1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:15,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live 2 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: from the heart of Silicon Valley with ed La though 3 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: in Van Francisco. 4 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. 5 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 3: Open Ai unveils its first custom AI chip called Kalapino, 6 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,520 Speaker 3: developed in partnership with Broadcom, plus s k Highnex's plane 7 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:36,159 Speaker 3: to raise twenty nine billion dollars in a landmark US listing, 8 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:40,199 Speaker 3: racing to increased capacity to meet memory chip demand, and 9 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 3: Cerebrus reports quarterly earnings for the first time since going public. 10 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 3: CEO Andrew Feldman joins us later this hour. Let's get 11 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 3: to our top story custom Silicon open ai is tackling 12 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 3: one of AI's biggest challenges, the supply and costs of computing. 13 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 3: The company unveiled Kalapino Intelligence process. So that's the wafer, 14 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 3: a custom AI chip developed with broad coomp which the 15 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 3: companies say carries a fifty percent lower cost versus a 16 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 3: typical AIGPU. The focus faster, cheaper AI inference shares a 17 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 3: broad Open pretty higher round two percent. We're off session highs, 18 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 3: but still up a percentage point or so. In a 19 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 3: market where tech at the index level kind of flat. 20 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 3: This is outperformance. Blinbo Tech editor Seth Figgerman is here 21 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 3: with the details. This is the big picture, right, open 22 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 3: ai is compute constrained, heavily reliant on Nvidia. 23 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 2: They want to diversify. What do we need to know? 24 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, that's very I think, you know, Opening I wants 25 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 4: to own more of the infrastructure stack, have more flexibility here, 26 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 4: and then I think importantly, use the expertise that it's 27 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 4: developed into what makes air models run better and more 28 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 4: efficiently and apply that to the hardware and the same 29 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 4: way that I think we're seeing Google do with its TPUs, 30 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 4: and the hope would be that over time they can 31 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 4: build a chip that's more cost efficient and also better 32 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 4: performing and eventually cuts down its own costs. 33 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 3: Bloomberg News spoke to both Hocktan the CEO of Broadcom, 34 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 3: and open ai is hardware chief. I guess you know, 35 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:09,920 Speaker 3: from raw Comm's perspective, there was quite a lot of 36 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 3: fighting talk. Right, they see a lot of demand for 37 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 3: a six or custom silicon. But what was interesting to 38 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 3: me is hock Tans saying to us they see a 39 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 3: world where every frontier lab goes to have a custom chip. 40 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 2: Why yeah, I mean. 41 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 4: It gets back to what we said about Openny a 42 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 4: minie ago, I think giving them the versatility to kind 43 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 4: of control their infrastructure stack and build customer hardware that 44 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,799 Speaker 4: meets their needs. And now I think Hocktan's com and 45 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 4: he's saying there's not that many of these frontier model developers. 46 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 4: So I think agree between the lines we're kind of 47 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 4: talking about. Is anthropic, I'm going to move in this 48 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 4: direction and that's certainly possibility. And to your other point, 49 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 4: I think Hocktan sounds quite bullish generally on the prospects 50 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 4: for this chip and chips like it going forward. He 51 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:53,080 Speaker 4: sees no limit to the demand for this kind of 52 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 4: infrastructure and is predicting that the demand and roll out 53 00:02:57,280 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 4: for this chip next year will exceed his prior estimates 54 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 4: for one point three gigawads to supply on. 55 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:06,240 Speaker 3: The open AI side, it's the latest example of them 56 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 3: being prepared to spend. Did we get any sense from 57 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:13,679 Speaker 3: our conversation with the company about how this custom chip 58 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:17,120 Speaker 3: will rank in their overall plan for compute, whether it's leasing, 59 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 3: data center, buying and video chips, et cetera. 60 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:21,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, they remain pretty tight. Lop DOWNE what 61 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 4: the financing for this will look like. We have previously 62 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 4: reported that Opening I planned to spend tens of billions 63 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 4: of dollars on these chips, with Broadcom part of its 64 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:33,119 Speaker 4: hundreds of billions of dollars in infrastructure commitments. Seeing Broadcom 65 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 4: has previously said that they were standing up a chip 66 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 4: financing vehicle that could help Opening I's efforts, but it's 67 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:41,880 Speaker 4: unclear that's the primary financing mechanism for what Opening I 68 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 4: will do here. 69 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's AI editor Seth Figemann, thank you very much. Indeed, 70 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 3: s k Heinez plans to raise twenty nine point four 71 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 3: billion dollars in its US market debut, a deal large 72 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 3: enough to rank among the top five share sales of 73 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 3: all time. The listing comes at a time when markets 74 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 3: are hungry for memory chips and semicindut to companies are 75 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 3: rushing for capital to expand capacity meet that demand. The 76 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 3: BOS Peter Elstrom, who leads our coverage of Asia tech, 77 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:12,120 Speaker 3: joins us that's part of it, right, Expand memory fab 78 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 3: capacity raise a lot of money. There's also this idea 79 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:20,159 Speaker 3: of like valuation and prestige of an ADR situation where 80 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 3: you get exposure to American investors. 81 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 5: Yeah, that's right. 82 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 6: Sk Heinez is a company we don't talk about that 83 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 6: often on the show. Obviously a leading memory chip company, 84 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 6: but they often play second fiddle to Samsung, even in 85 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:37,039 Speaker 6: South Korea. But what we've seen from them over the 86 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:39,479 Speaker 6: past three years is really they've come from quite far 87 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 6: behind to essentially the same market cap size as Samsung 88 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 6: at this point. And that's largely because they've been so 89 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 6: successful in these memory chips for AI applications that HBM 90 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:54,559 Speaker 6: chips that we've talked about before. They especially HBM chips 91 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 6: are DRAM chips stacked on top of each other, and 92 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 6: their technology for doing that stacking has been very good. 93 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 2: They got Nvidia's blessing. 94 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 6: They've been able to jump ahead of Samsung in that 95 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 6: market quite effectively. 96 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 5: Samsung has struggled a little bit. 97 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:10,360 Speaker 6: So now what we're seeing with this twenty nine billion 98 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 6: dollar fundraising is really them announcing to the US, hey, 99 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,720 Speaker 6: that they're ready to raise this kind of capital. They 100 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 6: want more exposure in the US and yeah, they'd like 101 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:21,719 Speaker 6: more of that pe multiple that you see with the 102 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 6: US tech companies too. They've traded at a discount to that. 103 00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 6: If they get some of that ADR exposure, that may 104 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 6: give them a little more opportunity to increase that valuation, and. 105 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 3: Just on the mechanics, Peter, so it will be ADRs 106 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 3: I believe, on the Nasdaq. So we have a timeline 107 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 3: for this. And how much of a surprise was it 108 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 3: that sk plowed ahead with this. 109 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 6: Well, it's certainly they've talked about wanting to raise money 110 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:48,680 Speaker 6: in the US for a while, so I think in 111 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:51,599 Speaker 6: terms of direction, this has been expected. I think in 112 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 6: terms of magnitude, it's a bit of a surprise though 113 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 6: it's a lot of money. As you mentioned, it could 114 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:59,600 Speaker 6: be one of the top five offerings of its kind. Ever, 115 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:03,480 Speaker 6: they plan to start trading these ADRs on July tenth. 116 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 6: They've talked about that. They still have a couple of 117 00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 6: steps to go before they formally do that, but that's 118 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 6: the plan. At this point, they'd be able to raise 119 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 6: that money and then, as you say, they really want 120 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 6: to spend this money and trying to solve this choke 121 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:16,919 Speaker 6: point that they've had in the AI industry where memory 122 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 6: chips are in short supply. Prices have been soaring, which 123 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:22,799 Speaker 6: is driving profits for a bunch of companies, including Micron, 124 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 6: as we'll see after the bell today. But they want 125 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:27,360 Speaker 6: to be able to build additional capacity in South Korea. 126 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:30,159 Speaker 6: They're also expanding in the United States, where they have 127 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 6: some facilities too. 128 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Tech Executive Editor details from Thank you very Much. 129 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 3: The AI hardware story and memory in particular are set 130 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:41,840 Speaker 3: to dominate market conversation today. We've got the perfect person 131 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 3: to speak about it. Selin Wu is a portfolio manager 132 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:47,839 Speaker 3: on Lazard Asset Management's Global Robotics and Automation team. She 133 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 3: manages the firms tech in Ai Focus ETF, called TECHI 134 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 3: or TEKY and actively managed ETF where sk Heinex and 135 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:58,040 Speaker 3: its career and shares are the top holding. 136 00:06:58,040 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 2: Welcome to the program, Thanks for having me. 137 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 3: The situation with the memory makers is fascinating. 138 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 2: Demand is exceeding supply. 139 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 3: Historically, that's an enviable position to be in, and the 140 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 3: shares of those companies probably reflect that. How do you 141 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 3: see investor appetite to be exposed to the memory trade? 142 00:07:18,680 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean the shares have been fantastic, But even 143 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 7: after that, I think memory stocks still love for a 144 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 7: very compelling investment case. And here's why. I don't think 145 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 7: it's necessarily just driven by temporary supply bottlenecks. Instead, I 146 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 7: think there's something structured going on in the cycle. For example, 147 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 7: memory's strate peagic value is rising and changing to a 148 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:46,920 Speaker 7: primary driver for performance. Think about how cloudsher providers, one 149 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 7: of their largest clients. They're still adding more memory despite 150 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 7: the price of inflation because this is still the most 151 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 7: cost efficient way to maximize their system level performance. And 152 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 7: when of the when token demand, excuse me, the token 153 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 7: demand is rising on the back of the inference as 154 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 7: well as agent the AI. I think the bottlenecks in 155 00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 7: terms of the capacity and bendwidth are becoming even more challenging, 156 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 7: and this is a place where memory can come in 157 00:08:15,000 --> 00:08:16,880 Speaker 7: and help navigate those challenges. 158 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 3: Does it matter that investors will have the opportunity to 159 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:25,880 Speaker 3: have US listed shares ADRs of sk How does that 160 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 3: kind of change the mechanics of the market for you 161 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 3: as well? 162 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean a clearly the more exposure to more 163 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:36,080 Speaker 7: diverse type of shareholder base is clearly a very positive 164 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:40,439 Speaker 7: indication for any company in the world, especially when your fundamentals, 165 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:44,439 Speaker 7: when your fundamentals are improving. So yeah, super exciting us 166 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 7: and looking forward to the development. 167 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 3: A couple of months ago, sitting down with Jensen Wong 168 00:08:49,040 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 3: and I said to him, do we even need the 169 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:56,239 Speaker 3: textbooks anymore? That would tell us historically memory is cyclical, 170 00:08:56,520 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 3: it is boom and bust. All of the evidence suggests 171 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 3: that in the context of HBM going into data center, 172 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:04,240 Speaker 3: it just doesn't behave the same way. 173 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:05,719 Speaker 2: What is your thesis on that? 174 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 7: I mean, I agree with that. I mean, like I said, 175 00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 7: there's something structural going on. Yes, there is certain type 176 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:16,200 Speaker 7: of cyclicality going on indoor market. But at the end 177 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 7: of at the end of the day, what you need 178 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 7: to remembered is structure side of booth, demand and supply, 179 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 7: and think about the supply side. 180 00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 2: Despite the fact that all the three. 181 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:29,559 Speaker 7: Major companies are scrambling to add new supply, there are 182 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 7: three factors that you have to remember. Number one, manufacturing intensity. 183 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 7: Manufacturing complexity is rising. Number two, capital intensity to open 184 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 7: a new fab is getting more expensive, and number three 185 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 7: the difficulty of technology and migration all together pointing out 186 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 7: that overall supply demand balance will stay in favor of 187 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 7: the memory stocks. I mean, I think that's really great. 188 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 3: I'd love to talk about your actively managed ETF for 189 00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:59,319 Speaker 3: a moment. T e k y Techy Techy I launched 190 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 3: last April, write sixty million in assets currently. What I 191 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:05,680 Speaker 3: find so interesting about the composition of it is something 192 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 3: we've talked about quite recently on the show. There are 193 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 3: the capital expenditure deployers and there are the capital expenditure 194 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:14,599 Speaker 3: recipients in the same basket when you look at the 195 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:19,119 Speaker 3: top holdings. Is that a conscious, active decision on composition. 196 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 7: I think it's the composition from our bottom up stock 197 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 7: selection and portfolio construction. But like you said, that's exactly 198 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 7: where majority of the capital is invested in currently. On 199 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:33,679 Speaker 7: one hand, there are big spenders, big kip expenders that 200 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 7: are trying to build new competitive positioning in this AI 201 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 7: homage pace. But on the other hand, we find a 202 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:44,200 Speaker 7: lot of exciting opportunities on the companies that we see 203 00:10:44,280 --> 00:10:47,960 Speaker 7: these capitals AI hardware supply chain, for example. I think 204 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 7: that's why there's more to come. In fact, we just 205 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 7: recently came from Asia where we sat down with a 206 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:57,320 Speaker 7: number of different companies into supply chain. Everyone is telling 207 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:01,679 Speaker 7: us how they are seeing an extended visibility from customers, 208 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 7: how there are more conversations about ltas. Everything collectively is 209 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:12,280 Speaker 7: highlighting that demand continues to substantially exceed the supply and 210 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:15,320 Speaker 7: the AI demand outlook remains pretty robust as well. 211 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:18,440 Speaker 3: For in the ETF context, it's a very competitive market. 212 00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:22,480 Speaker 3: How closely are you thinking about flows? And again, I 213 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 3: think people give you a lot of credit Sealine for 214 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:28,359 Speaker 3: identifying sk as being just critical to the broader infrastructure 215 00:11:28,400 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 3: build out right now, But you know what happens next 216 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 3: to your mind? How do you see the world changing 217 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 3: in the next I guess six months to twelve months. 218 00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:40,680 Speaker 7: I mean even more than that. I mean that's why 219 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:43,560 Speaker 7: we focus on AI tech stack, and at the top 220 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 7: of the step we have application layer and this is, 221 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 7: for example, where we are going to expect really large 222 00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:54,080 Speaker 7: opportunities from physical AI. We think physical AI is going 223 00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:59,200 Speaker 7: to be multi trillion dollars long term opportunity. Essentially, AI 224 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 7: is in because it's a primary driver for productivity gains, 225 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:09,359 Speaker 7: and historically productivity growths tend to translate to massive economic expansions. 226 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 7: I think the same thing is going to happen for AI. 227 00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 7: All the innovation we're seeing today is eventually going to 228 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:19,439 Speaker 7: open up very significant new end markets in physical AI, 229 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:23,719 Speaker 7: such as fully autonomous transformation transportations as well as a 230 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 7: humanoid robot. That's why we're really excited about physical AI 231 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:32,320 Speaker 7: and in the meantime, that being said, it will still 232 00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 7: take a couple of years for this to turn into 233 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 7: actual corporate earnings. So here's what we focus on instead. 234 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:43,000 Speaker 7: Companies with vertically interiorted the manufacturing excellence that can speak 235 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 7: to the market with scale advantage for example, or open 236 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 7: source platform that can expedite the excelevation adoption and everything. 237 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 7: And lastly, global technology companies that can massively benefit from 238 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 7: the mass adoption of the application in it sulf something 239 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:02,359 Speaker 7: to watch is something we're still pretty excited about. 240 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 3: Seline Wu from Lazard Asseid Management, first time on Bloomberg Tech. 241 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:08,440 Speaker 3: Really grateful to have you here, Thank you very much. Indeed, 242 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:12,360 Speaker 3: now coming up, Meta and Microsoft are leading the spending 243 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:16,559 Speaker 3: spree on future data center leases, adding tens of billions 244 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:18,760 Speaker 3: of dollars just last quarter alone. We'll get into the 245 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 3: details next. This is Bloomberg Tech. Okay, today's big number, 246 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:37,120 Speaker 3: eight hundred and fifty billion dollars. That's how much the 247 00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 3: world's largest cloud computing companies have committed in future data 248 00:13:41,280 --> 00:13:44,800 Speaker 3: center leases. Leading the charge in the AI spending spree, 249 00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 3: Meta and Microsoft both committing tens of billions more just 250 00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 3: last quarter. Bloombo's Brodie Ford has an astonishing story and 251 00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 3: a hell of a. 252 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:54,640 Speaker 2: Chart to show us. 253 00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:57,280 Speaker 3: What I find interesting about this is that these are 254 00:13:57,400 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 3: future leases, essentially leases planned or announced separate from what 255 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 3: is already in operation, what they are already contractually committed to. 256 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 8: It's a really good point, right, So we're talking about 257 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 8: eight hundred and fifty billion on data centers, which in 258 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:16,000 Speaker 8: many cases aren't even built yet. It's they are working 259 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 8: through their current projects they have, and these are the 260 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 8: ones that they've committed to leasing once they're operational. And 261 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:25,440 Speaker 8: so a lot of people wonder about what's the long 262 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 8: term spending trajectory on data centers? How long does this last? Well, 263 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 8: there's eight hundred and fifty billion dollars of leases that 264 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 8: are going to be starting in the coming years. 265 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:37,640 Speaker 3: So when I was reading the story, I was trying 266 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 3: to understand the future costs. It's an amazing chart, by 267 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 3: the way, we're just showing on the screen right now, 268 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:47,440 Speaker 3: like the level of capital and it's the commitment grows. 269 00:14:47,600 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 3: But where did their current financial healths and balance sheet 270 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 3: stand relative to those future commitments. 271 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:56,920 Speaker 2: Is there a concern about that? 272 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:00,840 Speaker 8: I think there's a lot of concern that seem to 273 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:05,600 Speaker 8: always ebb and flow around the ROI of all this spending, right. 274 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 8: I mean, it feels like every quarter or two the 275 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 8: general sentiment flips about whether the market's worried or not, 276 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 8: but every hyperscaler seems to agree that they must spend 277 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 8: an incredible amount to catch up an AI to have 278 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 8: enough data center capacity. I think about Microsoft, who through 279 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 8: a lot of twenty twenty five said we're nervous, we're 280 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 8: actually going to put on ice a lot of these leases, 281 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:30,280 Speaker 8: and they've come to regret it pretty deeply. And I 282 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 8: think a lot of the biggest tech companies, as we 283 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 8: can see in this chart, are hoping to avoid that 284 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:36,320 Speaker 8: kind of scenario. 285 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 3: Microsoft added forty one billion dollars in commitments to a 286 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:42,640 Speaker 3: total of almost one hundred and ninety seven billion dollars. 287 00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 3: Compare and can trust really quick Oracle. 288 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 8: Oracle's very interesting because they signed a ton of leases, 289 00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 8: largely for open AI, and they've been flat for the 290 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:55,880 Speaker 8: last two quarters, which says to us that they're digesting 291 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:58,880 Speaker 8: a lot of capacity, contrasted with somebody like Meta, who 292 00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 8: is just signing as much much as they seem to 293 00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 8: be able. 294 00:16:01,160 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 3: To Bloombanks, Brady Ford, thank you very much. Just get 295 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 3: out to New York where bloom Bek Jihara and and 296 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 3: is standing by Hi. 297 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 9: Yahara, Hi ed It's time now for talking tech. First 298 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:15,000 Speaker 9: up Softbanks. Masayoshi Sun says he has no plans to 299 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 9: retire anytime soon as he looks to capitalize on the 300 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 9: AI boom. Speaking at an annual shareholder meeting, the sixty 301 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 9: eight year old visionary fired back at skeptics, saying, quote, 302 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:29,480 Speaker 9: the AI revolution has only just begun. Calling it a 303 00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 9: bubble is an insult plus and the latest showdown between 304 00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 9: Chinese big tech and national security. Ali Baba has sued 305 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 9: the US Defense Department demanding removal from its blacklists. The 306 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 9: e commerce giant called a designation arbitrary and unjustified, following 307 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 9: a US crackdown earlier this month that accused several of 308 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:54,760 Speaker 9: China's top companies of aiding Beijing's military, and TikTok parent 309 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:57,960 Speaker 9: by Dance is in early talks to secure a record 310 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:01,280 Speaker 9: twenty billion dollars global loan. Well the exact use of 311 00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:05,440 Speaker 9: the proceeds remains unclear. The massive borrowing push comes as 312 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:09,360 Speaker 9: the company wis boosting data center and AI capital. 313 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 2: Spending ed Thank you very much, you Hira. 314 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:15,159 Speaker 3: Now coming up on the program defense startup, Hadrian discusses 315 00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 3: new funding at a seven point five billion dollar valuation 316 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:22,160 Speaker 3: that would be four times its past or latest value. 317 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 2: We're going to discuss that next. This is Bloomberg Tech. 318 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:42,679 Speaker 3: Can AI replace human effort in the realm of scientific discovery? 319 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 2: In the latest episode of The Circuit. 320 00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:47,639 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Emily Chang spoke to Jennifer Dowdner, the inventor of 321 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:52,639 Speaker 3: the groundbreaking crispher gene editing technology, about the future of biology. 322 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:53,119 Speaker 2: Listened to this. 323 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:57,199 Speaker 10: Biology is complex. We're not going to be able to 324 00:17:57,320 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 10: simulate our way to an understanding of the human. We're 325 00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:03,239 Speaker 10: not going to be able to avoid the need for 326 00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:06,399 Speaker 10: certain types of testing. I do think there are opportunities 327 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 10: to increase the efficiency in which we make discoveries about 328 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:14,400 Speaker 10: the way our bodies work and the way they interact 329 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 10: with drugs that will be effective, and I think AI 330 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 10: will be helpful there. But it's going to come down 331 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:21,439 Speaker 10: to training models on the right kind of data, and 332 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:25,479 Speaker 10: a big need for better and more data for training 333 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:26,680 Speaker 10: models if we want to achieve that. 334 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 9: An Open AI executive recently suggested that if a discovery 335 00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:33,560 Speaker 9: happens on chat GPT, let's say a drug discovery that 336 00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:35,640 Speaker 9: open AI should get a cut of sales. 337 00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 11: What do you think of that? 338 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:42,400 Speaker 10: Good luck expand how are chatbots going to change drug discovery? 339 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 10: I'm not sure the answer to that yet. 340 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 5: I don't know. 341 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:47,040 Speaker 10: Lots of people are, of course, very very hopeful, so 342 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:50,679 Speaker 10: I'm very helpeful about it. But I think that innovation 343 00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 10: is still really in the domain of human beings right now. 344 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 10: I'm not seeing chatbots in our own experience innovating. They 345 00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:01,320 Speaker 10: can be helpful with summer rising data, that can be 346 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:04,240 Speaker 10: helpful in writing reports and things of that nature, but 347 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 10: I'm not seeing chatbots coming up with a brand new 348 00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:09,600 Speaker 10: idea for something that nobody else ever thought of. 349 00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 2: So you're saying AI can't innovate. 350 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:14,480 Speaker 10: I don't know if it can't innovate, I just don't 351 00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:15,440 Speaker 10: think it is right now. 352 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:17,280 Speaker 2: What about after the AGI moment? 353 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,320 Speaker 10: Well, I never say never, so maybe that'll happen, but 354 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:21,399 Speaker 10: I'm not holding my breath. 355 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:25,119 Speaker 3: That was Bloomberg's Emily Chang speaking with Jennifer Dowdner, Nobel 356 00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:29,040 Speaker 3: Laureate and founder of Innovative Genomics Institute. What's the four 357 00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:32,359 Speaker 3: episode on Bloomberg Television tonight at six pm Eastern or 358 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 3: on Bloomberg Originals at eight pm Eastern time. Defense manufacturing 359 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,399 Speaker 3: start up Hadrian has been in talks to more than 360 00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:44,640 Speaker 3: quadruple its valuation in a new funding round, according to sources, 361 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's venture reporter of BEC and Torrents and I teamed 362 00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:48,720 Speaker 3: up on this one. 363 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:50,160 Speaker 2: So let's go through the basics. 364 00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:53,199 Speaker 3: Right, these are talks, they're at a certain stage, but 365 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 3: they only raise money right at the beginning of this 366 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 3: year at a certain valuation. What's the jump and what 367 00:19:57,640 --> 00:19:58,199 Speaker 3: do we need to know? 368 00:19:58,720 --> 00:19:59,399 Speaker 2: That's correct ed? 369 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 12: So Hadrian raise money at a one point six billion 370 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:05,679 Speaker 12: dollar valuation just in January. They've now had conversations to 371 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 12: raise up to a billion dollars in this latest round. 372 00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:10,400 Speaker 12: That would more than quadruple their valuation, as you said, 373 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:13,359 Speaker 12: to seven point five billion dollars. The investor demand on 374 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:16,560 Speaker 12: this one is pretty significant. We reported that several existing 375 00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:20,680 Speaker 12: investors are in talks for this one. We should note 376 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 12: that when we reach out to comment, Hadrian said that 377 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:26,640 Speaker 12: the information provider was incorrect decline to provide further context. 378 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:28,400 Speaker 2: That said, we sitten by our reporting. 379 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,919 Speaker 12: This is an area that's extremely hot with investors right now, 380 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:37,320 Speaker 12: defense tech broadly. Hadrian makes facilities to speed up domestic 381 00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 12: manufacturing and that's been hugely of interest to a lot 382 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:41,119 Speaker 12: of folks and Silicon Valley. 383 00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 2: Thank you for that. 384 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 3: I would also add that s fokes first and Hadrium 385 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 3: said the reporting was incorrect but declined to add further context. 386 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 2: I would have done that for you. Thank you very much. 387 00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:54,440 Speaker 2: There is some reporting that we did about where they. 388 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,960 Speaker 3: Approached debt or a lack of approach to debt. 389 00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:03,280 Speaker 12: Just explain that bites so building large automated factories often 390 00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:06,160 Speaker 12: means that companies need to take on debt to take 391 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:11,880 Speaker 12: you know, on the risks of building these large facilities. 392 00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:15,480 Speaker 12: Hadrian currently has four factories, the latest which operate, which 393 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 12: opened in March off the back of a two point 394 00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:21,960 Speaker 12: four billion dollar contract with the US Navy. So this amount, 395 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:25,080 Speaker 12: this up to one billion dollars is just equity that 396 00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:27,119 Speaker 12: they would raise. It doesn't include any debt that they 397 00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:28,120 Speaker 12: may be discussing. 398 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,159 Speaker 3: Rebecca, you did a great job explaining, you know what 399 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:37,120 Speaker 3: Hadrian does. It's basically an amazing factory or contract manufacturer. Generally, 400 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:40,960 Speaker 3: what is bench capital attitude right now to defense technology 401 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:45,200 Speaker 3: and this whole kind of reindustrializing America push. 402 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 2: There's tons of excitement here. 403 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:50,119 Speaker 12: Ed investors in Hadrin include Andres and Horowitz through its 404 00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:54,960 Speaker 12: American Dynamism Fund, Pedersfield's founder's fund, Lux Capital. This effort 405 00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:59,600 Speaker 12: to sort of reshore manufacturing and create the cycle where 406 00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:05,880 Speaker 12: consumers and companies can just rely on production and consumption 407 00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,400 Speaker 12: within the US is a huge interesting. 408 00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,119 Speaker 3: These people Bloombergs, Rebecca Torrents teaming up with me on 409 00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:15,680 Speaker 3: that one on Hadrian potentially hitting seven point five billion 410 00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:18,680 Speaker 3: dollar valuation, Thank you very much. Now, coming up later 411 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 3: in the show, we're going to sit down with David 412 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:23,720 Speaker 3: George and Drees and horror Itz general partner on a 413 00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:27,480 Speaker 3: sixteen c's big bet on SpaceX conversation that we're really 414 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:31,359 Speaker 3: looking forward to right now. This is what technology looks 415 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:35,760 Speaker 3: like in financial markets, particularly inequity markets, and we are 416 00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:38,399 Speaker 3: all waiting for what is a big one that is 417 00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 3: Micron reporting earnings after the closing bell right now, Na's 418 00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:46,120 Speaker 3: like one hundred modestly hired, a flat underperformance in chip 419 00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 3: stocks and bitcoin just shy of sixty one thousand US 420 00:22:49,040 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 3: dollars per token. Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. It's a 421 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:04,879 Speaker 3: big moment in time for Memory. The biggest headline is 422 00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:07,920 Speaker 3: probably the sk Heinex will try and raise twenty nine 423 00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:09,720 Speaker 3: billion dollars in a US listing. 424 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 2: But the AI trade is. 425 00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,240 Speaker 3: Going to get its next queue from Micron's earnings after 426 00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 3: the bell. There's a lot of literature on the Bloomberg 427 00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:19,240 Speaker 3: about that. The stocks down about one zero point three 428 00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:22,720 Speaker 3: percent right now. It's highly analogous from what we saw 429 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:24,919 Speaker 3: in some of the earlier days of Nvidia twenty twenty 430 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:28,000 Speaker 3: three to twenty twenty five, massive growth year on year, 431 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 3: both on the top and bottom line. But the market 432 00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:35,240 Speaker 3: really wants a bullish signal, not that the bottleneck that 433 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,560 Speaker 3: is Memory is unwinding a little on the AI infrastructure 434 00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 3: build out, but that the demand has staying power. So 435 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:43,639 Speaker 3: that is what we're watching for throughout the course of 436 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 3: the day. Another top story, Elon Musk is reshaping his 437 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:51,119 Speaker 3: empire's balance sheet. SpaceX just pulled off a record twenty 438 00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 3: five billion dollar investment grade bond sale, taking on more 439 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:58,800 Speaker 3: debt while lowering overall borrowing costs across must sprawling businesses. 440 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:03,160 Speaker 3: For more Bloombergs, Private credit reporter Paula Sellison joins us, 441 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:04,199 Speaker 3: how did it go? 442 00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 11: It went very well that the peak of demand. There 443 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,119 Speaker 11: were eighty nine billion dollars in orders for what was 444 00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:13,240 Speaker 11: ultimately a twenty five billion dollar bond deal that allowed 445 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,800 Speaker 11: the company to tighten or get lower borrowing costs over 446 00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 11: the course of the marketing process, and investors are very 447 00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:20,000 Speaker 11: eager to lend. 448 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,199 Speaker 2: There is a bit of a history lesson in this. 449 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:24,359 Speaker 2: Find it fascinating. 450 00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:30,199 Speaker 3: So, yeah, must takes Twitter private, x joins Xai, Xai 451 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:33,679 Speaker 3: merges with SpaceX, and then SpaceX does the biggest IPO 452 00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 3: in history. And if you look at how they kind 453 00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 3: of shuffled the deck with the proceeds of the bond 454 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,200 Speaker 3: sale and what they planned to do in paying down 455 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 3: existing loans, it kind of takes us back to square one? 456 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:44,320 Speaker 2: Is that right? 457 00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 11: Well, this was really all one long, convoluted way of 458 00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:51,320 Speaker 11: allowing Xai to become part of an investment grade company 459 00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:54,639 Speaker 11: and then be able to borrow at those borrowing costs. So, 460 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,399 Speaker 11: you know, we had the Twitter LBO which ended up 461 00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:59,560 Speaker 11: adding about thirteen billion dollars of debt, and then the 462 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,800 Speaker 11: Xai leverage loan and hiled bond sales which added five 463 00:25:02,840 --> 00:25:06,439 Speaker 11: billion dollars of debt, So when SpaceX acquired XAI, there 464 00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:09,399 Speaker 11: was seventeen point five billion dollars of debt with interest 465 00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:11,320 Speaker 11: rates in the nine and a half percent to twelve 466 00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:13,840 Speaker 11: and a half percent range. All of that essentially just 467 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:17,200 Speaker 11: got refinanced initially through a twenty billion dollar bridge loan 468 00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,520 Speaker 11: that was then taken out with the investment grade bond 469 00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:22,080 Speaker 11: sale on Tuesday, and now interest rates around five and 470 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:22,920 Speaker 11: a half to six. 471 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:23,439 Speaker 2: And a half percent. 472 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 3: We broke the story in just the days before the 473 00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,840 Speaker 3: IPO that SpaceX had got IG rating from the free 474 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 3: main agencies. That was really important, right The story right 475 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 3: now in the AI space is borrowing and the IG 476 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:41,440 Speaker 3: rating has proved to be pretty handy to SpaceX. 477 00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,520 Speaker 11: Absolutely, so there is so much need for capital. Investment 478 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:46,840 Speaker 11: companies just can't do it with cash flow. They have 479 00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,600 Speaker 11: to borrow, and they're borrowing across all the different debt markets. 480 00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 11: But the best place to borrow for most of them 481 00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:54,159 Speaker 11: is the investment grade bond market because it's very large, 482 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:57,359 Speaker 11: very deep pockets, and it's a cheaper borrowing cost. So 483 00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 11: being able to get those investment grade ratings just opens 484 00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:02,399 Speaker 11: up access to capital that makes it so much easier 485 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 11: to borrow all this money to finance the AI build 486 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:06,520 Speaker 11: out the most. 487 00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:07,960 Speaker 2: Paula Cellison, thank you very much. 488 00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:10,880 Speaker 3: Indeed, in the equity space SpaceX actually hire again today 489 00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:16,000 Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty eight dollars per share SpaceX David, 490 00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 3: George Andresen horror it's general partner, is on set with 491 00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,720 Speaker 3: us right now. He led the firm's investment investment in SpaceX, 492 00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:23,520 Speaker 3: a state which is now valued at more than ten 493 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:27,760 Speaker 3: billion dollars and it's proved to be Andresen's largest return 494 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:30,000 Speaker 3: in history. And you're somebody that I've wanted to speak 495 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:32,600 Speaker 3: to about the company for a long time. There's a 496 00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,640 Speaker 3: lot here, but I think just as an opening reflect 497 00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 3: on the IPO, David, and I guess not just in 498 00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:42,080 Speaker 3: a moment in time for Andresen, but what you think 499 00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:45,560 Speaker 3: it's signified for what is a very big and now 500 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:46,760 Speaker 3: quite diverse company. 501 00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 13: Yeah, well, look, thanks for having me on. A great 502 00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:51,879 Speaker 13: to be here with you. The IPO is just a 503 00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 13: milestone in the history of the company. I think it's 504 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:58,920 Speaker 13: a great event for the company to be able to 505 00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:03,120 Speaker 13: access a new investor's access capital that they couldn't otherwise access. 506 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:03,520 Speaker 2: Before. 507 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 13: And one of the things that I'm most excited about 508 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,960 Speaker 13: as relates to the IPO is the fact that retail 509 00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:12,320 Speaker 13: was able to partake in such a big fashion. So 510 00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:14,480 Speaker 13: if you look at the allocation that went to retail 511 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:18,639 Speaker 13: as a proportion of the overall IPO, it's around thirty percent. 512 00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,520 Speaker 13: And so if you just take that portion that went 513 00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:25,159 Speaker 13: to retail, it's almost the largest IPO by itself in 514 00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:26,160 Speaker 13: the history of IPOs. 515 00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:28,720 Speaker 2: So I think it's fantastic that. Why is that part 516 00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:30,359 Speaker 2: of that? David, Sorry to interrupt you. 517 00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,879 Speaker 13: Retail has proven to be an excellent group of buyers 518 00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:37,480 Speaker 13: and holders of stock. So obviously it's a large proportion 519 00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:40,240 Speaker 13: of the ownership of Tesla, but they also are large 520 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 13: owners of the meg seven at large, and so I 521 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 13: think it's excellent for SpaceX to be able to access that. 522 00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,400 Speaker 13: I think you know, in large part, retail is long 523 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,119 Speaker 13: term thinking, which aligns with the way Elon thinks and 524 00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,000 Speaker 13: how he's built SpaceX, and so I love that they're 525 00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:53,680 Speaker 13: a big part of it. 526 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 3: Probably the question I get for you most commonly is 527 00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:58,000 Speaker 3: about the lock up. 528 00:27:58,119 --> 00:27:58,879 Speaker 2: What will happen? 529 00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,119 Speaker 3: You know, to the venture firms would say, well, we 530 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:05,439 Speaker 3: will redistribute to our LPs the stock and we expect 531 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:07,840 Speaker 3: lots of them to hold. But that would seem to 532 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:11,320 Speaker 3: make the retail holders important. And what was like a 533 00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 3: very complex lockup, It wasn't straightforward. 534 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:16,119 Speaker 13: Yeah, look, I think this is a great step forward 535 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:19,119 Speaker 13: generally and how lockups are run, and I expect for 536 00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:21,960 Speaker 13: IPOs going forward, this is probably going to be the 537 00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:25,359 Speaker 13: way it's run. So cerebristed something similar where you have 538 00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:28,680 Speaker 13: the lockups come off gradually over time, and I think 539 00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:29,800 Speaker 13: this is good, this is healthy. 540 00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,120 Speaker 2: It allows you know. 541 00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:34,119 Speaker 13: The public market investors to be able to buy stock 542 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,560 Speaker 13: over time as opposed to you know at cliff events. 543 00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,280 Speaker 13: For us, we're very long term thinkers. You know, we're 544 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:43,280 Speaker 13: happy shareholders of SpaceX. You know, we think very much 545 00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:44,880 Speaker 13: about the long term. 546 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:45,200 Speaker 12: You know. 547 00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:49,000 Speaker 13: Obviously, what makes us so excited about the business is 548 00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,640 Speaker 13: all of the things that can go right for SpaceX, 549 00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 13: all the optionality that you have. And so the way 550 00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:55,760 Speaker 13: that we look at it is you start with the 551 00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:58,360 Speaker 13: launch business, and in order to be successful as a 552 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:00,880 Speaker 13: space business, you have to rely be able to get 553 00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 13: things to space. And so SpaceX has the infrastructure in 554 00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 13: an incredible way to be able to build applications on top. Obviously, 555 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:12,560 Speaker 13: Starlink is the first one. We expect that with Starship 556 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 13: and V three, they've achieved some de risking in terms 557 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,480 Speaker 13: of what they can bring up to space. Eventually they'll 558 00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:23,840 Speaker 13: have rapid reusability with multiple launches per day on Starship. 559 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:29,560 Speaker 13: It's a feat of physics magnificence that they can take 560 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:32,560 Speaker 13: something that's the size of larger than a football field, 561 00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 13: send it up to space, grab it with chopsticks, and 562 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,160 Speaker 13: then reuse it again. They'll rapidly be able to do that, 563 00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:40,239 Speaker 13: and that's going to enable all the applications that they 564 00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:41,000 Speaker 13: want to build on top. 565 00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 3: It also now has a name starmind Yes as of 566 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:48,200 Speaker 3: last night, and you know Elon Musk engaging with others 567 00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:52,680 Speaker 3: on X. There are many out there that believe that 568 00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,640 Speaker 3: the timeline that was presented in the perspectus of Orbital 569 00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 3: Date Center SPACEXIT as early as twenty twenty eight, actually 570 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:01,880 Speaker 3: we could see some pool forward on that. Again linked 571 00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:05,720 Speaker 3: to the tracking of Starship. Where do you sit in 572 00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:07,800 Speaker 3: what's realistic. 573 00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,880 Speaker 13: Near to Yeah, Look, I think the biggest hurdle to 574 00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:14,880 Speaker 13: cross is just rapid reusability of Starship, and I think 575 00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:17,640 Speaker 13: you know, there's a consistent theme with Elon's companies, and 576 00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:21,360 Speaker 13: certainly in SpaceX, which is physics has been de risked, 577 00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:22,440 Speaker 13: and so now. 578 00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:23,720 Speaker 2: It becomes an execution question. 579 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,640 Speaker 13: And so as you think about timelines, we feel like 580 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:29,360 Speaker 13: it is inevitable that they can achieve these milestones, just 581 00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:31,920 Speaker 13: a question of how quickly and at what cost. And 582 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 13: so if you have starship that can rapidly, you know, 583 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:38,440 Speaker 13: reliably get things up and back to space, we think 584 00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:41,880 Speaker 13: that's the major unlock for bringing compute to space. 585 00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:43,760 Speaker 2: I know earlier you. 586 00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:45,840 Speaker 13: Were talking about the eight hundred and fifty billion dollars 587 00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:51,000 Speaker 13: of CAPEX for AI data centers on terrestrial grounds. Right 588 00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:54,280 Speaker 13: now it's getting harder and harder to get data centers 589 00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:58,160 Speaker 13: live on the ground here. I think it's a matter 590 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:01,400 Speaker 13: of time before we have it in space. I actually 591 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,640 Speaker 13: think I like to reframe it a little bit. I 592 00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:06,000 Speaker 13: don't talk about it as orbital data centers. I talk 593 00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:08,800 Speaker 13: about them as sort of airplane sized. 594 00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:10,320 Speaker 2: Gpu ras in space. 595 00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 13: So think of it as you know, something like seventy 596 00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:17,160 Speaker 13: two GPUs up in space with big wings that are 597 00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:19,280 Speaker 13: solar arrays that are kind of the size of a 598 00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 13: seven thirty seven. And then you can have many, many 599 00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:24,440 Speaker 13: of those in space. They've demonstrated that they can do this. 600 00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,400 Speaker 13: They have ten thousand LEO satellites, So we feel like 601 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:29,920 Speaker 13: it's a matter of time and execution before they can 602 00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:33,400 Speaker 13: do that. The physics has been de risked, you know, 603 00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 13: to the point about how it's getting harder and harder. 604 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 2: To do this. 605 00:31:36,840 --> 00:31:39,800 Speaker 13: You know, on the ground, I think at a minimum, 606 00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:43,200 Speaker 13: orbital data centers will be incremental capacity that you can 607 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 13: have in space on top of what we have on Earth. 608 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:48,719 Speaker 13: And I think there's a case that in the fullness 609 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 13: of time, the economics actually get better than on the ground. 610 00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:56,160 Speaker 3: David the firm Andreessen Horowitz has been involved with must 611 00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:59,480 Speaker 3: companies in different ways for about six years, in different 612 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:03,719 Speaker 3: ways x XAI, the different financial transactions that took place. 613 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:06,280 Speaker 2: For you, how much was this this. 614 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:12,640 Speaker 3: IPO a referendum essentially on Musk himself or how central 615 00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:15,600 Speaker 3: to the fate of this company do you see long being? 616 00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:19,320 Speaker 13: Yeah, Look, Elon is the centerpiece of all of those 617 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,200 Speaker 13: investment thesis that we had right in backing his companies. 618 00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:26,360 Speaker 13: You know, he's he's been remarkably strategic and how he's 619 00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 13: put the companies together, and you know, he has done 620 00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:30,640 Speaker 13: very well by shareholders. 621 00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:31,720 Speaker 2: He's taking care of shareholders. 622 00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:33,800 Speaker 13: He takes a lot of pride in that, and we 623 00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:36,640 Speaker 13: appreciate that As his partner. I think as it relates to, 624 00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:39,560 Speaker 13: you know, the go forward, he's been very smart. He 625 00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,480 Speaker 13: and Brett Johnson and the team ASPACEX have been very 626 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:45,600 Speaker 13: very smart about capital allocation, right, you know, when they 627 00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:49,360 Speaker 13: have done acquisitions, they have been remarkably strategic in terms 628 00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:52,000 Speaker 13: of putting things together first, you know, and putting X 629 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,480 Speaker 13: with Xai, which is very logical, and then obviously the 630 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:58,920 Speaker 13: fit of XAI and SpaceX together, you know, is undeniable. 631 00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:01,120 Speaker 13: So we expect that will continue to be very smart 632 00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:04,160 Speaker 13: about capital allocation, take care of shoreholders, and we appreciate that. 633 00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:08,520 Speaker 3: Where do you stand, David then, on the transaction that 634 00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:10,560 Speaker 3: everyone continues to talk about, which is a future where 635 00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 3: Tesla merges with SpaceX, Is it rational to your mind? 636 00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 13: I go back to the things that he's done in 637 00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:19,600 Speaker 13: the past, and the things that he's done in the past, 638 00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:22,800 Speaker 13: is he has decided to do acquisitions of his companies 639 00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:26,000 Speaker 13: or mergers of his companies when there is very strong 640 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 13: strategic alignment and it makes business sense. 641 00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:30,480 Speaker 2: So I wouldn't expect it to be any different going forward. 642 00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:35,320 Speaker 3: There's this broader idea, if you extract it out from 643 00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:38,840 Speaker 3: from Elon Musk, that even at the growth stage, late 644 00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 3: private companies staying private for longer, late stage growth, that 645 00:33:42,840 --> 00:33:46,080 Speaker 3: the investment thesis is still around the founder, the person 646 00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 3: at the top. I don't know, how whether you share 647 00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,800 Speaker 3: that view of others that even if you are talking 648 00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:54,480 Speaker 3: in the tens hundreds of billions of dollars of value, 649 00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:58,120 Speaker 3: that value is assignable to an individual or a group 650 00:33:58,120 --> 00:33:58,880 Speaker 3: of individuals. 651 00:33:59,120 --> 00:33:59,440 Speaker 2: Yeah. 652 00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,200 Speaker 13: Look, I think you can see reflections of this actually 653 00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:04,480 Speaker 13: in the public markets. So I think you can see 654 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:07,479 Speaker 13: this in Elon companies. Certainly. I think you could see this, 655 00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 13: you know, with Apple under Steve Jobs. I think you 656 00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:14,360 Speaker 13: could see it with Meta under Mark Zuckerberg. But certainly 657 00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:18,239 Speaker 13: in the private markets. You know, this is a centerpiece 658 00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:21,080 Speaker 13: of our investment thesis when we're backing companies at any 659 00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:25,279 Speaker 13: stage and any size. I recently wrote a piece that 660 00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:28,800 Speaker 13: basically said late stage venture, which is our asset class, 661 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:30,680 Speaker 13: is not about capital markets. 662 00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:31,560 Speaker 2: It's about founders. 663 00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:34,800 Speaker 13: Late stage venture is about late stage founders and enabling 664 00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:38,600 Speaker 13: them to think long term, make big decisions, and make 665 00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:41,239 Speaker 13: big bets, and oftentimes they choose to do that in 666 00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:42,120 Speaker 13: the private markets. 667 00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:44,440 Speaker 2: And so you know, our asset class. 668 00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:47,360 Speaker 13: That we play in, it's about five trillion dollars in size. 669 00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:49,960 Speaker 13: It's grown ten x over the last ten years. It's 670 00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:52,960 Speaker 13: larger than the Russell two thousand. It's almost twenty percent 671 00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:55,160 Speaker 13: as large as the Nasdaq. So this has become a 672 00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:58,120 Speaker 13: real asset class. And I think there's reasons that we 673 00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:00,920 Speaker 13: should explore. Why is it that cost a title? 674 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:02,640 Speaker 2: What would you call that late stage venture? 675 00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:06,440 Speaker 13: Late stage privates with the value crews, where the value yeah, 676 00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:09,040 Speaker 13: and where the value crews, yeah. And the centerpiece of 677 00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:11,319 Speaker 13: the investment thesis is around the founder and the big 678 00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:12,839 Speaker 13: decisions that the founder has to make. 679 00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:15,200 Speaker 2: It's a lot of key man risk to model for. 680 00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:17,759 Speaker 13: Yes, that's right, But I think the more important thing 681 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:19,799 Speaker 13: to model for is what can go right? Okay, you 682 00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:23,080 Speaker 13: know we always ask ourselves, you know, it's hard to 683 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,520 Speaker 13: imagine what could go right. And we even see this 684 00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:27,959 Speaker 13: with mature companies. If you look back at the time 685 00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:30,960 Speaker 13: when you know the iPhone came out, If you look 686 00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:34,520 Speaker 13: at the two thousand and nine consensus analyst estimates for 687 00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:37,319 Speaker 13: what Apple was going to do, and that in two 688 00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:39,000 Speaker 13: thousand and nine. For the next four years, and then 689 00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:41,640 Speaker 13: fast forward four years, they actually beat those numbers by 690 00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 13: three x. And that's probably the most covered company in 691 00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:46,600 Speaker 13: the world. So we like to think with a great founder, 692 00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:48,200 Speaker 13: with a technology trend on its. 693 00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:49,480 Speaker 2: Back, what can go right? 694 00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:52,240 Speaker 13: And you know, if you look at this last cycle 695 00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:54,920 Speaker 13: that we've just gone through pre AI, you know, this 696 00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:59,920 Speaker 13: cycle of mobile phones, social e commerce, SaaS, cloud all 697 00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:03,800 Speaker 13: put together, the big story is that that big trend 698 00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,040 Speaker 13: added about twenty five to thirty. 699 00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:07,120 Speaker 2: Trillion of new market cap. 700 00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:09,439 Speaker 13: And I happen to think that on this AI wave, 701 00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:11,120 Speaker 13: on the back of this AI wave, the. 702 00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:12,320 Speaker 2: Trend's going to be even bigger. 703 00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:16,040 Speaker 3: You head a growth team that manages twenty two billion 704 00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:20,160 Speaker 3: dollars across five funds. But if you think about it holistically, 705 00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:25,560 Speaker 3: you're basically in the top fifteen private companies by valuation, 706 00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:29,399 Speaker 3: which would have included SpaceX before it went public. How 707 00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:33,160 Speaker 3: are you now deploying capital new capital into new companies, 708 00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,720 Speaker 3: you know, with those existing investments in mind. 709 00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:38,799 Speaker 13: Yeah, Look, our whole thesis is we want to be 710 00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:42,680 Speaker 13: involved in the best companies at the earliest stage possible 711 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:44,960 Speaker 13: and then continue to back them every step of the 712 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:48,600 Speaker 13: way as they need capital, and often that has been 713 00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:49,960 Speaker 13: through late stage rounds in the. 714 00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:52,759 Speaker 3: Private market because you have a newer fund, right which 715 00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:54,359 Speaker 3: you can deploy capital out there. 716 00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:54,600 Speaker 2: We do. 717 00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,960 Speaker 13: Yeah, we we have our LSV five Late Stage Venture 718 00:36:58,040 --> 00:37:00,920 Speaker 13: Fund five as we call it, it's our fifth fund. 719 00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,680 Speaker 13: It's about a seven billion dollar fund that we're deploying 720 00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:06,240 Speaker 13: out of currently, and we see a ton of really 721 00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:08,480 Speaker 13: interesting opportunities. So you know, if you go back to 722 00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:11,920 Speaker 13: the market that we're seeing and just look at our 723 00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:15,359 Speaker 13: portfolio at a sixteen Z and our latest fund, our 724 00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:18,520 Speaker 13: portfolio dollar weighted is growing over one hundred percent year 725 00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:21,720 Speaker 13: over year. If you compare that to the size similar 726 00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:24,919 Speaker 13: sized companies in the public markets, those companies are growing 727 00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:26,880 Speaker 13: about twenty percent year over year. So we put a 728 00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:30,759 Speaker 13: huge premium on very fast growth, great founders, market leadership, 729 00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:32,239 Speaker 13: and sort of building. 730 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:33,000 Speaker 2: On the back of the big trends. 731 00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:35,799 Speaker 3: Also noting the cap tables look a bit different like 732 00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:40,280 Speaker 3: with the mutual funds private growth equity. David George Havenjreson Horowitz, 733 00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,080 Speaker 3: head of Growth and general partner. 734 00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:43,840 Speaker 2: Really grateful to have you on Bloomberg Tech. Thank you 735 00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:44,399 Speaker 2: very much. 736 00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:48,520 Speaker 3: Coming up, Cerebris reported its first ever quarterly earnings since 737 00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:51,560 Speaker 3: going public. CEO Andrew Feldman's joining us. The stock is 738 00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:54,320 Speaker 3: down seventeen percent. There's a lot to unpack there. This 739 00:37:54,480 --> 00:38:12,320 Speaker 3: is Bloomberg Tech. Crebress reported quarterly earnings for the first 740 00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:15,720 Speaker 3: time since going public last month. It's sales outlook beat 741 00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:19,480 Speaker 3: Wall Street estimates, but still disappointed investors hoping to see 742 00:38:19,520 --> 00:38:22,440 Speaker 3: the company carve out a bigger slice of the aident 743 00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:26,440 Speaker 3: center market. Right now, shares down seventeen point five percent, 744 00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:29,080 Speaker 3: its biggest drop in its quite short history as a 745 00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:32,520 Speaker 3: public company. What's behind that? CEO Andrew Feldman's with us 746 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,000 Speaker 3: and welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. 747 00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:34,440 Speaker 2: Andrew. 748 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:36,120 Speaker 3: You know, there was a time where we would talk 749 00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:40,239 Speaker 3: about the merits of top to tail server ownership, how 750 00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:41,920 Speaker 3: owning all of the content of Now we're going to 751 00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:44,480 Speaker 3: talk about margin contraction, and we're going to talk about 752 00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:47,840 Speaker 3: the stock being down seventeen percent. That to me is 753 00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:50,720 Speaker 3: kind of the mismatch that the outlook on the sales 754 00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:53,360 Speaker 3: side beat Wall Street estimates. I think a lot of 755 00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:57,560 Speaker 3: people are trying to understand the sequential margin decline and 756 00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:00,000 Speaker 3: for me that this is about ramping output for two 757 00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:02,040 Speaker 3: big customers Is that true. 758 00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:02,920 Speaker 5: Yeah. 759 00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:05,920 Speaker 14: I think what we did is we put forward a 760 00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:09,080 Speaker 14: plan in the start of twenty six, we shared it 761 00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:12,839 Speaker 14: with investors as we went public, and we're ahead of plan. 762 00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:14,879 Speaker 5: You know. We delivered record. 763 00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:17,440 Speaker 14: Revenues of one hundred and ninety one million of ninety 764 00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:21,160 Speaker 14: two percent year over year, and for our cloud business, 765 00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:23,200 Speaker 14: you know, it was up one hundred and sixty seven 766 00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:30,719 Speaker 14: percent year over year. We beat margin consensus substantially, and 767 00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,920 Speaker 14: then we guided for full year the growth. 768 00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:35,800 Speaker 5: Margins would be ten percent better than plant. 769 00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:39,839 Speaker 14: We also shared the in Q two and Q three 770 00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:44,600 Speaker 14: we would go back to some of our customers and 771 00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:46,719 Speaker 14: we would rent back year that we'd sold them to 772 00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:48,759 Speaker 14: try and keep up with demand, and then that would 773 00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:50,680 Speaker 14: have a margin impact on the order ten. 774 00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:51,400 Speaker 5: Or fifteen points. 775 00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:56,680 Speaker 14: We did that to keep our customers close to be 776 00:39:56,719 --> 00:39:59,839 Speaker 14: sure we could keep up with their extraordinary demand for 777 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:04,840 Speaker 14: or for our product for fast inference, and so that 778 00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:07,200 Speaker 14: that was the story. 779 00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:12,319 Speaker 5: On every metric we put out, we're ahead of plan. 780 00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:14,600 Speaker 2: Have the proceeds from. 781 00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:17,239 Speaker 3: The IPO actually allowed you to move more quickly in 782 00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:19,040 Speaker 3: ramping up capacity? 783 00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:24,719 Speaker 14: Yeah, I think capacity is the largest constraint right now 784 00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:25,280 Speaker 14: for everyone. 785 00:40:25,400 --> 00:40:27,120 Speaker 5: Data centers are and. 786 00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:34,200 Speaker 14: We've significantly increased our our ability and our pipeline for 787 00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:40,040 Speaker 14: data centers, which is now very large. You know, we 788 00:40:40,080 --> 00:40:44,279 Speaker 14: announced a data center partnership with Bell Canada for one 789 00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:47,360 Speaker 14: hundred and twenty megawatts that will be delivered in twenty 790 00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:53,040 Speaker 14: twenty seven. We are pursuing data centers across the US, 791 00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:55,840 Speaker 14: in Canada, in Europe, in the Middle East. 792 00:40:56,880 --> 00:40:57,560 Speaker 5: There are. 793 00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:04,319 Speaker 14: The resources that we have now at our disposal give 794 00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,640 Speaker 14: us tremendous advantage in the pursuit of this The limiting 795 00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:08,720 Speaker 14: factor data centers. 796 00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:13,919 Speaker 3: What you're talking about, like matter of factly, is buildings 797 00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:17,040 Speaker 3: not necessarily the compute, right It's not what you guys 798 00:41:17,040 --> 00:41:20,080 Speaker 3: are offering. How difficult right now is it is to 799 00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:24,239 Speaker 3: get moving in America or other markets, to get planning approval, 800 00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:26,600 Speaker 3: get the concrete, get the labor, get the thing built. 801 00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:30,800 Speaker 14: Now that that's the irony of this market, that the 802 00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:36,680 Speaker 14: AI market is moving at blistering speed and we are 803 00:41:36,680 --> 00:41:39,640 Speaker 14: being constrained by data centers which move with the speed 804 00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:43,319 Speaker 14: of real estate. And so that is a problem that 805 00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:48,440 Speaker 14: is being confronted by by everybody in the category, by 806 00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:53,240 Speaker 14: the hyperscalers, by the neo clouds, by the new generation clouds. 807 00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:56,520 Speaker 14: Everybody is confronting this similar problem. 808 00:41:56,719 --> 00:42:01,600 Speaker 3: Andrew Cerebris does not rely on traditional chip HBM. Would 809 00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:04,680 Speaker 3: you just explain that the basics of the technology, But 810 00:42:05,040 --> 00:42:08,040 Speaker 3: how insulated are you from the memory bottleneck that others 811 00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:08,919 Speaker 3: are experiencing. 812 00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:12,000 Speaker 5: Yeah, that's a really good point. 813 00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:16,000 Speaker 14: Because of our innovative architecture, because of our wafer scale approach, 814 00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:21,120 Speaker 14: we don't use HBM. HBM is a type of DRAM 815 00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:23,239 Speaker 14: and it's made by three companies, one of whom is 816 00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:28,239 Speaker 14: reporting shortly right. That's Microns, Heenex and Samsung. There's a 817 00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:32,040 Speaker 14: global shortage, it's extremely expensive, lead times are long, and 818 00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:35,320 Speaker 14: we don't use it, so we have a tremendous advantage there. 819 00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:42,160 Speaker 14: The other constraints in the supply chain for many are cooths, 820 00:42:42,200 --> 00:42:44,440 Speaker 14: which is a process inside of TSMC. 821 00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:45,920 Speaker 5: Again we don't use it. 822 00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:50,800 Speaker 14: And the third is a capacity at the three nanometer node. 823 00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:56,040 Speaker 14: That's space in TSMC's factory that makes three and nanimeter chips. 824 00:42:56,080 --> 00:42:59,240 Speaker 5: Again we don't use it. We're at the five nanometer node. 825 00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:03,520 Speaker 14: Our architecture has allowed us to deliver the fastest inference 826 00:43:03,560 --> 00:43:06,880 Speaker 14: in the world by an order of magnitude while avoiding 827 00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:13,880 Speaker 14: the main supply supply chain constraints faced by others in 828 00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:14,360 Speaker 14: the field. 829 00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:18,400 Speaker 3: Can you say, hand on heart, not just winning business, 830 00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:20,120 Speaker 3: but if you actually been able to go to a 831 00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:23,080 Speaker 3: customer and say we can get this compute online faster 832 00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:26,440 Speaker 3: than others for those reasons you just outlined and then actually. 833 00:43:26,239 --> 00:43:26,920 Speaker 2: Gone and done it. 834 00:43:27,600 --> 00:43:28,240 Speaker 5: Oh for sure. 835 00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:30,279 Speaker 2: I mean any cases I. 836 00:43:30,239 --> 00:43:36,160 Speaker 14: Signed, we signed. For example, we signed our contract with 837 00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:42,040 Speaker 14: open Ai on December twenty fourth and had them in 838 00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:46,160 Speaker 14: for production on February first. That's unheard of. 839 00:43:46,160 --> 00:43:50,120 Speaker 3: So that's quick as I went really quickly Andrew this morning. 840 00:43:50,200 --> 00:43:55,360 Speaker 3: Open Ai is out with Kalapino Intelligence processor. But everyone 841 00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:59,000 Speaker 3: is compute constrained, right, How do you interpret the Frontier 842 00:43:59,080 --> 00:44:02,359 Speaker 3: Labs going to custom and a six alongside their other 843 00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:03,720 Speaker 3: compute options. 844 00:44:04,200 --> 00:44:04,239 Speaker 12: Ed. 845 00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:06,000 Speaker 14: One of the things we've been saying all along is 846 00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:10,040 Speaker 14: that this market is enormous and is going to be 847 00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:15,840 Speaker 14: met with a heterogeneous collection of architectures for hardware. This 848 00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:19,799 Speaker 14: market will not be consolidated around GPUs. There will be 849 00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:22,759 Speaker 14: a six, There will be a six from Hyperscalers, there 850 00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:26,520 Speaker 14: will be a six from from Labs, and then there'll 851 00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:31,520 Speaker 14: be companies like Cerebrase with pioneering architectures who all of 852 00:44:31,600 --> 00:44:35,400 Speaker 14: us will will will take big bites of this enormous market. 853 00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:37,680 Speaker 14: I think one of the things that's difficult to get 854 00:44:37,719 --> 00:44:41,000 Speaker 14: your head around is just how big the compute market 855 00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:43,680 Speaker 14: is right now. That one of the things AI does 856 00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:48,439 Speaker 14: is it makes tractable for compute much of the world 857 00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:51,360 Speaker 14: around us, and that really wasn't the case prior to AI. 858 00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:55,319 Speaker 3: Andrew I it's if the world is simple, and it's 859 00:44:55,400 --> 00:44:58,400 Speaker 3: money that greases the wheels to get your industry going. 860 00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:01,080 Speaker 3: Can we see you come back to capital markets in 861 00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:02,840 Speaker 3: some form just so you can move quicker. 862 00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:06,600 Speaker 14: We have more than nine billion on the balance sheet, 863 00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:12,160 Speaker 14: I think, so we're really pleased with our position there. 864 00:45:12,200 --> 00:45:16,560 Speaker 14: But of course we are always scanning both the capital markets, 865 00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:20,360 Speaker 14: both equity and debt for ways to accelerate our growth. 866 00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:25,640 Speaker 3: Finally, how are you judging success yourself? What is the 867 00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:28,200 Speaker 3: milestone that you'd pitch to the market to keep closest 868 00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:28,879 Speaker 3: attention to. 869 00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:32,960 Speaker 14: Well, I think I think if my mother's proud of me, 870 00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:36,400 Speaker 14: I think that's the biggest. 871 00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:37,399 Speaker 5: Thing you can you can ask for. 872 00:45:38,040 --> 00:45:43,160 Speaker 14: I think for markets, I think when you lay out 873 00:45:43,200 --> 00:45:47,600 Speaker 14: a plan that is aggressive and you crush it, Uh, 874 00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:50,840 Speaker 14: that's how you feel good about both your ability to 875 00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:54,000 Speaker 14: execute in your ability to predict your own execution. 876 00:45:54,440 --> 00:45:59,000 Speaker 5: And so you know, we announced yesterday that. 877 00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:01,839 Speaker 14: That we would beat our our full year we give 878 00:46:01,920 --> 00:46:06,279 Speaker 14: full year guidance that was ten gross margin points above concernsus. 879 00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:09,319 Speaker 14: You ought to be proud of that, and we got 880 00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:12,560 Speaker 14: to continue to execute and continue to set extraordinarily high 881 00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:14,680 Speaker 14: barrows and then continue to. 882 00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:18,279 Speaker 5: Beat them. 883 00:46:18,680 --> 00:46:22,880 Speaker 3: Cerebra Ceo, Andrew Feldman, thank you very much. Indeed, really 884 00:46:23,320 --> 00:46:25,799 Speaker 3: Andrew alluded to it. Micron is the big one after 885 00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:28,560 Speaker 3: the closing bell. Top line growth almost three hundred percent 886 00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:32,080 Speaker 3: year on year, net income growth twelve hundred percent. 887 00:46:31,960 --> 00:46:35,640 Speaker 2: Year on year. The bar is very very high the market. 888 00:46:35,920 --> 00:46:38,840 Speaker 3: It's very analogous to Nvidia what we saw twenty twenty 889 00:46:38,840 --> 00:46:42,640 Speaker 3: two to twenty twenty five, massive growth, but investors always 890 00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:45,319 Speaker 3: wanting more. The stocks down eight ten percent going into 891 00:46:45,320 --> 00:46:49,680 Speaker 3: that print. Another stock we're watching today US fast food 892 00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:52,880 Speaker 3: chain Wendy's surging as much as forty two percent. 893 00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:55,320 Speaker 2: But wait, what does that have to do with tech? 894 00:46:55,880 --> 00:46:59,479 Speaker 3: Well, it appears Wendy's has become the latest memes stock 895 00:46:59,520 --> 00:47:02,840 Speaker 3: target shot up the rankings on stock Twitz climb to 896 00:47:02,840 --> 00:47:04,920 Speaker 3: the top of the platform's trending list. Seems to have 897 00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:07,520 Speaker 3: been sparked by a now deleted post on Reddit's Wall 898 00:47:07,560 --> 00:47:10,560 Speaker 3: Street Bets forum that urged members to save Wendy's before 899 00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:12,960 Speaker 3: it's too late. That does it for this edition of 900 00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:15,680 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Tech. Recap everything on the podcast. You know where 901 00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:18,360 Speaker 3: to find it online, Apple, Spotify and iHeart and all 902 00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:19,520 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg platforms. 903 00:47:19,560 --> 00:47:21,239 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Tech.