1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:08,799 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. I am sending by 2 00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: now with Bill Ackman. Of course he's the CEO of 3 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: Pershing Square, but also the new executive chair of Howard 4 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 1: Hughes came in this morning with a nine hundred million 5 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 1: dollar deal. Of course, that brings your stake to more 6 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:24,240 Speaker 1: than a billion dollars when you include all of your 7 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:27,480 Speaker 1: affiliates as well. Why you've said you're going to turn 8 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: this into a diversified holding company. You said, this is 9 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 1: the intent to create a modern day Berkshire Hathaway. 10 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 2: How do you plan to make that happen? 11 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 3: Sure, Actually, our steak in the company is much larger. 12 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:41,320 Speaker 3: We talk about a billion two. That's a nine hundred 13 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:45,480 Speaker 3: million dollar investment that's being made by Ryan israel I CIO, 14 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,200 Speaker 3: myself and other Persian Square team members. And on top 15 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 3: of that, our funds own a substantial stake in the company. 16 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 3: So we're on a look through basis well on a 17 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 3: billion two. And our plan is to take this great company, 18 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 3: which has been a real estate development company over its 19 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 3: fourteen year history, and transform it into a diverse fight 20 00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 3: holding company. 21 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 2: That's the business plan. 22 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 3: We're going to do that by buying great, really high quality, 23 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 3: durable growth companies. 24 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: Now it's interesting to the extent that you want this 25 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 1: to be kind of the next Berkshire Hathaway. You know, 26 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 1: we had some amazing news over the weekend here, historic 27 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: really for Berkshire. Buffet's stepping down as the CEO. Have 28 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: you any had any plans to reach out to Buffett 29 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 1: himself to figure out how to do this? 30 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 3: So, first of all, I don't want to say we 31 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 3: want to be the next Berkshire Hathway. Warren Buffet's been 32 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 3: an incredible sort of hero for me. I've learned an 33 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 3: enormous amount watching the creation of Berkshire Hathway over my career, 34 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:44,039 Speaker 3: and he's an aspiration. But you know, how are used 35 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 3: will be something different. We're starting out differently. You know, 36 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 3: Buffett started out with a business with not particularly attractive 37 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 3: long term prospects that he acknowledged. In our case, we're 38 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 3: starting out with a business that has very attractive long 39 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 3: term prospects. It's a wonderful business, but it's not a 40 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 3: business that I would say Wall Street is assigned to 41 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 3: real value to. But it's a very valuable platform. It's 42 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 3: a business is going to generate an enormous amount of 43 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 3: cash over many decades. And what we're going to do 44 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 3: is we're going to take the nine hundred million and 45 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 3: then over time, when and. 46 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 2: If excess cash it gets. 47 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:19,920 Speaker 3: Is created at the real estate subsidiary, then we'll have 48 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,399 Speaker 3: even more flexibility to use that cash over time. And 49 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 3: we've got a good track record investing in the highest 50 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 3: quality growth companies in the world. We're going to do 51 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 3: that on a much smaller scale as a controlling shareholder 52 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 3: at Howard Hughes. 53 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 1: Now you've mentioned also that insurance might be part of 54 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 1: the future in a bigger way for this company. How 55 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: do you plan to expand on that insurance arm and 56 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 1: to the extent that you would be willing to do 57 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 1: M and A what would that entail? 58 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 2: Sure? 59 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 3: So, obviously a Berkshire has had the benefitbuff it's an 60 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 3: amazing investor. But the enhancement to his selection of great 61 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 3: companies and securities is that he's financed that not just 62 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:58,639 Speaker 3: with equity, but very low cost leverage in the form 63 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 3: of insurance flow. That's something obviously that you learn when 64 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:06,280 Speaker 3: you follow Berkshire Hathaway, and interestingly, you know most other 65 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 3: insurance companies are standalone public companies. Here, you have an 66 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 3: insurance company that's a major part of a diverse right 67 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:15,639 Speaker 3: holding company, and that's given Buffet and Berkshire significant advantages 68 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 3: in terms of increasing the flexibility of how that float 69 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 3: can be invested. So that's a model that we're going 70 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:25,640 Speaker 3: to pursue. We're going to likely pursue it by recruiting 71 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:29,360 Speaker 3: a great CEO and a team and building a company 72 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 3: maybe from scratch, maybe from a very small scale. 73 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:35,600 Speaker 2: You know, that's you know, sort of part of the 74 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 2: you know, the business plan. 75 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 1: Now, one big question I'm sure a lot of investors 76 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: have for you is how are you going to ensure 77 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 1: that the Howard Hughes business doesn't compete with Pershing Square, 78 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 1: both in terms of investments as well as your time. 79 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:51,640 Speaker 3: Sure, So, Pershing Square strategy, the strategy of the Pershing 80 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 3: Square funds is to buy minority stakes in large cap 81 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 3: and megacap companies, in great businesses in some cases that 82 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 3: have lost their way, and we can be helpful in 83 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 3: making them more successful, or in great businesses that for 84 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 3: whatever reason the market is not assigning a proper value 85 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 3: or people responding to news unrelated to the business, and those. 86 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 2: Stocks get cheap. 87 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:16,480 Speaker 3: But it's a minority investment strategy in very large companies. 88 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 2: Howard Hughes. 89 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 3: We're going to use Howard Hughes to acquire controlling interests 90 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 3: one hundred percent interests in private companies, maybe some small 91 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 3: cap public companies much smaller scale and controlling interest Now, 92 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 3: what about. 93 00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:33,040 Speaker 1: The rest of Pershing Square as well? A lot of 94 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: people still have a lot of questions. Do you plan 95 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: to still raise money for a closed end fund? 96 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 3: Sure SEC doesn't like to tell us to talk about 97 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 3: potential future offerings, so I have to defer on that one. 98 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 1: So what about for Pershing Square overall? What's the long 99 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:51,040 Speaker 1: term plan? There has been an IPO floated around, but 100 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 1: do you still see yourself getting there? And over what 101 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: kind of timeline? 102 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 3: So the long term plan for Persing Square is to 103 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 3: build is one to deliver great returns for our investors 104 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 3: and our shareholders and the shareholder of Howard Hughes, and 105 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:06,479 Speaker 3: of course that benefits Pershing Square, the person Square funds 106 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 3: because we have a major investment already in Howard Hughes 107 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:13,039 Speaker 3: that we look forward to making more valuable. So that's 108 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:15,600 Speaker 3: kind of our laser focus. I do want to make 109 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 3: Pershing Square an entity that survives. We manage permanent capital, 110 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 3: so it's important that the manager that oversees that permanent 111 00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 3: capital becomes a perpetuity. And while Buffett is ninety four 112 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:32,479 Speaker 3: and still incredibly active, you know, if I want to 113 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:35,159 Speaker 3: compete with that track record over time, it's important that 114 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:37,720 Speaker 3: we set up an entity that can survive of the 115 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 3: very long term. So I don't know exactly what form 116 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:43,120 Speaker 3: that will take. We did sell them minority interest in 117 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 3: Pershing Square to a group of investors last year, and 118 00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 3: we set up an i boartive directors and we really 119 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:53,480 Speaker 3: run Persian Square the management company today almost as if 120 00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 3: it's a public company from a governance and other perspective. 121 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: Now, I want to talk about your portfolio as well 122 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 1: here because with this new company you had mentioned small 123 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 1: and medium sized businesses. Of course, you're exposed to a 124 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 1: large swath of the American economy through Perching Square. 125 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 2: Already. 126 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: How are the tariffs impacting you today and how do 127 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:16,600 Speaker 1: you think that impact will last six months, twelve months 128 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:17,159 Speaker 1: from now? 129 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 3: Sure, So, first we own We try to own businesses 130 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,839 Speaker 3: where no matter what's going on in the world, what 131 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 3: we call extrinsic factors, we can't control whether those some 132 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:31,239 Speaker 3: commodity prices are tariffs excuse me, or a pandemic interest 133 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:33,599 Speaker 3: rate volatility, don't have a material effect on the business. 134 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:35,719 Speaker 3: So we look for what we call durable growth companies. 135 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 3: And these are the kind of businesses we're going to 136 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 3: try to find. For Howard Hughes, they're very much insulated 137 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 3: from things macro. Obviously they do better. Every business does 138 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 3: better in a positive growth environment, does worse in a 139 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 3: weakening growth environment. But our companies today, other than Nike, 140 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:55,159 Speaker 3: I would say, have really not been directly affected by tariffs. 141 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 3: Although market prices move up and down based on uncertainty. 142 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 2: Does that not bother you? 143 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 3: Though? No, it doesn't bother me. Look, the President has 144 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:07,159 Speaker 3: an objective here, right. It's critically important for the United 145 00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 3: States strategically and defensively for us to know source certain 146 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 3: key products in the United States, have them be manufactured here, 147 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 3: whether those of pharmaceutical ingredients or stuff we need to 148 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 3: defend the country, to build weapons, AI anything AI related semiconductors, 149 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 3: and so creating the incentive for those important high value 150 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 3: manufacturing and other activities happening here. 151 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 2: I think it's critically important. 152 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 3: You know, for eighty years you know, beginning after World 153 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 3: War Two, the United States, you know, helped save the 154 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 3: world and then help save the world economically and allowed 155 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 3: for trade barriers. 156 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 2: To be built up over time. 157 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 3: That's allowed Asia, excuse me, countries in Asia Europe to 158 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:55,240 Speaker 3: marshall plant etcetera, to recover, and then over time those 159 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 3: tariff barriers have remained even as those countries have become 160 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 3: very aggressive competitors the United States. Think the Japanese auto 161 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 3: industry and how it is really dominated US auto industry 162 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 3: over time, and it's time for those trade barriers to 163 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 3: come down. And the President is using tariffs in a 164 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 3: tactical way to address those trade barriers, which are not 165 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 3: just tariffs, but there are other things that make it 166 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:21,080 Speaker 3: difficult for US goods. The other issue is trying to 167 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 3: address is balance of trade. Right, we still have balance 168 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 3: of trade issue. Buffett actually talks about this long term 169 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 3: as a problem and he wants to incentivize companies to 170 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 3: do business in the United States. 171 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 2: Now. 172 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 3: The way he goes about things, as we've seen from 173 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:37,480 Speaker 3: the President, is a bit of a I would call 174 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 3: it shock and awe, which tends to scare people, but 175 00:08:40,480 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 3: ultimately he's. 176 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 2: A deal maker. 177 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 3: He likes to make deals, and I expect, you know, 178 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 3: he did the right thing in pausing tariffs reciprocal tariffs 179 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 3: for ninety days, and I think that gives time to 180 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 3: negotiate with our eighteen largest countries. And I think the 181 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:56,920 Speaker 3: next step probably should be, I call it one hundred 182 00:08:56,920 --> 00:09:00,360 Speaker 3: and eighty day pause, take down the China tariffs. That 183 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:03,320 Speaker 3: will give US businesses that are actually under pressure. There 184 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:05,319 Speaker 3: are a lot of businesses unlike the ones we own, 185 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:07,439 Speaker 3: that are tariff of one hundred and forty five percent 186 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 3: on goods they sourced from China. Can decimate the businesses, 187 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:14,400 Speaker 3: particularly small businesses that don't have the wherewithal to manage 188 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 3: through this period of time. So I think we want 189 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 3: to be economically our strongest when we're negotiating, and the president, 190 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 3: you know, pausing tariffs f one hundred and eighty days 191 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 3: on China sets up a very interesting dynamic where, you know, 192 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:31,440 Speaker 3: puts US really in driver's e Give me one second, 193 00:09:31,480 --> 00:09:33,840 Speaker 3: I want to it's an important point. So right now, 194 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 3: because of the announcement, every business that sources in China's, 195 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:41,960 Speaker 3: every US company, et cetera, is relocating their supply chains 196 00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:44,480 Speaker 3: out of China. That's not going to change even if 197 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:46,360 Speaker 3: the tariffs go from one hundred and forty five percent 198 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 3: down to ten or down to twenty percent. So once 199 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 3: we pause, China is under enormous pressure to make China 200 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:56,679 Speaker 3: a good place to do business, to eliminate these kind 201 00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 3: of trade barriers, and I think at enabling a very 202 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:00,679 Speaker 3: successful negotiation. 203 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:03,840 Speaker 1: So you were among the first to advocate for that 204 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: ninety day pause. Did you talk to anybody in the 205 00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 1: Trump administration or the President himself? 206 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 2: And are you in talks with him about. 207 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 1: This one hundred and eighty day pause? So you post 208 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 1: about that online as well, so you are getting more 209 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:17,839 Speaker 1: vocal about this idea kind of happened. 210 00:10:18,520 --> 00:10:21,800 Speaker 3: I think it can certainly happened. And you know, I 211 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 3: heard Scott Bessett was here yesterday. He seemed very constructive 212 00:10:25,640 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 3: on where negotiations are headed. 213 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 2: So we shall see. 214 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:33,559 Speaker 1: But more specifically, is he receptive to your idea? 215 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:35,360 Speaker 3: You know, I don't think it's a good idea for 216 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:38,679 Speaker 3: me to discuss relationships or conversations I have with people 217 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:39,359 Speaker 3: on the administration. 218 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 1: Well, fair enough, do you think that there could be 219 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 1: exemptions made? You mentioned small businesses. This is a part 220 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 1: of the economy that is getting hard hit. You've said 221 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:51,439 Speaker 1: it yourself. How is this a main street strategy If 222 00:10:51,600 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 1: small businesses are getting hit harder than the larger one. 223 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 3: Sometimes you have to have some short term pain to 224 00:10:57,200 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 3: get a much better long term outlook. But I think 225 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 3: the President has made his points clear, and I do 226 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 3: think it's important to kind of, you know, pause the 227 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:10,200 Speaker 3: China terriffs. That will take the pressure immediately off of 228 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:12,840 Speaker 3: kind of the smaller businesses. And you know it's not 229 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:14,720 Speaker 3: just affecting small but no, by the way, there are 230 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 3: some positive effects from the China terriffs, which you know 231 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:22,640 Speaker 3: a number of US manufacturers, many are doing very well 232 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 3: because of course people are looking to source product in 233 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:26,679 Speaker 3: this country. To the extent something's made in China before 234 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:30,120 Speaker 3: and there's someone you can source from in America, you're 235 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 3: banging down the door to do. 236 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:33,440 Speaker 2: Business with them here. 237 00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:35,839 Speaker 3: So there is a big boost to a meaningful number 238 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 3: of small, medium size, and large businesses that manufacture in 239 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 3: the US. But there is a negative effect on companies 240 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:45,719 Speaker 3: that don't have that flexibility or the nimbleness to move 241 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:47,640 Speaker 3: their supply chains quickly. 242 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 2: That's what I'd like to see avoided. 243 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 1: Do you think that this can be done while avoiding 244 00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:55,640 Speaker 1: a recession. Do you think that a recession is a 245 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 1: foregone conclusion. 246 00:11:56,600 --> 00:11:57,760 Speaker 2: At this point, I don't. 247 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 3: I think I don't think of recessions foregone conclusion, and 248 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:03,240 Speaker 3: I think there are real reasons for optimism. I just 249 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:06,520 Speaker 3: don't want this turbulent period to carry on too long. 250 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:10,440 Speaker 3: I'd like to see deals get announced and progress made, 251 00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 3: and then I think people can start looking beyond the 252 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 3: immediate sixty or ninety days. 253 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:19,439 Speaker 1: You mentioned that even after that sixty ninety, one hundred 254 00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 1: and eighty days that tariffs will. 255 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 2: Still be higher. 256 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:25,400 Speaker 3: I don't know what the ultimate outcome is, and it's 257 00:12:25,440 --> 00:12:28,240 Speaker 3: not just tariffs. You got to look at the overall 258 00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:30,679 Speaker 3: effect of the various trade barriers coming down right there. 259 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,600 Speaker 3: There are countries with low terroiffs but still have enormous 260 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 3: barriers to US goods in their markets, and so it 261 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:40,600 Speaker 3: could absolutely be a lot of reasons for optimism about 262 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 3: the economy. So one, you know the tax bill yesterday, 263 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 3: the treasure Secretary said it could be signed in July fourth. 264 00:12:49,400 --> 00:12:54,960 Speaker 3: That's a very pro growth initiative. Really, the deregulation process 265 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:59,679 Speaker 3: could be very pro growth for the country. Inflation has 266 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:05,160 Speaker 3: really come down meaningfully energy prices, gas prices, egg prices. Right, 267 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 3: that's a very positive thing, uh, you know, for you know, 268 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:10,480 Speaker 3: for our economy. 269 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:10,960 Speaker 2: And for the consumer. 270 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,559 Speaker 3: I think the only thing that we suffer from right 271 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 3: now of substance economically is the inherent uncertainty about the 272 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 3: terriff situation. I think the sooner that's resolved, the more 273 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 3: that the economy can can move forward it. And there's 274 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,320 Speaker 3: also reasons for optimism kind of geopolitically, you know. I 275 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 3: think it's likely will uh you know, we'll have I 276 00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:33,440 Speaker 3: think the Ukraine Russia war can get resolved this calendar year, 277 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 3: and hopefully sooner rattan later. I think the Middle East 278 00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 3: can be the temperature can come way down once we 279 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:43,800 Speaker 3: resolve by negotiation or otherwise, the Iranian situation. So I'm 280 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:46,800 Speaker 3: an optimist, and I've always been an optimist about our country. 281 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 1: So before I let you go, also, I want to 282 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:51,680 Speaker 1: have you weigh in on what's happening between Harvard and 283 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 1: the Trump administration as well, because this morning you would 284 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:57,680 Speaker 1: call it for the resignation of Penny Pritzker from Harvard's board. 285 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 1: Now have you talked to her, her or any of 286 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:02,559 Speaker 1: the other board members, So. 287 00:14:02,520 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 3: I spoke to her, you know, very early on, in 288 00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:09,000 Speaker 3: the midst of the events after on campus, after October seventh. 289 00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 3: They've only spoken to her once. And by the way, 290 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 3: I don't know. Well, I'm sure she's a lovely person, 291 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 3: but at some point you have to accountability for what's 292 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 3: gone on at Harvard, and I've not seen any accountability 293 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 3: at the governance level. 294 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 2: You know. 295 00:14:21,760 --> 00:14:23,960 Speaker 3: The notion that she's still sharing the Harvard board and 296 00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:27,160 Speaker 3: leading the charge here, I think is a big negative. 297 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 3: And I think they've mismanaged the relationship with the administration 298 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 3: in a way that's enormously economically costly to Harvard and 299 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 3: funding at Harvard. And you need a new face at 300 00:14:38,360 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 3: the top of the just even to make a deal right. 301 00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 3: And again, I go to the corporate Harvard's the oldest 302 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 3: corporation in America. 303 00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:47,440 Speaker 2: Go to any other corporation. 304 00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 3: If they managed the last you know, eighteen months the 305 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 3: way that they managed, there would be a new there 306 00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:54,800 Speaker 3: would be a new chair, and there would be a 307 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 3: new CEO in place. The new CEO is there, but 308 00:14:57,600 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 3: he's more interim. But they've done nothing in terms of 309 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:02,000 Speaker 3: accountability at the board level. 310 00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 1: Has the ship sailed for Harvard in terms of a 311 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:07,320 Speaker 1: potential negotiation with the administration. 312 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 3: No, and I would love to be helpful there. You know, 313 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 3: I care enormously about the institution. I want Harvard to succeed. 314 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,200 Speaker 3: I think the president has a number of very key 315 00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:18,120 Speaker 3: issues that are critical. It's not just the issue of 316 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:23,080 Speaker 3: antisemitism and Prohomas issues on campus. He makes some very 317 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:25,920 Speaker 3: good points about bureaucratic waste at the institution. 318 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 2: You know, I. 319 00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 3: Believe that if taxpayers are funding a private institution like Harvard, 320 00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:36,320 Speaker 3: and particularly one that has a massive endowment, the university 321 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 3: is a fiduciary for those funds. And if they're wasting 322 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:43,480 Speaker 3: money on overhead and bureaucracy that really is interfering or 323 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 3: certainly not enhancing education, they should do something about it. 324 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 2: Harvard should. Education is about being. 325 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 3: Exposed to diverse views, and if you know, university, as 326 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:55,120 Speaker 3: I've said, becomes a political advocacy organization, you know, query 327 00:15:55,160 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 3: whether it should be getting taxpayer support. 328 00:15:57,640 --> 00:15:59,320 Speaker 1: Well, we thank you so much for joining us here, 329 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:01,120 Speaker 1: and said that has been Ackman, who of course is 330 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 1: the CEO of Persian Square as well as the new 331 00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 1: executive chair of Howard Hugh's fresh off of a deal 332 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 1: just this morning,