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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. So it's V Joey Fey Joe Pi Zipia

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Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead

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Speaker 1: to Thursday Night Football with my good bal Scott Bogwin,

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Speaker 1: the man around Town for the College Football podcast year

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Speaker 1: over on VP and the host of the Dynasty Show

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Speaker 1: over on Fantasy Pros, and Bog's strong Thursday Night last

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Speaker 1: week for us Man, I got my under, I got

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Speaker 1: my breist Hall touchdown combination. But the Breiln Allen emergence,

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Speaker 1: that's something that I did not have on my bingo card.

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Speaker 1: That's getting real interesting, especially this week. But we're not

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Speaker 1: talking about that game. That game is in the past.

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Speaker 1: It's time for the Cowboys and the Giants to lock

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Speaker 1: up in division game Thursday night. I saw this as

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Speaker 1: the first time, maybe I think it was ever that

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys have played a road game in three days rest.

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Speaker 1: You know, they're always used to doing the Thanksgiving one,

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Speaker 1: and I guess all the other ones have been home games.

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Speaker 1: So that's kind of interesting a little stat I don't

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Speaker 1: know if it matters, but what I know is this

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys backs are up against the wall short week

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Speaker 1: is the best thing they could do to forget what

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Speaker 1: happened to them on Sunday, and the Giants right now

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Speaker 1: playing with house money. So let's break this game down

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Speaker 1: for everybody here. Before we do, just a reminder make

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Speaker 1: sure that you download the Betting Pros app and of

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Speaker 1: course don't forget to sink all your sports books for

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Speaker 1: free and use the tools at Betting Pros. That's what

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Speaker 1: we're here to do. And Boggs, when we look at

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Speaker 1: the Thursday night football game, it's pretty clear who the

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Speaker 1: favorite is. Dallas four and a half on the road,

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Speaker 1: minus one ten on DK. It's the best line you

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Speaker 1: get in right now. As a recording, the Giants are

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Speaker 1: plus five in most markets. That's about the average. Now.

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Speaker 1: Forty three and a half to forty four and a

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Speaker 1: half is the number you're seeing. And then if you

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Speaker 1: like the Giants to win out on the money line

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Speaker 1: plus one eighty five now, Boggs, sometimes I like to

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Speaker 1: keep things simple, and I'm going back to the simple,

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Speaker 1: just like last week. I just feel like it's time

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Speaker 1: for the Cowboys to put a butt kicking on somebody,

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Speaker 1: and I think the Giants are coming up at the

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Speaker 1: perfect time. What do you think.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if this was a college game, you'd

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Speaker 2: say this is a total letdown spot for the Giants

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Speaker 2: right after their big win last week. So yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 2: I think in this game, Dak is twelve and two

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Speaker 2: in his career against the Giants. They've been fairly miserable

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Speaker 2: over the last couple of years since Brian Dable took over.

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Speaker 2: The games have been Week two twenty twenty two, twenty

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Speaker 2: three to sixteen Dallas, Week twelve in twenty twenty two,

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Speaker 2: twenty eight to twenty Dallas, Week one last year forty

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Speaker 2: zip Dallas, Week ten last year forty nine to seventeen Dallas.

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Speaker 2: So you know, Dallas has the better record against this team.

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Speaker 1: Clearly in here. I think we've established that.

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Speaker 2: Recently and even against Brian Dable, right, So yeah, it's

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Speaker 2: hard to pick against the Cowboys in this game. It's

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Speaker 2: a decent amount of points for a road team, especially

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Speaker 2: a road team that hasn't looked good in the Cowboys.

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Speaker 2: But I just do know trust what I've seen from

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Speaker 2: the Giants, specifically on offense, because right now, if you

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Speaker 2: take away Molak neighbors, which there's not many teams that

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Speaker 2: can do that. But I do think the Cowboys are

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Speaker 2: a possibility here bracket and double them, triple and whatever

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Speaker 2: you gotta do. Where else are they going? They don't

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Speaker 2: have a lot of other weapons. I guess Wandall Robinson.

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Speaker 2: Maybe we'll see a lot of targets in this game,

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Speaker 2: but you're gonna have to run. And you know, I

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Speaker 2: love Devin Singletary. I don't know that he's Dereck Henry though,

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Speaker 2: so no, he's not the It's the Cowboys for me,

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Speaker 2: fairly easy. I'll also take the under, but I will

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Speaker 2: also caveat I hate betting straight bets on Thursday night

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Speaker 2: football because it's always crazy. Then we've had we had

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Speaker 2: the Week one where you have you come into that

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Speaker 2: game fresh and those teams both look good, and then

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Speaker 2: we've had Week two and Week three where somebody looks

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Speaker 2: miserable and time and possession is lopsided and the games

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Speaker 2: are bad. So I kind of expect this one to

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Speaker 2: get like that as well. If I'm picking a side

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Speaker 2: for it to be lopsided on, it's on the Cowboys side.

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Speaker 1: I think you have a nail on the head, which

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Speaker 1: is don't let moak Neighbors beat you. I just talked

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Speaker 1: about on the FP stream. I said, look, here're the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: You keep this one real simple. You make Daniel Jones

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Speaker 1: and the rest of that collection beat You take Molik

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Speaker 1: Neighbors out of this game. Gem at the line, double them,

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Speaker 1: triple and bracketm. Do whatever you gotta do to take

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Speaker 1: Molik Neighbors out. And then I don't know if Wandell

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Speaker 1: Robinson and Devin Singletary can beat you. I just don't

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Speaker 1: know that. And I think you saw some signs of

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Speaker 1: life late out of the Cowboys, which was good last week,

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Speaker 1: even though they were you know, the game wasn't necessarily close.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't call it that, even though at the end

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Speaker 1: the score got close. It was one side they needed

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Speaker 1: to get out of Dallas. They needed to get on

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Speaker 1: the road. The short week I think is the best

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Speaker 1: medicine right now for this team to just not think

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Speaker 1: about it, just go out there and play football, and

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Speaker 1: I think they will. It is a big number for

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Speaker 1: a team on the road, especially in an in division game.

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Speaker 1: But I like the Cowboys too. I'm staying away from

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Speaker 1: the over under. I'm just going straight to the four

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Speaker 1: and a half on the Cowboys give me there. I

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Speaker 1: think they win by a touchdown in this one. I

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Speaker 1: think the I'm gonna keep it simple, so before we

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Speaker 1: get to Bogman's favorite props for Thursday Night football too,

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Speaker 1: remember you can make your picks count if you join

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Speaker 1: our NFL podcast group. Users can join the group by

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Speaker 1: visiting the community tab in the Betting Pros app or

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Speaker 1: by going to the link directly at bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash NFL Contest. You sink your picks, you use the

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Speaker 1: quick pick feature on the Betting Pros app and you

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Speaker 1: get a chance to win free, weekly and even monthly prizes. Again,

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Speaker 1: you don't even have to make the bets, you just

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Speaker 1: have to make the pick. So you're saying, Joe, I

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Speaker 1: can't gamble in my state, and I said, don't worry,

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Speaker 1: it's okay. You can still play in the contest Betting

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Speaker 1: pros dot Com slash NFL Contest. Join today, have some fun,

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Speaker 1: pick some games, win some stuff thanks to us here

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros. All right, Bobs, let's start with Dak

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Speaker 1: Prescott pass attempts thirty five and a half. Where you

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Speaker 1: stand on that one?

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Speaker 2: I'm going with the under here and it's because I

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Speaker 2: just don't think that the Cowboys are gonna need to

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Speaker 2: pass the ball so much. And if this is kind

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Speaker 2: of a lopsided game, as we have alluded to here, Joe,

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Speaker 2: maybe we even see Cooper rush late. I mean, I

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Speaker 2: don't know if it'll get that bad, but we'll see

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Speaker 2: what happens. But I just don't think they're gonna have

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Speaker 2: to pass the ball. I know the running game hasn't

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Speaker 2: looked great, but I think you are gonna run. You're

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Speaker 2: gonna control the clock here late in this game, especially

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Speaker 2: if you're sitting on a lead they get up by

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Speaker 2: two touchdowns. I just you know, I don't think you

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Speaker 2: will need to pass this much for DAK. So I'll

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Speaker 2: take the under here at thirty five and a half.

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Speaker 1: All right, Next one, here is the rush yards for

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Speaker 1: DAK the numbers eight and a half. Are you over

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Speaker 1: or under that one?

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Speaker 2: Let's go over on the rush yards. I think the

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Speaker 2: Giants defensive line has been getting pressure while the Cowboys

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Speaker 2: offensive line grades below average their nineteenth and pass blocking

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Speaker 2: according to PFF so far this year. I think that

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Speaker 2: with it being Thursday, you still have Tyler Geidan over

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Speaker 2: there on the left side, a rookie for the Cowboys

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Speaker 2: against Brian Burns, who looked amazing last week. Dak is

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Speaker 2: going to have to get the ball out quick a

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Speaker 2: few times. This is such a low total. I haven't

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Speaker 2: don't hate The alt line that I saw was fifteen

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Speaker 2: and a half and that's plus two twenty to double

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Speaker 2: up your money. I don't hate that. You know, you

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Speaker 2: don't want Dak to run that much, but if he

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Speaker 2: rushes two times, he might have hit that total. So

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Speaker 2: I think eight and a half is very very doable,

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Speaker 2: and I would I wouldn't hate up to fifteen and

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Speaker 2: a half if you wanted to throw a little schedd

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Speaker 2: on that one.

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Speaker 1: All right, next up, iss ceedee lamb. His number for

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Speaker 1: yards eighty five and a half. Now is this a

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Speaker 1: combo you're betting here?

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Speaker 3: Or yeah?

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's talk about the combo here.

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Speaker 2: This is interesting, yeah, because I mean I don't really

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Speaker 2: care if he gets any rush yards at all. I

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Speaker 2: think he probably does it all receiving and the juice

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Speaker 2: is better if you do the combined number of eighty

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Speaker 2: nine and a half. I think it was seventy eight

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Speaker 2: on and it's minus one twenty. This is minus one

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Speaker 2: ten for the Combo, and Andrew Phillips has been good

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Speaker 2: as a slot corner for the Giants, but remember he's

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Speaker 2: also still a rookie and he has not faced a

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Speaker 2: lot of good receivers here. It was Elijah Moore and

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Speaker 2: Jerry Judy, who are fine, but before that McCaffrey the rookie,

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Speaker 2: and Zach Ertz, who's slow at this point in his career.

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Speaker 2: And then he only had eighteen snaps in the slot

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Speaker 2: against uh Jefferson and Addison against Minnesota in that Week

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Speaker 2: one game. So his number has been good, but he

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Speaker 2: hasn't faced Ceedee Lamb, and Ceede Lamb will get to

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Speaker 2: go against the crappy corners on the outside as well,

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Speaker 2: so I don't think he's gonna need many receptions. I

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Speaker 2: don't know about the reception you know total here. I

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Speaker 2: think it was six and a half or seven and

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Speaker 2: a half because like I said, I don't know how

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Speaker 2: much Dak is going to have to throw the ball.

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Speaker 2: But CD is gonna get opened deep, and I think

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Speaker 2: he's gonna have a couple of big hitters in this game.

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Speaker 2: And I like, I like the yard prop for him

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Speaker 2: for sure.

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Speaker 1: Well you know where I was standled. I always tend

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Speaker 1: to fade away from those reception numbers unless you're doing

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Speaker 1: with somebody that is such a clear target hog in

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Speaker 1: the office. Now, I know Ceede Lamb can be.

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Speaker 2: That, but to me, it's neighbors. It's more likely he's

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Speaker 2: had already targets in the neighbors is.

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Speaker 1: More likely if you want to go for attempts and

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Speaker 1: maybe he stay away from the yardage or receptions. I

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Speaker 1: should say say away from the yardage because the yardage

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Speaker 1: total you can get lucky. You know, you get that

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Speaker 1: one big one and you've got it. Case in point

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Speaker 1: day Night Football, right, if you watched my video here

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Speaker 1: on the shorts, right, you watched it on social media.

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Speaker 1: By the way, five out of the last six bets

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Speaker 1: on Monday Night Football last two weeks nailed. Stupid Bengals

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Speaker 1: couldn't win a football game.

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Speaker 2: That couf Benison.

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Speaker 1: Is that cough Medson making me smart?

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Speaker 2: I might have just send it to me. Tell me

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Speaker 2: what kind do you want? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, but logic with Chase, Look, it's eighty and a half.

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Speaker 1: One big play gets it. He basically had it in

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Speaker 1: the first he was already done. Heredy gotcha got the

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Speaker 1: touchdown boom. You can go to sleep. You don't even

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Speaker 1: have to watch the rest of the game. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's go to another bet on here. Sometimes we look

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Speaker 1: for some of the smaller numbers and it's an easy

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Speaker 1: way to make some money. And you found one that's

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Speaker 1: at plus money, let's talk about it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go under. THEO Johnson receptions at one

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Speaker 2: and a half. Now, he's been on the field a lot,

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Speaker 2: so this is kind of dicey, especially if the Giants

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Speaker 2: get down and they're passing. But the low total. He

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Speaker 2: only has two catches on the season, and he has

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Speaker 2: been playing the most snaps. But with Dallas having the

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Speaker 2: number one pressure rate in the NFL, the number one

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Speaker 2: quarterback knockdown rate, the number one hurry, I think that

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Speaker 2: they're going to ask the tight ends to block a

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Speaker 2: little bit more than they traditionally have, so they're probably

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Speaker 2: going to send them on fewer routes. And against Minnesota

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Speaker 2: they had the highest blitz rate and he was in

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Speaker 2: sixty four of eighty three tight ends in route percentage

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Speaker 2: THEO Johnson, so he's way at the bottom. He's playing

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Speaker 2: a lot. It's not percentages a lot, but he's way

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Speaker 2: at the bottom in terms of routes run versus all

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Speaker 2: the other tight ends in the league. So I think

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Speaker 2: him being a rookie, just being a Thursday night game,

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Speaker 2: they're probably gonna ask him to just do way more

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Speaker 2: chipping and blocking and those little tiny routes that are

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Speaker 2: underneath and like a safety valve that Daniel Jones hasn't

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Speaker 2: really been looking for recently. So I just don't see

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Speaker 2: him really catching two passes in this game. So I'll

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Speaker 2: go with the under. I will take under sometimes.

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Speaker 1: Guys on a cop. I also we also like to

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Speaker 1: take some defensive props round these parts. Whenever Scott Bogman

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Speaker 1: and I get together, their defense is always a conversation.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about Brian Burns over zero point two five

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Speaker 1: sacks and plus money. All you got to do is

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Speaker 1: get a half ear pos. This seems like a pretty

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Speaker 1: good one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, get him against the rookie in Geiton

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Speaker 2: in his first Thursday night football game. And you mentioned

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Speaker 2: even the Cowboys aren't really very well versed in traveling

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Speaker 2: on short rest, as you mentioned before, but they're thirty

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Speaker 2: five percent blitz right for the Giants is fifth in

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Speaker 2: the NFL. They're second in the league in sacks with fourteen. Now,

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Speaker 2: I mean what Deshaun Watson took like eight of them

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Speaker 2: or whatever because he won't get rid of the ball.

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Speaker 2: But the Cowboys run game hasn't been working either, so

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Speaker 2: it's plus money at one plus one twenty. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I think Brian Burns gets in there at least once.

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Speaker 2: Dexter Lawrence is a monster. This defensive line with Kaevon

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Speaker 2: Thibodeaux on there as well. This is a really really

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Speaker 2: good defensive line against kind of a weak O line

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Speaker 2: here for the Cowboys. So and another reason why I

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Speaker 2: don't really like that dack over in pass attempts is

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Speaker 2: because the O line's bad and pass rush for the

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Speaker 2: Giants is probably the best unit on the field for

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Speaker 2: them at any point in this game. So let's run

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Speaker 2: the ball into the teeth of that. Let's not hang

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Speaker 2: our highest paid quarterback in the league finally at the

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Speaker 2: last minute out to dry on a Thursday night football game.

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Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to seeing Rico Doubtill work more in

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Speaker 1: this game too. The Zeke stuff like come on, no more, Zeke.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if Rico's good either, but I know

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Speaker 2: Zeke isn't anymore.

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Speaker 1: I know Zeke's not right, so just by default, something's better.

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Speaker 1: If maybe they go out there make a move for

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Speaker 1: a running back. I don't know. You see more trades

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Speaker 1: nowadays in the NFL than ever before. Who knows, Maybe

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Speaker 1: uh Denver starts selling off pieces or somebody starts selling

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Speaker 1: off spot.

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Speaker 2: Who knows was this one Denver?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I maybe Zach Mall also be available, but who knows.

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Speaker 2: You hate to see since he lose, don't you? And

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Speaker 2: I hate to see it.

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Speaker 1: I get here that you know what Eden Grin is?

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Speaker 1: The three and oh Stealers fan just loving life? How

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Speaker 1: happy are you with Justin Field? Tell the truth right now?

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Speaker 2: Come on, I'm so much happier than Russell Wilson. I

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Speaker 2: was so I was so unhappy when they signed Russell Wilson.

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Speaker 2: I was like, this guy cannot pass the ball downfield

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Speaker 2: at all anymore. He's done, he's cooked, he's washed. So

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Speaker 2: hopefully he'll be throwing passes to Tyreek in Miami in

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Speaker 2: a couple of weeks. We get a draft pickback for him.

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Speaker 1: Or sore you go, don't.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with him. The medical

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Speaker 2: stuff is weird, and everyone's like, well, why won't Tomlin

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Speaker 2: name justin Field to starter.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't have to.

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Speaker 2: So once Russell comes out and says I'm healthy, I

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Speaker 2: don't know what's going on, then Tomal will be like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: you're not the starter anymore, you're on the bench. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: well undefeated, But anyway, why would we change if it

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Speaker 2: ain't broke? Don't fix it, right, that's the whole.

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Speaker 1: Real I guess the Bengals a lot to fix. And

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Speaker 1: then all right, if you want to compete for eleven

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Speaker 1: two d and fifty dollars in grand prizes and cash,

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Speaker 1: All right, so after the same game parlay of the

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Speaker 1: Day for Thursday Night Football nailed this one last week.

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Speaker 1: Gotta stay true, gotta stay with what I know, and

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Speaker 1: I think this is a big CD LAMB game. I'm

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Speaker 1: where Bogs is at, So give me the over on

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Speaker 1: the seventy eight and a half receiving yards for CD

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Speaker 1: LAMB and give me the anytime touchdown score. You put

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Speaker 1: those two things together that I think are very likely

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Speaker 1: to happen and very easy to get to. LAMB scores

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Speaker 1: gives you eighty yards Boom plus one seventy two. You're

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Speaker 1: making money. Don't add more variants, don't get cute. I

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Speaker 1: added a third thing to the Monday Night one and

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Speaker 1: that's where things went awry. Stupid Bengals. But that's okay,

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Speaker 1: that's okay. We're back here with ceedee LAMB today.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 1: If you're looking to build your own same game parlay,

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00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:45,400
Speaker 1: check out Bettingpros dot com and the Same Game Parlay

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Speaker 1: builder tool that's available. You can combine bets within a

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Speaker 1: single NFL game. Leverage insights like correlated bet recommendations, EV

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Speaker 1: ratings cover probability and more. Perfect your betting strategy by

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Speaker 1: analyzing our overall correlation grades and projections, and stay ahea

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Speaker 1: by following the latest sgps placed by fellow betters. Start

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Speaker 1: or on the Betting Pros Sports Betting app. There's only

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Speaker 1: one thing I'll have to do. Is got Bogman, and

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Speaker 1: that is call some touchdowns. I know it's crazy, and

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Speaker 1: I've been saying fade neighbors, fade neighbors, but I do

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Speaker 1: think you can get in the end zone. And at

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Speaker 1: plus one sixty five, it's my favorite number on the

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Speaker 1: board because I think there's only so long you could

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Speaker 1: do that. I don't know if you can stop him,

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Speaker 1: but I think you can contain him enough to win

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Speaker 1: this football game handily. But I do think regardless, you

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Speaker 1: just keep throwing a ball to neighbors because if you're

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Speaker 1: the Giants, you really have no other choice. And I

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Speaker 1: do think he does get another touchdown, and that's gonna

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Speaker 1: be great for fantasy managers. But I would be concerned

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Speaker 1: that the overall number for him might be disappointing, but

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Speaker 1: one sixty five is too good of a number to

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Speaker 1: pass up considering how many targets he has gotten. Bogman,

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Speaker 1: where are you going for your touchdown call today? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: You know, I mean, I just don't really like the

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Speaker 2: numbers that we have on these touchdown calls right now.

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Speaker 2: So because you can take Lamb or Singletary, I think

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Speaker 2: they're the most likely to score. But it's big minus

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Speaker 2: money Malik Neighbors. We feel like is going to be

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Speaker 2: key to in on and he's you know, plus money.

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Speaker 2: So let's take a big swing here, right, That's what

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Speaker 2: I'm saying. We know Danny Dimes is a little turnover prone,

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Speaker 2: so let's go with the Dallas Cowboys defense plus four

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Speaker 2: hundred to score a touchdown here. Now, like you know,

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Speaker 2: this isn't a bet that you do if you're you know,

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Speaker 2: hunting for the guarantee winner at all. This is a risk.

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Speaker 2: This is a clear risk. You sprinkle half a unit

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Speaker 2: or a quarter unit or whatever whatever is affordable to

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Speaker 2: get a big payday at plus four hundred. So I

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Speaker 2: think I like that one on a weird Thursday football

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Speaker 2: game because they're always weird. They always are weird. And

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Speaker 2: we saw we saw a defensive touchdown last week too.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, what do you think of the two Monday

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Speaker 1: night games.

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Speaker 2: Or two weeks ago?

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Speaker 1: I guess just that curiosity, did you join the two

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Speaker 1: Monday night games? Because I think we're gonna get more

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Speaker 1: of that.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's fine, I don't it's not my favorite,

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Speaker 2: but I like, I tell you what, I like two

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Speaker 2: Monday night games better than one Thursday night came. I'll

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Speaker 2: say that sold. I want to buy weeks. I want

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Speaker 2: Thursday Night Football's after buys. Guys are fresh, better football,

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Speaker 2: That's what I want.

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Speaker 1: That's right, better football, better ingredients, Betting Pros. There you go.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget to download the Betting Pros app. Don't forget

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00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:19,159
Speaker 1: to subscribe to our YouTube channel right now before you

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Speaker 1: leave today, drop your comments below. Ring the belt that

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Speaker 1: that goes dang. Where do you in on for Thursday

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Speaker 1: Night Football? That'll do it for us, but the story

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Speaker 1: of the game goes on for Scott Bogman. I'm Joey P.

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Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids. Enjoy Thursday night.

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Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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00:17:34,600 --> 00:17:36,920
Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

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Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros