WEBVTT - Why Chinese Car Makers Are Looking To Africa

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. I'm Jennifer's Abasaja and

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<v Speaker 1>this is the Next Africa podcast, bringing you one story

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<v Speaker 1>each week from the continent driving the future of global

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<v Speaker 1>growth with the context only Bloomberg can provide. So I'm

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<v Speaker 1>in the back of an electric taxi. This is actually

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<v Speaker 1>my first time in one, something that's starting to become

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<v Speaker 1>a bit more common site across the continent, which has

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<v Speaker 1>actually been helped by a combination of rising fuel prices

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<v Speaker 1>and cheaper imports that has sort of led to the

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<v Speaker 1>ev market growing in parts of the continent and also

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<v Speaker 1>Chinese car companies making most of the inroads in some

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<v Speaker 1>of the countries that we're seeing.

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<v Speaker 2>This is a very important market because we feel this continent,

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<v Speaker 2>especially also South South Africa, need be wide the attackler

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<v Speaker 2>to bring the solution, to bring also innovation here. Then

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<v Speaker 2>they need a company like us.

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<v Speaker 1>So that was Stella Lee, executive vice chairman of BID,

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<v Speaker 1>speaking with me in Johannesburg last year. And one of

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<v Speaker 1>the countries where BID is making inroads is also an Ethiopia.

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<v Speaker 1>Six percent of cars on the road are now electric vehicles.

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<v Speaker 1>That is up from one percent in twenty twenty four

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<v Speaker 1>when the government actually introduced an import ban on gas

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<v Speaker 1>powered cars, and today a new BID car could be

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<v Speaker 1>cheaper in some sense than a secondhand gasoline car used

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<v Speaker 1>to cost while a.

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<v Speaker 3>Mild bid No. I drive a BID electric vehicle. It's

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<v Speaker 3>been about seven or eight months since I made the

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<v Speaker 3>switch from a gas powered car, and there's a significant difference.

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<v Speaker 3>In the past, I often face challenges refueling my car,

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<v Speaker 3>dealing with long lines at gas stations and sometimes even

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<v Speaker 3>being unable to fill up a first seven.

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<v Speaker 1>Now, I'll hope you so. In today's Next Africa podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>we're asking will this ev growth continue at pace in Africa?

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<v Speaker 1>Where is it happening? And will Chinese firms be the

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<v Speaker 1>sole ones to actually benefit? Joining me today is Bloomberg's

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<v Speaker 1>Ethiopia based reporter, that is Fausika Todase, And later in

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<v Speaker 1>the show we'll hear from our Asia transport reporter, Linda

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<v Speaker 1>Lu based in Beijing. But Fasika, let's just start with you.

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<v Speaker 1>I haven't myself gotten to addis Ababa. Fortunately we have you, though,

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<v Speaker 1>on the ground to do some of this reporting for us,

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<v Speaker 1>and you've been actually reporting on the rising popularity of

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<v Speaker 1>electric vehicles which we don't always equate to the continent

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<v Speaker 1>in particular, How noticeable has this growth been? What made

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<v Speaker 1>you want to dig into this a bit more?

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<v Speaker 4>If you asked me this a few years buck, like

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<v Speaker 4>three four years buck, I would say it's not that much,

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<v Speaker 4>not subble. But over the past three years you can't

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<v Speaker 4>observe the number of evs on the roads are growing.

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<v Speaker 4>And also you see normally we see long lines at

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<v Speaker 4>gus and fuel stations, but now we see long lines

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<v Speaker 4>electric vehicles charging their battery at public charging stations in

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<v Speaker 4>the parking lots, so you will notice the growing number

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<v Speaker 4>of evs in it. It is also in some major

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<v Speaker 4>parts of the FORSABA. That's one of the reasons that

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<v Speaker 4>triggered us to work on the EV's story.

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<v Speaker 1>That we did well. And I don't think most people

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<v Speaker 1>or people might be surprised to find out how this

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<v Speaker 1>rise of evs really came about. Can you talk about that?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, how did this all come about? From the

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<v Speaker 1>government perspective.

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<v Speaker 4>We'll talk about the government ban on the import of

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<v Speaker 4>I see twenty twenty four. But before that, people were

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<v Speaker 4>very challenged in fuel, especially spending hours and hours on

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<v Speaker 4>long QUEUS stations to fill their tongue. And also even

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<v Speaker 4>after waiting for hours and hours, they might be told

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<v Speaker 4>by the gust that they're out of gus. So that

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<v Speaker 4>was the major challenge that was pushing the people to

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<v Speaker 4>switch to the evs. But in twenty twenty four, the

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<v Speaker 4>government has put a complete pun on the IC mainly

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<v Speaker 4>attributing to the physical pressure that it was put on

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<v Speaker 4>the government, especially subsidizing fuel. So government is putting a

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<v Speaker 4>huge amount of money in subsidizing fuel. Data is said

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<v Speaker 4>because it's one of the priority communities they want to

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<v Speaker 4>subsidize just to control the infornationary pressure on the people

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<v Speaker 4>on the economy. So the government started phasing out the

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<v Speaker 4>subsidy it was putting on fuel imports and fuel retail prices,

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<v Speaker 4>and at the same time they banned the import of

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<v Speaker 4>fuel car. So that was one of the reasons to

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<v Speaker 4>alleviate the government has on a physical pressure on the

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<v Speaker 4>economy and the budget as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Can you give us some of the numbers though, in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of how were they subsidizing some of these vehicles

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<v Speaker 1>and how did that then lead to more people want

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<v Speaker 1>to buy evs.

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<v Speaker 4>So, as I said, there's a complete pun on the

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<v Speaker 4>fuel car since twenty twenty four. But at the same time,

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<v Speaker 4>the government has put a minimum tax on the evs. Previously,

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<v Speaker 4>if the importants, we're paying up to such percent tax

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<v Speaker 4>duty on IC or fuel cars, but on ivis they

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<v Speaker 4>are only putting five percent tax, which makes it encouraging

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<v Speaker 4>for people to important buy ivis.

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<v Speaker 1>Have you been able to look at the costs because

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<v Speaker 1>we always talk we talk about electric vehicles, they are

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<v Speaker 1>a bit more expensive, but some of the debate around

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<v Speaker 1>buying them is because you save on fuel. When you

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<v Speaker 1>talk about a minimum tax, what does that look like

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<v Speaker 1>for an electric vehicle on Ethiopia, what's the cost we're

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<v Speaker 1>looking at.

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<v Speaker 4>We can't compare the price because currently we don't have

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<v Speaker 4>new fuel cars in the market because of the bun

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<v Speaker 4>But you look at the price. So recently there is

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<v Speaker 4>a significant price on the EVE prices following the war

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<v Speaker 4>in Iran because the dealers are saying that they're not

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<v Speaker 4>getting more new supply, so they increase the price of

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<v Speaker 4>ivs they have on hand. So I would say over

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<v Speaker 4>the past two months the price has gone significantly up

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<v Speaker 4>to five thousand dollars increase on the mid size IV

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<v Speaker 4>So I would say the price of IV's for a

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<v Speaker 4>mid sized TV. It costs around five million November or

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<v Speaker 4>thirty one thousand dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>It's quite expensive. And what types of cars are you

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<v Speaker 1>seeing that people buying? And I wonder if we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>a dominant car maker when when you drive around outis Ababa,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm assuming you're driving.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, I do so.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>Most of the cars the evs are Chinese brunds dominantly

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<v Speaker 4>bid cars in different models from the small the small

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<v Speaker 4>car to the to the four wheel drive. You see

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<v Speaker 4>bid model cars on the roads, especially for personal use.

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<v Speaker 4>When it comes to the taxi meta taxi service, the

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<v Speaker 4>most dominant brand is another Chinese brand, which is called

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<v Speaker 4>Chunk and Win win Istar.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, it's interesting physic because I've spoken with byd Stella

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<v Speaker 1>Lee before and the company is making quite a big

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<v Speaker 1>push into Africa. We're going to get into that later

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<v Speaker 1>in the episode. When you talk to people and drivers,

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<v Speaker 1>because you've done quite a bit of reporting about this

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<v Speaker 1>on the ground, what is it that the drivers have

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<v Speaker 1>been telling you about their own personal reasons for switching

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<v Speaker 1>outside of what the government sort of forced them to

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<v Speaker 1>have to do.

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<v Speaker 4>The first thing, the major one is the shortage of

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<v Speaker 4>fuel in the country, so they were spending hours and

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<v Speaker 4>hours on gas station to fill their tongues. So that

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<v Speaker 4>was and also there were cases that they might not

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<v Speaker 4>be able to get gussed, so that was the MEAs

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<v Speaker 4>the major reism that pushed people to switch to ivis.

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<v Speaker 4>The second one is most of the drivers I spoke

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<v Speaker 4>to is that the evis are more comfortable and the

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<v Speaker 4>latest runs so which they prefer to switch to the evs.

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<v Speaker 4>So these are the major reasons people are telling me

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<v Speaker 4>why they switch to IVIS on top of the government

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<v Speaker 4>decision to bun fuel cars from getting into the country.

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<v Speaker 1>And stick with me. When we come back, we'll hear

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<v Speaker 1>more about Ethiopia's EV growth and also head over to

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<v Speaker 1>China to check in on why the carmakers there are

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<v Speaker 1>looking towards African consumers for some of their growth. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>be right back. Welcome back today. On the podcast, we're

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<v Speaker 1>discussing EV's Physica. Todesa is still with me physica. I

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<v Speaker 1>want to talk about some of the risks here. This

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<v Speaker 1>is still quite a new market in Ethiopia. Does this

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<v Speaker 1>look based on your own reporting, that this is going

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<v Speaker 1>to really change the car industry in Ethiopia? Or are

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<v Speaker 1>we just looking at really a small sub section of

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<v Speaker 1>the market that is maybe adopting some of these electric vehicles.

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<v Speaker 4>So since it's a new technology, there are not much

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<v Speaker 4>much technicians who are more hands on on EV maintenance

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<v Speaker 4>and also spare parts, so since it's new, we don't

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<v Speaker 4>know that many spare part suppliers that are bringing and

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<v Speaker 4>if spare parts, that's also the risk people see. And

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<v Speaker 4>also most drivers are telling me that about battery regradation,

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<v Speaker 4>so we don't know how much it's going to last.

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<v Speaker 4>And people have yes, they saved money from fuel expenses,

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<v Speaker 4>but also they don't know how much they would be

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<v Speaker 4>spending if they need to change their battery, so that's

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<v Speaker 4>also the reservation people have on on evs. In terms

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<v Speaker 4>of the market, I would say it's the market that's

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<v Speaker 4>growing because the penetration is growing over the past two years.

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<v Speaker 4>So if penetration is about six percent out of the

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<v Speaker 4>total cars in Ethiopia, the number of assemblers is increasing.

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<v Speaker 4>Until now the government has licensed seventeen IV assemblers in Ethopia,

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<v Speaker 4>mainly Chinese assemblers and also local companies that are assembling

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<v Speaker 4>Chinese brand evis. And also we're seeing the charging network

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<v Speaker 4>is expanding across at this end, also the major cities

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<v Speaker 4>of the country. So I would say it's getting bigger

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<v Speaker 4>years after years.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, I was going to say that because the

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<v Speaker 1>charging is such a big factor of this. Is Ethiopia

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<v Speaker 1>equipped to have these charging stations there, so.

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<v Speaker 4>Most of the drivers are charging their car at their

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<v Speaker 4>house using household charger, which is the quality level to charger.

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<v Speaker 4>But at the same time, the city is working on

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<v Speaker 4>aggressively working on expanding the public charging stations, especially fast

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<v Speaker 4>and ultra fast charging stations built by private companies and

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<v Speaker 4>also state owned companies like the state telecom companies building

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<v Speaker 4>charging stations across the city so that they built three

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<v Speaker 4>and also the government has has Medita mandatory for the

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<v Speaker 4>car dealers to have at least one or two charging

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<v Speaker 4>ports inside their dealership. So I would say the charging

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<v Speaker 4>network is also expanding, but not that much comparable with

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<v Speaker 4>the number of elist that are seen in the in

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<v Speaker 4>the country or driven in the country.

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<v Speaker 1>Is the electricity there though, I think is what I'm

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<v Speaker 1>trying to figure out.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, So, you know, recently to integrated the largest Africa's

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<v Speaker 4>largest dumb, the Great stopend Renaissance dumb, and also there

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<v Speaker 4>are hydro dumps across the country, so relatively the electric

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<v Speaker 4>electricity price is relatively cheaper for households, so yes.

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<v Speaker 1>And physic maybe maybe just finally, because I think this

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<v Speaker 1>was a really fascinating part of your piece is what

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<v Speaker 1>does this mean for a lot of the other workers

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<v Speaker 1>or drivers really who rely on internal combustion engines for

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<v Speaker 1>their work, right, and you get into the gig economy, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and how much that relies on some motor vehicles. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>what's the other side of this that maybe we'll be

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<v Speaker 1>talking about in a few years time. Is this going

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<v Speaker 1>to phase out some sub section of the economy that

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<v Speaker 1>has been has been a driver for Ethiopia.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, Jen, So recently the government has announced a new

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<v Speaker 4>law that requires the fuel car drivers to change their

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<v Speaker 4>motors into gus or electric to electric motors. And also

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<v Speaker 4>we're seeing most of the public transports providers switching to

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<v Speaker 4>EV's like the buses and the mini buses, and also

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<v Speaker 4>the delivery services are now switching to electric motorbikes from

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<v Speaker 4>the fuel motorbikes.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you in the market for a new car, Fasika, It's.

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<v Speaker 4>Been two years now since I I started driving evs,

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<v Speaker 4>So no yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, so you're already on the EV train.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, because I was spending like two three days on

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<v Speaker 4>the line at gas station, so it was not convenient

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<v Speaker 4>for me to go out for reporting with fuel Carso

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<v Speaker 4>I'm driving EV since twenty twenty four.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, let's get the view from China. Now joining me

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<v Speaker 1>from Beijing is Linda lu Our Asia Transport reporter. Linda,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being here. So let's just

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<v Speaker 1>take a look at the global picture for electric vehicles.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg has been reporting about how we have been seeing

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<v Speaker 1>sales actually growing in a number of markets since the

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<v Speaker 1>Middle East conflict really ignited a few weeks ago. How

0:12:58.200 --> 0:13:02.000
<v Speaker 1>much of that, though, is coming from Chinese automakers. Give

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<v Speaker 1>us a lay of the land if you can so.

0:13:05.400 --> 0:13:09.760
<v Speaker 5>For Chinese automakers, most of their sales are still within

0:13:09.920 --> 0:13:14.520
<v Speaker 5>the home markets, but obviously the exports and overseas sales

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:18.600
<v Speaker 5>are growing very fast. These Chinese evs cover a big

0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:21.400
<v Speaker 5>range of price points. A lot of them are very

0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:25.320
<v Speaker 5>affordable compared to the ones you would find from say

0:13:25.400 --> 0:13:30.079
<v Speaker 5>Tesla or Volkswagen or BMW. So the Chinese evs are

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:34.560
<v Speaker 5>definitely attracting a lot of consumer interest for their affordability,

0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:37.920
<v Speaker 5>and they also have a lot of technology features in

0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:41.319
<v Speaker 5>the car that consumers might find them very attractive.

0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:44.280
<v Speaker 1>When you say affordable, what do you mean? Because we

0:13:44.280 --> 0:13:47.359
<v Speaker 1>were speaking with Fasika today, say a reporter and Ethiopia,

0:13:47.400 --> 0:13:49.320
<v Speaker 1>and she gave us a sense of how much it's

0:13:49.320 --> 0:13:52.360
<v Speaker 1>costing there for consumers. What are you talking about when

0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:53.199
<v Speaker 1>you say affordable.

0:13:53.920 --> 0:13:58.480
<v Speaker 5>Yes, so, looking at a market like Ethiopia, some of

0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:02.800
<v Speaker 5>these models, for example, the Sea Goal compact hatchback from

0:14:03.120 --> 0:14:09.199
<v Speaker 5>Chinese carmaker BYD goes for say around twenty three thousand

0:14:09.559 --> 0:14:14.280
<v Speaker 5>US dollars. Now, compare that to a Tesla, which you

0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:18.320
<v Speaker 5>know costs from thirty thousand US dollars if not more.

0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 5>That's actually a very affordable option for consumers locally, even

0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:26.920
<v Speaker 5>if say not many of the lower social economic consumers

0:14:26.920 --> 0:14:29.240
<v Speaker 5>can afford them. But you know, looking at the middle

0:14:29.240 --> 0:14:34.560
<v Speaker 5>class or more wealthier consumer segments, the Sea Goal from BYD,

0:14:35.120 --> 0:14:39.920
<v Speaker 5>you know, is one that is probably more accessible to

0:14:39.960 --> 0:14:41.920
<v Speaker 5>the consumers there than say a Tesla.

0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:45.440
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and perhaps, as we talked about with Fasika, the

0:14:45.520 --> 0:14:50.120
<v Speaker 1>cost savings analysis seems to level out when some of

0:14:50.120 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 1>these consumers think about how much they're spending on fuel.

0:14:53.000 --> 0:14:56.600
<v Speaker 1>When we think about the African consumer, Linda, and the

0:14:56.600 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 1>African markets in particular, how important are they or Chinese automakers.

0:15:03.280 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 5>So right now, Africa as a region for the Chinese automakers,

0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 5>especially looking at the EV segment, it's still quite small.

0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:16.520
<v Speaker 5>I'm just looking at the figures for the first quarter

0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:22.200
<v Speaker 5>this year, China exported that just over thirteen thousand evs

0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:27.040
<v Speaker 5>to Africa. That's actually quite small compared to say Europe

0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:30.560
<v Speaker 5>or Asia, where you know they receive something like more

0:15:30.600 --> 0:15:34.280
<v Speaker 5>than two hundred thousand evs in the first quarter. But

0:15:34.480 --> 0:15:38.840
<v Speaker 5>just looking in terms of growth, Africa is actually one

0:15:38.840 --> 0:15:43.239
<v Speaker 5>of the fastest growing region in terms of the changes

0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:47.760
<v Speaker 5>in EV shipments. Africa's growth in the first quarter so

0:15:47.920 --> 0:15:52.520
<v Speaker 5>far is at eighty seven percent. That's probably just the

0:15:52.600 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 5>second fastest growing region for Chinese EV exports, behind Latin

0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:00.760
<v Speaker 5>America and the Caribbean. So even though it's a very

0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 5>small market right now, but the potential is very big.

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:07.440
<v Speaker 1>Which would make sense why we're seeing them double down

0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:12.280
<v Speaker 1>to a certain extent, at least n BYD's case. So, Linda,

0:16:12.000 --> 0:16:16.720
<v Speaker 1>we talk about Ethiopia in this episode, but where else,

0:16:17.040 --> 0:16:21.760
<v Speaker 1>based on your reporting, are you seeing Chinese carmakers targeting

0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:25.400
<v Speaker 1>and potentially looking to make inroads across the continent.

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:29.720
<v Speaker 5>So in Africa, I would say the traditional auto hub's

0:16:29.920 --> 0:16:34.280
<v Speaker 5>natural markets are for these Chinese carmakers, so places like

0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:38.520
<v Speaker 5>South Africa, Morocco or even Egypt where they have strong

0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:42.640
<v Speaker 5>manufacturing bases. I've seen a lot of interest from Chinese

0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:47.920
<v Speaker 5>car makers. For example Cherry, which is China's largest car exporter,

0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:53.040
<v Speaker 5>they are actually in the process of taking over a

0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:57.280
<v Speaker 5>car factory that was formerly owned by Nissan. So it

0:16:57.400 --> 0:17:00.280
<v Speaker 5>just shows them building up the supply chain and the

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:03.880
<v Speaker 5>local region. And if it's a country that already has

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:07.800
<v Speaker 5>essentially foundation for making costs, then that's a very easy

0:17:07.880 --> 0:17:10.159
<v Speaker 5>choice for the Chinese carmakers.

0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:13.600
<v Speaker 1>And our thanks to Linda lu and Fiska Tadese for

0:17:13.720 --> 0:17:17.119
<v Speaker 1>joining us this week. You can read our reporting on

0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:22.560
<v Speaker 1>ev growth across Bloomberg platforms. Now here's some of the

0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 1>other stories we've been following across the region this week.

0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:30.080
<v Speaker 1>Cobald Medals, the exploration company backed by billionaires including Bill

0:17:30.200 --> 0:17:33.960
<v Speaker 1>Gates and Sam Altman, officially broke ground on what will

0:17:33.960 --> 0:17:37.080
<v Speaker 1>be Zambia's biggest comper mind as the global hunt for

0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:41.280
<v Speaker 1>critical minerals heats up. The Mingomba mine will cost more

0:17:41.280 --> 0:17:44.399
<v Speaker 1>than two point three billion dollars to build, making it

0:17:44.480 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 1>one of the biggest ever investment projects in the southern

0:17:47.880 --> 0:17:52.960
<v Speaker 1>African nation, and France urged its citizens to leave Molly

0:17:53.160 --> 0:17:56.879
<v Speaker 1>Quote as soon as possible, as a separatist group vowed

0:17:56.920 --> 0:18:00.320
<v Speaker 1>to expand its campaign to ouse the nation's military junta

0:18:00.760 --> 0:18:05.480
<v Speaker 1>and Islamist militant's renewed threat to blockade the capitol. You

0:18:05.520 --> 0:18:09.200
<v Speaker 1>can follow these stories across Bloomberg platforms, including the Next

0:18:09.200 --> 0:18:11.680
<v Speaker 1>African Newsletter. Will put a link to that in the

0:18:11.720 --> 0:18:16.720
<v Speaker 1>show notes. This program was produced by Adrian Bradley and

0:18:16.800 --> 0:18:19.720
<v Speaker 1>Tiva Adebayo. Don't forget to follow and review the show

0:18:19.760 --> 0:18:23.240
<v Speaker 1>wherever you usually get your podcasts. But for now, I'm

0:18:23.280 --> 0:18:25.800
<v Speaker 1>Jennifer's Abasaja. Thanks as always for listening.