1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:03,960 Speaker 1: Happy Friday, everybody. I was lamenting yesterday when we were 2 00:00:03,960 --> 00:00:05,760 Speaker 1: trying to put the show together that there's just too 3 00:00:05,880 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: damn much news to try to cover. So we've got 4 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:09,799 Speaker 1: a bunch of stuff that's interesting in the show today. 5 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:11,120 Speaker 1: Ryan and Emiley, how are you guys doing. 6 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 2: Hey, good to see you, Lovely, great to see it. 7 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 1: Lots of Elon updates, some Laura Lomer updates, we got 8 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 1: some Gavin Newsom, some the latest with the tariffs. Are 9 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: they on or off? What does it all mean? Nobody 10 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: really knows. Some interesting stuff from the Democrats as well, 11 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: as they continue to find themselves a little bit lost 12 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: in the wilderness. More than a little bit lost in 13 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,279 Speaker 1: the wilderness, I'd say, so, lots to get through. Let 14 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:37,600 Speaker 1: me go ahead and start with this image to set 15 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 1: the stage for today. We had another starship that you 16 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:46,559 Speaker 1: know from Elon's company, SpaceX, that blew up upon launch yesterday. 17 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 1: This is a somebody who was a passenger on a 18 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 1: commercial flight that took this video. You can see all 19 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 1: the debris in the air there, and we were talking beforehand. 20 00:00:57,480 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: So this is the second blow up that Starts has 21 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: had this year. The FA was previously investigating the last one, 22 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: you know, at least before SpaceX guys basically came in 23 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 1: and did like a hostile takeover the FAA. This is 24 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 1: out of eight starship launches, four of them have failed, 25 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: so not a great success rate, especially since NASA is 26 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: effectively pinning the future of the Space Shuttle program on 27 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 1: Elon and SpaceX at this point. So any reflections on this, 28 00:01:21,959 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: guys so beautiful. 29 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:29,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, yeah, I mean after the last one, right, 30 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 2: they launched investigation and then you know, Doge has been 31 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 2: able to shut that investigation down. 32 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 3: As producer Mac was pointing out before this show. 33 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,839 Speaker 2: Started, the last one had you know, you know, real 34 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,119 Speaker 2: repercussions for people who were. 35 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 3: In the. 36 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 2: Blast zone, the radius of that debris, you know, collapsing 37 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 2: back down to Earth. And I think it's an awkward 38 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 2: time because if you're looking at doing cuts to federal 39 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 2: spendings such as closing security offices, such as firing eighty 40 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 2: thousand VA workers, which we'll talk about later in the show, 41 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 2: to have that paired with sending all this money to SpaceX, 42 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 2: and then to have it just blow up in the sky, 43 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:17,959 Speaker 2: it's not a great image, not a great look. 44 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, and the investigations of SpaceX have been not just 45 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:24,280 Speaker 1: from the FAA, they've also been environmental issues with them 46 00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:28,640 Speaker 1: not you know, following compliance and causing damage to the 47 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:31,239 Speaker 1: you know, the area where they're testing these rockets and 48 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:35,360 Speaker 1: the surrounding communities. This one caused multiple commercial flights to 49 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 1: have to be diverted. The last one also caused I 50 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:40,239 Speaker 1: think around a dozen commercial flights to have to be diverted. 51 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 1: Obviously it's the FA that's doing all that work. So 52 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 1: again Elon's involvement at the FA becomes directly, you know, 53 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:49,400 Speaker 1: direct conflict there. And you had a couple of Florida 54 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:53,079 Speaker 1: airports that had to shut down completely for at least 55 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:55,960 Speaker 1: a couple hours while this debris was falling from the 56 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 1: sky to avoid any you know, further incidents. So yeah, 57 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:02,640 Speaker 1: said Ryan, not a great look. There's a bunch of 58 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 1: other Elon news here to get to. This is probably 59 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:09,919 Speaker 1: the most significant from yesterday, which is Trump gathered the 60 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:14,000 Speaker 1: cabinet together to let them know Elon Musk is not 61 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: in charge of hiring and firing. 62 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 4: They are. 63 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 1: Kyle Cheney here, who's a great follow in terms of 64 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:22,239 Speaker 1: just like the legal ins and outs. In particular, she 65 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 1: says it was an abrupt admonition that appeared aimed at 66 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:29,359 Speaker 1: the mounting legal scrutiny of Musk's power over the government. 67 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 1: And what he's pointing to there, Emily, I think is 68 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 1: the fact that, you know, there have been these all 69 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 1: these court cases. One of them is focused on whether 70 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 1: the Office of Personal Management has the ability to just 71 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: blanket fire federal employees across the government, not just obviously 72 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 1: within their own agency, you know, as part of that, 73 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,880 Speaker 1: like obviously DOGE does not technically have the power to 74 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 1: just blanket fire whoever they want across the entire federal government. 75 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: So one way to read this that some people are is, Okay, 76 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:02,640 Speaker 1: this is Trump actually. 77 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 4: Reigning in elon. 78 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: Another way to read it is this is the Trump 79 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 1: administration trying to position themselves in a stronger way legally 80 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 1: without really changing the dynamics of what they're doing here. 81 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 5: Well, yeah, I mean I think that's absolutely true. I 82 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:16,719 Speaker 5: actually think in a weird way, both are true. But 83 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:18,960 Speaker 5: this was always an easier I don't want to call 84 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:21,240 Speaker 5: it a loophole, but this was always an easier way 85 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 5: to approach the situation. And I think maybe part of 86 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:26,719 Speaker 5: it is now they have the whole cabinet in place. 87 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:30,680 Speaker 5: Basically I think maybe tchaves Derrimer, who'll get a vote soon. 88 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 5: They're a couple outstanding people. But now most of the 89 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 5: cabinet is in place, so you have people who can 90 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:39,720 Speaker 5: make those decisions who aren't big balls, and it's like 91 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:42,840 Speaker 5: it's it always just made more sense to have that. 92 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:47,160 Speaker 5: It's like legally easier. And Trump the only other interesting 93 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 5: thing in that I think was Trump saying now according 94 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 5: to Politico, that these cuts will be done with the 95 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 5: scalpel and not the hatchet. So that makes me think 96 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:58,279 Speaker 5: it's a little bit of both that he actually has 97 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 5: realized that there's been and a lot of like sledge 98 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 5: hammer like rehirings and maybe like not not the most 99 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 5: efficient way of going towards efficiency. And so he's like 100 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 5: just saying, we've got the cabinet at place now, like 101 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 5: you guys are actually in charge of this, just know 102 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 5: that we want cuts. Because the other thing he says, 103 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 5: according to the political story, is if you don't do 104 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 5: the cuts, Elon will do the cuts. So now he's 105 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 5: just like using Elon Musk as the sort of damaclets 106 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 5: like hovering over anyone who's out of compliance with the 107 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:34,119 Speaker 5: spirit of DOGE, and Elon Musk is not, I guess 108 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:36,239 Speaker 5: in charge of DOGE. I mean he's the head of DOGE, 109 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:39,039 Speaker 5: but he's not the administrator of DOGE. It's hard to 110 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 5: keep up, right up. 111 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 2: According to the speech, Yeah, Doge or something. 112 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 5: Everyone is Doge in their hearts. 113 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 3: Yeah. 114 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 2: And from that, from the outside, it looks like chaos. 115 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 2: It looks like wait a minute. You know, you told 116 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 2: us that you've spent the last four years putting together this. 117 00:05:56,760 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 2: You know this, this detailed, sophisticated play. Talking to people 118 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 2: who know what they're doing. You got former own B 119 00:06:03,800 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 2: director Russ Votis back at OH and B. 120 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 3: He did his project twenty twenty five. 121 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 2: They're gonna come in, they're gonna do exactly exactly what 122 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 2: they've wanted to do. And then they do that thing 123 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 2: and then they're like, actually, never mind, We're going to 124 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 2: do it a completely different way. And they're talking about, 125 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 2: you know, re hiring thousands of USDA employees. I noticed, 126 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,839 Speaker 2: and they're a bunch of others are in limbo. We're 127 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:29,040 Speaker 2: on administrative leave, but we can't get in touch with anybody. 128 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:29,560 Speaker 3: Are we fired? 129 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 2: Are we still going to get our paychecks? Are are 130 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 2: we coming back because you're now acknowledging that what this 131 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 2: judge said about our firings that they were illegal, they 132 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 2: are illegal. So am I rehired? Or am I still fired? 133 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:47,160 Speaker 2: How's this all gonna work? Or or is it just 134 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:50,120 Speaker 2: going to be like the tariffs where we talk about 135 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 2: it a lot, do a little bit, and there's a 136 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 2: lot of pain for some in a micro level for 137 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:58,719 Speaker 2: some people, but then it all gets flipped and we 138 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 2: kind of move on and pretend like it never happened. 139 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:01,040 Speaker 3: I don't know. 140 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:03,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, that is a great point. I mean, for what 141 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 1: it's worth. My personal read of this is that the 142 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: real message was sent in that public cabinet meeting where 143 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 1: Trump says to all of them like, if you don't 144 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: like it, get the hell out. So the message is 145 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: sent you better do what Elon wants you to do. 146 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 1: But you know, technically, of course it's up to you. 147 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 1: You're in charge, and use the scalpel, not the hatchet. 148 00:07:22,360 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 1: But if you don't do what we want, then get 149 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 1: the hell out of here. I mean, that's the way 150 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: I read it, until I see a different posture. To me, 151 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 1: some of his language is more about recognition that this 152 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 1: is profoundly unpopular. You know, if you look at the 153 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: polling of you know, oh, we're slashing the Social Security Administration, 154 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,000 Speaker 1: and like Ryan said, is just like chaos everywhere, and 155 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 1: why are we firing all these veterans and people showing 156 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 1: up to town hall saying like, what the hell is 157 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 1: going on? This is an attempt to be like, oh, no, no, no, 158 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: everything's normal. We're doing this in the way that you 159 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 1: would want. Because if you poll just like hey, should 160 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 1: the government be cut and should it be more efficient? 161 00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:57,840 Speaker 5: People are like, yeah, sure. 162 00:07:57,680 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 4: Of course. 163 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 1: But when the rubber hits the road and you see like, oh, 164 00:08:02,560 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: the people who are tracking bird flu are gone, and 165 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: planes are crashing into each other and I no longer 166 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 1: can you know, reach someone when I'm trying to get 167 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: something resolved of my Social Security check, or like in Maine, 168 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 1: where now because they cut the link between the Social 169 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:21,640 Speaker 1: Security Administration and the health services, you now have to 170 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 1: go in person to a Social Security office to like 171 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 1: register your new baby. As if when you have a 172 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:29,320 Speaker 1: newborn you don't have enough on your mind to deal 173 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 1: with they're adding that to the burden as well. So 174 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: when you see all that chaos and the reality of 175 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 1: those cuts, the feel and the political ramification becomes much 176 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: different than if you just ask people like, hey, should 177 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 1: the government be more efficient, to which most people, you know, 178 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 1: overwhelming would be like, yeah, sure, of course. 179 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, that should be an easily winnable fight, right emily, 180 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 2: like from the right to you know, the public thinks 181 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 2: that there's waste in government and the public it's not 182 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 2: particularly sympathetic. 183 00:08:57,640 --> 00:08:58,960 Speaker 3: To federal workers in general. 184 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:03,439 Speaker 2: To fire federal workers and still wind up on the 185 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 2: wrong end of public opinion takes a massive level of incompetence. 186 00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 5: Really well, I mean, the scalpel versus hatchet diconomy is 187 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:14,440 Speaker 5: interesting because a lot of people on the right were 188 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 5: using that the reverse from Donald Trump, like the reverse 189 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:23,319 Speaker 5: of what he said to justify Doge's chaos. This is 190 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 5: like the callous like you have to break a few 191 00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:29,280 Speaker 5: eggs to make an omelet maxium, like this is always 192 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 5: it's necessary, like you will never ever scale down the 193 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:35,199 Speaker 5: size of the federal government if you don't do it 194 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 5: with the hatchet first. And so I guess in a sense, 195 00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 5: I'm curious and I should probably talk to some people 196 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 5: to day and ask around if they see this now 197 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 5: as like phase two of Doge, Like they came in 198 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 5: with the hatchet, and now they can afford to be 199 00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:53,440 Speaker 5: like more precise and targeted. But if it's not true 200 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 5: that they got through like some type of first phase, 201 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:58,439 Speaker 5: which I think most people until yesterday would have said 202 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 5: they didn't, then that defeats what everyone thought the purpose 203 00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:06,679 Speaker 5: of DOGE was, which was to be this generational opportunity 204 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 5: to actually use the hatchet, because if you use the scalpel, 205 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 5: people say you will never ever scale back the size 206 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 5: of the size of the federal government because it's too 207 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:18,319 Speaker 5: It gives everybody time to fight back, it gives everybody 208 00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 5: time to sort of come up with a strategy, and 209 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 5: you end up just kind of back where you started 210 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 5: and trimming around the edges. But DOGE was supposed to 211 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 5: be like the generational chainsaw opportunity to borrow from Elon's 212 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 5: imagery at Seapack. 213 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, And instead, as always happens, a bunch of Republicans 214 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:38,400 Speaker 2: went out on a limb that Trump asked them to 215 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 2: go out on. Then Trump grabbed their chainsaw and chop 216 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 2: the limb off. Yeah, And now there they are explaining 217 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:47,120 Speaker 2: how they actually always meant to be at the bottom 218 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:49,240 Speaker 2: of the tree with broken legs. 219 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's very relevant to the terror of conversation as well, 220 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:56,680 Speaker 1: where you know, the whiplash of that leaves his defenders, 221 00:10:56,720 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 1: you know, defending every single policy under the sun in 222 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,080 Speaker 1: an attempt to curry favor with him and to you know, 223 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 1: curry favor with a base that's very committed to him. 224 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 1: Let's say, Ryan, let me have you explain this one, 225 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: because you've been all over this D banking vote that 226 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:13,960 Speaker 1: occurred in the Senate. 227 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 4: So Laura Lumer. 228 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,199 Speaker 1: Here upset because she says, every Senate republic with the 229 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:19,079 Speaker 1: exception of Centaer. 230 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 4: Josh Holly, just voted to legalize D banking. 231 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 1: Now apps like PayPal can get away with banning you 232 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 1: for your political views thanks to Senate Republicans who just 233 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:29,960 Speaker 1: voted to repeal a rule that made that illegal in 234 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 1: December of twenty twenty four. And Elon Musk replies, really question, 235 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: Laura says, yes, really, hopefully. 236 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 4: You can put an end to this. 237 00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:41,320 Speaker 1: Elon GOP does not like CFPB, and so they are 238 00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 1: now just opposing everything CFPP has done, including the good 239 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 1: things like implementing a law on twenty twenty four that 240 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:49,680 Speaker 1: ban payment platforms like PayPal, Stripe and Venmo from banning 241 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:52,959 Speaker 1: people based off their political affiliation. Senate Gop just voted 242 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 1: to legalize D banking. They should kill the companion bill 243 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:58,679 Speaker 1: off in the House, Ryan, What is going on here? 244 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:02,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, you think that this has contrasting perspectives? How about 245 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 2: Laura Lumer and I teaming up to try to save 246 00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 2: this cfbb D banking rule, like the whole, the whole. 247 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 3: It's not even horseshoes. 248 00:12:10,080 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 2: It's like just looping in like a Nascar trek, you know, 249 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:18,000 Speaker 2: on itself. So yeah, so so Laura Lumer, you know, 250 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 2: shared our reporting over at drop side and we covered 251 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:23,560 Speaker 2: it here at Counterpoints. I had reached out to her 252 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:27,319 Speaker 2: because she has herself been de banked in twenty nineteen. 253 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:29,960 Speaker 2: I don't know, you know what her you know, far 254 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:35,000 Speaker 2: right particular offense was, but PayPal stopped working with her, 255 00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 2: Venmo canceled her accounts. She can't use like uber eats, 256 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 2: like basically shut off from all of kind of contemporary 257 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:54,199 Speaker 2: app activity. There were even some like comical ones that 258 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 2: like the apps don't even exist anymore. What was that 259 00:12:56,960 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 2: one where all the tech bros were on audio talking 260 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:05,920 Speaker 2: to each clubhouse? Yeah from clubhouse? Yeah, big thing, Yes, 261 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:07,319 Speaker 2: is clubhouse even still a thing? 262 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 3: I forgot I don't think so, I guess maybe. Yeah. 263 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 2: Anyway, so and she and she confirmed, yeah, yeah, and 264 00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 2: she's still actually, uh can't use PayPal in some others. 265 00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 3: And so. 266 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 2: The CFPB passed a rule under Biden an under row 267 00:13:23,280 --> 00:13:30,080 Speaker 2: hit Tropra that says banks cannot dbank over political reasons, 268 00:13:30,200 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 2: for ideological reasons. And he said, and and what And 269 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:36,959 Speaker 2: I'm including in that anybody that does more than fifty 270 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:41,160 Speaker 2: million transactions a year, so that that lumps in PayPal, 271 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:43,400 Speaker 2: Zell who will pay Apple pay. 272 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 3: All all of these apps. 273 00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 2: And they all fought this, you know, relentlessly because they 274 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 2: don't want it's they don't want to be regulated, period. 275 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:57,120 Speaker 2: And so uh Elon Musk and WhatsApp Zuckerberg both have 276 00:13:57,200 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 2: been talking about getting a payment app, you know, getting 277 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 2: you know, allowing payments on you to move money through 278 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 2: What's app or through your d MS on Twitter or whatever. 279 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:07,120 Speaker 5: They that's one of his most important ambitions for Twitter. 280 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 5: It's one of the reasons he bought it. He wants 281 00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 5: it to be x and in everything. 282 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:12,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's been very clear about that and that they 283 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:15,559 Speaker 2: would instantly then be covered under this under this new regulation, 284 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 2: and it would just mean they can't debank people for 285 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 2: political reasons and they'd have to have serious, uh fraud 286 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 2: prevention efforts, just like banks are supposed to have and 287 00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:31,560 Speaker 2: fraud dispute mechanisms. So you get you get scammed, you 288 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 2: can you can there's a process that you can dispute it. 289 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 2: Scams on Twitter now like there's just you're you're absolutely screwed, 290 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 2: Like you get you get scammed, you get shut out, 291 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:44,240 Speaker 2: you you better know somebody who can who can like 292 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 2: get your case in front of Elon. Otherwise you know, 293 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 2: you're shut out of your account and you're the account 294 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:52,680 Speaker 2: is going to be controlled by whatever crypto scammers you 295 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:56,560 Speaker 2: know took it from you and rupar got got caught 296 00:14:56,560 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 2: by that recently. So they don't want that regulation, and 297 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 2: so they persuaded the Senate to pass this resolution getting 298 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:15,080 Speaker 2: rid of this CFPB rule, and so Josh Hawley voted 299 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 2: against it. I've seen Steve Bannon is now engaged on 300 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 2: this question. It still has to go over to the House. 301 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 3: And so. 302 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:25,800 Speaker 2: Now Democrats just had another one of their members die 303 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 2: who so that they're what needed four seat majority now, 304 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:34,560 Speaker 2: so maybe five seeds at this point Democrats, you know, 305 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 2: if everybody shows up, they'll all vote no. Republicans only 306 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 2: need to find a handful of people single digits low 307 00:15:40,880 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 2: single digits to say no. Sorry Musk like sorry, PayPal, 308 00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:48,400 Speaker 2: like we're going to regulate you here, and then the 309 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 2: regulation is going to say you can't dbank people for 310 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 2: political reasons. Elon Musk saying really, like, as this is, 311 00:15:57,440 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 2: as if this is like coming as news to him, 312 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 2: is it's kind of hilarious. 313 00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:05,440 Speaker 1: But I think when Zuckerberg was on with Rogan pretendingly 314 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 1: he didn't know what the CFP I've never even heard of. 315 00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 4: Why are they even going after me? 316 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 3: You're telling me this for the first time. It's very sad. 317 00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:19,280 Speaker 2: So I think if you're Elon Musk, curious Emily for 318 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 2: your take on this. If you're Elon Musk, you take 319 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 2: the l here and you tell the House do not 320 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:29,240 Speaker 2: repeal this rule. This is outrageous because it shows then 321 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 2: you're you can you can be performatively non conflicted because 322 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:35,960 Speaker 2: they're look, Okay, yes this would hurt me, but I 323 00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 2: am willing to let this go through because it's so 324 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 2: obvious that conservatives should not be, you know, kicked off 325 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 2: of you know, banking apps just for being conservative. So 326 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 2: I'm going to stand up for I'm going to stand 327 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:50,960 Speaker 2: up for this, and then he can figure out down 328 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 2: the road how he can get there destroying far about 329 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 2: for his little coin. 330 00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:59,600 Speaker 4: They're destroying the CFP B so exactly he doesn't need 331 00:16:59,640 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 4: this in place. 332 00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:05,840 Speaker 2: They already like ifower him, I would cynically just get 333 00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 2: behind this and say, yeah, don't don't do this. 334 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 3: This is terrible. 335 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:12,919 Speaker 2: I mean, if it hadn't been elevated, then he wouldn't 336 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:14,120 Speaker 2: have even had to make the choice. 337 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 5: I think the cynical calculation is absolutely smart. But I 338 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 5: don't know that they're actually going to even bob. 339 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 3: They're going for everything. 340 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:24,679 Speaker 2: They might just they might just repeal the rule and 341 00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:26,199 Speaker 2: be like, you know, what, what are you gonna do? 342 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:29,160 Speaker 5: Well, And they also have a fairly arcane argument about 343 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:33,960 Speaker 5: how how the rule actually is. It's like the opposite. 344 00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:35,720 Speaker 5: You've probably seen this, Like they flip it on its 345 00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:37,880 Speaker 5: head and they say the rule is what allows for 346 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 5: the debate. They say that what they're doing is fighting debanking, 347 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:44,240 Speaker 5: like that's their argument. They have this like arcane like 348 00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:47,800 Speaker 5: lobbyist crafted clearly like tech lobbyist crafted argument. 349 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,439 Speaker 2: And Tim Scott is out saying well, I've got a 350 00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:52,439 Speaker 2: bill that's going to ban de banking. 351 00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 3: But it's like that's. 352 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:57,800 Speaker 2: That's treating people like like they don't have any. 353 00:17:57,680 --> 00:17:58,680 Speaker 3: Idea what they're talking about. 354 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 2: It's like there's already there are laws on the books 355 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 2: that are interpreted to mean that you can't discriminate against 356 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:08,520 Speaker 2: people on their viewpoints. The CFPB's rule is just implementing 357 00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 2: that law. So Tim Scott coming and saying he's going 358 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:14,320 Speaker 2: to pass a new law means that somebody then has 359 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 2: to implement a rule to enforce it. Laws that aren't 360 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:22,200 Speaker 2: enforced don't matter. And so what these what Tim Scott 361 00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:24,640 Speaker 2: and these other republics would want to do is say well, 362 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 2: we're going to pass a law, but we're not going 363 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:29,360 Speaker 2: to enforce it, So that way they get to tell 364 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,879 Speaker 2: their audience that they're with them. But the bank lobbyists 365 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,960 Speaker 2: are comfortable that the law will never be enforced. 366 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, because all the agencies that would enforce it are 367 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:39,440 Speaker 1: being destroyed. 368 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 5: I'm threatened that you're going to replace me with Laura Lumer. 369 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:48,080 Speaker 3: Right, we got to get we got to get on 370 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:48,680 Speaker 3: the show. 371 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:54,520 Speaker 2: That we would we is she allowed on YouTube like like, 372 00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:56,720 Speaker 2: she's like every we could just. 373 00:18:56,760 --> 00:19:00,920 Speaker 1: Post that one on Rumble only they could be a 374 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,640 Speaker 1: Rumbel exclusive Ryan Ryan and Laura Lumer to team up. 375 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 1: That's like I wanted to talk to Steve Bannon for 376 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:07,360 Speaker 1: similar reasons. 377 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 5: It is. It is. 378 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 2: Whatever she said, I'm sure I disagree with it. She 379 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:13,440 Speaker 2: should not be banned from Uber eats ridiculous. 380 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:15,480 Speaker 5: Yep, yeah, well too far. 381 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:18,840 Speaker 4: I mean you also, like, there's few people who are. 382 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 1: Actually willing to really stand up to, you know, on 383 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 1: any sort of principle. 384 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:25,160 Speaker 4: Most of them are busy being. 385 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 1: Like terifts are great, You're so brilliant for taking the 386 00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:31,240 Speaker 1: tariff's off. Tarif's are great. You're so brilliant for taking 387 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,199 Speaker 1: the tariff's off. So to see someone who will like 388 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,480 Speaker 1: stand on any principle, as you know, you gotta. 389 00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:37,679 Speaker 3: She's got her views and sticking with it. 390 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to some of the latest Doge 391 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,679 Speaker 1: cuts here that are really significant washing posts with a 392 00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:48,159 Speaker 1: good piece on what's already happening at Social Security, as 393 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,399 Speaker 1: Jeff Stein puts it here. So you know, they've slashed 394 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 1: a lot of the workforce, They're closing a bunch of offices, 395 00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 1: and people are already feeling that the impact of that. 396 00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,199 Speaker 1: And Ryan, I think you pointed out this is like, 397 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,600 Speaker 1: this is a way to social security effectively without actually 398 00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:05,600 Speaker 1: cutting social security. So this article says wait times for 399 00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:08,160 Speaker 1: basic phone service have grown, in some cases to hours. 400 00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 1: Coordinate employees, who, like others, spoke on the condition of anonymity. 401 00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:15,360 Speaker 1: Delays and reviews of disability claims and hearings before administrative 402 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:18,879 Speaker 1: law judges are already starting. Employees at a field office 403 00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:20,639 Speaker 1: in Indiana have been forced to pick up calls for 404 00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:23,640 Speaker 1: other offices. When employees said and are feeling phone inquiries 405 00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:25,879 Speaker 1: for an area covering two thirds of the state, the 406 00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:28,800 Speaker 1: phone quote never stops ringing. Now, the employee said, phone 407 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: backups have prevented the staff from processing retirement claims. So 408 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 1: you know, how good is a program? How good is 409 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:39,359 Speaker 1: a program for you? Like how much does it actually 410 00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,639 Speaker 1: exist when you cannot actually get in touch with a 411 00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:45,680 Speaker 1: human being in order to avail yourself of said program. 412 00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:48,480 Speaker 1: Like if you can't get your claims processed, then it's 413 00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 1: like the program doesn't exist for you effectively. 414 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:53,240 Speaker 2: Right, it's a way to kill the program, the program 415 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,760 Speaker 2: through attrition, because obviously social security itself something like ten 416 00:20:56,800 --> 00:21:00,240 Speaker 2: thousand plus people a day are dying who or on 417 00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:04,359 Speaker 2: SOLI security, so you're moving them out. Then you know 418 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 2: ten it's fairly automatic to get in to just straight 419 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:13,280 Speaker 2: up self security. But SSI and SSDI, which are huge 420 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 2: components of the program, are implemented by the states through 421 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:20,120 Speaker 2: these Disability Determination Services offices and they're kind of run 422 00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:24,640 Speaker 2: by SSA, and those are the places where it takes 423 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,840 Speaker 2: a long time to get your claims approved, and once 424 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,159 Speaker 2: you're on, they're kind of always looking for ways to 425 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:33,280 Speaker 2: kick you off, like, oh, your bank account went over 426 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 2: two thousand dollars this month, You're you're out. Then you 427 00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:38,959 Speaker 2: have to appeal and you try to get back in. 428 00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:42,719 Speaker 2: And if you can shut those offices down, then you 429 00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,359 Speaker 2: can slow the process of getting new people in or 430 00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:48,720 Speaker 2: just completely block it and then through attrition, you know, 431 00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:54,000 Speaker 2: get people out through paperwork violations or death and gradually 432 00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 2: take this program that is the most popular and has 433 00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:02,199 Speaker 2: reduced poverty by by more than any other program in 434 00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:02,879 Speaker 2: world history. 435 00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 3: And I say this as a. 436 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:08,320 Speaker 2: Huge fan of some communist governments and they're anti poverty programs, 437 00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:09,200 Speaker 2: but nobody. 438 00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:10,919 Speaker 3: Has like reduced. 439 00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:15,600 Speaker 2: Poverty like Social Security did, like taking it from ninety 440 00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,919 Speaker 2: like a huge, huge, like a ninety percent drop in 441 00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 2: elderly poverty from the from pre sol Security to post 442 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 2: Social Security. Not even Stalin not even installing this can 443 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:28,320 Speaker 2: claim credit for that. 444 00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:30,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, So. 445 00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 2: That's what they're trying to do. They're trying to reverse 446 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:35,200 Speaker 2: it by through attrition. 447 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,160 Speaker 5: I don't think that's wrong. I mean, I think that's 448 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:44,720 Speaker 5: probably well. So I think it's there's Ryan and Crissel, 449 00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:47,120 Speaker 5: you were both talking about this the other night when 450 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:51,760 Speaker 5: we were discussing how much austerity like featured in Donald 451 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:55,879 Speaker 5: Trump's joined addressed to Congress. Yeah, I think they're like 452 00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 5: real ideological and Trump may not even be aware of 453 00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:04,840 Speaker 5: this ideological goals from people like Russ bo or people 454 00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:08,639 Speaker 5: in that orbit, as it pertains to these programs that 455 00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 5: are baked into the massive reforms that they want to do. 456 00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,960 Speaker 5: So like, for example, when Trump says we're not cutting Medicaid, 457 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:17,679 Speaker 5: we're reforming the waste fraud in abuse, or like we're 458 00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:21,080 Speaker 5: rooting out waste broad in abuse. You can make all 459 00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:24,560 Speaker 5: of these cuts to Medicaid and it doesn't have anything 460 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 5: to do with the solvency of the programs long term. 461 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:27,919 Speaker 5: So they think it with Social Security, like you can 462 00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:29,880 Speaker 5: get fraud out of Social Security. It doesn't have anything 463 00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:32,439 Speaker 5: to do with the solvency of the program's long term, 464 00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:36,040 Speaker 5: but it does sort of handicap them. So I think 465 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:39,880 Speaker 5: some of that is baked into these broader conservative movement 466 00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:43,960 Speaker 5: policy designs. I agree with that. I just don't know 467 00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 5: if Trump. I don't know if it's like on Trump's radar. 468 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:47,480 Speaker 3: Sure it's not. 469 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,080 Speaker 2: And I was talking to it as somebody who works 470 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:52,639 Speaker 2: in a state dds office yesterday, and they said that 471 00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:57,639 Speaker 2: this censorship that they've been bizarrely carrying out at SSA offices, 472 00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:00,560 Speaker 2: and you saw this report that like you can't you 473 00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:03,960 Speaker 2: already couldn't, you know, go to YouTube on your work 474 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:07,280 Speaker 2: computer in a lot of places, public schools, lots of places, 475 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 2: but they expanded that to like all almost all news sites. 476 00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 2: And the THEDS employee I talked to you said that 477 00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:17,160 Speaker 2: that also caught up their contractor, you know, because there's 478 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:21,479 Speaker 2: so much corporate kind of conglomerization and concentration of corporate 479 00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:25,240 Speaker 2: power that you hit one company, you might hit seventy 480 00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:25,800 Speaker 2: five companies. 481 00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:27,320 Speaker 3: You didn't know we're like connected to it. 482 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:31,120 Speaker 2: So like these these state workers now can't get into 483 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,000 Speaker 2: their contractor portals to do just the basic work that 484 00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:36,960 Speaker 2: they have to do to implement the program. And it's 485 00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 2: like that's kind of on purpose, like that's the goal, 486 00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:43,199 Speaker 2: Like they want they want these workers not to be 487 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:44,960 Speaker 2: able to do their work because the work that they're 488 00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:49,400 Speaker 2: doing is they don't support gradually bringing more people into 489 00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 2: the program. 490 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:50,560 Speaker 4: Yeah. 491 00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 1: Well, and I also think, I mean the you know, 492 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:55,639 Speaker 1: the State of the Union where he was talking, he 493 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,399 Speaker 1: was spreading this total lie about the number of people 494 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,160 Speaker 1: over two hundred or whatever who are Social Security tecks. 495 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,520 Speaker 1: I mean that to me is also a way to argue, 496 00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:06,720 Speaker 1: like we're cutting this program because of all the fraud, 497 00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 1: to avoid violating his or avoid the appearance of violating 498 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:16,399 Speaker 1: his pledge that he wasn't going to cut touch Social Security. So, 499 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:18,880 Speaker 1: you know, again, this is one of these areas where 500 00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,160 Speaker 1: you see the tug of war between what Trump has 501 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 1: positioned himself as politically and what Elon's ideology is, and 502 00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:29,120 Speaker 1: certainly Russfod's ideology as well, and the Elon ideology seems 503 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 1: to be consistently winning out. I mean, this is kind 504 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:37,200 Speaker 1: of a somewhat similar You've got they're firing eighty thousand 505 00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 1: Veterans Affairs workers as part of Trump cuts. They say, 506 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,440 Speaker 1: this is sparking a backlash. I mean, many of these 507 00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:47,360 Speaker 1: people are veterans themselves that work at the Veterans Affairs 508 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:51,280 Speaker 1: Administration and certainly critical to you know, delivering for the 509 00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 1: promises that we have made to people who have served 510 00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:56,159 Speaker 1: the country, and only I think politically these have been 511 00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 1: some of the more difficult for Republicans to be able 512 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:00,199 Speaker 1: to answer when you have people who stand up like, 513 00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 1: how could you be firing all of these tens of 514 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:06,040 Speaker 1: thousands of veterans who serve the country. How could you 515 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 1: be firing all of these military spouses who are sort 516 00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 1: of disproportionately on probationary status because the nature of having 517 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 1: to move around the country and you know, depending on 518 00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 1: where your your spouse is being stationed and deployed. And 519 00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:21,119 Speaker 1: so I think politically this has been some of the 520 00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 1: stuff that's been more difficult for Republicans and as part 521 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:27,240 Speaker 1: of why Elon had to meet with them this week 522 00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:30,960 Speaker 1: and assuage some of the Republican Caucus concerns about what 523 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,800 Speaker 1: they're hearing from constituents in their district with regard to Doge. 524 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,000 Speaker 5: Well, my favorite part of that report was at the meeting, 525 00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,679 Speaker 5: Elon Musk handed out his phone number to senators but 526 00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:45,639 Speaker 5: not House members, which is especially pretty finely. It reminds 527 00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:48,200 Speaker 5: me of the veepline where she can't get something through 528 00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,359 Speaker 5: the Senate. She says, Okay, then lift the sewer grade 529 00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,919 Speaker 5: to the House and we'll go over there. So funny. 530 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:58,800 Speaker 5: So what's really interesting to me? And I was very 531 00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:01,480 Speaker 5: surprised to find out by this that that actually pairs 532 00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:04,720 Speaker 5: it back down to twenty nineteen levels. So in the 533 00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:08,920 Speaker 5: last several years, the growth of the VA was eighty 534 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:12,160 Speaker 5: thousand people, which is very like the last six years, 535 00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 5: the growth of the VA was eighty thousand people, which 536 00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:16,679 Speaker 5: is interesting because it's about a four hundred thousand person 537 00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:18,240 Speaker 5: department and they're going to get it back down to 538 00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:21,679 Speaker 5: around three hundred thousand. But even if that, even if 539 00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:24,040 Speaker 5: that on paper you look at it, the politics of it, Krystaler, 540 00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,160 Speaker 5: are going to be I mean, we played that video earlier, 541 00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,520 Speaker 5: but what was a few days ago from Roger Wicker. 542 00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:32,159 Speaker 5: I want to say it was Roger Wicker at a 543 00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:35,680 Speaker 5: town hall where he was getting specifically confronted on veterans. 544 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:40,000 Speaker 5: I was listening to an NPR segment about their local 545 00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:43,120 Speaker 5: va outside of Seattle getting hit by this, and you're 546 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:46,240 Speaker 5: just like, when you localize this, it's going to I 547 00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:50,320 Speaker 5: don't know that we've actually fully seen the bleeding politically 548 00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:52,480 Speaker 5: shown show up and polling it because I don't know 549 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:55,199 Speaker 5: that it's been fully like people haven't reckoned with it. 550 00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:57,960 Speaker 5: They don't realize they're still uncertainty as to whether this 551 00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 5: stuff is permanent or whether it's going to get real. First, 552 00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:03,320 Speaker 5: people are gonna get rehired, because we have seen people 553 00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:05,760 Speaker 5: get rehired, so I don't I mean, if if some 554 00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:07,879 Speaker 5: of the stuff is permanent, the politics of that are 555 00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 5: going to be extremely difficult for Republicans. 556 00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:14,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, and also, you know we're already seeing and this 557 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:16,760 Speaker 1: is a good transition to the next piece about tariffs, 558 00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 1: we're seeing some real economic warning signs and making massive 559 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,439 Speaker 1: cuts to the federal government that is going to have 560 00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 1: an impact not just on those workers, but obviously we're 561 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:30,800 Speaker 1: verberates around communities, you know, different industries that were federal 562 00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:34,240 Speaker 1: government funding is important. They just sort of everything is 563 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 1: frozen in place. And when you couple that with the 564 00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:41,600 Speaker 1: tariffs and what's going on there and general sense that 565 00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 1: there's you know, a slow down coming. It can have 566 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:49,239 Speaker 1: devastating economic impacts outside of just the direct buyings and 567 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:52,120 Speaker 1: what that means for individual people's lives. So here's the 568 00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:56,560 Speaker 1: latest on the tariffs. As of yesterday, we have Trump 569 00:28:56,600 --> 00:29:00,480 Speaker 1: delaying some tariffs on Mexico and Canada at least for 570 00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:02,040 Speaker 1: a month, So we get to do this all again 571 00:29:02,080 --> 00:29:07,040 Speaker 1: in April. Guys, don't worry. But basically anything that falls 572 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:11,840 Speaker 1: under any products that follow fall under the USMCA. They're 573 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:15,520 Speaker 1: saying the terrafts are not going to apply. And have 574 00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 1: a note here about what percentage. So about fifty percent 575 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,720 Speaker 1: of Mexican imports thirty eight percent of Canadian imports are 576 00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:24,760 Speaker 1: covered by that trade agreement. 577 00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:26,520 Speaker 4: It does create a lot of. 578 00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:28,360 Speaker 1: I mean, so you still have a significant portion of 579 00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:32,160 Speaker 1: goods that will be tariffed. And also I was reading 580 00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,720 Speaker 1: about this as well, it's like a little bit complex 581 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:37,960 Speaker 1: to even figure out which goods are covered by the teriffs. 582 00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 1: Some things will be straightforward, but some things, you know, 583 00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:42,880 Speaker 1: where you have different component parts coming from different places, etc. 584 00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 1: It's actually complicated to figure out which falls under this 585 00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:49,680 Speaker 1: agreement and which doesn't. So you know, I saw I 586 00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,240 Speaker 1: think the markets were reacting pretty positively this morning, but 587 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:55,680 Speaker 1: yesterday was a total bloodbath in the market. So, you know, Emily, 588 00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 1: what do you think about where we are with all 589 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:57,520 Speaker 1: of this. 590 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 5: It's hard to know where we are because it's like 591 00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 5: you don't know if you're in the middle of something 592 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:06,680 Speaker 5: until you have some clear idea of what the end 593 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:08,920 Speaker 5: would look like. And I don't know what Drum's end is. 594 00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:12,600 Speaker 5: It's I fail two because yeah, I mean, we talked 595 00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:15,880 Speaker 5: about this at length the other night. But he has 596 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:23,120 Speaker 5: this conflation of his economic goals and his immigration fentanyl goals, 597 00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:28,760 Speaker 5: and it's really obviously confusing for Mexico and Canada. At 598 00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:30,600 Speaker 5: this point, I think he's just like straight up mad 599 00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:35,080 Speaker 5: at Canada and wants to mess with Canada. But like, 600 00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 5: I don't know, I think it's really hard to say 601 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:41,680 Speaker 5: what he does going forward because he has gotten some 602 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 5: things like, for example, the Honda Civics being made in 603 00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:46,960 Speaker 5: Indiana rather than Mexico. Like, he's seen some of this 604 00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,680 Speaker 5: stuff start to happen. So does that mean that he 605 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:52,080 Speaker 5: sticks with a more targeted version of some of these 606 00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:55,000 Speaker 5: that's my best guess. I would say that he ultimately 607 00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:59,160 Speaker 5: lands on targeted tariffs and can claim a win on 608 00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:03,760 Speaker 5: the blunt force tariffs by getting Mexico to cooperate with 609 00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:07,720 Speaker 5: immigration stuff and getting Canada to cooperate with fentanyl and 610 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,480 Speaker 5: that sort of thing. So I have no idea where 611 00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:13,080 Speaker 5: it's going, but that's my best guess right now. Ryan. 612 00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:16,040 Speaker 1: One of what the Canadians think is that he's using 613 00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:18,920 Speaker 1: this economic warfare against them to try to weaken them 614 00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:20,680 Speaker 1: so that he can take them over as the fifty 615 00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,480 Speaker 1: first state. I mean, that's what they that's what they believe. 616 00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 1: Some Trump officials have even effectively said that that is 617 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:28,960 Speaker 1: the goal. I mean, do you put much stock in 618 00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,200 Speaker 1: that as that's what's going on here because it's so 619 00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:33,400 Speaker 1: hard to figure out what is actually going on here. 620 00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:38,280 Speaker 2: Yes, I do think that that's that needs to be 621 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:44,560 Speaker 2: taken seriously because the United States economy definitely has the 622 00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:49,000 Speaker 2: power to, you know, shrink the Canadian economy by an 623 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:50,760 Speaker 2: absolute extraordinary amount. 624 00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:52,360 Speaker 5: Which is already not good by the way. 625 00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:55,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's it's crushing. You know, we're already crushing 626 00:31:55,960 --> 00:32:01,400 Speaker 2: the economy now, you know, we we benefit from trade 627 00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 2: with Canada, Like there's an enormous number of raw materials 628 00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:09,520 Speaker 2: and resources that would the paper you know, energy that 629 00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,640 Speaker 2: come in from Canada to the United States. But our 630 00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:16,440 Speaker 2: economy is so huge, you know, obviously we can withstand 631 00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 2: a trade war with Canada. We would you know, we 632 00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:24,800 Speaker 2: can outlast them. And so now the question is like, 633 00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:28,640 Speaker 2: is there a Trump in power long enough to like 634 00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 2: execute on that long term strategy and does he have 635 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 2: the the ability to kind of see it through. There 636 00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,600 Speaker 2: were people in the eighteen nineties when McKinley was doing 637 00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:44,320 Speaker 2: this that thought that that was the plan, that they 638 00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:47,200 Speaker 2: were gonna, you know, weaken Canada to the point that 639 00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:48,280 Speaker 2: we would be able to annex it. 640 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,360 Speaker 4: So I didn't realize that, Yeah. 641 00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:54,280 Speaker 2: That was that was part of the thinking. It collapsed 642 00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:56,360 Speaker 2: really quickly because even in the you know, in the 643 00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 2: eighteen nineties, people were like didn't like paying more price, 644 00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 2: you know, higher prices, and we had that giant crisis 645 00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:04,320 Speaker 2: in eighteen ninety three that kind. 646 00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:04,760 Speaker 3: Of ended that. 647 00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:11,080 Speaker 2: So, yeah, what like it wouldn't be new, But I 648 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:12,800 Speaker 2: don't think, you know, just like then, I don't know 649 00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:13,080 Speaker 2: if we. 650 00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:13,920 Speaker 3: Have the follow through. 651 00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:20,640 Speaker 1: This comes as Secretary Besant yesterday, as the Treasury Secretary 652 00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,240 Speaker 1: said that cheap goods are not the essence of the 653 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:27,440 Speaker 1: American dream. Which actually there's I mean, we could do 654 00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:30,680 Speaker 1: an hour just talking about the reflecting on those comments 655 00:33:30,760 --> 00:33:33,400 Speaker 1: and what the reality is and what a different version 656 00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:36,920 Speaker 1: of the American dream, because certainly, in the neoliberal era, 657 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:41,160 Speaker 1: what has been sold to the citizens in lieu of 658 00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:46,160 Speaker 1: like high wages, unionization, a manufacturing base, like you know, 659 00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:50,440 Speaker 1: intact communities, we have been sold that actually, chief goods 660 00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:53,320 Speaker 1: are the thing that we're giving you in exchange for 661 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:56,719 Speaker 1: the way we're going to run the economic system. And 662 00:33:56,760 --> 00:34:00,200 Speaker 1: so in certain sense I'm sympathetic to Yeah, I agree, 663 00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:01,800 Speaker 1: I don't think that should be, but that is the 664 00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:04,560 Speaker 1: value that we've been sold. And if you're going to 665 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:09,399 Speaker 1: effectively intentionally raise prices, which is what these tariffs will 666 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:13,000 Speaker 1: almost certainly do, then you better have some other things 667 00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:17,359 Speaker 1: in place to raise wages and you know, restore some 668 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:20,440 Speaker 1: other allow people to be able to buy houses, for example, 669 00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:24,120 Speaker 1: afford college education, afford healthcare, or be given you know, 670 00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:28,800 Speaker 1: universal healthcare. If you are going to completely reorient things 671 00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:32,880 Speaker 1: on the contrary, what they have seemed to be pushing 672 00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:38,040 Speaker 1: towards is if not outright generating a recession, generating a 673 00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:43,480 Speaker 1: massive slow down intentionally in consumer spending and in wage growth, 674 00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:47,400 Speaker 1: so that in using that as the way to curb inflation. 675 00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:49,520 Speaker 1: And so let me just put this pull up on 676 00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:51,440 Speaker 1: the screen on and get you guys to reflect on 677 00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:53,719 Speaker 1: all of that. But you've got nearly two and three 678 00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:56,600 Speaker 1: Americans now saying they think tariffs are going to drive 679 00:34:56,640 --> 00:34:59,879 Speaker 1: their costs up. That includes a majority of Republicans. Those 680 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:04,080 Speaker 1: members have moved substantially in just a month period of time. 681 00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,680 Speaker 1: So you can see here even among Republicans, you've got 682 00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:09,280 Speaker 1: fifty one percent saying yeah, they're going to cause costs 683 00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:11,680 Speaker 1: to go up, only nineteen percent saying they'll go down, 684 00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:15,480 Speaker 1: eighteen percent saying no impact. And overall, sixty seven percent 685 00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:17,880 Speaker 1: of people say yeah, this is going to cause prices 686 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:21,319 Speaker 1: to go up, and you know, only twelve percent say 687 00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,320 Speaker 1: they will cause them to go down, in twelve percent 688 00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:27,319 Speaker 1: saying no impact. Here, so very lopsided in terms of 689 00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:30,839 Speaker 1: how people help people expect these tariffs to affect their 690 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:34,399 Speaker 1: lives at a time when obviously emily inflation has been 691 00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:37,080 Speaker 1: you know, a core part of the political story and 692 00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:40,200 Speaker 1: political upset during the Biden administration that helps usher Trump 693 00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:42,560 Speaker 1: into power. Trump promises very much like we're going to 694 00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:46,000 Speaker 1: get prices under control, et cetera. And right now people 695 00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,160 Speaker 1: feel like, well, actually, your policy is pushing in the 696 00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,240 Speaker 1: exact opposite direction also. 697 00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:51,719 Speaker 2: And I think, Emily, while you think on that, let 698 00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:53,560 Speaker 2: me clean up my McKinley comment real quick, because it 699 00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:57,399 Speaker 2: actually fits in this. It wasn't that McKinley's tariffs led 700 00:35:57,440 --> 00:36:00,440 Speaker 2: into and were upended by the eighteen ninety three crisis. 701 00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 3: It was the reverse. 702 00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,719 Speaker 2: There was the eighteen ninety three crisis that created this depression, 703 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:08,680 Speaker 2: that created this like demand among the American people that 704 00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:10,080 Speaker 2: you do something about it. 705 00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:11,439 Speaker 3: And McKinley ran then. 706 00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:13,560 Speaker 2: In eighteen ninety six saying I'm going to do something 707 00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:14,960 Speaker 2: about this, and the thing I'm going to do is 708 00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:19,080 Speaker 2: is tariffs. And so he's elected then and people were like, oh, 709 00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:20,920 Speaker 2: this actually didn't solve the problem. 710 00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:22,040 Speaker 3: Like you were right that there. 711 00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:24,799 Speaker 2: Was something wrong, but this didn't fix it. So let's 712 00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:26,560 Speaker 2: get rid of let's get rid of these tariffs. So 713 00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:30,360 Speaker 2: before people dragged jump on your flipping the timeline there. 714 00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:34,880 Speaker 1: Actually his speech that he gave before the before an 715 00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:39,280 Speaker 1: assassin you know, came and took him out, was about 716 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:42,120 Speaker 1: how he was rolling back a lot of the tariffs 717 00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,200 Speaker 1: because basically like, yeah, we you know, that served its 718 00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,440 Speaker 1: purpose for its time, but we're we're moving forward in 719 00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:48,440 Speaker 1: a different direction now. 720 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:51,360 Speaker 5: And Trump We've talked about this before too, But I 721 00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:53,719 Speaker 5: think he actually just thrives on the sense of confusion. 722 00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:56,280 Speaker 5: And I think the reason that even people who follow 723 00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,200 Speaker 5: his moves, his every move when it comes to tariffs 724 00:36:59,239 --> 00:37:02,080 Speaker 5: don't have a good idea of what's coming next is 725 00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:06,080 Speaker 5: completely intentional on his behalf, because he legitimately doesn't want 726 00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:10,359 Speaker 5: Trudeau and shine Bomb to know either, or China for 727 00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:12,719 Speaker 5: that matter. But the bestent speech, I pulled it up 728 00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:14,759 Speaker 5: in front of me. I just wanted to read a 729 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:17,400 Speaker 5: little bit more from where he says. He starts to 730 00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:20,839 Speaker 5: talk about the United States finds itself subsidizing the rest 731 00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,319 Speaker 5: of the world's underspending in defense. This is not just 732 00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:26,160 Speaker 5: a security issue. The United States also provides reserve assets, 733 00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:28,560 Speaker 5: serves as a consumer of first and last resort, and 734 00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:31,239 Speaker 5: absorbs excess supply in the face of insufficient demand in 735 00:37:31,280 --> 00:37:34,480 Speaker 5: other countries domestic models. The system is not sustainable. Then, 736 00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:36,440 Speaker 5: he says, access to cheap goods is not the essence 737 00:37:36,440 --> 00:37:38,239 Speaker 5: of the American dream. The American dream is rooted in 738 00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:41,800 Speaker 5: the concept that any citizen can achieve prosperity, upward mobility, 739 00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:45,160 Speaker 5: and economic security. For too long, the designers of multilateral 740 00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:47,319 Speaker 5: trade deals have lost sight of this. And so what 741 00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:51,160 Speaker 5: I thought was particularly interesting about that is it doesn't 742 00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:56,000 Speaker 5: help you sell higher prices. And what Donald Trump talked about, 743 00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:59,399 Speaker 5: like most Americans are going to like that to them 744 00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:03,600 Speaker 5: sounds like airy in the clouds bs. I really like 745 00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:06,160 Speaker 5: it because it's not how the conservative movement has talked 746 00:38:06,160 --> 00:38:09,359 Speaker 5: about these things ever, and it's true, and I think 747 00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,640 Speaker 5: it's sort of interesting. He didn't include families in that 748 00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:14,560 Speaker 5: calculation and didn't talk about neighborhoods and communities. He just 749 00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:17,520 Speaker 5: talked about economic mobility and all that sort of thing, 750 00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:20,239 Speaker 5: which is great, but you know, we could go into 751 00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:24,560 Speaker 5: a different rabbit hole in that. But most Americans like, sure, yeah, 752 00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:29,480 Speaker 5: but these eggs are ten dollars right. Oh man. So 753 00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:32,560 Speaker 5: Trump pivoted to Biden when he was talking about eggs 754 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:35,279 Speaker 5: in the joint address, and you can only coast off 755 00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:37,320 Speaker 5: of that for so long. I think he's probably fine 756 00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:40,239 Speaker 5: right now, still blaming Biden. But I don't think that 757 00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:43,800 Speaker 5: lasts much longer politically. I think that is it only 758 00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:46,600 Speaker 5: is going to last for a little bit longer for them. 759 00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:47,959 Speaker 3: And think about what actually worked. 760 00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:51,360 Speaker 2: Its Crystal's point about McKinley getting gout by that anarchist 761 00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:53,920 Speaker 2: who comes in then Teddy Roosevelt, and he's like, oh, 762 00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:56,760 Speaker 2: I've got an actual solution here. I'm going to smash 763 00:38:56,800 --> 00:39:00,200 Speaker 2: corporate power. I'm busting up all of these trusts, and 764 00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:03,120 Speaker 2: I'm going to raise up regular people. So you went 765 00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:07,040 Speaker 2: from this kind of fake populism of we're going to 766 00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:09,160 Speaker 2: do We're going to do tariffs and he's trying to like, 767 00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:12,000 Speaker 2: you know, drain off the energy from William Jennings Bryan. 768 00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:13,800 Speaker 4: Tariffs and imperialism by the way. 769 00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:18,000 Speaker 2: Tariffs and imperialism exactly that that actually turned out to 770 00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:21,120 Speaker 2: be just bs and didn't work. What when then Roosevelt 771 00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:25,640 Speaker 2: comes in and takes on corporate power and and brings 772 00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:29,440 Speaker 2: in a progressive era, you know, launches like government regulation 773 00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:32,360 Speaker 2: of these of these corporate entities, and all of a 774 00:39:32,400 --> 00:39:35,759 Speaker 2: sudden you start getting real economic growth again combined with 775 00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:39,040 Speaker 2: a loose monetary policy by accidentally finding a whole lot 776 00:39:39,080 --> 00:39:43,480 Speaker 2: of silver in the West, which actually proved William Jennings 777 00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:47,200 Speaker 2: Bryan right that you did need looser silver policy. 778 00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:48,400 Speaker 3: But anyway, that's a different. 779 00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:50,160 Speaker 5: Part of it, just like Crypto. It's just like Crypto. 780 00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:52,600 Speaker 4: There you go, some parallels there. 781 00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:56,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, actually, all right, let's move on to a little 782 00:39:56,880 --> 00:40:00,600 Speaker 1: bit of the the Democrats here and uh this, I'm 783 00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,480 Speaker 1: curious for Ryan's reaction first and foremost of this. So 784 00:40:03,600 --> 00:40:06,400 Speaker 1: you know, al Green did his protest on the floor saying, 785 00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:08,799 Speaker 1: you know, you have no mandate to cut medicaid. He's 786 00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:12,560 Speaker 1: been really on a tear like very laser focused on Medicaid, 787 00:40:12,640 --> 00:40:15,759 Speaker 1: in particular because his debt district has a lot of 788 00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:18,800 Speaker 1: Medicaid recipients, so he feels it's you know, quite important 789 00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:23,960 Speaker 1: to the fortunes of his constituents. And you had Jeffries 790 00:40:24,160 --> 00:40:30,680 Speaker 1: and other leaders, Catherine Clark and Pete Aguilar, who gathered 791 00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:34,680 Speaker 1: what they describe as roughly a dozen Democratic disruptors. They 792 00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:38,720 Speaker 1: were called into a come to Jesus meeting on Thursday morning. 793 00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,440 Speaker 1: The Senior dam told Axios, this also comes on the 794 00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:45,320 Speaker 1: heels of a censure vote of Al Green in the House, 795 00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:49,840 Speaker 1: where you know it's mostly overwhelmingly obviously every Republican voting 796 00:40:49,840 --> 00:40:53,120 Speaker 1: to censure him, but you did have ten Democrats across 797 00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:59,000 Speaker 1: the aisle Ryan to stand up in favor of decorum, 798 00:40:59,160 --> 00:41:02,399 Speaker 1: so you know which is it just says so much 799 00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:04,560 Speaker 1: about this party. To be honest with you, by Ryan, 800 00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:06,680 Speaker 1: was what was your thought about this come to Jesus 801 00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,520 Speaker 1: meeting over how dare you disrupt the President of the 802 00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:10,280 Speaker 1: United States? 803 00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:14,319 Speaker 2: And these were all Democrats who are in pretty you know, 804 00:41:14,360 --> 00:41:18,000 Speaker 2: Republican leading districts had very close elections, so this is 805 00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:19,920 Speaker 2: you know, this is them kind of pandering to that, 806 00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:21,920 Speaker 2: to that constituency. 807 00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:22,880 Speaker 3: I think that. 808 00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:28,960 Speaker 2: Jesus had a way forward for people, for his his 809 00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:34,759 Speaker 2: his flock, his you know, his disciples, like Emily can 810 00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:38,799 Speaker 2: tell us a little bit more about this. But if 811 00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:42,960 Speaker 2: you have a come to Jesus meeting and Jesus doesn't 812 00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:44,520 Speaker 2: actually have any ideas for. 813 00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:48,560 Speaker 3: You, like what do you that meeting is going to 814 00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:49,600 Speaker 3: break up pretty quickly. 815 00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:52,960 Speaker 2: Jesus got his power in his charisma and his following 816 00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:56,560 Speaker 2: because you know, he had ideas about how they were 817 00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:59,279 Speaker 2: going to go forward in the world. True, I don't 818 00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:02,680 Speaker 2: think Keemja has any ideas right now. So it's like 819 00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:07,799 Speaker 2: come to Jeffries, to come to Jeffries and they're like, okay, 820 00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:11,400 Speaker 2: well can you tell us then you know what is 821 00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:14,560 Speaker 2: the path forward? And he's like, I don't know, what 822 00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:15,400 Speaker 2: are you asking me for. 823 00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:16,320 Speaker 3: We don't have any power. 824 00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:18,839 Speaker 1: He's like, I know, we're going to put out this 825 00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:20,920 Speaker 1: cringe TikTok video with you. 826 00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:23,840 Speaker 2: Why haven't you guys done your TikTok videos yet? 827 00:42:24,040 --> 00:42:26,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, one, the one where they were all scripted doing 828 00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:27,040 Speaker 1: the same thing. 829 00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:28,120 Speaker 4: That's what that's been. 830 00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:32,960 Speaker 1: The Democratic parties, in compliance with decorum, approached your resistance here. 831 00:42:33,520 --> 00:42:36,640 Speaker 5: Can I say that reminds me so much of like 832 00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:40,719 Speaker 5: two thousand and nine twenty ten, when like just the 833 00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:43,840 Speaker 5: lamest Republicans who are trying to catch up with Democrats 834 00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:48,360 Speaker 5: after like the Facebook, Electric Facebook, Twitter, and it's it's 835 00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:49,560 Speaker 5: like shocking. 836 00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:50,719 Speaker 3: To take the picture of their breakfast. 837 00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:52,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, no, it's. 838 00:42:52,200 --> 00:42:54,600 Speaker 5: Truly that they would. It's truly shocking to me as 839 00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:57,120 Speaker 5: someone who grew up in the era were like Republicans 840 00:42:57,160 --> 00:43:00,400 Speaker 5: were the epitome of cringe on social media. Yet that 841 00:43:00,480 --> 00:43:04,080 Speaker 5: it is now Democrats And it happened very very quickly, 842 00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:07,040 Speaker 5: like Republicans used to. I mean, I think politics is 843 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:09,239 Speaker 5: always pretty cringe on social media, but Republicans used to 844 00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:13,120 Speaker 5: actually envy the way Democrats were able to speak more 845 00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:16,640 Speaker 5: like fluently on social media, and they spoke the language 846 00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,080 Speaker 5: of social media more fluently, and now it's completely reversed. 847 00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:23,200 Speaker 5: But on this point about Hakim Jeffreys, he is terrible. 848 00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:28,320 Speaker 5: He is so so bad, surprisingly, surprisingly the man for 849 00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:28,760 Speaker 5: the moment. 850 00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:32,240 Speaker 1: I never thought I long for the leadership of Nancy Pelosi, 851 00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:35,759 Speaker 1: but at least the woman has some skills. 852 00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:41,319 Speaker 5: Like val Republicans would look at Nancy Pelosi and they 853 00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:43,840 Speaker 5: would say, what we did with George Santos. This is 854 00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,200 Speaker 5: how they would see it. They lost, they actually lost 855 00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:50,840 Speaker 5: battles because they kicked out George Santos, and they looked out. 856 00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:53,000 Speaker 5: They looked back on that afterwards, and they were like, 857 00:43:53,239 --> 00:43:55,359 Speaker 5: Nancy Pelosi would never have done that, in the same 858 00:43:55,360 --> 00:43:58,040 Speaker 5: way that Nancy Pelosi probably would never have forced this 859 00:43:58,200 --> 00:44:01,280 Speaker 5: like struggle session over what alc. I don't think Algren's 860 00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:04,040 Speaker 5: optics were great for Democrats, but two things can be true. 861 00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:06,480 Speaker 5: That could have been a hilarious image of like an 862 00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:09,239 Speaker 5: elderly man waving his cane at the president. And on 863 00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:12,560 Speaker 5: the other hand, you don't have to have a struggle 864 00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,680 Speaker 5: session to like censor him when people want you to 865 00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:18,640 Speaker 5: be harder on Trump, like the optics of both are bad. 866 00:44:19,080 --> 00:44:22,319 Speaker 1: Well, and here's the thing, too. Sorry, I'm I didn't 867 00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:24,920 Speaker 1: mean to cut your way. But the thing with al 868 00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:26,960 Speaker 1: Green is, Okay, let's say you feel like, oh, the 869 00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:29,840 Speaker 1: optics were bad of him, you know, standing up with 870 00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:32,120 Speaker 1: his cane and the thing. But you know what Republicans 871 00:44:32,120 --> 00:44:34,759 Speaker 1: have figured out, and Trump in particular is figured out, 872 00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:38,520 Speaker 1: is if you are able to generate controversy and a conversation, 873 00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:41,960 Speaker 1: which aug Green did, then you can move the political 874 00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:44,640 Speaker 1: dialogue in the direction that you want. And so what 875 00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:48,960 Speaker 1: I appreciated about what al Green did is immediately afterwards 876 00:44:49,040 --> 00:44:52,120 Speaker 1: he's escorted out and he says, I am here and 877 00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:54,040 Speaker 1: I'm willing to stand up, and I will take the 878 00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:57,160 Speaker 1: consequences because they will not cut medicaid and they will 879 00:44:57,200 --> 00:44:58,680 Speaker 1: not go after my constituents. 880 00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:00,640 Speaker 4: And I don't care if they do sense me. I 881 00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:01,439 Speaker 4: am here to fight. 882 00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:06,720 Speaker 1: And so now if Democrats were smart enough to say, yeah, 883 00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:10,600 Speaker 1: he's right, these Medicaid cuts are outrageous and they're going 884 00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:14,799 Speaker 1: to be incredibly destructive. Now you switched the conversation to 885 00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:18,560 Speaker 1: an issue where you are overwhelmingly on the side of 886 00:45:18,640 --> 00:45:22,120 Speaker 1: the people, and it's Republicans who are having to respond. Instead, 887 00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:27,680 Speaker 1: you have the Democrats forcing some handwringing conversation about decorum, 888 00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:31,919 Speaker 1: and meanwhile, you're also pissing off your own base, who 889 00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:35,279 Speaker 1: are like, yes, Al Green, You're a hero, Thank you 890 00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:38,200 Speaker 1: for doing something. Yes, Jasmine Crockett, who also was called 891 00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:41,279 Speaker 1: into this meeting and berated for her resistance. 892 00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:42,920 Speaker 4: Not being appropriate with decorum whatever. 893 00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:48,120 Speaker 1: I don't think Ryan, that Democratic leadership has internalized that 894 00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:51,920 Speaker 1: it's not just like lefties like you and me who 895 00:45:52,000 --> 00:45:56,000 Speaker 1: are mad at the establishment Democrats. At this point, they 896 00:45:56,040 --> 00:46:00,480 Speaker 1: have lost the Libs, like the like the Democratic base, 897 00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:03,680 Speaker 1: like the backbone of this party, who were in love 898 00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:07,319 Speaker 1: with Adam Schiff and Nancy Pelosi. They are like, fuck you, 899 00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:11,560 Speaker 1: Hakeem Jeffries, screw you, like we are disgusted. And I 900 00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:14,239 Speaker 1: don't think they've reckoned with the fact that it's not 901 00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:16,920 Speaker 1: just you know, this group of like progressives and lefties 902 00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:19,560 Speaker 1: that they're used to sneering at and used to marginalizing 903 00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:22,400 Speaker 1: that has they have gotten crosswise with at this point. 904 00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:24,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, they're they're. 905 00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:28,040 Speaker 2: Lucky that you know, CNN, MSNBC, the New York Times 906 00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:31,440 Speaker 2: seem okay, you know, They're just they're just gonna kind 907 00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:34,399 Speaker 2: of let this. They're just gonna step back and let 908 00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:36,720 Speaker 2: Hakeem Jeffries just play this thing out, because, as Emily 909 00:46:36,719 --> 00:46:38,960 Speaker 2: pointed out wisely the other day, that there's a very 910 00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:44,880 Speaker 2: similar dynamic to the problems that Republican leadership faced during 911 00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:48,399 Speaker 2: the Tea Party. Yeah, and there was an insurgency then, 912 00:46:48,480 --> 00:46:51,000 Speaker 2: and within like a cycle or two they had been 913 00:46:51,040 --> 00:46:53,480 Speaker 2: wiped that, you know, the old guard had basically been 914 00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:56,520 Speaker 2: been wiped out and sent back to their kind of 915 00:46:56,719 --> 00:47:00,839 Speaker 2: readout at the Chamber of Commerce. The what they had 916 00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:04,200 Speaker 2: though was Fox News, like, you know, sending cameras to 917 00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:07,719 Speaker 2: every single Tea Party rally. You know, thirty guys in 918 00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:13,480 Speaker 2: Bangers District would would be driving the news for that 919 00:47:13,600 --> 00:47:18,560 Speaker 2: night on Fox. And once you know, Eric Canter was beaten, 920 00:47:19,640 --> 00:47:22,520 Speaker 2: Fox was like all in on the Tea Party movement, 921 00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:26,359 Speaker 2: and Left it was still allow ac AOC beat Joe 922 00:47:26,440 --> 00:47:29,520 Speaker 2: Rowley and became an enemy for several years. Right, if 923 00:47:29,800 --> 00:47:34,080 Speaker 2: there was a left media that then rallied behind that element, 924 00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:36,839 Speaker 2: it would it would own the party by now. 925 00:47:37,440 --> 00:47:38,440 Speaker 3: But of course. 926 00:47:38,440 --> 00:47:42,919 Speaker 2: CNN, MSNBC, these are like corporate backed media, and there's 927 00:47:42,960 --> 00:47:48,920 Speaker 2: no overlap between you know, left populism and corporate media, 928 00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:52,160 Speaker 2: where there can be with right populism. 929 00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:54,840 Speaker 1: And corporate media because they're not at odds ultimately with 930 00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:55,560 Speaker 1: upper power. 931 00:47:56,040 --> 00:48:01,120 Speaker 5: But the what's interesting is that in twenty seventy ish whatever, 932 00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:05,439 Speaker 5: actually I thought, we did see an interesting reception that 933 00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:09,200 Speaker 5: like the sort of populist left got on corporate media 934 00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:12,680 Speaker 5: because everybody was together under the banner of the resistance. 935 00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:18,440 Speaker 5: And now there's nothing like that because right right, exactly so. 936 00:48:18,960 --> 00:48:23,040 Speaker 5: But now corporate media, like Hakim Jeffries is terrified that 937 00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:25,480 Speaker 5: the Jasmine Crockets of the world, and Crockett has been 938 00:48:25,520 --> 00:48:27,800 Speaker 5: an missibus he or whatever else, but like they're terrified 939 00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:31,680 Speaker 5: of the Jasmine Crocketts of the world actually making them 940 00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:34,080 Speaker 5: look like they've they're still on the wrong side of 941 00:48:34,120 --> 00:48:37,120 Speaker 5: the culture war. And so CNN and Hakim Jeffries right 942 00:48:37,160 --> 00:48:43,279 Speaker 5: now are going to be really risk averse about platforming populism, 943 00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:46,480 Speaker 5: anything that smacks of populism, even if it's coming from 944 00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:51,279 Speaker 5: like corporate friendly Democrats, because they are like, we need 945 00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:54,919 Speaker 5: to get back. They don't understand that actually economic left 946 00:48:54,960 --> 00:48:58,640 Speaker 5: populism is what people want. And if you get rid 947 00:48:58,719 --> 00:49:02,560 Speaker 5: of cultural populism, like cultural left populism, you're taking down 948 00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:05,759 Speaker 5: the left economic populists with them. And what's left is 949 00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:09,120 Speaker 5: really unpopular corporate democratic BS right, and. 950 00:49:09,160 --> 00:49:12,160 Speaker 2: Jasmine Crockett doesn't have doesn't bring forward and she doesn't 951 00:49:12,200 --> 00:49:16,080 Speaker 2: lead with a class analysis and so so there's nothing 952 00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:19,319 Speaker 2: threatening about that. And she's extremely talented, you know in 953 00:49:19,360 --> 00:49:22,160 Speaker 2: the way that she kind of rips apart Republicans and 954 00:49:22,160 --> 00:49:25,319 Speaker 2: so she makes for great TV. And there's nothing threatening there. 955 00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,040 Speaker 2: You that what was that Marjorie Taylor green Riff? 956 00:49:28,120 --> 00:49:30,759 Speaker 3: She had bleach blonde? I mean that, Yeah, Yeah, that's true. 957 00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:34,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's true that whatever it was, she just nailed that. 958 00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:38,680 Speaker 2: But there's nothing threatening. 959 00:49:39,080 --> 00:49:41,400 Speaker 1: It's a little bit of a polymarket populist, if you 960 00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:44,480 Speaker 1: because she is like Crypto backed you very like you know, 961 00:49:44,520 --> 00:49:45,839 Speaker 1: in terms of her economics. 962 00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:49,440 Speaker 2: She's I reported in my book Squad that like the 963 00:49:49,440 --> 00:49:53,160 Speaker 2: Crypto people came to her during her first campaign and 964 00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:55,360 Speaker 2: it was basically like I will will will wipe you 965 00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:57,360 Speaker 2: out or we'll support you. 966 00:49:57,640 --> 00:50:00,799 Speaker 5: Yeah, she loves her remember. 967 00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:01,520 Speaker 3: That, remember that section? 968 00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:04,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, that was She's like she's like, what's the give me, 969 00:50:04,239 --> 00:50:07,040 Speaker 2: give me the damn questionnaire? Yeah, I don't care, and 970 00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:09,160 Speaker 2: I'm not for crypto, not against it. I don't care, 971 00:50:09,239 --> 00:50:12,520 Speaker 2: I don't understand it, and I just tell me where 972 00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:16,000 Speaker 2: I need to sign to get Yeah, and you can 973 00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:17,600 Speaker 2: blame her for that, but it's also that's a real 974 00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:19,400 Speaker 2: problem with how our campaigns are financed. 975 00:50:19,600 --> 00:50:20,040 Speaker 4: That's true. 976 00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:21,880 Speaker 1: And they made an example, as you point out, of 977 00:50:22,000 --> 00:50:25,279 Speaker 1: Katie Porter. And after that it really was just like 978 00:50:25,400 --> 00:50:28,560 Speaker 1: basically capitulation. I real quick want to get to it 979 00:50:28,600 --> 00:50:30,760 Speaker 1: because this ties in so much the Gavin Newsom Charlie 980 00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:33,920 Speaker 1: Kirk thing before Emily has to jump you have a 981 00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:34,399 Speaker 1: heart out. 982 00:50:34,320 --> 00:50:35,839 Speaker 4: At ten m ish. 983 00:50:35,920 --> 00:50:37,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, all right, so we can get it. We 984 00:50:37,560 --> 00:50:39,000 Speaker 1: can get a few minutes from you on this. So 985 00:50:39,239 --> 00:50:43,120 Speaker 1: Gavin Newsom has launched a podcast, God Save Us okay, 986 00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:45,000 Speaker 1: and he's announced a few. 987 00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:48,640 Speaker 3: What's what's called? Is it like Gavin Gavin? 988 00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:53,840 Speaker 1: I don't know Gavin. With Gavin, I don't know, But 989 00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:57,040 Speaker 1: his I don't know. I think his first episode, I 990 00:50:57,040 --> 00:50:59,640 Speaker 1: haven't tracked it that closely. It was just himself, which 991 00:50:59,680 --> 00:51:00,600 Speaker 1: is kind of appropriate. 992 00:51:00,680 --> 00:51:02,720 Speaker 5: He talked about the Menandos brothers. 993 00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:03,880 Speaker 4: Are you serious? 994 00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:04,200 Speaker 5: Okay? 995 00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:07,839 Speaker 1: The second episode he has Charlie Charlie Kirk on, and 996 00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:10,919 Speaker 1: first of all, this was interesting to me. He tells 997 00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:13,600 Speaker 1: Charlie Kirk what a big fan his son is. 998 00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:14,640 Speaker 4: Of him. 999 00:51:14,680 --> 00:51:16,440 Speaker 1: So let's take a listen to a little bit of that, 1000 00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:18,359 Speaker 1: and then we can play the piece that has gotten 1001 00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:22,000 Speaker 1: the most attention, which is Gavin Newsom on trans Girls 1002 00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:23,040 Speaker 1: in Sports. 1003 00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:26,120 Speaker 6: Last night, trying to put my son to bed. He's like, no, Dad, 1004 00:51:26,239 --> 00:51:28,399 Speaker 6: I just what time? What time is Charlie gonna be here? 1005 00:51:28,480 --> 00:51:28,919 Speaker 6: What time? 1006 00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:31,280 Speaker 3: And I'm like, dude, you're in school tomorrow. He's thirteen. 1007 00:51:31,440 --> 00:51:34,200 Speaker 6: He's like, no, no, no, this morning wakes up, it sicks up. 1008 00:51:34,239 --> 00:51:37,359 Speaker 6: Then he's like I'm coming. I'm like, he literally would 1009 00:51:37,360 --> 00:51:38,080 Speaker 6: not leave the house. 1010 00:51:38,160 --> 00:51:39,480 Speaker 3: Did you let him tick off the school? 1011 00:51:39,520 --> 00:51:40,360 Speaker 6: No, he did, of course not. 1012 00:51:40,440 --> 00:51:41,680 Speaker 3: He's not here for a good reason. 1013 00:51:41,680 --> 00:51:43,799 Speaker 7: But the point is you canceled school for two years. Once. 1014 00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:48,280 Speaker 6: The point is the point, which is you are making 1015 00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:50,840 Speaker 6: a damn dad answer. I'm kidding when you go to 1016 00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:53,080 Speaker 6: these college camps. I love watching your TikTok, which is 1017 00:51:53,200 --> 00:51:53,680 Speaker 6: nice level. 1018 00:51:53,920 --> 00:51:56,080 Speaker 1: All right, that's enough of that, but I just wanted 1019 00:51:56,080 --> 00:51:58,000 Speaker 1: to use that as a way to say, like, I'm sorry, 1020 00:51:58,000 --> 00:52:01,040 Speaker 1: Gavin Newsom, you're a bad dad, Like you should not 1021 00:52:01,080 --> 00:52:04,680 Speaker 1: be letting your kid watch this trash. And also if 1022 00:52:04,719 --> 00:52:07,000 Speaker 1: you are raising your child with any sort of quote 1023 00:52:07,040 --> 00:52:10,560 Speaker 1: unquote progressive values like maybe reflect on where you want 1024 00:52:10,560 --> 00:52:13,240 Speaker 1: astray that he is in love with Churley Kirk. 1025 00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:16,160 Speaker 3: To me, I don't. 1026 00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:20,040 Speaker 2: I wouldn't want to ban my kids from watching Charlie 1027 00:52:20,080 --> 00:52:22,080 Speaker 2: Kirk or anybody, but I would do a lot of 1028 00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:24,439 Speaker 2: deep self reflection about what I had done. 1029 00:52:24,600 --> 00:52:26,520 Speaker 4: There is no way get them there. I am an 1030 00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:27,080 Speaker 4: eleven year. 1031 00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:30,239 Speaker 1: Old son, almost twelve. No way in hell I would 1032 00:52:30,320 --> 00:52:33,040 Speaker 1: let him watch any of that kind of trash. No way, 1033 00:52:33,560 --> 00:52:34,400 Speaker 1: no way. 1034 00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:37,800 Speaker 2: It's an interesting yeah, because YouTube is such a mess. 1035 00:52:37,800 --> 00:52:41,200 Speaker 2: You go from Minecraft and then you're quickly you're into this, 1036 00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:42,880 Speaker 2: you know, right manisphere stuff. 1037 00:52:43,160 --> 00:52:44,840 Speaker 4: True, Absolutely true. 1038 00:52:45,560 --> 00:52:50,640 Speaker 5: I mean any reflection, Well, I don't have children, so 1039 00:52:50,680 --> 00:52:52,279 Speaker 5: I don't have to make this decision. 1040 00:52:52,600 --> 00:52:58,640 Speaker 3: But watching, yeah, I mean. 1041 00:52:58,560 --> 00:53:01,920 Speaker 5: I'd be off for that. I think it's the I 1042 00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:05,240 Speaker 5: do work with a lot of like younger people because 1043 00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:09,440 Speaker 5: I'm in that like right wing world of like student stuff. 1044 00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:12,960 Speaker 5: And what I find is the reason they're drawn to 1045 00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:16,440 Speaker 5: people like Charlie Kirk and Ben Shapiro is this. They 1046 00:53:16,440 --> 00:53:18,480 Speaker 5: feel like they're getting a moral clarity from it. And 1047 00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:20,359 Speaker 5: actually a lot of them watch us on Piker two 1048 00:53:20,880 --> 00:53:24,560 Speaker 5: because they like watching people who aren't like machine middle centrists. 1049 00:53:24,600 --> 00:53:28,239 Speaker 5: They like watching people who tell them something and are 1050 00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:30,400 Speaker 5: utterly convinced of it because it makes them feel like 1051 00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:33,360 Speaker 5: they're listening to something that's true. So I have no 1052 00:53:33,400 --> 00:53:37,319 Speaker 5: idea what path Gavin Newsom's son is on, but I 1053 00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:39,879 Speaker 5: think the podcast is really interesting for the exact reason 1054 00:53:39,920 --> 00:53:41,960 Speaker 5: we were just talking about with Jasmine Crockett, which is 1055 00:53:41,960 --> 00:53:46,439 Speaker 5: that Gavin Newsom is totally the type of person who, 1056 00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:50,359 Speaker 5: like he can he's going to pivot. He's such a chameleon. 1057 00:53:50,920 --> 00:53:54,560 Speaker 5: He's like, he's smart enough to know that you have 1058 00:53:54,640 --> 00:53:58,080 Speaker 5: to look transparent and authentic, and like Kamala Harris could 1059 00:53:58,080 --> 00:54:00,000 Speaker 5: have gone on Joe Rogan and shot herself with the 1060 00:54:00,160 --> 00:54:02,640 Speaker 5: foot by just looking like a robot, like she went 1061 00:54:02,680 --> 00:54:04,759 Speaker 5: on Call her Daddy, and it didn't really make a 1062 00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:08,000 Speaker 5: dent because she just was Kamala Harris like talking to 1063 00:54:08,880 --> 00:54:10,960 Speaker 5: Lester Holt when she was on Call her Daddy, Like 1064 00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:13,120 Speaker 5: it was just there was nothing authentic about it, with 1065 00:54:13,200 --> 00:54:17,040 Speaker 5: same like, same old political robotics. But he's at least 1066 00:54:17,040 --> 00:54:19,759 Speaker 5: smart enough to know that you got to try to 1067 00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:22,120 Speaker 5: just look down to earth like you're shooting the shit 1068 00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:25,400 Speaker 5: with Charlie. But he can't. He's not going to be 1069 00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:28,360 Speaker 5: able to be a chameleon on economics. He could do 1070 00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:30,239 Speaker 5: it on culture stuff, but he's not going to be 1071 00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:31,480 Speaker 5: able to do it on corporate stuff. 1072 00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:34,400 Speaker 1: Well, and he's smart enough to realize, like, oh I 1073 00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:36,880 Speaker 1: got to do a podcast, you know, I gotta be 1074 00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:40,319 Speaker 1: relatable that he was common denominator. He's not smart enough 1075 00:54:40,320 --> 00:54:42,640 Speaker 1: to recognize that. So when I saw he had Charlie 1076 00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:44,680 Speaker 1: kirk on and I think he has some other right 1077 00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:46,880 Speaker 1: wing guests booked next. I can't remember who it is, 1078 00:54:46,960 --> 00:54:48,440 Speaker 1: but Ricruso maybe. 1079 00:54:48,160 --> 00:54:48,600 Speaker 4: I don't know. 1080 00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:52,080 Speaker 1: I was like, oh, well, if he has him on 1081 00:54:52,239 --> 00:54:55,560 Speaker 1: and he fights with him, liberals are gonna love that 1082 00:54:56,080 --> 00:54:58,680 Speaker 1: because Gavin is cape. I mean, he did the Rond 1083 00:54:58,640 --> 00:55:03,719 Speaker 1: DeSantis debate. Democratic base voters never loved him more than 1084 00:55:03,880 --> 00:55:06,400 Speaker 1: when he did that, and he has the capability to 1085 00:55:07,160 --> 00:55:09,719 Speaker 1: then when I see that, actually this was like a 1086 00:55:09,760 --> 00:55:14,160 Speaker 1: hot Stone massage interview, Like you don't understand where the 1087 00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:16,960 Speaker 1: base of the Democratic Party is right now. Because you 1088 00:55:17,040 --> 00:55:20,360 Speaker 1: may think this is smart positioning, you know, with regard 1089 00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:23,280 Speaker 1: to like you know, taking the l so to speak 1090 00:55:23,360 --> 00:55:25,560 Speaker 1: on trans girls and sports, throwing them under the bus. 1091 00:55:25,600 --> 00:55:26,040 Speaker 4: Whatever. 1092 00:55:26,320 --> 00:55:28,760 Speaker 1: You may think that smart positioning for a general election, 1093 00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:31,879 Speaker 1: you get a primary to get through first, and right 1094 00:55:31,920 --> 00:55:34,880 Speaker 1: now he's sort of placing the same bet of like 1095 00:55:34,960 --> 00:55:39,200 Speaker 1: the Heeme Jeffreys of the world and leaping past where 1096 00:55:39,200 --> 00:55:41,879 Speaker 1: the Democratic base is to where he thinks the quote 1097 00:55:41,920 --> 00:55:45,480 Speaker 1: unquote moderate middle will ultimately be. While to your point, Emily, 1098 00:55:45,760 --> 00:55:49,000 Speaker 1: you know, totally totally skipping up because you know he's 1099 00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:52,680 Speaker 1: a corporate back guy, corporate don't or guy. There's no 1100 00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:54,960 Speaker 1: way he's going to move on economics and he's sort 1101 00:55:55,000 --> 00:55:55,879 Speaker 1: of a populous piece. 1102 00:55:55,920 --> 00:55:57,200 Speaker 4: So instead, what has he gotta do. 1103 00:55:57,280 --> 00:55:58,920 Speaker 1: He's got to like throw trans people under the bus, 1104 00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:00,200 Speaker 1: oral immigrants under the bus, etc. 1105 00:56:00,960 --> 00:56:02,439 Speaker 4: But I think this is. 1106 00:56:02,400 --> 00:56:07,040 Speaker 1: So misreading the moment in terms of what the Democratic 1107 00:56:07,120 --> 00:56:11,000 Speaker 1: base needs to say wants to see that It was 1108 00:56:11,320 --> 00:56:13,680 Speaker 1: honestly a little bit astonishing to me that he was 1109 00:56:13,880 --> 00:56:14,680 Speaker 1: this tone deaf. 1110 00:56:15,200 --> 00:56:17,720 Speaker 5: Well, I just put up on the screen to your point, 1111 00:56:17,840 --> 00:56:21,000 Speaker 5: this he chose to tweet this excerpt with the line, 1112 00:56:21,080 --> 00:56:23,360 Speaker 5: no one believes pornography should be taught in schools, obviously, 1113 00:56:23,360 --> 00:56:25,279 Speaker 5: but that's not why four thousand plus books have been banned. 1114 00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:27,000 Speaker 5: The Republican Party has been on a banning bench. I 1115 00:56:27,040 --> 00:56:29,640 Speaker 5: disagree with that, but whatever It's so interesting to me 1116 00:56:30,040 --> 00:56:33,040 Speaker 5: that he chose to post that excerpt because I feel 1117 00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:35,200 Speaker 5: like he's trying to have his cake and eat it too. 1118 00:56:35,560 --> 00:56:38,640 Speaker 5: He's trying to throw red meat at the Democratic base 1119 00:56:38,920 --> 00:56:42,319 Speaker 5: and then also create clickbait on the right, you know, 1120 00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:44,480 Speaker 5: like he is trying to use this. 1121 00:56:45,320 --> 00:56:47,719 Speaker 1: Where's the red meat for the Democratic base? That part 1122 00:56:47,760 --> 00:56:48,400 Speaker 1: I didn't see. 1123 00:56:48,840 --> 00:56:51,560 Speaker 5: The Republican Party has been on a banning binge right, 1124 00:56:51,600 --> 00:56:54,480 Speaker 5: like he's trying to like pump up the left, like, yeah, 1125 00:56:54,480 --> 00:56:57,640 Speaker 5: the Republicans are book banners and Gavin Newsom is he's 1126 00:56:58,040 --> 00:57:02,480 Speaker 5: holding the line while he's talking, you know about cultural 1127 00:57:02,520 --> 00:57:04,560 Speaker 5: issues like transports in a different. 1128 00:57:04,320 --> 00:57:06,799 Speaker 4: Way, what did you think of all thats? Ryan? 1129 00:57:07,800 --> 00:57:11,799 Speaker 2: In this clip, he didn't actually hold the line he had. 1130 00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:14,040 Speaker 3: It was like he didn't know where he was yet. 1131 00:57:14,080 --> 00:57:14,919 Speaker 3: In the clip, he's like. 1132 00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:16,440 Speaker 5: But he posted it in a way that made it 1133 00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:17,080 Speaker 5: look like he did. 1134 00:57:17,760 --> 00:57:20,360 Speaker 2: In the clip though, he's like, there shouldn't be pornography 1135 00:57:21,040 --> 00:57:23,560 Speaker 2: in the schools. We all agree with that, And then 1136 00:57:23,640 --> 00:57:26,280 Speaker 2: Charlie Kirk's like, Okay, then I'll show you some books 1137 00:57:26,280 --> 00:57:29,800 Speaker 2: that are pornographic and have pornographic images in them, and 1138 00:57:30,040 --> 00:57:32,480 Speaker 2: you agree we should remove those and then he goes 1139 00:57:32,520 --> 00:57:36,080 Speaker 2: back to, well, I don't really want the government making 1140 00:57:36,080 --> 00:57:39,760 Speaker 2: those decisions, which is like, well, you just said that 1141 00:57:39,800 --> 00:57:42,960 Speaker 2: the government shouldn't allow, you know, pornography in schools, like 1142 00:57:43,600 --> 00:57:46,280 Speaker 2: so should there shouldn't they? So you come, like a 1143 00:57:46,360 --> 00:57:50,680 Speaker 2: voter watching that from both sides would be like, well 1144 00:57:50,680 --> 00:57:54,240 Speaker 2: where not actually sure where you stand on this question yet? 1145 00:57:54,720 --> 00:57:57,400 Speaker 3: And ye like it should be an easy one, be like. 1146 00:57:57,640 --> 00:58:00,440 Speaker 2: If because if you say that there shouldn't be geography 1147 00:58:00,560 --> 00:58:02,880 Speaker 2: in schools, like you just said that that's your position, 1148 00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:05,960 Speaker 2: then obviously you have to take get out of there. 1149 00:58:06,040 --> 00:58:09,560 Speaker 2: If somebody identifies one that fits that category when they 1150 00:58:09,600 --> 00:58:12,080 Speaker 2: come back and they're like, well the Bible should be 1151 00:58:12,080 --> 00:58:14,080 Speaker 2: banned and so should this bill O'Reilly book and Soshia 1152 00:58:14,160 --> 00:58:19,200 Speaker 2: Tony Morrison, then you slam them as like extremist nut jobs, right, 1153 00:58:19,040 --> 00:58:21,560 Speaker 2: But he it's I don't know, I don't know, and 1154 00:58:21,600 --> 00:58:24,680 Speaker 2: I don't quite know why he can't like just make 1155 00:58:24,680 --> 00:58:25,680 Speaker 2: that little concession. 1156 00:58:26,160 --> 00:58:26,520 Speaker 5: Yeah. 1157 00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:30,520 Speaker 1: Well, here's here's why I'm a little bit grateful that 1158 00:58:30,600 --> 00:58:33,440 Speaker 1: Gavin Newsom has misread the moment to this extent, because 1159 00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:35,680 Speaker 1: I think right now liberals just want someone who's going 1160 00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:38,040 Speaker 1: to like put up a fight like that's just that's it, right, 1161 00:58:38,120 --> 00:58:41,440 Speaker 1: It's very inco a. They're very disappointed in leadership. They 1162 00:58:41,520 --> 00:58:44,280 Speaker 1: want to see someone match the energy of the moment, 1163 00:58:44,320 --> 00:58:46,160 Speaker 1: and the people by and large you're matching the energy 1164 00:58:46,200 --> 00:58:47,880 Speaker 1: of the moment are on the left. Then you have 1165 00:58:48,000 --> 00:58:50,760 Speaker 1: some people who are like you know, a Jasmine Crockett, 1166 00:58:50,760 --> 00:58:53,680 Speaker 1: who look, I've appreciated that she's been out there fighting, 1167 00:58:53,680 --> 00:58:56,320 Speaker 1: and like you said, Ryan, she's really talented. But there 1168 00:58:56,400 --> 00:58:58,720 Speaker 1: is a danger that you end up with someone like 1169 00:58:58,720 --> 00:59:02,360 Speaker 1: a Gavin or a Peek who are politically like they're 1170 00:59:02,400 --> 00:59:06,440 Speaker 1: good at being sort of like political debate bros, who 1171 00:59:07,040 --> 00:59:12,040 Speaker 1: use their willingness to directly challenge Republicans as a way 1172 00:59:12,080 --> 00:59:18,160 Speaker 1: to Trojan horsen yet another standard neoliberal establishment agenda. Like liberals, 1173 00:59:18,200 --> 00:59:20,360 Speaker 1: I think would be very susceptible to that. Right now, 1174 00:59:20,400 --> 00:59:22,960 Speaker 1: if you just see someone who is like a normal Democrat, 1175 00:59:23,160 --> 00:59:25,439 Speaker 1: but who is willing to fight with the Charlie Kirk, 1176 00:59:25,440 --> 00:59:27,280 Speaker 1: who's willing to tell them to their face to go 1177 00:59:27,360 --> 00:59:30,160 Speaker 1: on Fox News and like hold their own. 1178 00:59:30,320 --> 00:59:34,520 Speaker 8: Yeah seventeen right, and the specific policy issues come sort 1179 00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:37,800 Speaker 8: of secondary. So I think there's a real, you know 1180 00:59:37,880 --> 00:59:40,080 Speaker 8: possibility that you end up with a Democratic primer where 1181 00:59:40,080 --> 00:59:41,960 Speaker 8: someone who is able to sort of posture as a 1182 00:59:42,000 --> 00:59:44,400 Speaker 8: fighter but then just really is upholding the status quo 1183 00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:48,200 Speaker 8: is what the liberal base wants. So I am grateful 1184 00:59:48,240 --> 00:59:52,240 Speaker 8: to Gavin Newsom for you know, just having this very 1185 00:59:52,280 --> 00:59:56,640 Speaker 8: like basically capitulating to Charlie Kirk in this conversation and 1186 00:59:57,000 --> 00:59:59,840 Speaker 8: not going down the path of posturing like he's going 1187 00:59:59,880 --> 01:00:03,600 Speaker 8: to be some renegade fighter for you know, any sort 1188 01:00:03,640 --> 01:00:06,520 Speaker 8: of like populist or different principle than has reigned in 1189 01:00:06,520 --> 01:00:08,880 Speaker 8: the Democratic Party and been a total failure for years 1190 01:00:08,880 --> 01:00:11,040 Speaker 8: and years. Because I do think he would be one 1191 01:00:11,080 --> 01:00:13,560 Speaker 8: of those candidates that, look, he's a talented guy in 1192 01:00:13,600 --> 01:00:16,120 Speaker 8: a certain respect, and I think he there would be 1193 01:00:16,120 --> 01:00:18,920 Speaker 8: a real danger of him being able to win in 1194 01:00:18,960 --> 01:00:21,800 Speaker 8: a Democratic primary and then just basically be you know, 1195 01:00:22,040 --> 01:00:23,560 Speaker 8: Kamala Harris or whatever. 1196 01:00:25,280 --> 01:00:25,880 Speaker 5: I've got to run. 1197 01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:27,640 Speaker 4: Guys, all right, thank. 1198 01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:32,640 Speaker 2: You, Ryan, play the last Yeah, one more clip, right. 1199 01:00:32,560 --> 01:00:35,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I got one more. This is the trans girls 1200 01:00:35,120 --> 01:00:36,920 Speaker 1: in sports. I can get your reaction to this. On 1201 01:00:36,960 --> 01:00:38,840 Speaker 1: the other side, this is the one that made the 1202 01:00:38,880 --> 01:00:41,560 Speaker 1: most news here, Like you right now. 1203 01:00:41,480 --> 01:00:43,680 Speaker 7: Should come out and be like, you know what, the 1204 01:00:43,760 --> 01:00:46,200 Speaker 7: young man who's about to win the state championship in 1205 01:00:46,200 --> 01:00:48,920 Speaker 7: the long jump in female sports. But that's that that 1206 01:00:48,960 --> 01:00:51,000 Speaker 7: shouldn't happen. You as the governor should step out and 1207 01:00:51,000 --> 01:00:53,320 Speaker 7: say no, no, And I appreciate and but like, would 1208 01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:55,040 Speaker 7: you do something like that, would you say no men 1209 01:00:55,080 --> 01:00:55,760 Speaker 7: in female sports? 1210 01:00:55,760 --> 01:00:57,760 Speaker 6: Well, I think it's an issue of fairness. I completely 1211 01:00:57,800 --> 01:00:59,760 Speaker 6: agree with you on that. So that's easy to call 1212 01:00:59,800 --> 01:01:02,680 Speaker 6: out the unfairness of that. There's also a humility and 1213 01:01:02,680 --> 01:01:05,840 Speaker 6: a grace. You know that these poor people are more 1214 01:01:05,920 --> 01:01:09,000 Speaker 6: likely to commit suicide of anxiety and depression, and the 1215 01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:12,040 Speaker 6: way that people talk down to vulnerable communities is an 1216 01:01:12,080 --> 01:01:14,760 Speaker 6: issue that I have a hard time with as well. 1217 01:01:15,080 --> 01:01:17,520 Speaker 6: So both things I can hold in my hand. How 1218 01:01:17,520 --> 01:01:20,360 Speaker 6: can we address this issue with the kind of decency 1219 01:01:20,600 --> 01:01:23,560 Speaker 6: that I think you know is inherent in you but. 1220 01:01:23,600 --> 01:01:24,680 Speaker 3: Not always expressed. 1221 01:01:26,000 --> 01:01:27,120 Speaker 4: What do you think of that, Ryan? 1222 01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:30,920 Speaker 2: I mean, I think they're getting closer to an answer 1223 01:01:30,920 --> 01:01:33,600 Speaker 2: on this question that keeps be deviling them. I mean, 1224 01:01:33,600 --> 01:01:39,280 Speaker 2: I think the first answer should always be you're raising 1225 01:01:39,320 --> 01:01:43,240 Speaker 2: this like distraction of an issue that affects, like, you know, 1226 01:01:43,280 --> 01:01:46,320 Speaker 2: point zero one percent of the population because you don't 1227 01:01:46,360 --> 01:01:48,120 Speaker 2: want people to pay attention to the fact that you're 1228 01:01:48,160 --> 01:01:51,520 Speaker 2: you're robbing them blind, Like I think that's you should 1229 01:01:51,560 --> 01:01:54,280 Speaker 2: always remind people of that fact. You also don't want 1230 01:01:54,280 --> 01:01:56,560 Speaker 2: to look like you're dodging the question, because it is 1231 01:01:56,640 --> 01:01:58,920 Speaker 2: something that some people care about, and if you look 1232 01:01:58,960 --> 01:02:01,160 Speaker 2: like you're dodging it, you got to give some answer. 1233 01:02:02,000 --> 01:02:05,120 Speaker 2: You obviously don't want to be embraced the kind of 1234 01:02:05,160 --> 01:02:10,680 Speaker 2: transphobic language of misgendering people the way that Kirk consists 1235 01:02:10,720 --> 01:02:14,280 Speaker 2: on doing in that conversation. But I do think that 1236 01:02:15,240 --> 01:02:19,520 Speaker 2: Democrats have no chance to win on this question. Like 1237 01:02:19,600 --> 01:02:21,840 Speaker 2: I three or four years ago, I wrote a story 1238 01:02:21,840 --> 01:02:25,800 Speaker 2: about a poll and a memo that the Transgender Law 1239 01:02:25,840 --> 01:02:30,200 Speaker 2: Center had had been circulating that you know, very very 1240 01:02:30,280 --> 01:02:33,720 Speaker 2: very pro trans organization that was like, we've done polling, 1241 01:02:33,720 --> 01:02:38,040 Speaker 2: we've done focus grouping, the numbers on this are just 1242 01:02:38,160 --> 01:02:44,040 Speaker 2: absolutely abysmal. Like the public and there's and every argument 1243 01:02:44,080 --> 01:02:47,240 Speaker 2: that we made on behalf of our position made the 1244 01:02:47,280 --> 01:02:51,840 Speaker 2: public less likely, not more likely to support our position. 1245 01:02:52,640 --> 01:02:56,439 Speaker 2: So like you're you're just you're not going to win. 1246 01:02:57,280 --> 01:03:00,480 Speaker 2: No amount of pushing on this issue is going to 1247 01:03:00,520 --> 01:03:03,080 Speaker 2: get you to a place where you're winning. And so 1248 01:03:03,200 --> 01:03:06,200 Speaker 2: then when you lose on that issue, you end up 1249 01:03:06,240 --> 01:03:10,560 Speaker 2: losing on a whole slew of other issues as well. 1250 01:03:11,400 --> 01:03:14,120 Speaker 2: And so I think his point about the fairness, it's 1251 01:03:14,640 --> 01:03:15,520 Speaker 2: so then what do you do? 1252 01:03:16,200 --> 01:03:16,480 Speaker 3: All right? 1253 01:03:16,840 --> 01:03:19,480 Speaker 2: Like? And I think the prison question is is an 1254 01:03:19,480 --> 01:03:24,240 Speaker 2: interesting one too. And so if democrats, you know, democrats say, look, 1255 01:03:24,280 --> 01:03:28,040 Speaker 2: there's they don't like when people say there's only two genders. 1256 01:03:29,760 --> 01:03:31,560 Speaker 2: But then if that's the case, why should there be 1257 01:03:31,600 --> 01:03:36,840 Speaker 2: only two divisions you know, men's prison, women's prison, or 1258 01:03:37,080 --> 01:03:40,200 Speaker 2: men's sports women's sports. You know, maybe there needs to 1259 01:03:40,240 --> 01:03:46,440 Speaker 2: be uh you know cis men's sist women and and 1260 01:03:46,440 --> 01:03:51,360 Speaker 2: and like non binary category or when it comes to prison, 1261 01:03:51,480 --> 01:03:55,240 Speaker 2: like transmen and trans women are segregated, SIS women and 1262 01:03:55,280 --> 01:03:57,680 Speaker 2: SIST men, Like this is something that we can think 1263 01:03:57,680 --> 01:04:02,480 Speaker 2: about as a society in a respectful way that gives 1264 01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:08,240 Speaker 2: dignity people, but also like absorbs, how people feel about 1265 01:04:08,280 --> 01:04:11,040 Speaker 2: it and aren't gonna and are not going to change 1266 01:04:11,040 --> 01:04:13,640 Speaker 2: no matter what according to like all of the polling 1267 01:04:13,680 --> 01:04:16,800 Speaker 2: and focus grouping and conversations and common sense. You know, 1268 01:04:17,160 --> 01:04:19,520 Speaker 2: where do you come where do you come down on it? Yeah? 1269 01:04:19,560 --> 01:04:22,200 Speaker 1: I mean I think everything you said is reasonable. Where 1270 01:04:22,240 --> 01:04:26,680 Speaker 1: I get upset is you know, you had immediately after 1271 01:04:26,720 --> 01:04:30,000 Speaker 1: the election, you had a few members of Congress that 1272 01:04:30,040 --> 01:04:31,959 Speaker 1: were like, oh, well, the problem for the Democratic Party 1273 01:04:32,000 --> 01:04:34,040 Speaker 1: is they just need to like surrender on you know, 1274 01:04:34,120 --> 01:04:37,840 Speaker 1: this issue in particular, and because the polling is so bad. 1275 01:04:37,920 --> 01:04:40,720 Speaker 1: And like, I get that the polling is bad, but 1276 01:04:40,760 --> 01:04:42,440 Speaker 1: it ignores a few things. I mean, first of all, 1277 01:04:42,480 --> 01:04:45,000 Speaker 1: it ignores how bad the polling is for Republicans on 1278 01:04:45,320 --> 01:04:49,320 Speaker 1: certain you know issues, especially like Donald Trump pardoning violent 1279 01:04:49,440 --> 01:04:55,240 Speaker 1: January sixers who beat up cops really unpopular, like extremely unpopular. 1280 01:04:55,560 --> 01:04:59,920 Speaker 1: You know, taking over Greenland really unpopular. Even core part 1281 01:05:00,120 --> 01:05:03,760 Speaker 1: of his economic agenda right now on terriffs really really unpopular. 1282 01:05:04,120 --> 01:05:09,320 Speaker 1: Cutting Social Security, cutting Medicaid really unpopular. And so where 1283 01:05:09,360 --> 01:05:12,040 Speaker 1: I get very skeptical is when you have people like 1284 01:05:12,080 --> 01:05:16,200 Speaker 1: Gavin Newsom who think that this is all it's very 1285 01:05:16,240 --> 01:05:19,040 Speaker 1: convenient for them to say, like, oh, we just need 1286 01:05:19,080 --> 01:05:23,440 Speaker 1: to basically sort of throw these vulnerable people under the bus. 1287 01:05:23,600 --> 01:05:26,360 Speaker 1: And that's the key back to Democratic Party because it 1288 01:05:26,400 --> 01:05:29,720 Speaker 1: allows them to continue operating as they were. It allows 1289 01:05:29,720 --> 01:05:32,920 Speaker 1: them to keep taking big money, you know, from donors, 1290 01:05:32,960 --> 01:05:35,640 Speaker 1: It allows them to keep pushing a lily status quo 1291 01:05:35,720 --> 01:05:39,080 Speaker 1: agenda in terms of economics, And the other piece where 1292 01:05:39,120 --> 01:05:44,240 Speaker 1: I worry is, you know, Republicans initially postured like, oh, well, 1293 01:05:44,280 --> 01:05:47,480 Speaker 1: we only care about trans you know, trans kids, Like 1294 01:05:47,600 --> 01:05:49,840 Speaker 1: if you're an adult, do whatever you want, of course, 1295 01:05:49,880 --> 01:05:52,280 Speaker 1: the free country, et cetera, et cetera. Now you've got 1296 01:05:52,320 --> 01:05:56,160 Speaker 1: a law up in Texas where people who identify as 1297 01:05:56,200 --> 01:05:58,600 Speaker 1: trans could be prosecuted for fraud. 1298 01:05:59,320 --> 01:06:01,880 Speaker 4: So that's the other piece is like, I think there's a. 1299 01:06:02,520 --> 01:06:06,560 Speaker 3: Bride the congressman from Delaware. Yeah, is. 1300 01:06:08,440 --> 01:06:12,040 Speaker 2: You know, being called a man by her and she's 1301 01:06:12,040 --> 01:06:14,960 Speaker 2: an adult, So yes, this this like claim that they 1302 01:06:14,960 --> 01:06:17,360 Speaker 2: only care about kids and adults should be able to 1303 01:06:17,400 --> 01:06:19,320 Speaker 2: make the choices that they want to make, is yeah, 1304 01:06:19,560 --> 01:06:21,840 Speaker 2: he lies their actual reaction. 1305 01:06:21,960 --> 01:06:24,240 Speaker 1: I just I reject the idea that this issue is 1306 01:06:24,280 --> 01:06:27,520 Speaker 1: actually the reason why Democrats are struggling. I think it 1307 01:06:27,560 --> 01:06:29,560 Speaker 1: has much more to do with selling out the working class. 1308 01:06:29,600 --> 01:06:31,880 Speaker 1: And so if your answer doesn't lead with like, there's 1309 01:06:31,920 --> 01:06:35,280 Speaker 1: literally like a dozen trans girls in sports in the 1310 01:06:35,440 --> 01:06:38,400 Speaker 1: entire country, And so if you're fixated on this, you 1311 01:06:38,480 --> 01:06:41,960 Speaker 1: are not definitionly like thinking about the issues that actually 1312 01:06:42,000 --> 01:06:45,200 Speaker 1: impact millions and millions of Americans, And then it's not 1313 01:06:45,280 --> 01:06:48,160 Speaker 1: that important to me. Ultimately where you fall on this 1314 01:06:48,200 --> 01:06:50,840 Speaker 1: particular issue, because I do think it is a challenging one. 1315 01:06:50,960 --> 01:06:52,560 Speaker 1: I don't think that you know, the sort of like 1316 01:06:52,920 --> 01:06:55,280 Speaker 1: binary works for everything. I think there is a question 1317 01:06:55,320 --> 01:06:57,320 Speaker 1: of fairness. I think it could even vary sport to 1318 01:06:57,400 --> 01:07:02,120 Speaker 1: sport what the right answer ultimately looks like. But if 1319 01:07:02,200 --> 01:07:05,240 Speaker 1: you are foregrounding this as like the central party for 1320 01:07:05,280 --> 01:07:07,920 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party, that's where I have an issue, and 1321 01:07:07,920 --> 01:07:10,880 Speaker 1: that's I think the camp that Gavin Newsom very much 1322 01:07:10,920 --> 01:07:11,480 Speaker 1: falls into. 1323 01:07:12,400 --> 01:07:16,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, but like what what you said is like was 1324 01:07:16,560 --> 01:07:19,320 Speaker 2: not what they were saying before, before they were drawing 1325 01:07:19,320 --> 01:07:22,640 Speaker 2: a very hard line on this, rather than saying, you know, 1326 01:07:22,720 --> 01:07:24,560 Speaker 2: this is open for discussion, we need to figure all 1327 01:07:25,000 --> 01:07:25,760 Speaker 2: of this out. 1328 01:07:25,960 --> 01:07:27,960 Speaker 1: I think they're probably ultimately going to say, like, this 1329 01:07:28,000 --> 01:07:31,480 Speaker 1: isn't something for states and localities to work out. And 1330 01:07:31,760 --> 01:07:33,880 Speaker 1: I don't have any problem with that answer. What I 1331 01:07:33,880 --> 01:07:37,000 Speaker 1: do have a problem with is first of all, the 1332 01:07:38,280 --> 01:07:42,080 Speaker 1: you know, the misgendering and the just instinct to sort 1333 01:07:42,080 --> 01:07:44,160 Speaker 1: of throw this like, oh, this group's a problem for us, 1334 01:07:44,160 --> 01:07:46,200 Speaker 1: so we're just going to throw them under the buzzo immigrations, 1335 01:07:46,400 --> 01:07:48,200 Speaker 1: We're just going to throw that under the bus, rather 1336 01:07:48,200 --> 01:07:50,560 Speaker 1: than actually making a case for your views and ideals. 1337 01:07:51,000 --> 01:07:53,080 Speaker 1: And there's so much of an instinct in the Democratic 1338 01:07:53,120 --> 01:07:56,240 Speaker 1: Party right now to just capitulate on any area where 1339 01:07:56,240 --> 01:07:59,360 Speaker 1: they're you know, where they're underwater, pulling wise, And that 1340 01:07:59,440 --> 01:08:03,720 Speaker 1: is not how They're Republican Party operates at all, like, 1341 01:08:03,880 --> 01:08:06,200 Speaker 1: not even a little. It's certainly not how Donald Trump 1342 01:08:06,240 --> 01:08:08,680 Speaker 1: operates at all. So I think it is just like 1343 01:08:08,880 --> 01:08:14,520 Speaker 1: wildly learning the wrong lessons from the last election. Yeah, well, Ryan, 1344 01:08:14,640 --> 01:08:16,439 Speaker 1: thank you so much for spending some time with us 1345 01:08:16,520 --> 01:08:19,960 Speaker 1: this morning, and hope pleasure. Yes, indeed, I'm sure there 1346 01:08:19,960 --> 01:08:22,160 Speaker 1: are gonna be like eighteen million more stories that break 1347 01:08:22,200 --> 01:08:24,040 Speaker 1: over the weekend that Soccer and I will struggle to 1348 01:08:24,120 --> 01:08:27,040 Speaker 1: squeeze into a show on Monday. If anything truly huge breaks, 1349 01:08:27,040 --> 01:08:29,479 Speaker 1: we will make sure to cover it over the weekend. Then, guys, 1350 01:08:29,600 --> 01:08:32,040 Speaker 1: enjoy your Friday, enjoy your weekend, and Soccer and I 1351 01:08:32,040 --> 01:08:35,000 Speaker 1: will see you guys on Monday.