Speaker 1: Check it down, man, and I'm just told the story.
Speaker 2: Now he's done. Swando's idiots will believe in analytics. This
Speaker 2: is a numbers game with Gil Alexander gone.
Speaker 1: Good Monday morning to you.
Speaker 3: It is a numbers game at Visa, the sports betting network,
Speaker 3: Visa dot Com game plus.
Speaker 1: I heard radio YouTube TV. However you take it.
Speaker 3: It is in four days away from Serious XM Channel
Speaker 3: one fifty eight. It's the numbers game, Gil Alexander, Kelly Bidlin,
Speaker 3: producer number nine, so much more than a producer alongside,
Speaker 3: just pounding on his keyboard.
Speaker 1: Just wrapping up some of those producer things. Gil right
Speaker 1: to the buzzer. I told Savannah, let's push him back fifteen.
Speaker 3: Everybody's right, everybody as you were for fifteen.
Speaker 1: Minutes, long shots promos for fifteen minutes.
Speaker 3: Oh that'll be fun.
Speaker 1: I sunk to this weekend, by the way on that.
Speaker 1: But Wes Reynolds one hundred and five to one on
Speaker 1: Nick Taylor getting home.
Speaker 3: Wow, yeah, very nice, very nice. That went nice way
Speaker 3: to start off the golf Calendal.
Speaker 1: Yes, right, that's all I was thinking about a beautiful.
Speaker 3: Thing on the show today, guessing lines and quotes because
Speaker 3: of course, I'll tell you what I guess and what
Speaker 3: the line is. I am aware of what they are
Speaker 3: at this point. And then a little later on Dustin Sweelson.
Speaker 1: Will join us. You know who he is, Kelly.
Speaker 3: He's the co host of Vson Live on Mad Dog
Speaker 3: Sports Radio with Patrick maher right, So Dustin will be
Speaker 3: along give his thoughts on the Division Round and the
Speaker 3: National Football League playoffs. And then Mike Sammich Samo bombing
Speaker 3: co host of Ready Set Bet, he will join us
Speaker 3: to give these same thoughts as well, also perhaps on
Speaker 3: the college football title game as well. Maybe he's got
Speaker 3: some hockey you never know, you never know, bomb, you
Speaker 3: never know what the Samo bomb? What did you do
Speaker 3: this weekend? How about them Red Skins? Oh? Sorry, how
Speaker 3: about them Skins?
Speaker 2: Huh?
Speaker 3: First time in nineteen years. I'm so pumped.
Speaker 1: I was so wired.
Speaker 3: And then I stayed up and watched tennis matches that
Speaker 3: I was betting on you last night. So I'm on
Speaker 3: listen to that.
Speaker 1: Turn that up a little, guys. Some somebody on the
Speaker 1: Sunday night game is so great and you're just jacked up. Afterwards,
Speaker 1: You're like, like, we have to.
Speaker 2: Get up early.
Speaker 1: Yeah, breaking Dowd. I couldn't there are so many those
Speaker 1: nights were like, how am I supposed to go to bed?
Speaker 3: A great way to start the Australian Open hope everybody's
Speaker 3: following that At visa dot Com slash picks for subscribers
Speaker 3: A four and two start with a lot of dogs
Speaker 3: in there. So it's up three units after the first
Speaker 3: night or two of this because they had delayed matches
Speaker 3: the first night. But back to football four second. I
Speaker 3: think we end up with the I think we'll end
Speaker 3: up with the what it ends up being corroborated by
Speaker 3: the power rankings. The eight best teams were the only
Speaker 3: exception being Houston in and the loser of tonight's came out.
Speaker 3: I really do. I think that's what it ends. I
Speaker 3: think our power rankings are the same.
Speaker 1: Exactly where I had Chargers Texans. But I mean if
Speaker 1: I had Chargers ahead of them last week, it was
Speaker 1: the first week because Texans I was higher on most
Speaker 1: of the year.
Speaker 3: Well, let's start with these chronologically for the division round.
Speaker 3: Do we do the guessing lines intro for this? Yeah,
Speaker 3: let's do guessing lines division round style. We got all right.
Speaker 1: Saturday one thirty Pacific time for thirty Eastern double checking
Speaker 1: and have this right, Texans at Chiefs, Texans at Chiefs.
Speaker 3: Can we just go back to last week and what
Speaker 3: I had to say about the Texans and Chargers. I
Speaker 3: think that might be the way to go. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 3: we could probably do that as part of our We sure,
Speaker 3: here's what we said. Nope, okay, guess no, we'll get
Speaker 3: back to all right. Oh, anyway, what I said last
Speaker 3: week was that I just believe that the Chargers for
Speaker 3: and I get I always give Matt Humans a shout
Speaker 3: out here, right because he had the Chargers over for
Speaker 3: the season, and he correctly sort of you know, isolated
Speaker 3: the fact that their record was super easy, the Chargers,
Speaker 3: and they ended up over their season win total. What
Speaker 3: I was saying going into this game last this, you know,
Speaker 3: this past weekend between the Texans and the Chargers, was
Speaker 3: the strength of victory, right, the Chargers strength of victory
Speaker 3: now strength of schedule. Strength of victory the lowest of
Speaker 3: all the fourteen playoff teams. The week is three forty
Speaker 3: eight aggregate win percentage of their opponents that they beat. Yes,
Speaker 3: there were a couple two, there were a couple of
Speaker 3: Denver wins in there. That's what brought it up to
Speaker 3: three forty eight. So I was all over Houston, Houston
Speaker 3: gets it done, and I wondered aloud, you know what
Speaker 3: would how would the Chargers do if they fell behind?
Speaker 3: And we have our answer. This game started out it
Speaker 3: was three to nothing Chargers. Houston first played Stroud to
Speaker 3: metch He stripped by Gilman, recovered by James, and the
Speaker 3: Chargers were set up at the Houston thirty three and
Speaker 3: it looked like, okay, this could be a Chargers runout.
Speaker 3: But after a sack by both will Anderson and Murray
Speaker 3: Edwards they got a half sack each and a drop
Speaker 3: by Disley, they had to settle for another Dickerfield goal.
Speaker 3: Six to nothing Chargers was six thirty five left in
Speaker 3: the first quarter. That was a poortent of things to come,
Speaker 3: by the way Houston three and out. Right after that,
Speaker 3: Stroud was nearly picked. Then there was a fair catch
Speaker 3: interference by Chris Chris Boyd. Chargers get it back. They
Speaker 3: had a J. K. Scott punch that was blocked by
Speaker 3: D'Angelo Ross, but even that took a massive Chargers bounce.
Speaker 3: So like everything was going the Chargers way. But yet
Speaker 3: you looked up at the scoreboard, it was still six
Speaker 3: to nothing.
Speaker 1: That's it.
Speaker 3: Next time Houston got the ball, not that, not this time,
Speaker 3: but the next time after this, So two more drives
Speaker 3: Houston third and seven at their own fifteen. This is
Speaker 3: where the Stroud did, by the way, terrible pass picked
Speaker 3: by Dean Leonard. Chargers then set up at the Houston
Speaker 3: forty first play Herbert picked downfield by Kamari Lassiter. So
Speaker 3: that pick didn't turn into anything either, because Herbert immediately
Speaker 3: returned the favor. Next time Chargers had the ball, they
Speaker 3: punted it to the Houston won. This is where the
Speaker 3: game changed six to nothing.
Speaker 2: Chargers.
Speaker 3: After all this Houston has done nothing. Third and sixteen,
Speaker 3: owns seventeen. You know what happens here, Snap gets by Stroud,
Speaker 3: He's fleshed out to the right. He throws it up
Speaker 3: over the middle Xavier Hutchinson wide open for a thirty
Speaker 3: four yard gain. Two plays later to Collins for thirty seven.
Speaker 3: Three plays later to Collins from thirteen out seven to six.
Speaker 3: Houston with under a minute left in the first half,
Speaker 3: on a ten play, ninety nine yard five minutes seventeen
Speaker 3: second drive that was made possible by that third and
Speaker 3: sixteen conversion where Stroud collected the ball after it was
Speaker 3: loose and managed to find Hutchinson over the middle. So
Speaker 3: ten to six by the way at the half, as
Speaker 3: the Chargers couldn't do anything with it. At the end
Speaker 3: of the end of the second quarter. Then second time,
Speaker 3: or excuse me, the first time that the Texans get
Speaker 3: the ball in the second half, Stroud to Collins for
Speaker 3: forty one. Next play, Mixing stripped. So still the Chargers
Speaker 3: only down ten to six at this point. They've got
Speaker 3: all these opportunities right. Mixing was stripped by Tony Jefferson
Speaker 3: on a play that looked like a designed half back option.
Speaker 3: He recovers it. That's the first mix and fumble in
Speaker 3: one thousand, eighty two touches. Then the Chargers fourth and
Speaker 3: two at the Houston thirty four incomplete to Quenton Johnston,
Speaker 3: whose route wasn't even to the sticks. Then Houston first
Speaker 3: and fifteen at the Chargers twenty four, Stroud seemingly picked
Speaker 3: by James of the end zone Nixon unnecessary a roughness
Speaker 3: on the return turn later determined James didn't even survive
Speaker 3: the ground, but the penalty was enforced that's a weird
Speaker 3: little NFL rule.
Speaker 1: Cork first, way too quick, on that way.
Speaker 3: Too quick, and then you get the result. Oh, by
Speaker 3: the way, while we were gone, this is what happens.
Speaker 1: When you see the replay. We never saw it from
Speaker 1: that angle. When you see the replay, you're like, oh, okay, yeah, sure.
Speaker 1: Chargers still then had a you know, after a hole
Speaker 1: to gain. It was second and forty for the Texans
Speaker 1: that the Chargers forty nine. They settled for a Fairbard figel.
Speaker 1: It's still thirteen to six Houston, four to forty eight
Speaker 1: left in the third quarter. I mean, this is a
Speaker 1: strange football game. At this point, Chargers first play on
Speaker 1: their non they're ensuing drive, but the one after that
Speaker 1: first intend.
Speaker 3: They're own twenty four. Herbert overthrows McConkey, picked by Eric Murray,
Speaker 3: thirty eight yards of the house, twenty to six Houston,
Speaker 3: and the route from this point was on. Herbert at
Speaker 3: this point in the game had three picks, excuse me,
Speaker 3: three picks for the season five hundred and four regular
Speaker 3: season passing attempts at this point in the game, two
Speaker 3: out of twenty four attempts two picks, twenty four attempts
Speaker 3: first intend the Houston thirty nine. Then Herbert picked again
Speaker 3: off a deflect by Stingley that wasn't his fault that one.
Speaker 3: Stingley returns at fifty four yards. Then Houston set up
Speaker 3: at the Chargers twelve. They settle for a fair baron
Speaker 3: field goal twenty three to six. Chargers next time they
Speaker 3: got the ball. Now it's by the way, three picks
Speaker 3: in twenty seven attempts versus three and five oh four
Speaker 3: in the regular season, sacked by Anderson on first, sacked
Speaker 3: by Edwards on second, then third, and twenty six at
Speaker 3: their own fourteen.
Speaker 1: Eighty six to mcconkeie.
Speaker 3: Have no idea what Kayln Bullock was doing on his
Speaker 3: angle there, So one broken tackle and he's gone twenty
Speaker 3: three to twelve.
Speaker 1: But the Chargers could not have.
Speaker 3: A moment of good feelings because then the extra point
Speaker 3: was blocked and Cameron Dicker act. Cameron Dicker acted like
Speaker 3: it was a pass and batted it down. Dangelo Ross
Speaker 3: returned that to the house off the bounds for two.
Speaker 3: So instead of a seven point sequence for the Chargers
Speaker 3: only plus four twenty five to twelve, and then Houston
Speaker 3: fourth in inches at the Chargers thirty eighth Stroud for two,
Speaker 3: and then later fourth and one at the seventeen, mixing
Speaker 3: into the end zone thirty two to twelve. Texans blow
Speaker 3: out the Chargers. And yet I had said, Kansas City
Speaker 3: minus ten over Houston.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're you're a little high, Houston, get a little
Speaker 1: love here.
Speaker 3: We are at eight eight, anywhere between seven and a
Speaker 3: half and eight and a half in the market, right,
Speaker 3: Mildly surprised by that. Mildly surprised, I am, I am too.
Speaker 1: Get to my bets later that I've made. But teaser
Speaker 1: leg of the year question mark. I let me put
Speaker 1: it this way.
Speaker 3: I bet you we see more teasers tied into the
Speaker 3: Chiefs this week that we've seen in a long time.
Speaker 3: When Baltimore got down, when Baltimore against Pittsburgh, when that
Speaker 3: line sort of crashed, not crashed, but went down a
Speaker 3: little bit before game.
Speaker 1: Time, crazy line movement.
Speaker 3: I immediately went into Baltimore Buffalo Rams teaser mode like
Speaker 3: teas away, as you should have because because there wasn't
Speaker 3: available all week. But anyway, back to this game for
Speaker 3: a second, I just I just thought this is such
Speaker 3: a great lesson because we'll talk about the Steelers too,
Speaker 3: but the Chargers really benefited from their schedule. They ended
Speaker 3: up beating nobody.
Speaker 1: Right.
Speaker 3: The Broncos win was wins. We're the ones that actually
Speaker 3: lifted their strength of victory. That doesn't mean it was
Speaker 3: a bad season. I just think people got really mesmerized
Speaker 3: by the the Horrball narrative. It's easy, it's easy to
Speaker 3: toggle to, oh my god, Jim Harball, Look he's doing
Speaker 3: it again. And I think with the Steelers, by the way,
Speaker 3: which we'll get to, we lost the bets on the
Speaker 3: Steelers win total under but was it the right side
Speaker 3: in the end? Do you feel like do you feel
Speaker 3: like we weren't that wrong in the end?
Speaker 2: Oh?
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, totally right. Okay, this is gonna be hard
Speaker 1: to say without taking anything away from what the Chargers,
Speaker 1: Broncos and Steelers all accomplished during the regular season. These
Speaker 1: were the least surprising smackdowns ever this weekend.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree.
Speaker 1: CJ.
Speaker 3: Stroud, by the way, becomes the sixth quarterback to win
Speaker 3: a playoff game his first two seasons. Big Ben, Flacco, Sanchez, Wilson,
Speaker 3: and Purdy the other five Sanchiz got in there, and
Speaker 3: then I guess we have to have the Herbert conversation
Speaker 3: before we move on, because again we'll get to the
Speaker 3: Chiefs and the Texans.
Speaker 1: Let's do it, Gil, but let's do it.
Speaker 3: You know, look at the beginning of the year, my
Speaker 3: comment was, we ranked the quarterbacks and I had justin
Speaker 3: Herbert as like the seventh or eighth best quarterback in
Speaker 3: the NFL, and I said, he's one year away from
Speaker 3: taking incoming, which is I get it. You're good enough
Speaker 3: to take your team to these clutch situations at the
Speaker 3: end of the game, but by and large you end
Speaker 3: up sucking at the end of games on final drives.
Speaker 3: It happens time and time again. This was a year
Speaker 3: where that was kind of extinguished a little bit because
Speaker 3: he's great on the one hand, but I'm just saying
Speaker 3: the people who make him out to the people who
Speaker 3: canonize him, I just think they need to ratchet it
Speaker 3: back a little.
Speaker 1: He's never winning an AFC championship. He's never winning, and
Speaker 1: he's a good quarterback. He's a top ten quarterback in
Speaker 1: the league. The AFC is too tough, and he is
Speaker 1: still overrated from where he's at in this league.
Speaker 3: Four picks in this one game, three for the entire season.
Speaker 3: We'll come back. Guessing lines continues. Numbers game based the
Speaker 3: Sports Betting Network.
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Speaker 3: the way, I don't know if I lingered long enough
Speaker 3: on that spread guess, but I had a Kansas City
Speaker 3: by ten. You said it's Kansas City by how much?
Speaker 1: Eight?
Speaker 3: And a half.
Speaker 1: You sent Texan's taking money early man seven and a
Speaker 1: half to eight and a half. I am surprised.
Speaker 3: I mean, give a Texans credit. The defense look great, yeah, defense, right,
Speaker 3: but I don't I don't think they'll they can come
Speaker 3: into Kansas City and have a real shot at winning.
Speaker 3: And I think Kansas I think there's a scenario where
Speaker 3: Kansas City blows them out.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think there is the look that
Speaker 1: team getting getting rested. We've seen how good Kansas City's
Speaker 1: defense has been all year. I don't know what to
Speaker 1: say about the Kansas City offense right now. Gil I
Speaker 1: think it's it's definitely going to be as good as
Speaker 1: we've seen it all season. But there is a chance
Speaker 1: that they take some major leaps forward here in the playoffs.
Speaker 1: It wouldn't surprise me at all with the pieces that
Speaker 1: they've added before the season, during the season, and all
Speaker 1: of these guys are getting healthy right right at the
Speaker 1: right time.
Speaker 3: And what do you know, Houston gets the early window
Speaker 3: on Saturday. Still, I know it's incredible every time their birthright.
Speaker 3: I think I know what's next next up Saturday night,
Speaker 3: Commanders at Lions, Oh Washington on short rest against the
Speaker 3: buy enjoyed Detroit Lions, so even even with the bye,
Speaker 3: they'll get extra advantage here the Lions. Well, let me
Speaker 3: just say this too before we even get into it,
Speaker 3: nineteen years since Washington has won a playoff game.
Speaker 1: George W. Bush was president. Yah, nineteen years.
Speaker 3: I think I was your age, Kelly when this happened.
Speaker 3: That game is so long ago that Sean Taylor spat
Speaker 3: on Michael Pittman Senor that's how old that game is.
Speaker 1: Oh man, So.
Speaker 3: It's been that long. Gibbs two point Oh. By the way,
Speaker 3: Washington gets it done against Tampa Bay? What did I
Speaker 3: say all year too? Because people are obviously, when when
Speaker 3: Washington gets beat by Detroit next week.
Speaker 1: People are gonna be like, oh, you suck. Like what
Speaker 1: I say all year? All year?
Speaker 3: I said, this is a playoff team. At the very most,
Speaker 3: they can win one playoff game. It's all gravy from here.
Speaker 3: We'll get to that momentarily. Last night, case you missed it,
Speaker 3: what a ball game. Let me just start from the beginning,
Speaker 3: because there's gonna be some things lost in this game.
Speaker 1: Because I'm hearing a lot.
Speaker 3: Of oh, Tampa Bay, Washington's lucky? Are they let's get
Speaker 3: into it. Tampa Bay hits a fifty yard field goal
Speaker 3: to start things, but Washington goes off side, so instead
Speaker 3: of fourth and seven, McLaughlin makes the fifty yarder. It
Speaker 3: would have been fourth and two and Todd Bowles and
Speaker 3: the Buccaneers decline the penalty. They say, we'll keep the
Speaker 3: field goal. Yeah, that's the first mistake, right there, Boys
Speaker 3: and girls. Three to nothing, Tampa Bay eleven thirty five
Speaker 3: left the first quarter. So if you're a Washington backer
Speaker 3: or a Washington fan, you're like cooh Washington third and six,
Speaker 3: Jaden to the incomparable Terry McLaurin for thirty five.
Speaker 1: What a catch.
Speaker 3: Eventually fourth and two at the Tampa Bay twenty incomplete
Speaker 3: at the feet of Eckler. Next time, Washington gets the
Speaker 3: ball to Ertz for nine on third down, then a
Speaker 3: McLaurin for eighteen. Eventually fourth and one at the Tampa
Speaker 3: Bay twenty three. This time Eckler barely gets the one
Speaker 3: as part of a seventeen play ninety two yard nine
Speaker 3: midd and eight second drive for the DC's Skins. Jaden
Speaker 3: to Diami from ten out seven to three, Washington nine
Speaker 3: to twenty six left in the second quarter. You can't
Speaker 3: get the kid off the field. What do we say
Speaker 3: earlier in the season when they were beating Cincinnati. If
Speaker 3: you don't punt and you don't throw interceptions or fumble,
Speaker 3: you're kind of tough to beat. Seven to three Washington,
Speaker 3: by the way, ten to three after Gonzalez makes a
Speaker 3: fifty two yarder. Ten to three, Washington, one fifty two
Speaker 3: left in the second quarter. Now, Washington, at this point,
Speaker 3: you have to understand, this was at the point in
Speaker 3: the game where you're like, okay, Washington gets the ball
Speaker 3: first in the second half, up a touchdown right here.
Speaker 3: If you stop Tampa Bay. It's kind of like a
Speaker 3: pseudo double dip situation, Washington. There's a scenario here Washington
Speaker 3: kind of blows them out. Doesn't happen, though, because Baker
Speaker 3: Mayfield does one of his great third down runs where
Speaker 3: he's just knocking into people and uh he gets a
Speaker 3: first down on a big third down conversion. The Bucks
Speaker 3: have two timeouts in pocket. By the way, did you
Speaker 3: notice this? Bulls lets thirteen seconds run off the clock
Speaker 3: before you're using one, So Tampa Bay could have gone
Speaker 3: differently for them, but they end up with the Washington
Speaker 3: twelve was seventeen seconds left. They do get a PI
Speaker 3: on Latimore in the end zone, by the way, after
Speaker 3: Evans just spiked him to the ground. They're like, oh,
Speaker 3: that's on you, Latimore. We caught the second one. Mayfield
Speaker 3: to Evans from one out. It's ten to ten at
Speaker 3: the half, and if you're Washington, you're like, oh, that's
Speaker 3: kind of deflating, but at least you know we get
Speaker 3: the ball first here in the second half. So Washington
Speaker 3: gets the first and goal with the three to begin
Speaker 3: the third quarter. Again, it's like, all right, good, gonna
Speaker 3: go up a touchdown, but nope, have to settle for
Speaker 3: Gonzales twenty two yard field Well thirteen to ten, Washington
Speaker 3: ten thirty eleven. Third quarter, and this is where it
Speaker 3: starts to go Tampa Bay's way, because you're like, okay,
Speaker 3: Washington left points on the board there. They gave up
Speaker 3: that third down play to Mayfield. This could have been
Speaker 3: a lot different at this point. Instead, Tampa Bay goes
Speaker 3: ten plays seventy two yards, five poin fifty nine, Mayfield
Speaker 3: to Irving from four out, and Tampa Bay takes the
Speaker 3: lead seventeen thirteen with four thirty one left in the
Speaker 3: third quarter. By the way, Miketeririco is way too excited
Speaker 3: at this point. I was a little upset with him.
Speaker 3: Washington then fourth and five at the Tampa Bay, thirty
Speaker 3: seven to Ertz for fourteen. Two plays later, Pi in
Speaker 3: the end zone on Zion McCollum, Washington first and gold,
Speaker 3: the one can't get it in four plays After that
Speaker 3: fourth and golf of three incomplete intended for Ertz as LaMonte,
Speaker 3: David just hugs him. Nothing called.
Speaker 1: That was incredible. I mean, for all the people who
Speaker 1: are like, oh, yeah, Washington got lucky.
Speaker 3: How many points did Washington leave on the board?
Speaker 1: Are you kidding me?
Speaker 3: All right, so it's still seventeen to thirteen now after that,
Speaker 3: But the biggest play of the game, or is it
Speaker 3: turns out to be, is the biggest play of the
Speaker 3: game happens after that. By the way, after the Levante
Speaker 3: David hugged ball girl. What's that?
Speaker 1: That's what I was thinking of.
Speaker 3: After Levonte David hugged Ertz in the enzone. By the way,
Speaker 3: they came back from commercial and Terry McCauley sheepishly after
Speaker 3: the break, He's like, oh yeah, that was a foul.
Speaker 1: Guys, that was funny.
Speaker 3: Like.
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay first and tend their own fifteen.
Speaker 3: You know what happens. Mayfield fumbles the exchange to McMillan
Speaker 3: on a jet sweep fumble scoop recovery by Bobby Wagner,
Speaker 3: by the way, needs that needs to be focused on too.
Speaker 3: What a great recovery that was.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah it was.
Speaker 3: Because Baker Mayfield has fumbled the ball thirteen times this year.
Speaker 3: This is only a second one he lost and Wagner
Speaker 3: just warped speed scooped it away from him.
Speaker 1: That was awesome. That's a wild stat He fumbled that
Speaker 1: many times and only that many of they would fumble
Speaker 1: luck anyone. That's incredible. They did a good job. On
Speaker 1: the broadcast, they will say that play, that play, you're
Speaker 1: running it with a rookie wide receiver, that the timing
Speaker 1: on that play has to be so perfect, and in
Speaker 1: a situation like that, it's a questionable club.
Speaker 3: That was right after the play where Evans extended for
Speaker 3: the first down and you're like, oh wow, Tampa Bay's
Speaker 3: got this under control.
Speaker 1: Instead it's Washington ball.
Speaker 3: The thirteen four plays it took though, because another fourth down,
Speaker 3: fourth and two at the Tampa Bay five to the
Speaker 3: incomparable Terry McLaurin touchdown twenty to seventeen Washington the nine
Speaker 3: to forty six left. Then Tampa Bay is set up
Speaker 3: second and one at the Washington twelve. This game was bananas.
Speaker 3: Second and one at the Washington twelve. It's third and one.
Speaker 3: They can't convert because of a misstime snap. The center
Speaker 3: snaps before the rest of the line was ready to go. Mcgloughlin.
Speaker 3: It was all messed up. McLoughlin. They have to settle
Speaker 3: for the McLoughlin thirty two yard field goal. Were you
Speaker 3: okay with them kicking the field goal there? I think
Speaker 3: you had to, Yeah, Tye, you probably had twenty twenty
Speaker 3: with four forty one left. Not everybody thinks that. And
Speaker 3: then it's Jaden Daniels ball ty tie game with four
Speaker 3: forty one left, and I will speak on behalf of
Speaker 3: every Washington fan this year. You just know it's gonna work.
Speaker 3: You don't even doubt it anymore. The kid is unbelievable
Speaker 3: or the greatest fourth down team ever Kilt. It's incredible.
Speaker 3: Third and six at their own thirty four a dime
Speaker 3: to Diami for twenty one two plays later to Eckler
Speaker 3: for eighteen, just by Yah Yah Diabi's ear. Finally, third
Speaker 3: and two at the Tampa Bay nineteen with fifty five
Speaker 3: seconds left Tampa Bay, which is one time I left
Speaker 3: Jaden as he's done all year of Voids pursuit. He
Speaker 3: glides for four and then we were treated to thirty
Speaker 3: seconds of Zane Gonzalez fixing his hair, and I swear
Speaker 3: I'm looking at the screen, I'm like, what in the
Speaker 3: world is this because it wasn't just one stroke back,
Speaker 3: it was like seventeen of them. And apparently then later
Speaker 3: we found out he was doing like some tick thing
Speaker 3: with his shoe.
Speaker 1: Also, it was very much I know Buddhist Man tweeted us,
Speaker 1: but I was thinking about Sark the whole time. I
Speaker 1: was like, the only thing that's missing here is the
Speaker 1: coach at the pep talk, Like, what is going on?
Speaker 1: What is he doing? Anyway? You know what happens he
Speaker 1: gets up there, doike good?
Speaker 3: Skins win first playoff victory in nineteen seasons twenty three
Speaker 3: twenty DC.
Speaker 1: Skins Detroit by seven and a half. You're a little
Speaker 1: light on this one, Detroit right now eight and a
Speaker 1: half or nine? Yeah, that's about right. And again, I'll
Speaker 1: just say it.
Speaker 3: You know, if Detroit beats Washington forty to nothing, no
Speaker 3: one cares. This was just as just a you have
Speaker 3: to understand, we thought we had a life sentence with
Speaker 3: the world's worst human being as an owner, and for
Speaker 3: a for a quarter of a century, we were hostage
Speaker 3: the thing we loved, hostage, held hostage by this guy.
Speaker 3: And all of a sudden he finally couldn't get away
Speaker 3: with all his crimes. He finally remembered that thing where
Speaker 3: he tried to skim money off the other owners. That
Speaker 3: was his final straw a new owner. Then they draft
Speaker 3: the right kid out of college, Jayden Daniels. I don't
Speaker 3: care if they lose forty to nothing. What I think
Speaker 3: will happen. And this is a Malcolm Gladwell blink thing.
Speaker 3: I think they actually put up a good fight. And
Speaker 3: this lands right around the number.
Speaker 1: I'm just looking at a couple of these openers.
Speaker 3: I can't so Westgate opened this ten and a half
Speaker 3: DraftKings opened at seven and a half.
Speaker 1: Disrespectful, wildly like three points.
Speaker 3: Who was the ten and a half? Weskyh Well, never mind,
Speaker 3: I leave that without comment. Coming back for guessing lines
Speaker 3: right here in a numbers game at Visa the sports
Speaker 3: Betting network.
Speaker 2: Numbers game on Visa these.
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Speaker 3: good just to click away Skill Alexander we Get tweets
Speaker 3: at Beating the Book. Always appreciate the feedback. It is tough.
Speaker 3: That's why, That's.
Speaker 1: Why I pass on every time. I'm like, what is
Speaker 1: it again?
Speaker 3: Lance shape Oh, Lance Schaeffer, Bless your heart, Lance Schaeffer.
Speaker 3: When when when the Skins had their first fourth down
Speaker 3: conversion go awry? He's a He's a Bears fan. He
Speaker 3: loves kalab Williams. He hates that we play that Caleb
Speaker 3: Williams Merril Hodge thing, and he blames me. And now
Speaker 3: he's saying, I blame you. No, it's a crew back.
Speaker 3: They play it whatever they want to see.
Speaker 1: He is not special.
Speaker 2: There's nothing special about him.
Speaker 3: Sorry, Lance, got nothing to do so anyway, Lance is
Speaker 3: now he's backtracking and he said, he said, congrats on
Speaker 3: your team winning a playoff game. I can't remember the feeling. Lance.
Speaker 1: We're all good.
Speaker 3: It's okay. Brian Morian, will there be a closing monologue
Speaker 3: to pour one out for Kelly's girl with the tats.
Speaker 3: That's tats with an a withdrawing from the Australian Open. Yea,
Speaker 3: Marquetta Vondrosova couldn't.
Speaker 1: Go wd w D Well, maybe she was due for
Speaker 1: some new ink.
Speaker 3: Maybe slap Australian Open. I gotta get some more tats,
Speaker 3: big Kohona, congratulations all the commanders. Childhood loves being a
Speaker 3: special kind of joy.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 3: Let me just say this. I'm a I'm a grown man.
Speaker 3: I'm a middle aged human being.
Speaker 1: He's a man. He's forty.
Speaker 3: All I care about is betting, except the one thing
Speaker 3: that I have maintained fanhood wise from my childhood is
Speaker 3: this here franchise. I don't care about the Wizards or
Speaker 3: the Caps necessarily, even though I was happy they won
Speaker 3: the Stanley Cup, right, I was an Orioles fan. I
Speaker 3: wasn't even a Nationals fan. Yeah, you know all the
Speaker 3: tennis stuff. I know, you guys think I love Fiatex
Speaker 3: so much, but no, it's all Betsy. This, this is
Speaker 3: I can't explain to you. It's like Rufus when we
Speaker 3: have rufous on he still has an.
Speaker 1: Oriel Yeah, it's it's my dad.
Speaker 3: Going to mind with the games with my Dad's a
Speaker 3: whole thing.
Speaker 1: We never have this conversation because I respect it, because
Speaker 1: the betting can get you so jaded on how you
Speaker 1: feel about teams, and you know, even from your childhood.
Speaker 1: And it's not like I don't really you never really
Speaker 1: hear me talk about favorite teams on.
Speaker 3: This is the this is the only thing we all
Speaker 3: had a when we're kids.
Speaker 1: But like that's a look. I moved around a lot.
Speaker 1: That was a special place and a special team for you,
Speaker 1: for you and your childhood. And so it's when we
Speaker 1: talk betting and so much betting, A lot of that
Speaker 1: stuff gets lost in the shuffle. So congratulations, man. I
Speaker 1: have bet on the game, so it was just a
Speaker 1: great game to watch, and the roof for you, it's fun.
Speaker 3: I might weep at any moment. Stat Logic Sports was
Speaker 3: hoping you would have only guests on the show today
Speaker 3: who said the Commando Skins had no chance. I guess
Speaker 3: there's not enough time for that.
Speaker 1: That's right.
Speaker 3: Stat Logic Sports Las Vegas five to one, four yo.
Speaker 3: Was that the best doink in Washington football history? Some
Speaker 3: say this team is lucky. I say more pure talent determination,
Speaker 3: wreck that song.
Speaker 1: Let's go.
Speaker 3: That's right, you play it all day? NC I ninety
Speaker 3: five gambling whether we win or lose the bet? How
Speaker 3: about that Lamar Jackson for MVP ticket kill. I telled
Speaker 3: your bet and it looks like a great bet. Where
Speaker 3: do I collect my CLV?
Speaker 2: Oh?
Speaker 3: I think you're gonna get more than CLV, my friend,
Speaker 3: that's my hope, that's my hope.
Speaker 1: Let's see. We're not still hanging odds on that, are we? No?
Speaker 3: We shouldn't be.
Speaker 1: Shouldn't because all the votes.
Speaker 3: Were all the votes are in rich PSM as a
Speaker 3: two time survivor loser from Washington. Their offense is extremely challenging.
Speaker 3: They accept just making ten yards over four plays all game.
Speaker 3: I'm not sure what that's it. With Daniel skills, that's
Speaker 3: very hard to stop. Detroit with their defensive injuries, is beatable,
Speaker 3: says Rich Psm.
Speaker 1: We were talking during that break. During the break, the total.
Speaker 3: For that game, Yeah, fifty five and a half. Fifty
Speaker 3: six right now, defense now expected? Defense, defense not expected
Speaker 3: nor welcomed by the way Jason Ice called gambler, Come
Speaker 3: on forty to nothing, Lions. We all know you'll care.
Speaker 3: Gil Let's not lie.
Speaker 1: I'll care.
Speaker 3: Also, let's go Washington shock the world, he says Gibby Gilby.
Speaker 3: Washington football team should change their name to the pig
Speaker 3: Skins obvious football reference and a shout out to the
Speaker 3: Hogs from the Glory Ears. They gotta change it, no
Speaker 3: matter what. I gotta tell you that.
Speaker 1: Can we talk about something real quickly with the first
Speaker 1: two games we just talked about.
Speaker 3: Yes, because we're about to enter the blowout portion of
Speaker 3: the show.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I uh okay, I bet this already. I kind
Speaker 1: of want to say Chiefs Lions. I think there's a
Speaker 1: chance it is the most bet teaser in a long
Speaker 1: time in the NFL playoffs?
Speaker 3: Does this called them my name? Kelly Bidlin's Square Bear bet.
Speaker 1: Kelly and the Square Bears are all over this one.
Speaker 1: It is the only bet I've made so far for
Speaker 1: this week. The number of people that you are going
Speaker 1: to hear talking about this six point teaser absolutely need
Speaker 1: to be mind blowing this week. Yep, and I agree
Speaker 1: with it. I do agree with it. I absolutely agree
Speaker 1: with it.
Speaker 3: Though they do well to do it, to do it
Speaker 3: as easily as the first two teasers such legs did
Speaker 3: this week.
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know about you, and we don't
Speaker 1: went all off and talk. I had a fantastic betting week.
Speaker 3: I did, but I did two from football and the
Speaker 3: Australian Open to start, because you know, that's the thing
Speaker 3: about betting right. It is in many ways if you're
Speaker 3: not betting right. And he's the fan watching these games.
Speaker 3: Besides that game last night, oh yeah, it was like
Speaker 3: there was a moment during the Philly Green Bay game
Speaker 3: where I found myself I'm like, oh, I betta keep
Speaker 3: my eyes open.
Speaker 1: It's bad. I've turned into that guy. I don't know
Speaker 1: if I would have said this, I'm winning money. The
Speaker 1: whole time, So I don't care. I don't know if
Speaker 1: I would have said this five or six years ago.
Speaker 1: Give me all the blowouts you want, as long as
Speaker 1: they're going my way, because I had money involved in
Speaker 1: every single one of those, and it went my way.
Speaker 1: Tack on the biggest NBA bet of the season for
Speaker 1: me getting home Friday night Pacers covering against the Warriors.
Speaker 1: That was great. The only thing that how did I push?
Speaker 1: How did I push on the Chargers Texans? Under Luckily
Speaker 1: I had at forty four. I know people had forty
Speaker 1: two and a half are really bad about that one,
Speaker 1: but geez, that one should have gotten them too. Well.
Speaker 3: How about this next game? Let's go to uh, let's
Speaker 3: go to Sunday morning.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Sunday. All the times are a little wonky this week.
Speaker 1: I actually love these times for us. I think they're perfect.
Speaker 1: But you know, if you're used to normal NFLO.
Speaker 3: East Coasters who had who had to wait till like
Speaker 3: four pm for football on Saturday, ah brutal.
Speaker 1: Okay, So Sunday noon, Pacific three Eastern, we've got whoever
Speaker 1: is going to play the Eagles?
Speaker 3: Whoever's gonna play the Eagles? The Eagles get there with
Speaker 3: their win over the Packers. And again this is you know,
Speaker 3: poll question of the day, Which of these, in your
Speaker 3: opinion was the biggest blowout? Truly? Candidate number one? Philly
Speaker 3: over at Green Bay this game started that the biggest
Speaker 3: play of this game was the very first thing that happened.
Speaker 3: Keayshawn Nixon on the opening kickoff turn is stuck by
Speaker 3: Oron Brooks oron Burke's pardon me of the Eagles, he fumbles.
Speaker 3: The officials rule that Jeremiah Trotter Junior recovers the overhead
Speaker 3: replay clearly shows it's recovered by Nixon. No overturn play stands.
Speaker 1: Yep, game's over.
Speaker 3: I immediately sent text, I'm like, it's over.
Speaker 1: It didn't even happen.
Speaker 3: What are they doing?
Speaker 1: Well? The one thing that's really impressive about this why
Speaker 1: do we have replay? Yeah? I mean, I mean this
Speaker 1: Philly team, you just can't. You can't let them get ahead.
Speaker 3: Philly set up at the Green Bay twenty eight three plays.
Speaker 3: Hurts with the all all the time in the world.
Speaker 3: He could have had a nap out there himself to
Speaker 3: Dotson for eleven seven and nothing. Philly less than two
Speaker 3: minutes into the game. Then it's ten to nothing green Bay.
Speaker 3: First play, Love picked by a deep by Darius Slay.
Speaker 3: Next time, green Bay gets them all fourth in inches
Speaker 3: at the Philadelphia nineteen, Kraft gets won, they still have
Speaker 3: to settle for a McManus field goal try thirty eight yards.
Speaker 1: He goes wide right. It's still ten to nothing.
Speaker 3: Green Bay was messing, you know, with suffering all game
Speaker 3: for the fact that their left guard Elston Jenkins went
Speaker 3: down with a stinger earlier in the game, so Travis
Speaker 3: Glover is their first replacement. He's called for holding twice
Speaker 3: in a span of three snaps on this drive, a
Speaker 3: second and tent of the Philly forty eight. On the
Speaker 3: same drive, Love hit Zach Baum between the numbers for
Speaker 3: a pick. It ends up being ten to nothing at
Speaker 3: the half, in a half where Philly held the totally
Speaker 3: yards advantage over green Bay. You ready for this one?
Speaker 3: Twenty five to one oh one, ten to nothing Eagles.
Speaker 1: Do you ever remember an offensive line injury like that
Speaker 1: seemingly impacting a game as much as this one did?
Speaker 3: Well, you know, it's a great question, because the next
Speaker 3: time Green Bay had the ball, the first time they
Speaker 3: had it in the third quarter. Now they've taken Glover
Speaker 3: out and they put Kadeem Telford in for Elchin Jenkins.
Speaker 3: He holds uh. They overcome it, but they still have
Speaker 3: to settle for Mcmanusfield will tend to three Philly more
Speaker 3: than halfway through the third. But then Philly, as they
Speaker 3: are wont to do, they answer five play sixty eight
Speaker 3: yards hurts to Goddard from ten twenty four out. He
Speaker 3: stiff arms Carrington Valentine not once, not twice, but three
Speaker 3: times on the way. In sixteen to three, Elliot misses
Speaker 3: an extra point sick. Then green Bay dobs out on
Speaker 3: a previous drive with a concussion. Then Jayden Reid is
Speaker 3: knocked out on a hit to his arm by Blank
Speaker 3: and Ship, But Josh Jacobs is still a gameer thirty
Speaker 3: one yard to the one yard line. Then he punches
Speaker 3: it in sixteen to ten Philly early fourth quarter, and
Speaker 3: then nineteen to ten green Bay fourth and three at
Speaker 3: their own forty one, the pack showing zero urgency down
Speaker 3: two scores. Did you notice that as well? Like what
Speaker 3: are you doing? Oh my god? You love to Heath
Speaker 3: who's like, you know, on the down on the wide
Speaker 3: out depth chart because they have no players now his
Speaker 3: foot was out of bound, so Philly took over. They
Speaker 3: got it to twenty two to ten, and then Josh Myers,
Speaker 3: the Packers' offensive lineman, goes down to injury. Sean Ryan
Speaker 3: holds his replacement at center. The pack overcomes that, but
Speaker 3: Love is picked in the Enzo by Quinyan Mitchell when
Speaker 3: the receiver gets just absolutely mulled. Say and by the
Speaker 3: way the game finishes, it wasn't over yet because Saquon
Speaker 3: then had a breakout. He couldn't run for a seventy
Speaker 3: six yard touchdown. Instead, after seventeen he slides to the
Speaker 3: ground because that is what Saquon does. Twenty two to
Speaker 3: ten Eagles, the Packers minus four in turnovers and minus
Speaker 3: a million in terms of players knocked out of the game.
Speaker 1: Just to be that guy real quick. I hate this guy,
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna be this guy for a second. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Only thing that.
Speaker 3: Missed on it nineteen nineteen to one, same game, parlays
Speaker 3: Saquon any time, take one, anytime touchdown.
Speaker 1: That's all I missed on that. I don't have a
Speaker 1: problem with.
Speaker 3: I don't have a problem with him not scoring, but
Speaker 3: you know, take the yard, Saquon.
Speaker 1: I actually that he for sure would have scored.
Speaker 3: Now I think it would have slid right before he
Speaker 3: got in. If even if he did that, I think
Speaker 3: it was I'll have my guess when I think about
Speaker 3: this line, hypothetical opponent, next.
Speaker 2: Numbers game, sports bettwork.
Speaker 3: In case you have not heard, this is the big
Speaker 3: news around here. We're back on Serious XM starting this Friday,
Speaker 3: four days from now twenty four to seven sports betting
Speaker 3: coverage on Serious XM Channel one fifty eight.
Speaker 1: Vson all day, all.
Speaker 3: Night on the Serious XM app as well, giving you
Speaker 3: all the insights, analysis and picks you need to stay
Speaker 3: ahead of the game. And we're excited to launch an
Speaker 3: exclusive news show just for Serious XM listeners. They've already
Speaker 3: been on a week Vson Live on Mad Dog Sports Radio,
Speaker 3: hosted by Patrick Maher and Dustin Sweedelson. Has it been
Speaker 3: one week or two weeks they've already been on. I
Speaker 3: can't even keep tracking one week. Catch it every weeknight
Speaker 3: from seven to ten pm Eastern Serious XM Channel eighty two.
Speaker 3: Dustin will be on the show a little later market calendars,
Speaker 3: though for the whole network. This Friday, Visa debuts on
Speaker 3: Serious XM Channel one fifty eight Vson the Sports Betting Network.
Speaker 3: We get tweets at beating the book. I was appreciate
Speaker 3: Jason H. Eleven, Gilly, I'm having trouble wrapping my little
Speaker 3: brain around the time change for the Australian Open. What
Speaker 3: time of day will you be putting up your picks? Also,
Speaker 3: congrats on the Skins win. Thank you for that. So open.
Speaker 3: Because of the time zones, it is a little uh.
Speaker 3: It was a little funky. And then they had rain
Speaker 3: outs the first night, so we ended up having eight matches.
Speaker 1: I believe it was No. Four and yeah eight, No
Speaker 1: seven of the.
Speaker 3: Of the picks, so there was a uh basically was
Speaker 3: two nights of picks on one night. All was all
Speaker 3: graded last night. They all were They all took place
Speaker 3: last night because the first they were washouts, so big night.
Speaker 3: So essentially, to answer your question, it's right after this show,
Speaker 3: I will go and I will handicap. Though there is
Speaker 3: one match because of how the schedule ended up getting
Speaker 3: all jacked up, there is one match that I put
Speaker 3: into play for that hasn't taken place yet. I am
Speaker 3: on uh. SiO used to be Osrio Serrano. Now it's
Speaker 3: a Sorio Camilla Sorio plus one sixty four I believe
Speaker 3: was the number against Maria Zachary that is out there already.
Speaker 3: But as far as Tonight's matches the new schedule, I
Speaker 3: will handicap it after the show, so those will be
Speaker 3: the Visa dot Com slash picks page for Survivor, for
Speaker 3: US survivors, for subscribers, also for Survivors. Just sometime midday today,
Speaker 3: James Sott, I totally get that favorite team thing. Glad
Speaker 3: your commodore's won. I can't bet against my home teams
Speaker 3: yet unless the Brown Star dtr then that's easy money.
Speaker 3: I can't walk away from that. Oh. I used to
Speaker 3: bet again, bet against them all the time when they stunk.
Speaker 3: Brian Schaeffer, Gilly, you're right with your EGA bets. It's
Speaker 3: not fandom. I'm an Eagles fan. They don't pay my bills.
Speaker 3: Not a Commander's fan, but I was last night when
Speaker 3: I had the money line and Daniels to rush for
Speaker 3: thirty yards cash that ticket. Let's go, Mike Rouse. Have
Speaker 3: Zane Gonzalez and Zanders Showffley ever been seen in the
Speaker 3: same room.
Speaker 1: That's got a sign by side. It's hilarious.
Speaker 3: That's a good one, Joe c seven to one to four.
Speaker 3: I actually really like that pig Skins name. Do you
Speaker 3: think the NFL would even allow it? Since it still
Speaker 3: says still, since it's still letting the fans say Skins.
Speaker 3: Either way, that name is perfect. And then Lance Schaffer
Speaker 3: of the Bears fan said, I deserve that all in
Speaker 3: good fun. No man, We're good, no problem. And then
Speaker 3: we wille Colin says the big guy, what a trio
Speaker 3: a history? So Dustin looking forward to Dozten's appearance on
Speaker 3: the show. Okay, so let's just backdrive for a second.
Speaker 3: So Philly hosting the winner of tonight's Minnesota Rams game.
Speaker 3: And by the way, I am on the Rams. I
Speaker 3: had it at a shop that didn't void it. So
Speaker 3: I had all this CLV on the Rams plus three
Speaker 3: not anymore. It is what it is, Minnesota by by
Speaker 3: two and a half tonight in Glendale, Arizona. So there's
Speaker 3: no line for this because we don't know the Eagles opponent,
Speaker 3: but I will I believe that no matter who wins tonight, right,
Speaker 3: Vikings or Rams, I think the Eagles end up being
Speaker 3: less than a three point favorite at home. I think
Speaker 3: it ends up being obviously, we don't know. Maybe it
Speaker 3: could be a blowout tonight and then then would be
Speaker 3: somewhat different, right, But I think generally speaking, I would
Speaker 3: imagine the Eagles end up being like a one and
Speaker 3: a half or two and a half point favorite. Do
Speaker 3: you what'd you make of the Eagles side of that performance? Well,
Speaker 3: so here's that's a great question, because I think the
Speaker 3: narrative that we're getting from people or like, the common
Speaker 3: takeaway is, well, Jalen Hurts, he wasn't you know, he
Speaker 3: had been in concussion protocol, he didn't practice like he
Speaker 3: had been, and so it was, you know, somewhat expected.
Speaker 3: I love how people retroactively right, somewhat expected that he
Speaker 3: wouldn't be all that sharp. By the way, Hurts his
Speaker 3: final stats thirteen for twenty one for one thirty one.
Speaker 3: Segwan still did his thing twenty five for one nineteen,
Speaker 3: and it could have been more if he hadn't slid.
Speaker 3: So that's that's what I'm hearing from everybody anecdotally, Like
Speaker 3: if I'm just like punching in the radio and stuff,
Speaker 3: I think they're and maybe that's right, it could be right.
Speaker 3: I think there's a bit of that. It could be
Speaker 3: very right. I do think it is a bit too
Speaker 3: casual though me too, Me too, because you brought it
Speaker 3: up on the recap. The biggest play of that game
Speaker 3: was right at the beginning, very first play of that game.
Speaker 3: Because this Eagles team, when they get up on you,
Speaker 3: this is where the Saquon Barkley is made the massive
Speaker 3: difference this year, right, it is We're just gonna run
Speaker 3: the ball, take the time off clock all game. We
Speaker 3: don't care if we got the lead. We will just
Speaker 3: we will take the air out of the ball. So
Speaker 3: from Matt's side, it.
Speaker 1: Was it was still impressive that they were as dominant
Speaker 1: as they were despite maybe the score being a little misleading.
Speaker 1: But okay, you had injuries that started to rack up
Speaker 1: on the defense just when the defense has gotten so good.
Speaker 1: And then yeah, I I mean, look, the passing game
Speaker 1: was not as sharp as we've seen it. There is
Speaker 1: no doubt about that. So I don't know, I've got
Speaker 1: some questions. I've got some questions.
Speaker 3: I said before at the beginning of this show, I said,
Speaker 3: I think we'll have the best eight teams according to
Speaker 3: my power rankings, with the only exception being Houston in
Speaker 3: and the loser of to Night's came out. I think
Speaker 3: next week it's very possible we'll have the four best
Speaker 3: teams in the only exception being the loser of the
Speaker 3: Baltimore Buffalo game out and Philly in. Because I'm not
Speaker 3: Philly in my top four, I have them fifth. So
Speaker 3: I think that's where they are. I think the power
Speaker 3: rankings are pretty pretty clear to me, and it's kind
Speaker 3: of manifesting. It's like, again for all the Washington love,
Speaker 3: it's like, no, they've always been exactly what they've been,
Speaker 3: like the eighth best team in football, right, So I think,
Speaker 3: I don't know. I think if you're an Eagles fan,
Speaker 3: you're like, hey, we survive, we go on. And now
Speaker 3: he does get I think that's what you hang your
Speaker 3: hat on. Hurtz does get another week to sort of
Speaker 3: get prepared.
Speaker 1: The AJ Brown book thing was weird.
Speaker 3: The AJ Brown book thing was fascinating.
Speaker 1: Is that a regular thing?
Speaker 3: Like, is the first time they've ever caught on a camera?
Speaker 3: I think I think Kelly's talking about AJ Brown caught reading.
Speaker 3: He was about as bored as I was watching the game.
Speaker 3: But I will say this, I think we speak you
Speaker 3: and I speak for a bunch.
Speaker 1: Of Savannah go into a two shot and they just
Speaker 1: feel like, yeah, yeah, yeah, whatever, what what's that NBA
Speaker 1: line tonight? Cool? Yes?
Speaker 3: Right, oh camera, yeah right, It's basically what it was.
Speaker 3: But I think he represented what we were talking about before.
Speaker 3: Is in addition to my having Houston, I think you
Speaker 3: and I I did what everybody in America did, which
Speaker 3: is I ended up betting the three big favorites, right, Buffalo,
Speaker 3: Philly and who am I forgetting in Baltimore?
Speaker 1: Yeah, first half, full.
Speaker 3: Game for all three of those games, and then it goes.
Speaker 3: It ends up going five and one, and it's the
Speaker 3: most brain dead thing in the world.
Speaker 1: But that's that's how the cookie's the separation we saw
Speaker 1: in those teams versus the other, and where the lines moved.
Speaker 1: I I guess gotta circle back to it, the line movement.
Speaker 1: I don't think I've ever seen anything like this in
Speaker 1: my life when it's come to the NBA. This season
Speaker 1: of lines where they open, where they close, and the
Speaker 1: movement in between. NFL's felt a little bit like that
Speaker 1: this year as well.
Speaker 3: And this weekend it was there was so much steam
Speaker 3: right before the start of these games, and a lot
Speaker 3: of the time the wrong way. Remember when you, me
Speaker 3: and Matt Brown did primetime action, So this is when
Speaker 3: did we do it twenty twenty one, right after the pandemic. Yes,
Speaker 3: we did primetime Action twenty well, twenty twenty, twenty twenty
Speaker 3: and twenty twenty ball season, right, Yeah, for two years
Speaker 3: that was the first legalization was just happening. I remember
Speaker 3: we're still adding states at that point. And remember we
Speaker 3: would get on Primetime Action and the betting the grid
Speaker 3: like the Don Best screen would light up like a
Speaker 3: Christmas tree every night, and it was that was like
Speaker 3: the new we forget now, right, we get normalized in
Speaker 3: these things. Before that, it didn't happen that way. But
Speaker 3: now that all these states were coming online. And remember
Speaker 3: I used to say out loud, but it's almost as if
Speaker 3: millions more people are right, it's obvious.
Speaker 1: And so there's so much.
Speaker 3: It's so much, there's so much more money in it,
Speaker 3: so it doesn't now And what was the other thing
Speaker 3: we noticed? We noticed that like news would come out
Speaker 3: on Monday or Tuesday and then like the average fan
Speaker 3: would just react on Friday like oh I didn't know
Speaker 3: so and so was out of the game, and all
Speaker 3: this money would pour in and Matt Brown would that
Speaker 3: would be like, why are people just reacting now, but
Speaker 3: but before game time or these playoff games? Are you
Speaker 3: kidding me?
Speaker 1: Matt's like, that would be like the guy literally said
Speaker 1: after the game is foot hurt? And then we'll really
Speaker 1: get it. We're freaking out when he gets rolled out
Speaker 1: on Thursday with a foot injury.
Speaker 3: He's the driving crazy anyway, I do think. And again,
Speaker 3: I'm on the Rams. You're on the Rams tonight? Who
Speaker 3: are you go?
Speaker 1: I have the Rams in a teaser leg with same
Speaker 1: I did the same thing when that Ravens line dropped,
Speaker 1: I tied in.
Speaker 3: I think it was great. Yeah, Ravens, Ravens are bills.
Speaker 3: I think it was Ravens. Dunmatter got home with the Rams.
Speaker 1: So I guess, yeah, I guess I'm not done with
Speaker 1: the week yet.
Speaker 3: I have the Rams. So I have the RAMS money line.
Speaker 3: I have the Rams plus three and that I that
Speaker 3: I stuck with from a book that did not stuck with.
Speaker 3: But that's you know, my CLV isn't there anymore? And
Speaker 3: then I have the RAMS is plus eight and a
Speaker 3: half as the third leg of a three leg teasers.
Speaker 1: I mean, I'll bring it up again. I think the
Speaker 1: entire country will be on the Chiefs Lions teaser this week.
Speaker 1: I definitely like the chief side of that better than
Speaker 1: the Lions, though, I think you do too based off
Speaker 1: your guessing lines numbers. So I think you got you
Speaker 1: got a perfect candidate to pair with the Rams tonight
Speaker 1: if you wanted to do that.
Speaker 3: Well, we'll get to the there's we're going to break here,
Speaker 3: but we'll get to the biggest. The biggest game. The
Speaker 3: marquee matchup of the divisional round is the final one chronologically,
Speaker 3: which will be Baltimore Buffalo, which is the game of
Speaker 3: the weekend, at least on paper. The number three seeded
Speaker 3: Ravens against the number two seeded Bills, the de facto
Speaker 3: mono almano MVPs Lamar versus Josh Allen and uh, let's
Speaker 3: just say that my guess was off on this one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was. I think I was closer to you
Speaker 1: than where it actually came out.
Speaker 3: I mean, my guess wasn't very precise on either of
Speaker 3: the two before this either, by the way it should
Speaker 3: be pointed out, but this one was I was definitely
Speaker 3: surprised by We'll get to that Baltimore, Buffalo and more
Speaker 3: coming up. Numbers Game Visa the Sports Betty Network.
Speaker 2: The Numbers told the story they always Donswando's idiots who
Speaker 2: believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander.
Speaker 3: Our number two of a numbers game at Visa the
Speaker 3: Sports Betty Network, Visa dot Com, Game plus, iHeartRadio YouTube TV.
Speaker 1: Ever you take it us if we appreciated that's Kelly
Speaker 1: Biller coughing.
Speaker 3: A savage incident? Is it having an event next to me?
Speaker 3: It's kil Alexander, that's Kelly Binlan, producer number nine, so
Speaker 3: much more than a producer.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, did that swing of water and went
Speaker 1: down the wrong pipe.
Speaker 3: By the way, it is that one of the most
Speaker 3: underrated things about the human body, the fact that those
Speaker 3: two pipes I believe that's a medical term, are so
Speaker 3: close to each other, and that somehow our bodies generally speaking,
Speaker 3: know for it to go down the right one, but
Speaker 3: every once in a while, right it just trickles into
Speaker 3: the other one.
Speaker 1: They're so close together. Yes, because they're so close together,
Speaker 1: right as we come back on air, always great time
Speaker 1: for that to have it.
Speaker 3: I know doctors don't call me. I know it's not
Speaker 3: as simple as I'm making it. Oh, You're definitely gonna
Speaker 3: get three. Speaking of which, Speaking of which, can I
Speaker 3: play this from last week?
Speaker 2: Uh?
Speaker 3: This is when we found out that Deshaun Watson had
Speaker 3: himself a quote unquote setback.
Speaker 1: I might have surprised Maan on that one, might have
Speaker 1: surprised a man.
Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, see the Deshaun Watson news. There has nothing
Speaker 3: to do with sports betting. But I just thought this
Speaker 3: was interesting. Deshaun Watson has reportedly suffered what they're calling
Speaker 3: a setback in his Achilles recovery. Oh man, Now, I
Speaker 3: don't know if you guys have heard this from me before,
Speaker 3: if I've mentioned this ever on the show before. But
Speaker 3: I've ruptured not one, but two of these things, haven't
Speaker 3: Does that ever come up on this show before? I'm
Speaker 3: not sure it has. Not sure it is breaking news here.
Speaker 3: So here's the thing I just want to say about this.
Speaker 3: A setback on an achilles recovery to me, can only
Speaker 3: mean one thing.
Speaker 1: What reruptured that he reruptured it.
Speaker 3: That's back in the day, right, and I'm talking about
Speaker 3: the dark ages of the nineteen hundred and nineties when
Speaker 3: I ruptured. My first you were told to do nothing
Speaker 3: for six months because there is a rate of rerupture.
Speaker 3: The thinking in the medical community changed in those two
Speaker 3: decades since three whatever it is, where they're like, nah,
Speaker 3: I'll get out there, go crazy. And then you have
Speaker 3: the kooks like Aaron Rodgers who had everybody believing last year,
Speaker 3: I can come back this year because I got this
Speaker 3: alternative medicine, and you hack doctors that we all know
Speaker 3: on Twitter who are so eager to curry favor with
Speaker 3: Rogers that they were like, yeah, he can come back. No,
Speaker 3: we couldn't have. And so I wonder if Watson got
Speaker 3: a little too aggressive reruptured. If that's the case, he's
Speaker 3: probably going to miss training camp next year at a minimum.
Speaker 1: And what do you know?
Speaker 3: And what do you know or rerupture In fact, it
Speaker 3: is doctor Gil Alexander medicine man.
Speaker 1: That's right. What what else came out over the weekend,
Speaker 1: Like they're trying to figure out whether this was whether
Speaker 1: he did this with the Browns or not, right if
Speaker 1: it was on his own time. I mean, the Browns
Speaker 1: are looking for any way out of this, like they're
Speaker 1: going to do anything anything they can to try to
Speaker 1: get out of that, buddy, all right, what's next? All right?
Speaker 1: Next up Ravens at Bill's.
Speaker 3: Ravens at Bill's marquee matchup. Ravens that I said this
Speaker 3: last segment or the segment before, and I want an
Speaker 3: answer at the end of this which of these games
Speaker 3: was the biggest blowout in your mind? So, Philly A
Speaker 3: Green Bay was your first candidates, This is easy for me.
Speaker 1: Number two.
Speaker 3: Baltimore Pittsburgh Baltimore. First time they touched the ball, thirteen plays,
Speaker 3: ninety five yards, seven thirteen, nine runs, four passes on
Speaker 3: a drive that featured five straight Lamar Jackson runs and
Speaker 3: a Henry thirty four yard run punctuaited by a stiff
Speaker 3: arm to the face of Meka Fitzpatrick, ends in a
Speaker 3: third and thirteen fifteen yard touchdown pass Lamar de Bateman.
Speaker 3: Seven and nothing Baltimore two times, Oh it's Pittsburgh. Then
Speaker 3: fourth in inches at their own thirty four. They decide
Speaker 3: to punt. Did you have a problem with that? Down
Speaker 3: seven and nothing, fourth in inches at their own thirty
Speaker 3: four They punted, Yes, I did two because this is
Speaker 3: again I know it's not the Mike Tomlin concession punt,
Speaker 3: but this wasn't fourth and one, This was fourth and
Speaker 3: like an inch and a half punt. Okay, So Baltimore
Speaker 3: gets the ball back thirteen plays, eighty five yards seven
Speaker 3: fifty six, thirteen runs on thirteen plays, Henry infrom eight
Speaker 3: fourteen to nothing. Next time Baltimore gets the ball, nine plays,
Speaker 3: ninety yards, one fifty one, Lamar to Hill from five
Speaker 3: out after great movement from Lamar to escape the rush,
Speaker 3: twenty one and nothing Baltimore halftime. That half alone answers
Speaker 3: the question to me, I mean, Pittsburgh, this was the
Speaker 3: biggest domination of a half. You could argue, not just
Speaker 3: this weekend, but of the entire NFL season. Maybe, Wow,
Speaker 3: they destroyed them.
Speaker 1: I disagree. You would agree. No, I don't agree, and
Speaker 1: you don't have a different answer your question.
Speaker 3: Those three drives were so punishing in your face.
Speaker 1: I mean they were.
Speaker 3: I was unbelieve. It was the perfect half of football.
Speaker 3: The Ravens out yarded out total yarded the Steelers in
Speaker 3: the first half threeh eight to fifty nine, three to
Speaker 3: oh eight, Kelly twenty twenty seven to nine thirty three,
Speaker 3: in time of possession, nineteen to two in first downs,
Speaker 3: one sixty four to nineteen in rushing yards. I could
Speaker 3: go on anyway. Pittsburgh came to life in the second half.
Speaker 3: First time they got the ball, they went nine plays,
Speaker 3: ninety eight yards, three third down conversions, twenty five to
Speaker 3: Austin to Williams for thirty seven, then to Jefferson for thirty.
Speaker 3: Russell Wilson comes to live twenty one seven. Baltimore comes
Speaker 3: right back four plays, seventy yards out of a second
Speaker 3: and twenty hole when Lamar hit Tyland Wallace for twenty one.
Speaker 3: Two plays later, Henry in from forty four where Patrick
Speaker 3: Queen wanted no part of him. Twenty eight to seven.
Speaker 3: Business decision. And then Pittsburgh got one more touchdown to
Speaker 3: cut of twenty eight to fourteen. But that's all they
Speaker 3: would do. Baltimore ran out the last six h six
Speaker 3: of the game, twenty eight to fourteen. Ravens candidate number three,
Speaker 3: the Bills over the Broncos.
Speaker 1: This is the answer. This is the answer to you.
Speaker 3: All right. Here's how the game started. Nance egging on Romo.
Speaker 3: Here we go, Jim five plays again, five plays, seventy yards,
Speaker 3: took to twenty four nicks to Troy Franklin for forty
Speaker 3: three seven and nothing Broncos. They would never score again.
Speaker 3: Seven to three down Buffalo. Thirteen plays, eighty one yards
Speaker 3: cook in from five. Ten to seven Buffalo. Then after
Speaker 3: a great fake punt was executed by Denver, they couldn't
Speaker 3: do anything with it. Riley Dixon and Mimes Junior. They
Speaker 3: still had a punt. They punted to the one. Buffalo
Speaker 3: can't do anything. Denver gets it back. They matriculate from
Speaker 3: the eight, Lot's fifty yard field goal tried doinks off
Speaker 3: the right, up right. It remains ten to seven Buffalo
Speaker 3: at the half. This is the game. You chose the
Speaker 3: biggest blow. It was ten to seven.
Speaker 2: At the half.
Speaker 3: Yeah, third quarter, thirteen to seven. Now, uh, Sir Tan
Speaker 3: by the way, completely holding Kincaid in the end zone.
Speaker 3: Uncalled that. That was ridiculous holding them the three You
Speaker 3: sent it, Jim Denver three and now Buffalo gets the
Speaker 3: ball back. They'reup thirteen to seven. Nine plays, seventy three yards,
Speaker 3: five thirty four after an unsportsman like extends the drive.
Speaker 3: Six plays later, fourth and one of the Denver twenty four.
Speaker 3: Remember it's thirteen to seven at this point, fourth and
Speaker 3: one of the Denver twenty four. They go into a shotgun.
Speaker 3: Alan probably looking to run, can't to tie Johnson back
Speaker 3: of the end zone, feet up over the end line,
Speaker 3: hands underneath the ball.
Speaker 1: Touchdown. It's really close. Is this gonna be a touchdown?
Speaker 1: Most likely?
Speaker 3: Yoh my goodness, oh my god. Romo is annoying the
Speaker 3: nineteen to seven Buffalo. By the way, two point tried
Speaker 3: to Coleman twenty one to seven, and the route was
Speaker 3: on at this point. Buffalo next time, after a Denver
Speaker 3: three and out first play fourth quarter, Alan to Samuel
Speaker 3: to complete for fifty five on a three play fifty
Speaker 3: eight yard drive on third and six, twenty eight to seven.
Speaker 3: They would end at thirty one to seven. Buffalo wins
Speaker 3: it going away. By the way, just to before you
Speaker 3: answer your question, Buffalo seventy two plays to Denver's forty two,
Speaker 3: Baltimore seventy two plays to Pittsburgh's forty five. Buffalo is
Speaker 3: the biggest boat of all these.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I understand, I understand Baltimore first half, but man,
Speaker 1: this was after it looked like it was gonna be close.
Speaker 1: Once we got into the second half of this game.
Speaker 1: Bill's just leaning on that running game. Denver can't do
Speaker 1: anything to stop it. It was just yes, it could.
Speaker 1: It took a took a couple of big plays for
Speaker 1: touchdowns to get them to that point, but it's it.
Speaker 3: Never felt endanger. The only difference between the three is
Speaker 3: both Buffalo and both Buffalo and was it Philly they
Speaker 3: let the opponent hang around a while, whereas Baltimore was
Speaker 3: just like, boom, you're done, right, You're absolutely done.
Speaker 1: But anyways, I mean we're talking one drive from Denver,
Speaker 1: right like when we're talking one drive, that's it. Here
Speaker 1: we go, Jim. It just I just the way that
Speaker 1: Buffalo I mean, I cannot wait for this game next week,
Speaker 1: but the way that Buffalo can just lean on that
Speaker 1: running game between Cook and Allen and it's pick your poison.
Speaker 1: You're not gonna be able to stop us over the
Speaker 1: course four downs.
Speaker 3: So I guess Baltimore minus two and a half and
Speaker 3: it's Buffalo minus one.
Speaker 1: It is opened Buffalo one and a half. I think
Speaker 1: most places we are, Oh this is interesting.
Speaker 3: What is it?
Speaker 1: I thought this would happen. We are on both sides favorites.
Speaker 1: I'm seeing there we go DraftKings Ravens one and a half.
Speaker 1: So this is coming my way, just circa Buffalo one
Speaker 1: right now. Okay, so this is coming my way, just
Speaker 1: like the Washington was coming my way, Chrissy Andrews. Mico
Speaker 1: might have said, I like your line better for both
Speaker 1: of those, I'm very surprised that that Buffalo open is
Speaker 1: the favorite here and again, no disrespect.
Speaker 3: I got Baltimore. I got Buffalo's the third best team
Speaker 3: in football. I just have Baltimore's number one. I don't Baltimore.
Speaker 3: Baltimore's a game. I don't know who's beating that. The
Speaker 3: question is can they have their A game every time out?
Speaker 1: I agree with that Stevement. Yeah, Baltimore's a game offensively
Speaker 1: is especially offensively is the best thing in the I'm
Speaker 1: waiting for the Lamar Jackson game to show up in
Speaker 1: the bad way. You're that guy, I'm that guy. You're
Speaker 1: that guy. I'm that guy. Speak for half of them.
Speaker 1: I will not this will not be a big bet
Speaker 1: for me, Gil, but I will end up on Buffalo
Speaker 1: in some shit. It's only a thing until it's not
Speaker 1: the only thing till is not. I asked before.
Speaker 3: Wild Card weekend, I said, remember I got sports talk
Speaker 3: radio issue. I said, who's got the most pressure on him?
Speaker 3: And I and mine was between Baltimore and Minnesota where
Speaker 3: I said, Okay, Baltimore, Lamar Jackson's got this playoff stigma.
Speaker 3: Minnesota fourteen and three. You don't want to lose, you
Speaker 3: don't want to crap out immediately after a fourteen and
Speaker 3: three season. So I think it was between those two
Speaker 3: Baltimore showed no signs of any pressure none.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, look, there's a there's a major difference.
Speaker 1: I mean there's multiple big differences in this year's team
Speaker 1: compared the past years. But Derek Henry helps right there.
Speaker 1: Lamar being able to rely on a competent running game
Speaker 1: behind but that's not just him, is massive. So we'll see,
Speaker 1: Uh see I carry if that carry's over to Buffalo.
Speaker 1: I can't wait for this game.
Speaker 3: Who's got the more pressure in this game? To ask
Speaker 3: that question again of Baltimore, Buffalo, Lamar Jackson or Josh
Speaker 3: at allan think it's still I think it's still Lamar
Speaker 3: because I think Josh is perceived to have a Patrick
Speaker 3: Mahomes problem as opposed to a playoff.
Speaker 1: Yeah. The other one that's like maybe after this week,
Speaker 1: and it was Mike Tobalin and the Steelers that have
Speaker 1: the most pressure on them because Wow, we're gonna fire
Speaker 1: fire Mike Toblins, We're gonna.
Speaker 3: Trade Mike Tomlin. There's all kinds of people saying stuff.