1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:03,280 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:05,680 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey P. Joe P's a PN. 3 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: It's week fifteen in the NFL. We continue to cook 4 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 1: here over at Betting Pros to help us look through 5 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,239 Speaker 1: the favorite lines. The favorite sides for this week in 6 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:18,280 Speaker 1: the NFL, of course, is Andrew Erickson, the undertaker himself, 7 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:21,320 Speaker 1: and of course our good pal Scott Bogman, our man 8 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 1: about town when it comes to bowl season. By the way, Bogs, 9 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: how are you managing all the bowls this year in 10 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:29,120 Speaker 1: the college football space? How many have you bet on 11 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 1: so far? 12 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 2: You know, just a couple. I like to do them 13 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 2: as they come up. I mean, he can't. I find 14 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:39,919 Speaker 2: it hard to bet this far out because of the 15 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,960 Speaker 2: transfer portal and the opt outs and all that stuff. 16 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 3: So I like to get a little closer to kickoff. 17 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,400 Speaker 3: So just a couple for this weekend, A couple for 18 00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:48,840 Speaker 3: this week A couple of tickets. Yeah. 19 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 1: Now the real question is Andrew Erickson. I know that 20 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: you will be following some of the college football content 21 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: here on the channel. I know throughout the year you've 22 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: placed some of those bets. Anything already popping for you 23 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 1: in bowl season. I know we're talking in college on 24 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: the NFL show, but still it's fun. 25 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 3: It's football. 26 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:03,800 Speaker 4: I mean. 27 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 5: The only things I have tickets for are Michigan to 28 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:09,959 Speaker 5: win the National Championship. I also have a ticket on 29 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 5: Texas because I had a ticket on Oklahoma State do 30 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 5: win the Big twelve, so I hedged against that in Texas. 31 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:18,119 Speaker 5: So I got Texas and Michigan. So we'll see where 32 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 5: that plays out. 33 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: Beautiful when hedging pays off, you gotta love it, everybody, 34 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: all right now, if you want a chance to win 35 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: a one year free premium upgrade to Betting Pros, the 36 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 1: best betting tools on the planet, drop your comments below, 37 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 1: subscribe to the YouTube channel. That's it, That's all you 38 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: gotta do. We gave away one last week to our 39 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:36,759 Speaker 1: good pal Curtis so Curtis can graduate the big winner, 40 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: Curtis Brooks. But we want to give one to you. 41 00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: So drop your comments below. Tell us what you're in 42 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 1: on this week, your favorite picks of the week. You 43 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 1: just might win yourself a free premium upgrade which is 44 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,560 Speaker 1: going to pay for itself. Well, it's free, so it 45 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 1: already pays for itself. But it's gonna be a nice thing, 46 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: trust me, nice things for everybody. That's what the holidays 47 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 1: are all about. Gentlemen. Let's kick things off here, Scott, Bobby, 48 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 1: and why don't you take us through your first pick 49 00:01:57,200 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: of the week for Week fifteen. 50 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 2: Let's lay the points for Atlanta minus three at Carolina. 51 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 2: And these are two of the worst teams against the 52 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 2: spread in the league, but they did play in Week one. 53 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 2: That was one of only four games that the Falcons 54 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:14,079 Speaker 2: have covered this season, and look, just in this game. 55 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 2: They have way more to play for after dropping that 56 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: game against Tampa at home last week. And while they 57 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 2: may have lost, they showed an ability to move the 58 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:25,800 Speaker 2: ball vertically, as Ritter had three hundred and forty seven yards, 59 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 2: a season high and only his second game with forty 60 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,359 Speaker 2: or more attempts. I wouldn't usually care because the Bucks 61 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 2: defense is a mess. Right, So it's like, Okay, well, 62 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 2: Atlanta threw, but it was against Tampa Bay. But it's 63 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 2: not like Carolina is in any better. They've been bad 64 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,840 Speaker 2: all year. The Panthers' stats against the runner, okay, but 65 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 2: they grade out twenty eighth against the run on PFF 66 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 2: twenty ninth in tackling could be a big day for 67 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 2: Beijon and Algier, and the fact that they moved the 68 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 2: ball vertically last week makes me think this team on 69 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:58,079 Speaker 2: offense is going to put up some points against his 70 00:02:58,160 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 2: bad Carolina d And I just don't Carolina can score. 71 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 2: So give me the incentive for the Carolina other wanted 72 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:07,400 Speaker 2: to win this game, but not only that, No. 73 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: Shit, they want to win. But there's no incentive for 74 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: me to bet Carolina on an upset because I'm only 75 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 1: getting plus one fifteen. That's the best number right now 76 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:15,639 Speaker 1: betting Groys I can get, you know, give me two 77 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 1: to one, three to one even now. I'm like, all right, well, 78 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:19,239 Speaker 1: maybe I'll make some money on this. But this was 79 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: actually number ten on my list this week for the 80 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:22,919 Speaker 1: same last week. 81 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 3: They're not going to give you the odds this week. 82 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 1: You know what it is? Box, I feel like I 83 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: look at it and I say to myself, look, do 84 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 1: I want to copy and paste Ritter's performance? No from 85 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 1: last week, especially on the road. But at the same time, 86 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 1: do I think they can win this game by three 87 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: against Caroline Panthers. I think the answer is yes. It's 88 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: kind of unspectacular, unsexy but it makes a lot of sense. 89 00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 1: You just kind of take the money and run with 90 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: this one. Speaking of taking the runny and running, Andrew Rickson, 91 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: what are you taking this week? In Week fifteen? 92 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 4: Give me the Giants? Giants too. 93 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 1: This week? 94 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 5: Boys again, if you don't want to go on the 95 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 5: money line, that's fine, but Giants plus six. Like I 96 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 5: hate the Saints so much, Like this team is so overrated, 97 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 5: and this is my special stat right, the Saints have 98 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 5: covered three games this year. Tommy DeVito has covered three 99 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:13,839 Speaker 5: games in his last three starts. Like, the Saints are 100 00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 5: just one of these teams. They've benefited from the easy 101 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,159 Speaker 5: schedule they've had all year long, and yet they've taken 102 00:04:19,360 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 5: zero advantage of it. With Derek Carr, let's see what 103 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:23,840 Speaker 5: they've done. They're on a seven game streak of fin 104 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 5: to cover the spread after they've won a game, so 105 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 5: they're a good team to bet on against after they win. 106 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 5: They failed to cover the spread in seven of the 107 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:32,839 Speaker 5: last home games, seven to the last eight home games, 108 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 5: so they don't there's no home field advantage for them 109 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 5: playing in New Orleans. They fail to cover the spread 110 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 5: in eleven of the last thirteen games as a favorite, Like, 111 00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 5: this team is so bad all over round in terms 112 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 5: of the expectation that they come out with. So I've 113 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 5: been waiting for them to just take on a team 114 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 5: that not named the Panthers where I can feel somewhat 115 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 5: confident about like backing them against the Saints. And the 116 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 5: Saints barely covered last week against the Carolina Panthers, one 117 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:00,159 Speaker 5: of the two teams they've actually give been a to 118 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 5: cover against this season. So for me looking at more 119 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:08,039 Speaker 5: of a matchup kind of based analysis, the Saints have 120 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 5: been really bad against the run of the last couple 121 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:11,479 Speaker 5: of weeks, allowing the most rushing cards to running backs 122 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 5: over the last four weeks. Who is the Giants best 123 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 5: player on offense, Sae Kwon Barkley. They are able to 124 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 5: run the football against the New Orleans Saints defense. And 125 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:20,799 Speaker 5: what's the other thing. The Saints are really bad against 126 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,760 Speaker 5: mobile quarterbacks. What do we see Tommy DeVito do last week? 127 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 5: Ran the ball with his legs. So not only are 128 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:30,479 Speaker 5: all the trends pointing to fading the Saints, but the 129 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:33,400 Speaker 5: matchup on paper from a football standpoint is that the 130 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:36,719 Speaker 5: Giants offense can actually move the ball against this defense, 131 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 5: and when it comes to the Giants defense against the 132 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 5: Saints offense. I have zero fear whatsoever of Derek Carr, 133 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,840 Speaker 5: and we've seen this Giants defense give better offenses fits 134 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,920 Speaker 5: at times this season. Blitz heavy. I think Derek Carr 135 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 5: is gonna crumble. Look, I think Giants plus six is 136 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 5: the best bet. But Giants on the money line, I 137 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 5: also don't. I've already bet it, so just be transparent. 138 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: No, that's as if I and another one from my 139 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 1: top ten bets. Somebody's been watching videos. I feel like 140 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:02,839 Speaker 1: I feel like the guys are watching the videos. 141 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:05,479 Speaker 4: A little bit here, but just copy. 142 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 6: Here. 143 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:07,719 Speaker 1: Listen, bro. 144 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 3: Joe picked his cousin to win a game. 145 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: Pick your family, and then what are you gonna do? 146 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: What are you gonna look? Come on, by the way, 147 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 1: my Tommy DeVito TikTok about his agent viral. It's all 148 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:24,919 Speaker 1: up there, thousands and thousands of views. It's very funny. 149 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:27,239 Speaker 1: Go check it out. Fantasy pro Joe on the TikTok. 150 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 1: But seriously, like I'm with you, erics one hundred, Like, 151 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,000 Speaker 1: do I think that the Saints, you know, are gonna 152 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: win this game? Outright? 153 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 2: No? 154 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 1: I really don't. I mean the Giants on the money 155 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 1: line plus two twenty five is very tempting, but I 156 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 1: think that's six is just like a lock and give it. 157 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:44,279 Speaker 5: Saints were out gained by one hundred yards against the 158 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:45,160 Speaker 5: Panthers last week. 159 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 4: Therek Carr. I know they're not good less than one 160 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 4: hundred yards before the fourth quarter. 161 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,279 Speaker 2: I believe Jamis has not come in like, I know 162 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:53,599 Speaker 2: he's gonna turn the ball over, but let him law 163 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 2: down field for God's sake. 164 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:56,360 Speaker 3: Come on, and. 165 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 1: Bogin's gonna laugh. But you know, Bogs. A couple years ago, 166 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 1: you remember, I was like, I like this Veto kid 167 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:02,919 Speaker 1: over in Syracuse. I think he's a pretty good quarterback, 168 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:04,480 Speaker 1: and he's like, shut up, you would he You just 169 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:06,440 Speaker 1: like him because his name ends in a vowel. 170 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 3: Yeah. 171 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 1: Here he is playing for the Giants doing things. Is 172 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: there a quarterback controversy in New York? Boggs, No, Daniel 173 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 1: Jones is still your dude. 174 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 4: I don't think they have a quarterbacks though. 175 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I think I think Erickson is more right 176 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 3: than that. But they pay They paid Danny dimes. 177 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 2: They're not gonna not They're not gonna let Tommy DeVito 178 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 2: uh take this job. 179 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: Ye, quarterbacks maybe somebody's knocking. 180 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 5: To the door for Johnson to change his last name 181 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 5: to DeVito and then he'll get the gianty DeVito. 182 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 1: Right there you go. It's all he needs, all right, Boggs, 183 00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 1: Let's go back to you for another pick for week fifteen. 184 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:42,560 Speaker 1: What do you have? 185 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 2: Well, look, I can eat crow when it's uh, when 186 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:49,080 Speaker 2: it's right in front of me, and I have to. 187 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 2: And we had the Dolphins uh minus the points last week. 188 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 3: I did. 189 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:58,240 Speaker 2: And look in the fourth quarter they got to a 190 00:07:58,320 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 2: fourteen point or a thirteen point lead in this game. 191 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 2: Fourteen point lead because Tennessee went for two after they 192 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 2: scored that first one. But Will Levis turned it on 193 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 2: and finally showed what he can do. And this was 194 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 2: the Will Levis that we saw in twenty twenty one 195 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 2: with Kentucky and was pushing him to be a very 196 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 2: high draft pick in the draft. Then in twenty twenty 197 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 2: two he kind of hid behind his line, he opted 198 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 2: out of some games. He just didn't look the same 199 00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:30,640 Speaker 2: and he hasn't looked the same since until whatever clicked 200 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 2: correctly in that game against the Dolphins. And they are 201 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 2: playing with momentum now and Houston, we may not have CJ. 202 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 3: Stroud. 203 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 2: He's still in proto, so there's a good chance that 204 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:44,839 Speaker 2: he comes out. But even if he does, the Texans 205 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 2: are still questionable about Nico Collins, who doesn't seem like 206 00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 2: he's gonna play. Blake Cashman, Will Anderson and Laramie Tonsell 207 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:56,200 Speaker 2: and Tavierre Thomas all starters on this team. The Titans 208 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 2: did also have a lot of guys misspractice yesterday as well, 209 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 2: but they played on Monday, so it's more likely that 210 00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 2: you know those guys are going to be able. 211 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:03,560 Speaker 3: To come back. 212 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 2: The Texans had been winning close games. They had a 213 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:09,199 Speaker 2: gold line stand against Denver to win. They stopped Houston. 214 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:14,120 Speaker 2: They stopped I'm sorry a couple of weeks ago. I 215 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 2: think it was something I wrote Houston on here. Obviously 216 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:19,080 Speaker 2: they are Houston, but they saw somebody on a fourth 217 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 2: down late. They kicked to walk off field goals. Sometimes 218 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 2: I just I'm my own worst enemy. They kicked a 219 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 2: field goal against since he to walk off and win. 220 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:33,400 Speaker 2: The Titans can't sustain drives. If they can sustain drives 221 00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 2: and pass the ball, Derrick Henry becomes unstoppable. You unlock 222 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,000 Speaker 2: a new Derrick Henry level. If you can pass the 223 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 2: ball and they're getting the ball to Hopkins, who looks great. Look, man, 224 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 2: I don't like the Titans. They haven't played well this year. 225 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 2: I think the roster is kind of thin. But Rabel 226 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 2: is one of the best coaches in the NFL. These 227 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 2: teams are going in an opposite direction of each other 228 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 2: right now. Houston is, you know, kind of fading down 229 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:00,560 Speaker 2: here in the stretch that they are young team. They're 230 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 2: very good, but I don't think they're putting it together 231 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 2: right now. So gimme Will Levis and give me the 232 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 2: Titans on a heater, and I think they're gonna win 233 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 2: this one, possibly going away, especially if CJ doesn't play boys. 234 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: We are three for three so far. This also made 235 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 1: the best bets. I mean it's look, man, I think 236 00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 1: we're all in lockstet But we know where we are 237 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 1: at this point. We know it's. 238 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 3: Just Sackson and I watching your videos. 239 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 1: Well, no, I think we know which teams are you know, 240 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 1: are really here. They're struggling towards the end. I think 241 00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 1: the Houston Texans, I don't want to say they ran 242 00:10:33,320 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 1: out of gas a little bit, but it feels like 243 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:36,959 Speaker 1: they got a little bit exposed when they started to 244 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 1: face some of the better teams out there a little 245 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: bit as well. 246 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:40,560 Speaker 3: It's not the Cardinals, that's who it was. 247 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 1: By the way, Yeah, there you go. I knew you'd 248 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: find it eventually. I believe in you. Box. Also, don't 249 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: forget as you're trying to track all these games, make 250 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 1: sure you're downloading the Betting Pros app, especially if you 251 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 1: have iOS. You get three free days of premium. But 252 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 1: we also have that game notifications feature, so you can 253 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 1: look at all the line alerts and the movements going 254 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:58,000 Speaker 1: for some of these games. So keep a close eye 255 00:10:58,000 --> 00:10:59,599 Speaker 1: on that because this is one in particular where you 256 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 1: might get at you know, Strout comes back, this line 257 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 1: could move a little bit. I am not as optimistic 258 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 1: that he is going to return for this one. We'll see. 259 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:08,679 Speaker 1: The quarterbacks have been getting cleared. I feel like a 260 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:10,439 Speaker 1: little bit easier than some of the position players. I 261 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 1: don't want to be tinfoil hot lately, but it's still 262 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 1: twenty five percent chance, you know, in the same week 263 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:19,080 Speaker 1: that a guy comes back. We had that statistic earlier 264 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:22,400 Speaker 1: on another podcast from Fantasy Pros last week. All right, Eric, 265 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:24,320 Speaker 1: so let's bounce back to you here for week fifteen. 266 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 1: Give me another pick. 267 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:27,600 Speaker 5: Yeah, No, I'm just going to continue to ride the 268 00:11:27,640 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 5: Tennessee Titans because guys, they're playing at home. Like if 269 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 5: you guys didn't know this, Like the Titans play better 270 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 5: at home than they do on the road. 271 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 4: Four and one overall straight up in New York City. 272 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:39,560 Speaker 5: They've covered the spread and for the last five home 273 00:11:39,600 --> 00:11:42,079 Speaker 5: games at Nissan Stadium, and the only time I failed 274 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 5: to cover was their overtime loss against the Colts, which 275 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 5: they were winning by three points in overtime. So essentially 276 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 5: they've been in every single game to cover the spread 277 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:54,040 Speaker 5: while playing in Tennessee. Their top ten scoring offense at home. 278 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:59,079 Speaker 5: So again, I think that the Titans are in a 279 00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 5: position where they've been profitable to back at home. And 280 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 5: you look at the Texans, they've just been a team 281 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 5: that's been overvalued by the market all year long. Yeah, 282 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 5: Like once the Stroud like had a big game, it 283 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 5: was like everyone was obsessed with c J. Stroud is 284 00:12:11,040 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 5: backing CJ. Stroud because as good as the season they've 285 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:16,200 Speaker 5: had that they've had, there's six and five against the spread, 286 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:17,959 Speaker 5: Like they haven't really been like this team. It's like, 287 00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:20,080 Speaker 5: oh yeah, they always cover you know they're really good 288 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:22,120 Speaker 5: as underdogs or his favorites like that not has not 289 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 5: been the case. So I really think the move now 290 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 5: is to wait, hope that Stroud does clear and then 291 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 5: take the better number on the Titans, because if that's 292 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 5: ultimately how the lines are going to move, just based 293 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 5: on what we've seen from the market, the market loves Stroud, 294 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 5: So if Stroud is gonna play in this game, you're 295 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 5: gonna see money come in on the Texans, even though 296 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 5: I would be going in the other direction. 297 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:42,839 Speaker 2: Gonna be in those Powder Blues too. That's it's weird 298 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:45,400 Speaker 2: to me that they wear the oilers unis to play 299 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:47,040 Speaker 2: the Texans when they're in. 300 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:49,960 Speaker 4: It's like rubbing salt in the wound. 301 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's kind of obnoxious. I do love those old 302 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: Powder b lose though they love the Gold Blues. I 303 00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 1: mean the days of Heywood, Jefferies and Warren Moon. Those 304 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 1: are fun times back in childhood. Do you know that 305 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:02,640 Speaker 1: is Eric's in? 306 00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:03,480 Speaker 2: No? 307 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 1: Okay, all right, let's continue on here. J Let's go 308 00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 1: back to Scott Bobin for another pick. And I know 309 00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:13,240 Speaker 1: this one probably rubbs you the wrong way, but you 310 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:15,280 Speaker 1: can't and I right now the Baltimore Ravens are kind 311 00:13:15,280 --> 00:13:19,199 Speaker 1: of arguably the class of the AFC. I'm gonna say 312 00:13:19,280 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 1: arguably in air quotes. But certainly it seems like no 313 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 1: one else wants to step up. 314 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:25,680 Speaker 3: You know what I like more than I hate the 315 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:28,680 Speaker 3: Ravens Money. I like money. 316 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 2: I was gonna say hi, but yeah, well look at 317 00:13:32,280 --> 00:13:35,839 Speaker 2: me also, yeah, so absolutely I do. 318 00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:36,400 Speaker 3: I do like you. 319 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 1: You're a pie guy with the end. You know, hate 320 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 1: guy doesn't matter. 321 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 3: Look at me, Joe. I'm both come on, you know, 322 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 3: I'm both. 323 00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 1: You, but I if I have if they're both there, 324 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 1: I'm going to cake, especially the chocolate. 325 00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:51,120 Speaker 2: But these are you know, when I think I'm with you. 326 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 2: So unless it's key Lime Pie, then key Li Pie wins. 327 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:56,559 Speaker 2: But look, I'm not gonna hate you over the head. 328 00:13:56,559 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 2: With stats, Baltimore minus three against Jacksonville. Jacksonville is miss 329 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 2: through a bowl right now. They cannot stop any sort 330 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 2: of a passing game, even one that is a little 331 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:09,760 Speaker 2: weaker than it usually is without Mark Andrews. We saw 332 00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 2: Lamar toss the ball all over the field last week. 333 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:16,080 Speaker 2: Jacksonville is bad. They're going in the wrong direction. They 334 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 2: can't put up any rushing yards right now, so you're 335 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 2: gonna go to a gimpie Trevor Lawrence and the Ravens 336 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 2: are gonna run his ass down. I don't think this 337 00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 2: is gonna be a very fun game at all for Jacksonville. 338 00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 2: I think Baltimore is going to wipe them out. I 339 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:32,240 Speaker 2: think Jacksonville is going in the wrong direction right now. 340 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:34,520 Speaker 2: I do think this team is good, but I think 341 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:38,080 Speaker 2: that their coverage is so bad that it doesn't matter 342 00:14:38,280 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 2: that Josh Allen has thirteen and a half sacks. It 343 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 2: doesn't matter that they're getting constant pressure on the quarterback, 344 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 2: especially against a guy like Lamar who can scramble out 345 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:48,680 Speaker 2: of those sacks and run around. I think this is 346 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 2: a huge mismatch defensively for the Jaguars, and not many 347 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 2: teams are scoring against Baltimore right now. So I don't 348 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 2: know why this line is only three. It must be 349 00:14:57,160 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 2: because it's in Jacksonville. I think Baltimore runs. 350 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 1: Away because it's in Jacksonville, but also because at home 351 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 1: last week the Rams took them to overtime, and I 352 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 1: don't think a lot of people saw that coming. So 353 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 1: people get and understandably, so people get a little cautious 354 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 1: when it comes to the Ravens, whether they believe wholeheartedly. 355 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:15,080 Speaker 1: I would actually be looking at the Jags on this 356 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 1: side of the game, but they're not at full strength. 357 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 1: Lawrence is not a full strength and don't have Kirk them. 358 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 1: It's in some other pieces. 359 00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 2: The running game has been one dimensional and that's a 360 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 2: good secondary for Baltimore. 361 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:28,520 Speaker 3: So he's had. 362 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 1: Health issues too. It's just it's a bad spot. You 363 00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 1: I said, normally this would be that perfect. You know, 364 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:34,960 Speaker 1: Ravens are favored by three. Let's go take the Jags 365 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:37,160 Speaker 1: here when they go play in Jacksonville, because you know 366 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: we've seen that happen to the Ravens before many times. 367 00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 1: But in this one, I'm with you. 368 00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 2: I think on that run, the Ravens aren't a dominant team. 369 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:46,560 Speaker 2: I'll say that, but I do think they're the best team. 370 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 1: Is there a dominant team in the AFC? 371 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:48,760 Speaker 3: I don't think there is. 372 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 4: Rams are a dominant team. 373 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:54,160 Speaker 1: The Ravens aren't because they look the Rams took them 374 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:56,120 Speaker 1: to overtime last week. That's why, like, the Rams come 375 00:15:56,120 --> 00:16:00,359 Speaker 1: into town and I respect Matthew Staffords in all but American. 376 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 5: And then you watch the Ravens beat themselves against the Steelers. 377 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:11,520 Speaker 1: Let's okay there, okay, guy dominant. They beat themselves, but 378 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:12,600 Speaker 1: the good teams don't do that. 379 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 5: So the good teams show up against the other good teams, 380 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 5: which the Ravens always do. 381 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, Jacks aren't a good team. So we'll see. 382 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 3: Are you here? We are we in disagreement. 383 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,280 Speaker 4: I mean the Jaguars have a good record, so that 384 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 4: they're a good team. In my eyes, they are. 385 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,000 Speaker 2: They are a good team, but the way that secondary 386 00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 2: has been playing is miserable right now. 387 00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:32,040 Speaker 3: I don't think they can stop anybody. 388 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:35,920 Speaker 4: Lamar Jackson overs Yeah, Erickson. 389 00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:37,720 Speaker 1: I think it's only one dominant team in football right now. 390 00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 1: I think it's the forty nine ers, to be honest 391 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 1: with you, like I think, and that's why I put 392 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 1: money in and I talked about it again on the 393 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 1: video this week. I'm like, look, now is the time 394 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,440 Speaker 1: to go win on the forty nine ers. It's it's 395 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 1: it's as good as it's gonna get, probably if they 396 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 1: keep winning games and they have that one seed and 397 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 1: they have the two home games to get to the 398 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 1: super Bowl. Like, I don't see anybody the NFC beating 399 00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:56,720 Speaker 1: them in that scenario, which is the scenario that it's 400 00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 1: trending towards that, and then on the flip side, I 401 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 1: really see a true contender. Maybe the next couple weeks 402 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 1: somebody will emerge and get hot in the AFC and 403 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:07,840 Speaker 1: that becomes a very dangerous thing. But whoever that team is, 404 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 1: not only do they have to be hot, then they 405 00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 1: have to carry it all the way through the playoffs 406 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 1: and then against the forty nine Ers, which I think 407 00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 1: is a lot to ask. I think it's very different. 408 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 4: Give me the Ravens. 409 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:18,360 Speaker 5: Ravens will lose against the forty Nineers of the regular season, 410 00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:19,320 Speaker 5: they'll beat them in the super Bowl. 411 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 1: The stranger things have happened, all right, Let's get to 412 00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:26,159 Speaker 1: some strange things, because you have some feelings about this 413 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers game, and Bobby and you might have to 414 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: have ear must for this one. 415 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm taking the taking the Colts minus one and 416 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:35,160 Speaker 5: a half against the Steelers. They're playing at home. Colts 417 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:38,520 Speaker 5: have won for the last five games. And I think 418 00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:40,320 Speaker 5: that I noticed the most about the Colts is there 419 00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:43,119 Speaker 5: hundred percent against the spread as a favorite. So I 420 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 5: was wrongly on them last week as I opened as 421 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 5: a favorite against the Bengals, and I continue to powd 422 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,480 Speaker 5: my chest for the Colts, and then they became underdogs 423 00:17:49,480 --> 00:17:51,560 Speaker 5: and I should have jumped off the bandwagon, but I 424 00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 5: did not, and that was bad. So not making them 425 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:57,359 Speaker 5: the same mistake twice because they're still favorites here against 426 00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 5: the Steelers even though TJ. Watt has cleared the concussion protocol. 427 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:03,600 Speaker 5: The line actually moved after that was announced from mis 428 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 5: two and a half to minus one and a half, 429 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:06,600 Speaker 5: which makes sense because what is one of the guys 430 00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 5: that actually does impact a defense in a game's outcome 431 00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:12,200 Speaker 5: because of how impactful he is as a defensive player. 432 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:14,800 Speaker 5: But I still just like the Colts Moore at home, 433 00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:16,199 Speaker 5: I had four and oh straight up and against the 434 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:18,920 Speaker 5: spread as a favorite, like Shane Steichen is going to 435 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:22,760 Speaker 5: run circles around Mike Tomlin. Like from the two coaching perspectives, 436 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 5: again we talked about it from the Jack or the 437 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:29,560 Speaker 5: Titans and Texans teams going in opposite directions. This Colts team, 438 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 5: I think is surging with their coaching staff, with Shane 439 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:32,959 Speaker 5: Stikeen or Mike Tomlin. 440 00:18:33,520 --> 00:18:35,000 Speaker 4: I think that. 441 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,160 Speaker 5: After losing back to back games against teams with two 442 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:40,680 Speaker 5: wins like there are question marks there's blame being thrown around. 443 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 4: The receivers are complaining. 444 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:44,920 Speaker 5: I just don't like the juju around the Steelers right now, 445 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:46,520 Speaker 5: and I want to back to the Colts at home. 446 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 5: So give me Indianapolish bogs. 447 00:18:49,600 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 1: You agree with that statement that he just laid out 448 00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:54,439 Speaker 1: there that Shane Steikeen is the superior football coach to 449 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin. 450 00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:58,880 Speaker 2: I mean, right now, he probably is. I don't think 451 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 2: it matters, though. I mean, if you're going, if you're 452 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:05,240 Speaker 2: going with momentum, the Colts have it and the Steelers don't, 453 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:07,400 Speaker 2: so I completely understand this pick. 454 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 3: Now. 455 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:10,440 Speaker 2: Look, watching the Steelers for forty years, I will tell 456 00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:13,200 Speaker 2: you that this is a Steelers devil magic game where 457 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:15,919 Speaker 2: for no reason, they get two turnovers, just like they 458 00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:18,440 Speaker 2: did against the Browns earlier this year. They had two 459 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:22,000 Speaker 2: defensive touchdowns ended up winning that game. I said this 460 00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:24,479 Speaker 2: about the Rams game as well, and they ended up 461 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:26,920 Speaker 2: winning that. I kind of think this one is one 462 00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:31,720 Speaker 2: where the Steelers, out of nowhere, for no reason, win it. 463 00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 3: It's just dumb. 464 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,880 Speaker 2: It's what happens with this team, and that's why they're 465 00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,760 Speaker 2: always over five hundred and at the end of the year. 466 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 2: People go This team is bad, but they won some 467 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,520 Speaker 2: of these surprising games. This could be one of them. 468 00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:47,240 Speaker 2: You know it should be. At all they look miserable, 469 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:48,600 Speaker 2: like Ericson just said. 470 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: They just lost two miserables. 471 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 3: They've been blueprinted. 472 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 2: The blueprint is throw the ball over the middle against 473 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 2: them Trey McBride, Hunter Henry and then you have Josh 474 00:19:57,880 --> 00:19:59,919 Speaker 2: Downs plus all the good tight ends with the Colts. 475 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:03,600 Speaker 2: It seems fairly easy. But I'm telling you Steelers devil Magic. 476 00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 2: We'll see if it works. 477 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,040 Speaker 1: Steelers' best number on betting pros is plus one ten 478 00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 1: over at Caesars. That's the best one I'm seeing on 479 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 1: the money line. If you're into the Devil Magic Bogs, 480 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:14,440 Speaker 1: you're into the Devil Magic. Let's talk about San fran Arizona. 481 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:16,040 Speaker 1: It's a big number. How do you feel about it? 482 00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:18,440 Speaker 2: I mean, is there any way that the Niners don't 483 00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:22,040 Speaker 2: put up thirty five against the Cardinals defense. I don't 484 00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:25,639 Speaker 2: see how they couldn't, you know. So what we're asking, shocked, 485 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:28,600 Speaker 2: what we're asking in this game is that the Cardinals 486 00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:32,640 Speaker 2: score twice or the Niners score a six touchdown, which 487 00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:36,840 Speaker 2: wouldn't be that surprising. But so let's say the Niners 488 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:40,600 Speaker 2: put up thirty five, two touchdowns, and since Kyler came back, 489 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 2: they have scored at least fourteen points in all four 490 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:46,680 Speaker 2: games they played, and they're averaging just to shade under twenty. 491 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,399 Speaker 2: The Niners are banged up on defense. They had a 492 00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:53,920 Speaker 2: lot of DMPs on Wednesday. Armstead, Green Law, Hardgrave, Shavarious Ward, 493 00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 2: Andrey Thomas, five starters all did not practice, so they're 494 00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 2: probably going to be coming in there at less than 495 00:20:58,840 --> 00:20:59,639 Speaker 2: one hundred percent. 496 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:01,679 Speaker 3: The Cardinals are dead last and. 497 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 2: Overall defensive grade on PFF and run grade. They are 498 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,919 Speaker 2: twenty ninth in pass rush, bottom ten in coverage. I 499 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,000 Speaker 2: think the Niners put up at least thirty five. They 500 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:16,439 Speaker 2: scored thirty or more points in eight of eleven games 501 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 2: this year, or eight of thirteen games this year, so 502 00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 2: this is a team that is since that bye week. 503 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 2: They are on a heater Brock party cannot miss. I 504 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,119 Speaker 2: think they're going to roll a bunch of points here. 505 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:31,399 Speaker 2: We're just asking the Cardinals to put up a couple. 506 00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 2: There's a lot of injuries for the Niners, so I 507 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 2: think this one is an easy cover. So give me 508 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,640 Speaker 2: the over forty seven and a half in San Francisco 509 00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:40,160 Speaker 2: and Arizona. 510 00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:41,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, I see that number you can get on fandle 511 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:45,360 Speaker 1: right near minus one ten right now, And I'm with 512 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,800 Speaker 1: you on that one as well. Now, Erickson, you're in 513 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:49,800 Speaker 1: on this game too, but from a different perspective, what 514 00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:50,119 Speaker 1: is it? 515 00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:50,639 Speaker 2: Well? 516 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 4: I do like the over as well. 517 00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,440 Speaker 5: The Pardners are six and oho towards the over at 518 00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 5: home this season, So all these games are shooting out, 519 00:21:56,920 --> 00:22:00,960 Speaker 5: and it's the potential shootout environment that makes me think, like. 520 00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:02,440 Speaker 4: Twelve and a half points. 521 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,440 Speaker 5: We just saw that the forty nine ers not cover 522 00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:08,800 Speaker 5: a thirteen point spread against the Drew lock led Seahawks 523 00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,440 Speaker 5: at home, Like what are we doing here? 524 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:12,359 Speaker 4: Like this opened up. 525 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,879 Speaker 5: At fourteen and I'm like, guys, it's not Josh Dobbs, 526 00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:16,640 Speaker 5: that's the quarterback. 527 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 4: It's Kyler Murray. Like fourteen point. 528 00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 5: Dog at home, Like that's ridiculous, Like for a team 529 00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:24,639 Speaker 5: that literally just did not cover double digit spread against 530 00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:27,639 Speaker 5: Drew Locke in the Seattle Seahawks. Like this is a 531 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 5: divisional game. The Cardinals are coming off of bye week, 532 00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,800 Speaker 5: and I just talked about how the Cardinals' offense scores 533 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 5: points at home. So yes, I think that this is 534 00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:38,120 Speaker 5: going to be points scored if forty nineers are going 535 00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 5: to win this game, but just to lock in that 536 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:44,159 Speaker 5: they're gonna win by two touchdowns, like, no, that's not 537 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,359 Speaker 5: gonna happen. The Cardinals are four and two against the 538 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:49,600 Speaker 5: spread at home this season, like they've played significantly better 539 00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:51,800 Speaker 5: in front of their home crowd coming off a bye week. 540 00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:55,240 Speaker 5: It's Kyler Murray, Like this isn't some like bad quarterback 541 00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 5: or some backup, like he's an all pro quarterback. Like 542 00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:00,880 Speaker 5: so I didn't understand this line one came out. I'll 543 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,719 Speaker 5: always take double digits at home for underdogs, especially in 544 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:07,640 Speaker 5: the division, especially when it's Kyler Murray, especially the team 545 00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:09,359 Speaker 5: coming off of bye week. So this is just a 546 00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,480 Speaker 5: process play for me. And I found that at least 547 00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:14,080 Speaker 5: in the last couple of weeks that backing underdogs in 548 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:17,200 Speaker 5: shootouts has really been more profitable than not because when 549 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,840 Speaker 5: teams are when no offense can be stopped, like the 550 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 5: game is not gonna be a blowout in one way 551 00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 5: or the other, Like it's gonna be high scoring in 552 00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:25,920 Speaker 5: more or less a close game. 553 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 4: So I like the Cardinals plus twelve and a half. 554 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:30,760 Speaker 1: I'm not comfortable with the twelve and a half either 555 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 1: way necessarily, So I'm just sticking with the over on 556 00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:34,960 Speaker 1: this one. But you make a really good case of 557 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:38,719 Speaker 1: anything I'm leading towards you too, which is them covering this, 558 00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,760 Speaker 1: especially on the road there for San Francisco forty nine 559 00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:44,200 Speaker 1: ers that the twelve is a little, it's it's a lot. 560 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:45,679 Speaker 1: It's a lot for them to have. 561 00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:47,800 Speaker 5: To Yeah, it doesn't get It's like more of like 562 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:49,600 Speaker 5: a principal play of anything. It's like if you're gonna 563 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:51,520 Speaker 5: give me twelve and a half points at home, and. 564 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,719 Speaker 1: Look, we're gonna be a football team. So I get it. 565 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:55,680 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not saying the line is wrong. I'm 566 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,840 Speaker 1: saying it's not tempting enough to me. And it's so 567 00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 1: close to I gif it was a fourteen, I'd be right, 568 00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:03,600 Speaker 1: fourteen and a half transparency. 569 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:05,560 Speaker 4: I jumped on it when it was at fourteen. 570 00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:06,960 Speaker 1: Right, and when it was fourteen and a half or 571 00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,479 Speaker 1: fourteen like that to me, yes, all the way on Arizona. 572 00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:11,480 Speaker 1: Now that's twelve and a half. It's right on that borderline. 573 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: But I think Toboggan's point that over is really interesting. 574 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:15,520 Speaker 1: Let's do one more from both of the boys here 575 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,199 Speaker 1: before we close out. Today's action, Bogs, You've got a 576 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: fun one for us, and I like this. So this 577 00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 1: a little three way action you got going on. 578 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:24,320 Speaker 2: That's right, It's okay if it's in a three way 579 00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:28,560 Speaker 2: and this is a three way team alt line parlay. 580 00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:31,639 Speaker 2: This is you're moving this Denver line to six and 581 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:34,159 Speaker 2: a half plus six and a half at Detroit, the Giants, 582 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,919 Speaker 2: plus seven and a half against the Saints San Atlanta, 583 00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:41,120 Speaker 2: minus one at Carolina. All of those games will give 584 00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 2: you a plus three thirty three juice. You're gonna triple 585 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 2: up your money. You're expanding those lines a little bit. 586 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,760 Speaker 2: You're getting plus money on two of those away teams. 587 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 2: So I like this line a lot. And I believe 588 00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:57,200 Speaker 2: my last three team, oh my last three away team 589 00:24:57,240 --> 00:25:00,959 Speaker 2: alt line prop on this show hit as well. So well, 590 00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 2: let's ride that momentum, let's go with that one. 591 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:05,919 Speaker 1: Let's ride baby, as long as the Giants are involved 592 00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:07,720 Speaker 1: in this, Like, I'm all about it, all about the 593 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:10,760 Speaker 1: Giants this week. I'm eating the cutlets. All right. Let's 594 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:12,480 Speaker 1: go to you ericson close us out. You got one 595 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 1: more to go? What is it? 596 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:20,480 Speaker 5: Well, we've got a game at Ford Field, folks means oh, Iday. 597 00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 4: We're going over over at Ford Field. Look for the 598 00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:25,600 Speaker 4: last line for the Lions. 599 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:28,919 Speaker 5: Last five games have gone over teams have averaged between 600 00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,640 Speaker 5: Denver and the Lions of average forty eight points scored. 601 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:35,600 Speaker 5: Lions last fifteen home games average total has been fifty 602 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 5: five points. Eighty seven percent of the games of those 603 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:43,199 Speaker 5: fifteen home games have scored at least fifty one points. 604 00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:45,160 Speaker 5: And I know that the Lions defense kind of looked 605 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:46,640 Speaker 5: like they were gonna be a thing in the beginning 606 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:49,240 Speaker 5: of season. Well that's gone like that, that's totally gone. 607 00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:50,880 Speaker 5: Like they reverted back to. 608 00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:54,760 Speaker 2: Who's secondary is worse ericson Jacksonville or Detroit right now. 609 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:56,440 Speaker 4: It's it's both pretty bad. 610 00:25:57,040 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 5: I think Jackson's had more injuries, but yeah, no, they're 611 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:01,760 Speaker 5: both pretty horrible. 612 00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:03,400 Speaker 1: So it's funny all of a sudden that Week one 613 00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:06,399 Speaker 1: matchup with perspective. Now, I mean, you know, you remember 614 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:09,200 Speaker 1: the opening night there with the Kansay Chiefs lost, and 615 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:11,239 Speaker 1: everyone was like, oh my goodness, so look at how 616 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:13,200 Speaker 1: good the lines are. Maybe the Chiefs aren't that good 617 00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. 618 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:16,679 Speaker 5: The Chiefs also didn't have to Travis Kelsey in that 619 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:20,639 Speaker 5: game either in the line one. But yeah, I just 620 00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:22,639 Speaker 5: like the over in this spot, especially looking at Denver. 621 00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:25,240 Speaker 5: Denver has played. Now this will be the third straight 622 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 5: game in a dome, so I think that we're going 623 00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,359 Speaker 5: to see them have more success. They're coming off their 624 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 5: best the ardage total since Week seven. You're starting to 625 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:36,239 Speaker 5: see Russ cook a little bit more. And I think 626 00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:39,280 Speaker 5: that this is a particular matchup where the Denver Broncos 627 00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:41,959 Speaker 5: are kind of forced to pass the Baltimore because De 628 00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:45,840 Speaker 5: Troy can score points at home. So I like the 629 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:47,440 Speaker 5: over in this game, and I think that you could 630 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,359 Speaker 5: see even a big spot from like Jerry Judy, who 631 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:51,320 Speaker 5: kind of let us down last week and Sun can't 632 00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:51,680 Speaker 5: be stopped. 633 00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:52,439 Speaker 4: He got the touchdown. 634 00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 1: Jerry Judy is a walking, living letdown. Let's just be honest. 635 00:26:56,320 --> 00:27:02,119 Speaker 1: What he Island the many Court Sutton, That's who the 636 00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:05,240 Speaker 1: man is. That's all about the Cortland Sutton, you know. 637 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,320 Speaker 1: And besides the over, the forty seven and a half 638 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:11,280 Speaker 1: for Detroit Denver, Erickson's also in the Arizona plus twelve 639 00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:13,760 Speaker 1: and a half against San fran Indie minus one and 640 00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:15,959 Speaker 1: a half, Tennessee minus two and a half against Houston, 641 00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:19,320 Speaker 1: and the Giants plus six over at New Orleans. Then 642 00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,679 Speaker 1: you've got on Bogman's side Atlanta minus three against Carolina 643 00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,439 Speaker 1: in Carolina Tennessee two and a half. Just like Erickson, 644 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 1: they're both in on that one Baltimore and the three 645 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:31,680 Speaker 1: against Jacksonville San fran Arizona over forty seven and a half, 646 00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:35,720 Speaker 1: and it Bogs has that very tasty away team altline parlay. 647 00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:37,240 Speaker 1: Whenever we do the allt lines, I think we have 648 00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:39,000 Speaker 1: to put our flannel shirts. I'll remember it's the mid 649 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:42,200 Speaker 1: nineties here. Whenever we do the alternative stuff tenver plus 650 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 1: six and a half, New York Giants plus seven and 651 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:49,119 Speaker 1: a half and Atlanta minus one at CAROLINEA. You put 652 00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:51,919 Speaker 1: them all together, you get three to one basically, So 653 00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:54,600 Speaker 1: go take care of that. Also, download the Betting Pros app, 654 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:57,119 Speaker 1: make sure you drop your comments below and subscribe to 655 00:27:57,119 --> 00:27:59,639 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel because you just might win yourself a 656 00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:02,480 Speaker 1: one free premium upgrade to the best betting tools on 657 00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:05,160 Speaker 1: the planet to start betting smarter and not harder over 658 00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:07,200 Speaker 1: here at Betting Pros. But more to the point, we 659 00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:09,360 Speaker 1: like to hear from all of you, so drop those comments. 660 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:11,320 Speaker 1: Tell us what your favorite play of the week is. 661 00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:13,679 Speaker 1: I want to know. We all bet together. That's what 662 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,800 Speaker 1: we do here at Betting Pros. That'll do it for us, 663 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:17,320 Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for Scott 664 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 1: Bogman and Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey P. We'll see you 665 00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:21,520 Speaker 1: next time. Kids. 666 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:24,800 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 667 00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,240 Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 668 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:30,639 Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 669 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:33,600 Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 670 00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:37,359 Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 671 00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:39,920 Speaker 6: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.