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Speaker 1: Good Thursday morning, everybody, What's up? Welcome into an episode

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Speaker 1: a new episode of the Daly Juice Podcast for Thursday,

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Speaker 1: July the second. My name is Matt Perolt. You guys

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Speaker 1: can follow me across all of my socials at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matts, and I come to you on a day

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Speaker 1: in which I was planning on taping last night until

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Speaker 1: the Jalen Brown trade went down, and I did not

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Speaker 1: know what to do. I didn't know how to talk.

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Speaker 1: I didn't know how to think, I didn't know what

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Speaker 1: to react to. I didn't know how to bet. My

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Speaker 1: brain has been literally scrambled since the trade news came down,

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Speaker 1: and I still don't fully understand what Boston was doing.

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Speaker 1: I understand that Jalen Brown talked his way out of Boston.

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Speaker 1: I understand that Jalen Brown was overpaid. I understand that

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Speaker 1: fans maybe didn't understand and the full issue that Jalen

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Speaker 1: Brown had presented to the Boston Celtics and the opportunity

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Speaker 1: to extend him, and if they did not extend him

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Speaker 1: here in Boston in July, that he could have could

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Speaker 1: have become a major malcontent and a major problem in

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Speaker 1: that locker room. I understand all that, but the Sixers.

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Speaker 1: I mean, when you're trying to get rid of a player,

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Speaker 1: you don't trade him inside the division. You don't trade

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Speaker 1: him where you're going to see him consistently. I just

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Speaker 1: don't understand why Boston did. And I know that realistically,

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Speaker 1: there was no market for Jalen Brown. Nobody wanted him,

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Speaker 1: so Boston had to get rid of him, so they

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Speaker 1: took whatever was there. I mean, this is a player

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Speaker 1: who was a finals MVP for you. You drafted him,

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Speaker 1: you cultivated him, you raised him for ten years. So I,

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Speaker 1: as you can tell, I don't understand. I'm still very confused,

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Speaker 1: and I'm hoping there is other moves to be had here.

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Speaker 1: I'm hoping that there is a plan because Brad Steve,

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Speaker 1: who runs the Celtics, is normally a very smart guy.

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Speaker 1: I'm a huge Brad Stevens fan, and this is the

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Speaker 1: first time where I'm going, Okay, hold on a second,

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Speaker 1: did you just do a Mookie Betts type deal? Did

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Speaker 1: you just get fleeced? Did you just give away a

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Speaker 1: guy in his prime because you didn't want to pay

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Speaker 1: him and ownership told you to move him because they

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Speaker 1: did not want to pay him. So I hope all

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Speaker 1: that is dead wrong. I hope that never comes to

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Speaker 1: light that it was a salary dump only, but it

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Speaker 1: sure feels that way that this was just get the

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Speaker 1: guy gone, get the salary out of here, and I

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Speaker 1: don't care what comes back. Thirty six year old Paul George,

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Speaker 1: two first round picks. I don't care. Get the contract

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Speaker 1: off the books. The problem is Paul George's contract might

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Speaker 1: be worse than Jalen Brown's. The only difference is Paul

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Speaker 1: George's contract is only a year left with fifty six

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Speaker 1: million dollars on it, but Jalen Brown's contract is longer

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Speaker 1: than that. Plus the extension eligibility that he has in

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Speaker 1: the month of July, the whole thing is a mess.

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Speaker 1: Sixer fans, Nick fans, people who hate the Celtics. You

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Speaker 1: can take a victory lap here because no one is

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Speaker 1: hammering Boston more than Celtics fans like this is a

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Speaker 1: mutiny at the moment of the fan base. And we've

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Speaker 1: seen this before. It has worked before for teams in

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Speaker 1: New England to make very controversial trades. The Patriots were

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Speaker 1: famous for doing this. But the Malcolm Butler decision and

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl still hangs over Bill Belichick's head, and well,

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Speaker 1: Mookie Bets with the Red Sox, the team has not

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Speaker 1: been the same since they traded Mooki Bets to the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: Who has just gone and won back to back championships

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Speaker 1: with the Dodgers, and he's won three overall with the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: That is not that is not what you want to see.

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Speaker 1: If Mookie Bets goes to Philadelphia. Heck, sorry, if Jalen

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Speaker 1: Brown goes to Philadelphia. I mean, we just watched the

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Speaker 1: Knicks break their curse. Maybe it's the Sixers time to

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Speaker 1: break their curse to go come up and win a championship.

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Speaker 1: Who knows. So yesterday not a good day. We wind

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Speaker 1: up with a little step back one in three day

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Speaker 1: for US. We get the Phillies right, that series has

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Speaker 1: been very good to us. Team USA does not get

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Speaker 1: up a goal to Bosnia. Big win for Team USA.

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Speaker 1: So our six to one ticket. We're gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to hedge off that against against Belgium coming up next week,

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Speaker 1: So stick around for that. That's great. Dodgers a's ends

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Speaker 1: at eight. In the England Folks almost lost to come

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Speaker 1: back against the Congo. They won the game two to one,

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Speaker 1: but they did not win it on the goal line,

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Speaker 1: so we go one in three on the day, I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you when we're going to hedge and what number

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Speaker 1: we're going to play off this. We have a six

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Speaker 1: to one ticket. If Team USA beats Belgium, they get

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Speaker 1: to the to the quarterfinals, and so we wind up.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I might let it ride. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I got to think about it a little bit more,

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Speaker 1: look at the prices a bit more on USA Belgium.

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Speaker 1: But Belgium beat the USA five to two and a

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Speaker 1: friendly back in March, so like, I don't know, there

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Speaker 1: might be a bit of a mismatch there between players

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Speaker 1: between teams, so we may maybe do it in game.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. We'll see how we play off of

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Speaker 1: that coming up here in a second, so stay tuned

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Speaker 1: for that coming up in a little bit. The betting

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Speaker 1: systems available right now on the Betting pros app. If

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Speaker 1: you have not checked these out, this is something that

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Speaker 1: it because you can stop betting on your gut. You

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Speaker 1: can actually get data. You can create your own back

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Speaker 1: tested betting systems to see what actually wins in the

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Speaker 1: long term versus just throwing something at the wall. You

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Speaker 1: can track your own profitability, you track your own strategies.

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Speaker 1: It can give you your own data set, so you

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Speaker 1: know what you're playing when nobody else is playing it.

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Speaker 1: And frankly, that's the best way to bet any system.

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Speaker 1: Is it something you know and nobody else knows, and

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Speaker 1: you can go ahead and bet it. You get the

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Speaker 1: best prices, you get the best opportunities. So check it

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Speaker 1: out bettingpros dot com slash systems. That's bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash systems for the Betting Pros systems that are available

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Speaker 1: on the app and on bettingpros dot com slash systems. Okay,

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Speaker 1: got a couple of baseball games? Two? I want to

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Speaker 1: focus on three bets in two games. Okay. The first

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Speaker 1: game I want to talk about is Nathan Vvaldi and

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Speaker 1: the Rangers. So the Rangers are a short favorite here today,

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Speaker 1: Rangers with Nathan Nevaldi who is eight and seven on

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Speaker 1: the year, three point nine to five ERA, but they

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Speaker 1: have won four of their last five games started by

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Speaker 1: Nathan Novaldi five to four over Toronto, four to three

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Speaker 1: over San Diego, sixty four over the Red Sox, over

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Speaker 1: the last three excuse me, Nathan Nevaldi has given up

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Speaker 1: fourteen earned runs in thirty one and two thirds innings

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Speaker 1: over During the month of June, he was really good.

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Speaker 1: Team was four and one. He lost to the Royals

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Speaker 1: on the road. He went five and two thirds and

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Speaker 1: gave up four earned run to that game, So he

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Speaker 1: wasn't good in that game. But Nathan Nevaldi when he's

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Speaker 1: pitching the Rangers ten to come up and get ws

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Speaker 1: down the Rangers against the Tigers. The Tigers are fifteen

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Speaker 1: and twenty eight on the road this year, and it's

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Speaker 1: Framber Valdez. Whenever we have a chance to fade Framber,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do it. Framber on the road is one

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Speaker 1: in two with a three point five to nine e

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Speaker 1: er composing batting average of two forty. He's given up

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Speaker 1: twenty one earned runs in fifty two and two thirds

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Speaker 1: innings worth of work. But the team has lost three

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Speaker 1: of the last four times. Then Bramberg Valdez got on.

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Speaker 1: If you remember, in the month of May, the team

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Speaker 1: lost every single start that was made by Franbur Valdez.

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Speaker 1: And this is now a run of eight games of

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Speaker 1: last ten that the Tigers have lost with Franbery Valdez.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me with Freanravedez starting so last time out, six innings,

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Speaker 1: four earned runs, he did beat the Yankees or win

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Speaker 1: six innings. Theill give me a one earned run six innings,

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Speaker 1: no earn run against the Astros on the road in

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Speaker 1: his last road start, but the bullpen blew it for

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Speaker 1: him and he lost the game four to two. He

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Speaker 1: lost h Minnesota, where he went five innings and gave

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Speaker 1: up four earned runs with a Vaaldi at home. Rangers

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Speaker 1: at home, Tigers on the road, Tigers with Frember Veldez pitching.

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Speaker 1: Great opportunity to take a short price on the Rangers

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Speaker 1: on the money line and minus one thirty for one

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Speaker 1: point three units. Now, let's talk hard rock bet before

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Speaker 1: we get into the Phillies and the Pirates. Hard rock bet.

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Speaker 1: Right now, we've got tons of things to get into.

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Speaker 1: But more importantly, most importantly, we've got a ton of

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Speaker 1: World Cup stuff to get into. A ton of big

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Speaker 1: soccer tournament stuff to get into. You've got Spain in

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Speaker 1: action today, you have Portugal in action today. Two monster

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Speaker 1: teams with two monster games. There is a ton to

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Speaker 2: gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

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Speaker 1: Let's focus on two basebook games. I'm not playing soccer today.

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Speaker 1: Soccer wasn't good for me, so let's take a break

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Speaker 1: from soccer. Let's take a look at Kyle Schwarber today

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Speaker 1: and what he has been doing this year has been ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: This is a twelve thirty five noon time Eastern Times

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Speaker 1: start at the Bank. It's going to be hot, I

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Speaker 1: mean ninety six ninety eight degrees. The ball is going

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Speaker 1: to be flying out of this ball. Jared Jones is

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Speaker 1: the starting pitcher. Kyle Schwarber in his last game did

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Speaker 1: not go over one and a half total basis, but

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Speaker 1: the game before that he did against the Pirate Wry two.

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Speaker 1: This is an even money play for Kyle Swarber, and

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Speaker 1: look at it may come down to home run or

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Speaker 1: no home run. He has a hit a home run

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Speaker 1: here in three games, so he's due to hit a

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Speaker 1: home run. The issue for Jared Jones is that against

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Speaker 1: left handers, he has given up five home runs in

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Speaker 1: fifty seven at bats. That's pretty high. He's given up

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Speaker 1: a slugging of six thirty two and on base of

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Speaker 1: three eighty seven and a batting average of three point

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Speaker 1: thirty three. He's given up four home runs here to lefties,

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Speaker 1: and he's given up five doubles nineteen hits overall in

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Speaker 1: fifty seven at bats. This guy gets hit. He's a

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Speaker 1: right hander, and he gets hit by lefties. And this

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Speaker 1: is the best left handed power hitter in the game

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Speaker 1: at the moment. In a really hot environment with an

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Speaker 1: offense that's read hot, I think we go ahead and

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Speaker 1: back cow Schwarber and even money to go over one

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Speaker 1: and a half total bases, double, triple, home run, two singles.

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Speaker 1: But Coyle Schwarber to have a big day to play

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Speaker 1: today for the Phillies on a Thursday before the fourth

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Speaker 1: of July with a really warm temperature day game, this

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Speaker 1: is going to be hot. Like I mentioned, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: go ahead and jump in on that. And then the

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Speaker 1: other bet in the game is we're gonna take the

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Speaker 1: team total for the Phillies and go over. I don't

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Speaker 1: know about If you look at the way this series

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Speaker 1: has gone, the Pirates just really haven't scored all that much,

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Speaker 1: and so I'm a little concerned about the Pirates offense.

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Speaker 1: Eleven to seven, eight to nothing, ten to six. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so the Pirates have scored seven zero and six. The

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Speaker 1: Phillies have scored eleven sorry seven, The Pirates were scored

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Speaker 1: eleven in the first game. Sorry eleven seven was a

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Speaker 1: win for the Pirates. The Phillies I've scored shored eight,

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Speaker 1: ten and seven earned runs. The Pirates have scored eleven

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Speaker 1: zero and six earned runs. You can bet the over,

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Speaker 1: But this feels a little bit like what happened yesterday

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Speaker 1: with this total now was ten and a half the

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Speaker 1: A's and the Dodgers. That game went from nine and

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Speaker 1: a half to ten and a half and it wound

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Speaker 1: up falling eight. I just wonder, like, what happens if

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Speaker 1: this is like a six to three type of win

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Speaker 1: here for the Phillies and we wind up getting loss

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Speaker 1: on the total. So I don't love that. So instead

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Speaker 1: I want to focus on the offenses I trust, and

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Speaker 1: it's the Phillies offense against the back end of this

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Speaker 1: pitching rotation for the for the Pirates and take couch

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Speaker 1: Schwarbur to have a big game and at the Phillies

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Speaker 1: to score over four and a half runs here from

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Speaker 1: a team total perspective at the bank, so we're going

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Speaker 1: team total Phillies over four and a half at minus

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Speaker 1: one forty two. There are five and a half's in

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Speaker 1: the market, but look for four and a half because

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Speaker 1: obviously that's a better number. It is a bit more juicy,

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Speaker 1: but I'm willing to pay the juice in order to

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Speaker 1: win the bet, so I like over four and a

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Speaker 1: half for the Phillies for the team total. So we're

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Speaker 1: going Rangers money line Cole Swarbur of the Phillies to

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Speaker 1: go over one and a half total bases at even

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Speaker 1: money in the Phillies team total over four and a

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Speaker 1: half at minus one two. We'll pick back up with

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Speaker 1: the World Cup coming up a bit later on in

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Speaker 1: the week, maybe tomorrow or over the fourth of July,

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Speaker 1: but for today, let's focus just on baseball and let's

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Speaker 1: see how today winds up rolling minus Matt Parolti, You

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Speaker 1: guys can follow me across all my socials at sports

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Speaker 1: doc Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts,

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Speaker 1: it is the Daily Juice