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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning addition to the Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt Bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: where we always live with this podcast and we're always

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by bet mg M. So what

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Speaker 1: does losing feel like? I'm guessing this was a lost

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Speaker 1: day because I waited long enough for the Figaredo Moreno

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Speaker 1: fight to end, and it's not gonna end anytime soon.

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Speaker 1: So here we are, ten o'clock Pacific time. I gotta

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Speaker 1: tape this. I got things to do and I've got

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Speaker 1: to get this out. So right now we are down

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Speaker 1: for the day. Now, if Figuredo does get the submission,

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Speaker 1: we would actually be I think a little up for

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Speaker 1: the day because it's a three to one long shot.

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Speaker 1: What we did yesterday was a Hail Mary, no sorry,

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Speaker 1: heat check podcast, so I was tempting fate. I wanted

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Speaker 1: to see how hot that I was, and look, it

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Speaker 1: didn't didn't go well. Okay, So we end the twenty

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Speaker 1: five to five run over seven days, and that was

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Speaker 1: a damn good run in a lot of fun. So

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Speaker 1: we take our winnings we take what we're up and

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Speaker 1: then we head to a Sunday. So that was just

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Speaker 1: to see, Okay, how hot am I? I didn't like

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Speaker 1: the card all that much. I bet the over via

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Speaker 1: a teaser, but I bet the over in a game

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Speaker 1: teasing it down to thirty one and a half in

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Speaker 1: a game where the under had hit for fourteenth straight years,

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Speaker 1: now fifteen straight years for Army Navy. Navy doesn't score

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Speaker 1: a single point fifteen nothing to win. Army covers the

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Speaker 1: one and a half point line, but they do not

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Speaker 1: cover that thirty one and a half. The better play

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Speaker 1: would have been teased it up and take the under.

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Speaker 1: That was the better play should have done that. So

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Speaker 1: that was bad by me. But I really did thought

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Speaker 1: I thought, and I was dead wrong, but I thought

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Speaker 1: we were gonna see a lot of offense in that

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Speaker 1: football game, just because it felt like it was time.

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Speaker 1: So I was wrong, okay wrong there. I had the

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Speaker 1: one game we had right which washed out the one

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Speaker 1: unit lost on the teaser was the one unit win

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Speaker 1: on North Carolina in Miami. A lot of you guys

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Speaker 1: were questioning, Matt, that's seventy points. That's a lot of points. Well,

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Speaker 1: that game went way over it, Like, wait, Miami North

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Speaker 1: Carolina went incredibly far blowing past that, so that was fine.

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Speaker 1: And then man Coastal Carolina, they came back and won

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Speaker 1: the game outright, so I'm happy for them to get

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Speaker 1: the victory outright, but Coastal does not cover the thirteen

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Speaker 1: and a half point line. Troy really tough, hang tough,

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Speaker 1: hung tough, nearly won the game, took the lead late,

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Speaker 1: and then Coastal came back with the last second touchdown

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Speaker 1: to win the game to keep them alive at least

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Speaker 1: for a potential to make it into the College Football

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Speaker 1: New Year Six Bowl games. But they do not cover

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Speaker 1: the thirteen a half point line. So on the one

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Speaker 1: unit plays, we go one and two. So that's a

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Speaker 1: loss that stinks. Now, McKenzie durn wins her fight, but

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Speaker 1: she does not get it by submission, which was kind

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Speaker 1: of interesting. And then we're watching this fight right now

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Speaker 1: and maybe Figuredo will get it in while we're taping this.

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Speaker 1: Maybe he gets the tap out, and if that happens,

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Speaker 1: then we will wind up getting this and potentially have

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Speaker 1: a have an update. That's a three to one long

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Speaker 1: shot there, so out of half a unit that would

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Speaker 1: win a one and a half units, and that would

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Speaker 1: put us pretty much up for the day. But as

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Speaker 1: of right now, that's our first losing day, down two units,

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Speaker 1: our first losing day. If the Marino thing, if we

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Speaker 1: don't end up getting it, it is a it's a

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Speaker 1: negative day for us minus two units on a Saturday.

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Speaker 1: So okay, so we're back here on a Sunday reminder

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Speaker 1: about how tomorrow's going to go. So, as I said

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Speaker 1: before in previous podcasts, Dan Harris's prop bets are gonna

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Speaker 1: become the Matt Parolt prop bets. He's gonna give me

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Speaker 1: five of them. I'm gonna give them to you. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet them. Those are the places I'm going to

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Speaker 1: make now. He plays at Draftking, So I've got to

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Speaker 1: be a little bit creative to see how I can

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Speaker 1: find you know, whether those props are available here in

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Speaker 1: Vegas or if I need a family member to place

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Speaker 1: the bets for me. But we're gonna have Dan Harris's

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Speaker 1: prop bets be my bets account for the daily juice.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna bet them, and that's what we're doing tomorrow

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Speaker 1: morning or this morning, I should say, at eleven am

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Speaker 1: Eastern time, eight am Pacific for the Daily Juice live

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Speaker 1: stream on YouTube YouTube dot com slash Betting pro. So

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Speaker 1: looking forward to seeing all you guys there. We'll go

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Speaker 1: through all the numbers. There's been a lot of line movements.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot of interesting things. There's some things I'm

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Speaker 1: watching and like, okay, let's give you an example what

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Speaker 1: I'm watching. So I was gonna take the Chargers at

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Speaker 1: plus two and a half. There's been a ton of

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Speaker 1: money coming in here on the Falcons, and the sharps

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Speaker 1: are on the Falcons. I don't trust the Chargers. They

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Speaker 1: haven't lost a game by more than ten points all year.

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Speaker 1: I don't trust the Chargers really at all here. So

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Speaker 1: what I'm waiting to see is how much the public

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Speaker 1: are gonna get involved with the Los Angeles Chargers. And

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Speaker 1: the line was minus two and a half for the Falcons.

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Speaker 1: It's all come in here, heavy, heavy, heavy on the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: So I mean, I don't know what to do with it.

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Speaker 1: So it's to pick them right now. I thought about

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Speaker 1: teasing it up, but it's under a touchdown. It would

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Speaker 1: just be to seven, so sorry, just be to six.

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Speaker 1: So if I could potentially get one point two points,

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Speaker 1: I mean, if we can go back the other way

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Speaker 1: two and a half. I got to see where we go.

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Speaker 1: Maybe if the Falcons get you know, a point, I

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Speaker 1: may I need to get a teaser over seven over seven,

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Speaker 1: and then I probably would use the chargers in a teaser. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I wanted to take the chargers. I just couldn't go

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Speaker 1: ahead and do it. It just didn't make a lot

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Speaker 1: of sense for me to be able to hammer it,

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Speaker 1: so I passed on that game. We've seen line movements

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Speaker 1: in line flips across, so we'll go over all of

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Speaker 1: it coming up this morning in the live stream, So

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Speaker 1: join us on the live stream and we'll get into

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Speaker 1: a lot of really fun stuff here. So I've got

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Speaker 1: four plays I want to talk about. I was going

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Speaker 1: to play a total, but I've been really bad with totals,

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Speaker 1: so I might add on the live stream. I may

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Speaker 1: have a total under that I'm looking at that I

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Speaker 1: might take, but I haven't taken it yet. I got

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Speaker 1: to do a little more research on it. So just

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Speaker 1: for the live stream and for the podcast. Here we

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Speaker 1: got four plays, three sides in one teaser, the Parol

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Speaker 1: two team teaser, which is nine and four on the

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Speaker 1: year we're gonna try to get to our tenth win

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Speaker 1: here in week four, team go to ten and four

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Speaker 1: on the Parol two team teaser, which is important because

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Speaker 1: we pay minus one twenty five juice at least I

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Speaker 1: pay minus one twenty five juice on this, So you

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Speaker 1: got to have a really good mark to overcome that

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Speaker 1: level of juice. You can't be going like six and four.

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Speaker 1: You got to be way more than that to make

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Speaker 1: money and make it worthwhile to tease these games. So

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Speaker 1: you guys know what bet MGM the offer we offer

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Speaker 1: you every morning here on the Daily Juice. It is

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Speaker 1: a one dollar bet on a money line for a

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Speaker 1: team to win here on Sunday if a touchdown is

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Speaker 1: scored during that game. It is a one hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: win one hundred dollars in free bets when you bet

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Speaker 1: one dollar on the money line for a game here

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Speaker 1: today on Sunday. Visit betemgim dot com for terms and conditions.

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Speaker 1: You must be twenty one years older and physically located

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Speaker 1: in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or West Virginia. Please gamble

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Speaker 1: responsibly gambling problem one hundred and five to two forty

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Speaker 1: seven hundred in Colorado, one hrnd gambler in New Jersey,

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia, or one hundred and nine with it

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Speaker 1: in inde Anna. All right, let's start. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: in the order of the plays that I like. I

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Speaker 1: got this at seven. It's seven and a half right now.

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Speaker 1: You can if you would like, if you would want to,

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Speaker 1: you can buy the half a point and buy it

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Speaker 1: down to seven. I would recommend it because that's what

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Speaker 1: I played. I play at seven. This is my favorite

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Speaker 1: play of the weekend, and it is going against a

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Speaker 1: ton of numbers. The Casey Chiefs are on the road

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Speaker 1: at the Dolphins. The Miami Dolphins are nine and three

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Speaker 1: against the spread. The Ksey Chiefs have not covered an

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Speaker 1: number for four straight games. Here's the thing. They're starting

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Speaker 1: to listen, and they're starting to hear that they're bored,

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Speaker 1: that they're not interested, and that they're not playing great football.

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Speaker 1: They've won by two, four, three, and six. That is

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Speaker 1: not good. Okay, that is not good for a team

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Speaker 1: that wants to win a championship. However, we're in Miami,

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Speaker 1: nice weather, Patrick Mahomes against the defense that everyone is

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Speaker 1: saying that defense is going to shut down Patrick Mahomes,

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Speaker 1: that defense is going to frustrate Patrick Mahomes. Okay, So

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Speaker 1: Miami ninety three against the number. They have been on

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Speaker 1: fire okay, and I mean on fire against the number

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Speaker 1: they have had. They've covered the last two. They didn't

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Speaker 1: cover against Denver, but they cover the previous five. They

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Speaker 1: are seven in one against the number over their last

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Speaker 1: eight games. That is with Tua or Ryan Fitzpatrick. Here

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Speaker 1: is my one fear with this play. And you always

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Speaker 1: have fears, but I do have a fear that Ryan

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Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick will play in this game. He's the better quarterback.

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Speaker 1: For whatever reason, the Dolphins like to attack of a

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Speaker 1: low and they think that guy can do it. He

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Speaker 1: cannot keep pace with this offense, no way. I don't

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Speaker 1: care how good the defense is. I don't care what

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Speaker 1: you think about the defense. For the Dolphins. They cannot

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Speaker 1: keep pace with this Chief team. Chiefs are gonna score

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Speaker 1: thirty points, right, they just are. It always happens they're

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Speaker 1: gonna score thirty. The question is how many points will

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins score. Dolphins have scored nineteen, twenty, thirteen, twenty nine.

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Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, they scored thirty four against the Cardinals,

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Speaker 1: a bunch of you know, on the road previously, you know,

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Speaker 1: over a month ago. But that's not This offense just

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Speaker 1: isn't there with Tua. It's just not And so to me,

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Speaker 1: I think this is gonna be a real tough game

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Speaker 1: for Miami to score enough to keep up. And I

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Speaker 1: think they're gonna try to play Tua and they think

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Speaker 1: Tua is the guy to get them to the postseason.

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Speaker 1: And frankly, I don't know if they care about this

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Speaker 1: game all that much because it it doesn't matter. With

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Speaker 1: the Patriots losing on Thursday, it probably doesn't really matter

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Speaker 1: for the Dolphins. Here. I'm gonna lay the seven points

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Speaker 1: with Kansas City. I thought about teasing it. I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna do it. I'm just gonna expect this Casey Chiefs

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Speaker 1: team to actually play four quarters, to put together a

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Speaker 1: complete game, which they have not done so in a while.

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Speaker 1: And the weather, I think factors in. I think two

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Speaker 1: is gonna throw interceptions. I think this team's gonna pressure,

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Speaker 1: and he will press, trying to score points and throwing

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Speaker 1: the ball down the field. I like Kansas City. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the seven here with the Casey Chiefs on

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Speaker 1: the road against the Miami Dolphins. It's a road favorite,

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Speaker 1: I know, but it's Mahomes and I just think it's

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Speaker 1: time for this team to finally go over potentially and

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Speaker 1: not just that, but actually get a double digit win

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Speaker 1: on the road and play and hold on to a lead,

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Speaker 1: rather than what they did the last time they were

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Speaker 1: in Florida, which was go up seventeen to nothing and

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Speaker 1: then get out scored seventeen to seven the rest of

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Speaker 1: the way. So I think they're gonna try to put

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Speaker 1: together four straight quarters here and put up a big,

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Speaker 1: numb and beat up on the Miami Dolphins and say,

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Speaker 1: look at you, guys are not ready yet. You're a

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Speaker 1: year ahead of schedule. You're not ready to play against

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Speaker 1: the Casey Chiefs. And I think they will cover. For

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Speaker 1: the first time in five games, the Chiefs will cover.

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Speaker 1: They used to be an ATM machine. They really haven't

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Speaker 1: been now. It's the Dolphins being the ATM machine. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna fade that and take the Chiefs to bounce back,

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Speaker 1: all right. Game number two, the Arizona Cardinals at the

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Speaker 1: New York Giants. This game's interesting. Danny Dimes is gonna play.

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones is back for the Giants. The Giants against

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Speaker 1: the number eight and four. Cardinals against the number five

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Speaker 1: and seven, but they have not covered in their last

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Speaker 1: five games. This is a trend. I'm actually going to continue,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna bet where I went against it with

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs. I think there's something fundamentally wrong here with

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. And I thought about buying the half a point.

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Speaker 1: I really went back and forth on it, and I

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Speaker 1: just decided, you know what, I'm just gonna lay the

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Speaker 1: two and a half. Sorry, I'm gonna take two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Excuse me, not gonna la. I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: the two and a half, and I'm not gonna buy

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Speaker 1: it up to three. I'm just gonna expect the Giants

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Speaker 1: to win the game outright. The Giants are eight and

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Speaker 1: four against number Cardinals are five and seven against number

248
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Speaker 1: I don't believe Kyler Murray is healthy. Larry Fitzgerald's coming

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Speaker 1: back off of COVID nineteen. It'll be great to have

250
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Speaker 1: him back, but look it, when you I mean COVID's

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Speaker 1: COVID okay, and they need him to be healthy, and

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Speaker 1: he's not going to be healthy. He lost nine pounds

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Speaker 1: during COVID nineteen. He had a big time battle with it,

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Speaker 1: real symptoms, real problems. He's not gonna be out there,

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Speaker 1: you know, for thirty snaps today. He's gonna have problems.

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Speaker 1: And this Giants defense is playing really well. They're giving

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Speaker 1: up twenty two points per game. Look, this is the game.

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Speaker 1: I'm eyeballing for the under. I may play the under

259
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Speaker 1: forty seven in this game. I have not fired on

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Speaker 1: it yet. This is you know yesterday I had two Leans.

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Speaker 1: If you played I guess if you played all the Leans,

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Speaker 1: you went three and two in football. So I had

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Speaker 1: the ball State game, right, and I had the first

264
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Speaker 1: half Alabama right. I didn't bet it, so I can't

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Speaker 1: claim that is mine. I just told you if you

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Speaker 1: want more action, those are plays I would make. I

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Speaker 1: just didn't make them. I should have. It was stupid

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Speaker 1: of me not to do it. I mean, everyone says,

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Speaker 1: why are you talking about Leans? We're not gonna bet it. Well,

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Speaker 1: it's just plays that I'm not just fully committed yet

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Speaker 1: to say yes to. I should have been. It was

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Speaker 1: my bad on both of those, because both of those hit.

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Speaker 1: If we had bet those, we would have been up

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Speaker 1: three to two, and then the durned thing wouldn't have mattered,

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Speaker 1: and the day still probably would have came down to

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Speaker 1: Figaredo and whether or not he covered. You know, if

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Speaker 1: if you got a submission to cover, but we probably

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Speaker 1: would have been we would have been what three and two,

279
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Speaker 1: so we would have been up like point eight, so

280
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Speaker 1: we would have been down a little bit. Still, yes,

281
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Speaker 1: it didn't matter, so it still would have been down.

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Speaker 1: Still would have been losing day. Even if if I

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Speaker 1: did bet those two, but I didn't, it would have

284
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Speaker 1: been less of a losing day zero point two versus

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Speaker 1: two full units being down. But so, I I mean,

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Speaker 1: I'm still not ice cold. I'm not ice I'm just

287
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Speaker 1: sort of cooling off just a little bit here. So

288
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Speaker 1: you might go, Matt, this is crazy, but this is

289
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Speaker 1: a really big public play. Everyone's on the Cardinals. I

290
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Speaker 1: mean everyone thinks the Cardinals here, Giants offense is concerning.

291
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Speaker 1: I'll give you that they just can't score. And if

292
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Speaker 1: they score seventeen to twenty points, I think they win

293
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Speaker 1: because I think this Giants defense with Joe Judge of

294
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Speaker 1: what he's doing, I mean, look, I think he's gonna

295
00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:09,559
Speaker 1: take the offense. I mean the game plan against the

296
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Speaker 1: offense that you saw with Patriots. I think he's gon

297
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Speaker 1: try to do the same exact thing. Giants are physical.

298
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Speaker 1: Giants are getting up the field. Giants are getting after

299
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Speaker 1: the quarterback. I mean they're giving up five point four

300
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,760
Speaker 1: yards per play right now, which is really really good.

301
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Speaker 1: I mean they're getting after the quarterback. They're hard to

302
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Speaker 1: run on. They're given up four yards per rush, that's

303
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Speaker 1: eighth best. And this running attack used to be all

304
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Speaker 1: about Kyler Murray, who was not running anymore. So even

305
00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:36,200
Speaker 1: though they're still averaging five yards per rush, that's not

306
00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,640
Speaker 1: what they're doing anymore. They're concerned about Kyler Murray. I

307
00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:41,480
Speaker 1: think Murray's concerned about about himself. He just isn't the

308
00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:43,600
Speaker 1: same quarterback if he can't run. I mean, that whole

309
00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,440
Speaker 1: offense is built upon Kyler Murray being able to run,

310
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Speaker 1: and I don't think he's healthy. So maybe he goes

311
00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:50,880
Speaker 1: out here and lights the world on fire. But this

312
00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:53,640
Speaker 1: is a West Coast team traveling across the country with

313
00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:57,320
Speaker 1: an early start time, and you're dealing with a Giants

314
00:14:57,400 --> 00:15:00,680
Speaker 1: team who has to keep winning and has to keep

315
00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:04,120
Speaker 1: playing well because Washington is playing well, and they gotta

316
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Speaker 1: win the division to make the postseason. So I mean,

317
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Speaker 1: in Joe Judge's first year, if he wins the NFC

318
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Speaker 1: East and goes to the playoffs, it's a monster deal

319
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Speaker 1: in New York and a monster first step for Joe Judge.

320
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Speaker 1: So this is a big game for them. I think

321
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Speaker 1: they come out just playing their tails off. I think

322
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Speaker 1: they win the game outright, to be quite honest. That's

323
00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:25,560
Speaker 1: why I'm willing not to buy the three and just

324
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Speaker 1: take it at two and a half. I don't think

325
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Speaker 1: the Giants are gonna win this game outright, and Arizona

326
00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:34,200
Speaker 1: swoon continues. I think there's something wrong with the Raiders.

327
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Speaker 1: There's something wrong with the Cardinals. I am playing the

328
00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:41,040
Speaker 1: Colts and all of my teams here, the Circa Million,

329
00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:45,800
Speaker 1: the Westgate reboot, and the DraftKings Pick Him contest, We're

330
00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:48,600
Speaker 1: going here on the Colts. I'm just not gonna bet

331
00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:51,360
Speaker 1: it here because I'm just not there yet. There's just

332
00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,680
Speaker 1: a little bit in the back of my mind going

333
00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:57,360
Speaker 1: uh oh on the Raiders and maybe Derek Carr. I

334
00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:00,360
Speaker 1: had a conversation with somebody from Pro Football Focus who

335
00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:02,440
Speaker 1: kind of put that bug in my ear as like

336
00:16:02,800 --> 00:16:05,400
Speaker 1: this is a bounce back spot here with the injuries

337
00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:07,720
Speaker 1: to the Colts and the fact that Rivers is not healthy,

338
00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:10,400
Speaker 1: it was gonna be a shootout. There's another game. Maybe

339
00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:12,560
Speaker 1: I might play the over. I might just bet it

340
00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:14,680
Speaker 1: myself and not have it for the juice, but maybe

341
00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:18,720
Speaker 1: the over for Colts and Raiders. But you know, maybe

342
00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:21,000
Speaker 1: they come back home after nearly losing to the Jets

343
00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:23,200
Speaker 1: and they play the game of the season. So I'm

344
00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,040
Speaker 1: a little bit concerned to put money behind it. But

345
00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,400
Speaker 1: I am taking, you know, the Colts minus two and

346
00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:30,280
Speaker 1: a half minus three in the Pickham Contest, in the

347
00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:33,080
Speaker 1: in the Pit contest, So I'm just not there to

348
00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:35,160
Speaker 1: bet it. But I think there's problems in Arizona and

349
00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:38,080
Speaker 1: there's problems in Las Vegas with both those teams. I'm

350
00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:40,520
Speaker 1: taking the Giants plus two and a half at home

351
00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,480
Speaker 1: against the Cardinals, and then, speaking of plus two and

352
00:16:43,520 --> 00:16:47,520
Speaker 1: a half Sunday Night football, this one's gonna be. You

353
00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:49,960
Speaker 1: guys are gonna hate this pick, but you know what

354
00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:55,280
Speaker 1: I'm doing here, I'm gonna fade. If Buffalo had fans,

355
00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:58,600
Speaker 1: I would say okay, but they're not gonna have fans.

356
00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:03,440
Speaker 1: This is Pittsburgh Buffalo. This is big boy versus new

357
00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:06,160
Speaker 1: kid on the block. I got two and a half

358
00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:10,400
Speaker 1: points here on the Pittsburgh Steelers, and I'm taking these

359
00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:13,000
Speaker 1: two and a half points and I'm gonna fade Buffalo.

360
00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:16,399
Speaker 1: I know it's a seven and five mark for the Bills,

361
00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:20,119
Speaker 1: but they've covered their last four games. I totally get that.

362
00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:22,800
Speaker 1: You're gonna go matt Man. You're going up against Josh Allen.

363
00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:25,240
Speaker 1: He played the game of his life last week against

364
00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:28,720
Speaker 1: San Francisco. This defense where Pittsburgh hasn't looked great, I'll

365
00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:32,400
Speaker 1: give you that. I understand. I think Pittsburgh bounces back

366
00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:34,760
Speaker 1: in a big way. I think they needed to lose.

367
00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:37,960
Speaker 1: I think Josh Allen's gonna get blitzed into eternity. Even

368
00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:40,840
Speaker 1: without Bud Dupree and injuries. I think you're gonna see

369
00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:44,240
Speaker 1: a blitz happy Pittsburgh and they're gonna make life a

370
00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:47,840
Speaker 1: living hell here for Josh Allen. And when that happens

371
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,920
Speaker 1: Josh Allen makes mistakes. I think the Pittsburgh defense is

372
00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:53,199
Speaker 1: gonna turn the football over and I think that for finally,

373
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,119
Speaker 1: the receivers are gonna hang onto the ball because I

374
00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:57,119
Speaker 1: don't think that that offense is very good. Sorry, that

375
00:17:57,119 --> 00:17:59,720
Speaker 1: defense is very good for Buffalo. They don't stop the

376
00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:01,680
Speaker 1: run very well. I think Betting Snell might have a

377
00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:06,520
Speaker 1: big day running the football primetime Ben Roethlisberger. Pittsburgh bounces back,

378
00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 1: they win the game outright. I'm gonna take the two

379
00:18:09,119 --> 00:18:11,360
Speaker 1: and a half points again, much like what I said

380
00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:13,520
Speaker 1: with the Giants. I'm not gonna buy it to three

381
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:17,400
Speaker 1: because I think they win the game outright. So Steelers outright,

382
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,240
Speaker 1: Giants outright, will take the two and a half points

383
00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:22,520
Speaker 1: just in case. But we're gonna take the number here.

384
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:24,200
Speaker 1: Take the points two and a half, two and a half,

385
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:26,480
Speaker 1: and then we're gonna lay it with Kansas City minus

386
00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:29,560
Speaker 1: seven and then the fourth pick. The Parol two team

387
00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:33,919
Speaker 1: teaser is one where I'm taking two teams that I

388
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:37,160
Speaker 1: like to win these games today, but I'm not positive

389
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:42,520
Speaker 1: about them covering the lines. So the Saints are laying seven,

390
00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:48,520
Speaker 1: seven and a half here on the road up against Philadelphia. Now,

391
00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:50,800
Speaker 1: I know a lot of people are liking this the

392
00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:53,600
Speaker 1: lines climbing, though, I mean they think the Eagles on

393
00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:56,960
Speaker 1: the side. Let them bet it up and then take Philadelphia.

394
00:18:57,040 --> 00:18:59,960
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna take the Eagles to lose the game.

395
00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease it down to one. I got it

396
00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:04,200
Speaker 1: at seven. It's eight right now. I got it at

397
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,600
Speaker 1: seven or seven and a half. Sorry, tease it down

398
00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:09,280
Speaker 1: to one and a half. Okay, So I went from

399
00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:11,639
Speaker 1: one and I'm down to one and a half for

400
00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:15,480
Speaker 1: the Saints against the Eagles on the road, essentially just

401
00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:17,320
Speaker 1: to win the game by more than you know, by

402
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,359
Speaker 1: a field goal, okay, Saints to win the game and

403
00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 1: then the Bucks off of their by the Bucks are

404
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,600
Speaker 1: at home and Tampa Bay has got to play well

405
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,640
Speaker 1: in the vikings I don't think are very good. So

406
00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:32,919
Speaker 1: I have bet six and a half in the contests.

407
00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,280
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease it down to one and a half.

408
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:38,119
Speaker 1: I'm taking Tampa minus one and a half, New Orleans

409
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:41,520
Speaker 1: minus one. Oh sorry, now Tampa mius one New Orleans

410
00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,600
Speaker 1: minus one and a half. Excuse me. In our two

411
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,480
Speaker 1: team teaser parole two team teaser, that's nine and four

412
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:50,440
Speaker 1: need them to win. Okay, I thought, and I might

413
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,280
Speaker 1: do it on my own, taking the Steelers and the

414
00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:55,679
Speaker 1: Giants and teasing them both up to eight and a half.

415
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:57,320
Speaker 1: I still might do that. I'm just not gonna do

416
00:19:57,400 --> 00:19:59,719
Speaker 1: that officially. That's just gonna be maybe want some more

417
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,880
Speaker 1: act shouldn't you want to run with here? But this

418
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,320
Speaker 1: is a big teaser day to me. I think as

419
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,800
Speaker 1: you get later in the year moving the number, it's

420
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,399
Speaker 1: smarter and smarter to move the number and give yourself

421
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,520
Speaker 1: more and more of a cushion. So if you want

422
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,200
Speaker 1: to tease up Pittsburgh and tease up the Giants, I'm

423
00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:17,719
Speaker 1: going to do that too. So go ahead, you can

424
00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:19,400
Speaker 1: jump on that as well if you want. I'm gonna

425
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:22,679
Speaker 1: do that, but not officially for the podcast. So the

426
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:26,120
Speaker 1: four officient plays for the podcast Casey minus seven. We're

427
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,920
Speaker 1: taking the Giants plus two and a half, Steelers plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half, and the teaser Saints minus one

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Speaker 1: and a half and the Bucks minus one. I will

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Speaker 1: talk to you on the live stream beginning at eleven

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Speaker 1: am Eastern Time. Dan Harris and Matt Parolt's part prop bets.

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Speaker 1: We'll be coming at you. I will go down all

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Speaker 1: the games, tell you about line movements, tell you where

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Speaker 1: the money is going, tell you what side you should

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Speaker 1: be on for these different games. We'll have a lot

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Speaker 1: of fun coming up on the podcast today for one

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Speaker 1: hour on the Betting Pros YouTube channel YouTube dot com

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Speaker 1: slash Betting Pros. My name is Matt Paroltz. I would

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Speaker 1: talk to you for the live stream. It's week fourteen.

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Speaker 1: Let's get after its. Follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. It's The Diligence Podcast every single Sunday, every

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00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:10,640
Speaker 1: single Monday, every day of the week off Bettypros dot com.

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Speaker 1: It's all brought to you by BETFGM.