WEBVTT - Super Wild Card Weekend, This Guy/That Guy, More or Less, Giants upset? Cowboys/Bucs, and Over/Unders 0:00:04.299 --> 0:00:06.659 NFL. Game Debut is a production of the NFL in 0:00:06.739 --> 0:00:18.019 partnership with I Heart Radio. It's the plow spin open. 0:00:18.179 --> 0:00:21.939 Wait this means in a word to twit Lions, Well 0:00:21.939 --> 0:00:24.619 that's sad. I wonder what Dan Campbell's up to. I'm 0:00:24.659 --> 0:00:28.619 just I love that for you, coach, and I love 0:00:28.699 --> 0:00:32.859 these games. Six rematches. She knows in the playoffs, you know, 0:00:32.979 --> 0:00:36.179 Greg loves that. I love that they're playing the forty Niners, 0:00:36.179 --> 0:00:39.299 the team I picked to win every single week this season. Wait, 0:00:39.339 --> 0:00:43.379 does that mean me a Niners? Feels like Claybone's Ravens 0:00:43.379 --> 0:00:46.059 have a chance to knock off last year's ANFC champs. 0:00:46.259 --> 0:00:49.219 And wait, does city get a ring if the Bills win? Yes. 0:00:49.339 --> 0:00:52.699 Game Debut, presented by Little Caesars, the official pizza sponsor 0:00:52.739 --> 0:00:55.939 of Super Bowl fifty seven, starts now, Hey, coach, save 0:00:56.019 --> 0:01:02.739 a drink for me and I'll bring you a slice. Hello, Hello, 0:01:02.819 --> 0:01:05.339 welcome to Game A View. Well, I want to know 0:01:05.419 --> 0:01:07.299 the answer to that, Cynthia Brillain, do you get a 0:01:07.379 --> 0:01:09.099 ring if the Bills go all the way and do 0:01:09.179 --> 0:01:11.379 the whole thing? Come on, I'm we need to talk 0:01:11.419 --> 0:01:18.179 to my agent. I did not negotiate that there's still time. 0:01:21.219 --> 0:01:25.219 What was that scooter and why we're at that's Josh 0:01:25.259 --> 0:01:27.059 Allen scooter and he gave one of them to each 0:01:27.099 --> 0:01:28.939 one of his offensive linemen and we did that in 0:01:29.019 --> 0:01:31.219 training camp, and then he got a discount because we 0:01:31.259 --> 0:01:33.579 tweeted it out, so he got there. You go, Josh 0:01:33.579 --> 0:01:37.299 Allen a ring? There you go. Okay, let's let's take 0:01:37.299 --> 0:01:40.459 a look at what happened last week. We had our chance, guys. 0:01:40.619 --> 0:01:44.139 Gregg came out and basically had a perfect week. Eighteen week. 0:01:44.179 --> 0:01:47.659 You lost only one game. He's four up on Patrick 0:01:47.699 --> 0:01:49.619 with thirteen games to go. That means I think this 0:01:49.699 --> 0:01:52.459 means he gets a pizza party. Little teezers, we'll hook 0:01:52.499 --> 0:01:54.179 it up. I probably should have checked with them first, 0:01:54.179 --> 0:01:56.659 but I said it, I've said it on live. Has 0:01:56.699 --> 0:02:00.859 to happen, Greg, any words, I missed pizza parties, no speech, 0:02:00.899 --> 0:02:03.019 don't try to jink, and don't try to say this 0:02:03.059 --> 0:02:05.499 news that I had a good week through such gritted teeth, 0:02:06.659 --> 0:02:08.579 gritted at all. Look at we're twins East today. I'm 0:02:08.619 --> 0:02:09.979 just trying to get a little bit of this, like 0:02:10.099 --> 0:02:12.659 a magical winning power to rub off. All right, let's 0:02:12.659 --> 0:02:15.099 start picking some games here, let's start with the Seahawks. Niners. 0:02:15.379 --> 0:02:18.459 San Francisco won both games in the regular season. Patrick, 0:02:18.499 --> 0:02:19.899 I'm gonna start with you. Will they make it a 0:02:19.939 --> 0:02:22.939 clean sweep this weekend? They came out and the past 0:02:23.019 --> 0:02:25.379 rush was a real problem. In that first match of 0:02:25.419 --> 0:02:27.979 Abraham Lucas and Charles Cross were playing in their second 0:02:28.379 --> 0:02:32.739 NFL game, Nick Bosa had five quarterback hits on Geno Smith. 0:02:32.819 --> 0:02:35.419 Then we fast forward towards the end of the season. Yes, 0:02:35.499 --> 0:02:38.939 Bosa does get one sec, but he hits Geno three times. 0:02:39.179 --> 0:02:41.699 I think having two tackles that are both young, they're 0:02:41.739 --> 0:02:43.779 going to get better. It's not like they're they're gonna 0:02:43.819 --> 0:02:46.819 be worse. I think the Seahawks do cover, but they 0:02:46.859 --> 0:02:53.379 lose the Seahawks defense. Honestly, they've given up five almost 0:02:53.419 --> 0:02:57.419 five hundred more rushing yards after contact than the forty 0:02:57.499 --> 0:03:00.299 Niners have given up just playing rushing yards all season. 0:03:00.499 --> 0:03:02.659 I can't take the Seahawks in this one because of 0:03:02.659 --> 0:03:04.259 that defense, but I do think they get the This 0:03:04.299 --> 0:03:06.979 is a much closer score than I would have I 0:03:07.019 --> 0:03:09.499 would take that. As someone who wants good things for Gina, 0:03:09.899 --> 0:03:11.499 I would take that. I don't have it as close. 0:03:11.579 --> 0:03:14.459 I have the forty Niners winning this game thirty four 0:03:14.619 --> 0:03:16.939 to seventeen. The thing I want most for Gino is 0:03:17.099 --> 0:03:20.339 is time, and you're right, Patrick, the tackles got better, 0:03:20.779 --> 0:03:23.179 but on the interior that's where the problem was. In 0:03:23.259 --> 0:03:27.019 the second matchup, Gino Smith had no hope and the 0:03:27.139 --> 0:03:30.459 Xiaox aren't really good at the things that could possibly 0:03:30.499 --> 0:03:33.299 beat the forty Niners, like quick game in screen game, 0:03:33.739 --> 0:03:36.339 and they want to throw the ball deep down the field, 0:03:36.379 --> 0:03:38.539 and Gino Smith can only get that done if they 0:03:38.539 --> 0:03:41.259 have time. Ken Kenneth Walker can only run if he 0:03:41.339 --> 0:03:44.779 has some room to operate, and I just don't expect it. 0:03:44.939 --> 0:03:46.939 Rick Armstead came back late in the season made a 0:03:47.019 --> 0:03:50.219 huge difference. They're great with their stunts. They're just big 0:03:50.339 --> 0:03:53.259 and scary. And I don't like the forty Niners. I'm 0:03:53.299 --> 0:03:55.939 just sick of them just beating up on everyone, especially 0:03:56.019 --> 0:03:59.139 the seas. I think it's a terrible man seen such 0:03:59.139 --> 0:04:03.219 a mean score, almost as mean I have to seventeen. 0:04:03.539 --> 0:04:05.339 I think that the game is going to come down 0:04:05.419 --> 0:04:08.819 to all of the different weapons at Brock Purty's disposal, 0:04:08.859 --> 0:04:11.419 or maybe I should say at Kyle Shanahan's disposable, and 0:04:11.459 --> 0:04:14.619 we don't really talk enough about Eli Mitchell, who since 0:04:14.659 --> 0:04:17.539 the beginning of last season has averaged four point two 0:04:17.859 --> 0:04:22.339 yards after contact per rush against stacked boxes. So you've 0:04:22.379 --> 0:04:25.059 seen Brock Purtty use lots of stiffs and motions. In fact, 0:04:25.059 --> 0:04:28.219 he has twelve touchdowns using those which leads to the 0:04:28.299 --> 0:04:31.339 league since Week thirteen. And when I'm watching this, it's like, well, 0:04:31.339 --> 0:04:34.339 now you've got Eli Mitchell as well. So you've got 0:04:34.339 --> 0:04:37.739 to remember, in a game where there's potentially torrential downpours 0:04:37.819 --> 0:04:40.339 and lots of bad weather, the run game is going 0:04:40.379 --> 0:04:42.179 to be even more important. We already know what Christian 0:04:42.219 --> 0:04:44.499 McCaffrey can do, so you've got the duo now of 0:04:44.579 --> 0:04:47.739 christ McCaffrey Andyli Mitchell. So that's what I'm looking at. 0:04:47.739 --> 0:04:49.379 You know, since this might be the last time we 0:04:49.419 --> 0:04:51.099 get to talk about Gino on the show, and you 0:04:51.139 --> 0:04:54.019 and I have loved talking about the Seahawks all season long, 0:04:54.099 --> 0:04:56.859 I just want to take a little walk down memory lane. Okay, 0:04:56.939 --> 0:04:59.459 remember I don't even remember what week it was because 0:04:59.459 --> 0:05:01.619 it feels so long ago now so much has happened, 0:05:01.619 --> 0:05:04.659 But the Seahawks went on a four game winnings. Greg, 0:05:04.659 --> 0:05:07.499 do you remember this. We were geno, this geno that 0:05:07.939 --> 0:05:10.819 we were even talking about their deep ends at times. 0:05:12.099 --> 0:05:14.859 It was fun and this economy was so long ago. 0:05:15.459 --> 0:05:16.859 And then they went to Munich and they lost to 0:05:16.899 --> 0:05:18.819 the Box and it's just not been the same ever since. 0:05:18.819 --> 0:05:20.459 So I'm going to take the forty Niners as well, 0:05:20.499 --> 0:05:23.619 but in the same tone as Patrick, I am keeping 0:05:23.619 --> 0:05:25.459 it a little bit closer. I think they are going 0:05:25.499 --> 0:05:29.019 to cover the Seahawks post to this, like really wholesome post. 0:05:29.139 --> 0:05:32.779 The other day, all these kids from the Seahawk region 0:05:33.179 --> 0:05:36.619 wrote letters and drew pictures, and one of them was 0:05:36.659 --> 0:05:39.379 just like, just try your best. Even the kids don't 0:05:39.379 --> 0:05:41.859 believe the Hawks. We just go out there and have fun. 0:05:42.059 --> 0:05:45.259 But the forty Niners are probably gonna win twenty. Okay, 0:05:45.299 --> 0:05:48.259 it is time to play this guy or that guy. Greg. 0:05:48.339 --> 0:05:51.259 The line is one and a half touchdowns for Gino 0:05:51.339 --> 0:05:54.499 and Purty. Who is more likely to go over to 0:05:54.619 --> 0:05:57.099 the fun question, Well, I'm going both. They're going over 0:05:57.099 --> 0:05:59.659 and no way, I'm going Gino under. I think Purty 0:05:59.779 --> 0:06:02.259 is more likely because I have them scoring thirty four 0:06:02.299 --> 0:06:04.699 points even in the rain. He get the ball out 0:06:04.699 --> 0:06:07.539 of his hands quickly, and I think Kyle Shanahan will 0:06:07.579 --> 0:06:11.099 look at replacement middle linebacker for the Seahawks Tanner Muse 0:06:11.179 --> 0:06:13.579 and think that's the guy I'm picking on this week. 0:06:13.619 --> 0:06:16.139 With passes over the middle, whether it's the George Kittle 0:06:16.419 --> 0:06:19.059 or whether it's to the running backs, he always picks 0:06:19.059 --> 0:06:21.499 one or two guys. Maybe it's Jonathan Abram, Remember the 0:06:21.579 --> 0:06:24.619 Raiders safety now playing snaps for the Seahawks. Kyle Shannon 0:06:24.659 --> 0:06:26.459 will pick on the mismatch pretty gets a couple of 0:06:26.459 --> 0:06:29.299 touch times. Cynthia Kittle went off in Week fifteen against 0:06:29.339 --> 0:06:31.619 the Seahawks. Who is more likely to have over forty 0:06:31.659 --> 0:06:34.419 five receiving yards in this game? Kittle or Brandan You 0:06:35.259 --> 0:06:37.739 He said forty five, and I'm saying both in this one. 0:06:38.059 --> 0:06:40.539 Even though I do think that maybe we should talk 0:06:40.579 --> 0:06:43.299 a little bit about the secondary for the Seahawks. They 0:06:43.299 --> 0:06:45.379 could be getting a little bit healthier. They could have 0:06:45.499 --> 0:06:48.899 the safety back. Obviously, it's really better for them if 0:06:48.939 --> 0:06:50.699 they have Ryan Neal. We have a good picture of him, 0:06:50.739 --> 0:06:53.099 like stopping George. I don't think that happens in this 0:06:53.139 --> 0:06:55.539 matchup forty five yards or just too few. I think 0:06:55.579 --> 0:06:58.539 both of them surpass it. Okay, Patrick, in this game, 0:06:59.459 --> 0:07:01.099 you need the Lions in this game. That would have 0:07:01.099 --> 0:07:03.699 been really fun. You wait, would have put up a fight. 0:07:03.739 --> 0:07:06.059 Come on, belief Patrick. On the flip side, you've got 0:07:06.099 --> 0:07:09.219 Tyler Lockett Dk Metcalf, who has over sixty one receiving 0:07:09.339 --> 0:07:10.899 arts well. Like Greg and Cything, I wish I could 0:07:10.899 --> 0:07:13.859 take both here, but the forty Niners are very good, uh, 0:07:13.859 --> 0:07:16.219 And I will take Dk Metcalf because the way that 0:07:16.299 --> 0:07:20.019 Demiko and the forty Niners approached him in the last game, 0:07:20.099 --> 0:07:22.459 it was a lot of Jimmy Ward one on one, 0:07:22.579 --> 0:07:25.459 and I think DK is more likely to get one 0:07:25.499 --> 0:07:28.659 big play. Tyler Lockett of course open deep a whole 0:07:28.659 --> 0:07:32.219 lot playing with nine fingers essentially still great. But if 0:07:32.219 --> 0:07:33.939 I had to pick one, I would take dk Metcalf 0:07:33.979 --> 0:07:35.259 in this because I think he's going to get more 0:07:35.579 --> 0:07:37.899 singled up covers in real quick. Greg mentioned the rain. 0:07:37.979 --> 0:07:40.619 Do you have like a rain adjustment in your model? 0:07:40.779 --> 0:07:43.379 Does the does the model say like, hmm, smells like rain? 0:07:43.539 --> 0:07:47.139 And then it's usually teams with good defenses have the 0:07:47.179 --> 0:07:51.459 advantage in that matchup, which means especially defensive fronts, because 0:07:51.659 --> 0:07:53.939 that the most likely time for something bad to happen 0:07:54.019 --> 0:07:55.579 is either when the ball is snapped or when the 0:07:55.579 --> 0:07:57.619 ball is caught. So if you can stop the pass, 0:07:57.779 --> 0:08:00.259 you have a major advantage. Model Soon everything it's doing 0:08:00.339 --> 0:08:02.699 it all, folks. Okay, moving on to this next game. 0:08:02.739 --> 0:08:05.899 Back in Week three, the Jet Eggs blew the doors 0:08:05.939 --> 0:08:08.299 off the Chargers thirty eight to ten, the biggest win 0:08:08.339 --> 0:08:12.619 for Jacksonville in five seasons. That's actually crazy. The offense 0:08:12.619 --> 0:08:15.459 had over four hundred yards held the Chargers to a 0:08:15.499 --> 0:08:18.259 season low twenty six yards rushing in what was also 0:08:18.859 --> 0:08:21.859 one of Justin Herbert's worst games of the season. It's 0:08:21.859 --> 0:08:25.219 time to talk. Who's punching their ticket? Presented by ticket 0:08:25.379 --> 0:08:28.619 Master Patrick, The Charges are favored in a close one 0:08:28.659 --> 0:08:30.899 on Saturday night. Do you agree with the desert here? 0:08:31.099 --> 0:08:33.379 I do not agree with the desert here. I think 0:08:33.419 --> 0:08:35.299 the marquee player for me in this game is going 0:08:35.339 --> 0:08:36.699 to be Travis cy T, and he's having a great 0:08:36.739 --> 0:08:39.419 season over five point one yards per carry. You know 0:08:39.419 --> 0:08:42.539 who else is having a great season running the football? Literally, 0:08:42.619 --> 0:08:46.139 anybody playing the Los Angeles Chargers. They have given five 0:08:46.259 --> 0:08:50.099 point four yards per carried this season. Barry Sanders only 0:08:50.179 --> 0:08:54.779 hit that number once in his career. NFL MVP seasons 0:08:54.819 --> 0:08:59.019 by Terrell Davis, Emmett Smith, La Danian Tomlinson. They never 0:08:59.099 --> 0:09:02.019 hit five point four yards per Essentially, you're a Hall 0:09:02.099 --> 0:09:05.699 of Famer if you're playing the Los Angeles charges at 0:09:05.739 --> 0:09:08.779 the running back position. I have the Jags winning by 0:09:08.779 --> 0:09:10.379 two in a fun game, but if you can't stop 0:09:10.379 --> 0:09:11.659 the run, I'm not going to pick you on the 0:09:11.699 --> 0:09:13.739 road in the playoffs. You know what happens when you 0:09:13.779 --> 0:09:16.259 can run the ball really effectively, you can use play 0:09:16.299 --> 0:09:18.619 action really effectively too. And you know what the key 0:09:18.859 --> 0:09:23.659 for our quarterback his hair so beautiful. Trevor Lawrence gets 0:09:23.699 --> 0:09:26.219 play action when play action has been working for him. 0:09:26.339 --> 0:09:29.019 That has been like this trick the secret, and that's 0:09:29.059 --> 0:09:31.419 been how they've been in each game. It seems like 0:09:31.419 --> 0:09:33.739 it's a different pass catcher that they're targeting, sometimes this 0:09:33.859 --> 0:09:37.059 Christian Kirk, sometimes it's even Ingram, but ultimately it is 0:09:37.099 --> 0:09:41.099 the play action, especially missing their left tackle. Obviously, pressure 0:09:41.179 --> 0:09:43.499 is going to be a big factor in that last matchup. 0:09:43.659 --> 0:09:45.979 They didn't necessarily have to see as much of Abosa. 0:09:46.019 --> 0:09:48.059 He did not play that game where he left early 0:09:48.099 --> 0:09:50.059 from that game with an injury. But I think if 0:09:50.099 --> 0:09:51.979 you can keep it nice and easy, that's how the 0:09:52.059 --> 0:09:56.259 upset happens one point one just one as really is 0:09:56.299 --> 0:10:01.219 the hair battle. It's not just Trevor Lawrence just hair 0:10:01.259 --> 0:10:04.059 wise have some similarities. And that's a compliment. You know 0:10:04.459 --> 0:10:09.339 both of you that I feel complimented. I am taking 0:10:09.419 --> 0:10:12.659 the Chargers in this game. It's partly out of self interest. 0:10:12.699 --> 0:10:15.299 I don't want to hear all off season that Mike 0:10:15.339 --> 0:10:18.019 Williams's injury he's not playing in this game is the 0:10:18.059 --> 0:10:20.899 reason the charge I just can't deal with the discourse. 0:10:21.019 --> 0:10:23.499 So I want to imagine a word that Justin Herbert 0:10:23.579 --> 0:10:25.339 overcomes it all, and you know what he can do 0:10:25.379 --> 0:10:28.019 it He is the chosen one. You look at Trevor 0:10:28.099 --> 0:10:33.019 Lawrence and people think he's the god. Right, he's the 0:10:33.099 --> 0:10:35.219 number one over I'll pick Trevor Lawrence. He does all 0:10:35.219 --> 0:10:37.299 the things about no Justin Herbert has been a better 0:10:37.339 --> 0:10:39.699 player since the moment he entered the league. In a 0:10:39.779 --> 0:10:42.019 matchup like this, where I don't think there's much separating 0:10:42.019 --> 0:10:46.339 these two teams, similar defenses, similar offenses, I'm going with 0:10:46.419 --> 0:10:49.819 Justin Herbert. I choose him. Rachel chosen before the season 0:10:49.859 --> 0:10:52.259 when she was looking for it to bring this. He 0:10:52.299 --> 0:10:55.299 can do special things on the move, in a way 0:10:55.459 --> 0:10:57.419 that I don't think Lawrence can. He wouldn't have just 0:10:57.499 --> 0:11:00.179 had one first down in his last five drives like 0:11:00.219 --> 0:11:03.139 the Jaguars did a week ago. I trust Justin Herbert 0:11:03.419 --> 0:11:06.219 to save us for a terrible discourse off. Some may 0:11:06.339 --> 0:11:10.259 say Trevor Lawrence has overcome more in the last season 0:11:10.379 --> 0:11:14.339 the coach he had last season. He's younger, Greg. I 0:11:14.379 --> 0:11:18.019 was with you this morning, but I've changed before. The 0:11:19.779 --> 0:11:26.499 change my mind did is now four. They have been 0:11:26.539 --> 0:11:29.379 so fun the last few weeks watching these guys. I 0:11:29.419 --> 0:11:32.179 know that Trevor Lawrence has improved a lot. Right before 0:11:32.219 --> 0:11:34.179 the bye, he kind of started making these changes. He's 0:11:34.179 --> 0:11:36.459 looked way better. He's also matured. I was watching him 0:11:36.459 --> 0:11:38.819 in like a postgame presser last week and I was 0:11:38.899 --> 0:11:41.619 just like, he has like grown five years in the 0:11:41.699 --> 0:11:44.179 last twelve months. He's going to lead his team here 0:11:45.179 --> 0:11:48.219 four first playoff game in Jacksonville. Seen he loved to 0:11:48.219 --> 0:11:51.619 see it. Okay, it's I'm more more or less. Patrick, 0:11:51.659 --> 0:11:53.819 We're starting with you. Josh Allen had over three hundred 0:11:53.899 --> 0:11:56.499 yards in both games against the Dolphins. Van Duel has 0:11:56.539 --> 0:11:58.539 his number at two sixty and a half. What say 0:11:58.619 --> 0:12:01.339 you more if it was crazy, but obviously I would 0:12:01.379 --> 0:12:03.499 take more. But the problem is I think that there's 0:12:03.499 --> 0:12:06.179 gonna be a lot Bill's running game in this one. 0:12:06.219 --> 0:12:08.499 I will take less. Of the option here is to 0:12:09.059 --> 0:12:12.899 Josh Allen perhaps be less at risk against an offense 0:12:12.979 --> 0:12:17.539 that really should struggle in Skyler Thompson. Or perhaps there's 0:12:17.539 --> 0:12:19.939 a chance that we get some Teddy Bridgewater. But either way, 0:12:20.179 --> 0:12:22.859 with backup quarterbacks and Dolphins have not been what they 0:12:22.899 --> 0:12:25.819 have been with two, I'm taking less for Josh Allen. Okay, 0:12:25.899 --> 0:12:28.539 up next, Stefan Diggs had a hundred yards in two 0:12:28.539 --> 0:12:31.739 of his three career playoff games at high Mark Stadium. 0:12:31.779 --> 0:12:34.779 Will he have more than seventy nine and a half 0:12:34.899 --> 0:12:39.259 yards against Miami. I am gonna go more here because 0:12:39.299 --> 0:12:41.179 I don't know what's on the other side of this pill. 0:12:41.539 --> 0:12:44.859 Also because it's Stefon Diggs. Why wouldn't you go more 0:12:44.899 --> 0:12:47.659 with Stefan Diggs one of the best route runners I 0:12:47.699 --> 0:12:49.619 have ever seen, and he's gonna be mashed up a 0:12:49.659 --> 0:12:51.979 lot in this game against Xavian Howard. I watched Howard 0:12:52.019 --> 0:12:54.779 a week ago against the Jets. He was not the 0:12:54.819 --> 0:12:57.699 same Xavian Howard we're used to. He is playing through 0:12:57.699 --> 0:13:00.779 an injury clearly not at a hundred percent and fighting 0:13:00.819 --> 0:13:03.019 through it. Like so much of this Dolphins teams, I 0:13:03.019 --> 0:13:04.939 think Diggs picks on them. I love that the last 0:13:04.979 --> 0:13:07.019 two weeks without two a, Tyreek Hill had only six 0:13:07.019 --> 0:13:09.259 catches for seventy yards. Sin, will you have more or 0:13:09.339 --> 0:13:12.299 less than sixty one and a half? Can you that pillow? 0:13:12.939 --> 0:13:17.419 Thank you? Alright? Perfect? Going with more here? Why because 0:13:17.539 --> 0:13:20.499 when you give Mike McDonald enough time to be able 0:13:20.499 --> 0:13:23.579 to orchestrate something great to happen, he's going to get 0:13:23.619 --> 0:13:26.659 Tyreek Hill in space. When you have Tyreek Hill in space, 0:13:26.859 --> 0:13:29.899 you've got a problem. So it's less about the opportunity 0:13:30.019 --> 0:13:32.939 for with the quarterback. Yeah, that's that's not ideal. But 0:13:33.259 --> 0:13:35.419 the reality is is if you can get some space 0:13:35.459 --> 0:13:37.619 for Hill, he can do after the catch and he 0:13:37.659 --> 0:13:39.819 can make him probable catches next to the staff ranks 0:13:39.859 --> 0:13:44.219 him highest and kind of both of those metrics. So yes, more, okay, 0:13:44.339 --> 0:13:46.339 love it, less time to piss, time to pick the game, Gregg. 0:13:46.379 --> 0:13:51.219 That spreads almost two touchdowns yea yeah, can Miami keep 0:13:51.219 --> 0:13:52.899 it closer? Do you expect the Bills to pull away? 0:13:52.939 --> 0:13:54.659 I think the Bills win this game easy because of 0:13:54.699 --> 0:13:57.899 their defense, and because Skyler Thompson is starting for the Dolphins, 0:13:57.899 --> 0:14:00.059 if Teddy was starting to give them a chance story. 0:14:00.339 --> 0:14:03.059 Josh Allen, on the other hand, is starting for the Bills, 0:14:03.139 --> 0:14:06.099 and last week I think he got back to world's 0:14:06.179 --> 0:14:10.019 destroyer Josh Allen mode. It's sort of got lost in 0:14:10.099 --> 0:14:13.499 the shuffle because of the kickoff returns and because the 0:14:13.539 --> 0:14:16.539 game was very competitive when the Bills had the ball 0:14:16.539 --> 0:14:18.539 and the Patriots had the ball and everything. But Josh 0:14:18.619 --> 0:14:21.499 Allen played one of the best games I think any 0:14:21.579 --> 0:14:24.739 quarterbacks played all season. He had six or seven throws 0:14:24.779 --> 0:14:27.579 in that game that were just outrageous, and it reminded 0:14:27.619 --> 0:14:30.019 me of Week eighteen a year ago against the Patriots 0:14:30.219 --> 0:14:32.219 and then the playoff run that Josh Allen went on. 0:14:32.339 --> 0:14:34.659 I think he's healthier, I think he's throwing the ball better, 0:14:34.699 --> 0:14:36.819 he's gonna run the ball more, and I just do 0:14:36.979 --> 0:14:38.939 not want to get in this dude's way at this 0:14:38.979 --> 0:14:42.099 time of year. When to eleven, Okay, so I have 0:14:42.419 --> 0:14:45.019 right now an eleven point win in this so when 0:14:45.019 --> 0:14:48.339 I'm looking at this one to eighteen, I think that 0:14:48.379 --> 0:14:50.539 the Dolphins are gonna have to do some yolo things 0:14:50.579 --> 0:14:52.539 here to kind of figure out what's going on, which 0:14:52.579 --> 0:14:55.419 means we saw in their first matchup they blitzed Josh 0:14:55.419 --> 0:14:57.859 Allen a ton. We saw in their second matchup they didn't. 0:14:57.939 --> 0:14:59.899 So I think Dawson Knox, who has had a touchdown 0:14:59.899 --> 0:15:02.499 reception in four straight games, is going to be another 0:15:02.619 --> 0:15:04.779 crucial factor here because if they going to do some 0:15:05.139 --> 0:15:08.499 wild yolo things on this defense, than like blitztart bringing 0:15:08.539 --> 0:15:11.299 extra Russian or social disguises, things that maybe we haven't 0:15:11.299 --> 0:15:14.979 seen before, like go to your resourceful outlet, that guy 0:15:15.019 --> 0:15:18.419 that's been so absolutely stable for you, especially over the 0:15:18.459 --> 0:15:20.899 past four games. So I loved Austin Knox in this matchup. 0:15:20.899 --> 0:15:23.099 I like a lot of people away as well. He 0:15:23.219 --> 0:15:26.379 scored touchdowns in four games. Right, you're right, that's right, 0:15:26.459 --> 0:15:29.699 I'm right, thank you for Cynthia is right. I agree 0:15:29.699 --> 0:15:31.979 with Cynthia, except I'm gonna shave a couple of points 0:15:32.019 --> 0:15:34.699 off that nine for me in this one, because honestly, 0:15:34.939 --> 0:15:37.939 this matchup is depriving us of what we really enjoyed 0:15:37.979 --> 0:15:39.859 the first two times with two a ton of volos 0:15:39.979 --> 0:15:42.299 on the field. This is a much better football team, 0:15:42.579 --> 0:15:45.139 severe hampering of the offense without him, And I'm looking 0:15:45.179 --> 0:15:47.419 at a Buffalo team that's probably going to lean on 0:15:47.419 --> 0:15:50.419 that top ten rushing attack a lot in this one. 0:15:50.459 --> 0:15:52.579 And we've seen a lot of James Cook in the 0:15:52.619 --> 0:15:55.379 past few weeks. Uh snap percentage has gone up every 0:15:55.419 --> 0:15:58.779 single week. He's actually outtouched Devin Singletary in weeks seventeen 0:15:58.939 --> 0:16:00.899 and eighteen. Wasn't because it was late in the season, 0:16:00.979 --> 0:16:03.459 was because he's come on, he's on the field, That's 0:16:03.459 --> 0:16:04.659 all I know. I think we're going to see a 0:16:04.779 --> 0:16:07.019 heavy dose of him and Singletary as well, maybe a 0:16:07.019 --> 0:16:09.699 little Josh Allen, not too much, but loads of scoring 0:16:09.739 --> 0:16:12.859 game Bills. I agree with you Patrick, it's such a 0:16:12.859 --> 0:16:14.979 bummer that we're not able to enjoy two out there. 0:16:15.059 --> 0:16:17.619 He's so much fun to watch. I'm glad he's not playing, though. 0:16:17.619 --> 0:16:21.219 I'm gonna take Bills thirty one, I will say. I mean, 0:16:21.259 --> 0:16:23.779 like betting on a backup quarterback in the regular season 0:16:23.859 --> 0:16:26.579 is one thing. Betting on them in the playoffs against 0:16:26.579 --> 0:16:30.379 a Bills team that got their playoff dreams ripped away 0:16:30.419 --> 0:16:34.139 from them by a coin last season. They are going 0:16:34.219 --> 0:16:37.979 into this postseason with like, oh my goodness, everything that 0:16:38.019 --> 0:16:40.219 they've been through in the last two weeks and then 0:16:40.259 --> 0:16:43.059 the memory of that last season. I have the Bills 0:16:43.059 --> 0:16:44.379 going all the way to the super Bowl and maybe 0:16:44.419 --> 0:16:47.259 even winning the whole thing. They should be terrifying to 0:16:47.379 --> 0:16:49.939 everybody that they meet in the next few weeks. So 0:16:50.219 --> 0:16:52.459 Bills all the way and it's more tip of the 0:16:52.579 --> 0:16:56.219 cap presented by new era. Patrick. You have picked the 0:16:56.419 --> 0:17:01.139 Vikings every week since Thanksgiving. Every single week, Patrick has 0:17:01.219 --> 0:17:04.819 been on the Vikings. Are you gonna do it? Yes, 0:17:04.979 --> 0:17:07.659 I'm going to do it again. Skull everything. And here's 0:17:07.699 --> 0:17:11.299 something people need to understand about Kirk Cousins. People love 0:17:11.339 --> 0:17:13.219 to get jokes off. It's one of the It's one 0:17:13.259 --> 0:17:16.099 of Twitter's favorite things to do. Jokes are good. It's 0:17:16.139 --> 0:17:19.579 not necessarily reality that people, oh, what times the game. 0:17:19.699 --> 0:17:22.419 Kirk Cousins is Kirk Cousins. He's going to perform and 0:17:22.459 --> 0:17:25.099 what he did a few weeks ago when Wink Martindale 0:17:25.099 --> 0:17:27.579 was blitzing all of the time. He comes out, goes 0:17:27.619 --> 0:17:30.939 fourteen to twenty one, has over a passer rating, and 0:17:30.979 --> 0:17:34.019 throws two touchdowns and a comeback win in the fourth quarter. 0:17:34.139 --> 0:17:37.499 Kirk is Kirk. The Vikings win four to nineteen. They 0:17:37.539 --> 0:17:40.179 do it again easy. I'm actually going to call for 0:17:40.219 --> 0:17:43.379 the upset here. I'm very popular in Minnesota these days. 0:17:44.739 --> 0:17:47.659 I have the Giants winning this one. Why because of 0:17:47.699 --> 0:17:51.099 their past rush We've seen Kirk Cousins have weird results 0:17:51.139 --> 0:17:54.339 when he's pressured. What's been going on by the way, 0:17:54.419 --> 0:17:56.699 you know, winks gonna pressure that he blitz. It's like 0:17:56.739 --> 0:18:00.059 it's it's like the time, that's just what he does. Right. 0:18:00.259 --> 0:18:03.779 But between Cavon Thibodeau really coming on and Dexter Lawrence, 0:18:03.779 --> 0:18:06.659 who does not get enough love for being kind of 0:18:07.019 --> 0:18:09.499 right up there among the league's best, only trailing and 0:18:09.539 --> 0:18:11.939 like he writes, maybe number two or number three in 0:18:11.979 --> 0:18:15.059 almost every single pressure metric that we have, does not 0:18:15.179 --> 0:18:18.899 get enough love, does not get enough respect or admiration 0:18:19.019 --> 0:18:21.139 for him. Between the two of them, I think it's 0:18:21.139 --> 0:18:24.299 going to be very difficult, especially if their center who 0:18:24.339 --> 0:18:26.459 has been banged up and not playing, especially if he's 0:18:26.459 --> 0:18:28.619 not a hundred percent, which even if he's out there, 0:18:28.979 --> 0:18:30.979 I don't know if that makes makes him percent, even 0:18:31.019 --> 0:18:33.779 if he's playing right. I sometimes trying to come up 0:18:33.779 --> 0:18:36.699 with like a different point than Cynthia, to like be diversified, 0:18:36.699 --> 0:18:39.179 but sometimes Cynthia just has the right point. And the 0:18:42.299 --> 0:18:44.219 Giants are winning this game, and it is because of 0:18:44.259 --> 0:18:47.899 their defense. Two Giants. I've been guilty of saying, Oh, 0:18:47.939 --> 0:18:50.379 the Giants aren't that talented. They've been getting lucky. Like, 0:18:50.499 --> 0:18:53.019 look at this defensive line. It might be the most 0:18:53.059 --> 0:18:56.659 talented defensive line in the NFL. Dexter Lawrence is an 0:18:56.739 --> 0:19:00.299 All Pro. You mentioned how great Thibodeau has been. Azizolari 0:19:00.379 --> 0:19:02.819 got hurt in that first game. He's back and playing great. 0:19:02.899 --> 0:19:05.339 Like the fourth best line the year is Leonard Williams, 0:19:05.339 --> 0:19:07.139 who's been an All Pro in the past two and 0:19:07.179 --> 0:19:10.499 they're going against an offensive line who's let Kirk Cousins 0:19:10.499 --> 0:19:13.739 be hit more than any quarterback in the entire NFL. 0:19:13.979 --> 0:19:16.859 He was sacked eighteen times more this season than a 0:19:16.939 --> 0:19:19.779 year ago. And Kirk's great. I hear you, Patrick, but 0:19:19.819 --> 0:19:22.979 you don't want to just get brutalize all game long. 0:19:23.059 --> 0:19:25.339 I think it's an offensive game, and I think Danny 0:19:25.379 --> 0:19:29.659 Dimes is ready for this moment. Wow, Okay, we're gonna 0:19:29.659 --> 0:19:32.099 play that back next week. I know Patrick made this 0:19:32.139 --> 0:19:33.619 like new role on the show. No more jokes about 0:19:33.619 --> 0:19:36.379 the Vikings. Remember the Vikings website this morning, And I 0:19:36.419 --> 0:19:38.139 gotta say there was something that made me really laugh. 0:19:38.339 --> 0:19:41.299