee on the road payback 127 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 2: time here for the Crimson Tide numbers eight and a 128 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 2: half Bama four and three ats Tennessee four and two 129 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 2: ats Alabama's two and two at home Tennessee one and one. 130 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:12,320 Speaker 1: On the road last week, Alabama did not. 131 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 2: Cover against Arkansas, mostly because they were just playing around 132 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 2: in the second half and they kept Arkansas in the 133 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:19,960 Speaker 2: game for some dumb reason. One by three, laying nineteen, 134 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 2: they went two. A and M laid two and a half. 135 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 2: One by six they went two. Mississippi State laid sixteen 136 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 2: and a half won by twenty three. They were home 137 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 2: against Ole Miss laid seven. They won by fourteen. Now Tennessee, 138 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 2: on the other hand, whereas at home against A and 139 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 2: M last week they won by seven impressive. A and 140 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 2: M kind of gave that game away though South Carolina 141 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 2: they won by twenty one points. At home UTSA laying 142 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 2: twenty four, they won by thirty one. They've played one 143 00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 2: game on the road Tennessee has against Florida, laying five. 144 00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:53,200 Speaker 2: They lost by thirteen. That's not good. Here's the thing. 145 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 2: I think this is the game in which Alabama offensively 146 00:07:57,240 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 2: puts it all together. 147 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 1: I think Jalen Milroe will play really well. Today. 148 00:08:01,760 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 2: Bama's offense is scoring thirty points a game. Okay, that's 149 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 2: forty fourth best in the country. They're running the ball well, 150 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 2: not awesome, but well three point eight yards per rush 151 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 2: eighty second best in the country. Tennessee's defense is tough 152 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:18,119 Speaker 2: to run on, however, I do think what Jalen Mirroll 153 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 2: is being able to run the ball. I think they'll 154 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:22,119 Speaker 2: be able to move with the ball. Bama's been throwing 155 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:24,920 Speaker 2: the ball better than people think, including me. Nine point 156 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 2: five yards per pass play. That's tenth best in the country. 157 00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 2: Tennessee's pass defense is pretty good, but they've played nobody. 158 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 2: They really haven't played anybody in particularly on the road 159 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 2: up against a team like Alabama. On the other side, 160 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 2: Bama's defense is starting to play pretty well. They're third 161 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 2: in opposing rushing yards sorry, eighth in appos rushing yards, 162 00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:45,560 Speaker 2: three point zero yards per rush, six point two plays 163 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 2: per pass play. This is a typical Nick Saban team, right, 164 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:51,920 Speaker 2: everyone writes them off. They lose to Texas. I write 165 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:53,960 Speaker 2: them off. So they're going to lose two three four 166 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 2: games even you know, I thought they lose two games. 167 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:58,480 Speaker 2: I thought they have two losses. By now, heading towards Tennessee, 168 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,199 Speaker 2: and then I would have taken the ball. Beama didn't 169 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:03,959 Speaker 2: do that. Bama circle with the wagons, Bama starting to 170 00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:07,439 Speaker 2: play well. Nick Saban's got an opportunity here. Not loving 171 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 2: the quarterback play for Tennessee, not loving who the defense 172 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 2: is faced on the road in Tuscaloosa. I'm laying the 173 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 2: eight and a half points Alabama minus eight and a half, 174 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 2: one point one units. One game off the beaten path, 175 00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 2: Georgia State at Louisiana matt Really Night game, eight o'clock Eastern. 176 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:33,440 Speaker 2: George State's five and one, the Cajuns are four and two. 177 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 2: Georgia State coming off of a forty one forty one 178 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 2: to twenty four win over Marshall. We were waiting on this. 179 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 2: When would Georgia State go back on the road. 180 00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:45,120 Speaker 1: Why? 181 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 2: Because Georgia State in conference play is nine to one 182 00:09:49,679 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 2: ats over their last ten games. 183 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 1: They're a dog. 184 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 2: They're catching three and a half points on the road 185 00:09:56,679 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 2: against Louisiana. Been waiting, been waiting, and now we get it. 186 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:08,320 Speaker 2: Road dog Georgia State up against the conference opponent. I 187 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 2: think the Panthers can win this game outright, but I'll 188 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 2: take the plus three and a half. Georgia State's four 189 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 2: and one ATS in their last five games on the road, 190 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 2: nine to one in their last ten road games in 191 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 2: conference ATS. This is sort of a trend play. I'm 192 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 2: not gonna break it down, just a trend play here 193 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:35,680 Speaker 2: plus three and a half Georgia State at Louisiana one 194 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:39,520 Speaker 2: point one units. And finally for college football, we're gonna 195 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 2: go here to where I live. UNLV gonna go against 196 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 2: a trend here. UNLV is six and oh ats, they're 197 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 2: right at home Allegiance Stadium. Here comes Colorado State. This 198 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:59,840 Speaker 2: is a big football game, CSUS three and three ATS. 199 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:04,080 Speaker 2: They've played on the road at Colorado. This environment will 200 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 2: not be like that. But these are two explosive offenses. 201 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 2: Colorado State scoring twenty nine points per game. UNLV is 202 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 2: scoring thirty six point two points per game. The passing 203 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 2: attack for UNLV is tremendous seven point six yards per 204 00:11:21,679 --> 00:11:25,400 Speaker 2: pass play. This defense, we saw it against Colorado. The 205 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 2: Rams give up big plays one hundred and twelve passing 206 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 2: yards per play, posing yards per pass play eight point five. 207 00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 2: They give up three hundred and twenty three point six 208 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:40,120 Speaker 2: passing yards per game. But on the other side, UNLV 209 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:44,040 Speaker 2: gives up two hundred and ninety five passing yards per game. 210 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 2: U and V is giving up one hundred and seventeen 211 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:50,959 Speaker 2: rushing yards per game. Colorado State's giving up one hundred 212 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 2: and sixty one point four rushing yards per game. You 213 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 2: want to talk about overs in this game, it's sixty 214 00:11:56,840 --> 00:11:58,920 Speaker 2: one and a half. You want to say, Matt, this 215 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:00,120 Speaker 2: game is gonna fly over. 216 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 1: I don't blame you. I'm betting the over. 217 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 2: Okay, five point five and one to the over Colorado 218 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 2: State four and two to the over UNLV. However, I'm 219 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:14,400 Speaker 2: a little concerned that Colorado State might actually win this 220 00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 2: game going away. I'm a little concerned about UNLV and 221 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:22,560 Speaker 2: their offense, a little concern just because of what we've 222 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:26,240 Speaker 2: seen as to who they have played. Scoring thirty one 223 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 2: points against Boise last week for CSU was impressive. They 224 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 2: gave up thirty but they scored thirty one. They were 225 00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 2: able to score twenty four points against Utah State, but 226 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 2: they gave up forty four points. That's not good, but 227 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,560 Speaker 2: the scored twenty four. Ag gets a pretty good defense. They 228 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,920 Speaker 2: played Colorado and they scored thirty five on them. They 229 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:48,079 Speaker 2: played Washington State, they scored twenty four on them. Here's 230 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 2: my problem for UNLV. Nevada bad. They scored forty five, 231 00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 2: gave up twenty seven, Hawaii bad. They scored forty four, 232 00:12:57,000 --> 00:13:01,200 Speaker 2: they gave up twenty. Utep bad, scored forty five, gave 233 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:05,920 Speaker 2: up twenty eight. Vanderbilt forty thirty seven. They won, But 234 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:09,680 Speaker 2: Vanity's not very good. They won that game at home Michigan. 235 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:13,080 Speaker 2: They scored seven, yeah, gave up thirty five. Against Bryant, 236 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 2: they scored forty four, gave up fourteen. I think seven 237 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:19,439 Speaker 2: and a half points is too heavy. I think it's 238 00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 2: too heavy. I'm gonna take the seven and a half. 239 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:24,960 Speaker 2: Colorado State. You want to bet the over sixty one 240 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:28,000 Speaker 2: and a half. Don't hate it, okay, not at all. 241 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 2: Just worry that if UNLV scores I don't know, twenty 242 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 2: four points and it's a twenty eight to twenty four game, 243 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 2: it's a back and forth battle. But CSU wins the 244 00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:43,560 Speaker 2: game and UNLV doesn't. It just doesn't get there. It 245 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:45,600 Speaker 2: gets to like fifty eight, fifty nine to sixty, doesn't 246 00:13:45,640 --> 00:13:49,079 Speaker 2: get to sixty two. That's my concern. I think you're good, 247 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 2: but they've been some movement on the under. It was 248 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 2: sixty two and a half at one point, now at 249 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 2: sixty one and a half. I'm a little concerned about 250 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:57,600 Speaker 2: the pros coming in and betting me under for that reason, 251 00:13:57,640 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 2: because they think CSU is live dog in the under. 252 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:03,320 Speaker 1: Maybe I think. 253 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 2: It's safer to play the dog plus seven and a half. 254 00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:09,720 Speaker 2: That hook matters. Don't do seven seven and a half, Okay, 255 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 2: I care about that hook U and LV. I don't 256 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 2: think they go to seven and oats. They may win 257 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 2: the game, game. 258 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:16,960 Speaker 1: May go over. 259 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:19,800 Speaker 2: Don't mind. You know you don't have the money line 260 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,280 Speaker 2: or over. Don't mind those two bets. I'm on the 261 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 2: over already, but efficiently taking the dog plus the points 262 00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 2: plus seven and a half for you for Coloro Estate 263 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:35,360 Speaker 2: on the road at UNLV. Okay, if you want other 264 00:14:35,560 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 2: bets for college football, let's see what else if I 265 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 2: bet here, Oh, Minnesota, Iowa. Okay, I'm betting it. I 266 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 2: can't make you guys bet it. Okay, I just it's 267 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,320 Speaker 2: the lowest total. If it closes at thirty and a half, 268 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:57,000 Speaker 2: it's the lowest total in the history of non military schools. 269 00:14:57,800 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 1: Seriously, thirty and a half. 270 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 2: I bet the under just because I can't recommend it 271 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 2: for you guys, because it could easily go over. Seventeen 272 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 2: fourteen is a loss. Okay, that's insanity, but it is 273 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 2: seventeen fourteen is a loss for Iowa Minnesota. So if 274 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 2: you want to suffer through something else, you want extra 275 00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 2: under thirty and a half Iowa and Minnesota. I did 276 00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 2: that total? Is I can I get over that total? Wisconsin? 277 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 2: Illinois under that game as well? Forty and a half 278 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:27,280 Speaker 2: under in that game? You want to jump in on that. 279 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 2: Let's oh see, iow how many Minnesota games? I know 280 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 2: Io was only going over two times, but Minnesota has 281 00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 2: gone over three times, so a little more. You know, 282 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:41,640 Speaker 2: Minnesota's gone over. The lost three games Northwestern Louisiana and Michigan, 283 00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:45,480 Speaker 2: losing thirty four thirty seven, winning thirty five to twenty four, 284 00:15:45,640 --> 00:15:49,560 Speaker 2: and losing fifty two to ten. So not really interested 285 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 2: in getting that official. But if you want it thirty 286 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 2: and a half under, there's another bet for you guys 287 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 2: on that. Okay, one hockey play to give you, guys. 288 00:15:57,080 --> 00:16:01,560 Speaker 2: Stars are at home ottenjer Is in Net. Whenever we 289 00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:04,600 Speaker 2: have the Stars at home and atenders in Net, I'm 290 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:08,600 Speaker 2: gonna bet under it's six. The Flyers are three and 291 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 2: one to the under this season so far. The Stars 292 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 2: are three and oh to the under so far this year. 293 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 2: Ottenders in net. When that happens, I'm taking six. I'm 294 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:24,480 Speaker 2: going under under six Mice won ten Stars and the 295 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 2: Flyers for one point one units. Okay, there's the one 296 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:33,480 Speaker 2: official play for hockey if you want extra. Avalanche team 297 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:37,680 Speaker 2: total over three and a half up against the Carolina Hurricanes. 298 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 2: Fredrickson is in net here today for Carolina. That is well, 299 00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:47,440 Speaker 2: he's been he's been confirmed, it's expected. Okay, hopefully it's Anderson, 300 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:51,800 Speaker 2: Frederick Anderson. Frederickson was combining his name Anderson. He's been 301 00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 2: giving up goals like crazy for Carolina. I've been scoring 302 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 2: that crazy game over. I don't mind, but I'd rather 303 00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:01,320 Speaker 2: do team total Avalanche after watching them play at home 304 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 2: in the last game, they were flying. 305 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:04,680 Speaker 1: Their offenses just so potent. 306 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:08,159 Speaker 2: Over three and a half for team total for the 307 00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 2: Avalanche and puck line or under either bet for the 308 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:16,680 Speaker 2: Vegas Golden Knights. Under six and a half for Vegas 309 00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 2: mins one thirty two is not horrible. Five and oh 310 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:22,879 Speaker 2: of the under for the Blackhawks. So far this season, 311 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:25,920 Speaker 2: Vegas is four and one to the under and Hill 312 00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 2: is expected to start. I gotta see it's supposed to 313 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 2: be solder Bloom for Chicago. If it's solder Bloom and 314 00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 2: it is uh, it is going to be Hill in net. 315 00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:40,520 Speaker 2: I might add that under. There's a possibility that's a 316 00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:43,359 Speaker 2: five o'clock Pacific time start, eight pm Eastern times start. 317 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:47,040 Speaker 2: Depending on how the day goes, there could be an ad. 318 00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 2: I may add another bet and have it be six 319 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 2: official plays, because I mean Vegas in Chicago under six 320 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:54,640 Speaker 2: and a half should be pretty good. 321 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:56,160 Speaker 1: Okay, that's if. 322 00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 2: It's Hill in solder Bloom, it should be good. But 323 00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:01,240 Speaker 2: you can that is a play I will make later 324 00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 2: in the day most likely, but or maybe make an 325 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:06,080 Speaker 2: official puck line also for Vegas. 326 00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:08,399 Speaker 1: I may jump in on that. Although Vegas is very 327 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 1: good on the puck line. 328 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 2: Then four and one, but the black Hawks are three 329 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:13,600 Speaker 2: and two, so I'm a little bit concerned about a 330 00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,640 Speaker 2: one goal win for Vegas maybe being like a three 331 00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 2: to two win for Vegas. With the home opener for Chicago, 332 00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 2: a lot of hype, a lot of excitement. That building's 333 00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:25,720 Speaker 2: gonna be buzzing for Connor Berdard, maybe over on a 334 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 2: shot prop for Connor Berdard if you want to jump 335 00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:28,399 Speaker 2: in on that. 336 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,040 Speaker 1: So a lot of things in action. 337 00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:34,320 Speaker 2: Finally, I think the main event for UFC two ninety four. 338 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,600 Speaker 2: I've been so bad betting combat sports. I'm not betting it, 339 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 2: but I think that there's two bets you could seriously 340 00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:44,359 Speaker 2: make and feel pretty good about it, just depending on 341 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:46,479 Speaker 2: the juice and how you go and search it around. 342 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 2: But I think if you look at and I hate 343 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:53,600 Speaker 2: the boost here, but Makacheff and Shamaiev to win, Fandel 344 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:55,399 Speaker 2: has boosted it to plus one thirty. 345 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 1: It should be minus one twenty. 346 00:18:56,560 --> 00:19:00,119 Speaker 2: It should be plus one thirty normally boosts I hate, 347 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:03,800 Speaker 2: But I don't know. I think Markachev's could beat Volganovski, 348 00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 2: but I'm not positive. I would prefer that fight inside 349 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:09,560 Speaker 2: the distance that it won't go to the cards for 350 00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 2: either fighter, because I'm not sure about Volkanovski's overall conditioning. 351 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:16,800 Speaker 2: Taking a fight on twelve days notice, so I'm not 352 00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:19,480 Speaker 2: sure he cut twenty six and a half pounds in 353 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:23,480 Speaker 2: eleven days. Twenty six and a half pounds in eleven days. 354 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 2: That kills your stamina. I don't care who you are, 355 00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:29,359 Speaker 2: you're a human being. That kills your stamina. So I 356 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:31,600 Speaker 2: think folk might try to stop the fight early, get 357 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:34,480 Speaker 2: it done, and if not, Makajeff might submit him early. 358 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:36,719 Speaker 2: So I don't think that fight goes to the distance 359 00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:38,879 Speaker 2: like it did the first time. So that fight inside 360 00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 2: the distance or not to go to the cards. That's 361 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,479 Speaker 2: minus one twenty four for that fight not to go 362 00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:47,200 Speaker 2: to the cards. That's a good play. 363 00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:47,880 Speaker 1: I like that. 364 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:50,920 Speaker 2: I might make that personally, I'm not sure, but again 365 00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:53,400 Speaker 2: I'm not great at combat sports, so we're not making 366 00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:53,920 Speaker 2: this official. 367 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 1: And then in the co main. 368 00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:58,800 Speaker 2: Event with Jamayav against Uzman, I think Jamaiav is gonna 369 00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:02,000 Speaker 2: stop Uzman. I think Uzman taking the fight on short notice. 370 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 1: I don't like it. 371 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,359 Speaker 2: The fight not going the distance is minus two to 372 00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:07,639 Speaker 2: ten if you want to get on that. The under 373 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,600 Speaker 2: in the fight is minus one sixty for two and 374 00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 2: a half rounds. I'd rather have inside the distance. But 375 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,119 Speaker 2: you also could have method of victory here if you want. 376 00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:21,760 Speaker 2: For Tamayav, some books would offer everything except winning by points. 377 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:25,000 Speaker 2: That's a bet I would like for cosmetic schim. For 378 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:29,840 Speaker 2: uh Chamaiav, I think he wins in beats. Comrade Ouz 379 00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:32,399 Speaker 2: month into the distance, so there you go. Take what 380 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 2: you want out of those places. Officially, I gave you 381 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:36,240 Speaker 2: a lot. Maybe I'll go back and listen to this 382 00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:41,080 Speaker 2: podcast more than once. Officially our plays are Penn State, 383 00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 2: Ohio State under forty five and a half, Georgia State 384 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:47,000 Speaker 2: plus three and a half on the road at Louisiana 385 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:50,160 Speaker 2: Alabama minus eight and a half at home against Tennessee, 386 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:54,359 Speaker 2: Colorad State on the road at UNLV plus seven and 387 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:59,200 Speaker 2: a half. Stars in the Flyers under six one point 388 00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:03,040 Speaker 2: one units on all those plays here five official plays 389 00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:06,080 Speaker 2: five point five units in play for us here on 390 00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:09,439 Speaker 2: a Saturday. Hopefully we have a good Saturday. Had a 391 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,800 Speaker 2: bad Saturday last weekend. Let's hopefully have a good Saturday. 392 00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:13,880 Speaker 2: Let's see what my college football record is real fast 393 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 2: before we run here. Official college football record so far 394 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:22,960 Speaker 2: for the twenty twenty three year is. 395 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:25,720 Speaker 1: Thirty three and nineteen. 396 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 2: So far, we're up twelve units in college football, so 397 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:30,720 Speaker 2: let's hopefully let's add to that, let's have a good Saturday. 398 00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:35,359 Speaker 2: Hockey is yeah, well, it's the whole calendar year so 399 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,879 Speaker 2: far for the calendar year one hundred and six and 400 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:41,560 Speaker 2: ninety six, fifty two point five percent of the time 401 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,320 Speaker 2: we're up four point four to seven units in hockey, 402 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,480 Speaker 2: although that would be no, we lost that bet last night. 403 00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:47,040 Speaker 1: So that's not correct it. 404 00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 2: So it will be three point four to seven three point 405 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:55,520 Speaker 2: three seven that were up in hockey. So baseball amazingly enough, Baseball, 406 00:21:55,560 --> 00:22:00,719 Speaker 2: we're gonna go. We're one thirty in one twenty two. Incredible. 407 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 2: We're up point zero eight in baseball. As I said, 408 00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:05,720 Speaker 2: if I can get to the whole baseball year being 409 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:09,120 Speaker 2: flat not lose any money, that is the goal. 410 00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,800 Speaker 1: We're almost there. My name is Matt Parology. 411 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:13,600 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me on socials at Sports Talk 412 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 2: Matt every morning, the Daily Juice podcast, Let's have a 413 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:19,320 Speaker 2: good Saturday here. Omaha Steaks dot com the title sponsor 414 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 2: for US Bettingpros dot com slash Chat to get into 415 00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:26,280 Speaker 2: the Discord channel. Daily Juice every morning being brought to 416 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:41,760 Speaker 2: you by olmah Steaks dot com