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Speaker 1: The most valuable commandity I know of is information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree? Five five dollars? This is a ratable

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Speaker 2: lep hop on a track. You're saying that humans need

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Speaker 2: fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 1: Humans need fantasy to be human. My goodness, that mistake.

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Speaker 2: Prone the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn?

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Speaker 3: Very bless?

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Speaker 1: What's the very one?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast from the Action Network

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Speaker 2: and Fantasy Labs. I'm your host, Chris Raybond. This is

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Speaker 2: your NFL Week eight Fantasy and DFS preview episode, as always,

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Speaker 2: joined by one of the most accurate fantasy rankers and

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Speaker 2: projectors in the game, the odds maker, Sean Kerner.

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Speaker 1: Sean, how are you feeling pretty good? A ton of

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Speaker 1: hits on the show last week. I had Cedric Tillman,

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Speaker 1: you had all the others, but like a ton of

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Speaker 1: great value plays that hit. And I think this week

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Speaker 1: sets up nicely for these dart throws because again, there's

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Speaker 1: just a ton of injuries, a ton of cluster situations

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Speaker 1: where people that watch the preseason like us might know

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Speaker 1: some of these guys more than others. But I think

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Speaker 1: there's a ton of like great dart throw options this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, last week got a couple of touchdowns. We've got

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Speaker 2: John Hu and Zach Ertz and then you hit on

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Speaker 2: an eight catch Cedric Tillman game. I hit on an

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Speaker 2: eight catch Hunter Henry and Kate Atten game and also

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Speaker 2: Naylwork Naylor came through for me once again. It seems

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Speaker 2: to always do with four for seventy six. So just

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Speaker 2: a good, good week.

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Speaker 1: For the Pod.

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Speaker 2: And we'll get into this week giving our best cheap

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Speaker 2: option for every game on the Week eight slate. Before

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Speaker 2: we do, just want to quickly remind everyone all of

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Speaker 2: our fantasy football DFS content available right now over at

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Speaker 2: Fantasy labs dot com. Can find our award winning rankings, projections,

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Speaker 2: DFS models more at Fantasy labs dot com. I'll start

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Speaker 2: off with Thursday night football Rams at home against the

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Speaker 2: Minnesota Vikings. I know you'll have a write up on

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Speaker 2: this one Currenter coming, so everyone be sure to check

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Speaker 2: for that Rams three and a half point home Dogs,

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Speaker 2: the total up at forty eight, and I'll start us off.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go DeMarcus Robinson here, and it's kind of

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Speaker 2: it's kind of a pricing play because we know Cooper

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Speaker 2: Cup's coming back, we know Jordan winning is supposed to

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Speaker 2: get more work. No routes for Winnington last week, But

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Speaker 2: Robinson's been the only guy really to have a consistent

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Speaker 2: role all season long, has been playing over ninety percent

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Speaker 2: of the past snaps, a ninety three percent route participation

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Speaker 2: rate on the season, and I just think that's the

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Speaker 2: least likely to change with Cooper Cup back in action.

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Speaker 2: So three thousand on the showdown slate for Robinson's at well,

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Speaker 2: he's even cheaper than Tyra Johnson so at this point,

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Speaker 2: and Kobe Parkerson, so at this point, I think he

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Speaker 2: kind of have no choice but to spin Robinson and

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Speaker 2: just hope he you know, hope for a touchdown. But

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Speaker 2: Minnesota allowing the most fantasy points to Y receivers. They've

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Speaker 2: already route over one hundred catches to Y receivers over

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Speaker 2: twelve hundred yards and seven tudies on a year. So

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Speaker 2: could could could get a could get in the end

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Speaker 2: zone with DeMarcus here. But That's where I'm going my

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Speaker 2: thoughts on on this ram passing game in general.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Cooper Cup likely returning, it hurts everybody.

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Speaker 1: Hard to project Whittington right now, he played nine snaps

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Speaker 1: but didn't run a route. Just with Sean McVay, just

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Speaker 1: throw my hands up in the air. But no, Robinson

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Speaker 1: will be the guy that, even if Cup returns, is

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Speaker 1: a lock for you know, an eighty five percent plus

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Speaker 1: routes run rate. The Vikings very good defense, but they

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Speaker 1: do allow a ton of completions kind of by design,

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Speaker 1: so still can get plenty of catches here the line.

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Speaker 1: I wish it was still three and a half. It's

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Speaker 1: down to two and a half and a lot of

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Speaker 1: but yeah, I'm sorry, I'm sorry about that. Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: locked in. I locked it. Well, that's why I had

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Speaker 1: to lock in plus three earlier. Well I could. But

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Speaker 1: just the teams that play the Lions, I think people

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Speaker 1: know this by now. Just teams that play the Lions

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Speaker 1: really struggle the next week, just because they're such a

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Speaker 1: physical team. You got a game plan for them, and

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Speaker 1: now you know, the Vikings had a tough, fought game

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Speaker 1: against them. Now they play on the short week. It's

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Speaker 1: just a tough spot. So I think that the Rams

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Speaker 1: will surprise people here, and you know, being back, maybe

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Speaker 1: that just allows other players to open up. So I

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Speaker 1: think this passing attack should be just fine against this

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Speaker 1: really good defense.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean yeah, like you said, they arguing up

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Speaker 2: completions in that leads to production for why not. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: let's go to main sweet hard at Dolphins. It looks

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Speaker 2: like two is going to be back the Betty market

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Speaker 2: teams to think. So Dolphins favored by three scenes of

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Speaker 2: three and a half's out there, but on the total

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Speaker 2: up at forty seven and half. Who do you like

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Speaker 2: in this one?

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Speaker 1: Well, you guys probably don't need to recommend James Connor

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Speaker 1: or Tyrek Hill or Jayalen Waddle in this game, assuming

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Speaker 1: tour returns. But you know everyone's gonna get in a

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Speaker 1: boost if to a returns. So I'm gonna go with

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Speaker 1: like a million maker style dart throw here, and it's

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Speaker 1: Malik Washington at three k bare minimum price. But last

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Speaker 1: week you wouldn't know it because they didn't throw the ball.

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Speaker 1: But he operated as a clear number three wide receiver. Uh.

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Speaker 1: He ran a route on fifty percent of hunt lea

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Speaker 1: slash Tim Boyle dropbacks. Odell was just twenty eight percent.

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Speaker 1: He seems washed at this point.

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Speaker 2: I'm not tallied about him something too, I remember really yeah,

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Speaker 2: just kind of not good.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yep, even when he's healthy. Yeah, it hasn't been great,

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Speaker 1: but uh, you know, Washington only finished with two catches

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Speaker 1: nine yards. That was still better than Tyrek or Waddall.

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Speaker 1: So we're greating on a curve here. But he he's

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Speaker 1: a someone that flashed a ton of upside in the preseason.

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Speaker 1: I know you saw some of his highlights, but he's

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Speaker 1: a big play ability guy. They gave him design run

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Speaker 1: plays that he took twenty plus yards a couple of times.

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Speaker 1: I think, so this is a spot where he could

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Speaker 1: be really sneaky at three K and you're you're only

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Speaker 1: going to get one breakout game from him before everybody

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Speaker 1: you know knows what's up. So this could be the

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Speaker 1: last time you can get him before you know, he

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Speaker 1: blows up and he's gonna be owned like one percent

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Speaker 1: of teams. So again, this is like a Milli Maker

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Speaker 1: play or just like a general GPP. But I think

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Speaker 1: Milake Washington at three K is very sneaky here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. No, he was great in in preseason and he's

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Speaker 2: out playing Odell Beckham. But we got you know, we

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Speaker 2: kind of thought that wou Odell last year really's kind

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Speaker 2: of settled in as the number four for Baltimore. You

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Speaker 2: had Bateman, you had Agalar. By the end of the

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Speaker 2: year just seem like Beckham was the fourth wide receiver option.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, it's a it's a good think. It's a

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Speaker 2: good time for like, you know, you get these rookies,

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Speaker 2: they've been kind of what he had, like what one

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Speaker 2: or two games now, always like to kind of get

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Speaker 2: ahead of these rookies having their breakout to it should

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Speaker 2: be back. So good spot. And the Cardinals thirty first

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Speaker 2: in DVOA against number three wide houts, so all kind

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Speaker 2: of lines up. Jets at Patriots, the Jets of seven

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Speaker 2: point road favorites. What could go wrong? The total forty

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Speaker 2: one and a half. I'm gonna go with Kaisehaan Boody here.

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Speaker 2: Thirty five hundred six catches, one hundred and twenty six

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Speaker 2: yards in a tudy over his last three games, So

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Speaker 2: that means he's averaging forty two yards per game over

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Speaker 2: his last three and twenty one yards per catch over

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Speaker 2: his last three. He led Patriot wide receivers in routes

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Speaker 2: in each of the past two weeks eighty eight percent

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Speaker 2: route rate last week seventy six percent. The week before,

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Speaker 2: Jayalen Polpe banged up the Mario Douglas should be fine,

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Speaker 2: but he left the game as well with an illness.

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Speaker 2: But either way, boot Boody's been kind of ascending here

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Speaker 2: as Polk continues to talk and drop his way out

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Speaker 2: of out of the lineup and Taekwon Thornton seems to

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Speaker 2: be they seem to have given up on him and

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Speaker 2: rolling with the other, you know, one of the other

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Speaker 2: draft picks they made over the last few years. And

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Speaker 2: remember Booty was you know, never really popped completely broke

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Speaker 2: out at at LSU, but he was. He was always

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Speaker 2: playing you know those LSUT He always have some talented guys.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he's playing with Brian Thomas and Melik Neighbors

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Speaker 2: in his last year there, so not a surprise that

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Speaker 2: he didn't put up massive numbers. But they like him

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Speaker 2: in New England. He's earned more playing time, so I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna roll with him here, even though it is a

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Speaker 2: tough jet secondary. But they haven't been playing up to

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Speaker 2: I think their talent level. So with Drake may here

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Speaker 2: averaging over too fifty a game, let's take a chance

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Speaker 2: on Booty.

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Speaker 1: Love it. Yeah, imagine trying to get targets away from

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Speaker 1: the Lake neighbors and Brian Thomas Junior.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he actually did. I think he did catch Let's see,

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Speaker 2: I think he did catch more balls than Brian Thomas. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, that's what I'm saying. He's he's really good.

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Speaker 1: Who's the guy that was with all the like Jamar

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Speaker 1: Chase and it was h oh, Karen Marshall, Terence Marshall.

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Speaker 1: Anytime I was watching like justin Jefferson Jamar Chase highlights,

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Speaker 1: you would see Terrence Marshall mixing just looked exactly like him.

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Speaker 1: So like yeah, but uh, but like he's he's kind

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Speaker 1: of their league. I don't know what's going on with

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Speaker 1: Polk kind of a mental thing right now, but he

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Speaker 1: delicinitely falling off.

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Speaker 2: He's like delus. He has the best hands in the NFL. No,

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Speaker 2: he does his drop passes.

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Speaker 1: It's insane, uh Atlanta.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of insane, insane injuries for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Unfortunately,

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Speaker 2: Mike Evans looked like he reaggraated the hamstring after catching

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Speaker 2: a touchdown on Monday Night Football, and Chris Godwin suffered

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Speaker 2: a greuesome ankle injury. Looks like he's gonna be done

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Speaker 2: for the Evans probably misses at least this week, so

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Speaker 2: the Bucks are field goal underdogs at home against the Falcons.

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Speaker 1: The total down of forty six. What do you like

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Speaker 1: this is? I think this tenth time I mentioned him

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Speaker 1: this week so far, But Jalen McMillan at thirty seven hundred,

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Speaker 1: I think Trey Palmer is actually more expensive, which is

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Speaker 1: kind of weird. I think McMillan has the inside track

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Speaker 1: to at least be the top receiver this week, because

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Speaker 1: you know, he opened the season as the starter ahead

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Speaker 1: of Trey Palmer. Just due to injuries and shuffling things

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Speaker 1: around hasn't been the case recently, but I think McMillan's

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Speaker 1: closer to one hundred percent now. So with both receivers done,

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Speaker 1: it sounds like Chris Godwin's out for the season and

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Speaker 1: there I just saw a report they're hoping that Evans

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Speaker 1: can return after their Week ten by so it seems

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Speaker 1: like Week eleven is like the soonest he can come back.

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Speaker 1: It looks it looked really bad, so they're gonna have

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Speaker 1: to rely on McMillan. Talented rookie receiver. I think he's

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Speaker 1: also you know, a great deep threat He's also he's

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Speaker 1: only caught forty percent of his targets this year, not

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Speaker 1: quite Polk level, but I think it's just been due

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Speaker 1: to bad luck and his expected catch rates closer to

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Speaker 1: sixty percent. So unless he's just a terrible receiver, which

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Speaker 1: I don't think is the case, he is due for

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Speaker 1: some better catch rate regression going forward. So love him

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Speaker 1: at thirty seven hundred. Again, Guys like Trey Palmer and

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Speaker 1: Serling Shepherd absolutely mixing as well, but I think McMillan

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Speaker 1: probably has the most upside.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Yeah, it's like, yeah, I think the jury is

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Speaker 2: still out on exactly how good he is because he

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Speaker 2: hasn't had He had somethingccess early in the year, but

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Speaker 2: it's just kind of been then he got hurt, so

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Speaker 2: haven't been able to tell. But again, good time to

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Speaker 2: kind of get ahead on some of these rookies. Not

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Speaker 2: everyone breaks out in week one or two. Now everybody's

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Speaker 2: going to be elite neighbors. I remember what was it now,

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Speaker 2: three three, four years ago? We both were really high

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Speaker 2: on Iman Rossaint Brown and just kind of stuck with it,

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Speaker 2: and then you around like week eight, week nine, we ten,

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Speaker 2: some we're in there.

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Speaker 1: He wasn't just good. He wasn't just good Week one.

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Speaker 1: I'm trying.

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Speaker 2: He was good, but he wasn't conductive.

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Speaker 1: No, even remember Justin Jefferson wasn't like elite out of

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Speaker 1: the game feeling and stuff. Well, it took him three

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Speaker 1: It took him three games. But yeah, I'm going with

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Speaker 1: your point here. It's not always instant that the same.

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Speaker 2: No, he's not that good, but yeah he's you know,

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Speaker 2: he could be him. Him and Trey Palmer. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they know, both of them haven't had a with God.

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Speaker 2: With Evans not missing time, they haven't had a true

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Speaker 2: chance to break out.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: Next up, we got I got stuck. His favorite team

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Speaker 2: shouts to stuck. The Tennessee Titans going to Detroit to

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Speaker 2: play the Lions. Lions favored by eleven, the total forty

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Speaker 2: five and a half. Uh, I'll give you two here,

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Speaker 2: Tim Patrick and Khalleeve Raymond. Looks like Jameson Williams is

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Speaker 2: going to be facing his annual suspension, uh for two games.

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Speaker 2: I think it was peds this time. It sounds like

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Speaker 2: slack adroll or something like that. Not in too serious,

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Speaker 2: but I believe it's like he's gonna just take the

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Speaker 2: two because it then like not Apeo or something like that.

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Speaker 2: So I think that's gonna kick in this week. If

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Speaker 2: it does. Patrick and Raymond both in the three thousands

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Speaker 2: on DK. Patrick I think is a little bit safer

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Speaker 2: just because he's been playing ahead of Raymond, so he

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Speaker 2: probably comes, probably becomes the wide receiver two, although Raymond

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Speaker 2: speed is more of a one for one replacement for JMO.

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Speaker 2: But Patrick averaging forty eight yards per game twenty one

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Speaker 2: yards per catch over his last three and then Raymond

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Speaker 2: with a you know, four for seventy three game a

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Speaker 2: couple of weeks ago, and then he three for thirty

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Speaker 2: nine in a touch last week. So both of these

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Speaker 2: guys averaging right around fifty yards a game. You know,

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Speaker 2: in the recent in the very recent past. This Tennessee secondary,

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Speaker 2: you know, they had some really easy matchups to start

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Speaker 2: the year, and al Jerio Sneed not playing well. I

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Speaker 2: think he was out last week, so Woozy A is

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Speaker 2: on ir another corner they have. So I think this

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Speaker 2: Tennessee secondary a little bit overrated. Unfortunately, they couldn't hold

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Speaker 2: Buffalo and Check enough last week to cast your under.

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Speaker 2: But I think that these ancillary Lion players have some

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Speaker 2: success and maybe this is the game and they try

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Speaker 2: to get reporter going who knows but dicey. But I

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Speaker 2: think you have to take the as good as golf's playing,

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Speaker 2: I think you have to take the prices with these

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Speaker 2: Uh with Patrick and Kowi framing here, Yeah.

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Speaker 1: It seems like, uh, Jamison will accept like they can

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Speaker 1: appeal it. But it seems like this would be the

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Speaker 1: time to have him miss two games because exactly, you know,

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Speaker 1: they're facing the Titans, won't need him, and then they're

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Speaker 1: like they're only outdoor game of the season next week

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Speaker 1: against Green Bay. You know, if there ever a time

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Speaker 1: to not have Jamison be these two games. So I'm thinking, yeah,

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Speaker 1: he will be out here, and these guys are just.

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Speaker 2: Forfeiting, Like they're just forfeiting outdoor Jaredy.

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Speaker 1: Jamison and Williams out there with the long sleeves and

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Speaker 1: the colt like it's not cold there yet. But you like,

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Speaker 1: you don't want to miss them any games. But yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: if they're ever a time, it'd be like the lone

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Speaker 1: outdoor game where Jared Goff is all confused and getting

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Speaker 1: sacked and things like that. So that's all. There's never

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Speaker 1: a good time to be without Jamison Williams right now,

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Speaker 1: but this week.

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Speaker 2: For sure, speaking of the pack, they are in Jacksonville,

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Speaker 2: who is back from London. But I guess teams just

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Speaker 2: don't take these buys coming off these lending games anymore.

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Speaker 2: That used to be a thing, right, I'm not crazy, Okay.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they've been there for weeks now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, right, So yeah, they're plus four and a half

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Speaker 2: at home to total up to fifty. I think it

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Speaker 2: hit fifty one at one point. So, I mean Jacksonville

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Speaker 2: the secondary is problematic. But who do you like in

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Speaker 2: this one?

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Speaker 1: Well, there's just a ton of high end guys that

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Speaker 1: you probably don't need me to mention. Unfortunately, can't use

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Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior for these anymore. He has blown up

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Speaker 1: and is way too good now. But for the Jag side,

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Speaker 1: assuming Travis Etn misses again, I think Dearnes Johnson at

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Speaker 1: forty eight hundred again that that's kind of expensive, would

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Speaker 1: be a great leverage play because everyone's gonna be Oliver

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Speaker 1: tank Bigsby as they should. You know, he's gonna be

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Speaker 1: highly owned here, but they lean on him heavily last

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Speaker 1: week Onnesday the lead and he had a great game.

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Speaker 1: But this is this is a game where the Jags

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Speaker 1: could get behind, get in a trailing game script that

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Speaker 1: really sets up better for Deanroz Johnson. He's their past

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Speaker 1: catching back, so I think this could be a great

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Speaker 1: spot for him to potentially outscore Bigsby where everyone's going

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Speaker 1: to be Oliver Bigsby. Now if Etn returns, he's going

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Speaker 1: to be a pass It could be a murky situation.

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Speaker 1: I think, you know, Bigsby might be the starting running

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Speaker 1: back the rest of the season, but Darras Johnson, if

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Speaker 1: Etn's out, is a must play here in GPPs. Uh

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Speaker 1: and then on the Packers side again, everyone's healthy now,

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Speaker 1: so it's tough, but I'm gonna go Dantean Wicks at

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Speaker 1: fifty three hundred. He he has like Zach Charboney syndrome

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Speaker 1: where he's just insanely efficient when he's like the backup.

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Speaker 1: Uh So, he returned back to his uh my week

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Speaker 1: one projection frohim what forty six percent routes run rate,

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Speaker 1: but he saw he's a target on thirty five percent

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Speaker 1: of his routes, which is you know Tyreek Hill last

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Speaker 1: year levels. And this is a great matchup against the Jaguars,

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Speaker 1: So he doesn't need that much playing time to pop here,

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Speaker 1: and he's always a threat to score. So this is

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Speaker 1: a week where I can't imagine a lot of people

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Speaker 1: are going to be taking Wicks at fifty three hundred.

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Speaker 1: So I think he's a he's a nice dart throwing

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Speaker 1: GPPs this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, always always a crapshoot with these packer wide receivers.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, we love the We love the talent of

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Speaker 2: Dntavian Wicks. And he even hurt he came through last week. Uh,

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Speaker 2: next up, Colts at Texans. Texans favored by six. That

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Speaker 2: line's been moving in the Texans direction. The total four

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Speaker 2: six and a half. I didn't hit for us. One

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Speaker 2: of the few that didn't hit for us last week,

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Speaker 2: don't show us. I'm going back to him, though, because

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Speaker 2: I just look at this Texan offense and I see

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Speaker 2: you got Diggs, he got Dell. But you know, without Nico,

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Speaker 2: you have Xavier Hutchinson who probably still a little green.

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Speaker 2: You have Robert Woods might be banged up, and you

351
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Speaker 2: have met You who hasn't been able to really seize

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Speaker 2: a role. I thought I thought he was gonna kind

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Speaker 2: of step up as that that fourth option behind you know,

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Speaker 2: their top three, and then you know, be the third option.

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Speaker 2: But he hasn't really kind of seized that role, and

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Speaker 2: he's been in active for a bunch of games with

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Speaker 2: Nico healthy. So we used to be with Schultz at

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Speaker 2: forty one hundred eighty three percent route rate the last

359
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Speaker 2: three games since Nico has gone down. The Colt's twenty

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Speaker 2: seventh to dvoa against tight ends. And remember they play

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Speaker 2: a lot of Cover three zone under Gus Bradley, and

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Speaker 2: as opposed to let's say a Cover two zone or

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Speaker 2: something like that. You know, you have five guys in

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Speaker 2: those underneath the zones cover three zone you would have

365
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Speaker 2: only four guys and those underneath zone. So I could

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Speaker 2: give Shoultz a couple extra chances. That could be why there.

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Speaker 2: Their numbers aren't great against tight end. So going right

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Speaker 2: back to uh, don't so he's got to hit. He's

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Speaker 2: hit eventually one of these day. Yeahs too good, he's

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Speaker 2: too good.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Like with tight ends like that, you can't play

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Speaker 1: whacko mole. Sometimes you got to double down the next

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Speaker 1: week to hit.

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Speaker 3: Shout out to our Action Network colleague Sean Zarillo, who

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Speaker 3: had another great year in baseball, finishing the MLB regular

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00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:24,520
Speaker 3: season up more than twenty five units, and with Action

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Speaker 2: a half. Who high total four Brown's game. I guess

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Speaker 2: this is what happens without Sean Watson. But yeah, you

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Speaker 2: called it Tillman last week.

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Speaker 1: Going back to him again, Yeah, yeah, sometimes you could

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Speaker 1: double down even if you hit them. I think since

402
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 1: I got him at three K last week, I could

403
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Speaker 1: step with them. I like Cedric Tillman when he was underground,

404
00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:02,399
Speaker 1: you know what I mean, But everything came true, like

405
00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 1: he flashed some upside last year. He was a third

406
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Speaker 1: round pick, fourth round pick, but you know he has

407
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Speaker 1: some upside. And just Amari Cooper getting trade away. I

408
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:18,800
Speaker 1: know Elijah Moore was banged up a bit, potentially getting

409
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:21,919
Speaker 1: you know, Jameis Winston under center. At some point the

410
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:24,160
Speaker 1: needle was pointing out for Tillman, but man, he blew

411
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Speaker 1: up last week. Eight catches for eighty one yards. His

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00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 1: routes run rate was over eighty percent. I think, let

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Speaker 1: me see what it was. It was pretty eighty two. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: eighty two percent. So the playing times there, the targets

415
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 1: haven't been there this year. But again with Amari Cooper Gunn.

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Speaker 1: That's kind of where that was gonna come from. So

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Speaker 1: love is upside. And again, if if it's Jamis Winston

418
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Speaker 1: under center, I'm gonna like him even more. Right now,

419
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Speaker 1: I kind of have it split between Winston and DTR.

420
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Speaker 1: But again, they didn't really raise his price much. It's

421
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Speaker 1: at thirty three hundred, so his his ownership will be

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Speaker 1: much much higher this week. But again at that price

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Speaker 1: against you know, a pas Funnel Ravens defense, I think

424
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Speaker 1: you have to use him in GPPs anyway, and then

425
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Speaker 1: you know, spend up maybe you know, spend up to

426
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Speaker 1: be conturged and elsewhere. But I think he's that must

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Speaker 1: play it through three hundred and GPPs.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know, he one of the reason I

429
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Speaker 2: don't love him just as a player, because he's very

430
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 2: one of those another one of those guys that just

431
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:24,640
Speaker 2: a lot of routes no targets last year. But this year,

432
00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:26,960
Speaker 2: what I do like is we're starting to see his

433
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:30,200
Speaker 2: average up of target come down. So for the year

434
00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:33,240
Speaker 2: it's only eight point seven and last year it was

435
00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:36,240
Speaker 2: twelve point two. So you know, if he's getting higher

436
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 2: percentage looks, he can you know, he can use that

437
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:42,439
Speaker 2: big body two hundred and fifteen pounds less likely to

438
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 2: be inaccurate targets, whether it's dtr or Winston. So yeah,

439
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,560
Speaker 2: from that, from that perspective, I definitely think he's trending up.

440
00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,160
Speaker 2: And if he can kind of main you know, if

441
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,680
Speaker 2: his target per route rate is jumping because now he's

442
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:58,359
Speaker 2: higher in the pecking order, then yeah, he because he

443
00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:01,160
Speaker 2: he did have that experience last year, ran three hundred

444
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:02,919
Speaker 2: and fifty eight routes last year, so it's not like

445
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:05,440
Speaker 2: he's just getting on the field for the first time,

446
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 2: so he's treading up. We got the Eagles at the Bengals.

447
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 2: That's a pretty good game. Bengals favored by two and

448
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:16,360
Speaker 2: a half to total forty seven and a half. I'm

449
00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:20,679
Speaker 2: gonna bylow on andre Josavash here thirty five hundred seventy

450
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 2: five route rate on average in the five games t Higgins,

451
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,960
Speaker 2: who's playing really well, has played. But Philadelphia is still

452
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,639
Speaker 2: on the ninth most Fantasy points per game dwaid receivers

453
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 2: and the tenth most schedule justice targets per game according

454
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 2: to FTN to two wide receiver threes. So Joseavash didn't

455
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,320
Speaker 2: really need him, you know, he had seventeen to seven,

456
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,120
Speaker 2: kind of low scoring game against the Giants. You had

457
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,080
Speaker 2: a game against the Browns, so they were only had

458
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,680
Speaker 2: six points for most of the game. So this week,

459
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,960
Speaker 2: you know, Philadelphia's offense could put up put up more

460
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,680
Speaker 2: of a challenge. Make the Bengals, you know, have more,

461
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:59,920
Speaker 2: have to score more, get more three one one personnel

462
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,680
Speaker 2: instead of the two tight end looks that they've been

463
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,359
Speaker 2: going to a little bit more. So Mike Josefa to

464
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,040
Speaker 2: bounce back here at thirty five hundred. Last week was

465
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:10,440
Speaker 2: his first, like truly, you know, just shut out game,

466
00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 2: So I think people will be off him. Bill's at

467
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 2: the Seahawks, Bills favored by three on the road, total

468
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:18,639
Speaker 2: forty seven and a half. What do you like in

469
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:19,119
Speaker 2: that one?

470
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 1: I like Noah Fan at thirty seven hundred. Really seen

471
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:28,119
Speaker 1: solid usage this season, you know, with Will Disley and

472
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 1: Kolbe Parkinson gone. Last week he only ran route on

473
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 1: fifty two percent dropbacks, but that was more to do

474
00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:37,440
Speaker 1: with the blowout. Yeah, he tends to be in there

475
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 1: on you know, passing downs, trailing game scripts and AJ

476
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,439
Speaker 1: Barner's out there for the more run heavy offense, so

477
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,280
Speaker 1: wasn't too surprised to see him. You know, see a

478
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:49,720
Speaker 1: dipping playing time with the leading game script the blowout

479
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:52,960
Speaker 1: really but this week the opposite. It's going to be true.

480
00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 1: Probably you know, they're facing the Bills. Could be a

481
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:58,919
Speaker 1: trailing game script. And you know, if DK metcalf is

482
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,720
Speaker 1: out or limited, you know, Fant would benefit. You know,

483
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:04,399
Speaker 1: he's gonna see more targets obviously, you know, Tyl Lockett

484
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:07,119
Speaker 1: and Jackson Smith and Jiggba would be the popular plays,

485
00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 1: but I think Fant would be kind of sneaky as well.

486
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:11,960
Speaker 1: Uh and if if DK is ruled out, you got

487
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 1: to consider Jake Bobo.

488
00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:13,719
Speaker 2: Uh.

489
00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:15,879
Speaker 1: He always seems to find the end zone and he'd

490
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:17,919
Speaker 1: be the guy that would step up if DK is

491
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 1: out here. But either way, I think fancy solid play

492
00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:23,720
Speaker 1: whenever we have like a potential trailing game script for

493
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:24,720
Speaker 1: the Seahawks.

494
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:28,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, but we know a fan weeds the league still.

495
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 2: Maybe it came into last week. We in the week

496
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:34,840
Speaker 2: among tight ends in uh in routes run now yeah

497
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 2: he's now he's he's like seventh, so he's still like

498
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 2: the total routes run yeah, yeah, because they're just you know, uh,

499
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,920
Speaker 2: Seattle calling a ton of pass plays and now you're

500
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 2: playing Buffalo. So yeah, he's he's gonna be. He's gonna

501
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,680
Speaker 2: be at the top of the league and in that category,

502
00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:51,040
Speaker 2: and that's that's what we asked for. He hasn't got

503
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 2: a touchdown yet also, so he's due for some touchdown

504
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:57,080
Speaker 2: regression himself and you can touchdown yeah.

505
00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:59,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, oh yeah for sure. And you kind of called

506
00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 1: it earlier, uh in the season, just that their time

507
00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: and possession might be better. Yeah, the new coaching staff. That's

508
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,280
Speaker 1: been the case this year. So a lot of things

509
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,639
Speaker 1: like but yeah, it's so weird. Gino does he have

510
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:17,280
Speaker 1: a multi touching touchdown game this year? Oh? Yeah, last year?

511
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:24,639
Speaker 2: That sounds mark Deshaun Watson. No, I kind of he

512
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 2: was on that.

513
00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,920
Speaker 1: Oh yeah he was. Yeah, I was. I was hinting

514
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:31,840
Speaker 1: at that with my Geno top five. But yeah, finally

515
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,520
Speaker 1: a multi touchdown game for Gino Smith. But yeah, eventually

516
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 1: no off will find the end zone. Hopefully it's this week.

517
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:42,159
Speaker 2: Next up, we have the Saints at the Chargers Charges

518
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,120
Speaker 2: favored by seven and a half, coming off that Monday

519
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 2: night walk off loss to the Cards. The total is

520
00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 2: thirty nine and a half. This is wants a monitor

521
00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:54,919
Speaker 2: because there could be some sneaky options here on the

522
00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 2: Charger side. Just depends on health. You know, Quentin Johnson

523
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:01,880
Speaker 2: miss last week, Hayden Hurst missed last week, so we'll

524
00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:03,840
Speaker 2: see if they're back. But I'm gonna go with the

525
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:06,840
Speaker 2: team that we know for Shore's banged up, and that's

526
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:10,720
Speaker 2: the New Orleans Saints. So let's go Juwan Johnson here.

527
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,360
Speaker 2: Really rough game for him against Denver, so I'm drop

528
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 2: at least one pass, might have been more than that.

529
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:19,080
Speaker 2: But Chargers are tied for the eighth most schedule justine

530
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:22,520
Speaker 2: targets to the tight end position at seven point two

531
00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 2: according to FTN and yardage. They are seventh most fifty

532
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,440
Speaker 2: six point three schedule adjusted to the tight end position,

533
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:31,440
Speaker 2: and they play a ton of zone, so you kind

534
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 2: of expect that, you know, Spencer Ratler, Jake hanor Whoever's

535
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,919
Speaker 2: going to be behind center at some point with the

536
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:39,560
Speaker 2: you know, being a seven and a half point guard,

537
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:41,960
Speaker 2: you're gonna have to throw the ball against his zone.

538
00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 2: So I think Juwan Johnson, even if Taysom Hills back,

539
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:48,000
Speaker 2: I think Juwan Johnson still should have a good game here.

540
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:50,120
Speaker 2: A lot of the is still in a concussion protocol,

541
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:54,560
Speaker 2: which you don't love to hear coming off a Thursday game.

542
00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 2: So who knows, you know, what's going on with him,

543
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:03,600
Speaker 2: But Johnson been reliably running west you know, been out

544
00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 2: there about two thirds of the dropbacks or more over

545
00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 2: the last four games. So I think he's going to

546
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:11,119
Speaker 2: continue to be out there because he's one of the

547
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 2: only reliable pass catchers they have. I mean, they could

548
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:17,959
Speaker 2: be down to Mason Tipton, Bob Means, Cedric Wilson and

549
00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:21,240
Speaker 2: maybe what MVS and Pettis at wide receiver if a lobby.

550
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:24,680
Speaker 1: Doesn't play so st Brown last week he was elevated.

551
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's not elevant in terms of past catching.

552
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 1: Wait, yeah they have MVS now, Yeah, somebody's getting elevated

553
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 1: probably regardless this week.

554
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:39,840
Speaker 2: Could be equinomious again, could be MVS, could be Padis,

555
00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 2: who knows, but Juan Johnson, former wide receiver. So thirty

556
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 2: three hundred good price for him. Bears at the Washington

557
00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 2: Commanders with the news that Jane Daniels is week to week.

558
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:56,920
Speaker 2: I say that because because week to week this year,

559
00:28:57,040 --> 00:29:00,040
Speaker 2: I've been all over the place with those reports. But

560
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 2: I think they have to play it safe here. It's

561
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,560
Speaker 2: unfortunate because I really wanted to see the Jade and

562
00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 2: Daniels cable Williams matchup. Horrible timing for this injury either way.

563
00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 2: Washington plus two and a half, plus three depending where

564
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 2: you look at home total down to forty three and

565
00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 2: a half. Who do you like in this game? I

566
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:23,120
Speaker 2: guess I'm assuming you're, in fact, you're thinking Dan's going

567
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:25,320
Speaker 2: to miss this one too, right, Yeah.

568
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,960
Speaker 1: I think if the line's up to three and some spots,

569
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:31,240
Speaker 1: that's your clearest signal that he's going to be out.

570
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:35,280
Speaker 1: That books wouldn't be taking bets, right, you know, plus

571
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 1: three if they thought he had a chance to play.

572
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 1: So I'm assuming he's out here. But you know, Marcus

573
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 1: Merrit held his own last week. So I'm actually going

574
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,680
Speaker 1: to take one of these Washington wide receivers. I'm going

575
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:51,240
Speaker 1: with Elimide Zakias at thirty six hundred. You know, it's

576
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:54,600
Speaker 1: always just a crap shoot after Terry McLaurin. They just

577
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 1: use a heavy rotation of like four to five wide receivers.

578
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 1: But Zakias has been stepping the past couple of games.

579
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 1: Last week, he had the highest routes around rate at

580
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 1: sixty four outside of Terry McLaurin obviously, and he's seen

581
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:11,479
Speaker 1: a thirty percent plus target rate for two straight games,

582
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:15,600
Speaker 1: so he knows two games of four catches, and he

583
00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:18,360
Speaker 1: showed he had chemistry with Marcus Mariota last week, so

584
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:21,240
Speaker 1: I think they stick with him here. And again he's

585
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 1: just the cheap option where this should be a you know,

586
00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,520
Speaker 1: a pass heavy game script for the Commanders, assuming they

587
00:30:27,520 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 1: do go down. So I think he's sneaky here and

588
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:32,600
Speaker 1: you know, hopefully we get a cheap touchdown, but I

589
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:35,040
Speaker 1: think could be a good bet for four to five

590
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 1: catches here. Yeah.

591
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 2: So for some context, you mentioned Noel Brown, the key

592
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,479
Speaker 2: is Diami Brown and then Luke McAffrey all splitting snaps

593
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:49,000
Speaker 2: behind McLaurin. Here are the target per route rates. Noel

594
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:55,040
Speaker 2: Brown nineteen percent, Diami Brown twelve percent, Luke McAffrey nine percent,

595
00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 2: Olami day Is the key is twenty seven percent.

596
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:00,200
Speaker 1: Yeah you're talking season long, right, yeah.

597
00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:02,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, highest on the team, highest on the team. Four

598
00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 2: So that kind of puts it in perspective. Now, the

599
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:09,480
Speaker 2: caveat being that did call a lot of that. They

600
00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:11,680
Speaker 2: call it what Jayden Daniels. I think Mariota is a

601
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:13,000
Speaker 2: nice start for a by the way, you know, I know,

602
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:15,400
Speaker 2: we don't really try to stay away from quarterbacks because

603
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 2: a little more obvious, especially if you're multi entering, you

604
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 2: could just go almost every quarterback. But I think Mariota's

605
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 2: worth mentioning just because he can do some of the

606
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 2: same things, you know, running the ball and things like that.

607
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 2: So uh yeah, he's worth mentioning. But I like that,

608
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 2: Like that's the keyst called where do you have is

609
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 2: like regressed target rate?

610
00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 1: That's a great I was I was thinking when you

611
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:39,400
Speaker 1: when you were saying those, I was like, yeah, a

612
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,120
Speaker 1: little bit lower, but I have a nineteen and a half.

613
00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:44,800
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, so I'm like, I guess my aggression is

614
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:47,239
Speaker 2: a little bit stronger. Oh well, because my prior was

615
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 2: really low for him because he never used to get

616
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 2: targets like that. But uh yeah, I'm a I'm at

617
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 2: fifteen so yeah, oh nice.

618
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:57,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're speaking the same love language here in half

619
00:31:57,920 --> 00:31:58,480
Speaker 1: was my prior.

620
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:02,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know where you're even, Well there you go.

621
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 2: That's yeah, yeah, I don't know what I gotta go

622
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 2: back and check. That's about the most you could possibly

623
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:12,560
Speaker 2: I think I have at cafed at like eleven. Yeah, Yeah, that's.

624
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's pretty bad. That's like Jalens not even no,

625
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:21,080
Speaker 1: he's on the Fielter. One play in their throat if anything,

626
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 1: is one hundred percent target run rate. But yeah, either way,

627
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,320
Speaker 1: we're kind of saying that we don't expect him to

628
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:29,920
Speaker 1: be targeted on twenty six and a half percent of

629
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:31,720
Speaker 1: you know, his routes run this year, but we can't

630
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 1: ignore it either. So yeah, yeah, he's pushing that twenty

631
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 1: percent routes run, right, and now he's getting an increase

632
00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 1: in playing time. So that's that's really what you ask

633
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 1: for when it comes to these Anciller receivers. All right.

634
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 2: Next up, we got the Panthers at the Broncos. Uh so,

635
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,320
Speaker 2: another chance for the Broncos. Gotta get a win that win.

636
00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 2: Total eight and a half is the spread minus eight

637
00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:54,640
Speaker 2: and a half. The Bronco has been bet up forty

638
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:56,480
Speaker 2: three and a half the total. I'm gonna go with

639
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 2: Troy Franklin here forty one hundred. Bon Nick's college teamate

640
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 2: in Oregon sixty seven percent route rate over the last

641
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 2: two games, second most on the team. Remember, Josh Renolds

642
00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 2: was the former number two. He's on ir than it

643
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:08,760
Speaker 2: was Will Jordan Humphrey. Now he seems to be more

644
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 2: of a red zone package guy. Uh, So you have

645
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:16,640
Speaker 2: Franklin taken over as that number two receiver. Eight catches

646
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,280
Speaker 2: for one hundred and one over the last three with

647
00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:21,680
Speaker 2: a touchdown and five for fifty in the last game.

648
00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 2: So he is trending upward. And they already have chemistry

649
00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 2: and you mentioned it. You know Sutton, you know, had

650
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:32,000
Speaker 2: no targets last week. This is a game where he

651
00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 2: might not see too much volume. So I think Franklin,

652
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:38,120
Speaker 2: you know, being that guy who's gonna run some deeper

653
00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:41,840
Speaker 2: routes and is probably going to see less of j. C.

654
00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 2: Horn could be, could be the lead receiver for the

655
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:48,920
Speaker 2: Broncos this week, so like him. Kansas City at Vegas

656
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 2: plus ten for Vegas at home. The total forty one

657
00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:55,760
Speaker 2: and a half. Who we like in this spot for

658
00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 2: this bang banged up? Both these teams packed up, really.

659
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 1: Both banged up. I'm gonna go with me Cole Hardman

660
00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 1: Junior at four K you know Juju now out it's

661
00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:11,879
Speaker 1: kind of up for grabs. We're seeing sky More get

662
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 1: some playing time. But Minicole saw a thirty four restaurant

663
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 1: rate last week. A season high, and I wouldn't be

664
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:23,000
Speaker 1: shocked if they lean in him even more this week.

665
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:26,319
Speaker 1: He did have two design rush attempts for thirty eight

666
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,279
Speaker 1: yards and a touchdown. I could see them tapping into

667
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 1: that more in a game they should win against the Raiders.

668
00:34:33,360 --> 00:34:37,319
Speaker 1: But yeah, just when it comes to the receivers, you know,

669
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 1: Xavier Worthy is gonna be popular. He's starting to see

670
00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:43,319
Speaker 1: an increase in usage. But I think Nicol Harmon would

671
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:46,959
Speaker 1: be the dart throw here in like bigger GPPs, because

672
00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 1: I like his touch on upside here. We could see

673
00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 1: a spike in usage. Long term though, I think they

674
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:54,239
Speaker 1: probably do need a trade for somebody, But at least

675
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:58,919
Speaker 1: for this week, I think Hardman Junior is worth a play. Yeah.

676
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:02,080
Speaker 2: No, I mean he's he's kind of he was. He

677
00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:04,880
Speaker 2: was a lot better before he went to the Jets,

678
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:07,440
Speaker 2: and then like then everyone's now everyone you know is

679
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:10,480
Speaker 2: kind of down in him. But he was came up

680
00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:13,840
Speaker 2: big in the Super Bowl, so I think it's probably

681
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 2: probably got more juice than juju. Will be completely honest

682
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 2: with you, you know, so.

683
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:20,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, sure, I don't hate that any I know

684
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:24,359
Speaker 1: you're high on the Chiefs defense from our favorite pod

685
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 1: A while ago he's the returner, absolutely stacked him with

686
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:31,080
Speaker 1: the Chiefs defense. The Chiefs defense is a great I

687
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:34,160
Speaker 1: know we don't talk about defense anymore, thank god, but

688
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:36,760
Speaker 1: the chief defense is a great play this week against Gardner,

689
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,600
Speaker 1: Minshew and Mikol. Harmon's the returner, so you can get

690
00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 1: the double dip with him if he returns a touchdown

691
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:42,399
Speaker 1: as well.

692
00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I like that all right. Dallas at San Francisco.

693
00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,000
Speaker 2: I'll have a write up for this one betting wise

694
00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:51,680
Speaker 2: on Action Network Dot Common in the app, but the

695
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:53,439
Speaker 2: Niners are four and a half point favorites to total

696
00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:57,399
Speaker 2: forty seven. I'm gonna go with Ricky Piersoll here. Looks

697
00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:00,719
Speaker 2: like he's gonna be cheap the Showdown. Pricing as a

698
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 2: record is not out yet, but you know, I looked

699
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,000
Speaker 2: at the Thursday to Mondays late and he's under four

700
00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 2: k on that, so we'll see if he gets priced

701
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 2: up for the Showdown. But eighty four percent route rate

702
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:14,799
Speaker 2: last week, I yuke out the acl Stebo with pneumonia.

703
00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 2: Hope he gets better, but now he's kind of very

704
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:20,799
Speaker 2: questionable for this game. Dwan Jennings had hip injury last week,

705
00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:25,160
Speaker 2: so who knows with him, Conwy's banged up, Kittle's banged up, uh,

706
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:28,680
Speaker 2: and Piersoll got twenty nine percent target share post halftime

707
00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:32,359
Speaker 2: from Brock Party. Now, if they price up Pearsall, I

708
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 2: think Jacob Cowing becomes a little interesting because Ronnie Bell,

709
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:39,239
Speaker 2: you know, I don't know. I think the time has

710
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:41,120
Speaker 2: kind of passed with him. They were trying to reduce

711
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:43,760
Speaker 2: his snaps. So I think with more time to prepare

712
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:47,000
Speaker 2: Cowing another rookie, it would be interesting. He'll be cheap

713
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 2: and he double dip option does return punts, you know,

714
00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:51,920
Speaker 2: if you want to go that way. And then Girndo,

715
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:53,880
Speaker 2: you know, maybe they just go super run heavy with

716
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 2: all these receivers out, so that Grendo's already been getting

717
00:36:57,000 --> 00:37:00,920
Speaker 2: some more action, you know, behind Jordan Mason in some

718
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:04,239
Speaker 2: of these spots. So this Dallas defense has been vulnerable

719
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:07,080
Speaker 2: to the run at times. So if Piersoll gets cooked

720
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:11,799
Speaker 2: priced up, I like Cowing at receiver and Grendo at

721
00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:15,919
Speaker 2: running back. Don't slide, though, Isaac, don't slide this time.

722
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:18,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, no kidding.

723
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:24,239
Speaker 2: Monday Night Giants at Steelers. Somehow we keep getting these

724
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:26,360
Speaker 2: Russell Wilson primetime games. I thought we were finishing that

725
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:31,520
Speaker 2: now look a lot better on Sunday Night last week,

726
00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:33,839
Speaker 2: Steeer's favored by six and a half. This one's been

727
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:38,200
Speaker 2: bet up. Giants just look horrible without Andrew Thomas now,

728
00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 2: I mean they do. Daniel Jones is better on the road,

729
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:42,360
Speaker 2: so who knows, maybe his lines that would have inflated.

730
00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:45,279
Speaker 2: But Pittsford's playing really well. They're at home. Thirty six

731
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:47,280
Speaker 2: and a half is a total though, so not expecting

732
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,440
Speaker 2: a ton probably from either passing game. What are you

733
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:51,600
Speaker 2: doing with this one.

734
00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:55,920
Speaker 1: Drew Locke, I'm just kidding, although am I He might

735
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:58,480
Speaker 1: be worth a sprinkle if he replaces Daniel Jones again,

736
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:00,640
Speaker 1: but I'm going I can't believe this guy's a dark

737
00:38:00,719 --> 00:38:03,919
Speaker 1: r now. But Jalen Warren I think is a great

738
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:07,200
Speaker 1: play for the showdown Slate really hasn't been the same

739
00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:11,240
Speaker 1: this year. He's missed some time. This is a game script, obviously,

740
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 1: where you'd expect Nausey just to go ham. I mean,

741
00:38:13,840 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 1: the Steelers should win this pretty easily, but if they

742
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,799
Speaker 1: want to start giving Nausey some breathers. Warren is healthy now,

743
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:22,680
Speaker 1: so he could see a little bit more work in

744
00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:25,279
Speaker 1: the running game than usual here but you know, last

745
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:27,799
Speaker 1: week he saw a season high fifty eight percent routes

746
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:31,360
Speaker 1: run rate, so I think the receptions will come, especially

747
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:34,239
Speaker 1: with Russell Wilson under center. He tends to dump it

748
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:37,319
Speaker 1: off to his running backs or air it deep, so

749
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 1: we could see a game where Warren actually ends up

750
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:43,200
Speaker 1: racking up catches here. Wilson doesn't scramble as much as

751
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 1: justin fields too, so I think this sets up for

752
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:48,880
Speaker 1: a potential Jalen Warren breakout game where he could you know,

753
00:38:48,960 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 1: break loose for a couple of big plays here again,

754
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:53,839
Speaker 1: catch up a few catches and maybe find the end zone.

755
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,040
Speaker 1: But I think this is the time to maybe buy

756
00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:58,960
Speaker 1: in on Jalen Warren. This is a showdown slate, so

757
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:00,920
Speaker 1: he might be a little bit more popular than he

758
00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:02,880
Speaker 1: would on a you know, a main slate, but I

759
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:06,080
Speaker 1: think he is worth you know, investing in heavily here

760
00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:08,239
Speaker 1: for the Showdown slate at least.

761
00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:10,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, He's one of the reasons why I'm a little

762
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:14,319
Speaker 2: you know, down on Firemooth now is because Russ doesn't

763
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:15,920
Speaker 2: really target the tight end. It's more so to just

764
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,560
Speaker 2: dump it off to the back and Warren because he's

765
00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:21,359
Speaker 2: back and looks a little healthier. Now he's cutting into

766
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:24,359
Speaker 2: some of Nag's pass down work, and he's more likely

767
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,880
Speaker 2: to be targeted when he is running arount than the

768
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,680
Speaker 2: nause you would be so yeah, like or he's finally

769
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,640
Speaker 2: back inside my top top forty. It was I've been

770
00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:35,080
Speaker 2: a while I think for for jay Win, Warre really.

771
00:39:35,040 --> 00:39:38,320
Speaker 1: Rough start him. Yeah, we kind.

772
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:40,000
Speaker 2: Of saw that coming. Remember we had the injury in

773
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:43,279
Speaker 2: the preseason and just yeah, I think it didn't seem

774
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:45,359
Speaker 2: like a good start to the year for him. But yeah,

775
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 2: he's uh, he's slowly kind of rounding in a form.

776
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:50,759
Speaker 2: So I like that, especially with the Giants. I mean

777
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:52,319
Speaker 2: they might just go three and out, three and out,

778
00:39:52,320 --> 00:39:53,520
Speaker 2: three and out loud. It could be a lot of

779
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 2: plays since Stewarts all right, that is gonna do it.

780
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:01,360
Speaker 2: Hopefully we continue uh hitting these hitting on these plays.

781
00:40:01,360 --> 00:40:04,160
Speaker 2: But thank you for listening to our Week eight Fantasy

782
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,719
Speaker 2: DFS preview episode here on the Fantasy Flex. Make sure

783
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:09,520
Speaker 2: to subscribe to the Fantasy Flex podcast so you don't

784
00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:13,440
Speaker 2: mist an episode all season long. Our player Projections episode

785
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:15,840
Speaker 2: for week eight is already up, and our waiver episode

786
00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:19,640
Speaker 2: for weekgate already up as well. Fantasylabs dot com for

787
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:23,280
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788
00:40:23,280 --> 00:40:26,479
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789
00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:29,440
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791
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:37,360
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792
00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:40,880
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794
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795
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