1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Jonathan Ferrow, along 3 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 2: with Lisa Bromwitz and Amrie Hordern. Join us each day 4 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 2: for insight from the best in markets, economics, and geopolitics 5 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 2: from our global headquarters in New York City. We are 6 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:27,680 Speaker 2: live on Bloomberg Television weekday mornings from six to nine 7 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:31,319 Speaker 2: am Eastern. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify or 8 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 2: anywhere else you listen, and as always on the Bloomberg 9 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 2: Terminal and the Bloomberg Business app. So here's the latest 10 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 2: the dollar weeker. As investors' reprice bets on a second 11 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 2: Trump presidency. Kitchooks assault writing a Trump clean sweep and 12 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 2: a Harris win without a clean sweep remains the two 13 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 2: most likely outcomes in our view, and equally likely, these 14 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 2: are the most bullish and most bearerush outcomes to the dollar, respectively. 15 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 2: Kit joined us now for more so, Kit, I've known 16 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 2: you long enough to say unhelpful. 17 00:00:58,920 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 3: What are you telling people to do? 18 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 4: You know? 19 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 5: I was thinking about it. It's a bit like the 20 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 5: sort of the Brexit story in terms of whether we're 21 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:10,319 Speaker 5: going to have a hard Brexit or not back in 22 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:14,280 Speaker 5: twenty twenty, when you know, you really have to be 23 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 5: careful about where to go. I think, look, I think 24 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 5: we have to be sort of conscious of the fact 25 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:21,760 Speaker 5: that at the moment what we're doing is seeing bets 26 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 5: get taken off. The market got excited about the possibility 27 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 5: of Trump victory, and the treasury market sold off, the 28 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 5: dollar rallied. We're giving up back some of that, I 29 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 5: think in terms of the places where the market has 30 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:40,960 Speaker 5: skew in its pricing, I think, if Trump doesn't win, 31 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 5: or if by some chance he didn't get a clean sweep, 32 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 5: because that's very important as well, then currencies like the 33 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 5: Australian dollar where they decided not to cut rates this 34 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 5: morning and where are they don't look like cutting rates 35 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 5: this year? You know, that looks like an undervalued currency 36 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 5: on any scenario other than kind of you know, the 37 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 5: most aggressive Trumpian Trumpian one in terms of fiscal expansion 38 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 5: in the United States, tariffs on China, and maybe even 39 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,360 Speaker 5: only a modest Chinese policy response to that. So the 40 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:14,799 Speaker 5: Australian dollar might be the outlier. But if you said 41 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 5: that the yen is going to follow where bond yields 42 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 5: are going to go almost regardless. Then frankly, Trump wins 43 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 5: with a clean sweep, dolly En might be at one 44 00:02:22,800 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 5: hundred and sixty and Trump a dozen Harris wins without 45 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 5: a clean sweep, dolly En might be breaking towards one 46 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 5: hundred and forty. So it's just a massive gamble that's 47 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 5: very hard for people to cope with, and they have 48 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,640 Speaker 5: to hold tight until we see if we're going to 49 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:37,920 Speaker 5: get a result tomorrow morning, but. 50 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:40,919 Speaker 1: Kit long term, if it isn't Trump win or potentially 51 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 1: this clean sweep scenario where Congress going red as well. 52 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:45,800 Speaker 1: Trump has talked about the fact that he wants a 53 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: week or dollar. 54 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:47,639 Speaker 4: How do you. 55 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 6: Be able to measure. 56 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,919 Speaker 1: Both of these basically conflicting results. 57 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 5: No, you know, the dollars strong because the United States 58 00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 5: has had exceptional fiscal policy because the US can as 59 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:01,799 Speaker 5: it's a lot of bonds, and bondy oards have been higher. 60 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 5: And of the strength of the fiscal stance in the 61 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 5: US compared to everything we've done in Europe is that 62 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:09,960 Speaker 5: it has helped the economy outgrow the rest of the 63 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:13,399 Speaker 5: world spectacularly. Trump wants more growth. He wants to put 64 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 5: taris in place to get more people into manufacturing jobs 65 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 5: in the United States. Okay, at a starting point of 66 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 5: pretty low unemployment already, he can't have that much cake 67 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 5: and eat it in terms of an economy that's going 68 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 5: to be even stronger with fiscal policy continuing to be 69 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 5: accommodative and have a weak currency because in the end, 70 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 5: his biggest the biggest threat Trump is going to be 71 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 5: inflation on what we've heard so far, so we'd have 72 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 5: to change some of his policies if he wanted a 73 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 5: week a dollar you We'll see how it plays out. 74 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 5: But you get the currency your policies give you, not 75 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 5: the currencies you want. 76 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 4: It. 77 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 3: Kid, when you. 78 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: Look at why the financial markets changed, was it because 79 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 1: of the pulling out of Iowa? Or is because they're 80 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:59,040 Speaker 1: basically a little bit nervous that they got two over 81 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: their skis. When it comes to the Trump trade. 82 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 5: I think that if you looked at the dollar index 83 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 5: and you plotted it against the betting odds from real 84 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 5: clear politics and how they were going in favor of Trump, 85 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:19,359 Speaker 5: they moved very closely together. So the betting odds have 86 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:22,280 Speaker 5: moved back in line with the opinion polls in the 87 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:26,799 Speaker 5: last week less than a week really, and Iowa played 88 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 5: a part of that, and I think that's certainly seen 89 00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 5: people taking not his beds off, perhaps in the betting space, 90 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 5: but taking some of those trades off. And so when 91 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 5: we look today as if we're closer to a market 92 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 5: that genuinely doesn't know what's going to happen, and maybe 93 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 5: that's the right place for it to be. 94 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,160 Speaker 4: Which raises this question kit how violent could the reaction 95 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 4: be in markets after we get some sort of results, 96 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:50,600 Speaker 4: given that everyone's going to be racing to it, no 97 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 4: one really had an edge. Yesterday Mike Wilson of Morgan 98 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:55,359 Speaker 4: Stanley was talking about how he sees a clearing event 99 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 4: coming after we get the results from this, and the clearing. 100 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:00,480 Speaker 6: Event could last a month. 101 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 4: How violent of a clearing event could it be if 102 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 4: we get a decisive response results one way or another 103 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 4: in the base cases that you laid out, No. 104 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 5: You know, just if you just tracked from the poles, 105 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 5: so from Harris entering the poles and then Trump sort 106 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:20,840 Speaker 5: of coming back, and then where we are now we're 107 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:22,359 Speaker 5: sort of one o seven one oh one in the 108 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 5: dollar index. I imagine that a sudden sort of you know, 109 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 5: when you're not sure you get through those levels that 110 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 5: seems to me most likely outcome. So it's pretty fun 111 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 5: again if I look at dolly En in terms of that, 112 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 5: you know, the violence of a dolly In move depends 113 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 5: on how much treasury yields can move. 114 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:41,480 Speaker 3: But we've had a big. 115 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 5: Sell off at the long end of the treasury market 116 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 5: on concerns about more accommodative fiscal policy, increased bond supply, 117 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 5: and some inflation worries. If you if you had a 118 00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 5: scenario where those melt away, you know, the treasury market's 119 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,359 Speaker 5: pretty bearish at the moment in terms of sentiments. So 120 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 5: a snap back rally there, what that could do, what 121 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 5: that could do to the end is very striking. So 122 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 5: right the way across the piece, we're not you know, 123 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:11,480 Speaker 5: I don't think we can avoid having a pretty violent reaction. 124 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 5: And history says, you know, we sometimes overshoot and then 125 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 5: come back and settle down and decide that we'll have 126 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:19,640 Speaker 5: a look because there'll be so many more questions. I mean, 127 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 5: we have to sort of put in sort of minor 128 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 5: adjustments in the sense of, you know, whether someone has 129 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,800 Speaker 5: a clean sweep or not is very important how it looks, 130 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 5: and then we're going to work out whether either president 131 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:35,720 Speaker 5: can get what they want through Congress, irrespective of what 132 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 5: that looks like, so that there'll be lots more questions. 133 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 5: But I think the initial reaction is likely to be 134 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 5: pretty big really, just because we're caught where we are. 135 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 4: Kid, Are you watching the election from Mexico City? 136 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:53,040 Speaker 5: I am not watching the election from Mexico City. No, 137 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 5: that would be that would be too exciting. But yes, 138 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 5: you know, you look at the impact on the end, 139 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 5: on the Australian dollar, on the Mexican play, so on 140 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 5: all of Latin America really, you know, in fact, for once, 141 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 5: Europe is likely to be less affected I think than 142 00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 5: the rest of the world. That doesn't mean it doesn't 143 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 5: have an impact yet. But the big story is Asia 144 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 5: and Latin America. 145 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 2: Interesting kit afreciateitsor kit chooks of such chin. We begin 146 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 2: this out with stocks on hold and the last they're 147 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 2: voting in America. Cameron Dawson of New Edge right to 148 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 2: the following. Given how tight poles and odds are, we 149 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 2: see the election as a source of near term volatility. 150 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 3: Regardless of the result. 151 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 2: Each side has boogeyman that could spook markets. Cameron joins 152 00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 2: us now to talk about those men. Cameron, who are 153 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 2: those men? 154 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 7: All those men certainly are things like hired deficits, higher 155 00:07:57,240 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 7: corporate taxes, tariffs and immigration. And I think Amory's point 156 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 7: was really important is that if we think of the 157 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:06,680 Speaker 7: tariffs line of things, it doesn't necessarily matter about the 158 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 7: makeup of Congress that we could see them if Trump 159 00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:12,240 Speaker 7: is elected, which is certainly some of the questions that 160 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 7: you've seen raised by the bond market and considering potentially 161 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 7: stickier inflation. So we think regardless of who wins tonight 162 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 7: or whenever we get those results, it effectively is going 163 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:26,440 Speaker 7: to be a surprise because those polls are so very tight, 164 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:28,360 Speaker 7: which means that it could be a. 165 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 6: Volatility inducing event. 166 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,559 Speaker 7: I think it's important to note though, that markets aren't 167 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 7: necessarily primed for volatility to continue. You've seen a huge 168 00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 7: buying of put options for the vicks, effectively people betting 169 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 7: on volatility collapsing post the election. So again, this could 170 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:47,079 Speaker 7: simply be a surprise, and it could cause that higher 171 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 7: volatility given the fact that people aren't necessarily positioned for it. 172 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:52,320 Speaker 4: I want to pick up on that point because you 173 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 4: see this across a range of different volatility metrics. Basically 174 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 4: people expect volatility, price swings to really peak tomorrow and 175 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,680 Speaker 4: then appsolutely fade off as we get results and go 176 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:05,360 Speaker 4: back to some sort of status quo. From your advantage point, 177 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:09,080 Speaker 4: how much are you looking to actually take advantage of 178 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 4: something that could be more significant? How off sides would 179 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 4: this market be, and what would you do with that? 180 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:18,480 Speaker 7: We always try to see volatility as opportunity, and i'd 181 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 7: raise the question of if we would be seeing this 182 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 7: volatility even if this wasn't election day. If you look 183 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 7: at things like S and P five hundred, momentum and breadth, 184 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,839 Speaker 7: they've all been deteriorating over the last month. 185 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 6: You've also seen a deterioration in forward earnings estimates. 186 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 7: You've seen estimates for four Q as well as twenty 187 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 7: twenty five get cut and trimmed. 188 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 6: So I would raise the question of if we could 189 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:42,319 Speaker 6: have this. 190 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:46,080 Speaker 7: Volatility even if this was not election day, simply because 191 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 7: you have a lot of digestion of the strong gains 192 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 7: that we've had here to date and kind of putting 193 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 7: some of the seasonality aside. Given that deterioration and breadth 194 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 7: and momentum, that just sets you up for a little 195 00:09:57,400 --> 00:09:58,320 Speaker 7: bit more churn. 196 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 4: At this point, Cameron, you have to understand. I have 197 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:03,719 Speaker 4: to understand and I don't understand exactly how much we've 198 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 4: already priced in some of these trades, what these trades 199 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 4: actually are, and thinking in particular in the bond market, 200 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 4: people have been wondering, you strip out the political influence, 201 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:13,040 Speaker 4: what does a ten year yield look like? 202 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:14,080 Speaker 3: Do you have a sense of that. 203 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 7: Well, we do know that there has been a relationship, 204 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 7: whether it's correlation causation is up for debate between Trump's 205 00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 7: ogs of winning and the tenure treasury yield over the 206 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 7: last three months or so. That certainly broke down at 207 00:10:28,040 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 7: the end of last week, where Trump's betting ods started 208 00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:33,319 Speaker 7: to fall and you still saw the tenure treasury yield 209 00:10:33,320 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 7: moving higher. We think the source of that ten yere 210 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 7: treasury yield moving higher really comes down to the bond 211 00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 7: market digesting the fact that you have a relatively resilient 212 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 7: economy that is supported by higher deficit spending at the 213 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:50,080 Speaker 7: same time as you have a FED that's talking about 214 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:53,600 Speaker 7: potentially hundreds of basis points of cuts to get to 215 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:56,920 Speaker 7: their idea of neutral, which could have the potential of 216 00:10:56,960 --> 00:11:00,319 Speaker 7: effectively throwing lighter fluid on some of this tightness within 217 00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 7: the economy, the fact that you still have overall easy 218 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:07,080 Speaker 7: financial conditions as well, and that seems to be the 219 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 7: reason why you're seeing these bond yields move higher. 220 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:12,480 Speaker 6: Not necessarily the election or just the election. 221 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 3: The wise important, Cameron. 222 00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:16,400 Speaker 2: The wy is important because I think it dictates how 223 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 2: to trid equity to some extent at least. Would you 224 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 2: say yields have been rising then for good reasons and 225 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 2: not bad, and is a reason to stay long equity markets. 226 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,600 Speaker 6: I think the answer to that is in high yield spreads. 227 00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:32,040 Speaker 7: If yields were rising for bad reasons, that the FED 228 00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 7: was tightening policy and it would eventually result in much 229 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 7: weaker growth, you would see high yield spreads widening out. 230 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 7: But they continue to remain very contained and actually making 231 00:11:41,559 --> 00:11:44,040 Speaker 7: new year to date lows, which says to us, this 232 00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:47,559 Speaker 7: is not a market that is necessarily in fear of growth. 233 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 6: It's not priced for a growth slowdown. 234 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 7: Now you could see that as a risk going into 235 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:55,280 Speaker 7: twenty twenty five if you start to see a deterioration. 236 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 6: In economic fundamentals. 237 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 7: But effectively, the credit market is telling you that yields 238 00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:03,120 Speaker 7: are rising because growth is resilient, So watch those hygyield 239 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:04,160 Speaker 7: spreads very closely. 240 00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:06,200 Speaker 2: Would you expect you to remain that way even if 241 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 2: we got a sweep from the GOP in the next 242 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:09,119 Speaker 2: twenty four hours. 243 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:13,080 Speaker 7: I don't necessarily know if any of the of the 244 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 7: policies that would be enacted by a GEOP sweep would 245 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 7: necessarily affect growth in twenty twenty five. Let's put tariffs 246 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:22,840 Speaker 7: and potentially emigration to a side, because that is certainly 247 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 7: something we could see without. 248 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:25,440 Speaker 6: A GEOP sweep. 249 00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:28,560 Speaker 7: But the question and the risk for a GOP sweep 250 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 7: really is something that's contemplated later in twenty five and 251 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:34,680 Speaker 7: into twenty six, where we will be negotiating those four 252 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:38,040 Speaker 7: trillion dollars of tax cuts, potentially adding a lot to 253 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 7: the deficit, which is certainly something that the bond markets 254 00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 7: might push back on. But that's not necessarily something that 255 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 7: we deal with in the next couple of months. 256 00:12:47,280 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 3: Cameron. 257 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:49,760 Speaker 4: A couple of months ago, people came on this show 258 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 4: talked a lot about how this could be a transformative event, 259 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,079 Speaker 4: how this could mark the difference in an economic cycle 260 00:12:55,160 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 4: with respect to inflation, with respect to growth. As we've 261 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:01,360 Speaker 4: gotten closer to the event, we'll advise, have you suddenly 262 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 4: people are saying, actually, we just need to get past 263 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:06,200 Speaker 4: it and whatever the results, things will keep on going 264 00:13:06,240 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 4: on the way they were before. 265 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:08,800 Speaker 6: Where do you fall on that? 266 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 7: The best news that we always try to bring clients 267 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 7: back to is that if you look historically that the 268 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:18,720 Speaker 7: S and P. Five hundred, regardless of the power balance 269 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 7: within DC, has been able to do what it does 270 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:24,679 Speaker 7: despite of or in spite of what goes on in DC. 271 00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:29,480 Speaker 7: And that's really good news, which just means that overall 272 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 7: corporate earnings have been able to operate in times regardless 273 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:36,479 Speaker 7: of uncertainty and pressures of what's going on within policy. 274 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:39,280 Speaker 7: And it's something that we always try to remind clients 275 00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 7: of just so that the way that they don't respond 276 00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 7: too emotionally to what is for many people a very 277 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 7: emotional election day. 278 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:48,920 Speaker 1: Kener, We know the markets like certainty, what if it 279 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:51,520 Speaker 1: is a contested election, what's going to be the impact? 280 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 7: Certainly that would be potentially a source of volatility. It's 281 00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 7: not necessarily volatility that would last for a long time. 282 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:02,640 Speaker 7: So it gets back to Jonathan's first question. If you 283 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:06,120 Speaker 7: do see volatility, is it biable? We think the answer 284 00:14:06,200 --> 00:14:09,160 Speaker 7: is yes, that as you start to digest some of this, 285 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 7: these deteriorations and breadth and momentum that could be happening 286 00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:15,840 Speaker 7: regardless of the election. You get the narrative of uncertainty 287 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:18,760 Speaker 7: behind it. Then you set up for effectively a great 288 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 7: buying opportunity into year end with that potential Santa Claus 289 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:25,359 Speaker 7: rally and year in chase. So a source of volatility, 290 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 7: not necessarily a source of investment decision. 291 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 2: A good framework for thinking about this market into your 292 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,960 Speaker 2: end and beyond. Cameron, Thank you, Cameron Dawson of New 293 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 2: Edge Wealth. Among big donors at the final stages of 294 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 2: the campaign, one wealthy individual supporting cameras is Mark Cuban, 295 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 2: the minority owner of the Dallas Mavericks. And I'm pleased 296 00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 2: to say that Mark joined us now. Mark, welcome to 297 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 2: the program. We spoke to a Trump campaign advisor a 298 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 2: little bit earlier this morning, and I want to start 299 00:14:57,560 --> 00:14:59,800 Speaker 2: with you in a similar way that I started with him, 300 00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 2: which is basically, I'm waking up this morning, I'm a 301 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:05,720 Speaker 2: Swings state votes, I'm in Pennsylvania State, and i still 302 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 2: haven't decided who I'm going to vote for. And I'm 303 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,840 Speaker 2: thinking back to how Harris talked about in twenty nineteen 304 00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 2: that she wanted to Ben Franking. I understand she's changed 305 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 2: her mind, but I'm worried that she's a bit of 306 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 2: a shape shift, that she gets back into power and 307 00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 2: she'll change her mind again. 308 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 3: How do you settle those concerns? 309 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:23,440 Speaker 8: The world has changed since twenty nineteen. She's open minded, 310 00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 8: she's talked openly about the fact that she wants to 311 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 8: give dessending opinions a place at the table with her. 312 00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 8: She's not dogmatic, that's how you explain it. And she's 313 00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:34,840 Speaker 8: looking to put together the best policy. She's said in 314 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 8: twenty twenty that she supported fracking, So I think that's 315 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 8: a non issue. And in terms of you know, is 316 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:43,200 Speaker 8: she just an extension of Biden? Just look at Biden's 317 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 8: budget proposal versus what Kamala Harris has actually proposed. Biden 318 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 8: wanted much higher taxes. Kamala Harris came in twenty eight 319 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:53,840 Speaker 8: percent for tax rate for cap gains in twenty eight 320 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 8: percent for corporation and did not say a word and 321 00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,200 Speaker 8: will not say a word about unrealized capital gains. And 322 00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:02,840 Speaker 8: so I think she's completely different. She's not a shape 323 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 8: shift in the least bit. 324 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 1: Well, that individual we were speaking to Scott Bessant, this 325 00:16:07,200 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 1: key economic policy advisor to the Trump campaign, says that 326 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 1: Harris what he hears from a lot of Wall Street journals, 327 00:16:14,040 --> 00:16:17,480 Speaker 1: that she would be moderated by a Republican Senate, and 328 00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:19,920 Speaker 1: that's why Wallstreet would be willing to vote for her, 329 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 1: because of that moderating effect that she would get from 330 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 1: a red Senate. 331 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 6: Is there any truth to that, Yeah, of course. 332 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 8: I mean balance is not a bad thing necessarily. I'm 333 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:33,520 Speaker 8: not opposed to a divide in Congress, you know. But 334 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:35,800 Speaker 8: the bottom line is what will Kamala Harris do? And 335 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:38,320 Speaker 8: I think she's better for the economy in so many ways. 336 00:16:38,480 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 8: You know, there's three hundred and thirty five million people 337 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 8: in this country. Four million make four hundred thousand dollars 338 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:46,440 Speaker 8: or more. The other three hundred and thirty million make less. 339 00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:48,800 Speaker 8: Is she has been very specific that if you make 340 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 8: four hundred thousand dollars or less, your taxes aren't going up. 341 00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 8: In fact, for one hundred million people, they're going down. 342 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:57,760 Speaker 8: The other big expense that every household is fearful of 343 00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:01,200 Speaker 8: is healthcare expenses. Donald Trump said he has a concept 344 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,119 Speaker 8: of a plan. Kamala Harris has been very specific on 345 00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:07,880 Speaker 8: the pharmaceutical side, saying she's going after the pharmacy benefit managers, 346 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:10,720 Speaker 8: the middlemen, and she'll introduce transparency. I know from my 347 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 8: own personal experiences with costplus drugs that'll lead to a 348 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:16,679 Speaker 8: twenty thirty percent or more deduction in the cost of 349 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 8: medications for households and businesses. And then you've got terriffs. 350 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:23,600 Speaker 8: As Michael I think it was said earlier, tariffs are 351 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:26,680 Speaker 8: a bad idea. I mean, it's so bad. 352 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:29,360 Speaker 1: Then why did Biden and Kamala Harris keep them? 353 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:30,399 Speaker 3: They keep the trouble. 354 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:33,360 Speaker 8: Let's talk about that, right, because that's not completely that's 355 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,760 Speaker 8: not completely accurate. First look at the EU. They Biden 356 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:38,959 Speaker 8: sided the deal saying that there would be no terriffs 357 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 8: between the two EU and the United States for the 358 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 8: next five years. So those tariffs are gone. And then 359 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 8: you look at what Trump tried to introduce. He had 360 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:50,199 Speaker 8: four years to try to implement teriffs that work, and 361 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 8: he got his butt kicked by China. The retaliatory terriffs 362 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:56,199 Speaker 8: almost destroyed the soybean in the farming industry, and he 363 00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:58,199 Speaker 8: had to pay out twenty million dollars. But as it 364 00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:01,520 Speaker 8: applies to households. Right, he's talking about a sixty percent 365 00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:05,199 Speaker 8: across the board terras for Chinese imports. China makes just 366 00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 8: about every Christmas present that we buy for a kid, 367 00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:10,439 Speaker 8: So families would be looking at a sixty percent or 368 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:13,000 Speaker 8: more increase and what they'd spend on Christmas, and the 369 00:18:13,080 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 8: downstream impact of that would be significant to small and 370 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:17,240 Speaker 8: large businesses. 371 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 1: Mark, Let's talk about something you've been very vocal on. 372 00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 6: This is regulation. 373 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 1: You've said that you don't think Harry should keep Lena 374 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:26,480 Speaker 1: Khan at the head of the FTC. On and Alexandro 375 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 1: Cassio Cortez, the congresswoman from New York, went to Twitter 376 00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 1: and she said, billionaires like you, Mark are trying to 377 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 1: play foot seat with the ticket. If anyone goes near 378 00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:38,719 Speaker 1: Lena Kahn, there will be quote an out and out brawl. 379 00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 1: Where is Harris when it comes to things like the FTC. 380 00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:45,800 Speaker 8: I don't know. I haven't talked about personnel with her 381 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 8: or her team. I have no intention about talking about personnel. 382 00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:50,119 Speaker 6: You know. 383 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 8: I was asking a question about what I thought about 384 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 8: the FTC, and I thought that, you know, the possibility 385 00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:59,399 Speaker 8: of breaking up the big technology companies would be a 386 00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:02,240 Speaker 8: negative because I think, you know, winning the AI battle 387 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:05,359 Speaker 8: for the United States is paramount from military in and 388 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:08,239 Speaker 8: economic perspective. So I voiced my opinion, but I'm not 389 00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:09,880 Speaker 8: involved in those conversations at all. 390 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:12,760 Speaker 4: But it really raises this ultimate question, which is what 391 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:16,400 Speaker 4: policies will she follow. She's been engaging with AOC quite 392 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 4: a bit in terms of the campaign trail, and there's 393 00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:21,160 Speaker 4: a real question of how much there will be an 394 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:24,439 Speaker 4: effort to cater to the further left sides of the 395 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:28,040 Speaker 4: Democratic wing versus the sort of centrist appeal that she's 396 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,879 Speaker 4: been trying to have. How much are you actually getting 397 00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:34,560 Speaker 4: confidence that she's going to have business executives in cabinet 398 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:38,520 Speaker 4: positions in top areas where she really is listening to 399 00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:39,399 Speaker 4: what they have to say. 400 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:42,239 Speaker 8: I talked to her campaign almost every day. I'm one 401 00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:45,240 Speaker 8: hundred percent certain. I'm much as confident. I'm certain that 402 00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:46,639 Speaker 8: that's what they're going to do. I've been on the 403 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,680 Speaker 8: trail with Doug Amhoff, who, as part of his presentation, 404 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,440 Speaker 8: talks about what a capitalist she is. She's talked about, 405 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 8: you know, wanting to create twenty five million new businesses. 406 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:58,199 Speaker 8: That's not a reflection of anything far left. One of 407 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 8: the first things she did was introduced a tax deduction 408 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 8: or increase the tax deduction for startup cost of fifty 409 00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:08,840 Speaker 8: thousand dollars. That's very important. She recognizes that if the 410 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:12,240 Speaker 8: thirty three million companies in this country, ninety nine percent 411 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:14,680 Speaker 8: are passed through, ninety nine percent are run by people 412 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:17,879 Speaker 8: making four hundred k or less. Those small businesses are 413 00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,400 Speaker 8: what drive the economy. They create most of the new 414 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 8: jobs every single year. So she's focused on an opportunity economy. 415 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,160 Speaker 8: I don't think she can be any more clear. 416 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 4: Mark, do you think that this campaign for Kamala Harris 417 00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:32,960 Speaker 4: could have done more to reach out to the mail voter. 418 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 4: This seems to be an election that is unique in 419 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:38,520 Speaker 4: just how bifurcated the mail and the female vote really 420 00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 4: has been. There were some questions around Joe Rogan and 421 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 4: how to appeal to the mail vote and how to 422 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:48,240 Speaker 4: really bring the genders together. What's your take on this 423 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:49,920 Speaker 4: campaign's approach to that. 424 00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:52,879 Speaker 8: I think it was very data driven. I mean, women 425 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:56,120 Speaker 8: have a high propensity of voting, and you know, with 426 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:59,720 Speaker 8: all with reproductive rights and other issues that were gear 427 00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:02,720 Speaker 8: towards women, I think she did a great job of 428 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:05,760 Speaker 8: connecting to them. You know, maybe she didn't. She didn't 429 00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,000 Speaker 8: do everything she could have with men, but that's okay 430 00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:09,679 Speaker 8: because she went to the people who are going to 431 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,920 Speaker 8: vote more. You go, you know, as a business person, 432 00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 8: you go to the people you have the best opportunity 433 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:16,320 Speaker 8: to sell to, who's going to buy your product, who's 434 00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:18,399 Speaker 8: going to vote for you. In this particular case, and 435 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,639 Speaker 8: the fact that she's only been in the race fourteen 436 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 8: weeks and she's caught up completely and now I believe 437 00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:25,919 Speaker 8: Pastor and will win today, I think she's done the 438 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 8: exact right thing. 439 00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:29,680 Speaker 2: Speaking of business and product, there's a famous quo from 440 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:32,479 Speaker 2: Michael Jordan, which I'm sure you know well, Republicans by 441 00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:35,320 Speaker 2: sneakers too, and raise the question about you. And I 442 00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:37,600 Speaker 2: wanted to ask you about this from Mann, who's got 443 00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:39,760 Speaker 2: a line of businesses, why was this important to you 444 00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,760 Speaker 2: to put your name and reputation on the line and 445 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,880 Speaker 2: really get deep into politics when ultimately Republicans by sneakers too. 446 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 8: So I'm not going to get deep into politics, but 447 00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:52,040 Speaker 8: I think this, You know, this is a close election 448 00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,080 Speaker 8: for a reason, and I think Kamala Harris will be 449 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:58,159 Speaker 8: the best president and is a better choice than Donald Trump. 450 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 8: It's that simple. I mean, I love this country. I'm 451 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 8: in this position because of everything this country has given me. 452 00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 8: I'm blasted and I thought, you know, I truly believe 453 00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:09,880 Speaker 8: that she will be the better president for the United 454 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:12,639 Speaker 8: States of America. And that's the only reason I'm doing this. 455 00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:13,000 Speaker 3: Well. 456 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 2: Thanks for sharing your time with us this morning. We 457 00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:16,960 Speaker 2: appreciate it, Mark, and hopefully we can share it again soon. 458 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:20,000 Speaker 2: Mark Cuban there on the latest campaign effort from the 459 00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:24,520 Speaker 2: Harris campaign. This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast, bringing you 460 00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:27,959 Speaker 2: the best in markets, economics, an gio politics. You can 461 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 2: watch the show live on Bloomberg TV weekday mornings from 462 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:34,080 Speaker 2: six am to nine am Eastern. Subscribe to the podcast 463 00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 2: on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen, and as 464 00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:40,200 Speaker 2: always on the Bloomberg Terminal and the Bloomberg Business Out