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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 3: All right, here we go from throwing out, so.

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Speaker 1: We're saying it's a cash touchdown.

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Speaker 4: We see most gambles when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 4: go to Swayne.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible being bank, small bank.

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Speaker 3: I like to make money. All right, this is the

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Speaker 3: ultimate combine and you want to pack.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway.

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Speaker 5: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast presented by pet MGM,

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Speaker 5: the King of sports books.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host today, Brendan glass Sheen.

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Speaker 5: Today's episode NFL Week nine Best Bets. We have Brandon

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Speaker 5: Anderson joining us. We have Luke swayn Aka Vegas Refund

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Speaker 5: and our.

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Speaker 1: Rotating third chair.

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Speaker 5: Our contestant today is the Touchdown Show host Joe Goalant.

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Speaker 5: He joins us once again. Great to have Jill here

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Speaker 5: as well as Brandon and Luke. You can follow these

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Speaker 5: guys individually in the award winning free to download Action

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Speaker 5: Network app. Before we get into the best Bets again,

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Speaker 5: we've got plenty going on here on the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 5: We have experts in the NBA and the NHL. We

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Speaker 5: have our specific sports branded podcast NBA. You can listen

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Speaker 5: to Buckets. You can also listen to line change. That's

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Speaker 5: where you can find basketball and hockey respectively. You can

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Speaker 5: find them wherever you listen to your podcast. Be sure

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Speaker 5: to subscribe thanks to those guys putting all the time

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Speaker 5: in during those seasons.

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Speaker 1: You can also find video.

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Speaker 5: Versions of our podcast Basketball Hockey, including this one football.

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Speaker 5: Once you hit subscribe on YouTube, you can also give

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Speaker 5: the video alke. We appreciate that, and as we'd like

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Speaker 5: to remind you, please leave a five star rating and

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Speaker 5: a review.

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Speaker 1: We like to read the reviews to see.

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Speaker 5: What is on your mind as we do these best

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Speaker 5: bet pods each and every week. We had a six

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Speaker 5: and three eight profitable week number eight.

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Speaker 1: We're just shy of five hundred on the season.

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Speaker 5: And when you include the look ahead lines from Brandon,

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Speaker 5: we are even thirty nine and thirty nine okay without

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Speaker 5: further ado, and we got some great games on the slate,

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Speaker 5: really fun slate.

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Speaker 1: I think you've all heard by now.

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Speaker 5: From the morning it kicks off in Germany all the

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Speaker 5: way to Sunday night in Cincinnati, it's an excellent slate.

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Speaker 5: So I think we're gonna start right in order. We're

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Speaker 5: gonna go right to Germany. Brandon your first one place.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, right to Germany for the first kickoff. I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: take the Chiefs minus one against the Dolphins, obviously on

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Speaker 3: a neutral field here, and this was my hot read.

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Speaker 3: This was one of my two hot red picks. And

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Speaker 3: I'll say this, the line has moved against me. I

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Speaker 3: grabbed it at two and a half on Sunday night.

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Speaker 3: It's at one now. I'm not too daunted up by that.

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Speaker 3: I think the line moved probably is Miami's gotten some

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Speaker 3: probably positive injury news, especially on the offensive line. Connor

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Speaker 3: Williams and maybe Tront Armstead could be back. That is

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Speaker 3: really big for them. I think that's part of why

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Speaker 3: Miami's offense has been faltering. It just really impact my

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Speaker 3: cap on this game because Miami already had the better offense,

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Speaker 3: like I was already accounting for that. But the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: are still top five, Dolphins are number one. That matters.

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Speaker 3: I do think Mammy can run on Kansas City outside

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Speaker 3: a little bit, especially if these guys are healthy. But

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Speaker 3: my camp is defense, not offense. The Dolphins are twenty

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Speaker 3: second by DVN defense, so just about bottom ten. They're

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs are number five, top four against the pass.

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Speaker 3: Miami's defense has been far worse away from home. Germany

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Speaker 3: is a long way from Miami. They've been bottom five

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Speaker 3: in the first half, So I think that sets up

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Speaker 3: where the Chiefs are number two on offense to get

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Speaker 3: out to an early lead, and then Miami gets away

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Speaker 3: from the run game perhaps, which I think is where

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Speaker 3: they are a better shape here and they have to

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Speaker 3: pass on what's been a really good secondary. Trent mcduffrey

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Speaker 3: especially has been awesome for the Chiefs, one of the

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Speaker 3: best corners in football. So on Miami's defense, the one

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Speaker 3: thing that has been a strength for them top five

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Speaker 3: pass rush, but the Chiefs offensive line is number one

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Speaker 3: in pass block win rate. Run game not so great,

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Speaker 3: but pass blocking has held up even with all the

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Speaker 3: new guys this year. Miami's defense, when they've faced a

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Speaker 3: top quarterback, they've given up thirty four to Justin Herbert,

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Speaker 3: forty eight to Josh Allen, thirty one to Jalen Hurts,

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Speaker 3: So thirty one or more all three of those. Guess

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Speaker 3: what Patrick Mahomes fits. So at the end of the day,

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Speaker 3: just give me Mahomes right. Fourteen and three straight up

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Speaker 3: after a loss fourteen to four and one against the spread,

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Speaker 3: seventy eight percent when he is anything that's not at

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Speaker 3: least a three and a half point favorite, right, I

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Speaker 3: never know how to say that stat but in the

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Speaker 3: regular season, when he's an underdog or a favorite of

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Speaker 3: three or less like he is here fourteen to four

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Speaker 3: and one, and international games, you just take the favorite.

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Speaker 3: If it's not the Jaguars because they're funky. Any other

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Speaker 3: international games favorites are twenty two to nine against the

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Speaker 3: spread seventy one percent. Chiefs are the favorite to the

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Speaker 3: right favorite. Give me Pat after a loss, give me

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Speaker 3: Pat as a coin flip game minus one.

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Speaker 5: Okay, again, we're recording on a Thursday and looking at

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Speaker 5: the action app money bets they're piling in on Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: I mean it all, it all sets up.

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Speaker 5: For the Chiefs and just looking at Miami's track record,

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Speaker 5: is Brandon laid out against some of the better teams,

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Speaker 5: better offenses.

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Speaker 1: Luke, what's your first one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with the Chiefs as well.

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Speaker 6: Minus one money line whatever it is where I am

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Speaker 6: surprised that the line came down from two and a

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Speaker 6: half earlier this week, which definitely has to do with

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Speaker 6: the injury report. Whether it's the Dolphins defense getting healthier,

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Speaker 6: or their offensive line, which honestly, like those two things

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Speaker 6: are probably going to help the Dolphins a great deal

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Speaker 6: where they've been playing with like half of a.

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Speaker 2: Defense for the last couple of weeks.

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Speaker 6: But in the end, like if you're telling me, I'm

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Speaker 6: going to get the best quarterback in the league by

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Speaker 6: a pretty wide margin at under a field goal, it's

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Speaker 6: just it's as easy as that. Like it really you

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Speaker 6: don't have to think about it too much. It's just

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Speaker 6: really like the shiny object of my homes really is

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Speaker 6: worth the distraction. But at the same time, it really

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Speaker 6: is having I think a lot of people overlook how

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Speaker 6: good this Kansas City defense has been the top five

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Speaker 6: in every category in DVOA. Going against a Dolphins team

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Speaker 6: that has struggled against the good teams, now this isn't

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Speaker 6: a true away game, and the one thing that does

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Speaker 6: concern me is the travel schedules between the two teams

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Speaker 6: or the Dolphins I know went early and the Chiefs

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Speaker 6: I think are going like they're really going today or tomorrow,

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Speaker 6: which is probably the most concerning thing out of the

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Speaker 6: whole scenario for me. But in the end, you're just

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Speaker 6: you're getting Mahomes at under a field goal, and if

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Speaker 6: Jalen Ramsey looked good like he's definitely he could be

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Speaker 6: like a difference maker. And the Dolphins have been awful

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Speaker 6: against tight ends, the only two legit tight ends that

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Speaker 6: they've gone against this year. At Gooder, I pronounced his

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Speaker 6: name just awful and I still don't even know how

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Speaker 6: to pronounce it. But Darren Waller, who both of them

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Speaker 6: went for eighty plus with five catches plus. Whether Jalen

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Speaker 6: Ramsey shadows Kelsey is the question that remains. But at

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Speaker 6: the same time, like the matchup tight end Kelsey, that

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Speaker 6: is the hey that makes this offense run. And the

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Speaker 6: Dolphins have just been awful against tight ends. So I'll

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Speaker 6: take Mahomes and this Chief's defense on our neutral at

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Speaker 6: under afield goal.

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Speaker 1: You are having trouble pronouncing Darren Waller.

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Speaker 3: No, No, Dallas, Dallas, Dallas got it.

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Speaker 6: It's like it's it's stuck in my head as god,

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Speaker 6: I don't know why got It's almost like, is.

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Speaker 3: It Waller, Darren Waller?

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Speaker 2: Is that it? Well? There, it's It's awful.

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Speaker 6: It's like almost like I just have to keep pronouncing

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Speaker 6: it this way, like Dabundo gets on me for it

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Speaker 6: every single time I do it, which from him.

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Speaker 1: No, it's okay. I wasn't picking on you.

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Speaker 5: You just think, yeah, Jimmy Neutron's dog, Goder, that's probably

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Speaker 5: what you're thinking.

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Speaker 1: Uh, okay, so very good.

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Speaker 5: Just look at Vic Vangio two his first year defensive

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Speaker 5: coordinator with the Dolphins. He was a consultant last year

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Speaker 5: with the Eagles. We saw how the Super Bowl went,

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Speaker 5: Chiefs still scored. I realized that their offense is a

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Speaker 5: little bit different looking. And he was also in Denver

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Speaker 5: before that, and we know the track record in the

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Speaker 5: history of the Kansas City chief against the Denver Broncos

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Speaker 5: until this past week, which is the plays into your

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Speaker 5: points about coming off a loss. But I was curious

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Speaker 5: Vic Vangio he was at the Bears before that too.

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Speaker 1: Has he faced Mahomes that much?

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Speaker 5: No, But even when he has, it hasn't gone well.

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Speaker 5: But on the subject of Patrick Mahomes. That allows Jill

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Speaker 5: to chime in, because Jill has an angle on the quarterback. Jill,

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Speaker 5: your first one.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this is a really interesting angle for me because

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Speaker 4: I do agree with Luke he is the best quarterback

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Speaker 4: in the NFL. But I'm also still gonna bet his

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Speaker 4: interception prop versus the Dolphins at even odds because he's

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Speaker 4: thrown an interception in six of eight games the Dolphins.

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Speaker 4: One of the things that I love about this matchup

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Speaker 4: and why I wanted to take Mahomes interception, is how

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Speaker 4: the Dolphins play defensively. Now, obviously they're pretty weak against

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Speaker 4: the tight end, especially from a dv away perspective. They're

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Speaker 4: bottom ten in blitz rate, and the reason why that's

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Speaker 4: important is because Patrick Mahomes historically just carves up the blitz.

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Speaker 4: Like when they played against the Vikings, they have the

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Speaker 4: highest blitz rate in the NFL. He did not throw

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Speaker 4: an interception in that game, but the Dolphins are top

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Speaker 4: seven still in pressure rate with both Bradley Chubb and

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Speaker 4: Wilkins and Jalen Phillips. That means the secondary can just

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Speaker 4: sit back and wait, and that Dolphins secondary, as we've mentioned,

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Speaker 4: is getting reinforcements. Jalen Ramsey's going to play, Xavin Howard

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Speaker 4: is also expected to play. And one of the things

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Speaker 4: that I do as well is I track the interception

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Speaker 4: props for every single quarterback in the NFL.

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Speaker 3: Now, Patrick Mahomes as awesome as he.

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Speaker 4: Is is actually the most profitable quarterback for interception props

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Speaker 4: in the NFL, and if you would bet his interception

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Speaker 4: prop in every game this season, you'd be up four

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Speaker 4: point seven units in profits. So one of the things

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Speaker 4: I just want to mention as well, this is not

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Speaker 4: meant to be an indictment on whether the Chiefs can

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Speaker 4: win or an endorsement for the Dolphins. I'm just saying

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Speaker 4: Patrick Mahomes, He's gonna throw an interception in this game,

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Speaker 4: so I'm gonna bet it.

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Speaker 1: Okay, very good. So we just hammered the crap out

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Speaker 1: of this Germany game. Love it. Let's go to our

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Speaker 1: second round of picks. Brandon, what do you have?

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Speaker 3: I think this is my first prop for the year,

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Speaker 3: at least on this podcast. I'm gonna go with the prop.

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Speaker 3: I want to take Jonathan Taylor over sixty four and

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Speaker 3: a half rushing yards. So I looked hard at Colts

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Speaker 3: Panthers this week. I wanted Colts underfield goal, but is

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Speaker 3: a Frank Reich revenge spot. And honestly, I just picked

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Speaker 3: against the Panthers last week, and I really can't lose

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Speaker 3: the Panthers twice in a row. I can't have that

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Speaker 3: on my record. I looked at the over and I

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Speaker 3: was like, Okay, well, what is it that I like

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Speaker 3: about this game? Why am I eyeing the cult here?

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Speaker 3: Because I don't really love the Colts in general that much.

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Speaker 3: What I like is the rushing matchup. Colts offense is

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Speaker 3: number four in run DVA and the Panthers are dead

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Speaker 3: last defensively against the run. So last week that didn't

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Speaker 3: work for me because the Texans can't run the football anyways.

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Speaker 3: The Colts can run the football. Shane Steichen has brought

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Speaker 3: with him that Eagles run mentality. I wondered coming into

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Speaker 3: the year with that offensive line that had used to

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Speaker 3: be one of the best in the league, could they

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Speaker 3: kind of rebuild and respond under Stichen. I liked it

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Speaker 3: better with Anthony Richardson because it helps to have that

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Speaker 3: running quarterback too, but still been really good line, really

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Speaker 3: good run game understich In, and obviously getting Johnson Taylor

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Speaker 3: back helps a lot. So he came back. First two

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Speaker 3: games he had six carries and eight carries, So I

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Speaker 3: think we're still being a little conservative here. He still

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Speaker 3: is one of the best running backs, maybe the best

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Speaker 3: running back in the NFL. His snap count has slowly

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Speaker 3: been going up, even though the carries haven't necessarily been there.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen percent the first game, then forty two, fifty sixty

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Speaker 3: one percent last week, the first time that he clearly

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Speaker 3: outsnaped Zach Moss. They're kind of splitting on carries, but

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Speaker 3: he's the starter, he's the guy. So last two games,

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Speaker 3: eighteen carries seventy five yards, twelve carries ninety five yards.

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Speaker 3: We only need sixty five. And if you go back

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Speaker 3: when he's the starter, when he's the guy, Taylor has

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Speaker 3: gone over sixty five yards seven straight starts and twenty

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Speaker 3: one of his last twenty four starts eighty eight percent. Like,

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Speaker 3: this number is just too low because we haven't readjusted

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Speaker 3: to what it's supposed to be with Taylor as the starter, right,

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Speaker 3: Like this would be the highest line of the week.

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Speaker 3: We're running back if we were used to him being

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Speaker 3: the starter. We sound gotten there yet, So I think

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Speaker 3: it's a good spot to beat Taylor. You can bet

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Speaker 3: seventy five yards or more at a plus one sixty.

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Speaker 3: I think that might actually be the better bet here.

259
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Speaker 3: I'm gonna go on a record for the over sixty

260
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Speaker 3: four and a half because it's at minus one ten

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Speaker 3: but plus one sixty it's ten more yards. That's like

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Speaker 3: one run. He's done that in nineteen of his last

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Speaker 3: twenty four starts. That's seventy nine percent hit. I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: play both of them. So three thousand escalator over sixty

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Speaker 3: four and a half for Taylor, play the seventy five

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Speaker 3: and a half if you can. Don't keep going from there.

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Speaker 3: He hasn't had too many hundred yard games, but I

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Speaker 3: do think Johnson Taylor has a very nice game this week.

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Speaker 5: So it looks like comparing Taylor and Zach Moss, they're

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Speaker 5: rushing attempts numbers have been about the same the last

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Speaker 5: couple of games. But what might help you too. And

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Speaker 5: I know it's a rushing prop, not a rushing and receiving,

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Speaker 5: but Taylor is outnumbering Moss in passing situations. I only

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Speaker 5: bring that up because, as you said, the touches, the

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Speaker 5: snap count, that all kind.

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Speaker 1: Of factors, and he's seeing the field more.

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Speaker 5: Is the overall point, and it's a sets up for

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Speaker 5: a good matchup against Carolina.

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Speaker 1: I went to that leads to Luke's second pick.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I can go with the Panthers right now. It's

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Speaker 6: plus two and a half. I don't think you need

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Speaker 6: to jump on this one right now. I think you

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Speaker 6: can wait because threes worth showing. I think there's a

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Speaker 6: couple of threes out there right now, but they might

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Speaker 6: pop back up. But this is just a Panthers team

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Speaker 6: that I think they won last week even though they

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Speaker 6: got out gained, and I just think after that bye

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Speaker 6: week in the schedule that they went through prior to it,

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Speaker 6: that they're going to continue to improve every single.

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Speaker 2: Week where they had some really.

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Speaker 6: Tough road games against the Seahawks, Vikings, Lions in Miami,

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Speaker 6: they just got destroyed by all of them, which kind

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Speaker 6: of created a perception that led to them being zero

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Speaker 6: to six, and after the bye week, they were gritty

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Speaker 6: against the Texans. Bryce looked a lot better. He had

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Speaker 6: a game winning drive going against the Colts team that

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Speaker 6: I just have quite a Colts at home on that

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Speaker 6: track or just different beast to me when they go

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Speaker 6: on the road, especially on grass, and Minshew has been serviceable.

300
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Speaker 6: But I'm just gonna continue to take this Panthers team

301
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Speaker 6: that I think we're still getting a good price on

302
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Speaker 6: and this is just another a bypoint for them where

303
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Speaker 6: they continue to win then we'll probably start fading them.

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Speaker 6: But right now, this Panthers team, I think is a

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Speaker 6: bye and a plus two and a half going against

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Speaker 6: the Colts team at home off a win is a

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Speaker 6: good bet for me. So Panthers plus two and a

308
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Speaker 6: half try and get a three, of course, obviously, but

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Speaker 6: two and a half is fine.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 5: I think we're going to head to the touchdown market

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Speaker 5: now with Jill Gallant the touchdown better.

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Speaker 1: What do you have in mind for your second one?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and I'm gonna look right at Ravens Steelers and

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna take Lamar Jackson for an any time touchdown.

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Speaker 4: It's a round plus one twenty five. So Lamar leads

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Speaker 4: the team with red zone carries with nineteen. To put

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Speaker 4: that in perspective, that's thirteenth overall in the NFL. It's

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Speaker 4: only second for all quarterbacks behind Jalen Hurts obviously. Now,

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Speaker 4: the reason why I bring that up is because Lamar

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Speaker 4: is more picking his.

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Speaker 3: Spots this year in the red zone.

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Speaker 4: Last year he only rushed nineteen times in the red

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Speaker 4: zone in twelve games and nine times inside the ten.

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Speaker 4: Well in eight games, he's already surpassed both of those marks.

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Speaker 4: So he's trying to find it. He has five touchdowns

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Speaker 4: this year as opposed to only three last season, and

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Speaker 4: he's crushed it in home games this year six yards

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Speaker 4: per carry compared to four point seven on the road.

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Speaker 4: Three touchdowns and three home games. You could say London

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Speaker 4: is technically a home game. We're not going to count

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Speaker 4: that for this exercise. But the Seahawks defense, I think

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Speaker 4: they're getting a little bit too much shine when you

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Speaker 4: look at who they played over the last four games

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Speaker 4: and their secondary. I think is their secondary is improving,

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Speaker 4: but I think their run defense is a bit overrated.

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Speaker 4: When you look at the schedule and the circumstances of

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Speaker 4: teams they played. You know, they're playing the Giants without

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Speaker 4: Saque for example. This is going to be the best

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Speaker 4: team they have faced all year.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 4: I will say, if you're like, I'm not sure about Lamar,

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Speaker 4: Gus Edwards is right around plus one ten plus one

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Speaker 4: twenty anyway, who has nearly the same odds. He scored

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Speaker 4: three touchdowns last week. It's going to be a running

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Speaker 4: offense or the Ravens in this game, but I think

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Speaker 4: it's going to be the Lamar show. We got to

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Speaker 4: go with Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown at plus one twenty five.

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Speaker 1: All right, very good? Yeah his last yeah right.

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Speaker 5: You mentioned that we're gonna take the London game out

351
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Speaker 5: against Tennessee, but he did have nine carries thirty six

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Speaker 5: yards in the home win that blowout win against Detroit

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Speaker 5: ran for a touchdown as well, and.

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Speaker 4: Early too, because that's the thing about the Ravens is

355
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Speaker 4: that outside of that game last week against the Cardinals,

356
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Speaker 4: they were outscoring opponents fifty five to six in the

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Speaker 4: first quarter entering that game. That was the only game

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Speaker 4: that they've been held to a draw. So you could

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Speaker 4: probably see that hit pretty early.

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Speaker 5: And the beauty of the Ravens now with this new

361
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Speaker 5: Todd Monkin offense is now they can just be more

362
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Speaker 5: multiple and they can catch off guards. So, like you said,

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Speaker 5: they're picking their spots with Lamar and I think that's

364
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Speaker 5: just making them headache to game plan.

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Speaker 4: For last note about the Ravens game and then we

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Speaker 4: can move on. I just wanted to mention that this Sunday,

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Speaker 4: if you're looking for a long shot for a Ravens

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Speaker 4: touchdown score, it is Odell Beckham's birthday on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Okay, little birthday arrati like it.

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Speaker 5: The Action Network podcast is presented by Bett MGM. Use

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Speaker 5: bonus code Action when signing up to get up to

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00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:10,600
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Speaker 5: first bet loses. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

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Speaker 5: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

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00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,840
Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler.

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Speaker 5: Okay, last round of picks and then we'll, of course

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Speaker 5: go to Brandon's look ahead spot for week number ten.

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Speaker 1: Brandon, which a third one.

380
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Speaker 3: I'm sighing on this one because this is my most

381
00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:42,320
Speaker 3: disgusting pick I've made so far this season. I'm a

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00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:46,600
Speaker 3: stale local here in Chicago area. Give me the Chicago

383
00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:51,719
Speaker 3: Bears plus eight and a half at the Saints. Tyson, Beijing, Baby,

384
00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:54,199
Speaker 3: we're doing this thing. I think I owe him a

385
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 3: pick because I believe the first time I ever referred

386
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Speaker 3: to him on on the Action Network podcasting, he literally

387
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Speaker 3: called him ten pagent. So Tyson, you get my money.

388
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Speaker 3: This week because you're facing Derek Carr and Dennis Allen

389
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:08,480
Speaker 3: as eight and a half point favorites. That's what the

390
00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:10,680
Speaker 3: bet is. The bet has nothing to do with Tyson

391
00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:13,680
Speaker 3: or Tyler or any other Beijen family members. They're all

392
00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:16,560
Speaker 3: gonna be at the game. They're gonna be watching Dennis

393
00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:19,159
Speaker 3: Allen as the biggest favorite he's ever been as an

394
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Speaker 3: NFL coach by almost a field goal. And Derek Carr

395
00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:24,200
Speaker 3: is a favorite, And you guys know, I just keep

396
00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:28,960
Speaker 3: betting against Saints' favorites. The Bears, honestly, we tweat them

397
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:32,040
Speaker 3: like they're just absolute trash. That's kind of what they

398
00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,679
Speaker 3: were to start the season. They've been more like fine,

399
00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:38,000
Speaker 3: league average ish for the last month or so. If

400
00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:41,600
Speaker 3: you look at the DVOA the EPA from Week four forward,

401
00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 3: here's where the Bears sit. In EPA. There is a

402
00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:47,760
Speaker 3: tier of teams from thirteen to sixteen. The Bears are

403
00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:50,640
Speaker 3: in that group, so that's just above league average. With

404
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:56,080
Speaker 3: the Bengals, the Dolphins, and ho the Saints, they're like

405
00:18:56,240 --> 00:19:00,679
Speaker 3: basically just fine, just like the Saints are fine, but

406
00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:02,960
Speaker 3: they're getting eight and a half points here. The Bears

407
00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:06,280
Speaker 3: are twelveth in EPA on offense during that stretch, including

408
00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:10,040
Speaker 3: number one running the football, number one rushing success rate.

409
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:14,720
Speaker 3: Saints offense is nineteenth. Bears defense nineteenth. It's not great,

410
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,439
Speaker 3: but it's not as bad as we are tweeting them usually.

411
00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:20,840
Speaker 3: The Saints are tenth. Bears are number one in run defense,

412
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:24,640
Speaker 3: and just added Montez Sweat, who is an awesome run

413
00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:27,879
Speaker 3: stop defensive end as well. These teams both tend to

414
00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:30,800
Speaker 3: skew run heavy, so normally that woudn't matter as much.

415
00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 3: But the Bears are gonna run a lot and the

416
00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,560
Speaker 3: Saints are gonna run too much, and all that run

417
00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 3: defense and offense is gonna go in their favor. This

418
00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:39,400
Speaker 3: is not me saying the Bears are good. The Beers

419
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 3: are not good. They're just not awful anymore. And they're

420
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:44,840
Speaker 3: they're gonna mid kind of like the Saints. So you know,

421
00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,639
Speaker 3: I have the numbers. Dennis Allen as a favorite five

422
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:52,040
Speaker 3: thirteen and one ATS twenty eight percent, has never been

423
00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:54,200
Speaker 3: favored by more than six. It's eight and a half here.

424
00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:58,280
Speaker 3: Derek Carr as a favorite eighteen thirty four and one.

425
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:01,440
Speaker 3: As a favorite ATS thirty five five percent. He has

426
00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:05,280
Speaker 3: not covered thirteen sorry. He has lost outright as a

427
00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,840
Speaker 3: favorite thirteen of his last twenty one times.

428
00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:11,960
Speaker 5: When Derek Carr, can I jump in and add to that? Hey, please,

429
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Speaker 5: I don't know if you're gonna get to this. Once

430
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Speaker 5: I wanted to jump in. Evan Abrams has us in

431
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,680
Speaker 5: his dock that he gives us every week. Derek Carr

432
00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:21,000
Speaker 5: went favored by three or more eight twenty four and

433
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 5: two against the number in his career.

434
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Speaker 3: Continue all yeah, now, that's exactly where he's going to

435
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:29,359
Speaker 3: go next. That's my last dad. Here is when Derek

436
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,679
Speaker 3: Carr is slightly off but more than a three point favorite.

437
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:35,280
Speaker 3: So that one included the three. Obviously we're way above

438
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:37,439
Speaker 3: the three here. When Derek Carr is more than a

439
00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:40,520
Speaker 3: three point favorite lifetime on the money line, straight up

440
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,720
Speaker 3: eleven and eleven. So when he is like the clear

441
00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:47,480
Speaker 3: best team favorite, he is a five hundred quarterback. He's

442
00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:49,960
Speaker 3: lost five to the last six like that. If you

443
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:53,199
Speaker 3: just bet Derek Carr for his career every time that

444
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:54,960
Speaker 3: he was more than a three point favorite, you would

445
00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:57,600
Speaker 3: have a forty four percent ROI on the money line

446
00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:00,320
Speaker 3: last six games, you would have one hundred more than

447
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 3: forty eight percent ROI on the money line. So we're here,

448
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:08,159
Speaker 3: Tyson Bagent, bring the whole family. It's got like a section.

449
00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:11,280
Speaker 3: There's an entire section of agents at these games. I

450
00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 3: am not teasing the Saints team, no way. I think

451
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:17,040
Speaker 3: the Bears can win out right. I'm taking the Bears

452
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 3: plus eight and a half, and I'm absolutely sprinkling the

453
00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 3: money line upset special plus three thirty. I do not

454
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,440
Speaker 3: want any part of the Saints team as huge favorites

455
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:28,360
Speaker 3: at any point.

456
00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:30,240
Speaker 2: I'll take the Bears.

457
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:32,879
Speaker 5: Wow eight and a half, and their team total at

458
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:35,439
Speaker 5: bet MGM this week is sixteen and a half, so

459
00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 5: not far off. You're getting essentially half of what their

460
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:40,399
Speaker 5: total is.

461
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,679
Speaker 3: By the way, one other note, I do think that

462
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:45,639
Speaker 3: you might wait on this one if you like the

463
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 3: Bears angle. I think that this one's risen as the

464
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 3: week is gone on. I was gonna take them at

465
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 3: seven and a half and it keeps moving up. Probably

466
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:54,520
Speaker 3: it's gonna get to nine or nine and a half.

467
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:57,919
Speaker 3: That's a teaser protection spot. So I think if you

468
00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:00,440
Speaker 3: like the Bears and the points, you might have wait

469
00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,440
Speaker 3: a little bit and get another point than there. Though

470
00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 3: nine is not really a huge number, but just I'm going.

471
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,120
Speaker 5: To watch for Okay, yeah, the total in that game

472
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 5: is at forty one points, so typically you know we've

473
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:12,200
Speaker 5: we've done, we've hammered this home. But when you're getting

474
00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 5: a team more than a touchdown and the totals creeping

475
00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 5: down towards forty, who knows it could move up to

476
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,959
Speaker 5: Brandon's point if that number keeps climbing for the Bears,

477
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,280
Speaker 5: oh stinky fun.

478
00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:24,960
Speaker 3: If they don't get this one, he's back to Tyler

479
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,199
Speaker 3: bagent for me. So this is this is for the Tyson.

480
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:32,240
Speaker 1: Okay, have fun watching this game. Let's go to Luke.

481
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 1: What do you got for your last best bet?

482
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:38,679
Speaker 6: So I'm gonna go with the Vikings currently plus four,

483
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:42,880
Speaker 6: who are an underdog at the Falcons, which this one

484
00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:46,400
Speaker 6: is just really just going to the well of an

485
00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 6: overreaction on a backup quarterback. And last week I made

486
00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:52,159
Speaker 6: the mistake of going against the unknown of Levis and

487
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:52,959
Speaker 6: just got burned.

488
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:55,040
Speaker 2: But it's just it.

489
00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:57,360
Speaker 6: If you look at the trends with backup quarterbacks, there's

490
00:22:57,400 --> 00:22:59,440
Speaker 6: just always an overreaction. With the Vikings, I think we're

491
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,560
Speaker 6: mine one and a half before Cousins got hurt and

492
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 6: now they're plus four, which backup qbs against the spread

493
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 6: are nineteen and six in their first start, they're eight

494
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 6: and two against the spread, and then an underdogs of

495
00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:16,280
Speaker 6: three plus or eleven and three against the spread. So

496
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:19,119
Speaker 6: backup quarterbacks just always have.

497
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:20,560
Speaker 2: An overreaction against the spread.

498
00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:23,720
Speaker 6: And this is another one where this Vikings team is

499
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:26,840
Speaker 6: still top ten in offensive line. They have a top

500
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,880
Speaker 6: tight end, and then this Falcons team has Grady Jarrett out,

501
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:32,440
Speaker 6: which I think is very underrated. He's probably their most

502
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:36,880
Speaker 6: impactful defensive player. And then Heiniki has just historically hated

503
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:38,639
Speaker 6: the blitz and he's going against the defense that is

504
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:44,199
Speaker 6: blitzing at historical rates. This Vikings defense hasn't better. I

505
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:47,800
Speaker 6: think it's somewhat skewed because the top teams that they

506
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 6: went against just burned them. But against the mediocre teams

507
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,159
Speaker 6: like the Bucks, the Panthers, and the Packers, all three

508
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,399
Speaker 6: of those team had their worst performances of the season.

509
00:23:56,840 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 6: So this Vikings defense is rmorable with a backup quarterback

510
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:06,280
Speaker 6: that hopefully he surprises us, but if not, they really

511
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,199
Speaker 6: aren't gonna have to score a ton to cover this

512
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 6: number at four and a half, So Vikings plus four

513
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 6: and a half.

514
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,040
Speaker 5: Well and the game that they did play well in

515
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 5: the last we saw have Kirk Cousins in a big

516
00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,439
Speaker 5: spot was the Monday night game against San Francisco. That

517
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:23,119
Speaker 5: defense was swallowing up that San fran offense that made

518
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,480
Speaker 5: Brock Purty look pretty pretty ordinary.

519
00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:28,720
Speaker 1: Okay, Jill, take us home your last best bet.

520
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:31,800
Speaker 4: Okay, so you if you're not being able to see

521
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,159
Speaker 4: us on video, I am wearing a Cowboys sweater. So

522
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:37,160
Speaker 4: we're going to go to the Eagles and Cowboys game,

523
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,080
Speaker 4: and I'm going to take Davonte Smith for an any

524
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 4: time touchdown round two to one. So he's got three

525
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,439
Speaker 4: touchdowns this year. He caught a touchdown last week. But

526
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 4: why we like Davante in this spot is because of

527
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,520
Speaker 4: the snapcounts. He plays over ninety five percent of the

528
00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 4: snap so he rarely comes off the field, whereas a J. Brown,

529
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:55,440
Speaker 4: who's going to get all the attention, all the shine,

530
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 4: he still is only playing about eighty five percent snaps.

531
00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,600
Speaker 4: He's not out there for every running down, and he's

532
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 4: been extremely overshadowed by AJ Brown, which is why we're

533
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 4: getting these two to one odds. And also I think

534
00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:08,160
Speaker 4: as part of this is the Cowboys defense, which has

535
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 4: a little bit better of a secondary with Stefan, Gilmour

536
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:13,520
Speaker 4: and Bland, much better than what the Commanders were able

537
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:15,199
Speaker 4: to put out there. But I don't think it's going

538
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:18,680
Speaker 4: to matter because the Cowboys secondary, somebody who's probably a

539
00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 4: little too close to the source material, has many weak

540
00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:24,720
Speaker 4: moments in critical games. We've seen when they play upper

541
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:27,639
Speaker 4: echelon opponents that they can get picked apart Niners and

542
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 4: the George Kittle and Brandon and I are a perfect

543
00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:34,080
Speaker 4: example of just being completely diced up. And from a

544
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 4: historical standpoint, DeVante actually scored in both games versus Dallas

545
00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:41,439
Speaker 4: last year, and I expect the Eagles probably to have

546
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,120
Speaker 4: to chuck it a little bit in the second half

547
00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:46,359
Speaker 4: to either hold off this late Cowboys run or to

548
00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:49,680
Speaker 4: play catch ups. So DeVante Smith anytime touchdown at two

549
00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 4: to one, I think is the best touchdown bet to

550
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:52,480
Speaker 4: make in that game.

551
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 5: Okay, excellent, that's the nine picks three from each of

552
00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 5: these guys.

553
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 1: We close as we always do.

554
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:03,239
Speaker 5: With Brandon Anderson look aheadline for Week ten, and I

555
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 5: was surprised when you put this in the dock. I

556
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 5: had to look at it four or five times and think,

557
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:09,880
Speaker 5: wait a second, that can't be right.

558
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:14,400
Speaker 3: Explain please, I'm curious which part you think can't be right.

559
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,440
Speaker 3: So I'll make the pick first, then you can respond.

560
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:19,800
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the Detroit Lions plus one and a

561
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:21,880
Speaker 3: half at the Chargers next week.

562
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 1: That's my question. Why are the Why are the Lions underdogs?

563
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:27,439
Speaker 3: It's a great question, that's why we're picking them.

564
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:28,120
Speaker 2: I don't know either.

565
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 3: I'm very confused. I don't know why they're underdogs. Thank

566
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:35,159
Speaker 3: you for validating my pick because I had to look

567
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 3: at the line also. I was like, wait, what, I

568
00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 3: think this line must be outdated. Where's the all at

569
00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:42,040
Speaker 3: this book as well? Oh? Plus one plus one and

570
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,720
Speaker 3: a half over here? I don't understand. I don't know

571
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 3: why the Lions are underdogs. The Lions don't even play

572
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:49,720
Speaker 3: this weekend. The Lions are on a bye week, which

573
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,720
Speaker 3: they badly need because they have had running back injuries,

574
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:57,000
Speaker 3: They've had offensive line injuries, defensive injuries. They keep kind

575
00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,119
Speaker 3: of sorting through bodies and I think we're gonna get

576
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:03,199
Speaker 3: a lot healthier the buye and we've seen specifically this

577
00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 3: offense under Ben Johnson really take off after the buy

578
00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 3: when they can sort of self scout and really learn

579
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:09,120
Speaker 3: what they're doing.

580
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:09,440
Speaker 1: Well.

581
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 3: Now they get to play the Chargers, who I don't

582
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:15,320
Speaker 3: know if they scout anything like brands daily making a

583
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 3: bad name for Brandon's out here. They're twenty seventh in

584
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 3: DBOA on defense. The Chargers can't stop a nosebleed right now.

585
00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 3: So we got Ben Johnson's offense against whatever Brandon Staley's

586
00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:28,280
Speaker 3: defense is doing. Like I think they're gonna light up

587
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:31,920
Speaker 3: the pass defense we've seen almost every week Ben Johnson

588
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:35,800
Speaker 3: dials up something where Jared Goff has suddenly thrown downfield

589
00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:38,440
Speaker 3: to a dude wide open, like some great play scheme

590
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 3: or something getting wide open guys. Chargers, by the way,

591
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 3: play Monday Night. So the Chargers have a short week

592
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 3: in New York where they face the Jets defense, who

593
00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:50,480
Speaker 3: have made a lot of teams look pretty bad. I

594
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,479
Speaker 3: kind of like the Jets there. It's my favorite teaser

595
00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:55,520
Speaker 3: spot of the week. So you get the Chargers maybe

596
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,120
Speaker 3: even lose against the Jets or at least look bad.

597
00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:01,679
Speaker 3: Justin Herbert's not been good. Four interceptions the last four weeks.

598
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 3: He's got that finger injury. He's only fourteenth in EPA

599
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:08,240
Speaker 3: plus CPOE during last stretch kenn of my All in

600
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:11,160
Speaker 3: one QB metric. That's behind Jared Goff, by the way.

601
00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:14,600
Speaker 3: It's also just for reference right between Justin the Fields

602
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,440
Speaker 3: and Desmin Ritter. So that's how Justin Herbert is playing

603
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 3: right now. Congrats on that Chargers. I don't know. I

604
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 3: don't know why the Chargers are favored here. I don't

605
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 3: think they will be, by the way. Maybe their favorite

606
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 3: because it's in LA. No, the Chargers don't have home

607
00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:32,160
Speaker 3: field advantage. The detroit will have more fans in Los

608
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,400
Speaker 3: Angeles than the Chargers will. Their fans have traveled great

609
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:37,880
Speaker 3: this season. It's like a Lion's home game. I think

610
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 3: the Lions should be favored, and they will be favored.

611
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 3: Lions don't move this far usually, but I kind of

612
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 3: think the Lions should be favored by like the field goal,

613
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 3: and we might even hit a key number if this

614
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 3: moves the right way. So give me the Lions plus

615
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:52,760
Speaker 3: one and a half. I don't understand it either.

616
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:55,840
Speaker 6: Jared Goff's old home, like, he's not gonna be outdoors,

617
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:56,800
Speaker 6: he's gonna be on turf.

618
00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 2: Used to play there, good.

619
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 1: Point, good ad, and yeah, just looking at the Chargers.

620
00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 1: So first, so, first of all. Like you said, I

621
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:05,360
Speaker 1: couldn't believe that.

622
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 5: Second of all, they missed Mike Williams like that, they're

623
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,560
Speaker 5: not right without Williams. They're still trying to figure out

624
00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 5: their wide receiver group. They clearly miss his downfield presence.

625
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 5: And then to your point about the teams that go

626
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,320
Speaker 5: in there that play. They lost to the Dolphins. That

627
00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 5: was week one. Okay, we'll give them week one shoot up.

628
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,080
Speaker 5: But I'm sure there are more Dolphins fans there.

629
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 1: Dallas at home.

630
00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 5: That's a Dallas home game without question. And then again

631
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 5: they played Chicago so in their their home.

632
00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 1: Based on that, I mean.

633
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:38,080
Speaker 3: Chicago allowd fans there too, Like it's just you're in

634
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 3: Los Angeles there there are no Chargers fans. Sorry, Charger

635
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 3: fan that's listening to this podcast. I've offended the one

636
00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 3: person out there, Like we saw the Chargers fan, like

637
00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 3: the woman on TV that one day we saw her.

638
00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 3: That's they found the Chargers fan. Everybody else is just

639
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 3: like everybody that lives in Los Angeles. That's like, oh cool,

640
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:58,080
Speaker 3: my Bears are finally in town for the one time

641
00:29:58,120 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 3: in four years. I'm gonna go see them now, Like

642
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 3: that's what's gonna happen here. So Detroit fans honestly, though

643
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 3: even not in Los Angeles. I don't normally even think

644
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 3: I would notice this, but Detroit fans are showing up

645
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:13,880
Speaker 3: game after game, like in Green Bay. Detroit fans were

646
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 3: loud at Lambeau on that I think Thursday night game

647
00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 3: in Green Bay, like where the fans are all known

648
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,720
Speaker 3: for it being great. I could not believe Lions fans

649
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:25,480
Speaker 3: were like loud at the end of that game and

650
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 3: impacting Packers player. So if they're gonna show up in

651
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:30,600
Speaker 3: a division arrival, I have to believe they're gonna be

652
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 3: in Los Angeles too.

653
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:35,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, and recent take the Bears game out recency bias

654
00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 5: too against good defense is Dallas Kansas City seventeen points

655
00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 5: in each of those games.

656
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:40,920
Speaker 1: And it's a short week for the Chargers.

657
00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 5: So if you haven't learned already, Brandon gives out this

658
00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 5: line now so you can play it in case the

659
00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 5: Jets do handle the Chargers, make them look ordinary in

660
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,480
Speaker 5: that line potentially flips and the Lions become favorites. That

661
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 5: wouldn't surprise anybody, I don't think, So okay, very good.

662
00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:56,840
Speaker 1: There's a look aheadline that is.

663
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 5: Going to do it for this week's NFL Best bet

664
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:03,000
Speaker 5: episode here on the Action Network podcast. All set for

665
00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 5: week number nine, we are presented by our friends at MGM.

666
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 5: If you missed it, the full betting preview from Stucky

667
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:13,040
Speaker 5: and Raybond the Sunday six Pack is available now on

668
00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:16,160
Speaker 5: the Action Network podcast. And also look forward to Jill

669
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:20,000
Speaker 5: and Evan Abrams who we referenced earlier. They are along

670
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 5: for the ride. On Monday morning, they'll have the betting

671
00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 5: recap recap episode from the weekend. Brandon jumps in as

672
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:30,680
Speaker 5: well for his hot read, So again, stay tuned for

673
00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:33,280
Speaker 5: those don't forget to download the free award winning Action

674
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,720
Speaker 5: Network app to see all these guys picks others that

675
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:39,120
Speaker 5: contribute to Action Network's NFL team so you can track

676
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 5: your own best of luck this weekend.

677
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:42,800
Speaker 1: We'll talk to you again next week for Brandon Luke

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00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 1: and Jill Brendan. Last sheet.

679
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,600
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Action Network podcast and presented

680
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 5: by bet MGM.

681
00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

682
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

683
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler