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Speaker 1: How will I know if he really loves me? Whitney

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Speaker 1: Houston once famously asked, I got the answer for you.

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Speaker 1: If the preseason power rates you in his top ten kids,

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Speaker 1: he loves you. And that's what we're gonna do tonight.

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Speaker 1: At least we're gonna love up on ten teams JP

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Speaker 1: Pole dropping in mere moments. We are jam packed high

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Speaker 1: a top, a butterfly filled, anxiety ridden downtown Nashville, Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: Sunday Night, August twentieth Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 1: You heard me correctly, the JPE pole, not just one

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Speaker 1: through five, not just one through ten. We're dropping the

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Speaker 1: top thirty on the show tonight and one of the

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Speaker 1: most imaginative ways we have ever endeavored to deliver content

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Speaker 1: to you on this show. And hey, in true playoff fashion,

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Speaker 1: I need to tell you we do not have those

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Speaker 1: rankings as of this moment. Don't worry. Don't worry. When

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Speaker 1: they become available to me, I will deliver them to you.

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Speaker 1: In the meantime, we got scrimmage Intel. They're trying to

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Speaker 1: find a quarterback at Alabama. They're trying to find a

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Speaker 1: quarterback at Ohio State. We got other places where we

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Speaker 1: may have five star quarterbacks making moves, maybe starting as

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Speaker 1: true freshman. So I got loaded camp intel and scrimmage

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Speaker 1: intel to get you. I've got a prediction for Florida

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Speaker 1: State tonight. I've got a prediction for Michigan tonight. I've

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Speaker 1: got four uncertain teams to talk to you about. We've

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Speaker 1: got bold predictions period from you. And somehow we're expected

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Speaker 1: to do all this and still keep our voice. I

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Speaker 1: bet we can, though, thank you so much for being

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Speaker 1: a part of the show. They're watching us in Stafford, Virginia, Herman, Missouri, Salem, Oregon,

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Speaker 1: Lake Worth, Florida at some point this week. And I'm

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Speaker 1: not telling you when the Pate State Store will open.

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Speaker 1: I'm not filling up the show with it. That's not

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Speaker 1: what the show's about. But if you want to you

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Speaker 1: want to snag some really really sweet looking merch, it

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Speaker 1: will be available to you at some point this week.

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Speaker 1: And one more little point of business as we dive

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Speaker 1: into the show. As you see, if you're watching on

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Speaker 1: YouTube in the live chat, some of you think you're

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Speaker 1: subscribed to the channel and you're not. And that goes

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Speaker 1: for people watching the replay too. Some of you think

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Speaker 1: you're subscribed here, and I just want you to check

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Speaker 1: and make sure, because, as I said, the road to

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Speaker 1: two hundred thousand subs is very steep, and it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be tight. Are we gonna get there before kickoff? It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be tight. I probably think there's a chunk of

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Speaker 1: you out there that think you're sub to the channel

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Speaker 1: and you're not, And so I'm asking you check. And

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Speaker 1: by the way, if you just flat out no you're not,

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Speaker 1: come on now. Don't have the audacity to watch the

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Speaker 1: show for free and not sub Just hop in. It's free,

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Speaker 1: The water's fine, everything's fine over here. Let it work,

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Speaker 1: it works, Let's dive into this show again. JP Pole

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Speaker 1: coming up. As soon as I have those rankings in

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Speaker 1: my hand, you will have them. But in the meantime,

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Speaker 1: they scrimmaged in a lot of places yesterday and this

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Speaker 1: is the last scrimmage. Pretty much everyone's wrapped up their

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Speaker 1: second scrimmage and fall camp and now it's time to

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Speaker 1: start preparation for week one at Ohio State. A lot

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Speaker 1: of folks talking around the program several months now. Kyle

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Speaker 1: McCord will just be the starter at quarterback. And you've

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Speaker 1: noticed twin We've talked about that on this show. I've

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Speaker 1: just kind of shrugged. I've said it'll be Kyle McCord

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Speaker 1: or Devin Brown because I think what happened there is

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Speaker 1: a classic preview magazine syndrome, the old PMS, if you

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Speaker 1: want to call it that. You couldn't plan that. I

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Speaker 1: couldn't have planned that to be that good. We had

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Speaker 1: a PMS though at Ohio State, and that PMS preview

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Speaker 1: magazine syndrome was everyone just says something over and over

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Speaker 1: and it gets accepted as gospel. Well, Kyle McCord never

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Speaker 1: had this job locked down. So then Ohio State opens

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Speaker 1: fall camp a couple of weeks ago and they have

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Speaker 1: their first scrimmage and Ryan Day steps to the podium

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Speaker 1: afterwards and says, we don't have separation at that position.

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Speaker 1: Even then because of PMS, A lot of people said, Oh,

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Speaker 1: he's just saying that, so Devin Brown won't transfer. Oh

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Speaker 1: he's just saying that to you know, sort of create

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Speaker 1: the illusion of competition. No, No, told you on the show,

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Speaker 1: I told told you that's not what's happening there. Some

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Speaker 1: coaches do that. This is not one of those times.

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Speaker 1: And sure enough, we come out of the second scrimmage,

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Speaker 1: and guess where there's a lot of smoke around the

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Speaker 1: name of one Devin Brown. And so I say all

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Speaker 1: that to say a phrase I apparently use nine times

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Speaker 1: in the last show. I say all that to say,

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Speaker 1: looks like we still have an ongoing quarterback competition, not

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Speaker 1: a controversy. We don't believe in those here controversies when

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Speaker 1: you have none. They apparently have two there, and they're

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Speaker 1: trying to figure out who's going to start up. So

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Speaker 1: then the next order of business is they scrimmaged their

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Speaker 1: last scrimmage before week one. And there are two schools

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Speaker 1: of thought around Ohio State right now. One is not

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Speaker 1: a school of thought, it's just fact. They've got probably

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Speaker 1: the most loaded wide receiver room in the country. Number Two,

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Speaker 1: they have no clue whether they have a quarterback consistent

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Speaker 1: enough to take advantage of that. Here's the good news.

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Speaker 1: They don't have to be on fire out of the gate.

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Speaker 1: They go to Indiana, they got Youngstown, they got Western Kentucky,

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Speaker 1: and they go to Notre Dame in week four. And

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Speaker 1: that should, and I want to emphasize, should be the

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Speaker 1: first truly losable game unless catastrophe strikes and So what

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Speaker 1: they have is they have a very healthy, multi layered

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Speaker 1: stable of tailbacks. They feel good about Joshua Simmons, who

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Speaker 1: inexplicably now wants to go by Jimmy. There are never

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Speaker 1: too many Josh's in your building. People. I hope he's

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Speaker 1: listening to me tonight. You transferred to Ohio State from

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Speaker 1: San Diego State. I wish you all the best. Don't

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Speaker 1: be going from josh to Jimmy. We don't endorse that move,

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Speaker 1: but I do endorse his play. I think he's going

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Speaker 1: to be good enough to contribute there and be a

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Speaker 1: starter for them offensive line. If that's good enough, they

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Speaker 1: can run the ball, they'll be fine, and they can

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Speaker 1: sort of ease a guy into hopefully they think eventually

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Speaker 1: taking advantage of all that skill out wide. But what

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Speaker 1: about those receivers in the meantime. You know, I see

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Speaker 1: a world where we're watching Ohio State this year and

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Speaker 1: it is a more run heavy approach, and you're going, Wow,

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Speaker 1: look at all this talent out wide. It's not that

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Speaker 1: we're wasting it per se, but man, we're not fully

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Speaker 1: leveraging it either. Watch the first few weeks. I'll be

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Speaker 1: interested to see how they call plays Hew Ryan day

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Speaker 1: Colls plays the first few weeks there. They feel good

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Speaker 1: about the team. This is a theme around several of

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Speaker 1: these major contenders this year. They feel good about the

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Speaker 1: team as long as they can answer the old pesky

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Speaker 1: quarterback position natural transition. Let's talk about Alabama for just

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Speaker 1: a second. They had a scrimmage yesterday, had some eyes

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Speaker 1: and ears down in Tuscaloosa. Jalen Milroe, as we expected,

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Speaker 1: entered Saturday afternoon as the presumed starter for this team.

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Speaker 1: I think he exited Saturday afternoon as the presumed starter

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Speaker 1: for this team. Now, if you could see my DMS,

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Speaker 1: you would know that last week when I rained on

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Speaker 1: a few people's parade parades and I said, Dylan Loannigan

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Speaker 1: is not going to be the starting quarterback for this team.

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Speaker 1: Some people didn't like that because Dylan lannerganna does some

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Speaker 1: good things in camp. So yesterday yesterday, I'm I'm just

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Speaker 1: minding my own business. I'm not at the scrimmage. I'm

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Speaker 1: not even in the state of Alabama yesterday, but some

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Speaker 1: people were, and and Lonergan got a series against the

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Speaker 1: Ones and threw like a bomb touchdown pass, and so

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Speaker 1: I got a whole bunch of I told you sos. Well.

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Speaker 1: Then this dude called Nick Saban steps to the podium

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Speaker 1: down there afterwards, and they asked him about Lonergan and

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Speaker 1: he was very complimentary, but basically he said, yeah, check

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Speaker 1: with me next year. He's going to develop this year.

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Speaker 1: He's not going to start for us this year. It's

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Speaker 1: basically what he said. So that was out of the way.

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Speaker 1: That was never a serious consideration. I tried to explain

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Speaker 1: that to you. He's not starting a true freshman now.

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Speaker 1: He's not starting that true freshman in this year. And

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Speaker 1: so Ty Simpson, I don't think did anything to make

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Speaker 1: a move yesterday. Jalen Milroe, I don't think did anything

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Speaker 1: to secure the job. So therefore I think we're still

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Speaker 1: in the same place at Ohio States, and we got

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Speaker 1: two weeks to go into Week one. They play Middle

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Speaker 1: Tennessee State to start the season. Murphy's Borough's college football team,

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Speaker 1: as we call him around here, and that is what

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Speaker 1: it is. But what I have continued to hear heard

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Speaker 1: it again yesterday is that offensive line, at least when

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Speaker 1: it comes to run blocking, very legit, aleb downs, true

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Speaker 1: freshman safety, very legit, defensive back room in general, very

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Speaker 1: legit running back stable started with ROYD. L. Williams yesterday

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Speaker 1: at RB one. Very legit. All these things have to

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Speaker 1: be said about them for them to be a national

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Speaker 1: championship contender if we're going to continue to ask questions

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Speaker 1: about quarterback, and we are continuing to ask questions about quarterback,

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Speaker 1: and frankly, I don't think they're thrilled where their wide

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Speaker 1: receiver room is right now down there either. So it's

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Speaker 1: going to have to be a very very physical bowling

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Speaker 1: ball with knives around its style of play down there,

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Speaker 1: and I think they're capable of it. What about Miami,

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Speaker 1: I would encourage you guys go over to inside THEEU

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Speaker 1: dot Com. David Lake did a really good ride up

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Speaker 1: over there about the position groups coming out of the

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Speaker 1: second scrimmage that they have the most confidence in. And

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Speaker 1: these are the folks who cover the team, and David

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Speaker 1: and that group do as good a job as anyone

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Speaker 1: down there, And I just noticed something. It kind of

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Speaker 1: echoes what we've been hearing from Coral Gables too. The

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Speaker 1: places they feel the most confidence in right now are

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Speaker 1: right up the middle offensive line defensive line actually, and

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Speaker 1: those were the two position groups that David went with.

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Speaker 1: Those are the two position groups that in some cases

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Speaker 1: really hurt them last year. Offensive line was atrocious last year.

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Speaker 1: Now it's one of their most confident groups because you

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Speaker 1: bring that true freshman class in and you portal some

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Speaker 1: guys in and listen, it was you bring warm bodies

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Speaker 1: in and it was going to be better than it

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Speaker 1: was last year. So same thing that I've talked about

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Speaker 1: with a couple of other programs. You've got a bunch

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Speaker 1: of unknown with Miami and there was a lot of

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Speaker 1: room for improvement. So it's not shocking that they feel

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Speaker 1: like they've improved. It's where have they improved, because you

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Speaker 1: can just load up on a bunch of receivers and

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Speaker 1: skill guys and still suck at the line of scrimmage. Well,

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Speaker 1: if they've improved offensive line, defensive line, get Cam Kitchens

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Speaker 1: back there. Malwigo's brother, Francisco Malwig is going to start

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Speaker 1: at middle linebacker for him. He transferred in and so

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Speaker 1: they feel better and better. They can run the ball too,

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Speaker 1: and Tyler Van Dyke's a returning quarterback, so up the middle.

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Speaker 1: I almost have very little question. I just questioned the

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Speaker 1: run defense. I think everyone around that program too that

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Speaker 1: has not changed coming out of their second scrimmage, and

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Speaker 1: that pretty much holds the key to their season. I

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Speaker 1: know a lot's gonna be made of Tyler van Dyke

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Speaker 1: in this new offense, as it should. I don't necessarily

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Speaker 1: know that the wide receiver room there is lighting the

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Speaker 1: world on fire. Either kind of sounds like Alabama. But

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Speaker 1: I will say this, if they can stop the run,

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Speaker 1: if they are average to above average, give me above

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Speaker 1: average a run stop rate there. Man, their pass rush

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Speaker 1: can really take over if you can force obvious passing downs,

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Speaker 1: and that's a big if. If they can force that,

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Speaker 1: they'll be able to get off the field. They'll be

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Speaker 1: able to give their offense more possessions. Ironically, run defense

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Speaker 1: is probably the key to Miami's offense this year. It's

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Speaker 1: crazy how this game works in such a complimentary fashion.

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Speaker 1: What about Georgia. There was an announcement that I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna call big because everyone and their mother saw it coming.

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Speaker 1: Everyone in their memaw saw this one coming. Carson Beck's

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Speaker 1: going to be the starting quarterback for Georgia this year,

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Speaker 1: per And we got a source on this. Head coach

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Speaker 1: Kirby Smart is the source, and he is confirmed not

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Speaker 1: to us, but to everyone that Carson Beck's going to

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Speaker 1: be the guy. Okay, so that's not a surprise. Now

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Speaker 1: what are we looking at past him? They scrimmaged yesterday

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Speaker 1: in Athens. I So first things first, the good news

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Speaker 1: is passing game look good. I think that when you

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Speaker 1: look at the transfer receivers that came in there. Dom

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Speaker 1: Lovett came from Missouri piece everything they thought he would be.

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Speaker 1: That's a guy that's going to be heavily involved with

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Speaker 1: their first rotation of wide receivers. Ra Ra Thomas came

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Speaker 1: from Mississippi State. I don't think they've quite gotten that

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Speaker 1: level of production out of him. But it's also fall camp.

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Speaker 1: Some guys emerge in week five, so who knows. But

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Speaker 1: it's good that they hit on at least one of

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Speaker 1: those two and at the very least they both provide

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Speaker 1: quality depth. But the other thing is the running back

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Speaker 1: room is still I'm not calling it a problem. I'm

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Speaker 1: just calling it an issue for camp because they haven't

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Speaker 1: been able to practice like they want to quite yet.

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Speaker 1: They couldn't scrimmage probably like they wanted to yesterday. I

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Speaker 1: don't think they ran the ball hardly at all. And

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Speaker 1: that's just a of having some guys banged up. Then again,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I say then again again. When you look

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Speaker 1: at that, that's part of what's baked into the timeline

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Speaker 1: they're working on. They're not working on a timeline of

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Speaker 1: let's make sure we get guys back for our second scrimmage.

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Speaker 1: That would be wonderful. They're working on the timeline of

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Speaker 1: can we get them back by week one or conference play?

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Speaker 1: Even so, the team I keep listening to Kirby smart,

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Speaker 1: I think the same thing about him is I think

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Speaker 1: about Day and I think about Saban so far this

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Speaker 1: spring or fall. They keep saying things then aren't critical.

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Speaker 1: It's just reality. You know. Kirby's talking about his team

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Speaker 1: and talking about how we're not where we were this

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Speaker 1: time last year, but we were definitely better than we

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Speaker 1: were in our first scrimmage. It's just real. I think

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Speaker 1: what he's telling you is the same thing that I

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Speaker 1: think about that team. They got a chance to win

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Speaker 1: a national championship. I don't necessarily know that I would

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Speaker 1: look at him or anyone right now don't think they're

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Speaker 1: a finished product. But I'd also look at Georgia and think,

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Speaker 1: maybe it takes a few weeks you know, maybe that

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Speaker 1: South Carolina game looks way different than that Old Miss

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Speaker 1: game because there are about ten weeks or nine weeks

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Speaker 1: separating the two. It may just be a team that

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Speaker 1: takes a little bit longer to get up to speed.

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Speaker 1: Say this out loud now, if you're slightly questioning the

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Speaker 1: effectiveness of your pass rush, so you know, maybe you

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Speaker 1: can't get off to feel quite as often. Maybe you

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Speaker 1: don't have that havoc great quite to the degree you

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Speaker 1: want it defensively, so you don't just totally wreck games.

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Speaker 1: You got a new quarterback. He's been there a long time,

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Speaker 1: and I frankly I think Carson Bett's going to be

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Speaker 1: a strength of this team. But there is still some

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Speaker 1: unknown there and you can't lean on a ground game.

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Speaker 1: Let's say you can't lean on that ground game and

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Speaker 1: you still haven't truly established a wide receiver one. Well,

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Speaker 1: those are things that all could happen for them. Maybe

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Speaker 1: they're just not there by week one. And when we

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Speaker 1: talk about Georgia on this show, understand something. I know

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Speaker 1: you're used to turning on shows and they're just heaping

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Speaker 1: praise on Georgia. You're gonna see later tonight where we

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Speaker 1: have them power rated. They're way way way up. There

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Speaker 1: couldn't be any higher on Georgia than we are actually

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Speaker 1: spoiler alert, but we take the elite teams and we

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Speaker 1: use a more fine tooth comb. I do not talk

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Speaker 1: about Georgia like I talk about Texas Tech. It's a

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Speaker 1: different standard, and so it's easy to talk about how

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Speaker 1: good they are. It's easy to talk about how good

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Speaker 1: Bama is Clemson, Ohio State, like all the elite teams

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Speaker 1: every year, it's easy to do that. We like to

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Speaker 1: use a more fine tooth comb. It's not negativity, it's

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Speaker 1: just there are questions with that team. I mean, if

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Speaker 1: the head coach is talking about it, we're going to

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Speaker 1: talk about it. So may it take a little bit

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Speaker 1: longer for that Georgia team to round into form, but

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Speaker 1: they'll get there eventually, and once they get there, they'll

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Speaker 1: be as good as anyone in the country. Because I

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Speaker 1: don't know that I see elite teams heading into the

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Speaker 1: season at LSU, I'm gonna say the same thing I

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Speaker 1: said about Miami. Offensive line and defensive line are probably

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Speaker 1: the strengths of this team right now. You could certainly

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Speaker 1: argue there are individuals in other position rooms but unit wise,

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Speaker 1: they're really good along the line of scrimmage, and man,

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Speaker 1: they got some players, especially in the defensive front. They

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Speaker 1: got players. They got NFL first round players there. I

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Speaker 1: look at LSU, They're coming out of their second scrimmage,

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Speaker 1: and these folks practice two hours before they scrimmage. Think

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Speaker 1: they ran what was it, Jesse forty three plays in

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Speaker 1: a scrimmage after a two hour practice. Go Tigers. So

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Speaker 1: Jaden Daniels, I don't think threw a ball further than

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Speaker 1: he could underhand it. I don't think there was more

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Speaker 1: than like one fifteen yard pass. So there really wasn't

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Speaker 1: a ton to glean from the scrimmage, almost like Brian

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Speaker 1: Kelly knows what he's doing and doesn't care for information

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Speaker 1: on his team to be out there, so instead just

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Speaker 1: a few things to pay attention to. Because I think

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Speaker 1: it comes down with this team to health of their secondary.

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Speaker 1: They have good enough players there. If they thread the

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Speaker 1: needle health wise, I think I'm not going to be

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Speaker 1: an elite secondary. They'll be good enough there if all

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Speaker 1: those guys can stay healthy. Second thing, they need wide

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Speaker 1: receivers to slot themselves behind. Melike neighbors, meliite neighbors. Could

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Speaker 1: be the best in the country this year. I know

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Speaker 1: Marvin Harrison exists. My point is he can be one

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Speaker 1: of the best in the country, can be right up

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Speaker 1: there statistically with anyone. They need guys to fulfill roles

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Speaker 1: underneath him. That's not even for if he gets hurt.

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Speaker 1: That's just to make sure you can leverage him properly,

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Speaker 1: and folks don't bracket him the entire season. I think

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Speaker 1: they have those guys they have to slot themselves. And

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Speaker 1: the third thing is because of the nature of LSU secondary,

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Speaker 1: I think there is some mild concern or maybe some

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Speaker 1: focus around the LSU program about what happens if we

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Speaker 1: get in shootouts, what happens if we get into a

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Speaker 1: situation where we're having to trade points and we get

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Speaker 1: in one of those first to forty type games. We

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Speaker 1: may have a few of them this year. Ole miss

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Speaker 1: could do that to you. Missouri could do that to you. Auburn, Alabama, like,

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Speaker 1: there are some teams on your schedule that if your

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Speaker 1: secondary is not at the level you think it is,

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Speaker 1: they could do that to you. Can Jaden Daniels do

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Speaker 1: that for you? That's the next level of his game

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Speaker 1: that he may have to exhibit this year really good player.

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Speaker 1: But if you're in some of those games where the

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Speaker 1: difference is scoring thirty one versus scoring forty four something

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Speaker 1: like that to try and win, and you're back and

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Speaker 1: forth and it's a shootout, well that's the kind of

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Speaker 1: stuff that determines whether you're in Atlanta or you're nine

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Speaker 1: to three watching Alabama in Atlanta at the end of

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Speaker 1: the year. How about this little nuggative information at Arizona State.

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Speaker 1: Never thought I was going to say this back in

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Speaker 1: the spring. Jade and Reshata is in contention to be

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Speaker 1: the starter here. Most of you know who that is.

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Speaker 1: If you don't know who that is, that is a

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Speaker 1: former Elite eleven guy. We saw him last year out

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Speaker 1: in LA. He is the guy who was in that

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Speaker 1: really really big dust up at Florida where he was

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Speaker 1: there and then all of a sudden he's not there

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Speaker 1: and he's back on the market and he commits to

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Speaker 1: Arizona State. Yeah, yeah, some of you are shaking your head.

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Speaker 1: Yeah that guy, Well, he also is going to actually

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Speaker 1: play football. It's not just going to be a headline grabber.

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Speaker 1: And he's in contention to start for him Week one

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Speaker 1: explosive plays. He's got all that potential, obviously, far more

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Speaker 1: than anyone on the roster. Drew Pine is there. Drew

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Speaker 1: Pine's got a hamstring injury, though, so Kenny Dillingham's the

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Speaker 1: new head coach here. And you got more and more

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Speaker 1: p people by the day around the program saying well,

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Speaker 1: if we're going to take lumps this year, or if

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Speaker 1: we don't have a definitive starter, why don't we err

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Speaker 1: on the side of, you know, I don't know, playing

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Speaker 1: the guy that was the home run slash Grand Slam

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Speaker 1: recruit for us, and they play Southern Utah week one,

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Speaker 1: got Oklahoma State week two, nice little out of conference game. Boy,

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Speaker 1: the Big twelve is stepping up in week two out

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Speaker 1: of conference, and we salute them for that. So is

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Speaker 1: he ready? Not by most standards, But Arizona State is

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Speaker 1: in a different place as a program than most places.

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Speaker 1: They got a four and a half over under win total.

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Speaker 1: So keep an eye on that, Jade and Roshada. Let's

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Speaker 1: see if he actually ends up starting some games for

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Speaker 1: Arizona State. I'm being told in my ear, hold on,

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Speaker 1: hold on being told in my ear. Okay, we do

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Speaker 1: not have the JP poll ballots in the studio, potentially

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Speaker 1: in the building. So I'll tell you what. Let's give

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Speaker 1: away to Chawli and we'll check back on the other side.

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Speaker 1: We're giving away Chili of Supremacy, in this case multiple tonight. Child,

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Speaker 1: it's the plural of chalice. For those of you new

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Speaker 1: to the show, We're giving one away at least every show.

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Speaker 1: They are littered all over our desk. I've got one

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Speaker 1: right here that I like to drink out of on

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Speaker 1: the show. These are not for sale. These are paint

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Speaker 1: state Chadli of Supremacy, and they are given to someone

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Speaker 1: who exhibits the willingness and the ability to execute promoting

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Speaker 1: our show in a very public fashion. And as we

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Speaker 1: have seen and as I'm about to continue to show you,

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Speaker 1: there are a million and one different ways to be

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Speaker 1: able to execute this. So first up, we go to Columbia,

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Speaker 1: South Carolina. Our friends at the Cotton Gin have a

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Speaker 1: very lovely marquee out front, and they decided to take

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Speaker 1: that marquis the other night. And by the way, they

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Speaker 1: are the only relevant club in Colombia, So how they

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Speaker 1: market themselves the only relevant club in Colombia. There it

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Speaker 1: is Late Kick with Josh pat subscribe YouTube and pod.

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Speaker 1: Chalice is Supremacy already being shipped to our friends Cotton

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Speaker 1: Gen Thank you. There should be a line out the

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Speaker 1: door of that place tonight. Next up, read Richardson. He

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Speaker 1: does not own a bar, he does not own a club.

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Speaker 1: But I'll tell you what he does. He works at

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Speaker 1: a golf course, and so he went out there before

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Speaker 1: anyone teed off the other morning, and he put the

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Speaker 1: following note on the steering wheel of every golf cart.

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Speaker 1: If you're listening on podcast, it says subscribe to Late

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Speaker 1: Kick Live with Josh paid on YouTube for a free

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00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 1: bucket of range balls. Read thank you for your service

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Speaker 1: Chalice of Supremacy on the way. So look, you guys

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Speaker 1: may not own an establishment. Your dad may not own

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Speaker 1: a sign company where you can get us on a billboard.

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Speaker 1: You may not own a plane that you can fly

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Speaker 1: a sign behind, although we encourage that kind of activity.

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Speaker 1: But whatever you can do to help these two hundred

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Speaker 1: thousand subs don't come cheap. So thank you guys so much.

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Speaker 1: I hear noise. Let me take a sip from the

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Speaker 1: Chalice of Supremacy. I think it's time. Oh yeah, Bradley's

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Speaker 1: in the room. Okay, all right, Colin, this is it.

427
00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:05,040
Speaker 1: It's time. Come on in, Bradley. Bradley, the associate actually

428
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:09,720
Speaker 1: does have. These are the JP pole ballots. Okay, you

429
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:14,439
Speaker 1: can go, Bradley, Thank you so much. We waited all summer,

430
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,280
Speaker 1: we waited all spring. The AP came out, the coach's

431
00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,800
Speaker 1: poll came out. But now the JP pole has been

432
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 1: delivered in bubble wrap. No less. Oh they're still hot.

433
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,239
Speaker 1: What a time. Let me explain to you, people who

434
00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 1: are new around here, what the JP pole is. It's

435
00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:38,360
Speaker 1: a power rating system. This is not the AP. This

436
00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:40,439
Speaker 1: is not anything that has to do with what you

437
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:43,680
Speaker 1: did last year. This is our model, which is pristine.

438
00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:47,720
Speaker 1: The model's never been wrong. Remember, if the model predicts

439
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:51,240
Speaker 1: an outcome that does not come to fruition, either a kid,

440
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,119
Speaker 1: a coach, or an official screwed it up. Because the

441
00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,639
Speaker 1: model's right one hundred percent of the time. So kids,

442
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 1: coaches and officials will let you down. The model never

443
00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 1: will remember that in life, kids, coaches and officials, but

444
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 1: not the model. But what we have here, what we

445
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,600
Speaker 1: have here is at random. I'm just going to start

446
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 1: filling in blanks on the JP Pole and first up tonight, Oh,

447
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:18,919
Speaker 1: I'm nervous, Jesse, I'm nervous. First up tonight, we have

448
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 1: the Clemson Tigers. The Clemson Tigers are checking in at

449
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 1: number twelve, number twelve. The model has Clemson at the

450
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:29,159
Speaker 1: AP has them nine. We don't have them even in

451
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 1: the top ten. The model would like you to know Clemson.

452
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:35,480
Speaker 1: The progression of kid Club Nick under Garrett Riley is

453
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 1: still a question to the model. The model doesn't necessarily

454
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:42,880
Speaker 1: believe in the emergence of wide receivers. There good defense,

455
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 1: got to replace three up front, Okay, the model doesn't

456
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:47,679
Speaker 1: doubt that you can do that. The model doubts the

457
00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:51,160
Speaker 1: quality of elite depth up front and does the portal

458
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 1: Denyer strategy work in twenty twenty three? So the model

459
00:22:56,240 --> 00:23:00,080
Speaker 1: the JP Pole putting Clemson at number twelve. Very interesting

460
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 1: placement there, huh. Let's see who we have next. Texas

461
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 1: A and M checks in in the JP pole preseason

462
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 1: rankings at number fourteen. The AP has Texas A and

463
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,040
Speaker 1: M at number twenty three. The JP Pole has the

464
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 1: agg He's at number fourteen, and there's some confusion. Okay,

465
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 1: The model does admit the Petrino Fisher marriage very much

466
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: a question mark. The model just leans toward the fact

467
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 1: that ANM has a top five overall roster in blue

468
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:39,119
Speaker 1: chip ratio. Great, it's so great, I speech impedimented to you.

469
00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 1: Great wide receiver depth and Connor Wigman a breakout season

470
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:46,679
Speaker 1: expected from the model? Is the O line good enough?

471
00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:48,440
Speaker 1: Struggled to run the ball a little bit last year,

472
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:51,639
Speaker 1: but overall loaded on defense, high quality players, munch of

473
00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:55,159
Speaker 1: attorney production. The model and therefore the JP pole higher

474
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:59,400
Speaker 1: on A and M. Number fourteen in the JP Pole. Oh,

475
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 1: next up, Hmmm, we don't have Florida State in the

476
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:13,199
Speaker 1: top ten. The JP pole puts Florida State at number eleven,

477
00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:17,080
Speaker 1: right in front of Clemson. Actually, I guess that means

478
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,160
Speaker 1: the jpepole is not going to have an ACC team

479
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 1: in the top ten. The audacity. Let's see what the

480
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:26,480
Speaker 1: model says to Florida State. It doubts, or it questions

481
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:30,119
Speaker 1: whether returning production in top portal class can overcome the

482
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:33,959
Speaker 1: blue chip ratio. That pesky bluechip ratio. It keeps sneaking

483
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:35,639
Speaker 1: in the picture. Now, I know most of you know

484
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 1: what I'm talking about there. Florida State probably has the

485
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,640
Speaker 1: lowest blue chip ratio of any team in title contention

486
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 1: this year. That's just the ratio of four and five

487
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,919
Speaker 1: star players to non foreign five star players. Now, I

488
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:50,520
Speaker 1: know the arguments, I know the pushback on this. I've

489
00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:52,639
Speaker 1: gone back and forth with Florida State fans. And remember,

490
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:54,919
Speaker 1: I may not even agree with this. This is the model.

491
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:57,480
Speaker 1: It's got my initials on it, but it doesn't always

492
00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 1: get endorsed by me. See Texas last year so at

493
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:05,160
Speaker 1: number eleven, whereas the AP has Florida State at number eight.

494
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:09,320
Speaker 1: Can Jordan Travis reach another level with top end pass

495
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:12,000
Speaker 1: catchers around him? That is the key. The model is

496
00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:15,520
Speaker 1: telling me that it disagrees on so far, it still

497
00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:18,439
Speaker 1: wants to see the production. It cites the fact that

498
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 1: Jordan Travis had so many games under two hundred and

499
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:24,760
Speaker 1: fifty yards passing last year. I think I'd have Florida

500
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:26,880
Speaker 1: State in the top ten if I'm an AP voter.

501
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 1: But look, the JP pole does no wrong and the

502
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 1: JP pole has Florida State just outside the top ten.

503
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 1: Let's move on here. Oh I disagree with this so much?

504
00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 1: Oh JP pole, baby, what is you doing here? The

505
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:46,399
Speaker 1: JP pole has TCU at number sixteen? Are you kidding? Me.

506
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 1: T hmm, let's see what it says. All right, So

507
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 1: the AP and the JP Pole embarrassingly enough agree on TCU.

508
00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:58,760
Speaker 1: I wouldn't have TCU in my top twenty right now.

509
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 1: So I'm telling you there is significantly strong disagreement between

510
00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:05,600
Speaker 1: your boy here in this computer just off to my right.

511
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,880
Speaker 1: Can they sustain the momentum from last year despite losing quarterback,

512
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,879
Speaker 1: running backs, wide receiver, offensive line. Well, that's my argument.

513
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:14,800
Speaker 1: How in the world does it have it him in at

514
00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:18,479
Speaker 1: number sixteen? Then what's the ceiling and floor with Chandler

515
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,679
Speaker 1: Morris and Garrett Riley gone? Great question, Model, If you

516
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 1: can't answer it, why do you have TCU at number sixteen?

517
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 1: Hard to be a Cinderella two years in a row.

518
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 1: So basically, the piece of paper in front of me

519
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,680
Speaker 1: from the JP Pole and the model is making my argument,

520
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 1: and yet inexplicably it has TCU at number sixteen. Not

521
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:39,480
Speaker 1: even Connolly has TCU in his top twenty. Uh yeah,

522
00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 1: I disagree with that. We're probably gonna have words about

523
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:44,720
Speaker 1: that after the show. So TCU at number sixteen, who's

524
00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:48,880
Speaker 1: next year? Oh? There was some pushback from the West

525
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:50,639
Speaker 1: Coast on this the other day. So I kind of

526
00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: leaked this the other day. Washington I have at number twenty.

527
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:57,880
Speaker 1: Now the other day I told you I had him lower.

528
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,440
Speaker 1: There was some adjustment after scrimmage. Jintel came in yesterday.

529
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 1: Just be aware of that. So I bumped Washington up.

530
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,240
Speaker 1: It looks like to number twenty. Now the AP has

531
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:12,160
Speaker 1: Washington at number ten. Okay, so there is discrepancy here.

532
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 1: Michael Penix's back. You had a couple thousand yard receivers back. Look,

533
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:20,680
Speaker 1: we're looking at two things. Offensive line, they're replacing both

534
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:23,960
Speaker 1: guards in a center unit only allowed seven sacks last year.

535
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:27,520
Speaker 1: And also pass defense was bad last year. And also

536
00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 1: the overall production level of Washington was well above what

537
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:32,959
Speaker 1: would be expected, which is great. That's what you're supposed

538
00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,639
Speaker 1: to be trying to do. The model wonders openly, and

539
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,600
Speaker 1: I do agree with the model here. The model wonders

540
00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:42,400
Speaker 1: openly whether that just seamlessly gets duplicated or if there's

541
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 1: a little regression. Back to the meme, So the JP

542
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 1: pole puts Washington at number twenty in the preseason. Can't

543
00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 1: disagree with that. I can absolutely disagree with TCU. We

544
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:59,959
Speaker 1: move on. Well, well, well, if it isn't Texas last year,

545
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:02,959
Speaker 1: and this is the last time I'll talk about this

546
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 1: before we move on to twenty twenty three. The model

547
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 1: had Texas. If it could have been higher than number one,

548
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:11,160
Speaker 1: the model would have put Texas at number zero point five.

549
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:15,040
Speaker 1: The model was just absolutely inebriated and drunk on Texas.

550
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 1: The JP pole has Texas at number six to start

551
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 1: the season. The AP has them at number eleven. We're

552
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 1: doing this thing again. I know. I tweeted out the

553
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 1: other day we were lower in the JP poll on

554
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:33,960
Speaker 1: Texas than the AP was. I was wrong. I was wrong.

555
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 1: So the JP pole has Texas at number six. Huge

556
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:41,680
Speaker 1: belief in Quinn viewers. The model thinks ascension is coming

557
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:45,320
Speaker 1: big time. The offensive line not the concern that preview

558
00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 1: magazines believe it may be. Wide receiver room could contend

559
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:50,760
Speaker 1: for being one of the best in the country. Now.

560
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:55,440
Speaker 1: The model is pointing out it doesn't necessarily think personnel wise,

561
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 1: Texas measures up with Ohio State. It just thinks the

562
00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 1: quarterback in Austin and can take better advantage of the

563
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:05,480
Speaker 1: wide receiver talent they have there than maybe hoopstever starts

564
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:10,960
Speaker 1: in Columbus. Really really good defensive improvement expected from Texas

565
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:15,160
Speaker 1: this year, the model believes big time. Also, the entirety

566
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:17,360
Speaker 1: of the lyrics to the song Always and Forever by

567
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:20,560
Speaker 1: Luther Vandros are listed here because that's just how much

568
00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 1: the model loves Texas. Great song. By the way, oh

569
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 1: Ohio State's number two. Ohio the buck guys all the

570
00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:32,680
Speaker 1: way up there at number two. So you're telling me

571
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 1: we don't know who's starting in quarterback for them, and

572
00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 1: we got them at number two. Huh. Must really have

573
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 1: a lot of faith in the rest of this roster.

574
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,600
Speaker 1: Great wide receiver and running back group can help the quarterback.

575
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 1: That's what the model is telling me here. Defense is

576
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 1: trending up year three hundred. GYM knowles NFL talent on

577
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:53,680
Speaker 1: all three levels. NFL talent on defense actually is the

578
00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:57,320
Speaker 1: most overlooked aspect with Ohio State, according to the model,

579
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:00,280
Speaker 1: and that is what is landing them a number two

580
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:03,880
Speaker 1: rating in the preseason. JP Pole and I gotta be

581
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 1: honest with you. We did our scientific experiment like three

582
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:09,800
Speaker 1: months ago and it was ingest but it was not

583
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 1: interpreted as that on Instagram and whatnot, so people have

584
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 1: been mocking us relentlessly. We did this exercise where we

585
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:20,800
Speaker 1: realized in the past several years, the team that had

586
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:24,080
Speaker 1: the most first round draft picks after that championship game

587
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: had won the championship game. So we just pulled up

588
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,960
Speaker 1: mot drafts and we found out Ohio State has the

589
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 1: most mock drafted first round players right now. So we

590
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 1: called it science. You can just do that these days,

591
00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,360
Speaker 1: call whatever you want to science accounts of science. So

592
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:40,600
Speaker 1: we just called it science and we said, there you go.

593
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:44,000
Speaker 1: Spoiler alert, Ohio States won in the title. It won't

594
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:45,680
Speaker 1: shock you to find out that people on the internet

595
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 1: thought we were serious. Well, we almost are, because we

596
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 1: almost had Ohio State number one. Where do we have Alabama?

597
00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 1: The JP pole has Alabama checking in at number three

598
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:02,360
Speaker 1: in the preseason AP has them at four, SMP plus

599
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 1: has them at four. So we're a little bit higher

600
00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:10,840
Speaker 1: on Alabama than the other guys. Are quarterback issues apparent?

601
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:15,120
Speaker 1: Quarterback issues can be overcome at least early in the season.

602
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:17,920
Speaker 1: That's what the JP pole thinks should be able to

603
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,560
Speaker 1: ground and pound elite offensive line running back room. By

604
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 1: the way, the word elite there, I'm not just skimming

605
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,640
Speaker 1: over that. That's a very rare word to use. There

606
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:30,160
Speaker 1: is disagreement out there on whether Alabama's offensive line has

607
00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 1: elite top end potential as a run blocking unit. I

608
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,160
Speaker 1: am telling you I think they have elite potential. The

609
00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 1: Model obviously agrees. Now, pass pro, we'll see run blocking

610
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 1: monsters this year. Top end defense playmakers at every level.

611
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 1: Two new coordinators. Very interesting times at Alabama. The Model

612
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 1: puts Alabama at number three in the JP pole to

613
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 1: start the season. Sorry about that, Colin. There are some

614
00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 1: teams I have not listed yet. I cannot wait to

615
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 1: see where they are. Tennessee is a top ten team

616
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:09,960
Speaker 1: in the JP pole. Right, wow, Tennessee at number nine

617
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 1: in the JP poll to start the season. They're at

618
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:15,480
Speaker 1: twelve in the AP. So I'm sorry they hate you

619
00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 1: in Knoxville, but we don't clearly we love you at

620
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:20,560
Speaker 1: number nine. So ione to tell Bill Martin to plaster

621
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 1: this all over Knoxville. Tennessee continuing offensive success even with

622
00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:27,440
Speaker 1: Joe Milton and a new offensive coordinator. Okay, so the

623
00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:31,600
Speaker 1: Model has no issues here with the personnel churn, offensive

624
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:35,120
Speaker 1: line questions, three position battles in fall camp, losing top

625
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,160
Speaker 1: end talent to the NFL. But ultimately the Model thinks

626
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 1: that the replacements are there, and the defense will be

627
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:44,560
Speaker 1: better enough, better than it was last year at number

628
00:32:44,600 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 1: one twenty seven, by the way, past defense last year

629
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 1: first double digit win season since oh seven. We're coming

630
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:54,200
Speaker 1: off of that. And the Model thinks the JP pole

631
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 1: thinks Tennessee will sustain so number nine. Okay. Connelly has

632
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,960
Speaker 1: Tennessee at number eight. So it's just the AP that's

633
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 1: apparently a little bit behind the curve on Tennessee. I

634
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 1: still haven't seen the team I want to see. Oh

635
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 1: here they are. Okay. So we've been accused of just

636
00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:18,280
Speaker 1: blind Penn State homerism. It started with the color of

637
00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:20,600
Speaker 1: my T shirt, but then we took a trip up

638
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:23,480
Speaker 1: to Happy Valley a few months ago, and ever since

639
00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:27,280
Speaker 1: then people have claimed homerism. Well, what if I told

640
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:30,960
Speaker 1: you that the AP put Penn State at number seven?

641
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,440
Speaker 1: The S and P plus has him at number six.

642
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 1: I only have him at number eight. So, if anything,

643
00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:39,560
Speaker 1: at this point, it's fair to ask, are we Penn

644
00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 1: State haters on this team? Number eight? In the jpeople

645
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,520
Speaker 1: we believe in Drew aller The Model believes in Drew

646
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,880
Speaker 1: aller KeAndre Lambert Smith or Dante Cephas. Do you have

647
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 1: a true wide receiver one here model has a big

648
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,520
Speaker 1: question mark in front of me. No question. On the

649
00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:59,200
Speaker 1: offensive line, running backs run games should be incredible, The

650
00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 1: defensive should be good. Defensive line play, that's what the

651
00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:06,720
Speaker 1: model thinks determines whether this is a top five unit

652
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 1: and a playoff contender, because if you answer that question,

653
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:12,879
Speaker 1: then we're pretty good to go here. I pretty much

654
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:14,880
Speaker 1: agree with this. I would have Penn State in that

655
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:19,040
Speaker 1: sort of seven to ten range as well. That is

656
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:22,759
Speaker 1: probably let's think it's safe to say three teams there

657
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 1: in the Big ten East all in the top ten.

658
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:29,160
Speaker 1: There's the team I'm looking for. Okay, where does the

659
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 1: JP pole have USC? The AP has USC at number six.

660
00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 1: You know that the JP pole has USC at number ten.

661
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to answer for this on the peristyle.

662
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:44,440
Speaker 1: I know, I am. I'll be over there later tonight, guys.

663
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 1: So we've got USC exactly where Conley had them number ten.

664
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 1: No questions about offensive skill. Improvement in the trenches on

665
00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 1: both sides is key, and the model still has questions

666
00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:59,880
Speaker 1: going into the season. Alex Grinch, it is put up

667
00:34:59,880 --> 00:35:04,239
Speaker 1: a shut up time defensively. There the portal editions they

668
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:07,359
Speaker 1: were good are they playoff caliber good? Are they packed

669
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 1: twelve championship caliber good? I think I would probably be

670
00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:13,840
Speaker 1: a couple of spots higher, but buy and large I

671
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 1: agree with this. There's still some questions there, and the

672
00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:19,439
Speaker 1: questions are line of scrimmage questions, So it's always hard

673
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,800
Speaker 1: for me to go higher than a certain line in

674
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:26,799
Speaker 1: the sand when that's where your questions are. USC number ten,

675
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:29,400
Speaker 1: you know they're talking about no finish line out there

676
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 1: this year. I love that mantra, by the way, no

677
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:35,480
Speaker 1: finish line, and that that's indicative of a group that

678
00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:37,560
Speaker 1: just plans on getting better and better and better and better.

679
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:39,759
Speaker 1: They kind of did that last year. If they do

680
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 1: that this year, then they can win a national championship,

681
00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:44,239
Speaker 1: or at least they could make noise and get in

682
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,359
Speaker 1: the playoff. So we just went through twelve of them,

683
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:49,239
Speaker 1: all right. What I think we need to do now

684
00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:51,960
Speaker 1: is let's just flat out reveal the rest of them.

685
00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:55,480
Speaker 1: So the top ten I didn't even bother with Georgia there.

686
00:35:55,520 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 1: Georgia is our preseason number one team. It goes Georgia,

687
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:02,400
Speaker 1: Ohio State, Bama, Michigan is four. I told you Oregon

688
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,840
Speaker 1: is the most underrated AP team that we see in

689
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:07,879
Speaker 1: the top fifteen. We got Oregon all the way at

690
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:12,040
Speaker 1: number five in the JP Pole, Texas at six, LSU

691
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 1: is checking in at seven, and then it's Penn State,

692
00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:20,320
Speaker 1: Tennessee USC. What about eleven through twenty, Let's show it. Colin,

693
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:22,719
Speaker 1: Florida State, and Clemson are eleven and twelve. I told

694
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,520
Speaker 1: you that Utah is at thirteen. This is a very

695
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 1: very big question mark of a team right now because

696
00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:30,480
Speaker 1: we don't know about Jesse, and by Jesse I mean

697
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:32,960
Speaker 1: cam Rising. We don't know if he's going to be

698
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:34,600
Speaker 1: able to start against Florida. We're going to be at

699
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 1: that game in less than two weeks. We're going to

700
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:39,120
Speaker 1: be at that game. So we'll see A and M's

701
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:41,920
Speaker 1: at fourteen. We are big on Oregon State, Oregon State's

702
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:49,720
Speaker 1: at fifteen, TCU mysteriously at sixteen, and then it's Notre Dame, Wisconsin, Oklahoma,

703
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:54,120
Speaker 1: Washington seventeen through twenty. And this is the most fun part,

704
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:55,880
Speaker 1: because this is the part I have not spoken to

705
00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:59,840
Speaker 1: you about. Number twenty one through thirty. We got Florida

706
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:02,319
Speaker 1: is the number twenty one team in the country, and

707
00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:05,560
Speaker 1: the over underwin total there's five and a half, so

708
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:07,680
Speaker 1: I hope you're listening over on Swamp twenty four to seven.

709
00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:10,319
Speaker 1: Hope you guys hear me. I'm standing up for you.

710
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:13,239
Speaker 1: Everybody else, including Vegas, has left you for dead. I'm

711
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:16,040
Speaker 1: standing up for you. That's not a terrible team. They

712
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 1: got a I got a tough schedule. It's not a

713
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:20,279
Speaker 1: terrible team. How about Auburn at twenty second? It's just

714
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 1: an SEC fest at this point. Ole Missus twenty third

715
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:26,240
Speaker 1: told you Texas Tech and Mississippi State are both underrated

716
00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 1: as well. And there's UCLA just outside at number twenty six.

717
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 1: Arkansas always always, we roll with the hogs here Arkansas

718
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:39,560
Speaker 1: twenty seven, North Carolina twenty eight, Iowa twenty nine, and

719
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:43,759
Speaker 1: Kentucky at number thirty. The weight of the world was

720
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 1: on my shoulders when I walked in the studio today.

721
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:49,640
Speaker 1: JP Poll release week is unlike any week around here.

722
00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:53,360
Speaker 1: Now here's what happens moving forward. We bet off of

723
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:56,719
Speaker 1: these rankings, power ratings. Excuse me. I release a new

724
00:37:56,760 --> 00:38:00,680
Speaker 1: batch every week and we update those. That has nothing

725
00:38:00,680 --> 00:38:02,600
Speaker 1: to do with your record, It has nothing to do

726
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:04,920
Speaker 1: with the AP. It's all about who would be favored

727
00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:07,800
Speaker 1: against two on a neutral field. Tomorrow that's all the

728
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:10,720
Speaker 1: JP pole cares about. So the order you just saw

729
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:14,880
Speaker 1: is the exact order that our model would favor teams

730
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:18,880
Speaker 1: in on a neutral field. And if it sounds weird

731
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 1: to you that TCU would be favored against Oklahoma tomorrow,

732
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:25,319
Speaker 1: I think it's weird too. But you know what, Like

733
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:27,920
Speaker 1: I said, the model's never been wrong in its existence.

734
00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 1: Only kids, coaches and officials screw it up. The model

735
00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:35,879
Speaker 1: has never been wrong. And it's just a fact. It's

736
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,360
Speaker 1: not even opinion, that's just a fact. I appreciate you

737
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:41,120
Speaker 1: guys being tuned in live. Make sure if you haven't

738
00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:44,399
Speaker 1: already subscribed to the channel, and if you're saying, well, Josh,

739
00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:48,480
Speaker 1: I'm already subscribed, make sure, because we have found through

740
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:51,879
Speaker 1: some very very meticulous and thorough analysis this past week,

741
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:54,719
Speaker 1: not all of you who think you're subscribed are subscribed.

742
00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:01,920
Speaker 1: Academy Sports Outdoors is one stop shop for pretty much

743
00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:04,160
Speaker 1: everything in life. If you're moving, if you need to

744
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:08,040
Speaker 1: go camping. Some of you sent me pictures of a

745
00:39:08,080 --> 00:39:10,359
Speaker 1: ton of fishing equipment you got from Academy the other day,

746
00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 1: and certainly all the bats and balls and gloves, et cetera.

747
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:16,480
Speaker 1: This is your place and They are the place for us.

748
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:18,520
Speaker 1: They make the show free of charge to you. You

749
00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:20,520
Speaker 1: can go there in person. You can go to Academy

750
00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:22,560
Speaker 1: dot com if you can't get there in person. But

751
00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:26,640
Speaker 1: however you shop Academy, just make sure you shop them.

752
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:28,920
Speaker 1: I don't even care if you go to their competitors. First,

753
00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:31,440
Speaker 1: make sure you shop Academy before you make that purchase.

754
00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:34,080
Speaker 1: You'll find that you should have been there all along.

755
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:37,160
Speaker 1: Also heard some cautionary tales from you guys lately on

756
00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 1: that front. So Academy dot com if you can't get

757
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:41,360
Speaker 1: there in person. They have had our back forever and

758
00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:44,120
Speaker 1: continue to have our back, and we love them dearly.

759
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 1: We love Academy like the JP Poll loves Texas and

760
00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:51,840
Speaker 1: that's big love. Great song by Fleetwood Mac. But also

761
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:54,160
Speaker 1: it is the way we feel about our partner, their

762
00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:56,799
Speaker 1: Academy sports and outdoors. All right, let's just flat out

763
00:39:56,840 --> 00:40:01,000
Speaker 1: predict some records. No more rankings, no there ratings. Let's

764
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,400
Speaker 1: just predict some records. Take a sip from the chalice.

765
00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:06,759
Speaker 1: I encourage you to do the same if you have one.

766
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 1: What is Michigan gonna do this year? You know, it's

767
00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 1: felt to me like everything's been building to this for them,

768
00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:18,040
Speaker 1: this is you know, if you love pro wrestling growing

769
00:40:18,120 --> 00:40:20,920
Speaker 1: up like I do, this is their astrodome. Okay, this

770
00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:25,080
Speaker 1: is their WrestleMania seventeen. You can't just continue to ascend

771
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 1: as sind There has to be a peak moment. There

772
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:29,520
Speaker 1: has to be a zenith. Now we didn't know it

773
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:31,920
Speaker 1: that night in two thousand and one as little children

774
00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:36,040
Speaker 1: watching WWE at the time, but it was Rock versus

775
00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:40,000
Speaker 1: Austin in the Astrodome WrestleMania seventeen. That was the peak

776
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:43,680
Speaker 1: of the business and terrible decisions were made that night. Well,

777
00:40:43,719 --> 00:40:46,759
Speaker 1: anyway with Michigan, is this that year? Is this the

778
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:50,000
Speaker 1: peak for them? And if it is, what more could

779
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:53,319
Speaker 1: you want? Like, what better combination of roster, talent and

780
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:56,240
Speaker 1: coaching could you want? They've all built to this moment.

781
00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:58,919
Speaker 1: What's the best case scenario for this team this year?

782
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,600
Speaker 1: Record wise? Twelve and oh. I'll answer it for you

783
00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:04,279
Speaker 1: right now. The best case record wise is twelve and oh.

784
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,919
Speaker 1: And make no mistake, I've heard some folks arguing about

785
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:11,759
Speaker 1: this out there. Can Michigan win a national championship? Yeah?

786
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:18,040
Speaker 1: They can, Yes, in the definitive they can. Now the

787
00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:21,320
Speaker 1: reason some people say no, is they think there's this formula,

788
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:23,879
Speaker 1: there's this combo of ingredients you need once you get

789
00:41:23,880 --> 00:41:26,880
Speaker 1: in the playoffs to win a title, which is true,

790
00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:30,440
Speaker 1: but that is conditioned based on year and based on

791
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:33,760
Speaker 1: who else is out there. What you see at Georgia

792
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 1: right now, what you see at Mamma, what do you

793
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 1: see at Ohio State? I see varying degrees of questions.

794
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:41,120
Speaker 1: I don't know that there's an elite quarterback out there, So,

795
00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 1: in other words, I also don't know how elite those

796
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:47,839
Speaker 1: rosters are. Now. It may very well be that come November,

797
00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:51,200
Speaker 1: I sound different, and I'm watching Georgia play, or I'm

798
00:41:51,200 --> 00:41:54,480
Speaker 1: watching Ohio State or Bama, or maybe I'm watching LSU,

799
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 1: or maybe I'm watching FSU, and I'm saying I don't

800
00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:59,239
Speaker 1: think Michigan has the horses to deal with them. I'm

801
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,520
Speaker 1: not saying that the priests season. So the ceiling for

802
00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 1: this team quarterback, check, running back, check check, offensive line

803
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:08,600
Speaker 1: two times Joe Moore award, check check, check, check check,

804
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:11,160
Speaker 1: and probably got some depth there as well. Defense is good.

805
00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:13,880
Speaker 1: The pedigree is there. Everyone's been there and they've done that.

806
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:17,480
Speaker 1: There's just there's one more box to check, two more

807
00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:19,360
Speaker 1: they need to win a playoff game and win a

808
00:42:19,480 --> 00:42:23,400
Speaker 1: national title. Best case, twelve and er regular season, they

809
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:25,319
Speaker 1: win the Big Ten championship and they go and do

810
00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:29,879
Speaker 1: just that. What's the worst case for Michigan. The worst

811
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:32,759
Speaker 1: case is a huge compliment. I think their worst case

812
00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:35,759
Speaker 1: this year is nine to three. I don't know that

813
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:38,040
Speaker 1: I've ever said that with Michigan. That is a massive

814
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:41,360
Speaker 1: and amazing elevation of a program to where your floor

815
00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:46,120
Speaker 1: is nine wins. But how would this happen? Well, if

816
00:42:46,120 --> 00:42:50,040
Speaker 1: it did happen, you would have probably losses at Penn

817
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 1: State and versus Ohio State, I would guess, and then

818
00:42:52,680 --> 00:42:55,560
Speaker 1: there's one more loss in there somewhere. It would probably

819
00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:59,200
Speaker 1: just mean the next gear that you hoped was there

820
00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:01,479
Speaker 1: as a team, as a program, it just wasn't there.

821
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:05,000
Speaker 1: Whatever you are capable of, you maxed it out last year,

822
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:07,040
Speaker 1: and then you read the engine again this year. It

823
00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:09,240
Speaker 1: kind of got close to or at that level again.

824
00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:12,600
Speaker 1: But everybody gun for you. Everyone had the crosshairs on

825
00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:16,959
Speaker 1: your back, and you couldn't separate offensively. Maybe like maybe

826
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:19,000
Speaker 1: you've got in some games where you needed to get

827
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:22,920
Speaker 1: margin and get distance on a team like I don't know, Maryland.

828
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:24,920
Speaker 1: I would just throw a team out there and it

829
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:26,719
Speaker 1: was a random week and you couldn't do it. You

830
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:29,680
Speaker 1: go to Nebraska and Jeff Simms just goes off and

831
00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:33,360
Speaker 1: you're not matching points and your minus three turnovers that day.

832
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:36,319
Speaker 1: In the worst case of worlds, that's where you go

833
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 1: nine and three. Hard to envision, but I would think

834
00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:42,560
Speaker 1: nine and three is worst case. What is the most

835
00:43:42,680 --> 00:43:46,920
Speaker 1: likely record scenario from Michigan, eleven and one, super easy.

836
00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:49,360
Speaker 1: Eleven and one's the most likely for them. I think

837
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:53,440
Speaker 1: it's tough to pick this team apart the glaring weaknesses

838
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:55,040
Speaker 1: that you would look forward to go ten and two

839
00:43:55,120 --> 00:43:58,160
Speaker 1: or nine and three, they're really not there. You have

840
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,600
Speaker 1: to beat them this year. Some folks are capable of it,

841
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:04,120
Speaker 1: but you're gonna have to do it. I remember when

842
00:44:04,120 --> 00:44:06,120
Speaker 1: they played Georgia in that semi final game a couple

843
00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:08,000
Speaker 1: of years ago. I think I showed you guys the picture.

844
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:11,040
Speaker 1: They got blown out and I was standing on the

845
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:15,319
Speaker 1: field afterwards and McCarthy. I think Donovan Edwards maybe a

846
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:17,480
Speaker 1: lot of the kids in that true freshman class, a

847
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:18,879
Speaker 1: lot of the kids that were going to be back

848
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:20,960
Speaker 1: the next year, they're just standing off to the side.

849
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 1: They're not looking to get on a camera. They're standing

850
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:25,759
Speaker 1: off to the side and they're just watching, you know,

851
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:29,440
Speaker 1: the confetti rain down. They're watching Georgia celebrate. And that

852
00:44:29,640 --> 00:44:32,800
Speaker 1: same group, that same nucleus I watched on that field

853
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:35,759
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. They're coming back again this year.

854
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,160
Speaker 1: Came back last year, got closer, come back this year.

855
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:43,120
Speaker 1: Maybe they get the job done. And it just feels

856
00:44:43,160 --> 00:44:46,520
Speaker 1: like the moment for Michigan. I haven't made my championship picks.

857
00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:49,840
Speaker 1: They literally could be my national championship pick. Have not

858
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:53,680
Speaker 1: ruled that out. Very high on Michigan this year. Let's

859
00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 1: do some bowld predictions. Good pace tonight. Didn't know how

860
00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:59,040
Speaker 1: long the JP pole revealed was going to go with

861
00:44:59,080 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 1: the committee. You never know, you know, so we're on

862
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:04,040
Speaker 1: a good pace though I don't think we're going an

863
00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:09,120
Speaker 1: hour and a half tonight, but who knows, Hoops really

864
00:45:09,160 --> 00:45:11,360
Speaker 1: knows at the end of the day. Let's talk some

865
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:15,840
Speaker 1: bold predictions. Bold predictions have reached chapter thirty three, which

866
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:17,960
Speaker 1: was my number in Little League before I just shaved

867
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:21,320
Speaker 1: it down to number three for marketing purposes in high school.

868
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:27,280
Speaker 1: Bold prediction number one tonight takes us to Knoxville, Tennessee.

869
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:32,440
Speaker 1: And that is from Tommy from Germantown, Tennessee. Actually, what Tommy,

870
00:45:32,480 --> 00:45:34,640
Speaker 1: We need to hang out more, buddy. But Tommy says,

871
00:45:34,680 --> 00:45:38,360
Speaker 1: Tennessee goes eleven and one in the regular season. Tommy,

872
00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:40,799
Speaker 1: this bold prediction gets an eight point seventy five on

873
00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:43,680
Speaker 1: the boldness scale from me, which is your standard one

874
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:47,200
Speaker 1: to ten. Not on the metric system either. We're holdouts

875
00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:51,040
Speaker 1: over here. It's bold over unders nine and a half

876
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:54,399
Speaker 1: wins there. Eleven and one was our best case when

877
00:45:54,400 --> 00:45:57,480
Speaker 1: we did our Tennessee prediction special. I think eleven and

878
00:45:57,560 --> 00:46:00,200
Speaker 1: one was our best case scenario. So to get an

879
00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 1: idea of their most competitive games from a point spread perspective,

880
00:46:03,560 --> 00:46:06,880
Speaker 1: they go to Florida in Week three. They are currently

881
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 1: a seven and a half point favorite. They have A

882
00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:12,640
Speaker 1: and M later in the year after their bye week.

883
00:46:12,880 --> 00:46:16,200
Speaker 1: They're favored by seven at home against A and M.

884
00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:19,560
Speaker 1: Some of you are surprised that line isn't bigger. Vegas

885
00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:21,719
Speaker 1: is higher on Texas, A and M than you are,

886
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:25,920
Speaker 1: kind of like the jpeepole. At Alabama, they are a

887
00:46:26,000 --> 00:46:28,959
Speaker 1: nine and a half point dog against Georgia at home.

888
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 1: They're an eight and a half point dog. This just

889
00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:33,640
Speaker 1: comes down to Joe Milton. I don't really know that

890
00:46:33,680 --> 00:46:35,839
Speaker 1: we need to talk ourselves in circles. It comes down

891
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,400
Speaker 1: to Joe Milton because pretty much everything else on that

892
00:46:38,400 --> 00:46:40,799
Speaker 1: team can be what it was last year if Joe

893
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:44,719
Speaker 1: Milton at quarterback is as productive or thereabouts as Hen

894
00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:47,680
Speaker 1: and Hooker. Eight point seventy five because I think it's

895
00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:49,960
Speaker 1: really really hard to do. You're trying to do even

896
00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:54,000
Speaker 1: more than you did last year in many cases. Next

897
00:46:54,120 --> 00:46:59,960
Speaker 1: up who This would cause some controversy. Cooper is in Lawton, Oklahoma,

898
00:47:00,640 --> 00:47:03,319
Speaker 1: and Cooper said the Big Twelve will only have one

899
00:47:03,400 --> 00:47:06,680
Speaker 1: team with double digit wins and it's not gonna beat Texas.

900
00:47:08,360 --> 00:47:11,399
Speaker 1: What a troublemaker. This is an eight point seventy five

901
00:47:11,640 --> 00:47:15,359
Speaker 1: for me. Nobody has a double digit win total out there.

902
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:18,600
Speaker 1: First off, so Texas has the highest over under right now,

903
00:47:18,680 --> 00:47:22,719
Speaker 1: they're at nine and a half, Oklahoma dead even, they're

904
00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:25,400
Speaker 1: also at nine and a half, Kansas State is at

905
00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:26,920
Speaker 1: eight and a half. And then you got TCU in

906
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:29,640
Speaker 1: Texas Tech at seven and a half. So TCU did

907
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:33,200
Speaker 1: this very thing. Last year. TCU won double digit games,

908
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:38,200
Speaker 1: Texas didn't, and that was it. Even Kansas State, the

909
00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:41,359
Speaker 1: team that won the conference. They didn't win double digit

910
00:47:41,400 --> 00:47:44,040
Speaker 1: games until the conference title games. So we're talking about

911
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 1: regular season games here. Obviously, who would it be, Well,

912
00:47:49,120 --> 00:47:52,000
Speaker 1: I think obviously the answer is Oklahoma. If someone wins

913
00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:54,840
Speaker 1: ten or more out there and it's not Texas, Oklahoma's

914
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:57,600
Speaker 1: got to be I think the team or the most

915
00:47:57,640 --> 00:48:00,400
Speaker 1: likely team because they beat Texas in the profit sess

916
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:04,279
Speaker 1: you would think. And outside of that, famously, at this point,

917
00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:07,320
Speaker 1: Oklahoma has like the most workable schedule in Big twelve history.

918
00:48:07,520 --> 00:48:10,600
Speaker 1: They avoid most of the other high odds teams in

919
00:48:10,640 --> 00:48:13,959
Speaker 1: the conference, and so schedules on their side. At that point,

920
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:15,480
Speaker 1: the head to head win over Texas would be on

921
00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:17,640
Speaker 1: their side. I'm still making this in eight point seventy

922
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:20,600
Speaker 1: five mainly because I think Texas is really good this year.

923
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:24,480
Speaker 1: Next up, we're just we're going all the way down

924
00:48:24,480 --> 00:48:28,800
Speaker 1: the ACC rabbit hole here, we're just predicting the conference outcomes.

925
00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:32,880
Speaker 1: Peter from Gamesville, Florida said Clemson will beat Miami in

926
00:48:32,960 --> 00:48:36,680
Speaker 1: the ACC title game. Now they play in the regular season, Peter,

927
00:48:36,719 --> 00:48:40,719
Speaker 1: they play in Week eight, so we're gonna have a rematch.

928
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:45,399
Speaker 1: According to Peter, in the ACC title game, Clemson's gonna win.

929
00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:50,160
Speaker 1: This is a nine point five on the Boldness scale.

930
00:48:50,560 --> 00:48:53,000
Speaker 1: Clemson has the best odds to win the conference. Miami

931
00:48:53,040 --> 00:48:56,880
Speaker 1: has the sixth best odds to win the conference. Miami

932
00:48:56,920 --> 00:49:01,000
Speaker 1: plays five of the top seven odds teams in the ACC.

933
00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:04,400
Speaker 1: Schedule's really tough. They also just play A and M

934
00:49:04,440 --> 00:49:08,960
Speaker 1: out of conference for good measure. Peter, you're trying to

935
00:49:09,000 --> 00:49:12,600
Speaker 1: predict the exact matchup. You got a big time underdog

936
00:49:12,640 --> 00:49:14,719
Speaker 1: story here in Miami making the game, and then you're

937
00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 1: predicting the winner. Frankly, if you can get that match up,

938
00:49:18,160 --> 00:49:20,360
Speaker 1: I would favor Clemson to win the game. It's getting

939
00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:23,120
Speaker 1: the matchup that's the hard part. So I'm going to

940
00:49:23,160 --> 00:49:25,400
Speaker 1: make that a nine point five on the boldness scale.

941
00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:30,439
Speaker 1: And lastly, and possibly the most creative bold prediction we've

942
00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:35,719
Speaker 1: had so far this year, this is from Plano, Texas,

943
00:49:36,880 --> 00:49:40,520
Speaker 1: and this is from Adam, and Adam said, I don't

944
00:49:40,560 --> 00:49:42,719
Speaker 1: think you guys have done one like this before, but

945
00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:45,600
Speaker 1: if you think about it, it's not crazy. The entire

946
00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:49,000
Speaker 1: playoff will be made up of teams with the color red.

947
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,560
Speaker 1: I'm giving a pregnant pause so you can think about it.

948
00:49:55,080 --> 00:49:57,840
Speaker 1: Four of four four teams in the playoff, all of

949
00:49:57,880 --> 00:50:03,759
Speaker 1: them with that base red. Well, he's right, once you

950
00:50:03,840 --> 00:50:06,239
Speaker 1: zoom in, it's not crazy. This is a crazy looking

951
00:50:06,280 --> 00:50:10,040
Speaker 1: graphic though. So here we have all the teams whose

952
00:50:10,080 --> 00:50:13,680
Speaker 1: primary color is red listed on the screen, and then

953
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:16,480
Speaker 1: you've got the rank. So you got the odds basically

954
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:20,960
Speaker 1: to win the championship. And these are just teams inside

955
00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:26,160
Speaker 1: the top sixteen. They've got nine of the top sixteen

956
00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:29,760
Speaker 1: teams in the preseason to win the title are red, Georgia,

957
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:34,120
Speaker 1: Ohio State, Bama, USC, Florida State, Oklahoma, Utah, Wisconsin, and

958
00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:37,040
Speaker 1: you've got A and M Texas Tech twenty one. I

959
00:50:37,040 --> 00:50:38,799
Speaker 1: don't know that we should count Ole miss although they

960
00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:41,360
Speaker 1: do have red, but I don't think that's their primary color.

961
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,720
Speaker 1: But more than half of the top sixteen odds teams

962
00:50:45,040 --> 00:50:48,240
Speaker 1: are red. So here's the problem. Can you get four

963
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:52,120
Speaker 1: of four? We got to keep Michigan out completely, Clemson,

964
00:50:52,440 --> 00:50:56,160
Speaker 1: Penn State, Washington, Oregon, LSU. Those teams have to be

965
00:50:56,160 --> 00:50:58,319
Speaker 1: shut out. They can't be in the playoff. We got

966
00:50:58,360 --> 00:51:02,920
Speaker 1: to go four for four. This has never happened in

967
00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:06,960
Speaker 1: the playoff era, but getting three of the four has

968
00:51:07,040 --> 00:51:10,640
Speaker 1: happened thrice. And you know how rarely I use that word,

969
00:51:11,040 --> 00:51:14,319
Speaker 1: But it's happened three times that you've gotten seventy five

970
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:16,400
Speaker 1: percent to get one hundred percent. No, I'm going to

971
00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:18,799
Speaker 1: make that a nine point five on the boldness scale.

972
00:51:18,800 --> 00:51:21,880
Speaker 1: I mean, there's some good teams that just have forsaken

973
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:27,120
Speaker 1: the color red for whatever reason. Really creative question. There

974
00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:30,280
Speaker 1: are really creative prediction though. I really respect the effort.

975
00:51:31,320 --> 00:51:35,800
Speaker 1: They're watching us in Durham, North Carolina, Greenville, Tennessee, Katie, Texas.

976
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,960
Speaker 1: Think you think you Thank you so much, and make

977
00:51:39,040 --> 00:51:41,000
Speaker 1: sure you tell five of your friends to subscribe to

978
00:51:41,000 --> 00:51:43,879
Speaker 1: the channel, no matter where you live. Right back into

979
00:51:43,880 --> 00:51:45,960
Speaker 1: the prediction game. I forgot we were doing two of

980
00:51:45,960 --> 00:51:50,600
Speaker 1: them tonight. Here we go, Florida State. It's time to

981
00:51:50,640 --> 00:51:53,360
Speaker 1: predict these records, the best case, the worst case, the

982
00:51:53,400 --> 00:51:56,359
Speaker 1: most likely. Do you believe in Florida State. I've been

983
00:51:56,400 --> 00:51:58,960
Speaker 1: asking more and more about this team when I talk

984
00:51:59,040 --> 00:52:01,880
Speaker 1: to either Buddy, if I'm at a restaurant or certainly

985
00:52:01,880 --> 00:52:04,839
Speaker 1: in a gym. I have found that there is a

986
00:52:05,000 --> 00:52:08,560
Speaker 1: wide gap. No one is No one's lukewarm on them.

987
00:52:08,719 --> 00:52:11,520
Speaker 1: They either think they're gonna win the acc or total fools.

988
00:52:11,560 --> 00:52:14,160
Speaker 1: Gold I did not know Florida State was that polarizing,

989
00:52:14,520 --> 00:52:15,920
Speaker 1: or else I would have been talking about this a

990
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:17,839
Speaker 1: lot more in the spring. But I need to get

991
00:52:17,840 --> 00:52:19,879
Speaker 1: out on the streets more. I guess, what is the

992
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:22,799
Speaker 1: best case for this team that went ten and three

993
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:26,920
Speaker 1: last year? What is the best case? Twelve? And oh,

994
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:29,319
Speaker 1: I can't believe it, but I have to say it.

995
00:52:29,760 --> 00:52:32,400
Speaker 1: The best case for Florida State this year is twelve

996
00:52:32,480 --> 00:52:35,040
Speaker 1: And oh, how do you say otherwise? The more you

997
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:37,560
Speaker 1: zoom in and look at this, remember it's called best case.

998
00:52:39,120 --> 00:52:41,360
Speaker 1: They're a two and a half point dog against LSU

999
00:52:41,520 --> 00:52:44,920
Speaker 1: to start the year, and they're currently a three point

1000
00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:48,120
Speaker 1: dog at Clemson that screams even teams on a neutral field,

1001
00:52:48,160 --> 00:52:52,399
Speaker 1: by the way, so those are easily winnable games. They'll

1002
00:52:52,440 --> 00:52:54,520
Speaker 1: be favored in every other game. How do you not

1003
00:52:54,640 --> 00:52:58,040
Speaker 1: say that the best case is twelve? And? Oh, You've

1004
00:52:58,080 --> 00:53:00,520
Speaker 1: got me At that point, the blue chip ratio is

1005
00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:06,440
Speaker 1: irrelevant because depth and well spread out talent, and specially

1006
00:53:06,520 --> 00:53:09,920
Speaker 1: transfer portal talent has shined through. Jordan Travis has had

1007
00:53:10,000 --> 00:53:13,680
Speaker 1: himself a Heisman caliber year. That influx of receiver talent

1008
00:53:13,719 --> 00:53:17,480
Speaker 1: has come through, and they've been really, really fortunate with

1009
00:53:17,520 --> 00:53:20,239
Speaker 1: no injuries. Yeah, twelve and oh could happen? There? Is

1010
00:53:20,239 --> 00:53:25,640
Speaker 1: it likely? No, it's possible. What is the worst case scenario? Well,

1011
00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:28,120
Speaker 1: I got seven and five and I had a six

1012
00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:30,399
Speaker 1: and six in the cards, but I went seven and five,

1013
00:53:30,600 --> 00:53:34,600
Speaker 1: So obviously there's a wide gap in potential outcomes here.

1014
00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:38,800
Speaker 1: Really high variance team is what you would call Florida

1015
00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:43,400
Speaker 1: State in the case that worst case pans out. So

1016
00:53:43,480 --> 00:53:46,000
Speaker 1: in the case that they go seven and five, it

1017
00:53:46,120 --> 00:53:49,000
Speaker 1: probably just means the loudest detractors and haters in the

1018
00:53:49,080 --> 00:53:51,879
Speaker 1: room ended up being right. The haters for Florida State

1019
00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:55,200
Speaker 1: are saying they're overhyped and overrated right now because they

1020
00:53:55,200 --> 00:53:58,560
Speaker 1: didn't really beat anyone of consequence. Last year. They lost

1021
00:53:58,680 --> 00:54:01,560
Speaker 1: to Wake Forest, NC State, and Clemson. The three ranked

1022
00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:04,000
Speaker 1: teams they played, they lost to all them. They beat

1023
00:54:04,040 --> 00:54:07,600
Speaker 1: scrub teams. And now you're overinflating their balloon. But you

1024
00:54:07,640 --> 00:54:09,480
Speaker 1: hadn't tied it, so when you let it go, it's

1025
00:54:09,480 --> 00:54:12,600
Speaker 1: just gonna pull all over the place and then you

1026
00:54:12,680 --> 00:54:17,920
Speaker 1: got sad kids. I don't believe that, but it's possible,

1027
00:54:18,280 --> 00:54:21,680
Speaker 1: and in the worst case that's what happens. You lose

1028
00:54:21,680 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 1: to LSU you lose to Clemson. Maybe the ACCS just

1029
00:54:25,200 --> 00:54:26,919
Speaker 1: flat out better than you thought it would be. Maybe

1030
00:54:26,920 --> 00:54:29,040
Speaker 1: you're not as good as you thought you were. You

1031
00:54:29,080 --> 00:54:31,400
Speaker 1: got to target on your back. Everyone else sees you

1032
00:54:31,480 --> 00:54:34,239
Speaker 1: being overhyped, and then maybe you have bad injury luck.

1033
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:38,200
Speaker 1: So all that coalesces into seven and five. What's the

1034
00:54:38,200 --> 00:54:42,400
Speaker 1: most likely record for Florida State? I went ten and

1035
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:44,919
Speaker 1: two as the most likely record for Florida State because

1036
00:54:45,080 --> 00:54:46,799
Speaker 1: I really do believe in that team, and I do

1037
00:54:46,840 --> 00:54:49,480
Speaker 1: believe that even though the blue chip ratio is by

1038
00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:53,400
Speaker 1: and large a really good guidance metric, I think that

1039
00:54:53,520 --> 00:54:57,719
Speaker 1: their depth and their talent is spread proportionally over the

1040
00:54:57,760 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 1: team enough to where they can win the games. And also,

1041
00:55:01,040 --> 00:55:04,440
Speaker 1: if you'll notice, they don't have land mine situations, like

1042
00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:08,400
Speaker 1: they don't have a death stretch of games like Arkansas,

1043
00:55:08,440 --> 00:55:11,000
Speaker 1: for example, on their schedule. They got LSU in Week one,

1044
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:13,960
Speaker 1: and then it's Southern Miss at Boston College at Clemson

1045
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:17,400
Speaker 1: week four, then the bye week, and I look, if

1046
00:55:17,440 --> 00:55:20,040
Speaker 1: they're ten and two, Like if I'm right, if they

1047
00:55:20,080 --> 00:55:22,319
Speaker 1: go ten and two, it is so important for you

1048
00:55:22,400 --> 00:55:25,160
Speaker 1: to tell me which games they lose. Did they lose

1049
00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:30,359
Speaker 1: the LSU game? Because if they did well, maybe we've

1050
00:55:30,400 --> 00:55:33,160
Speaker 1: got one conference loss and that's it. Or hey, what

1051
00:55:33,200 --> 00:55:35,799
Speaker 1: if they lost against LSU and Florida and ended up

1052
00:55:35,800 --> 00:55:39,280
Speaker 1: being undefeated in conference play? What if they beat LSU

1053
00:55:39,320 --> 00:55:42,279
Speaker 1: in Florida and they lose two conference games? You know,

1054
00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:45,120
Speaker 1: so two losses only starts to tell the story there.

1055
00:55:45,920 --> 00:55:48,919
Speaker 1: This would be an exceptional year for them. Please don't

1056
00:55:48,920 --> 00:55:51,400
Speaker 1: misunderstand me. Ten and two is an exceptional year for

1057
00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:54,640
Speaker 1: Florida State, or is it? That's what a lot of

1058
00:55:54,640 --> 00:55:57,399
Speaker 1: people will ask because that team has been very, very

1059
00:55:57,400 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 1: inflated in the odds market, in the hype market, they've

1060
00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:04,840
Speaker 1: been very inflated. Would people be happy? Would people be

1061
00:56:04,960 --> 00:56:07,560
Speaker 1: satisfied with ten and two? Now? If you wouldn't be

1062
00:56:07,600 --> 00:56:11,959
Speaker 1: satisfied with that, I, eh, well, look, I'm not gonna

1063
00:56:12,000 --> 00:56:14,239
Speaker 1: call you. I'm not gonna call you irrational in the preseason,

1064
00:56:14,239 --> 00:56:16,719
Speaker 1: but man, ten and two for Florida State. I take

1065
00:56:16,760 --> 00:56:21,320
Speaker 1: it two, four, six, eight. There ninth in college football

1066
00:56:21,400 --> 00:56:23,719
Speaker 1: right now, or at least tied for ninth to win

1067
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:27,040
Speaker 1: it all. So there you go. It's Florida State back.

1068
00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:29,960
Speaker 1: That's what twenty twenty three is for. I had a

1069
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:32,360
Speaker 1: Twitter question and by the way, we got a lot

1070
00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:35,480
Speaker 1: of folks watching live. I appreciate that you guys and girls.

1071
00:56:35,840 --> 00:56:39,040
Speaker 1: Ladies of Pate State is a growing population and they

1072
00:56:39,080 --> 00:56:41,160
Speaker 1: will have options in the Peate State store when it

1073
00:56:41,200 --> 00:56:44,239
Speaker 1: opens at some point this week. Just make sure you

1074
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:46,239
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. That's all I ask. I had

1075
00:56:46,239 --> 00:56:49,040
Speaker 1: a Twitter question earlier today. We'll use this to wrap

1076
00:56:49,040 --> 00:56:51,440
Speaker 1: the show up tonight. Well, I'm gonna scratch my nose

1077
00:56:52,360 --> 00:56:54,359
Speaker 1: all right, then we'll use this to wrap the show up.

1078
00:56:54,960 --> 00:56:59,240
Speaker 1: Sam is in beautiful spring training land Port Saint Lucie, Florida.

1079
00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:04,080
Speaker 1: Sam said, which teams are you most uncertain about this year? Utah? Sam,

1080
00:57:04,239 --> 00:57:07,400
Speaker 1: I'm uncertain about Utah. We are going to Salt Lake City.

1081
00:57:07,480 --> 00:57:11,080
Speaker 1: I'm flying out there next Wednesday tentatively, and we're gonna

1082
00:57:11,400 --> 00:57:13,719
Speaker 1: we're gonna be out there for Florida versus Utah. That's

1083
00:57:13,760 --> 00:57:16,120
Speaker 1: our week one game on the Once Upon a Saturday tour.

1084
00:57:17,440 --> 00:57:19,800
Speaker 1: Is Cam Rising gonna start? I mean that if you

1085
00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:22,320
Speaker 1: want to know if Jesse's a real person, and you

1086
00:57:22,400 --> 00:57:24,320
Speaker 1: want to know what Jesse looks like, he's on your

1087
00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:27,320
Speaker 1: screen right now. That's him. That's not a twin, that's

1088
00:57:27,360 --> 00:57:31,040
Speaker 1: an identical twin of producer Jesse. But the difference is

1089
00:57:31,120 --> 00:57:33,320
Speaker 1: Jesse's healthy right now. I know I played him in

1090
00:57:33,360 --> 00:57:35,920
Speaker 1: ping pong the other day. Cam Rising, we don't know,

1091
00:57:36,680 --> 00:57:39,280
Speaker 1: and we're probably not going to know into warm ups

1092
00:57:39,280 --> 00:57:43,840
Speaker 1: happen out there before that game next week. Cam Rising

1093
00:57:43,920 --> 00:57:46,960
Speaker 1: status is everything for Utah. I don't trust him at

1094
00:57:47,000 --> 00:57:50,120
Speaker 1: quarterback behind him, especially because that's not the only injury

1095
00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:52,960
Speaker 1: concerned they've had in that room. And so here's the problem.

1096
00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:57,320
Speaker 1: They don't ease into their schedule. Utah's a championship contender,

1097
00:57:57,360 --> 00:57:59,720
Speaker 1: like Utah is a fringe playoff contender. They're a Pack

1098
00:57:59,760 --> 00:58:02,760
Speaker 1: twelve championship contender. But they got Florida in Week one,

1099
00:58:03,040 --> 00:58:05,400
Speaker 1: they go to Baylor the very next week, and they

1100
00:58:05,440 --> 00:58:08,520
Speaker 1: got UCLA in week four at Oregon State in week five.

1101
00:58:08,720 --> 00:58:11,600
Speaker 1: They will have already played Florida, Baylor, Ucla, and Oregon

1102
00:58:11,640 --> 00:58:13,960
Speaker 1: State before the end of September. If you don't have

1103
00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:16,840
Speaker 1: a quarterback ready to go, you're losing multiple games there.

1104
00:58:16,920 --> 00:58:19,600
Speaker 1: You could be one in three, you could be out

1105
00:58:19,640 --> 00:58:24,320
Speaker 1: of the picture. But also you could be undefeated. You'd

1106
00:58:24,320 --> 00:58:26,320
Speaker 1: be right there in the midst of the playoff conversation,

1107
00:58:26,680 --> 00:58:29,320
Speaker 1: which we don't participate in because it's October, but a

1108
00:58:29,320 --> 00:58:31,200
Speaker 1: lot of people would be talking about it already by

1109
00:58:31,200 --> 00:58:35,440
Speaker 1: that point. All the possibilities, all the range of possibilities

1110
00:58:35,480 --> 00:58:37,280
Speaker 1: are there. With Utah, it's one of the most uncertain

1111
00:58:37,280 --> 00:58:40,080
Speaker 1: teams to me in college football entering the season for

1112
00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:44,120
Speaker 1: that very reason. Next up, this is the easiest one.

1113
00:58:44,720 --> 00:58:46,920
Speaker 1: Texas A and M clearly is one of the most

1114
00:58:47,040 --> 00:58:50,960
Speaker 1: uncertain teams in college football. This is self explanatory, but

1115
00:58:51,040 --> 00:58:52,480
Speaker 1: why not. I know a lot of you are coming

1116
00:58:52,520 --> 00:58:55,600
Speaker 1: back to the table. Hope you enjoyed your summer. Pretty

1117
00:58:55,600 --> 00:58:58,920
Speaker 1: irresponsible to acknowledge the off season, but don't worry. We

1118
00:58:59,040 --> 00:59:01,840
Speaker 1: let you back in the door penalty free. You know

1119
00:59:01,880 --> 00:59:05,120
Speaker 1: they got Bobby Petrino. I think everyone knows that. Has

1120
00:59:05,160 --> 00:59:09,120
Speaker 1: anyone figured out how to properly calibrate your expectations with them?

1121
00:59:09,640 --> 00:59:12,240
Speaker 1: Top five roster? Let me repeat it because some of

1122
00:59:12,280 --> 00:59:14,840
Speaker 1: you don't believe that they got a top five talent

1123
00:59:15,000 --> 00:59:18,920
Speaker 1: roster in America. You probably also are slightly shocked to

1124
00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:21,320
Speaker 1: know that they have a loaded wide receiver room, but

1125
00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:24,640
Speaker 1: they do. Can they take advantage of it? We'll see

1126
00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:27,960
Speaker 1: loaded defensively, They're loaded in many places. They're elite in

1127
00:59:28,000 --> 00:59:30,960
Speaker 1: so many ways. The fan base is elite, the facilities

1128
00:59:31,000 --> 00:59:37,200
Speaker 1: are elite, the culture's elite. Is the team elite or

1129
00:59:37,240 --> 00:59:39,760
Speaker 1: do they have the ceiling this year of being elite?

1130
00:59:39,800 --> 00:59:43,080
Speaker 1: Because there's a world where they play in Atlanta. They're

1131
00:59:43,120 --> 00:59:45,919
Speaker 1: that talented. There's a world where they're seven and five

1132
00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:49,760
Speaker 1: as well or worse. That is the definition of an

1133
00:59:49,840 --> 00:59:54,720
Speaker 1: uncertain team. SMJ show Me, Jimbo other acronyms I could

1134
00:59:54,720 --> 00:59:56,360
Speaker 1: throw out there, but I want your children to be

1135
00:59:56,360 --> 00:59:58,560
Speaker 1: able to listen to the show. It is SMJ time

1136
00:59:59,280 --> 01:00:04,520
Speaker 1: or maybe SUD show US, Jim Bow Show US. Wisconsin

1137
01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:05,800
Speaker 1: is a team that I want to talk to you

1138
01:00:05,840 --> 01:00:08,400
Speaker 1: about for a second too. Just parked over there in

1139
01:00:08,440 --> 01:00:12,800
Speaker 1: the Big ten West. Last year of divisions, so much

1140
01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:16,919
Speaker 1: change for Wisconsin. Luke Fickles the head coach there. Now

1141
01:00:17,120 --> 01:00:19,320
Speaker 1: we've had him on late kick already. How about that.

1142
01:00:20,320 --> 01:00:23,480
Speaker 1: The roster personnel you would think is not built for

1143
01:00:23,520 --> 01:00:26,720
Speaker 1: the offense. They're going to run so quick refresher. He

1144
01:00:26,840 --> 01:00:29,600
Speaker 1: comes in, He hires Phil Longo, who is down at

1145
01:00:29,680 --> 01:00:32,760
Speaker 1: North Carolina. Then they go and get Tanner Mordecai out

1146
01:00:32,760 --> 01:00:36,080
Speaker 1: of the portal from SMU and they portaled in three

1147
01:00:36,120 --> 01:00:38,520
Speaker 1: more wide receivers and all of a sudden, you're looking

1148
01:00:38,520 --> 01:00:40,600
Speaker 1: around and you're saying, oh, Braylen Allen's still here at

1149
01:00:40,640 --> 01:00:43,840
Speaker 1: running back, and a lot of our bowling ball personnel

1150
01:00:43,920 --> 01:00:46,800
Speaker 1: is still here. But could we, I don't know, maybe

1151
01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:49,000
Speaker 1: throw the ball a time or three per game this year.

1152
01:00:49,560 --> 01:00:52,560
Speaker 1: And it's the definition of uncertainty. They're over unders eight

1153
01:00:52,600 --> 01:00:54,680
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't think odds makers have the

1154
01:00:54,680 --> 01:00:56,920
Speaker 1: slightest clue what to expect either. I think they're going

1155
01:00:56,960 --> 01:00:59,480
Speaker 1: to be in a ton of one possession games this year.

1156
01:01:00,200 --> 01:01:02,760
Speaker 1: Portal moves make it a wild card, Okay, the new

1157
01:01:02,760 --> 01:01:06,520
Speaker 1: coaching staff, the new philosophy there. I asked Fickle about it,

1158
01:01:06,840 --> 01:01:08,880
Speaker 1: and he said, on this show about a month ago,

1159
01:01:08,920 --> 01:01:11,439
Speaker 1: he said, Oh, it's gonna look different, like we're we're

1160
01:01:11,440 --> 01:01:14,080
Speaker 1: in no bones about it. Gonna look different at Wisconsin?

1161
01:01:14,720 --> 01:01:19,760
Speaker 1: How different? How early? Buffalo at Washington State, Georgia Southern

1162
01:01:19,760 --> 01:01:22,919
Speaker 1: weeks one through three, and then they start conference play

1163
01:01:22,920 --> 01:01:26,400
Speaker 1: at Purdue. They do not play Michigan in the regular season.

1164
01:01:26,560 --> 01:01:29,880
Speaker 1: They get Ohio State at home to wrap up October.

1165
01:01:31,400 --> 01:01:33,920
Speaker 1: The line on that game is single digits right now,

1166
01:01:33,960 --> 01:01:35,640
Speaker 1: like nine and a half. But it's single digits right

1167
01:01:35,680 --> 01:01:39,880
Speaker 1: now that's an uncertain team. Eight wins, eleven wins, six wins,

1168
01:01:39,920 --> 01:01:43,640
Speaker 1: ten wins, hoops amongst us knows. And lastly, what about Oklahoma.

1169
01:01:43,880 --> 01:01:47,600
Speaker 1: There's uncertainty around Oklahoma. Preseason win totals nine and a half.

1170
01:01:48,360 --> 01:01:51,000
Speaker 1: There's no history to fall back on. This is the problem.

1171
01:01:51,240 --> 01:01:55,240
Speaker 1: So if a coach who is achieved at high levels

1172
01:01:55,280 --> 01:01:58,800
Speaker 1: just has a bad year, but he's achieved before him,

1173
01:01:59,000 --> 01:02:01,360
Speaker 1: you don't doubt. You know, he's done it before, he

1174
01:02:01,360 --> 01:02:05,000
Speaker 1: could do it again. Brent Vinnables has it, So you're

1175
01:02:05,000 --> 01:02:07,000
Speaker 1: having to still go on blind faith. They were six

1176
01:02:07,040 --> 01:02:10,440
Speaker 1: and seven last year. They were terrible defensively, you're having

1177
01:02:10,480 --> 01:02:13,439
Speaker 1: to go on blind faith. We've done the argument, we've

1178
01:02:13,480 --> 01:02:16,880
Speaker 1: done the stuff, We've done the scenarios here with Oklahoma. Okay,

1179
01:02:17,560 --> 01:02:20,360
Speaker 1: I can explain myself around year one just like you can.

1180
01:02:20,880 --> 01:02:23,880
Speaker 1: I can explain the very very inept results just like

1181
01:02:23,920 --> 01:02:26,600
Speaker 1: you can. But we got to have faith. We got

1182
01:02:26,640 --> 01:02:29,120
Speaker 1: a George Michael our way through this because there is

1183
01:02:29,160 --> 01:02:33,040
Speaker 1: no fallback. There is no chapter one, two and three

1184
01:02:33,080 --> 01:02:35,240
Speaker 1: that we can go back on as we're in chapter

1185
01:02:35,320 --> 01:02:38,640
Speaker 1: six and oh chapter six was terrible, but remember chapter one,

1186
01:02:38,640 --> 01:02:41,680
Speaker 1: two and three. Last year was chapter one. Is Chapter

1187
01:02:41,720 --> 01:02:44,040
Speaker 1: two going to be any better. They've recruited like it's

1188
01:02:44,040 --> 01:02:46,360
Speaker 1: going to be a lot better, They've portaled like it's

1189
01:02:46,360 --> 01:02:48,560
Speaker 1: going to be a lot better. The messaging sounds like

1190
01:02:48,600 --> 01:02:50,720
Speaker 1: it's going to be a lot better early returns from

1191
01:02:50,720 --> 01:02:53,680
Speaker 1: Fall Camp. If the media beat can get out off

1192
01:02:53,680 --> 01:02:56,320
Speaker 1: of each other's throats out there and actually cover the

1193
01:02:56,320 --> 01:03:01,960
Speaker 1: football program, it sounds good. It sounds good. I think

1194
01:03:02,000 --> 01:03:05,080
Speaker 1: it's gonna be good. I also think that I could

1195
01:03:05,120 --> 01:03:08,320
Speaker 1: be wrong, And that's the kind of analysis I think

1196
01:03:08,320 --> 01:03:11,240
Speaker 1: that you have come to expect on this show. Eleven

1197
01:03:11,280 --> 01:03:13,560
Speaker 1: and one is in the cards, seven and five is

1198
01:03:13,600 --> 01:03:17,720
Speaker 1: in the cards. Oklahoma is a very very uncertain property.

1199
01:03:17,840 --> 01:03:20,280
Speaker 1: They're a very uncertain team coming into this year. Here's

1200
01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:24,160
Speaker 1: what I am certain about. We kind of think that

1201
01:03:24,200 --> 01:03:26,880
Speaker 1: this is America's college football show. It's not the only one.

1202
01:03:26,880 --> 01:03:28,720
Speaker 1: We want you to listen to. A lot of folks

1203
01:03:28,720 --> 01:03:30,760
Speaker 1: are doing great work out there. Sample at all. This

1204
01:03:30,840 --> 01:03:33,920
Speaker 1: is on demand. It's not like Timeslot World anymore, So

1205
01:03:34,000 --> 01:03:35,960
Speaker 1: go listen to them all. We just want this to

1206
01:03:35,960 --> 01:03:38,120
Speaker 1: be your headquarters, you know, like, let everything else in

1207
01:03:38,160 --> 01:03:40,680
Speaker 1: your life revolve around this one. Subscribe to the channel,

1208
01:03:41,160 --> 01:03:43,400
Speaker 1: podcast and YouTube that's all we need and it will

1209
01:03:43,440 --> 01:03:45,560
Speaker 1: be free to you until the end of time. We

1210
01:03:45,600 --> 01:03:47,960
Speaker 1: want two hundred thousand subs here by the time we

1211
01:03:48,040 --> 01:03:50,280
Speaker 1: kick off week one. I think we can do it.

1212
01:03:50,440 --> 01:03:52,800
Speaker 1: There are some doubters in the building who shan't be named.

1213
01:03:53,080 --> 01:03:56,080
Speaker 1: Don't worry about them, moot point, shut them up. Subscribe

1214
01:03:56,080 --> 01:03:57,840
Speaker 1: to the channel. Thank you so much. We'll be back

1215
01:03:57,840 --> 01:04:00,880
Speaker 1: here same time Tuesday night. The Pates eight store opens

1216
01:04:00,880 --> 01:04:04,880
Speaker 1: at some point this week. Keep your eyes peeled until

1217
01:04:04,960 --> 01:04:08,760
Speaker 1: then for director Colin, for producer Jesse. For a rare

1218
01:04:08,800 --> 01:04:11,840
Speaker 1: on screen appearance by Bradley, the associate Tonight, I'm Josh Pate.

1219
01:04:11,880 --> 01:04:14,000
Speaker 1: Take care, have a great start to your week. God

1220
01:04:14,040 --> 01:04:14,320
Speaker 1: bless