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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action awesome.

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Speaker 1: All right. Here we go throwing a song. We're saying

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Speaker 1: it's a cash touchdown.

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Speaker 2: That we see most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 2: they go to Wind.

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Speaker 3: That's incredible, big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money. All right. This is the

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Speaker 2: ultimate kambition if you.

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Speaker 4: Want to pack.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway. Welcome into the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 1: We are presented by Fan Duel, your host friend, and Glasheen,

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Speaker 1: joined by Brandon Anderson and Jill Galanchio is back this

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Speaker 1: week for the recap show. NFL Divisional Round Recap episode

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Speaker 1: coming to you on Sunday night, a little earlier start

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Speaker 1: for us on the record time because of the earlier

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Speaker 1: six point thirty start Dallas in San Francisco. That game

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Speaker 1: just up. Let's not waste any time. We'll dive in.

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Speaker 1: So just to kind of get your folks set here,

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Speaker 1: we will dissect the four games, the two from Saturday,

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Speaker 1: two from tonight, and then we'll do the not so

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Speaker 1: much super anymore, but we'll call it super. A lot

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Speaker 1: to pick apart in the two conference title games coming

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Speaker 1: your way next Sunday. So that's on the way. The

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Speaker 1: Super Hot Raid. We'll still call it the super Hot Raid.

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Speaker 1: Two games it means it's super Okay, We're gonna let

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Speaker 1: Jill go first here because Dallas falls nineteen twelve to

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Speaker 1: the San Francisco forty nine ers Niners cover three and

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Speaker 1: a half unders hit across the board. That's the theme

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Speaker 1: of the night, all unders after the over went five

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Speaker 1: and one last week, Jill, your thoughts on Dallas, Your

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Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys season comes to an end.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean you could have told me that I

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Speaker 5: was in a coma for the last year and then

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Speaker 5: woke up and it was the exact same result as

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Speaker 5: last year. Like it basically played out the nearly the

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Speaker 5: same way. Costly penalties, four clock management, bad play calls,

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Speaker 5: just another typical season.

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Speaker 2: Ender for the Cowboys.

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Speaker 5: And we saw two Dak interceptions in the first half

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Speaker 5: and the Cowboys got pretty lucky. The fact they only

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Speaker 5: resulted really in six points was a miracle, and it

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Speaker 5: was a miracle that the Cowboys were only down by

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Speaker 5: three at halftime, even though they did get their early

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Speaker 5: touchdown to Dalton Schultz. But the turning point in this

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Speaker 5: game was losing Tony Pollard, at least from a Cowboys

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Speaker 5: better perspective. If you had a plus four ticket and

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Speaker 5: you saw Tony Pollard go down on the field, you

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Speaker 5: had to feel just like I did as a fan,

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Speaker 5: where you just feel like there is no hope because

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Speaker 5: that is the most explosive player on the Cowboys sorely

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Speaker 5: needed in those checkdown spots when the defensive line was

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Speaker 5: just overrunning that Cowboys offensive line. Even Demko Ryans had mentioned,

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Speaker 5: like in pregame that Tony Pollard was the one that

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Speaker 5: they were game planning for, like him and Ceedee Lamb.

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Speaker 5: But the forty nine ers, the one thing I will

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Speaker 5: give them credit for is in the fourth quarter to

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Speaker 5: double digit drives to really just kind of seal this

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Speaker 5: game ten plays ninety one yeard touchdown drive had to

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Speaker 5: have a couple of lucky bounces go their way. You

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Speaker 5: had the George Kittle bobble catch. You know, you had

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Speaker 5: a dropped interception by Trayvon Diggs in the end zone.

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Speaker 5: You know, Christian McCaffrey was untouched walking into the end zone.

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Speaker 5: And then they had another eleven play drive to basically

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Speaker 5: seal the game. And then McCarthy decides, you know what,

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Speaker 5: we got two and a half minutes left we got

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Speaker 5: three timeouts, let's just punt it. You know, I bet

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Speaker 5: you our defense could hold it. No, clearly, you guys

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Speaker 5: are gas. You gotta let this go. You got to go.

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Speaker 5: I know it's fourth and ten. I know you're in

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Speaker 5: your own territory, but anybody with an eye test would

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Speaker 5: have saw that there was no way that you could

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Speaker 5: let your defense go back out there on the field.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, it's just one of those things that you

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Speaker 5: just kind of as a Cowboys fan. I'm not going

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Speaker 5: to be too disappointed because I feel like the defense

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Speaker 5: they held up their end of the bargain. Like, I know,

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Speaker 5: they gave up nineteen points, but a lot of that

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Speaker 5: was more short field, like they didn't really give the

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Speaker 5: Niners any easy looks, especially like give them that fourth quarter.

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Speaker 5: So the Cowboys just couldn't get it done. And Yeah,

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Speaker 5: should be very interesting to see if Mike McCarthy is

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Speaker 5: still the head coach of this team next year.

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Speaker 1: Wow, you're going there?

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Speaker 2: Huh?

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Speaker 1: Even after a win against against the Bucks.

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Speaker 2: Sean Payton, Wow putting it out there now?

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Speaker 1: Well, unless there's news that breaks here in the next

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Speaker 1: twelve hours that they better credit here first.

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Speaker 2: If you hear very good.

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Speaker 1: They better get.

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Speaker 3: They better hear the first one. First first ever mentioned

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Speaker 3: the idea of Sean payn to the Cowboys.

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Speaker 5: Never had any affiliation with the Cowboys ever in his career,

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Speaker 5: so I think there couldn't be any reason why we

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Speaker 5: could connect those docks.

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Speaker 1: So you're right. This game played out very similarly to

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Speaker 1: last year. I would argue the quarterback draw at the

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Speaker 1: end of last year's game was way worse than not

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Speaker 1: punting the ball with a little more urgency to uh

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Speaker 1: allow San Francisco to run more plays before the two

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Speaker 1: minute warning. But yes, when Pollard went out, he got

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Speaker 1: the feeling like it checks another box that the Zeke

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Speaker 1: contract never made any sense because Zeke can't catch it

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Speaker 1: and run like Pollard. Not to say that that was

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Speaker 1: ever an expectation of Zeke, but they even lined up

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Speaker 1: Zeke at one point later in that game as a

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Speaker 1: receiver at the bottom of the screen. Watching that game

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Speaker 1: through Dak throws the two picks, as you mentioned, San

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Speaker 1: Francisco branded made more fifty to fifty plays in this game.

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Speaker 1: You have the George Kittle bobble catch. Diggs could have

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Speaker 1: had a pick in the red zone, came up empty

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Speaker 1: on that deflected ball by the Dallas front, and Brock

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Speaker 1: Purdy did just enough McCaffrey a few times over the

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Speaker 1: middle to move the chains, especially in the second half.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, pretty just enough and really Dak not enough. That

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Speaker 3: was kind of the story. I think Purdy was the

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Speaker 3: better quarterback in this game, and you can't let that

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Speaker 3: happen if you're Dak Prescott. Two interceptions, Honestly felt like

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Speaker 3: there were three or four others that any one of

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Speaker 3: them could have been. We had a near pick six

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Speaker 3: where he telegraphed it near the end of the game

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Speaker 3: that would have basically ended the season like that. There

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Speaker 3: were other chances there. Honestly, I think, you know, I

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Speaker 3: think you're being a little too hard on the Cowboys.

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Speaker 3: It's your team, so you're you're allowed. I kind of

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Speaker 3: feel like, in a way, it's it's it's fine. It's

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Speaker 3: it's like refreshing for the Cowboys just to lose to

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Speaker 3: the better team. No tragic scramble that ran the clock

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Speaker 3: out like no bobbled extra point, Tony Romo snap. All

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Speaker 3: the Cowboys endings are some ludicrous, like somebody's been working

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Speaker 3: all season in the writer's room to come up with it.

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Speaker 3: This was just, Hey, you know what, the defense was fantastic,

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Speaker 3: I think as well as you possibly could have hoped.

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Speaker 3: Dallas the defense to play, especially after those two turnovers.

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Speaker 3: Like you said, Niners defense was great too, just lost

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Speaker 3: to the better team. The Niners are really good and

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Speaker 3: the Cowboys honestly, I thought we're as good or better

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Speaker 3: through about three quarters until those late Niners drives that

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Speaker 3: kind of just took over and suddenly it was like, oh, yeah,

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Speaker 3: the line is taken over. They're running the ball, Dallas

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Speaker 3: can't get back on the field, and yeah, a little

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Speaker 3: wonky to punt the ball away late after he'd just

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Speaker 3: given up those two drives. The key stat for me

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Speaker 3: Dallas seventeen early down runs negative point three to one

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Speaker 3: epa per play. Obviously a lot of that had to

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Speaker 3: go on Ezekiel Elliott, who just isn't it anymore? Ten

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Speaker 3: carries for twenty six yards. That's been Dallas. They're the

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Speaker 3: run heaviest team in the whole playoffs. They put themselves

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Speaker 3: in hole early and then here's the bad combo. Not

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Speaker 3: only that late down passing negative point five to three

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Speaker 3: epa per play. Do you dug a hole early with

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Speaker 3: the run game. Now you're on second and eight. Now

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Speaker 3: you're on third and six, and Dak didn't bail him out,

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Speaker 3: and honestly already got the ball out a little bit

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Speaker 3: better than he did on a late down, So I

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Speaker 3: feel like that was kind of the difference there. We

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Speaker 3: didn't mention too. Just before the end of the half,

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Speaker 3: Dallas driving and then Dak throws the interception. Niners go

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Speaker 3: back and get the field goal just before halftime's six

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Speaker 3: point swing. We're at a seven point game here, so

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Speaker 3: every little thing mattered here. I don't know. I felt

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Speaker 3: like in a way like we, of course are gonna

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Speaker 3: do all the narratives because it's Niners Cowboys. I mean,

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Speaker 3: this was nineties football for me. This is what we

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Speaker 3: all of us grew up on watching list, so we're

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Speaker 3: gonna read all the narratives into it. But this is

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Speaker 3: just two good teams that both played pretty well, and

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Speaker 3: I think San fran played a little better.

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Speaker 1: I will say too, I was a little underwhelmed with

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Speaker 1: the San Francisco offense at times. Key plays were made,

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Speaker 1: no doubt, but you can still see there's hesitation in

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Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan to completely let Brock Purty loose. And we

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Speaker 1: talked about it all week leading up to the game.

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Speaker 1: This was his toughest test as far as the defense

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Speaker 1: he had to face since becoming the starter. We went

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Speaker 1: through the schedule end of the year, Raiders, Cardinals. He

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Speaker 1: did play well against Tampa, which on paper has a

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Speaker 1: good defense, Seattle twice. I was a little underwhelmed. And

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Speaker 1: we'll get to the film matchup for next week and

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Speaker 1: we'll see how that factors in. They got to face

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Speaker 1: that team, the way they played offensively, we'll get to that.

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Speaker 1: But brock Perty made just enough plays and sandwiched the

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Speaker 1: ball in his tight spots when asked.

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Speaker 3: So, yeah, act I agree. He would held the ball

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Speaker 3: a little long. Again. We noted that last week against

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Speaker 3: Seattle early in the game and he's he's it feels

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Speaker 3: like there if you could watch back, it felt like

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Speaker 3: there were like four or five plays again like last week,

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Speaker 3: where we're like a split second away from that mistake

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Speaker 3: where you're like, there we go, seventh thrond rookie. There

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Speaker 3: it was. We haven't quite got there. There's been late

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Speaker 3: in the season. There were a couple of times where

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Speaker 3: he threw what would have been a huge momentum swinging

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Speaker 3: interception and then he got taken off by penalty, or

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Speaker 3: it got called back for something else, or it fell

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Speaker 3: out of the guy's hands. Last week against Seattle, there

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Speaker 3: were a couple of big plays that almost went to Rye.

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Speaker 3: He held it too long, you tried to play my

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Speaker 3: homes and then got away with it. Today, again, there

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Speaker 3: was a couple of those moments, and right before half

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Speaker 3: he had the play where like literally they're just trying

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Speaker 3: to run the clock, throw the ball at a bounds

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Speaker 3: so they make sure Dallas didn't get a playoff, and

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Speaker 3: he nearly costs the Niners three points in a game

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Speaker 3: where it was six to six and every point really

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Speaker 3: mattered because he decided to scramble with like seven seconds

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Speaker 3: on the clock when they're just trying to throw it away.

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Speaker 3: So I don't know, if you're a Niners fan, obviously

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Speaker 3: the man hasn't lost, you can't be upset with it.

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Speaker 3: But you're about to go to Philly. That's a little

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Speaker 3: bit of a different atmosphere than playing at home in

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Speaker 3: San Francisco, And it definitely felt like Shanahan had the

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Speaker 3: training wheels on for at least the first half and

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Speaker 3: into the third quarter, and then pretty finally got to

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Speaker 3: make a few plays late. But I do think that

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Speaker 3: has to be on your mind. We saw it against

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Speaker 3: a good defense. Now Philly's defense is even better and

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Speaker 3: you get the home field. So I think that's going

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Speaker 3: to be the big story this week.

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Speaker 1: Earlier in the day on Sunday, the Cincinnati Bengals completely

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Speaker 1: blitz the Buffalo Bills in a snow game in Buffalo,

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Speaker 1: twenty seven to ten. They were underdogs in this game.

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Speaker 1: The line got to six, fell back to five and

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Speaker 1: a half. It was teetering between those two numbers before kickoff.

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Speaker 1: Under forty eight and a half was also the play.

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Speaker 1: I can't help it come away from this game, all

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Speaker 1: the narratives surrounding Buffalo, the Deamar Hamlin angle, how explosive

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Speaker 1: they were a Week one Super Bowl favorites, pretty much

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Speaker 1: the entire season. I come away from this saying, look,

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Speaker 1: the Bills never had an identity, and they're so Josh

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Speaker 1: Allen dependent that when they get in a mucky game

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Speaker 1: like this, how would they fare? And that offense never

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Speaker 1: got comfortable and Joe Burrow, that dude is a badass.

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Speaker 1: He mentioned the refund to Tracy Wolfson. After the refund

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Speaker 1: for the AFC Championship game that will no longer be

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Speaker 1: at a neutral site. Better send those refunds now. You'll

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Speaker 1: look just at sacked numbers. He got sacked once, Buffalo

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Speaker 1: did pressure him ten times. But Joe Burrow was was

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Speaker 1: that guy today, Brandon? He was fantastic.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I felt like too. It's funny you mentioned the

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Speaker 3: neutral site thing. We of course had all the conversation

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Speaker 3: because of the last meeting of these teams that didn't

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Speaker 3: end up happening, and what was going to happen? Who

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Speaker 3: got home field, one seed, neutral field all that. I

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Speaker 3: thought the Bills had a home field disadvantage. I thought

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Speaker 3: that's what cost them the game. Today they look like,

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Speaker 3: oh my god, what's the white stuff on the field?

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Speaker 3: What are we supposed to do with this? You're in Buffalo.

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Speaker 3: How do you not know the game plan for a

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Speaker 3: snow game? But it's we got like cover, zero blitzes coming,

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Speaker 3: but soft coverage. So we're at the goal line and

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Speaker 3: Burrow just takes a snap and throws it out to

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Speaker 3: Chase totally uncovered with like a five yard cushion. Oh hey,

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Speaker 3: you picked up the two yards for the first down, Like,

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Speaker 3: what are we doing? There's no footing. How do you

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Speaker 3: not know how to play a snow game when you're

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Speaker 3: the Buffalo Bills. I thought we needed more like quarterback

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Speaker 3: design runs. We know that's the Josh Allen thing, so

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Speaker 3: of course I thought that because my prop went awrye

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Speaker 3: on it. But instead we're dialing up the long deep

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Speaker 3: passes again, bouncing off guys hands. Buffalo I think because

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Speaker 3: of the snow, couldn't play zone a whole lot because

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Speaker 3: there's a little less time to recover. Joe Burrow is

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Speaker 3: way worse against the zone, so that just can't do

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Speaker 3: much about that. But that's another weather factor there. I

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Speaker 3: just to me, it felt like the Bengals had a

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Speaker 3: plan and knew what they were doing in the snow,

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Speaker 3: and it seemed like Buffalo just hadn't prepared for that

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Speaker 3: at all. Like Leslie Frasier, the defensive coinner, I thought

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Speaker 3: completely had no plan of what to do with the offense.

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Speaker 3: The play calling on the other side, Can Dorsey was

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Speaker 3: really rough. Lou Ana Arumo is getting a lot of

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Speaker 3: buzz today because of how he continues to adjust his

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Speaker 3: defense for the Bengals, and I thought that was the difference.

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Speaker 3: I thought the coaching was really the big advantage here,

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Speaker 3: and you know, beyond just that, the Bengals just came

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Speaker 3: into Buffer well and like slapped them in the face.

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Speaker 3: And like, if you didn't know who the home team was,

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Speaker 3: this is one of those games where you would think, oh,

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Speaker 3: this is opening weekend of the playoffs, and uh, the

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Speaker 3: poort Bills, they just you think they're from like Florida

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Speaker 3: or something like that. They're just so cold. They just

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Speaker 3: know they're not going to win. They're just they're not

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Speaker 3: in it. Just let them go home. They had a

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Speaker 3: nice season, they were home, though, Like, I don't understand

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Speaker 3: what happened. I just obviously a lot of emotion tied

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Speaker 3: to this particular matchup. So maybe there's something there that

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Speaker 3: we don't know about, or frankly that we do know about,

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Speaker 3: I guess, but it really just felt like they kind

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Speaker 3: of now showed to me.

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Speaker 1: Jill, would you make of the hype going into three

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Speaker 1: offensive lineman three starters out for the Bengals. They ruled

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Speaker 1: out Kappa as well as Williams. It turned out to

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Speaker 1: not be much of an issue. I think Brandon's right

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Speaker 1: on it there. There there was a plan by the

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Speaker 1: Bengals and they executed.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, the weather pretty much negated the Bengals own line

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Speaker 5: is sh because the defensive line could not get any footing.

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Speaker 5: And you even saw it from the run game. From

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Speaker 5: the Bengals standpoint, Joe Mixon had only his second one

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Speaker 5: hundred yard rushing game of the season. The only other

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Speaker 5: one was when he had went off like that four

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Speaker 5: touchdown game. Other than that, he has not been really

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Speaker 5: effective all season and pretty much was doing whatever he wanted.

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Speaker 5: He was averaging over six yards per carry. And Brandon,

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Speaker 5: you're right, man, it's like the Bills forgot how to

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Speaker 5: play in cold weather. Like it just they did not know.

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Speaker 5: They completely looked dishoveled. Not the shovel pun we can

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Speaker 5: cut that, that's kind of like.

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Speaker 2: But either way, the point that I'm trying to say is.

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Speaker 5: That in the first quarter the Bengals pretty much came

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Speaker 5: out and blitz them because the Bills only had eight

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Speaker 5: yards on seven plays in the first quarter, They had

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Speaker 5: zero first downs, Like they pretty much were down by

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Speaker 5: fourteen before they even knew it. And if you go

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Speaker 5: look through the entire season of the game logs of

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Speaker 5: the Bills, they've only been trailing by ten points twice

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Speaker 5: all season, like they haven't been trailed, like they just

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Speaker 5: they're not really a team I think that is designed

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Speaker 5: to come back from a three score game, and once

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Speaker 5: it went up by three scores, you kind of felt

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Speaker 5: like this game was getting out of reach, and especially

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Speaker 5: the Bengals defensive pressure. They got nearly sixty percent of

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Speaker 5: pressure on all Josh Allen's dropbacks, and Joe Burrow, as

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Speaker 5: you mentioned, only got sacked once the Bills they clearly

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Speaker 5: missed Von Miller. They only got less than fifteen percent

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Speaker 5: of pressure on the quarterback the entire game. That was

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Speaker 5: pretty much the difference I felt. And yeah, Joe Burrow again,

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Speaker 5: I think we got to start giving the man respect.

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Speaker 1: I think the snow is more was more of an

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Speaker 1: impact in this game than the snow game when they

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Speaker 1: hosted Miami. But yeah, I mean we got to spend

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Speaker 1: some time here on Buffalo. I just thought, again they

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Speaker 1: had no identity all season long. To Josh Allen, dependent.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, one thing too is obviously Joe Burrow everyone agrees

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Speaker 3: is a fantastic quarterback. I think coming into this and

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Speaker 3: I'm not saying one game should change our opinion, but

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Speaker 3: I think the prevailing opinion in NFL circles is it's

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Speaker 3: Mahomes one A, Josh Allen one B or number two,

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Speaker 3: depending how you want to do it, and then Burrow

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Speaker 3: and the other guys after that.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 3: But I think if you look at the quarterbacks, what

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Speaker 3: is something that Joe Burrow does better than Josh Allen.

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Speaker 3: He's got a little better touch and accuracy. I think

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Speaker 3: most people would say that. But I think what we

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Speaker 3: saw today really was the mental side of the game.

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Speaker 3: That Burrow is so good at his quickness in reading.

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Speaker 3: And I'm not taking away from what Alan is. Alan

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Speaker 3: obviously is fantastic at all the things too. But Cincinnati,

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Speaker 3: I thought, again Anna Rumo, the defensive coordinator, they had

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Speaker 3: a lot of kind of simulated pass pressure where one

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Speaker 3: guy would look like he's coming on one side and

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Speaker 3: then the blitz came on the other side. And there

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Speaker 3: was a lot of that happening where I thought Buffalo

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Speaker 3: would do that and confuse Burrow. They weren't doing anything

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Speaker 3: that offensive line. You never know there were guys injured

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Speaker 3: there because Burrow is just making decisions and getting the

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Speaker 3: ball out and never had any problem that mental side,

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Speaker 3: that decision making, the speed of how fast you get

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Speaker 3: the ball out is how quickly you can read the play,

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Speaker 3: go through your progressions, get the ball to your guys.

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Speaker 3: And I thought Alan that was a a flaw that

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Speaker 3: we saw today, that he couldn't make those decisions quick

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Speaker 3: enough or accurately enough in his own mind with though

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Speaker 3: he's processing, not at the elite, elite level that Joe

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Speaker 3: Burrow has proven he's doing time and again against these

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Speaker 3: top defenses. And I mean Buffalo did not looked like

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Speaker 3: a top defense today. They had no answers, they could

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Speaker 3: barely tackle, they could not get off the field. Thirty

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Speaker 3: first downs for the Bengals. That is a massive number.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, I think they missed Micah Hyde Buffalo did.

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Speaker 3: We thought he might get back for that one. The

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Speaker 3: one thing I felt confident in this game is I thought,

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Speaker 3: at least we know Buffalo is going to score. That

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Speaker 3: was score ten points. I mean, you can't do this,

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Speaker 3: no matter what the defense is doing, you can't come

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Speaker 3: up with ten points a stat to store away for

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Speaker 3: the future. We talked. I think I mentioned on the

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Speaker 3: Best Bets episode teams that won over seventy five percent

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Speaker 3: of their games in this divisional round, where I forget

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Speaker 3: the percentage. But when they play a team like the Bengals,

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Speaker 3: who also won seventy percenter. More, the team that also

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Speaker 3: is very good but is the underdog after this game

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Speaker 3: is now seventeen and two against the spread and the

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Speaker 3: divisional round. So the team that is the big favorite

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Speaker 3: because they had such a gott you win record, the Bills,

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Speaker 3: if they're playing another team just as good, want to

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Speaker 3: store away for a divisional round that that team tends

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Speaker 3: to show up. And boy did they ever this game.

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Speaker 1: Go back to Saturday, Jacksonville, Kansas City Chiefs get their

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Speaker 1: twenty seven to twenty. It wasn't easy, as we know,

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Speaker 1: and from the opening quarter we found out this could

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Speaker 1: be a bumpy road for the Chiefs. Jaguars cover plus

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Speaker 1: nine and a half, under fifty two, fifty two and

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Speaker 1: a half. I jumped in on the under the minute

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Speaker 1: Mahomes gut hurt. I was like, okay, let's hop in

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Speaker 1: on this because it didn't look good. He stays in

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Speaker 1: the game. This is late first quarter, Mahomes. We found

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Speaker 1: out now it's a high ankle sprain. He's already said

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Speaker 1: publicly that he will play in the AFC title game.

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Speaker 1: Of course, there's no bye before that. They played this

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Speaker 1: coming Sunday. He didn't look right and it could have

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Speaker 1: been worse. He did return to the game. Chad Henny

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Speaker 1: let a touchdown drive in this game. My goodness, And

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Speaker 1: I think Jill said this Brandon before we started recording.

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Speaker 1: If you allow a touchdown drive to Chad Henny, you

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Speaker 1: probably do deserve to lose. But yeah, the Mahomes high

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Speaker 1: ankle sprain was what caught everyone's attention early. It would

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Speaker 1: have changed the whole complexion of the game. Of course,

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Speaker 1: he comes back in and they held on for dear

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Speaker 1: life here. But Kansas City, they had a ground game

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Speaker 1: and they did just enough. But early on it looked like, okay,

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs, the Chiefs are ready to go. What do

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Speaker 1: you make of the Mahomes injury and how they withstood

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Speaker 1: that and found a way to pull it out by seven?

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Speaker 3: I mean, hey, you buried the lead here. Our Jaguars

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Speaker 3: covered the late field goal, got us over the cover,

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Speaker 3: had it all the way right, Jacksonville all the way

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Speaker 3: like I can't. You can't take much credit on that one.

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Speaker 3: Jacksonville was getting shredded early on before the Mahomes injury,

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Speaker 3: and it looked like this was gonna be pretty ugly.

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Speaker 3: That's what we saw in the first matchup as well.

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Speaker 3: But then after that, I mean, the focus has to

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Speaker 3: be on Kansas City here and Mahomes. But Jacksonville really

427
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Speaker 3: gave away a chance here. Like not that they were

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Speaker 3: the better team and should have done this, but if

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Speaker 3: you look at the numbers, they're basically even on yardage,

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Speaker 3: basically even on first downs. Kansas City was ever so

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Speaker 3: slightly ahead. It was an even game, a coin flip game.

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00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:28,080
Speaker 3: But Jacksonville had the late turnover on the three yard line.

433
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 3: They had another turnover two offensive plays later. They had

434
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:35,239
Speaker 3: chances here. This is a game. Look, I know they

435
00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,320
Speaker 3: weren't supposed to be in the playoffs, right, they weren't

436
00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:38,800
Speaker 3: even supposed to be in this game. They should have

437
00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,679
Speaker 3: lost the Chargers. You don't know how many chances that

438
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:45,160
Speaker 3: you get. Trevor Lawrence. This is basically his rookie year,

439
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:48,720
Speaker 3: after the Urban Meyer season. It's easy to think, oh man,

440
00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 3: we're gonna see Trevor and Patrick play so many more times.

441
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,400
Speaker 3: We don't know. You don't know when you're gonna get

442
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 3: that chance to face Chad Henny from the two yard line.

443
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:02,320
Speaker 3: Make one stop, get the ball back on your half

444
00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:05,199
Speaker 3: of the field, go down and tie or take a

445
00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 3: lead and put some real pressure on a team without

446
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 3: Pat Mahomes. And I have to think that they're gonna

447
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:15,760
Speaker 3: regret this because they really lost some chances here. They

448
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:18,960
Speaker 3: had the drop Christian Kirk deep ball. I thought Doug

449
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:21,879
Speaker 3: Peterson was a little off too. He stays seven to

450
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,919
Speaker 3: zero against the spread as a playoff underdog thanks to

451
00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:28,400
Speaker 3: that backdoor cover. But I thought the aggression, the play

452
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:31,679
Speaker 3: calling was a little off all game. And we'll get

453
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 3: to Chiefs. But am I too harsh on the Jaguars here?

454
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,520
Speaker 3: It felt to me like they missed an opportunity.

455
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I definitely agree, Brandon. I mean, they had two

456
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:41,400
Speaker 2: turnovers like.

457
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:43,920
Speaker 5: Under five minutes to go where they could have scored

458
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 5: a touchdown and tied at least and Jamal agnew Is,

459
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:50,920
Speaker 5: I mean he kind of blew it like he had

460
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:54,000
Speaker 5: such a great kickoff return for that drive. He's been

461
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 5: an instrumental part of that offense of being able to

462
00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 5: get them great field position, which is what you kind

463
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:00,919
Speaker 5: of need, those kind of little.

464
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,480
Speaker 2: Edges, those little little things, you know what, I mean.

465
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:05,639
Speaker 5: To be able to just kind of get past on

466
00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:09,919
Speaker 5: mahomes led offense, and yeah, just an awful fumble and

467
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:13,160
Speaker 5: then Trevor Lawrence that throws. I mean, I can't even

468
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,040
Speaker 5: call it a bad interception because it was a one

469
00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:17,320
Speaker 5: handed interception that was just kind of like an Odell

470
00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:19,560
Speaker 5: Beckham's style of interception. So it was kind of pretty

471
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,040
Speaker 5: by the Chiefs defense. But at the same time, it

472
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 5: was one of those things again opportunities, and you're right,

473
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 5: Jaggs probably shouldn't have been there, like they probably come

474
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 5: back against the Chargers, but I mean, at least they

475
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:34,919
Speaker 5: made it interesting. They're gonna be a super popular, like

476
00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 5: dark horse pick for the Super Bowl odds for next year.

477
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 2: I'm just more interested.

478
00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:41,760
Speaker 5: Now is how bad is this ankle injury going to

479
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 5: be like? And how can we project it going forward?

480
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 5: You know, seeing some odds makers out there saying that

481
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:49,920
Speaker 5: if Mahomes is healthy, they'd have it at three and

482
00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:52,120
Speaker 5: a half against the Bengals in the AFC title Game.

483
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 5: Now we're seeing about minus one and a half right now,

484
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,080
Speaker 5: and I'm really just not sure what kind of Patrick

485
00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:57,879
Speaker 5: Mahomes we're going to.

486
00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,640
Speaker 2: Get against the Bengals next week.

487
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:03,639
Speaker 1: And we'll get updates throughout the week. I'm sure Mahomes

488
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:06,640
Speaker 1: saying though himself that he will play in the AFC

489
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:10,280
Speaker 1: title game. That was the reporting coming out earlier today

490
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 1: on Sunday. So Mahomes says he will play, and yes,

491
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 1: Chad Henny fourteen plays eighty three yards from the two

492
00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 1: six minute drive that kept the train on the tracks for.

493
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,560
Speaker 5: The what a hero, What a hero field goal at

494
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 5: the end though by Doug Peterson because some people were questioning,

495
00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:27,280
Speaker 5: like you should be going for this, and then he

496
00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:29,680
Speaker 5: went for the field goal and you just saw gambling

497
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 5: Twitter just like have like a warm embrace like everybody

498
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,479
Speaker 5: just like you know what Doug Peterson is for the people.

499
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,560
Speaker 5: And that was one of those things where everybody was

500
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:39,960
Speaker 5: able to cash in on that.

501
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:41,000
Speaker 2: Jaguars plus nine and.

502
00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 1: A half, well and real quick before Brandon jumps in.

503
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:46,440
Speaker 1: How about a sweat free Christian Kirk anytime touchdown, my friend.

504
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 2: Yes, we did have that.

505
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:50,080
Speaker 5: That was nice on the Best Bets podcast gave it

506
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,240
Speaker 5: out last Thursday.

507
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:55,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I want to say too about the Chiefs. I

508
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:57,879
Speaker 3: wrote last week at Action Network the case for every

509
00:24:57,880 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 3: team left to win the Super Bowl in the case again,

510
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,360
Speaker 3: and I didn't really love my case for the Chiefs.

511
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:05,840
Speaker 3: I basically made the case that hey, look when you

512
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:08,000
Speaker 3: have the MVP, and I think we all know Mahomes

513
00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:11,120
Speaker 3: is gonna win MVP this year. The last time an

514
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 3: MVP went on to win the Super Bowl that same

515
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 3: season nineteen ninety nine. That's Kurt Warner. That's how long

516
00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:21,120
Speaker 3: ago this was. And it's because the way we give

517
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:25,040
Speaker 3: out MVP nowadays is the guy who has to do

518
00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 3: everything for the team. We talked about the flaw of

519
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 3: the Bills and Josh Allen doing that in a lot

520
00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 3: of ways. That is what I thought the Chiefs were,

521
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 3: and I thought that they were vulnerable in this game

522
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 3: of vulnerable going forward because the run game is on

523
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,640
Speaker 3: and off, the receivers aren't as good without Trek Kill,

524
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:46,159
Speaker 3: the blocking can come and go and was a bit

525
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,159
Speaker 3: of a problem at times this game. And then of

526
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 3: course the defense and the special teams this year haven't

527
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:55,719
Speaker 3: been that good. Maya Koppo because in this game, I

528
00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:59,560
Speaker 3: know we're gonna do all the Mahomes glorification, and he

529
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 3: made some great plays on one leg and like, just

530
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 3: he's Mahomes. He's gonna this is add to the Lord

531
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 3: the ankle game. It's going to be there. This was

532
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 3: a team win. The offensive line one, the power run game.

533
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 3: Isaiah Pacheco was awesome. Coaching came through for them. The

534
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 3: pass rush was good and put Lawrence on a pressure

535
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 3: all game. Harrison Butker looked healthy again, Like we're talking

536
00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 3: about a kicker, Yeah, because he's been terrible all year

537
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 3: and it's been one huge flaw for the team. And

538
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 3: I think that matters a lot as well. So I

539
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 3: thought that Mahomes is going to get the credit because

540
00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 3: quarterback wins and all the fun. You know that this

541
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 3: is what we do. But I thought this was a

542
00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:41,640
Speaker 3: team win for the Chiefs, and you have to feel

543
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:43,800
Speaker 3: a little better as a Kansas City fan knowing that

544
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,439
Speaker 3: even when Mahomes isn't ready to do everything, that the

545
00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:50,680
Speaker 3: team could come through like that. Yeah.

546
00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:52,920
Speaker 1: Credit to Andy Reid too for having trust in heady.

547
00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:54,959
Speaker 1: Because Mahomes wanted to go back in. There were some

548
00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:58,679
Speaker 1: conversations they showed on the broadcast and Reid was like, no, no,

549
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 1: go over there. We got to make sure you're good.

550
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:03,040
Speaker 1: Good for the longevity of the rest of this potential run.

551
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 1: They want to go on, and they got to make

552
00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:07,840
Speaker 1: sure you're right. And Mahomes threw his helmet down. He

553
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 1: was animated on the sidelines. He was not pleased, but yeah,

554
00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:15,440
Speaker 1: complete win and ironic. The irony is when we get

555
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,320
Speaker 1: to the preview of the AFC title game, I start

556
00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:20,920
Speaker 1: to wonder maybe they might miss Tyreek kill after all,

557
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:23,920
Speaker 1: based on this injury for yards after catch purposes. We'll

558
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:27,000
Speaker 1: get there, though. Let's wrap with Giants Eagles again. We're

559
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,679
Speaker 1: doing a special hot read for both AFC and NFC

560
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:33,919
Speaker 1: title games, so stick around for that. Eagles Giants. This

561
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:36,119
Speaker 1: was a laugh for twenty eight to nothing at halftime.

562
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,840
Speaker 1: Brandon Nice give on the first half Eagles pick Eagles

563
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 1: cover four and a half. Three and a half is

564
00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:44,160
Speaker 1: what you gave out on the podcast, Jalen hurts, Right,

565
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,199
Speaker 1: we all said it. Let's see what it looks like.

566
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 1: First drive, boom five for five. Look fine, shoulder looked good.

567
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:55,160
Speaker 1: He had said after the regular season ended, I'm really

568
00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 1: happy we have a buy now. He could have just been,

569
00:27:57,920 --> 00:27:59,880
Speaker 1: you know, given the media something to chew on there,

570
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:03,480
Speaker 1: but he said it himself that we need this buy

571
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:05,240
Speaker 1: because I'm not sure if I could throw as well

572
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 1: as I want to in a playoff game. It turns

573
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 1: out he looked fine, and you know, pour one out

574
00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:12,359
Speaker 1: for the Giants. Good season for the Giants. They have

575
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:13,840
Speaker 1: nothing to hang their heads about. Brandon.

576
00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:17,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, look, this was basically just exactly what

577
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,280
Speaker 3: we thought this game was going to be. This was

578
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 3: the Giants couldn't pass block against a great pass rush,

579
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,040
Speaker 3: the Giants couldn't stop the run, and the Eagles did

580
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:29,119
Speaker 3: everything that did in that first matchup and they did

581
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:33,159
Speaker 3: even better here. So this was if you like me,

582
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,879
Speaker 3: you've heard all year all my DVA stats, this was

583
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:40,440
Speaker 3: a great game for DVOA truthers because this was here's

584
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,880
Speaker 3: what the numbers say should happen. This team is way

585
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 3: better at all these huge edges. And then the game happened,

586
00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:49,520
Speaker 3: and that's all the stuff that we saw. Jalen Hurts

587
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 3: and Lane Johnson I think both clearly not quite one

588
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 3: hundred percent, but also it seemed like they're not really

589
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 3: holding the team back aton especially play calling. I think

590
00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 3: they're playing as the Eagle here and yeah, this was

591
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,680
Speaker 3: over quickly. Touchdown drives for the Eagles in the first

592
00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:09,760
Speaker 3: half of eight plays, eight nine and fourteen plays. The

593
00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 3: Giants had during that same stretch three and out three times,

594
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 3: and then an interception, and yeah, we were done quickly.

595
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:20,440
Speaker 3: Combined first half Eagles Giants this year was sixty eight

596
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:23,160
Speaker 3: to seven, So I think that pretty much tells you

597
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 3: why one of these teams is in the NFC title

598
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:29,120
Speaker 3: game and one of them is going to be paying

599
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones, perhaps more money than he ought to get.

600
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 3: But yeah, thanks to the Giants. Eagles first half hit

601
00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:37,880
Speaker 3: for us. If you watched on the app, I was

602
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,920
Speaker 3: also on Eagles first half shot out plus eight fifty

603
00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 3: added Eagles by twenty one or more plus four twenty five,

604
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 3: not even a sweat on those, so appreciate the Giants

605
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 3: for that. Got a little family game time in the

606
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 3: second half. This was a frozen pizza game. We would

607
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 3: not be talking about if it were not a playoff game.

608
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 1: I really don't have anything to offer you, guys, except

609
00:29:57,920 --> 00:29:59,240
Speaker 1: for a frozen page.

610
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:01,360
Speaker 5: They were down twenty eight to nothing and a half,

611
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:03,200
Speaker 5: so you pretty much felt like the game.

612
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:03,960
Speaker 2: Was over immediately.

613
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:06,400
Speaker 5: And the pass rush I think is the key part here,

614
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,520
Speaker 5: because I mean Daniel Jones, that was one of the

615
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,640
Speaker 5: things that the Vikings couldn't really do. They couldn't really

616
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:12,400
Speaker 5: get to him, and he was sacked five times in

617
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 5: this game, Jalen Hurts.

618
00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:16,360
Speaker 2: I mean, he looked.

619
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:19,800
Speaker 5: Fine throwing the ball like he wasn't great, but didn't

620
00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 5: need to be. Like he was still rushed for a touchdown.

621
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:25,680
Speaker 5: His legs still work, obviously, and you know Boston Scott,

622
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 5: he scored another touchdowns, going to bring that up, you know.

623
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 5: But they jacked up the odds too, because there's a

624
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 5: tax when you want to bet on Boston Scott touchdowns.

625
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:36,600
Speaker 5: Now in Giants matchups, where they would put it down

626
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:38,480
Speaker 5: to about plus three hundred, it went back up to

627
00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:41,240
Speaker 5: plus three fifty and people still were able to cash

628
00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:44,160
Speaker 5: in on it. But you put it right on the

629
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:45,560
Speaker 5: head brand when you just said it was a repeat

630
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:48,160
Speaker 5: of the Week fourteen game, like, only the difference was

631
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 5: that the Giants couldn't even put up any garbage time

632
00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 5: touchdowns to be able to help for anybody who bet

633
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 5: on the over. So that was the one thing like

634
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 5: where the Giants did or the Eagles did all the

635
00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 5: heavy lifting and the Giants.

636
00:30:57,600 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 2: Just sat there with their thumb up their asses.

637
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:03,720
Speaker 5: But I think, honestly, I said this analogy about this game,

638
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:05,840
Speaker 5: and this is more of a for a parent analogy

639
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 5: of this wasn't a blowout. This was a shit up

640
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 5: the baby's back typing like where it was such a blowout.

641
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 5: The shit just went right up all the way to

642
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:17,240
Speaker 5: the back of their neck like that happens when you

643
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 5: have infants and they drink formula or breast milk, they

644
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:22,120
Speaker 5: just have the dirtiest poops.

645
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:24,680
Speaker 2: And that's what this game was. It's just it wasn't

646
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:26,400
Speaker 2: even a frozen pizza. It was a shitty diaper.

647
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:30,680
Speaker 1: Wow, let's talk about DVOA and we get a breakdown

648
00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:34,400
Speaker 1: of baby shits on the recap podcast. That's that's what's

649
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:36,440
Speaker 1: the people come for. I thought Dallas Goddard was good

650
00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:37,680
Speaker 1: in this game too. I thought one of the throws

651
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 1: Hurts made to Goddard in the second half was great

652
00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,800
Speaker 1: in a game similar to what we discussed. I mean,

653
00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:48,360
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts finding Goddard. That's a nice little weapon to

654
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 1: have tight ends coming alive in these playoffs. You know,

655
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,240
Speaker 1: Jill's been on tight ends, has highlighted tight ends and

656
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 1: anytime touchdown scenarios like Schultz Dawson Knox didn't get there

657
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 1: this week, but the emergence of Goddard good time. Jay

658
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 1: Brown only needs twenty two yards to win a game.

659
00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 5: Well, and that's why Devonte Smith he was such a

660
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:06,760
Speaker 5: popular pick for in any time touchdown or the overgin

661
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,200
Speaker 5: yards because he fell right on the number. Again, he

662
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,640
Speaker 5: was right around sixty four and a half receiving yards

663
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:14,960
Speaker 5: and fell right at sixty one. I know a lot

664
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 5: of guys who bet the over on his receiving yards

665
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 5: and one of those plays was called back on an

666
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 5: offensive holding call. So again a little bit of heartbreak

667
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,800
Speaker 5: for I guess some of the props, even though majority

668
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 5: of the over props on the Eagle side did go over.

669
00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 1: So two wins for dogs, two wins for favorites four

670
00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:36,320
Speaker 1: and oh unders this week, so some market correction after

671
00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 1: overs went five to one in the wildcard round four

672
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 1: and oh for the Unders. And that game, the game

673
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 1: we just talked about Giants Eagles maybe had the best

674
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:47,840
Speaker 1: shot of going over at the end, but as we

675
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 1: found out, the Eagles they burned half a quarter in

676
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:54,520
Speaker 1: clock time to put that game away. Okay, onto the

677
00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:59,000
Speaker 1: hot Red Hot Rap both O day on ice Rights,

678
00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 1: ice cream a.

679
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:03,880
Speaker 5: Radars nineteen Souvend nineteen.

680
00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 1: Hoori Mille Sold Trade Conference Championships. Hot Read First Impressions

681
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:13,320
Speaker 1: lines are out we'll looking at FanDuel right now. I'll

682
00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:16,400
Speaker 1: give it to you real quick. Maybe we'll bite into

683
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl odds as well. If there's any edges there,

684
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,720
Speaker 1: it's really hard to tell. They're all really right there.

685
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:25,880
Speaker 1: So San Fran Philadelphia the first game a week from today, Sunday,

686
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 1: January twenty ninth, three o'clock start. Eagles two and a

687
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:34,400
Speaker 1: half point favorites. There's juice on the Philly side. Forty

688
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 1: five and a half is the total that's moved slightly

689
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 1: down from forty six and a half. And then Bengals

690
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 1: Chiefs at six point thirty, Kansas City one and a

691
00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 1: half point favorite, as Jill alluded to earlier, and the

692
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 1: total set at forty seven and a half. We will

693
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:54,240
Speaker 1: start with the three o'clock matchup in San Fran and Philly, Brandon,

694
00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:57,520
Speaker 1: what do what comes to mind here? Is there an edge?

695
00:33:57,520 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 2: Now?

696
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:01,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, a couple of things, just the things I've got

697
00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:05,200
Speaker 3: my eye on here from bat Labs one seed favorites

698
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:08,120
Speaker 3: in the playoffs of six points or less nine to

699
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:11,800
Speaker 3: five against the spread. So that obviously is a trend

700
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 3: right now for the Eagles and the Chiefs. It wouldn't

701
00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:17,480
Speaker 3: shock me if we end up getting a road favorite

702
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,960
Speaker 3: by the time that these lines close in either, probably

703
00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:23,040
Speaker 3: not both. I don't know if the Niners one's gonna

704
00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:25,919
Speaker 3: move quite that much. But of note, of the five

705
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 3: teams that did not cover, four of those five underdogs

706
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,319
Speaker 3: that covered won the game outright. So I think if

707
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,440
Speaker 3: you like an underdog, you probably just go ahead and

708
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,720
Speaker 3: take the money line on either one of these games.

709
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 3: For me, I'm probably not gonna be looking to run

710
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:44,879
Speaker 3: to the counter with my bets on either of these

711
00:34:44,920 --> 00:34:48,480
Speaker 3: games early on, just because we've got big injuries this

712
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:51,919
Speaker 3: week and when the lines are this tight and there's

713
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:55,319
Speaker 3: really not necessarily a huge edge to gain, unless if

714
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 3: you want the Eagles, you got to just go grab it,

715
00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,600
Speaker 3: because just in case the line hits the three, you

716
00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 3: don't want to lose the key number there. But other

717
00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:06,080
Speaker 3: than that, if you like the Niners, if you're looking

718
00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:09,000
Speaker 3: at Bengals or Chiefs, I think you just kind of

719
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 3: have to wait on some of these injury information we

720
00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:14,839
Speaker 3: didn't mention with the Niners. I do with my eye

721
00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:17,440
Speaker 3: a little bit on Christian McCaffrey. He had kind of

722
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:20,960
Speaker 3: that heating pad wrapped thing around his calf late in

723
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:23,319
Speaker 3: the game. As the Niners are trying to close things out,

724
00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 3: they're running Elijah Mitchell, not Christian McCaffrey, So we'll see.

725
00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:30,920
Speaker 3: You know, we're big on running backs don't matter, but

726
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:33,719
Speaker 3: Christian McCaffrey is not just a running back, and in particular,

727
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:38,760
Speaker 3: the Eagles defense is vulnerable to the run and particularly

728
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 3: vulnerable to pass catching and running backs. So I need

729
00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:43,879
Speaker 3: to see how McCaffrey is going to be. I think

730
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 3: that's a big swing factor my pick for this game

731
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:49,319
Speaker 3: right now in the one hot red I would put in.

732
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:52,960
Speaker 3: I like the under here under forty five and a half.

733
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 3: Like you said, Brandon, we open already a point higher.

734
00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:58,400
Speaker 3: I think that line may drop a little bit, especially

735
00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:01,520
Speaker 3: if there is any McCaffrey injury news. If that's a thing,

736
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 3: the line maybe goes down a little bit. If there's

737
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:08,160
Speaker 3: any other complication for Jalen Hurts or for Lane Johnson.

738
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:11,760
Speaker 3: The only way this line moves, I think is down,

739
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 3: and I think points are gonna be hard to come by.

740
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:17,919
Speaker 3: San Francisco elite run defense, So that's gonna make Philadelphia's

741
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,560
Speaker 3: offense have to work a little bit. And we saw

742
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:24,600
Speaker 3: today brock Purty face a real defense finally, and like

743
00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 3: you mentioned, Brandon, their offense can installed. I think this

744
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:29,960
Speaker 3: is a low scoring game, so for right now, I

745
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:32,440
Speaker 3: don't have a side yet, but I do like the

746
00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 3: under here. I think that's probably the one hot read

747
00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 3: to pick Iu'd make right now under forty five and

748
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:37,200
Speaker 3: a half.

749
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:39,880
Speaker 1: A great call of McCaffrey. And keep in mind the

750
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:41,880
Speaker 1: game was in Santa Clara. It's not like it was

751
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,760
Speaker 1: freezing cold out and he got hit and was numb. Okay,

752
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,800
Speaker 1: they're in Santa Clara, and they brought that up on

753
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 1: the broadcast. Greg Olsen was giving some insight to Kevin

754
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,520
Speaker 1: Burkhart on what was actually going on there with McCaffrey

755
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:55,399
Speaker 1: late in the game and as a pass catcher some

756
00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:58,440
Speaker 1: tight windows over the middle. He was the binkie for

757
00:36:58,600 --> 00:37:01,360
Speaker 1: mister Purdy there down the street to move the chains

758
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 1: and get those key first downs to milk clock and

759
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:06,719
Speaker 1: put that game away against Dallas. Jill, I know we

760
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:10,960
Speaker 1: don't have any touchdown anytime touchdown market posted yet, but

761
00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:15,400
Speaker 1: any edges or any foreshadowing you could provide.

762
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:16,839
Speaker 5: Well, the first guy I think you want to look

763
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 5: at is on the Bengals, specifically Tyler Boyd, who lines

764
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:22,920
Speaker 5: up exclusively in the slot and maybe even Hayden Hurst

765
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:26,360
Speaker 5: as well, because the Chiefs allowed the second most touchdowns

766
00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:29,360
Speaker 5: in the slot this season, and part of the reasoning

767
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 5: of why we took Christian Kirk was pretty much for

768
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:33,160
Speaker 5: that that he lined up in the slot a lot,

769
00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:34,799
Speaker 5: he was going to get a ton of targets and

770
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:35,879
Speaker 5: that's what's their weak point.

771
00:37:35,920 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 2: And what did he do.

772
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 5: He scored the touchdown and was leading receiver for the Jaguars.

773
00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:42,080
Speaker 5: So that would probably be the first angle I'm looking

774
00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:43,840
Speaker 5: at from a chief standpoint. I have to see the

775
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:45,719
Speaker 5: way that the odds play out. Again, I also have

776
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 5: to see if Patrick Mahomes is playing, because if it's

777
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 5: Chad Henny who is playing, then I'm probably not gonna

778
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 5: be betting any Chiefs touchdown scores. But now, if just from

779
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 5: a Eagles and Niners standpoint, just from a recency bias

780
00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:03,360
Speaker 5: in memory they did play, most of the personnel was

781
00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:03,680
Speaker 5: the same.

782
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 2: It was Week two of last season.

783
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 5: Niners go in as three point favorites into the link

784
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:12,320
Speaker 5: and win seventeen to eleven, So the game would have

785
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:14,920
Speaker 5: went way under it was closed at forty four and

786
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,359
Speaker 5: a half. So in that game, I'm not saying we're

787
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:19,200
Speaker 5: going to see a lot of the same thing, but

788
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:22,240
Speaker 5: that has been a little bit of the Eagles weakness,

789
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:24,719
Speaker 5: even though the Giants weren't able to exploit it, is

790
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,080
Speaker 5: that they had been a little bit more vulnerable from

791
00:38:27,080 --> 00:38:29,640
Speaker 5: a running standpoint of passes over the middle, like the

792
00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 5: outside is pretty much a no fly zone, so you're

793
00:38:32,040 --> 00:38:34,360
Speaker 5: not probably gonna see much opportunity for a guy like

794
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 5: a Brandon Ayuk or maybe even a Juwan Jennings. So

795
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:39,839
Speaker 5: you know, George Kittle, i'd probably say, is the guy

796
00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:42,160
Speaker 5: you want to look at from a touchdown score perspective.

797
00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:45,239
Speaker 5: From the Eagles standpoint, I think it's a Kenneth game

798
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:48,399
Speaker 5: well game, and the reason being is I think they're

799
00:38:48,400 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 5: going to have to use some of that pass catching

800
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:52,879
Speaker 5: back standpoint to be able to chip and block that

801
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:55,279
Speaker 5: pass defense. Especially if you even go back to that

802
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 5: game Nick Bosa. He had two sacks in that game

803
00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,760
Speaker 5: on Jalen Hurts. That is going to be an issue

804
00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:03,080
Speaker 5: for them, especially if Lane Johnson shows any signs of

805
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:04,720
Speaker 5: injury that he has been showing.

806
00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:07,759
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not saying he was injured.

807
00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 5: Really at all in this past week, but he clearly

808
00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:13,319
Speaker 5: looked compromised a little bit in some place, so I

809
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:16,799
Speaker 5: think that defensive line could cause some pressure. I mean,

810
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:18,960
Speaker 5: even Jalen Hurts was able to score on this defense

811
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 5: when they played last, so I can only imagine he'll

812
00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:24,560
Speaker 5: be used quite heavily again in a do or die game.

813
00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:28,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, of course, no Aj Brown at that point in time, for.

814
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:30,759
Speaker 5: No Christian McCaffrey either, So I guess again that's the

815
00:39:30,840 --> 00:39:32,760
Speaker 5: key thing of why we have to kind of monitor

816
00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:35,560
Speaker 5: that injury, because you're right, both of those guys are

817
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:38,080
Speaker 5: key swing talent on this team of what you want

818
00:39:38,120 --> 00:39:40,360
Speaker 5: to look at, either for touchdown scores or even just

819
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 5: as far as what the total will be.

820
00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo didn't throw a pick in that game, was

821
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,360
Speaker 1: not sacked as the starting quarterback. I see here in

822
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 1: the box where he ran the ball eleven times.

823
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 2: And a touchdown in that game and a.

824
00:39:51,080 --> 00:39:56,240
Speaker 1: Touchdown party's mobile. But he's not of any quarterback remaining.

825
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:58,160
Speaker 5: Well, Borrow, they will run him though they ran him

826
00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:00,360
Speaker 5: against the Battle. When they ran him against the we

827
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:02,400
Speaker 5: were all standing in the Action Network offices being like,

828
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:03,040
Speaker 5: what are you doing?

829
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 1: Like Who's like?

830
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:05,800
Speaker 5: We were all just like googling who the third string

831
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:07,719
Speaker 5: quarterback was on the Niners because we were like, why

832
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:11,319
Speaker 5: would you risk this? So we've seen the Shanahan at

833
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:13,680
Speaker 5: the goal line. He will still tend to throw his

834
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:15,640
Speaker 5: rookie to the fire party.

835
00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:18,760
Speaker 1: Had three carries for eight yards, which I do think

836
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:22,600
Speaker 1: he hit his rushing over in that game. I think

837
00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:27,000
Speaker 1: it was hovering around six seven yards the Dallas game.

838
00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 1: So all right, you hinted at some picks there for

839
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:33,319
Speaker 1: Kansas City and Cincinnati. That is the late game. They

840
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:36,120
Speaker 1: put the AFC title game at six point thirty branded

841
00:40:36,160 --> 00:40:38,360
Speaker 1: an edge here. Again, I think it's baked in the

842
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:41,040
Speaker 1: Mahomes injury, the fact that it's a Kansas City one

843
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:42,080
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite.

844
00:40:43,120 --> 00:40:44,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think you have to wait on the injury

845
00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:47,919
Speaker 3: news because obviously we need to see, you know, there's

846
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:50,399
Speaker 3: a chance that Mahomes doesn't play. We don't have news

847
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 3: on it yet. It's early in the week. It would

848
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,560
Speaker 3: be obviously shocking if he doesn't at least give it

849
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:57,400
Speaker 3: a go and try to be out there. He certainly

850
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,920
Speaker 3: will want to play, of course, unless the team decides that.

851
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:03,560
Speaker 3: You know, I think basically he plays and plays their

852
00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:06,400
Speaker 3: injury unless the team feels like there's a risk that

853
00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:09,719
Speaker 3: he could hurt himself more long term. We obviously don't

854
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:11,480
Speaker 3: know that, so no need to speculate on it, but

855
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:13,800
Speaker 3: I think you have to wait on that and see

856
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 3: how functional does he look. I kind of looked in

857
00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:21,160
Speaker 3: my roster matrix, and I have all the positions ranked

858
00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:23,319
Speaker 3: in everything, and I said, okay, well, what if we

859
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,080
Speaker 3: get like seventy five percent Mahomes or what if fifty

860
00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:29,000
Speaker 3: percent Mahomes? And I kind of gave myself some shades

861
00:41:29,000 --> 00:41:31,600
Speaker 3: of gray on Mahomes, and the Chiefs go from the

862
00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 3: number one offense to either second or fifth or tenth

863
00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:38,600
Speaker 3: basically like kind of depending on which version of Mahomes

864
00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:42,920
Speaker 3: we get. Well, it turns out that matters, because Mahomes

865
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:45,600
Speaker 3: is really the great equalizer in this matchup. If you

866
00:41:45,640 --> 00:41:48,920
Speaker 3: take Mahomes away and not even taking him away, if

867
00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:53,959
Speaker 3: you make Mahomes mortal, just slightly less Mahomes, the Joe

868
00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:56,920
Speaker 3: Burrow is the other quarterback if they don't have an

869
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,359
Speaker 3: advantage at quarterback, and I don't know if they do

870
00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:02,040
Speaker 3: with whatever version of Mahomes we're gonna get. And as

871
00:42:02,080 --> 00:42:04,880
Speaker 3: good as Joe Burrow is, look up, the rest of

872
00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:09,000
Speaker 3: the roster the Bengals run the ball better. They've got

873
00:42:09,040 --> 00:42:12,720
Speaker 3: stud receivers. Kansas City is bottom five against wide receiver

874
00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:15,640
Speaker 3: ones and has really not had an answer for Jamar Chase.

875
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:20,359
Speaker 3: The defense clearly better for Cincinnati. Special teams has been

876
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:25,319
Speaker 3: better for Cincinnati this year. Mahomes is the big advantage

877
00:42:25,320 --> 00:42:28,840
Speaker 3: even against Burrow because it's Mahomes and he can't do anything.

878
00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:32,960
Speaker 3: And if you don't have that advantage, I don't honestly

879
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:35,080
Speaker 3: even know if the Chiefs are the right favorite in

880
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,880
Speaker 3: this game. That's kind of my early instinct here. I

881
00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:39,560
Speaker 3: need to dig into it a little more. So I'm

882
00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:42,840
Speaker 3: not running to play this right now. All my life

883
00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:45,200
Speaker 3: that I've known Pa Mahomes. If you said you could

884
00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:47,239
Speaker 3: just take Pa Mahomes to just win a home game,

885
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:50,000
Speaker 3: that's it. Basically a coin flip home game. You need

886
00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 3: say no more. But the pass protection for the Chiefs

887
00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:55,839
Speaker 3: has not been great. We saw the Bengals d line

888
00:42:55,920 --> 00:42:59,240
Speaker 3: dominate today against the Bills, and that was a huge

889
00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:03,279
Speaker 3: thing we need to see too. The Bengals Jonah Williams

890
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:06,040
Speaker 3: and Kappa either of them could be back for this game.

891
00:43:06,080 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 3: That's another injury situation to keep an eye on. But

892
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 3: for right now. I have to lean Bengals here. If

893
00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:14,799
Speaker 3: you have a less than one hundred percent Mahomes, which

894
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:18,240
Speaker 3: we have to assume we're getting at this point less mobile,

895
00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:23,040
Speaker 3: leaky pass protection. If you neutralize even ten or twenty

896
00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 3: percent of the Mahomes god factor, that was the one

897
00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:29,520
Speaker 3: thing that you have to like the Chiefs for that

898
00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:32,600
Speaker 3: in home field. So I feel like I'm leaning Bengals

899
00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:37,160
Speaker 3: direction here. I may end up waiting and betting live.

900
00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:40,680
Speaker 3: I think you get a home field advantage early. You

901
00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:44,400
Speaker 3: probably get like a shot in mahomes ankle to neutralize

902
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:47,000
Speaker 3: some of the pain factor early. But we've talked all

903
00:43:47,040 --> 00:43:48,799
Speaker 3: year about how strong the Bengals have been in the

904
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:51,759
Speaker 3: second half. They've covered i believe now twenty three of

905
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:55,920
Speaker 3: twenty seven second halves, and they've closed well, and all

906
00:43:55,960 --> 00:43:59,000
Speaker 3: the matchups against the Chiefs, which we're gonna hear lots

907
00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:01,799
Speaker 3: of all this week too, So it's a fun one.

908
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:05,239
Speaker 3: We've seen this matchup. If you don't give Mahomes one

909
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:07,120
Speaker 3: hundred percent, I don't know how you can kind of

910
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:08,200
Speaker 3: look toward the Bengals here.

911
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:12,919
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow in his career has covered the second half

912
00:44:12,960 --> 00:44:15,840
Speaker 1: spread seventy percent of the time fourteen and four this

913
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:19,399
Speaker 1: season twenty nine, eight and one. That's a seventy eight

914
00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:23,840
Speaker 1: percent clip over the last two seasons. Expected to be

915
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:28,799
Speaker 1: very cold twenty degrees freezing rain in Kansas City and

916
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:30,960
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow has been great in those games in the

917
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:33,799
Speaker 1: temperatures of forty degrees or less. He's nine to zero

918
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 1: straight up, seven and two against the spread. The homes

919
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:40,240
Speaker 1: in December or later only has three straight up losses

920
00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:43,200
Speaker 1: and one of those losses is to Joe Burrow, which

921
00:44:43,200 --> 00:44:46,120
Speaker 1: is last year and a one of the note. Our

922
00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:48,280
Speaker 1: own Sean Kerner at Action Network was big on samaj

923
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:50,520
Speaker 1: p Ryan to have a big day in the passing game.

924
00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:53,000
Speaker 1: He had a great, great game last year in the

925
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:55,440
Speaker 1: overtime win for Cincinnati twenty seven to twenty four, and

926
00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:58,799
Speaker 1: last year's AFC Title game. He had five catches in

927
00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:02,719
Speaker 1: the Buffalo game, had four, four targets, three grabs for

928
00:45:02,719 --> 00:45:05,040
Speaker 1: forty three yards and a touchdown in that game head

929
00:45:05,040 --> 00:45:11,439
Speaker 1: to head last year with the Chiefs. So okay, that's

930
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:14,560
Speaker 1: our early hot read, our super hot read with two

931
00:45:14,640 --> 00:45:17,239
Speaker 1: games next Sunday. It's weird. It's weird to think like

932
00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:20,359
Speaker 1: we're done after fortyish minutes of the recap episode, four

933
00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:24,799
Speaker 1: recap games and two hot reads. Fellas looking forward to

934
00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:28,880
Speaker 1: our next to get together which is Thursday, for the

935
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:32,000
Speaker 1: Best Bets episode. As a quick reminder, you can get

936
00:45:32,040 --> 00:45:34,719
Speaker 1: a subscription to Action Pro. That's how you get the

937
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:37,360
Speaker 1: most out of Actions Award winning app. As of right now,

938
00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:41,319
Speaker 1: Action is offering a Pro subscription at forty percent off.

939
00:45:41,360 --> 00:45:44,800
Speaker 1: This is only being offered during the NFL playoffs, so

940
00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:47,160
Speaker 1: if you don't already have Pro, now is the best

941
00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:49,960
Speaker 1: time to subscribe and unlock all the best features of

942
00:45:50,080 --> 00:45:54,600
Speaker 1: the Action Network app. We will be back for Best Bets.

943
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:57,000
Speaker 1: That is the Action Network podcast for you. We are

944
00:45:57,080 --> 00:45:59,239
Speaker 1: presented by FanDuel Tuning later in the week as well

945
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:02,440
Speaker 1: for Raybond and they have their special player Props episode,

946
00:46:02,520 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 1: Rayvon and Stucky with their Sunday six pack. They'll also

947
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:08,120
Speaker 1: have the Betting preview earlier in the week. Luke swayin

948
00:46:08,239 --> 00:46:11,800
Speaker 1: Vegas Refund will join myself, Jill and Brandon for Best Bets.

949
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:14,799
Speaker 1: Business as usual. Thanks again for listening everybody. Good luck

950
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:15,760
Speaker 1: with your bets this week.

951
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:27,840
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Action Network podcast presented by Fan.

952
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:38,920
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

953
00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:41,719
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

954
00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:44,880
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