WEBVTT - Buck Brief  - Buck Makes BIG 2024 Predictions

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast, make sure

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<v Speaker 1>you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app or

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<v Speaker 1>wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, welcome to the Buck Brief.

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<v Speaker 1>We're doing a twenty twenty four look ahead show with

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<v Speaker 1>a big predictions putting on my no Stredamus hat. If

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<v Speaker 1>you will making the calls way in advance for what's

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<v Speaker 1>going to happen next year. Hopefully this will be very

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<v Speaker 1>entertaining and informative for just the short while that we're

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<v Speaker 1>chatting about it. And if I'm wrong about everything, I'll

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<v Speaker 1>just delete this, so you know what I mean. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>just pretend like could never happen, just like every other

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<v Speaker 1>pundit would do, right. But no, seriously, there's some interesting

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<v Speaker 1>things I want to talk about, national security predictions, economy predictions,

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<v Speaker 1>political predictions, and I'm going to do them in that order.

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<v Speaker 1>Start with national security. My belief is that in this

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<v Speaker 1>coming year you will see it. Now, this isn't a

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<v Speaker 1>out there prediction. I think this may be a bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a concer census one at this point. But let's

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<v Speaker 1>look at Russia Ukraine. It's going to continue. Very little

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<v Speaker 1>will change, very little will change, especially given that there's

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<v Speaker 1>a US election going on, they're not going to want

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<v Speaker 1>to rock the boat very much, and so you will

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<v Speaker 1>have a stalemate ongoing where not a lot of land

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<v Speaker 1>is going to change from Ukraine enhands to Russian hands

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<v Speaker 1>and vice versa. It will just just stumble on. I

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<v Speaker 1>suppose this horrible conflict that should have a negotiated end

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<v Speaker 1>as soon as possible. I had said in February of

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty two when the war started that eventually this

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<v Speaker 1>will get to a trillion dollar price tag, and then

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<v Speaker 1>the American people will really pay attention to it. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that you're going to see. I think that you're

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<v Speaker 1>going to see that we'll spend another one hundred billion

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<v Speaker 1>next year and that will bring the total to what

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<v Speaker 1>is a two hundred and three hundred billion, and it

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<v Speaker 1>starts to add up after a while. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>people will also question a little bit more old openly

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<v Speaker 1>than they have, including on among a lot of Republicans,

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<v Speaker 1>what are we achieving here? And what is actually a

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<v Speaker 1>better question is what is achievable? As in what is

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<v Speaker 1>an acceptable outcome? So that's my sense of that I

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<v Speaker 1>will put the border in a national security realm just

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<v Speaker 1>because it does affect our national security very much. I

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<v Speaker 1>think a lot of times people think of it more

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<v Speaker 1>in a domestic policy context. I believe that they will

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<v Speaker 1>start to slowly bring down some of the illegal entry

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<v Speaker 1>numbers and start to slowly bring up some of the

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<v Speaker 1>deportation numbers, just so that the Biden Democrats can claim

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<v Speaker 1>that they care a little bit about the border, I

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<v Speaker 1>mean in the most the most meager way, but that

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<v Speaker 1>they have some interest in a secure border, because otherwise

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<v Speaker 1>it's a major, major weak spot for them, and they

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<v Speaker 1>know that because the American people are not with them

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<v Speaker 1>on the border. We've already got seven million illegals that

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<v Speaker 1>have come into the country in three years. I think

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to see that number increase substantially. Yeah, so,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I know it will increase substantially. Probably you'll

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<v Speaker 1>be at eight million. Here's a prediction for you, eight

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<v Speaker 1>million illegals by next November. That will be the official number,

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<v Speaker 1>eight million illegals by next November. And the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>I can say that with some degree of confidence just

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<v Speaker 1>gives you a sense, I think, of how completely out

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<v Speaker 1>of control all this stuff is. It's just wild. And

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<v Speaker 1>then on Israel and Hamas, I said, again, not an

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<v Speaker 1>exciting you know, national security everyone click on this link.

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<v Speaker 1>Kind of a prediction. But I think that Israel will

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<v Speaker 1>continue into the new year. It's war against Hamas. It'll

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<v Speaker 1>create a demilitarized zone of sorts in northern Gaza, and

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<v Speaker 1>there will not be some massive expansion of the conflict.

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<v Speaker 1>Hesbola might make some more noise up in the north,

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<v Speaker 1>but I don't see Iran getting particularly involved beyond what

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<v Speaker 1>it already does. I don't think they're going to try

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<v Speaker 1>to shut down the straits of Horn Mouz and choke

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<v Speaker 1>off global oil supplies. That stuff all makes for interesting analysis.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't see it happening. And then we get to

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<v Speaker 1>China Taiwan. Here's what I would say about China Taiwan

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty four. I don't think it is likely

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<v Speaker 1>that China will take Taiwan or try to take Taiwan.

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<v Speaker 1>But if I were in charge in China, I would

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<v Speaker 1>think it's a very good time to try. So I

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<v Speaker 1>can't tell you it's a probability, but I can tell

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<v Speaker 1>you that if I were Hijian ping with old man

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<v Speaker 1>Biden doddering around and all the focus on Trump trials,

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<v Speaker 1>and all the rest of it, and the getting bogged

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<v Speaker 1>down Already, the West is bogged down, the Rushi of

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine war, the Middle East feels a little destabilized. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that if I'm xijian Ping, it's a good year

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<v Speaker 1>to go for it. But that's this is what we

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<v Speaker 1>would call black Swan analysis or fat tail analysis. Low probability,

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<v Speaker 1>high impact, but the probability is not. You know, i'd

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<v Speaker 1>give a US I'm sorry, a US invasion with Taiwan,

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<v Speaker 1>a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in the next year. I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's ten percent, which sounds very low until you

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<v Speaker 1>think about what a massive uh earth earth shaking change

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<v Speaker 1>to the international order that could be. So there you go.

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<v Speaker 1>That's the national security predictions that I have for you.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not expecting a lot of big change. I do

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<v Speaker 1>think we're gonna get hit. I mean, I hate even

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<v Speaker 1>saying this out loud, and it's like Christmas time people

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<v Speaker 1>listening to this. I think we're gonna get hit with

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<v Speaker 1>a not a nine to eleven scale terror attack next year,

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<v Speaker 1>but we're gonna get hit, and we're gonna get hit hard.

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<v Speaker 1>Just because I think that the Jihattists are it's just

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<v Speaker 1>they're plotting their scheming and they're going to hit us

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<v Speaker 1>with something and on on a more major scale. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the kind of attack where it's scores of

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<v Speaker 1>people who are who are killed. I hope that that's

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely wrong, and I hope that, you know, I can

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<v Speaker 1>look back on this and think that I was overly

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<v Speaker 1>but when you overly scared, but when you look at

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<v Speaker 1>the wide open border and you look at the rage

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<v Speaker 1>that the g hotties have all across the Middle East

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<v Speaker 1>now because of our support for Israel specifically, they're there,

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<v Speaker 1>it's too quiet. You know, it's a little too quiet

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<v Speaker 1>right now. It's kind of the way I view it.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that they're going to try something next year

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<v Speaker 1>and that could have a major impact on the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty four election, quite honestly. All right, we'll get to

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<v Speaker 1>the realm of economy next. The first up, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the economy, I'm of two minds about this, but I'll

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<v Speaker 1>tell you what my twenty twenty four prediction is. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that, unfortunately, the economy is going to be in

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<v Speaker 1>a recovery, or rather in an upswing. It's not good

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<v Speaker 1>right now. But you're going to see inflation coming down

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit. You're going to see coming down. You're

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<v Speaker 1>going to see prices maybe still high, but stable, not

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<v Speaker 1>increasing rapidly. And it's all because democracy is a snapshot.

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<v Speaker 1>Voting is a snapshot. It's how do people feel at

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<v Speaker 1>that time, in that period. And Democrats will do everything

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<v Speaker 1>they can to manipulate perceptions of the economy with all

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<v Speaker 1>the tools that their disposed on. They'll tell me the

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<v Speaker 1>FED is independent, it's nonsense. They'll do everything they can

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<v Speaker 1>to manipulate every tool or every perception they can within

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<v Speaker 1>the economy to make people think that it's actually getting better.

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<v Speaker 1>So next year, I think that you'll see Biden's economy,

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<v Speaker 1>which I would give a C minus. I think they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to get it into B minus territory. And then

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<v Speaker 1>they'll say, but see it's moving in the right direction.

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<v Speaker 1>See look at wages, look at prices, look at inflation,

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<v Speaker 1>look at the interest rates you're paying for money, homes,

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<v Speaker 1>credit cards, everything else. It's going in the right direction. Therefore,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a more positive feeling about it. And they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to spend money, They're going to give money out to people.

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<v Speaker 1>They're going to do whatever they have to do to

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<v Speaker 1>buy off the votes they need to buy in order

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<v Speaker 1>to get what they need to get. It's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be ruthless, but this is they understand the machinery. They

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<v Speaker 1>understand how to get what they want, and that's what

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<v Speaker 1>they're going to do. So twenty twenty four, you heard

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<v Speaker 1>me say it, the economy will be improving, but it

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<v Speaker 1>will be a facade over the long run. Folks. Our

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<v Speaker 1>debt is a massive problem. It's a massive problem. You're

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<v Speaker 1>going to start seeing more and more how the interest

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<v Speaker 1>we're paying on the debt is crowding out other investment

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<v Speaker 1>and other spending that we have. I don't like using

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<v Speaker 1>it term government investment spending spending your money, but there

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<v Speaker 1>are some things we do want government spending money on,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's going to get crowded out by thirty three

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<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars in counting. I mean, we're going to be

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<v Speaker 1>basically at what thirty five trillion by the time time

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<v Speaker 1>people are going to be voting. The problem with the

0:10:13.817 --> 0:10:16.377
<v Speaker 1>debt crisis is when everyone has to agree that it's

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<v Speaker 1>a crisis, it's too late. When the music stops and

0:10:20.537 --> 0:10:24.617
<v Speaker 1>there are nowhere near enough chairs. Well, we all know

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<v Speaker 1>what happens. People, you know, are out of the game,

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<v Speaker 1>and that is what the debt will be like, although

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<v Speaker 1>it will be like a thermonuclear bomb going off in

0:10:33.177 --> 0:10:36.657
<v Speaker 1>the middle of our economy, so to speak, and at

0:10:36.697 --> 0:10:38.817
<v Speaker 1>that point it's too late. Do we have the political

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<v Speaker 1>will to deal with this before then? No? No, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not going to sit here and pretend. Look at we

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<v Speaker 1>had the Tea Party at tenrillion dollars roughly of debt

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<v Speaker 1>and it didn't change. And that was a real movement,

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<v Speaker 1>a grassroots movement, a whole new class, a whole new

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<v Speaker 1>crop of members of Congress in office. To deal with

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<v Speaker 1>the debt hasn't happened. Everybody wants to I know, it's

0:11:01.337 --> 0:11:03.537
<v Speaker 1>Christmas time. Everybody wants to believe there's a Santa Claus.

0:11:03.657 --> 0:11:06.097
<v Speaker 1>Nobody wants to be the Grinch. And that's why the

0:11:06.097 --> 0:11:08.577
<v Speaker 1>debt just keeps going up and up and up, and

0:11:08.577 --> 0:11:10.057
<v Speaker 1>we all pretend we want to deal with it until

0:11:10.137 --> 0:11:13.097
<v Speaker 1>someone says, hey, you're going to raise the retirement age,

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<v Speaker 1>You're going to raise the age for Social Security, not

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<v Speaker 1>going to vote for you. That's true about Republicans as

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<v Speaker 1>well as Democrats. So I can't pretend we're not going

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<v Speaker 1>to deal with this until it's a crisis. It's just

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<v Speaker 1>a question to when. It's a question of when the

0:11:27.777 --> 0:11:31.217
<v Speaker 1>debt bomb goes off. I know that's sorry, that's not

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<v Speaker 1>exactly a feel good critic. But next year it'll be fine.

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<v Speaker 1>It's I don't think it's going to happen next year,

0:11:36.297 --> 0:11:39.337
<v Speaker 1>and they're gonna make the economy seem better than it is. Look,

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0:12:31.897 --> 0:12:34.257
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0:12:34.297 --> 0:12:36.737
<v Speaker 1>get yourself those towels. You will love the towels because

0:12:36.777 --> 0:12:41.257
<v Speaker 1>they are amazing. And now we'll talk politics for a moment.

0:12:41.657 --> 0:12:45.897
<v Speaker 1>UH political predictions, and these are pretty straightforward. Donald Trump

0:12:45.937 --> 0:12:51.777
<v Speaker 1>is going to win the Republican primary. I think that's obvious.

0:12:52.017 --> 0:12:53.257
<v Speaker 1>A lot of you're listening to this. I know that

0:12:53.297 --> 0:12:56.537
<v Speaker 1>just sent I am not in the tank for anybody.

0:12:56.657 --> 0:12:58.937
<v Speaker 1>I'm just trying to look at what is happening here

0:12:59.057 --> 0:13:02.377
<v Speaker 1>and predict and analyze as honestly as I can. Donald

0:13:02.377 --> 0:13:05.697
<v Speaker 1>Trump's going to win the Republican primary. Ron DeSantis is

0:13:05.737 --> 0:13:09.657
<v Speaker 1>a great governor. I have no I have nothing bad

0:13:09.657 --> 0:13:12.377
<v Speaker 1>to say about Governor Santis in his role as a

0:13:12.377 --> 0:13:14.897
<v Speaker 1>governor and as a Republican and as a conservative. I

0:13:14.937 --> 0:13:18.337
<v Speaker 1>think he's done great campaign hasn't been enough to beat Trump.

0:13:19.097 --> 0:13:22.017
<v Speaker 1>That's just where it is, right. I mean, I'm not

0:13:22.057 --> 0:13:24.497
<v Speaker 1>anti DeSantis, as you all know. I think DeSantis is fantastic.

0:13:24.497 --> 0:13:26.377
<v Speaker 1>I think he'd be a great president. I think he

0:13:26.417 --> 0:13:29.537
<v Speaker 1>still might be a great president of the future. And

0:13:29.617 --> 0:13:33.097
<v Speaker 1>I think that we should reward excellent governance by Republicans

0:13:33.177 --> 0:13:36.137
<v Speaker 1>with higher office. Really the only higher office when the

0:13:36.177 --> 0:13:40.497
<v Speaker 1>governor of Florida is you know, the president. So I

0:13:40.577 --> 0:13:44.457
<v Speaker 1>think I think that's where we're all heading. And then

0:13:44.497 --> 0:13:46.257
<v Speaker 1>the big question I'm was gonna ask, Well, as you know,

0:13:46.337 --> 0:13:48.577
<v Speaker 1>I've said it will be Joe Biden, this is my prediction,

0:13:48.617 --> 0:13:50.577
<v Speaker 1>I've stated. But it will be Joe Biden or Kamala Harris,

0:13:50.577 --> 0:13:54.137
<v Speaker 1>the Biden Harris ticket. But there's no third option that's

0:13:54.177 --> 0:13:56.217
<v Speaker 1>going to scoop in and become the Democrat nominee. That

0:13:56.337 --> 0:14:00.297
<v Speaker 1>is not going to happen. And I've been very stalwart

0:14:00.297 --> 0:14:02.417
<v Speaker 1>on this. I've had you know, friends of mine and

0:14:02.457 --> 0:14:04.257
<v Speaker 1>big names in the business and everything else telling me

0:14:04.297 --> 0:14:06.777
<v Speaker 1>that I'm crazy. But I've been right so far. I've

0:14:06.777 --> 0:14:11.617
<v Speaker 1>been right so far. And then so it's going to

0:14:11.657 --> 0:14:14.977
<v Speaker 1>be Biden Biden Harris. And then you ask me who

0:14:15.017 --> 0:14:18.977
<v Speaker 1>wins the twenty twenty four election. I think Donald Trump's

0:14:18.977 --> 0:14:20.937
<v Speaker 1>gonna win the twenty twenty four election. I think he's

0:14:20.937 --> 0:14:22.857
<v Speaker 1>going to be president again. That is where I see

0:14:22.897 --> 0:14:27.337
<v Speaker 1>this going. So consider this the time capsule, consider this

0:14:27.457 --> 0:14:29.377
<v Speaker 1>the and how do we do in the House? And

0:14:29.657 --> 0:14:31.737
<v Speaker 1>I think we take the Senate. I'm actually more worried

0:14:31.737 --> 0:14:35.937
<v Speaker 1>about the House. You're asking me, I'm not just gonna say,

0:14:36.017 --> 0:14:38.377
<v Speaker 1>you know, oh, we're gonna think I think we get

0:14:38.417 --> 0:14:40.697
<v Speaker 1>like a fifty one seat majority in the Senate, and

0:14:40.777 --> 0:14:44.737
<v Speaker 1>I think we lose the House. Yeah, So I don't

0:14:44.737 --> 0:14:47.377
<v Speaker 1>think we have totally unified government. I know, I know,

0:14:47.537 --> 0:14:50.657
<v Speaker 1>but that is my prediction. And it's a year out,

0:14:51.457 --> 0:14:55.457
<v Speaker 1>you know, speaking of governance, and what's happened When President

0:14:55.497 --> 0:14:57.817
<v Speaker 1>Biden botched the After Game withdrawal in twenty twenty one,

0:14:58.297 --> 0:14:59.777
<v Speaker 1>sent a message to the world we were weak and

0:14:59.777 --> 0:15:02.697
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't protect our allies. Then six months later Russia invaded Ukraine.

0:15:02.737 --> 0:15:04.657
<v Speaker 1>But you heard what I was just talking about national

0:15:04.697 --> 0:15:08.697
<v Speaker 1>security challenges. But then what the debt? The debt crisis,

0:15:09.137 --> 0:15:12.537
<v Speaker 1>it's coming. And former Wall Street insider Tika Tawari. We've

0:15:12.537 --> 0:15:14.697
<v Speaker 1>talked about Tika from time to time. He thinks our

0:15:14.737 --> 0:15:17.297
<v Speaker 1>biggest risk and I agree with this. Our biggest systemic

0:15:17.377 --> 0:15:20.657
<v Speaker 1>risk as a country is not war breaking out somewhere.

0:15:21.017 --> 0:15:24.817
<v Speaker 1>It is potentially the collapse of the dollar because of

0:15:24.857 --> 0:15:27.097
<v Speaker 1>this debt crisis. That's why mister Tuari has released an

0:15:27.137 --> 0:15:30.217
<v Speaker 1>informative video to help you prepare. Go to move your

0:15:30.297 --> 0:15:32.657
<v Speaker 1>cash now dot com to learn the three steps you

0:15:32.697 --> 0:15:34.817
<v Speaker 1>need to take to protect and grow your wealth in

0:15:34.857 --> 0:15:37.697
<v Speaker 1>the coming months in year, that's Move your cash now

0:15:37.817 --> 0:15:40.377
<v Speaker 1>dot Com or you could end up calling unaware about

0:15:40.417 --> 0:15:43.777
<v Speaker 1>this whole thing. Move your Cash Now dot Com paid

0:15:43.817 --> 0:15:46.297
<v Speaker 1>for by Palm Beach Research Group. Hey guys, thank you

0:15:46.377 --> 0:15:48.497
<v Speaker 1>so much for listening to Buck brief. If you haven't,

0:15:48.497 --> 0:15:51.577
<v Speaker 1>please subscribe. We've got a YouTube channel YouTube dot com

0:15:51.577 --> 0:15:54.137
<v Speaker 1>slash buck sexon while the Buckbriefs go. We've put video

0:15:54.257 --> 0:15:56.337
<v Speaker 1>up there. You need to get more YouTube subscribers just

0:15:56.377 --> 0:15:58.017
<v Speaker 1>because you know, if I'm gonna put up YouTube, why not.

0:15:58.817 --> 0:16:01.457
<v Speaker 1>And also on Rumble. If you're a Rumble subscriber, you

0:16:01.457 --> 0:16:03.617
<v Speaker 1>can check me out there. It's kind of fun because

0:16:03.617 --> 0:16:04.937
<v Speaker 1>you can see the video. You can see if i'm

0:16:04.977 --> 0:16:06.737
<v Speaker 1>having a bad hair day, or if I need to shave,

0:16:06.777 --> 0:16:09.497
<v Speaker 1>which currently I'm having both bad hair, bad hair day,

0:16:09.537 --> 0:16:11.697
<v Speaker 1>I need to shave. Just kidding. Occasionally I'll show you

0:16:11.737 --> 0:16:13.537
<v Speaker 1>the puppy Ginger, so you'll get to see Ginger on

0:16:13.577 --> 0:16:17.457
<v Speaker 1>this video. I am always honored that any of you

0:16:17.497 --> 0:16:19.177
<v Speaker 1>give me your time, and so many of you give

0:16:19.217 --> 0:16:21.217
<v Speaker 1>me your time, and so thank you so much for that.

0:16:21.577 --> 0:16:23.577
<v Speaker 1>Twenty twenty three was a great year. We're gonna have

0:16:23.617 --> 0:16:27.257
<v Speaker 1>a really informative fun time together in twenty twenty four

0:16:27.257 --> 0:16:30.657
<v Speaker 1>here on the show, and I will talk to you

0:16:30.697 --> 0:16:32.297
<v Speaker 1>in the new year. Shields High