WEBVTT - How Your Behavior Impacts Your Finances with Dr. Daniel Crosby #094

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to How to Money. I'm Joel and I'm Matt

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<v Speaker 1>and today we're talking about behavioral finance with Daniel Crosby. Cheduel.

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<v Speaker 1>Today we are excited to be sitting down with Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Daniel Crosby. He is a psychologist and a behavioral finance

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<v Speaker 1>expert who helps folks understand the intersection of their minds

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<v Speaker 1>and the market. Daniel is a New York Times bestselling

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<v Speaker 1>author on behavioral finance, and his latest book, The Behavioral

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<v Speaker 1>Investor looks at the psychology, physiology, and sociology of financial

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<v Speaker 1>decision making. That's a lot of bologies, a lot of oologies.

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<v Speaker 1>He sets forth practical tips as well for making improvements

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<v Speaker 1>and so when he's not consulting around market psychology, Daniel

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<v Speaker 1>enjoys exploring the American South, fanatically following St. Louis Cardinals baseball,

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<v Speaker 1>and spending time with his wife and three children. So, Daniel,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for being here, man, Yeah, my pleasure, Thanks for

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<v Speaker 1>having me. He mentioned the Cards didn't they wamp the

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<v Speaker 1>Braves a few days ago? Did you watch that game? Well?

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<v Speaker 1>I was at all of the games, but then the

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<v Speaker 1>Braves wamped the Cardinals the second too. But there was

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<v Speaker 1>a streaker at the second one, so it was still

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<v Speaker 1>worth it. Yeah, that was crazy. He was a non

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<v Speaker 1>nude streaker who made it all the way from left

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<v Speaker 1>field to home plate and then got crushed. I want

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<v Speaker 1>the Braves security. I love the video of that security.

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<v Speaker 1>People always just hammer them. He crushed him over a

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<v Speaker 1>half brick while it was incredible. This is my moment. Yeah. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and he slipped. He broke his knees like this guy

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<v Speaker 1>he was coming at him. He juked him, he slipped,

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<v Speaker 1>then he got back up and laid the tackle on him.

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<v Speaker 1>So go go Braves security guard. Wow, that's awesome. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that that might be the most you hear us

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<v Speaker 1>talking about baseball. We tend to talk about soccer here

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<v Speaker 1>on the podcast. We're unintentional hipsters, I think, but we're

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<v Speaker 1>trying not to be great soccer city. Yeah. By the way, Daniel,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for bringing beer. Daniel brought Land of

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<v Speaker 1>brewing companies hop Planta for us to have on the

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<v Speaker 1>show today. So yeah, we really appreciate you bring tasting

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<v Speaker 1>notes on that one at the end of the show.

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<v Speaker 1>So the first question we ask anybody that comes on

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast now, Tamiel is since we do drink a

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<v Speaker 1>beer on every show. It's something that we splourge on.

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<v Speaker 1>What it's like the craft beer equivalent in your life.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's it's cheese. So so my wife and I

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<v Speaker 1>we we average seven different types of cheese and said

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<v Speaker 1>at any given time, so we are love cheese. We

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<v Speaker 1>uh we. Price is no object. We just buy what

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<v Speaker 1>we want and it's absolutely a blast to to write

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<v Speaker 1>different types of cheese for us. So that's our thing,

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<v Speaker 1>it's your splurge. It's also a consumable. What is it

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<v Speaker 1>about things that we consume that I don't know? We

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<v Speaker 1>we derive a lot of pleasure from the senses, right,

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<v Speaker 1>like cheese, I assume what kind of cheese? A do

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<v Speaker 1>you like? We we like double cheese. No, I don't

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<v Speaker 1>love this stinky stuff. Our favorite sort of easy go

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<v Speaker 1>to is the doubling our cheese. We we tried it

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<v Speaker 1>in Dublin for the first time and it's like got

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<v Speaker 1>good family memories from a family trip I took there.

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, yeah, yeah, not nothing too stinky though. We're

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<v Speaker 1>that's cool all right. Well we want to ask you too,

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<v Speaker 1>like why did you decide to get into thinking about money?

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<v Speaker 1>And you received your doctorate in psychology, but you've turned

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<v Speaker 1>your focus to kind of investing in and behavioral finances.

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<v Speaker 1>So like what spurred that on in you? Yeah? So

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<v Speaker 1>um not wanting to be broke because the easy answers,

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<v Speaker 1>so the UM. I had two great loves early on

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<v Speaker 1>in college. One was investment management. I'm the son of

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<v Speaker 1>a financial advisor, so just grew up in a house

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<v Speaker 1>where we were always talking about investing in stocks at

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<v Speaker 1>the dinner table. Uh. So grew up with a real

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<v Speaker 1>love and a and a real familiarity with with that

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<v Speaker 1>whole world. But it was also fascinated by human behavior.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I went through my doctoral program, got about

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<v Speaker 1>halfway through and had just had enough of being a clinician.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I'd met with thousands of clients and I

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<v Speaker 1>was frankly just stressed out by it, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>rigors and just the tough slog of seeing forty fifty

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<v Speaker 1>people a week who were having a very bad week. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>We just beginning to take its toll on me. And

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<v Speaker 1>so I said, look, I love thinking about human behavior.

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<v Speaker 1>I love wondering about why people do what they do,

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<v Speaker 1>But is there a non medical application of this? And

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<v Speaker 1>so my dad, being who he was I stumbled upon

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<v Speaker 1>behavioral economics behavioral finance pretty early on. Uh, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>been a great ride since. Were you board by the

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<v Speaker 1>financial discussions at the dinner table when you're as a kid? No,

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<v Speaker 1>I actually loved it. And it was one of those

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<v Speaker 1>things where, you know, in my in my fifth grade

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<v Speaker 1>um stock market game simulation, I dominated, right, And so

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<v Speaker 1>you know, having having my dad helped me out. And

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<v Speaker 1>I remember investing in the Chicago Tribune and these different stocks,

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<v Speaker 1>Harley and these different stocks early on and watching it

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<v Speaker 1>go up and just thinking how amazing it was that

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<v Speaker 1>I could make money off of other people's work. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean that was like as a as a young lazy kid,

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<v Speaker 1>I was like, wow, Like other people are working and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm getting paid and I'm clipping coupons getting dividends. It

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<v Speaker 1>was just transformative to me. So I actually quite loved it.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's talk a little bit about your book, The

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<v Speaker 1>Behavioral Investor. In that book, like in the first portion

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<v Speaker 1>of it, you spent a lot of time talking about

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<v Speaker 1>our bodies and our minds and society as well. Why

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<v Speaker 1>do you find that that's so important to to focus

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<v Speaker 1>on in particular when it comes to investing in making

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<v Speaker 1>those decisions. Yeah, so I I tried to take a

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<v Speaker 1>big step back with this book because you know, most people,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe they give some thought to psychology, but they give

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<v Speaker 1>very very little thought to context. And so one of

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<v Speaker 1>the things that that I have learned in my study

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<v Speaker 1>of why we make the decisions that we do is

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<v Speaker 1>that willpower is very limited and that context matters a

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<v Speaker 1>great deal. You started off with with talking about the

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<v Speaker 1>beer that I brought. So I'll give an example from

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<v Speaker 1>a liquor store that was trying to titrate the the

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<v Speaker 1>inflows and outflows of the different types of liquor. They

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<v Speaker 1>found that the type of music they played was the

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<v Speaker 1>best predictor of what people would buy. So they're trying

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<v Speaker 1>to manage how much wine or champagne or beer they have.

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<v Speaker 1>In days that they played German music, that the consumption

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<v Speaker 1>of beer went up over On days when they played

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<v Speaker 1>French music, the consumption of champagne went up over seventy percent.

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<v Speaker 1>But if you ask someone leaving the store, like why

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<v Speaker 1>did you buy this beer, They're not going to say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I was subtly influenced by environmental cues. So

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<v Speaker 1>we go through our days and we make all these

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<v Speaker 1>choices sort of beneath our awareness, and so I wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to highlight, you know, societally, physiologically, here are some of

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<v Speaker 1>the things that are impinging on your ability to make

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<v Speaker 1>good financial choices, because I thought there was sort of

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<v Speaker 1>a gap in the literature around that. So, yeah, that's

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<v Speaker 1>a great example. I think that actually helps us see

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<v Speaker 1>how our brains are susceptible to having things that aren't

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily self generated to make a decision um. And so

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to our brains, why is it that

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<v Speaker 1>our brains play tricks on us? And why does that

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<v Speaker 1>make it hard for us to be actually savvy, decent investors.

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<v Speaker 1>So one of my favorite stats that I that I

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<v Speaker 1>came across in the book was that your brain accounts

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<v Speaker 1>for about two to three percent of your body weight,

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<v Speaker 1>but it accounts for of your metabolic expenditures in a

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<v Speaker 1>given day. So of the calories that you burn in

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<v Speaker 1>a day are down to thinking effectively. And so because

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<v Speaker 1>there's this enormous mismatch, your body is always trying to

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<v Speaker 1>go into energy saver mode and be more efficient. And

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<v Speaker 1>of the ways that we do this basically by shutting

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<v Speaker 1>the brain down, like trying to think less. So we

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<v Speaker 1>do things like we look at our neighbors and see

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<v Speaker 1>what they're doing, and we try and do that, or

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<v Speaker 1>we turn on the TV and see what the financial

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<v Speaker 1>talking heads are telling us we should do. We draft

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<v Speaker 1>off of the opinions of others, or we do what

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<v Speaker 1>we've always done, or we do what our parents do.

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<v Speaker 1>We're just not equipped to really make well thought out,

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<v Speaker 1>well reasoned financial decisions again and again and again, because

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<v Speaker 1>there's this huge mismatch between how hungry our brain is

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<v Speaker 1>and how big it is. And so that to me

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<v Speaker 1>is is an incredible Uh, was an incredible thing to learn.

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<v Speaker 1>You know. The other thing I learned is that we

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<v Speaker 1>lose thirteen percent of our intelligence of our i Q

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<v Speaker 1>when we're under financial stress. So even if your brains

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<v Speaker 1>fully loaded, right, even if your brain is is locked

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<v Speaker 1>and ready to go with all the right financial education

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<v Speaker 1>that you need, when when the risk hits the fan,

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<v Speaker 1>so to speak, you're dumb, Like you you have least

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<v Speaker 1>access to these things when you need them most. So

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<v Speaker 1>your brain is not not too well equipped to be

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<v Speaker 1>a savvy financial decision maker. Yeah, even though you know

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<v Speaker 1>those facts, you know what you should be doing when Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>like when when the stuff hits the fan. Yeah, you

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<v Speaker 1>are incapable of making the proper decision. One of the

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<v Speaker 1>other things you mentioned in your book as well was

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<v Speaker 1>how we're wired for more that immediate gratification and how

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<v Speaker 1>we have a really tough time thinking beyond that, and

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<v Speaker 1>that again makes us terrible long term investors, right, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it does. There was a fascinating study in Merrill Lynch

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<v Speaker 1>actually bought this technology. There was technology that allowed you

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<v Speaker 1>to age your face so like you could take picture

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<v Speaker 1>of you and then it would make you look like

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<v Speaker 1>you were, you know whatever, a hundred years old. Joe

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<v Speaker 1>loves that app co my co worker literally the other day,

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<v Speaker 1>took a picture of me. Was like he was like,

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<v Speaker 1>stand still, I'm gonna take a picture of you and

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<v Speaker 1>I had no idea what he's doing for and he

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<v Speaker 1>turned me into a girl. Yeah so yeah, yeah, you

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<v Speaker 1>still get carded, don't you pretty much? Yeah. So what

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<v Speaker 1>they found though, is when people were able to envision

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<v Speaker 1>themselves older, they dramatically up their retirement savings. Because most

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<v Speaker 1>of us think, you know, we're going to be this

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<v Speaker 1>age forever and the me that exists today is the

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<v Speaker 1>me that will always be. But we have to really

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<v Speaker 1>get a more visceral sense of a of a future

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<v Speaker 1>self that's gonna want vacations and food and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a warm place to sleep just as much as today

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<v Speaker 1>you does. And that's hard for us to get our

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<v Speaker 1>minds around, right, And so anything that we can do

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of get a better picture of that future

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<v Speaker 1>self is powerful, But it's nothing we do very naturally. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think, Yeah, most people in their twenties, and looking

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<v Speaker 1>back to when I was in my early twenties, it's

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<v Speaker 1>kind of abnormal interested in this stuff. But most people

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<v Speaker 1>it's just you think you're invincible, you think you're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>live forever when you're twenty two, and that's just not

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<v Speaker 1>the case. And but that's the most important time to

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<v Speaker 1>start getting invested too, in the stock market, to start

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about the future. But that's often the time that

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<v Speaker 1>people are least thinking about the future. Yeah, the world

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<v Speaker 1>of investing is full of these paradoxes, right, Like, twenty

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<v Speaker 1>two is exactly when you need to be started building

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<v Speaker 1>a compounding life financial legacy. And at that point, your

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<v Speaker 1>prefrontal cortex isn't even fully formed, and you don't even

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<v Speaker 1>fully grasp a relationship between cause and effect, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think if we all look back to college, we can

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<v Speaker 1>we can bring to mind instances where where this was

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<v Speaker 1>on full display. But yeah, you're you're well positioned to

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<v Speaker 1>start saving, but not psychologically. So, Daniel, you talked some

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<v Speaker 1>in the book as well about the primacy and the

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<v Speaker 1>recency effect. Can you explain that a little bit when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to investing. You know, we're talking about age

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<v Speaker 1>and how certain things affect how we view money and

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<v Speaker 1>just things in general. How does it affect how we

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<v Speaker 1>view investing? Yes, So the primus see in recency effect,

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<v Speaker 1>is this notion in psychology that's backed up by the

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<v Speaker 1>literature that we have the best memory for things that

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<v Speaker 1>happened early on and things that have happened recently. And

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<v Speaker 1>so this is true of even conversations. You go have

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<v Speaker 1>a conversation with a friend, you're going to have the

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<v Speaker 1>best memory for sort of the opening gambit and then

0:11:18.440 --> 0:11:21.199
<v Speaker 1>the last thing that you said before parting. It's also

0:11:21.240 --> 0:11:23.800
<v Speaker 1>true of our investing live so you know, we look

0:11:23.840 --> 0:11:26.839
<v Speaker 1>at someone like I'll use myself as an example. So

0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:28.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, I went to a lot of school, so

0:11:28.679 --> 0:11:30.559
<v Speaker 1>I didn't really get my first job until I was

0:11:30.600 --> 0:11:33.520
<v Speaker 1>about twenty seven, and so I get out, get my

0:11:33.520 --> 0:11:35.920
<v Speaker 1>first job. When I'm twenty seven, I start saving. I

0:11:35.960 --> 0:11:38.160
<v Speaker 1>got a four oh one K, and then within a

0:11:38.240 --> 0:11:41.080
<v Speaker 1>year and a half it's the Great Financial Crisis. So

0:11:41.160 --> 0:11:43.319
<v Speaker 1>you know, you're just getting started. You think you're doing

0:11:43.360 --> 0:11:45.480
<v Speaker 1>the right thing, and this nice little nest that you've

0:11:45.480 --> 0:11:49.120
<v Speaker 1>built up is crushed right, it's down, and then you know,

0:11:49.240 --> 0:11:51.559
<v Speaker 1>bring it to today and we'll go back to Q

0:11:51.840 --> 0:11:56.600
<v Speaker 1>four of eighteen again, we're down fifteen or so. Someone

0:11:56.720 --> 0:11:59.600
<v Speaker 1>like me, if they're not careful and if they don't

0:11:59.679 --> 0:12:03.480
<v Speaker 1>sort of automate good practices, could say, look, the first

0:12:03.480 --> 0:12:05.640
<v Speaker 1>thing that ever happened to my money was it got

0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:09.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, when went down a third. Uh. Recently we've

0:12:09.080 --> 0:12:12.560
<v Speaker 1>had more volatility. Therefore the market is a scary dangerous

0:12:12.600 --> 0:12:16.360
<v Speaker 1>place forgetting that. You know, there's also been a whatever

0:12:16.400 --> 0:12:20.280
<v Speaker 1>a four increase in that time as well. So we

0:12:20.360 --> 0:12:23.240
<v Speaker 1>have to be careful because memory plays tricks on us,

0:12:23.320 --> 0:12:27.240
<v Speaker 1>and especially I think millennials and others who who have

0:12:27.440 --> 0:12:30.840
<v Speaker 1>started saving at an inopportune time or a time when

0:12:31.400 --> 0:12:34.800
<v Speaker 1>they had a traumatic first experiences can be in a

0:12:34.800 --> 0:12:38.120
<v Speaker 1>little trouble. And you know, the interestingly, the inverse is

0:12:38.160 --> 0:12:41.040
<v Speaker 1>true too. You see some people who come out and

0:12:41.120 --> 0:12:44.320
<v Speaker 1>confuse a bull market with a big brain. So they

0:12:44.400 --> 0:12:46.600
<v Speaker 1>got out in a year. You know, Let's say they

0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:50.240
<v Speaker 1>started saving in in two thousand and ten, and they're like, wow,

0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:52.760
<v Speaker 1>this is easy, Like all the stock market does is

0:12:52.800 --> 0:12:57.360
<v Speaker 1>go up. I'm a genius. And so either success or

0:12:57.400 --> 0:12:59.800
<v Speaker 1>a failure can actually be problematic, and we have to

0:12:59.840 --> 0:13:02.720
<v Speaker 1>be careful not to let those early and those recent

0:13:02.800 --> 0:13:06.680
<v Speaker 1>experiences loom too large. Do you think that that same

0:13:06.720 --> 0:13:10.880
<v Speaker 1>principle can affect the way that we broadly view money,

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:13.839
<v Speaker 1>not just investing. For instance, you sitting around the dining

0:13:13.880 --> 0:13:15.920
<v Speaker 1>room table with your dad, who's you know, talking to

0:13:15.920 --> 0:13:18.360
<v Speaker 1>you about stocks? Or for me, you know, I had

0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:21.640
<v Speaker 1>an experience where my family didn't handle money well and

0:13:21.760 --> 0:13:23.800
<v Speaker 1>we went through bankruptcy when I was thirteen, And that

0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:25.680
<v Speaker 1>to me is like the line of demarcation of why

0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:28.439
<v Speaker 1>I got interested in finances to begin with. How do

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:32.040
<v Speaker 1>those effects of primacy and recency affect us in regards

0:13:32.080 --> 0:13:35.240
<v Speaker 1>to how we think about money in general? Yes, so

0:13:35.320 --> 0:13:37.840
<v Speaker 1>this is I mean, this is a fascinating question to me.

0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:40.920
<v Speaker 1>It's certainly the lessons that we learned early take take

0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:44.320
<v Speaker 1>deep hold. But what's fascinating to me is anecdotally, what

0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:47.640
<v Speaker 1>I've observed is sort of both sides of this. There

0:13:47.640 --> 0:13:50.920
<v Speaker 1>are people who grew up in in my situation, say,

0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:53.760
<v Speaker 1>where you know this talk about money is ever present,

0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:55.800
<v Speaker 1>and they go, yuck, you know this is too that

0:13:55.880 --> 0:13:57.960
<v Speaker 1>was too much. You know, that was too much. I

0:13:57.960 --> 0:14:00.240
<v Speaker 1>don't I don't care about money. And there's people grow

0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:02.920
<v Speaker 1>up in your situation where there's a bankruptcy or something,

0:14:03.320 --> 0:14:05.640
<v Speaker 1>and sometimes that's going to lead them to say, I

0:14:05.679 --> 0:14:07.480
<v Speaker 1>will never let this happen to me. I'm going to

0:14:07.640 --> 0:14:09.960
<v Speaker 1>educate myself. I'm going to be different, this will never

0:14:10.000 --> 0:14:13.199
<v Speaker 1>happen to me. And then other times, quite naturally, they

0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:15.720
<v Speaker 1>perhaps learned the bad lessons that they grew up with.

0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:19.160
<v Speaker 1>So I wish I knew better what separated people who

0:14:19.280 --> 0:14:22.560
<v Speaker 1>who run from one style versus those who adopt it.

0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 1>But I have seen in both cases there's always an impact.

0:14:26.680 --> 0:14:29.120
<v Speaker 1>There's always an impact, but some people run toward it

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:31.560
<v Speaker 1>and some people run far away from it. But but

0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:36.360
<v Speaker 1>either way, I think you're absolutely impacted by those early experiences. Yeah, Daniel,

0:14:36.400 --> 0:14:38.320
<v Speaker 1>if only we knew the depths of our minds and

0:14:38.360 --> 0:14:40.120
<v Speaker 1>then why it was that we behave that way, right,

0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:43.040
<v Speaker 1>So after the break, we're gonna talk more specifically about

0:14:43.040 --> 0:14:46.440
<v Speaker 1>investing for folks who are not investing at all, things

0:14:46.440 --> 0:14:48.320
<v Speaker 1>to watch out for, but as well, if you are

0:14:48.360 --> 0:15:00.840
<v Speaker 1>already investing, we're going to talk about that as well. Alright,

0:15:00.840 --> 0:15:02.800
<v Speaker 1>we're back from the break. We're speaking with Daniel Crosby,

0:15:02.880 --> 0:15:06.160
<v Speaker 1>behavioral finance expert. Daniel, I so thoroughly enjoyed your book.

0:15:06.160 --> 0:15:08.560
<v Speaker 1>I think I geeked out on somebody the studies and

0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:12.320
<v Speaker 1>the specific stories that you discussed in there. By the way,

0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:14.720
<v Speaker 1>for our listeners, we're going to give away a few

0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:16.920
<v Speaker 1>copies of his book at the end of the episodes,

0:15:16.960 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 1>so stay tuned for that. But first I want to

0:15:18.680 --> 0:15:20.680
<v Speaker 1>ask you about a story that you mentioned in your

0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:22.840
<v Speaker 1>TED talk and then also mentioned in your book, and

0:15:22.920 --> 0:15:25.360
<v Speaker 1>it was about a woman named Brooke. You were helping

0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:27.680
<v Speaker 1>her with a specific situation and she seemed to just

0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:30.000
<v Speaker 1>bury her in the sand about something that was happening

0:15:30.000 --> 0:15:31.800
<v Speaker 1>in regards to college emissions. Can you tell us a

0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:33.600
<v Speaker 1>story and then kind of how the how we can

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.080
<v Speaker 1>learn from that. Yeah, So, Brooke and not not her

0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:39.520
<v Speaker 1>real name, Brooke was my first ever counseling client, and

0:15:39.560 --> 0:15:41.720
<v Speaker 1>so to set the stage a little bit. I'm twenty

0:15:41.760 --> 0:15:44.240
<v Speaker 1>three years old at the time, which I think we

0:15:44.280 --> 0:15:46.920
<v Speaker 1>can all agree is a great time to be dispensing,

0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, life advice to people. Yeah, I've got it

0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:52.800
<v Speaker 1>figured out. Come and get refer back to the prefuncile cortex.

0:15:53.240 --> 0:15:56.080
<v Speaker 1>My prefuncial cortex is still half baked at this point.

0:15:56.520 --> 0:15:59.280
<v Speaker 1>So Brooke foolishly comes to you know, comes to see me.

0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:02.480
<v Speaker 1>She's literally the first client I've ever seen. And she

0:16:02.600 --> 0:16:04.640
<v Speaker 1>comes in and she doesn't say a word. She hands

0:16:04.640 --> 0:16:08.040
<v Speaker 1>me six envelopes, like six six large envelopes, and I'm like,

0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:09.920
<v Speaker 1>oh my god, like what, you know, what am I

0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:11.880
<v Speaker 1>in for? This was not in the book? You know,

0:16:11.920 --> 0:16:14.240
<v Speaker 1>this was what? What chapter was this? Because it's all

0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:17.000
<v Speaker 1>book learning at this point. And you know, she explains

0:16:17.040 --> 0:16:18.560
<v Speaker 1>to me that ever since she was a little girl,

0:16:18.680 --> 0:16:22.360
<v Speaker 1>she's wanted to be a doctor, and she's applied to

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:25.360
<v Speaker 1>six medical schools. She's heard back from all all six

0:16:25.400 --> 0:16:28.960
<v Speaker 1>of them, and she can't bring herself to open the

0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:32.480
<v Speaker 1>envelopes because she she feels like if she finds out

0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:35.200
<v Speaker 1>that she didn't get in, she'll be crushed. So, you know,

0:16:35.240 --> 0:16:38.480
<v Speaker 1>having recently been through the grad school application process myself.

0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 1>If I say to her, like, look, don't you have

0:16:40.480 --> 0:16:42.720
<v Speaker 1>to let them know that you're that you're coming, Like

0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:44.680
<v Speaker 1>if you if you did get in, and she goes, yeah,

0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:46.880
<v Speaker 1>I've got like a week and a half before before

0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:49.320
<v Speaker 1>i have to you know, have have worked through this

0:16:49.440 --> 0:16:52.480
<v Speaker 1>open these and have moved on. And so she opened

0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:55.640
<v Speaker 1>them and she got into all six schools, which really

0:16:56.080 --> 0:16:59.560
<v Speaker 1>saved my high I mean, that could be a that

0:16:59.560 --> 0:17:01.600
<v Speaker 1>could have been the end of my therapy career if

0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:03.640
<v Speaker 1>she had gotten into none of them. But she got

0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:06.600
<v Speaker 1>into all six schools. But the point that I made

0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:09.440
<v Speaker 1>to her that that led her to open the envelopes

0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:13.080
<v Speaker 1>is that sometimes in our efforts to to manage or

0:17:13.160 --> 0:17:16.200
<v Speaker 1>mitigate risk, we bring about the certainty of the very

0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:19.119
<v Speaker 1>thing we're scared of. And so in her case, you know,

0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:21.399
<v Speaker 1>if she had the things she was scared of was

0:17:21.440 --> 0:17:25.159
<v Speaker 1>not getting into grad school, and her tendency to not

0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:27.800
<v Speaker 1>want to open these envelopes was going to guarantee the

0:17:27.920 --> 0:17:31.120
<v Speaker 1>very thing she was scared of. For investors, there's there's

0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:34.080
<v Speaker 1>an analog here, because the thing that most investors are

0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:37.280
<v Speaker 1>scared of is not reaching their financial goals, like not

0:17:37.440 --> 0:17:41.200
<v Speaker 1>crossing the finish line. But the way that they manage

0:17:41.200 --> 0:17:43.840
<v Speaker 1>that fear is by not investing, by sitting on the sidelines,

0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:47.080
<v Speaker 1>by staying in cash, by being too conservative. And in

0:17:47.119 --> 0:17:49.919
<v Speaker 1>a world where your money is being destroyed by inflation

0:17:50.040 --> 0:17:53.240
<v Speaker 1>at a rate of about three percent a year, choosing

0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:56.280
<v Speaker 1>not to invest is bringing about the certainty of failure.

0:17:56.280 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 1>You're dooming yourself to a diminished quality of life and

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:01.960
<v Speaker 1>diminished earning the potential. So that's the analog I'm trying

0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:04.040
<v Speaker 1>to make their It's like, by not taking risk, you're

0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:07.000
<v Speaker 1>actually choosing the most risky possible road. That's right. Not

0:18:07.119 --> 0:18:09.040
<v Speaker 1>risking is the riskiest thing you could ever do. So

0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:10.879
<v Speaker 1>for those folks, I mean, what do you say to them, Like,

0:18:11.000 --> 0:18:12.879
<v Speaker 1>to those folks who aren't investing and they do have

0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:14.359
<v Speaker 1>their head in the sand and they're just trying to

0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:17.640
<v Speaker 1>avoid making that decision altogether, do you just say invest? Well,

0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:21.360
<v Speaker 1>So it's interesting, there's a I've used to be really

0:18:21.400 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 1>bad at this because I would get frustrated and go, oh,

0:18:23.600 --> 0:18:25.480
<v Speaker 1>come on, like you, why aren't you doing Why aren't

0:18:25.480 --> 0:18:27.119
<v Speaker 1>you doing this? Like you know, and you kind of

0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:29.359
<v Speaker 1>bang your head against that wall. But we as a

0:18:29.480 --> 0:18:34.000
<v Speaker 1>human family have a profound sort of get lost impulse

0:18:34.040 --> 0:18:36.679
<v Speaker 1>when someone commands us to do something, you know, we

0:18:36.760 --> 0:18:39.360
<v Speaker 1>kind of give them the finger, you know, metaphorically when

0:18:39.359 --> 0:18:41.359
<v Speaker 1>they try and tell us to command us to do

0:18:41.440 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 1>something or tell us we're so dumb for not doing something.

0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:46.119
<v Speaker 1>So what I do now is I listen, you know,

0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:48.320
<v Speaker 1>I listen and say, you know, what are what are

0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:50.840
<v Speaker 1>the fears around this? And I try and empathize with

0:18:50.880 --> 0:18:54.920
<v Speaker 1>those fears, and people once they feel understood, I feel

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:58.560
<v Speaker 1>like then they're open to having a conversation about the

0:18:58.640 --> 0:19:01.320
<v Speaker 1>nuts and bolts of why investing is a good idea.

0:19:01.800 --> 0:19:04.480
<v Speaker 1>But I find the same thing with diversification because here

0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:07.560
<v Speaker 1>in Atlanta, I run across all sorts of folks who

0:19:07.600 --> 0:19:10.480
<v Speaker 1>have eighty percent of their wealth and Coke or ups

0:19:10.600 --> 0:19:13.080
<v Speaker 1>or a flack or any of the large corporations that

0:19:13.119 --> 0:19:17.399
<v Speaker 1>are around here, and they're scared to diversify away from

0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:21.440
<v Speaker 1>these really concentrated positions. And then when you start to listen, though,

0:19:21.520 --> 0:19:23.280
<v Speaker 1>if you just say, look, you know, it's dumb. All

0:19:23.320 --> 0:19:25.159
<v Speaker 1>of your eggs are in one basket, they they're not

0:19:25.240 --> 0:19:29.480
<v Speaker 1>responsive to that. But if you listen and hear things like, look, um,

0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:31.320
<v Speaker 1>you know this company took a chance on me when

0:19:31.320 --> 0:19:33.480
<v Speaker 1>I had nothing, and they've made me a millionaire. They've

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:36.280
<v Speaker 1>made me who I am today. You can go, okay,

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:38.199
<v Speaker 1>you know, you can listen, you can empathize, and you

0:19:38.240 --> 0:19:41.360
<v Speaker 1>can go, well, it's still dumb, but but but they're

0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:43.160
<v Speaker 1>in a place to hear that. I think once they've

0:19:43.160 --> 0:19:46.000
<v Speaker 1>been understood, Yeah, I think. Yeah, dogmatism can be a

0:19:46.000 --> 0:19:50.440
<v Speaker 1>turn off for so Okay, So, how does your investing

0:19:50.480 --> 0:19:53.480
<v Speaker 1>timeline influence how we should think about risk when it

0:19:53.480 --> 0:19:56.280
<v Speaker 1>comes to how we allocate our investments. Yeah, so, I mean,

0:19:56.320 --> 0:19:58.680
<v Speaker 1>you you definitely want to take less risk as you

0:19:58.800 --> 0:20:02.040
<v Speaker 1>approach retirement, and you even within that, you want to

0:20:02.080 --> 0:20:04.840
<v Speaker 1>take less risk with buckets of money that you need

0:20:04.840 --> 0:20:07.120
<v Speaker 1>in the short term. You know, there's plenty of folks

0:20:07.440 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>who are young people who are saving for say a

0:20:10.119 --> 0:20:12.600
<v Speaker 1>down payment on a home or or vehicle or something

0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:14.800
<v Speaker 1>like that. You don't want to put that money at

0:20:14.880 --> 0:20:16.520
<v Speaker 1>risk if you're gonna need it in the next two

0:20:16.640 --> 0:20:21.760
<v Speaker 1>or three years. Because markets have historically returned, you know,

0:20:21.960 --> 0:20:25.240
<v Speaker 1>returned your investment quite nicely over ten or twelve years.

0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:28.440
<v Speaker 1>You've you've never had a nominal loss in the stock

0:20:28.760 --> 0:20:31.920
<v Speaker 1>market over a twelve year period, but over one year

0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:35.160
<v Speaker 1>or two years, anything can happen, So yeah, you definitely

0:20:35.160 --> 0:20:38.320
<v Speaker 1>want to take less risk. But we see people starting

0:20:38.400 --> 0:20:41.119
<v Speaker 1>to change those assumptions now. You know, I have we

0:20:41.160 --> 0:20:44.120
<v Speaker 1>all have young children here, and I remember when my

0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:46.760
<v Speaker 1>my two year old was born, the nurses told us,

0:20:46.800 --> 0:20:49.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, fort pent of the kids that are her

0:20:49.359 --> 0:20:52.880
<v Speaker 1>age will live to be over a hundred. That's shocking,

0:20:53.280 --> 0:20:55.800
<v Speaker 1>that's crazy. You know, it's shocking to think that. Let's

0:20:55.840 --> 0:20:57.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, you go to college until you're twenty two,

0:20:57.840 --> 0:20:59.800
<v Speaker 1>maybe you go to grad school toil your twenty four

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:02.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty five, you work for forty years, and then you've

0:21:02.520 --> 0:21:04.680
<v Speaker 1>got to live for forty years of what you work for.

0:21:04.800 --> 0:21:08.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's an incredible lift, right, And so historically

0:21:08.720 --> 0:21:11.000
<v Speaker 1>that the idea has been and it remains a good

0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:13.960
<v Speaker 1>idea to take less risk as you age. But we

0:21:14.000 --> 0:21:16.720
<v Speaker 1>find that, you know, people even in retirements still need

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:20.320
<v Speaker 1>to hold stock because that you're gonna live for thirty

0:21:20.400 --> 0:21:23.080
<v Speaker 1>or forty more years in many cases. Yeah, it goes

0:21:23.119 --> 0:21:25.840
<v Speaker 1>back to that idea that not taking enough risk is

0:21:25.880 --> 0:21:28.920
<v Speaker 1>actually the riskiest thing you can do. Yeah. Yeah, And

0:21:28.960 --> 0:21:30.920
<v Speaker 1>the other thing is too, is with so much information

0:21:30.960 --> 0:21:33.240
<v Speaker 1>at our fingertips, when it comes to research and stocks

0:21:33.280 --> 0:21:34.960
<v Speaker 1>and just all the publications that are out there and

0:21:34.960 --> 0:21:37.600
<v Speaker 1>all the articles. At times there can be such an

0:21:37.640 --> 0:21:42.359
<v Speaker 1>overwhelming flood of information and recommendations as to what we

0:21:42.359 --> 0:21:44.760
<v Speaker 1>should be investing in. How would you recommend to folks

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:47.160
<v Speaker 1>uh to start approaching that? Like, how do you take

0:21:47.200 --> 0:21:49.560
<v Speaker 1>that first bite? How do you narrow in your focus

0:21:49.560 --> 0:21:52.800
<v Speaker 1>and decide what to actually invest in? So there's there's

0:21:52.840 --> 0:21:56.320
<v Speaker 1>something called the Lynda effect, which shows that the longer

0:21:56.400 --> 0:22:00.399
<v Speaker 1>something's been around, the longer it's likely to be around. Okay,

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:03.840
<v Speaker 1>So like if we look at today, Um, Kim Kardashian

0:22:03.880 --> 0:22:06.199
<v Speaker 1>has a book of herselfies which is like right at

0:22:06.200 --> 0:22:08.520
<v Speaker 1>the top of the book charts right, and it's been

0:22:08.560 --> 0:22:11.280
<v Speaker 1>there for a year. Um, but I wouldn't bet that

0:22:11.320 --> 0:22:13.320
<v Speaker 1>it will be there in a hundred years. That's just

0:22:13.680 --> 0:22:18.560
<v Speaker 1>my guess. And yet you look at the age to disagree.

0:22:18.720 --> 0:22:21.320
<v Speaker 1>And yet you look at like great philosophical works or

0:22:21.320 --> 0:22:23.400
<v Speaker 1>even you know, books like The Richest Man in Babylon

0:22:23.520 --> 0:22:25.960
<v Speaker 1>or something like this, these sort of classics, it's like

0:22:26.000 --> 0:22:29.200
<v Speaker 1>if they have endured, their likely to endure. And so

0:22:29.359 --> 0:22:32.199
<v Speaker 1>I think that is a sound principle when you're trying

0:22:32.200 --> 0:22:36.840
<v Speaker 1>to understand how to get started with with educating yourself

0:22:36.880 --> 0:22:39.919
<v Speaker 1>about how to invest. There there are a couple of

0:22:39.960 --> 0:22:41.920
<v Speaker 1>really good books that have been around for a really

0:22:41.960 --> 0:22:45.639
<v Speaker 1>long time. They're timeless principles, they're not going anywhere, and

0:22:45.680 --> 0:22:48.520
<v Speaker 1>that is a great place to start. Books over articles,

0:22:48.640 --> 0:22:52.480
<v Speaker 1>long form over short form. I think podcasts like yours

0:22:52.480 --> 0:22:56.280
<v Speaker 1>are another fantastic place to start people who uh don't

0:22:56.359 --> 0:22:59.879
<v Speaker 1>have a reason to steer you wrong because unfortunately, you know,

0:23:00.080 --> 0:23:04.320
<v Speaker 1>so many people are incentivized to to give a brand

0:23:04.320 --> 0:23:08.119
<v Speaker 1>of financial advice that puts money in their pockets, and unfortunately,

0:23:08.160 --> 0:23:12.000
<v Speaker 1>in this country, we we still don't have a system

0:23:12.000 --> 0:23:15.520
<v Speaker 1>where even you know, some financial advisors so called, have

0:23:15.680 --> 0:23:17.600
<v Speaker 1>to act in the best interests of their clients, which

0:23:17.640 --> 0:23:20.920
<v Speaker 1>is sort of an incredible thing to consider. So books

0:23:20.960 --> 0:23:23.080
<v Speaker 1>that have been around a long time are a great

0:23:23.119 --> 0:23:25.960
<v Speaker 1>place to start. And then you know information sources like

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:29.119
<v Speaker 1>yours that that aren't conflicted and can give you a

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:33.080
<v Speaker 1>great unbiased starting point. Daniel, can I interest you in

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:36.239
<v Speaker 1>our life insurance that we're offering. Yes, well, I mean

0:23:36.320 --> 0:23:37.760
<v Speaker 1>hold that note though, do you want to recommend a

0:23:37.800 --> 0:23:39.560
<v Speaker 1>couple books? I mean, you mentioned the richest man in

0:23:39.600 --> 0:23:41.879
<v Speaker 1>Babylon it's a classic. Other a couple other favorites of

0:23:41.880 --> 0:23:44.800
<v Speaker 1>yours that I recommended listeners. I'm going to of course blank.

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:48.119
<v Speaker 1>So the there's a link called the Nocturn Capital Reading

0:23:48.160 --> 0:23:51.159
<v Speaker 1>List which has some of the best, uh the best

0:23:51.200 --> 0:23:53.959
<v Speaker 1>books that I love that that list of the best books, right,

0:23:54.000 --> 0:23:56.639
<v Speaker 1>So that's a great place to start. I would recommend,

0:23:56.680 --> 0:23:59.320
<v Speaker 1>of course, shamelessly, my book The Laws of Wealth as

0:23:59.359 --> 0:24:02.000
<v Speaker 1>sort of a good to introduction. The Richest Man in

0:24:02.040 --> 0:24:06.280
<v Speaker 1>Babylon Intelligent Investor uh is a is a classic. That's

0:24:06.280 --> 0:24:08.960
<v Speaker 1>the one that sort of got Buffett started that. There's

0:24:09.000 --> 0:24:11.679
<v Speaker 1>many others though, Oh, The Millionaire next Door is another

0:24:11.720 --> 0:24:14.880
<v Speaker 1>wonderful book, classic, another classic. I think you're so right, though.

0:24:14.880 --> 0:24:17.280
<v Speaker 1>We have all this information at our fingertips, but it

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:19.040
<v Speaker 1>turns out that most of what people are reading is

0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:21.240
<v Speaker 1>stuff that's been written in the last year or two,

0:24:21.640 --> 0:24:24.040
<v Speaker 1>and all these great resources that have proved true over

0:24:24.119 --> 0:24:26.320
<v Speaker 1>time are the ones that we're avoiding. Um And so

0:24:26.480 --> 0:24:28.040
<v Speaker 1>that's to our great shame, really, And so I think

0:24:28.080 --> 0:24:30.320
<v Speaker 1>anybody who's listening to this picking up an older book

0:24:30.359 --> 0:24:32.200
<v Speaker 1>that has to be the test time is a great advice.

0:24:32.600 --> 0:24:36.120
<v Speaker 1>What other big hurdles do you see beginner investors face

0:24:36.320 --> 0:24:39.080
<v Speaker 1>as they're just kind of attempting to dip their toes

0:24:39.080 --> 0:24:41.960
<v Speaker 1>in the water and start. So I think two things.

0:24:42.000 --> 0:24:45.040
<v Speaker 1>I think one is just getting started, right. You know,

0:24:45.080 --> 0:24:47.399
<v Speaker 1>an object in motion tends to stay in motion. And

0:24:47.440 --> 0:24:49.960
<v Speaker 1>the thought can be, you know, I only make whatever,

0:24:50.040 --> 0:24:52.840
<v Speaker 1>I only make X per year, and so it'll be

0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:54.479
<v Speaker 1>a drop in the bucket. It's not going to make

0:24:54.520 --> 0:24:59.240
<v Speaker 1>a difference. And so realizing that inertia cuts both ways,

0:24:59.280 --> 0:25:02.119
<v Speaker 1>that doing nothing can lead you to do more nothing,

0:25:02.119 --> 0:25:04.640
<v Speaker 1>but that even getting started, even in a small way,

0:25:05.000 --> 0:25:08.280
<v Speaker 1>can get you going. And then not knowing where to start,

0:25:08.560 --> 0:25:10.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, not knowing where to start. I read the

0:25:11.000 --> 0:25:14.280
<v Speaker 1>other day that there are now over two hundred and

0:25:14.320 --> 0:25:18.800
<v Speaker 1>fifty thousand different mutual funds. So just doing something like

0:25:18.840 --> 0:25:21.560
<v Speaker 1>a Vanguard Total Index right there, you go start there.

0:25:21.760 --> 0:25:25.000
<v Speaker 1>You know, something that's well diversified, something that's cheap is

0:25:25.040 --> 0:25:27.040
<v Speaker 1>a great place to start and you can figure out

0:25:27.040 --> 0:25:29.760
<v Speaker 1>the rest later. But not knowing where to start, there

0:25:29.840 --> 0:25:34.760
<v Speaker 1>is an overwhelming mountain of complexity. Uh, and you know,

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:37.760
<v Speaker 1>not much of it is in the investor's favor. So

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:40.240
<v Speaker 1>just picking a place to start and getting started. But

0:25:40.359 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 1>I think a a World Index a a total index

0:25:43.920 --> 0:25:46.639
<v Speaker 1>is a great place to start. So that's great advice,

0:25:46.720 --> 0:25:49.359
<v Speaker 1>right for folks who have not yet started investing, for

0:25:49.359 --> 0:25:52.320
<v Speaker 1>folks who are investing but maybe aren't doing the best job. Right,

0:25:52.359 --> 0:25:54.640
<v Speaker 1>That's what we're gonna talk about next. In your book,

0:25:54.640 --> 0:25:56.879
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned how the Mona Lisa it didn't become famous

0:25:57.000 --> 0:26:00.000
<v Speaker 1>until nineteen eleven after it was stolen. Probably my favor

0:26:00.000 --> 0:26:01.760
<v Speaker 1>were story in the whole book, right, I didn't know,

0:26:01.840 --> 0:26:03.320
<v Speaker 1>and then I just got to wow somebody the next

0:26:03.400 --> 0:26:05.200
<v Speaker 1>day about that. It was really cool. It's like, did

0:26:05.240 --> 0:26:08.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, so what does that antidote have to teach

0:26:08.400 --> 0:26:11.359
<v Speaker 1>us when it comes to our own biases? Yes, so

0:26:11.760 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 1>quickly this story so you can be impressive at cocktail

0:26:14.400 --> 0:26:16.919
<v Speaker 1>parties to the story. The story is, you know, the

0:26:16.960 --> 0:26:19.639
<v Speaker 1>Mona Lisa is the most talked about, the most reproduced

0:26:19.680 --> 0:26:22.840
<v Speaker 1>piece of art around, right, And so we think it

0:26:22.960 --> 0:26:26.080
<v Speaker 1>is that way because it's the best. But really, for

0:26:26.119 --> 0:26:28.040
<v Speaker 1>a long time it was sort of forgotten. It sat

0:26:28.119 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 1>in this dusty recess of the of the Louver and

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:34.119
<v Speaker 1>it was only once it was stolen that it became

0:26:34.160 --> 0:26:37.679
<v Speaker 1>sort of an item of national national interest. And you know,

0:26:37.680 --> 0:26:39.719
<v Speaker 1>people are talking about who done it, where did it go?

0:26:39.880 --> 0:26:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Why did why this piece? And what's fascinating it was

0:26:43.119 --> 0:26:45.639
<v Speaker 1>three days before they noticed it was gone. They stole

0:26:45.680 --> 0:26:49.159
<v Speaker 1>the Mona Lisa and no one noticed for three days, right,

0:26:49.359 --> 0:26:51.879
<v Speaker 1>I mean, can you imagine now, like you know sirens

0:26:52.000 --> 0:26:55.119
<v Speaker 1>two seconds later, but three days later, you know, someone

0:26:55.160 --> 0:26:57.760
<v Speaker 1>notices all you know, there's a there's a dusty spot

0:26:57.800 --> 0:27:00.679
<v Speaker 1>on the wall, and and it's missing. And so we

0:27:00.800 --> 0:27:04.520
<v Speaker 1>think the Mona Lisa is is great because we've heard

0:27:04.520 --> 0:27:07.800
<v Speaker 1>of it, but really we having heard of it is

0:27:07.840 --> 0:27:10.600
<v Speaker 1>what made it great. And so the point here is this,

0:27:11.040 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 1>people tend to overinvest in what they know. Okay, we

0:27:14.359 --> 0:27:16.720
<v Speaker 1>find this a couple of places. One one thing is

0:27:16.720 --> 0:27:20.320
<v Speaker 1>called home bias. Uh. Look at America. The average American

0:27:20.400 --> 0:27:22.760
<v Speaker 1>tends to have about eight five pc of their wealth

0:27:22.800 --> 0:27:25.840
<v Speaker 1>in US stocks, even though US stocks only make up

0:27:25.880 --> 0:27:30.120
<v Speaker 1>about half of the world of the world stage of equities.

0:27:30.800 --> 0:27:34.320
<v Speaker 1>So we want to in general have our asset allocation

0:27:34.560 --> 0:27:38.680
<v Speaker 1>align more or less with the world uh, the world stage,

0:27:38.880 --> 0:27:41.640
<v Speaker 1>so we should be about we're closer to eighty five.

0:27:42.080 --> 0:27:44.280
<v Speaker 1>We even see in various parts of the country in

0:27:44.280 --> 0:27:47.800
<v Speaker 1>the northeast, people tend to be overweight financials. In the Midwest,

0:27:47.840 --> 0:27:51.239
<v Speaker 1>people tend to be overweight agriculture. In Atlanta, people are

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:54.040
<v Speaker 1>overweight you know, coke and and afflack and things that

0:27:54.080 --> 0:27:57.120
<v Speaker 1>they've heard of. And we think that we're doing ourselves

0:27:57.119 --> 0:27:59.919
<v Speaker 1>a favor by buying what we know because it seems safer.

0:28:00.440 --> 0:28:02.600
<v Speaker 1>This is human nature, like, oh, i've heard of that,

0:28:02.720 --> 0:28:05.480
<v Speaker 1>I know that, so yes, give me some of that.

0:28:05.880 --> 0:28:08.639
<v Speaker 1>And we also over invest in our own company stock,

0:28:08.840 --> 0:28:12.040
<v Speaker 1>even when accounting for, even when controlling for you know,

0:28:12.119 --> 0:28:15.320
<v Speaker 1>employee stock ownership plans and things like that. So you're

0:28:15.359 --> 0:28:18.520
<v Speaker 1>actually loading your risk. You know, let's use Atlanta as

0:28:18.520 --> 0:28:21.359
<v Speaker 1>an example. You're here in Atlanta, you load up on

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:24.000
<v Speaker 1>coke stock and UPS stock because you want to, you know,

0:28:24.119 --> 0:28:28.040
<v Speaker 1>root for the home team. Well, your home value depends

0:28:28.080 --> 0:28:30.840
<v Speaker 1>on how Coke does and how UPS does. You know,

0:28:30.880 --> 0:28:34.159
<v Speaker 1>your local economy and your ability to stay employed in

0:28:34.200 --> 0:28:39.040
<v Speaker 1>your local economy depends on how these large fortune companies do.

0:28:39.560 --> 0:28:42.840
<v Speaker 1>So when we invest in what we know, we're typically

0:28:42.880 --> 0:28:47.120
<v Speaker 1>triple loading that risk. And also a lot of what's

0:28:47.120 --> 0:28:49.880
<v Speaker 1>in the news is sort of sensational. You think about

0:28:49.880 --> 0:28:52.960
<v Speaker 1>something like cryptocurrency, which has been all over the news lately,

0:28:53.320 --> 0:28:55.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, it feels like you know it because you're

0:28:55.400 --> 0:28:59.000
<v Speaker 1>hearing about it every day, and so it feels safe. Well,

0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:02.880
<v Speaker 1>you know of it, love crypto or hate it. It's volatile,

0:29:03.200 --> 0:29:05.360
<v Speaker 1>and so you know you're you're having heard of it

0:29:05.440 --> 0:29:09.840
<v Speaker 1>doesn't guarantee that it's safe. In fact, it it guarantees

0:29:09.880 --> 0:29:11.960
<v Speaker 1>that it's quite risky. Yeah. I mean in the book

0:29:11.960 --> 0:29:14.360
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned, is it Peter Lynch that had the quote

0:29:14.400 --> 0:29:16.680
<v Speaker 1>of investing what you know and how Yeah, that, in

0:29:16.800 --> 0:29:19.520
<v Speaker 1>fact is pretty terrible advice when it comes to picking

0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 1>a stock or or investing in something that you think

0:29:22.120 --> 0:29:24.560
<v Speaker 1>will you know, do well over the long term because

0:29:24.640 --> 0:29:26.760
<v Speaker 1>chances are yeah, like you said, you're just more familiar

0:29:26.800 --> 0:29:29.880
<v Speaker 1>with it, not because it's gonna be awesome. Yeah yeah,

0:29:29.960 --> 0:29:31.960
<v Speaker 1>bye bye. What you know is one of these sort

0:29:32.000 --> 0:29:35.760
<v Speaker 1>of easy Wall Street sayings that it's actually quite dumb. Yeah,

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:38.040
<v Speaker 1>all right, So what about for experience investors? People have

0:29:38.120 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 1>been doing in a while. They think they're savvy, they

0:29:39.920 --> 0:29:42.160
<v Speaker 1>have a good strategy, they know what they're doing, but

0:29:42.240 --> 0:29:45.040
<v Speaker 1>often there are mistakes, even for people that have been

0:29:45.040 --> 0:29:47.480
<v Speaker 1>investing for quite a long time. So what what typical

0:29:47.480 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 1>mistakes do you see a seasoned investor making? So It's

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:54.480
<v Speaker 1>just like we talked about earlier, how how early success

0:29:54.520 --> 0:29:57.680
<v Speaker 1>can be the hubris that that leads to the downfall.

0:29:58.080 --> 0:30:01.480
<v Speaker 1>I think successful investors can get cocky or they can

0:30:01.520 --> 0:30:05.160
<v Speaker 1>fall prey to this need tom complex complexify. That's not

0:30:05.200 --> 0:30:07.840
<v Speaker 1>a word. We're gonna roll it where. Yeah, we're gonna

0:30:07.840 --> 0:30:10.480
<v Speaker 1>we're making it a word today. They're gonna need to,

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:13.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, want to make their investments more complex because

0:30:13.360 --> 0:30:15.720
<v Speaker 1>they get bored, right, Like, I'm just holding these you know,

0:30:15.760 --> 0:30:17.600
<v Speaker 1>all you need is a handful of funds if you

0:30:17.640 --> 0:30:19.840
<v Speaker 1>get the right ones, and like, what what am I

0:30:19.840 --> 0:30:22.040
<v Speaker 1>gonna do? Now? How can I put a sexier spin

0:30:22.080 --> 0:30:24.400
<v Speaker 1>on this? And so I think the risk with with

0:30:24.440 --> 0:30:28.000
<v Speaker 1>savvy investors are long term investors is either that they

0:30:28.040 --> 0:30:30.920
<v Speaker 1>get bored with sort of the plane vanilla stuff that

0:30:30.960 --> 0:30:34.160
<v Speaker 1>they're holding and want to go into more esoteric paths,

0:30:34.960 --> 0:30:37.800
<v Speaker 1>or they get cocky. And one of the things that is,

0:30:37.880 --> 0:30:39.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, I talk about sort of these four major

0:30:39.880 --> 0:30:42.200
<v Speaker 1>behavioral errors in the book, and one of the big

0:30:42.240 --> 0:30:45.280
<v Speaker 1>ones is ego. And you have to really, really in

0:30:45.280 --> 0:30:49.680
<v Speaker 1>investing cultivate this beginner's mind, and you have to understand

0:30:50.040 --> 0:30:54.680
<v Speaker 1>that the same uh risk infallibility and foibles that befall

0:30:54.840 --> 0:30:57.760
<v Speaker 1>everyone else. You're just as susceptible to those things is

0:30:57.800 --> 0:31:00.240
<v Speaker 1>the next person. And so thinking that you have it

0:31:00.320 --> 0:31:04.680
<v Speaker 1>figured out is a real risk. And ironically, if you're

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:06.640
<v Speaker 1>listening to this and you're thinking, well, it's not me,

0:31:06.720 --> 0:31:12.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm humble, I'm cool, you're wrong. Like more this

0:31:12.440 --> 0:31:15.360
<v Speaker 1>it's cool. If you feel implicated in this statement, you're

0:31:15.400 --> 0:31:18.160
<v Speaker 1>probably okay. And if you don't feel implicated, you're in trouble.

0:31:18.280 --> 0:31:20.560
<v Speaker 1>But it's say, you know, investing is full of paradoxes.

0:31:20.840 --> 0:31:23.080
<v Speaker 1>All right, so this is super fascinating stuff. I'm really

0:31:23.120 --> 0:31:26.320
<v Speaker 1>excited to get into kind of some specific questions that

0:31:26.480 --> 0:31:29.560
<v Speaker 1>will I think hone in on how our listeners can

0:31:29.600 --> 0:31:32.680
<v Speaker 1>apply some of these actual behavioral things that happen inside

0:31:32.680 --> 0:31:35.480
<v Speaker 1>of us to specific actions they can take when it

0:31:35.480 --> 0:31:37.200
<v Speaker 1>comes to investing. So we'll get to that with Daniel

0:31:37.240 --> 0:31:48.240
<v Speaker 1>Crosby right after the break. All right, we are back

0:31:48.240 --> 0:31:50.560
<v Speaker 1>from the break. Let's talk now what our listeners need

0:31:50.600 --> 0:31:53.080
<v Speaker 1>to do next. Daniel, we want to specifically talk about

0:31:53.200 --> 0:31:56.680
<v Speaker 1>passive investing. Joel and I. You know, we, along with

0:31:56.760 --> 0:31:59.760
<v Speaker 1>great minds like Warren Buffett, recommend a very basic approach

0:31:59.800 --> 0:32:02.440
<v Speaker 1>to an besting for most folks, in particular folks that

0:32:02.480 --> 0:32:06.640
<v Speaker 1>are just getting started, widely diversified, low cost index funds. Um,

0:32:06.720 --> 0:32:08.720
<v Speaker 1>what would you add to that? What advice would you

0:32:08.720 --> 0:32:11.760
<v Speaker 1>give to folks? So I would say that, you know,

0:32:12.400 --> 0:32:16.360
<v Speaker 1>the active passive debate is one that rages quite ferociously

0:32:16.360 --> 0:32:18.720
<v Speaker 1>in my world. Uh, there are a couple of things

0:32:18.800 --> 0:32:21.680
<v Speaker 1>I think more than how active or how passive a

0:32:21.760 --> 0:32:24.040
<v Speaker 1>vehicle is that I think you need to keep in mind. Okay,

0:32:24.080 --> 0:32:27.800
<v Speaker 1>So one is rules based. So part of why passive

0:32:27.920 --> 0:32:30.840
<v Speaker 1>has one over long periods of time is just that

0:32:30.880 --> 0:32:34.560
<v Speaker 1>it's systematic. And you find even among the best active managers,

0:32:34.600 --> 0:32:37.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, folks like Jim Simons at Renaissance Technology, who

0:32:37.480 --> 0:32:42.240
<v Speaker 1>has had you know, absolutely eye popping technologies and returns. Rather,

0:32:42.360 --> 0:32:44.280
<v Speaker 1>none of us have enough money for him to take

0:32:44.280 --> 0:32:47.760
<v Speaker 1>our phone call, but you know, he he is. He says,

0:32:47.840 --> 0:32:50.120
<v Speaker 1>we have a model and we follow it slavishly. So

0:32:50.240 --> 0:32:54.520
<v Speaker 1>one is you don't want human discretion involved. You want

0:32:55.040 --> 0:32:58.680
<v Speaker 1>an automated, rules based system, or at least a a

0:32:58.880 --> 0:33:01.560
<v Speaker 1>system with a lot of rules and maybe a touch

0:33:01.600 --> 0:33:04.440
<v Speaker 1>of human discretion. Research I did in my book The

0:33:04.480 --> 0:33:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Laws of Wealth found that over two hundred studies were

0:33:07.960 --> 0:33:12.520
<v Speaker 1>done on comparing human discretion to simple rules and algorithms

0:33:12.800 --> 0:33:15.640
<v Speaker 1>and found that nine percent of the time the rules

0:33:16.200 --> 0:33:20.720
<v Speaker 1>beat or match human level discretion PhD level human discretion.

0:33:20.920 --> 0:33:24.800
<v Speaker 1>And that's no work. And you forget it basically, like

0:33:24.840 --> 0:33:27.360
<v Speaker 1>you follow those rules to a t. Yeah, absolutely, so

0:33:27.400 --> 0:33:30.040
<v Speaker 1>you want you want something that's rules based. And even

0:33:30.040 --> 0:33:32.360
<v Speaker 1>when passive vehicles have gotten in trouble, it's because they

0:33:32.360 --> 0:33:35.160
<v Speaker 1>strayed from their rules. Now people don't know this, but

0:33:35.200 --> 0:33:37.640
<v Speaker 1>the SMP five hundred is made up of a committee,

0:33:37.680 --> 0:33:40.200
<v Speaker 1>right that selects who goes in and out, and they

0:33:40.240 --> 0:33:43.160
<v Speaker 1>have these rules about you know, it needs to be profitable,

0:33:43.160 --> 0:33:45.440
<v Speaker 1>it needs to have this many years and they have

0:33:45.600 --> 0:33:49.160
<v Speaker 1>deviated from those rules historically. They did to include A

0:33:49.280 --> 0:33:52.040
<v Speaker 1>O L back in the late nineties, yep, and they

0:33:52.080 --> 0:33:55.040
<v Speaker 1>got crushed, right and they so you hadn't been around

0:33:55.040 --> 0:33:57.800
<v Speaker 1>as long as they be. It wasn't profitable. But people

0:33:57.800 --> 0:34:00.240
<v Speaker 1>were clamoring for it, right because it was the tech

0:34:00.280 --> 0:34:01.680
<v Speaker 1>bubble and it was hot, and they're like, give me

0:34:01.720 --> 0:34:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the A O L. And like they they they buckled, right,

0:34:04.840 --> 0:34:06.600
<v Speaker 1>and they did, but they shouldn't have. And then you know,

0:34:06.680 --> 0:34:10.239
<v Speaker 1>one year later it dropped whatever and they couldn't afford

0:34:10.280 --> 0:34:14.400
<v Speaker 1>to send CDs around all our house. You want that

0:34:14.440 --> 0:34:18.120
<v Speaker 1>annoying dialote noise. Yeah, So you want something that's rules based.

0:34:18.400 --> 0:34:21.440
<v Speaker 1>You want something that's you know, has a reasonable fee.

0:34:21.760 --> 0:34:24.160
<v Speaker 1>You're gonna pay more for small cap, You're gonna pay

0:34:24.200 --> 0:34:27.279
<v Speaker 1>more for international exposure. So don't get so hung up

0:34:27.719 --> 0:34:30.680
<v Speaker 1>on you know, a three basis point fee that you

0:34:30.880 --> 0:34:33.279
<v Speaker 1>that you can't get the exposure that you need. But

0:34:33.400 --> 0:34:36.000
<v Speaker 1>you wanted to be rules based, you wanted to be

0:34:36.280 --> 0:34:39.040
<v Speaker 1>a low fee. Those are the Those are the biggest

0:34:39.040 --> 0:34:41.320
<v Speaker 1>things to me. Yeah, So when you're talking about rules,

0:34:41.360 --> 0:34:43.719
<v Speaker 1>it makes me think of one rule would be to

0:34:43.840 --> 0:34:46.279
<v Speaker 1>automated and dollar cost averaging is one of the ways

0:34:46.280 --> 0:34:47.560
<v Speaker 1>that most of us do that through a four oh

0:34:47.600 --> 0:34:50.000
<v Speaker 1>one K or through just an automatic a c H

0:34:50.080 --> 0:34:52.880
<v Speaker 1>deduction from our one of our checking our savings accounts

0:34:52.880 --> 0:34:55.440
<v Speaker 1>and it goes to hopefully a low cost brokerage account

0:34:55.640 --> 0:34:59.000
<v Speaker 1>company into a ROTHIRA or traditional area or whatever it is.

0:34:59.200 --> 0:35:03.000
<v Speaker 1>So what what other rules besides just keeping it automatic

0:35:03.239 --> 0:35:06.080
<v Speaker 1>and and doing it consistently, what other rules should we

0:35:06.120 --> 0:35:09.279
<v Speaker 1>implement to ensure that we're investing well. So just a

0:35:09.400 --> 0:35:12.120
<v Speaker 1>quick plug for automation there's nothing better that you could

0:35:12.120 --> 0:35:13.960
<v Speaker 1>do than automate. You know. One of the things that

0:35:14.040 --> 0:35:16.080
<v Speaker 1>my research has shown is that our willpower is just

0:35:16.120 --> 0:35:19.080
<v Speaker 1>so much weaker than we think, and so automation is

0:35:19.840 --> 0:35:22.279
<v Speaker 1>the number one thing that I would tell you. The

0:35:22.320 --> 0:35:24.680
<v Speaker 1>second thing I would tell you is sort of counterintuitive,

0:35:24.680 --> 0:35:27.360
<v Speaker 1>and it's too it's to celebrate winds. You know, I

0:35:27.400 --> 0:35:30.520
<v Speaker 1>feel like some people, this journey to financial freedom is

0:35:30.560 --> 0:35:33.200
<v Speaker 1>a long journey, and it takes a ton of money.

0:35:33.400 --> 0:35:35.600
<v Speaker 1>And I start research the other day that says people

0:35:35.600 --> 0:35:38.360
<v Speaker 1>are spending on average two hundred and fifty thousand dollars

0:35:39.120 --> 0:35:42.960
<v Speaker 1>in retirement on medical expenses outside of insurance premiums. I

0:35:43.040 --> 0:35:46.240
<v Speaker 1>we just need tons of money. You just need tons

0:35:46.239 --> 0:35:49.200
<v Speaker 1>of money to retire. So celebrate wins along the way,

0:35:49.239 --> 0:35:52.880
<v Speaker 1>because it really really is a slog And so, you know,

0:35:53.000 --> 0:35:56.040
<v Speaker 1>my family and I were very disciplined, but we recently

0:35:56.120 --> 0:35:58.520
<v Speaker 1>hit a big milestone for us, and we're gonna go

0:35:58.760 --> 0:36:01.160
<v Speaker 1>sploige a little. We're gonna do things we don't usually do,

0:36:01.640 --> 0:36:04.640
<v Speaker 1>and it's gonna hopefully give us that next, you know,

0:36:04.719 --> 0:36:07.439
<v Speaker 1>shot of adrenaline to go the next leg of the race,

0:36:08.080 --> 0:36:10.600
<v Speaker 1>because it's a very, very long race. And I think

0:36:10.640 --> 0:36:12.560
<v Speaker 1>you want to automate, but you want to you want

0:36:12.560 --> 0:36:16.840
<v Speaker 1>to congratulate yourself because saving is hard. Investing is hard.

0:36:17.360 --> 0:36:19.080
<v Speaker 1>One of the big points I make in the book

0:36:19.120 --> 0:36:21.880
<v Speaker 1>is that everything we're asked to do right, to take

0:36:21.880 --> 0:36:25.120
<v Speaker 1>on risk, to take on uncertainty, to take money that

0:36:25.160 --> 0:36:27.160
<v Speaker 1>we could spend today on stuff that would be fun

0:36:27.520 --> 0:36:30.200
<v Speaker 1>and put it aside for old man Daniel, who's not

0:36:30.320 --> 0:36:33.200
<v Speaker 1>very real to me. All of this is psychologically difficult.

0:36:33.400 --> 0:36:35.680
<v Speaker 1>To make sure you give yourself a break along the way.

0:36:35.719 --> 0:36:37.160
<v Speaker 1>I do want to hang out with old man Daniel.

0:36:37.160 --> 0:36:39.600
<v Speaker 1>Old man Daniel is gonna be sweet. Daniel is going

0:36:39.640 --> 0:36:44.440
<v Speaker 1>to be sweet. Cheese cheese every cheese for days, with

0:36:44.520 --> 0:36:47.600
<v Speaker 1>the cheese in a rocky chair. So also, you don't

0:36:47.640 --> 0:36:50.520
<v Speaker 1>have nice things to say about investment managers. They have

0:36:50.640 --> 0:36:54.440
<v Speaker 1>bias as well. Should investor ever pay an advisor is

0:36:54.440 --> 0:36:56.719
<v Speaker 1>a just silly to shell off his fees. Okay, So

0:36:56.880 --> 0:36:59.319
<v Speaker 1>I I work for an investment manager, so I have

0:36:59.360 --> 0:37:02.680
<v Speaker 1>to be careful right now. So I I say in

0:37:02.680 --> 0:37:05.000
<v Speaker 1>my book The Laws of Wealth, you need a financial advisor,

0:37:05.040 --> 0:37:07.840
<v Speaker 1>but not for the reason that you think. Okay, most

0:37:07.920 --> 0:37:11.560
<v Speaker 1>people when they hire a financial professional, they think the

0:37:11.600 --> 0:37:13.960
<v Speaker 1>reason that I'm bringing this person on is because they're

0:37:14.000 --> 0:37:16.880
<v Speaker 1>gonna pick hot stocks for me. They're an investment wizard.

0:37:17.320 --> 0:37:20.359
<v Speaker 1>All of the research shows that, uh, that is not

0:37:20.440 --> 0:37:23.719
<v Speaker 1>the case, right. Uh, financial professionals make the same dumb

0:37:23.760 --> 0:37:27.120
<v Speaker 1>mistakes with their money that we do with our money.

0:37:27.160 --> 0:37:30.160
<v Speaker 1>But the research also shows that people who work with

0:37:30.200 --> 0:37:32.720
<v Speaker 1>a financial professional tend to do two to three percent

0:37:33.160 --> 0:37:36.840
<v Speaker 1>a year better than those who don't, even net of fees.

0:37:37.040 --> 0:37:39.759
<v Speaker 1>And that's because they're a behavioral coach. They keep you

0:37:39.800 --> 0:37:42.320
<v Speaker 1>from doing the stupid thing. They they encourage you to

0:37:42.800 --> 0:37:46.720
<v Speaker 1>do the hard thing. So I think about ten percent

0:37:46.760 --> 0:37:49.920
<v Speaker 1>of the world does not need a financial professional in

0:37:49.960 --> 0:37:52.120
<v Speaker 1>their corner, or does not need a robo advice or

0:37:52.160 --> 0:37:54.359
<v Speaker 1>any sort of advice. They're going to figure the stuff out.

0:37:54.400 --> 0:37:57.440
<v Speaker 1>They're gonna do it by themselves. They've got the discipline.

0:37:57.960 --> 0:38:00.600
<v Speaker 1>Ten Another ten percent of the world, on the other end,

0:38:01.000 --> 0:38:05.719
<v Speaker 1>are just degenerate gamblers. There's not you know, there's not

0:38:05.960 --> 0:38:08.399
<v Speaker 1>enough good advice in the world to to save these folks.

0:38:08.480 --> 0:38:10.920
<v Speaker 1>But for a lot of people in the middle, whether

0:38:11.120 --> 0:38:14.800
<v Speaker 1>it's uh, you know, a full service financial advisor, whether

0:38:14.880 --> 0:38:18.320
<v Speaker 1>it's sort of the on call financial advice that's available

0:38:18.320 --> 0:38:20.880
<v Speaker 1>now through Schwab and Vanguard and other people for as

0:38:20.920 --> 0:38:23.239
<v Speaker 1>little as thirty bucks a month, or whether it's a

0:38:23.320 --> 0:38:26.839
<v Speaker 1>robo advisor. Most of us needs some sort of framework,

0:38:27.239 --> 0:38:30.040
<v Speaker 1>and you can ratchet that up or down depending on

0:38:30.120 --> 0:38:34.160
<v Speaker 1>how disciplined you are. But I would say that almost

0:38:34.280 --> 0:38:37.279
<v Speaker 1>all of us need some sort of hand holding, some

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:39.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of guidance, and that is the number one thing

0:38:39.600 --> 0:38:42.640
<v Speaker 1>that an that an advisor or an advisor light does,

0:38:43.400 --> 0:38:47.839
<v Speaker 1>and its behavioral coaching and not asset selection, because you can,

0:38:47.880 --> 0:38:51.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you can take this weekend, read five books

0:38:51.320 --> 0:38:53.759
<v Speaker 1>and figure out how you should allocate your assets. It's

0:38:53.880 --> 0:38:56.799
<v Speaker 1>quite easy. It's very very easy to get a low

0:38:56.840 --> 0:39:01.040
<v Speaker 1>cost diversified portfolio. It's much harder to day of the course. Right,

0:39:01.080 --> 0:39:02.880
<v Speaker 1>So it's not like you said, it's not the asset

0:39:02.920 --> 0:39:05.040
<v Speaker 1>allocation part of it. It's the behavioral part of it

0:39:05.120 --> 0:39:07.600
<v Speaker 1>that's the tricky part. Um I mean, is that not

0:39:07.680 --> 0:39:09.920
<v Speaker 1>where you feel that a robo advisor could, you know,

0:39:09.960 --> 0:39:11.759
<v Speaker 1>for a low cost kind of keep you on that

0:39:11.800 --> 0:39:14.120
<v Speaker 1>path of making sure that you're you know, you've got

0:39:14.120 --> 0:39:16.560
<v Speaker 1>your pie selected and you're rebalancing and you're you're sticking

0:39:16.560 --> 0:39:18.799
<v Speaker 1>to what you want to invest in would that be

0:39:18.840 --> 0:39:20.799
<v Speaker 1>a way that folks could could save money and not

0:39:20.800 --> 0:39:24.160
<v Speaker 1>pay higher fees potentially. So there's there's really three things

0:39:24.200 --> 0:39:26.520
<v Speaker 1>that I think folks need. They need education, you know,

0:39:26.600 --> 0:39:28.960
<v Speaker 1>to to do the right thing, and a robo advisor

0:39:29.040 --> 0:39:32.000
<v Speaker 1>provides that they need the right environment, which is the

0:39:32.040 --> 0:39:34.799
<v Speaker 1>portfolio in this case. The robo advisor does that as

0:39:34.840 --> 0:39:38.240
<v Speaker 1>well as anyone um. And they need just in time advice.

0:39:38.320 --> 0:39:40.759
<v Speaker 1>They need someone to like slap the bad decision out

0:39:40.760 --> 0:39:43.480
<v Speaker 1>of them at the at the inopportune moment. And so

0:39:43.560 --> 0:39:46.160
<v Speaker 1>that is where I think that robo advisors candidly are

0:39:46.160 --> 0:39:49.440
<v Speaker 1>a little unproven, just because most of them have only

0:39:49.440 --> 0:39:53.520
<v Speaker 1>existed in a relatively sanguine market. Right It's been a

0:39:53.680 --> 0:39:57.200
<v Speaker 1>very good run for as long as the wealth fronts

0:39:57.200 --> 0:39:59.879
<v Speaker 1>and betterments of the world have been around. Now Better

0:40:00.000 --> 0:40:03.560
<v Speaker 1>and in particular is doing really cool stuff with behavioral finance.

0:40:03.680 --> 0:40:06.120
<v Speaker 1>Dan Egan is their head of behavioral finance. Does an

0:40:06.160 --> 0:40:09.720
<v Speaker 1>excellent job and does things like, you know, if someone's

0:40:09.719 --> 0:40:12.759
<v Speaker 1>about to sell, the robo advisor will pop up a

0:40:12.760 --> 0:40:15.800
<v Speaker 1>thing that says, here are your tax consequences if you sell,

0:40:16.040 --> 0:40:18.680
<v Speaker 1>and people go yuck, like you know, I hate paying taxes.

0:40:19.080 --> 0:40:22.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, and so then they're induced, oftentimes to to

0:40:22.600 --> 0:40:25.360
<v Speaker 1>stay the course. So there are subtle nudges that I

0:40:25.400 --> 0:40:28.520
<v Speaker 1>know that robo advisors are are working on. But I

0:40:28.560 --> 0:40:32.080
<v Speaker 1>think for some people still you need Bob down the

0:40:32.120 --> 0:40:34.560
<v Speaker 1>street to call you up, to come to your house

0:40:34.600 --> 0:40:37.520
<v Speaker 1>and say, hey, man, chill out. So I think that

0:40:37.680 --> 0:40:39.800
<v Speaker 1>for some people that will work, for some people that won't.

0:40:40.160 --> 0:40:42.920
<v Speaker 1>And I think that robo advisors are still kind of untested,

0:40:42.920 --> 0:40:45.680
<v Speaker 1>and nobody's more excited to see how they do than

0:40:45.719 --> 0:40:49.960
<v Speaker 1>me when where you know, we have a leg down. Yeah,

0:40:50.000 --> 0:40:51.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I remember during the Great Recession talking to

0:40:51.960 --> 0:40:55.680
<v Speaker 1>co workers, and people were panicked, and a lot of

0:40:55.840 --> 0:40:59.919
<v Speaker 1>folks that I knew just weren't willing to stay the course.

0:41:00.040 --> 0:41:02.520
<v Speaker 1>They just couldn't handle the heat in the kitchen, and

0:41:02.560 --> 0:41:03.759
<v Speaker 1>they said, I have to sell, I have to make

0:41:03.800 --> 0:41:06.640
<v Speaker 1>some changes, I have to put more of my money

0:41:06.680 --> 0:41:10.720
<v Speaker 1>in cash because I just I can't ride this ride anymore.

0:41:11.080 --> 0:41:13.160
<v Speaker 1>And I do think that you're right that the number

0:41:13.200 --> 0:41:16.359
<v Speaker 1>one reason to consider having a financial advisor is if

0:41:16.360 --> 0:41:18.799
<v Speaker 1>you have a personality where you are unable to stay

0:41:18.840 --> 0:41:20.640
<v Speaker 1>the course, where you're unable to obey those rules that

0:41:20.640 --> 0:41:22.880
<v Speaker 1>you've set for yourself, I think in a perfect world

0:41:23.000 --> 0:41:25.360
<v Speaker 1>because Matt recently on the show, we talked about fees

0:41:25.560 --> 0:41:27.880
<v Speaker 1>and the importance of fees right when you include your

0:41:27.880 --> 0:41:31.040
<v Speaker 1>financial advisor, and that oftentimes the fees become excessive and

0:41:31.120 --> 0:41:33.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people just don't have a lot of

0:41:33.840 --> 0:41:35.839
<v Speaker 1>people won't can't even be seen by a financial advisor

0:41:35.880 --> 0:41:38.040
<v Speaker 1>because they don't have enough money, right, And then there

0:41:38.080 --> 0:41:40.319
<v Speaker 1>are a lot of people who balk at the fees

0:41:40.400 --> 0:41:43.840
<v Speaker 1>because that hurts returns over time. But I do completely

0:41:43.880 --> 0:41:45.440
<v Speaker 1>understand your sentiment, and I think it makes a lot

0:41:45.480 --> 0:41:47.560
<v Speaker 1>of sense that a lot a lot of people are

0:41:47.680 --> 0:41:51.480
<v Speaker 1>unwilling to continue abiding by their rules and to continue

0:41:51.480 --> 0:41:54.719
<v Speaker 1>to invest consistently even through the hard times, even though

0:41:54.760 --> 0:41:58.320
<v Speaker 1>that's the most important time to to continue to be invested.

0:41:58.360 --> 0:42:00.319
<v Speaker 1>So I think that makes a lot of sense. If

0:42:00.320 --> 0:42:03.200
<v Speaker 1>you look at the research on the behavior gap, so

0:42:03.280 --> 0:42:06.839
<v Speaker 1>the delta between the returns of the equity markets and

0:42:06.840 --> 0:42:10.760
<v Speaker 1>what the average equity investor gets, it's usually somewhere around

0:42:10.800 --> 0:42:14.759
<v Speaker 1>fort So like over the last thirty years, SMP has

0:42:14.840 --> 0:42:17.920
<v Speaker 1>given you eight and a quarter percent, the average investors

0:42:18.000 --> 0:42:20.560
<v Speaker 1>kept like four and a half percent of that, So

0:42:20.719 --> 0:42:22.560
<v Speaker 1>they're in and out because they're in and out. So

0:42:22.960 --> 0:42:26.399
<v Speaker 1>paying an advisor one percent, which is admittedly a lot,

0:42:26.480 --> 0:42:28.920
<v Speaker 1>Like paying an advisor one percent is a lot if

0:42:28.960 --> 0:42:31.080
<v Speaker 1>you can do it by yourself. But if it saves

0:42:31.080 --> 0:42:33.719
<v Speaker 1>you a four percent delta, then it's well worth it.

0:42:34.080 --> 0:42:36.560
<v Speaker 1>And so it comes down to sort of being candid

0:42:36.600 --> 0:42:41.319
<v Speaker 1>about your level of discipline and willpower. Uh, And that's

0:42:41.320 --> 0:42:43.160
<v Speaker 1>a that's a hard thing to do. It's a hard

0:42:43.200 --> 0:42:45.040
<v Speaker 1>thing to look in the mirror and go, yep, I'm

0:42:45.160 --> 0:42:48.520
<v Speaker 1>the I'm the one the biggest problem. I'm the du

0:42:48.600 --> 0:42:50.680
<v Speaker 1>fist that's gonna sell at the wrong time. And yet

0:42:50.800 --> 0:42:53.080
<v Speaker 1>you know most of us are so yeah. So it's

0:42:53.080 --> 0:42:54.560
<v Speaker 1>almost like we don't need a Bob down the street.

0:42:54.560 --> 0:42:56.239
<v Speaker 1>We need a Terry Crews to like come and like

0:42:56.360 --> 0:42:59.480
<v Speaker 1>totally check us, right, to flex his pet and tell

0:42:59.560 --> 0:43:03.319
<v Speaker 1>us that we better stay the course. So, Daniel, for

0:43:03.400 --> 0:43:05.440
<v Speaker 1>most folks that that don't have a ton of money, right,

0:43:05.600 --> 0:43:08.400
<v Speaker 1>maybe they've got five or ten or twenty thousand even right, Like,

0:43:08.400 --> 0:43:10.040
<v Speaker 1>that's not a ton of money to be seen by

0:43:10.080 --> 0:43:13.799
<v Speaker 1>an individual advisor. Sometimes, what advice would you give to

0:43:13.840 --> 0:43:16.480
<v Speaker 1>someone in that situation who is looking to be a

0:43:16.520 --> 0:43:19.600
<v Speaker 1>better passive investor? How do you set up those rules

0:43:19.600 --> 0:43:22.279
<v Speaker 1>that you mentioned earlier. Yeah. So the first thing, and

0:43:22.320 --> 0:43:24.319
<v Speaker 1>this is again a little non traditional, I would say

0:43:24.320 --> 0:43:27.360
<v Speaker 1>to invest in yourself. You know that you can't bleed

0:43:27.400 --> 0:43:31.000
<v Speaker 1>a stone, so it takes income to be a successful investor.

0:43:31.040 --> 0:43:33.560
<v Speaker 1>And so one of the most powerful things and most

0:43:33.880 --> 0:43:37.960
<v Speaker 1>ignored pieces of financial advice is taken online course. You know,

0:43:38.000 --> 0:43:39.680
<v Speaker 1>go back to school, do what you need to do

0:43:40.160 --> 0:43:42.359
<v Speaker 1>to get your income to a place where you can

0:43:42.400 --> 0:43:45.840
<v Speaker 1>say more. So that's investing in yourself always pays great dividends.

0:43:46.320 --> 0:43:49.320
<v Speaker 1>That The next thing that I would say is again

0:43:49.440 --> 0:43:52.879
<v Speaker 1>just get started, and you can again take a lot

0:43:52.920 --> 0:43:54.880
<v Speaker 1>of risk. I think when you don't have much to

0:43:54.920 --> 0:43:57.520
<v Speaker 1>set aside, just find one or two funds that are

0:43:57.520 --> 0:43:59.720
<v Speaker 1>going to cover the water front of the whole world

0:43:59.800 --> 0:44:03.320
<v Speaker 1>for very, very minimal fees. I get get that going

0:44:03.719 --> 0:44:06.799
<v Speaker 1>and make sure that it's automated, because once it's automated,

0:44:06.840 --> 0:44:09.120
<v Speaker 1>you never know, you miss it, you never see it,

0:44:09.680 --> 0:44:13.240
<v Speaker 1>and and it won't hurt you avoid the pain of saving,

0:44:13.440 --> 0:44:15.759
<v Speaker 1>because all of my research is shown there's a lot

0:44:15.800 --> 0:44:19.359
<v Speaker 1>of psychological pain with you know, taking money and going well,

0:44:19.360 --> 0:44:22.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to save this. Now, you avoid that pain

0:44:22.040 --> 0:44:24.480
<v Speaker 1>of saving when you automate the withdrawal process like you

0:44:24.560 --> 0:44:28.920
<v Speaker 1>talked about before, So invest in yourself automated and celebrate

0:44:28.960 --> 0:44:31.040
<v Speaker 1>those winds along the way. Yeah. I think if you're

0:44:31.080 --> 0:44:33.319
<v Speaker 1>in the wealth building phase of life, like you just said,

0:44:33.320 --> 0:44:35.880
<v Speaker 1>like you don't have tons of money, whether you're twenty

0:44:35.960 --> 0:44:38.480
<v Speaker 1>or whether you're forty five, you can afford to take

0:44:38.560 --> 0:44:40.400
<v Speaker 1>one more risk with your investments. You don't have to

0:44:40.600 --> 0:44:42.799
<v Speaker 1>be in a target retirement fund that's exactly matched to

0:44:42.840 --> 0:44:45.440
<v Speaker 1>your age because you won't have as much risk and

0:44:45.440 --> 0:44:48.080
<v Speaker 1>really what you want, you want exposure at that point

0:44:48.120 --> 0:44:50.200
<v Speaker 1>in time where you're beginning to invest, no matter what

0:44:50.239 --> 0:44:53.000
<v Speaker 1>your age you're at right, Yeah, absolutely, well, Daniel, thanks

0:44:53.000 --> 0:44:55.400
<v Speaker 1>so much for for joining us today. We've really enjoyed

0:44:55.440 --> 0:44:58.240
<v Speaker 1>talking to you about behavioral investing specifically. I mean, there's

0:44:58.280 --> 0:45:00.719
<v Speaker 1>just so much employ other than just knowing the right

0:45:00.760 --> 0:45:03.560
<v Speaker 1>decision to make. There's so much in play kind of

0:45:03.600 --> 0:45:07.040
<v Speaker 1>between our ears, right, Like our own minds are oftentimes

0:45:07.080 --> 0:45:10.200
<v Speaker 1>the uh, the our worst enemy. So we really appreciate

0:45:10.200 --> 0:45:11.880
<v Speaker 1>you sitting down with us. Yeah, it's been it's been

0:45:11.920 --> 0:45:13.759
<v Speaker 1>my pleasure. Thanks for having me, guys. Yeah, thanks for

0:45:13.800 --> 0:45:15.600
<v Speaker 1>coming in. Man, all right, Matt, that was a super

0:45:15.680 --> 0:45:19.359
<v Speaker 1>fun conversation. I mean, like, honestly, I truly enjoyed Daniel's book.

0:45:19.480 --> 0:45:22.000
<v Speaker 1>I think I'm just fascinated by the way our brains

0:45:22.280 --> 0:45:25.560
<v Speaker 1>play trickery on ourselves and and ultimately it ends up

0:45:25.600 --> 0:45:28.319
<v Speaker 1>hurting us as as humans and as investors. Right, it's

0:45:28.320 --> 0:45:31.440
<v Speaker 1>just fascinating, fascinating conversation. Yeah, it's It's definitely true. Man,

0:45:31.719 --> 0:45:34.320
<v Speaker 1>Let's go ahead now move on to our beer. Daniel

0:45:34.400 --> 0:45:37.840
<v Speaker 1>was gracious enough to show up with some Atlanta brewing companies,

0:45:37.920 --> 0:45:41.399
<v Speaker 1>Hop Lanta, which is an I P A and will

0:45:41.440 --> 0:45:43.600
<v Speaker 1>you ever get tired of I P A? Joel n

0:45:43.840 --> 0:45:46.640
<v Speaker 1>Man Never? And this one was was interesting and had

0:45:46.840 --> 0:45:49.239
<v Speaker 1>a nice little citrus zest kind of to it, but

0:45:49.280 --> 0:45:52.160
<v Speaker 1>it also had kind of that classic I P A

0:45:52.200 --> 0:45:54.520
<v Speaker 1>bitter taste as well, so it kind of balanced, in

0:45:54.560 --> 0:45:57.160
<v Speaker 1>my opinion, the new style of I pas and the

0:45:57.160 --> 0:45:58.959
<v Speaker 1>old style, and I think it did it quite nicely.

0:45:59.200 --> 0:46:01.440
<v Speaker 1>And plus it's a hometown beer. We gotta love it. Yeah,

0:46:01.440 --> 0:46:05.160
<v Speaker 1>We're pretty much always gonna be fans of local Atlanta breweries.

0:46:05.239 --> 0:46:08.560
<v Speaker 1>And this one was Atlanta's first original brewery, so they

0:46:08.600 --> 0:46:11.560
<v Speaker 1>actually recently changed their name back to Atlanta Brewing company. Jell.

0:46:11.640 --> 0:46:13.600
<v Speaker 1>You remember when they were a red brick, but they're

0:46:13.640 --> 0:46:15.200
<v Speaker 1>red brick there for a while and then they kind

0:46:15.200 --> 0:46:18.919
<v Speaker 1>of changed back to that moniker Atlanta Brewing Company. Those

0:46:18.920 --> 0:46:21.040
<v Speaker 1>are sad days when they were red brick for multiple reasons.

0:46:21.160 --> 0:46:22.880
<v Speaker 1>The beer wasn't very good either. But they've got a

0:46:22.920 --> 0:46:26.000
<v Speaker 1>new brewer at the Helm at Atlanta Brewing Company, and

0:46:26.160 --> 0:46:28.080
<v Speaker 1>their beers have just gotten a whole lot better. The

0:46:28.120 --> 0:46:30.919
<v Speaker 1>branding is is sweet, and yeah, I thought this beer

0:46:30.960 --> 0:46:32.480
<v Speaker 1>was great. All right, Matt, And it's time to give

0:46:32.480 --> 0:46:36.280
<v Speaker 1>away three copies of Daniel Crosby's new book, The Behavioral Investor.

0:46:36.600 --> 0:46:40.880
<v Speaker 1>And if you nerd out on kind of psychology, physiology

0:46:40.920 --> 0:46:43.200
<v Speaker 1>and just kind of how that affects, you know, how

0:46:43.239 --> 0:46:45.719
<v Speaker 1>we invest, then you will really really like his book.

0:46:46.000 --> 0:46:47.840
<v Speaker 1>And he was kind enough to not only donate the

0:46:47.880 --> 0:46:49.479
<v Speaker 1>beer that we had on the show today, but also

0:46:49.560 --> 0:46:52.120
<v Speaker 1>to have donated three books for our listeners to get.

0:46:52.239 --> 0:46:53.760
<v Speaker 1>And so, Matt, you want to go into the details

0:46:53.840 --> 0:46:56.040
<v Speaker 1>of how folks that are listening can qualify for the

0:46:56.080 --> 0:46:58.880
<v Speaker 1>book give away, Yeah, Jeel, Like we've done in the past,

0:46:58.920 --> 0:47:00.759
<v Speaker 1>what you need to do to end true into the

0:47:00.880 --> 0:47:03.920
<v Speaker 1>book giveaway is head over to Apple Podcasts and just

0:47:04.040 --> 0:47:06.080
<v Speaker 1>leave us a solid review. And if you're not an

0:47:06.120 --> 0:47:08.360
<v Speaker 1>Apple person, if you're an Android person like me, you

0:47:08.360 --> 0:47:10.680
<v Speaker 1>know what, you can also leave a review. It's Stitcher

0:47:10.800 --> 0:47:12.120
<v Speaker 1>and you can do that through your web browser, so

0:47:12.120 --> 0:47:13.279
<v Speaker 1>you don't even have to do it through the app

0:47:13.280 --> 0:47:15.680
<v Speaker 1>on your phone. It's super simple. And once you leave

0:47:15.719 --> 0:47:17.839
<v Speaker 1>that review there for us, please send us a quick

0:47:17.840 --> 0:47:20.960
<v Speaker 1>email at how to Money pod at gmail dot com

0:47:21.040 --> 0:47:23.640
<v Speaker 1>letting us know as well as your screen name that

0:47:23.680 --> 0:47:26.799
<v Speaker 1>you left that review under. We'll have that giveaway going

0:47:26.840 --> 0:47:28.759
<v Speaker 1>all this week and we're going to close that down

0:47:28.920 --> 0:47:31.880
<v Speaker 1>on Friday at five pm. We'll announce that new winner

0:47:32.120 --> 0:47:35.120
<v Speaker 1>on the next Monday's episode. So thanks in advance to

0:47:35.360 --> 0:47:37.439
<v Speaker 1>everyone for doing that. Sweet all right, time to close

0:47:37.480 --> 0:47:39.759
<v Speaker 1>out another good episode. Oh and by the way, we'll

0:47:39.800 --> 0:47:42.600
<v Speaker 1>have show notes up for this episode on our website

0:47:42.600 --> 0:47:45.200
<v Speaker 1>how to money dot com. So, Joel, I think that's

0:47:45.200 --> 0:47:47.440
<v Speaker 1>gonna be it for this episode. Man, Until next time,

0:47:47.640 --> 0:47:49.239
<v Speaker 1>Best Friends Out, Best Friends Out.