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Always use the 29 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: code get the discount. I'm telling you it's excellent, excellent bread. 30 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: Hello there, Happy Thursday. Welcome to another episode of the 31 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: check podcast. We are forty eight hours removed from essentially 32 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 1: the beginning of the midterm elections, and I'll get to 33 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: my reasoning on that again in a minute, But essentially 34 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty six campaign started Election Night twenty twenty five. 35 00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: Obviously some of you may have watched watch my Election 36 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 1: Night live stream. First of all, just we are ecstatic 37 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 1: how well that went. For those of you that tunedn't 38 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 1: thank you. We had a huge audience, nearly half a 39 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: million people coming in. At any point in time, were 40 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: still trying to figure out the data, but it blew 41 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: the doors off, whether you caught us on X on YouTube, 42 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 1: whether it was on my pages, decision to s HQ, 43 00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:25,919 Speaker 1: chrys Elizzes substack. That was the beauty of this. We 44 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 1: could be in so many different platforms. We had tremendous 45 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 1: guests who brought information. It was data oriented. This wasn't 46 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: some partisan make yourself feel good or bad fest. This 47 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: was simply what was happening. What should we learn from this? 48 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: What's the takeaways with people who are charged with either 49 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: figuring out how to win or lose an election for 50 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 1: Team Red or Team Blue, or figuring out what happened 51 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:58,639 Speaker 1: to explain blain to you. Look, we're so pleased with 52 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 1: how this went. This is something we hope and plan 53 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,079 Speaker 1: to do again, and we'd love to hear from you 54 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 1: of thoughts, suggestions. What did you like that we did, 55 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:11,359 Speaker 1: What do you wish we didn't do that we did? 56 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 1: And what do you wish that we did do that 57 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 1: we didn't? You know, we really tried to gear this 58 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:21,359 Speaker 1: towards those that wanted that were following this stuff pretty 59 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,360 Speaker 1: closely and wanted to understand what the heck was happening 60 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 1: on the ground. Election night and various I know, for me, 61 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 1: I learned a whole bunch of stuff from our guests, 62 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 1: the newsgirls and what the work that they did in 63 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 1: New York. I want to give them another shout out 64 00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 1: maybe and rent there and the newsgirls and what they 65 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: did with covering voters in New York City and really 66 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 1: sort of capturing the story before anybody else got it, 67 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 1: which was what was happening with Republican voters in New 68 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: York City and how much that they held their nose 69 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 1: to support Cuomo. So just a tremendous success and I'm 70 00:03:57,320 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 1: just tickled about it. And yes, I used the word 71 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: Tickle's call me an old man for doing that. But 72 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 1: we're going to do more of this, but we definitely 73 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 1: would love feedback and suggestions, so don't be shy about that. 74 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: I want to get a little bit more. And I 75 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 1: feel like when you have a day to sort of 76 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 1: unpack everything you can, you know, it's the day after 77 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: a storm hits you. Sometimes you think you know the 78 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:24,240 Speaker 1: damage on the night of the storm, but sometimes you 79 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 1: need the sunlight, right And so in a few minutes, 80 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 1: we're going to take a look at things after I've 81 00:04:29,640 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 1: been able to look at things with some light and 82 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:36,600 Speaker 1: in the light of day. I have a great interesting 83 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:41,279 Speaker 1: set of interviews today. It is all about whether we 84 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 1: are going to have fifty one or fifty two states 85 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:48,840 Speaker 1: in the next decade. I have a dual interview, one 86 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 1: with DC's shadow representative, oya O Aluay. He is an 87 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:58,120 Speaker 1: elected lobbyist for d C statehood. There are shadow senators 88 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 1: and a shadow representative. That is, they are actually run 89 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,720 Speaker 1: for office. They are elected by the citizens of DC. 90 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:09,520 Speaker 1: This is their job trying essentially to lobby Congress for statehood. 91 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 1: And it's a joint interview with the executive director of 92 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 1: PR fifty one, George laws Garcia, which of course is 93 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 1: the effort by those in Puerto Rico who would like 94 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:22,480 Speaker 1: to become the fifty first state. I did this interview 95 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 1: about about two weeks ago, and this is something I've 96 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 1: been wanting, an issue I've been wanting to touch on. 97 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 1: But in some ways President Trump made this interview at 98 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:35,599 Speaker 1: tadmore relevant. In the last forty eight hours. He's been 99 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: pushing Republicans to get rid of the filibuster, which if 100 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 1: your Oyao Aluay, whose job is to get DC statehood, 101 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:49,480 Speaker 1: he's ecstatic with that idea. Because he believes if Democrats 102 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 1: get the majority in both the House and the Senate 103 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:54,040 Speaker 1: at the same time like they had before, even if 104 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 1: it's not filibuster proof, that they will be able to 105 00:05:56,560 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 1: get that vote for DC statehood. Puerto Rican thinks the 106 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 1: same thing. But what was interesting, and frankly, what I 107 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: think was wrong about President Trump's take on this is 108 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:08,800 Speaker 1: he said, I know that with the Philip Uster getting 109 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:11,720 Speaker 1: rid of it, it means DC will get two more 110 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 1: states and four more Democratic senators. That's why I don't 111 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 1: buy that, and that's why I did this interview as 112 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 1: a pair. I mean, we basically have four million Americans 113 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:30,280 Speaker 1: who lack representation in our government. They're taxpayers, they live 114 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: in Puerto Rico, or they live in this sort of 115 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:35,799 Speaker 1: Columbia's nearly over three million people in Puerto Rico, nearly 116 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 1: a million people in DC who don't have basic representation 117 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:44,320 Speaker 1: in the US Congress don't have Essentially, they are less 118 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:48,960 Speaker 1: they have lesser rights than Americans that live in the 119 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 1: fifty States. But and this is what George las Garcia 120 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:54,800 Speaker 1: is going to inform you about. But if you have 121 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 1: followed Puerto Rico politics, it is not one party politics. Yes, 122 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: maybe DC has a big Democratic lean, but I'm also 123 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:08,599 Speaker 1: somebody who realizes there's never there's always politics supports vacuums 124 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: no matter how, and we see it in hard solid 125 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 1: red states, solid blue states. There's always an ability for 126 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 1: some entity to fill the vacuum and become the opposition 127 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 1: and possibly have success. And as both George and Oya 128 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: will let you know during this interview, what you think 129 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 1: of state is going to be when it's led into 130 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 1: the Union will surprise you only a few years later 131 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: when they actually become states. Alaska and Hawhi are two 132 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,400 Speaker 1: great examples. When they were brought into the Union, the 133 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 1: assumption was Hawaii was going to be a Republican state 134 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:45,960 Speaker 1: and Alaska was going to be the Democratic state, and 135 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:50,160 Speaker 1: basically it's been the exact opposite of that outside of 136 00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 1: the first couple of years. So I think it's a 137 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 1: timely interview. And I know a lot of people don't 138 00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 1: quite understand the issue of statehood. What does it take. 139 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 1: I hope this conversation explains it pretty well, and I 140 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 1: hope it sort of for those of you that are 141 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: skeptical of whether we should be expanding states, ask yourself 142 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:13,160 Speaker 1: if you were one of the four million people who 143 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 1: live somewhere that doesn't have basic representation. How you would 144 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 1: feel about that if you didn't have that kind of 145 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 1: So that's my long interview. It's a great conversation, and again, 146 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 1: yes it's a little bit a one off of the 147 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 1: conversation we're having at the moment given the political environment. 148 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 1: But in some ways it's an important piece of information 149 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: because you never know what's around the corner when it 150 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: comes to this issue of either DC statehood or Puerto 151 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 1: Rico statehood. Obviously, I'll also do some questions and hey, 152 00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 1: it's Thursday, it's a college football weekend, and I'm going 153 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:59,680 Speaker 1: to another college football game this weekend. I'll explain after 154 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:02,200 Speaker 1: the interview and after on the other side, after we 155 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 1: do some q and a's, but before we get there, uh, 156 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 1: you know, in the light of day, with a little 157 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:13,719 Speaker 1: extra time to look at all the results. Tuesday night 158 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 1: was a big night for Democrats. This was not just 159 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 1: a good night for them, it was it was bigger 160 00:09:19,240 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 1: than they would have expected. And I can tell you 161 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 1: what surprised me. I mean, did I expect Spamberger to win, 162 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,600 Speaker 1: Cheryl to win, and mom Donnie win, Yes, yes, and yes, 163 00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 1: but it was the fact that Spamberger was able to 164 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:34,440 Speaker 1: win by double digits, and she dragged Jay Jones, the 165 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: attorney the controversial attorney general candidate, across the finish line, 166 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: a candidate by the way, that Spamberger did not reindorse 167 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:47,280 Speaker 1: after the controversial text messages became released. He certainly underperformed 168 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:51,680 Speaker 1: Spamberger by a good five to seven points, but she 169 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 1: won by such a big margin. Democratic turnout was so 170 00:09:55,600 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 1: big that it was enough to overcome that. So I 171 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 1: would say, be careful assuming, you know, one of the 172 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 1: quick knee jerk takeaways of this might be ah, character 173 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 1: doesn't matter. Right, We've seen it with Donald Trump. Now, 174 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:09,680 Speaker 1: we've seen it with Jay Jones. You know how many 175 00:10:09,679 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: times we've seen it with Bill Clinton? Right? How many 176 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:14,080 Speaker 1: times do we need to be reminded of this? And 177 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: then I would say, well, look at the margins, you know, 178 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:20,680 Speaker 1: you know, but for in a different national political environment, 179 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 1: these texts would have cost j Jones the election, that's 180 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 1: the bottom line. But because it was such an awful 181 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 1: environment for Republicans in such a good environment for Democrats, 182 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:33,360 Speaker 1: that ended up it looks like it doesn't matter. But 183 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 1: don't kid yourself. Go look at those margins. It did matter. 184 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 1: It just didn't cost him the election. But that's the 185 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 1: point here, that's how big the Democratic turnout was. Take 186 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:49,960 Speaker 1: a look at the state of New Jersey. Jack Chiarelli 187 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:52,880 Speaker 1: essentially got the hit all of his targets that he 188 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:55,800 Speaker 1: did four years ago in twenty twenty one when he 189 00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 1: came within three points of Phil Murphy. It was a 190 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 1: pretty competitive New Jersey governors rights well, he hit those 191 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:07,640 Speaker 1: same numbers, but the turnout among Democrats was so much 192 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: greater in the democratic areas than Mikey. Cheryl won rather comfortable, 193 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 1: So it was a huge turnout. Basically, Democrats showed up 194 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 1: base Republicans did not. And in fact, the best example 195 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:23,959 Speaker 1: of this was not in New Jersey, was not in Virginia, 196 00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:28,199 Speaker 1: not in New York City. It was in Georgia. They 197 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 1: had two public Service commissioner races. And for those of 198 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,600 Speaker 1: you that don't live in the South, this is a 199 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:35,680 Speaker 1: little bit more of a Southern state thing, and there's 200 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:37,440 Speaker 1: a few other states that do it this way, where 201 00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:43,439 Speaker 1: essentially the group of folks that oversee the public utilities 202 00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 1: in a state that help approve whether they can have 203 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:51,000 Speaker 1: a rate height on your electric bills. And by the way, 204 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,200 Speaker 1: this I'm going to get to the electric bills issue 205 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 1: in a minute. In some states, these are elected officials 206 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:58,160 Speaker 1: in some states that are appointed by a governor or 207 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 1: appointed by a legislature. In this case, these are elected officials. Now, 208 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: these are two Republican incumbents. They neither of them ever 209 00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:08,760 Speaker 1: faced voters before they were appointed by the governor and 210 00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 1: then had to stand for reelection. There was a bit 211 00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:14,880 Speaker 1: of it. This was sort of there had been a lawsuit. 212 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:17,839 Speaker 1: If you want to get some of the details about 213 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 1: this race, I encourage you to go deeper on this 214 00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:26,160 Speaker 1: and why these two seats were on the ballot essentially 215 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:29,439 Speaker 1: for voter affirmation on whether they were going to accept 216 00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:32,959 Speaker 1: the appointee or whether they wanted this alternative. But what 217 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 1: you had in Georgia was a fairly low turnout and 218 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 1: there was a lot of money spent in those races, 219 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:41,559 Speaker 1: so it was essentially a test of whose voters showed up. 220 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 1: And this is a battleground state, right Georgia frankly is 221 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 1: a state that I think of is still a bit 222 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:49,440 Speaker 1: light red. You know, when you look at where the 223 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 1: Democrats carried it in twenty twenty won a couple of 224 00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:56,439 Speaker 1: Senate seats in the runoff after Donald Trump essentially messed 225 00:12:56,520 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 1: up those runoff races. Rafael Warnock wins in twenty twenty two, 226 00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:03,720 Speaker 1: but gets forced into a runoff by essentially the worst 227 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 1: Senate nominee that Georgia Republicans have had in a generation. 228 00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:10,560 Speaker 1: But it took a runoff for him to win. So 229 00:13:11,880 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 1: I've been a bit skeptical that Georgia truly is a 230 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 1: battleground state, that maybe it was just sort of an 231 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 1: It's still a lean red state that Democrats have to 232 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:25,160 Speaker 1: catch a few breaks in order to win statewide, and 233 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:29,040 Speaker 1: in particularly state level races, they had been getting crushed. 234 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:31,559 Speaker 1: They They hadn't won a state level race, I think 235 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:34,800 Speaker 1: since two thousand and nine, when a gentleman named Michael Thurman, 236 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 1: who happens to be running for governor this time, was 237 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 1: able to win a low level, down ballot statewide race. 238 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:44,120 Speaker 1: And here we are and it wasn't even that close. 239 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 1: It was a wipeout. Now, I will say that this 240 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:48,680 Speaker 1: and I think this is a little nugget that people 241 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:51,320 Speaker 1: ought to be aware of. I wouldn't be surprised if 242 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:54,920 Speaker 1: some voters simply went into the polls and said my 243 00:13:55,040 --> 00:13:58,000 Speaker 1: electric bills too damn high. I'm voting out the incumbent, right, 244 00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:01,360 Speaker 1: And there was a denotion of who the incumbent was. 245 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 1: And so I don't want to underestimate the power of 246 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 1: pissed off voters about their electric bills having an impact 247 00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 1: when you get to directly express your frustration to the 248 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:17,640 Speaker 1: Public Service commissioner who oversees rate hikes. But this was 249 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 1: a generic test of the two parties. And I'll tell 250 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 1: you this. If I'm John Ossoff, the Democratic senator up 251 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 1: for reelection in twenty twenty six, the most vulnerable Democratic 252 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 1: incumbent senator in the country, I think it's fair to 253 00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:34,400 Speaker 1: say you feel I heck of a lot better about 254 00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 1: your chances today than perhaps you did yesterday. Look, he's 255 00:14:37,800 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 1: a fundraising juggernaut. He's going to have plenty of money. 256 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 1: He's catching a break that Republicans can't settle on a nominee. 257 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 1: Brian Kemp's got his choice. And the son of former 258 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: Georgia football coach legend Vince Dooley, It's Derek Dooley. You 259 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: got two other candidates vying. They're all vying for the 260 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 1: Donald Trump endorsement. None of them have gotten that just 261 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:00,640 Speaker 1: yet you got Mike Collins in this race, son of 262 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:03,920 Speaker 1: Matt Collins, Buddy Carter running as well, so it's a 263 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 1: you know, he's catching a break. There's a lot of 264 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:08,360 Speaker 1: money is going to be spent between these three guys 265 00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 1: just trying to get this nomination. But now I'm starting 266 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:15,320 Speaker 1: to think I was, you know, I assume that the 267 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:19,600 Speaker 1: governor's race was sort of a soft ar Lean here. Yes, 268 00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:23,239 Speaker 1: Brian kempis term limited, especially if a guy like Brad Raffensberger, 269 00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 1: the outgoing Republican Secretary State, gets that nomination. But now 270 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 1: you have to be pretty bullish about Democrats' chances up 271 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 1: and down the ballot in the state of Georgia based 272 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 1: on these results. But look, this wasn't just Virginia or 273 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:41,320 Speaker 1: New Jersey or Georgia. In Pennsylvania, Republicans throw a bunch 274 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:45,120 Speaker 1: of money trying to throw out a few Supreme Court justices. 275 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 1: They have an up or down they don't. These were 276 00:15:48,880 --> 00:15:53,000 Speaker 1: retention elections, and then if the voters choose to not 277 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 1: retain the Supreme Court justice, the governor would appoint a 278 00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,080 Speaker 1: temporary and then there would be an election in twenty 279 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:03,520 Speaker 1: twenty seven to fill to let the voters decide who 280 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:09,160 Speaker 1: the long term justice should be. And Democrats beat back 281 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:14,080 Speaker 1: all all of those sort of attempts by Republicans to 282 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:17,120 Speaker 1: upend that Supreme Court. It's a five to two majority 283 00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 1: right now in favor of the Democrats. That is twenty 284 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:22,720 Speaker 1: twenty eight implications. Right, you know who's going to be 285 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:27,280 Speaker 1: making the decisions about ballots and about whether the polls, 286 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:29,400 Speaker 1: what time the polls should stay open to, or when 287 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:33,040 Speaker 1: early voting should begin, or what's the signature rules when 288 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 1: it comes to absentee ballots. This little these little things matter, 289 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 1: but more importantly organizationally, the party engaged here and yet 290 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 1: they got swamped. This was a repudiation of Donald Trump. 291 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 1: And here's why I say that. If you look at 292 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 1: the exit polling, and certainly if you look at the 293 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 1: polling that I highlighted in my Monday podcast, the Republican 294 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:03,120 Speaker 1: Party brand is in better shape than the Democratic Party brand. 295 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:06,400 Speaker 1: Right The Democratic Party has some of the highest unfavorable 296 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 1: ratings that's had in decades. And in fact, the in 297 00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:12,840 Speaker 1: the network exit polls they did do a collective exit poll, 298 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party had an unfavorable rating in the state 299 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 1: of Virginia of over fifty percent. That didn't prevent Abigail Spenberger, 300 00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:25,920 Speaker 1: the Democratic nominee for governor, from having the biggest victory 301 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: of any Democrat in forty years. And it's the biggest 302 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 1: victory of any candidate for governor since Bob McDonald's victory 303 00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:39,640 Speaker 1: in two thousand and nine. So this despite the unpopularity 304 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:43,439 Speaker 1: of the Democratic brand, Democrats won big. So how do 305 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 1: you explain it? Two words? Donald Trump, Because his unfavorable 306 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:53,639 Speaker 1: rating is basically equal to the Democrats. Donald Trump's brand 307 00:17:53,720 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: is in worse shape than the Republican Party brand. And 308 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: that is the driver. As I always say, you know, 309 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:07,320 Speaker 1: presidents create the political weather. You know, we use a 310 00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 1: lot of I use I say we I use a 311 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:14,160 Speaker 1: lot of weather metaphors when it comes to politics. Right, collectively, 312 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,919 Speaker 1: the entire political analyst community uses a lot of weather metaphors. So, 313 00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 1: sticking with that metaphor, it is a president that creates 314 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 1: the weather. It is his political environment, especially a second 315 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 1: term president, especially someone who has got such control of 316 00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:37,240 Speaker 1: his party. And this is where his reaction, I think 317 00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:39,120 Speaker 1: tells you where this could be. And I think the 318 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 1: next three weeks are going to be fascinating inside the 319 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:47,119 Speaker 1: Republican Party. As this finger pointing starts to set in, 320 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 1: Donald Trump, for whatever reason, just handed Democrats more leverage 321 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 1: on the government shutdown debate. Why do I say he 322 00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 1: handed Democrats more leverage because he chose to blame the 323 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:04,680 Speaker 1: shutdown for the losses of the Republicans. So in Trump's view, 324 00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:08,520 Speaker 1: because remember, nothing is Donald Trump's fault when things go badly. 325 00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 1: When things go badly in Donald Trump's world, you have 326 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 1: to find someone else to blame. Donald Trump is not 327 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 1: going to accept the premise that he alone is why 328 00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 1: Democrats had such an easy time getting their people to 329 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:25,920 Speaker 1: the polls. That is something he's not going to accept. 330 00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 1: But the fact that he goes out there and Chuck Schumer, 331 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:32,359 Speaker 1: by the way, retweeted his comments and said, I agree 332 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:38,320 Speaker 1: with him. Having good life insurance is incredibly important. I 333 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 1: know from personal experience. I was sixteen when my father 334 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:43,919 Speaker 1: passed away. We didn't have any money. He didn't leave 335 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 1: us in the best shape. My mother, single mother, now widow, 336 00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:50,399 Speaker 1: myself sixteen trying to figure out how am I going 337 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 1: to pay for college? And lo and behold, my dad 338 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:56,919 Speaker 1: had one life insurance policy that we found wasn't a lot, 339 00:19:57,280 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 1: but it was important at the time, and it's why 340 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:03,360 Speaker 1: I was able to go to college. Little did he 341 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:07,160 Speaker 1: know how important that would be in that moment. Well 342 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,359 Speaker 1: guess what. That's why I am here to tell you 343 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 1: about Ethos Life. They can provide you with peace of 344 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,800 Speaker 1: mind knowing your family is protected even if the worst 345 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:18,760 Speaker 1: comes to pass. 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As of 355 00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:49,919 Speaker 1: March twenty twenty five, Business Insider named Ethos the number 356 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:54,320 Speaker 1: one no medical exam instant life insurance provider. So protect 357 00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:57,720 Speaker 1: your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get your free 358 00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 1: quote at ethos dot com slash check so again, that's 359 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:06,600 Speaker 1: ethos dot com slash chuck. Application times may vary, and 360 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,320 Speaker 1: the rates themselves may vary as well, but trust me, 361 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,119 Speaker 1: life insurance is something you should really think about it, 362 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:18,400 Speaker 1: especially if you've got a growing family. When Donald Trump 363 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:20,280 Speaker 1: goes out there and said the reason they lost was 364 00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,359 Speaker 1: one Trump wasn't on the ballot, the inference there is 365 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:27,679 Speaker 1: because there's a whole bunch of low propensity voters that 366 00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:30,119 Speaker 1: only show up when Donald Trump's on the ballot. Right, 367 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,520 Speaker 1: We've seen this in sixteen and twenty once again in 368 00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:34,680 Speaker 1: twenty four, we've seen them in the midterms. They didn't 369 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:36,600 Speaker 1: show up in eighteen, they didn't show up in twenty two, 370 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,280 Speaker 1: and it looks like we're going to see a bit 371 00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:42,320 Speaker 1: of the same thing in twenty six because they didn't 372 00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 1: show up in twenty five. And then he also said, 373 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 1: and this shutdown is killing the Republicans. So if you're 374 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:55,120 Speaker 1: Mike Johnson and John Thune, you've spent the last six weeks, 375 00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,520 Speaker 1: I think it feeling is if you had higher ground 376 00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:02,439 Speaker 1: than the Democrats, because it was Ruck Schumer's decision to 377 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:05,399 Speaker 1: sort of lead the Democrats into saying, no, we're not 378 00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:08,119 Speaker 1: going to do this, We're we're we're going to you know, 379 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:13,199 Speaker 1: this was a shutdown instigated by the Democrats. And you know, 380 00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:17,439 Speaker 1: when you've looked at the polling, there's been it's been fairly. 381 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 1: As I said, it all depends on how you want 382 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:22,040 Speaker 1: to spin the numbers. But the NBC poll offered three 383 00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:26,119 Speaker 1: punches on who's to blame for the shutdown Democrats in Congress, 384 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,880 Speaker 1: Republicans in Congress, or Donald Trump. Well, when you add 385 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,680 Speaker 1: up those that blame Trump pluck with those that blame 386 00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:35,399 Speaker 1: Congressional Republicans, you get up to fifty two percent, And 387 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,280 Speaker 1: it was forty two percent that blamed Democrats in Congress. 388 00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:42,879 Speaker 1: You know, so you could it. But the offering was 389 00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:47,359 Speaker 1: separately right, and I've look I think the only question 390 00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:48,919 Speaker 1: I would have done is I might have added a 391 00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:50,920 Speaker 1: fourth punch so that you could have had it a 392 00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 1: little more even I might have said, you know, progressives 393 00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:56,119 Speaker 1: in the Democratic Party, because if you know, one of 394 00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 1: the theories of the case that some on the right 395 00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:02,080 Speaker 1: have espoused, and some of us have wondered, that did 396 00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:05,639 Speaker 1: Schumer do this because of pressure from the progressive base 397 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 1: to confront Trump? More so maybe you offer that punch 398 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,879 Speaker 1: in that way you can I think more evenly. I'm 399 00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:16,720 Speaker 1: a little hesitant combining one set of numbers and comparing 400 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,520 Speaker 1: it to a standalone that that would be my only 401 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:24,919 Speaker 1: caution there. But it doesn't matter now, right, Perception is reality, 402 00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:30,920 Speaker 1: and Donald Trump uttered the new reality. He's blaming Republicans 403 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 1: in Congress and the Republican Party for the shutdown. How 404 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,600 Speaker 1: the heck now do we get? I mean, look, I 405 00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:42,679 Speaker 1: really was a believer, and I thought, okay, everybody, everybody 406 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,159 Speaker 1: cees here, this is gonna We're going to lay in 407 00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:47,560 Speaker 1: this plane in some form or another. You know, you 408 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:51,639 Speaker 1: heard the conversation before Tuesday night there were eight Democratic 409 00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:54,320 Speaker 1: senators starting to meet with a group of other Republican senators. 410 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:56,560 Speaker 1: They were coming. Eight is the magic number that they 411 00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,440 Speaker 1: need in order. That's the number of number of votes 412 00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:01,159 Speaker 1: they need to get to sixty if they go with 413 00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:06,400 Speaker 1: all the Republican votes here. And then this all happened. 414 00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 1: So now it's very interesting. Yet Donald Trump blaming Republicans. 415 00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,560 Speaker 1: So now you're going to get more Democrats feeling as if, Okay, 416 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:17,520 Speaker 1: there's no penalty here for sticking to our guns. You're 417 00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: gonna have a progressive base that is whispering in the 418 00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:23,400 Speaker 1: ear of Akim Jeffreys and Chuck Schumer. Don't back down now. 419 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,959 Speaker 1: Not only did you not pay a price at the polls, 420 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:29,119 Speaker 1: you may have benefited from standing up to Donald Trump 421 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:32,639 Speaker 1: right now in the polls. And look at all of 422 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:37,400 Speaker 1: the self inflicted wounds Donald Trump is doing right now 423 00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:41,080 Speaker 1: to his own party and to himself via the shutdown. 424 00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:51,440 Speaker 1: Right he does not have the discipline to not confess 425 00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 1: or to not to stick with a message that at 426 00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:59,159 Speaker 1: least was getting them to even but he threw the 427 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:01,000 Speaker 1: party under the bus. And this is going to be 428 00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:05,320 Speaker 1: the real challenge I think going forward for elected Republicans, 429 00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,200 Speaker 1: because when you have a result like this in an off, 430 00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:12,080 Speaker 1: off year, you're going to have there's there's you know, 431 00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:16,720 Speaker 1: we're we're hitting an interesting six week period where if 432 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:19,360 Speaker 1: you are on the fence about running for reelection, you've 433 00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:22,720 Speaker 1: got to this is your final your final time, your 434 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:26,400 Speaker 1: final exit ramp before filing deadlines begin. In fact, there's 435 00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:28,520 Speaker 1: some filing deadlines that are just about to come up 436 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,480 Speaker 1: right now for the early twenty twenty six primaries. But 437 00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:34,679 Speaker 1: for the most part, you know, if you're going, you know, 438 00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:38,560 Speaker 1: if you're going to retire, and you're you know, maybe 439 00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 1: you thought you were going to run for reelection, you 440 00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 1: wanted to see what the political environment was going to 441 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:43,119 Speaker 1: be at the end of the year. Well, you've now 442 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:47,280 Speaker 1: got a taste, because you know, if history is any guide, 443 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,399 Speaker 1: you know how these twenty how these off off year 444 00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 1: election goes, they absolutely foreshadow what's going to happen a 445 00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:58,320 Speaker 1: year later, barring some unforeseen event that radically changes the 446 00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:01,840 Speaker 1: political landscape. And that we've lived through terrorist attacks and 447 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,480 Speaker 1: a pandemic. I'm not going to sit here and say 448 00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:07,240 Speaker 1: that there's you know, no zero, The chances are zero 449 00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:12,200 Speaker 1: there's some event that just totally upends everything. But let's 450 00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:15,600 Speaker 1: be realistic, it's more likely than not that that won't happen. 451 00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:18,040 Speaker 1: That if anything, we're going to continue to have this 452 00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:21,879 Speaker 1: sort of uneven economy, an economy that those that don't 453 00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:23,959 Speaker 1: have are going to feel like they're being left behind. 454 00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:26,679 Speaker 1: So you're going to have an angry electorate on the economy. 455 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:32,480 Speaker 1: The tariffs are none of them do good for the economy, 456 00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 1: and in fact, we may get more chaos as it 457 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 1: appears that the Supreme Court is going to say that 458 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:43,920 Speaker 1: Donald Trump is violating the Constitution with his tariff policy, 459 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:46,640 Speaker 1: and that this all has to you know that this 460 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,080 Speaker 1: is the power, This is a power that Congress has. 461 00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,440 Speaker 1: It is not a power that the executive branch has, 462 00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:56,159 Speaker 1: which will only set his agenda back even further. So 463 00:26:56,520 --> 00:27:00,439 Speaker 1: you know how many Republicans House Republicans decide, why do 464 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:02,879 Speaker 1: I got to pay Donald Trump's debt? When Donald Trump's 465 00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 1: not on the ballot? Right, maybe I can win reelection 466 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:07,679 Speaker 1: if Donald Trump can get his voters out and I 467 00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 1: can suck it up and take the uncomfortable aspects of 468 00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:15,399 Speaker 1: supporting Trump that come with it, because he brings a 469 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:17,719 Speaker 1: type of a different type of voter to the polls 470 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:21,160 Speaker 1: that nobody sees in polling, and it helps them win reelection. 471 00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:24,480 Speaker 1: But if Donald Trump's not on the ballot, and you 472 00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:26,920 Speaker 1: have to essentially you get all the downside of Trump 473 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:31,199 Speaker 1: with none of the upside. Do you want to run 474 00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:33,439 Speaker 1: for reelection if you're in a if you're in a 475 00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:37,200 Speaker 1: tough race. So the biggest development, I think, and the 476 00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:39,879 Speaker 1: biggest piece of fallout that's coming, is going to be 477 00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,600 Speaker 1: that there's going to be some additional retirements throw in 478 00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:47,840 Speaker 1: this redistricting madness that has taken place. Right, talk about 479 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:52,560 Speaker 1: a reminder, be careful what you know, would pick your cliche, 480 00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:56,600 Speaker 1: Be careful what you wish for or when you know, 481 00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:58,919 Speaker 1: it's easy to start a war, it's much harder to 482 00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:01,919 Speaker 1: end it. So Donald Trump orders Texas to start this 483 00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:08,400 Speaker 1: redistricting war. It rallies Gavin Newsom and organizes the California 484 00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 1: Democratic Party and unifies them in a way that they 485 00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:16,480 Speaker 1: haven't been unified in decades. You've now got a record 486 00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:20,560 Speaker 1: number of House delegates in the Virginia Assembly, encouraging them 487 00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:24,720 Speaker 1: now to do redistricting that will favor the Democrats, that 488 00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:28,160 Speaker 1: will put more pressure on Maryland to join. Yes, there's 489 00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:32,280 Speaker 1: been pressure put on your Indiana's, your Missouri's, Kansas has 490 00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:34,960 Speaker 1: decided to pull back. But I imagine now you know, 491 00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:36,960 Speaker 1: in for a dime, in for a dollar, you're going 492 00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:39,959 Speaker 1: to see Trump go even harder at Kansas to have 493 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:43,320 Speaker 1: to do this. But the irony all this is is 494 00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:45,959 Speaker 1: Donald Trump thought he was going to be gaining an 495 00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:51,200 Speaker 1: advantage doing this. Democrats are fighting fire with fire. I'm 496 00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:54,000 Speaker 1: sorry that the unintended consequence is going to be fewer 497 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:57,920 Speaker 1: competitive elections in general, But the larger outcome here is 498 00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:00,320 Speaker 1: going to be We're going to go from a faily 499 00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:05,280 Speaker 1: even national map when it comes to house races to 500 00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:10,000 Speaker 1: a fairly even national map after all these changes are made, 501 00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,960 Speaker 1: you know, Okay, so maybe you pick up three or 502 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,760 Speaker 1: four in Texas on the Republican side, Democrats may pick 503 00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:19,600 Speaker 1: up three or four. In California, Republicans may get one 504 00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:22,600 Speaker 1: or two more. In Indiana, Democrats may get three more. 505 00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:27,200 Speaker 1: In Virginia, Republicans may get one more. In Missouri, they 506 00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:30,360 Speaker 1: may get one or two more. In North Carolina, Democrats 507 00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:35,200 Speaker 1: could get another one or two if they choose to 508 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,240 Speaker 1: in a New York or New or even in New Jersey. 509 00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:42,040 Speaker 1: The point is they and then you had Ohio Republicans 510 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:46,160 Speaker 1: cut a deal that is a less aggressive map that 511 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:50,680 Speaker 1: Republicans could have embarked on. Look, the downside is just 512 00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:55,040 Speaker 1: fewer competitive races. But I'll tell you this too, because 513 00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,479 Speaker 1: there's something else that developed out of the election night 514 00:29:57,520 --> 00:30:02,160 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five. You know, a lot of Republicans 515 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 1: and this is always a mistake, you know, never assume 516 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,840 Speaker 1: that your success in a presidential election year means your 517 00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:13,200 Speaker 1: new coalition becomes durable. And I think a lot of 518 00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:17,040 Speaker 1: Republicans thought, hey, look we won these Latino voters. Now 519 00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:21,280 Speaker 1: they're in there are voters just like Barack Obama in 520 00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:24,800 Speaker 1: twenty thirteen and to excumeing twenty twelve did extraordinarily well 521 00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:28,160 Speaker 1: with Latinos, and so there it was. Democrats thought, there 522 00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:31,200 Speaker 1: it is. They just have to do the youth, young voters, 523 00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 1: black voters, and brown voters, and they win. And it 524 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,920 Speaker 1: turned out nope. You know, there was plenty of voters 525 00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:40,760 Speaker 1: who were voting for Barack Obama who would go back 526 00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:43,960 Speaker 1: to being up for grabs. Barack Obama wasn't on the ballot. 527 00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:48,040 Speaker 1: And there's plenty of these working class voters, whether you're black, white, Hispanic, 528 00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:53,080 Speaker 1: that are pocketbook sensitive and they're going to vote for 529 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:55,680 Speaker 1: the candidate that is speaking to the issues they care 530 00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,840 Speaker 1: the most about. Well, Donald Trump was talking about prices 531 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:01,600 Speaker 1: and cost of living issue in twenty twenty four. He's 532 00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:04,479 Speaker 1: not doing that in twenty twenty five. Democrats in New 533 00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 1: Jersey and in New York City and in Virginia. One 534 00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 1: thing all three of those winners did that was similar 535 00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:17,080 Speaker 1: was talk about cost of living issues. And they guess what, 536 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:20,360 Speaker 1: they all did better with Latino voters than Kamala Harris did, 537 00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,200 Speaker 1: who didn't talk about those issues. She closed with the 538 00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:31,080 Speaker 1: democracy issue. So imagined redistricting Texas, thinking, oh, look We've 539 00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:35,200 Speaker 1: got this new constituency of Latino voters that are now 540 00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:39,480 Speaker 1: going to be Republican voters. No they're not. They're swing voters, 541 00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:41,640 Speaker 1: and they're probably going to be swing voting. By the way, 542 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:44,960 Speaker 1: the working class voter in America has always been the 543 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,800 Speaker 1: swing voter if you look at politics more through class 544 00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:52,400 Speaker 1: than you do identity, and I think that's been the mistake. 545 00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 1: I really believe that. I think the Democratic Party's mistake 546 00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:59,080 Speaker 1: since Obama was assuming they won those voters on identity issues, 547 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:03,720 Speaker 1: not due to financial issues, which really is a translation 548 00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:08,840 Speaker 1: class issues. Republicans went after these voters of color using class, 549 00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 1: not identity. And when you look at why you know 550 00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:18,880 Speaker 1: Reagan Democrats voted Republican, well, that was code for working 551 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,120 Speaker 1: class Democrats in the Midwest voters. Yes, there was certainly 552 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:27,440 Speaker 1: there was certainly a cultural connection on that front, but 553 00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:31,760 Speaker 1: ultimately they were voting on their own issues and its 554 00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 1: class issues. And so the working class vote in America 555 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:39,800 Speaker 1: it's always been the swing vote. And the mistake Democrats 556 00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:43,240 Speaker 1: made for the last decade was treating Latino voters like 557 00:32:43,280 --> 00:32:46,760 Speaker 1: they were an identity group that belonged to the Democratic Coalition, 558 00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,520 Speaker 1: when ultimately many Latino voters are blue collar, are in 559 00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:54,840 Speaker 1: blue collar jobs, and are voting pocketbook issues. They don't 560 00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,680 Speaker 1: look at the two parties as part of their identity. 561 00:32:58,000 --> 00:32:59,880 Speaker 1: They look at the two parties the same way men, 562 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:02,560 Speaker 1: any voters look at the two parties, which one is 563 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:06,240 Speaker 1: going to give me an opportunity for a better quality 564 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 1: of life? You know, this is where it goes. You know, 565 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:12,800 Speaker 1: the infamous Carvel line. If it's the economy stupid, it's 566 00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:17,880 Speaker 1: always to a group of voters, it's always about their issues, 567 00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:24,280 Speaker 1: their financial stability. So bottom line, this wasn't a good 568 00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:26,960 Speaker 1: night for Democrats. It was a great night for Democrats 569 00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:30,160 Speaker 1: to get over sixty seats in that Virginia House. That 570 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:34,040 Speaker 1: delegates to me for shadows what could be the beginning 571 00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:37,720 Speaker 1: of a blue wave election. Now, look, there's still a 572 00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:41,280 Speaker 1: lot that could change things. The Republicans and Donald Trump 573 00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:44,600 Speaker 1: have a ton of money. But I do keep an 574 00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,240 Speaker 1: eye on this. It is going to be easier for 575 00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:50,200 Speaker 1: a Republican. There's going to be many Republican candidates are 576 00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:52,920 Speaker 1: going to start to distance themselves from Trump in some 577 00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:55,720 Speaker 1: form or another, or try to. I don't know if 578 00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,120 Speaker 1: anybody can do it outside of Susan Collins because she's 579 00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 1: been doing it for so long. She's just in some 580 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:06,800 Speaker 1: ways main voters do not consider her trumpet. How does 581 00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:11,920 Speaker 1: that work itself out? And the more the more vulnerable 582 00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,560 Speaker 1: Trump looks, the weaker he looks, the more he's going 583 00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:17,840 Speaker 1: to lash out, the more he's going to attack anybody 584 00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:21,799 Speaker 1: that tries to essentially seek a little distance for him. 585 00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 1: I mean, look when some Earl series, she tried to 586 00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:26,640 Speaker 1: have it both ways. She wanted the magabase, but she 587 00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:30,680 Speaker 1: knew the Northern Virginia voters, right. It says a lot 588 00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,720 Speaker 1: to me that Glenn Youngkin's fifty five percent job rating, 589 00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:38,879 Speaker 1: that one in four young positive youngin job approvers voter 590 00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:43,560 Speaker 1: Frabagil Spamberger. So you know, to me, it's another sign 591 00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:45,360 Speaker 1: that this was as much about Trump as it was 592 00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:49,160 Speaker 1: about anything else. If the Republican Party brand is non Trump, 593 00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:51,640 Speaker 1: they have an easier chance in some of these elections 594 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:56,399 Speaker 1: than they do when they're associated. When the Republican Party 595 00:34:56,440 --> 00:35:00,120 Speaker 1: brand becomes synonymous with Trump's brand. And so that's what 596 00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:01,799 Speaker 1: I'm going to be looking for over the next six 597 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:03,719 Speaker 1: weeks is are you going to start to see more 598 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:07,160 Speaker 1: Republicans try to find their way to seek some distance 599 00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:10,279 Speaker 1: on some issues. It's going to be made easy for 600 00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:15,720 Speaker 1: him Supreme Court rules against his authority over tariffs. Watch 601 00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:20,160 Speaker 1: how many Republican senators start to act more independently on 602 00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,279 Speaker 1: the issue of tariff's. You already have seen it a 603 00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:25,839 Speaker 1: little bit, right. He's putting pressure on them with nuke 604 00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:29,600 Speaker 1: and the filibuster. It's interesting who's with them. It is 605 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,880 Speaker 1: those that are in some ways more maggatrue believers. Your 606 00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:36,960 Speaker 1: Josh Holly's, your Jim Banks, They're all in. It's the 607 00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:41,000 Speaker 1: institutionalists that are pushing back and the Senate Republicans. There's 608 00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:45,319 Speaker 1: still quite a few of the institutionalists there. There are 609 00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:48,239 Speaker 1: two people that I'm very curious to see what they're 610 00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:50,960 Speaker 1: going to have to say about the filibuster on that 611 00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:53,080 Speaker 1: side of the aisle. One is Rick Scott and the 612 00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:57,040 Speaker 1: others Tom Cotton. Both have wanted to be always sought 613 00:35:57,040 --> 00:36:02,040 Speaker 1: approval of a world, but they've always been in the 614 00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:06,840 Speaker 1: It's a fine line, right, they're a little bit my 615 00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:09,400 Speaker 1: canaries in the coal mine. If they start to seek 616 00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:15,040 Speaker 1: distance from Trump on something, it tells me that we 617 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:18,760 Speaker 1: might be seeing more Republicans abandonship. But that's the big 618 00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:24,800 Speaker 1: short term development, to keep an eye on how Trump mishandles, frankly, 619 00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:29,440 Speaker 1: the fallout from this election. He's gonna he's already flailing's 620 00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:32,880 Speaker 1: he is not accepting the premise that he creates this weather, 621 00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:37,879 Speaker 1: and how elected Republicans walk this line and deal with it. 622 00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:40,040 Speaker 1: I think it's going to be something to watch and 623 00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:41,680 Speaker 1: certainly something I'm going to keep an eye on. And 624 00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:44,919 Speaker 1: it could be in the words Valley Barber, good gets better, 625 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:47,960 Speaker 1: bad gets worse. Democrats had a good night and they 626 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:51,120 Speaker 1: appeared they could be This could improve candidate recruiting. They're 627 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:53,400 Speaker 1: going to suddenly have Senate candidates in Alaska and in 628 00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,280 Speaker 1: Kansas and in places they've been trying to recruit because 629 00:36:56,480 --> 00:36:59,080 Speaker 1: you're going to have fencit or say hey, maybe this 630 00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:01,040 Speaker 1: is a good year to run as a Democrat in 631 00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:04,480 Speaker 1: a light red state like Kansas. And then on the 632 00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:08,440 Speaker 1: opposite side you may see bad gets worse. Republicans had 633 00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:11,160 Speaker 1: a bad night. If you're on the fence about seeking reelection, 634 00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:13,879 Speaker 1: you think Donald Trump's a drag, you don't get any 635 00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:16,000 Speaker 1: of the upside of Trump being on the ballot. You 636 00:37:16,040 --> 00:37:18,920 Speaker 1: may seek to run for decide to retire instead of 637 00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:21,960 Speaker 1: seek reelection. Opening the door for more room for a 638 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:25,560 Speaker 1: Democrat to run. So this is why what happened on 639 00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:28,720 Speaker 1: Tuesday night is so significant and potentially such a huge 640 00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:32,880 Speaker 1: game changer going into twenty twenty six because guess what 641 00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:37,880 Speaker 1: it's I'm now in the thirty to forty five percent 642 00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:42,920 Speaker 1: range in my head that Democrats could win control of 643 00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:46,080 Speaker 1: both the House and the Senate. Get it, get an 644 00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:49,080 Speaker 1: you get a uneven turnout based turnout like you saw 645 00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:53,920 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five on Tuesday, then you might get 646 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:59,920 Speaker 1: for Democratic Senate pickups and certainly the handful of how 647 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 1: seats that they need to get that, and that would 648 00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:06,640 Speaker 1: be some rebuke going into twenty twenty eight. All right, 649 00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:10,239 Speaker 1: So with that, let's take a break. We'll sneak at 650 00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:14,759 Speaker 1: a break and we'll tuck DC statehood in Puerto Rico statehood. 651 00:38:15,719 --> 00:38:19,759 Speaker 1: Should we put two more stars on the American fut 652 00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:25,279 Speaker 1: There's a reason results matter more than promises, just like 653 00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:28,440 Speaker 1: there's a reason Morgan and Morgan is America's largest injury 654 00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:31,280 Speaker 1: law firm. For the last thirty five years, they've recovered 655 00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,520 Speaker 1: twenty five billion dollars for more than half a million clients. 656 00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:38,680 Speaker 1: It includes cases where insurance companies offered next to nothing, 657 00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:41,760 Speaker 1: just hoping to get away with paying as little as possible. 658 00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,879 Speaker 1: Morgan and Morgan fought back ended up winning millions. In fact, 659 00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:48,120 Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, one client was awarded twenty six million dollars, 660 00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:51,640 Speaker 1: which was a staggering forty times the amount that the 661 00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:54,960 Speaker 1: insurance company originally offered. That original offer six hundred and 662 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,960 Speaker 1: fifty thousand dollars twenty six million, six hundred and fifty 663 00:38:58,000 --> 00:38:59,880 Speaker 1: thousand dollars. So with more than one thousand lawyers of 664 00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:02,640 Speaker 1: the country, they know how to deliver for everyday people. 665 00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:05,440 Speaker 1: If you're injured, you need a lawyer. You need somebody 666 00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:08,040 Speaker 1: to get your back. Check out for the People dot com, 667 00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:13,240 Speaker 1: Slash podcast or now Pound Law, Pound five to nine 668 00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:16,920 Speaker 1: law on your cell phone. And remember all law firms 669 00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:18,800 Speaker 1: are not the same. So check out Morgan and Morgan. 670 00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:24,400 Speaker 1: Their fee is free unless they win. Well. It's been 671 00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:28,120 Speaker 1: a couple generations since the United States added a star 672 00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:32,359 Speaker 1: to its flag. We've had fifty states. Now going back, 673 00:39:32,680 --> 00:39:36,720 Speaker 1: I guess my, in my entire lifetime, we've been fifty. 674 00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:39,520 Speaker 1: I guess sudden the oldest generation that can say that, 675 00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:43,400 Speaker 1: because of course, we added states in Hawaii and Alaska. 676 00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:47,160 Speaker 1: Before that, there's been two potential new states that have 677 00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:51,440 Speaker 1: been sort of on and off again. One is for 678 00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:55,440 Speaker 1: the District of Columbia and one is Puerto Rico. Just 679 00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:58,320 Speaker 1: to give a summary, there's over four according to the 680 00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:03,360 Speaker 1: last census, over four million Americans who live in a 681 00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:08,240 Speaker 1: territory or a district that does not have any state representation, 682 00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:12,960 Speaker 1: and four basically four of those four million reside in 683 00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:15,280 Speaker 1: either Puerto Rico in DC. To break it down further, 684 00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:19,040 Speaker 1: Puerto Rico with a population twenty twenty four EPs of 685 00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:21,840 Speaker 1: three point two million. If it were a state, it 686 00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:25,640 Speaker 1: would essentially be approximately the size of Iowa and Utah 687 00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:29,560 Speaker 1: population wise, which means at least four members of Congress 688 00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:34,040 Speaker 1: a full anywhere, depending on the estimate you use, anywhere 689 00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:38,920 Speaker 1: from eighteen to twenty states have less population than Puerto Rico. 690 00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:41,840 Speaker 1: As for the District of Columbia, there are two states 691 00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:48,160 Speaker 1: with less population, Yoming and Vermont. So now, if you're 692 00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:51,000 Speaker 1: asking about the Pacific Islands, I did do those numbers 693 00:40:51,040 --> 00:40:55,000 Speaker 1: as well. Combined you're looking at about three hundred and 694 00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:58,280 Speaker 1: fifty thousand, so not even quite one congressional district Quam 695 00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:00,839 Speaker 1: Guam at over one hundred fifty thousand, and the US 696 00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:04,080 Speaker 1: Virgin Islands, which I've got an idea on this that 697 00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:07,839 Speaker 1: I will will I will put further, has about eighty 698 00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:11,640 Speaker 1: seven thousand American Simona with a fifty little under fifty thousand, 699 00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:14,319 Speaker 1: then the Northern Mariana Islands under fifty thousand. So if 700 00:41:14,360 --> 00:41:17,200 Speaker 1: you took basically, it's about two hundred and fifty thousand 701 00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:24,440 Speaker 1: Americans in Pacific Island territories, and with the eighty with 702 00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:26,440 Speaker 1: the nearly one hundred thousand in the US Virgin Island 703 00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:28,560 Speaker 1: to throw that in with Puerto Rico, you're looking at 704 00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:31,600 Speaker 1: three point three million. But that's the scenario. That's a 705 00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:36,560 Speaker 1: lot of people who don't have representation, who pay taxes 706 00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:41,560 Speaker 1: without representation, living in the DMV, which in this case 707 00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:43,320 Speaker 1: is not the division of Motor Vehicles, but when I 708 00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:46,000 Speaker 1: talk about the district Maryland and Virginia, that's what that 709 00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:51,640 Speaker 1: DMV stands for. I've spent a lot of time with 710 00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:54,640 Speaker 1: people who have had efforts to get statehood for DC. 711 00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:57,960 Speaker 1: There were moments it was close and not in Puerto Rico. 712 00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:01,440 Speaker 1: There's a sort of a three way divide, if you will, 713 00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:03,520 Speaker 1: when it comes to the statehood conversation. There are some 714 00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:06,120 Speaker 1: people that want full independence, there are some people that 715 00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:08,839 Speaker 1: want full statehood, and there are even others on the 716 00:42:08,840 --> 00:42:12,200 Speaker 1: island that still argue for essentially what we have so 717 00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:15,600 Speaker 1: far a commonwealth with the you know, with the American 718 00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:19,520 Speaker 1: umbrella citizenship. But that's about it. So joining me to 719 00:42:19,600 --> 00:42:23,320 Speaker 1: discuss the fight for Stato. These are two advocates for statehood, 720 00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:26,600 Speaker 1: both with Puerto Rico and DC, because I believe you're 721 00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:29,200 Speaker 1: not going to get one state. The only shot you 722 00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:33,440 Speaker 1: have it each has is probably working together two states 723 00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:36,120 Speaker 1: and give both parties the idea that they have something 724 00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:39,680 Speaker 1: to gain here. George las Garcia is the executive director 725 00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:45,239 Speaker 1: of the Puerto Rican Statehood Council and the shadow representative 726 00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:48,600 Speaker 1: from DC who is the elected to lobby for statehood. 727 00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:52,560 Speaker 1: Oya oh Olewa joins me. I will be using his 728 00:42:52,680 --> 00:42:55,600 Speaker 1: nickname of Oya for the rest of the time. Thank 729 00:42:55,640 --> 00:42:57,279 Speaker 1: you both for joining us. Oh yea, I hope you're 730 00:42:57,320 --> 00:42:57,799 Speaker 1: okay with that. 731 00:42:58,160 --> 00:42:59,440 Speaker 3: Absolutely, Thanks for having me. 732 00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:01,960 Speaker 1: I want to give you. I want to give you 733 00:43:02,040 --> 00:43:03,919 Speaker 1: a shout out here because you and I have been 734 00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:06,839 Speaker 1: talking for some time about this issue. You've always been 735 00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:10,120 Speaker 1: looking for better ways to get more national coverage of this, 736 00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:12,400 Speaker 1: and I suggested, hey, why don't we why don't we 737 00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:16,040 Speaker 1: get somebody advocating for Puerto Rican statehood and let's have 738 00:43:16,080 --> 00:43:18,480 Speaker 1: you guys on together. And sure enough, Oh yeah, you 739 00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:23,960 Speaker 1: were my booker on this one. So thank you. Let 740 00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:27,799 Speaker 1: me start. Let me start with you, O, which is 741 00:43:29,040 --> 00:43:33,359 Speaker 1: about ten years ago. I thought, you know, maybe DC 742 00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:38,839 Speaker 1: statehood happens in my lifetime, and then, you know, and 743 00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:42,280 Speaker 1: then some roadblocks have been hit. How would you describe 744 00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:46,600 Speaker 1: the status? I just recently sat down with Mayor Bowser 745 00:43:46,680 --> 00:43:50,440 Speaker 1: and she, you know, fights she you know, the issue 746 00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:53,319 Speaker 1: of the National Guard was a reminder as she said, Hey, 747 00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:55,080 Speaker 1: if you don't like it, that's why you need to 748 00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:59,960 Speaker 1: advocate for statehood. Where would you how would you describe 749 00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:02,840 Speaker 1: where we are on the fight for statehood in the district. 750 00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:06,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, thank you for that question, Thank you for having me. 751 00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:09,200 Speaker 2: As you mentioned before, we had the opportunity to become 752 00:44:09,600 --> 00:44:13,240 Speaker 2: a state, whether it's having the Democrats control of the House, 753 00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:18,000 Speaker 2: Senate and the presidency. However, the fight for DZ state 754 00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:22,120 Speaker 2: was never really prioritized. And when I became the US 755 00:44:22,239 --> 00:44:25,840 Speaker 2: representative four or five years ago, the conversation about statehood 756 00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:29,240 Speaker 2: usually relied and ended at congressional. 757 00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:30,720 Speaker 3: Representation, which is critical for DC. 758 00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:34,160 Speaker 2: However, since my election, we've seen things like our old 759 00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:38,120 Speaker 2: our bills being overturned by Congress, the National Guard not 760 00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:41,440 Speaker 2: being deployed on time on January sixth, even more recently, 761 00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:45,560 Speaker 2: the federal occupation of agents on the grounds of DC. 762 00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:49,560 Speaker 3: So we're seeing people, you know, really activate behind the 763 00:44:49,600 --> 00:44:50,879 Speaker 3: idea of DC becoming a state. 764 00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,640 Speaker 2: But definitely politically we're taking a step back because the 765 00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:55,680 Speaker 2: same dynamics that we may have enjoyed in two thousand 766 00:44:55,719 --> 00:44:58,440 Speaker 2: and eight isn't here in twenty twenty five. But because 767 00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:02,320 Speaker 2: of your platform, because of other people speaking, I believe 768 00:45:02,360 --> 00:45:04,480 Speaker 2: we are a getting closer and closer to DC state 769 00:45:04,520 --> 00:45:06,360 Speaker 2: would being an actual issue. 770 00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:10,040 Speaker 1: George, walk me through where how's the state of Puerto 771 00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:13,440 Speaker 1: Rican statehood is? And if you have a pushback on 772 00:45:13,480 --> 00:45:15,879 Speaker 1: how I described the debate, I've always thought that one 773 00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:18,360 Speaker 1: of the challenges for Puerto Rican statehood is that the 774 00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:21,560 Speaker 1: fact that it isn't at clean there Really there aren't 775 00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:23,440 Speaker 1: two sides of the argument in Puerto Rico. There are 776 00:45:23,440 --> 00:45:24,600 Speaker 1: three sides to the argument. 777 00:45:25,560 --> 00:45:28,399 Speaker 4: Yeah, well, thank you so much, Chuck for the opportunity. 778 00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:34,600 Speaker 4: The issue of Puerto Rico. Statehood is one that has 779 00:45:34,680 --> 00:45:38,560 Speaker 4: made a lot of progress in the past decades. As 780 00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:42,200 Speaker 4: you mentioned, on the island, political parties aren't necessarily aligned 781 00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:47,399 Speaker 4: along the republican and democratic political spectrum. They've mostly been 782 00:45:47,480 --> 00:45:53,880 Speaker 4: focused on where the political parties support the different status solutions. 783 00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:58,880 Speaker 4: So there's been a very small minority traditionally between two 784 00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:02,319 Speaker 4: and about six percent that supports full independence for Puerto Rico. 785 00:46:03,080 --> 00:46:05,800 Speaker 5: Smaller it's been that small. 786 00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:10,920 Speaker 4: There has been a larger political party that has had 787 00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:14,880 Speaker 4: the control of the governorship and the legislature for a 788 00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:18,879 Speaker 4: lot of the twentieth century that supports either continuing as 789 00:46:18,880 --> 00:46:22,799 Speaker 4: a territory or improving that in some way. They call 790 00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:25,719 Speaker 4: it the commonwealth and use that term earlier, but the 791 00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:30,239 Speaker 4: reality is the Supreme Court Justice justices have decided in 792 00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:33,759 Speaker 4: a number of cases that ultimately, even though that's a 793 00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:37,080 Speaker 4: formal name of Puerto Rico Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, for 794 00:46:37,120 --> 00:46:39,719 Speaker 4: the purposes of the US Constitution, Puerto Rico is an 795 00:46:39,800 --> 00:46:43,880 Speaker 4: unincorporated territory, meaning that it belongs to the United States. 796 00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:45,759 Speaker 5: It's a property the United States. 797 00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:50,000 Speaker 4: But it isn't actually incorporated into the Union permanently, which 798 00:46:50,040 --> 00:46:53,680 Speaker 4: is one of the constitutional differences between Puerto Rico and Washington, 799 00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:57,000 Speaker 4: d C. Which is definitely incorporated on a permanent basis 800 00:46:57,000 --> 00:46:57,640 Speaker 4: into the Union. 801 00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:02,120 Speaker 1: It's written into the Constitution. Right, DC's existence is written 802 00:47:02,160 --> 00:47:03,520 Speaker 1: into the Constitution. 803 00:47:03,040 --> 00:47:06,760 Speaker 4: Exactly exactly, So DC couldn't be made into a independent country. 804 00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:12,040 Speaker 4: They either become a state, they're retroceeded into another existing state, 805 00:47:12,400 --> 00:47:14,120 Speaker 4: or they stay as what they are. 806 00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:17,560 Speaker 5: You know, right now, with Puerto Rico, we've got different options. 807 00:47:17,640 --> 00:47:20,320 Speaker 4: Right, We've got independence, which a majority of the island 808 00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:25,239 Speaker 4: residents have consistently opposed. We've got continuing to be a territory, 809 00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:29,240 Speaker 4: which means that you get treated unequally under federal laws 810 00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:33,640 Speaker 4: and programs, and you don't have a full participation in 811 00:47:33,920 --> 00:47:37,719 Speaker 4: the US Congress that makes the laws that you live under. Right, 812 00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:41,400 Speaker 4: so you get kind of this terrible treatment of you know, 813 00:47:41,480 --> 00:47:43,640 Speaker 4: unequal treatment under laws and then. 814 00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:46,200 Speaker 5: No representation the body that makes those laws. 815 00:47:46,640 --> 00:47:49,239 Speaker 4: And then we've got an added factor, which is that, 816 00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:53,239 Speaker 4: like DC, the Congress can actually govern. 817 00:47:53,040 --> 00:47:54,360 Speaker 5: Us at the local level. 818 00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,719 Speaker 4: So all states across the Union, they've got the Tenth 819 00:47:57,760 --> 00:48:02,520 Speaker 4: Amendment where the state itself is a sovereign and it 820 00:48:02,560 --> 00:48:06,560 Speaker 4: reserves all the rights to the states and the people 821 00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:10,200 Speaker 4: that aren't explicitly granted to the federal government by the 822 00:48:10,239 --> 00:48:13,200 Speaker 4: Constitution in the case of Washington, d C. In Puerto Rico, 823 00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:17,040 Speaker 4: Congress can literally pass local laws that govern us, and 824 00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:19,440 Speaker 4: in the case of Puerto Rico, they've done so. 825 00:48:20,000 --> 00:48:24,000 Speaker 5: And what that has done, most recently is. 826 00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:29,160 Speaker 4: Mean that we have a federal oversight board that is 827 00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:34,400 Speaker 4: essentially ruling Puerto Rico over and above the decisions of 828 00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:37,799 Speaker 4: our elected officials. And what this has done is it 829 00:48:37,800 --> 00:48:41,120 Speaker 4: has pushed the residents on the island to recognize the 830 00:48:41,200 --> 00:48:45,440 Speaker 4: continuing under territory status isn't the best option, and an 831 00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:49,160 Speaker 4: over four different plubisites that have been held between twenty 832 00:48:49,200 --> 00:48:53,880 Speaker 4: twelve and today, voters have consistently rejected the current territory 833 00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:57,640 Speaker 4: status and favored statehood as the best option for Puerto 834 00:48:57,680 --> 00:48:58,320 Speaker 4: Rico's future. 835 00:48:58,520 --> 00:49:00,879 Speaker 1: What's been the biggest number on that The. 836 00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:04,960 Speaker 4: Biggest number in support of statehood, the most recent one 837 00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:10,960 Speaker 4: was fifty eight percent, And that really just shows that, 838 00:49:11,200 --> 00:49:14,160 Speaker 4: you know, nearly two thirds of the residents on the 839 00:49:14,160 --> 00:49:18,480 Speaker 4: island supports statehood versus independence. Got like eleven percent. 840 00:49:18,280 --> 00:49:21,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, and it correct me if I'm wrong, So you 841 00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:23,959 Speaker 1: got a large majority like that, and there were three 842 00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:25,479 Speaker 1: choices on the ballot, not two. 843 00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:28,640 Speaker 5: Correct, Yeah, and I'll explain the third choice. Right. 844 00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:32,080 Speaker 4: So I mentioned independence, I mentioned statehood. There's a form 845 00:49:32,120 --> 00:49:36,000 Speaker 4: of independence called free association. And what this is is 846 00:49:36,080 --> 00:49:39,319 Speaker 4: a relationship the United States has with some of the 847 00:49:39,400 --> 00:49:44,440 Speaker 4: former Pacific Trust territories that are Palao, Federated States of Micronesia, 848 00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:48,399 Speaker 4: and the Marshall Islands. And they're basically independent countries. They've 849 00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:51,160 Speaker 4: got their own president, their own passport, their own constitution, 850 00:49:51,600 --> 00:49:53,560 Speaker 4: but the United States essentially. 851 00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:55,279 Speaker 5: Protects them militarily. 852 00:49:56,000 --> 00:50:00,359 Speaker 4: The United States uses them as a shield against the 853 00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:04,160 Speaker 4: potential influence of China in the Pacific, and in exchange, 854 00:50:04,239 --> 00:50:08,560 Speaker 4: they basically get some very limited federal support, but the 855 00:50:08,600 --> 00:50:11,879 Speaker 4: people there aren't United States citizens. And in Puerto Rico, 856 00:50:12,080 --> 00:50:16,000 Speaker 4: everyone born on the island since nineteen seventeen has been 857 00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:19,440 Speaker 4: a United States citizen. And I don't think anyone on 858 00:50:19,480 --> 00:50:23,640 Speaker 4: the island really wants to consider any possibility of having 859 00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:27,040 Speaker 4: us stripped of our United States citizenship because what they 860 00:50:27,080 --> 00:50:30,520 Speaker 4: would do is it would separate the island's residents from 861 00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:33,400 Speaker 4: the three point two million on the island from the 862 00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:36,880 Speaker 4: more than six million Puerto Ricans that lived stateside and 863 00:50:37,160 --> 00:50:37,839 Speaker 4: who wants that? 864 00:50:38,320 --> 00:50:41,680 Speaker 1: No one? Oh yeah, I know. DC held one once 865 00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:48,399 Speaker 1: about ten years ago, a referendum. Do you think this 866 00:50:48,480 --> 00:50:50,799 Speaker 1: needs to be had again? Do you think these I've 867 00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:54,319 Speaker 1: always thought the referendums in Puerto Rico actually they were 868 00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:57,960 Speaker 1: pr efforts, right. It wasn't just about getting people on 869 00:50:58,000 --> 00:51:03,120 Speaker 1: the island to express themselves, reminding us on the mainland here, Hey, 870 00:51:03,640 --> 00:51:06,160 Speaker 1: there are some basically some people who are not getting 871 00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:11,319 Speaker 1: full constitutional rights that are American citizens. Do you think 872 00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:14,320 Speaker 1: DC should be holding referendums more often on this issue? 873 00:51:14,640 --> 00:51:18,520 Speaker 3: Well, while referendum would bring this issue to the masses, 874 00:51:18,560 --> 00:51:21,120 Speaker 3: similar to what pert Rico has been doing, we have 875 00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:25,839 Speaker 3: seen on a regular basis people walking around talking about DC, 876 00:51:25,960 --> 00:51:28,279 Speaker 3: stand going on the news. When it came to the 877 00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:31,640 Speaker 3: recent occupation where we had National Guard members in DC, 878 00:51:32,239 --> 00:51:35,640 Speaker 3: we have a record high or straight gays or the 879 00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:39,480 Speaker 3: CNNs and the msnbcs. We're talking about DC Staylor. So 880 00:51:39,560 --> 00:51:41,760 Speaker 3: I think it's really important for us to keep that energy. 881 00:51:42,120 --> 00:51:45,000 Speaker 3: But I do also believe that we also had to 882 00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:47,239 Speaker 3: go to other states. You know a lot of people 883 00:51:47,320 --> 00:51:49,720 Speaker 3: all across this country. When I go to the Utahs, 884 00:51:49,760 --> 00:51:50,319 Speaker 3: when I go. 885 00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:54,279 Speaker 2: To Colorado's they don't understand what's going on in DC, 886 00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:56,880 Speaker 2: and they think that the district is just the White House, 887 00:51:57,120 --> 00:52:00,719 Speaker 2: it's just Congress, it's just the statue shoes, but not 888 00:52:00,760 --> 00:52:04,359 Speaker 2: the seven hundred thousand Americas living in DC. So, yes, 889 00:52:04,400 --> 00:52:07,080 Speaker 2: the referendum will help, but we also have other means 890 00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:10,000 Speaker 2: to get the message forward. As the child represented for 891 00:52:10,040 --> 00:52:12,919 Speaker 2: the past four years, I'm not only interacted with people 892 00:52:12,960 --> 00:52:13,840 Speaker 2: across the country. 893 00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:17,439 Speaker 3: We also engage with state legislators. We introduced a DC 894 00:52:17,560 --> 00:52:21,280 Speaker 3: statehood resolution in West Virginia. We contacted people in Utah. 895 00:52:21,560 --> 00:52:24,919 Speaker 3: We went to other states, especially red states, to get 896 00:52:24,960 --> 00:52:27,600 Speaker 3: people on record to show that they support DC stately 897 00:52:27,920 --> 00:52:31,120 Speaker 3: and as an a media impact. Because today's state legislator 898 00:52:31,160 --> 00:52:31,640 Speaker 3: it's gonna be. 899 00:52:31,640 --> 00:52:35,000 Speaker 2: Tomorrow's congressional candidate, and we can get people to start 900 00:52:35,080 --> 00:52:39,640 Speaker 2: becoming fans and champions of DDC Stale before going into office, 901 00:52:39,719 --> 00:52:42,320 Speaker 2: we in DC have a much better bet of getting 902 00:52:42,360 --> 00:52:46,200 Speaker 2: that voting passage in the House, getting that. 903 00:52:46,160 --> 00:52:49,200 Speaker 3: Majority in the Senate, and hopefully getting a president that 904 00:52:49,320 --> 00:52:52,160 Speaker 3: understands that this is not just a Parson issue, this 905 00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:55,400 Speaker 3: is an American rights issue. I mean, we fought a 906 00:52:55,440 --> 00:52:57,160 Speaker 3: war over tax station with our representation. 907 00:52:57,640 --> 00:53:00,400 Speaker 2: We're still seeing that happening today, and just can binding 908 00:53:00,800 --> 00:53:04,000 Speaker 2: the elements of this country with the things that's happening. 909 00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:08,000 Speaker 3: Today would be really really important, like being vocal about 910 00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:11,600 Speaker 3: the occupation and not calling it a search, you know, 911 00:53:11,719 --> 00:53:13,880 Speaker 3: use the words that really mattered, that really engaged to 912 00:53:13,960 --> 00:53:17,160 Speaker 3: ball across this country to really understand that, especially in 913 00:53:17,239 --> 00:53:22,840 Speaker 3: today's time, DC residents are so vulnerable compared to other areas. 914 00:53:23,120 --> 00:53:27,280 Speaker 3: We see Brandon Scott talking tough, we see we see 915 00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:31,319 Speaker 3: Brandon Johnson Chicago talking tough, we see Gavin Newsoen talking tough. 916 00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:34,919 Speaker 2: But our mayor in certain ways it's compromised because we're 917 00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:35,520 Speaker 2: not a state. 918 00:53:35,840 --> 00:53:38,160 Speaker 1: And that's what she'll say. I mean, I think she'd 919 00:53:38,239 --> 00:53:42,680 Speaker 1: fight more if it wouldn't maybe wreck home rule completely. 920 00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:44,840 Speaker 1: I mean, she was in a real box here because 921 00:53:45,560 --> 00:53:48,359 Speaker 1: a Republican House might have stripped home rule from DC. 922 00:53:48,840 --> 00:53:49,480 Speaker 1: They tried to. 923 00:53:49,680 --> 00:53:52,759 Speaker 3: There's actually the Bowser Act in the House and it's 924 00:53:52,760 --> 00:53:55,520 Speaker 3: said that will literally strip away our only way to 925 00:53:55,719 --> 00:53:58,200 Speaker 3: elect our mayor, the only way to elect our council 926 00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:02,840 Speaker 3: attorney generals under attack, and we're seeing marches in the 927 00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:05,560 Speaker 3: street of d C. We just passed the no King's Rally, 928 00:54:06,120 --> 00:54:08,719 Speaker 3: but a lot of us in office are afraid to 929 00:54:08,760 --> 00:54:12,080 Speaker 3: speak on the same way because we're so compromised by 930 00:54:12,160 --> 00:54:12,879 Speaker 3: not being a state. 931 00:54:15,160 --> 00:54:16,960 Speaker 1: Let me play a little Devil's advocate here. I'm not 932 00:54:16,960 --> 00:54:19,480 Speaker 1: saying I'm advocating this, but this has been I've been 933 00:54:19,520 --> 00:54:22,279 Speaker 1: here thirty five years and one of the alternative. You know, 934 00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:25,759 Speaker 1: just like with with there's sort of a third way 935 00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:28,279 Speaker 1: in Puerto Rico that some people have wanted to talk about, 936 00:54:28,360 --> 00:54:32,480 Speaker 1: there's a third way in d C, which is what 937 00:54:32,560 --> 00:54:36,680 Speaker 1: if d C became part of Maryland? What say you? 938 00:54:37,120 --> 00:54:40,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the terms called retro session. You know, Virginia 939 00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:42,760 Speaker 2: to the way parts of DC in the past. 940 00:54:42,640 --> 00:54:44,800 Speaker 1: Was I live in the I live in the piece 941 00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:46,839 Speaker 1: of I always say, I live in Arlington. I tell 942 00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:49,520 Speaker 1: people where's Arlington? I said. If you look at a 943 00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:51,880 Speaker 1: map of d C and you see the missing square, 944 00:54:52,320 --> 00:54:53,640 Speaker 1: we're the missing square. 945 00:54:54,239 --> 00:54:58,319 Speaker 3: You are in old DC, My friends, you're swim back over. No. 946 00:54:58,440 --> 00:55:01,239 Speaker 1: I That's why I'm old. The see I'm here. I'm here, 947 00:55:01,680 --> 00:55:02,080 Speaker 1: trust me. 948 00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:06,400 Speaker 3: But for many reasons, culturally, financially and politically, you know, 949 00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:08,759 Speaker 3: d C doesn't want to be part of Maryland. And 950 00:55:08,800 --> 00:55:10,759 Speaker 3: Maryland sorts thought doesn't want us, you know. 951 00:55:10,920 --> 00:55:13,719 Speaker 5: Yeah, when it comes to our culture, Baltimore fights it. 952 00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:16,360 Speaker 1: There's no doubt right there, the dominant culture and city. 953 00:55:16,920 --> 00:55:18,680 Speaker 1: I get that, and they don't, you know, because if 954 00:55:18,880 --> 00:55:21,760 Speaker 1: d C became part of Maryland, the center of gravity 955 00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:25,319 Speaker 1: would all change in that state. Yeah. 956 00:55:25,480 --> 00:55:27,640 Speaker 3: Right, So we want to be disagressives. We don't want 957 00:55:27,640 --> 00:55:29,279 Speaker 3: to fight the fight. We don't want to run from 958 00:55:29,280 --> 00:55:31,120 Speaker 3: them by. We want to make sure the treet like 959 00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:32,040 Speaker 3: everybody else. 960 00:55:32,080 --> 00:55:35,400 Speaker 2: Nothing better than Maryland, Virginia, Ohioans want to be treated 961 00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:36,280 Speaker 2: the same exactly. 962 00:55:36,960 --> 00:55:40,239 Speaker 1: George, let me throw up a one wrinkle by you 963 00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:47,960 Speaker 1: that I've always found a bit I've just been curious about. 964 00:55:48,239 --> 00:55:51,560 Speaker 1: Why shouldn't the Virgin Islands be part of the the 965 00:55:51,600 --> 00:55:57,520 Speaker 1: Puerto Rico fight for d C statehood? A should be 966 00:55:57,520 --> 00:55:59,600 Speaker 1: first state of not d C state. Why shouldn't Why 967 00:55:59,600 --> 00:56:02,200 Speaker 1: shouldn't the Virgin Islands sort of almost the same way 968 00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:04,640 Speaker 1: way of the Hawaiian Islands as a state, you know, 969 00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:09,719 Speaker 1: is because it's the Virgin Island population is too small 970 00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:13,160 Speaker 1: to be a state on its own. Is that is 971 00:56:13,520 --> 00:56:15,680 Speaker 1: there any way that that would be of help? Do 972 00:56:15,719 --> 00:56:17,760 Speaker 1: you think to your ability to lobby for state. 973 00:56:18,920 --> 00:56:24,080 Speaker 4: Well, Chuck, the reality is that the US Virgin Islands 974 00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:28,560 Speaker 4: was acquired at a different time by the United States. 975 00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:32,560 Speaker 4: They were acquired from Denmark and purchased I believe it 976 00:56:32,600 --> 00:56:36,120 Speaker 4: was around nineteen seventeen. Puerto Rico was acquired in Spanish 977 00:56:36,120 --> 00:56:40,880 Speaker 4: a micrant Ward eighteen ninety eight. The culture and the 978 00:56:40,960 --> 00:56:47,200 Speaker 4: language is different. US Virgin Islands are predominantly African American 979 00:56:48,719 --> 00:56:54,480 Speaker 4: roots and speak predominantly English. There's a lot of intermixing, 980 00:56:54,520 --> 00:56:59,040 Speaker 4: particularly on Saint Croix, with people from Puerto Rico, particularly 981 00:56:59,080 --> 00:57:02,239 Speaker 4: from the municipality of Veakis, which is right next to 982 00:57:02,840 --> 00:57:06,440 Speaker 4: the US Virgin Islands. So there are some strong connections there. 983 00:57:06,719 --> 00:57:11,680 Speaker 4: But I definitely think that both territories see their identities 984 00:57:11,800 --> 00:57:15,480 Speaker 4: as unique and distinct and separate. I don't think that 985 00:57:15,560 --> 00:57:18,919 Speaker 4: there has been any serious discussion, either in Puerto Rico 986 00:57:19,200 --> 00:57:22,479 Speaker 4: or in the US Virgin Islands of having the two 987 00:57:22,600 --> 00:57:28,520 Speaker 4: territories combined under statehood. However, you know, if you ask me, 988 00:57:28,960 --> 00:57:32,400 Speaker 4: if tomorrow Congress says we'll give you statehood if you 989 00:57:32,520 --> 00:57:34,200 Speaker 4: add the US v I on. 990 00:57:34,680 --> 00:57:37,800 Speaker 6: As part of spate, I'd be like, I'll take it, 991 00:57:37,880 --> 00:57:40,240 Speaker 6: you know, and you know, we'll we'll add them on 992 00:57:40,440 --> 00:57:42,560 Speaker 6: and we'll treat them with respect, and you know they'll 993 00:57:42,560 --> 00:57:47,120 Speaker 6: be The question is informed consent and consent of the government. 994 00:57:47,400 --> 00:57:50,640 Speaker 5: Is that something that the people in USB I would want? 995 00:57:50,760 --> 00:57:51,680 Speaker 5: And I don't know. 996 00:57:51,840 --> 00:57:54,400 Speaker 4: You know, they've been arguing and trying to figure out 997 00:57:54,440 --> 00:57:57,200 Speaker 4: if they can even establish a local constitution now for 998 00:57:57,240 --> 00:58:00,920 Speaker 4: several decades, so you know that. I think it's really 999 00:58:01,000 --> 00:58:03,280 Speaker 4: what's at the heart of it. We can't just talk 1000 00:58:03,320 --> 00:58:06,320 Speaker 4: about putting together jurisdictions. We had to go back to 1001 00:58:06,320 --> 00:58:09,760 Speaker 4: America's founding value, which is government by consent of the government, 1002 00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:13,400 Speaker 4: and that requires asking the people of those jurisdictions what 1003 00:58:13,600 --> 00:58:14,520 Speaker 4: is that they want. 1004 00:58:21,440 --> 00:58:26,880 Speaker 1: So let's go to strategy here. I've always believed, you know, 1005 00:58:26,920 --> 00:58:31,800 Speaker 1: if you look at various statehood expansions, it was never 1006 00:58:32,000 --> 00:58:33,960 Speaker 1: because it was a good idea to have statehood. It 1007 00:58:34,000 --> 00:58:37,120 Speaker 1: was there were always political power considerations in the moment. 1008 00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:39,040 Speaker 1: You know, I always remind people, you know, why South 1009 00:58:39,080 --> 00:58:43,880 Speaker 1: Dakota's a state because Republicans wanted another pair of senators, 1010 00:58:44,160 --> 00:58:46,200 Speaker 1: so they decided to break up the Dakota. There's no 1011 00:58:46,280 --> 00:58:49,400 Speaker 1: other reason there's two Dakotas. But it was they wanted 1012 00:58:49,480 --> 00:58:52,200 Speaker 1: they this was during the fight, you know, the North 1013 00:58:52,240 --> 00:58:53,960 Speaker 1: lout of state, the South Laida state, and they were 1014 00:58:53,960 --> 00:58:56,520 Speaker 1: going to be all these back and forth. So you know, 1015 00:58:56,960 --> 00:59:00,840 Speaker 1: this is this stuff gets more arbitrary than people realize. 1016 00:59:01,120 --> 00:59:06,200 Speaker 1: The Dakotas is a perfect example. Their perception of DC 1017 00:59:06,600 --> 00:59:08,880 Speaker 1: is that it would be two more Democratic senators, which 1018 00:59:08,920 --> 00:59:12,200 Speaker 1: is why Republicans try to block it. I think it's 1019 00:59:12,200 --> 00:59:14,960 Speaker 1: pretty clear given the politics of Puerto Rico, we're is 1020 00:59:15,160 --> 00:59:19,000 Speaker 1: you can't you can't assume anything that it is automatically 1021 00:59:19,000 --> 00:59:20,800 Speaker 1: gonna be one way or the other. You've got people 1022 00:59:20,840 --> 00:59:23,240 Speaker 1: like Rick Scott and Marco Rubio, who for years as 1023 00:59:23,240 --> 00:59:27,000 Speaker 1: Florida senators have treated Puerto Rico as sort of, hey, 1024 00:59:27,680 --> 00:59:30,520 Speaker 1: you know, we've got a lot of Puerto Rico, Puerto 1025 00:59:30,600 --> 00:59:34,640 Speaker 1: Rican citis, people of Puerto Rican descent living in Florida. 1026 00:59:35,040 --> 00:59:38,720 Speaker 1: You know, we should help Puerto Rico. And so I've 1027 00:59:38,720 --> 00:59:41,160 Speaker 1: always thought that the two either coming together or neither 1028 00:59:41,200 --> 00:59:42,040 Speaker 1: one gets statehood. 1029 00:59:42,240 --> 00:59:46,240 Speaker 5: Do you buy that, you know, personally, I don't think so. 1030 00:59:46,640 --> 00:59:51,760 Speaker 4: I think that DC and Puerto Rico have parallel issues 1031 00:59:51,920 --> 00:59:56,160 Speaker 4: in the sense that they are both jurisdictions where you 1032 00:59:56,200 --> 01:00:00,280 Speaker 4: have United States citizens that lack full voting rights and 1033 01:00:00,400 --> 01:00:04,040 Speaker 4: lack full civil rights in the federal government that they 1034 01:00:04,080 --> 01:00:07,400 Speaker 4: live under. And I think that that needs to be addressed. 1035 01:00:08,600 --> 01:00:11,920 Speaker 4: But the reality is that we're also coming from different 1036 01:00:12,000 --> 01:00:18,000 Speaker 4: constitutional situations, and we're also coming from different political situations, 1037 01:00:18,280 --> 01:00:21,160 Speaker 4: and I think that therefore, kind of conflating the two 1038 01:00:21,240 --> 01:00:25,760 Speaker 4: issues and bringing trying to address them both together is challenging. 1039 01:00:26,120 --> 01:00:26,360 Speaker 1: Right. 1040 01:00:27,320 --> 01:00:29,840 Speaker 4: And in the case of Puerto Rico, we are in 1041 01:00:29,880 --> 01:00:34,600 Speaker 4: a similar circumstance to where Alaska and Hawaii were before 1042 01:00:34,640 --> 01:00:38,080 Speaker 4: their admission in nineteen fifty nine, where we were US 1043 01:00:38,160 --> 01:00:43,960 Speaker 4: territories that have voted for admission into statehood. And you know, 1044 01:00:44,000 --> 01:00:48,040 Speaker 4: Congress has the power to admit us. There's no constitutional 1045 01:00:48,080 --> 01:00:51,640 Speaker 4: constraints to that. The only thing that Congress needs to 1046 01:00:51,680 --> 01:00:54,640 Speaker 4: do is to pass a law a bill in the 1047 01:00:54,680 --> 01:00:57,200 Speaker 4: House and in the Senate and have the President sign it. 1048 01:00:57,320 --> 01:01:00,520 Speaker 1: Right in the case of theos made it for there's 1049 01:01:00,520 --> 01:01:02,320 Speaker 1: no need for some extra hurdle. 1050 01:01:02,680 --> 01:01:05,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's just the Cape Act of Congress, exactly simple 1051 01:01:05,480 --> 01:01:08,080 Speaker 4: Act of Congress. Right in the case of Washington, d C. 1052 01:01:09,120 --> 01:01:15,120 Speaker 4: It can be admitted in the same way. But there 1053 01:01:15,240 --> 01:01:17,600 Speaker 4: is the issue of how do you deal with the 1054 01:01:17,720 --> 01:01:23,280 Speaker 4: territoriality of Washington, d C. Versus the seat of government, right, 1055 01:01:23,600 --> 01:01:27,480 Speaker 4: and that is a constitutional question that needs to be addressed. 1056 01:01:27,640 --> 01:01:30,960 Speaker 4: And it is also possible that, you know, in response 1057 01:01:31,080 --> 01:01:34,320 Speaker 4: to the twenty third Amendment, another amendment to the Constitution 1058 01:01:34,480 --> 01:01:37,320 Speaker 4: may need to be passed. And that really is quite 1059 01:01:37,480 --> 01:01:42,320 Speaker 4: different from the you know, process of admitting Puerto Rico 1060 01:01:42,600 --> 01:01:45,480 Speaker 4: as a state. I know that, and and fully respect 1061 01:01:45,520 --> 01:01:48,240 Speaker 4: all the different ideas for how that can be done, 1062 01:01:49,000 --> 01:01:52,720 Speaker 4: but I'm just saying it's a different track procedurally. 1063 01:01:53,400 --> 01:01:57,040 Speaker 1: Oh, I address that because I've seen so. I know it. 1064 01:01:57,120 --> 01:01:59,080 Speaker 1: When this got a little bit attraction when it passed 1065 01:01:59,080 --> 01:02:03,280 Speaker 1: the House about a decade to go, we had, you know, 1066 01:02:03,320 --> 01:02:05,480 Speaker 1: there was I remember, I think some people had some 1067 01:02:05,600 --> 01:02:09,760 Speaker 1: maps that in order to essentially make sure this wasn't 1068 01:02:09,880 --> 01:02:13,720 Speaker 1: you know, that you weren't violating the constitution. The District 1069 01:02:13,720 --> 01:02:17,080 Speaker 1: of Columbia would still exist, the federal district would simply 1070 01:02:17,200 --> 01:02:21,840 Speaker 1: shrink down to I want to say, you know, for 1071 01:02:21,880 --> 01:02:24,760 Speaker 1: those thinking of the map out loud, think I guess 1072 01:02:24,960 --> 01:02:30,120 Speaker 1: between Pennsylvania Avenue and the river essentially, but but maybe 1073 01:02:30,160 --> 01:02:33,280 Speaker 1: you can give me some more details on that. O. Yes, 1074 01:02:33,400 --> 01:02:33,960 Speaker 1: you both are one. 1075 01:02:33,960 --> 01:02:37,200 Speaker 3: Hundred percent right. Under the Constitution, a new state of Columbia, 1076 01:02:37,240 --> 01:02:39,760 Speaker 3: which you know, our own version of the new DC 1077 01:02:39,840 --> 01:02:42,800 Speaker 3: would look like. We would basically shrink the US capital 1078 01:02:43,000 --> 01:02:47,040 Speaker 3: to the Federal encrep think the Congresses, think the White House, 1079 01:02:47,080 --> 01:02:50,440 Speaker 3: Supreme Court, in the monuments. Outside of that would be 1080 01:02:50,680 --> 01:02:51,840 Speaker 3: the new state of Columbia. 1081 01:02:52,560 --> 01:02:56,240 Speaker 2: Now, while my friend right here is one hundred percent right, 1082 01:02:56,240 --> 01:02:58,360 Speaker 2: there are two different tracks for Puerto Rico and DC 1083 01:02:58,480 --> 01:03:01,120 Speaker 2: becoming state. When it comes to the political reality of it, 1084 01:03:01,480 --> 01:03:04,840 Speaker 2: states are added by the duo. There is no party 1085 01:03:04,880 --> 01:03:07,880 Speaker 2: will allow one state to come in and potentially wreck 1086 01:03:08,080 --> 01:03:11,840 Speaker 2: the uneven balance of power. Now, when Hawaii in Alaska 1087 01:03:11,840 --> 01:03:14,960 Speaker 2: were admitted as into the Union, Hawaii was seen as 1088 01:03:14,960 --> 01:03:19,480 Speaker 2: a Republican state and Alaska was seen as the liberal state. 1089 01:03:19,840 --> 01:03:21,560 Speaker 3: Now in due time, they flipped. 1090 01:03:21,920 --> 01:03:27,000 Speaker 2: Now, unfortunately today's Republican Party they know they can't get 1091 01:03:27,040 --> 01:03:29,120 Speaker 2: new people to join their party, so instead they just 1092 01:03:29,520 --> 01:03:32,040 Speaker 2: take away people's voting rights and try to retract and 1093 01:03:32,120 --> 01:03:35,080 Speaker 2: restrict the amount of votes available. So I don't think 1094 01:03:35,120 --> 01:03:38,160 Speaker 2: the Republican Party is that interested in ln DC become 1095 01:03:38,200 --> 01:03:40,800 Speaker 2: a state. I don't think they can win us over. However, 1096 01:03:40,840 --> 01:03:42,920 Speaker 2: they do feel in my gad. I've talked to some 1097 01:03:42,960 --> 01:03:46,280 Speaker 2: sanators and talk to some staffers in the House. 1098 01:03:46,760 --> 01:03:47,960 Speaker 3: The only way they'll really. 1099 01:03:47,800 --> 01:03:50,320 Speaker 2: Start thinking about DC becoming a state is that they 1100 01:03:50,360 --> 01:03:52,920 Speaker 2: can have a republic in Carowell two. I know in 1101 01:03:52,960 --> 01:03:56,640 Speaker 2: the past they were willing to grant congressomen norm vote 1102 01:03:56,640 --> 01:03:59,080 Speaker 2: if they added a seat in Utah. But like I 1103 01:03:59,080 --> 01:04:02,360 Speaker 2: said before, you will be no democratic state at it 1104 01:04:02,440 --> 01:04:04,760 Speaker 2: unless there's a Republican counterpart. And they're sure as that 1105 01:04:04,840 --> 01:04:07,280 Speaker 2: will be here republicant states at it. This is a 1106 01:04:07,360 --> 01:04:12,080 Speaker 2: democratic a democratic counterpart. Now that may not be fair, 1107 01:04:12,440 --> 01:04:14,880 Speaker 2: but as a reporter Steve Basemith said, the only thing, 1108 01:04:15,440 --> 01:04:17,360 Speaker 2: the only thing that's fair is where pigs are sold. 1109 01:04:17,440 --> 01:04:18,680 Speaker 3: So this is politics. 1110 01:04:18,880 --> 01:04:19,880 Speaker 1: We have to deal with it. 1111 01:04:20,160 --> 01:04:21,960 Speaker 2: And at the end of the day, in order for 1112 01:04:22,040 --> 01:04:24,320 Speaker 2: DC become a state, the probably need to be that 1113 01:04:24,440 --> 01:04:28,040 Speaker 2: counterbalancing acts to manage the local difference. 1114 01:04:28,160 --> 01:04:29,960 Speaker 1: Look, I want to I'm gonna play moderator here. Look 1115 01:04:30,000 --> 01:04:32,200 Speaker 1: I think I get it. I think I'm gonna just 1116 01:04:32,240 --> 01:04:34,440 Speaker 1: be honest. Oh yeah, you need Puerto Rico as your 1117 01:04:34,440 --> 01:04:37,920 Speaker 1: partner to get statehood. Puerto Rico, what's that? You need 1118 01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:40,800 Speaker 1: a dance partner? And I think George is arguing, you know, 1119 01:04:41,040 --> 01:04:43,160 Speaker 1: I could probably do this without a dance partner. 1120 01:04:43,520 --> 01:04:44,680 Speaker 3: And I see, I. 1121 01:04:46,400 --> 01:04:49,080 Speaker 1: Sort of see where, George, where you're coming from on that, 1122 01:04:50,080 --> 01:04:54,440 Speaker 1: Because there's been such a bipartisan history of both parties 1123 01:04:54,960 --> 01:04:58,040 Speaker 1: going back and forth with the governor's office, uh, and 1124 01:04:58,280 --> 01:05:01,640 Speaker 1: both parties successfully raising my off the island. Right, there 1125 01:05:01,760 --> 01:05:04,760 Speaker 1: is a bit more of a bipartisan tradition in Puerto 1126 01:05:04,840 --> 01:05:09,400 Speaker 1: Rico that that probably wouldn't spook party leaders from either 1127 01:05:09,440 --> 01:05:10,080 Speaker 1: side of the aisle. 1128 01:05:10,800 --> 01:05:13,000 Speaker 5: Yeah, and you know, this is not something that is 1129 01:05:13,040 --> 01:05:13,960 Speaker 5: theoretical to me. 1130 01:05:14,160 --> 01:05:19,120 Speaker 4: I've actually served governors that have been Republicans and Democrats. 1131 01:05:20,160 --> 01:05:25,800 Speaker 4: I've I've seen support on this issue from both Democratic 1132 01:05:25,920 --> 01:05:30,360 Speaker 4: and Republican House and Senate members. The issue has a 1133 01:05:30,440 --> 01:05:34,040 Speaker 4: long history of bipartisan support when it comes to Puerto Rico. 1134 01:05:35,760 --> 01:05:41,680 Speaker 4: But what I can also very much acknowledge is that, 1135 01:05:41,840 --> 01:05:45,520 Speaker 4: you know, Puerto Rico is a question mark when it 1136 01:05:45,560 --> 01:05:50,760 Speaker 4: comes to where things will pan out, you know, electorally 1137 01:05:51,360 --> 01:05:55,120 Speaker 4: after admission as a state. Just like with Alaska and Hawaii, 1138 01:05:55,120 --> 01:05:57,680 Speaker 4: what Oya mentioned is one hundred percent right. You know, 1139 01:05:58,080 --> 01:06:01,400 Speaker 4: they were looking at Alaska's the democratic state in Hawaii 1140 01:06:01,680 --> 01:06:05,160 Speaker 4: as the republican state, and you know, things ended up. 1141 01:06:05,080 --> 01:06:06,640 Speaker 5: Being the exact opposite. 1142 01:06:07,160 --> 01:06:10,920 Speaker 4: There's nothing that can guarantee that Puerto Rico, if it's 1143 01:06:10,960 --> 01:06:13,760 Speaker 4: admitted into a state, will be a democratic state and 1144 01:06:13,840 --> 01:06:18,680 Speaker 4: a republic or a republican state. Although right now, if 1145 01:06:18,720 --> 01:06:21,960 Speaker 4: we look at the current makeup of the political leadership 1146 01:06:22,000 --> 01:06:26,080 Speaker 4: in Puerto Rico, the Resident commission or Puerto Rico's non 1147 01:06:26,160 --> 01:06:29,040 Speaker 4: voting member in the House, is a Democrat, but the 1148 01:06:29,040 --> 01:06:33,000 Speaker 4: governor is a Republican, and the speaker in Puerto Rico's 1149 01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:37,560 Speaker 4: houses a Republican. The majority of the representatives in Portrico's 1150 01:06:37,640 --> 01:06:42,040 Speaker 4: legislature Republicans, and the leader in the Senate is a Republican, 1151 01:06:42,160 --> 01:06:45,360 Speaker 4: and the majority of the senators in Puerto Rico are Republicans. 1152 01:06:46,320 --> 01:06:51,200 Speaker 4: So it really does present a situation where, you know, 1153 01:06:51,400 --> 01:06:54,919 Speaker 4: members looking at it from Washington need to actually look 1154 01:06:55,080 --> 01:06:59,200 Speaker 4: at what's happening electorally on the island and also the 1155 01:06:59,360 --> 01:07:03,000 Speaker 4: geographic reality of Puerto Rico. Much like any other state, 1156 01:07:03,600 --> 01:07:08,240 Speaker 4: the urban areas tend to be significantly more liberal, and 1157 01:07:08,280 --> 01:07:09,960 Speaker 4: if you look at the rest of Puerto Rico, the 1158 01:07:10,040 --> 01:07:13,680 Speaker 4: rural areas tend to be significantly more conservative. And that's 1159 01:07:13,720 --> 01:07:15,959 Speaker 4: a little bit of a challenge for DC because DC 1160 01:07:16,120 --> 01:07:19,440 Speaker 4: is almost entirely an urban area right. 1161 01:07:19,960 --> 01:07:24,600 Speaker 1: In If the population estimates it would be four congressional 1162 01:07:24,680 --> 01:07:28,040 Speaker 1: seats for Puerto Rico roughly, how would that break up. 1163 01:07:28,080 --> 01:07:30,000 Speaker 1: Would it be two in San Juan and then the 1164 01:07:30,040 --> 01:07:33,000 Speaker 1: rest of the island would be broken up that way 1165 01:07:33,080 --> 01:07:33,280 Speaker 1: or how? 1166 01:07:33,520 --> 01:07:36,000 Speaker 4: It would depend on how the districting is done, which 1167 01:07:36,040 --> 01:07:38,520 Speaker 4: is also something very interesting because as we're seeing right 1168 01:07:38,600 --> 01:07:43,800 Speaker 4: now with the whole effort to redo districting nationwide, if 1169 01:07:44,320 --> 01:07:47,160 Speaker 4: you had a Republican majority in Puerto Rico as we 1170 01:07:47,200 --> 01:07:50,680 Speaker 4: have right now, decide to draw district maps that would 1171 01:07:50,720 --> 01:07:53,400 Speaker 4: you know, end up favoring Republicans, Then you know, maybe 1172 01:07:53,440 --> 01:07:53,920 Speaker 4: that could be. 1173 01:07:53,840 --> 01:07:58,080 Speaker 1: The outcome, would crawl or something, But you. 1174 01:07:58,040 --> 01:07:59,320 Speaker 5: Know, the realities we don't know. 1175 01:07:59,360 --> 01:08:05,040 Speaker 4: When we've had shadow delegations appointed and then elected to 1176 01:08:05,120 --> 01:08:08,200 Speaker 4: a serve and represent Puerto Rico, we've had them fifty 1177 01:08:08,240 --> 01:08:11,880 Speaker 4: to fifty split. They've been half Democrats and half Republicans, 1178 01:08:12,280 --> 01:08:15,880 Speaker 4: And I think that ultimately that is actually what's most 1179 01:08:16,040 --> 01:08:22,040 Speaker 4: representative of the island's population because we've never had the 1180 01:08:22,160 --> 01:08:25,280 Speaker 4: chance to draw our own district maps and elect our 1181 01:08:25,320 --> 01:08:28,400 Speaker 4: own centers representatives, So We just have to use the 1182 01:08:28,479 --> 01:08:30,240 Speaker 4: data that we have up to nowt. 1183 01:08:31,720 --> 01:08:33,920 Speaker 1: Look, in total, there are four point three million people 1184 01:08:33,960 --> 01:08:37,080 Speaker 1: without full American citizens, without full rights that live in 1185 01:08:37,479 --> 01:08:40,720 Speaker 1: these territories, either the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, or 1186 01:08:40,720 --> 01:08:44,880 Speaker 1: any of these states and territories. Is there a middle 1187 01:08:44,880 --> 01:08:50,360 Speaker 1: ground at all that would give everybody more rights without statehood? 1188 01:08:50,560 --> 01:08:53,240 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, let me start with you. I don't think so. 1189 01:08:53,960 --> 01:08:56,280 Speaker 3: I'll be quite honest, I don't think so. If the 1190 01:08:56,400 --> 01:08:59,760 Speaker 3: question was just about vooting representation in Congress, then maybe 1191 01:08:59,800 --> 01:09:02,000 Speaker 3: they will be a half measure that makes everybody happen. 1192 01:09:02,040 --> 01:09:04,000 Speaker 1: Well, you might get a member in the House, but 1193 01:09:04,040 --> 01:09:07,280 Speaker 1: not in the Senate. Right right, the conversations that we're. 1194 01:09:07,160 --> 01:09:09,800 Speaker 5: Having, but that requires a constitutional amendment. We're back to that. 1195 01:09:10,120 --> 01:09:11,400 Speaker 3: But give me one second. 1196 01:09:11,520 --> 01:09:15,679 Speaker 2: So when we had in twenty twenty five our local 1197 01:09:15,720 --> 01:09:18,160 Speaker 2: budget slash and we had to almost get rid of 1198 01:09:18,160 --> 01:09:21,519 Speaker 2: teachers and firefighters, when you're seeing the president send the 1199 01:09:21,600 --> 01:09:25,040 Speaker 2: National Guard to patrol areas in our communities and send 1200 01:09:25,120 --> 01:09:27,800 Speaker 2: ice to grab people based off how they look, the 1201 01:09:27,840 --> 01:09:31,680 Speaker 2: only thing that protects DC residents is statehood. This is 1202 01:09:31,720 --> 01:09:35,040 Speaker 2: no longer just how many votes we can count in Congress. 1203 01:09:35,200 --> 01:09:37,559 Speaker 2: This is really an opportunity for DC residents to have 1204 01:09:37,600 --> 01:09:38,920 Speaker 2: full ownership. 1205 01:09:38,400 --> 01:09:41,679 Speaker 3: Over our lives on local governance. There is no half 1206 01:09:41,720 --> 01:09:45,000 Speaker 3: measure to it. I know earlier my friend here said 1207 01:09:45,240 --> 01:09:47,400 Speaker 3: we're far away from DC state. 1208 01:09:47,760 --> 01:09:50,800 Speaker 2: Well within the last six years we passed the d 1209 01:09:50,920 --> 01:09:52,320 Speaker 2: C State Admissions Act in the House. 1210 01:09:52,520 --> 01:09:54,519 Speaker 3: I don't say anything like that. Puerto Rico, we have 1211 01:09:54,920 --> 01:09:57,240 Speaker 3: more than forty centers co sponds from the bill to 1212 01:09:57,240 --> 01:09:59,719 Speaker 3: make DC a state. I don't know we're aut Puerto Rico. 1213 01:10:00,160 --> 01:10:02,680 Speaker 2: So I do believe there is a pathway ward for 1214 01:10:02,840 --> 01:10:05,200 Speaker 2: DC residents to become residents of the state. 1215 01:10:05,439 --> 01:10:07,120 Speaker 3: I think we have to push forard on that because 1216 01:10:07,120 --> 01:10:09,360 Speaker 3: it means so much more than just count of bost 1217 01:10:09,360 --> 01:10:10,759 Speaker 3: of Congress. 1218 01:10:10,560 --> 01:10:12,200 Speaker 1: George, the same question to you, do you think there's 1219 01:10:12,240 --> 01:10:16,560 Speaker 1: a is there some half measure that gives more rights 1220 01:10:17,200 --> 01:10:20,160 Speaker 1: to whether you live in Guam, Puerto Rico, or DC. 1221 01:10:21,439 --> 01:10:24,920 Speaker 4: So you know, I think with the smaller territories in 1222 01:10:24,960 --> 01:10:27,800 Speaker 4: the Pacific and the US Virgin Islands, there is a 1223 01:10:27,880 --> 01:10:31,240 Speaker 4: separate question than the one that we have for Washington, 1224 01:10:31,320 --> 01:10:33,559 Speaker 4: d C. And for Puerto Rico, just because of the 1225 01:10:33,600 --> 01:10:37,360 Speaker 4: population size, right, and the fact that in none of 1226 01:10:37,360 --> 01:10:43,439 Speaker 4: those territories, they've actually expressed themselves by votes that they 1227 01:10:43,520 --> 01:10:46,960 Speaker 4: want to end their territorial status and that they want state. 1228 01:10:47,720 --> 01:10:50,439 Speaker 4: One thing that is one hundred percent in alignment between 1229 01:10:50,520 --> 01:10:53,439 Speaker 4: DC and Puerto Rico is that in both places you've 1230 01:10:53,479 --> 01:11:00,160 Speaker 4: had voters express their consent to ending the territorial status 1231 01:11:00,160 --> 01:11:01,479 Speaker 4: in the case of Puerto Rico and the seat of 1232 01:11:01,520 --> 01:11:04,720 Speaker 4: government status in the case of DC, and you know, 1233 01:11:04,880 --> 01:11:09,840 Speaker 4: express their desire for statehood. The half measures don't work, 1234 01:11:09,920 --> 01:11:12,920 Speaker 4: and I'll tell you why. In the case of Puerto Rico, 1235 01:11:13,160 --> 01:11:17,599 Speaker 4: you can get additional federal funding and maybe treated you know, 1236 01:11:17,680 --> 01:11:22,080 Speaker 4: equally in certain federal programs, but the territorial clause allows 1237 01:11:22,160 --> 01:11:25,880 Speaker 4: any future Congress to claw that back at any point. 1238 01:11:26,160 --> 01:11:27,320 Speaker 5: So even if you can. 1239 01:11:27,200 --> 01:11:31,400 Speaker 4: Get like full medicaid parity or full parity nutritional assistance 1240 01:11:31,479 --> 01:11:34,160 Speaker 4: or whatever else that we don't have unequal right now, 1241 01:11:34,439 --> 01:11:37,360 Speaker 4: any future Congress can say, no, we're taking it away, 1242 01:11:37,800 --> 01:11:41,320 Speaker 4: and that you can't build an economy that's sustainable. 1243 01:11:40,720 --> 01:11:41,160 Speaker 5: Off of that. 1244 01:11:41,560 --> 01:11:45,240 Speaker 4: And then the other piece is that ultimately, if every 1245 01:11:45,280 --> 01:11:49,080 Speaker 4: single day the Congress and the federal government are passing 1246 01:11:49,200 --> 01:11:53,240 Speaker 4: laws and regulations that apply to the territory and Puerto 1247 01:11:53,320 --> 01:11:58,519 Speaker 4: Rico doesn't have representation that's equal in the House and 1248 01:11:58,680 --> 01:12:02,160 Speaker 4: zero presentation in the Senate, and doesn't have any representation 1249 01:12:02,320 --> 01:12:06,080 Speaker 4: in the Electoral College, Then how can we expect to 1250 01:12:06,280 --> 01:12:10,080 Speaker 4: have oversight over the federal agencies that apply these laws 1251 01:12:10,120 --> 01:12:13,479 Speaker 4: and policies, And how can we expect the interests and 1252 01:12:13,520 --> 01:12:16,960 Speaker 4: the goals and aspirations of the US citizens of Puerto 1253 01:12:17,000 --> 01:12:20,280 Speaker 4: Rico to be taken into account in the legislative process. 1254 01:12:20,560 --> 01:12:22,960 Speaker 5: You can't and any half. 1255 01:12:22,840 --> 01:12:25,960 Speaker 4: Measures to try to give Puerto Rico, you know, and 1256 01:12:26,280 --> 01:12:30,240 Speaker 4: a representative in the House, or you know, a single 1257 01:12:30,280 --> 01:12:33,760 Speaker 4: representative that can vote. That would require constitutional honment. That's 1258 01:12:33,760 --> 01:12:37,400 Speaker 4: harder than passing statehood. Right, It's easier to pass a 1259 01:12:37,439 --> 01:12:40,120 Speaker 4: statehood admission bill than it is to pass an amendment 1260 01:12:40,240 --> 01:12:43,360 Speaker 4: to give Puerto Rico one voting representative in the House, 1261 01:12:43,680 --> 01:12:47,320 Speaker 4: and that single vote would not compensate the island for 1262 01:12:47,520 --> 01:12:52,080 Speaker 4: the representational gap and the demographic democratic deficit that currently exists. 1263 01:12:52,400 --> 01:12:55,920 Speaker 1: The Congressional Black Caucus has been a huge advocate of 1264 01:12:56,040 --> 01:13:00,920 Speaker 1: DC statehood, and it may explain why a bill got 1265 01:13:01,439 --> 01:13:04,000 Speaker 1: on the floor of the House and did get passed. 1266 01:13:04,560 --> 01:13:07,920 Speaker 1: What has been the how would you explain why there 1267 01:13:07,920 --> 01:13:11,920 Speaker 1: hasn't been a similar effort for Puerto Rico. 1268 01:13:12,880 --> 01:13:15,759 Speaker 4: Well, you know, the reality is that we have had 1269 01:13:16,240 --> 01:13:19,600 Speaker 4: two bills past the House, one in twenty ten and 1270 01:13:19,720 --> 01:13:22,719 Speaker 4: the most recent one in twenty twenty two. The last 1271 01:13:22,760 --> 01:13:24,800 Speaker 4: one in twenty twenty two, it's called the Puerto Rico 1272 01:13:24,840 --> 01:13:31,920 Speaker 4: Status Act, passed with a bipartisan majority that included unanimous 1273 01:13:31,960 --> 01:13:36,720 Speaker 4: Democratic support in the House and sixteen Republican votes, which is, 1274 01:13:36,880 --> 01:13:40,040 Speaker 4: you know, quite impressive given this overall level of polarization 1275 01:13:40,160 --> 01:13:44,960 Speaker 4: that we see in American politics nowadays. The bill had 1276 01:13:45,600 --> 01:13:49,400 Speaker 4: at that point a statement of administration policy from then 1277 01:13:49,520 --> 01:13:53,120 Speaker 4: President Biden, and in the following session of Congress, we 1278 01:13:53,240 --> 01:13:58,280 Speaker 4: did have that bill reintroduced because the US Senate just 1279 01:13:58,280 --> 01:14:00,479 Speaker 4: didn't have enough time to When you. 1280 01:14:00,439 --> 01:14:03,519 Speaker 1: Say last status what what is? What specifically would that bill? 1281 01:14:03,640 --> 01:14:05,439 Speaker 1: Dude put it? Basically that. 1282 01:14:07,439 --> 01:14:13,959 Speaker 4: Congress has a responsibility and Puerto Rico's colonial territory status 1283 01:14:14,280 --> 01:14:19,439 Speaker 4: and offers voters UH single vote between the three non 1284 01:14:19,520 --> 01:14:24,759 Speaker 4: territorial options of statehood, UH independence and independence. 1285 01:14:24,160 --> 01:14:29,679 Speaker 5: With free association, which is this bilateral Marshal Marshall Island idea. 1286 01:14:30,000 --> 01:14:33,439 Speaker 4: Yeah, And what ended up happening is the Senate didn't 1287 01:14:33,479 --> 01:14:37,000 Speaker 4: pass that, uh, but it was reintroduced in the following 1288 01:14:37,040 --> 01:14:41,160 Speaker 4: session and we had twenty seven senators supported, all of 1289 01:14:41,200 --> 01:14:42,120 Speaker 4: them Democrats. 1290 01:14:42,479 --> 01:14:46,559 Speaker 5: Uh no Rick Scott, no Rick Scott, and no Marco Ruvio. 1291 01:14:46,720 --> 01:14:50,760 Speaker 4: However, since then, we have had at least one Republican 1292 01:14:50,840 --> 01:14:55,439 Speaker 4: senator express his support for Puerto Rico's statehood and uh 1293 01:14:55,600 --> 01:14:59,679 Speaker 4: that is the the Senator from Oklahoma, Mark Wayne Mullen, 1294 01:15:00,040 --> 01:15:01,960 Speaker 4: which is also very interesting. 1295 01:15:01,520 --> 01:15:04,519 Speaker 5: Because he's just the President's here exactly right. 1296 01:15:04,600 --> 01:15:09,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, So it does reflect the continued bipartisan nature of 1297 01:15:09,560 --> 01:15:10,840 Speaker 4: the Puerto Rico. 1298 01:15:12,280 --> 01:15:14,759 Speaker 5: Statehood push. 1299 01:15:14,800 --> 01:15:17,200 Speaker 4: But what ended up happening in Puerto Rico is that 1300 01:15:17,320 --> 01:15:20,200 Speaker 4: Congress didn't act, but locally, we decided, you know what, 1301 01:15:20,360 --> 01:15:23,880 Speaker 4: we're going to continue sending the message from our citizenry. 1302 01:15:23,960 --> 01:15:26,320 Speaker 4: So we took that same ballot that was designed in 1303 01:15:26,320 --> 01:15:28,720 Speaker 4: the Puerto Rico Status Act and we put it up 1304 01:15:28,760 --> 01:15:32,080 Speaker 4: to voters literally exactly as it was written and passed 1305 01:15:32,520 --> 01:15:36,400 Speaker 4: by the House of Representatives. And that's what happened last November, 1306 01:15:36,840 --> 01:15:41,840 Speaker 4: and fifty eight percent of voters supported statehood for Puerto Rico. 1307 01:15:42,360 --> 01:15:46,240 Speaker 1: And this was the strongest version of independence that's ever 1308 01:15:46,280 --> 01:15:50,120 Speaker 1: been on the Pallette, meaning the independence with essentially protection 1309 01:15:50,200 --> 01:15:53,040 Speaker 1: from the United States, and the fact that that couldn't 1310 01:15:53,040 --> 01:15:54,599 Speaker 1: get the number that it got, I. 1311 01:15:54,520 --> 01:15:58,600 Speaker 4: Think, yeah, so so independence just beer independence got like 1312 01:15:59,040 --> 01:16:03,599 Speaker 4: just under twelve percent, eleven point eight free association, which 1313 01:16:03,640 --> 01:16:07,200 Speaker 4: is a form of independence that in that case was included, 1314 01:16:07,280 --> 01:16:12,840 Speaker 4: even continued US citizenship after you know, being made a 1315 01:16:13,360 --> 01:16:18,080 Speaker 4: sovereign country, right, which I ultimately don't think that Congress 1316 01:16:18,080 --> 01:16:20,400 Speaker 4: would pass it in that way, but you know, it 1317 01:16:20,439 --> 01:16:23,320 Speaker 4: was a really nice offer that only got twenty nine percent, 1318 01:16:23,680 --> 01:16:28,240 Speaker 4: and you ended up with fifty eight percent supporting you know, 1319 01:16:28,320 --> 01:16:32,880 Speaker 4: full statehood, and that really shows that the majority of 1320 01:16:32,920 --> 01:16:36,360 Speaker 4: people in Puerto Rico don't want to continue under the 1321 01:16:36,360 --> 01:16:39,120 Speaker 4: current territory status and they want statehood. 1322 01:16:39,120 --> 01:16:41,639 Speaker 5: And now it's it's up to Congress act. But as 1323 01:16:41,680 --> 01:16:43,080 Speaker 5: Aye said, it's. 1324 01:16:42,920 --> 01:16:46,480 Speaker 4: Not just Congress, it's up to the American people across 1325 01:16:46,560 --> 01:16:50,280 Speaker 4: all of the states to say, we need to end 1326 01:16:50,479 --> 01:16:54,000 Speaker 4: a circumstance where we have nearly four million fellow American 1327 01:16:54,040 --> 01:16:57,439 Speaker 4: citizens that are being denied their full rights, and we 1328 01:16:57,520 --> 01:17:01,839 Speaker 4: need to have an active conversation about how we offer 1329 01:17:02,040 --> 01:17:05,960 Speaker 4: a full enfranchisement and full democratic rights uh to the 1330 01:17:06,000 --> 01:17:09,200 Speaker 4: citizens of Puerto Rico, of DC, and even of the 1331 01:17:09,240 --> 01:17:12,920 Speaker 4: other territories. And there may be different solutions for each one, 1332 01:17:13,280 --> 01:17:15,960 Speaker 4: but that fundamental principle, that's a debate that has to 1333 01:17:16,000 --> 01:17:17,799 Speaker 4: happen for America as a whole. 1334 01:17:25,880 --> 01:17:28,479 Speaker 1: I'm just curious. You know, Oya was talking about how 1335 01:17:28,520 --> 01:17:31,200 Speaker 1: he's been going to other states trying to get resolutions passed. 1336 01:17:33,200 --> 01:17:36,120 Speaker 1: Have you tried that? And I was just in Orlando 1337 01:17:36,360 --> 01:17:40,479 Speaker 1: past I was just gonna say, let's Florida, New York, right, 1338 01:17:41,280 --> 01:17:44,240 Speaker 1: if you had a Governor DeSantis at a Governor Hocal 1339 01:17:44,680 --> 01:17:50,240 Speaker 1: signing the same resolution, that'd be pretty good, a pretty good, uh, 1340 01:17:50,400 --> 01:17:52,559 Speaker 1: piece of marketing material for you with. 1341 01:17:52,680 --> 01:17:54,200 Speaker 5: And and and we're working on that. 1342 01:17:54,240 --> 01:17:59,839 Speaker 4: There is a state side advocacy movement that supports statehood 1343 01:17:59,840 --> 01:18:02,560 Speaker 4: for Puerto Rico. We've been working on that in the 1344 01:18:02,600 --> 01:18:05,880 Speaker 4: Statehood Council for many years. There's also been another effort 1345 01:18:05,920 --> 01:18:08,680 Speaker 4: called the Extended Congressional Delegation that's been working on it 1346 01:18:09,040 --> 01:18:12,559 Speaker 4: for the past few years. And there's literally, you know, 1347 01:18:12,880 --> 01:18:16,480 Speaker 4: tens of thousands of US citizens from across the country 1348 01:18:16,840 --> 01:18:20,040 Speaker 4: that support statehood for Puerto Rico. And you know, also 1349 01:18:20,160 --> 01:18:23,000 Speaker 4: national polling has shown this. You know, I think the 1350 01:18:24,240 --> 01:18:27,040 Speaker 4: Gallup polls have shown for decades that over you know, 1351 01:18:27,120 --> 01:18:30,280 Speaker 4: sixty percent of Americans support statehood for Puerto Rico. 1352 01:18:31,320 --> 01:18:33,920 Speaker 1: I want to get before I let you both go, 1353 01:18:34,000 --> 01:18:36,640 Speaker 1: I want to get to the financial consequences of a 1354 01:18:36,680 --> 01:18:39,840 Speaker 1: lack of statehood. You hinted at it a bit, George, Oh, yeah, 1355 01:18:40,200 --> 01:18:42,519 Speaker 1: you were talking. We were talking a bit more about 1356 01:18:42,880 --> 01:18:45,519 Speaker 1: obviously control of the budget, right, some of that home 1357 01:18:45,600 --> 01:18:49,519 Speaker 1: rule decisions. But is there a you know, do you 1358 01:18:49,560 --> 01:18:54,799 Speaker 1: get less Medicaid reimbursements in DC because of the status. 1359 01:18:54,800 --> 01:18:57,200 Speaker 1: What do you can you put a dollar figure on 1360 01:18:57,200 --> 01:18:59,880 Speaker 1: what you think statehood costs the district financially? 1361 01:19:00,040 --> 01:19:02,600 Speaker 3: We lose millions, if not billions of dollars by not 1362 01:19:02,680 --> 01:19:05,439 Speaker 3: being a state. Years ago when we were battling the 1363 01:19:05,479 --> 01:19:10,599 Speaker 3: pandemic together and they passed legislation that will provide billions 1364 01:19:10,640 --> 01:19:13,200 Speaker 3: of dollars to each day the combat the COVID pandemic 1365 01:19:13,720 --> 01:19:16,920 Speaker 3: d C was regulated to becoming a territory. It's released. 1366 01:19:16,920 --> 01:19:19,840 Speaker 3: We lost about half a million, half a billion dollars. 1367 01:19:20,040 --> 01:19:22,240 Speaker 1: So did Wyoming get more money? 1368 01:19:22,280 --> 01:19:25,600 Speaker 3: Wyoming got more, Maryland got more, Virginia. 1369 01:19:25,360 --> 01:19:29,599 Speaker 1: Got less people, Yeah, than the district. That's why sing. 1370 01:19:30,160 --> 01:19:33,840 Speaker 2: Absolutely and unlike Puerto Rico on other locations, we were 1371 01:19:33,840 --> 01:19:34,439 Speaker 2: a landmocked. 1372 01:19:34,640 --> 01:19:36,720 Speaker 3: So the problems that Maryland was spilled into d C. 1373 01:19:37,320 --> 01:19:41,479 Speaker 2: And just to piggyback on a previous conversation, the things 1374 01:19:41,520 --> 01:19:43,920 Speaker 2: I've done in other states were two tiered. It wasn't 1375 01:19:44,000 --> 01:19:46,320 Speaker 2: just enough to tell people that we deserved DC statehood. 1376 01:19:46,560 --> 01:19:49,439 Speaker 2: We also made sure that folks understood how their lives 1377 01:19:49,439 --> 01:19:53,920 Speaker 2: would improve by US becoming a state, us having voter representation. 1378 01:19:54,320 --> 01:19:57,360 Speaker 3: When I went to Boom County, West Virginia, where I 1379 01:19:57,400 --> 01:19:59,760 Speaker 3: was the only black guy around, I didn't stop the 1380 01:19:59,760 --> 01:20:04,280 Speaker 3: con station by DC resists mostly minority people deserve equal rights. 1381 01:20:04,640 --> 01:20:07,320 Speaker 3: We talked about the issues that they cared about, letting 1382 01:20:07,400 --> 01:20:08,599 Speaker 3: their water, not have. 1383 01:20:08,560 --> 01:20:12,320 Speaker 2: An access to employment, the coal industry just evaporating, and 1384 01:20:12,360 --> 01:20:14,559 Speaker 2: talking about some of the things that I've experienced living 1385 01:20:14,560 --> 01:20:17,280 Speaker 2: in commerce sights south East Washington, d C, bridge of 1386 01:20:17,360 --> 01:20:18,360 Speaker 2: nose gaps. 1387 01:20:18,160 --> 01:20:24,680 Speaker 3: And understanding that a center from d C, voting representative 1388 01:20:25,000 --> 01:20:28,880 Speaker 3: from d C can actually pass legislation that then center 1389 01:20:29,040 --> 01:20:31,760 Speaker 3: mansion or capital wasn't passing. 1390 01:20:31,600 --> 01:20:34,280 Speaker 2: And really engaging them in a way that they felt 1391 01:20:34,320 --> 01:20:37,639 Speaker 2: that they gained from DC becoming a state. It helped 1392 01:20:37,680 --> 01:20:39,920 Speaker 2: a lot, and I advised anybody who's buying for a 1393 01:20:39,920 --> 01:20:43,599 Speaker 2: statehood to also make sure that we let them know 1394 01:20:43,640 --> 01:20:46,240 Speaker 2: what their investment needs to folks living in other. 1395 01:20:46,080 --> 01:20:48,840 Speaker 3: Places outside of Puerto Rico or outside of DC. 1396 01:20:49,840 --> 01:20:51,800 Speaker 1: George put a dollar figure on it. You were talking 1397 01:20:51,800 --> 01:20:54,640 Speaker 1: about when it comes to certain funding things and the 1398 01:20:54,720 --> 01:20:56,880 Speaker 1: lack of equity. Oh, you just talked about it with 1399 01:20:56,960 --> 01:21:00,479 Speaker 1: COVID funding. If Wyoming is getting more dollars for fewer 1400 01:21:00,520 --> 01:21:04,800 Speaker 1: people than DC, that does seem unequal. What's give me 1401 01:21:04,840 --> 01:21:06,200 Speaker 1: a few examples in Puerto Rico. 1402 01:21:06,680 --> 01:21:10,120 Speaker 4: In the case of Puerto Rico, it is definitely very 1403 01:21:10,120 --> 01:21:14,040 Speaker 4: explicit that Puerto Rico receives unequal treatment under federal laws 1404 01:21:14,040 --> 01:21:17,160 Speaker 4: and programs. And this not only impacts negatively the quality 1405 01:21:17,200 --> 01:21:19,879 Speaker 4: of life of people on the island, but it actually 1406 01:21:20,000 --> 01:21:22,559 Speaker 4: spurs people and pushes them to leave. 1407 01:21:23,040 --> 01:21:25,599 Speaker 1: Right. Oh, that's why they I mean, that's why they leave, 1408 01:21:25,680 --> 01:21:26,519 Speaker 1: right Not usually? 1409 01:21:26,600 --> 01:21:30,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, And so the areas some of the main areas 1410 01:21:30,240 --> 01:21:33,960 Speaker 4: where Porto Rico gets treated unequally most egregious is in 1411 01:21:34,080 --> 01:21:37,479 Speaker 4: Medicare and Medicaid, so or elderly people don't get the 1412 01:21:37,520 --> 01:21:41,960 Speaker 4: same level of financial support for their medical care. So 1413 01:21:42,200 --> 01:21:46,920 Speaker 4: let's say if the average Medicare Medicare patient in the 1414 01:21:46,960 --> 01:21:52,840 Speaker 4: States gets about fifteen thousand dollars per year given to 1415 01:21:52,960 --> 01:21:55,720 Speaker 4: them for their healthcare coverage, in Puerto Rico's five, you know, 1416 01:21:56,280 --> 01:21:59,880 Speaker 4: and that means that there's a huge reduction in the 1417 01:22:00,000 --> 01:22:04,520 Speaker 4: amount of money going into our medical service providers, our hospitals, 1418 01:22:04,760 --> 01:22:08,439 Speaker 4: our nurses, so all the basic care are you know, 1419 01:22:08,600 --> 01:22:11,920 Speaker 4: lower income families in Medicaid get you know, less support 1420 01:22:12,040 --> 01:22:16,280 Speaker 4: services too, and that has a massively negative impact on 1421 01:22:16,400 --> 01:22:18,479 Speaker 4: the economy because ultimately, these. 1422 01:22:18,360 --> 01:22:19,680 Speaker 1: People are your workforce. 1423 01:22:19,880 --> 01:22:22,920 Speaker 4: So if they're if they're more sick, if they're more 1424 01:22:22,960 --> 01:22:25,960 Speaker 4: impacted by chronic illnesses that aren't being able to be treated. 1425 01:22:25,960 --> 01:22:28,519 Speaker 4: Because with Puerto Rico, we don't have enough money in 1426 01:22:28,560 --> 01:22:31,919 Speaker 4: our Medicaid system to have long term care access. 1427 01:22:32,160 --> 01:22:34,439 Speaker 5: That's a huge problem for. 1428 01:22:34,400 --> 01:22:37,200 Speaker 4: Our economy and our society, and it also impacts the 1429 01:22:37,240 --> 01:22:40,840 Speaker 4: local budget. Portugal gets different treatment under nutritional assistance. So 1430 01:22:40,880 --> 01:22:43,599 Speaker 4: we have one of the highest child poverty rates in 1431 01:22:43,640 --> 01:22:48,000 Speaker 4: the entire United States, and and that's devastating. You're talking about, 1432 01:22:48,240 --> 01:22:53,000 Speaker 4: you know, money that is not coming in to support 1433 01:22:53,520 --> 01:22:58,200 Speaker 4: children in their critical moments of physiological development, and that 1434 01:22:58,439 --> 01:23:05,120 Speaker 4: impacts educational outcomes, that impacts long term outcomes in terms 1435 01:23:05,120 --> 01:23:08,200 Speaker 4: of their socioeconomic mobility because you know, you just didn't 1436 01:23:08,240 --> 01:23:11,040 Speaker 4: get the support at the critical moments when when you 1437 01:23:11,120 --> 01:23:17,280 Speaker 4: needed it. So these deficiencies and lack of equality amount 1438 01:23:17,360 --> 01:23:20,920 Speaker 4: to tens of billions of dollars in less money that's 1439 01:23:20,960 --> 01:23:24,280 Speaker 4: flowing through the economy in Puerto Rico every single year, 1440 01:23:24,640 --> 01:23:27,880 Speaker 4: and as a result, the overall quality of life on 1441 01:23:27,920 --> 01:23:31,360 Speaker 4: the island is lower, which means more people leave, and 1442 01:23:31,400 --> 01:23:34,200 Speaker 4: then that creates a negative spiral that we're in. The 1443 01:23:34,200 --> 01:23:37,200 Speaker 4: more people leave, the more consumer demand goes down. The 1444 01:23:37,200 --> 01:23:40,320 Speaker 4: more consumer demand goes down, the more businesses have to shutter, 1445 01:23:40,720 --> 01:23:45,000 Speaker 4: the more your tax base gets reduced, the wors your 1446 01:23:45,000 --> 01:23:49,760 Speaker 4: fiscal circumstance, you know, the higher the share of per 1447 01:23:49,840 --> 01:23:53,479 Speaker 4: capita debt for the debt that you already have in 1448 01:23:53,520 --> 01:23:56,719 Speaker 4: your jurisdiction. But you know, I think one key point 1449 01:23:56,800 --> 01:24:00,439 Speaker 4: that made that I would like to also reiterate. You know, 1450 01:24:00,880 --> 01:24:04,160 Speaker 4: a lot of people's stateside have this misconception that Puerto 1451 01:24:04,240 --> 01:24:08,160 Speaker 4: Rico is just a jurisdiction that takes from the federal government, 1452 01:24:08,160 --> 01:24:11,360 Speaker 4: and that just is not true. Puerto Rico actually pays 1453 01:24:11,439 --> 01:24:14,439 Speaker 4: more in federal taxes than at least three states in 1454 01:24:14,520 --> 01:24:19,439 Speaker 4: the nation, even though in Puerto Rico, local residents do 1455 01:24:19,560 --> 01:24:22,760 Speaker 4: not pay federal income taxes on their income that they 1456 01:24:22,800 --> 01:24:26,040 Speaker 4: derive from the island. And the other piece is that 1457 01:24:26,200 --> 01:24:29,800 Speaker 4: in Puerto Rico we have about seventy billion dollars worth 1458 01:24:29,800 --> 01:24:34,360 Speaker 4: of annual interstate commerce between the island and the States. 1459 01:24:34,680 --> 01:24:39,360 Speaker 4: So Puerto Rico actually helps to generate profits and jobs 1460 01:24:39,400 --> 01:24:43,479 Speaker 4: for companies stateside that are employing people and that are 1461 01:24:43,479 --> 01:24:48,000 Speaker 4: making an economic difference in Florida, in New York, in Texas, 1462 01:24:48,200 --> 01:24:51,639 Speaker 4: you know, throughout the entire country. Because guess what, for example, 1463 01:24:51,680 --> 01:24:53,639 Speaker 4: in Puerto Rico we import you know, I think it's 1464 01:24:53,720 --> 01:24:56,880 Speaker 4: over eighty eighty five percent of the you know, fresh 1465 01:24:56,920 --> 01:24:58,320 Speaker 4: fruit products. 1466 01:24:58,960 --> 01:25:01,040 Speaker 5: Most of that's coming from the States. Most of that 1467 01:25:01,160 --> 01:25:03,320 Speaker 5: is being farmed state side. 1468 01:25:03,439 --> 01:25:07,000 Speaker 4: So if we grow the pie by giving Puerto Rico 1469 01:25:07,120 --> 01:25:11,080 Speaker 4: the quality that it needs to have an equal playing field, 1470 01:25:11,880 --> 01:25:13,720 Speaker 4: what we see is the same thing we saw with 1471 01:25:13,760 --> 01:25:18,200 Speaker 4: Alaskan Hawaii, which is a process of economic integration where 1472 01:25:18,240 --> 01:25:22,559 Speaker 4: the territories grew economically in a very significant way and 1473 01:25:22,600 --> 01:25:26,040 Speaker 4: they ended up helping the other states because then those 1474 01:25:26,080 --> 01:25:29,280 Speaker 4: states had more of a market to sell their products 1475 01:25:29,280 --> 01:25:31,600 Speaker 4: and services to, and we grow the pie of the 1476 01:25:31,600 --> 01:25:33,240 Speaker 4: American economy as a whole. 1477 01:25:33,600 --> 01:25:37,960 Speaker 1: Look, I can confess that I know what happens to 1478 01:25:38,040 --> 01:25:42,160 Speaker 1: DC is that people leave because of the lack of representation, 1479 01:25:42,920 --> 01:25:46,000 Speaker 1: and so I know the tax base would be stronger 1480 01:25:46,040 --> 01:25:49,160 Speaker 1: in DC had they had statehood. You know, people like 1481 01:25:49,200 --> 01:25:52,000 Speaker 1: myself might not have left. The others might not have left. 1482 01:25:52,200 --> 01:25:52,879 Speaker 1: I'm curious. 1483 01:25:53,240 --> 01:25:55,560 Speaker 5: I'm a former DC resident myself. By the way, I 1484 01:25:55,640 --> 01:25:56,599 Speaker 5: now live in Virginia. 1485 01:25:56,720 --> 01:26:00,640 Speaker 1: So no, you sit there and you you know it 1486 01:26:00,720 --> 01:26:03,840 Speaker 1: the unfairness, unfair tree. But of DC, everybody starts. You know, 1487 01:26:04,080 --> 01:26:05,720 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, you worry about yourself, right, 1488 01:26:05,760 --> 01:26:09,479 Speaker 1: bottom line, everybody does. Last question for both of you. 1489 01:26:10,160 --> 01:26:12,880 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I'll start with you, which is are there 1490 01:26:12,960 --> 01:26:16,600 Speaker 1: businesses that won't relocate to d C because of the 1491 01:26:16,680 --> 01:26:19,760 Speaker 1: lack of statehood? And is that a maybe? Is there 1492 01:26:19,800 --> 01:26:25,839 Speaker 1: a way to fire up the business world to support 1493 01:26:25,920 --> 01:26:28,240 Speaker 1: something like this as well? I just think about other 1494 01:26:28,320 --> 01:26:34,880 Speaker 1: ways to create more support outside of traditional political lines. 1495 01:26:35,880 --> 01:26:39,439 Speaker 3: Absolutely. I mean, right now there is a recession in DC. 1496 01:26:39,880 --> 01:26:43,719 Speaker 3: We are the highest unemployment because of the massive cuts. 1497 01:26:43,760 --> 01:26:47,400 Speaker 3: Whether it's Elon must doge or Trump's continue planning to 1498 01:26:47,400 --> 01:26:50,839 Speaker 3: fire more federal workers during the shutdown. D C residents 1499 01:26:50,880 --> 01:26:52,320 Speaker 3: are and need of a new industry. 1500 01:26:52,840 --> 01:26:56,680 Speaker 2: And one industry that comes to mind us really, obviously, 1501 01:26:56,720 --> 01:27:01,479 Speaker 2: maybe because I'm a Nigerian American, is the international development scene. 1502 01:27:01,840 --> 01:27:02,960 Speaker 1: You go to New York, you go. 1503 01:27:02,880 --> 01:27:05,000 Speaker 3: To Manhattan, you see you and the seth you see 1504 01:27:05,120 --> 01:27:08,240 Speaker 3: the un you even see them the Millennium Hotel on 1505 01:27:08,320 --> 01:27:11,960 Speaker 3: the Manhattan Island. And imagine if DC had that scene. 1506 01:27:12,560 --> 01:27:16,400 Speaker 2: Given our lack of statehood, given our political stagnation, the 1507 01:27:16,400 --> 01:27:18,840 Speaker 2: fact that because we're not a state, we don't have governors, 1508 01:27:18,840 --> 01:27:21,000 Speaker 2: we don't have a thousand different things could run for 1509 01:27:21,160 --> 01:27:23,640 Speaker 2: Like if you're in Virginia or man we only have 1510 01:27:23,880 --> 01:27:25,160 Speaker 2: looks like four or five seats. 1511 01:27:25,880 --> 01:27:28,320 Speaker 3: It makes it much harder for us to create those 1512 01:27:28,360 --> 01:27:29,080 Speaker 3: new industries. 1513 01:27:29,320 --> 01:27:32,000 Speaker 1: Whereas all we leaned on was the government. 1514 01:27:32,040 --> 01:27:35,800 Speaker 3: All we leaned on was contractors and sings like that. 1515 01:27:35,880 --> 01:27:38,360 Speaker 3: So when Trump kind of sweeps them away where it 1516 01:27:38,400 --> 01:27:41,439 Speaker 3: can't just left but naked outside, it's tough. 1517 01:27:41,280 --> 01:27:42,559 Speaker 1: To diversify your economy. 1518 01:27:42,760 --> 01:27:45,240 Speaker 3: Absolutely, I think something we should do is bring in 1519 01:27:45,280 --> 01:27:47,879 Speaker 3: those NGOs, those things that we see in other areas 1520 01:27:47,880 --> 01:27:50,200 Speaker 3: because DC can be the home of that, but lack 1521 01:27:50,280 --> 01:27:53,840 Speaker 3: we stayhead. We have seen how hard it is to 1522 01:27:53,840 --> 01:27:56,680 Speaker 3: do the best and bring in and recruit businesses and 1523 01:27:56,720 --> 01:27:58,400 Speaker 3: take a chance on the niches capital. 1524 01:27:58,840 --> 01:28:02,000 Speaker 1: George, I assume there's business because you talk about that 1525 01:28:02,560 --> 01:28:05,000 Speaker 1: specific law that if you earn money on the island 1526 01:28:05,000 --> 01:28:07,479 Speaker 1: you supposedly don't get to pay taxes on which feels 1527 01:28:07,479 --> 01:28:09,840 Speaker 1: like more like a loophole for an accountant than it 1528 01:28:09,920 --> 01:28:14,719 Speaker 1: is like a pragmatic approach to building a business. Yeah. 1529 01:28:14,760 --> 01:28:18,759 Speaker 4: So, you know, the issue with Puerto Rico's economic development 1530 01:28:18,880 --> 01:28:22,360 Speaker 4: model since the nineteen fifties and then accelerated more recently, 1531 01:28:22,920 --> 01:28:27,400 Speaker 4: is that a lot of the economic development has been 1532 01:28:28,000 --> 01:28:32,920 Speaker 4: industrialization by invitation based on tax exemption, right since Puerto 1533 01:28:32,960 --> 01:28:37,679 Speaker 4: Rico is not subject to federal income taxes for income 1534 01:28:37,720 --> 01:28:41,160 Speaker 4: derived on the island or federal corporate taxes for income 1535 01:28:41,240 --> 01:28:46,200 Speaker 4: derived on the island for Unfortunately, that same model that 1536 01:28:46,320 --> 01:28:48,720 Speaker 4: was done for the industrialization of Puerto Rico in the 1537 01:28:48,760 --> 01:28:54,280 Speaker 4: nineteen fifties and sixties that led to a massive manufacturing 1538 01:28:54,360 --> 01:28:57,280 Speaker 4: base on the island. We produce many of the top 1539 01:28:57,400 --> 01:29:01,360 Speaker 4: ten pharmaceuticals for the United States. We do a ton 1540 01:29:01,400 --> 01:29:04,720 Speaker 4: of pacemakers and other medical devices. So a lot of 1541 01:29:04,760 --> 01:29:07,320 Speaker 4: people think about Puerto Rico. They think is like beaches 1542 01:29:07,439 --> 01:29:10,360 Speaker 4: and rama. It's not just that we've got some really 1543 01:29:10,400 --> 01:29:12,960 Speaker 4: amazing advanced manufacturing that's going on on the island. 1544 01:29:13,000 --> 01:29:15,200 Speaker 5: It's critical to meet America's national supply chain. 1545 01:29:15,600 --> 01:29:19,759 Speaker 4: But if that development is all based on federal tax 1546 01:29:19,840 --> 01:29:23,640 Speaker 4: loopholes that at any point future Congress can change, you 1547 01:29:23,720 --> 01:29:28,040 Speaker 4: create a fragility in Puerto Rico's economic development model. And 1548 01:29:28,080 --> 01:29:30,759 Speaker 4: that's exactly what happened with a provision of the IRS 1549 01:29:31,360 --> 01:29:33,799 Speaker 4: tax Code called Section nine thirty six. It was phased 1550 01:29:33,840 --> 01:29:37,080 Speaker 4: out from nineteen ninety six to two thousand and six, 1551 01:29:37,520 --> 01:29:41,600 Speaker 4: and we did see a significant decline in manufacturing on 1552 01:29:41,640 --> 01:29:45,240 Speaker 4: the island. With statehood, what you get is you get 1553 01:29:45,280 --> 01:29:50,200 Speaker 4: more certainty around the possibility of investing in the jurisdiction 1554 01:29:50,479 --> 01:29:51,920 Speaker 4: because you know what you're. 1555 01:29:51,760 --> 01:29:52,280 Speaker 1: Going to get. 1556 01:29:52,360 --> 01:29:54,680 Speaker 4: You know that you're going to get equal treatment to 1557 01:29:55,200 --> 01:29:57,280 Speaker 4: all the other states. You're not going to have a 1558 01:29:57,280 --> 01:30:01,400 Speaker 4: circumstance where Congress, for example, extend the Medicaid funding for 1559 01:30:01,439 --> 01:30:04,200 Speaker 4: a little while and then decides to drop it off afterwards, 1560 01:30:04,360 --> 01:30:07,200 Speaker 4: or improves you in this area and then takes away 1561 01:30:07,240 --> 01:30:10,559 Speaker 4: this tax break. The other thing that you get when 1562 01:30:10,600 --> 01:30:14,000 Speaker 4: you have statehood is you have senators and representatives that 1563 01:30:14,080 --> 01:30:17,719 Speaker 4: can fight, and they can advocate, and they can trade 1564 01:30:17,760 --> 01:30:20,040 Speaker 4: their votes, and they can make sure that whenever a 1565 01:30:20,120 --> 01:30:25,320 Speaker 4: bill passes, whether it's on transportation issues, environmental issues, labor issues, 1566 01:30:25,640 --> 01:30:30,120 Speaker 4: education issues, the interests of your constituents in your jurisdiction 1567 01:30:30,400 --> 01:30:34,280 Speaker 4: are taken into account. And right now we don't have that, 1568 01:30:34,720 --> 01:30:38,799 Speaker 4: and that is a huge limiting factor for our economic development. 1569 01:30:39,040 --> 01:30:41,800 Speaker 1: Here's what I can tell you. Any American citizen living 1570 01:30:41,840 --> 01:30:45,280 Speaker 1: in one of the fifty states, they if they left 1571 01:30:45,320 --> 01:30:47,640 Speaker 1: one of those fifty states and realize what rights they 1572 01:30:47,680 --> 01:30:49,840 Speaker 1: don't have living in the district in Puerto Rico, they'd 1573 01:30:49,880 --> 01:30:54,000 Speaker 1: be angry. And what's interesting about this is that giving 1574 01:30:54,040 --> 01:30:56,719 Speaker 1: STATA to DC and Puerto Rico wouldn't change anybody else's 1575 01:30:56,800 --> 01:31:00,920 Speaker 1: life in any other of the fifty states. It can. 1576 01:31:01,240 --> 01:31:04,840 Speaker 1: What is what would be the argument that there what hard? 1577 01:31:04,920 --> 01:31:08,080 Speaker 1: I can't think of the argument of harm to the 1578 01:31:08,120 --> 01:31:09,800 Speaker 1: other fifty states. 1579 01:31:10,400 --> 01:31:12,920 Speaker 5: No, I guess it'd be carving up go ahead. 1580 01:31:13,000 --> 01:31:15,880 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I've heard things like people want to see 1581 01:31:16,120 --> 01:31:19,479 Speaker 2: only fifty stars in the flag, but don't know that fifty. 1582 01:31:19,720 --> 01:31:23,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's ridiculous, but also an incentive. There are people 1583 01:31:23,920 --> 01:31:27,160 Speaker 3: who enjoy being the fiftieth vogue, being the forty ninth folks. 1584 01:31:27,400 --> 01:31:31,519 Speaker 1: So even if so, somebody will enjoy being the fifty 1585 01:31:31,720 --> 01:31:34,439 Speaker 1: second vote or the fifty third vote. What's wrong with that? 1586 01:31:34,720 --> 01:31:38,160 Speaker 1: You know, I could do, man, there's fifty two cards 1587 01:31:38,160 --> 01:31:41,080 Speaker 1: in a deck. We could have fifty two stars on 1588 01:31:41,200 --> 01:31:43,600 Speaker 1: a flag. I want to bring you back to the 1589 01:31:43,600 --> 01:31:44,880 Speaker 1: hell shot. You gotta come on me. 1590 01:31:47,120 --> 01:31:47,400 Speaker 7: Like me. 1591 01:31:48,680 --> 01:31:51,160 Speaker 1: I mean, my issue is fifty one. That's harder to 1592 01:31:51,160 --> 01:31:54,600 Speaker 1: divide up. Fifty two, that's you know, even number. We 1593 01:31:54,920 --> 01:31:58,280 Speaker 1: know how to work that. But that's the yeah, I mean, 1594 01:31:58,320 --> 01:32:01,960 Speaker 1: in all seriousness, you know, other than I guess, dividing 1595 01:32:02,040 --> 01:32:05,080 Speaker 1: up the pie. But these are all American citizens already, 1596 01:32:05,160 --> 01:32:08,400 Speaker 1: so they're already getting a smaller piece of the pie, 1597 01:32:08,200 --> 01:32:11,040 Speaker 1: but they should be getting a fuller one. 1598 01:32:11,080 --> 01:32:13,759 Speaker 4: So way, it was transparent with regards to the issue 1599 01:32:13,760 --> 01:32:16,679 Speaker 4: of political power, and you know, some people feeling threatened 1600 01:32:16,680 --> 01:32:18,680 Speaker 4: by the potential admission of a new state. You know, 1601 01:32:18,720 --> 01:32:21,280 Speaker 4: I'll be transparent with the issue of language and culture. 1602 01:32:21,320 --> 01:32:24,080 Speaker 4: You know, there's some people who outright argue that if 1603 01:32:24,120 --> 01:32:27,320 Speaker 4: Puerto Rico were admitted into the Union, you know, we'd 1604 01:32:27,400 --> 01:32:31,040 Speaker 4: suddenly have you know, a whole bunch of US citizens 1605 01:32:31,120 --> 01:32:35,280 Speaker 4: that speak Spanish. And to me, that argument is laughable because, 1606 01:32:35,320 --> 01:32:38,720 Speaker 4: believe it or not, the United States has more Spanish 1607 01:32:38,760 --> 01:32:40,959 Speaker 4: speakers as current United. 1608 01:32:40,760 --> 01:32:42,719 Speaker 5: States citizens than Puerto Rico does. 1609 01:32:42,880 --> 01:32:47,760 Speaker 4: Right, you know, there's forty million, you know, Hispanics in 1610 01:32:47,760 --> 01:32:51,040 Speaker 4: the United States. Spanish is the second most spoken language in. 1611 01:32:51,000 --> 01:32:52,880 Speaker 1: The American I don't mean to interrupt, but how many 1612 01:32:53,000 --> 01:32:56,120 Speaker 1: states were added in the in the nineteenth century where 1613 01:32:56,120 --> 01:32:59,559 Speaker 1: a majority spoke German? Yeah, a majority spoke right, Like, 1614 01:32:59,600 --> 01:33:02,639 Speaker 1: I mean this, this is not We did this all 1615 01:33:02,680 --> 01:33:03,880 Speaker 1: the time in the nineteenth century. 1616 01:33:03,880 --> 01:33:07,360 Speaker 4: And there's many states to this day that have multiple 1617 01:33:07,560 --> 01:33:12,680 Speaker 4: official languages. Why Alaska, Why Alaska and New Mexico some 1618 01:33:12,720 --> 01:33:15,559 Speaker 4: of them even have them baked into their constitution, for 1619 01:33:15,600 --> 01:33:18,280 Speaker 4: God's sakes. So if that hasn't been an issue for them, 1620 01:33:18,560 --> 01:33:20,080 Speaker 4: why isn't an issue for us? 1621 01:33:20,240 --> 01:33:22,679 Speaker 5: Now? I think it's just another cheap excuse. 1622 01:33:23,000 --> 01:33:26,599 Speaker 1: Well, look, I think that there's no doubt, there's no 1623 01:33:26,640 --> 01:33:28,600 Speaker 1: doubt that some people listening to this or watching this 1624 01:33:28,680 --> 01:33:31,080 Speaker 1: will assume that identity is playing a bigger part of 1625 01:33:31,120 --> 01:33:34,320 Speaker 1: this than any of us want to talk about and 1626 01:33:34,360 --> 01:33:36,519 Speaker 1: it's hard to separate it out right. You just brought 1627 01:33:36,560 --> 01:33:39,840 Speaker 1: up the language issue, George, Oh yeah, we know that. 1628 01:33:39,920 --> 01:33:42,959 Speaker 1: There's others that you know, the having two black senators 1629 01:33:43,280 --> 01:33:46,680 Speaker 1: and you just sat there going it kind of feels antiquated, right, 1630 01:33:46,720 --> 01:33:51,200 Speaker 1: These arguments feel very early twentieth century at best. Absolutely. 1631 01:33:51,760 --> 01:33:54,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, And there are things that America has to work 1632 01:33:54,320 --> 01:33:59,440 Speaker 4: through if we're going to become a stronger, more democratic, 1633 01:33:59,720 --> 01:34:06,599 Speaker 4: more inclusive country and a country that really abides by 1634 01:34:06,640 --> 01:34:09,760 Speaker 4: its founding values of equal justice under the law and 1635 01:34:09,880 --> 01:34:11,439 Speaker 4: government by consent of the government. 1636 01:34:12,320 --> 01:34:16,360 Speaker 1: Uh. And I'll use the phrase more perfect union. That's right, 1637 01:34:16,640 --> 01:34:19,080 Speaker 1: you got this would help us be a more perfect union. 1638 01:34:19,720 --> 01:34:21,559 Speaker 1: The message that would be sent if we did have 1639 01:34:21,640 --> 01:34:27,439 Speaker 1: two states that were majority minority in this country, it 1640 01:34:27,800 --> 01:34:30,720 Speaker 1: would it would speak volumes around the world anyway. Oh yeah, 1641 01:34:30,840 --> 01:34:32,479 Speaker 1: and George, you guys are terrific at this. 1642 01:34:32,920 --> 01:34:35,439 Speaker 5: It almost was a mini debate, is. 1643 01:34:36,920 --> 01:34:39,120 Speaker 1: But but it wasn't meant I mean, I really look, 1644 01:34:39,200 --> 01:34:43,240 Speaker 1: i I'm the I'm the you know, the the faux 1645 01:34:43,240 --> 01:34:46,479 Speaker 1: expert here of political what of the political side. So 1646 01:34:47,439 --> 01:34:50,840 Speaker 1: I do believe ultimately, you know, you guys will live 1647 01:34:50,920 --> 01:34:53,000 Speaker 1: together or die together on this, but we shall see. 1648 01:34:53,479 --> 01:34:55,160 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, and George, good luck to both of you. 1649 01:34:55,439 --> 01:35:04,920 Speaker 1: Appreciate it so much, all right, I hope you enjoyed 1650 01:35:05,280 --> 01:35:11,360 Speaker 1: that conversation about DC statehood. Look, I'm fifty three years old. 1651 01:35:12,360 --> 01:35:14,840 Speaker 1: We have not had a new state added to the 1652 01:35:14,920 --> 01:35:19,840 Speaker 1: Union since the fifties, and I bet this is the longest. 1653 01:35:20,040 --> 01:35:23,680 Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure. I'm like ninety percent sure. It's the 1654 01:35:23,760 --> 01:35:29,439 Speaker 1: longest period we've ever gone without adding to the American 1655 01:35:29,479 --> 01:35:36,120 Speaker 1: flag on that front. And again, four million people right 1656 01:35:36,160 --> 01:35:41,880 Speaker 1: now do not have basic the same rights as the 1657 01:35:41,920 --> 01:35:46,040 Speaker 1: rest of us. So I think this is more salient 1658 01:35:46,840 --> 01:35:50,080 Speaker 1: and coming sooner than people realize. And it's one of 1659 01:35:50,080 --> 01:35:52,439 Speaker 1: those things. When it happens, it's just suddenly going to happen. 1660 01:35:52,640 --> 01:35:55,080 Speaker 1: There's going to be a long thing. I mean, both 1661 01:35:55,680 --> 01:35:59,040 Speaker 1: both you know, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico in the district, 1662 01:35:59,080 --> 01:36:01,200 Speaker 1: they both held reference end them on this. They both 1663 01:36:01,200 --> 01:36:04,840 Speaker 1: have indicated they want this, so it is. It is 1664 01:36:04,880 --> 01:36:07,839 Speaker 1: one of those I do think when Republicans are convinced 1665 01:36:07,840 --> 01:36:10,240 Speaker 1: that Puerto Rico is not going to be two Democratic 1666 01:36:10,280 --> 01:36:14,160 Speaker 1: seats right away, that you will see and I do 1667 01:36:14,200 --> 01:36:16,559 Speaker 1: believe this, You're not going to get one. You either 1668 01:36:16,560 --> 01:36:19,160 Speaker 1: get both or none, which is why I thought it 1669 01:36:19,200 --> 01:36:24,320 Speaker 1: was important to pair this conversation together. All right, let's 1670 01:36:24,320 --> 01:36:30,840 Speaker 1: do a little last Chuck ask Chuck. First question comes 1671 01:36:30,840 --> 01:36:35,240 Speaker 1: to George M Twin Cities Minnesota? Can you really be 1672 01:36:35,320 --> 01:36:40,160 Speaker 1: from both? You know? Don't? Don't you have to pick one? George? 1673 01:36:40,160 --> 01:36:41,640 Speaker 1: Maybe the next time you write in, let me know 1674 01:36:41,680 --> 01:36:44,599 Speaker 1: what can you say twin Cities or are you know, 1675 01:36:45,720 --> 01:36:47,800 Speaker 1: do you have a you know, do you split your 1676 01:36:47,800 --> 01:36:50,640 Speaker 1: time between Minneapolis and Saint Paul? All Right, I'm just 1677 01:36:50,680 --> 01:36:53,599 Speaker 1: being snark. Your question is, Hey, thanks for the live 1678 01:36:53,640 --> 01:36:55,760 Speaker 1: election cast Tuesday night. I appreciate the effort you and 1679 01:36:55,800 --> 01:36:58,000 Speaker 1: your team went to put it all together. Yeah, you 1680 01:36:58,040 --> 01:37:00,519 Speaker 1: and me both, brother Jacob Fry I held on for 1681 01:37:00,560 --> 01:37:04,080 Speaker 1: a third term in Minneapolis, fending off Omar Fatah. And 1682 01:37:04,120 --> 01:37:07,160 Speaker 1: I'm seeing parallels with Zorn's challenge to Adams and Cuomo. 1683 01:37:07,280 --> 01:37:10,479 Speaker 1: Curious if Zorn's political skill explains the different outcomes or 1684 01:37:10,520 --> 01:37:13,439 Speaker 1: if the data suggests something more. Well, you know, it's 1685 01:37:13,479 --> 01:37:17,479 Speaker 1: really interesting looking at the New York race. All Right, 1686 01:37:17,560 --> 01:37:19,960 Speaker 1: First of all, I'm I'm gonna take a little victory 1687 01:37:20,040 --> 01:37:22,960 Speaker 1: lap on the Minneapolis race because if you were watching 1688 01:37:23,040 --> 01:37:25,840 Speaker 1: very closely, you know, I saw the ten point gap, 1689 01:37:25,880 --> 01:37:29,280 Speaker 1: and I thought, well, that should in my limited experience 1690 01:37:29,360 --> 01:37:32,280 Speaker 1: with the ranked choice voting environment that we've had over 1691 01:37:32,320 --> 01:37:35,040 Speaker 1: the last decade or two in Alaska and Maine in particular, 1692 01:37:35,040 --> 01:37:37,200 Speaker 1: but in a handful of other cities as well, I 1693 01:37:37,200 --> 01:37:39,879 Speaker 1: think San Francisco does it, Burlington, Vermont does it. Obviously, 1694 01:37:40,240 --> 01:37:43,280 Speaker 1: we now DC's doing. My home county here in Virginia 1695 01:37:43,720 --> 01:37:49,520 Speaker 1: has moved to frank choice voting for Arlington County offices. 1696 01:37:52,840 --> 01:37:57,840 Speaker 1: Is that? You know, Fatah had a deal with the 1697 01:37:57,920 --> 01:38:00,639 Speaker 1: two of the other higher profile candidates. They were basically 1698 01:38:00,640 --> 01:38:03,000 Speaker 1: going to leave Fry, you know, encouraging their supporters to 1699 01:38:03,040 --> 01:38:06,280 Speaker 1: leave Fry off the ballot and just rank those three. Well, 1700 01:38:06,360 --> 01:38:08,280 Speaker 1: it looks like the deal didn't work, or it certainly 1701 01:38:08,320 --> 01:38:13,080 Speaker 1: didn't work well enough. But I uh, that was one 1702 01:38:13,080 --> 01:38:14,360 Speaker 1: of those where I was like, oh, it looks I 1703 01:38:14,360 --> 01:38:17,120 Speaker 1: think Fry is going to hold on here. I was. 1704 01:38:18,200 --> 01:38:20,720 Speaker 1: I was on the minority of that opinion of our 1705 01:38:20,760 --> 01:38:24,320 Speaker 1: group group last night, But that's all right. Hey, I 1706 01:38:24,320 --> 01:38:25,960 Speaker 1: was also wrong about a few things too, So I'm 1707 01:38:25,960 --> 01:38:32,800 Speaker 1: not gonna be totally be totally obnoxious in that victory lap, 1708 01:38:34,320 --> 01:38:37,679 Speaker 1: But it's fascinating to watch the spin with New York City. 1709 01:38:38,400 --> 01:38:41,640 Speaker 1: So we got just over fifty percent. Is it a 1710 01:38:41,720 --> 01:38:45,840 Speaker 1: huge win? Or did he luck out from having an 1711 01:38:45,880 --> 01:38:50,160 Speaker 1: extraordinary flawed opponent who we got to run against twice? Right? 1712 01:38:50,400 --> 01:38:52,840 Speaker 1: You know, Cuomo was if you could have if you 1713 01:38:52,880 --> 01:38:55,400 Speaker 1: want to run an outsider race and you want to 1714 01:38:55,479 --> 01:39:01,639 Speaker 1: run against the establishment, and you said, give me an 1715 01:39:01,680 --> 01:39:09,160 Speaker 1: opponent who oozes establishment but nobody likes, and you asked 1716 01:39:09,200 --> 01:39:11,680 Speaker 1: chat GPT to come up with somebody, they would have said, hey, 1717 01:39:11,720 --> 01:39:14,320 Speaker 1: let me introduce you to former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. 1718 01:39:15,720 --> 01:39:20,920 Speaker 1: So I find myself wondering. I was another thing that 1719 01:39:21,040 --> 01:39:24,960 Speaker 1: surprised me on Tuesday night. Uh, and something that I 1720 01:39:25,040 --> 01:39:27,200 Speaker 1: was wrong about a week ago. I think I hinted here. 1721 01:39:27,200 --> 01:39:30,519 Speaker 1: I said, you know, you know, why do I think 1722 01:39:30,600 --> 01:39:33,000 Speaker 1: you know, why do I think that Cuomo could collapse 1723 01:39:33,040 --> 01:39:35,599 Speaker 1: here because of where he was in the ballot and 1724 01:39:35,640 --> 01:39:40,240 Speaker 1: that maybe that Curtis Sliweb or was he going to overperform? Well, 1725 01:39:40,280 --> 01:39:42,280 Speaker 1: then a bunch of stuff happened, right, All this late 1726 01:39:42,320 --> 01:39:45,080 Speaker 1: money came in for Cuomo. Bloomberg came in with the 1727 01:39:45,160 --> 01:39:48,960 Speaker 1: late endorsement. He spent money on Cuomo's behalf. Trump comes 1728 01:39:49,000 --> 01:39:52,919 Speaker 1: in with the late endorsement, and I do think despite 1729 01:39:52,920 --> 01:39:55,840 Speaker 1: what some of the voters said to our uh to 1730 01:39:55,920 --> 01:39:59,000 Speaker 1: our on the ground correspondence for our election night special 1731 01:39:59,479 --> 01:40:04,160 Speaker 1: the news Girl, Mabel and Rent, despite what was said, 1732 01:40:04,280 --> 01:40:07,599 Speaker 1: oh no, Trump doesn't tell me what to do. It's 1733 01:40:07,600 --> 01:40:10,519 Speaker 1: hard not to conclude because, first of all, Republican voters 1734 01:40:10,560 --> 01:40:14,200 Speaker 1: traditionally vote on election day more often, because part of 1735 01:40:14,200 --> 01:40:16,880 Speaker 1: it is Trump is almost conditioned to his base voters. 1736 01:40:16,920 --> 01:40:18,519 Speaker 1: You know, you should vote an election day, vote an 1737 01:40:18,520 --> 01:40:21,599 Speaker 1: election day, and so he has more election day voters. 1738 01:40:21,680 --> 01:40:25,760 Speaker 1: So that last minute endorsement I think mattered. So you know, 1739 01:40:25,800 --> 01:40:30,040 Speaker 1: Staten Island goes dramatically for Cuomo. And you see Slie 1740 01:40:30,200 --> 01:40:34,679 Speaker 1: was just support just collapse as it became a anti 1741 01:40:34,880 --> 01:40:38,400 Speaker 1: So I look at the Mamdani race and it was 1742 01:40:39,080 --> 01:40:44,000 Speaker 1: essentially I looked at it as it turned into almost 1743 01:40:44,040 --> 01:40:48,439 Speaker 1: like a judicial retention race in Pennsylvania, up or down 1744 01:40:48,479 --> 01:40:51,800 Speaker 1: in Mamdani. Right, Cuomo was simply a vehicle for those 1745 01:40:51,840 --> 01:40:55,120 Speaker 1: that said no to Mamdanni. Right, people weren't voting for Cuomo, 1746 01:40:55,200 --> 01:40:59,280 Speaker 1: they were simply voting against Mamdanni. Cuomo got forty one percent. 1747 01:41:01,680 --> 01:41:05,400 Speaker 1: I don't buy that there was many positive Cuomo voters. 1748 01:41:06,240 --> 01:41:09,719 Speaker 1: You know, let's assume half of those folks were positive. 1749 01:41:09,840 --> 01:41:13,040 Speaker 1: You know, that means about half his support was just 1750 01:41:13,080 --> 01:41:22,879 Speaker 1: simply anti Mom Donnie. Would and this is an interesting 1751 01:41:22,960 --> 01:41:25,400 Speaker 1: little I don't know what the answer is, but would 1752 01:41:25,479 --> 01:41:29,759 Speaker 1: a let's say the police commissioner had been on the ballot, 1753 01:41:31,760 --> 01:41:36,879 Speaker 1: would Mom Donnie have won? So was Mom Donnie's fifty 1754 01:41:37,120 --> 01:41:41,360 Speaker 1: point six and impressive showing with a massive turnout or 1755 01:41:41,400 --> 01:41:43,840 Speaker 1: did the massive turnout happen because it drove some of 1756 01:41:43,880 --> 01:41:45,639 Speaker 1: his vote, but it also drove some of the anti 1757 01:41:45,640 --> 01:41:50,400 Speaker 1: Mom Donnie vote. I think that's something that I would 1758 01:41:50,520 --> 01:41:53,400 Speaker 1: like almost a bit more. I want more data on 1759 01:41:53,400 --> 01:41:55,679 Speaker 1: this one. I'd like a little bit more after action report. 1760 01:41:55,680 --> 01:42:00,000 Speaker 1: I'd like a post election survey here on this because 1761 01:42:00,800 --> 01:42:05,160 Speaker 1: it is notable that Mikey Cheryl outperformed Harris in New Jersey, 1762 01:42:05,920 --> 01:42:11,200 Speaker 1: Abigail Spamberger outperformed Harris in Virginia, Mam Donnie technically underperformed 1763 01:42:11,200 --> 01:42:14,240 Speaker 1: Harris in New York City. Right now, granted, one of 1764 01:42:14,320 --> 01:42:18,240 Speaker 1: his chief opponents was a well known member of a 1765 01:42:18,360 --> 01:42:21,320 Speaker 1: prominent Democratic family. He was not on the ballot as 1766 01:42:21,360 --> 01:42:24,720 Speaker 1: a d but obviously, you know, there was plenty of 1767 01:42:25,000 --> 01:42:31,719 Speaker 1: of sort of more centrist Democrats that likely pick Cuomo. 1768 01:42:31,920 --> 01:42:37,840 Speaker 1: So I really think if you want to believe that 1769 01:42:37,960 --> 01:42:41,760 Speaker 1: the progressive movement is on the march, you see, you 1770 01:42:41,800 --> 01:42:43,759 Speaker 1: know you're going to look for a spin that shows 1771 01:42:43,760 --> 01:42:47,840 Speaker 1: Mam Donnie overperforming. I think he benefited from his opponents. 1772 01:42:48,680 --> 01:42:51,080 Speaker 1: But you know what, So did AOC benefit from a 1773 01:42:51,800 --> 01:42:54,639 Speaker 1: from the rescheduling of a primary and a unique period 1774 01:42:54,680 --> 01:42:58,880 Speaker 1: and she won and beat an incumbent because hey, those 1775 01:42:58,960 --> 01:43:01,559 Speaker 1: are the rules of the moment. She met the moment 1776 01:43:01,760 --> 01:43:05,360 Speaker 1: and her primary opponent didn't didn't Is it true that 1777 01:43:05,400 --> 01:43:08,599 Speaker 1: it was a quirky time in the election calendar that 1778 01:43:09,040 --> 01:43:11,320 Speaker 1: it was the only time that New York had split 1779 01:43:11,439 --> 01:43:16,280 Speaker 1: its federal primaries from its state primaries, So voters probably 1780 01:43:16,360 --> 01:43:17,920 Speaker 1: weren't all aware that there were going to be two 1781 01:43:17,960 --> 01:43:21,479 Speaker 1: different primary days in the same election year. Right, There 1782 01:43:21,560 --> 01:43:24,639 Speaker 1: was a few quirks here or there that maybe, under 1783 01:43:24,800 --> 01:43:31,240 Speaker 1: another circumstance, AOC never wins a primary for the US 1784 01:43:31,280 --> 01:43:35,559 Speaker 1: Congress under differently, And maybe if Akim Jeffreys and Chuck 1785 01:43:35,600 --> 01:43:40,280 Speaker 1: Schumer weren't caught napping when Andrew Cuomo and decided he 1786 01:43:40,320 --> 01:43:42,439 Speaker 1: wanted to be mayor, and they decided to do nothing 1787 01:43:42,479 --> 01:43:45,919 Speaker 1: about it. They had recruited somebody a bit more viable 1788 01:43:46,320 --> 01:43:50,439 Speaker 1: in sort of in that wing of the party. Maybe 1789 01:43:50,479 --> 01:43:55,559 Speaker 1: Mam Donnie never catches fire, right, So obviously I'm not 1790 01:43:55,600 --> 01:43:59,519 Speaker 1: gonna I kind of lean in that that Mam Donnie's 1791 01:44:00,320 --> 01:44:04,120 Speaker 1: underperforming what a what a broad coalition Democrat could get 1792 01:44:04,160 --> 01:44:07,280 Speaker 1: in New York City. But I also don't want to 1793 01:44:07,280 --> 01:44:09,880 Speaker 1: deny that this guy is not He is an impressive 1794 01:44:09,880 --> 01:44:12,879 Speaker 1: political athlete, you know. I love the phrase political athlete, 1795 01:44:13,360 --> 01:44:17,559 Speaker 1: and I think this is an impressive athlete. I think 1796 01:44:17,600 --> 01:44:23,880 Speaker 1: he hurt himself at the end by going by doing 1797 01:44:23,920 --> 01:44:27,960 Speaker 1: the islamophobia speech. I understand he felt he got baited 1798 01:44:28,200 --> 01:44:31,919 Speaker 1: into that conversation by by Cuomo's tactics in the last minute. 1799 01:44:32,479 --> 01:44:34,679 Speaker 1: And I also empathize with the fact that I think 1800 01:44:34,720 --> 01:44:38,800 Speaker 1: Mamdani sees sees himself as the guy that's got to 1801 01:44:38,840 --> 01:44:44,400 Speaker 1: break the barrier to mainstream Muslim Americans into the political elite. 1802 01:44:45,160 --> 01:44:50,200 Speaker 1: That you know, I look at the campaign of the 1803 01:44:50,240 --> 01:44:52,720 Speaker 1: lieutenant of the new Lieutenant governor in Virginia, who's the 1804 01:44:52,760 --> 01:44:55,519 Speaker 1: first ever Muslim woman to ever win statewide office anywhere 1805 01:44:55,560 --> 01:45:00,400 Speaker 1: in the country and uh, how's mei Gazala? Uh is 1806 01:45:00,439 --> 01:45:04,240 Speaker 1: her name? She never wanted a debate. She kept an 1807 01:45:04,280 --> 01:45:10,040 Speaker 1: extraordinary low profile. She took what is conventional political consultant 1808 01:45:10,080 --> 01:45:15,120 Speaker 1: advice on that many a Muslim candidate has been told 1809 01:45:15,160 --> 01:45:19,400 Speaker 1: to do, which is, you need to downplay any connections 1810 01:45:19,479 --> 01:45:23,000 Speaker 1: to Islam, you need to downplay even sort of called 1811 01:45:23,040 --> 01:45:26,439 Speaker 1: you know, and mom Nannie didn't do that. He leaned in. 1812 01:45:27,680 --> 01:45:33,280 Speaker 1: And I think that that is It's simultaneously he's seen 1813 01:45:33,360 --> 01:45:38,240 Speaker 1: as as sort of the uh, the trailblazer for Muslim 1814 01:45:38,240 --> 01:45:40,760 Speaker 1: Americans around the country running for office who are trying 1815 01:45:40,800 --> 01:45:45,439 Speaker 1: to break break into being taken seriously and getting a 1816 01:45:45,439 --> 01:45:47,320 Speaker 1: seat at the table in the in the in the 1817 01:45:47,320 --> 01:45:53,160 Speaker 1: political power structure of the of America. And so he's 1818 01:45:53,200 --> 01:45:55,040 Speaker 1: he's been willing to sort of take this stuff on. 1819 01:45:55,760 --> 01:45:58,639 Speaker 1: I do think it it There are some voters that 1820 01:45:59,439 --> 01:46:01,760 Speaker 1: they don't want to, you know, they want to put 1821 01:46:01,760 --> 01:46:04,160 Speaker 1: blinders onto this. Okay, I don't know how is to 1822 01:46:04,160 --> 01:46:06,599 Speaker 1: put it, but they just do. They'll support you if 1823 01:46:06,600 --> 01:46:10,840 Speaker 1: you're downplaying it. Right. Look, African American candidates at first 1824 01:46:10,880 --> 01:46:13,320 Speaker 1: were told this all the time. Don't lean into the 1825 01:46:13,320 --> 01:46:16,679 Speaker 1: black community. You know, don't you know, back off Jewish 1826 01:46:16,720 --> 01:46:19,400 Speaker 1: candidates back when they first started running for office, you know, 1827 01:46:19,479 --> 01:46:25,719 Speaker 1: downplay your identity. Many a woman candidate in the early 1828 01:46:25,800 --> 01:46:29,360 Speaker 1: days of women breaking the glass ceiling and executive offices, 1829 01:46:29,800 --> 01:46:32,080 Speaker 1: same thing. So this is not a new thing. So 1830 01:46:32,600 --> 01:46:34,759 Speaker 1: I say this and that. I think what Mom Donnie 1831 01:46:34,800 --> 01:46:39,040 Speaker 1: is doing for future Muslim Americans running for office is 1832 01:46:39,080 --> 01:46:40,719 Speaker 1: going to be of help to them. They will deal 1833 01:46:40,760 --> 01:46:44,760 Speaker 1: with less Islamophobia, less questioning of whether they can win 1834 01:46:46,280 --> 01:46:49,400 Speaker 1: win elections. But do I think it hurt him a 1835 01:46:49,439 --> 01:46:51,360 Speaker 1: little bit at the end where he might have been 1836 01:46:51,439 --> 01:46:53,759 Speaker 1: on his way to fifty three, fifty four to fifty five, 1837 01:46:54,520 --> 01:46:57,200 Speaker 1: and then bringing that into the message because I think 1838 01:46:57,200 --> 01:47:00,200 Speaker 1: there are a chunk of New York City voters who 1839 01:47:00,280 --> 01:47:02,920 Speaker 1: like his message but don't want him to be an 1840 01:47:02,920 --> 01:47:07,200 Speaker 1: international foreign policy expert, right that, no matter what his 1841 01:47:07,320 --> 01:47:09,360 Speaker 1: views are about foreign policy, they don't want him to 1842 01:47:09,479 --> 01:47:12,679 Speaker 1: use the platform of New York City mayor to express them. 1843 01:47:12,920 --> 01:47:15,000 Speaker 1: I think there are some that want him to do that, 1844 01:47:16,640 --> 01:47:18,960 Speaker 1: and that's going to be an interesting decision how he 1845 01:47:19,080 --> 01:47:21,800 Speaker 1: chooses to go about that. How often does he use 1846 01:47:21,840 --> 01:47:28,040 Speaker 1: his platform to talk about issues around the world versus 1847 01:47:28,400 --> 01:47:34,080 Speaker 1: issues in the five boroughs. But I do think he's 1848 01:47:34,080 --> 01:47:39,559 Speaker 1: slightly underperformed when you look at the broader democratic success 1849 01:47:39,600 --> 01:47:43,800 Speaker 1: throughout the night that you could say and that, and again, 1850 01:47:44,000 --> 01:47:45,880 Speaker 1: I look at it as I think New York City 1851 01:47:45,920 --> 01:47:49,839 Speaker 1: became a mum dandi referendum, which may explain why Cuomo 1852 01:47:50,000 --> 01:47:52,960 Speaker 1: got as close as he did with his forty one percent. 1853 01:47:53,280 --> 01:47:56,360 Speaker 1: All right, that's what I love about this format. We 1854 01:47:56,400 --> 01:48:00,479 Speaker 1: get to do some nuance, and I've been wanting it 1855 01:48:00,560 --> 01:48:02,960 Speaker 1: is hard to have that conversation about the New York 1856 01:48:02,960 --> 01:48:05,759 Speaker 1: City mayor's race without somebody wanting to cherry pick something 1857 01:48:05,800 --> 01:48:07,960 Speaker 1: I said and weaponize it one way or the other. 1858 01:48:09,240 --> 01:48:11,280 Speaker 1: This is why I prefer the format that we have here. 1859 01:48:11,320 --> 01:48:13,599 Speaker 1: It's very hard to do that. I'm not saying someone 1860 01:48:13,680 --> 01:48:16,160 Speaker 1: might not successfully try to cherry pick something I said 1861 01:48:16,160 --> 01:48:20,080 Speaker 1: and claim I'm implying something that I'm not. But I 1862 01:48:20,479 --> 01:48:22,840 Speaker 1: hope I conveyde it in what I was trying to 1863 01:48:22,840 --> 01:48:26,680 Speaker 1: get at there. All right, next question comes from a 1864 01:48:26,720 --> 01:48:29,799 Speaker 1: Weego New York. He goes, not just Long Island anyway 1865 01:48:29,840 --> 01:48:31,760 Speaker 1: I'm from. It's Jeff from a Weego, New York. We'll 1866 01:48:31,760 --> 01:48:33,200 Speaker 1: get there in a minute. He says, really looking forward 1867 01:48:33,240 --> 01:48:36,400 Speaker 1: to the Orange heading to Coral Gables this weekend. Yes, 1868 01:48:36,520 --> 01:48:39,080 Speaker 1: that is true. Hoping Mimmy gives us another chance to 1869 01:48:39,200 --> 01:48:42,040 Speaker 1: see hercuse it up. Like you said with Steven Jelly out, 1870 01:48:42,400 --> 01:48:44,080 Speaker 1: we'll get him next year, mode, I get it. But 1871 01:48:44,120 --> 01:48:46,240 Speaker 1: a win over the you would definitely help fran Brown's 1872 01:48:46,240 --> 01:48:49,080 Speaker 1: recruiting pitch. What's your take on at least Stephonic potentially 1873 01:48:49,120 --> 01:48:51,160 Speaker 1: running for New York governor. New York City's mayoral race 1874 01:48:51,479 --> 01:48:53,479 Speaker 1: is grabbing all the headlines, but upstate voters like me 1875 01:48:53,520 --> 01:48:55,759 Speaker 1: are eager for a leader who prioritize it the whole state, 1876 01:48:56,240 --> 01:48:59,400 Speaker 1: not just Long Island. Jeff from a Weego New York 1877 01:49:01,120 --> 01:49:06,920 Speaker 1: look before Tuesday night, Jeff, I would have said, I 1878 01:49:06,920 --> 01:49:10,520 Speaker 1: think Kathy Hokel is one of the more vulnerable Democratic 1879 01:49:11,200 --> 01:49:13,960 Speaker 1: incumbents in the country and governors. Now, I'll tell you this, 1880 01:49:14,120 --> 01:49:16,880 Speaker 1: I think the most difficult thing to do is to 1881 01:49:16,920 --> 01:49:19,760 Speaker 1: house an incumbent governor in politics. The only thing more 1882 01:49:19,800 --> 01:49:24,120 Speaker 1: difficult is to do in outstay sitting president. Now, when 1883 01:49:24,120 --> 01:49:26,320 Speaker 1: you're seeking a third term, I think all bets are 1884 01:49:26,360 --> 01:49:29,639 Speaker 1: off when it comes to governorships, But when you're seeking 1885 01:49:29,640 --> 01:49:32,120 Speaker 1: a full second term, and in this case, that's kind 1886 01:49:32,120 --> 01:49:35,280 Speaker 1: of what she's doing. I think she's going to be 1887 01:49:35,320 --> 01:49:40,320 Speaker 1: tough to beat. Now A lot to me, A lot's 1888 01:49:40,360 --> 01:49:42,200 Speaker 1: going to be if how far to the left does 1889 01:49:42,280 --> 01:49:45,200 Speaker 1: hulkl have to run to survive her primary? Right, she's 1890 01:49:45,200 --> 01:49:49,760 Speaker 1: going to get primary, and what is she I think 1891 01:49:49,800 --> 01:49:52,040 Speaker 1: she ends up winning her primary. I don't buy that 1892 01:49:52,080 --> 01:49:55,599 Speaker 1: she can get knocked off because you know, I'm old 1893 01:49:55,680 --> 01:49:58,719 Speaker 1: enough to remember when Kathy Hochele was a surprise victor 1894 01:49:59,200 --> 01:50:02,519 Speaker 1: in upstate New York in a special election for Congress. 1895 01:50:03,960 --> 01:50:06,360 Speaker 1: So I think she's I think the fact that she's 1896 01:50:06,360 --> 01:50:08,600 Speaker 1: not a New York City Democrat is a benefit to 1897 01:50:08,640 --> 01:50:14,280 Speaker 1: her potentially. But before Tuesday night, I was on the 1898 01:50:14,880 --> 01:50:18,920 Speaker 1: I think Stephanic's going to be very competitive here. I 1899 01:50:19,200 --> 01:50:22,840 Speaker 1: given what we saw around the country. I am I am. 1900 01:50:23,000 --> 01:50:25,679 Speaker 1: I am not at all bullish on any reply. I mean, 1901 01:50:25,720 --> 01:50:27,800 Speaker 1: you know, bring back George Pataki, and I don't know 1902 01:50:27,800 --> 01:50:31,320 Speaker 1: if if this could go well for Republicans in New York. 1903 01:50:31,640 --> 01:50:34,160 Speaker 1: I think this is going to be tough. Again. I 1904 01:50:34,200 --> 01:50:39,920 Speaker 1: go back to, you know, can Stephanic get enough distance 1905 01:50:39,920 --> 01:50:44,040 Speaker 1: for Trump? Can she can she sort of pivot back 1906 01:50:44,080 --> 01:50:47,240 Speaker 1: to who she was before Trump, right when she was 1907 01:50:47,320 --> 01:50:52,680 Speaker 1: that sort of very more traditional New York Republican that was, 1908 01:50:53,240 --> 01:50:55,639 Speaker 1: you know, a bit more moderate and cultural issues, more 1909 01:50:55,680 --> 01:50:58,120 Speaker 1: on the fiscally conservative side, you know, very much the 1910 01:50:58,439 --> 01:51:03,960 Speaker 1: George Patacki model or the Alda Motto model of Republicans 1911 01:51:03,960 --> 01:51:08,000 Speaker 1: in New York. And I think that when she's not, 1912 01:51:09,000 --> 01:51:12,560 Speaker 1: you know, it's funny about Stephanic. I think she does magataribly. 1913 01:51:14,439 --> 01:51:17,839 Speaker 1: I don't think her pivot to Trump has been very credible. 1914 01:51:21,760 --> 01:51:25,240 Speaker 1: I have gotten the sense that she's slowly trying to 1915 01:51:25,320 --> 01:51:28,920 Speaker 1: get back to her old persona. I think she realized 1916 01:51:29,000 --> 01:51:32,120 Speaker 1: that what sucking up to Trump gets her. She got 1917 01:51:32,800 --> 01:51:38,080 Speaker 1: treated like garbage when it came to this appointment and 1918 01:51:38,120 --> 01:51:42,120 Speaker 1: then non appointment to the UN. I think she feels 1919 01:51:42,120 --> 01:51:47,759 Speaker 1: pretty pretty pretty put upon in some form or another, 1920 01:51:47,840 --> 01:51:52,200 Speaker 1: you know, certainly marginalized unfairly. I think, you know, Trump 1921 01:51:52,240 --> 01:51:55,160 Speaker 1: promised her her her leadership position back, and of course 1922 01:51:55,240 --> 01:51:59,519 Speaker 1: Mike Johnson goes what leadership position? So that disappeared, right. 1923 01:51:59,640 --> 01:52:06,360 Speaker 1: So again, I just think that it may be that 1924 01:52:06,400 --> 01:52:10,280 Speaker 1: their political weather is just too blue for any Republican 1925 01:52:10,360 --> 01:52:15,360 Speaker 1: to win. But a lot of this do I I 1926 01:52:15,400 --> 01:52:19,280 Speaker 1: personally think Lawler would be a stronger candidate than Stephanic. 1927 01:52:19,400 --> 01:52:22,800 Speaker 1: I think Lawler has has sort of cleaner uh sort 1928 01:52:22,840 --> 01:52:27,040 Speaker 1: of slightly more independent Republican hands, meaning he's not considered 1929 01:52:27,120 --> 01:52:31,040 Speaker 1: very trumpy and has as a bit more credibility on 1930 01:52:31,160 --> 01:52:35,120 Speaker 1: not being you know, as trumpy as Stephanic, which is, 1931 01:52:35,160 --> 01:52:36,719 Speaker 1: you know, you've got to sort of walk that line, 1932 01:52:36,920 --> 01:52:38,960 Speaker 1: I think in order to get the base not to 1933 01:52:39,000 --> 01:52:42,479 Speaker 1: reject you, but at the same time become appealing to 1934 01:52:42,520 --> 01:52:48,120 Speaker 1: swing voters. So I think this primary, what what does 1935 01:52:48,160 --> 01:52:49,960 Speaker 1: HOKL look like out of this primary? How far to 1936 01:52:50,040 --> 01:52:52,080 Speaker 1: the left does she have to move? And you know 1937 01:52:52,280 --> 01:52:54,680 Speaker 1: she's going to be feeling you know, she's going to 1938 01:52:54,880 --> 01:52:57,559 Speaker 1: find herself very involved in New York City politics because 1939 01:52:57,600 --> 01:52:59,760 Speaker 1: some of the things Mam Donnie would like to get 1940 01:52:59,800 --> 01:53:03,040 Speaker 1: done and he's got to do through the state. So 1941 01:53:03,160 --> 01:53:05,000 Speaker 1: it's going to means he's going to be putting pressure 1942 01:53:05,040 --> 01:53:07,480 Speaker 1: on her. That could put pressure on her in a primary, 1943 01:53:07,560 --> 01:53:11,320 Speaker 1: that could you know. So I think there's a lot 1944 01:53:11,600 --> 01:53:15,880 Speaker 1: of state and city politics to play out before we 1945 01:53:15,920 --> 01:53:18,680 Speaker 1: can truly assess how vulnerable HULKL could be in a 1946 01:53:18,760 --> 01:53:22,840 Speaker 1: general election. But I will tell you this, if this 1947 01:53:22,920 --> 01:53:25,040 Speaker 1: is the weather we're going to have in November twenty 1948 01:53:25,080 --> 01:53:30,479 Speaker 1: twenty six. You know, I don't know if Michael Bloomberg 1949 01:53:30,640 --> 01:53:33,760 Speaker 1: is a Republican again as the nominee for governor, would 1950 01:53:33,800 --> 01:53:43,760 Speaker 1: be able to win in an environment like this. All right, 1951 01:53:44,080 --> 01:53:46,960 Speaker 1: next question comes from Lincoln Cea out of Columbus, Ohio. 1952 01:53:47,160 --> 01:53:49,840 Speaker 1: He says, Chuck, not only would I stay on a 1953 01:53:49,960 --> 01:53:53,200 Speaker 1: thirteenth floor, my wife and I actually got married on 1954 01:53:53,280 --> 01:53:56,719 Speaker 1: Friday the thirteenth. How about that? This is a throwback 1955 01:53:56,720 --> 01:53:58,920 Speaker 1: to what I said my daughter. I don't think it's 1956 01:53:58,920 --> 01:54:00,479 Speaker 1: ever going to stay in the thirteenth floor of any 1957 01:54:00,479 --> 01:54:03,160 Speaker 1: hotel ever. Again, I'm a displaced to englander in the 1958 01:54:03,240 --> 01:54:07,360 Speaker 1: land of the Ohio State buckeyesco Michigan, and as a 1959 01:54:07,360 --> 01:54:10,040 Speaker 1: political junkie, I've always believed presidents should be judged by 1960 01:54:10,320 --> 01:54:13,200 Speaker 1: the hindsight of history. Sometimes thirty, forty, even fifty years later, 1961 01:54:13,600 --> 01:54:16,080 Speaker 1: well that's more about policy than norm breaking. I still 1962 01:54:16,080 --> 01:54:18,519 Speaker 1: find myself sparring with folks convinced that the most recent 1963 01:54:18,560 --> 01:54:20,960 Speaker 1: administration is either the best or the worst. Effor am 1964 01:54:20,960 --> 01:54:25,240 Speaker 1: I onto something here best? Lincoln C. Columbus, OHI, I 1965 01:54:25,320 --> 01:54:28,920 Speaker 1: love that your name is Lincoln. We're asking about presidents. 1966 01:54:30,160 --> 01:54:35,800 Speaker 1: You're in a state capital named after a Spanish explorer. Anyway, 1967 01:54:36,040 --> 01:54:43,120 Speaker 1: it's a very full circle here. Look, I don't I 1968 01:54:43,160 --> 01:54:45,440 Speaker 1: think I was. I mean, let's just take Harry Truman. 1969 01:54:46,920 --> 01:54:49,680 Speaker 1: The best example to defend your point of view here 1970 01:54:49,800 --> 01:54:52,720 Speaker 1: is Harry Truman. Harry Truman was very unpopular when he 1971 01:54:52,840 --> 01:54:57,280 Speaker 1: left office. One of the reasons Eisenhower couldn't get convinced 1972 01:54:57,280 --> 01:54:59,320 Speaker 1: to run as a Democrat instead ran as a Republican. 1973 01:54:59,400 --> 01:55:02,600 Speaker 1: In part, argue is because Truman was unpopular and he 1974 01:55:02,680 --> 01:55:04,840 Speaker 1: was going to probably have a harder time. One of 1975 01:55:04,880 --> 01:55:08,200 Speaker 1: the reasons Truman wanted Eisenhowers because he knew Democrats were 1976 01:55:08,240 --> 01:55:11,520 Speaker 1: going to have a hard hard time winning the fifty 1977 01:55:11,520 --> 01:55:17,960 Speaker 1: two election. But you know, a Truman, you know, and 1978 01:55:18,160 --> 01:55:20,920 Speaker 1: you know it's funny. It does feel as if the 1979 01:55:20,960 --> 01:55:24,600 Speaker 1: farther away we get from a president, the more their 1980 01:55:24,760 --> 01:55:28,720 Speaker 1: foreign policy becomes their defining legacy more than it is 1981 01:55:28,760 --> 01:55:32,600 Speaker 1: their domestic policy or there or you get this, right, 1982 01:55:32,640 --> 01:55:36,760 Speaker 1: you get a foreign policy plus their political success or failure. Right, 1983 01:55:36,800 --> 01:55:40,840 Speaker 1: that becomes so with Harry Truman, Right, there's this he 1984 01:55:40,880 --> 01:55:45,960 Speaker 1: made tough He made a tough decision and a tough spot. 1985 01:55:46,080 --> 01:55:49,520 Speaker 1: You know, he was. He showed some steely spine, and 1986 01:55:49,880 --> 01:55:53,480 Speaker 1: he showed how you run against a Congress that's against 1987 01:55:53,560 --> 01:55:56,120 Speaker 1: you in forty eight, right, you know. So he's got 1988 01:55:56,160 --> 01:56:00,680 Speaker 1: both a political legacy that many a demokrat loves to 1989 01:56:00,720 --> 01:56:04,360 Speaker 1: talk about historically, and he's got a form policy legacy 1990 01:56:04,360 --> 01:56:11,000 Speaker 1: that people like Ronald Reagan helped restore Truman's place in 1991 01:56:11,720 --> 01:56:15,200 Speaker 1: American history by because there was a long time, particularly Republicans, 1992 01:56:15,520 --> 01:56:18,720 Speaker 1: you know, Truman was a was a punching bag for 1993 01:56:18,800 --> 01:56:22,440 Speaker 1: Republicans in the fifties and sixties, and it was Reagan 1994 01:56:22,520 --> 01:56:26,880 Speaker 1: that sort of started to refer to Truman more as 1995 01:56:26,880 --> 01:56:29,960 Speaker 1: a as a as a president that you know, we 1996 01:56:30,000 --> 01:56:32,920 Speaker 1: should be proud of and look up to. And it 1997 01:56:32,960 --> 01:56:36,720 Speaker 1: really sort of how it you know, maybe it's how 1998 01:56:36,760 --> 01:56:40,280 Speaker 1: he started to appeal to older, older Reagan that be 1999 01:56:40,440 --> 01:56:43,800 Speaker 1: older Democrats that would later become quote unquote Reagan Democrats. 2000 01:56:43,840 --> 01:56:46,480 Speaker 1: But the point is you throw that in there. Reagan 2001 01:56:46,600 --> 01:56:49,320 Speaker 1: sort of revised Truman in a positive way. Then you 2002 01:56:49,320 --> 01:56:53,120 Speaker 1: had the David McCullough biography that hit that really sort 2003 01:56:53,160 --> 01:56:56,840 Speaker 1: of redefined and certainly put Truman in a better light. 2004 01:56:57,040 --> 01:56:59,440 Speaker 1: So the point is is that Truman is one of 2005 01:56:59,480 --> 01:57:03,800 Speaker 1: the great samples. Eisenhower is another one. His presidency, you know, 2006 01:57:03,840 --> 01:57:08,480 Speaker 1: in the near term, was considered a little mah. I 2007 01:57:08,520 --> 01:57:13,040 Speaker 1: certainly think that looking back, he had a it was 2008 01:57:13,360 --> 01:57:16,280 Speaker 1: you got to you know, his presidency is is is 2009 01:57:16,280 --> 01:57:20,400 Speaker 1: a bit underrated in hindsight, and I think now he's 2010 01:57:20,400 --> 01:57:24,480 Speaker 1: starting to get his due. But I do think you 2011 01:57:24,640 --> 01:57:27,280 Speaker 1: kind of I mean, here's the reality, what we're really 2012 01:57:27,320 --> 01:57:30,640 Speaker 1: saying here. Let's say it this way. You don't really 2013 01:57:30,720 --> 01:57:33,080 Speaker 1: know how good or bad a president was until the 2014 01:57:33,120 --> 01:57:37,040 Speaker 1: president dies. Till that president dies and we get the 2015 01:57:37,120 --> 01:57:40,120 Speaker 1: truth and you get people feeling like they can speak freely, 2016 01:57:40,400 --> 01:57:43,080 Speaker 1: and you get access to archives and you start to 2017 01:57:43,600 --> 01:57:45,800 Speaker 1: because sometimes you can't paint the full picture because we 2018 01:57:45,840 --> 01:57:50,160 Speaker 1: don't have all the information. And then over time more 2019 01:57:50,160 --> 01:57:53,440 Speaker 1: of that information comes out, right, more papers get revealed, 2020 01:57:53,520 --> 01:57:58,920 Speaker 1: more letters, more family memoirs, things like that. So yes, 2021 01:57:59,040 --> 01:58:03,120 Speaker 1: I mean, shoot, look, I'll be ja right, we've been where, 2022 01:58:03,200 --> 01:58:06,320 Speaker 1: you know. I think the Vietnam legacy is still a 2023 01:58:06,360 --> 01:58:10,560 Speaker 1: pretty big, fat demerit on his presidency, but his domestic 2024 01:58:10,680 --> 01:58:16,200 Speaker 1: legacy is is starting to is seen in a more 2025 01:58:16,240 --> 01:58:20,280 Speaker 1: positive light and is starting to overtake the Vietnam legacy 2026 01:58:20,440 --> 01:58:22,960 Speaker 1: and putting him. Even Nixon has gone through ups and 2027 01:58:23,000 --> 01:58:26,480 Speaker 1: downs of his perception over the years. You know, in 2028 01:58:26,520 --> 01:58:29,560 Speaker 1: the nineties it started to weirdly improve, you know, over time. 2029 01:58:29,600 --> 01:58:33,320 Speaker 1: Now I think it's gone downward. How about George W. Bush, 2030 01:58:33,640 --> 01:58:37,760 Speaker 1: who were Donald Trump has both hurt his legacy and 2031 01:58:37,800 --> 01:58:42,200 Speaker 1: helped his legacy. Right, So a Dick Cheney talk about 2032 01:58:42,240 --> 01:58:44,560 Speaker 1: a guy who was viewed one way as vice president 2033 01:58:44,680 --> 01:58:49,480 Speaker 1: and has been remembered in recent death another way. So 2034 01:58:50,160 --> 01:58:54,440 Speaker 1: it is It's why I talk about I can't wait 2035 01:58:54,520 --> 01:58:56,960 Speaker 1: to find out and I'll be dead and gone unfortunately, 2036 01:58:56,960 --> 01:58:58,800 Speaker 1: but I can't wait to find out what people say 2037 01:58:58,840 --> 01:59:01,920 Speaker 1: about this era fifty years from now, that's for sure. 2038 01:59:02,920 --> 01:59:06,680 Speaker 1: All right, next question, Let's see where am I end 2039 01:59:06,720 --> 01:59:08,280 Speaker 1: time here? So I'm going to make this the last question. 2040 01:59:09,800 --> 01:59:12,040 Speaker 1: I'm a lifelong end D fan, but I have been 2041 01:59:12,040 --> 01:59:14,600 Speaker 1: listening to your podcasts and found myself rooting and following you. 2042 01:59:14,760 --> 01:59:16,880 Speaker 1: M thank you. Part of it is because you need 2043 01:59:16,920 --> 01:59:19,040 Speaker 1: Miami succeed in order to make your loss Loip good 2044 01:59:19,040 --> 01:59:21,760 Speaker 1: for the colleg football playoff domor you know, I see 2045 01:59:21,800 --> 01:59:25,160 Speaker 1: you anyway. Sincere sympathies on the last game, I appreciate it. 2046 01:59:25,200 --> 01:59:26,960 Speaker 1: I enjoy your take on current events in DC and 2047 01:59:26,960 --> 01:59:30,040 Speaker 1: across the country in a growth most everything you and 2048 01:59:30,080 --> 01:59:33,600 Speaker 1: your guests suggest very balanced. Michel and Meet the Press 2049 01:59:33,640 --> 01:59:37,640 Speaker 1: recently moved from southern Indiana. Go I you to West Bend, Wisconsin. 2050 01:59:37,760 --> 01:59:40,080 Speaker 1: Go back. Go and listen to your podcast the entire 2051 01:59:40,080 --> 01:59:42,560 Speaker 1: eight hour drive. Well, if you're lucky enough, maybe it's 2052 01:59:42,560 --> 01:59:45,840 Speaker 1: only one podcast parade hours, So I haven't totally roguified yet. Right. 2053 01:59:47,440 --> 01:59:49,480 Speaker 1: That's awesome, and it helped me distract me from the 2054 01:59:49,520 --> 01:59:53,040 Speaker 1: two cats and cages that never stopped owling. That's hilarious. Question. 2055 01:59:53,080 --> 01:59:54,840 Speaker 1: What do you think Ronald Wagan would think about Trump? 2056 01:59:55,760 --> 01:59:58,840 Speaker 1: And this comes from Sherry. It's Sherry. By the way, 2057 01:59:59,800 --> 02:00:01,720 Speaker 1: you spell your name the same way my mother spells 2058 02:00:01,720 --> 02:00:04,560 Speaker 1: her name. She is a Sherry. So that's a cchr. 2059 02:00:04,600 --> 02:00:07,640 Speaker 1: I I don't see that very often. So hey, mom, 2060 02:00:07,680 --> 02:00:14,840 Speaker 1: look there's another Sherry that spells her name the same way. Well, 2061 02:00:14,880 --> 02:00:17,160 Speaker 1: if you ask Roger Stone what Ronald Reagan would have 2062 02:00:17,320 --> 02:00:20,480 Speaker 1: would think of Trump, I think he would say that 2063 02:00:20,640 --> 02:00:25,880 Speaker 1: Reagan sort of liked Trump, but you know, was been 2064 02:00:25,960 --> 02:00:28,560 Speaker 1: mused by him a little bit. And you've got to 2065 02:00:28,600 --> 02:00:33,640 Speaker 1: remember what Reagan's you know, interactions with Trump were pretty minimal. 2066 02:00:36,240 --> 02:00:39,280 Speaker 1: It was it is. I have a great origin story 2067 02:00:39,600 --> 02:00:42,680 Speaker 1: about Donald Trump and Ronald Reagan that I got from 2068 02:00:42,760 --> 02:00:45,360 Speaker 1: Roger Stone, so I'll share it with you here. That's 2069 02:00:45,360 --> 02:00:51,280 Speaker 1: why this is a perfect last question. So Roger Stone 2070 02:00:51,360 --> 02:00:55,360 Speaker 1: is a young operative in seventy eight seventy nine, and 2071 02:00:55,560 --> 02:01:02,360 Speaker 1: he is looking for he is working for Reagan's and 2072 02:01:02,400 --> 02:01:05,080 Speaker 1: he's in charge of New York for Reagan. All right, 2073 02:01:05,200 --> 02:01:08,360 Speaker 1: he's the New York and this isn't a primary. And 2074 02:01:09,000 --> 02:01:10,720 Speaker 1: you know, at the time, it was thought they were 2075 02:01:10,760 --> 02:01:13,960 Speaker 1: really trying to play catch up with George H. W. Bush, 2076 02:01:14,200 --> 02:01:17,440 Speaker 1: who was a financial juggernaut. He had had a much 2077 02:01:17,440 --> 02:01:21,600 Speaker 1: better fundraising network going into nineteen eighty arguably than Ronald 2078 02:01:21,600 --> 02:01:26,200 Speaker 1: Reagan did. So Roger Stone needed a finance chair for 2079 02:01:26,280 --> 02:01:29,520 Speaker 1: the New York Republicans for Reagan or New York for Reagan, 2080 02:01:29,560 --> 02:01:32,120 Speaker 1: whatever they were going to call their organization. And so 2081 02:01:33,600 --> 02:01:40,280 Speaker 1: obviously one of Reagan's big supporters was Roy Cohne. So 2082 02:01:41,280 --> 02:01:44,080 Speaker 1: and you know, look, everybody you know, Roy Cohne was 2083 02:01:44,200 --> 02:01:47,600 Speaker 1: very connected in Hollywood, Reagan being a Hollywood guy. So 2084 02:01:47,640 --> 02:01:50,800 Speaker 1: that's how Cone got into the world of Reagan and 2085 02:01:50,880 --> 02:01:53,680 Speaker 1: Nixon All and Cohne was always sort of part of 2086 02:01:53,680 --> 02:01:56,160 Speaker 1: that wing, part of you know, wherever the Republican Party 2087 02:01:56,240 --> 02:02:00,800 Speaker 1: was going. And so Roger Stone meets with Cone and 2088 02:02:00,840 --> 02:02:03,560 Speaker 1: he tells him, hey, I need a finance director for Reagan. 2089 02:02:03,600 --> 02:02:09,480 Speaker 1: And he says, you need Donald Trump. So but you 2090 02:02:09,560 --> 02:02:12,480 Speaker 1: need a first meet with Fred Trump that was Donald's father. 2091 02:02:13,560 --> 02:02:15,720 Speaker 1: So again, this is a story Roger Stone told me 2092 02:02:15,800 --> 02:02:18,240 Speaker 1: this was for a book interview I did that I 2093 02:02:18,320 --> 02:02:26,919 Speaker 1: ended up not using just full disclosure on that. So anyway, 2094 02:02:27,000 --> 02:02:32,120 Speaker 1: so Stone, this is a very interesting story. Stone goes 2095 02:02:32,120 --> 02:02:34,680 Speaker 1: to meet with Fred Trump and he walks into Fred 2096 02:02:34,680 --> 02:02:37,240 Speaker 1: Trump's office and he sees all these photos on the wall. Right, 2097 02:02:37,240 --> 02:02:40,240 Speaker 1: it's very much like Donald Trump. Donald Trump, you know, 2098 02:02:40,240 --> 02:02:43,040 Speaker 1: wherever he is, any office he has has photos of 2099 02:02:43,040 --> 02:02:46,480 Speaker 1: Donald Trump and other and famous people. And Fred Trump 2100 02:02:46,560 --> 02:02:48,040 Speaker 1: was the same way. And at the time it was 2101 02:02:48,040 --> 02:02:50,760 Speaker 1: famous New York City people and New York City politicians. 2102 02:02:50,760 --> 02:02:53,280 Speaker 1: And Roger Stone said he walked into the office and 2103 02:02:53,320 --> 02:02:55,080 Speaker 1: he'd look around and he saw all these pictures of 2104 02:02:55,080 --> 02:02:59,920 Speaker 1: Fred Trump with all these New York City democrats. You know, 2105 02:03:00,120 --> 02:03:02,280 Speaker 1: there was Fred Trump with a beam, there was Fred 2106 02:03:02,280 --> 02:03:09,000 Speaker 1: Trump with you know, all these different longtime New York 2107 02:03:09,160 --> 02:03:15,560 Speaker 1: Democrats doing why why am I here? He was looking 2108 02:03:15,600 --> 02:03:20,160 Speaker 1: for a Republican finance director to support a Republican candidate 2109 02:03:20,200 --> 02:03:23,160 Speaker 1: for president, right, And here he is, you carry like, 2110 02:03:23,200 --> 02:03:25,920 Speaker 1: what's going on here? Right? So he asked him and 2111 02:03:25,960 --> 02:03:28,520 Speaker 1: he says, mister Trump, you know I see all these 2112 02:03:28,520 --> 02:03:34,840 Speaker 1: pictures with Democrats. And Fred Trump then opens his drawer again, 2113 02:03:35,000 --> 02:03:37,760 Speaker 1: this is a Roger Stone story. So you know, I'll 2114 02:03:37,840 --> 02:03:41,800 Speaker 1: let you decide the truth, truthiness level of it. But 2115 02:03:43,800 --> 02:03:47,080 Speaker 1: I don't you know, you're when you interview somebody in person, 2116 02:03:47,200 --> 02:03:50,520 Speaker 1: you sort of you feel like, you know, this is 2117 02:03:50,560 --> 02:03:54,200 Speaker 1: the best I can do. And there's certainly enough. You know, 2118 02:03:54,280 --> 02:03:59,040 Speaker 1: the the facts themselves are checkable, many of them, and 2119 02:03:59,120 --> 02:04:02,320 Speaker 1: certainly over time, I think other parts of this story 2120 02:04:03,160 --> 02:04:06,760 Speaker 1: certainly have proven to be true. So according to Stone, 2121 02:04:07,200 --> 02:04:09,680 Speaker 1: Fred Trump opens a drawer and he pulls out a 2122 02:04:09,800 --> 02:04:14,919 Speaker 1: voided check that he had written to the John Birch Society. 2123 02:04:16,280 --> 02:04:16,560 Speaker 3: I don't know. 2124 02:04:16,600 --> 02:04:18,360 Speaker 1: Maybe it was one hundred thousand dollars. I think that's 2125 02:04:18,400 --> 02:04:20,720 Speaker 1: what Stone said to me at the time. Maybe it'd 2126 02:04:20,720 --> 02:04:22,720 Speaker 1: have been fifty thousands, who knows what the actual number was. 2127 02:04:22,760 --> 02:04:25,600 Speaker 1: Some at the time a big number, and he's like, 2128 02:04:25,880 --> 02:04:28,160 Speaker 1: you know, does this convince you that I'm one of 2129 02:04:28,160 --> 02:04:35,000 Speaker 1: you at the time, And so from there, Fred Trump says, Okay, 2130 02:04:35,160 --> 02:04:38,600 Speaker 1: I think I think Donald should do this. You know, essentially, 2131 02:04:38,760 --> 02:04:40,960 Speaker 1: in order for Donald Trump to be involved, you had 2132 02:04:40,960 --> 02:04:45,080 Speaker 1: to get Fred Trump's permission. Fred clears it, and Donald 2133 02:04:45,120 --> 02:04:48,480 Speaker 1: Trump becomes the you know, helps helps raise money for 2134 02:04:48,600 --> 02:04:52,800 Speaker 1: Donald Trump in New York essentially, but the relationship was 2135 02:04:53,280 --> 02:04:56,080 Speaker 1: essentially that right though, the way any president has a 2136 02:04:56,120 --> 02:05:00,760 Speaker 1: relationship with people who help raise money. Presidents you have 2137 02:05:00,800 --> 02:05:03,000 Speaker 1: to remember to know their name. You don't always really 2138 02:05:03,040 --> 02:05:07,560 Speaker 1: know them that well. You know, I think it's really 2139 02:05:07,600 --> 02:05:09,880 Speaker 1: hard to know what Reagan would have thought of them. 2140 02:05:10,000 --> 02:05:13,120 Speaker 1: I know what Nancy Reagan. I have a feeling I 2141 02:05:13,160 --> 02:05:14,720 Speaker 1: know what Nancy Reagan would have thought him. I don't 2142 02:05:14,760 --> 02:05:18,840 Speaker 1: think it would have thought much of them, and I 2143 02:05:18,920 --> 02:05:21,640 Speaker 1: certainly don't think Jim Baker would have thought much of him. 2144 02:05:21,680 --> 02:05:23,320 Speaker 1: You know, there was a part of Trump that was 2145 02:05:24,080 --> 02:05:29,800 Speaker 1: that felt it was a little it was Reagan very 2146 02:05:29,880 --> 02:05:32,760 Speaker 1: much is a guy who felt comfortable in a white tie, 2147 02:05:33,160 --> 02:05:37,120 Speaker 1: and Donald Trump was sort of, oh, it's another way 2148 02:05:37,160 --> 02:05:40,080 Speaker 1: to put it, new money. I'll just leave it at that. 2149 02:05:40,280 --> 02:05:42,160 Speaker 1: I'll let you imply what that is. But I think 2150 02:05:42,200 --> 02:05:44,720 Speaker 1: you know where I'm going here. So I don't want 2151 02:05:44,760 --> 02:05:47,760 Speaker 1: to say it was oil and water, but I certainly, 2152 02:05:47,800 --> 02:05:52,080 Speaker 1: you know, the character stuff I think would bother Reagan 2153 02:05:52,840 --> 02:05:56,720 Speaker 1: a lot more than people understand do. I think that 2154 02:05:56,880 --> 02:05:58,000 Speaker 1: there was a there. 2155 02:05:58,480 --> 02:06:06,000 Speaker 7: Maybe their belief in that somehow you sort of lean 2156 02:06:06,040 --> 02:06:09,360 Speaker 7: in a little bit, you know, you steffen up, You 2157 02:06:09,800 --> 02:06:11,480 Speaker 7: maybe push the envelope every now. 2158 02:06:11,440 --> 02:06:15,160 Speaker 1: And then in order to make a point. You know, 2159 02:06:15,200 --> 02:06:17,600 Speaker 1: maybe you exert some power you may or may not have. 2160 02:06:18,520 --> 02:06:20,240 Speaker 1: You make a threat that you're not really going to 2161 02:06:20,280 --> 02:06:25,240 Speaker 1: carry through, but you go ahead and make the threat. 2162 02:06:25,880 --> 02:06:29,920 Speaker 1: So certainly you might say there's some stylistic similarities that 2163 02:06:30,760 --> 02:06:34,200 Speaker 1: Reagan might have been okay with. But I you know, 2164 02:06:35,240 --> 02:06:39,320 Speaker 1: I think back to an anecdote in Jimmy Carter's book 2165 02:06:39,360 --> 02:06:42,720 Speaker 1: on his Diaries, which I think is the greatest presidential 2166 02:06:43,640 --> 02:06:46,080 Speaker 1: memoir I've ever read, because it was a die it 2167 02:06:46,160 --> 02:06:50,360 Speaker 1: was done. It was his diaries, with then notes later 2168 02:06:50,560 --> 02:06:53,720 Speaker 1: on his and one of them was how the relationship 2169 02:06:53,800 --> 02:06:58,080 Speaker 1: Reagan and Carter actually had In seventy seven and seventy eight, 2170 02:06:58,240 --> 02:07:02,400 Speaker 1: Carter knew Reagan was his like opponent in eighty we 2171 02:07:02,400 --> 02:07:04,560 Speaker 1: were in the middle of the Panama Canal debate at 2172 02:07:04,560 --> 02:07:08,680 Speaker 1: the time. Carter was going to do something. He said, Hey, 2173 02:07:08,680 --> 02:07:11,360 Speaker 1: why don't we give Reagan a heads up so before 2174 02:07:11,360 --> 02:07:13,440 Speaker 1: he spouts off, he at least knows what I'm going 2175 02:07:13,520 --> 02:07:16,880 Speaker 1: to do. And that is what kind of like that's 2176 02:07:17,080 --> 02:07:19,840 Speaker 1: that was sort of the cordiality that existed between the 2177 02:07:19,880 --> 02:07:22,080 Speaker 1: two parties. And here was Reagan not even that there 2178 02:07:22,160 --> 02:07:27,560 Speaker 1: was a a professional relationship between President Jimmy Carter and 2179 02:07:27,680 --> 02:07:30,440 Speaker 1: the former governor of California who was his likely opponent. 2180 02:07:30,720 --> 02:07:32,760 Speaker 1: But there was a sense that, you know, he ought 2181 02:07:32,800 --> 02:07:35,600 Speaker 1: to be we ought to we know he's he's a 2182 02:07:35,640 --> 02:07:39,440 Speaker 1: big advocate of not getting you know, of not letting 2183 02:07:39,440 --> 02:07:41,760 Speaker 1: go of the canal. Let's let him know what I'm 2184 02:07:41,800 --> 02:07:47,280 Speaker 1: doing here. So I really, you know, and maybe i'm 2185 02:07:47,400 --> 02:07:49,120 Speaker 1: and I think we all do this with people that 2186 02:07:49,120 --> 02:07:52,560 Speaker 1: are no longer alive. We'd like to think. I just 2187 02:07:52,640 --> 02:07:54,880 Speaker 1: have a feeling Reagan wouldn't wouldn't be a big fan 2188 02:07:54,920 --> 02:07:58,280 Speaker 1: of the Trump character, even if he didn't mind some 2189 02:07:58,400 --> 02:08:02,080 Speaker 1: of the policies. All Right, that was a longer story 2190 02:08:02,160 --> 02:08:04,840 Speaker 1: than I planned. So I'm going to do a I 2191 02:08:04,880 --> 02:08:07,040 Speaker 1: apologize here because I don't like to go that long 2192 02:08:07,120 --> 02:08:09,520 Speaker 1: unless you're on the eight hour drive with two howling cats. 2193 02:08:09,560 --> 02:08:12,120 Speaker 1: Then I'm not going to apologize be helpful here. But 2194 02:08:12,200 --> 02:08:16,400 Speaker 1: let's get in a little bit. It's homecoming weekend, Miami's 2195 02:08:16,480 --> 02:08:19,320 Speaker 1: you know. Look, there's a part of me that says, Miami, 2196 02:08:19,640 --> 02:08:25,280 Speaker 1: we should feel disrespected by the ESPN. The ESPN controlled 2197 02:08:25,280 --> 02:08:29,480 Speaker 1: College Football Committee. Remember this is the ESPN Invitational, they own, 2198 02:08:29,560 --> 02:08:32,960 Speaker 1: they control the college football playoff. So I don't accept 2199 02:08:32,960 --> 02:08:37,480 Speaker 1: the premise that this is some sort of totally fair situation. Right, 2200 02:08:37,560 --> 02:08:40,160 Speaker 1: the SEC is going to get every benefit of it out. 2201 02:08:40,560 --> 02:08:43,560 Speaker 1: Notre Dame is going to get every benefited out. For 2202 02:08:43,640 --> 02:08:46,720 Speaker 1: whatever reason, even though the ACC is in business with ESPN, 2203 02:08:48,400 --> 02:08:51,080 Speaker 1: the ACC does not have a business partner that treats 2204 02:08:51,080 --> 02:08:56,160 Speaker 1: them fairly. And why the ACC has not been tougher 2205 02:08:56,240 --> 02:09:01,240 Speaker 1: on how ESPN mistreats their business partner they're in business together. 2206 02:09:01,720 --> 02:09:05,800 Speaker 1: I think the ACC Commissioner is two week in challenging 2207 02:09:06,640 --> 02:09:14,120 Speaker 1: the way ESPN this is the ACC mistreats it, treats 2208 02:09:14,120 --> 02:09:18,360 Speaker 1: it like a second class business partner. Again, I don't 2209 02:09:18,400 --> 02:09:21,120 Speaker 1: know why anybody would get into business with ESPN and 2210 02:09:21,160 --> 02:09:25,000 Speaker 1: college football during this SEC period because ESPN has made 2211 02:09:25,040 --> 02:09:27,840 Speaker 1: the decision we are not going to prioritize anything else 2212 02:09:27,920 --> 02:09:30,360 Speaker 1: of the ACC. In fact, I learned a little nugget 2213 02:09:31,120 --> 02:09:34,560 Speaker 1: in Dallas from a pretty well connected source about how 2214 02:09:35,160 --> 02:09:38,600 Speaker 1: every week the Commissioner of the SEC, and I actually think, 2215 02:09:39,000 --> 02:09:41,000 Speaker 1: you know, this is his job. I don't know why 2216 02:09:41,000 --> 02:09:43,560 Speaker 1: the ACC commissioner is. Every week, the Commissioner of the 2217 02:09:43,600 --> 02:09:47,960 Speaker 1: SEC lobbies ESPN to make sure Chris Fowler and Kirk 2218 02:09:48,000 --> 02:09:51,760 Speaker 1: kerb Street are calling an SEC game, not an ACC 2219 02:09:51,800 --> 02:09:55,680 Speaker 1: game or a Big twelve game. And anytime he gets 2220 02:09:55,720 --> 02:09:59,560 Speaker 1: a whiff that they might go and make their and 2221 02:09:59,600 --> 02:10:02,840 Speaker 1: send their premiere broadcast team to a game that does 2222 02:10:02,880 --> 02:10:06,720 Speaker 1: not feature an SEC team, Greg sank throws a conniption fit, 2223 02:10:07,440 --> 02:10:10,560 Speaker 1: and he's constantly putting pressure on ESPN that if you 2224 02:10:10,600 --> 02:10:13,080 Speaker 1: want to be in business with the SEC, you have 2225 02:10:13,160 --> 02:10:18,040 Speaker 1: to prioritize the SEC and screw your other business partners 2226 02:10:18,160 --> 02:10:22,720 Speaker 1: in the ACC and Big twelve. So, again, very well 2227 02:10:23,080 --> 02:10:26,960 Speaker 1: connected source on this that this happens almost weekly, that 2228 02:10:27,000 --> 02:10:31,480 Speaker 1: Greg Sanke pressures ESPN executives constantly in trying to make 2229 02:10:31,520 --> 02:10:35,520 Speaker 1: sure SEC games are treated differently in ACC. So my 2230 02:10:35,600 --> 02:10:39,160 Speaker 1: point is, yes, I still have that chip on my shoulder. 2231 02:10:39,200 --> 02:10:42,600 Speaker 1: And yes, there's no doubt in my mind that the 2232 02:10:42,880 --> 02:10:46,720 Speaker 1: ESPN Invitational Committee went out of their way to totally 2233 02:10:47,600 --> 02:10:51,040 Speaker 1: you know, I think mystery. There is no way Alabama 2234 02:10:51,120 --> 02:10:54,440 Speaker 1: or nd get dropped from two to eighteen with two 2235 02:10:54,480 --> 02:10:57,360 Speaker 1: loss and they're losing two out of three. That quickly 2236 02:10:58,200 --> 02:11:01,920 Speaker 1: that said, Look, it's not as if Miami didn't know 2237 02:11:02,400 --> 02:11:04,760 Speaker 1: what the uneven what the unfair rules were going to 2238 02:11:04,800 --> 02:11:06,840 Speaker 1: be that you cannot get You cannot be in the 2239 02:11:06,840 --> 02:11:09,080 Speaker 1: ACC and have two losses and expect to get in 2240 02:11:09,080 --> 02:11:10,880 Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff. You can be in the SEC 2241 02:11:10,960 --> 02:11:12,440 Speaker 1: and do that. You can be Notre Dame and do that. 2242 02:11:12,640 --> 02:11:13,880 Speaker 1: You're not going to be allowed to do that in 2243 02:11:13,880 --> 02:11:17,440 Speaker 1: the a SEC because they have arbitrary They have arbitrary 2244 02:11:17,560 --> 02:11:20,640 Speaker 1: rules of how this works because Greg Shanky's going to 2245 02:11:20,680 --> 02:11:21,920 Speaker 1: make a phone call and they don't want to deal 2246 02:11:21,960 --> 02:11:25,560 Speaker 1: with it. So let's realize that that's the rules of 2247 02:11:25,600 --> 02:11:29,520 Speaker 1: the game. And I understood that going in, which is 2248 02:11:29,560 --> 02:11:33,720 Speaker 1: why I'm angrier at a football team not prepared to 2249 02:11:33,800 --> 02:11:38,200 Speaker 1: win a game knowing that there that the season was 2250 02:11:38,240 --> 02:11:41,440 Speaker 1: on the line. So look, I want Miami and win 2251 02:11:41,480 --> 02:11:44,360 Speaker 1: every game. I hope they can get their heads together. 2252 02:11:44,520 --> 02:11:47,480 Speaker 1: I think this is a huge test for this coaching staff. 2253 02:11:48,760 --> 02:11:53,400 Speaker 1: If they can't finish the season and run the table here, 2254 02:11:54,080 --> 02:11:56,760 Speaker 1: then you have to wonder if they've lost the team. Again, 2255 02:11:57,160 --> 02:11:59,080 Speaker 1: there's not a single team they've played where they have 2256 02:11:59,160 --> 02:12:01,840 Speaker 1: less talent, but there are plenty of teams that they've 2257 02:12:01,880 --> 02:12:05,080 Speaker 1: played where they're getting out coached and out prepared. And 2258 02:12:05,120 --> 02:12:09,520 Speaker 1: that's the problem, and that's it. I look, do I 2259 02:12:09,560 --> 02:12:12,200 Speaker 1: think Stracuse with Steve Angelly would be giving Miami? I 2260 02:12:12,240 --> 02:12:17,440 Speaker 1: would have me nervous, it would, I am, But I 2261 02:12:17,480 --> 02:12:19,000 Speaker 1: have to tell you I would not. This is not 2262 02:12:19,040 --> 02:12:22,240 Speaker 1: a week I would bet on either Syracuse. No outcome 2263 02:12:22,280 --> 02:12:24,080 Speaker 1: would surprise me. If you told me Mimmy had to 2264 02:12:24,120 --> 02:12:27,400 Speaker 1: sleep walk in one by ten because half the team's 2265 02:12:27,480 --> 02:12:30,640 Speaker 1: just not that into it and they realized that the 2266 02:12:30,680 --> 02:12:33,920 Speaker 1: goals of the season are over, that wouldn't surprise me. 2267 02:12:34,160 --> 02:12:38,280 Speaker 1: Or or if Mimmy put up a sixty burger and 2268 02:12:38,880 --> 02:12:41,880 Speaker 1: suddenly woke up and decided, hey, we're going to make 2269 02:12:41,920 --> 02:12:45,720 Speaker 1: this really difficult for the ESPN executives when we're sitting 2270 02:12:45,760 --> 02:12:48,000 Speaker 1: at ten and two and they've got to explain why 2271 02:12:48,000 --> 02:12:50,960 Speaker 1: they're picking notre ed aim ahead of Miami for the 2272 02:12:50,960 --> 02:12:56,240 Speaker 1: college football playoff. So, like I said, I certainly still 2273 02:12:56,240 --> 02:13:00,880 Speaker 1: have a chip about all this in different ways. Look quick, 2274 02:13:01,800 --> 02:13:04,720 Speaker 1: you know this is not the not the best college 2275 02:13:04,760 --> 02:13:07,960 Speaker 1: football weekend, but I think there's a few it should 2276 02:13:07,960 --> 02:13:11,720 Speaker 1: have been. Right LSU Alabama when the season started looked 2277 02:13:11,720 --> 02:13:14,720 Speaker 1: like it was a big deal. But here's the games 2278 02:13:14,720 --> 02:13:17,640 Speaker 1: that I'm I'm curious to see because I'm curious to 2279 02:13:17,640 --> 02:13:21,120 Speaker 1: see if there's any any fight left in a handful 2280 02:13:21,160 --> 02:13:24,280 Speaker 1: of teams. So Miami Syracuse is a classic one, right. 2281 02:13:24,440 --> 02:13:29,400 Speaker 1: How engaged is Miami? Is this? I've told you this 2282 02:13:29,480 --> 02:13:34,200 Speaker 1: has happened multiple seasons in a row where once once 2283 02:13:34,280 --> 02:13:37,960 Speaker 1: the postseason goals are over, there seems to be a 2284 02:13:38,000 --> 02:13:41,480 Speaker 1: collapse with the rest of the rest of the team. 2285 02:13:41,840 --> 02:13:45,560 Speaker 1: Does that happen here? Or can Miami successfully win by 2286 02:13:45,560 --> 02:13:48,240 Speaker 1: five or six touchdowns, which frankly they're favored to do. 2287 02:13:49,040 --> 02:13:51,520 Speaker 1: How about Penn State? They gave a one half of 2288 02:13:51,560 --> 02:13:54,560 Speaker 1: a fight to Ohio State. Well, they play Indiana this week. 2289 02:13:54,680 --> 02:13:59,880 Speaker 1: This game's at Penn State. I think the new coach 2290 02:14:00,080 --> 02:14:03,520 Speaker 1: ump is usually only worth only works after the first 2291 02:14:03,520 --> 02:14:06,560 Speaker 1: week or two. Then I start to wonder our players 2292 02:14:06,560 --> 02:14:09,120 Speaker 1: starting to think about what their value is in the portal. 2293 02:14:10,840 --> 02:14:12,880 Speaker 1: I can tell you this is a better I am 2294 02:14:13,120 --> 02:14:16,240 Speaker 1: not fading Indiana anymore. I'm out. I've lost too much 2295 02:14:16,240 --> 02:14:20,080 Speaker 1: money betting against Indiana thinking that these points spreads are overpriced. 2296 02:14:20,600 --> 02:14:25,640 Speaker 1: I'm out not touching it. Congratch Signetti. I've googled you. 2297 02:14:25,640 --> 02:14:31,240 Speaker 1: You win, you cover, that's for sure. But does Penn 2298 02:14:31,320 --> 02:14:35,280 Speaker 1: State have any life left? If they do? Maybe this 2299 02:14:35,480 --> 02:14:37,760 Speaker 1: is you know, I still think Indiana is going to 2300 02:14:37,800 --> 02:14:40,040 Speaker 1: have a one more scare in them, right. The Iowa 2301 02:14:40,080 --> 02:14:44,320 Speaker 1: game turned out to be a huge scare BYU Texas 2302 02:14:44,360 --> 02:14:47,120 Speaker 1: Tech is a huge game winner, is going to be 2303 02:14:47,400 --> 02:14:51,160 Speaker 1: probably the favorite in the Big twelve losers likely out 2304 02:14:51,480 --> 02:14:57,680 Speaker 1: right BUYU man, they are a only UVA has more 2305 02:14:57,680 --> 02:15:02,320 Speaker 1: smoking mirrors than BYU. Right, But your record, you know, 2306 02:15:02,360 --> 02:15:05,880 Speaker 1: as the great Bill Parcells said, your record is you 2307 02:15:05,920 --> 02:15:07,880 Speaker 1: are what your record says you are. And there ain't 2308 02:15:07,880 --> 02:15:09,400 Speaker 1: a no you know what that tells me? So really 2309 02:15:09,440 --> 02:15:14,120 Speaker 1: well coached team, because they always uh they're prepared to 2310 02:15:14,160 --> 02:15:17,160 Speaker 1: win no matter what situation they get put in. But 2311 02:15:17,200 --> 02:15:19,560 Speaker 1: this is a tough road test. It's a much bigger 2312 02:15:19,560 --> 02:15:22,480 Speaker 1: game for Texas Tech. A second loss and all you 2313 02:15:22,520 --> 02:15:26,520 Speaker 1: know than than they're crying and they're in their nilber 2314 02:15:27,080 --> 02:15:34,720 Speaker 1: the way Miami is. I'm not saying Ohio State's on 2315 02:15:34,840 --> 02:15:40,080 Speaker 1: upset alert, but they're playing at Purdue. They've blown this 2316 02:15:40,160 --> 02:15:45,000 Speaker 1: game before as a top five team. I'm not saying, 2317 02:15:46,040 --> 02:15:49,120 Speaker 1: but this is a team produce shown some fight. They 2318 02:15:49,160 --> 02:15:58,280 Speaker 1: stick around in games unlikely, but anyway, put it this way, 2319 02:15:58,840 --> 02:16:01,200 Speaker 1: put it in your four box, especially if sin there's 2320 02:16:01,280 --> 02:16:03,440 Speaker 1: you know, it's a big ten network game. It'll actually 2321 02:16:03,480 --> 02:16:06,360 Speaker 1: be of your YouTube TV subscription. A and M in 2322 02:16:06,400 --> 02:16:10,040 Speaker 1: Missouri is an elimination game. Missouri's at a four string quarterback. 2323 02:16:10,560 --> 02:16:14,040 Speaker 1: This is probably even though it's ranked versus rank, this 2324 02:16:14,200 --> 02:16:16,840 Speaker 1: is probably a flex a moment where A and M 2325 02:16:16,880 --> 02:16:20,600 Speaker 1: gets to flex. They Probably the best game on the 2326 02:16:20,600 --> 02:16:24,440 Speaker 1: board is Oregon and Iowa. I don't know if you've 2327 02:16:24,440 --> 02:16:29,280 Speaker 1: been paying attention, but the Kirk Farrence's team there in 2328 02:16:29,320 --> 02:16:32,640 Speaker 1: Iowa City, man, they you know, yes, they've got the 2329 02:16:32,640 --> 02:16:36,200 Speaker 1: lost Indiana a game. They've given Indiana the toughest game 2330 02:16:36,240 --> 02:16:40,400 Speaker 1: that they've faced. There is no tougher place to play 2331 02:16:40,400 --> 02:16:47,000 Speaker 1: than than Kinnick Stadium there i This is you know, 2332 02:16:47,200 --> 02:16:50,640 Speaker 1: losers out of the playoffs. This is probably a loser 2333 02:16:50,680 --> 02:16:54,560 Speaker 1: goes home winner is you know, at this point, especially 2334 02:16:54,560 --> 02:16:56,600 Speaker 1: if the ACC is only going to get one, that 2335 02:16:56,720 --> 02:16:59,440 Speaker 1: means that Big ten might get four teams. You know, 2336 02:16:59,480 --> 02:17:03,760 Speaker 1: who's the fourth team, who's the third team? Iowa a 2337 02:17:03,840 --> 02:17:06,720 Speaker 1: win here, and they're suddenly making a play for that 2338 02:17:06,800 --> 02:17:10,120 Speaker 1: third or fourth Big ten slot. So it's a big 2339 02:17:10,160 --> 02:17:13,600 Speaker 1: game and I think the sneaky best game of the 2340 02:17:13,640 --> 02:17:18,000 Speaker 1: weekend Auburn and Vanderbilt. Do you believe in the new 2341 02:17:18,040 --> 02:17:22,120 Speaker 1: coach bump, the Hugh Freeze firing. It's it's actually done 2342 02:17:22,200 --> 02:17:24,680 Speaker 1: quite well if you look at it through the spread. 2343 02:17:25,879 --> 02:17:30,560 Speaker 1: I you know, if you wanted to pick vander you 2344 02:17:30,600 --> 02:17:35,160 Speaker 1: can pick some knits at Vanderbilt. You know, their body 2345 02:17:35,160 --> 02:17:37,640 Speaker 1: of work is great, but when you look under the hood, 2346 02:17:38,640 --> 02:17:45,520 Speaker 1: it's not statistically the greatest on that front. If somebody's 2347 02:17:45,600 --> 02:17:48,800 Speaker 1: gonna finally knock UVA off of its perch and give 2348 02:17:48,840 --> 02:17:52,200 Speaker 1: them their first loss in the ACC, Wake Forest is 2349 02:17:52,200 --> 02:17:55,720 Speaker 1: a pretty good candidate. Don't overlook that game. And then 2350 02:17:56,000 --> 02:17:59,119 Speaker 1: the two others. They again, it's more on upset alert 2351 02:17:59,120 --> 02:18:04,920 Speaker 1: than anything else. Does LSU have a have a relieve 2352 02:18:05,000 --> 02:18:08,160 Speaker 1: that Brian Kelly has gone bump? Does Garrett us Meyer, 2353 02:18:08,200 --> 02:18:11,520 Speaker 1: who clearly wasn't getting along with coach Brian Kelly. Does 2354 02:18:11,560 --> 02:18:14,240 Speaker 1: he have the game of his life against Alabama. Here's 2355 02:18:14,240 --> 02:18:17,640 Speaker 1: something that is true. Whenever Alabama's favored by double digits 2356 02:18:18,560 --> 02:18:21,280 Speaker 1: in the when Calen Debor has been in charge, the 2357 02:18:21,360 --> 02:18:24,280 Speaker 1: games turned into a pretty interesting game. And in fact, 2358 02:18:24,320 --> 02:18:27,360 Speaker 1: Alabama's blown a couple of them. So that's a small 2359 02:18:27,400 --> 02:18:31,240 Speaker 1: upset alert. And then Navy at Notre Dame. It seems 2360 02:18:31,240 --> 02:18:33,360 Speaker 1: as if Navy always there was a time where it 2361 02:18:33,400 --> 02:18:36,400 Speaker 1: didn't matter what Navy's record was, it was a given 2362 02:18:36,440 --> 02:18:38,840 Speaker 1: that they'd make Notre Dame sweat you know, that they 2363 02:18:38,920 --> 02:18:44,000 Speaker 1: would make it a one score game. I think after 2364 02:18:44,040 --> 02:18:47,040 Speaker 1: the clunker that Notre Dame had last week against BC, 2365 02:18:47,760 --> 02:18:50,720 Speaker 1: that they probably right the ship and they take care 2366 02:18:50,760 --> 02:18:53,960 Speaker 1: of business here. But I enjoy me a good Navy 2367 02:18:54,000 --> 02:18:58,160 Speaker 1: Notre Dame matchup, and I know a lot of a 2368 02:18:58,160 --> 02:19:03,400 Speaker 1: lot of my midshipmen retirees also do too. Always fun 2369 02:19:03,440 --> 02:19:05,640 Speaker 1: to see Navy play with the big boys and hang 2370 02:19:05,680 --> 02:19:07,760 Speaker 1: with Notre Dame, and they've done it a lot throughout 2371 02:19:07,760 --> 02:19:11,240 Speaker 1: this century. I think they even pulled an upset once. So, 2372 02:19:12,800 --> 02:19:15,800 Speaker 1: like I said, no awesome games this weekend no games 2373 02:19:15,840 --> 02:19:20,360 Speaker 1: of the year, which probably means at least two top 2374 02:19:20,440 --> 02:19:23,280 Speaker 1: five teams lose. Right, Because it's always the weeks you 2375 02:19:23,320 --> 02:19:28,080 Speaker 1: don't expect that college football delivers the kookie and the crazy. 2376 02:19:28,240 --> 02:19:32,080 Speaker 1: So for those of you going to Miami or going 2377 02:19:32,080 --> 02:19:34,880 Speaker 1: to any college football game, enjoy your weekend doing that. 2378 02:19:35,760 --> 02:19:37,560 Speaker 1: And for some of you, I'll see you in Miami. 2379 02:19:37,760 --> 02:19:38,279 Speaker 1: Go Kins.