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Speaker 1: Welcome back to the Fantasy Pros Football Podcast. I'm your host,

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Speaker 1: Bobby Sylvestri. As always, I'm joined by producer GP Gale,

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Speaker 1: and today we have guests Justin McMahan back to help

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Speaker 1: us prepare our DFS lineups for week ten. Justin is

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Speaker 1: the co founder of Daily Fantasy Insider dot com, which

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Speaker 1: is a great website. I love going there. They've been

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Speaker 1: really successful. He's been really successful in the DFS world,

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Speaker 1: having one over a quarter million dollars. Hey, Justin, thanks

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Speaker 1: for joining us. Hey, thanks for having me. I always

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Speaker 1: love coming on. So how have you guys been doing

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Speaker 1: over there. I've I've been watching and seen you're playing

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Speaker 1: a lot more hockey, and I know you're not a

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Speaker 1: big hockey guy, but it seems like you're winning all

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Speaker 1: the time. Yeah, you know. I mean, NBA has been

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Speaker 1: a slow starting sport every season for me, and it's

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Speaker 1: it's just there's a lack of data as the team's

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Speaker 1: changed so much. So I've really just been focusing more

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Speaker 1: on hockey and I still play NBA, but I'm playing

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Speaker 1: a lot more hockey, and like you said, we're having

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Speaker 1: a lot of success. We've just found some cool stats

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Speaker 1: for hockey, and I think there's just a lack of

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Speaker 1: knowledge out there for the most part about any lines

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Speaker 1: beyond the first and second line of any team. I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you I have no knowledge about hockey. But you know,

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Speaker 1: the thing is with basketball, until you get into the season,

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Speaker 1: into the middle of the season, where there's a bunch

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Speaker 1: of people hurt and you've got those cheap value plays,

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Speaker 1: that's when the game gets so much easier and and

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Speaker 1: then you can toss predictable stars out in the lineup

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Speaker 1: right now, which is kind of like baseball, where you know,

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Speaker 1: I know you've had a lot of success in baseball,

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Speaker 1: but it's kind of a crapshoot, Like there's so much

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Speaker 1: volatility in this sport that you just kind of have

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Speaker 1: to hit a bunch of home runs, where later in

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Speaker 1: the basketball season you don't. Fortunately, in football, I think

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Speaker 1: it's the easiest sport to predict. Unfortunately, a lot of

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Speaker 1: people are playing it, so it's a great opportunity for us,

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Speaker 1: and I'm looking forward to getting into it today. So

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Speaker 1: I've been building my lineups today and it just seems

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Speaker 1: to me there's not many cheap plays that I love,

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Speaker 1: Like they're like theyre typically are, and we'll get into

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Speaker 1: the players here in a minute, but I think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a tougher week for cash games. I'll be

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Speaker 1: more in the GPP realm for week ten. Is that

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Speaker 1: what you're seeing too? Yeah, I mean I'm almost always

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Speaker 1: born in the GDP realm, But I actually I really

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Speaker 1: prefer weeks where there aren't a bunch of obvious plays.

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Speaker 1: I really like the slate because I think it just

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Speaker 1: takes more strategy, more in depth research. There's not just

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Speaker 1: I mean, David Johnson is probably the most obvious pick,

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Speaker 1: but there's not guys like West and just just really

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Speaker 1: cheap running back that's that you have to plug in.

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Speaker 1: I think Booker was that guy two weeks ago. We

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Speaker 1: don't really have one of those on the slates, so

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Speaker 1: I think it makes it a more strategic slate for everyone. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it kind of gives you a chance to separate yourself

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Speaker 1: if you've done a lot of research. Otherwise everyone's just saying, hey,

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Speaker 1: play West, play Booker. And oddly those guys have burned

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Speaker 1: us all the last couple of weeks. But I'm not

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Speaker 1: taking back that they were good plays. They definitely were.

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Speaker 1: It just didn't quite work out Booker was pretty good. Actually,

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Speaker 1: I think he had about sixteen seventeen points for three thousand.

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Speaker 1: I mean, if you're getting five times value, you're definitely

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Speaker 1: gonna Undraftkings. He was a phenomenal value. I was disappointed

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Speaker 1: on Fandeled. I always hoping for a real big game, right, Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I mean the thing is we don't it's hard to

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Speaker 1: get a gauge on what the talent level is on

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Speaker 1: these guys, so we know their opportunities will be there,

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Speaker 1: and that's really the You prioritize picking players based on

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Speaker 1: opportunity because you assume all professional athletes are talented and

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Speaker 1: you watch their film. But I mean, even watching film,

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Speaker 1: it's very hard to see how will they fit into

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Speaker 1: this offense against this defense for the first time, and

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Speaker 1: especially with a guy like West who's in a scheme

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Speaker 1: like Kansas City, it doesn't exactly matter. If he's super talented.

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Speaker 1: The game just didn't quite work out. Even if he's

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Speaker 1: not very talented. Look, he's the third best running back

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Speaker 1: on the Chiefs, but if he's getting opportunities in that offense,

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Speaker 1: he's gonna put up points. It just didn't happen. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it was. It was a tough week. I mean I

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Speaker 1: did okay, I cashed minimum cashed on most of my leagues,

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Speaker 1: but I just couldn't get anybody to really go off.

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Speaker 1: I just had a very balanced team of guys who

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Speaker 1: played pretty average. Actually, Colin kaepernickle ended up being one

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Speaker 1: of my best players. He had like four hundred passing yards.

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Speaker 1: I had him on all my lineups. Me too, me too,

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Speaker 1: And I felt real shady about it because he's just

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Speaker 1: been so bad in his career. But it worked out.

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Speaker 1: So hopefully everyone else listening last week played Kaepernick and

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Speaker 1: it worked out for them too. Let's talk about the

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Speaker 1: quarterback position here for this week. Our model shows that

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Speaker 1: Tom Brady is probably the safest play, which is crazy

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Speaker 1: because he's a get Seattle right, But how do you

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Speaker 1: like him in this matchup? Yeah? I mean, he's not

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Speaker 1: necessarily the top guy on our boards, but we do

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Speaker 1: believe he has to be considered every week, regardless of matchups.

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Speaker 1: I mean, based how good the Patriots of look compared

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Speaker 1: to other teams in the NFL. When it comes to dfs,

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Speaker 1: you got to have your own personal strategy. So if

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Speaker 1: you want to pay up at QB, Brady probably is

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Speaker 1: still the top guy. I almost always pay down at QB,

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Speaker 1: so I'll almost definitely not be using him, although the

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Speaker 1: low low ownership that he'll probably come with against Seattle

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Speaker 1: that is temping. So if I was going to pay

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Speaker 1: up at quarterback, I would certainly consider Brady because, like

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Speaker 1: you said, he probably projects as the highest scoring quarterback,

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Speaker 1: not necessarily the best value, but the highest scoring even

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Speaker 1: with a bad matchup, So I'll definitely be I'll consider him. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we do not have him as the highest valued quarterback,

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Speaker 1: but in terms of projected points, he's right up there,

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Speaker 1: twenty two point six projected points, and in order to

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Speaker 1: hit value on Fandel, he just needs twenty four point nine.

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Speaker 1: Now that's that's not much of a stretch. Now someone's

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Speaker 1: gonna someone's gonna top their value higher than Brady. But

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Speaker 1: if you're looking for a safe play to hit gep

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Speaker 1: EP value, Tom Brady's a great play this week on DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: It's another story. He needs twenty nine point six. That's

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Speaker 1: probably not going to happen against Seattle. It definitely could,

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Speaker 1: but I mean we're talking about three touchdowns three hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty two yards that could happen. Yeah, I mean

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Speaker 1: Brady has been amazing and it could definitely happen. You

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Speaker 1: could really make a strong case for him in GVPS.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if he's worth playing in cash games.

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Speaker 1: There's probably safer options. But he'll be very low owed,

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Speaker 1: I would think, wouldn't you. I'm not so sure that

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Speaker 1: he'll be low ed our we're projecting him right there

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Speaker 1: around ten percent just because he is Tom Brady and

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Speaker 1: his price is depressed this week. Now, we might drop

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Speaker 1: that projection a little bit lower based on what we're

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Speaker 1: seeing and hearing, but just because of the value. Man,

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Speaker 1: when people are spending their money, they're looking for the

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Speaker 1: value in all the projections out there. We compile a

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Speaker 1: bunch of projections and they're all seeing Tom Brady's the

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Speaker 1: top quarterback this week. It's it's wild to me, but

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Speaker 1: I trust the model. People. Yeah, people will probably trust

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Speaker 1: the projections and bring his ownership up, even though the

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Speaker 1: matchup doesn't look good on paper. All right, let's you

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Speaker 1: were talking about how you like to play cheap quarterbacks,

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Speaker 1: so let's get here into your expertise. Who are some

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Speaker 1: cheap guys you like this week? So strictly looking at matchups,

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Speaker 1: Carton Wentz has the best. He's going against Atlanta, who

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Speaker 1: have allowed the most fantasy points per game to Coz

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Speaker 1: and qbi's twenty five draft Kings points per game. I'd

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Speaker 1: be worried about his upside a little bit since they

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Speaker 1: so frequently run the ball near the goal line. But

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Speaker 1: if they call a few passes down there this week

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Speaker 1: and he gets the touchdowns, he could have a big week,

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Speaker 1: given that the yardage should be there. I was at

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Speaker 1: the game last weekend against the Giants, and I was

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Speaker 1: very frustrated watching Wentz. I mean, I felt like he

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Speaker 1: made so many bad throws and they called so many

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Speaker 1: runs in the red zone, and yet he's still had

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Speaker 1: a pretty good week for fantasy. So I think if

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Speaker 1: they do call those passes for him in the red

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Speaker 1: zone and he can hit Ertz or Jordan Matthews, and

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Speaker 1: you've stacked him with those guys who are pretty cheap,

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Speaker 1: you could have a really high upside stack if that

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Speaker 1: all works out. And I think the downside isn't that

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Speaker 1: bad because he's so cheap and the Falcons allow so

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Speaker 1: many passing yards. We wouldn't use Earth's on Fandel since

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Speaker 1: you can only have one tight end and Travis Kelsey

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Speaker 1: is the Daily Fantasy Insider must have this week. He's

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Speaker 1: one of our guys, but you could put Earth's in

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Speaker 1: the flex spot on DraftKings. Yeah. I see what you're

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Speaker 1: saying about Wins. He wasn't exactly on my radar, more

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Speaker 1: of a contrarian play. But I do like the matchup

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Speaker 1: against Atlanta. And here's the thing. Here's the thing about

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Speaker 1: Carson Wentz. They're going to Darren Sprowls at running back.

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Speaker 1: They're not going to be running the ball as much.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna be dumping the ball off to Terren Sprowls

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Speaker 1: all day. He's probably gonna get six to eight receptions,

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Speaker 1: which is crazy to project for a running back. I mean,

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Speaker 1: you can predict it all you want. That's gonna happen

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Speaker 1: with three or I don't know, one to three running

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Speaker 1: backs every week. But we're projecting that with Darren Sprowls

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Speaker 1: this week. It's gonna be a big week for him

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Speaker 1: receiving passes for full PPR DraftKings. But Carson Wentz when

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Speaker 1: they get in the red zone, I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: be surprised at all if they're throwing the ball this week.

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Speaker 1: I hope, I hope that they are. I hope they are,

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Speaker 1: because well, I'll likely have at least Carson Wentz on

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Speaker 1: one of my lineups. And then another guy that's you

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Speaker 1: mentioned contrarian plays. Another guy that I like that could

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Speaker 1: also be very low owned is Jay Cutler. There you go,

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Speaker 1: that's my guy. Really nice, nice. Yeah, we think you

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Speaker 1: could use him in cash and GVP. On the road

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Speaker 1: against Tampa Bay, the Bucks of the fourth worst against

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Speaker 1: the posing QBS twenty three draft kings points per game,

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Speaker 1: and Cutler really looked like he brought some life to

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Speaker 1: that offense last week against a great Minnesota defense. So

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Speaker 1: regardless of all the negative talk about Cutler every year

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Speaker 1: his whole career, I understand that he looks like a

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Speaker 1: sulky guy and nobody likes him, but he's a pretty

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Speaker 1: darn good quarterback. So I think Cutler could easily end

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Speaker 1: up being the play that really separates you in GBPS.

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Speaker 1: He's had nineteen games with three or more touchdown passes

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Speaker 1: in his career, so he's got the upside. And the

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Speaker 1: Bucks have allowed four passing touchdowns and each of their

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Speaker 1: last two games to Derek Carr and Matt Ryan, both

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Speaker 1: good quarterbacks. But I think Culor is a pretty good

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Speaker 1: quarterback too. He usually gets overlooked, so he could be low. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised at all if he got three touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: And look, if he gets three touchdowns and just two

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Speaker 1: hundred and twenty five yards, there you go GPP value

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Speaker 1: now in DraftKings two hundred and thirty yards and three touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: So he's a good value on both sides. That's the

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Speaker 1: guy I wanted to talk about. I'm really fond of

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Speaker 1: him this week. I'm really fond of anyone against this

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay defense. And you know, they have a lot

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Speaker 1: of talent there, they really do, but they've been ridled

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Speaker 1: with injuries and it's sad what's happening there. They're just

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Speaker 1: getting torched every single week, which is good for Jamis

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Speaker 1: Winston for fantasy owners at least, because he's having to

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Speaker 1: play catchup and he's throwing the ball all around. He's

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Speaker 1: looking a lot better. So again, I like Jamis Winston

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Speaker 1: this week. I'm saying it pretty much every week now.

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Speaker 1: He's gonna get Seattle here next week or in two weeks,

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Speaker 1: so I'm not going to pick him then. But Jamis

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Speaker 1: Winston has been putting up fantasy points. He's had a

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Speaker 1: great game pretty much every game for value standards, except

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Speaker 1: for the two games where he went up against those

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Speaker 1: two phenomenal defenses, So you can continue to rely on him.

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Speaker 1: I like him a lot for cash games this week,

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Speaker 1: all right, justin give me one more quarterback that you

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Speaker 1: would at least consider. You know, I could just throw

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Speaker 1: someone in here, but I really expect to play wins

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Speaker 1: or color, So I don't want to just toss somebody

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Speaker 1: out there that I'm not really that I'm not really considering.

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Speaker 1: If you put someone out there, I'll let you know

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Speaker 1: kind of where we have them. But I don't like

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Speaker 1: to just give people a pick that I don't think

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Speaker 1: i'll use. I think that's fair. I've got one more

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Speaker 1: name for you, one more name that I'm considering, and

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Speaker 1: it's a contrarian name, because nobody's gonna play him after

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Speaker 1: how horrible he was. Ben Roethlisberger. He was away last week.

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Speaker 1: He's been a stinker in away games pretty often his career.

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Speaker 1: But now he's at home and he's going up against Dallas.

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Speaker 1: He look, they're an improved secondary, but they're not world beaters.

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Speaker 1: We're talking about Ben Roethlisberger here with the Antonio Brown,

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Speaker 1: Sammy Coates, Levan Bell, who's going to throw to a

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Speaker 1: lot at seventy seven hundred on Draft Kings sixty eight hundred.

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Speaker 1: I like Big Ben. I like him quite a bit.

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Speaker 1: I like that pick a lot. I mean, as we

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Speaker 1: go into running backs and receivers for this show, where

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Speaker 1: I'm planning on talking about Bell and Brown and mostly

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Speaker 1: Bell on the receiving end of the game. So absolutely,

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Speaker 1: you could play Roethlisberger. Yeah, And look, Roethlisberger's probably third

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Speaker 1: or fourth on my pecking chart, so he probably won't

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Speaker 1: be in my lineup, you know, if I'm doing a

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Speaker 1: bunch of GPP lineups, he absolutely would be. But he's

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Speaker 1: a name that I would at least consider. I've thought

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Speaker 1: about him quite a bit. I'm probably gonna end up

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Speaker 1: going with Brady, though not because I'm seeing anything special,

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Speaker 1: but because the model trust Tom Brady, and and a

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Speaker 1: lot of the experts trust Tom Brady. And it seems

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Speaker 1: odd to me, but the model hasn't let me down.

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Speaker 1: It's it's it's working out well. So I'm probably going

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Speaker 1: tom Brady here, all right, Moving over to running back,

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Speaker 1: we got to talk about David Johnson, and you mentioned

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Speaker 1: him earlier. That's a good reason. He's facing the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers and the forty nine ers this is a

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Speaker 1: shock stat They're on pace to give up over three

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Speaker 1: thousand rushing yards this season and he's David Johnson. Just

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Speaker 1: how good is he going to be? Is he must

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Speaker 1: play this week in cash games and GPP. Yeah, for

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Speaker 1: cash games, you must plug him in as a free square.

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Speaker 1: His ownership in cash games could be as high as

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Speaker 1: anybody all year, seventy percent, that's what we're predicting. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: we have it about that high. We think. We think

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Speaker 1: for GDPs he could even be over sixty percent, maybe lower.

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Speaker 1: I mean usually those kind of guys are a little

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Speaker 1: lower in GDPs. There obviously there are other options up there,

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Speaker 1: but I mean it's just a dream matchup, and he

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Speaker 1: is the entire offense. How he's not over ten k

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Speaker 1: blows our minds. The forty nine ers are on pace

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Speaker 1: to be one of the worst rushing defenses in the league.

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Speaker 1: Like you said, with his dual threat ability, I mean,

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Speaker 1: he could take advantage of them in every way. But

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Speaker 1: with that high ownership, you have to think about fading

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Speaker 1: him in gbps. And one interesting case he made against

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Speaker 1: him is that the Cardinals are favored by so much

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Speaker 1: that the fourth quarter could be all Andre Ellington. If

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Speaker 1: Vegas is right and they're gonna win by fourteen, they

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Speaker 1: might already have that fourteen point league going into the

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Speaker 1: fourth And why would you burn out David Johnson when

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Speaker 1: you could just let him rest and put in Andre Ellington.

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Speaker 1: So although it's a huge risk to fade him, there

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Speaker 1: is a reason too. And on draftings, we have a

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Speaker 1: pretty useful strategy for this that we wrote up on

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Speaker 1: DFI university dot com. I'm not sure if the article

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Speaker 1: has already been published or if it's sitting in our

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Speaker 1: editing doc, but it'll be out there soon. And basically

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Speaker 1: what it says, since he's the latest of the afternoon games,

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Speaker 1: you could plug him into your flex spot and see

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Speaker 1: how the rest of your team does in the earlier games.

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Speaker 1: If you aren't doing well, then he won't be able

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Speaker 1: to help you climb the leaderboards and you won't be

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Speaker 1: able to cash even if he has a great game.

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Speaker 1: So with his absurdly high ownership, you have to consider

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Speaker 1: going into the late games. Am I already in the

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Speaker 1: money and do I want to preserve my spot, or

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Speaker 1: did my early players underperform and now I should swap

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Speaker 1: him out for Antonio Brown or Zeke Elliott and see

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Speaker 1: if Johnson can play poorly or if one of those

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Speaker 1: guys could just go nuts, then I could climb over

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Speaker 1: people and get into the cash spot. That is a

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Speaker 1: perfect strategy. I love that, man. Thanks. Yeah, So on DraftKings, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: our whole team was talking about that Monday morning. We

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Speaker 1: were already thinking about doing that and we really like it.

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Speaker 1: So DraftKings is easier this week because of you could

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Speaker 1: employ that strategy and give yourself It makes the decision

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Speaker 1: for you on whether or not you should play him. Man,

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Speaker 1: that is that is really cool. I'm definitely gonna have

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Speaker 1: to try that. Takes for the advice, man, and I'm

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Speaker 1: with you. I'm probably not going to play him in

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Speaker 1: GPP in most of my line ups, at least because

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Speaker 1: I think about it this way. The Cash games. Look,

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Speaker 1: I love him, I absolutely love him, But in GPP,

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Speaker 1: if he's owned, like you said, in sixty percent of

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Speaker 1: GPP lineups, you have to think of it this way.

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Speaker 1: Is there a sixty percent chance that he's one of

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Speaker 1: the top three or four values at the running back

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Speaker 1: position this week. No, I don't think so. I just

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Speaker 1: really don't think so. Because there's so much volatility at

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Speaker 1: running back. There's always going to be a guy like

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Speaker 1: he remember Matt Jones one time snuck into the top three.

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Speaker 1: There's always one or two of those guys every week

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Speaker 1: that aren't predictable, and someone's going to have him in

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Speaker 1: their GPP lineup. Someone's gonna have two of those guys

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Speaker 1: in their GPP lineup. So, yeah, David john it might

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Speaker 1: be that guy. But is there a sixty percent chance. No, No,

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Speaker 1: there's not. I don't think so. Yeah, And if you're

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Speaker 1: if your early players do so well that you're already

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Speaker 1: up there, then you should you should swap in Johnson

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Speaker 1: if you're on DraftKings. But on Fandel, yeah, you don't

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Speaker 1: have that option. So I mean, yeah, on GPS, if

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Speaker 1: you liked two other running backs, you might just be

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Speaker 1: better off using them and hope that the Cardinals get

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Speaker 1: off to such a big lead with some passing touchdowns

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Speaker 1: or defensive touchdowns whatever it may be, that they don't

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Speaker 1: use Johnson in the fourth. It's exactly like when I

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Speaker 1: was picking my March Madness bracket. I kind of got

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Speaker 1: some crowd about picking Villanova because like Villanova, they probably

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Speaker 1: had went the fourth fifth bet chance of winning. But

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Speaker 1: if you look at it there, they were only being

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Speaker 1: picked for the championship in three percent of brackets. Five

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Speaker 1: thirty eight, Team Rankings dot Com both had him at

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Speaker 1: eight nine percent chance of winning. So if you're going

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Speaker 1: from three percent to eight nine percent, you're giving you're

350
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Speaker 1: giving yourself an opportunity to beat the rest of the field.

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Speaker 1: And that's what you're looking for in GEPP. That's the

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Speaker 1: strategy you want in GPP. So there's a couple of

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Speaker 1: guys I have on my radar, and we'll talk about those,

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Speaker 1: But I want to ask you what other price you

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Speaker 1: running backs do you think are we're spending on this week? Well,

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Speaker 1: you know, real quick, I just want to say, considering

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Speaker 1: I go to UNC, that was a very insensitive point

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Speaker 1: to make. I forgotten all about that. Man. You're absolutely right, though,

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Speaker 1: You're absolutely right. As I was looking at the bracket,

360
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Speaker 1: I thought the same thing. There was there was zero

361
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Speaker 1: reason to pick Michigan State considering how overpicked they were

362
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Speaker 1: in Villanova was one of the smarter picks you could make.

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Speaker 1: But anyway. Yeah, so the other top running backs, you

364
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Speaker 1: really can't go wrong with Zeke or Bell. I mean,

365
00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:35,199
Speaker 1: both of them will go somewhat overlooked with everybody just

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Speaker 1: plugging in Johnson and then spending down for the second back,

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Speaker 1: probably Darren Sproles. If I was guessing, Bell goes up

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Speaker 1: against the banged up Cowboys defense, and we know the

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Speaker 1: Steelers usually play better at home, so we could definitely

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Speaker 1: see the breakout game for Bell we've all been waiting for.

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Speaker 1: And as for the other side of the ball, Elliot

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Speaker 1: is getting to the point where he's pretty much matchup proof.

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Speaker 1: He should have no problem with the Steelers defense and

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Speaker 1: what should be a back and forth game. This game

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Speaker 1: was one of the highest totals on the slate, so

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Speaker 1: I would think that you'll want some exposure to it somehow,

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Speaker 1: and they could really be a solid pair with Johnson

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Speaker 1: or a pivot if you're wanting to risk the fade

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Speaker 1: on Johnson. The ultimate contrarian move would be to start

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Speaker 1: both of those guys and fade Johnson. Start those top

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Speaker 1: running backs against each other. I don't know if any

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Speaker 1: of the listeners actually will have the audacity to heed

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Speaker 1: that advice, but that could be a really interesting thing

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Speaker 1: to separate you in GVVS. Yeah, I definitely think that

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Speaker 1: makes sense. We've seen it happen a couple of times

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Speaker 1: this season already. Were the people who take that kind

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Speaker 1: of bull approach, they're the ones that end up at

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Speaker 1: the top of the GPP. So yeah, give that a shot.

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Speaker 1: If you're putting a bunch of lineups out there, or

390
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:39,800
Speaker 1: if you're doing one, it seems risky, but you know what,

391
00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:42,119
Speaker 1: You've got to risk something if you want to win GPP,

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Speaker 1: so go for it. I think that makes sense. I

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Speaker 1: love Levi on Bell two. I love Ezekiel Elliott, of

394
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Speaker 1: course every week I love them, but it's good weeks

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Speaker 1: for them. I'm not going to talk about them because

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Speaker 1: you already did. There is one guy that I absolutely

397
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Speaker 1: have to talk about, and it's Jaygia. In the past

398
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Speaker 1: three weeks he has seventy seven carries. Seventy seven carries.

399
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Speaker 1: That's more than Ryan Matthews on the entire season. It's

400
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Speaker 1: more than it's he's just getting so much work right now.

401
00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:14,760
Speaker 1: I don't care if he's I don't care if he's

402
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Speaker 1: Matt Jones. I don't care who he is. If You're

403
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Speaker 1: getting seventy seven carries in three weeks at his price

404
00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:23,400
Speaker 1: against a bad rushing defense in the San Diego Chargers.

405
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Speaker 1: You play him. I think you play him. I'm playing

406
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Speaker 1: David Johnson and Jay Giane cash games. I'm not even

407
00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:31,960
Speaker 1: thinking twice. There's no one else even close on the

408
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Speaker 1: radar for me. Yeah, I mean a Gie's usage is

409
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 1: just insane. And he actually got four targets last game.

410
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 1: He caught three passes, so I mean he's doing it all.

411
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Speaker 1: It's funny because this is the role everybody wanted for

412
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Speaker 1: Lamar Miller. Then Lamar Miller finally goes to Texas where

413
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Speaker 1: they or the Texans where they say he'll finally get

414
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Speaker 1: all these carries. Now he's not getting any carries. And

415
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Speaker 1: then here comes a Gi and he's getting everything that

416
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Speaker 1: we always wanted for Miller. And then, so, are there

417
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Speaker 1: any dirt cheap running backs that you think are worth

418
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Speaker 1: starting this week? Yeah? I think there. I mean there's

419
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Speaker 1: some of This is one of the first weeks. Like

420
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Speaker 1: we already said that there's no clear cut, chalk cheap

421
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Speaker 1: running back. We didn't actually make any running back a

422
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Speaker 1: must have this week for DFI usually we do but

423
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Speaker 1: we like to Travis Kelsey more than any of the

424
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Speaker 1: running backs that we could have picked. And so one

425
00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:18,160
Speaker 1: guy that we kind of think is a sneaky, cheap

426
00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 1: guy is Chris Ivory on Draft Kings. Yeah, yeah, yeah,

427
00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:24,960
Speaker 1: he's probably the happiest guy in the locker room about

428
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:28,479
Speaker 1: the new offensive coordinator. Nathaniel Hackett has a strong history

429
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:30,879
Speaker 1: of leaning on his running game, and as the Bills

430
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,399
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator, he led him to a top three rushing

431
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:36,399
Speaker 1: attack on the season. So last week they fed Ivory

432
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,000
Speaker 1: the ball as they're really trying to ease the offense

433
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,720
Speaker 1: off of Blake Portal shoulders. He has not been able

434
00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:43,440
Speaker 1: to handle it the way they thought he would be

435
00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:45,920
Speaker 1: able to, and so if they don't want him throwing

436
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,240
Speaker 1: as much, they've got to look to lean on Ivory

437
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,880
Speaker 1: and he's in a solid matchup and he's pretty cheap.

438
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:53,320
Speaker 1: So I think he's a guy you could consider. And

439
00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 1: then another guy who is definitely better on Draft Kings

440
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,360
Speaker 1: of PPR. We've already been talking about him, but Darren Sproles,

441
00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:01,040
Speaker 1: you have to consider him. The matchup against the Falcon

442
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:04,320
Speaker 1: teams that they get killed by pass catching running backs,

443
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:07,080
Speaker 1: and that's all Sprowls is anytime they hand in the ball,

444
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:09,879
Speaker 1: it's just so the other team has to stay honest.

445
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:11,840
Speaker 1: But most of the time they're looking to throw in

446
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,240
Speaker 1: the ball. Like you said, we'd project him for about

447
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,760
Speaker 1: six to eight receptions in this game. We know he's

448
00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 1: capable of breaking off a huge play at any time.

449
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:21,920
Speaker 1: And another reason to like him as his red zone looks.

450
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: He's really getting a lot of looks in the red

451
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,399
Speaker 1: zone despite how small he is, so his floor is

452
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 1: pretty safe. He should be a nice pair with DJ

453
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,359
Speaker 1: this weekend, especially if you're using Wentz. Sprowls is a

454
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 1: great stack, and he also runs the punt back. The

455
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:38,800
Speaker 1: punts back and he'll probably take one or two punts

456
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:42,639
Speaker 1: back a season on average, So factor in maybe a

457
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,080
Speaker 1: five to ten percent chance of getting a free six

458
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,560
Speaker 1: points out of out of that, there's just a lot

459
00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:50,840
Speaker 1: of upside for Sprols. Those are the main two guys

460
00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 1: that I wanted to mention. It's a shame we keep

461
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,560
Speaker 1: going over the same players here. But Chris Ivory thirty

462
00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:59,520
Speaker 1: four hundred starting running back. I mean, his price thirty

463
00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:03,560
Speaker 1: four is less than half the price of DeMarco Murray,

464
00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:06,480
Speaker 1: who's going up against the Green Bay Packers. Very good

465
00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:10,400
Speaker 1: run defense, second best in the league. He's not gonna

466
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 1: get quite as many carries. But think of it this way,

467
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:15,320
Speaker 1: is Chris Ivory gonna get half the points to Marco

468
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:20,840
Speaker 1: Murray does? Definitely? I never say definitely on a DFS podcast,

469
00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:23,920
Speaker 1: but yes, yes, it's going to happen this week unless

470
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:27,679
Speaker 1: DeMarco Murray just absolutely goes nuts. But I mean, come on,

471
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 1: half the points he's gonna get. He's projected for more

472
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 1: than half the points of Levon Bell. It's a it's

473
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,840
Speaker 1: a great value there. On Draft Kings now, Fandel, I'm

474
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,920
Speaker 1: not very excited about Chris Ivory. I probably wouldn't even

475
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:44,560
Speaker 1: consider playing him, But Darren Sprowls on Fandel and Draft Kings,

476
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 1: I love him because he's the only guy that was

477
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,239
Speaker 1: priced to not be a starting running back. We heard

478
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,160
Speaker 1: the news this week that he'd be the starting running back,

479
00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 1: and so you know it was late. The already had

480
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:58,280
Speaker 1: priced him. Now the one guy that we haven't talked

481
00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:01,560
Speaker 1: about that I'm also excited about. I'm excited about him

482
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 1: on a lot of shows, but it's Kenneth Dixon. I

483
00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 1: did a special video on him for Fandel earlier this week,

484
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:13,120
Speaker 1: and Kenneth Dixon keeps going up and how many snaps

485
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:16,119
Speaker 1: that he's seeing. Terrence West has not been as good lately.

486
00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,640
Speaker 1: His snaps are going down. Kenneth Dixons are going up.

487
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 1: And he was getting all the touches at the beginning

488
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:22,760
Speaker 1: of the game before he got a chess contusion. Just

489
00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 1: a minor fluke injury. That's not going to bother him

490
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 1: this week. And he is a very talented running back.

491
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 1: Now he gets Cleveland this week, Cleveland, that's perfect. If

492
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:36,800
Speaker 1: he gets fifteen touches against Cleveland at that price on DFS,

493
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,119
Speaker 1: you have got to be kidding me, it's going to

494
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:42,440
Speaker 1: be an incredible value, right, Yeah, Oh definitely. And then

495
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:45,480
Speaker 1: there's even there's one more guy that I don't think

496
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 1: it's worth it when compared to all these other guys,

497
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,240
Speaker 1: but Robert Kelly, and most people might not even be

498
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,879
Speaker 1: familiar with his name. I keep getting updates because I'm

499
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,159
Speaker 1: a Redskins fan that Robert Kelly has been named the

500
00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,720
Speaker 1: starting running back for this week. He will carry the bulk,

501
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:01,959
Speaker 1: he'll get the bulk of the carries. But my concern

502
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 1: is that we're playing the Vikings and they don't allow

503
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:07,320
Speaker 1: a lot of points and they don't allow a lot

504
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:11,480
Speaker 1: of running. And Robert Kelly, he's decent, but he's not great.

505
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 1: I think Chris Ivory and Darren Sproles are better overall players,

506
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 1: and they're in better matchups. So you might be getting

507
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:21,679
Speaker 1: too sneaky if you try to play Rob Kelly. I

508
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 1: know he's really cheap, but he's about the same price

509
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:26,080
Speaker 1: as the other guys we've been talking about. So as

510
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:28,119
Speaker 1: a Redskins fan, I can tell you I will not

511
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:31,800
Speaker 1: be using Rob Kelly, even though he's really cheap. But

512
00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 1: you could consider him for a GDP, but I don't

513
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:37,119
Speaker 1: think it's worth it. There's some upside there, and I

514
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 1: understand that he is the starter, but they want Matt

515
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 1: Jones to work to get his job back, which means

516
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:45,040
Speaker 1: he's going to get some work, and we know Chris

517
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:47,440
Speaker 1: Thompson's gonna get some work too, So that's the reason

518
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,959
Speaker 1: I'm not touching Robert Kelly. Yeah. I mean, Kelly's been

519
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,240
Speaker 1: targeted like three times all year in the passing game,

520
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 1: so Chris Thompson will be on passing downs. They still

521
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,959
Speaker 1: might let Matt Jones take quite a few carries and

522
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 1: they're playing the Vikings. So there's just there's no real

523
00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,320
Speaker 1: reason to force Kelly in there when there's so many

524
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:05,879
Speaker 1: other options. It seems like every week there's one of

525
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:09,400
Speaker 1: these forgotten mid priced running backs who ends up somehow

526
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 1: getting into the top three. Is there someone that you

527
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:14,159
Speaker 1: think could surprise us with a big week? You know

528
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:17,199
Speaker 1: I mentioned earlier, Lamar Miller is actually the guy that

529
00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:19,640
Speaker 1: we've we've kind of given that label to this week,

530
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 1: coming off of buy and burning people as of late.

531
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 1: He could come in way under owned. In a good matchup,

532
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,199
Speaker 1: Jacksonville can definitely be beat on the ground, and with

533
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:30,840
Speaker 1: two weeks to prepare for this game, hopefully the Houston

534
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 1: coaching staff will realize Miller needs to get the ball

535
00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:35,720
Speaker 1: in this game. The Jags rank in the bottom five

536
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 1: for in DBOA for opposing backs. Miller's right in the

537
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,920
Speaker 1: price range that people will go elsewhere. They're either going

538
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:44,880
Speaker 1: up for one of the top guys, are they going

539
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:47,359
Speaker 1: down one of the guys we just talked about, Like

540
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 1: you called it the forgotten mid range. I definitely think

541
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 1: he could be a difference maker this weekend if he

542
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,400
Speaker 1: could have a big game. I like Lamar Miller. He's

543
00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:58,200
Speaker 1: definitely not a bad value. My guy is someone who

544
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 1: is not just forgotten because he's in the mid range,

545
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 1: but he's forgotten because of recency. Bisons Davanta Booker. There's

546
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 1: a reason people were excited about him, and look this

547
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:11,040
Speaker 1: week he gets at at New Orleans. Right, there's a

548
00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:13,200
Speaker 1: reason that they we're excited. Every time a running back

549
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,639
Speaker 1: goes up against New Orleans, it's because they've given up

550
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:18,199
Speaker 1: twelve touchdowns the running backs they give up you know,

551
00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:21,080
Speaker 1: four point four yards per carry to running backs. That

552
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 1: that's very bad. So DeVante Booker, Look, I know Capri

553
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:26,560
Speaker 1: Bibbs is going to get some touches. That's what Gary

554
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 1: Kubiak said, but that might be the light of fire

555
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 1: under under Davanta Booker. So Davanti Booker for GPP not

556
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:37,119
Speaker 1: a bad option, Yeah, definitely not. I mean I looked

557
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:39,120
Speaker 1: at him, but I just don't know if I want

558
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,240
Speaker 1: to spend that much money on him this week. But

559
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,640
Speaker 1: I think most people will feel that same way. So

560
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:46,480
Speaker 1: it's just it feels weird to pay that much for

561
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 1: someone when you just got him for so cheap two

562
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:50,840
Speaker 1: weeks ago, and he didn't he hasn't even been that good.

563
00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 1: But that that's What makes him a contrarian play is

564
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:56,879
Speaker 1: that it doesn't feel like a good play. So in

565
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,400
Speaker 1: our ownership projections, which you can find on the website,

566
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 1: DeVante bookers under one percent. We project him for under

567
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 1: one percent on FanDuel and on DraftKings for a lot

568
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:10,440
Speaker 1: of reasons, especially that price. I mean that price is high.

569
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 1: But look, if he ends up being one of the

570
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:14,119
Speaker 1: top three running backs this week, it doesn't matter what

571
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:15,840
Speaker 1: his price is. That's going to help you out a lot.

572
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:19,200
Speaker 1: Oh for sure, Yeah, I could really work out well.

573
00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 1: All right, Moving over to wide receiver here, do you

574
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:24,159
Speaker 1: think Antonio Brown's gonna bounce back this week? I know

575
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 1: you already alluded to it a little bit. Is there

576
00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 1: another elite wide receiver maybe prefer over him? You? No, No,

577
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:33,600
Speaker 1: I think I think Brown is probably the best. I mean,

578
00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:37,440
Speaker 1: definitely Mike Evans, you could make a case for he's

579
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:41,119
Speaker 1: now the most expensive wide receiver on DraftKings. But I

580
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:43,320
Speaker 1: think Abe has a really good chance to bounce back.

581
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 1: We're starting to see a concern for the pitt offense

582
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 1: after such a bad game against Baltimore on the road,

583
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 1: But like you said when you brought up Big Ben,

584
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:53,439
Speaker 1: the road is a different story for the Steelers for

585
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 1: whatever reason, and Ben was coming off a knee procedure.

586
00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:58,119
Speaker 1: Now he's had a whole other week to get to

587
00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:00,439
Speaker 1: get real healthy and get ready to go. The offense

588
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:03,879
Speaker 1: is definitely different at home, and although Dallas has been

589
00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 1: pretty impressive, I don't think they're unpeatable and they would

590
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,119
Speaker 1: be smart to keep a safety over the top. But

591
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,520
Speaker 1: so would every team that plays against the Steelers. So

592
00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:16,800
Speaker 1: gameflow could lead to a bigger role for Levon Bell.

593
00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:18,879
Speaker 1: We'll see how it goes. I mean, Bell and a

594
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:21,760
Speaker 1: B are always good options, but I expect Mike Evans

595
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:23,080
Speaker 1: to be higher on what do you think? What do

596
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,960
Speaker 1: your guys projections have there? We're projecting Antonio Brown to

597
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:30,280
Speaker 1: be the highest own this week. It's fairly close, but

598
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,840
Speaker 1: we've got Brown higher. We also have Alshon Jeffrey up there,

599
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:37,280
Speaker 1: even higher than Mike Evans just for DraftKings. He's only

600
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:41,600
Speaker 1: sixty six hundred on Draft Kings. Jay Cutler's back and

601
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 1: he loves him some Alshan Jeffrey. It's a great matchup,

602
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:48,280
Speaker 1: as we already talked about Alshon Jeffrey on DraftKings. As

603
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 1: far as I'm concerned, is the absolute best play this

604
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 1: week of any position. I love alshon Jeffrey on DraftKings.

605
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 1: I'm fandel I'm not as excited he's seventy two hundred,

606
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:02,120
Speaker 1: but I'll probably play him. But Antonio Brown, Yeah, he's

607
00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 1: a very good play this week. I think he bounced

608
00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,400
Speaker 1: his back. Already talked about my affinity for Ben Roethlisberger

609
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:09,400
Speaker 1: this week. I like him both. Which risky big play

610
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 1: threat are you most willing to start this week? There's

611
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:13,520
Speaker 1: always one of these guys that goes off, and if

612
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 1: you have him for GPP, like Mike Wallace a couple

613
00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 1: times this season, you're in the money unless you screw

614
00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 1: something else up. But I'm always fond of penciling in

615
00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:25,959
Speaker 1: one of these guys. Yeah, I mean last week we

616
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:29,080
Speaker 1: actually had an article on DFI University dot com that

617
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 1: advocated for picking Mike Wallace. So we were obviously happy

618
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 1: to see him get a ninety five yard touchdown, and

619
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:37,520
Speaker 1: then we were disappointed to see him get injured. But

620
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:39,600
Speaker 1: he pretty much hit He pretty much hit value on

621
00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 1: one play, which is what you're hoping these guys can

622
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 1: do for you, And so I think there are some

623
00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:46,440
Speaker 1: risky options this week. One of the guys we really

624
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,520
Speaker 1: like is Bryce Treggs, the rookie wide receiver from Philly.

625
00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 1: He was able to play his first game last week,

626
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,240
Speaker 1: and he showcases four point three speed on a great

627
00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:57,800
Speaker 1: deep route against the Giants. And I started watching him

628
00:29:57,840 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 1: after that play when he was on the field, and

629
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 1: I really thought he had some opportunities for Wentz to

630
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 1: hit him on a few other plays where either Wentz

631
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:07,280
Speaker 1: didn't even see him and didn't target him or he

632
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:09,800
Speaker 1: just missed him. But there's a lot of opportunity for

633
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 1: him there. It's a crowded team. Dural Greenbeckham has been

634
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:17,080
Speaker 1: involved in the red zone. Jordan Matthews is the possession guy. Obviously,

635
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:19,480
Speaker 1: Zach Ertz had a huge game last week led the

636
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 1: team and receiving yards. Sproles catches a lot of balls,

637
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 1: so there's a lot of competition. But they're playing Atlanta,

638
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 1: who has allowed nineteen plays of twenty five yards or

639
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:30,120
Speaker 1: more this year, and last week the Eagles showed us

640
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,480
Speaker 1: they're willing to let Carson Wentz take some shots down

641
00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:35,120
Speaker 1: the field. Obviously, they got off to an early deficits,

642
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 1: so they were trying to play catch up. But if

643
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 1: you watch that long play, you can see the separation

644
00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:44,160
Speaker 1: that Treg's possesses and is able to get on his defenders,

645
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:47,200
Speaker 1: and a lot of teams covet that, and hopefully Wentz

646
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 1: will keep working with him in practice now that they're

647
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 1: working him into the offense because they got rid of

648
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 1: Josh Hoff, so it's really created an opportunity for this

649
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 1: kid to step in and make an impact. So he's

650
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:58,760
Speaker 1: a guy that we're really looking at for a big

651
00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 1: play threat me it's Will Fuller. Jacksonville has been really

652
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:05,400
Speaker 1: good against the past. The main reason for that though,

653
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 1: is Jalen Ramsey. He is an absolute superstar in the making.

654
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:11,760
Speaker 1: I would not be surprised if next season he's even

655
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 1: better than Richard Sherman, the best cornerback in the NFL.

656
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 1: This kid is really special and he's gonna be lined

657
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 1: up on DeAndre Hopkins. So that leaves Will Fuller, who's

658
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:23,000
Speaker 1: kind of been forgotten because he hasn't really had any

659
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 1: any big games lately, but we know he's got the

660
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:28,960
Speaker 1: ability and he's nice and cheap. Sixty three hundred on

661
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 1: on Draft I'm Sorry, sixty three hundred on Fandel, and

662
00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:35,000
Speaker 1: fifty five hundred on DraftKings. I don't mind him in

663
00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 1: GPP whatsoever this week. Yeah. You know, I keep on

664
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 1: trying to trust fuller on Hopkins, and I'm not saying

665
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 1: he's a bad pick at all, And every time I

666
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: watch the game, I just think could Aswilder be any worse?

667
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:49,960
Speaker 1: But hopefully he ends up being all right. You know,

668
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 1: I'm also kind of fond of John Brown. He's probably

669
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 1: not going to make his way into my lineups, but

670
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 1: I think he's someone to consider for you guys. John

671
00:31:56,840 --> 00:32:00,800
Speaker 1: Brown is nice and cheap now sixty two on Draft Kings,

672
00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:04,000
Speaker 1: and you know, we've seen him get a ton of

673
00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:07,320
Speaker 1: targets with Carson Palmer hasn't happened lately, JJ and Nelson's

674
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:08,880
Speaker 1: beginning all the targets who we're going to talk about

675
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,720
Speaker 1: in a second. But John Brown, he is way too

676
00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 1: talented to be that cheap, and we've seen him go

677
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 1: off before. It could definitely happen. Yeah, He's definitely a

678
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: big play threat. Are there a few pump plays that

679
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,120
Speaker 1: you think are worth sneaking in your lineup? I know

680
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 1: you already talked about the guy from Philly, who, Wow,

681
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 1: that is really fast, but is there anyone else? Yeah,

682
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 1: so that guy's name is Bryce Tregs in case anybody

683
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:31,920
Speaker 1: is wondering who who who the hell are they talking about?

684
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 1: But the other another guy would be Tyler Lockett against

685
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:38,040
Speaker 1: the Pat's defense that has struggled against the past this year.

686
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 1: There he's a good option. We also think that Sammy

687
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:43,760
Speaker 1: Coates could be a nice play. If you want to

688
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,160
Speaker 1: spend up on running back or quarterback and you don't

689
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 1: have the money for a bun, then Sammy Coates is

690
00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:50,880
Speaker 1: the guy. Every time I talk about Sammy Coates, I

691
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 1: make fun of him for having bad hands. He does

692
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 1: have bad hands, but he but he does some other

693
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:57,840
Speaker 1: things well enough. And he has Big Ben throwing him

694
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 1: the ball, so he has enough opportunities to have a

695
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 1: big game. My guy this week is Tyreek Hill. Thirty

696
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 1: eight hundred dollars on Draft Kings, and he's gonna start

697
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 1: forty eight hundred, which is near the minimum on Vanduel.

698
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:13,560
Speaker 1: And he's gonna start and they're playing Carolina, who, as

699
00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 1: we know, just get shredded. Look, the reason he's going

700
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:18,480
Speaker 1: to start is because Jeremy Macklin is all banged up.

701
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,800
Speaker 1: Now he might play, but Tyreek Hill has been quite

702
00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:22,920
Speaker 1: good lately. I know he wasn't as good last week,

703
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 1: but at that price and that matchup, he's really talented.

704
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 1: Talk about a fast guy. This guy can He's blazing.

705
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:34,880
Speaker 1: So yeah, I like him a lot as well. Yeah,

706
00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 1: I mean when we get into the tight ends, I'll

707
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 1: elaborate on Travis Kelsey a little bit. Who's our other

708
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:43,000
Speaker 1: must have? But I like that pick. Also, if someone

709
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 1: has the money for a mid price piece, is there

710
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 1: someone you think they can rely on this week? Yeah,

711
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:49,400
Speaker 1: we think that Richard Matthews is the guy you can

712
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:51,160
Speaker 1: rely on. He's our other must have to go with

713
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:54,240
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey, So of course I'm gonna put him in here.

714
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:56,880
Speaker 1: He is a good matchup against the Green Bay defense

715
00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:59,720
Speaker 1: that they've struggled against wide receivers and they're still banged up,

716
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 1: and they also have they allowed Muhammed Sanu towards them

717
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 1: two weeks ago for nine catches eighty four yards in

718
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:09,560
Speaker 1: a score. We profile them pretty similarly, and we're thinking

719
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:12,319
Speaker 1: that Matthews can play that same role against Green Bay.

720
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,479
Speaker 1: For all the information on why we like him, feel

721
00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:17,279
Speaker 1: free to read our must have his article on Daily

722
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:20,200
Speaker 1: Fantasy Insider dot com. But just now that he's our

723
00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:23,799
Speaker 1: favorite mid price receiver this week, that Green Bay secondary. Man,

724
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:26,600
Speaker 1: I feel so horrible for the missing Sam Shields to

725
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:30,360
Speaker 1: Marius Randall. It is a bad situation over there, but

726
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:31,919
Speaker 1: it's good for me because I'm going to be taking

727
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 1: advantage of it in DFS, and Richard Matthews has been

728
00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:38,400
Speaker 1: as consistent as anybody. He hasn't been consistent in like

729
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:41,920
Speaker 1: a top tier kind of way, but he's reliable every

730
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 1: single week. And we project his ownership to be quite

731
00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:46,919
Speaker 1: high in DraftKings, not quite as high in fan duel,

732
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:49,480
Speaker 1: but there's a reason why he's a guy to get

733
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 1: into your lineup this week. For cash games, definitely, and

734
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:54,280
Speaker 1: even for GPP. He's got quite a bit of upside

735
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 1: against that against that bad secondary. Yeah, we definitely think

736
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:02,200
Speaker 1: he's worth playing on both sides. Now, there's someone I

737
00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:05,560
Speaker 1: want to talk about that's kind of been forgotten, and

738
00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:08,400
Speaker 1: it's Doug Baldwin. Doug Baldwin was a little bit banged up,

739
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:10,640
Speaker 1: and it didn't really matter if he was banged up

740
00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:12,480
Speaker 1: or not because Russell Wilson was so bad. Now he's

741
00:35:12,520 --> 00:35:14,640
Speaker 1: got the knee brace off, he's gonna be throwing the

742
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:16,799
Speaker 1: ball a lot more. They're gonna have to throw the

743
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 1: ball against New England because New England is gonna bring

744
00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:23,919
Speaker 1: the heat after what happened last season, so it's gonna

745
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:25,560
Speaker 1: be I think it's gonna be a high scoring game

746
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:27,839
Speaker 1: and Russell Wilson's gonna have a nice game. But Doug

747
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 1: Baldwin was really, really good last year. I think that

748
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,080
Speaker 1: this is a nice, safe, reliable game for him, even

749
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:36,920
Speaker 1: though he hasn't been as good lately. I think this

750
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:39,040
Speaker 1: is a good week for him at that price point. Man,

751
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:42,960
Speaker 1: it's it's a nice by yeah, you know. I like Baldwin.

752
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 1: And in that same game on DraftKings and Fandel Edelman

753
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:48,560
Speaker 1: and Hegan or Price pretty closely. But we feel after

754
00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:51,400
Speaker 1: a bye week, the Patriots are getting healthy as possible

755
00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:54,399
Speaker 1: for this final stretch run. We think you're gonna start

756
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 1: seeing more consistent play from Julian Edelman. I know he's

757
00:35:56,920 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 1: been a huge disappointment this year, but he's been a

758
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,759
Speaker 1: PPR for some years pass and there's a good chance

759
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:03,279
Speaker 1: Brady could start to lean on him more in the

760
00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 1: coming weeks. The big question is always will he score.

761
00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:08,600
Speaker 1: He scored his first one before the bye week, but

762
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 1: his targets have been consistent all year and He's seen

763
00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 1: ten plus twice in the last four games, all the

764
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:15,879
Speaker 1: games that Brady has been back for, and in those

765
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 1: four games, he's a total of thirty five targets. So

766
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 1: while he hasn't been a big success this year since

767
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,520
Speaker 1: Brady came back, the opportunities are there, the volume is there.

768
00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:27,960
Speaker 1: Brady should lean on him down the stretch. I think

769
00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 1: Edelman could be another guy in that mid price range

770
00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:33,120
Speaker 1: that ownership is pretty low. Feel free to let me

771
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:36,800
Speaker 1: know what it says on the Fantasy pros projections for ownership,

772
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:39,360
Speaker 1: but we don't expect Edelman to be very highly owned.

773
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:42,719
Speaker 1: We've got Edelman at five percent for fan Duel because

774
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 1: his price is so low, and on DraftKings we've got

775
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:46,880
Speaker 1: him all the way down at three percent, and I

776
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:50,200
Speaker 1: understand it's a PPR site, but his prices is six

777
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:52,440
Speaker 1: thousand on Draft Kings, which is pretty expensive for a

778
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:55,200
Speaker 1: wide receiver. So we're expecting a lot of people to

779
00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:57,799
Speaker 1: stay away from him. And you're right, we've seen big

780
00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:00,279
Speaker 1: games from him time and again, and it's you know,

781
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:02,879
Speaker 1: it's he's not healthy most of the time, but he's

782
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,960
Speaker 1: healthy right now, so there's some opportunity there. There definitely

783
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:08,880
Speaker 1: is Are there any other wide receivers that kind of

784
00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:12,120
Speaker 1: intrigue you this week? Yeah, I can thought in one

785
00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:13,799
Speaker 1: more guy. I'm not sure if I end up playing him,

786
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,479
Speaker 1: but Kenny Britt kind of pops out at four point

787
00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:19,439
Speaker 1: nine k on DraftKings against the New York Jets, who

788
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 1: have one of the worst past defenses in the league.

789
00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 1: Of course, the risk is always if LA can move

790
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 1: the ball, but Brett at that price could easily return

791
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 1: values for his owner. Also, it still fears weird to

792
00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:32,920
Speaker 1: refer to an NFL team as LA. Yeah, it's it

793
00:37:33,040 --> 00:37:36,439
Speaker 1: is weird. I don't like it. Havn't had my team

794
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:38,880
Speaker 1: stripped from me, but I'm gonna stop talking about it

795
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:40,680
Speaker 1: because I talk about it all the time. There's two

796
00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 1: guys for me, two guys that haven't mentioned yet. JJ Nelson.

797
00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:47,319
Speaker 1: He played ninety two percent of the snaps last week.

798
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:51,759
Speaker 1: Larry Fitzgerald only played seventy nine percent. They love this

799
00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:55,520
Speaker 1: guy in Arizona, and we've seen why he's talented. He

800
00:37:55,560 --> 00:37:58,560
Speaker 1: went to twelve targets last week. It's a good matchup.

801
00:37:58,560 --> 00:38:02,600
Speaker 1: We're projecting high ownership after the big game, and there's

802
00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:05,080
Speaker 1: a reason why he's He's good he's good and people

803
00:38:05,080 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 1: trust him, and he gets Sam Francisco. It's a beautiful thing.

804
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,399
Speaker 1: JJ Nelson is a nice price. Now the other guy,

805
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 1: Jordan Matthews, were already talked about the matchup there, l

806
00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:19,120
Speaker 1: you're not gonna beat that for his matchup. He's the

807
00:38:19,200 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 1: number one guy going up against Atlanta. So it's a

808
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:25,279
Speaker 1: good situation, especially for cash games. Yeah, I don't know

809
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:29,279
Speaker 1: why FanDuel keeps Matthews so cheap. I mean, he is

810
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:32,160
Speaker 1: always really cheap on there. It makes no sense. I

811
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:34,480
Speaker 1: always I want to play him every single week. Yeah,

812
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 1: it's bizarre. It is bizarre, and he always stands out

813
00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 1: in our model because of that price point. And he

814
00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:41,120
Speaker 1: hasn't been great yet, but this is a good week

815
00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:42,919
Speaker 1: for him. This is probably gonna be his best week

816
00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 1: of the season, and I'm excited to see how just

817
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 1: how good he can be. Yeah, me too. So you're

818
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,799
Speaker 1: you have Travis Kelsey as a must have this week?

819
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 1: Tell us all about it. I mean a lot of

820
00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:56,200
Speaker 1: people who are probably going to consider paying up all

821
00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:59,240
Speaker 1: the way to Gronk, and we just feel that Travis

822
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 1: Kelsey offers as much upside as any tight end above

823
00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:05,800
Speaker 1: him or below him. He has a great matchup against Carolina.

824
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:08,720
Speaker 1: They've given up six touchdowns to the tight end position.

825
00:39:08,920 --> 00:39:12,120
Speaker 1: They're allowing him to average seventeen point three DraftKings points

826
00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 1: per game. I think that so many people are focusing

827
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:18,040
Speaker 1: on how bad their secondary has been as far as

828
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:20,439
Speaker 1: getting beat by receivers. And I know you already talked

829
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:23,319
Speaker 1: about looking into who's going to replace Macklin. We think

830
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey could be the guy that will replace Macklin.

831
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 1: So you can read the full right up on our site.

832
00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 1: I don't want to talk about it for too long,

833
00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 1: but I mean, he's the guy that we're locking in

834
00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:36,880
Speaker 1: at tight end this week. You know, it's it's really interesting.

835
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:39,399
Speaker 1: We finally got all three the good tight ends going

836
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:43,680
Speaker 1: the Big three at least Rob Gronkowski, Greg Olsen, Jordan Read.

837
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 1: But you're right, Travis Kelsey with that matchup, he's my

838
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:50,640
Speaker 1: guy this week at least. And look, Draft Kings, they

839
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,320
Speaker 1: have such cheap tight ends down there that it's always

840
00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:55,560
Speaker 1: intriguing to go cheap. And there is one guy that

841
00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:58,359
Speaker 1: I really like, but I'm definitely getting Kelsey in there

842
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:03,560
Speaker 1: in every single up FanDuel DraftKings PPR Cash games doesn't matter.

843
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:06,800
Speaker 1: It's a perfect matchup and I'm buying it this week. Yeah,

844
00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 1: and we're hoping that people that aren't DFI or Fantasy

845
00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:14,600
Speaker 1: Pros users will end up paying up for somebody else.

846
00:40:14,960 --> 00:40:17,560
Speaker 1: And I wouldn't say wasting the salary, but I just

847
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:20,480
Speaker 1: don't think it's necessary to pay up that high. I

848
00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:23,280
Speaker 1: think Kelsey's got the highest upside and the Panthers Rundy

849
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,839
Speaker 1: is really good, so there's just no reason they should

850
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:28,040
Speaker 1: be running the ball this week. They should be throwing

851
00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:30,879
Speaker 1: it and hopefully using Kelsey as the number one guy

852
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 1: that he should be in the offense. We've got Kelsey

853
00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:36,239
Speaker 1: fifth and sixth in ownership projections this week, which is

854
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:38,520
Speaker 1: really great news because I'm gonna be all over him.

855
00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:41,600
Speaker 1: You know, We've got guys like Zach Miller and Delaney

856
00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:44,760
Speaker 1: Walker even higher than him because of their price points.

857
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:48,240
Speaker 1: But I tell you what, if Travis Kelsey gets himself

858
00:40:48,239 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 1: two touchdowns, listen to this. If Travis Kelsey gets himself

859
00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:58,319
Speaker 1: two touchdowns and six receptions, all he needs twenty one

860
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:02,560
Speaker 1: yards on Fandel twenty one yards, I think that there's

861
00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:04,320
Speaker 1: a good chance that he's going to get a touchdown

862
00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:07,320
Speaker 1: and in a decent chance he's gonna get multiple touchdowns.

863
00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:11,400
Speaker 1: This could be the best value at tight end all season. Yeah,

864
00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 1: it really could be. We're really excited about it. I

865
00:41:13,680 --> 00:41:16,160
Speaker 1: mean we almost always try to do wide receiver and

866
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:18,359
Speaker 1: running back for our Mustogs just because we don't want

867
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 1: to tell you this is what your entire tight end

868
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:24,239
Speaker 1: position has to be. You can't pick anybody else. But

869
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:26,960
Speaker 1: this week we think it's necessary plugging Kelsey as your

870
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:29,560
Speaker 1: tight end on FanDuel. On DraftKings, you can consider some

871
00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:31,839
Speaker 1: other guys for the flex, but on FanDuel, it's easy

872
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:34,040
Speaker 1: just play Kelsey and then look at other positions. Now,

873
00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:36,400
Speaker 1: is there a contrarian play that you could see popping

874
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:39,160
Speaker 1: up in the million dollar lineup this week? Yeah? I

875
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:42,040
Speaker 1: mean the top of probably the top sheet tight end

876
00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:44,040
Speaker 1: is zach Ertz, but I think people are going to

877
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 1: be on him. So the contrarian play for us is

878
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:51,960
Speaker 1: Lance Kendricks. He could streak really yuck. You don't like, Oh,

879
00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:54,279
Speaker 1: I just he's a blocking tight end. I know it's

880
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:58,200
Speaker 1: a good matchup in and he's minimum priced on both sides, right,

881
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:01,879
Speaker 1: But I just hear that and I just think limited upside. Man,

882
00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:03,719
Speaker 1: I don't know, I'm curious to hear what you have

883
00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:07,520
Speaker 1: to say. Yeah, I mean the upside seems limited when

884
00:42:07,520 --> 00:42:09,520
Speaker 1: you just look at I guess when you look at

885
00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:13,720
Speaker 1: game logs, and it's I could see why you don't

886
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:16,040
Speaker 1: love the pick. I mean it makes sense, but like

887
00:42:16,080 --> 00:42:19,280
Speaker 1: you said, he's minimum salary. But if you look at

888
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:22,320
Speaker 1: how much he's getting targeted. Last week he was targeted

889
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:25,440
Speaker 1: twelve times, the week before that, he was targeted nine times,

890
00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:27,760
Speaker 1: and the week before that he was targeted eight times.

891
00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:30,400
Speaker 1: And he's getting used in the red zone. He's running

892
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 1: a lot more routes than you think. He is a

893
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:34,239
Speaker 1: good blocking tight end, but he's never coming off the

894
00:42:34,280 --> 00:42:37,840
Speaker 1: field anymore. And the Jets defense has seen opposing teams

895
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:41,240
Speaker 1: target their tight ends seventy eight times this year. They've

896
00:42:41,280 --> 00:42:43,440
Speaker 1: only connected on forty eight of them. But if you

897
00:42:43,480 --> 00:42:46,000
Speaker 1: watch film on a lot of those targets, they're just like,

898
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:48,200
Speaker 1: oh the quarterback missed is this guy? Oh the quarterback

899
00:42:48,239 --> 00:42:50,040
Speaker 1: missed this guy? Like I think it's just kind of

900
00:42:50,040 --> 00:42:52,240
Speaker 1: they're just getting lucky. The tight ends should be burning

901
00:42:52,239 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 1: this Jets defense. And if LA can keep targeting Kendricks

902
00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:57,720
Speaker 1: the way they have and Keenham can actually deliver accurate

903
00:42:57,800 --> 00:43:02,000
Speaker 1: passes to him, big if obvious, but for a minimum price, guy,

904
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:05,680
Speaker 1: I mean, he's three thousand undraftkings. You could put him

905
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:07,399
Speaker 1: in your flex. He could be in for a big,

906
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,360
Speaker 1: sneaky day. And I think most people are gonna have

907
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:12,799
Speaker 1: the same reaction you had, go are you kidding me?

908
00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:15,160
Speaker 1: A Rams tight end that I've barely ever heard of.

909
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:19,160
Speaker 1: I'm not playing him, so hopefully that's the reaction everyone

910
00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:22,640
Speaker 1: has in his ownership's stays pretty low. Justin I take

911
00:43:22,719 --> 00:43:25,000
Speaker 1: back my yuck. I had no idea he was getting

912
00:43:25,040 --> 00:43:30,439
Speaker 1: that many targets. What are the Rams doing? I mean, look, yeah,

913
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:33,280
Speaker 1: he sounds like a good play this week. I was wrong.

914
00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 1: I didn't know that, But like, seriously, what are the

915
00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:37,759
Speaker 1: Rams doing throwing the ball at him so much and

916
00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:41,120
Speaker 1: keeping case Keenum in there when they've got the number

917
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 1: one overall pick I just don't get it. It's like

918
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:45,440
Speaker 1: they're trying to They're trying to find a way to

919
00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:47,399
Speaker 1: get to London. They're trying to lose as many games

920
00:43:47,440 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 1: as they can so people don't show up so they

921
00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:50,959
Speaker 1: can go to London to make a bunch of money

922
00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:55,000
Speaker 1: or something like. I just don't understand anything. Jeff Fisher

923
00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:57,839
Speaker 1: and Stan Cronky. Do you want to hear something really

924
00:43:57,840 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 1: crazy about Todd Gurley. First of all, he didn't even

925
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 1: in practice on Wednesday, So if he's not full of

926
00:44:03,239 --> 00:44:06,239
Speaker 1: Benny Cunningham could help. Well maybe I think he'll play.

927
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:08,280
Speaker 1: I do think he'll play, but it could help Kendricks

928
00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:11,000
Speaker 1: even more. But something really crazy about Todd Gurley I

929
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:13,640
Speaker 1: just heard not too long ago is that he started

930
00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:16,400
Speaker 1: his career with four one hundred yard games in his

931
00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:20,399
Speaker 1: first five games, and now in the sixteen games after that,

932
00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:25,160
Speaker 1: he's only done it once. Wow, he's really hasn't been good.

933
00:44:25,640 --> 00:44:28,879
Speaker 1: I mean it's like it took teams five games to realize, Hey,

934
00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:30,800
Speaker 1: the Rams can only run the ball. It's just stacked

935
00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:32,799
Speaker 1: the box against them. And he hasn't had a good

936
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 1: game since. Man, that's really interesting my tight end that

937
00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:37,960
Speaker 1: I'm a little bit interested in. Look, I already said

938
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,359
Speaker 1: I'm playing Kelsey, but Martellis Bennett. He's all the way

939
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:43,400
Speaker 1: down at thirty four hundred right now. He's the fourth

940
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:45,840
Speaker 1: highest scoring tight end this season. I know Gronk was

941
00:44:45,880 --> 00:44:49,879
Speaker 1: out for four weeks, the kind of five, but Tom

942
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:52,799
Speaker 1: Brady loves throwing to his tight ends. He's backup tight end.

943
00:44:52,960 --> 00:44:55,719
Speaker 1: He'll be on the field a lot. And Seattle's notorious

944
00:44:55,760 --> 00:44:58,439
Speaker 1: for not covering tight ends. We saw what Robert Woods look.

945
00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:00,359
Speaker 1: He's not a tight end, but he was only down

946
00:45:00,360 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 1: the middle of the field all last week and he

947
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:05,640
Speaker 1: tore them apart. He had a career game. Martellis Bennett

948
00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 1: lives in the middle of the field, and at that price,

949
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:10,120
Speaker 1: I like him a lot. I might be using two

950
00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:12,920
Speaker 1: tight ends and DraftKings this week. I definitely think it's

951
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 1: a good week to go to tight ends. I absolutely do.

952
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:19,680
Speaker 1: Somehow on draft games, tight ends just don't get priced

953
00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:23,480
Speaker 1: the same as receivers. So a receiver who's getting twelve

954
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:26,480
Speaker 1: targets a game and then nine and eight like Lance Kendricks,

955
00:45:26,520 --> 00:45:29,000
Speaker 1: Like I was just saying, a receiver getting that many

956
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 1: targets is going to cost a lot more than three

957
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 1: thousand dollars. I don't know why they do it that way,

958
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:36,400
Speaker 1: but using two tight ends seems to be what almost

959
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,120
Speaker 1: always ends up fitting in my lineup this year. Let's

960
00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:41,759
Speaker 1: talk about defenses. Now, do you think there's maybe a

961
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 1: sneaky defense to get force a bunch of turnovers? You know,

962
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 1: a sneaky defense it's not that sneaky, but I mean,

963
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 1: as a Redskins fan, it just jumps out at me.

964
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:55,560
Speaker 1: I think the Redskins at home against Minnesota is such

965
00:45:55,560 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 1: a good play. I mean, I think you could consider

966
00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:00,960
Speaker 1: them a lock for double digit points. I just don't

967
00:46:01,000 --> 00:46:04,359
Speaker 1: see Minnesota's offense being capable of putting up a big game,

968
00:46:04,520 --> 00:46:07,160
Speaker 1: and the Redskins have twenty two sacks this year, and

969
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:11,400
Speaker 1: Minnesota's offensive line has been abysmal, allowing twenty one sacks

970
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:14,560
Speaker 1: so far. The Redskins weakness is that they haven't been

971
00:46:14,600 --> 00:46:17,600
Speaker 1: great stopping the ground game. But Minnesota has the worst

972
00:46:17,680 --> 00:46:21,200
Speaker 1: running game of like any team, and so long they're allowed,

973
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:24,720
Speaker 1: they're getting like under well under three yards per carry.

974
00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:28,240
Speaker 1: So the Redskins shouldn't have a problem with that this weekend.

975
00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:30,800
Speaker 1: And if they can keep getting the kind of pressure

976
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:32,640
Speaker 1: on the QB they've been getting, I think they could

977
00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:34,640
Speaker 1: force a lot of turnovers and have a huge game.

978
00:46:35,200 --> 00:46:36,480
Speaker 1: You know, a lot of people are going to be

979
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:39,279
Speaker 1: playing the Minnesota Vikings because they're the Vikings, but Kirk

980
00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:43,120
Speaker 1: Cousins at home is no joke. I think that really

981
00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:46,239
Speaker 1: the best bet to grab ten DFS points is the

982
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:48,759
Speaker 1: Rams and the Jets to play each other. That could

983
00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:52,879
Speaker 1: be a snore fest with tons of turnovers. I love

984
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:55,560
Speaker 1: it for fantasy, and it is really ugly. We've got

985
00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:59,759
Speaker 1: the Rams projection for defense up around forty percent ownership,

986
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:03,200
Speaker 1: a lot of people who playing them. Yeah, it's it's

987
00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:06,799
Speaker 1: high man our model. Our model is high on them

988
00:47:06,880 --> 00:47:10,880
Speaker 1: twenty nine on draft Kings for a defense that's typically

989
00:47:10,920 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 1: a top seven defense and they're going up against Ryan

990
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:18,480
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick who is all beat up. It's it's gonna be

991
00:47:18,520 --> 00:47:20,319
Speaker 1: a good week for them. I trust them a lot.

992
00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:22,600
Speaker 1: Our model likes them a lot, and that ownership might

993
00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:25,200
Speaker 1: drop quite a bit. We'll see, but I think a

994
00:47:25,200 --> 00:47:27,120
Speaker 1: lot of people are going to be playing them this week.

995
00:47:27,680 --> 00:47:29,759
Speaker 1: That's so interesting that you say that, because knowing that,

996
00:47:30,560 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 1: I would definitely be more keen to look at the

997
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:35,920
Speaker 1: Redskins just I mean, I was already probably gonna play them,

998
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:38,279
Speaker 1: but knowing that so much of that ownership because I

999
00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:41,040
Speaker 1: did consider the Rams. But if I think the ownership

1000
00:47:41,080 --> 00:47:44,160
Speaker 1: will be that that skewed, then I'd rather take the Redskins,

1001
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:46,439
Speaker 1: who I think are more contrarian, and then another team

1002
00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:49,600
Speaker 1: that's probably very safe to record ten points. It just

1003
00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:51,920
Speaker 1: depends if you have the salary leftover, would be the

1004
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:54,839
Speaker 1: Cardinals at home against the forty nine ers. They could

1005
00:47:54,840 --> 00:47:58,399
Speaker 1: put up two or three touchdowns and just totally ruin

1006
00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 1: everyone's lineups who does and have them? So that's a

1007
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:05,479
Speaker 1: thing where I hate fading such a good defensive unit.

1008
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,480
Speaker 1: Although their record is terrible, somehow, I still think that

1009
00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:11,239
Speaker 1: defensive unit is really good. It definitely is. And they're

1010
00:48:11,239 --> 00:48:14,759
Speaker 1: playing They're playing Colin Kaepernick, who's going to throw two

1011
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:18,080
Speaker 1: or three at least interceptions against this defense. It's a

1012
00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:21,040
Speaker 1: great play, it really is. But they're so expensive, they're

1013
00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:24,399
Speaker 1: going to be highly owned. But you know, if if

1014
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:26,719
Speaker 1: they weren't so expensive, they would be up there around

1015
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 1: where the Rams are. But they're not. Yeah, I mean,

1016
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 1: Kaepernick is just a turnover machine. Last week he just

1017
00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 1: couldn't help himself with turning the ball over either over

1018
00:48:35,719 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 1: three hundred and ninety eight yards and he still had

1019
00:48:38,080 --> 00:48:39,600
Speaker 1: to turn it over at least once. He just can't

1020
00:48:39,600 --> 00:48:42,400
Speaker 1: not do it. Now. The defense that I'm really intrigued

1021
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:45,040
Speaker 1: by is the Jacksonville Jaguars, and I haven't talked about

1022
00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:47,719
Speaker 1: them in eitherly the other two episodes this week, but

1023
00:48:47,760 --> 00:48:50,120
Speaker 1: the Jaguars play brock Oss Wilder. He already talked about

1024
00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:52,040
Speaker 1: how he might be the worst quarterback in the NFL.

1025
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:56,480
Speaker 1: Blake Bortles might fight you over that, but it's a

1026
00:48:56,520 --> 00:48:59,480
Speaker 1: good situation. Jalen Ramsey I already mentioned he's a big

1027
00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:03,240
Speaker 1: time play. They've got a pretty good defense this season.

1028
00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:05,440
Speaker 1: It's Bortles that's killing them. They're gonna give up some

1029
00:49:05,440 --> 00:49:07,440
Speaker 1: points because they give up bad field position, a lot

1030
00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:09,480
Speaker 1: of that because of the turnovers. But you know, if

1031
00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:11,520
Speaker 1: they get a couple, if they get a couple turnovers

1032
00:49:11,520 --> 00:49:15,200
Speaker 1: in there themselves, maybe a touchdown, they could be really sneaky.

1033
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:17,719
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised all through the top defense this week,

1034
00:49:18,000 --> 00:49:20,920
Speaker 1: and now there's a slim chance, but that's the kind

1035
00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:23,799
Speaker 1: of chance you take in GPP, right, Yeah, I mean,

1036
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:26,760
Speaker 1: so last week I had the eagle d and I really,

1037
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:29,239
Speaker 1: I firmly believe it was a good play. But they

1038
00:49:29,280 --> 00:49:32,560
Speaker 1: started off horribly because Carson Wentz put the Giants like

1039
00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:35,319
Speaker 1: in field goal range for their first two drives by

1040
00:49:35,360 --> 00:49:38,400
Speaker 1: throwing picks. And it was so frustrating because the Giants

1041
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:40,640
Speaker 1: were up fourteen zero five minutes in the game, and

1042
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:43,440
Speaker 1: it's not like my defense allowed one bad play in

1043
00:49:43,520 --> 00:49:45,359
Speaker 1: each drive and that was all it took to score

1044
00:49:45,360 --> 00:49:47,759
Speaker 1: a touchdown because they started so close. And that's what

1045
00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:50,359
Speaker 1: the Jaguars defense keeps having done to them by Blake

1046
00:49:50,440 --> 00:49:53,640
Speaker 1: Portals and the Texans D is no joke. So I

1047
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:56,680
Speaker 1: would be concerned that the field position battle would just

1048
00:49:56,719 --> 00:49:59,919
Speaker 1: be lost and that hurts your defense obviously. But yeah,

1049
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:02,960
Speaker 1: the Jags D was the reason people thought they would

1050
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:05,320
Speaker 1: have a good season. They thought Borrels would keep putting

1051
00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:07,719
Speaker 1: up good numbers, which was a facade because it was

1052
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:10,680
Speaker 1: all garbage time last year. So I wasn't surprised at all.

1053
00:50:10,680 --> 00:50:12,800
Speaker 1: I remember, I don't know if it was your podcast

1054
00:50:12,920 --> 00:50:14,879
Speaker 1: or another one, that I went out on a limb

1055
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:17,239
Speaker 1: and said the Jaguars will still finish them last and

1056
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:20,960
Speaker 1: will be a huge disappointment this year. So that's pretty

1057
00:50:21,040 --> 00:50:23,799
Speaker 1: much happening. I don't think Borls is good enough to

1058
00:50:23,960 --> 00:50:26,399
Speaker 1: lead a team to the playoffs, not at this point

1059
00:50:26,400 --> 00:50:29,239
Speaker 1: in his career. But the defense is still solid. Their

1060
00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:33,840
Speaker 1: their record is deceivingly bad as far as the defense goes,

1061
00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:36,759
Speaker 1: so so yeah, they could be a solid play because

1062
00:50:36,760 --> 00:50:39,240
Speaker 1: Afswhiler is not good. You know, I want to clarify

1063
00:50:39,280 --> 00:50:43,000
Speaker 1: something we project the Rams for on Draft Kings, not

1064
00:50:43,120 --> 00:50:45,920
Speaker 1: on Fandel. On Fandel, we have them right around fifteen percent,

1065
00:50:46,320 --> 00:50:49,080
Speaker 1: just because the price difference is so severe. The Rams

1066
00:50:49,120 --> 00:50:51,080
Speaker 1: are all the way down at twenty nine hundred on

1067
00:50:51,239 --> 00:50:55,160
Speaker 1: draft Kings and the Jaguars are down at twenty three hundred.

1068
00:50:55,160 --> 00:50:57,640
Speaker 1: That's why I like both of them a lot, especially

1069
00:50:57,640 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 1: on draft Kings. Now on Fandel, I'm allow more inclined

1070
00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:03,800
Speaker 1: to go to the Cardinals, right, Yeah, Ye, Sandon doesn't

1071
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:07,759
Speaker 1: really separate the defensive positions very much. The pricing. I mean,

1072
00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:11,319
Speaker 1: almost all the defenses are priced so similarly. It just

1073
00:51:11,360 --> 00:51:13,080
Speaker 1: takes a lot of strategy out of the game because

1074
00:51:13,160 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 1: you might as well just plug in the talk exactly. Yep.

1075
00:51:15,960 --> 00:51:18,000
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about stacks here before we go.

1076
00:51:18,680 --> 00:51:21,480
Speaker 1: If you had to pick one stack for cash games,

1077
00:51:21,560 --> 00:51:24,759
Speaker 1: who do you trust the most? You know, we think

1078
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:27,560
Speaker 1: the best stack would probably either be Big Ben and

1079
00:51:27,640 --> 00:51:30,560
Speaker 1: Ab or Cutler and al Sean. And you talked about

1080
00:51:30,600 --> 00:51:33,800
Speaker 1: how Cutler loves al Sean. That's probably my personal favorite,

1081
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:36,600
Speaker 1: just because I'd rather pay less, you know, I'd rather

1082
00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:39,560
Speaker 1: have my top stack not be breaking the bank right

1083
00:51:39,600 --> 00:51:42,279
Speaker 1: off the bat. And then Matt Ryan and Julio are

1084
00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:45,120
Speaker 1: also in the conversation. But at home, Philly is a

1085
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:47,359
Speaker 1: pretty good defense usually and they could come to play

1086
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:49,359
Speaker 1: a limit both of them. And like I just said,

1087
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:52,200
Speaker 1: I don't want to go with the absolute most expensive

1088
00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:56,120
Speaker 1: guys for my stack, but another guy we think Cam

1089
00:51:56,200 --> 00:51:58,719
Speaker 1: Newton and Kelvin Benjamin could be an interesting stack at

1090
00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:02,000
Speaker 1: home against the shaky k See pass defense. All those

1091
00:52:02,040 --> 00:52:05,720
Speaker 1: guys are worth considering. Who are your favorites. Kim Newton

1092
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:08,480
Speaker 1: is really cheap. I'm surprised at how cheap he is.

1093
00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:11,239
Speaker 1: He's someone I should have mentioned the quarterback section. He's

1094
00:52:11,280 --> 00:52:12,919
Speaker 1: not a bad play this week either, and we've seen

1095
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:16,239
Speaker 1: him absolutely go off. They've been dropping his price. But

1096
00:52:16,320 --> 00:52:18,920
Speaker 1: for me, if I'm going three man stack, you're right

1097
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:23,280
Speaker 1: on the money. Chicago Bears Jay Cutler, alshon, Jeffrey zach Miller,

1098
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:28,000
Speaker 1: and look, I'm playing Travis Kelsey virtually everywhere. But you know,

1099
00:52:28,000 --> 00:52:30,800
Speaker 1: if you're going for a stack, I like Zach Miller

1100
00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:32,960
Speaker 1: right in there. It's a good matchup for him, and

1101
00:52:33,040 --> 00:52:35,080
Speaker 1: I could see the Bears putting up a lot of

1102
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:37,560
Speaker 1: points against the Buccaneers. That's gonna be I think that

1103
00:52:37,640 --> 00:52:40,440
Speaker 1: might be the high scoring game the week. Yeah, it

1104
00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:43,200
Speaker 1: definitely could be. I like Miller as well. There's so

1105
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:45,719
Speaker 1: many tight ends that we really like and we've had

1106
00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:47,400
Speaker 1: We've had a lot of success this year at D

1107
00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 1: five with tight end picks. For some reason, every time

1108
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:53,440
Speaker 1: we say pick this tight end, he scored a touchdown.

1109
00:52:53,520 --> 00:52:55,759
Speaker 1: He isn't a big game. So we'll probably go with

1110
00:52:55,800 --> 00:52:57,600
Speaker 1: two tight ends this year and we give quite a

1111
00:52:57,640 --> 00:52:59,640
Speaker 1: few of them or this week and give quite a

1112
00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:01,600
Speaker 1: few of them to our users. Last week, I don't

1113
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:03,120
Speaker 1: know if you saw, we wrote an article about why

1114
00:53:03,120 --> 00:53:05,640
Speaker 1: you shouldn't play Kyle Rudolph, even though he'll probably be

1115
00:53:05,640 --> 00:53:07,520
Speaker 1: the highest in tight end. We didn't like him at all,

1116
00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:10,400
Speaker 1: and we were aggravated because he caught one pass for

1117
00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:13,960
Speaker 1: one yard and it was a touchdown, and so I

1118
00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:16,760
Speaker 1: mean he still wasn't good at six and a half points,

1119
00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:20,040
Speaker 1: but I mean we were thinking if that wasn't a touchdown,

1120
00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:22,320
Speaker 1: he would he would have been the absolute worst possible

1121
00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:24,719
Speaker 1: pick at tight ended. We almost would have called it

1122
00:53:25,040 --> 00:53:27,600
Speaker 1: that he wouldn't do anything. Is there a contrarian stack

1123
00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:31,880
Speaker 1: that you really like? With news coming out that Marcus

1124
00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:34,960
Speaker 1: Mariota is dealing with an ankle injury, this could lead

1125
00:53:35,000 --> 00:53:37,840
Speaker 1: to small ownership, but he has a good matchup and

1126
00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:40,640
Speaker 1: we're really high on Richard Matthews and since he's one

1127
00:53:40,680 --> 00:53:43,560
Speaker 1: of our mustafs, we think Mariota could put up some

1128
00:53:43,640 --> 00:53:46,719
Speaker 1: good numbers against a banged up Green Bay secondary, who,

1129
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:49,120
Speaker 1: like you said, is really good on the ground. So

1130
00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:52,799
Speaker 1: if Mariota is feeling okay, and hopefully that's just that

1131
00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:55,759
Speaker 1: ankle injury is really nothing big. Anybody at this point

1132
00:53:55,760 --> 00:53:57,719
Speaker 1: in the season is probably banged up a little bit.

1133
00:53:57,960 --> 00:54:00,520
Speaker 1: It's just a matter of who ends up on practice

1134
00:54:00,560 --> 00:54:02,640
Speaker 1: report because they decided to take a limited day off

1135
00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:06,880
Speaker 1: in practice. So hopefully that just moves anybody else away

1136
00:54:06,920 --> 00:54:09,480
Speaker 1: from picking Mariota and that we can get that stack

1137
00:54:09,600 --> 00:54:12,960
Speaker 1: pretty pretty low owned. You know, there's a real cheap

1138
00:54:13,000 --> 00:54:16,160
Speaker 1: stack that I'm fond of, and it's the Miami Dolphins.

1139
00:54:16,280 --> 00:54:20,320
Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill throws to Jarvis lanjury and throws DeVante Parker

1140
00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:23,200
Speaker 1: and not really anyone else. So if I'm playing three

1141
00:54:23,239 --> 00:54:25,879
Speaker 1: guys contrarian stack, I like them all against the San

1142
00:54:25,880 --> 00:54:29,560
Speaker 1: Diego defense that their secondary wasn't great to begin with.

1143
00:54:29,600 --> 00:54:32,359
Speaker 1: It was it was about mediocre, But now Varette's out

1144
00:54:32,360 --> 00:54:35,120
Speaker 1: for the season and I'd say it's a bad defense.

1145
00:54:35,600 --> 00:54:38,600
Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill has had over four thousand yards in a

1146
00:54:38,640 --> 00:54:42,160
Speaker 1: season once or twice, I believe, And you know, he

1147
00:54:42,160 --> 00:54:44,480
Speaker 1: hasn't been great this year, but he's still talented enough

1148
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:46,160
Speaker 1: to put up a big game here and there, So

1149
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:48,120
Speaker 1: don't be surprised if it happens this week. And if

1150
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:50,799
Speaker 1: it does, that means Jarvis Lanjury and DeVante Parker are

1151
00:54:50,800 --> 00:54:54,239
Speaker 1: probably both gonna have big games too. Yeah, I can

1152
00:54:54,280 --> 00:54:57,200
Speaker 1: see that stack doing well, and I've thought We've thought

1153
00:54:57,239 --> 00:55:00,239
Speaker 1: to take that Miami stack quite a few times. And

1154
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:02,960
Speaker 1: what just keeps happening is Jay Agi. He just gets

1155
00:55:02,960 --> 00:55:06,440
Speaker 1: all the carries. So, like you said, Aji is getting

1156
00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:09,680
Speaker 1: so many touches that it could make it hard for

1157
00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:12,120
Speaker 1: Tannehill to have a big week. I don't think all

1158
00:55:12,160 --> 00:55:13,759
Speaker 1: four of those guys will have a huge week, so

1159
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:16,480
Speaker 1: make sure you don't play all of them. If you're

1160
00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:18,000
Speaker 1: going to use a Ji like you said you are,

1161
00:55:18,040 --> 00:55:20,680
Speaker 1: I wouldn't. I wouldn't use Tannahill in that same line up,

1162
00:55:21,480 --> 00:55:23,239
Speaker 1: all right, justin Well, that's all the questions we have

1163
00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:25,680
Speaker 1: for you this week. Really appreciate you coming on again.

1164
00:55:26,080 --> 00:55:28,480
Speaker 1: Fun talking to and I'm looking forward to messing with

1165
00:55:28,520 --> 00:55:32,200
Speaker 1: my touring, with my DFS lineups a little bit more here. Yeah, yeah,

1166
00:55:32,200 --> 00:55:33,879
Speaker 1: it should be a fun week. Thanks for having me on.

1167
00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:36,920
Speaker 1: Good look, Thanks Justin and for those of you listening

1168
00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:38,479
Speaker 1: at home. That's all we have for you this week.

1169
00:55:38,560 --> 00:55:41,920
Speaker 1: Next week we've got three more episodes and we've got

1170
00:55:41,920 --> 00:55:44,319
Speaker 1: the fantasy footballers coming on to talk with us. It's

1171
00:55:44,320 --> 00:55:45,640
Speaker 1: going to be a fun week, so make sure to

1172
00:55:45,680 --> 00:55:47,759
Speaker 1: tune him for those If you haven't already, please do

1173
00:55:47,840 --> 00:55:51,080
Speaker 1: us a quick favor and take like fifteen seconds subscribe

1174
00:55:51,080 --> 00:55:53,080
Speaker 1: and leave us for review on iTunes. It really helps

1175
00:55:53,120 --> 00:55:56,160
Speaker 1: us out a lot. Thanks for listening and enjoy your football.

1176
00:55:56,280 --> 00:56:07,560
Speaker 1: I just wanted to in a blue fall your life.

1177
00:56:07,840 --> 00:56:13,080
Speaker 1: I don't even know how the Canistreet barks like gods,

1178
00:56:13,160 --> 00:56:17,280
Speaker 1: like gigging into digging and saying desiring of trouble