1 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: This is Wall Street Week. I'm David Weston bringing you 2 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: stories of capitalism. Everyone loves a winner, but can one 3 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: man win too much? We look at the staggering wealth 4 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 1: of the world's first trillionaire, Elon Musk, what does it 5 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 1: tell us about the health of our capitalist system? And 6 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:34,479 Speaker 1: that trillion dollars in Elon Musk's pocket comes from the 7 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:38,239 Speaker 1: IPO of SpaceX, where investors are backing him personally and 8 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: what looks like the ultimate key Man provision. But corporate 9 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: governance concerns have some institutional investors sitting on the sidelines 10 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: of the biggest IPO ever. Plus, it's a condition half 11 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 1: of all people on Earth will experience, but until recently, 12 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: menopause has largely gone unmentioned and unaddressed by big business. Now, 13 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 1: changes in treatments and in regulation are point to a 14 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 1: major new healthcare investment opportunities. But we start with the 15 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 1: ever changing media world. As leaders have been meeting this 16 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:11,759 Speaker 1: week for the annual Allen and Company Conference in Sun Valley. 17 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 1: Activate founder and CEO Michael Wolfe has spent his career 18 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 1: in media, including as president and COO of MTV Networks. 19 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: So Michael, this week the media conference of Herbalan and 20 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 1: Sun Value has been held. Typically deals come out of 21 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:31,479 Speaker 1: that conference. This time we have a couple of big 22 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 1: media deals going in, one with Fox and Roku and 23 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: one with Comcast Decide has spin off NBCU. What do 24 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 1: you think the talk is going to be. 25 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 2: First of all, it's not just a media conference any longer. 26 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 2: A lot of it is tech. You're going to the 27 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:45,839 Speaker 2: head of all the major tech companies and the head 28 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 2: some all the major AI companies. So I think there 29 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 2: may be some other deals that'll come out of it, 30 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:53,920 Speaker 2: and they're going to be the conversations are going to 31 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 2: be everything about video streaming, big media deals, AI, sports. 32 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 2: It all to come together and all these people have 33 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 2: a stake in it. 34 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: Start with Fox Roku because some people said, what are 35 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: they doing buying Roku? 36 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:11,079 Speaker 2: Well, first of all, Fox has been the most disciplined 37 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 2: of all the media and entertainment companies in this age 38 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 2: of streaming. They really totally avoided the streaming arms race, 39 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:21,399 Speaker 2: so they bought a couple of years ago, they bought 40 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 2: two be in twenty twenty four hundred and forty million dollars, 41 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 2: probably one of the best media deals of the last decade. Today, 42 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 2: it's doing over a billion dollars in revenue, and it's 43 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 2: all about free advertisers supported television. Eighty six percent of 44 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 2: American households today are paying for streaming. You only have 45 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 2: about fifty percent that are watching free advertisers supported television. 46 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:46,520 Speaker 2: So and they have the largest service in that they 47 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:50,399 Speaker 2: have almost one hundred million users. So that's that's their 48 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:53,959 Speaker 2: starting place they buy Roku. Roku has one hundred million 49 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 2: homes in the US that are using the Roku operating system. 50 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 2: Twenty eight percent of all connected TVs in the US 51 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 2: are going to go through Roku. They have the Roku channel, 52 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 2: which itself is about eighty million users. And so here 53 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:14,239 Speaker 2: they have they own They owned the channel, they own 54 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 2: the box, they owned the software, they owned the data, 55 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 2: and they own the advertising. 56 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 3: And so this deal makes a. 57 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 2: Huge amount of sense, and it takes them out of 58 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 2: the business of competing with everybody else in terms of 59 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 2: buying big programming, paying for customer acquisition retention, and worry 60 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:33,959 Speaker 2: about where the next subscriber is going to come from. 61 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 1: So think about exactly that point. You for a long 62 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: time been telling me watch the free advertiser supported streaming 63 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: coming up, But that works better for some content than 64 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 1: for others. I mean news and sports. It may work 65 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 1: well for I'm not sure it works well for the 66 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 1: blockbuster Netflix mega show. 67 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 2: Well, it doesn't have to work for the mega show. 68 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 2: You've got shows like So for example, on Tube you've 69 00:03:56,280 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 2: got shows like Empire, and you've got movies like to Highlight. 70 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 2: A lot of this is not news or sports. A 71 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 2: lot of this is largely scripted programming that both the 72 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 2: series and films that wouldn't ordinarily be on the major 73 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 2: streaming services, or if they are, they're on a streaming 74 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 2: service and then they're on to be Roku or Pluto 75 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 2: for free. 76 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 1: Even with the Roku acquisition, Fox remains a much smaller 77 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: media company than at Disney or a Netflix, so there 78 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:35,160 Speaker 1: not to speak of paramount Warner Brothers. Can it compete 79 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 1: in that world. 80 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 2: I think we're moving to a point where focus is 81 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 2: more important. I think size is not as important. And 82 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 2: in these media conglomerates, some of them will work and 83 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:48,279 Speaker 2: some of them won't. But Fox is very focused and 84 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 2: it's focused on businesses that. 85 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:50,919 Speaker 3: Throw off cash. 86 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:53,560 Speaker 2: It's one of the reasons why it's been the absolute 87 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 2: best performing media stock and a result of It is 88 00:04:56,240 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 2: just very disciplined, not going after the the battle, but 89 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 2: on streaming and sticking to businesses like television stations and 90 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 2: a network and cable networks and now to be that 91 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 2: throw off cash. 92 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 1: When you tell I focus, I think about Brian robertson Comcast, 93 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 1: the other big deal here by the way I did this, 94 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: if you look at the track of the stock of 95 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: the two companies Fox versus Comcast over the last five years, 96 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 1: they're almost in verses of one another. So why is 97 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:25,840 Speaker 1: Brian Roberts finally throwing in the town saying let's break 98 00:05:25,839 --> 00:05:26,120 Speaker 1: it up. 99 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 2: You're asking the right question, David, because they're not really 100 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 2: throwing in the towel. They're taking this business and essentially 101 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,800 Speaker 2: earlier they spun off the cable networks and diversant and 102 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:39,839 Speaker 2: they're creating three different companies, each of them with different 103 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 2: competitive dynamics, different growth profiles, and different economics. So by 104 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:52,360 Speaker 2: simplifying the business, the core connectivity business can make the 105 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 2: capital investments it wants. Investors aren't worried are they going 106 00:05:56,000 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 2: to spend on more plant and equipment? Are they going 107 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 2: to spend on the next series? So it's very focused 108 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,720 Speaker 2: and also Connectivity has become like a bundle. 109 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 3: It isn't. You don't just buy connectivity at home. 110 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 2: You buy connectivity, you buy cable, you buy mobile, you 111 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:16,159 Speaker 2: buy other services from them. So that business is focused 112 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:20,039 Speaker 2: in terms of the NBC Universal, Well, this is a 113 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 2: growth business. They're going to be able to go deeper 114 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 2: and deeper into some of the areas that they're in today. 115 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 2: They're doing unbelievably well. As like your sports destination, it's 116 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 2: a default if you want sports, I don't think you 117 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 2: can you can get sports if as all of sports 118 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:42,279 Speaker 2: unless you're watching NBC or you're you're subscribing to peacocker both. 119 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 1: For somebody who's been around this for a while now, 120 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 1: streaming seems like a brand new thing, but as rapidly 121 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 1: look like an old thing compared to what's next, which 122 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:53,679 Speaker 1: is AI and tech. Takes us back to the Allen 123 00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 1: compers and the other half of the Allen compers. What 124 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:58,599 Speaker 1: can we expect in terms of media and tech? 125 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 2: The AI guys are investing over seven hundred billion dollars 126 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 2: next year in plant, equipment and capital, and they've suddenly 127 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 2: realized that content is a critical asset for them, that 128 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 2: it is a foundational asset. So they're all going to 129 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 2: be trying to do deals with the content companies first 130 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 2: of all, around anything that is that is information or news. 131 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 2: So that's why we saw earlier this year we saw 132 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 2: News Corp. Just do a deal with Meta. We're going 133 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 2: to see lots more of those deals with content companies. 134 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 2: It's the days are over where where the user is 135 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 2: just going to be happy with them scraping the web 136 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:35,600 Speaker 2: or going to Wikipedia. 137 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 3: And then at the same time they all want. 138 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:41,720 Speaker 2: A piece of the They all want a piece of 139 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 2: the video creation business. And so right now Google has Veil, 140 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 2: which is being used by studios and others to not 141 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 2: just convert films make but make new programming. So everyone's 142 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 2: going to be trying to figure out how they're going 143 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 2: to go from the LLM the query model into one 144 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 2: that it helps people create content. 145 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 1: With each one of these steps, I wonder whether the 146 00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:08,600 Speaker 1: margins don't get squeezed more. The size goes up and 147 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 1: including internationally globally, but the margin goes down. Back in 148 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:13,920 Speaker 1: the good old days, I would say you owned a 149 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:17,559 Speaker 1: major market television station, The markets and margins were really big. 150 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: Wact the first time I went there and got access 151 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:23,680 Speaker 1: to it, it was sixty percent of profit margins With each 152 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 1: one of these you may have a deal with the 153 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 1: AI people to be able to use their content, but 154 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:29,120 Speaker 1: isn't it going to be pennies on the dollar. 155 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 3: It's really turning out to be a world of have 156 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:32,040 Speaker 3: and have nots. 157 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:36,560 Speaker 2: If you have a high share station in a good market, 158 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 2: you're making a lot of money. If you are a 159 00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 2: low share station, no matter what the market, you're not 160 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 2: making a lot of money. And so TV station business 161 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 2: is still a great business. It's slowed down because of 162 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:49,839 Speaker 2: what's the decline of cable. 163 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:52,679 Speaker 3: But in some of these businesses, the margins are going 164 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:53,359 Speaker 3: to decline. 165 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 2: And the street, when the street looks at these media 166 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:59,960 Speaker 2: and entertainment companies, the street needs to be convinced that's 167 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 2: streaming is going to be a good business and it's 168 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 2: one that's going to ultimately be a high margin business, 169 00:09:05,040 --> 00:09:07,280 Speaker 2: and right now it doesn't look that way. 170 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 1: To come back to deals and what might or might 171 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,560 Speaker 1: not come out of the Allen conference, the AI people 172 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 1: are spending a lot of money on data centers and 173 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: about on compute right a lot of money. Are they 174 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 1: interested in actually buying a major media company? 175 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 3: I really doubt it. 176 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 2: I think that that maybe on the information side, because 177 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 2: information is so critical, but those deals are going to 178 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:34,120 Speaker 2: be easier for them to make those deals. In any 179 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 2: of the information companies would be very glad to take 180 00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 2: a piece of the seven hundred billion dollars that's going 181 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 2: to be spent. I do think that that there's going 182 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 2: to be more soft deals. I think there will be 183 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:48,320 Speaker 2: investment in these different businesses because I don't think that 184 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:49,800 Speaker 2: they that they have a choice. 185 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: So you spend your days advising a lot of these 186 00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:56,520 Speaker 1: companies for their strategies and how to approach this uncertain world. 187 00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:58,600 Speaker 1: Who's going to win and I don't mean for you 188 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,760 Speaker 1: to say which name of which company, but the winner 189 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 1: will do what? And the ones who don't win will 190 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: it fail to do what? 191 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 4: I think the. 192 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:10,439 Speaker 2: Winners will be the people that have the best programming 193 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 2: or the best information and the best sports, so programming, 194 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 2: they can own sports, They're going to have to have 195 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:22,559 Speaker 2: those rights, and sports is huge driver of the entire ecosystem. 196 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 2: It's why NBC is moving towards the year round Sundays. 197 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:33,080 Speaker 2: So entertainment, long form, scripted reality, whatever it might be, 198 00:10:33,160 --> 00:10:35,320 Speaker 2: This is really what drives people. It's going to drive 199 00:10:35,679 --> 00:10:37,760 Speaker 2: that over five hours a day of people in the 200 00:10:37,880 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 2: US watching video. It's going to be sports, it's going 201 00:10:41,559 --> 00:10:43,840 Speaker 2: to be information, and then finally it's going to be 202 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:48,600 Speaker 2: data and people have in order to be able to 203 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:53,199 Speaker 2: serve advertising that's going to help advertisers and marketers sell. 204 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 3: There needs to be data and that's a piece of. 205 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,600 Speaker 2: The Fox Roku deal that also we shouldn't forget, which 206 00:10:58,640 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 2: is that gets a huge amount of data through Roku 207 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:04,640 Speaker 2: that informs its own advertising. 208 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,960 Speaker 1: Coming up. Spend a dollar every second for thirty one 209 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: thousand years. That's what a trillionaire would have to do 210 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:15,840 Speaker 1: to go through all his money. It's a lot of money, 211 00:11:16,080 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 1: but what does it mean for the rest of us. 212 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 1: This is a story of unimaginable wealth. Elon Musk is 213 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,600 Speaker 1: now a trillionaire, But the story is about more than 214 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 1: one person's enormous fortune. It's about how markets reward capital, 215 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 1: how our tax system treats it, and how much power 216 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:42,640 Speaker 1: can accumulate at the very top. 217 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 5: I give SpaceX less than a ten percent chance of 218 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 5: succeeding at all. To be clear, in fact, I told 219 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 5: people this, look, we're probably going to fail, but you know, 220 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 5: we should give it a try. 221 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 1: SpaceX made history last month with the big ever IPO, 222 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 1: raising seventy five billion dollars on a market value of 223 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:11,200 Speaker 1: nearly two trillion dollars, more than double that of Saudi 224 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 1: Aramco's twenty nine billion dollar listing in twenty nineteen. 225 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:17,520 Speaker 6: Encouraging more of that type of innovation in the American 226 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 6: economy rather than less of it seems important, but also 227 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 6: trying to make sure that we are fiscally responsible in discipline. 228 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:28,160 Speaker 1: SpaceX is now one of the most valuable public companies 229 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:31,040 Speaker 1: in the world, putting its founder and CEO into a 230 00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 1: category all his own, the world's first trillionaire. As Nobel 231 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:39,640 Speaker 1: Prize winning economist Paul Krugman points out, public markets are 232 00:12:39,679 --> 00:12:43,440 Speaker 1: turning ownership stakes into staggering concentrations of wealth. 233 00:12:43,720 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 7: Until recently, we've been talking about income, and we mostly 234 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 7: talk about the top twenty percent or even the top 235 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:54,840 Speaker 7: one percent. But wealth is a whole different story, and 236 00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 7: wealth is really where the action is. So it's on 237 00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:01,880 Speaker 7: wealth top one percent. It totally dominates wealth, but it's 238 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:04,760 Speaker 7: the inequality within the top one percent. It's the top 239 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:07,600 Speaker 7: tenth percent with a top point one or whatever that 240 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 7: is just a handful of people. Elon Musk obviously is 241 00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 7: the best known, but really, if you look at the 242 00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:16,600 Speaker 7: top ten people in the United States, there's an incredible 243 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:19,800 Speaker 7: amount of wealth there, and that is relatively new. Even 244 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 7: in the year two thousand, we were already talking about 245 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:27,239 Speaker 7: the one percent. But this ten billionaires, ten mega billionaires, 246 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 7: that's a new story. 247 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 1: And at this scale, the numbers start to outrun the 248 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:33,400 Speaker 1: language we use to describe them. 249 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:38,160 Speaker 6: These numbers like billions, hundreds of billions, trillions, you start 250 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 6: to not even be able to realize or understand what 251 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 6: the magnitudes really mean or demand of the American economy. 252 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:50,079 Speaker 1: To fully comprehend how much a trillion dollars is. Yale 253 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 1: law professor and co founder of the Budget Lab, Natasha 254 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:55,840 Speaker 1: Sarin offers a different way to measure it. 255 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:59,720 Speaker 6: A million seconds is about eleven and a half days. 256 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 6: A billion seconds is about thirty two years. A trillion 257 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:11,520 Speaker 6: seconds is thirty one thousand, seven hundred years. That is 258 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 6: roughly back to when humans worth began painting cave walls, 259 00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 6: And so a trillion dollars is just such an astounding 260 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 6: and significant sum that it is almost hard to grasp 261 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:26,920 Speaker 6: what it means. 262 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:31,240 Speaker 1: With a trillion dollars elon, Musk could buy every carmaker 263 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 1: in the US, Europe and Japan, like GMBMW and Toyota, 264 00:14:36,120 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 1: which total around nine hundred billion dollars and still have 265 00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:44,080 Speaker 1: nearly one hundred billion dollars left over. NASA's budget for 266 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:47,360 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five was twenty four point six billion dollars, 267 00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 1: meaning Musk could fund the Space Agency forty one times over. 268 00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 1: And if Musk were his own country, his territory as 269 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 1: of now, would be richer than one hundred and fifty 270 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 1: six other nations. He sits at number one on Bloomberg's 271 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:07,080 Speaker 1: Billionaire Index, followed by former Google CEO Larry Page, with 272 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 1: three hundred and fourteen billion dollars, one third of Musk's 273 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 1: net worth. But Musk is not the only one benefiting. 274 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:19,680 Speaker 1: SpaceX's IPO has created thousands of new millionaires inside the company, 275 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:23,040 Speaker 1: and the next wave of wealth creation may already be 276 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 1: on its way as more technology companies, especially those tied 277 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:31,960 Speaker 1: to artificial intelligence, moved toward the public markets. Both Anthropic 278 00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 1: and open Ai filed for IPOs in June, with estimated 279 00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 1: valuations already pushing that trillion dollar mark. Big tech is 280 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 1: driving so much of the stock market, for example, right now, 281 00:15:42,400 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 1: and these mega IPOs are AI related in one shape 282 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: or another. How much of it is tech? 283 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 7: A part of it is tech used to be not 284 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 7: that long ago. We would think, we used to say 285 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:54,240 Speaker 7: Wall Street was really driving this, although not really is tech. 286 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:58,360 Speaker 7: The ranks of the super rich asipherm being enormously richer 287 00:15:58,400 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 7: than they used to be. 288 00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:00,360 Speaker 4: They're all so. 289 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:03,920 Speaker 7: Much more sort of monochromatic than they used to be. 290 00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: Often with great fortune comes political influence. 291 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:10,080 Speaker 5: The DOGE influence wills to grow stronger. It's I liken 292 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,080 Speaker 5: it to a sort of Buddhism. It's like a way 293 00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:15,840 Speaker 5: of life. So it is premeating throughout the government. 294 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,920 Speaker 1: In twenty twenty five, President Trump put Musk in charge 295 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:22,600 Speaker 1: of the Department of Government Efficiency or DOGE, in which 296 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:27,000 Speaker 1: government agencies suffered massive financial and employee cuts. As more 297 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:31,840 Speaker 1: people cross into billionaire territory and now possibly trillionaire territory, 298 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:35,920 Speaker 1: Krugman says, the question becomes larger than net worth. It 299 00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 1: becomes a question about democracy. 300 00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:42,040 Speaker 7: The Times did a report saying that three hundred billionaire 301 00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 7: families are counted for something like nineteen percent of campaign 302 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:51,080 Speaker 7: contributions in twenty twenty four. And that's only the explicit 303 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:54,080 Speaker 7: stuff that's counted by the Federal Elections Commission. If you 304 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:57,200 Speaker 7: count all of the invisible channels of influence, well, if 305 00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 7: you have that much wealth at the top, it does 306 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 7: make us, in a meaningful sense, a less democratic nation. 307 00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 1: Musk's trillion dollar milestone is historic, but it's not the 308 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:12,119 Speaker 1: first time American capitalism created a new financial class. Just 309 00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 1: over a century ago, John D. Rockefeller became the country's 310 00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 1: first billionaire through his controlling stake in Standard Oil. 311 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:23,480 Speaker 8: The Rockefellers in the early twentieth century were really rich. 312 00:17:23,560 --> 00:17:28,560 Speaker 8: John D. Rockefeller, the founder of Standard Oil, he crossed 313 00:17:28,600 --> 00:17:31,880 Speaker 8: the one billion mark in the nineteen tens, and when 314 00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:35,840 Speaker 8: you adjust that for the share of the US economy, 315 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:40,440 Speaker 8: he's about it at trillion dollars. So right now, basically 316 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:44,359 Speaker 8: one hundred and twenty years after the first billionaire, we 317 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:47,640 Speaker 8: have the first trillionaire sort of hitting basically that same 318 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 8: mark in terms of the US economy. 319 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg reporter Ben Steberman has covered Elon Musk's rise and 320 00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:57,359 Speaker 1: has seen some similarities between the first billionaire and the 321 00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: first trillionaire, but also some key differences. 322 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 8: The Rockefellers did not want to be known as billionaires. 323 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 8: They already felt like they had a target on their back. 324 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:09,560 Speaker 8: They were in control of this monopoly that was incredibly controversial. 325 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 8: A case against them went all the way to the 326 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 8: Supreme Court and they lost. So they did not want 327 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:15,840 Speaker 8: to be known as billionaires. 328 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,359 Speaker 1: That sounds different from now. I'm not sure that Elon 329 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:21,159 Speaker 1: Musk is that upset about being called a trillionaire. It 330 00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:23,359 Speaker 1: wasn't just John D. Rockefier. There was a Gilded Age, 331 00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:25,479 Speaker 1: and there were Carnegies, and there were other people who 332 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:27,600 Speaker 1: had a lot of money. Was it a different sort 333 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 1: of societal reaction. 334 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:29,240 Speaker 4: Yeah. 335 00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 8: I think there was the Gilded Age in the late 336 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 8: nineteenth century and early twentieth century, but the progressive era 337 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 8: was coming in and that level of wealth just became 338 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:43,320 Speaker 8: incredibly controversial. That level of power in society became very controversial. 339 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 1: It was in the time of the Rockefellers, Carnegies, and 340 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:50,800 Speaker 1: Vanderbilts that the sixteenth Amendment was ratified, giving Congress the 341 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:54,919 Speaker 1: power to tax incomes from whatever source derived, laying the 342 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 1: foundation for our modern income tax system. But today's large 343 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:02,800 Speaker 1: fortunes are not built mainly from income. They are built 344 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:07,159 Speaker 1: through ownership stakes, stock appreciation, and capital gains. There was 345 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:10,399 Speaker 1: no conception of a trillionaire then, yeah, was this system 346 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:11,880 Speaker 1: set up for trillionaires? 347 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:16,359 Speaker 6: You can kind of trace its roots back to concerns 348 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:20,280 Speaker 6: about inequality and the first Gilded Age, you know, concerns 349 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:23,960 Speaker 6: that there was wealth that was being concentrated in these 350 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:29,200 Speaker 6: American oligarchs that we didn't actually have a good handle 351 00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:32,880 Speaker 6: on how to tax because of the restrictions with respect 352 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 6: to the ability to tax income and issues dealing with 353 00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:40,679 Speaker 6: apportionment that dated back to the Civil War. But it 354 00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:44,719 Speaker 6: was exactly in response to the needs of the fisk 355 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 6: to finance itself and concerns about inequality and its rapid 356 00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 6: growth in society. And so in some sense, you're kind 357 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:57,040 Speaker 6: of seeing the same movie play again, except it turns 358 00:19:57,080 --> 00:20:01,320 Speaker 6: out that the income tax doesn't seem accepttionally well situated 359 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,840 Speaker 6: to be able to tackle the nature of inequality in 360 00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:08,320 Speaker 6: this country, because the income tax is a tool that's 361 00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:11,639 Speaker 6: leaving out of its tax base something like forty percent 362 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:13,919 Speaker 6: of the wealth of those at the very top, and 363 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:17,199 Speaker 6: so a bit I have wondered whether one way to 364 00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:21,320 Speaker 6: understand the sort of ideas that are being put forth 365 00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:24,600 Speaker 6: with respect to things like wealth taxation or mark to 366 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:28,600 Speaker 6: market taxation of capital gains, whether this is the new 367 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:31,920 Speaker 6: income tax movement in some sense in this country. 368 00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,080 Speaker 1: The tax system, though, actually has a disincentive to freeing 369 00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:37,360 Speaker 1: up capital, does it not, Because if your only don't 370 00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:40,159 Speaker 1: have to pay on returns, and when you realize when 371 00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:42,560 Speaker 1: you sell the asset or otherwise transfer the asset, then 372 00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:44,880 Speaker 1: you just tend to sit on the asset, and it's not. 373 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:47,720 Speaker 6: Freedom if you look at the way the system is structured. 374 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 6: It is structured such that there is a huge incentive 375 00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 6: for Elon Musk to transfer his ownership stake in Tesla 376 00:20:57,000 --> 00:21:01,439 Speaker 6: and SpaceX and X to his air rather than to 377 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:04,000 Speaker 6: transfer it potentially during his lifetime. 378 00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:09,320 Speaker 7: Taxes on wealth or on capital income are a real 379 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:13,159 Speaker 7: way to curb this. You have corporations paying almost no 380 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:17,879 Speaker 7: tax or no tax, passing their profits onto one way 381 00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 7: or another's people who own stock who then pay little 382 00:21:22,800 --> 00:21:26,320 Speaker 7: or no tax. So we really have exacerbated this inequality. 383 00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:30,760 Speaker 1: It's because so much wealth is generated by appreciated capital 384 00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 1: rather than high incomes. The California is now considering the 385 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:38,480 Speaker 1: Billionaire Tax Act, which would impose a one time levy 386 00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:42,960 Speaker 1: on residents worth over one billion dollars. But unlike during 387 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:46,360 Speaker 1: the First Gilded Age, Americans in recent years have had 388 00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:50,480 Speaker 1: a more nuanced view of the ultra wealthy getting even richer. 389 00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:53,760 Speaker 8: You don't see a lot of anger actually in the 390 00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 8: polling at billionaires until fairly recently. So that indicates to 391 00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:02,399 Speaker 8: me that the average American actually kind of wants to 392 00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,879 Speaker 8: be rich themselves. I think it becomes a problem for 393 00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,199 Speaker 8: a lot of Americans when there's a sense that the 394 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:13,240 Speaker 8: system's rigged, or that the people at the top are 395 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:16,680 Speaker 8: somehow manipulating things to make their lives harder. 396 00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,719 Speaker 1: How much of this is forgive me envy. I suppose 397 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:22,480 Speaker 1: we all had a minimum income everybody in the country 398 00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:25,080 Speaker 1: that was sufficient. Would we feel better about inequality? 399 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:29,840 Speaker 7: We would feel better about inequality if we had the basics, 400 00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:33,200 Speaker 7: If everybody had healthcare, if everybody had a roof over 401 00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:36,000 Speaker 7: their heads, if everybody had sufficient nutrition, which by the way, 402 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:38,760 Speaker 7: we don't. The thing to say about that is that 403 00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:42,960 Speaker 7: doing that is quite expensive. I think that there's something 404 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 7: fundamentally skewed, demoralizing, corrupting about really extreme inequality. I think 405 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,879 Speaker 7: a society in which essentially a society in which there's trillion. 406 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,480 Speaker 7: There's is not going to be a good society even 407 00:22:57,520 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 7: if everybody has the basics. But you know, if we 408 00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:03,479 Speaker 7: could take a step towards making sure that everybody had 409 00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,560 Speaker 7: the basics, then that would deprogress. 410 00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:13,280 Speaker 1: Capitalism rewards winners, those who innovate and create successful businesses 411 00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:17,160 Speaker 1: and help grow the economy overall. But as those rewards 412 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:21,199 Speaker 1: soar beyond our wildest imagination, the question becomes whether there 413 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 1: can be too much of a good thing, whether the 414 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:30,159 Speaker 1: system can provide those lavish rewards without leaving the vast 415 00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 1: majority of us behind, and ultimately, whether the growing gap 416 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:41,480 Speaker 1: could put democracy itself at risk. Up next, The SpaceX 417 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:44,920 Speaker 1: launch hasn't just created large gaps in wealth. It's also 418 00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:48,080 Speaker 1: created large gaps in the power of the shareholders investing 419 00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 1: in the company, gaps that have led some to question 420 00:23:51,359 --> 00:24:06,399 Speaker 1: whether it's the right investment for them. This is a 421 00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:10,800 Speaker 1: story about fairness. When SpaceX went public last month, investors 422 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 1: were invited to buy into one of the world's most 423 00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 1: valuable companies, but they weren't buying equal voting rights. Instead, 424 00:24:17,280 --> 00:24:21,439 Speaker 1: the IPO cemented Elon Musk's extraordinary control over the company's future, 425 00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 1: giving him more voting power than all other shareholders combined, 426 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:28,360 Speaker 1: as well as locking him in as chairman and CEO. 427 00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:34,600 Speaker 9: SpaceX as a public company is an investment in Elon 428 00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:36,680 Speaker 9: Musk and the cult of Elon. 429 00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:40,120 Speaker 1: Well, you know, I visited SpaceX. 430 00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:44,480 Speaker 10: It's extraordinary. It's extraordinary what they've done. 431 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:49,360 Speaker 9: This has captured the imagination not just of investors, but 432 00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 9: really everyone. 433 00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 4: The reality is it's going to be a watersheder vent 434 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,360 Speaker 4: in terms of the space actor from Musk, our job 435 00:24:56,400 --> 00:25:00,400 Speaker 4: as institution a bastasis to take calculated risk. The case 436 00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 4: of Space six, we simply could not make the eighty 437 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 4: number say it off. 438 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:08,360 Speaker 1: Historically, public companies were simple manners where each share gave 439 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:12,399 Speaker 1: the holder one vote, something still true for companies like Apple, 440 00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:16,240 Speaker 1: but some founders decided that they needed and deserved a 441 00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 1: more than equal say in the running of the company, 442 00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 1: giving rise to two classes of shares, with some shares 443 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:26,440 Speaker 1: attached to multiple votes, a dual class share structure, which 444 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:30,160 Speaker 1: is the case for companies like Alphabet and Meta. Lease 445 00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 1: Buyer is an IPO advisor and the founder of Class 446 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:36,760 Speaker 1: five Group. She says one advantage of the dual class 447 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 1: structure is that it allows companies to get their sea 448 00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: legs as they adjust to being public. 449 00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:45,359 Speaker 9: The biggest thing is actually keeping activists away when the 450 00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,280 Speaker 9: stock falls, and so what that means is founders can 451 00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 9: make decisions that may actually have a negative impact on 452 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:54,000 Speaker 9: the near term without fear that if the stock falls 453 00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:56,560 Speaker 9: on that news, someone will swoop in and take it away. 454 00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:00,280 Speaker 9: From an investor's perspective, it's a double edged swords. Us 455 00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:03,359 Speaker 9: on one hand, can rightly feel you're taking my money 456 00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:07,119 Speaker 9: I want to vote. On the other hand, investors, no 457 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,800 Speaker 9: matter how savvy they are, don't actually know what's going 458 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:15,679 Speaker 9: on inside a company. The dual class structure provides a 459 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:19,040 Speaker 9: safety net for those investors who want to let management 460 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:22,119 Speaker 9: make the decisions they deem will work out best in 461 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,240 Speaker 9: the long run, without fear of losing their jobs if 462 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:26,920 Speaker 9: in fact there's a short term hiccup. 463 00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:31,120 Speaker 1: The dual class share structure gained prominence with Ford's landmark 464 00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:35,320 Speaker 1: nineteen fifty six IPO, allowing the Ford family to retain 465 00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:39,239 Speaker 1: control even as the number of public shareholders grew. A 466 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 1: similar two class model was adopted by some media companies 467 00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,880 Speaker 1: like The Washington Post, The New York Times, and Fox. 468 00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:49,480 Speaker 1: But what was once the exception is rapidly becoming the 469 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:53,359 Speaker 1: rule today. In nineteen eighty, just over one percent of 470 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:57,719 Speaker 1: IPOs used dual class structures. By last year that figured 471 00:26:57,760 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 1: had climbed to forty seven percent. 472 00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,439 Speaker 9: They were not coming in any other kind of public 473 00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:06,240 Speaker 9: stock until Google came along in two thousand and four, 474 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 9: where the founders had some very specific ideas of how 475 00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:11,120 Speaker 9: they wanted to run the company. 476 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:13,800 Speaker 1: This paved the way for SpaceX to file for an 477 00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:18,359 Speaker 1: IPO under an unusually extreme dual share structure. While Mask 478 00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:21,399 Speaker 1: holds just over forty percent of the company's equity, he 479 00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:25,320 Speaker 1: controls over eighty percent of the total voting power. Lucian 480 00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:28,600 Speaker 1: Bebchik is director of the Corporate Governance Program at Harvard 481 00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:29,399 Speaker 1: Law School. 482 00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:35,399 Speaker 10: What we have here goes much beyond just letting Mask 483 00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:40,040 Speaker 10: and determine the business strategy for some time. First of all, 484 00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 10: even if you believe that Mask is now by far 485 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:53,880 Speaker 10: the best to choose and the business strategy of the company, 486 00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:59,199 Speaker 10: this doesn't mean trusting how we will then allocate the 487 00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:05,040 Speaker 10: pie that is generated by the company between public investors 488 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:11,560 Speaker 10: and himself. One key role of corporate governance arrangements is 489 00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 10: to constrain insiders from allocating to themselves and excessive slice 490 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:23,200 Speaker 10: of the pie at the expense of public investors. 491 00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:27,080 Speaker 1: There's also a question, even if you believe wholeheartedly in 492 00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:30,840 Speaker 1: Elon must today, Elon Musk may not be there or 493 00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,840 Speaker 1: be the same Elon Musk thirty forty years down the road. 494 00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:40,640 Speaker 10: Yes, David, here you are completely correct. Furthermore, the governance 495 00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:45,960 Speaker 10: structure that entrenches control in the hands of whoever has 496 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:52,200 Speaker 10: the b shares is indefinite, which means that if Elon Mask, 497 00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 10: or when Elon Mask passes away, we are all motile. 498 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:07,280 Speaker 10: Then investors cannot rely on Masks, hears or whoever manages 499 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:12,440 Speaker 10: the trusts through which his high voting shares are head 500 00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 10: that there would be the most fitting leaders. 501 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 1: And then there's the question of how to ensure that 502 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 1: a superstar CEO remains fully committed to the company over 503 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 1: which he has nearly complete control, something that's been an 504 00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 1: issue before for mister Musk at his other venture, Tesla. 505 00:29:30,840 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 10: A similar concern arises in connection with SpaceX, because even 506 00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:42,960 Speaker 10: though in the governance structure of SpaceX there is an 507 00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:48,280 Speaker 10: iron clead commitment to have Masks in the CEO and 508 00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 10: share positions, there are no constraints whatsoever on how much 509 00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:58,080 Speaker 10: time and effort he will spend outside SpaceX. 510 00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:02,400 Speaker 1: The world is well aware the extraordinary SpaceX governance structure, 511 00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:06,960 Speaker 1: and it gives some potential investors pause. Under Shelde is 512 00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:11,240 Speaker 1: the chief investment officer of academicer hen Shun, a Danish 513 00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,640 Speaker 1: pension fund that manages more than twenty billion dollars in assets, 514 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 1: primarily on behalf of academics. It recently plays SpaceX on 515 00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:24,560 Speaker 1: an exclusion list for investments, specifically citing the company's catastrophic governance. 516 00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:27,200 Speaker 4: Maybe the Eland Moss brain is very strong in the US, 517 00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:29,680 Speaker 4: but it's not so strong in Denmark. Actually, I would 518 00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:32,040 Speaker 4: rather say that you know, many people drying assist. Let's 519 00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,720 Speaker 4: maybe a little bit embarrassed about it. And certainly among 520 00:30:34,760 --> 00:30:38,280 Speaker 4: our scheme members, there's a huge reputation of risk in 521 00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:41,080 Speaker 4: investing in an Elon musk lit company. So I've been 522 00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:43,640 Speaker 4: here for nine years now and I never experienced in 523 00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 4: my nine years as CIO, so many scheme members coming 524 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 4: back to me with positive comments from a single investment decision, 525 00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:56,040 Speaker 4: as I experienced in the wake of the exclusion of SpaceX. 526 00:30:56,200 --> 00:31:00,200 Speaker 1: What do you look for in governance, either to have 527 00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:02,200 Speaker 1: or to avoid? As you make investments. 528 00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:05,920 Speaker 4: We hold good governance very very highly. We think it's 529 00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:10,720 Speaker 4: extremely important into order to shore accountability and transparency and 530 00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:14,400 Speaker 4: sound decision making. And I think you know, good governance 531 00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 4: to us, to our mind realizes that the core of 532 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,480 Speaker 4: the trust that we need in public markets one share, 533 00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:25,120 Speaker 4: one vote. The distribution of power should be proportional to 534 00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:29,800 Speaker 4: the money invested. We have the separation of power between 535 00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:32,360 Speaker 4: CEO and chairman of the board. We don't like that 536 00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:35,400 Speaker 4: to be the same person. We think that creates a 537 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:41,360 Speaker 4: risk of poor decision making and excessive risk taking. And finally, 538 00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:44,720 Speaker 4: the third principle is independence. We want an independent board. 539 00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:46,800 Speaker 1: Do you see a trend or are you concerned about 540 00:31:46,800 --> 00:31:50,080 Speaker 1: a trend with the success of SpaceX that other companies 541 00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:52,560 Speaker 1: may follow a suit with respect to cover governance. 542 00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:58,760 Speaker 4: Definitely fear that, you know, this might inspire other to 543 00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:01,520 Speaker 4: go in the same direction. We could be hitting in 544 00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 4: that direction, even further concentration of power with a few 545 00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:08,600 Speaker 4: founders in some very very major companies. And I think 546 00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:12,640 Speaker 4: that is in that environment if it's important that via 547 00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 4: institution a vestas try and pull in the other direction 548 00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:17,520 Speaker 4: to get the balance right. 549 00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:22,480 Speaker 1: When the balance so unevenly favors one person's interests. What 550 00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:25,880 Speaker 1: power do the rest of the shareholders have? After all, 551 00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:28,560 Speaker 1: it is also their money that's on the line. 552 00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:33,120 Speaker 9: Investors who have one really important tool at their disposal, 553 00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:36,360 Speaker 9: they don't like what's going on, they can sell the stock. 554 00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:40,680 Speaker 9: That's their point of leverage. Retail investors, to be quite honest, 555 00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:42,920 Speaker 9: don't have much of us say anyway, because most of 556 00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:46,280 Speaker 9: them don't have enough voting power to make a difference. 557 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:50,120 Speaker 9: So should they care? Sure, because there should be some 558 00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:53,440 Speaker 9: forcing functions on management teams to remember that they have 559 00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:59,000 Speaker 9: sold stock to the public in return for committing to 560 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,440 Speaker 9: run the business like a public company. 561 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,240 Speaker 1: Ultimately, it will be for markets to decide whether that 562 00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:09,920 Speaker 1: balance of power is fair for all shareholders or tilts 563 00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:13,440 Speaker 1: too far towards the founders. As always, the markets speak 564 00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:16,720 Speaker 1: most loudly through the value put on the stock, and 565 00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:19,960 Speaker 1: at least at the beginning, Elon Musk is not facing 566 00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 1: too much pressure given SpaceX's initial market cap of over 567 00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:25,920 Speaker 1: two trillion dollars. 568 00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:34,080 Speaker 10: To whatever value you estimate and you attach to the 569 00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:39,440 Speaker 10: business prospects of SpaceX, you need as an investor to 570 00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:46,480 Speaker 10: discount it significantly because of the governance flows did the 571 00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:54,160 Speaker 10: market provide attached such an adequate discount. We cannot tell 572 00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:57,600 Speaker 10: from what we see in the market, but I think 573 00:33:57,640 --> 00:34:00,360 Speaker 10: it would be important for public investors to do so, 574 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,560 Speaker 10: and I hope that this interview might help a little 575 00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 10: bit in informing public investors about this issue to which 576 00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:12,560 Speaker 10: they should pay close attention. 577 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:17,920 Speaker 1: Up next, the growing business of treating menopause and how 578 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:30,879 Speaker 1: a change in FDA rules has given it new life. 579 00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:34,600 Speaker 1: This is a story about market failure, failure of the 580 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,759 Speaker 1: markets to address something half of the world's population will 581 00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:43,400 Speaker 1: experience but has historically been largely ignored menopause. For generations, 582 00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:46,320 Speaker 1: women were told the physiological changes that come with aging 583 00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:49,560 Speaker 1: were something they should endure quietly, if they were told 584 00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 1: anything at all. Now that silence is being broken by doctors, 585 00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 1: celebrity influencers, startups, and investors who see menopause as one 586 00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:01,440 Speaker 1: of the next big markets in women's health. Our colleague 587 00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:06,520 Speaker 1: Scholet Foo brings us the story. 588 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:07,440 Speaker 11: It's healthcare for half the world. 589 00:35:07,560 --> 00:35:08,439 Speaker 12: Menopause is hot. 590 00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:11,760 Speaker 13: It is a three hundred and sixty billion dollar category. 591 00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:15,719 Speaker 14: The plain wrong part was it's all over at menopause. 592 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,600 Speaker 14: Go to the corner, sit in the rocking chair and 593 00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:23,040 Speaker 14: pull out your knitting needles. That's changed significantly now. 594 00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:27,080 Speaker 15: Menopause is finally getting its big business moment after decades 595 00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:32,480 Speaker 15: of being overlooked. Beauty brands, supplement makers, telehealth startups, and 596 00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 15: investors are all racing to stake their claim on a 597 00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:39,080 Speaker 15: growing market to provide relief to women who's ovaries stop 598 00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:42,440 Speaker 15: producing estrogen. But this gold rush raises a key question 599 00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 15: which products and services actually help versus those cashing in 600 00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:47,279 Speaker 15: on confusion. 601 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:51,000 Speaker 11: We developed a report on the biggest domet needs in 602 00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:54,200 Speaker 11: women's health last year and established a three hundred and 603 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:56,480 Speaker 11: sixty billion dollar ghost market. 604 00:35:56,600 --> 00:36:00,680 Speaker 15: For carly Saper. The opportunity is clear. Menopause often hits 605 00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:03,720 Speaker 15: during women's peak earning years, driving more than one hundred 606 00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:07,520 Speaker 15: and fifty billion dollars in global productivity losses and underscoring 607 00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:09,920 Speaker 15: one of the biggest white spaces in women's health. 608 00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:14,359 Speaker 11: The market for menopause is specifically a huge market. There's 609 00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:18,560 Speaker 11: seventy five million women in the US today going through menopause. 610 00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:23,000 Speaker 11: Just by comparison, there's only four hundred thousand IVF cycles 611 00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:25,520 Speaker 11: in the US today. And that doesn't mean IVF is 612 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:28,080 Speaker 11: a bad place to invest. It just means the solutions 613 00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:31,080 Speaker 11: have to be relatively expensive for the market size to 614 00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:34,600 Speaker 11: be venture backable, whereas in menopause, even a relatively low 615 00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:37,920 Speaker 11: cost solution, if it's effective, can have a venture outcome. 616 00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:42,520 Speaker 15: For Nailmi Watts, that market gap started as something very personal. 617 00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:45,680 Speaker 15: At the age of thirty six, the Oscar nominated actress 618 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,480 Speaker 15: was at the precipice of fame, starring in films like 619 00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:49,319 Speaker 15: Mulholland Drive. 620 00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:50,319 Speaker 14: I can't believe it. 621 00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:55,600 Speaker 15: I'm just so excited to be here, the Ring in 622 00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:59,200 Speaker 15: King Kong. Then she received an unexpected diagnosis. 623 00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:02,520 Speaker 14: I wasn't getting pregnant, and so I a friend said, 624 00:37:02,560 --> 00:37:04,319 Speaker 14: why didn't you go to your doctor and get a 625 00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:07,040 Speaker 14: blood panel? And I was like, what's a blood pine panel? 626 00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:08,600 Speaker 13: I really was so clueless. 627 00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:13,040 Speaker 14: She said, check your hormones, and I'm like, okay. So 628 00:37:13,160 --> 00:37:17,719 Speaker 14: my guynecologist did exactly that, and he then told me 629 00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:20,640 Speaker 14: the results were looking like I was close to menopause. 630 00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:24,360 Speaker 15: That diagnosis collided with an industry that has often treated 631 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:26,080 Speaker 15: aging women as expendable. 632 00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:28,839 Speaker 14: There are many times you are told that you know, 633 00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,120 Speaker 14: you get to a certain age and you're not sexy anymore. 634 00:37:32,680 --> 00:37:35,839 Speaker 14: And this was told to me I started my career late, 635 00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:39,320 Speaker 14: and they said, you better get your skates on, because 636 00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:41,440 Speaker 14: you know you haven't got many years left. I said, 637 00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:44,239 Speaker 14: what do you mean why and they said, well, you 638 00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:48,959 Speaker 14: know it sort of all finishes at forty Why. Well, 639 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:54,040 Speaker 14: because you're not sexy after that? Why I'm getting angrier 640 00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:56,880 Speaker 14: by the second, because you're and you might need to 641 00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:58,920 Speaker 14: bleep this unvaluable. 642 00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,160 Speaker 15: It would take years for Wats to speak openly about 643 00:38:02,160 --> 00:38:03,200 Speaker 15: what she was going through. 644 00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:06,840 Speaker 14: I spent a lot of time feeling the fear and 645 00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:11,000 Speaker 14: shame and panic about it, and very lonely. I tried 646 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:15,080 Speaker 14: to connect with other women and they would sort of 647 00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:16,879 Speaker 14: laugh it off and say, oh, don't be silly, You're 648 00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:20,560 Speaker 14: not in menopause. You're far too young. So the more 649 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:24,520 Speaker 14: I sort of tried to connect with people and not 650 00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:28,160 Speaker 14: get the reaction that I wanted, which was compassion and comfort, 651 00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:30,960 Speaker 14: it just sort of made me retreat further. It really 652 00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:35,000 Speaker 14: took ten years and probably entering into my fifties for 653 00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:38,040 Speaker 14: me to own that and say I'm in menopause. 654 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:40,919 Speaker 15: I need help. Why do you think menopause has become 655 00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:44,720 Speaker 15: a consumer category now in the mid twenty twenties. 656 00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:47,000 Speaker 13: I think it's in large part thanks to women like 657 00:38:47,120 --> 00:38:50,200 Speaker 13: Naomi who have kind of come out of the shadows 658 00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:52,839 Speaker 13: and shouted from the rooftop and said no more. 659 00:38:53,239 --> 00:38:57,000 Speaker 15: Wells eventually turned her experience into Stripes, a wellness platform 660 00:38:57,040 --> 00:39:00,399 Speaker 15: aimed at women in perimenopause and menopause where I came 661 00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:03,319 Speaker 15: inev is the CEO of Stripes. How to build a 662 00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:08,800 Speaker 15: women's wellness brand that empowers women without monetizing on everything 663 00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:09,960 Speaker 15: that they might be feeling. 664 00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:12,040 Speaker 13: This is a pro aging brand and it was born 665 00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:16,000 Speaker 13: that way. It wasn't changed to be that because it 666 00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:18,920 Speaker 13: became trendy. This was born out of like a very 667 00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:23,439 Speaker 13: personal moment of like I need care, I'm not getting care. 668 00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:26,760 Speaker 13: And at the same time, we don't want to change 669 00:39:26,760 --> 00:39:28,839 Speaker 13: who women are and we don't want to lie to them. 670 00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:31,320 Speaker 13: We do see a lot of kind of legacy brands 671 00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:34,840 Speaker 13: in the industry who are changing tune. You know, for years, 672 00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:38,520 Speaker 13: all of the products said erase time, turn back the cloth. 673 00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:41,719 Speaker 13: They call these age spots or the ads had you know, 674 00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:44,520 Speaker 13: twenty five year old women and they were purporting to 675 00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:47,719 Speaker 13: erase twenty five years of time, and it was just ridiculous. 676 00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:51,440 Speaker 13: That's never really been the Stripe's proposition It's about feeling 677 00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:54,120 Speaker 13: the best that you can feel, embracing where you're at, 678 00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:58,120 Speaker 13: but improving what you can, and being comfortable and confident 679 00:39:58,160 --> 00:39:59,320 Speaker 13: and happy and supported. 680 00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:02,319 Speaker 15: This is just one company in a menopause market that 681 00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:05,400 Speaker 15: is getting more crowded by the day. Even so, investment 682 00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:08,640 Speaker 15: dollars in women's health barely register. Of the almost two 683 00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:11,759 Speaker 15: point nine trillion dollars in funding that investors plowed into 684 00:40:11,800 --> 00:40:14,239 Speaker 15: the healthcare sector in the first half of the decade, 685 00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:17,800 Speaker 15: women's health companies received less than one percent of the total. 686 00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:22,719 Speaker 15: As the metopause economy expands with new products and increased visibility, 687 00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,720 Speaker 15: who is setting the standard for what actually works? 688 00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:30,239 Speaker 16: It should be American physicians in the medical community and 689 00:40:30,320 --> 00:40:33,520 Speaker 16: number two, the FDA, which has a very distinct role 690 00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:38,200 Speaker 16: mandated by Congress to ensure that if a product makes 691 00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:42,360 Speaker 16: a medical claim about improving your health, that that claim 692 00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:43,640 Speaker 16: has to be supported by data. 693 00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:47,200 Speaker 15: Marty McCarey served as FDA Commissioner from March twenty twenty 694 00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:50,080 Speaker 15: five to May twenty twenty six. The former surgeon and 695 00:40:50,120 --> 00:40:53,640 Speaker 15: professor began his tenure at the FDA intent on reversing 696 00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:57,600 Speaker 15: long held medical dogma around the risks of hormone replacement therapy. 697 00:40:57,800 --> 00:41:01,799 Speaker 15: That reversal became official last Novemas. I'm curious about the 698 00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:05,640 Speaker 15: overall history of HRT. What were the early days of HRT? 699 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:11,279 Speaker 16: Like it was extremely popular. Women were experiencing the life 700 00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:15,879 Speaker 16: changing benefits in terms of their health, living longer, and 701 00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:18,320 Speaker 16: feeling better with hormone replacement therapy. 702 00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:20,840 Speaker 11: In two thousand and two, a study came out linking 703 00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:26,240 Speaker 11: HRT to breast cancer, stroke, and blood clots. The number, 704 00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:28,960 Speaker 11: of course, fell from forty percent of women using HRT 705 00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,280 Speaker 11: down to about four percent in the mid twenty tens. 706 00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:34,600 Speaker 16: As long as I've been in medicine, I've heard this 707 00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:38,320 Speaker 16: dog by this dictum that women should avoid hormone replacement 708 00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:42,400 Speaker 16: therapy after they go through menopause. Researchers said that a 709 00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:46,440 Speaker 16: study claimed that there was an increased risk of breast cancer, 710 00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:49,600 Speaker 16: suggesting that a woman had an increased risk of dying 711 00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:53,319 Speaker 16: of breast cancer. Turns out the study didn't really represent 712 00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,840 Speaker 16: the opportunity that women have to benefit from hormone therapy. 713 00:41:57,160 --> 00:42:00,920 Speaker 16: But regardless, the FDA piled on with some skin warnings 714 00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:04,080 Speaker 16: in two thousand and three, and so for the last 715 00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:07,440 Speaker 16: twenty two years before we tackled this at the FDA. 716 00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:11,680 Speaker 16: Women had been talked out of it, but the mantra 717 00:42:11,840 --> 00:42:14,200 Speaker 16: that women should avoid it at all costs took on 718 00:42:14,239 --> 00:42:17,440 Speaker 16: a life of its own and sadly scared away a 719 00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:21,799 Speaker 16: generation of women. Some call it the Lost Generation, approximately 720 00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:25,880 Speaker 16: fifty million women over twenty three years who were denied, 721 00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:30,440 Speaker 16: talked out of, or never offered hormone replacement therapy because 722 00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:33,319 Speaker 16: of that dogma in the field. I consider it to 723 00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:36,799 Speaker 16: be one of the greatest mistakes of modern medicine. The 724 00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:38,320 Speaker 16: FDA is taking action. 725 00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:40,959 Speaker 15: So during his brief tenure, McCarry took a major step 726 00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:41,839 Speaker 15: towards fixing this. 727 00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:45,920 Speaker 16: I immediately convened experts and tackled this issue, and we 728 00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:50,160 Speaker 16: told women the truth nationwide. We removed black box warnings 729 00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:53,320 Speaker 16: that were not supported by the data, and we described 730 00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:57,520 Speaker 16: the profound short term and long term health benefits that 731 00:42:57,760 --> 00:42:59,680 Speaker 16: ultimately are good for public health. 732 00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:03,359 Speaker 11: There's a lot of relief because so many women who 733 00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:06,520 Speaker 11: are experiencing the symptoms are really relying on the FDA 734 00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:09,080 Speaker 11: to tell them if they should be taking HRT or 735 00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:11,720 Speaker 11: are not now going to see that they should access 736 00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:13,840 Speaker 11: HRT and have the care that they deserve. 737 00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:17,000 Speaker 15: A need under McCarey. The FDA's move helped to advance 738 00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:21,280 Speaker 15: a medical conversation stunted by stigmatization over the past two decades. 739 00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:25,759 Speaker 15: Just in the past five years, progesterone containing HRT prescriptions 740 00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:28,520 Speaker 15: for women aged forty five and older have more than 741 00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:32,080 Speaker 15: tripled and prescribing rates have increased more than nineteen percent 742 00:43:32,239 --> 00:43:33,960 Speaker 15: since the FDA's label change. 743 00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:37,040 Speaker 16: And in the past, this was a taboo topic. Women 744 00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:39,040 Speaker 16: would be embarrassed to talk about it. If they brought 745 00:43:39,040 --> 00:43:42,120 Speaker 16: it up with their doctor, they would sort of be dismissed. 746 00:43:42,600 --> 00:43:45,879 Speaker 16: And now you're seeing a national conversation emerged where very 747 00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:50,080 Speaker 16: respected leaders around the world are saying, look, when I 748 00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:52,840 Speaker 16: go through menopause in the next few years, this is 749 00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:56,200 Speaker 16: what I intend to do, or this has changed my life. 750 00:43:56,680 --> 00:43:59,080 Speaker 15: The FDA's actions may be helping to remove some of 751 00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:02,080 Speaker 15: the stigma of mentopol but the healthcare industry has to 752 00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:05,920 Speaker 15: catch up in preparing professionals to address women's changing needs. 753 00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:10,719 Speaker 11: Only twenty percent of residency programs in the US have 754 00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:14,719 Speaker 11: a formal menopause track, so we're seeing that providers are 755 00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:18,160 Speaker 11: lacking education on how to treat women going through menopause. 756 00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:21,360 Speaker 11: This is a huge gap that allows for innovation to 757 00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:24,080 Speaker 11: come in by democratizing access to metopause care. 758 00:44:24,280 --> 00:44:27,520 Speaker 12: There are very few people trained in the science and 759 00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:31,800 Speaker 12: medicine of midlife care for women, and essentially they treat 760 00:44:31,840 --> 00:44:35,080 Speaker 12: you the wrong way. So the opportunity that I saw 761 00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:39,680 Speaker 12: was to create a company that would give great women's 762 00:44:39,719 --> 00:44:43,920 Speaker 12: health care focusing on hormones to women covered by insurance, 763 00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:45,920 Speaker 12: because it shouldn't be that you have to go to 764 00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,399 Speaker 12: a concierge doctor like I did and pay fifteen hundred 765 00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:49,960 Speaker 12: dollars in order to get this care. 766 00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:53,640 Speaker 15: That idea became midi Health, a telehealth company started by 767 00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:57,400 Speaker 15: Joanna Strober focused on midlife women's healthcare. It reached a 768 00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:01,000 Speaker 15: one billion dollar valuation back in February, the first menopause 769 00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:01,879 Speaker 15: company to do so. 770 00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:05,920 Speaker 12: I was around in my late forties. I was suffering 771 00:45:05,960 --> 00:45:11,240 Speaker 12: from anxiety and heart issues and gaining weight all the things. 772 00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:14,880 Speaker 12: I went to a primary care provider, and that primary 773 00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:18,400 Speaker 12: care provider sent me to therapy. They gave me a 774 00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:22,240 Speaker 12: sleep test and said that I had perhaps sleep apnea. 775 00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:27,360 Speaker 12: They also gave me an anti depression medication. So I eventually, 776 00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:31,040 Speaker 12: after about a year, found a concierge doctor who was 777 00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:34,480 Speaker 12: specialist in women's health, and within two weeks she cleared 778 00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:37,080 Speaker 12: up all of the issues that I was experiencing. We're 779 00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:39,480 Speaker 12: sending people to get colonoscopies, we're sending people to get 780 00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:43,480 Speaker 12: blood tests, but we're basically creating a care layer of 781 00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:47,040 Speaker 12: expert women's health providers. None of that requires in person. 782 00:45:47,080 --> 00:45:48,080 Speaker 12: It can all be done online. 783 00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:51,479 Speaker 15: How do you separate durable medical demand from the hype 784 00:45:51,480 --> 00:45:53,200 Speaker 15: and the excitement that surrounds menopause? 785 00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:55,520 Speaker 12: Thirty five and sixty five is one of the biggest 786 00:45:55,560 --> 00:45:58,680 Speaker 12: care gaps that we have. Essentially, there's a lot of 787 00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:01,400 Speaker 12: focus on babies and then there's a lot of focus 788 00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:04,560 Speaker 12: on geriatric care, and we have this huge gap of 789 00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:07,600 Speaker 12: care in between. And what people have realized is that 790 00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:10,840 Speaker 12: this gap of women has been dramatically underserved. 791 00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:14,600 Speaker 15: What do investors misunderstand about menopause and how do you 792 00:46:14,600 --> 00:46:17,160 Speaker 15: think that that's evolved or changed over the years. 793 00:46:17,600 --> 00:46:20,200 Speaker 12: So I think there's a perspective that menopause is a 794 00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:22,239 Speaker 12: moment and you're going to take care of people in 795 00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:26,440 Speaker 12: that moment. But we've learned that menopause care is it's 796 00:46:26,480 --> 00:46:30,240 Speaker 12: both symptoms and preventive care. For a thirty year period, 797 00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:32,560 Speaker 12: of time. So women might come to us in their 798 00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:35,160 Speaker 12: thirties having had a baby and their hair is falling 799 00:46:35,200 --> 00:46:37,719 Speaker 12: out and they're having some anxiety. They come to us 800 00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:41,120 Speaker 12: in their forties because they're having symptoms of perimenopause and menopause. 801 00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:44,640 Speaker 12: They're not sleeping, they're having anxiety. And then in their fifties, 802 00:46:44,680 --> 00:46:47,800 Speaker 12: they're worried about their bones and they're worried about cardiovascular 803 00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:50,239 Speaker 12: disease and what can I do to age healthier? So 804 00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:52,640 Speaker 12: we're finding women stir with us for one thing, and 805 00:46:52,680 --> 00:46:54,440 Speaker 12: they stay with us for many, many years. 806 00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:58,120 Speaker 15: The same conditions that make menopause a promising market also 807 00:46:58,160 --> 00:47:02,200 Speaker 15: make it a confusing one. Clinics and wellness claims multiply. 808 00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:05,080 Speaker 15: The challenge for women will be figuring out what kind 809 00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:07,880 Speaker 15: of help they can trust. There are many companies out 810 00:47:07,920 --> 00:47:11,399 Speaker 15: there claiming to treat menopause symptoms, either in the short 811 00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:13,799 Speaker 15: term or in the long term. What should women look 812 00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:17,280 Speaker 15: for in buying certain products? How do they distinguish between 813 00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:19,880 Speaker 15: something that's real versus something that just claims to do 814 00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:20,239 Speaker 15: the trick. 815 00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:22,719 Speaker 16: I think in every industry there are products out there 816 00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:26,200 Speaker 16: that just don't survive because they don't live up to 817 00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:29,440 Speaker 16: the claims. Look for the FDA brand. It's one of 818 00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:31,520 Speaker 16: the greatest brands in the world, and product does not 819 00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:33,840 Speaker 16: have that brand. I'd run it by your doctor. 820 00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:37,359 Speaker 1: That does it for us. Here at Wall Street Week, 821 00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:40,680 Speaker 1: I'm David Weston. See you next week for more stories 822 00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:55,400 Speaker 1: of capitalism.