1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney. Along 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 1: with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: we bring you interviews from CEO, market pros and Bloomberg experts, 4 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 1: along with essential market moving news. Kind a Bloomberg Markets 5 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: podcast on Apple podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts, 6 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 1: and on Bloomberg dot com. And today's special edition of 7 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Markets is focused on E s G and green finance. 8 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,120 Speaker 1: Let's bring in somebody who knows all about that now, 9 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 1: Eugenia Jackson, as head of E s G Research and 10 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 1: co chair of the E s G Committee for PGM 11 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:37,479 Speaker 1: Fixed Income about eight nine billion dollars in assets under management. Eugenia, 12 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: thanks for joining your co chair of the E s 13 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:41,839 Speaker 1: G Committee, head of E s G Research, I can 14 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 1: only imagine how much work that is E s G. 15 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: You now seems to permeate every single investment and every 16 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:52,919 Speaker 1: investment product. How do you manage all of that research 17 00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: and decision making on investments? Hello, and thank you for 18 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 1: having me Um. Yes, I mean E s G. S 19 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 1: you rightly said. E s G today is at the 20 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 1: front and center of very many investment decisions, but it's 21 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: also such a constantly evolving space, and things are shifting 22 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: at a very at increasing speed. So and also unlike 23 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:16,839 Speaker 1: in many other investment areas, in E s G, we're 24 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: seeing a lot of subjectivity and a lot of preconsumptions 25 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 1: associated with D s G, So most people would find 26 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 1: it very difficult to keep space pace with the U 27 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 1: s G development. So I will give you an example. 28 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 1: For example, the imperative of addressing climate change and transitioning 29 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:36,320 Speaker 1: to low carbon economy is changing business models, operations, product 30 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 1: services of many industries and companies all over the world. 31 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: And energy companies are often verified for their contribution to 32 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 1: climate change, but these are also the industries that are 33 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: adapting fast, that transforming their business models through their investments 34 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:54,680 Speaker 1: and renewable power generation, investing in developing new technologies, exploring 35 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 1: opportunities for credible offsetting programs, and these are this This 36 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: creates investment risks and offers investment opportunities. But given the 37 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: sheer scale of ESG topic and the pace of change, 38 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:10,360 Speaker 1: investors need both expertise and agility to create value. So 39 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 1: this is exactly what we're doing at Digion's ext income 40 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: and I'm very fortunate to be given this opportunity to 41 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: contribute to this exciting and involving area. Digim So, Eugenia, 42 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:22,959 Speaker 1: you know, I'm gonna talking about data, the data that's 43 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:25,919 Speaker 1: out there to support investors really want to factor E 44 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: s G into their calculus. Here for typical investing, you know, 45 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 1: you go to the financial statements, income statement, to balance sheet, 46 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: the cash flow statements. They're all audited data and that 47 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 1: can really help analysts and investors make decisions when you 48 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: want to factor an E s G investing, Talk to 49 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 1: us about the quality of data that is out there 50 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 1: for investors to help them, uh, you know, using their analysis. Well, 51 00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 1: if I compare to what we had even ten years 52 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 1: ago in E s G, I would say that it 53 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:58,640 Speaker 1: being a tremendous improvement in the both the amount and 54 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:02,119 Speaker 1: the quality of data that we have. However, you're absolutely right, 55 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 1: compared to what we get is the financial data that 56 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:08,679 Speaker 1: we get E s G data is not sufficient, it's inconsistent, 57 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: and it's still largely produced a voluntary basis by companies. 58 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 1: So there is very little um laws and regulations that 59 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 1: would require the disclosure of the data. And this is 60 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: one of the major struggles when it comes to doing 61 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: U S G analysis and trying to you know, make 62 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 1: investment decisions on the basis of s G considerations. So 63 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 1: this is why you know, at Pigeon six th Income 64 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 1: we do not rely so much on third party data 65 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:39,119 Speaker 1: and third party ratings. We are collecting the data ourselves. 66 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: We are doing our own research. We are reading the 67 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: disclosures provided by the issues. We are engaging actively with 68 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: the companies and with you know, software issues and others 69 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 1: to get the information and to get our questions answered. 70 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: And that's how we are collecting, analyzing and incorporating this 71 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 1: information into our analysis. If we only relied on right, well, 72 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 1: I was just going to say, what do you prioritize? 73 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:11,360 Speaker 1: Is that outcomes? Is how much change that that investment 74 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 1: might effect to as is it's something else. How do 75 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 1: you decide what's important when it comes to the metrics. Um, 76 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 1: that's very good question. So at Picture Fixed Income, we'll 77 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 1: look at s G factors from two different perspectives. So 78 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: on one hand, we are looking at those us G 79 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:33,599 Speaker 1: factors that we believe as an active fundamental investor, we 80 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:38,039 Speaker 1: believe our credit material are financially material that they can 81 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,279 Speaker 1: move this. This are the us factors that can move 82 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,480 Speaker 1: bond prices that can move spreads, and therefore we integrate 83 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 1: them directly into our credit analysis and in relative value discussions. 84 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:51,720 Speaker 1: Now this on the second set of On the other hand, 85 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:57,000 Speaker 1: we're also assessing how issues companies and and their economic 86 00:04:57,040 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 1: activities are impacting the environment and society it and for 87 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 1: this way you're using our proprietary eas impact ratings. So 88 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 1: there are two types of assessments u s G assessments 89 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,119 Speaker 1: that we're doing. And we feel that this is really 90 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 1: important because you know, there are certain elements of certain 91 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 1: us G factors which today they might not be credit material, 92 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 1: or may not even be credit material in the foreseeable future. 93 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 1: But over time, as more and a sustainability becomes bigger 94 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 1: and bigger consideration for a growing number of investors and policymakers, 95 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:33,560 Speaker 1: these factors are going to become a lot more material. 96 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 1: So this is also the forward looking perspective. So and 97 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:39,599 Speaker 1: this is how we saw how we look at the 98 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: data that we have, how the factors that we analyze, 99 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: and then so that we're looking at them from the 100 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: materiality perspective, the financial materiality as well as from the 101 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 1: environmental and social impact perspective. You need to spout thirty seconds. 102 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 1: How has COVID nineteen impact the e s G invested 103 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 1: as an accelerated trends or maybe even slowed it down. 104 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:04,160 Speaker 1: I think it has accelerated very significantly because what it's 105 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:07,480 Speaker 1: done is really cost the spotlight on the social inequalities 106 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 1: and the differences and working conditions and treatment of employees, suppliers, 107 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:15,040 Speaker 1: you know, across companies, industries, countries, and these are all 108 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:18,599 Speaker 1: social issues. The COVID really has brought the social issues 109 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 1: to the forefront. And I think it's also highlighted the 110 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 1: risks that investors face when it comes to supply chains. 111 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 1: So um, this will have consequences for companies and their investors, 112 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 1: and I think it's just really another tale wind for emergy. Eugenie, 113 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us. Really appreciate your time. 114 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: Just a fascinating discussion. Eugenia Jackson, head of E s 115 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:41,400 Speaker 1: G Research and co chair of the E s G 116 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:45,119 Speaker 1: Committee for Pigeon Fixed Income. They had eight nine billion 117 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,160 Speaker 1: dollars under management, and you can tell that they are 118 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:50,160 Speaker 1: clearly focused and committed to E s G investing, and 119 00:06:50,200 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 1: we're hearing more and more of that for more and 120 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 1: more large global institutional investors will have more on that 121 00:06:55,680 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 1: coming up. This is Bloomberg. Today's show is special edition 122 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:04,040 Speaker 1: of Bloomberg Markets. We're focusing on E S, g N 123 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:07,240 Speaker 1: green finance. Joining us right now is Catherine Nice, chief 124 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 1: European economist for PGIM Fixed Income based in London. Catherine, 125 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us here. Boy, what a 126 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:17,800 Speaker 1: year has been. Just extraordinary. In the second quarter just 127 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 1: seeing bearing the full brunt of the pandemic and then 128 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 1: of course that's snap back in the third quarter. Here, 129 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 1: fourth quarter a little bit uncertain here as it relates 130 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:29,920 Speaker 1: to Europe. Give us a sense of kind of how 131 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: do you think Europe is going to finish out the 132 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:33,320 Speaker 1: year and then more importantly, how do you think the 133 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 1: economies across the European Union and Union are going to 134 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 1: perform in next year. Thanks so much for having me. Yes, 135 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 1: it has been an extraordinary year. I think for for 136 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 1: all of us, we each have our own unique story 137 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 1: to tell. In Europe. The economy has has has moved 138 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: in ways that we never seen before. The hits that 139 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 1: we had in Q two was really completely off the scale. 140 00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 1: We're going to end up with GDP hits to the 141 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 1: your area that are around twice the size of what 142 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: we saw during the global financial crisis. The good news 143 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: is that it wasn't as bad as as we thought 144 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: in real time, and the bounce back in Q three 145 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:31,920 Speaker 1: was really remarkable. On sort of seasonally adjusted annualized rates, 146 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: we're looking at a number that's over sixt A comparable 147 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 1: number for the US was a little over thirty. These 148 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 1: are huge numbers and very promising in that UH. It 149 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 1: suggests that as we do move to a phase where 150 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,719 Speaker 1: the vaccine becomes more widely available, we could see some 151 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 1: really strong bounce backs. I think said that we are 152 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 1: experiencing now a second as in Europe we've had a 153 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 1: second round of restrictions put in place. These restrictions have 154 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:13,679 Speaker 1: been much less UH severe and restrictive generally speaking than 155 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: they were in the spring UH, and you know, encouragingly, 156 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,480 Speaker 1: the numbers are looking good. We're seeing a turnaround, we're 157 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 1: seeing a flattening in that curve, but that has come 158 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 1: at an economic cost. So I think you are looking 159 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 1: at a sort of W shaped, sort of lopside of 160 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:36,559 Speaker 1: W if you like, UH for Europe, where we see 161 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 1: GDP contracting in Q four UH and potentially also into 162 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:49,640 Speaker 1: Q one. If we think that these lighter touch restrictions 163 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 1: will need to stay in place post the holiday season, 164 00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 1: that would put Europe in a sort of double dip 165 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:03,960 Speaker 1: recession UH position, which of course raises risks of long 166 00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 1: term scarring. Well, just as we're seeing an extraordinary amount 167 00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:11,920 Speaker 1: of heterogeneity across the United States in different regions, we're 168 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:14,520 Speaker 1: obviously seeing that in Europe too. Now, if you look 169 00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:16,840 Speaker 1: at the bond market, it tells you a vastly different 170 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 1: story in Italy than it does in Spain, for example. 171 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 1: How can we read what investors are anticipating for these 172 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 1: various countries from the data? Absolutely great point. Qualitatively, of course, 173 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:35,200 Speaker 1: across Europe you've seen a very similar pattern. This big 174 00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 1: hit is very strong, bounced back and now, um, you 175 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 1: know a bit of a bit of a step step 176 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:44,440 Speaker 1: step back in Q four as I just described. But 177 00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: looking underneath that, there is this heterogeneity, and that's a 178 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:52,360 Speaker 1: real concern for the your area because this is a 179 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:58,320 Speaker 1: monetary union that doesn't have a complete risk sharing ability, 180 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:01,959 Speaker 1: so there's always this risk the union UH could be 181 00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 1: stressed and tested. Um, where you're really seeing the divergence 182 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:09,320 Speaker 1: to pick out you know, some of the countries you 183 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:14,079 Speaker 1: just mentioned Italy Spain clearly hit very hard by the 184 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:18,320 Speaker 1: public health crisis very early on uh in this pandemic, 185 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:23,520 Speaker 1: but also their economies were more vulnerable to the social 186 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 1: distancing measures that that were needed to help manage the virus. 187 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:30,440 Speaker 1: That was especially true in Spain they have a very 188 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 1: large tourism sector and clearly uh, you know, international travel Brits, 189 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:40,199 Speaker 1: you know, my fellow friends and nelighbors, they couldn't go 190 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 1: to Spain in the summer, and and that you know, 191 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 1: translated into these GDP hits. Whereas countries like Germany, which 192 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:51,359 Speaker 1: are much more manufacturing based and which have really benefited 193 00:11:51,440 --> 00:11:55,200 Speaker 1: from the rebound that you're seeing in China, their hits 194 00:11:55,320 --> 00:11:59,320 Speaker 1: aren't two. GDP has been much more muted, and they're 195 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:03,720 Speaker 1: recovering better now even with these social restrictions in place, 196 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 1: because the manufacturing sector is helping to kind of offset 197 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:12,760 Speaker 1: what's happening uh in the services sector, you know, by 198 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:17,559 Speaker 1: by a construction, you know, through these social distancing measures. 199 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 1: So I think that is a concern that there is 200 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:26,960 Speaker 1: this uh, you know, potential divergence uh in the economic 201 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:30,560 Speaker 1: outlook across the European region. And I think that you 202 00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 1: know that really underpins a lot of the policy action 203 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:38,439 Speaker 1: that we've seen, uh since this pandemic, where European policy 204 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 1: makers have been much more unified and coordinated than I 205 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 1: think perhaps we're used to seeing them respond in the 206 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:49,360 Speaker 1: face of these sorts of stresses that we've seen in 207 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:53,200 Speaker 1: the past, in the sovereign debt crisis, in the global 208 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 1: financial crisis. Now they're acting decisively on monetary policy, decisively 209 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 1: on Cisco to enable uh, you know, the support from 210 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:08,280 Speaker 1: the stronger member states in the European Union to help 211 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 1: support and prop up some of those countries that have 212 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 1: really been hit hard. Well, Catherine, just as you say 213 00:13:14,520 --> 00:13:17,120 Speaker 1: that the euro has extended its advanced and strongest levels 214 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:20,200 Speaker 1: since two thousand eighteen versus the dollars, so you certainly 215 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 1: bring out the headlines on the Bloomberg. Thank you for 216 00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 1: joining us today. Would love to talk to you more 217 00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 1: about the European economy as time goes on. That's Catherine Nice, 218 00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 1: chief European economist for PGM Fixed Income joining us there. 219 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:38,840 Speaker 1: And again Katherine Nice of PIGIM. This is Bloomberg. Let's 220 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 1: bring in somebody very fascinating now, q m A. It's 221 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:44,839 Speaker 1: the quantum division of PGIM and the person who's the 222 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,760 Speaker 1: chairman and CEO of q m A is Andrew Dyson, 223 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 1: who joins us now. By the way, q m A 224 00:13:49,920 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 1: with almost ninety one billion dollars in assets under management. Andrew, 225 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:56,480 Speaker 1: thanks for joining. I can imagine with the election you 226 00:13:56,559 --> 00:13:58,920 Speaker 1: had all sorts of models ready to go and althors 227 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 1: of inputs ready to to press enter on. Let's say, 228 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 1: when we knew an outcome, how does the outcome of 229 00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 1: this election change the equation or the algebra or whatever 230 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:15,840 Speaker 1: goes into quant investing for you. Look, I think I 231 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:19,480 Speaker 1: think that you know this. This is in a sense 232 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: that potential for a regime change um an element. It 233 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 1: was already discounted in the market. But I think you've 234 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 1: seen many positives come through, and in terms of have 235 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 1: a market to have responded, and certainly in terms of 236 00:14:35,360 --> 00:14:38,080 Speaker 1: value for example, which has been out of favor for 237 00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 1: a long time, that the last few weeks have generally 238 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 1: been a strong sort of rally. And that's a common 239 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:47,520 Speaker 1: theme for quant so I think you know you're likely 240 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 1: to see I think those themes continue generally. And then 241 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:54,320 Speaker 1: one area I know we're particularly interesting is what does 242 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:56,880 Speaker 1: this mean to the future of E s G in 243 00:14:56,960 --> 00:15:00,080 Speaker 1: the US, and that's certainly something where we could be 244 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 1: a ce change I think in the next few years. Right, 245 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:07,040 Speaker 1: we even have a star now, John Harry So Andrew. 246 00:15:07,080 --> 00:15:10,400 Speaker 1: I guess you know, I first started really getting questioned 247 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 1: about E s G investing probably a dozen years ago, 248 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,920 Speaker 1: and it was by my institutional investor clients in Europe 249 00:15:16,920 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 1: and London and frankfort Uh way before the US. So 250 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:23,440 Speaker 1: it seems to be E s G investing kind of 251 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:26,120 Speaker 1: was was much more firmly entrenched in Europe and maybe 252 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 1: some other regions of the world. Where do you think 253 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:31,640 Speaker 1: it is here in the US and how do you 254 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:33,840 Speaker 1: how do you think it might play out over the 255 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 1: next several years and will abide administration maybe accelerate that. Oh, 256 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 1: I completely agree. I mean historically, I think the US 257 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:45,080 Speaker 1: in terms of E s G adoption, whether it's for 258 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 1: institutional or or for individuals, has really lagged you know, 259 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 1: most of Europe, probably all of Europe now and market 260 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 1: like Australia, and some of that I think was just 261 00:15:57,560 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: history and cultural and but but I think what's been 262 00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 1: very interesting is actually think now clients interest is actually 263 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 1: really probably at all time highs if if you chart 264 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 1: interest in the US, and what has held back that 265 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 1: that turning into assets has been some of the sort 266 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,600 Speaker 1: of much more hostile regulatory environment that the d o 267 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 1: L has has sort of propagated over the last two 268 00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:26,840 Speaker 1: a few years. And so if that's right, you can 269 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:32,720 Speaker 1: absolutely envisage that um that that regulator vironment, that regulatory 270 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 1: tone will change to be much more favorable. And then 271 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 1: I think that sort of pent up demand that that 272 00:16:40,240 --> 00:16:42,240 Speaker 1: we're seeing from a lot of plants as they both 273 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:45,680 Speaker 1: institutional and individual plants will come to the floor. So 274 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:49,000 Speaker 1: so this really could be a turning point in terms 275 00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:52,840 Speaker 1: of interest from all sides really in the US and 276 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 1: be a four year period where you do see a 277 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 1: big catch up in that gap between the US and 278 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 1: the rest of the work. Yes, I mean the very 279 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 1: fact that there's somebody dedicated to it now on the administration, 280 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:06,280 Speaker 1: Assuming that you know, all goes well and Don Kerry 281 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,919 Speaker 1: does you know, get into the position of climate I 282 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,840 Speaker 1: guess sorrow or whatever they will call them, will re 283 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 1: enter paris most likely, and there are the authors that 284 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:20,440 Speaker 1: will that impact any of your strategies. Well, we run 285 00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:26,240 Speaker 1: all our strategies now very cognizant of B s G consideration. 286 00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 1: So as you as you mentioned before him, and we're 287 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:32,760 Speaker 1: QUANTZ and so the way we would think about it 288 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:36,359 Speaker 1: is we would talk about a regime change, in other words, 289 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:41,159 Speaker 1: a situation where the future diverges from the path, and 290 00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:45,119 Speaker 1: that would be very clearly a regime change. So I 291 00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 1: think the in any events, in our strategies were already 292 00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:52,520 Speaker 1: modeling the risk, if you like, or the potential of 293 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,359 Speaker 1: that sort of regime change. And I think the likelihood 294 00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:59,000 Speaker 1: of that increased significantly, and so yes, you would expect 295 00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:01,800 Speaker 1: to see that cat gay through it. If that happens, 296 00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:04,120 Speaker 1: there'll be winners and losers in the market, and they'll 297 00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 1: be you know, changing demand patterns from plants as the 298 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:11,920 Speaker 1: results of that. Andrew, you know, I assume you folks 299 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,720 Speaker 1: at q m A have your version of the black 300 00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:17,679 Speaker 1: box sitting on your desk here, How what are the 301 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:20,840 Speaker 1: key inputs for the E s G part of your 302 00:18:21,560 --> 00:18:24,240 Speaker 1: uh you know, your format, your formula. What are some 303 00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 1: of the key components? So we we have a number 304 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:32,440 Speaker 1: of them. So we would look at, for example, elements 305 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:36,640 Speaker 1: of government, so typically board independence, there's been one we've 306 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 1: used actually for quite a long time. But in terms 307 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:44,720 Speaker 1: of the newer risks. We would particularly give a high 308 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:49,359 Speaker 1: premium to c O two emissions, and I'm giving that weight. 309 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:53,680 Speaker 1: If you look historically, you know companies have not had 310 00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:58,480 Speaker 1: to pay for the externalities if you like permitting zero two, 311 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:00,919 Speaker 1: that's likely to change, It's like through quire sort of 312 00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:05,359 Speaker 1: business models. So so we elevate that is a key 313 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:07,919 Speaker 1: sort of regime change risk, if you like. And so 314 00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,679 Speaker 1: our models will therefore favor companies that otherwise have the 315 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:15,679 Speaker 1: same characteristics that lower missions um and so you see that. 316 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 1: But we also try and look in context at different 317 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:22,200 Speaker 1: industries because I do think one of the other themes 318 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 1: of the s G is a theme around customization. So 319 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 1: underneath the letters, actually it means very different things for 320 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 1: different people, and it means very different things to companies. 321 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:36,040 Speaker 1: So in our models we try and have a much 322 00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:39,840 Speaker 1: more industry driven view rather than one size fits all. 323 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:42,359 Speaker 1: And certainly I think in terms of how we build 324 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:47,080 Speaker 1: portfolios for clients were likewise we think customization is the 325 00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:50,119 Speaker 1: future in this area as well well. And so in 326 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:54,120 Speaker 1: those cases, do you look across the globe, is there 327 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:57,800 Speaker 1: an area where you find more candidates that fit your models? 328 00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:00,359 Speaker 1: You know? What I mean is the United States in 329 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 1: there at all. Oh yes, I mean if it's a 330 00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:07,640 Speaker 1: global efforts, I mean, of course of the United States 331 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:11,000 Speaker 1: is in there in both directions. And then there are 332 00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 1: fantastic companies doing great things in their laggers as well. 333 00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:17,240 Speaker 1: But that's that's true across all markets. I mean, the 334 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 1: issue is now a global seed, and I think it 335 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 1: will be great to welcome the US fully to that 336 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:29,160 Speaker 1: party in terms of investing and in terms of plants. Hey, Andrew, 337 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:32,160 Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us. We really appreciated. 338 00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 1: Andrew Dyson, chairman and CEO of q m A. Q 339 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:39,359 Speaker 1: M A is the quant division of PIG and about 340 00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 1: ninety one billion dollars under management. And and you know, Vannie, 341 00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 1: I think one of the key things we learned from 342 00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 1: today is just how much growth there isn't E S 343 00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 1: G investing, both on the buy side and the sell 344 00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:52,919 Speaker 1: side and companies themselves, right, and such a mandate for 345 00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:57,239 Speaker 1: it now across you know, from family officers to you know, 346 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,080 Speaker 1: endowments and so on. You just need to need to 347 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,200 Speaker 1: be able to do this. Every every shop needs to 348 00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 1: have an E s g R M and H S 349 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,359 Speaker 1: g RM even better health. Yeah, it's interesting and one 350 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:09,199 Speaker 1: of the aspects that here Bloomberg is trying to make 351 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 1: sure that we have the data available for clients who 352 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:16,640 Speaker 1: want to really incorporate E s G uh into their 353 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,080 Speaker 1: investment analysis. And on the f A function there's actually 354 00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:21,159 Speaker 1: an E s G tab, so when you're doing your 355 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:22,840 Speaker 1: financial analysis you can look at the E s G 356 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,879 Speaker 1: data though, So that's pretty interesting as well. Well the 357 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:29,160 Speaker 1: next three it just fascinates me. You know, you think 358 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 1: about the electric vehicle business and you think Tesla, and 359 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:35,400 Speaker 1: you think where are the big U S automakers, where 360 00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 1: are they in the electric vehicle business? With General Motors recently, 361 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:41,040 Speaker 1: you know, made a plan to take a steak and 362 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:44,480 Speaker 1: equity stake in clean energy trucking startup Nickela Corporation. But 363 00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:47,880 Speaker 1: that plan has fallen apart, and quite frankly, I'm confused, 364 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:49,400 Speaker 1: but I know somebody's on top of it, and that's 365 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:54,040 Speaker 1: Tim O'Brien, senior calumnist for Bloomberg Opinion. Tim, it was 366 00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,360 Speaker 1: a promising deal, but a strange one. But what's even 367 00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:59,920 Speaker 1: stranger here is that General Motors has kind of pulled 368 00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:02,680 Speaker 1: out of the deal with Nicola. What's going on, Well, 369 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: they're pulling out Paul because it's become an embarrassment. And 370 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:10,320 Speaker 1: and the curious thing in in this whole transaction is 371 00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 1: GM had every opportunity not to do the deal. It 372 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:19,719 Speaker 1: it UH famously began unraveling in September after Hindenburgh researcher, 373 00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:23,679 Speaker 1: a short seller, published a research report pointing out a 374 00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 1: whole raft of problems with Nicola's leadership and and statements 375 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:37,040 Speaker 1: by by its founder Trevor Milton and UH that ultimately 376 00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:41,000 Speaker 1: forced Mary barn and GM to step back. But it 377 00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:44,159 Speaker 1: wasn't September when a lot of controversial things about Niccola 378 00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 1: was known. We're known that goes back as far as July, 379 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 1: when issues were raised about claims that had made for 380 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:58,200 Speaker 1: trucks it was producing that that um it it said 381 00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 1: there were heightened design and um uh energy efficiencies around 382 00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:08,480 Speaker 1: that vehicle that weren't the case. UH. Other things came 383 00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:11,440 Speaker 1: out about Milton's past over the summer, so the father 384 00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,159 Speaker 1: was out there. And the real question that comes up 385 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 1: and all this is what sort of due diligence did 386 00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:20,360 Speaker 1: GM actually do when they decided to give its corporate 387 00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:24,040 Speaker 1: blessing to a three year old startup that was still 388 00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:28,480 Speaker 1: an essentially an unproven truck producer, right, and why don't 389 00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:32,200 Speaker 1: we know that? I surely that should be transparent. Well, 390 00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:33,680 Speaker 1: it should be. I mean I think you know there's 391 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 1: now the Security and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department 392 00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:41,879 Speaker 1: are both now reportedly looking into, um, some of nicholas 393 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 1: public statements and Trevor Milton's public statements. Uh. There are 394 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:51,560 Speaker 1: probably legitimate legal reasons uh for GM and for bear 395 00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:56,439 Speaker 1: Up not wanting to be more more forthcoming in the moment. 396 00:23:56,840 --> 00:24:00,359 Speaker 1: That's an argument that that could be made. The problem is, 397 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,919 Speaker 1: I think GM has some problems of its own in 398 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:08,040 Speaker 1: this transaction. It came to GM and Mary Bearas attention 399 00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:13,560 Speaker 1: through Steve Girsky. He's a former GM and executive who 400 00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:17,680 Speaker 1: became an investor and invested in Nicola and was very 401 00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:21,720 Speaker 1: um uh public in his statements that Niccola was the 402 00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:24,639 Speaker 1: real thing. It was Steve Gursky who brought this deal 403 00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:29,160 Speaker 1: through GM's doors. So was there an arm's length transaction here? 404 00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:34,199 Speaker 1: When when Mary Bera says that her team and the 405 00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:39,960 Speaker 1: company's accountants and lawyers and financial wizards scrutinized this before 406 00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:43,280 Speaker 1: GM tied up with Nicola, Well, did they really we 407 00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,680 Speaker 1: don't know, and I think that it would be useful 408 00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:48,760 Speaker 1: for the company to be more transparent and offer a 409 00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:52,879 Speaker 1: more public timeline of what occurred here and tim you know. 410 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,880 Speaker 1: For for background, I used to work with Steve Gersky 411 00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:57,480 Speaker 1: way way back in the day when he was a 412 00:24:57,520 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 1: young OTTO analyst of Payne Warbert. I know he's enjoyed 413 00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:03,439 Speaker 1: it very good career in the auto industry. Government folks 414 00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 1: known from the bailout, plus Mary Barra, who again has 415 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,159 Speaker 1: a very good reputation. You just wonder how, you know, 416 00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:14,359 Speaker 1: people like these could put such an odd transaction together. 417 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,920 Speaker 1: Do you think this is going to weigh on Mary 418 00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:20,920 Speaker 1: Barra's reputation and maybe even that of General Motors. Well, 419 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:23,000 Speaker 1: I think they've taken a repute. Both of them have 420 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:25,480 Speaker 1: taken a reputational hit. You know, I agree with you, Paul. 421 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:30,080 Speaker 1: I think Mary Bara is an incredibly inspiring executive. She's 422 00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:33,119 Speaker 1: one of the few women to run a fortune. She's 423 00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:37,440 Speaker 1: the daughter of a GM tool and die craftsman. She's 424 00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 1: entirely self made. She went to work for GIM when 425 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:42,480 Speaker 1: she was eighteen, went on to get a degree in 426 00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:46,159 Speaker 1: electrical engineering and an NBA from Stanford. She's been g 427 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:49,760 Speaker 1: m CEO for almost seven years, and she's handled a 428 00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:54,440 Speaker 1: bunch of thorny problems very deftly. But this, this, this 429 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 1: is a real problem for her because she's been opaque 430 00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 1: about it. Her decision making here was clearly flawed and 431 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 1: and she's not really coming clean about what led to 432 00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:08,800 Speaker 1: a debacle. This this, there's no allegations of fraud here. 433 00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,200 Speaker 1: This is not going to cause legal headaches for her. 434 00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:15,440 Speaker 1: She actually engineered a very smart financial deal for GM, 435 00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,639 Speaker 1: so there's no money being lost, but there is reputational 436 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:21,040 Speaker 1: damage that I think they should think about. And as 437 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:23,960 Speaker 1: it also assigned him of the desperation a sort of 438 00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:27,040 Speaker 1: older legacy companies to try and get in on what 439 00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 1: they see as something that might be disrupting them and 440 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,200 Speaker 1: not missing out on that. Well, you know, it's this 441 00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:36,040 Speaker 1: is classic in corporate America when up starts find new 442 00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:40,359 Speaker 1: markets and they get um lush valuations from the market. 443 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,240 Speaker 1: We saw it, uh you know a decade ago when 444 00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:47,359 Speaker 1: banks UH began, you know, rushing to create internet only 445 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,240 Speaker 1: banks under new brands, but over the banks to sort 446 00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:57,560 Speaker 1: of capitalize on the markets enthusiasm for standalone digital only 447 00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:03,119 Speaker 1: financial UH services companies. And it's happening now clearly in 448 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:06,840 Speaker 1: this sector. Tesla's obviously enjoyed a big run up, but 449 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:10,360 Speaker 1: at one point in June, Nicola had a market capitalization 450 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 1: that was larger than Ford's and um. I think the 451 00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:16,359 Speaker 1: auto companies are seeing this. They want to capture that value. 452 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:17,880 Speaker 1: But the end of the at the end of the day, 453 00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 1: a well run company and a well run corporation captures 454 00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,680 Speaker 1: value by making great products and being very profitable. And 455 00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:28,640 Speaker 1: if if legacy automakers want to be competitive in this 456 00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:31,080 Speaker 1: new space, they've got to be shrewd about who they 457 00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 1: partner with, and they've got to be willing to embrace 458 00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: authentic innovation. It's interesting, Tim, I was talking about this 459 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:40,080 Speaker 1: with Kevin Tynan Bloomberg Intelligence auto analysts, and you know, 460 00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,400 Speaker 1: just we had this ongoing conversation. It just feels like 461 00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:45,720 Speaker 1: the big automakers, say, let's just take the big three 462 00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 1: in Detroit are just so far behind in this ev 463 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:51,639 Speaker 1: that they're seating the market to Tesla. But Kevin and 464 00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 1: other auto and also come back and say, hey, when 465 00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,240 Speaker 1: there's a big enough market to make these things profitably, 466 00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:59,199 Speaker 1: really profitably, the big three will be there. Is that 467 00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,840 Speaker 1: kind of the few you think is permitting through Detroit. 468 00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:05,640 Speaker 1: I think so, and I think there's some truth to that. 469 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:08,919 Speaker 1: You know, the reality is that Tesla's not necessarily at 470 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,760 Speaker 1: a point right now where it can scale its production 471 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,600 Speaker 1: at all on the order of a Ford or a 472 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 1: GM UM. I think at some point Testa will will 473 00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:22,000 Speaker 1: probably need a production partner if it really wants to 474 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:26,639 Speaker 1: become a mammoth producer of vehicles at a lower price 475 00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:29,719 Speaker 1: point than it than it sells right now. UM. On 476 00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:32,520 Speaker 1: the other hand, I don't think legacy companies can just 477 00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 1: sit back and say we have production advantages, we have 478 00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 1: marketing advantages, we have scale, we're authentically global, Therefore we 479 00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:43,720 Speaker 1: can let someone else innovate and then we'll pick them 480 00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 1: off when they're mature enough. That's a dangerous strategy for 481 00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 1: any corporation in any industry, and we've seen this in media. 482 00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:55,720 Speaker 1: We've seen it in traditional manufacturing and other sectors where 483 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 1: people wait too long to innovate. Well, Tim, thank you. 484 00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 1: You're always innovation with your columns, so we appreciate it. 485 00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 1: Tim O'Brien is senior columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, and his 486 00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,520 Speaker 1: column to say Mary barn needs to explain GMS Nicola 487 00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:10,440 Speaker 1: miss step pretty much speaks for itself. To have a 488 00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:14,400 Speaker 1: read of it. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Markets podcast. 489 00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:17,880 Speaker 1: You can subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts 490 00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:21,600 Speaker 1: or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm Bonnie Quinn. I'm 491 00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:24,280 Speaker 1: on Twitter at Bonny Quinn, and I'm Paul Sweeney. I'm 492 00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 1: on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you can 493 00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 1: always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio.