WEBVTT - Surveillance: Virus Response With Mayor Gimenez

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<v Speaker 1>Ye, Welcome to the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene.

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<v Speaker 1>Daily we bring you insight from the best in economics, finance, investment,

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<v Speaker 1>and international relations. Find Bloomberg Surveillance on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot Com, and of course on the Bloomberg. There

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<v Speaker 1>is Miami Beach, there is Miami, and there's Miami Dade County.

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<v Speaker 1>And you have a mayor with experience with the labor

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<v Speaker 1>of the city of the county in the fire department,

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<v Speaker 1>and you have the experience of Little Havanna. Carlos Amanez

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<v Speaker 1>joins us right now, the mayor of Miami Dade County,

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<v Speaker 1>Mr Mayor, wonderful to have you with us. I need

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<v Speaker 1>an immediate update from your little Havana down to the

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<v Speaker 1>south across all of your county. Give us a virus update.

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<v Speaker 1>On this Tuesday, we have a Paul activity rate depending

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<v Speaker 1>on who you look at around we have about people

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<v Speaker 1>in the in the hospital right now, about five hundred

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<v Speaker 1>people and are in ic u s and about three

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<v Speaker 1>hundred people are on ventilators. That's you know, the highs

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<v Speaker 1>that we've had here. But the good news, the good

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<v Speaker 1>news if you can set there news year is that

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<v Speaker 1>it looks like the rate of increase has decreased, and

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<v Speaker 1>so hopefully we're reaching the hotel. So that's that's what's

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<v Speaker 1>going on in Miami Day County right now, Mr Mayor,

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<v Speaker 1>and our discussions on Bloomberg surveillance this morning. It is

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<v Speaker 1>a Washington going from lunch to another meeting to another

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<v Speaker 1>meeting with the presumed idea of getting to August. How

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<v Speaker 1>urgent is for you for you to see a stimulus

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<v Speaker 1>package now from Washington, I think, well, I know that

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<v Speaker 1>we need a stimulus package because I know that there's

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<v Speaker 1>a bunch of restaurants or a bunch of businesses that

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<v Speaker 1>may not come back right now. What we have closed

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<v Speaker 1>are but wing alleys and casinos and places of assembly.

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<v Speaker 1>They're closed. We have a trying to attack clock purfew

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<v Speaker 1>are the interior spaces of restaurants or clothes or dining

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<v Speaker 1>rooms bars have never opened since the beginning of the pandemic.

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<v Speaker 1>So those kinds of businesses really need a lot of help.

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<v Speaker 1>So h yeah, an economic package to help those are

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<v Speaker 1>unemployed get through this and business owners to come back,

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<v Speaker 1>uh and open their business once they're allowed to open,

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<v Speaker 1>is I think very important. Mary human as your position

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<v Speaker 1>is a nonpartisan one, but you've self identified as a

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<v Speaker 1>Republican and as a Republican, how do you feel about

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<v Speaker 1>the response to the virus, both nationally by President Trump

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<v Speaker 1>as well as more locally with Governor Rhonda Santis. I

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<v Speaker 1>have no problem with them. We get we get the

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<v Speaker 1>resources that we need here uh in Miami day the

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<v Speaker 1>governor has been excellent with us. Actually, we've asked for

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<v Speaker 1>additional medical personnel to help staff and supplant some of

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<v Speaker 1>our medical personnel that have actually gotten sick of the

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<v Speaker 1>virus to keep it open, to expand our capacity. We've

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<v Speaker 1>been able to do that. He's allowed us to have

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<v Speaker 1>a certain level of autonomy down here because things are

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit different in Southeast Florida than they are

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<v Speaker 1>in the rest of the state. So I have no

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<v Speaker 1>problem with what the governor is has done and so

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<v Speaker 1>like it's just this was it got out of hand.

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<v Speaker 1>We had it under control, and then sometime in June,

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<v Speaker 1>young people started doing what young people do, I guess,

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<v Speaker 1>and they went out and started the party and gotten

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<v Speaker 1>together and UH and people and families got together. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit different down here. Families are here, the

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<v Speaker 1>core family is here and so we get together a

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<v Speaker 1>lot more often, and then it started this the spread.

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<v Speaker 1>We can I think we can get this under control.

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<v Speaker 1>And like I said, I think it's plateauing and uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, and it's up to it. Really, it's up

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<v Speaker 1>to the individual person us. You know, this, this this

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic is about us, okay, and the actions that we take,

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<v Speaker 1>as you know, as Americans and a citizens, Mr. Mayor,

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<v Speaker 1>without a doubt it personal responsibility, without a doubt. It

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<v Speaker 1>has to do with social distancing and mask wearing. But

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<v Speaker 1>that said, the virus has no borders. How important is

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<v Speaker 1>there for to be some sort of nationally coordinated effort

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<v Speaker 1>to prevent the virus from simply migrating from one state

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<v Speaker 1>to another as families want to get together. Well, the

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<v Speaker 1>problem is is you know, it's it's that's easier said

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<v Speaker 1>than done, number one, all right, and uh and two

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<v Speaker 1>we uh you know, we've even closed our our hotels.

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<v Speaker 1>Even though our hotels are open now, we're not getting

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<v Speaker 1>too many people from outside our Our airport is down

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<v Speaker 1>about one tenth of its normal activity. And so it's

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<v Speaker 1>not this cross contamination of people coming into Miami, Dad. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it was here, and then once the social activity started,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a highly contagious, you know, disease. And so all

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<v Speaker 1>of the South, you know, the southern portion of the

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<v Speaker 1>United States is getting enough techniqually because we're we're reversed.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, in the North, you're you're indoors in the

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<v Speaker 1>winter and you're outdoors in the summer. In the South,

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<v Speaker 1>because it's hot, you're outdoors of the winter and you're

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<v Speaker 1>indoors in the summer, And so I think that that's

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<v Speaker 1>has something to do with it too. So, Mr Mayor,

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<v Speaker 1>the childhood of your little Havana, I'm going to guess

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<v Speaker 1>nobody there cared about the payroll tax uh program the

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<v Speaker 1>president is talking about. Now, can you support your president

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<v Speaker 1>wanting a payroll tax policy in this next stimulus I'm sorry,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm look, I don't I haven't heard that, So I

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<v Speaker 1>can't really give you a good opinion on one way

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<v Speaker 1>or the other what the plans are. I know that

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<v Speaker 1>the people here in Miami Dade they need help, especially

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<v Speaker 1>those that are unemployed. Are restaurant industry, bar industry, nightclub industry.

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<v Speaker 1>They're all been hard hit because they're closed. So those

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<v Speaker 1>folks that are now unemployed and needs some money in

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<v Speaker 1>their pocket. And those business owners need some kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a help to get them back. And we were able

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<v Speaker 1>to open to get them back and get employ those

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<v Speaker 1>people and then get back to a normal and the

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<v Speaker 1>fast we get back to that normal of the better

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<v Speaker 1>will be. And yeah, you need, you need, Mr Mayor,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you for your straight talk, Lisa John and I

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<v Speaker 1>look forward to bringing Bloomberg surveillance to Miami Dade County.

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<v Speaker 1>We're thinking the second week in March. Carlos Amenace with

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<v Speaker 1>the Miami Dade County of course their mayor right now

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<v Speaker 1>on the virus, I want to do something different. We love.

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<v Speaker 1>We talked to a lot of fancy people at Johns Hopkins,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Hotels, Donna Baylor, and of course we talked to

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<v Speaker 1>Deborah Fuller of microbiology at the acclaimed University of Washington

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<v Speaker 1>School of Medicine. I can't say enough about her accolades.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Fuller. I want to talk about the guys in

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<v Speaker 1>the trenches, the people working for you, and I want

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<v Speaker 1>to focus on Jesse Erasmus, who's one of these people

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<v Speaker 1>where we're all going yeah, yeah, yeah yeah, And someone

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<v Speaker 1>like Jesse Erasmus is the doing of finding a vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>in your case with primates. What does Mr Erasmus do

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<v Speaker 1>every day? Yeah? Dr Rasmus is a post doctoral scholar

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<v Speaker 1>in my laboratory and he's he's really a superstar. He

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<v Speaker 1>actually just joined my laboratory in January, and that's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>when the sequence for stars covie to the virus that

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<v Speaker 1>causes COVID nineteen was published and he messaged me, I

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<v Speaker 1>think it was in the middle of the night sometimes, hey,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, can we make this vaccine? You know, because

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<v Speaker 1>our laboratory works on RNA and DNA vaccines and which

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<v Speaker 1>only really require the sequence of the virus to make.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm like, well sure, so I mean within a

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<v Speaker 1>week he had a you know, a series of vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>designed and was already immunizing animals with him within three weeks.

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, so he he's the superstar. Well he's been

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<v Speaker 1>there in the every day. Yeah, he is a superstar.

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<v Speaker 1>Like on the top I'm hotspurs in England. I get that.

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<v Speaker 1>But Deborah Fuller or Jesse Erasmus, what would you say

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<v Speaker 1>to the president today is he starts his virus press conference,

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<v Speaker 1>You guys are the doing of it. What do you

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<v Speaker 1>say to any given politician. Yeah, I don't really get

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<v Speaker 1>so much into into politics, I guess, but in that regard,

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<v Speaker 1>but certainly I think that, you know, we really need

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<v Speaker 1>to continue to uh to address this pandemic, and just

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<v Speaker 1>in the court obviously the research behind it, not just

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<v Speaker 1>for for vaccines, which obviously is going to be critical

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<v Speaker 1>for for shutting down the pandemic, but you know, also

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<v Speaker 1>to follow the science in terms of how the virus

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<v Speaker 1>is transmitted and what we can do to to reduce

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<v Speaker 1>that transmission and to control and until you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>have a vaccine, UM, we're going to all have to

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<v Speaker 1>work together as a public uh to wear masks to uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, follow the guidelines of the health care professionals

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<v Speaker 1>and scientists as to how best control of this. Dr Fuller,

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<v Speaker 1>when will we get a vaccine that can actually be

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<v Speaker 1>widely enough distributed to put an end to the pandemic. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the last few weeks in terms of vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>research has been really uh you know, you're really groundbreaking.

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<v Speaker 1>There are four uh manuscripts published in the last uh

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<v Speaker 1>four weeks on clinical trial results from uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>from Fiser, from mcderna, from buy in Tech, um number

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<v Speaker 1>of different companies including the Oxford University with in coverage

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<v Speaker 1>with Astra Zeneca and another group out in China, and

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<v Speaker 1>all of the data are indicating positive results in those

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<v Speaker 1>first initial UH clinical trials phase one. In phase two

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<v Speaker 1>that they're getting uh you know, uh serial conversion antibody

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<v Speaker 1>responses in these UH subjects as well as testyle responses,

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<v Speaker 1>and all of the data has supported them continuing forward

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<v Speaker 1>into the next phase of their clinical rouse And this

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<v Speaker 1>is really critical because this is you know, the steps

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<v Speaker 1>that you have to take before you can bring a

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine into the market. You have to confirm that they're safe.

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<v Speaker 1>We have to confirm that they're effective in initial clinical trials.

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<v Speaker 1>And so all of these groups met their endpoints are

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<v Speaker 1>benchmarks to be able to move on to the next step.

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<v Speaker 1>And so the trajectory right now is like prediction is

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<v Speaker 1>like early one late even you know, some people are

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<v Speaker 1>projecting even uh you know late you know, right before one,

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<v Speaker 1>that maybe they'll have some of the initial vaccines uh

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<v Speaker 1>seven hundred millions of doses going into into into the public.

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<v Speaker 1>So but you know, it means to be seen. There's

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<v Speaker 1>always potentially some other hiccup. They still have some additional

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<v Speaker 1>phases to pass before we can bring in uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>out to the public. We'll talk. Let's talk about what

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<v Speaker 1>we need still need to learn as we investigate and

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<v Speaker 1>research this particular virus. Do we have a firm handle

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<v Speaker 1>on how the immune system responds to this virus and

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<v Speaker 1>why this particular one as unique. Yeah, we don't have

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<v Speaker 1>a firm hand on that. One of the couple of

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<v Speaker 1>things that we're learning are two important aspects with regard

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<v Speaker 1>to vaccine development. And one is that in uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>convalescent patients, we're seeing in a more rapid waning of

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<v Speaker 1>antibody responses uh than we had hoped for, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and that means that possibly the the just getting infected

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<v Speaker 1>itself may not build up immunity, might need to have

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<v Speaker 1>uh you know, even if you were infected before, I

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<v Speaker 1>still have to get the vaccine um. From the perspective

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine side, we don't know whether the vaccines are going

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<v Speaker 1>to do better than that. We try to make vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>do better than nature. But so you know, in most

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<v Speaker 1>of all of these clinical trials to date have not

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<v Speaker 1>followed uh, the immune response long enough to know whether

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<v Speaker 1>or not the vaccine is going to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>do better than that. A second piece is really exciting, actually,

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<v Speaker 1>I think, is that there's data emerging that another type

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<v Speaker 1>of immune response, stellular immunity T cells that can act

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<v Speaker 1>you see and eliminate infected cells from the body are

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<v Speaker 1>because they're fighting. That's correlating their associated with better recovery.

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<v Speaker 1>And people who have become infected with COVID nineteen, if

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<v Speaker 1>they had better T cell responses, they can have less

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<v Speaker 1>disease and recover more quickly. And that means that's the

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<v Speaker 1>kind of immune response that we're likely going to want

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<v Speaker 1>to Also have our vaccines induce both T cells as

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<v Speaker 1>well as antibody, and both those types of immune responses

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<v Speaker 1>may be able to work together to to provide a

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<v Speaker 1>more effective protection to Those two final points are absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>critical and we look forward to counting on the conversation

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<v Speaker 1>with you. Thank you for joining us today. Full of

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<v Speaker 1>that University of Washington School of Medicine, micro Biology professor.

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<v Speaker 1>Part of this is about academics. He is from one

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<v Speaker 1>of our most esteemed families, three generation of public service

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<v Speaker 1>and academics. Is grandfather at the acclaimed Middlesex School outside Boston.

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<v Speaker 1>His father our ambassador to Sri Lanka and now he

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<v Speaker 1>serves a nation as a senator from Maryland. Christ Van Holland,

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<v Speaker 1>the Democrat, joins us right now, Chris, this is gonna

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<v Speaker 1>be really interesting. And to me, it's almost cultural warfare

0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:24.720
<v Speaker 1>and economics. Miss Shelton has her own qualifications and many

0:13:24.840 --> 0:13:31.120
<v Speaker 1>say they simply don't fit the job. Where is she deficient? Well,

0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:35.880
<v Speaker 1>I think she's primarily deficient in two areas. One is

0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:41.920
<v Speaker 1>her economic theory, which is way outside the mainstream, which

0:13:42.040 --> 0:13:45.920
<v Speaker 1>is great for private conversation and writing columns. But we're

0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 1>talking about the Federal Reserve, the machinery of the US

0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:52.680
<v Speaker 1>economy at least a big part of it. And so

0:13:53.120 --> 0:13:55.280
<v Speaker 1>when she talks about you know, going back to the

0:13:56.320 --> 0:14:01.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, gold standard, when she talks about anything's rid

0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:04.920
<v Speaker 1>of things like federal deposit insurance. Uh, these are things

0:14:05.000 --> 0:14:08.280
<v Speaker 1>that are pretty scary. The other piece to this is

0:14:08.320 --> 0:14:11.400
<v Speaker 1>if you look at her statements over a period of time,

0:14:11.440 --> 0:14:14.760
<v Speaker 1>at least over the last ten to fifteen years, the

0:14:14.760 --> 0:14:19.000
<v Speaker 1>only pattern is a political one. She criticized for Nankee

0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:22.600
<v Speaker 1>and yelling for the measures they took at the Federal Reserve.

0:14:23.280 --> 0:14:26.640
<v Speaker 1>She was very opposed to lower interest rates. But now

0:14:26.680 --> 0:14:30.040
<v Speaker 1>that President Trump has been calling for lower interest rates,

0:14:30.120 --> 0:14:33.400
<v Speaker 1>all of a sudden, Uh, there she is, uh, you know,

0:14:33.960 --> 0:14:37.440
<v Speaker 1>calling for the same. So at the Federal Reserve, we

0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:40.840
<v Speaker 1>really want independence. And I think what we're getting here

0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:44.440
<v Speaker 1>is somebody who's more political than anybody we've seen, at

0:14:44.520 --> 0:14:48.400
<v Speaker 1>least in my time on the Federal Reserve. So sentence,

0:14:48.480 --> 0:14:50.760
<v Speaker 1>it's not the more important dimension here, is not the

0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:54.440
<v Speaker 1>canidar of the candidate. It's eros eroding the perception of

0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:58.200
<v Speaker 1>central bank independence. Well, that is a big part of it,

0:14:58.240 --> 0:15:03.040
<v Speaker 1>and that's why you had republic con senators also opposing

0:15:03.080 --> 0:15:05.880
<v Speaker 1>the nomination. Apparently something has changed in the last couple

0:15:05.880 --> 0:15:07.760
<v Speaker 1>of months. I don't know if the White House brought

0:15:07.760 --> 0:15:11.520
<v Speaker 1>political pressure to bear or what, but the reality is,

0:15:11.560 --> 0:15:13.280
<v Speaker 1>if you go back and look at the statements of

0:15:13.320 --> 0:15:17.720
<v Speaker 1>my Republican Senate colleagues, they expressed exactly the same concerns

0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:22.720
<v Speaker 1>um and so this is a very worrisome development because

0:15:22.800 --> 0:15:25.240
<v Speaker 1>we don't want someone at the Fed who is a

0:15:25.280 --> 0:15:29.840
<v Speaker 1>political rubber stamp for for anybody, in this case the president. Senator.

0:15:29.960 --> 0:15:32.640
<v Speaker 1>You could argue that there already has been a blurring

0:15:32.640 --> 0:15:35.560
<v Speaker 1>of the line between the federals, or between monetary and

0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:38.640
<v Speaker 1>fiscal policy and an attempt to combat the effects of

0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:41.440
<v Speaker 1>the coronavirus. I know that there is a Congressional commission

0:15:41.720 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 1>questioning the use of federal funding to buy corporate bonds

0:15:45.520 --> 0:15:48.880
<v Speaker 1>by the Federal Reserve. How concerned are you about that

0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:51.880
<v Speaker 1>being a precedent going forward given some of the plans

0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:56.160
<v Speaker 1>that have been implemented this year. Well, the the issue

0:15:56.240 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 1>with the FEDS actions when it comes to corporate bond

0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:03.640
<v Speaker 1>purchases really goes to the gray line between what is

0:16:03.680 --> 0:16:05.880
<v Speaker 1>their authority and not their authority. I think the FED

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:09.720
<v Speaker 1>has overall done a good job during this period of time.

0:16:09.760 --> 0:16:12.320
<v Speaker 1>I think there are legitimate questions to be asked regarding

0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:15.920
<v Speaker 1>their purchase of junk bonds UH and especially the question

0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:19.360
<v Speaker 1>about whether or not they're purchasing bonds from companies that

0:16:19.480 --> 0:16:24.200
<v Speaker 1>were already in trouble and very over leverage before the

0:16:24.360 --> 0:16:28.000
<v Speaker 1>coronavirus hit. What we need to be focused on is

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:30.960
<v Speaker 1>is really helping companies that have been hard hit because

0:16:31.040 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 1>the coronavirus, not that not those that you know took

0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:38.040
<v Speaker 1>took risks and we're already in trouble before the coronavirus hit.

0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 1>So that's kind of at the intersection of fiscal and

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Fed policy, and it's really goes to the question of

0:16:43.600 --> 0:16:47.040
<v Speaker 1>what the Fed's mandate is. But again, I think if

0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:49.160
<v Speaker 1>you listen to Power when he comes before the Senate,

0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:53.280
<v Speaker 1>he's very careful not to wade too deeply into fiscal policy.

0:16:54.040 --> 0:16:56.160
<v Speaker 1>And you know the FED continues to obviously that have

0:16:56.240 --> 0:17:00.000
<v Speaker 1>jurisdiction over monetary policy. Well, Senate to let's talk about

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 1>fiscal policy. At the moment, there's a two trillion dollar

0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:04.960
<v Speaker 1>spread between what Republicans are looking for and what House

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:07.719
<v Speaker 1>Democrats have asked for and a bill that they've already passed.

0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:09.720
<v Speaker 1>I just wanted to have that narrows in the coming weeks.

0:17:09.760 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 1>Of course, the negotiation begins, and when you start a negotiation,

0:17:13.200 --> 0:17:15.480
<v Speaker 1>you start with your boundaries and your red lines. What's

0:17:15.520 --> 0:17:20.960
<v Speaker 1>your Senator, Well, look, I'm I'm supporting the Heroes Act.

0:17:21.000 --> 0:17:23.680
<v Speaker 1>This is the bill that passed the House weeks ago now,

0:17:23.760 --> 0:17:26.920
<v Speaker 1>and you know, now we're coming down to the um

0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:30.200
<v Speaker 1>last couple of weeks before things like the unemployment insurance

0:17:30.600 --> 0:17:34.639
<v Speaker 1>run out, the enhanced benefit. Uh, so you know, my

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:36.280
<v Speaker 1>my view is we've got to find a way to

0:17:36.320 --> 0:17:39.080
<v Speaker 1>come together. I think the House bill is exactly the

0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:43.240
<v Speaker 1>right starting point. We haven't even heard from Senator McConnell

0:17:43.600 --> 0:17:46.720
<v Speaker 1>and the White House in other than a few press statements.

0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:50.200
<v Speaker 1>So hopefully today and tomorrow we'll be able to get

0:17:50.200 --> 0:17:52.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot more definition as to what they want to do.

0:17:55.119 --> 0:17:58.360
<v Speaker 1>I looked a senator at this fiscal debate, and it's

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:01.719
<v Speaker 1>an overlay upon over I want you to explain, as

0:18:01.760 --> 0:18:05.280
<v Speaker 1>a reasonable guy from Maryland, how the nation absorbs a

0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:09.200
<v Speaker 1>four and on its way to five trillion dollar deficit?

0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:13.560
<v Speaker 1>Scoop Jackson, Hubert Humphrey would be appalled. Christ LBJ would

0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 1>be appalled. How how did democrats adapt and adjust to

0:18:17.680 --> 0:18:22.800
<v Speaker 1>the deficit that is to come? Well in this case, Uh,

0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:27.439
<v Speaker 1>you know that the challenge we faces if doing nothing

0:18:27.760 --> 0:18:32.480
<v Speaker 1>um and allowing the economy to say totally of course

0:18:32.560 --> 0:18:36.879
<v Speaker 1>also has a huge negative deficit impact. Right, So in

0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 1>this case, we're spending money to try and keep afloat

0:18:41.359 --> 0:18:44.920
<v Speaker 1>and so there's no doubt that this is going to

0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:49.280
<v Speaker 1>add trillions to our our our deficit. I've been one

0:18:49.359 --> 0:18:51.919
<v Speaker 1>of those, I've been one of those who have argued

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:53.959
<v Speaker 1>that we need to be uh you know, prudent here

0:18:54.000 --> 0:18:56.639
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to deficits. I think we're gonna have

0:18:56.680 --> 0:18:58.840
<v Speaker 1>to look at a variety of things. As you know

0:18:58.960 --> 0:19:02.440
<v Speaker 1>that the two trillion dollar addition to the deficit from

0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:06.240
<v Speaker 1>the Trump tax cut just put us further in the hole.

0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:09.120
<v Speaker 1>That's that's not my number, that's the Congressional Budget Office

0:19:09.200 --> 0:19:12.359
<v Speaker 1>number over ten years. Uh So, look, we're gonna have

0:19:12.440 --> 0:19:15.000
<v Speaker 1>to We're gonna have to figure this out going forward.

0:19:15.040 --> 0:19:18.400
<v Speaker 1>But uh, probably the worst thing for the deficit at

0:19:18.400 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 1>this point would be for the economy to be even

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:24.120
<v Speaker 1>harder hit. You know. I look at the past here, Senator,

0:19:24.640 --> 0:19:27.159
<v Speaker 1>and I think of Pep Buchanon, Richard Nixon, and of

0:19:27.200 --> 0:19:29.800
<v Speaker 1>course of Maryland, and a gentleman by the name of Agnew.

0:19:30.040 --> 0:19:32.919
<v Speaker 1>I'm assuming Mr Agnew never had lunch with your father.

0:19:33.359 --> 0:19:36.720
<v Speaker 1>But what he did is identify the silent majority. How

0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:41.280
<v Speaker 1>does your candidate, your guy win the silent majority? This

0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:46.080
<v Speaker 1>time around? The president assumes he owns it. Look, I

0:19:46.119 --> 0:19:50.399
<v Speaker 1>think Joe Biden has a reputation and a career for

0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:57.359
<v Speaker 1>really listening to working men and women. Uh, and his policies, uh,

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:01.080
<v Speaker 1>you know come from that that center of his of

0:20:01.240 --> 0:20:04.800
<v Speaker 1>his character, and I believe that at the end of

0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>the day, most Americans, they want that sense of opportunity

0:20:10.119 --> 0:20:13.520
<v Speaker 1>they want a sense that everybody in America can make it. Uh.

0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:16.080
<v Speaker 1>And they also want a sense of decency. I mean,

0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:20.840
<v Speaker 1>they want a president who you know that they can

0:20:21.080 --> 0:20:24.399
<v Speaker 1>they don't have to hide the kids every time the

0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:27.240
<v Speaker 1>president makes a statement. And I do believe that the

0:20:27.320 --> 0:20:33.440
<v Speaker 1>silent majority UM also believe believes that. And I think

0:20:33.480 --> 0:20:35.320
<v Speaker 1>when it comes right down to it, people are going

0:20:35.359 --> 0:20:38.080
<v Speaker 1>to go into that voting booth, uh, and they're going

0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:40.720
<v Speaker 1>to look at the economic platforms of the candidates, and

0:20:40.760 --> 0:20:43.960
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, Biden will do very well there.

0:20:44.000 --> 0:20:46.800
<v Speaker 1>But I also think they're gonna use a measuring stick

0:20:46.840 --> 0:20:50.240
<v Speaker 1>of common decency. Senator, what kind of character do we

0:20:50.280 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 1>want in the White House? Senator? When people go into

0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:53.960
<v Speaker 1>that voting booth, are they going to be voting for

0:20:54.040 --> 0:20:56.960
<v Speaker 1>higher taxes when it comes to a former Vice President

0:20:57.000 --> 0:21:00.720
<v Speaker 1>Biden given the fact this latest proposals do include levying

0:21:01.040 --> 0:21:06.000
<v Speaker 1>higher fees particularly unwealthier individuals, well when it comes to

0:21:06.400 --> 0:21:10.080
<v Speaker 1>very high income individuals. Yes, I mean we just we're

0:21:10.080 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 1>talking about issues of the deficit as well as issues

0:21:13.119 --> 0:21:19.320
<v Speaker 1>of investment in opportunity like education, including early education. Uh.

0:21:19.359 --> 0:21:22.639
<v Speaker 1>And yes, what what Vice President Biden has talked about

0:21:22.760 --> 0:21:26.400
<v Speaker 1>is the folks at the very top can contribute more.

0:21:26.840 --> 0:21:31.520
<v Speaker 1>They got a tax cut under Donald Trump. That really

0:21:31.560 --> 0:21:35.120
<v Speaker 1>that that wasn't something that was needed for the economy. Uh.

0:21:35.160 --> 0:21:39.480
<v Speaker 1>And now we need to make important investments. And so, yes,

0:21:39.720 --> 0:21:42.480
<v Speaker 1>the Vice President has called for a reversal of the

0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:45.200
<v Speaker 1>tax cuts for folks at the very top. I think

0:21:45.200 --> 0:21:48.520
<v Speaker 1>that that position is supported by the overwhelming majority of

0:21:48.560 --> 0:21:50.800
<v Speaker 1>the American people. Said, it's a one final question for you,

0:21:50.840 --> 0:21:53.679
<v Speaker 1>and I know it's something passionate about. It's China and

0:21:53.680 --> 0:21:56.520
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese Communist Party. How difficult is it going to

0:21:56.560 --> 0:21:59.000
<v Speaker 1>be for the former Vice president Joe Biden's convinced the

0:21:59.000 --> 0:22:02.440
<v Speaker 1>electorate that he can't influence the behavior of Beijing after

0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:04.960
<v Speaker 1>being in a government for eight years with President Obama

0:22:04.960 --> 0:22:08.879
<v Speaker 1>and feigning to do so well as as you know,

0:22:08.960 --> 0:22:12.399
<v Speaker 1>when it came to issues of standing up to China

0:22:12.440 --> 0:22:16.439
<v Speaker 1>and human rights and those important issues standing up for

0:22:16.520 --> 0:22:20.640
<v Speaker 1>the principles we believe in. Uh. In fact, the Obama

0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:24.960
<v Speaker 1>Biden administration was much stronger than the Trump administration. I mean,

0:22:24.960 --> 0:22:27.120
<v Speaker 1>we've got a president right now. We know from John

0:22:27.160 --> 0:22:33.359
<v Speaker 1>Bolton's book who essentially praised President Jee's approach to the leaders. Um,

0:22:33.600 --> 0:22:37.159
<v Speaker 1>we know when he was a private citizen. President Trump

0:22:37.320 --> 0:22:41.800
<v Speaker 1>actually was. He was envious of the ability of the

0:22:41.840 --> 0:22:45.119
<v Speaker 1>government of China to crackdown in Tianamen Square. This is

0:22:45.160 --> 0:22:47.280
<v Speaker 1>a president who did not want to stand up to

0:22:47.359 --> 0:22:49.840
<v Speaker 1>China when it came to Hong Kong human rights. That

0:22:50.160 --> 0:22:52.840
<v Speaker 1>the Trump administration opposed the bill that centered to me

0:22:52.880 --> 0:22:56.320
<v Speaker 1>and I had right to the very end. It was

0:22:56.359 --> 0:22:59.960
<v Speaker 1>only because there was an overwhelming bipartisan veto proof majority.

0:23:00.119 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 1>Present signed that bill the other day. So I would

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:06.440
<v Speaker 1>put the Joe Biden record up against Donald Trump when

0:23:06.440 --> 0:23:08.399
<v Speaker 1>it comes to standing up to China any day of

0:23:08.400 --> 0:23:10.600
<v Speaker 1>the week. Senator, what I'd love to do is carry

0:23:10.600 --> 0:23:13.679
<v Speaker 1>on this conversation on China with you, in particular in

0:23:13.680 --> 0:23:15.199
<v Speaker 1>the coming ways. We'd love to get you back on

0:23:15.240 --> 0:23:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Senator Chris van Holland there of Maryland. This is the

0:23:28.920 --> 0:23:33.080
<v Speaker 1>day after European Union leaders agreed on this unprecedented stimulus

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>package with seven dred and fifty billion euros. Well, we

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:40.040
<v Speaker 1>are delighted to be joined now by Paolo Gentiloni. He's

0:23:40.040 --> 0:23:42.880
<v Speaker 1>the EU Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs, and he's

0:23:42.920 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 1>been keeping us abreast of a lot of these situations

0:23:46.119 --> 0:23:48.959
<v Speaker 1>throughout the last couple of weeks and Commissioner, you were

0:23:48.960 --> 0:23:52.119
<v Speaker 1>always optimistic that a deal would be reached. Is it

0:23:52.200 --> 0:23:58.439
<v Speaker 1>the right deal or is this deal enough? It is

0:23:58.480 --> 0:24:04.120
<v Speaker 1>the right deal and it showed that yes we have divisions,

0:24:04.200 --> 0:24:09.840
<v Speaker 1>but Europe is stronger than our divisions. Uh So, something

0:24:10.080 --> 0:24:14.480
<v Speaker 1>unprecedented will happen in the next UM two or three

0:24:14.560 --> 0:24:19.840
<v Speaker 1>years the European Commission. We will raise hundreds of billions

0:24:19.880 --> 0:24:25.240
<v Speaker 1>of euros in the markets and distribute them in grants

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:30.439
<v Speaker 1>and loans to member states. And this is really something

0:24:30.600 --> 0:24:36.120
<v Speaker 1>changing the perspective of our solidarity in the Union. UM

0:24:36.280 --> 0:24:46.600
<v Speaker 1>Commissioner one world countries actually see disbursements from the fund. Well,

0:24:46.800 --> 0:24:52.480
<v Speaker 1>countries that will reach the higher level of disbursement will

0:24:52.520 --> 0:24:57.320
<v Speaker 1>be the more affected countries, and the timing will be

0:24:58.240 --> 0:25:03.920
<v Speaker 1>next year. UM. We need time for final approvement from

0:25:04.000 --> 0:25:07.960
<v Speaker 1>National Parliament, and we need time to raise in the

0:25:08.080 --> 0:25:11.760
<v Speaker 1>markets this amount of money, and we need time to

0:25:11.800 --> 0:25:16.720
<v Speaker 1>have plans from member states that should be coordinated and

0:25:16.840 --> 0:25:22.920
<v Speaker 1>towards our strategic priorities. We can't spend this huge amount

0:25:22.960 --> 0:25:28.800
<v Speaker 1>of money without having a more competitive and more sustainable

0:25:28.840 --> 0:25:33.080
<v Speaker 1>European economy. The Recovery Fund will be financed by seven

0:25:33.760 --> 0:25:37.000
<v Speaker 1>and fifty billion years in joint the issued bonds. Is

0:25:37.000 --> 0:25:45.399
<v Speaker 1>this the first step towards a safe euro asset? Uh, well,

0:25:45.520 --> 0:25:52.680
<v Speaker 1>it is not the decision that was taken today, honestly, UM. Indeed,

0:25:52.720 --> 0:25:57.080
<v Speaker 1>today several member state stress the fact that this is

0:25:57.320 --> 0:26:01.320
<v Speaker 1>really extraordinary and it is linked to the emergency that

0:26:01.400 --> 0:26:04.560
<v Speaker 1>we are facing. And I think we have to to

0:26:04.760 --> 0:26:08.440
<v Speaker 1>stay to this decision. Then in the future, I think

0:26:08.520 --> 0:26:13.760
<v Speaker 1>that if this solidarity will work and if we will

0:26:13.840 --> 0:26:18.879
<v Speaker 1>have good results from risk common issuing in the markets,

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:21.920
<v Speaker 1>I think this will be an experience to be used

0:26:21.920 --> 0:26:25.280
<v Speaker 1>also from the Union in the future. But it is

0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:29.280
<v Speaker 1>not the decision we are taking today, UM Commissioner. I

0:26:29.359 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 1>understand there's a lot of cost for celebration and Europiles

0:26:32.760 --> 0:26:35.320
<v Speaker 1>are happy that the continents staying together and that it

0:26:35.359 --> 0:26:38.920
<v Speaker 1>came to an agreement. But are you concerned that more

0:26:38.920 --> 0:26:41.640
<v Speaker 1>than fifty billion euros will be paid out to fiscal

0:26:41.720 --> 0:26:44.960
<v Speaker 1>hawks in budget robates in order to get them to

0:26:44.960 --> 0:26:55.359
<v Speaker 1>sign this agreement? Oh well, I could. I could not

0:26:55.640 --> 0:27:02.199
<v Speaker 1>remember how many compromises where necessary in these four or

0:27:02.240 --> 0:27:06.760
<v Speaker 1>five days to reach the agreement. So you are mentioning

0:27:06.840 --> 0:27:10.199
<v Speaker 1>one of them, and rightly so. The one on the

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:14.359
<v Speaker 1>so called rebates. Unfortunately, we had also cuts to the

0:27:14.880 --> 0:27:20.440
<v Speaker 1>multi annual financial budget UM. But all in all, I

0:27:20.480 --> 0:27:25.440
<v Speaker 1>think that six months ago the very idea of the

0:27:25.440 --> 0:27:32.080
<v Speaker 1>European Commission managing a financial tool of seven fifty billion,

0:27:32.680 --> 0:27:35.600
<v Speaker 1>which is adding to another one that is called sure

0:27:35.720 --> 0:27:41.520
<v Speaker 1>that is one billion euros and distributing this amount of

0:27:41.600 --> 0:27:46.920
<v Speaker 1>money to member state would have been considered completely crazy.

0:27:46.960 --> 0:27:52.119
<v Speaker 1>So yes, we had compromises to reach the deal, but

0:27:52.280 --> 0:27:57.359
<v Speaker 1>the deal is really extraordinary, so the compromises were worth it.

0:27:57.400 --> 0:27:59.680
<v Speaker 1>I know. They were also compromises on, for example, the

0:27:59.720 --> 0:28:02.600
<v Speaker 1>in sent for climate change, the rule of law linkage

0:28:02.880 --> 0:28:06.440
<v Speaker 1>to the new budget, it was abandoned. Is there any

0:28:06.520 --> 0:28:15.399
<v Speaker 1>chance that the Parliament is actually not happy with this deal? Uh? Well,

0:28:15.440 --> 0:28:19.919
<v Speaker 1>I think that discussion with the Parliament will be essential

0:28:21.640 --> 0:28:28.960
<v Speaker 1>because the parliament criticism is in several of these compromises

0:28:29.359 --> 0:28:34.560
<v Speaker 1>fully justified. UM. But also I think we need the

0:28:34.640 --> 0:28:38.440
<v Speaker 1>support of the Parliament to go forward. As far as

0:28:38.440 --> 0:28:43.720
<v Speaker 1>the investment are concerned, yes, we have cuts in some

0:28:43.880 --> 0:28:49.120
<v Speaker 1>investment programs, but at the same time huge part of

0:28:49.160 --> 0:28:53.400
<v Speaker 1>the UH this enormous amount of common money will be

0:28:53.600 --> 0:28:58.280
<v Speaker 1>targeted for investments. So all in all investment will grow,

0:28:58.720 --> 0:29:01.959
<v Speaker 1>and especially in test Man for the Green Deal and

0:29:02.040 --> 0:29:06.000
<v Speaker 1>the digital transition. So as we go through the numbers,

0:29:06.000 --> 0:29:08.200
<v Speaker 1>I think that the fiscal transfer will be of about

0:29:08.240 --> 0:29:10.960
<v Speaker 1>zero point seven or zero point five percent of GDP,

0:29:11.280 --> 0:29:14.520
<v Speaker 1>but below one percent of GDP in terms of fiscal transfers.

0:29:14.800 --> 0:29:17.800
<v Speaker 1>Do you think will be enough overall to deal with

0:29:17.800 --> 0:29:24.720
<v Speaker 1>with the kind of crisis that we're facing. Oh? Well,

0:29:24.840 --> 0:29:30.760
<v Speaker 1>until now we had four percent of GDP UH in

0:29:31.520 --> 0:29:38.440
<v Speaker 1>expenditures from the Member States UM and even twenty five

0:29:39.440 --> 0:29:46.560
<v Speaker 1>of GDP in guarantees and liquidity measures from Member States UH.

0:29:46.600 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 1>This is something completely different and new because it is

0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:59.280
<v Speaker 1>common money addressed to UH countries and realities in deeper difficulty,

0:30:00.040 --> 0:30:06.720
<v Speaker 1>and common money to support our strategic priorities. So the

0:30:06.800 --> 0:30:11.200
<v Speaker 1>commitment of member states and the European commitment are combining

0:30:11.240 --> 0:30:16.200
<v Speaker 1>themselves to have I think a strong recovery. So this

0:30:17.120 --> 0:30:22.200
<v Speaker 1>percentage of common initiative is adding up to a strong

0:30:22.800 --> 0:30:27.360
<v Speaker 1>member state initiative. But it is absolutely crucial to avoid

0:30:27.600 --> 0:30:32.520
<v Speaker 1>differences among different parts of Europe more or less affected

0:30:33.080 --> 0:30:38.800
<v Speaker 1>by the pandemic. Commission, do you think that this fund

0:30:39.280 --> 0:30:43.120
<v Speaker 1>will actually deactivate some of the euro skepticism that we've

0:30:43.160 --> 0:30:50.480
<v Speaker 1>seen in certain European countries. UM. I do think so,

0:30:51.360 --> 0:30:58.280
<v Speaker 1>because the message of this initiative is that UM, in

0:30:58.360 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 1>front of this pandemic crisis, you can't have winners and losers,

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:10.120
<v Speaker 1>and you should react as a community. And this is

0:31:10.160 --> 0:31:15.160
<v Speaker 1>also a message of Europe protecting its citizens and it

0:31:15.320 --> 0:31:22.120
<v Speaker 1>is absolutely what is needed to UM weaken the euro

0:31:22.200 --> 0:31:30.720
<v Speaker 1>skepticism and the nationalistic positions in member states. Mr Paulo Gentiloni,

0:31:30.760 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much, as always for giving us a

0:31:32.360 --> 0:31:34.320
<v Speaker 1>little bit of your time on Bloomberg TV. He's the

0:31:34.360 --> 0:31:38.200
<v Speaker 1>you Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs. After this landmark

0:31:38.240 --> 0:31:43.280
<v Speaker 1>deal that was reached by European Union leaders, thanks for

0:31:43.360 --> 0:31:47.760
<v Speaker 1>listening to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast. Subscribe and listen to

0:31:47.920 --> 0:31:53.680
<v Speaker 1>interviews on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whichever podcast platform you prefer.

0:31:54.200 --> 0:31:57.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm on Twitter at Tom Keane before the podcast. You

0:31:57.560 --> 0:32:01.000
<v Speaker 1>can always catch us worldwide. I'm Bloomberg Radio.