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Speaker 1: The volume. The three Now Podcast with me John Middlecoff

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Speaker 1: is presented by FanDuel Sports Book. There's no better place

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Speaker 1: Sign up with promo code Colin so they know we

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Speaker 1: sent you. What is going on everybody, John Middlecoff three

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Speaker 1: Now Podcast. Just watched a little, not a little, an

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Speaker 1: absolute butt kicking Buffalo Bill's Josh Allen FIREBA California, the

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Speaker 1: Central Valley. But he didn't go to Frezzen State. He

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Speaker 1: went to Wyoming. He actually went to junior college first. Uh,

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Speaker 1: football is back in our life. Thank you Jesus and God.

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Speaker 1: I love the fall. It just doesn't get any better.

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Speaker 1: We'll dive into that game right off the bat. I

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Speaker 1: recorded a lot earlier today on just the storylines of

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Speaker 1: the year. Uh, basically kind of went game by game

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Speaker 1: and just some thoughts. I have my guy Stucky from

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Speaker 1: the Action Network, who's gonna come on every Friday and

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Speaker 1: talk gambling. Basically, what we'll do is we'll pick three

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Speaker 1: games and maybe another game if something happens, uh something

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Speaker 1: I'm vibing, something I'm feeling. Uh So yeah, that'll be

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Speaker 1: the plan for Friday, and then I think typically we

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Speaker 1: will still put out a mail bag on Sunday morning,

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Speaker 1: So if you live on the East coach, you'll get

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Speaker 1: it well before the games. You live on the West coast,

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Speaker 1: if you're driving around, I have a little content for

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Speaker 1: you on Sunday mornings. Uh, it's probably the plan moving forward.

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Speaker 1: So I'll have a podcast on Monday mornings, Tuesday mornings,

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Speaker 1: Friday mornings, and then Sunday mornings. So a lot of content,

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Speaker 1: no big deal, just a worker here. Now, podcasting isn't

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Speaker 1: exactly you know, carrying sheet rock on your back. So

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Speaker 1: and I'm not asking you to cry for me. But

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Speaker 1: football is back and I know everyone's excited and I

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Speaker 1: know I am. So let's dive into the podcast. But first,

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Speaker 1: if you listen through Collins Feed, make sure you subscribe

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Speaker 1: to three now podcast. Subscribe to three now podcast as well.

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Speaker 1: Middlecoff mail Bag is just my Instagram at John Middlecoff.

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Speaker 1: Slide up into those d m s and get your

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Speaker 1: question answer here on the show. If I've missed any

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Speaker 1: of you, I apologize. It's not the most organized operation.

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Speaker 1: It's just d M S and I get a lot

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Speaker 1: of them from dudes talking about football. But but I

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Speaker 1: do appreciate everyone that interacts, and I try if I

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Speaker 1: don't answer you on the podcast, to answer you manually,

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Speaker 1: like interact with you, like DM or whatever. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: so let's let's dive into the game. Well where do

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Speaker 1: we even start. I don't even think it's that complicated.

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Speaker 1: I was thinking watching the game. You know, football is

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Speaker 1: a very complicated sport, right I worked in the NFL

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Speaker 1: and in college football and remember being confused constantly about

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Speaker 1: blocking schemes and zone coverage. Even coaches get confused, Like

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Speaker 1: coaches are constantly learning from other coaches, and there are

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Speaker 1: certain things that aren't that complicated. Right you drive by

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Speaker 1: Chick fil A the line. I know people that have

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Speaker 1: never been to Chick fil A, but you can't meet

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Speaker 1: a human being that is driven by it and go God,

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Speaker 1: that place is popular, right you drive? You live in

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Speaker 1: a neighborhood, right now, would you say there are Amazon

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Speaker 1: boxes on basically everyone's doorstep? Seven? Days a week, Like

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Speaker 1: Amazon is very popular. People use it and it just

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Speaker 1: open your eyes. If you drive by Chick fil A,

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Speaker 1: it's like, God, that's it must be a good chicken sandwich.

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Speaker 1: If you watch Josh Allen play, like, is he the

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Speaker 1: best quarterback? I don't know. I mean Aaron Rodgers, the

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Speaker 1: back to back m v P is one of the

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Speaker 1: greatest players of all time. Right, Patrick Mahomes has already

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Speaker 1: won a Super Bowl MVP just a remarkable player. Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady is literally the greatest quarterback of all time, still

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Speaker 1: kicking ass and taking names. So I don't know if

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Speaker 1: he's the best player. But you don't need to be

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Speaker 1: Bill Walsh. You can be my mother. You could be

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Speaker 1: some random dude sitting in Iowa and Florida. We're an

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Speaker 1: international show. You could be in uh, you know, overseas.

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Speaker 1: R I P the Queen. He's the most talented quarterback

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Speaker 1: in the league. Physically, there is nothing like him. He

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Speaker 1: moves around and runs like Cam Newton. And remember Cam Newton,

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Speaker 1: for a period of time was one of the best

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Speaker 1: players in the league. He had moms, He won an

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Speaker 1: m VB, I went to the Super Bowl in which

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Speaker 1: he carried the Carolina Panthers too. He never threw it

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Speaker 1: like that. Though I'm thirty seven years old, I was

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Speaker 1: born in nineteen four, so Elway in that draft happened

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Speaker 1: basically right around the time I was zero years old

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Speaker 1: when Elway and Marino came in. Now, I would say

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Speaker 1: the difference between Elway and Marino just listening to sports

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Speaker 1: fans watching YouTube's. I mean, I've met both of them,

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Speaker 1: but I met him at old ages. I never watched

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Speaker 1: them in their prime. Always say, as a sports fan,

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Speaker 1: like you can truly argue if you if you love

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Speaker 1: it the people you watched, Like I'm very comfortable arguing

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Speaker 1: about Barry Bonds or even Michael Jordan, who I watched younger,

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Speaker 1: but definitely my era of guys, right, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning,

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, Steph Curry. You name people that Tiger Woods like.

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Speaker 1: You have a very good feel for it. John Elway,

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Speaker 1: I don't have a great feel for beside YouTube's, but

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Speaker 1: everyone always talked about him like he was the great

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Speaker 1: combination of talent, ability and just the whole package. Right,

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Speaker 1: that's what that looks like. This guy is six ft five,

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Speaker 1: can run, and now he's accurate the knock on him,

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Speaker 1: he was not accurate. Now he's eyes closed, bang bang boom.

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Speaker 1: But unlike Matt Stafford, he's not throwing no look passes.

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Speaker 1: He's hitting dudes in the hand. Now, he did throw

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Speaker 1: one bad pick tonight, but the other pick obviously bounced

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Speaker 1: off the guy's belly, Like that's a superstar. As the

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Speaker 1: game was going on, I was thinking, like, do you

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Speaker 1: know what's crazy about Josh Allen is his uh playoff numbers.

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Speaker 1: He's thrown fourteen touchdowns and one interception, and last year

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Speaker 1: in the two games and obviously when they lost to

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Speaker 1: Kansas City it was not his fault. He threw nine

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Speaker 1: touchdowns in two games. And let's face it, he worked Belichick,

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Speaker 1: the greatest coach of all time, and went toe to

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Speaker 1: toe and honestly outplayed or was right there, you know,

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Speaker 1: slightly better than Mahomes and Andy on the road. So

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Speaker 1: he's going up against the best and the brightest. This

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Speaker 1: is no longer a projection. Remember when Mahomes kind of

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Speaker 1: crossed that threshold where it's just like this, who Patrick

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Speaker 1: Mahomes is? He's a star, block blockbuster. Every year he's

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Speaker 1: going to be an all pro level player, where like

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Speaker 1: justin Herbert, Like we still believe that he should go

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Speaker 1: that way, but he's still on a trajectory, like that's

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Speaker 1: who Josh Allen is, an absolute ass kicker, Like that's

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Speaker 1: what a Hall of Famer looks like. Now he's got

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Speaker 1: a long way to go. But if I'm a Buffalo

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Speaker 1: Bills fans today, if I'm an NFL fan today, that's

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Speaker 1: what I want to watch. And remember a couple of

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Speaker 1: years ago, Mahomes became that blockbuster. I used to compare

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Speaker 1: my Homes to Steph Curry, and then I think a

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Speaker 1: lot of people stole my comparison. But it was pretty

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Speaker 1: clear like he didn't play like anyone else. That guy

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Speaker 1: ain't playing like anyone else, and different from Patrick, who

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Speaker 1: Patrick to me is like the modern day Farve. It's

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Speaker 1: just fun to watch. This guy has a physical element.

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Speaker 1: And think about this. No one wanted him out of

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Speaker 1: high school, no one wanted him out of junior college

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Speaker 1: and coming out to the pros. I'm guilty of this

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Speaker 1: as well. I thought this is insane. He he couldn't

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Speaker 1: hit water if he was sitting in a boat in

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Speaker 1: the middle of the ocean. He was so inaccurate, and

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Speaker 1: the Browns passed on him, the Jets passed on him,

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Speaker 1: And I give the Bills credit because I don't think

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Speaker 1: there were that many teams that we're thinking that this

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Speaker 1: guy obviously that, but it just become a good player.

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Speaker 1: A lot of people in the league think you can't

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Speaker 1: teach you curiously, Well, he might be an outlier, he

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Speaker 1: might not be. We'll see. There are a lot. Trey

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Speaker 1: Lance is gonna be a good example. There are other

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Speaker 1: players that come into the league that in that accuracy

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Speaker 1: is an issue now can't improve. But I would say

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Speaker 1: right now, like that's pretty crazy, and the Bills, Brandon

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Speaker 1: being Sean McDermott, deserve a lot of credit. But this

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Speaker 1: is also why you draft character. You draft guys that

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Speaker 1: love football, and you draft guys that have a chip

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Speaker 1: on their shoulder. They get a guy who you don't

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Speaker 1: improve that much if you don't truly care deep down

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Speaker 1: in your soul, deep down like in everything that means

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Speaker 1: anything to you. Football means a ton, and you work

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Speaker 1: constantly to become that good. Because what I just witnessed,

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Speaker 1: I've been watching I'm thirty seven years old. I've been

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Speaker 1: watching football that I can remember for twenty seven plus

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Speaker 1: years that that's stupid. Now the league Elway Montana when

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Speaker 1: there is obviously different. It's easier on the quarterbacks in

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Speaker 1: the sense of not as physical, you're not getting hit,

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Speaker 1: your wide receivers don't have to worry about getting decapitated

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Speaker 1: going over the middle, So it's not can't compare eras

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Speaker 1: But in terms of talent, like if you ever met Elway,

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Speaker 1: he is a big s O B and back in

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Speaker 1: the day he was an elite athlete and I don't

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Speaker 1: know if he was doing that, but what I'm seeing

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Speaker 1: that guy doing, it's like, holy moly, running like Cam

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Speaker 1: throwing like Brady. Geez lord. The Bills are a rocket

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Speaker 1: ship as long as that guy is on the field.

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Speaker 1: And the other kind of shining star Tonight had to

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Speaker 1: be Von Miller and just just Von Miller on one

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Speaker 1: one you know, side do it is just an all

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Speaker 1: time great player. He had a sack Tonight did the

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Speaker 1: left tackle didn't touch him, the I think it was

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Speaker 1: the blocking back or the tight end that was there

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Speaker 1: to help did not touch him, and he sack Matt Stafford.

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Speaker 1: It is stupid how good he is. I once worked

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Speaker 1: with a guy who then became a general manager that

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Speaker 1: might have had a second round grade on him. No names,

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Speaker 1: no names. I'm not gonna throw anyone under the bus.

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Speaker 1: But he was a camp miss player in a Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M and he has coming to the NFL

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Speaker 1: and he's a first ballot Hall of Famer. But I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna pump the brakes a little bit like we've seen

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Speaker 1: von Miller do this. We saw when he resurrected his

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Speaker 1: season last year when he got traded. To me the

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Speaker 1: key for this signing to work, because I did believe

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Speaker 1: that the amount of money the Bills gave him was

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Speaker 1: pretty crazy. A guy over the thirty year old hump

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Speaker 1: who's had major injuries, and to give him fifty plus

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Speaker 1: million dollars guaranteed, I thought was pretty bold. I thought

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Speaker 1: that was a pretty big swing. And I've heard Brandon

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Speaker 1: Bean talk about it. They thought they were a piece away,

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Speaker 1: and they are one of the rare teams that didn't

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Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl last year. They could truly say

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Speaker 1: we're a player or two way now if he plays

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Speaker 1: like that of the time, you know the Bills are

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Speaker 1: they already were a super Bowl contender. They're probably the favorite.

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Speaker 1: I mean if they're if they're gonna have that von Miller,

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Speaker 1: but let's let's face it, when you're thirty three, like,

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Speaker 1: that's not gonna happen every game, and he's probably built

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Speaker 1: more indoors, Like the Bills actually are the perfect indoor team,

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Speaker 1: but they play outdoors in the element, the colder it

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Speaker 1: gets your older body. They just have to get that

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Speaker 1: level of play in December, Jane Warry, in early February.

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Speaker 1: If they can get that level of von Miller, Like,

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Speaker 1: they don't need that every week obviously, but if they

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Speaker 1: can get that when it really matters, hell, maybe even December,

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Speaker 1: they might have the division set in stone. Get that

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Speaker 1: guy in the playoffs. You know, I think the Bills

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Speaker 1: to me, the Bills, you know, probably in the in

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs would be the two favorites to win it

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Speaker 1: until someone knocks off the Chiefs. The other thing, I

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Speaker 1: was thinking back to Josh Allen, the Bill's greatest advantage

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Speaker 1: right now, I mean truly their greatest advantage because ultimately,

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Speaker 1: you play six of your seventeen games your divisional games,

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Speaker 1: and for you know, twenty years, Tom Brady, we were

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Speaker 1: always saying, like, you know, he gets to play the

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Speaker 1: a f C East. Look at the quarterbacks. Miami always

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Speaker 1: has a new quarterback, the Jets never have a quarterback,

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Speaker 1: and until Josh Allen, the Bills definitely never had a quarterback.

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Speaker 1: A couple of years with Fitzpatrick, but for the most part,

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Speaker 1: no quarterback, and Brady and Belichick beat the livid shit

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Speaker 1: out of him. It felt like, I don't know the percentage,

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Speaker 1: but I would guess if I just had that ballpark

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Speaker 1: guests nineteen last years divisional games that Brady played winning percentage,

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Speaker 1: it had to be really high. We'll think about this,

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Speaker 1: and I know quarterbacks don't necessarily play each other, but

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Speaker 1: they kind of do. Like the quarterback you have versus

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Speaker 1: the quarterback I have is like, that's like usually the

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Speaker 1: better quarterback, Like I feel I have an advantage. They

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Speaker 1: don't just have the better quarterback in the advan in

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Speaker 1: the division. It's a Grand Canyon White gap. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they got Josh Allen, who's clearly I mean, he's one

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Speaker 1: of the most talented quarterbacks we've ever seen, but currently

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Speaker 1: in two thousand twenty two, he's one of the best

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Speaker 1: players in the league against Mac Jones, a very average

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Speaker 1: talent to a who I'm not sure's any good and

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Speaker 1: Zack Wilson, who is injured and honestly was trending. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's not trending into great, you know direction. So the

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Speaker 1: Bills like, as long as that guy stay, it's healthy.

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Speaker 1: They're winning the East every year. Like that's setting stone

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Speaker 1: now on the flip side, defending champs first and foremost.

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Speaker 1: That that building is remarkable. Got to go and do

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Speaker 1: it last year. It is if you ever get a chance.

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Speaker 1: If you're in Los Angeles, listen, people talk some crap

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Speaker 1: about California, including myself, and I'm a thirty five year

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Speaker 1: resident of it. I've always been a homer for northern California.

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Speaker 1: Southern California is better. They got the ocean. Uh, they

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Speaker 1: got the better weather. And if you go to the

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Speaker 1: right places, it's sweet. And when you go to that

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Speaker 1: building and listen, you know the forty Niners playing Levi's

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Speaker 1: kind of sucks. That building. I've been to. Jerry's Palace

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Speaker 1: is the most remarkable thing I've ever seen. It is cool.

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Speaker 1: I'm not giving the Rams necessarily a pass, but whatever,

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Speaker 1: Like they're gonna be good, They're gonna be fine. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna be a playoff team. To me, the story of

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Speaker 1: the night. Sean McVeigh is one of the best coach

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Speaker 1: in the league. First time he's lost in six seasons,

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Speaker 1: his first opening game loss, Like, they'll be okay. But

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Speaker 1: like Matt Stafford, who I will also give somewhat of

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Speaker 1: a pass given that his practice time was limited because

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Speaker 1: of the injury, I do think it's fair to say

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Speaker 1: like he plays a little loosey goosey. I remember last

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Speaker 1: year I kind of crushed him after a game because

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Speaker 1: he was throwing picks. He throws interceptions. Now, ultimately they

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Speaker 1: overcame it, and he was pretty good in the He

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Speaker 1: was really good in the playoffs. He did throw a

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Speaker 1: late pick that was dropped against the forty Niners that

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Speaker 1: would have cost him the Super Bowl. But ultimately, I've

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Speaker 1: always liked Matt Stafford, and I can live with the

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Speaker 1: picks because I get the big place tonight we didn't.

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Speaker 1: Now when you're going no look passes, and I remember,

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Speaker 1: you know, as Mahomes has done this too. I have

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Speaker 1: no problem doing a no look pass here and there.

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Speaker 1: There's another thing doing a no look pass into like

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Speaker 1: tight coverage over the middle of the field, Like what

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Speaker 1: are we doing? You know, I mean, this is you're

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Speaker 1: playing the Bills. You're not playing the Jacks here, You're

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Speaker 1: playing a team that might go to the Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: and win it, and you're throwing no look passes being

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Speaker 1: a getting a little cute here, Like if I'm Sean McVeigh,

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Speaker 1: I know Sean McVeigh is probably not gonna m f

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Speaker 1: Matt Stafford, but on that play in front of the team,

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Speaker 1: like the millennial version of lighting them up, because that's

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Speaker 1: kind of ridiculous. And when you play like that against

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Speaker 1: really good teams, and he is inclined to throw interceptions

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Speaker 1: like Josh Allen threw a real he threw two picks

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Speaker 1: a night. One was real, one was not. Matt Stafford

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Speaker 1: is more inclined to throw a bunch of real picks,

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Speaker 1: picks that hit guys in the hands. He got fooled

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Speaker 1: on the one play and the other again the no

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Speaker 1: look past. I just I can't get my arms around,

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Speaker 1: Like that's just listen. You know, Steph Curry does it sometimes, right,

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Speaker 1: if you watch the Warriors play, he will have passes

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Speaker 1: that hit the dude that's paying fift dollars for a

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Speaker 1: second row seat right in the head. The difference is

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Speaker 1: Steph Curry dominates like Matt Stafford has games where he's

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Speaker 1: doing this, and he did consistently last year. Remember he

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Speaker 1: had a stretch last year of three or four games

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Speaker 1: where I think he threw eight picks or he accounted

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Speaker 1: for like ten turnovers, fumbles, interceptions like that will be

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Speaker 1: the one reason that the Rams do not compete to

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Speaker 1: win the NFC because let's face the a f C,

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Speaker 1: where the Bills play a lot more difficult, the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: the Ravens, obviously, the Bengals, the a f C West.

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Speaker 1: It's it's hard, It is very very hard the NFC,

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Speaker 1: like Tom Brady is, is he gonna quit? Is Gazelle

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Speaker 1: gonna move back in? What's going on there? Uh? You

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Speaker 1: know the forty Niners will see the quarterback situation, you know,

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Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers, who's Aaron throw? And do like

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Speaker 1: It's it's pretty wide open. But if Matt Stafford, if

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Speaker 1: Matt Stafford played a little more in control, I think

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Speaker 1: the Rams would be the heavy favorite. But he doesn't,

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Speaker 1: so when he doesn't like ultimately the Rams, the Rams

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Speaker 1: can get got. And I would say that of all

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Speaker 1: the defending champs who are still really good, they would

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Speaker 1: be the type team they're like, yeah, it wouldn't shock me.

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Speaker 1: They lost in the first round, you know, And it's

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Speaker 1: it has no like, that's not a that that doesn't

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Speaker 1: reflect Sean McVeigh, like how highly I think of him.

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Speaker 1: That reflects Matt Stafford and his inclination and to throw

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Speaker 1: the ball to the other team. It's not a referendum

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Speaker 1: on their operation, their high level. But ultimately they go

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Speaker 1: as he goes. And last year the Ravens game, the

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Speaker 1: Titans game, that something just come to my mind. The

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Speaker 1: Niners game, when he throws the ball to the other team,

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Speaker 1: they can lose, especially to good teams, and that's who

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Speaker 1: typically beats him when Stafford's throwing the ball like that.

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Speaker 1: But fun night, Uh, even though it's a little bit

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Speaker 1: of blowout in the second half, it's good to have

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Speaker 1: football back. Let's dive into the rest of the podcast.

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. Okay, I've been thinking about all week, uh

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Speaker 1: and I talked about it a lot. The NFL has

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Speaker 1: a lot of built in advantages, right. I think it's

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Speaker 1: a big reason societally we have a lot less. Our

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Speaker 1: attention spans are tiny, our options are uh exponential. I mean,

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Speaker 1: from Netflix to streaming, the video games have better than

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Speaker 1: they've ever been, to social media, We've never had more

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Speaker 1: things to occupy our time. You know, I've lived I

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Speaker 1: was born before the Internet, and I've lived through dial

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Speaker 1: up to where we are now. It's dramatic, and my

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Speaker 1: attention span, I'm an impatient person's dramatically worse than it's

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Speaker 1: ever been. And I'm not blaming anybody, but it is

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Speaker 1: what it is. And the NFL, unlike the other sports,

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Speaker 1: someone slid into my d ms, like baseball in September matters. Know,

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Speaker 1: the game today is no different than the game games ago.

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Speaker 1: You play a hundred and sixty two of them, you

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Speaker 1: know now, if it's a winner, get in at the

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Speaker 1: end of the season, of course, But you just can't

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Speaker 1: convince me otherwise. There's a hundred and sixty two games.

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Speaker 1: Basketball has a hundred or has eighty two? Right, And

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Speaker 1: we know, I say it over and over. If the

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Speaker 1: players don't care, why will the fans? And the ratings

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Speaker 1: have been historically low for for a while. Uh, And

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Speaker 1: I think a lot has to do with the star

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Speaker 1: players don't play, you know. And in the NFL there

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Speaker 1: they have a lot of going for him because in

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Speaker 1: the NBA they have storylines, but the majority of the storylines,

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Speaker 1: let's face it, are off the court, are like personal drama.

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Speaker 1: And obviously the NFL has that as well, but there

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Speaker 1: is nothing like the games, and there is nothing coaches.

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Speaker 1: I think that's another thing Like when I was a kid,

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Speaker 1: baseball managers were famous. Obviously, basketball coaches and there are

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Speaker 1: a few basketball coaches who are still famous, but really

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Speaker 1: more in college basketball coaches, NFL coaches, and NFL quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: It's the majority of the things I talked about, like,

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Speaker 1: I'm not breaking down the offensive line, I'm not breaking

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Speaker 1: down safety play. Why because the majority of humans do

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Speaker 1: not care. But they can talk coaching, whether it's the

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Speaker 1: head coach or the coordinators or the quarterbacks, all day long.

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Speaker 1: That interests me in an interest you and the NFL.

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Speaker 1: I'm it's trying not to be hyperbolic, but it feels

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Speaker 1: like this is the most anticipated season and that's gonna

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Speaker 1: continue moving forward for years ever. And a lot has

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Speaker 1: to do with they've never had this many fans, the

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Speaker 1: gamblings legal obviously, fantasy football is at an all time high,

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Speaker 1: and the storylines like you can't even make them up.

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Speaker 1: We we've all watched reality television. We've all watched I'm watching,

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Speaker 1: uh this show on Hulu right now called The Patient

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Speaker 1: with Steve Carrill and it's pretty good. And all these

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Speaker 1: streaming services have all these different shows and they're all

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Speaker 1: really good, and you're watching it like God, this can't

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Speaker 1: even be real. And in the NFL sometimes you think,

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Speaker 1: like God, this is really happening. Like the greatest player

425
00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 1: potentially of all time, the goat Tom Brady like is

426
00:22:12,359 --> 00:22:16,440
Speaker 1: going through something with his wife that I've said over

427
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:18,880
Speaker 1: and over, his situation off the field is the most

428
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 1: relatable thing that's ever happened to Tom. We we can't

429
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:24,560
Speaker 1: relate to a guy the majority of the average height

430
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,399
Speaker 1: in America's like five ten, Tom Brady six five, good looking,

431
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 1: went to Michigan, NFL superstar, super rich, married to a supermodel,

432
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:34,640
Speaker 1: not relatable any of that at all. But we all

433
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 1: can relate to whether you're married or not married, going

434
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:40,560
Speaker 1: through stuff at home, you know, away from the job.

435
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,640
Speaker 1: Like I'm saying, and I believe this to my core,

436
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 1: that this is Tom Brady's most relatable besides like his

437
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 1: mom getting sick or you know, family stuff like that

438
00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 1: that we all go through. But issues with his wife,

439
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:55,040
Speaker 1: and I've said over and over, it's the thing that

440
00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:58,000
Speaker 1: makes me hesitant on the bucks. If you tell me

441
00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:00,680
Speaker 1: Tom Brady's in Bahama, in the Bahamas. My birthday is

442
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:03,439
Speaker 1: in early October. By my birthday, I believe you. You know,

443
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:07,680
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's weird. And but the other part

444
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:10,119
Speaker 1: of Tom Brady is he's still sweet. He's a forty

445
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:13,000
Speaker 1: five year old, seven time Super Bowl champion. Some people

446
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:15,359
Speaker 1: like middlecuff you said the bubbles don't count. Well the

447
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 1: hell give him six and a half. I don't care. Uh.

448
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 1: He's one of the greatest athletes ever and he's still humming.

449
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 1: He's still good. He was an m v P level

450
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 1: player last year and that's to me pretty remarkable. Uh.

451
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, one of the greatest players we've ever seen

452
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:32,119
Speaker 1: as well, is going for a third trade m v P.

453
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 1: The a f C West absolutely loaded. Like that's the thing.

454
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,760
Speaker 1: It's like football has the off the field drama, but

455
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,640
Speaker 1: then it has the on the field tangible stuff. Right,

456
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,280
Speaker 1: Ken Lamar Jackson get it back. As of recording this

457
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,560
Speaker 1: right now, you're gonna sign a contract here him and

458
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 1: the Ravens gonna figure that out. The Cowboys, like, I

459
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,360
Speaker 1: think the number one thing we talked about with them

460
00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,960
Speaker 1: is their coach gonna get fired. Is their coach gonna

461
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 1: make it through the season. Like if they missed the playoffs,

462
00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 1: he's done. What if they start slow? They who have

463
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: a guy on the staff that would be pretty easy

464
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 1: to transition doing dan Quinn right, the Pats the greatest

465
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 1: coach of all time in my opinion, some people argue it.

466
00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:11,720
Speaker 1: I don't really know how you would argue it. Like

467
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 1: I always say, it's easy to beat up on Bill

468
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:16,640
Speaker 1: now because Tom's gone, But we all witnessed all those

469
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:19,520
Speaker 1: big games, like Bill was kicking everyone's ass, wear circles

470
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 1: around him, and he made Matt Patricia's offensive coordinator. And

471
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:28,359
Speaker 1: let's be real, the Patriots because of their success became

472
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 1: a big national brand, and Bill, because of the sport,

473
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,479
Speaker 1: is very very famous. Head coaches, like I said earlier,

474
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 1: are very very famous, and when you win a lot,

475
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 1: you become on the top of the ledge. And there's

476
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,400
Speaker 1: no more famous coach in the NFL than Bill Belichick,

477
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 1: Like in the history of the league. It's like Belichick, Walsh,

478
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 1: you know, Parcels, like he's on the short list just

479
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 1: in general in the sixty plus years of football, Lombardi,

480
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 1: but he made Matt Patricia's offensive coordinator. And listen, I

481
00:24:56,320 --> 00:24:59,080
Speaker 1: Bill has no clue who I am. I'm sure there

482
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:00,640
Speaker 1: might be a guy in the past, staff or whatever

483
00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:03,400
Speaker 1: that listens to this. Like, you have to admit that's insane,

484
00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 1: that that is borderline fucking comical. If any other team

485
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 1: had made Matt Patricia. Let's just pick a random team,

486
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 1: the Minnesota Vikings. If whoever they had hired had named

487
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 1: Matt Patricia as their offensive coordinator, can you imagine our reaction.

488
00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 1: Can you imagine if Pete Carroll had named Matt Patricia's

489
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator? Like, it's just there is no justifying it.

490
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 1: There's really not. Beside he knows them. No other team

491
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,359
Speaker 1: in the league one would have done it, and two

492
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:37,119
Speaker 1: could pull it off without getting absolutely eviscerated by local

493
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:41,760
Speaker 1: I don't even say podcasting, you know, the athletic, the fans,

494
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:44,439
Speaker 1: and I mean, it is happening in New England. But

495
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:48,520
Speaker 1: that's insane, Like that's Bill has done bold things. This

496
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:50,880
Speaker 1: is the craziest thing he's ever done. I don't really

497
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 1: think it's that debatable. Uh. Baker Mayfield, who became was

498
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:57,960
Speaker 1: the number one pick in the draft four years ago.

499
00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 1: The number one pick in the draft gets traded and

500
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:04,440
Speaker 1: gets to play his team week one, which is pretty cool.

501
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:06,760
Speaker 1: But people like middle Cuff, I've gotten a lot of this.

502
00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:09,960
Speaker 1: I can't believe you picked the Panthers. Well, yeah, it

503
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:11,960
Speaker 1: was a bold move. I mean what, I bet my

504
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 1: life on it. No, but I'm betting on two things.

505
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:18,320
Speaker 1: One under no circumstances. If Dennis Allen is the head coach,

506
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 1: would I picked him to win a division? I don't

507
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:23,119
Speaker 1: care who else is in the division. If Alabama and

508
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 1: Ohio State were in their division, I would think about

509
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:28,880
Speaker 1: picking one of those two teams over Dennis Allen. It's

510
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 1: not if you're a Saints fan because your team sucks.

511
00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 1: I don't believe that you guys have a lot of

512
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:36,679
Speaker 1: good players. I am not betting on Dennis Allen just period,

513
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 1: point blank, end of story. And obviously Tampa is very talented,

514
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 1: and if Tom was leading a normal life right now,

515
00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:47,399
Speaker 1: I they would be the easy pick. But I do

516
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:50,479
Speaker 1: think there's a chance that Tom one either doesn't finish

517
00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:53,920
Speaker 1: this season or I'm sorry, if your wife, and it's

518
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:56,840
Speaker 1: being reported, is not living with them, is threatening to leave.

519
00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 1: She's done this before, but this time it's real, Like,

520
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 1: I don't care who you are now. Maybe Tom Hatzer

521
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:05,320
Speaker 1: maybe he doesn't care, but it does have ramifications once

522
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:08,960
Speaker 1: you have children and the focus is just Tom Brady's

523
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:14,240
Speaker 1: all in focus on seven just dialed, and I think

524
00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:17,280
Speaker 1: it becomes very difficult when your wife is constantly messing

525
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:20,080
Speaker 1: with you. I'm sorry, I'm just a human being living

526
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:23,159
Speaker 1: in the real world. And that's the reason. So the

527
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers, and I was listening to Bill Simmons and

528
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,880
Speaker 1: Kevin Clark like Matt Matt Rule like, listen, I've been

529
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:30,879
Speaker 1: I've ripped him the first two years. He deserved it,

530
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 1: but I believe their defense is gonna be really good.

531
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:36,199
Speaker 1: If Baker Mayfield, who has been the starting quarterback of

532
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 1: a playoff team and a couple of years ago, known

533
00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 1: the hell knew who Kevin Stefanski was right. I mean,

534
00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 1: he had been a lifelong assistant for the Minnesota Vikings.

535
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:45,920
Speaker 1: It took him like ten years to become an offensive coordinator.

536
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:49,480
Speaker 1: Matt Rule has had success being a head coach now. Again,

537
00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:51,200
Speaker 1: like I said, I would not bet my life on it,

538
00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,960
Speaker 1: but to me that there is something there and the

539
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 1: forty Niners, Uh, to me, they're one of the bigger

540
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,080
Speaker 1: stories in the league, just simply because Jimmy garob I

541
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:02,800
Speaker 1: was still on the team, and I'm sure people have

542
00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:05,840
Speaker 1: talked about Trey Lance being annoyed at first when had happened.

543
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 1: Of course he was Jimmy. It's not like Jimmy Garoppolo

544
00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:11,719
Speaker 1: was in the meeting rooms all year long. He was

545
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,120
Speaker 1: working out on the side. He was not even around

546
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:16,520
Speaker 1: the team in the sense of the meetings, the practice

547
00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:19,399
Speaker 1: he was throwing while he was at the facility on

548
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 1: his own, on the side with little guys that looked

549
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 1: like me. Like he was not even working out with

550
00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:28,240
Speaker 1: other players. It was like twenty four year old training interns.

551
00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:30,720
Speaker 1: I get those kids some credit. They were catching balls.

552
00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 1: When I was at Friends of State in the g A,

553
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:35,600
Speaker 1: I used to kind of catch for the quarterbacks every

554
00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:37,719
Speaker 1: once in a while, just we were limited on staff.

555
00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: You know, it wasn't even fifteen years ago. Mountain West

556
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:42,880
Speaker 1: not big budgets at the time. It was the Whack

557
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 1: and our equipment guy was really stingy, so he never

558
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 1: let me wear the gloves. And listen, I'm not some

559
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:51,040
Speaker 1: college receiver here. And Derek was on the team. I mean,

560
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 1: Derek draws a pretty hard ball, and even guys, here's

561
00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:55,480
Speaker 1: the thing, in football like and I say, there's a

562
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,800
Speaker 1: big difference in arm strength even if you if you

563
00:28:57,840 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 1: were me and you're not, you didn't play like the

564
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:02,040
Speaker 1: Vision one football and definitely didn't play in the NFL

565
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 1: kind of football. For like Alex Smith, who I think

566
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:06,600
Speaker 1: most of us would say has a weak arm, or

567
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,840
Speaker 1: think of a gut weak arm quarterback in Andy Dalton,

568
00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:12,000
Speaker 1: like in the NFL. It would blow you away, how

569
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 1: hard it hits your hands. I remember dropping it all

570
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:17,240
Speaker 1: the time. But it's that's why I'm giving these kids

571
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 1: some credit. They're catching Jimmy Garoppolos passes because I actually

572
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:21,840
Speaker 1: when he hits them, they never drop it. It's it's

573
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:24,120
Speaker 1: now they're wearing gloves, you know, the forty diners. They

574
00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 1: have a little more money than we did at Presonal States.

575
00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:29,320
Speaker 1: You can give gloves the interns, but is if Trey

576
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 1: Lance struggles, is Kyle gonna go to the bullpen? Now

577
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 1: they have justified it, and I've heard this from people

578
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 1: around the team, and obviously it's been well reported. It's

579
00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 1: just simply value. They were able to get Jimmy Garoppolo

580
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:42,080
Speaker 1: to come back for six and a half million dollars

581
00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 1: and they've told them You're not gonna be the starting quarterback.

582
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 1: They've they've they've gone all in on Trey Lance. But

583
00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:50,240
Speaker 1: I got news for you. Kyle ain't big on feelings.

584
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 1: I've I've watched his career as closely as anyone over

585
00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:56,640
Speaker 1: the last five years. Is like besides, like Andy Reid,

586
00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 1: so and I'm not comparing Kyle Andy read Andy Reid's got,

587
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:04,440
Speaker 1: you know, probably a little more patient. Kyle's just not

588
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:08,520
Speaker 1: for being a young guy he is. He's an old soul.

589
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:12,520
Speaker 1: And I promise you if the forty Niners are struggling

590
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 1: a little bit, it would not shock me at all.

591
00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 1: He ain't trying to lose. Now. I'm always I'm a

592
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:20,400
Speaker 1: big believer and think big picture when you make one

593
00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:23,800
Speaker 1: of these these moves. But I don't believe Kyle thinks

594
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,360
Speaker 1: like that. And whether that's right or wrong, He's trying

595
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:28,120
Speaker 1: to win every game and he knows he has a

596
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:33,560
Speaker 1: super Bowl level roster. And I'll be stunned, stunned if

597
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 1: this story doesn't. You know, like, there's a week this year.

598
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:38,960
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's Week one or not weak one,

599
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 1: but week four, week ten, what I will be shell

600
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:46,880
Speaker 1: shocked If there's not a moment where it's legitimately tangible.

601
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:49,760
Speaker 1: And I've said this on my other podcast, like this

602
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 1: is I hate it when teams do it like this

603
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,720
Speaker 1: is and when players this is all outside noise. This

604
00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:58,320
Speaker 1: is media driven. This is the fans just talking now,

605
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:01,320
Speaker 1: this is the forty Niners created us, Like they did

606
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:04,280
Speaker 1: this the moment they resigned Jimmy, which in a vacuum,

607
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 1: I get, but you're dealing with human beings. It becomes

608
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:11,640
Speaker 1: it just becomes a story. Uh Joe Burrow likes Is

609
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow just a flat out superstar? Now? Like, do

610
00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:15,760
Speaker 1: we just chalk the Bengals up every year like we

611
00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:17,680
Speaker 1: do the Chiefs like that, You're just going to the playoffs.

612
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,040
Speaker 1: You're just you're just in, Like, I mean, how many

613
00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:22,040
Speaker 1: teams the Packers kind of like that too. You're in

614
00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 1: the playoffs. If that's the case, I mean, the Bengals

615
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 1: are pretty lucky. Show you that much. Um So, man,

616
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 1: I I really can't wait. It's just you know, you've

617
00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:35,479
Speaker 1: got the vikings. You know, Dack's always a polarizing player.

618
00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 1: The situation in Arizona, Like every time Kyler does dumb

619
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:42,120
Speaker 1: ship throws a pick, people are gonna be he's not

620
00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:45,640
Speaker 1: watching film all that money not doing it. Matt Ryan,

621
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 1: I mean, Matt Ryan's a pretty interesting storyline in Indy.

622
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz Jalen hurts to me, the storylines even of

623
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 1: the non like top five, top seven quarterbacks are just fascinating.

624
00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 1: And that's, you know, what I do for a living.

625
00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:01,680
Speaker 1: Talk about this stuff is the most fun. If you're

626
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 1: a fan of those teams, it makes it the most

627
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:07,520
Speaker 1: just the roller coaster ride. And let's face it, like

628
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:10,520
Speaker 1: unless your teams win in thirteen games, even if your

629
00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:13,040
Speaker 1: team wins eight to ten, like the season is a

630
00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: roller coaster, right, you have some incredible wins and you

631
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:20,280
Speaker 1: have some devastating losses. And I just want to say this.

632
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 1: You know, I've been known to talk some shit about,

633
00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:27,080
Speaker 1: you know, individual coaches, and when I say that, I

634
00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 1: just mean, like question how good they are at their job.

635
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,280
Speaker 1: And it's a job that pays the premium. It's there.

636
00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:34,840
Speaker 1: There aren't many W two employees that aren't like the

637
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 1: CEO that make one five million dollars to make three

638
00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:41,520
Speaker 1: million dollars. They're not even the boss of their own department.

639
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 1: So it's we talked about with players, it is a

640
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 1: very unique industry. Same with coaches. I've been saying for

641
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 1: a while now the NFL is Wall Street on grass

642
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:54,200
Speaker 1: with the amount of money these teams are worth the coaches.

643
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:56,440
Speaker 1: I mean, do you understand, like a running back coach

644
00:32:56,480 --> 00:33:00,760
Speaker 1: in the league makes the offensive line of defensive line coaches,

645
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:04,120
Speaker 1: the good ones make seven figures. The majority of defensive

646
00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:07,200
Speaker 1: coordinators make around two to two plus million dollars. So

647
00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 1: these guys are paid at the highest of levels. I mean,

648
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:12,280
Speaker 1: trust me, Like I was a scout when I was

649
00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 1: in the league, most of my friends in the NFL

650
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,360
Speaker 1: are scouts. They are not on the same pay scale.

651
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:18,720
Speaker 1: The pay scale for coaches and the pay scale for

652
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 1: scouts is not even near the same. Now, you can

653
00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:24,680
Speaker 1: argue a good coach is much more important than a

654
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 1: good scout just because you have so many scouts, like

655
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 1: you need to have a good offensive line coach. I

656
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 1: can get away with having a bad West Coast scout

657
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:34,239
Speaker 1: if I have a good you know, scouting coordinator. Uh So,

658
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:36,720
Speaker 1: I don't argue that they're more valuable, but the pay

659
00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:40,080
Speaker 1: discrepancy is massive. But here's what what I will not argue.

660
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 1: My dad was a farmer and there were some times

661
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 1: during harvest where they would work crazy hours, but it

662
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:51,160
Speaker 1: wasn't a six month period of time. It might last

663
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:54,520
Speaker 1: a week, right, the majority of time, like he was

664
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 1: able to come home for dinner, and he worked a lot,

665
00:33:56,800 --> 00:34:00,720
Speaker 1: I mean worked six seven days a week, but he uh,

666
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:03,600
Speaker 1: you know, you could have dinner and breakfast with my

667
00:34:03,600 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 1: my parents. My mom also worked, but she was a

668
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 1: government worker. Uh you know, I talked a lot of

669
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:09,480
Speaker 1: about the government. But in fairness, she got a good

670
00:34:09,480 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 1: retirement plan and takes care of her right now, which

671
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:14,919
Speaker 1: is good, good health, good health. Uh coverage as well.

672
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:19,920
Speaker 1: But the NFL is unlike anything I've ever seen. The

673
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,439
Speaker 1: only way that I can relate it personally in terms

674
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 1: of time it spends for six months. In terms of

675
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:28,840
Speaker 1: coaching and scouting having lived it is when I first

676
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:30,880
Speaker 1: when I became the West Coast scout for the Eagles,

677
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,719
Speaker 1: I moved back to San Francisco and I lived with

678
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 1: a family friend that I didn't know that well, and

679
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 1: we've become buddies. And he's a friend now. His name

680
00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:42,359
Speaker 1: is Bobby. He's actually from Fresno Ivy League guy. Uh

681
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:44,719
Speaker 1: played baseball in the ivys and he's just he's a

682
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:47,480
Speaker 1: baller in the business world, and he essentially works on

683
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 1: Wall Street, even though he works in the Barry banks

684
00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 1: and finance and he does deals. And I remember thinking,

685
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:55,279
Speaker 1: having just come from the Eagles and worked in the

686
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 1: office for a couple of years, Wall Streets the closest

687
00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:01,239
Speaker 1: thing I would imagine to what we did in the office,

688
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:03,920
Speaker 1: because he would leave around seven am and he wouldn't

689
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 1: come back working on a deal if it was big

690
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:08,720
Speaker 1: till eleven or midnight, and he would do it over

691
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 1: and over and over again and have to go in

692
00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:13,440
Speaker 1: on weekends. Now, the differences is when a deal closed,

693
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:15,560
Speaker 1: he might have some time off once the scene. And

694
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:17,320
Speaker 1: I just remember thinking, I have a lot of respect

695
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:19,879
Speaker 1: to finance. Now. The difference is, you know at the time,

696
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:21,680
Speaker 1: you know, you in your late twenties, early thirties, you

697
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 1: can be making some big coin. You know that that

698
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:26,239
Speaker 1: dude that's running the Minnesota Vikings now that comes from

699
00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:28,880
Speaker 1: the finance background. Unlike a lot of scouts that came

700
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:32,640
Speaker 1: up like this, starting pay is a scouts like twenty grand.

701
00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:36,359
Speaker 1: Even the starting uh pay as like a young young

702
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:40,520
Speaker 1: football assistant coach is very very limited, and you still

703
00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:43,480
Speaker 1: work crazy hours and the stress in the grind of

704
00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:47,360
Speaker 1: what's training camp starts to once the season ends is

705
00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:51,920
Speaker 1: pretty intense, and I have the utmost, utmost respect to

706
00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 1: just the competitive endurance that it takes. It's basically a

707
00:35:56,200 --> 00:36:00,080
Speaker 1: treadmill that's on about five miles an hour and does

708
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 1: not stop for six months, does not stop. And there

709
00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:06,080
Speaker 1: are moments when it's going to, you know, Thursday, Friday

710
00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:07,839
Speaker 1: mellow out a little bit. I guess in the NFL

711
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,760
Speaker 1: it's more like Friday afternoon Saturday, and there are moments

712
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:13,560
Speaker 1: when it kicks up a little harder Monday Tuesday. There

713
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:17,200
Speaker 1: is no feeling like coming into the office after a loss.

714
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 1: Sometimes it felt like and I'll never forget this feeling,

715
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:22,239
Speaker 1: and you just you become numb to it. I think

716
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 1: the longer you work in the league, like going to

717
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:28,719
Speaker 1: a funeral, you you you just you would avoided at

718
00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:31,880
Speaker 1: any costs. You don't want that ever to happen. And

719
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:34,600
Speaker 1: there's nothing like winning. The problem though, is once you win,

720
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:37,799
Speaker 1: it just the page turns. You're onto the next game.

721
00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:39,839
Speaker 1: It's not like you celebrate. It's not like there's cake

722
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:43,040
Speaker 1: in the office the next day, so you basically just

723
00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:46,400
Speaker 1: put on your team gear, uh for six months and

724
00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 1: you get there, you know, in the wee hours of

725
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:51,080
Speaker 1: the morning, depending you know on what your role is

726
00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:54,320
Speaker 1: on the team. I'd say at five to seven am,

727
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:57,400
Speaker 1: and you don't leave till late, and it's it's a

728
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:00,720
Speaker 1: grinder's league. Now you could argue some coaches waste time,

729
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:03,520
Speaker 1: but once you get and I'm like this, I'm a

730
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:08,120
Speaker 1: creature of habit and I'm a very um you know,

731
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:12,439
Speaker 1: I'm a very regimented individual in terms of once my

732
00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:15,600
Speaker 1: process is my process for how I do a podcast

733
00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 1: or how I do whatever. I still, once it's successful,

734
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:20,160
Speaker 1: I stick with it. So I don't blame someone if

735
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:22,560
Speaker 1: they're used to work in eighteen hours even by the

736
00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:25,040
Speaker 1: time you become Andy Reader Belichick. That's just how you

737
00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:27,640
Speaker 1: do it. Why, because that's how you know you get success.

738
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:30,960
Speaker 1: It's hard to break that, it really is, and that's

739
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:33,359
Speaker 1: what a lot of guys in the NFL do. And

740
00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:36,360
Speaker 1: I do respect the time and the grind that it

741
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:38,879
Speaker 1: goes in. Even though as this season goes I will

742
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:42,240
Speaker 1: be you know this is we're critical on this podcast.

743
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 1: We ain't answering to anybody, you know, so I can

744
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 1: say whatever the funk I want, and as you know

745
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:49,400
Speaker 1: if you've listened to this, I do, but I do

746
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:52,200
Speaker 1: respect the time even though I don't think you're good

747
00:37:52,640 --> 00:37:55,799
Speaker 1: that you put into it. Now, my answer ultimately is

748
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:57,560
Speaker 1: like this is a black and white leak. You win

749
00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 1: or you lose. You know, we judge you. This is

750
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,759
Speaker 1: out like Middlecalf, how how how did your podcast do? Well?

751
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:04,880
Speaker 1: If I told you how many downloads? Like how much money,

752
00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:06,680
Speaker 1: It's like, well, you could have more downloads, you could

753
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 1: have more money. That's not the way a football game works.

754
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:11,480
Speaker 1: Like there's a football games on Sunday and half the

755
00:38:11,560 --> 00:38:14,359
Speaker 1: league either is gonna lose half the team is gonna win.

756
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:16,680
Speaker 1: So you can say, well, we prepare, well, we got ready.

757
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 1: Now you lost, you know. And that's the best part

758
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:22,840
Speaker 1: about sports. That's even different from business, right because in business,

759
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:24,719
Speaker 1: you know we did well, we made some money. Well,

760
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:28,360
Speaker 1: what you just these are all arbitrary numbers. In football,

761
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:31,600
Speaker 1: there is one number that matters, and that's when the

762
00:38:31,640 --> 00:38:34,160
Speaker 1: clock hits double zero. Do you have more points than

763
00:38:34,160 --> 00:38:37,239
Speaker 1: your opponent? That's strictly how we judge you. You could

764
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:39,799
Speaker 1: you could have a quarterback that throws ten touchdowns on

765
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:41,759
Speaker 1: the season, but if he's a starting quarterback, for a

766
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:44,040
Speaker 1: team that wins eleven games and they're hosting a playoff

767
00:38:44,080 --> 00:38:48,400
Speaker 1: game and they win the division. Ultimately, who cares? Uh?

768
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:50,560
Speaker 1: So I t I tip my hat to everyone in

769
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 1: the league in college football the same deal. I mean,

770
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:55,799
Speaker 1: the time these people put in is is no joke.

771
00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 1: It's it's a grinder sport. You know that. It's just

772
00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:02,120
Speaker 1: it's it's unlike anything in terms of the work that

773
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:08,480
Speaker 1: in the time spent on the game. But brighter. Now,

774
00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 1: let's just dive into the games. That's why I just

775
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 1: wrote them all down and we're just kind of gonna

776
00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:15,240
Speaker 1: fly through. Uh Stucky will be on after we picked

777
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 1: three games talking about gambling, But let's just start. I

778
00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 1: just went to ESPN dot com, typed up the schedule,

779
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,839
Speaker 1: and I just I wrote them down in their order,

780
00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:26,360
Speaker 1: basically ten am games, one o'clock games. I never, for

781
00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 1: those of you, I always thought it was weird when

782
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,920
Speaker 1: I lived in Philly that the ten am game actually

783
00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 1: was the one o'clock game, and then the one o'clock

784
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,479
Speaker 1: game was actually the four o'clock game. I remember showing

785
00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:37,880
Speaker 1: up to Monday night football kickoffs at eight fifteen. I

786
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:39,600
Speaker 1: have a lot of respect for East Coast fans. I mean,

787
00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:41,200
Speaker 1: holy sh it, you guys have to stay up late

788
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:45,520
Speaker 1: to watch football. But Saints Atlanta, to me, this is

789
00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 1: pretty simple. You guys know where I stand on the Saints.

790
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,160
Speaker 1: I do not believe Dennis Allen is going to be

791
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:52,400
Speaker 1: a good coach because I've already seen it. He's a

792
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:55,800
Speaker 1: good he's a good two, he's a good defensive coordinator,

793
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 1: but being the headman is a different role. We have

794
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:01,080
Speaker 1: a lot of coaches in the history of the league

795
00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:05,839
Speaker 1: that represent that argument. We know this is not you know,

796
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:09,440
Speaker 1: it's very, very difficult to make that transition. But I

797
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:12,480
Speaker 1: think Atlanta sucks. So if you're Dennis Allen, like you

798
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:14,560
Speaker 1: gotta win this game. I don't care this game is

799
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:17,320
Speaker 1: on the road. You cannot open up your Saints career

800
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:20,240
Speaker 1: with a loss to the Atlanta Falcons and Marks Mariota

801
00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:23,160
Speaker 1: you have the better team. But like, how good is jamis?

802
00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:25,200
Speaker 1: I know he's talking about his elbows and his knees

803
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:28,399
Speaker 1: and symmetrical like this get good because I saw him

804
00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:32,120
Speaker 1: years ago with Bruce Allen for thirty plus interceptions. Now

805
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:34,600
Speaker 1: everyone's like middle Coffee was five and two. It's satistically

806
00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:37,000
Speaker 1: pretty good. Yes, Sean Payton's gone. Sean Payne is on

807
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 1: television now, like the reason the Saints were so good,

808
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:43,440
Speaker 1: We're too humans, Drew Brees, Sean Payton, They're both gone.

809
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 1: So this notion that I'm just betting the farm Jameis

810
00:40:46,040 --> 00:40:49,840
Speaker 1: Winston has as success with really one guy Jimbo Fisher

811
00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:52,959
Speaker 1: in college. For split second, I guess you could say

812
00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:55,960
Speaker 1: Sean Payton. But who knows. I mean, it's less than

813
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:59,120
Speaker 1: half the season, so I don't know. I mean I

814
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:01,359
Speaker 1: believe the same should win this game. I'm not saying

815
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:04,279
Speaker 1: they're gonna lose because I think Atlanta stinks. The other

816
00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:07,440
Speaker 1: thing is like, if Atlanta does stink, Arthur Smith is good.

817
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 1: They're just allowed to suck for a while. That's gonna

818
00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:12,400
Speaker 1: be interesting to see the Nighters against Chicago. Obviously, the

819
00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:14,239
Speaker 1: number one story here is Trey Lance. How does the

820
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,279
Speaker 1: guy look? I mean, the guy look like it's gonna

821
00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:18,200
Speaker 1: be a starting quarterback. I've seen him a lot of practice,

822
00:41:18,239 --> 00:41:20,200
Speaker 1: but ship, I mean, what does that mean? Seeing good

823
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:23,640
Speaker 1: days of practicing bad days of practice? Listen, I'm I

824
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:25,800
Speaker 1: I come from the school of like, we pay you

825
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:27,840
Speaker 1: to the games, how do you look in the games.

826
00:41:27,960 --> 00:41:30,279
Speaker 1: There's been a lot of guys that practice well and

827
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 1: suck in the games. There have been a lot of

828
00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 1: guys that practice shitty and dominate. You get paid for Sunday.

829
00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 1: I know Ray Lewis said, you pay me Monday through Saturday.

830
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:42,000
Speaker 1: But ultimately, like you get paid to perform in the games.

831
00:41:42,560 --> 00:41:44,799
Speaker 1: So you get drafted number three. A lot of hype.

832
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 1: You got Jimmy breathing down your neck, even though the

833
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:48,799
Speaker 1: Ford and Nighters said it's not true. Well he's there,

834
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:52,279
Speaker 1: so it's gonna be rainy. You guys also know where

835
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:54,160
Speaker 1: you're staying. On the Bears, I think they're bad. I

836
00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:57,319
Speaker 1: think they're really bad. I think this offensive line is atrocious.

837
00:41:57,560 --> 00:41:59,319
Speaker 1: Now if it rains, maybe they just run the ball.

838
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,520
Speaker 1: They do have a couple at running backs. But I

839
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:05,879
Speaker 1: like the Niners big. In this game, Pittsburgh Cincinnati, I

840
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:09,759
Speaker 1: added up last season what the Steelers Bengals scores were

841
00:42:10,360 --> 00:42:15,240
Speaker 1: and combined they lost by forty five points. Forty five points.

842
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:17,319
Speaker 1: Now one game was thirty one, but they lost the

843
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:20,640
Speaker 1: other by fourteen points. The Bengals kicked the living you

844
00:42:20,680 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 1: know what out of the out of the Pittsburgh Steelers,

845
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:26,760
Speaker 1: and everyone will tell you in the gambling world. Tomlin

846
00:42:26,880 --> 00:42:30,080
Speaker 1: thrives as an underdog. This is double whammy. He's an underdog.

847
00:42:30,120 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 1: Why because one of the Bengals are at home and

848
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 1: they're the defending a f C champs and the other

849
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:38,759
Speaker 1: is they literally destroyed the Steelers. So I don't like

850
00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:41,560
Speaker 1: ms Robiski. I don't think he's a very good quarterback.

851
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 1: I do not like Kenny Pickett either. Now Kenny Pickett

852
00:42:44,480 --> 00:42:46,399
Speaker 1: is the backup quarterback, so it might not even matter.

853
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:48,200
Speaker 1: And I was wrong. I thought Kenny Pickett went end

854
00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:50,080
Speaker 1: up starting Week one. Now maybe they didn't want to

855
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:51,759
Speaker 1: start them because they're playing a good team. I don't know.

856
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:55,240
Speaker 1: But like, are the Bengals just gonna be a power?

857
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:57,080
Speaker 1: Like I said earlier? Are they just gonna be a team?

858
00:42:57,200 --> 00:42:59,080
Speaker 1: Like the Chief she just chocked up? Because they got

859
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow into the play Alps every year? Is that

860
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 1: the way it's gonna go? Is Joe Burrow just gonna

861
00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:04,479
Speaker 1: be one of the best players, one of the most

862
00:43:04,560 --> 00:43:06,960
Speaker 1: famous people in all of sports? Like, are we just

863
00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:09,160
Speaker 1: gonna Are they just gonna win eleven twelve games? Again?

864
00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 1: Boom be competing a FC championship, potential super Bowl and

865
00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:15,279
Speaker 1: he's just a flat out bona fide superstar him and

866
00:43:15,360 --> 00:43:18,360
Speaker 1: Jamar Chase. That's I mean, that's kind of what I

867
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:21,040
Speaker 1: would bet on. Uh. The Steelers defense is good, they

868
00:43:21,080 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 1: always are. I just I wonder about them offensively that

869
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:25,719
Speaker 1: that would make me nervous. I do like them. I

870
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:28,920
Speaker 1: do like the Bengals in this game, Philly at Detroit

871
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 1: to me and you can put you can let me

872
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:34,480
Speaker 1: in this as well. Everyone's picking the Eagles right not

873
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:38,279
Speaker 1: I'm not talking about this game, but just this season. Uh,

874
00:43:38,600 --> 00:43:40,880
Speaker 1: because we believe that roster is really good. It is,

875
00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 1: But like, what does Jalen Hurts look like? Now? I

876
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:46,680
Speaker 1: know people in the organization heard he's gotten better. We've

877
00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 1: all heard and and just read the articles. If you're

878
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:51,920
Speaker 1: an Eagles fan, you gotta be excited. But like I

879
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 1: said with Trey Lance, it's about the game. So if

880
00:43:54,200 --> 00:43:56,439
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts is gonna be a guy that this team

881
00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:59,600
Speaker 1: can compete? Uh, I don't know when the NFC let

882
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:03,479
Speaker 1: alone in the NFC uh East, Like Daylon Hurts gotta

883
00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 1: be a legit, dude. I don't think the Lions defense

884
00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:07,880
Speaker 1: is very good. So does he just go into Detroit

885
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 1: and kick their ass? And what about Detroit, Like some

886
00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:13,280
Speaker 1: of us watch hard Knocks rooting for these guys, feels

887
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 1: like they got a solid little team, but they just

888
00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:19,040
Speaker 1: drafted number two overall. Like are they gonna be competitive

889
00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:20,680
Speaker 1: this year? Are they like a seven eight win team?

890
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: Are they just really shitty again like the Lions typically

891
00:44:23,680 --> 00:44:26,040
Speaker 1: are without a couple of Matt Stafford years over the

892
00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:28,520
Speaker 1: last twenty years. I don't know. I mean, I'm rooting

893
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:32,280
Speaker 1: for him, I'm picking them to be competitive, but I wouldn't,

894
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:35,439
Speaker 1: like I said with the Panthers NFC uh South pick,

895
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:37,960
Speaker 1: I wouldn't bet my life on it by any means.

896
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,560
Speaker 1: But I do like Detroit in this game with the

897
00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 1: points though. If Jalen Hurts has literally taking another step

898
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:46,920
Speaker 1: and by the end of the year he's in that

899
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:51,880
Speaker 1: kind of like the worst version of the Derek Dak Cousins,

900
00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 1: Like you can just kind of put him in there,

901
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:56,320
Speaker 1: like he's throwing thirty plus touchdowns, the Eagles can be

902
00:44:56,360 --> 00:44:59,799
Speaker 1: a problem. This game is fascinating. New England at my

903
00:45:00,120 --> 00:45:03,880
Speaker 1: me the Patricia experiment, we like, just look at New

904
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 1: England's roster. It's their worst roster in recent memory. They

905
00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 1: do not have offensive, explosive players, how are they going

906
00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:14,239
Speaker 1: to score points? But on the flip side, as Mike

907
00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:17,520
Speaker 1: McDaniel said this year this week, he's like, it has

908
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:20,319
Speaker 1: to be the greatest discrepancy in the history of the

909
00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 1: NFL coaching wise. I have zero wins and he has

910
00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:25,680
Speaker 1: a ton of wins. It's like there's never been a

911
00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:29,399
Speaker 1: bigger gap. So is Mike McDaniels is gonna out Coach

912
00:45:29,400 --> 00:45:32,960
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick is to a decent or's too, which is

913
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:35,520
Speaker 1: bad to me? That's my question. I don't know the answer.

914
00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:38,520
Speaker 1: I'm betting against to Uh. Not a huge fan, Uh,

915
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:40,880
Speaker 1: I don't. I have no feel for this game. I

916
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 1: guess I would take the paths just simply on the points.

917
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:45,520
Speaker 1: But I don't think the Pats are gonna be very good.

918
00:45:45,560 --> 00:45:48,319
Speaker 1: But I'm also not a huge believer in Miami. You

919
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,960
Speaker 1: know they're their head coaches never called plays. He is

920
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:54,279
Speaker 1: very smart, he's likable. I'm rooting for him. He was

921
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:57,200
Speaker 1: the run game coordinator for Kyle Shannon. Now he played

922
00:45:57,200 --> 00:45:58,880
Speaker 1: a big role and he was a quote unquote like

923
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:01,560
Speaker 1: a right hand man. He wasn't the play color. To me,

924
00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 1: that's a big transition. That's just an unknown. And this

925
00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:07,719
Speaker 1: is whoever wins, this game is gonna feel pretty good,

926
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:09,640
Speaker 1: like we can compete to be a wild card team.

927
00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:12,920
Speaker 1: I think there's a bigger game from Miami, given Belichick

928
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:14,880
Speaker 1: took the team down there Tuesday, like this is a

929
00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:17,760
Speaker 1: big game for Miami. Like if I'm gonna take Miami seriously,

930
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:21,680
Speaker 1: like you gotta be this Patriot team Baltimore at the Jets.

931
00:46:23,680 --> 00:46:27,000
Speaker 1: I'm nervous about Zack Wilson always thought it was a

932
00:46:27,000 --> 00:46:29,040
Speaker 1: little weird that just the Jets went all in on

933
00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:32,719
Speaker 1: them immediately over fields Lance, like you're just gonna take

934
00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:35,160
Speaker 1: this guy over those guys who are more physically gifted.

935
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:37,919
Speaker 1: He's immediately heard he was hurt last year. He's gonna

936
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:40,240
Speaker 1: miss the first several games. They gotta go with Flacco.

937
00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:43,719
Speaker 1: They talk about Flacco a little too well. They talk

938
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:46,560
Speaker 1: about Flacco. That makes me go red flag, Like why

939
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 1: do you give give Flacco kind of the circle jerk?

940
00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:53,319
Speaker 1: Does that a reflection of your quarterback? Do you love

941
00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:56,200
Speaker 1: the quarterback? Here's what I know is Zack Wilson and

942
00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:59,920
Speaker 1: the Jets aren't winning this game. I mean, so the

943
00:47:00,239 --> 00:47:02,839
Speaker 1: Jets early schedule, what if they are not good this year?

944
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:04,600
Speaker 1: What if they win four or five games, and Zack

945
00:47:04,640 --> 00:47:06,600
Speaker 1: Wilson is not the guy now. He would still get

946
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 1: next year. But what if all of a sudden, Zack

947
00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:12,400
Speaker 1: Wilson's a bust. All those guys are getting fired, Robert Sala,

948
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:16,520
Speaker 1: Joe Douglas, every single person is getting fired. They need

949
00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:19,680
Speaker 1: Zack Wilson to be good and right now, based on

950
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:22,520
Speaker 1: injuries and just unknown, I would bet against it now.

951
00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:26,080
Speaker 1: The Ravens, as a recording this during the day on Thursday,

952
00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:29,040
Speaker 1: have not signed Lamar Jackson, and Lamar claimed that by

953
00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:30,480
Speaker 1: the end of the week I have to be signed.

954
00:47:30,560 --> 00:47:33,120
Speaker 1: I don't think Lamar has handled this correctly. I would

955
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:35,279
Speaker 1: not be practicing, but listen, maybe he's a better guy

956
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:37,800
Speaker 1: than me. I think the Ravens are gonna be fucking awesome.

957
00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:40,279
Speaker 1: I think their defense is gonna be ask kickers. I

958
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:42,880
Speaker 1: think their offense, if they can get this Lamar situation

959
00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:45,480
Speaker 1: figured out, it's gonna be sweet. I got a birdie

960
00:47:45,520 --> 00:47:47,480
Speaker 1: in that building that says this tight end that they

961
00:47:47,520 --> 00:47:51,000
Speaker 1: drafted from. I think Coastal Carolina is sweet. Obviously, if

962
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 1: you fantasy football, everyone's heard about him. Mark Andrews stuff

963
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:58,120
Speaker 1: their run game. I think Lamar Jackson has even gotten better. Uh,

964
00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:00,880
Speaker 1: this offseason from what I've heard, I like the Ravens

965
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:02,680
Speaker 1: a lot. I mean I do. I picked him to

966
00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 1: win the division. I think they're gonna be slightly better.

967
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:08,440
Speaker 1: You know last year they were so injured healthy even

968
00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:10,600
Speaker 1: against the Bengals. I think they topped bottom have the

969
00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:13,560
Speaker 1: better roster. Now, I would take Joe Burrow over Lamar Jackson.

970
00:48:13,640 --> 00:48:15,959
Speaker 1: I like that type quarterback more. But I've come around

971
00:48:15,960 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 1: with Lamar Jackson. Like Lamar Jackson's stud and when he's healthy,

972
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 1: if his if his mind's in it and listen, he's

973
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:23,880
Speaker 1: been pretty focused. How many guys in his position, you

974
00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:26,280
Speaker 1: can say it's right or wrong, would have stayed practicing,

975
00:48:26,360 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 1: would have stayed downed in as the contract situation not

976
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:31,680
Speaker 1: playing out like this, most guys hold in. Most guys

977
00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:34,840
Speaker 1: do not practice, They don't risk injury. Lamar is lamars

978
00:48:34,840 --> 00:48:37,520
Speaker 1: and high level cap man. Uh. I'm a big fan.

979
00:48:37,880 --> 00:48:41,360
Speaker 1: I like him to destroy the Jets Jacksonville Washington. I

980
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,480
Speaker 1: don't know, really there's that much to say about this.

981
00:48:43,760 --> 00:48:45,440
Speaker 1: I mean, Carson Wentz, let's face it, it's kind of

982
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:48,399
Speaker 1: playing first career a little bit like Russell Westbrook last

983
00:48:48,440 --> 00:48:50,399
Speaker 1: year with the with the l a Lakers, like, bro,

984
00:48:50,520 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 1: what are we doing? Can you change it all? And

985
00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:55,399
Speaker 1: the answer was no, Like Carson Wentz, can you figure

986
00:48:55,400 --> 00:48:57,520
Speaker 1: it out? Like can someone just kind of vouch for

987
00:48:57,560 --> 00:48:58,560
Speaker 1: you be like, you know, I kind of like this

988
00:48:58,600 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz guy, not a bad Like why why can't

989
00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:03,200
Speaker 1: why does the last two teams can't get rid of

990
00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:05,760
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz fast enough? Like that? That's not an opinion,

991
00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:08,400
Speaker 1: that's a fact. And this is not the easiest place

992
00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:11,200
Speaker 1: to resurrect your career. And then on the flip side,

993
00:49:11,719 --> 00:49:13,719
Speaker 1: I don't blame Trevor Lawrence at all for last year.

994
00:49:14,160 --> 00:49:17,840
Speaker 1: Urban Meyer is was a class I mean was It's

995
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:20,799
Speaker 1: the most embarrassing thing we've ever seen. He did not

996
00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:24,359
Speaker 1: make it through the season. Did not make it through

997
00:49:24,680 --> 00:49:28,240
Speaker 1: the season. Doug Peterson is a Super Bowl winning coach

998
00:49:28,760 --> 00:49:32,120
Speaker 1: and it's just a genuine nice human being. It's it's

999
00:49:32,160 --> 00:49:34,160
Speaker 1: got to be one of the great transitions in the

1000
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:38,160
Speaker 1: history of the league for a quarterback. Go from Urban Meyer,

1001
00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:41,000
Speaker 1: who was a fucking fish out of water. I've called

1002
00:49:41,040 --> 00:49:43,359
Speaker 1: him fraud Meyer for years, not because he couldn't coach.

1003
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:45,680
Speaker 1: He can coach in college, but he coached in college

1004
00:49:45,719 --> 00:49:48,319
Speaker 1: because he could bully people. And he always coached at

1005
00:49:48,320 --> 00:49:50,520
Speaker 1: places Florida in Ohio state that pre n I l

1006
00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 1: would give huge bags of money to the best players

1007
00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:56,120
Speaker 1: and just naturally recruited good players. And he was excellent

1008
00:49:56,160 --> 00:49:59,319
Speaker 1: in college kind of bullying other programs and out recruiting them.

1009
00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:01,480
Speaker 1: But the end fell was an intellectual league, not a

1010
00:50:01,480 --> 00:50:04,720
Speaker 1: recruiting league. And you could see Urban Meyer like couldn't

1011
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:07,960
Speaker 1: deal with players making more money than him or on

1012
00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:11,839
Speaker 1: his same economic level, and he's he's a fraud. You know.

1013
00:50:12,080 --> 00:50:14,879
Speaker 1: I just think he's a questionable human being to begin with.

1014
00:50:15,400 --> 00:50:17,200
Speaker 1: But he got running out of the league. He could

1015
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:19,520
Speaker 1: he couldn't cut it in the big leagues like Nick Saban,

1016
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:22,920
Speaker 1: you know, wasn't probably meant for the NFL, but he

1017
00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 1: still lasted a couple of seasons. Uh. I think Jacksonville,

1018
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:29,359
Speaker 1: some people think they're gonna be feisty. I still think

1019
00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:31,080
Speaker 1: they're gonna be pretty bad, but I think they'll be

1020
00:50:31,200 --> 00:50:34,040
Speaker 1: dramatically improved. From an eye test standpoint. You'll just watch

1021
00:50:34,120 --> 00:50:36,719
Speaker 1: him go. Okay, I understand why Trevit Lawrence was a

1022
00:50:36,719 --> 00:50:40,239
Speaker 1: big time uh you know, recruit and then college prospect.

1023
00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 1: The Browns against Carolina, I mean This is pretty cool

1024
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:48,279
Speaker 1: because Baker Mayfield, who gets traded to the team that's

1025
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:51,440
Speaker 1: opening up against the Browns. I mean, think about that,

1026
00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:54,879
Speaker 1: and of course he won the job. Sam Donald's technically hurt,

1027
00:50:55,400 --> 00:50:57,960
Speaker 1: but Baker Mayfield beat him out even before he was injured.

1028
00:50:58,239 --> 00:51:00,920
Speaker 1: So you know where I'm staying. I'm for Carolina. Now

1029
00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:03,800
Speaker 1: do win the an f C South, excuse me, the

1030
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:06,960
Speaker 1: NFC South. But I'm telling you, when I watched the

1031
00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:08,920
Speaker 1: preseason game with Baker Mayfield, I'm like, God, he looks

1032
00:51:08,960 --> 00:51:10,960
Speaker 1: a little more natural in this jersey. So it just

1033
00:51:11,040 --> 00:51:12,600
Speaker 1: it fits a little bit more than it didn't with

1034
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:14,560
Speaker 1: the Browns. Let's face it, how do you take the

1035
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:16,960
Speaker 1: brown seriously right now? I know they have good players

1036
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:19,000
Speaker 1: in the roster, but it's hard to just look at

1037
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:21,399
Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns and not think Deshann Watson. And they're

1038
00:51:21,400 --> 00:51:24,200
Speaker 1: starting Jacoby Brissette, which, from everything I've heard from people,

1039
00:51:24,239 --> 00:51:27,680
Speaker 1: the great guy, super high character, bad player. He's just

1040
00:51:27,880 --> 00:51:30,520
Speaker 1: not a good player. And it's one thing to be

1041
00:51:30,560 --> 00:51:33,279
Speaker 1: a backup. In most backups ideally never have to play.

1042
00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:36,640
Speaker 1: I mean, Jacoby starting the next whatever eleven games, because

1043
00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:38,359
Speaker 1: if he is, the Browns are in trouble, and every

1044
00:51:38,360 --> 00:51:42,040
Speaker 1: Browns fan knows that. Right uh now, if Carolina is

1045
00:51:42,080 --> 00:51:45,160
Speaker 1: gonna win the division, you gotta win this game. Cannot

1046
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:49,120
Speaker 1: lose this game. The Giants at Tennessee. I mean, the

1047
00:51:49,120 --> 00:51:51,720
Speaker 1: Giants do nothing for me. Brian Dable is not calling

1048
00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:53,600
Speaker 1: the place. I still think that's one of the most

1049
00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:57,120
Speaker 1: headscratching things I've seen this training camp and this leading

1050
00:51:57,160 --> 00:51:59,520
Speaker 1: up to Week one, not calling the place. That's that's

1051
00:51:59,560 --> 00:52:02,279
Speaker 1: why you got hired. You became a head coach because

1052
00:52:02,280 --> 00:52:04,640
Speaker 1: you were the best offensive coordinator in the league for

1053
00:52:04,640 --> 00:52:07,239
Speaker 1: the Bills. Now I know you'll still be influencing and

1054
00:52:07,280 --> 00:52:12,480
Speaker 1: shaping the offense, but not calling the plays. Like if

1055
00:52:12,520 --> 00:52:16,520
Speaker 1: I hired Emerald Legassi for a big event with a

1056
00:52:16,560 --> 00:52:19,239
Speaker 1: bunch of potential clients, I wouldn't want him to just

1057
00:52:19,600 --> 00:52:21,720
Speaker 1: cook or I mean, excuse me, go to the grocery

1058
00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:24,480
Speaker 1: store and then let someone else cook. I'd want him

1059
00:52:24,520 --> 00:52:27,879
Speaker 1: to make the meal. Like Brian Aable, you were high.

1060
00:52:27,880 --> 00:52:29,640
Speaker 1: I said the same thing last year about Robert Sala.

1061
00:52:30,040 --> 00:52:32,160
Speaker 1: These young guys to get head coaching jobs, like I'm

1062
00:52:32,200 --> 00:52:34,440
Speaker 1: a CEO. Now you're not hired to be the CEO.

1063
00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:37,560
Speaker 1: No one looks at you like you're Jeff Bezos. Just

1064
00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:39,520
Speaker 1: just figure out how to call the offense and call

1065
00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:42,719
Speaker 1: the defense. The reason you became a head coach. I

1066
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:45,200
Speaker 1: just I'm baffled by that is because they think it's

1067
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:46,840
Speaker 1: gonna be pretty ugly and you can throw my cafkin

1068
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:49,520
Speaker 1: to the wolves. Kind of what it feels like to me. Uh.

1069
00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:51,400
Speaker 1: In Tennessee, I believe they're gonna take a little bit

1070
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:54,279
Speaker 1: step back, which is fine. Bleak Willis will transition in

1071
00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:56,640
Speaker 1: the starter next year, trailing Burks. It might take him

1072
00:52:56,640 --> 00:52:59,040
Speaker 1: a little bit longer. He'll be better next year. Uh,

1073
00:52:59,080 --> 00:53:01,080
Speaker 1: They're probably not a play off team. But I've said

1074
00:53:01,120 --> 00:53:03,360
Speaker 1: over and over I wouldn't bet against Mike Rabel. He

1075
00:53:03,400 --> 00:53:04,800
Speaker 1: has proven to be one of the better coaches in

1076
00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:06,839
Speaker 1: the league. John Robinson has proven to be better one

1077
00:53:06,880 --> 00:53:08,560
Speaker 1: of the better general manager in the league. They've been

1078
00:53:08,560 --> 00:53:11,080
Speaker 1: one of the most consistent organizations in the league. Everyone

1079
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:14,400
Speaker 1: annoints Ballard and Frankwright and they consistently beat him my manager.

1080
00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:18,200
Speaker 1: That's just a reality. So I I would never just

1081
00:53:18,360 --> 00:53:23,040
Speaker 1: discount Tennessee, even though it does feel like the recipe

1082
00:53:23,080 --> 00:53:25,279
Speaker 1: is there for them. Obviously, they were the one seed

1083
00:53:25,320 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 1: last year. That that's not gonna happen. Probably. I mean,

1084
00:53:28,760 --> 00:53:30,720
Speaker 1: it might be the best game of the day. Packers

1085
00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:33,600
Speaker 1: at Minnesota. And let's start with Minnesota. One thing they

1086
00:53:33,640 --> 00:53:37,160
Speaker 1: have going for him in this game. Their weakness is corners.

1087
00:53:37,440 --> 00:53:39,759
Speaker 1: That their corners are just not good. And ultimately it's

1088
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:42,399
Speaker 1: why I'm not picking them to win this division because

1089
00:53:42,440 --> 00:53:44,759
Speaker 1: I think when you don't have good corner play, this

1090
00:53:45,120 --> 00:53:48,200
Speaker 1: is not We're not playing a bunch of teams that

1091
00:53:48,200 --> 00:53:50,280
Speaker 1: I want to run it down my throat. I'm playing

1092
00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:52,240
Speaker 1: teams that want to throw it. Well, think about the Packers.

1093
00:53:52,400 --> 00:53:54,400
Speaker 1: They lost Stavante Adams and the question mark is their

1094
00:53:54,400 --> 00:53:57,680
Speaker 1: passing game. But they do have Aaron Rodgers. If like

1095
00:53:57,840 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 1: Colin and a lot of people think the Minnesota bike

1096
00:54:00,400 --> 00:54:02,600
Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell and I'm not even trying to make fun

1097
00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:05,080
Speaker 1: of Kevin O'Connell. Is just the Minnesota Vikings were good

1098
00:54:05,239 --> 00:54:07,480
Speaker 1: last year on offense, their problem was defense. Well, they're

1099
00:54:07,480 --> 00:54:09,680
Speaker 1: gonna win this division. They gotta win this game. Like

1100
00:54:09,960 --> 00:54:11,799
Speaker 1: you can't say it's a must win, Well, yeah, you

1101
00:54:11,800 --> 00:54:14,200
Speaker 1: can't be losing to the Packers at home and think

1102
00:54:14,239 --> 00:54:16,520
Speaker 1: you're gonna beat them one on the road. And to

1103
00:54:16,719 --> 00:54:18,440
Speaker 1: just be better than them. Like, if you're gonna beat

1104
00:54:18,480 --> 00:54:21,239
Speaker 1: the Packers, you literally have to be better than them,

1105
00:54:21,280 --> 00:54:23,520
Speaker 1: and you get them at home, the atmosphere is gonna

1106
00:54:23,520 --> 00:54:25,920
Speaker 1: be elite. I even saw the floor saying how annoying

1107
00:54:25,960 --> 00:54:29,200
Speaker 1: the skull and the and the horn thing is. It's

1108
00:54:29,239 --> 00:54:32,840
Speaker 1: an elite NFL atmosphere. There is a small number the

1109
00:54:32,920 --> 00:54:38,440
Speaker 1: chiefs Minnesota. Uh, maybe lambou a little bit. This collegiate

1110
00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:42,200
Speaker 1: Steelers went when they're humming, Like you watch college football,

1111
00:54:42,200 --> 00:54:44,239
Speaker 1: their atmospheres are better than the NFL. The football in

1112
00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:48,400
Speaker 1: the NFL is better, but the college uh, pageantry is

1113
00:54:48,440 --> 00:54:52,320
Speaker 1: what separates that sport, right Uh, in terms of interest.

1114
00:54:52,719 --> 00:54:55,600
Speaker 1: It's why I'm not saying it's more interesting than the NFL.

1115
00:54:55,640 --> 00:54:58,560
Speaker 1: I'm just saying if college did not have how cool

1116
00:54:58,600 --> 00:55:01,960
Speaker 1: their atmospheres were, it wouldn't be even remotely as interesting.

1117
00:55:02,840 --> 00:55:05,439
Speaker 1: But when you have a great atmosphere in a great

1118
00:55:05,480 --> 00:55:08,800
Speaker 1: home field, you gotta win on it. Like Wisconsin, l

1119
00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:11,640
Speaker 1: s U, whoever. You gotta take advantage of your home

1120
00:55:11,680 --> 00:55:14,239
Speaker 1: field advantage. I mean, that's that's the whole point of

1121
00:55:14,239 --> 00:55:16,680
Speaker 1: a home field advantage. And to me, Minnesota, like you

1122
00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:19,240
Speaker 1: gotta win this game. And I am kind of fascinating

1123
00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:23,080
Speaker 1: to watch, like Rogers with the new receivers, like, what

1124
00:55:23,080 --> 00:55:25,680
Speaker 1: does it look like? You know, what does it look like?

1125
00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:29,239
Speaker 1: I don't know. Uh, I would still lean Green Bay

1126
00:55:29,280 --> 00:55:31,520
Speaker 1: in this game. But listen, I'm not crazy enough because,

1127
00:55:31,520 --> 00:55:34,560
Speaker 1: like I said, Minnesota's main weakness is also technically the

1128
00:55:34,560 --> 00:55:36,960
Speaker 1: Packer's weakness. Now we could find out early on, Like now,

1129
00:55:37,040 --> 00:55:39,600
Speaker 1: Aeron's fine, he'll be slinging around why and he's one

1130
00:55:39,640 --> 00:55:41,399
Speaker 1: of the greatest players of all time in the peak

1131
00:55:41,400 --> 00:55:43,480
Speaker 1: of his powers. He's a two time reigning MVP. The

1132
00:55:43,600 --> 00:55:46,120
Speaker 1: floor is pretty good. Uh, the floor is definitely much

1133
00:55:46,160 --> 00:55:49,880
Speaker 1: more accomplished than than Kevin O'Connell, who a couple of

1134
00:55:49,920 --> 00:55:51,840
Speaker 1: years ago no one would have known who he was

1135
00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:55,200
Speaker 1: unless you were a San Diego State fan. So this

1136
00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:57,120
Speaker 1: that's a good game. This is also a good game.

1137
00:55:57,400 --> 00:56:00,719
Speaker 1: Kansas City at Arizona Chiefs are might pick to win

1138
00:56:01,080 --> 00:56:04,480
Speaker 1: the a f C West. They'll be my pick, probably them,

1139
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:07,080
Speaker 1: Baltimore to be you know right there for the a

1140
00:56:07,200 --> 00:56:09,960
Speaker 1: f C. Mahomes is my m v P pick. I

1141
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:12,000
Speaker 1: like Kansas City to beat the ship out of Arizona.

1142
00:56:12,280 --> 00:56:14,200
Speaker 1: Now you can call me a cardinal hater. I probably

1143
00:56:14,239 --> 00:56:18,680
Speaker 1: am but they like, listen, there their first round wide receiver.

1144
00:56:18,840 --> 00:56:21,040
Speaker 1: Well he wasn't drafted this year, but the guy they

1145
00:56:21,080 --> 00:56:23,480
Speaker 1: gave up pick twenty two four was arrested this year.

1146
00:56:23,840 --> 00:56:26,200
Speaker 1: They're running back. Coach. I haven't read, and was even

1147
00:56:26,239 --> 00:56:29,680
Speaker 1: back he had a domestic dispute violence issue where he

1148
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:33,160
Speaker 1: got subpoenaed or you know, served or arrested or whatever.

1149
00:56:33,200 --> 00:56:36,160
Speaker 1: I'm no legal analyst, but you know he's basically being

1150
00:56:36,200 --> 00:56:39,440
Speaker 1: accused of hitting a woman in a grocery store. Like

1151
00:56:39,560 --> 00:56:42,600
Speaker 1: that's you know, that's and he's not around that happened, coach.

1152
00:56:43,120 --> 00:56:46,760
Speaker 1: And obviously the Kyler Murray contract situation, like I'm shorting

1153
00:56:46,760 --> 00:56:50,120
Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals. Now, I've never for someone who does

1154
00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:53,760
Speaker 1: not believe in Kyler the player. I've never disputed the talent.

1155
00:56:54,520 --> 00:56:57,960
Speaker 1: I've never disputed his ability. I think his his talent

1156
00:56:58,280 --> 00:57:01,480
Speaker 1: is it's very my Chael vick ish, but he's even

1157
00:57:01,520 --> 00:57:05,239
Speaker 1: more accurate. Now. Michael is bigger, but like Michael gets

1158
00:57:05,280 --> 00:57:07,200
Speaker 1: hurt a lot, and he kind of wears down because

1159
00:57:07,200 --> 00:57:09,799
Speaker 1: Michael wasn't the biggest guy. Michael's bigger than Kyler, but

1160
00:57:09,840 --> 00:57:13,319
Speaker 1: Michael was still small, and I I just I think

1161
00:57:13,320 --> 00:57:16,040
Speaker 1: this Arizona. I saw J. J. Watts already injured. I mean,

1162
00:57:16,280 --> 00:57:18,120
Speaker 1: I like J. J. Watt, but holy shit, he gets

1163
00:57:18,120 --> 00:57:20,840
Speaker 1: into hurt a lot now. And I just think Kansas

1164
00:57:20,880 --> 00:57:23,600
Speaker 1: City is one on a mission. They are piste off

1165
00:57:23,600 --> 00:57:26,400
Speaker 1: from last year. They're obviously a big favorite in this game,

1166
00:57:26,440 --> 00:57:28,320
Speaker 1: even though they're on the road, and I think they

1167
00:57:28,400 --> 00:57:30,560
Speaker 1: go in there in the hammer. Arizona. Obviously Hopkins is

1168
00:57:30,600 --> 00:57:33,000
Speaker 1: out for p E d S. I think Arizona has

1169
00:57:33,040 --> 00:57:35,000
Speaker 1: got a lot going on. And like I said, Cliff

1170
00:57:35,120 --> 00:57:37,840
Speaker 1: good guy. Never trusted him as a coach. I never

1171
00:57:37,920 --> 00:57:40,080
Speaker 1: have and I don't start just because he had one

1172
00:57:40,160 --> 00:57:44,040
Speaker 1: decent year in the NFL Vegas A Chargers. This is

1173
00:57:44,120 --> 00:57:46,160
Speaker 1: right out there actually with Green Bay in Minnesota. There's

1174
00:57:46,160 --> 00:57:48,800
Speaker 1: a good there is a game. This is a ball game.

1175
00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:52,920
Speaker 1: I mean, two teams that have a ton of sweet players. Obviously,

1176
00:57:52,960 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 1: Derek Carr's resurrect his career. He gets his college teammate

1177
00:57:55,400 --> 00:57:57,919
Speaker 1: Davante Adams. Davante Adams now the best player on the team.

1178
00:57:57,920 --> 00:57:59,360
Speaker 1: He's the best player of the Raiders have had over

1179
00:57:59,360 --> 00:58:02,520
Speaker 1: the last decade. Beside Kalil mack Uh. You get Josh McGann,

1180
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:05,240
Speaker 1: who has been turning down jobs who lived literally left

1181
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:08,400
Speaker 1: Chris Ballard at the altar um against the Chargers, who

1182
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:10,800
Speaker 1: I think, you know, man for man, player for player,

1183
00:58:10,840 --> 00:58:13,160
Speaker 1: best roster in the NFL. But their coach last year

1184
00:58:13,160 --> 00:58:16,080
Speaker 1: was reckless. Simply put, I mean it's you can't even

1185
00:58:16,200 --> 00:58:18,919
Speaker 1: argue that the analytical elites can push back all they want.

1186
00:58:19,000 --> 00:58:22,280
Speaker 1: He was reckless and he cost them the playoffs. He

1187
00:58:22,400 --> 00:58:25,480
Speaker 1: cost them the playoffs with a top five quarterback. Can

1188
00:58:25,520 --> 00:58:27,920
Speaker 1: you imagine missing the playoffs with the top five quarterback.

1189
00:58:27,960 --> 00:58:30,920
Speaker 1: Their defense was horrendous. Well, their defense has improved now.

1190
00:58:30,960 --> 00:58:33,080
Speaker 1: Doesn't look like j. C. Jackson's gonna play in this game,

1191
00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:37,240
Speaker 1: but Khalil mack uh should help their run defense immensely.

1192
00:58:37,720 --> 00:58:41,640
Speaker 1: Having Derwin James healthy should help immensely. Uh. I just

1193
00:58:42,080 --> 00:58:44,840
Speaker 1: this to me is a coin flip game. Having been

1194
00:58:44,880 --> 00:58:47,440
Speaker 1: down there, I went to a Niner Rams game. Niner

1195
00:58:47,480 --> 00:58:50,240
Speaker 1: fans packed the place I would expect, and obviously the

1196
00:58:50,360 --> 00:58:53,520
Speaker 1: Rams have more fans than the Chargers. I would expect

1197
00:58:53,520 --> 00:58:55,880
Speaker 1: there to be a lot a silver and black in

1198
00:58:56,120 --> 00:58:58,480
Speaker 1: the stadium. It was when they were playing at the

1199
00:58:58,480 --> 00:59:00,400
Speaker 1: Home Depot Center a couple of years ago, before they

1200
00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:03,320
Speaker 1: moved into so Far it was basically Raider fans. Now

1201
00:59:03,400 --> 00:59:05,320
Speaker 1: I don't know if it will quite be that, but

1202
00:59:05,400 --> 00:59:08,320
Speaker 1: it will definitely be on the pipe chart, you know,

1203
00:59:09,680 --> 00:59:13,760
Speaker 1: thirty five, seventy, thirty eight, twenty. I don't know they're

1204
00:59:13,760 --> 00:59:16,360
Speaker 1: gonna be a ton of Raider fans. That's the problem

1205
00:59:16,360 --> 00:59:18,800
Speaker 1: for the Chargers. Like, ultimately, I think their roster is good.

1206
00:59:18,840 --> 00:59:21,080
Speaker 1: Even if Brandons Dalley just improves on last year. They

1207
00:59:21,120 --> 00:59:24,880
Speaker 1: have no home field advantage none. And think of the

1208
00:59:24,880 --> 00:59:27,640
Speaker 1: three teams in their division, all three teams big brands

1209
00:59:27,640 --> 00:59:30,360
Speaker 1: that travel like Bronco fans. If the Denver is good,

1210
00:59:30,560 --> 00:59:32,280
Speaker 1: and obviously if the Chiefs are good, like their fans

1211
00:59:32,280 --> 00:59:34,040
Speaker 1: will come. The Raider fans already live in l A.

1212
00:59:34,560 --> 00:59:37,160
Speaker 1: So you got this sweet team, which they do. They

1213
00:59:37,160 --> 00:59:39,920
Speaker 1: have no home field advantage like the Chiefs and Denver

1214
00:59:40,240 --> 00:59:42,720
Speaker 1: huge home field advantage. The Raiders are good, they will

1215
00:59:42,760 --> 00:59:45,560
Speaker 1: have a home field advantage, even though that's closer to

1216
00:59:45,600 --> 00:59:48,480
Speaker 1: the Chargers just given the market. But Raider fans are

1217
00:59:48,640 --> 00:59:51,320
Speaker 1: northern California, LA. It's easy to get to Vegas. Southwest

1218
00:59:51,320 --> 00:59:53,240
Speaker 1: flight asked the owner, Mark Davis has been taking south

1219
00:59:53,320 --> 00:59:57,439
Speaker 1: West for years, so I'm just I kind of want

1220
00:59:57,440 --> 00:59:59,800
Speaker 1: to lean Vegas. But if the Charges are gonna be

1221
00:59:59,880 --> 01:00:01,760
Speaker 1: some powerhouse this year, you gotta win some home games.

1222
01:00:02,040 --> 01:00:04,760
Speaker 1: To me, Vegas can lose this game and still be okay.

1223
01:00:04,960 --> 01:00:07,160
Speaker 1: And to me, that's a pretty cool little four game.

1224
01:00:07,640 --> 01:00:11,040
Speaker 1: These four teams, Kansas City, Arizona, Vegas, and the Chargers.

1225
01:00:11,360 --> 01:00:13,640
Speaker 1: So Kansas City plays Arizona next week, they play the

1226
01:00:13,680 --> 01:00:16,720
Speaker 1: Chargers on Thursday Night football, the Raiders play the Chargers,

1227
01:00:16,760 --> 01:00:19,439
Speaker 1: and next week they're at home against Arizona. Like, there

1228
01:00:19,560 --> 01:00:21,800
Speaker 1: is probably gonna be a team and I would bet

1229
01:00:21,960 --> 01:00:24,280
Speaker 1: be in Arizona that's gonna come out of this stretch

1230
01:00:24,320 --> 01:00:26,480
Speaker 1: being owned too, but I could be wrong. I mean,

1231
01:00:26,520 --> 01:00:27,840
Speaker 1: if the Charges were to lose this game, then they

1232
01:00:27,880 --> 01:00:30,280
Speaker 1: got a short week at Kansas City. Like it's crazy,

1233
01:00:30,400 --> 01:00:33,520
Speaker 1: it sounds the Chargers, you don't win this game regardless

1234
01:00:33,520 --> 01:00:35,400
Speaker 1: of what happens in Kansas You know what happens in

1235
01:00:35,400 --> 01:00:38,200
Speaker 1: the Kansas City Arizona game. You then have four days

1236
01:00:38,240 --> 01:00:41,440
Speaker 1: to go to arrowhead of their season opener. So this

1237
01:00:41,520 --> 01:00:44,960
Speaker 1: is uh is a cool little four team, little round

1238
01:00:45,040 --> 01:00:48,480
Speaker 1: robin to watch. And then Tampa Dallas, I mean, the

1239
01:00:48,520 --> 01:00:49,960
Speaker 1: Brady thing. I don't know how they're not going to

1240
01:00:50,080 --> 01:00:52,240
Speaker 1: avoid it or how they're going to avoid it, and

1241
01:00:52,280 --> 01:00:55,320
Speaker 1: they'll probably try about off the field stuff. But it's

1242
01:00:55,360 --> 01:00:58,080
Speaker 1: the elphin in the room, I mean him, Giselle, his

1243
01:00:58,160 --> 01:01:00,720
Speaker 1: situation leaving training camp for eleven days, like come on,

1244
01:01:01,040 --> 01:01:02,640
Speaker 1: we were just we were born at night, but not

1245
01:01:02,800 --> 01:01:05,120
Speaker 1: last night, Like this is something's going on now. I'm

1246
01:01:05,120 --> 01:01:07,640
Speaker 1: not expecting everyone to know all the detail. I don't

1247
01:01:07,680 --> 01:01:10,840
Speaker 1: even care, but like it's a thing when you're the

1248
01:01:10,840 --> 01:01:13,280
Speaker 1: greatest player of all time and you disappear for eleven days,

1249
01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:15,840
Speaker 1: like you can't downplay in fairness, he didn't really, he said,

1250
01:01:15,840 --> 01:01:19,240
Speaker 1: like I'm forty five. Shit happens. It's true. Uh in Dallas,

1251
01:01:19,280 --> 01:01:20,600
Speaker 1: like the elephant in the room with him is just

1252
01:01:20,640 --> 01:01:24,640
Speaker 1: their coach, like he gotta win. And you know, I

1253
01:01:24,680 --> 01:01:27,080
Speaker 1: don't even if you said who would you bet on

1254
01:01:27,120 --> 01:01:29,800
Speaker 1: this game, I wouldn't feel good picking either. I would

1255
01:01:29,880 --> 01:01:33,040
Speaker 1: lean just if if Tom's playing, I'll pick Dampa because

1256
01:01:33,160 --> 01:01:34,320
Speaker 1: you know what I stand. I don't think that was

1257
01:01:34,360 --> 01:01:36,400
Speaker 1: gonna be as good this year, and I just think

1258
01:01:36,440 --> 01:01:40,040
Speaker 1: that pressure of Jerry being around Jerry's old, you know,

1259
01:01:40,160 --> 01:01:42,720
Speaker 1: just McCarthy man, he's gonna feel it, and he's gonna

1260
01:01:42,760 --> 01:01:45,640
Speaker 1: feel it fast. Now I am fascinated to watch Michael

1261
01:01:45,640 --> 01:01:47,720
Speaker 1: Parsons in this game, Like this guy is just gonna

1262
01:01:47,760 --> 01:01:49,640
Speaker 1: be for five straight years, like one of the best

1263
01:01:49,680 --> 01:01:52,240
Speaker 1: players in the league. Because last year he was remarkable.

1264
01:01:52,480 --> 01:01:55,560
Speaker 1: He was an unstoppable force. And think about this Tampa,

1265
01:01:55,680 --> 01:01:58,120
Speaker 1: they're missing a bunch offensive Laeman. Like that's the other

1266
01:01:58,200 --> 01:02:00,840
Speaker 1: thing with Tom. You know, Tom does get rid of

1267
01:02:00,840 --> 01:02:02,520
Speaker 1: the ball fast, but you don't need a block form

1268
01:02:02,520 --> 01:02:05,120
Speaker 1: a little bit. He can't move. I mean, even if

1269
01:02:05,160 --> 01:02:06,520
Speaker 1: he's in the best shape of his life at fort

1270
01:02:07,160 --> 01:02:09,560
Speaker 1: he ain't running away from anybody. So it'll be it'll

1271
01:02:09,600 --> 01:02:11,400
Speaker 1: be interesting Dallas. You know they should be able to

1272
01:02:11,440 --> 01:02:14,640
Speaker 1: get pressure with dan Quinn and Mica. You know, do

1273
01:02:14,760 --> 01:02:21,640
Speaker 1: they can they block for Tom? Well, it is week

1274
01:02:21,720 --> 01:02:25,480
Speaker 1: one and did uh that means one thing and one

1275
01:02:25,520 --> 01:02:28,920
Speaker 1: thing only. It's time to gamble and my man Stucky

1276
01:02:29,040 --> 01:02:32,360
Speaker 1: uh live from you know, just a vacation that is

1277
01:02:32,480 --> 01:02:35,720
Speaker 1: ending because the week one is officially here recording this

1278
01:02:35,760 --> 01:02:38,960
Speaker 1: on Thursday morning before the Rams Bills game. I know

1279
01:02:39,080 --> 01:02:42,720
Speaker 1: you are all over college football last weekend. You can

1280
01:02:42,760 --> 01:02:45,840
Speaker 1: find Stucky all over the Action Network, Action Network podcast

1281
01:02:46,240 --> 01:02:49,600
Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus social media talks, a lot of

1282
01:02:49,600 --> 01:02:53,320
Speaker 1: ship on Twitter. Uh, stucky, what's happening, bro? It's good.

1283
01:02:53,320 --> 01:02:56,480
Speaker 1: It's good to be back. I'm excited how edge football

1284
01:02:56,600 --> 01:02:59,000
Speaker 1: is here and now we're about to add and I

1285
01:02:59,080 --> 01:03:01,560
Speaker 1: thought of because you know, when college football is back,

1286
01:03:01,600 --> 01:03:04,240
Speaker 1: it's kind of like the Week zero is the bread

1287
01:03:04,760 --> 01:03:08,000
Speaker 1: with the Aliba. Week one is the appetizer because you

1288
01:03:08,040 --> 01:03:11,200
Speaker 1: wake up Sunday and it doesn't feel the same because

1289
01:03:11,360 --> 01:03:14,480
Speaker 1: Sunday at one or ten, if you're on the West Coast,

1290
01:03:14,480 --> 01:03:17,400
Speaker 1: there's no NFL. That change is starting tonight, so it's

1291
01:03:17,400 --> 01:03:21,520
Speaker 1: going to be back. Did you short Scott Frost that

1292
01:03:21,560 --> 01:03:23,600
Speaker 1: Week zero game in Ireland? I didn't bet it. I

1293
01:03:23,640 --> 01:03:25,640
Speaker 1: wish I did. People were trying to convince me to

1294
01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:30,520
Speaker 1: bet Nebraska. Um, and I just can't lay double digits

1295
01:03:30,560 --> 01:03:32,840
Speaker 1: with him. Um. You just can't bet him as a favorite.

1296
01:03:32,920 --> 01:03:35,280
Speaker 1: Nebraska has been very good as an underdog past couple

1297
01:03:35,280 --> 01:03:38,040
Speaker 1: of years, but I think he's like seven sixteen and

1298
01:03:38,080 --> 01:03:42,800
Speaker 1: one against the spread as a double digit favorite. Not great. Um,

1299
01:03:43,600 --> 01:03:45,400
Speaker 1: and didn't even cover last week against North Dkota. But

1300
01:03:45,440 --> 01:03:46,840
Speaker 1: I wish I did. I would have been a great

1301
01:03:46,880 --> 01:03:49,720
Speaker 1: start to the year, but I stayed away from that one. Well,

1302
01:03:49,720 --> 01:03:51,600
Speaker 1: we got a lot of new people over the last

1303
01:03:51,680 --> 01:03:53,640
Speaker 1: year to the podcast. Can you just give people a

1304
01:03:53,640 --> 01:03:57,640
Speaker 1: little background into your into your gambling for race in

1305
01:03:57,680 --> 01:04:00,280
Speaker 1: your career and just what you've been doing. Yeah, that's

1306
01:04:00,320 --> 01:04:03,440
Speaker 1: never been a professional better orofessional better. How I define

1307
01:04:03,440 --> 01:04:05,640
Speaker 1: it is that your sole source of income, which has

1308
01:04:05,680 --> 01:04:07,480
Speaker 1: never been the case. But I've been betting almost every

1309
01:04:07,560 --> 01:04:10,400
Speaker 1: day for going on twenty years back in high school

1310
01:04:10,440 --> 01:04:14,200
Speaker 1: and two thousand three, UM and I built a big

1311
01:04:14,200 --> 01:04:16,840
Speaker 1: following up on some of the forums. This is a

1312
01:04:16,920 --> 01:04:19,880
Speaker 1: full pre Twitter covers dot com. There's a bunch of

1313
01:04:19,920 --> 01:04:21,680
Speaker 1: forums they used to post that build a big following,

1314
01:04:21,920 --> 01:04:25,320
Speaker 1: brought them over to Twitter. It was in the finance world. UM.

1315
01:04:25,360 --> 01:04:28,040
Speaker 1: And then had an opportunity to help start Action Network

1316
01:04:28,600 --> 01:04:33,280
Speaker 1: in before I knew that betting was the passing and

1317
01:04:33,320 --> 01:04:36,040
Speaker 1: pass what was going to become legal. So I left,

1318
01:04:36,520 --> 01:04:41,200
Speaker 1: took a risk and fortunately it worked out and here

1319
01:04:41,240 --> 01:04:44,480
Speaker 1: I am today, do a lot of content still for

1320
01:04:44,680 --> 01:04:50,919
Speaker 1: Action Network, podcast video written, and then still grinding every

1321
01:04:50,960 --> 01:04:55,280
Speaker 1: day football is uh football, college and NFL and college basketball,

1322
01:04:55,280 --> 01:04:57,760
Speaker 1: and my three three go to is all grind baseball

1323
01:04:57,840 --> 01:04:59,800
Speaker 1: during the summer, just trying to pick up a few

1324
01:04:59,800 --> 01:05:02,560
Speaker 1: pen He's past the time and there, but uh yeah,

1325
01:05:02,560 --> 01:05:06,440
Speaker 1: now we're in full swing. Yeah, I mean, thank god.

1326
01:05:07,000 --> 01:05:09,640
Speaker 1: I I personally can't do baseball, but then again I

1327
01:05:09,960 --> 01:05:12,880
Speaker 1: do golf. Uh Now the difference I would say between

1328
01:05:12,960 --> 01:05:15,600
Speaker 1: baseball and golf over the summers. Those payoffs on golf,

1329
01:05:15,640 --> 01:05:17,800
Speaker 1: while they're very hard to hit, I did stuck. You

1330
01:05:17,840 --> 01:05:21,600
Speaker 1: have a j T posting outright at about I think

1331
01:05:21,600 --> 01:05:24,800
Speaker 1: it was forty two one, and that's uh, that's a

1332
01:05:24,800 --> 01:05:27,680
Speaker 1: sweet payout. Hunter Bucks pays you four gez. You know, boom,

1333
01:05:27,840 --> 01:05:30,160
Speaker 1: you know you're cooking with gas. Shout out to Aaron Fleaner,

1334
01:05:30,200 --> 01:05:34,520
Speaker 1: one of my very good friends, who's his yeah, Kentucky guy. Uh,

1335
01:05:34,600 --> 01:05:37,080
Speaker 1: he was supposed to He would have normally came to

1336
01:05:37,160 --> 01:05:40,120
Speaker 1: the barber stall which is the week after which posted

1337
01:05:40,120 --> 01:05:41,880
Speaker 1: almost one last year, and he would have party with

1338
01:05:41,920 --> 01:05:45,479
Speaker 1: this and can party and but they went right over

1339
01:05:45,640 --> 01:05:48,280
Speaker 1: to Europe and skipped to arbustall after winning that on

1340
01:05:48,400 --> 01:05:51,440
Speaker 1: two bigger and better things. Um so yeah, shout out

1341
01:05:51,480 --> 01:05:52,960
Speaker 1: to them. They made They made a lot of they

1342
01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:55,440
Speaker 1: made a lot of cash and huge, huge year for

1343
01:05:56,040 --> 01:05:58,600
Speaker 1: posting and Fleaner, I'm happy for them, happy for you

1344
01:05:58,640 --> 01:06:01,520
Speaker 1: as well. Yeah, I owe him a beer if we

1345
01:06:01,680 --> 01:06:04,200
Speaker 1: have a run into him. Okay, let's uh. You know

1346
01:06:04,240 --> 01:06:06,040
Speaker 1: the way this works for people that are new to

1347
01:06:06,080 --> 01:06:08,800
Speaker 1: this is what we pick three games or stucky he

1348
01:06:08,840 --> 01:06:10,720
Speaker 1: picks three games. Then I give my take on it.

1349
01:06:11,120 --> 01:06:13,920
Speaker 1: But I want to start. You live in lexic Kentucky.

1350
01:06:14,080 --> 01:06:18,880
Speaker 1: Kentucky and Mark stops Bob's brother has turned that program

1351
01:06:19,160 --> 01:06:22,040
Speaker 1: into a consistent sec Like I mean, I wouldn't call

1352
01:06:22,120 --> 01:06:24,160
Speaker 1: him a powerhouse, but they are a legitimate for college

1353
01:06:24,200 --> 01:06:29,560
Speaker 1: football program top twenty ish and they're playing Florida this week. Now,

1354
01:06:29,600 --> 01:06:32,000
Speaker 1: Florida last week. It looks like they got Cam Newton

1355
01:06:32,000 --> 01:06:35,160
Speaker 1: two point oh. But you know, one thing you're good

1356
01:06:35,160 --> 01:06:38,120
Speaker 1: at is always like, well if this line a week ago,

1357
01:06:38,360 --> 01:06:41,600
Speaker 1: you know how games impact the following week. Now. I

1358
01:06:41,640 --> 01:06:43,640
Speaker 1: don't know how that quite works in college, but when

1359
01:06:43,640 --> 01:06:46,120
Speaker 1: I saw that Kentucky is a six and a half

1360
01:06:46,120 --> 01:06:49,560
Speaker 1: point underdog at and it is at Florida, I went,

1361
01:06:49,680 --> 01:06:51,920
Speaker 1: I wonder how much that line is influenced by what

1362
01:06:52,040 --> 01:06:53,800
Speaker 1: just happened, because it looks like they have a Heisman

1363
01:06:53,800 --> 01:06:57,000
Speaker 1: Trophy winner. I know for me that that's like my

1364
01:06:57,120 --> 01:07:00,160
Speaker 1: one of my favorite bets on the docket for matter

1365
01:07:00,160 --> 01:07:02,200
Speaker 1: of day is Kentucky plus six and a half. What

1366
01:07:02,320 --> 01:07:04,360
Speaker 1: say you yeah, I'm coming into the air. I was

1367
01:07:04,360 --> 01:07:07,440
Speaker 1: a bit low in Kentucky. UM and and SU has

1368
01:07:07,440 --> 01:07:09,320
Speaker 1: done incredible job. I think they've won double digit games

1369
01:07:09,360 --> 01:07:12,800
Speaker 1: twice in the past four years, which they didn't do

1370
01:07:13,480 --> 01:07:18,960
Speaker 1: over the twenty thirty years before. Then combined UM the

1371
01:07:18,960 --> 01:07:21,640
Speaker 1: the kind of the staple of Kentucky, and they've recruited.

1372
01:07:21,640 --> 01:07:24,320
Speaker 1: They've recruited way better than anyone would have expected. But

1373
01:07:24,320 --> 01:07:27,040
Speaker 1: the state ball that team over the past three or

1374
01:07:27,080 --> 01:07:30,200
Speaker 1: four years has been their offensive line, known as the

1375
01:07:30,200 --> 01:07:33,200
Speaker 1: Big Blue Wall, and they've they lost a lot on

1376
01:07:33,200 --> 01:07:35,760
Speaker 1: that offensive line. Two guys the NFL a left tackle

1377
01:07:35,920 --> 01:07:37,640
Speaker 1: I think is eventually gonna make it onto an NFL

1378
01:07:37,720 --> 01:07:41,320
Speaker 1: roster who gave up one sack and thirteen games last year.

1379
01:07:42,000 --> 01:07:44,520
Speaker 1: A lot of inexperience on that offensive line, and they

1380
01:07:44,560 --> 01:07:49,560
Speaker 1: looked for last week UM against Miami Ohio defense MAC

1381
01:07:49,640 --> 01:07:53,640
Speaker 1: defense that was completely rebuilding. And they also Kentucky still

1382
01:07:53,640 --> 01:07:57,000
Speaker 1: doesn't have a start running back available in Rodriguez, so

1383
01:07:57,280 --> 01:07:59,400
Speaker 1: there's you know, and they lost some NFL pieces on

1384
01:07:59,440 --> 01:08:01,600
Speaker 1: the defense. I thought it was gonna be a tougher

1385
01:08:01,680 --> 01:08:04,200
Speaker 1: year for Kentucky, who now also has to deal with expectations.

1386
01:08:04,200 --> 01:08:06,280
Speaker 1: So I'm curious to see how that happens, because in

1387
01:08:06,320 --> 01:08:09,439
Speaker 1: the past it's Kentucky football, right and they're they're able

1388
01:08:09,440 --> 01:08:12,720
Speaker 1: to fly under the radar a bit now people in Lexington,

1389
01:08:12,840 --> 01:08:15,680
Speaker 1: and there's some expectations that are starting to go along

1390
01:08:15,720 --> 01:08:17,840
Speaker 1: with winning double digit games twice in a four year span.

1391
01:08:19,000 --> 01:08:20,800
Speaker 1: The one good thing that I so I'm worried about

1392
01:08:20,800 --> 01:08:25,439
Speaker 1: the Florida's defensive line um has is very talented and

1393
01:08:25,479 --> 01:08:27,720
Speaker 1: could cause them some trouble. The one thing I do

1394
01:08:27,840 --> 01:08:34,160
Speaker 1: like about the Kentucky defenses annually, they were excellent preventing

1395
01:08:34,160 --> 01:08:37,120
Speaker 1: explosive place, which is what you have to do against

1396
01:08:37,160 --> 01:08:39,160
Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson. You have to contain him. You can't let

1397
01:08:39,200 --> 01:08:41,400
Speaker 1: him hit explosive place. He's not going to be accurate

1398
01:08:41,400 --> 01:08:44,080
Speaker 1: on a down to down basis and then just beat

1399
01:08:44,120 --> 01:08:46,040
Speaker 1: you up and down the field. So you're gonna have

1400
01:08:46,080 --> 01:08:48,400
Speaker 1: to contain him. I mean, his legs are his date,

1401
01:08:48,479 --> 01:08:50,880
Speaker 1: but you have to stop the explosive play, which what

1402
01:08:51,080 --> 01:08:54,800
Speaker 1: is what Kentucky excels at the value of the number

1403
01:08:54,840 --> 01:08:57,080
Speaker 1: is probably on Kentucky here, especially if it keeps going.

1404
01:08:57,120 --> 01:08:59,280
Speaker 1: If you can get a seven, So I would agree

1405
01:08:59,280 --> 01:09:01,519
Speaker 1: with you after everyone saw what Richardson did after a

1406
01:09:01,560 --> 01:09:05,519
Speaker 1: big win over over Utah last week. But I'm not

1407
01:09:06,560 --> 01:09:08,960
Speaker 1: I'm not hot. I have some concerns for Kentucky early

1408
01:09:09,040 --> 01:09:12,439
Speaker 1: on in that season. Okay, You're kind of making me

1409
01:09:12,439 --> 01:09:14,200
Speaker 1: pause a little bit because I just don't know that

1410
01:09:14,240 --> 01:09:17,400
Speaker 1: much about Kentucky. I just saw the program, the value,

1411
01:09:17,520 --> 01:09:19,680
Speaker 1: and I think the over hype on floor a little bit,

1412
01:09:19,760 --> 01:09:22,000
Speaker 1: even though they'll probably be you know, this kid who

1413
01:09:22,000 --> 01:09:23,880
Speaker 1: knows I mean, maybe he takes this, you know, season

1414
01:09:23,880 --> 01:09:29,560
Speaker 1: by Storm wins Heisman, they win ten eleven games. Yeah,

1415
01:09:29,720 --> 01:09:31,880
Speaker 1: well you've taught me. Well, So let's transition to the

1416
01:09:31,960 --> 01:09:36,959
Speaker 1: National Football League and uh, let's start in Miami. Because

1417
01:09:37,240 --> 01:09:39,400
Speaker 1: I've talked as much Ship and I'm sure a lot

1418
01:09:39,400 --> 01:09:41,679
Speaker 1: of people have as anyone on Belichick and the offensive

1419
01:09:41,720 --> 01:09:45,920
Speaker 1: coordinator situation and Matt Patricia me as insanity. But he's

1420
01:09:45,920 --> 01:09:47,920
Speaker 1: still Bill Belichick, and he still knows what he's doing,

1421
01:09:47,920 --> 01:09:53,000
Speaker 1: and he can coach any position. And while Miami definitely recently,

1422
01:09:53,040 --> 01:09:55,080
Speaker 1: but it feels like historically has always been a problem

1423
01:09:55,160 --> 01:09:59,040
Speaker 1: for the Patriots. Um New England went down there on Tuesday,

1424
01:09:59,360 --> 01:10:03,280
Speaker 1: and Mike McDaniel has never called plays never. I mean,

1425
01:10:03,439 --> 01:10:06,840
Speaker 1: he has been a huge influence on Kyle Shanahan, but

1426
01:10:06,880 --> 01:10:08,760
Speaker 1: he was never the play caller, and really he was

1427
01:10:08,800 --> 01:10:11,320
Speaker 1: the run game coordinator. So now he's charged. If you

1428
01:10:11,320 --> 01:10:13,240
Speaker 1: talk to people the forty Niners like Deebo and Kyle

1429
01:10:13,320 --> 01:10:15,439
Speaker 1: hues Check, like the the guys getting the ball in

1430
01:10:15,439 --> 01:10:17,400
Speaker 1: their hands. They loved him, but it wasn't like Jimmy

1431
01:10:17,400 --> 01:10:19,639
Speaker 1: Garoppolo was working with him on a daily basis. Now

1432
01:10:19,680 --> 01:10:21,640
Speaker 1: he has to take care of toa who I'm not

1433
01:10:21,680 --> 01:10:24,640
Speaker 1: a big fan of. So from a value standpoint, I

1434
01:10:24,720 --> 01:10:27,200
Speaker 1: mean it it feels like New England, even though I'm

1435
01:10:27,200 --> 01:10:30,679
Speaker 1: not a big Patriot believer this season. But Week one

1436
01:10:31,160 --> 01:10:34,000
Speaker 1: is the play getting three and a half points at Miami.

1437
01:10:34,040 --> 01:10:35,920
Speaker 1: How about you? Yeah, I would lean that way. I

1438
01:10:35,920 --> 01:10:38,040
Speaker 1: think it's Patriots or nothing I actually like and you

1439
01:10:38,080 --> 01:10:39,920
Speaker 1: have to be concerned about the play calling them both.

1440
01:10:40,400 --> 01:10:43,760
Speaker 1: But I actually would look at this over over. I mean,

1441
01:10:43,760 --> 01:10:46,400
Speaker 1: it went from number it's not forty six. I still

1442
01:10:46,400 --> 01:10:48,960
Speaker 1: like it at forty six, but I think that both

1443
01:10:48,960 --> 01:10:51,519
Speaker 1: of these defenses should take a step back this year,

1444
01:10:51,640 --> 01:10:54,840
Speaker 1: especially early on for the Dolphins losing Brian Flores. We'll

1445
01:10:54,840 --> 01:10:57,479
Speaker 1: see what that does. The defense. But Byron Jones, they're

1446
01:10:57,479 --> 01:11:00,519
Speaker 1: starting corners out. They were going to count this kid,

1447
01:11:00,520 --> 01:11:03,120
Speaker 1: True Williams year two, he's out for the year. You're

1448
01:11:03,120 --> 01:11:06,320
Speaker 1: gonna throw Nick need Um in there, who's also hurt Um,

1449
01:11:07,960 --> 01:11:11,880
Speaker 1: who's struggled in the past. Like their corner situation is rough.

1450
01:11:11,960 --> 01:11:14,120
Speaker 1: And if you look, the Dolphins defense and their offense

1451
01:11:14,120 --> 01:11:16,200
Speaker 1: should take a step forward. We'll see on the play

1452
01:11:16,200 --> 01:11:18,680
Speaker 1: calling on both sides with the Patriots and Dolphins, but

1453
01:11:18,800 --> 01:11:20,200
Speaker 1: getting they have a lot of guys, you just get

1454
01:11:20,240 --> 01:11:22,880
Speaker 1: the ball in space, which should work with TWA and

1455
01:11:23,320 --> 01:11:27,719
Speaker 1: this McDaniel offense in theory. And the Patriots also lost

1456
01:11:27,760 --> 01:11:29,800
Speaker 1: their best corner and some pieces up front, so I

1457
01:11:29,800 --> 01:11:32,200
Speaker 1: think their defense might take a step back, and it's reasonable.

1458
01:11:32,240 --> 01:11:34,400
Speaker 1: I think that Mac Jones will take a step forward

1459
01:11:34,400 --> 01:11:36,879
Speaker 1: after what we saw in year one. But this Dolphins

1460
01:11:36,920 --> 01:11:39,360
Speaker 1: defense I think is just overrated in the market. If

1461
01:11:39,360 --> 01:11:40,920
Speaker 1: you look last year, here are they're wins. They won

1462
01:11:41,040 --> 01:11:43,479
Speaker 1: nine games. Here the quarterbacks they beat I in book,

1463
01:11:44,080 --> 01:11:49,800
Speaker 1: Mike Lennan, Tyrod Taylor, Joe Flacco, Cam Newton, They beat

1464
01:11:49,880 --> 01:11:53,639
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson on a Thursday short rest game. Brilliant defensive

1465
01:11:53,680 --> 01:11:56,400
Speaker 1: game plan. Mac Jones and his rookie debut, and then

1466
01:11:56,400 --> 01:11:58,599
Speaker 1: mac Jones and the finale when the Patriots weren't playing

1467
01:11:58,600 --> 01:12:01,120
Speaker 1: for anything, wants to builds one. That's so they weren't

1468
01:12:01,120 --> 01:12:04,200
Speaker 1: exactly being Aaron Rodgers beat third string quarterback. And then

1469
01:12:04,240 --> 01:12:07,680
Speaker 1: in their eight losses, they gave up an average of

1470
01:12:07,720 --> 01:12:11,000
Speaker 1: thirty one points per game, gave up at least twenty

1471
01:12:11,000 --> 01:12:13,240
Speaker 1: three and all eight games thirty and five of those

1472
01:12:13,280 --> 01:12:16,400
Speaker 1: eight and that includes the Falcons the Jaguars. So this

1473
01:12:16,520 --> 01:12:19,760
Speaker 1: defense when they were facing a starting quarterback was not good.

1474
01:12:19,760 --> 01:12:22,160
Speaker 1: Now you don't have your starting corner in there, um,

1475
01:12:22,240 --> 01:12:24,200
Speaker 1: and I think the Patriots defense could take a step back.

1476
01:12:24,200 --> 01:12:25,759
Speaker 1: So I think there's actually a little bit of value

1477
01:12:26,000 --> 01:12:27,719
Speaker 1: in this over. But I agree now that you're getting

1478
01:12:27,720 --> 01:12:29,280
Speaker 1: the hook with the Patriots, that's the only way you

1479
01:12:29,320 --> 01:12:32,600
Speaker 1: can look there. Okay, the reigning number one seed in

1480
01:12:32,640 --> 01:12:34,160
Speaker 1: the a f C, the Titans, who I think most

1481
01:12:34,200 --> 01:12:36,200
Speaker 1: people think we're gonna take a step back playing the

1482
01:12:36,200 --> 01:12:39,719
Speaker 1: Giant and the Giants, who I would say universally everyone

1483
01:12:39,760 --> 01:12:43,519
Speaker 1: would kind of agree they suck. I know you you're

1484
01:12:43,600 --> 01:12:46,840
Speaker 1: leaning away on this game, fire, Yeah, I like the

1485
01:12:46,880 --> 01:12:51,360
Speaker 1: Giants a lot. Here Um, it's scary, But look, the

1486
01:12:51,880 --> 01:12:54,080
Speaker 1: I think the Giants will be better. Their offens line

1487
01:12:54,080 --> 01:12:56,960
Speaker 1: should be better, right, their tackle situation is better even

1488
01:12:56,960 --> 01:12:58,639
Speaker 1: tho if you got Ben breed Us in there starting

1489
01:12:58,640 --> 01:13:00,960
Speaker 1: at left card. They didn't have to defensive line injuries

1490
01:13:01,560 --> 01:13:03,759
Speaker 1: in the preseason, but last year they were. Their offense

1491
01:13:03,840 --> 01:13:05,760
Speaker 1: was just crushed by injuries. But the most important thing

1492
01:13:05,840 --> 01:13:08,760
Speaker 1: is they have competent coaching now on the sidelines. So

1493
01:13:08,960 --> 01:13:12,000
Speaker 1: from a play calling perspective, from a fourth down decision

1494
01:13:12,040 --> 01:13:14,640
Speaker 1: making perspective, and just from a hey, we're not going

1495
01:13:14,680 --> 01:13:16,960
Speaker 1: to quarterback sneak the ball on third and eight or

1496
01:13:17,000 --> 01:13:21,519
Speaker 1: whatever they did last year. Um, so they I think

1497
01:13:21,640 --> 01:13:24,080
Speaker 1: from that standpoint, they're gonna be a lot better. They'll

1498
01:13:24,120 --> 01:13:26,040
Speaker 1: look like more of a competent football team from a

1499
01:13:26,080 --> 01:13:28,720
Speaker 1: decision making standpoint, should have some tables, should have some

1500
01:13:28,760 --> 01:13:32,040
Speaker 1: new looks, uh for Daniel Jones as well that Tennessee

1501
01:13:32,200 --> 01:13:34,120
Speaker 1: hasn't seen. I'm sure they're going to use them more

1502
01:13:34,160 --> 01:13:36,120
Speaker 1: on RPO, but just a lot more early down passing.

1503
01:13:36,479 --> 01:13:38,360
Speaker 1: And I think with WENK Martindale now coming in his

1504
01:13:38,439 --> 01:13:41,680
Speaker 1: defensive coordinator, he's gonna blitz a lot. They need that.

1505
01:13:41,760 --> 01:13:44,479
Speaker 1: They need to create pressure and this is a Tennessee

1506
01:13:44,520 --> 01:13:46,840
Speaker 1: team I think's gonna take an enormous step back. I mean,

1507
01:13:46,920 --> 01:13:50,320
Speaker 1: you're you're trying to replace a J. Brown with you

1508
01:13:50,320 --> 01:13:51,960
Speaker 1: need a rookie to step up who hasn't looked good

1509
01:13:51,960 --> 01:13:55,160
Speaker 1: in camp and trail On Burke's. The offensive line has questions.

1510
01:13:55,560 --> 01:13:58,559
Speaker 1: The defense now lost their sack leader for the year

1511
01:13:58,640 --> 01:14:01,439
Speaker 1: and Howard l injury for the year. And I don't

1512
01:14:01,479 --> 01:14:04,080
Speaker 1: think you know when you look at the Giants primary weaknesses,

1513
01:14:04,240 --> 01:14:07,519
Speaker 1: it's the offensive line still. But the receivers look like

1514
01:14:07,560 --> 01:14:11,559
Speaker 1: they might be healthy. But Tennessee not gonna kill you

1515
01:14:11,640 --> 01:14:14,519
Speaker 1: with pressure, and they just lost Landry and the giants

1516
01:14:14,560 --> 01:14:19,400
Speaker 1: second corner situation is really bad and that's gonna hurt

1517
01:14:19,439 --> 01:14:21,720
Speaker 1: them a lot this year that they haven't gone and

1518
01:14:21,760 --> 01:14:24,439
Speaker 1: Aaron Robinson I think is they're projected to starting number two.

1519
01:14:24,920 --> 01:14:27,519
Speaker 1: The Tennessee receivers, if you look at them, there's one

1520
01:14:27,520 --> 01:14:29,720
Speaker 1: team you want to play with some questions at secondary,

1521
01:14:30,120 --> 01:14:33,080
Speaker 1: it's this Tennessee offense. So I think the Giants and

1522
01:14:33,560 --> 01:14:35,680
Speaker 1: catching five and a half six in an NFL game

1523
01:14:35,680 --> 01:14:37,760
Speaker 1: with a really low total historically has been a very

1524
01:14:37,760 --> 01:14:40,200
Speaker 1: good bet. Points will be at a premium in this game,

1525
01:14:40,720 --> 01:14:42,840
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, for whatever it's worth. You don't bet him

1526
01:14:42,840 --> 01:14:45,000
Speaker 1: at home, you bet him on the road. This is

1527
01:14:45,000 --> 01:14:47,320
Speaker 1: a pretty pretty wild stat. He's eleven and four against

1528
01:14:47,360 --> 01:14:51,439
Speaker 1: the spread on the road. He's when he has under

1529
01:14:51,760 --> 01:14:54,160
Speaker 1: as an underdog of seven and a half points are fewer.

1530
01:14:54,840 --> 01:14:56,719
Speaker 1: On the road, He's nine and oh against the spread.

1531
01:14:56,920 --> 01:14:59,960
Speaker 1: He will he will keep. He's not gonna value. He's

1532
01:15:00,360 --> 01:15:01,840
Speaker 1: might not have be started by the end of the year,

1533
01:15:01,840 --> 01:15:03,840
Speaker 1: but he Uh, this giant team has been fights to

1534
01:15:03,880 --> 01:15:06,160
Speaker 1: you on the road, even with poor coaching. So yeah,

1535
01:15:06,200 --> 01:15:07,840
Speaker 1: I think that sends up being the field goal game.

1536
01:15:09,040 --> 01:15:12,000
Speaker 1: My only question on that one, uh, because I'm with

1537
01:15:12,040 --> 01:15:13,800
Speaker 1: you on the Titans taking a little step like this

1538
01:15:13,880 --> 01:15:17,040
Speaker 1: might be a transition year for him. Is that Did

1539
01:15:17,160 --> 01:15:18,840
Speaker 1: you see Brian Dabel say he's not even gonna call

1540
01:15:18,920 --> 01:15:21,120
Speaker 1: place like I hate it when he got hired to

1541
01:15:21,160 --> 01:15:23,760
Speaker 1: call plays now he's not calling place now like his

1542
01:15:23,840 --> 01:15:26,519
Speaker 1: influence on the offense, not like he's just like twiddling

1543
01:15:26,560 --> 01:15:29,040
Speaker 1: his thumbs. I mean, he's gonna be a huge play designer.

1544
01:15:30,240 --> 01:15:33,559
Speaker 1: But you say one thing. For I almost called him

1545
01:15:33,600 --> 01:15:37,040
Speaker 1: New England. But Tennessee and Vrabel, I mean their GM

1546
01:15:37,120 --> 01:15:40,080
Speaker 1: is a New England guy is they do have cohesion

1547
01:15:40,160 --> 01:15:42,360
Speaker 1: on the coaching staff, and Rabel's proven to be pretty

1548
01:15:42,439 --> 01:15:45,640
Speaker 1: damn good. And I think, you know, every time you

1549
01:15:45,720 --> 01:15:47,840
Speaker 1: kind of want to discount them, and I know I have,

1550
01:15:48,920 --> 01:15:50,519
Speaker 1: you know, I think we all agree they're not gonna

1551
01:15:50,520 --> 01:15:52,360
Speaker 1: be the one seed. It's like they're they're kind of

1552
01:15:52,400 --> 01:15:54,519
Speaker 1: better than you think. They're just kind of been one

1553
01:15:54,560 --> 01:15:57,800
Speaker 1: of those operations. Was one of the most underrated coach

1554
01:15:57,800 --> 01:16:00,640
Speaker 1: the NFL. They consistently reformed. They only team in the

1555
01:16:00,720 --> 01:16:03,719
Speaker 1: NFL that has gone over the wind total in five

1556
01:16:03,840 --> 01:16:07,800
Speaker 1: straight years, and they've been but they're like you like

1557
01:16:07,880 --> 01:16:10,320
Speaker 1: him under, you like him under this year, him under

1558
01:16:10,360 --> 01:16:14,080
Speaker 1: this year and under nine and a half. But historically

1559
01:16:14,080 --> 01:16:17,160
Speaker 1: even verybel very good as an underdog, very very strong

1560
01:16:17,240 --> 01:16:20,200
Speaker 1: as a favorite, not that strong. This is when this

1561
01:16:20,240 --> 01:16:23,200
Speaker 1: is when you fade the Titans, you generally is a favorite. Um,

1562
01:16:23,240 --> 01:16:25,040
Speaker 1: I think that sends up being a close game, scary,

1563
01:16:25,160 --> 01:16:28,800
Speaker 1: but welcome to NFL betting. Well. I think I think

1564
01:16:28,800 --> 01:16:31,160
Speaker 1: we're in agreement on this last one, because this is

1565
01:16:31,200 --> 01:16:33,840
Speaker 1: a number that just leaped out to me. I think

1566
01:16:33,840 --> 01:16:36,720
Speaker 1: the Houston Texans, I don't think by any means they're

1567
01:16:36,720 --> 01:16:39,599
Speaker 1: probably a playoff team, but I would imagine they are

1568
01:16:39,680 --> 01:16:43,000
Speaker 1: much improved and they're gonna be pretty feisty. And feisty

1569
01:16:43,120 --> 01:16:46,400
Speaker 1: might mean six seven wins, but seven seven and a

1570
01:16:46,439 --> 01:16:49,479
Speaker 1: half points depending on what it goes off at on Sunday.

1571
01:16:49,520 --> 01:16:52,200
Speaker 1: To me, feels like the bet of the weekend at

1572
01:16:52,240 --> 01:16:55,559
Speaker 1: home against Indie. I've been thinking a lot about this, stucky.

1573
01:16:55,640 --> 01:16:58,280
Speaker 1: Are we sure Frank Reich is a good coach? You know,

1574
01:16:58,320 --> 01:17:00,519
Speaker 1: he gets a lot of hype, you know, because he's

1575
01:17:00,520 --> 01:17:02,000
Speaker 1: been a part of the Super Bowl team as an

1576
01:17:02,000 --> 01:17:05,320
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator Indie last year. I mean, that was pretty embarrassing.

1577
01:17:05,320 --> 01:17:07,559
Speaker 1: It seems like a great guy, so everyone roots for him,

1578
01:17:07,600 --> 01:17:10,160
Speaker 1: but like, is he I mean, we we know who

1579
01:17:10,200 --> 01:17:12,760
Speaker 1: the good offensive coaches are in the NFL, and it

1580
01:17:12,840 --> 01:17:14,760
Speaker 1: feels like he kind of gets lumped in there every

1581
01:17:14,760 --> 01:17:16,400
Speaker 1: once in a while. It's like, no, let's pump the

1582
01:17:16,439 --> 01:17:18,600
Speaker 1: brakes on that one. I'm not sure. And here's the

1583
01:17:18,640 --> 01:17:20,559
Speaker 1: other thing on Matt and Ryan was the last time

1584
01:17:20,560 --> 01:17:22,360
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan played in a big game? I mean, it

1585
01:17:22,400 --> 01:17:24,559
Speaker 1: sure feels like it's been a while now. I'm not

1586
01:17:24,560 --> 01:17:26,640
Speaker 1: saying this is necessarily quote unquote a big game, but

1587
01:17:26,640 --> 01:17:28,920
Speaker 1: there's a big season for the Colts. And it's like,

1588
01:17:29,080 --> 01:17:31,479
Speaker 1: are we sure Matt Ryan's good? Because one thing when

1589
01:17:31,479 --> 01:17:34,000
Speaker 1: they got Philip Rivers, like his team had been really

1590
01:17:34,040 --> 01:17:36,400
Speaker 1: close to the playoffs and been they had fallen shore.

1591
01:17:36,520 --> 01:17:38,640
Speaker 1: But like Rivers have been playing in big games, like

1592
01:17:38,920 --> 01:17:41,920
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan just there, the Falcons have been terrible. So

1593
01:17:42,240 --> 01:17:44,519
Speaker 1: now that you get all these hype, like, oh, Matt

1594
01:17:44,600 --> 01:17:47,360
Speaker 1: Ryan's back, Matt Ryan's back, like, we'll see. I'm not

1595
01:17:47,439 --> 01:17:51,519
Speaker 1: necessarily a believer, but I'm not saying the Colts are

1596
01:17:51,520 --> 01:17:54,360
Speaker 1: gonna stink. But I I don't know. I mean, I'm

1597
01:17:54,400 --> 01:17:56,000
Speaker 1: picking him to win the division, but I don't feel

1598
01:17:56,040 --> 01:17:58,559
Speaker 1: great about it. Part of it is just the division stinks,

1599
01:17:59,080 --> 01:18:02,559
Speaker 1: but I I think we're an agreement here Houston plus

1600
01:18:02,600 --> 01:18:04,519
Speaker 1: seven and a half. But fire some numbers that make

1601
01:18:04,600 --> 01:18:07,280
Speaker 1: me feel good about it. Yeah, the I mean home

1602
01:18:07,479 --> 01:18:11,680
Speaker 1: home division dogs in Week one. Historically, especially teams that

1603
01:18:11,720 --> 01:18:14,120
Speaker 1: people think are gonna be bad, this is usually a

1604
01:18:14,120 --> 01:18:16,160
Speaker 1: great wasn't that the Jags and the Colts two years

1605
01:18:16,160 --> 01:18:18,639
Speaker 1: ago when they beat Philip Ridge. Yeah, I mean, look

1606
01:18:18,840 --> 01:18:20,679
Speaker 1: and and the Colts for whatever reason, I starts slow.

1607
01:18:20,720 --> 01:18:22,600
Speaker 1: Every year they're oh and four and Week one and

1608
01:18:22,640 --> 01:18:24,400
Speaker 1: they've been favored in some of them their own oh

1609
01:18:24,439 --> 01:18:26,200
Speaker 1: three and one against the spread, they'll start oh and

1610
01:18:26,240 --> 01:18:30,120
Speaker 1: two oh and three. Divisional home dogs of more than

1611
01:18:30,160 --> 01:18:34,479
Speaker 1: seven are ten and two against the spread since two

1612
01:18:34,520 --> 01:18:37,040
Speaker 1: thousand three, covering by six points per game. Seven of

1613
01:18:37,080 --> 01:18:39,280
Speaker 1: the twelve have one. It's rare to see, but their

1614
01:18:39,280 --> 01:18:41,599
Speaker 1: ten and two against spread divisional home dogs in Week

1615
01:18:41,680 --> 01:18:45,800
Speaker 1: one overall since two thousand nine nineteen and five against

1616
01:18:45,800 --> 01:18:51,200
Speaker 1: the spread just under they have one fifteen of those

1617
01:18:51,400 --> 01:18:55,120
Speaker 1: twenty four games, and just divisional dogs in Week one

1618
01:18:55,160 --> 01:18:59,080
Speaker 1: home a road six over the past twenty five years.

1619
01:18:59,360 --> 01:19:01,040
Speaker 1: This is when you at them. You're obviously had a

1620
01:19:01,080 --> 01:19:04,800
Speaker 1: key number two of seven. The Cults receivers are not

1621
01:19:04,920 --> 01:19:07,840
Speaker 1: going to value, which is important against the Texans, who

1622
01:19:07,880 --> 01:19:13,639
Speaker 1: will have two rookies in that secondary contributing UM. So yeah,

1623
01:19:13,720 --> 01:19:16,799
Speaker 1: I don't think it's a terrible matchup. It's home divisional

1624
01:19:16,840 --> 01:19:19,920
Speaker 1: dog catch its seven or more UM in Week one

1625
01:19:20,000 --> 01:19:21,760
Speaker 1: is almost always a look for me. I think the

1626
01:19:21,800 --> 01:19:24,880
Speaker 1: culture getting a little bit too much love their best

1627
01:19:24,880 --> 01:19:29,680
Speaker 1: defensive player, and Leonard might now play trending towards potentially

1628
01:19:29,680 --> 01:19:33,320
Speaker 1: not which is important as well. So yeah, I think

1629
01:19:33,320 --> 01:19:37,080
Speaker 1: that the Texans keep this close and probably have a

1630
01:19:37,080 --> 01:19:39,120
Speaker 1: good shot of pulling off the upset, and then they'll

1631
01:19:39,160 --> 01:19:42,479
Speaker 1: fade into the oblivion the rest of the year. If

1632
01:19:42,520 --> 01:19:43,800
Speaker 1: you were going to go with one of those three

1633
01:19:43,840 --> 01:19:46,719
Speaker 1: games we just talked about as a money line underdog winner,

1634
01:19:47,520 --> 01:19:49,040
Speaker 1: what team would you go with? I'd probably go with

1635
01:19:49,080 --> 01:19:50,439
Speaker 1: the Giants. And then I think you also have to

1636
01:19:50,439 --> 01:19:52,280
Speaker 1: look at the one game that we didn't talk about.

1637
01:19:52,280 --> 01:19:53,720
Speaker 1: It was that that I like as the Steelers. I'm

1638
01:19:53,720 --> 01:19:56,519
Speaker 1: waiting to see if the seven pops, but the six

1639
01:19:56,560 --> 01:19:58,839
Speaker 1: and a half, I still like, you want some trends

1640
01:19:58,840 --> 01:20:00,519
Speaker 1: for a play. I mean, for of a reason, I

1641
01:20:00,520 --> 01:20:02,080
Speaker 1: don't really put any stock in this. But the Super

1642
01:20:02,080 --> 01:20:04,080
Speaker 1: Bowl loser, like the Super Bowl winner, is always good

1643
01:20:04,120 --> 01:20:07,080
Speaker 1: in Week one. Uh, the Super Bowl losers four and

1644
01:20:07,120 --> 01:20:10,599
Speaker 1: eighteen against the spread since two thousand in their season opener.

1645
01:20:10,880 --> 01:20:14,400
Speaker 1: But the Steelers are an underdog and and look and

1646
01:20:14,400 --> 01:20:16,960
Speaker 1: this is a divisional dog by the way, um in

1647
01:20:17,040 --> 01:20:19,479
Speaker 1: week one fits that profile as well. But the Steelers

1648
01:20:19,520 --> 01:20:23,240
Speaker 1: are forty seven six and three as an underdog under Tomlin.

1649
01:20:23,280 --> 01:20:25,679
Speaker 1: That is the best by far. That's sixty four point

1650
01:20:25,680 --> 01:20:29,320
Speaker 1: four percent and in the division against ANFC North teams.

1651
01:20:29,360 --> 01:20:35,040
Speaker 1: Tomlin nineteen six and two against the spread seventy. Tomlin

1652
01:20:35,240 --> 01:20:38,160
Speaker 1: is not the best XS and OSE guy. What he

1653
01:20:38,280 --> 01:20:41,439
Speaker 1: is is probably the best motivator. Let's I'm gonna get you.

1654
01:20:41,760 --> 01:20:43,600
Speaker 1: He's in the in the locker room. We're playing the

1655
01:20:43,640 --> 01:20:47,080
Speaker 1: a f C champion that that beat the ship out

1656
01:20:47,080 --> 01:20:50,280
Speaker 1: of us twice last year. Week one, we're gonna go

1657
01:20:50,280 --> 01:20:52,080
Speaker 1: out in the road and like, look, I like what

1658
01:20:52,080 --> 01:20:54,559
Speaker 1: the Bengals did in the off season, Excuse me, love

1659
01:20:54,600 --> 01:20:56,719
Speaker 1: what the Bengals in the off season, upgrading their offensive line,

1660
01:20:57,400 --> 01:20:59,559
Speaker 1: and I think that will pay off towards the other here.

1661
01:20:59,560 --> 01:21:01,800
Speaker 1: But there's four two guys up there Week one, not

1662
01:21:01,840 --> 01:21:05,000
Speaker 1: a lot of continuity going against a ferocious defensive front

1663
01:21:05,320 --> 01:21:07,559
Speaker 1: that could give them some problems. You could see, I mean,

1664
01:21:07,560 --> 01:21:10,080
Speaker 1: it's a very confusing front. Could see some blown assignments here.

1665
01:21:10,600 --> 01:21:13,800
Speaker 1: And look the I'm not a fan of Mr Bisky

1666
01:21:14,080 --> 01:21:17,559
Speaker 1: at all, um, but he has legs and that the

1667
01:21:17,640 --> 01:21:20,320
Speaker 1: Sears offensive line is bad, so that aspect of Trabinsky

1668
01:21:20,520 --> 01:21:22,960
Speaker 1: will help this offense. You also have some new looks

1669
01:21:22,960 --> 01:21:25,360
Speaker 1: with this offense that you just didn't have last year

1670
01:21:25,360 --> 01:21:27,599
Speaker 1: with a quarterback who was a statue in Roethlisberger who

1671
01:21:27,640 --> 01:21:29,280
Speaker 1: couldn't move. Stand there and couldn't move. So you have

1672
01:21:29,320 --> 01:21:32,439
Speaker 1: some new looks here. Low scoring game like total is

1673
01:21:32,960 --> 01:21:36,360
Speaker 1: low forties, catching over six, wait to see. I'm gonna

1674
01:21:36,360 --> 01:21:38,559
Speaker 1: see if I can get a seven. But yeah, tom

1675
01:21:38,560 --> 01:21:42,400
Speaker 1: On is a dog in the division at just almost

1676
01:21:42,439 --> 01:21:45,439
Speaker 1: an auto bet. God stucky you fired me up on

1677
01:21:45,479 --> 01:21:49,080
Speaker 1: all these underdogs. UM enjoy the weekend, have have a

1678
01:21:49,080 --> 01:21:52,160
Speaker 1: safe flight back and let's uh, let's make some freaking money.

1679
01:21:52,240 --> 01:22:08,320
Speaker 1: So good luck this week on our own m g S.

1680
01:22:16,000 --> 01:22:16,679
Speaker 1: The volume