WEBVTT - NFL Trends Deep Dive with Next Gen Stats Research Analyst James Reber

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<v Speaker 1>Wow, Hey everybody, It's Tuesday, March nineteenth, twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the NFL Fantasy Football Podcast. We're happy to

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<v Speaker 1>help in past protection.

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<v Speaker 2>It's me and Ran MG.

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<v Speaker 1>Marcus Grant, joined by Michael Florio and Lakwan Jones.

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<v Speaker 2>Happy start of the tournament. Guys.

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<v Speaker 1>I know it's not fantasy football, but have you march

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<v Speaker 1>madness to those who who observe I do not.

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<v Speaker 2>I enjoy it.

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<v Speaker 3>I won't act like I've watched a lot of college

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<v Speaker 3>basketball this year. I used to be huge into college basketball,

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<v Speaker 3>but it doesn't matter right, Like I don't need to

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<v Speaker 3>know any of the players on the TV for me

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<v Speaker 3>to enjoy today and tomorrow, Like, do not care.

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<v Speaker 4>It'd be a great time.

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<v Speaker 1>I would say the next two weekends this weekend and

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<v Speaker 1>next weekend are even too, of the greatest weekends in sports,

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<v Speaker 1>just because there's wall to wall basketball on from like

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<v Speaker 1>nine am Pacific time until you know, late in the evening.

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<v Speaker 2>And you know, I feel bad for the poor folks

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<v Speaker 2>who get.

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<v Speaker 1>Their prices right preempted or like you know, I don't

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<v Speaker 1>like you know, my grandmother didn't take a care for

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<v Speaker 1>it because her soap operas got pushed because of basketball,

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<v Speaker 1>but for the rest of us, for the rest of us,

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<v Speaker 1>it is a great time, an absolutely great time.

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<v Speaker 3>So we are supposed to watch together this weekend. I

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<v Speaker 3>don't know if you guys are still coming through, but

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<v Speaker 3>we're supposed to.

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<v Speaker 5>Oh, I'm pulling up.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm pulling on it for sure. Yeah or sure, that'll

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<v Speaker 2>be fun.

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<v Speaker 1>That'll be fun. It's gonna be a good time, be

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<v Speaker 1>a good time. So today on the show, gonna have

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<v Speaker 1>a kind of a different time. Should be a good time. Nonetheless,

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<v Speaker 1>we're gonna talk to James Reeber, who does research for

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<v Speaker 1>the Next Gen Stats team here at the NFL, wrote

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of articles that maybe on the surface you

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't think about as fantasy related articles, but we are

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<v Speaker 1>trying to find a fantasy spin. He talked about the

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<v Speaker 1>increase in chip blocks across NFL offenses, also talked about

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<v Speaker 1>the rise of split safety too high coverages across the NFL,

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<v Speaker 1>and so we're gonna kind of pick his brand a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit on how those things could help you when

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<v Speaker 1>you are sort of picking between players and putting together

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<v Speaker 1>your fantasy draft lists and what have you. But do

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<v Speaker 1>you want to start with a little bit of news,

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<v Speaker 1>and I emphasize a little bit because there's not a

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<v Speaker 1>lot happening in the NFL, but a story that popped

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<v Speaker 1>up that Lakwah you texted us about yesterday. Four time

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<v Speaker 1>Pro Bowl wide receiver t Y Hilton has announced his retirement,

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<v Speaker 1>though which I'm sure comes as news to a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people because we haven't seen t Y Hilton in

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<v Speaker 1>the NFL in a few years.

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<v Speaker 2>The last time he played was back.

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<v Speaker 1>In twenty twenty two, when he appeared in three games with.

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<v Speaker 2>The Dallas Cowboys. Wow.

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<v Speaker 1>Either way, Eugene Marquis Hilton is officially wrapping it up,

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<v Speaker 1>calling it a career. Yo.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, you put my main government out there like that.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, you know, I don't know what his mom

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<v Speaker 2>calls it. If she calls him Eugene or TV she

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<v Speaker 2>calls me Eugene, probably when he's in trouble time.

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<v Speaker 1>So I will I will ask the question that I

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<v Speaker 1>always ask in these situations, Florida.

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<v Speaker 2>I will start with you in Lakwana. You can follow.

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<v Speaker 2>Is t Y Hilton a fantasy Hall of Famer?

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<v Speaker 3>I'm more so wondering where he got this ty name

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<v Speaker 3>from because the only T in his entire government name

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<v Speaker 3>is in Hilton and there's no why, so, like, where

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<v Speaker 3>did this come from? I have no idea, I have questions. No,

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<v Speaker 3>he's not a Fantasy Hall of Famer, he's a he's

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<v Speaker 3>a Hall of very good. I would say, like I

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<v Speaker 3>think when we talk about the twenty tens and like

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<v Speaker 3>the top wide receivers, he's not gonna be the first

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<v Speaker 3>name or one of the first names that get thrown out,

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<v Speaker 3>but he'll he will get thrown out there right like

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<v Speaker 3>he was really good for a big stretch. And in fact,

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<v Speaker 3>and you outside of his rookie year where he put

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<v Speaker 3>up eight hundred and sixty one yards, every other season

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<v Speaker 3>that he got to play with Andrew Luck, he topped

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<v Speaker 3>a thousand yards. Most of them he topped twelve hundred.

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<v Speaker 3>Because there's the one year in twenty seventeen where he

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<v Speaker 3>failed to get a thousand, but Andrew Luck didn't play

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<v Speaker 3>that year. So I think you could point for two

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<v Speaker 3>reasons why he's not a Fantasy Hall of Famer. Want

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<v Speaker 3>was it the age cliff because he happened to be

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<v Speaker 3>turning thirty when Andrew Luck just surprised everyone and retired.

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<v Speaker 3>But once Luck retired, it was kind of a rap

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<v Speaker 3>for Hilton and it's not his fault, but like it

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<v Speaker 3>was early career Jacoby Brissett and Philip Rivers and Carson

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<v Speaker 3>went like right, like the quarterbacks they were throwing out

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<v Speaker 3>there were they left a lot to be desired. So yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>I think that really does hamper his career numbers a bit. Also,

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<v Speaker 3>he was a player that once that cliff came, it

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<v Speaker 3>came very fast. But there was a six to seven

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<v Speaker 3>year stretch where he was a top two round pick

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<v Speaker 3>in fantasy and was just electric. So haula very good

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<v Speaker 3>in my opinion.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Lakwan, you agree with that.

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<v Speaker 5>I second that the Hall of very Good is filled

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<v Speaker 5>right now with a bunch of players. But like I

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<v Speaker 5>feel like if Andrew Luck didn't retire, like he could

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<v Speaker 5>have been in that Hall of Fame fantasy you know room.

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<v Speaker 5>But because at the end of the day, those two

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<v Speaker 5>seasons he had that were magnificent fourteen hundred yards, I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>he didn't really find the end so much, but the

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<v Speaker 5>ceiling was going to keep rising if Andrew Luck stayed

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<v Speaker 5>in Honestly, the surprise, you know, retirement, I think that's

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<v Speaker 5>what kind of knocked him off his track. To have

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<v Speaker 5>that ceiling to keep you know, rising. So the hall

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<v Speaker 5>of very good is filled right now, and that's not

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<v Speaker 5>a bad thing. But we got some Hall of famers

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<v Speaker 5>in there that I can't honestly see t Y Hillton

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<v Speaker 5>sitting next to him, any.

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<v Speaker 2>Of those guys really for real, for real? Yeah, no,

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<v Speaker 2>I think I think you guys are right, because it is.

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<v Speaker 1>You remember the highs. But and so you go back

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<v Speaker 1>and look, you realize that those that peak was a

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<v Speaker 1>really short period of time for him.

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<v Speaker 5>He was a top five Fantasy wide receiver that year.

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<v Speaker 5>He put up fourteen hundred yards and that's with little touchdown,

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<v Speaker 5>so all that production was three yards and catches stuff.

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<v Speaker 5>But again, the cliff, it came very fast. It was

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<v Speaker 5>like why he just standing in.

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<v Speaker 4>Falls down.

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<v Speaker 2>By the way.

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<v Speaker 1>To answer your question, Florio, uh, he says that even

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<v Speaker 1>though his name is Eugene, his my daddy's name is Tyrone.

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<v Speaker 1>So ever since I was little, everyone has just used

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<v Speaker 1>the first two letters of that, and.

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<v Speaker 2>That is how he became t Y Hilton. So there

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<v Speaker 2>it is.

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<v Speaker 3>So then instead of being tied, he made it t

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<v Speaker 3>why why okay, okay?

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<v Speaker 2>But he does he does have a son. He does

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<v Speaker 2>have a son. Named Tai, so you know, I guess it's.

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<v Speaker 4>Coming, that's why.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, he has two sons, Eugene Hilton Junior and Tie Hilton,

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<v Speaker 1>so he sort of combined all of those things.

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<v Speaker 3>Uh so, But again he named him Tai, not like, yes,

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<v Speaker 3>it's a well, I don't know. But one fun fact

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<v Speaker 3>about him, real quick is every year for his first

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<v Speaker 3>seven seasons, he had a catch of sixty plus yard

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<v Speaker 3>over sixty yards every year, and to me, that is

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<v Speaker 3>always what I'll remember with t Y Hilton. He was

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<v Speaker 3>one of the very best field stretchers of his era.

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<v Speaker 3>He had deficiencies, like we said the red zone, not

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<v Speaker 3>really a high touchdown guy.

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<v Speaker 4>But one of the just the very best field stretchers.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, that and that he used to absolutely torture the

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<v Speaker 1>Houston Texans.

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<v Speaker 2>That was just the thing.

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<v Speaker 1>He did eleven touchdown catches against the Texans in his career.

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<v Speaker 1>He didn't have more than six against any other team.

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<v Speaker 1>So he just absolutely just destroyed the Texans.

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<v Speaker 5>I remember him too throwing seth rollins over to barricade

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<v Speaker 5>at a Bears game also, so that was pretty awesome

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<v Speaker 5>to see as well.

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<v Speaker 2>That's pretty random. That's super random.

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<v Speaker 1>Other piece of news Carson Wentz is returning to the

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<v Speaker 1>Minnesota Vikings on a one year deal. So lakwan, does

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<v Speaker 1>that mean that nine has officially been eighty six from

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<v Speaker 1>the Vikings offense?

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<v Speaker 5>Stop calling this man nine. Stop there's only one nine. Yes,

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<v Speaker 5>it's eighty six. Get he doesn't call himself nine. Matthew

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<v Speaker 5>Stafford doesn't call himself nine.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes we do.

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<v Speaker 5>Mat I can't say what we I can't say here

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<v Speaker 5>what we call him. But the RAMS community have a

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<v Speaker 5>name for nine, and it's not JJ McCarthy. And honestly,

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<v Speaker 5>it's obviously not nine either.

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<v Speaker 1>If you can't say it here, it is, you can't

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<v Speaker 1>say it here, it's not nine.

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<v Speaker 3>If you pulled football fans who is nine, you're gonna

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<v Speaker 3>get more JJ McCarthy votes than than Matthew Stafford.

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<v Speaker 1>You just are like, it's just, it's just what's out

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<v Speaker 1>there in the zeitgeist.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, man, just live with it.

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<v Speaker 5>Didn't we have this conversation here that these guys need

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<v Speaker 5>to earn the cool nickname, Like how I stopped calling

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<v Speaker 5>Trevor mit Lawnes.

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<v Speaker 2>Now he is t law.

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<v Speaker 1>People don't call JJ McCarthy nine gets cool. They call

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<v Speaker 1>him nine to sort of mock him a.

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<v Speaker 2>Little bit, like it's just like the needle him.

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<v Speaker 5>Because he thinks he's nine. Yeah, don't use it as

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<v Speaker 5>a troll. When I think of nine, it is Matthew Stafford.

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<v Speaker 2>Any question done?

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<v Speaker 5>Anyway he is, It is cooked, well done in the

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<v Speaker 5>crock pot. This has been a slow cooking. But he

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<v Speaker 5>is done. Looking at Carson Wentz back in there, backing

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<v Speaker 5>up Kyler Murray. He now falls to QB three. I

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<v Speaker 5>could sense probably a trade is coming, or maybe he

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<v Speaker 5>just sits behind two veteran quarterbacks and learn and absorb

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<v Speaker 5>as much as he can. But at the end of

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<v Speaker 5>the day, I don't think we see JJ McCarthy hit

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<v Speaker 5>the field unless both of these guys get injured. But again,

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<v Speaker 5>I feel like we need to stop giving cool nicknames

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<v Speaker 5>to guys, even though you're trolling. Stop giving nicknames to

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<v Speaker 5>people who haven't earned these things. Man, Please, we didn't.

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<v Speaker 2>Give it to them. He gave it to himself.

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<v Speaker 1>That's why he's getting trolled by like he gave it

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<v Speaker 1>to himself and now.

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<v Speaker 2>We're using it and you're going to throwing your back

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<v Speaker 2>at him. Stop you're doing.

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<v Speaker 1>Pro football is an attack on the rams man or attack.

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<v Speaker 5>It's just doing this.

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<v Speaker 3>No, if you go to Pro Football Reference, which legitimately

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<v Speaker 3>if someone on the street one time called a person

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<v Speaker 3>a nickname, it appears on their page. U. J. J.

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<v Speaker 3>McCarthy's nickname is nine. Matthew Stafford does not have a nickname.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, does that mean that somebody on the street wants

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<v Speaker 1>called Tom Brady the Pharaoh?

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<v Speaker 4>Because it's on there, right, like the Prince who was Promised?

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<v Speaker 5>Trevor Lawrence who said that, Yeah, I don't know, that's

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<v Speaker 5>a that's a certain Fox Sports analyst who actually knows

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<v Speaker 5>that nickname. Kyle Brandt said that he's actually the one

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<v Speaker 5>who created that.

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<v Speaker 4>Actually, I'm texting her about it. Yeah, the Prince.

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<v Speaker 3>I've heard another analyst call him that for a while

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<v Speaker 3>now as well.

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<v Speaker 2>Sure, who doesn't want in our building?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, again, that's the thing that you know, instead of

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<v Speaker 1>calling him, Trevor Midle warns, you can call him the

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<v Speaker 1>Prince who was promised if he starts playing back, can.

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<v Speaker 2>Just use that. So there it is, all right, a

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<v Speaker 2>break come back.

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<v Speaker 1>We're gonna talk with James Reeber of the Next Gen

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<v Speaker 1>Stats Research team, get us thoughts on chip blocks, two

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<v Speaker 1>high safeties, a whole lot more things that you can

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<v Speaker 1>keep in your back pocket when it comes to draft

0:11:17.240 --> 0:11:18.319
<v Speaker 1>time in fantasy football.

0:11:18.320 --> 0:11:24.920
<v Speaker 2>That's next. You're on the NFL Fantasy Football Show. Back

0:11:24.920 --> 0:11:25.720
<v Speaker 2>here on the.

0:11:25.720 --> 0:11:28.839
<v Speaker 1>NFL Fantasy Football Podcast, and very happy to be joined

0:11:28.840 --> 0:11:31.280
<v Speaker 1>by a special guest doing something that you know, we

0:11:31.280 --> 0:11:36.160
<v Speaker 1>don't necessarily get too much into, sort of the off

0:11:36.200 --> 0:11:39.320
<v Speaker 1>the beaten path version of the next gen stats, and

0:11:39.559 --> 0:11:42.320
<v Speaker 1>to help us with that, James Reeber a researcher for

0:11:42.600 --> 0:11:45.400
<v Speaker 1>NGS here at the NFL, and wrote an article recently

0:11:46.040 --> 0:11:49.800
<v Speaker 1>about chip blocks. Not that they're a new thing across

0:11:49.840 --> 0:11:52.680
<v Speaker 1>the NFL, but they're starting to be deployed more often

0:11:52.720 --> 0:11:55.840
<v Speaker 1>and in a more strategic way to sort of help offenses

0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:56.720
<v Speaker 1>passing games.

0:11:56.720 --> 0:11:58.559
<v Speaker 2>So we're glad to get James in here sort of

0:11:58.600 --> 0:11:59.800
<v Speaker 2>talk about the article he wrote.

0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:02.240
<v Speaker 1>I try to put a fantasy context to it, because

0:12:02.240 --> 0:12:04.440
<v Speaker 1>we're all looking for whatever edge we can find.

0:12:04.440 --> 0:12:06.160
<v Speaker 2>So James, appreciate you taking the time. Man. How you

0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:06.800
<v Speaker 2>feeling today?

0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:09.200
<v Speaker 6>I am doing well, man, Thank you so much for

0:12:09.240 --> 0:12:12.560
<v Speaker 6>having me on. Really excited to be here. I'm glad

0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:15.920
<v Speaker 6>that you've all, you know, looked through my work and

0:12:16.000 --> 0:12:19.240
<v Speaker 6>you had, you know, the good sense to figure out

0:12:19.360 --> 0:12:20.040
<v Speaker 6>that this.

0:12:20.360 --> 0:12:23.000
<v Speaker 4>Was relevant and we could get something out of it.

0:12:23.679 --> 0:12:27.520
<v Speaker 6>I didn't even really expect that tight ends would be

0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:31.040
<v Speaker 6>doing so much extra work off of their blocks. And

0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:35.320
<v Speaker 6>that's something that I found just you know, working through

0:12:35.360 --> 0:12:37.360
<v Speaker 6>the research for this and then even working with Krie

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:41.680
<v Speaker 6>the last few weeks, that this is a massive trend,

0:12:41.920 --> 0:12:45.480
<v Speaker 6>something that is going under the radar, but can really

0:12:45.480 --> 0:12:46.000
<v Speaker 6>help us out.

0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:48.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and like you said, we had we didn't have

0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:49.400
<v Speaker 2>the good sense.

0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Kyrie had the good sense to find the article, to

0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:55.200
<v Speaker 1>bring it to our attention and help organize this whole thing.

0:12:55.320 --> 0:12:57.199
<v Speaker 1>So we're just the dopes who get to sit on

0:12:57.559 --> 0:13:00.560
<v Speaker 1>cameon on the microphone and talk about it. But just

0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:03.720
<v Speaker 1>for the base level, right for the entry level folks.

0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:08.439
<v Speaker 1>Explain what chip blocks are and how they benefit an offense.

0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:09.400
<v Speaker 4>No doubt, let's do it.

0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:14.080
<v Speaker 6>So chip blocks are a trend that has come about,

0:13:15.440 --> 0:13:17.719
<v Speaker 6>like you were saying, Marcus, it's something that has been

0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:19.920
<v Speaker 6>going on throughout the entire history of the league, just

0:13:20.200 --> 0:13:24.120
<v Speaker 6>happening a lot more recently. Where a skill position player,

0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:27.400
<v Speaker 6>usually a tight end, occasionally a running back or a

0:13:27.440 --> 0:13:31.280
<v Speaker 6>wide receiver will give a little bit of extra blocking

0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:35.520
<v Speaker 6>help will engage at pass rusher quickly and then kind

0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:37.600
<v Speaker 6>of roll off that and go out into a route,

0:13:38.080 --> 0:13:41.400
<v Speaker 6>and so it kind of lets the offense have their

0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:43.200
<v Speaker 6>cake and eat it too, where you're getting an extra

0:13:43.280 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 6>guy in your pass protection. You know a lot of

0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:49.800
<v Speaker 6>teams like spread offenses at this point in time, and

0:13:49.880 --> 0:13:52.319
<v Speaker 6>so if you have a five men protection, you can

0:13:52.320 --> 0:13:55.679
<v Speaker 6>turn that into kind of five and a half. And

0:13:55.960 --> 0:14:02.200
<v Speaker 6>so that has given quarterback extra time to throw. We've

0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:07.199
<v Speaker 6>actually seen that since Next Gen started tracking chiplocks, which

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:12.440
<v Speaker 6>was seven seasons ago, the time to pressure is about

0:14:12.600 --> 0:14:15.679
<v Speaker 6>six tenths of a second longer three point four seconds

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:18.160
<v Speaker 6>versus two point eight when a chiplock is used.

0:14:18.520 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 4>And I mean six tenths.

0:14:21.320 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 6>Is not a huge amount of time in the grid

0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:25.960
<v Speaker 6>scheme of things, but for a quarterback it can mean

0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 6>absolutely everything. It allows them to go through their progressions,

0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:34.560
<v Speaker 6>get their deep ball off, avoid the sack. So, you know,

0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:39.000
<v Speaker 6>the best offensive innovators out there. You know, we talk

0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:41.760
<v Speaker 6>about the Rams and Niners a lot on the show,

0:14:41.800 --> 0:14:46.520
<v Speaker 6>and they heavily feature chiplocks in their offense. And it's

0:14:46.560 --> 0:14:48.400
<v Speaker 6>kind of picking up league wide as well.

0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:51.560
<v Speaker 3>So in the article, you talk about how these quarterbacks,

0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:53.240
<v Speaker 3>like you just said, they get extra time. We've seen

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 3>their air yards go up, more opportunity to take the

0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 3>deep ball, the deep shot, stuff like that. But what

0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:01.880
<v Speaker 3>surprised me will is the teams that ship at a

0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:05.960
<v Speaker 3>higher rate don't always put up better offensive numbers. In fact,

0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:08.920
<v Speaker 3>in some cases you point out, it's the opposite and

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:12.840
<v Speaker 3>they struggle. So what did you find when you were

0:15:12.840 --> 0:15:14.640
<v Speaker 3>looking at that? Because that was surprising to me.

0:15:15.240 --> 0:15:17.280
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, So I'm not going to go out and tell

0:15:17.320 --> 0:15:22.800
<v Speaker 6>you that, you know, chip blocks are exclusively an advantage creator.

0:15:23.240 --> 0:15:26.720
<v Speaker 6>Sometimes it's more the case that a team is forced

0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:29.240
<v Speaker 6>to do it because their pass protection isn't really holding up.

0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:33.160
<v Speaker 6>The Vikings and Browns were two teams that come to

0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:37.040
<v Speaker 6>mind that had a little bit of a weaker offensive

0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:39.400
<v Speaker 6>line this season. They had a lot of you know,

0:15:39.480 --> 0:15:44.200
<v Speaker 6>injuries and turnover on their fronts. They also had you know,

0:15:44.320 --> 0:15:47.840
<v Speaker 6>young quarterbacks who weren't quite as good as evading pressure

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:52.040
<v Speaker 6>on their own, and so they had to get extra

0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:56.080
<v Speaker 6>guys in the protection just in order to kind of

0:15:56.200 --> 0:15:57.120
<v Speaker 6>stay above water.

0:15:57.680 --> 0:15:59.440
<v Speaker 4>So you will see that sometimes, and.

0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:01.360
<v Speaker 6>I'm not going to tell you, you know, we get

0:16:01.360 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 6>these offenses that are shipping more, you want to draft

0:16:03.280 --> 0:16:06.760
<v Speaker 6>everyone from those offenses. That's not really the case, but

0:16:06.760 --> 0:16:09.280
<v Speaker 6>we're going to, you know, go into how we can

0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:12.760
<v Speaker 6>make it helpful for fantasy on a case by case basis.

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 5>So you talk about how this has been something that's

0:16:15.440 --> 0:16:17.800
<v Speaker 5>been tracked for several years now, but it seems to

0:16:17.840 --> 0:16:20.800
<v Speaker 5>be trending upward from twenty one percent in twenty twenty

0:16:20.840 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 5>three to nearly twenty seven percent this past season. I mean,

0:16:24.560 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 5>what's driving this usage upward? And is there a ceiling

0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:29.520
<v Speaker 5>or do you think this keeps climbing.

0:16:31.000 --> 0:16:34.600
<v Speaker 6>So there's actually a lot of different contributors to this.

0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:38.880
<v Speaker 6>I do think there is eventually a ceiling, but I

0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 6>don't think we're at it or even super close to

0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:47.280
<v Speaker 6>it yet. As so, we discussed that the Sean McVay,

0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 6>Kyle Kyle Shanahan and their proteges, the Kevin O'Connell's, the

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:54.920
<v Speaker 6>Liam Cohens, the Klint Kubiaks.

0:16:54.960 --> 0:16:57.240
<v Speaker 4>These are the guys who are leading this charge.

0:16:57.400 --> 0:17:00.640
<v Speaker 6>And what happens with guys like that is when they

0:17:00.680 --> 0:17:03.360
<v Speaker 6>started doing something, the rest of the league kind of

0:17:03.720 --> 0:17:06.119
<v Speaker 6>takes it over over time. What we saw five or

0:17:06.119 --> 0:17:10.840
<v Speaker 6>ten years ago was everyone started using motion, and you know,

0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:13.600
<v Speaker 6>everyone had always used motion, but started doing it much

0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:17.560
<v Speaker 6>more often, especially starting with that coaching tree, and now

0:17:18.240 --> 0:17:22.600
<v Speaker 6>that's kind of reached an equilibrium. Everyone's doing it all

0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:24.160
<v Speaker 6>over the league, whether you're a part of that tree

0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 6>or not, and so as those other coaches pick the

0:17:27.400 --> 0:17:33.240
<v Speaker 6>chip block up, it'll keep increasing. And I think, you know,

0:17:33.280 --> 0:17:35.359
<v Speaker 6>it's going to be really interesting to monitor where it

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:36.359
<v Speaker 6>goes the next few years.

0:17:36.680 --> 0:17:38.680
<v Speaker 1>And some of the data showed kind of a split

0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 1>amongst tight ends. You kind of talked about it a

0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:44.360
<v Speaker 1>little bit, but guys like Trey McBride, Kyle Pitts, they

0:17:44.400 --> 0:17:47.359
<v Speaker 1>sort of thrived when working with chip blocks. Guys like

0:17:47.400 --> 0:17:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Travis Kelcey, George Kittle, Mark Andrews saw their numbers dip.

0:17:50.880 --> 0:17:51.760
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the first thing.

0:17:51.640 --> 0:17:53.320
<v Speaker 1>That comes to mind is maybe I don't know if

0:17:53.320 --> 0:17:55.879
<v Speaker 1>it's age is the offense. Have you been able to

0:17:55.920 --> 0:17:58.200
<v Speaker 1>pinpoint kind of why that is or is it still

0:17:58.240 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 1>a mystery?

0:17:59.720 --> 0:18:01.399
<v Speaker 4>I think think both of those are contributors.

0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:04.760
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I think in the case of I mean, there

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:07.760
<v Speaker 6>were three guys I found who were not really like

0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:10.360
<v Speaker 6>thriving on it using it as much of an advantage

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:12.160
<v Speaker 6>as some of the other tight ends, and those were

0:18:12.400 --> 0:18:16.199
<v Speaker 6>Travis kelce George Kittle, Mark Andrews. In the case of

0:18:16.240 --> 0:18:18.080
<v Speaker 6>those guys, you know, they've been in the league for

0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:21.600
<v Speaker 6>a long time and they probably didn't come up with

0:18:22.080 --> 0:18:24.359
<v Speaker 6>the concept in mind that this was going to be

0:18:24.440 --> 0:18:26.600
<v Speaker 6>part of their repertoire.

0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:32.399
<v Speaker 4>So Kittle is a little bit of a special case.

0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:35.680
<v Speaker 6>And I think it's just because Kittle loves blocking compared

0:18:35.720 --> 0:18:37.879
<v Speaker 6>to most other pass catching tight ends in the league,

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:39.760
<v Speaker 6>so he's going to set a really good block and

0:18:39.800 --> 0:18:44.720
<v Speaker 6>then not you know, go as smoothly necessarily into the route.

0:18:46.119 --> 0:18:50.240
<v Speaker 6>In Kittle's case, he just didn't get quite as many

0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:53.000
<v Speaker 6>targets as the other guys. As what it was Kelsey

0:18:54.160 --> 0:18:57.840
<v Speaker 6>was not running quite as sharp of a route in

0:18:57.880 --> 0:19:00.239
<v Speaker 6>those cases and wasn't catching as many passes is when

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:03.879
<v Speaker 6>he did get targeted, and then with some of the

0:19:03.920 --> 0:19:06.720
<v Speaker 6>younger guys. So the interesting I want I guess is

0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:09.399
<v Speaker 6>is Hunter Henry. Because Hunter Henry, if you saw in

0:19:09.440 --> 0:19:12.000
<v Speaker 6>that graphic, he actually had one hundred percent catch rate

0:19:12.000 --> 0:19:13.879
<v Speaker 6>off of his chips. He caught every single one of

0:19:13.920 --> 0:19:15.960
<v Speaker 6>his twenty one targets after a hip block. And he's

0:19:15.960 --> 0:19:18.520
<v Speaker 6>a veteran guy too, So I think that's a schematic thing.

0:19:18.600 --> 0:19:24.480
<v Speaker 6>I think he was just given a Blueprint by Josh McDaniels.

0:19:24.520 --> 0:19:28.639
<v Speaker 6>You know, new offensive coordinator this past year, and he

0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:33.119
<v Speaker 6>was able to adjust to that really quickly and you know,

0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:37.199
<v Speaker 6>improve his performance in those situations. Only a fifty nine

0:19:37.200 --> 0:19:39.040
<v Speaker 6>point one percent catch rate when he's not chipping, one

0:19:39.080 --> 0:19:42.040
<v Speaker 6>hundred when he is. That's something that I think you're

0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:44.400
<v Speaker 6>going to see a lot in their offense next year

0:19:44.880 --> 0:19:50.119
<v Speaker 6>with you know, if they're recognizing that his success is

0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:51.600
<v Speaker 6>coming from that, which I'm sure they are.

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:56.600
<v Speaker 3>And to take this and spin it kind of specifically

0:19:56.680 --> 0:20:00.719
<v Speaker 3>into like a specific player for fantasy the aspects on

0:20:00.800 --> 0:20:03.840
<v Speaker 3>that graphic there we saw AJ Barner chipped at the

0:20:03.920 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 3>highest rate last year and he had the second highest

0:20:06.840 --> 0:20:08.520
<v Speaker 3>target rate when chipping.

0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:08.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:20:09.000 --> 0:20:12.240
<v Speaker 3>Well, now Clint Kubiak, who designed that offense and was

0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:15.200
<v Speaker 3>using Aj Barner in that way, he gets to design

0:20:15.200 --> 0:20:18.840
<v Speaker 3>an offense with brock Bowers. Yeah, So do you think

0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:21.960
<v Speaker 3>we see brock Bawers chipping at a high rate? And

0:20:22.160 --> 0:20:25.560
<v Speaker 3>if so, do you think there is still another level

0:20:25.880 --> 0:20:28.119
<v Speaker 3>that brock Bowers Because we know he's elite, he's a

0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:30.639
<v Speaker 3>second tight end in adp all of that, but do

0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:33.760
<v Speaker 3>you think there's even more there that we haven't seen yet?

0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:34.560
<v Speaker 4>With brock Bowers.

0:20:34.720 --> 0:20:37.560
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I love that you went there, and I honestly

0:20:37.640 --> 0:20:40.480
<v Speaker 6>really do think that he could reach a new level. So,

0:20:41.000 --> 0:20:44.840
<v Speaker 6>first off, unrelated to ship blocks, we saw Kubiak focus

0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:47.240
<v Speaker 6>a lot on one guy in the passing game, and

0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:50.840
<v Speaker 6>if anyone is gonna get you anywhere near JSN type

0:20:50.880 --> 0:20:52.880
<v Speaker 6>of volume, it would be Brock Powers in that offense.

0:20:53.080 --> 0:20:56.399
<v Speaker 6>So that's pretty cool in itself. Brock Bawers set twenty

0:20:56.480 --> 0:20:59.720
<v Speaker 6>four chip blocks all of last season, which among like

0:21:00.119 --> 0:21:04.520
<v Speaker 6>arding tight ends, that was probably the single lowest mark

0:21:04.920 --> 0:21:08.159
<v Speaker 6>in the league. Six point two percent rate. That's just tiny.

0:21:08.560 --> 0:21:10.520
<v Speaker 6>He caught every single one of his passes off of

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:14.560
<v Speaker 6>a chip, seven of seven for seventy three yards, and

0:21:14.640 --> 0:21:16.199
<v Speaker 6>so I think a lot of the reason for that

0:21:16.400 --> 0:21:19.639
<v Speaker 6>is that Chip Kelly was mostly using him as an.

0:21:19.480 --> 0:21:21.359
<v Speaker 4>Outside receiver, a slot receiver.

0:21:21.720 --> 0:21:25.119
<v Speaker 6>Glen Kubiak loves to put his guys in line with

0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:27.959
<v Speaker 6>the line of scrimmage, and so that's going to give

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:31.239
<v Speaker 6>him an easy opportunity to chip a lot more. And

0:21:31.320 --> 0:21:33.639
<v Speaker 6>then you know, he can run a flat route, a

0:21:33.680 --> 0:21:37.359
<v Speaker 6>fade route and be you know, the first read for

0:21:38.119 --> 0:21:41.359
<v Speaker 6>if we're going to guess, probably for Nana Mendoza. I

0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:43.280
<v Speaker 6>think it should go great for him as in terms

0:21:43.320 --> 0:21:44.199
<v Speaker 6>of his fantasy contact.

0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:47.440
<v Speaker 5>Go ahead, So I want to talk about an underrated

0:21:47.760 --> 0:21:49.919
<v Speaker 5>Rams tight end. I want to take you to La Colby.

0:21:49.960 --> 0:21:54.840
<v Speaker 5>Parkinson had seven targets on fourteen red zone chips, which

0:21:54.880 --> 0:21:57.080
<v Speaker 5>is really interesting being that the Rams have the best

0:21:57.200 --> 0:21:59.919
<v Speaker 5>wide receiver room in the NFL. But how much of

0:21:59.920 --> 0:22:03.600
<v Speaker 5>the red zone chip uses translates to touchdown opportunity? And

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:07.560
<v Speaker 5>is Parkinson somebody fantasy managers should be watching out for.

0:22:09.000 --> 0:22:11.879
<v Speaker 6>Uh yeah, I think there's a really good possibility of that.

0:22:12.240 --> 0:22:15.199
<v Speaker 6>The one way that we would throw that out is

0:22:15.200 --> 0:22:18.440
<v Speaker 6>if Kenyan City gets drafted by the Rams, but right

0:22:18.480 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 6>now they now we.

0:22:19.480 --> 0:22:21.080
<v Speaker 5>Don't want that.

0:22:21.520 --> 0:22:23.920
<v Speaker 6>It would well, I mean, Citik is gonna be great

0:22:23.920 --> 0:22:26.720
<v Speaker 6>wherever he goes. But I do think you know, the

0:22:26.800 --> 0:22:28.880
<v Speaker 6>room that the Rams have right now as far as

0:22:28.880 --> 0:22:30.520
<v Speaker 6>tight ends is one of the strongest in the league.

0:22:30.840 --> 0:22:32.639
<v Speaker 6>They would often put three of them out on the

0:22:32.640 --> 0:22:35.119
<v Speaker 6>field at the same time. That's something again that not

0:22:35.200 --> 0:22:38.639
<v Speaker 6>a lot of people are doing. And so you know,

0:22:38.720 --> 0:22:42.919
<v Speaker 6>Parkinson had these certain specific weeks where he was really

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:45.480
<v Speaker 6>popping off in the fantasy sense, and it's because he

0:22:45.880 --> 0:22:49.160
<v Speaker 6>was really trustworthy as a red zone guy.

0:22:49.680 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 4>And that was kind of their plan to get him loose.

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:55.000
<v Speaker 6>We see it with Parkinson, and the other guy we

0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:56.920
<v Speaker 6>really see it with is Jake Ferguson.

0:22:57.320 --> 0:22:59.240
<v Speaker 4>Where they would set the chip in.

0:22:59.200 --> 0:23:02.960
<v Speaker 6>The red zone, they would kind of lose their coverage

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:05.760
<v Speaker 6>defender as a result of that, and they you know,

0:23:05.920 --> 0:23:10.960
<v Speaker 6>these are big body targets who are great outlet for

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:13.760
<v Speaker 6>their quarterbacks to hit in that spot. So yeah, I

0:23:13.800 --> 0:23:17.879
<v Speaker 6>think Parkinson and then the other guy worth considering, you

0:23:17.920 --> 0:23:19.840
<v Speaker 6>know for a year two breakout would be Terrence Ferguson,

0:23:19.880 --> 0:23:22.640
<v Speaker 6>but he's not really the chip block type and he's

0:23:22.680 --> 0:23:25.320
<v Speaker 6>not really the same caliber or red zone weapon. So

0:23:25.359 --> 0:23:28.160
<v Speaker 6>we really could be in a spot to watch out

0:23:28.240 --> 0:23:30.639
<v Speaker 6>for Parkinson, you know, kind of taking over some of

0:23:30.640 --> 0:23:35.120
<v Speaker 6>the Tyler Higbee workload and keeping these good vibes going.

0:23:37.440 --> 0:23:39.360
<v Speaker 1>You mentioned that a lot of times the coaches that'd

0:23:39.400 --> 0:23:43.440
<v Speaker 1>used that we're teams that didn't have maybe great upfront

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:47.359
<v Speaker 1>protection for their quarterbacks, or teams with younger quarterbacks or

0:23:47.359 --> 0:23:49.520
<v Speaker 1>guys who just needed extra time to get the ball out.

0:23:49.920 --> 0:23:52.520
<v Speaker 1>It brings me to Kevin Stefanski coming to Atlanta, which

0:23:52.560 --> 0:23:55.480
<v Speaker 1>is sort of a mixed bag of things because you know,

0:23:55.560 --> 0:23:57.960
<v Speaker 1>in terms of their rating, the offensive line was a

0:23:57.960 --> 0:23:59.320
<v Speaker 1>pretty good pass blocking.

0:23:59.040 --> 0:24:00.000
<v Speaker 2>Unit for the Falcon.

0:24:00.160 --> 0:24:03.440
<v Speaker 1>But now you're dealing with a quarterback most likely into

0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:06.400
<v Speaker 1>a tongue of iyaaloa who is sort of has been

0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:08.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of a get the ball out of his hands quickly.

0:24:08.359 --> 0:24:10.520
<v Speaker 1>Maybe try to give him some extra time, especially to

0:24:10.760 --> 0:24:13.439
<v Speaker 1>give you know, to protect him maybe from himself in

0:24:13.480 --> 0:24:17.359
<v Speaker 1>some cases. I where where do you anticipate the Falcons

0:24:17.400 --> 0:24:20.200
<v Speaker 1>sort of landing here? To Stefansky go more with the chip?

0:24:20.240 --> 0:24:21.720
<v Speaker 1>Does he does he do less with it? Because we

0:24:21.760 --> 0:24:24.359
<v Speaker 1>already know Kyle Pitts sort of thrived in that situation,

0:24:24.800 --> 0:24:27.600
<v Speaker 1>and every year we keep pretzeling our logic to try

0:24:27.640 --> 0:24:28.800
<v Speaker 1>and make Kyle Pits a thing.

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:31.240
<v Speaker 2>I guess I guess I'm asking you to give.

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:33.560
<v Speaker 1>Me one more reason to to not give up on

0:24:33.680 --> 0:24:34.240
<v Speaker 1>Kyle Pitts.

0:24:36.720 --> 0:24:41.800
<v Speaker 6>So I if you want me to, you know, kind

0:24:41.800 --> 0:24:45.160
<v Speaker 6>of gass up Kyle Pitts, I think I would not

0:24:46.880 --> 0:24:51.280
<v Speaker 6>to do that. You know, Kyle Pitts is is a

0:24:51.320 --> 0:24:54.040
<v Speaker 6>total like move tight end. He's he's gonna be in

0:24:54.080 --> 0:24:57.200
<v Speaker 6>the slot a lot of the time. And uh so

0:24:57.560 --> 0:25:01.919
<v Speaker 6>with Tua, you know, throwing the ball quick I think

0:25:02.080 --> 0:25:06.160
<v Speaker 6>it's very possible that Stefanski changes up his strategy, especially

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:08.080
<v Speaker 6>you know he's handing off play calling. He's given it

0:25:08.080 --> 0:25:10.240
<v Speaker 6>to I don't remember the guy's name. I think it's

0:25:10.440 --> 0:25:15.239
<v Speaker 6>Tommy Reese or something like that, but yeah, nice. So

0:25:15.280 --> 0:25:18.280
<v Speaker 6>it's the guy who was his OC last year, but

0:25:18.280 --> 0:25:20.080
<v Speaker 6>it's actually not going to be the play caller in Atlanta.

0:25:20.440 --> 0:25:23.960
<v Speaker 6>And so so for Pitts, I mean, I think we

0:25:24.000 --> 0:25:26.919
<v Speaker 6>could see those guys use him the same way that

0:25:26.920 --> 0:25:29.840
<v Speaker 6>they used Harold fannin, which was really exciting, but that's

0:25:29.840 --> 0:25:31.600
<v Speaker 6>going to be in a move situation. It's going to

0:25:31.600 --> 0:25:34.320
<v Speaker 6>be kind of more outside. And then if they also

0:25:34.400 --> 0:25:37.280
<v Speaker 6>have a blocking tight down the field, that guy could

0:25:37.359 --> 0:25:40.480
<v Speaker 6>potentially be the chip or probably wouldn't get the targets.

0:25:40.720 --> 0:25:45.600
<v Speaker 6>But it also means, you know, there'll be not as

0:25:45.720 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 6>many guys taking the target shair in that case, it'll

0:25:49.280 --> 0:25:53.520
<v Speaker 6>be you know, basically London Pits Bijon and they're getting

0:25:53.800 --> 0:25:58.600
<v Speaker 6>the entire bulk of the workload. So I mean, if

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:00.280
<v Speaker 6>you need if you need faith in Pits, it would

0:26:00.320 --> 0:26:03.840
<v Speaker 6>be more of a target share. And also just the

0:26:03.840 --> 0:26:08.920
<v Speaker 6>fact that they love heavy personnel in that former Cleveland

0:26:09.320 --> 0:26:10.680
<v Speaker 6>coaching room.

0:26:10.720 --> 0:26:12.360
<v Speaker 2>Got it all right, good enough for me.

0:26:12.840 --> 0:26:14.800
<v Speaker 1>Because like a break, come back and we'll talk about

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:17.439
<v Speaker 1>the chip use of the chip block and what this

0:26:17.520 --> 0:26:19.240
<v Speaker 1>means potentially for fantasy defenses.

0:26:19.280 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 2>They're still in the game despite.

0:26:20.480 --> 0:26:22.840
<v Speaker 1>People trying to maybe move on from talking with James

0:26:22.840 --> 0:26:25.639
<v Speaker 1>Reeber in GS Researcher. That's coming up more next on

0:26:25.680 --> 0:26:32.679
<v Speaker 1>the NFL Fantasy Football podcast, Talking with the Next Gen

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:35.600
<v Speaker 1>Status Researcher. James Reeber wrote an article about the increased

0:26:35.680 --> 0:26:38.440
<v Speaker 1>use of the chip block across the NFL, and want

0:26:38.440 --> 0:26:42.080
<v Speaker 1>to kind of pivot to talking about defenses because you know,

0:26:42.960 --> 0:26:46.560
<v Speaker 1>you wrote that defenses that got chipped more in a

0:26:46.600 --> 0:26:50.119
<v Speaker 1>lot of cases, gotten more sacks, forced more turnovers. You

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:52.720
<v Speaker 1>and I were talking before the show that somehow Miles

0:26:52.760 --> 0:26:56.679
<v Speaker 1>Garrett actually got better when he was chipped. Have you

0:26:56.720 --> 0:26:58.880
<v Speaker 1>been able to figure out the logic for that so far?

0:26:59.400 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, So I was confused by that at first. It

0:27:03.600 --> 0:27:07.560
<v Speaker 6>seems counterintuitive, but you know what's really happening is when

0:27:07.560 --> 0:27:11.639
<v Speaker 6>you have an incredible pass rusher like Miles Garrett, like

0:27:12.040 --> 0:27:15.040
<v Speaker 6>you know Houston has with Daniel Hunter and Will Anderson

0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:17.440
<v Speaker 6>on both sides, like Pittsburgh has with t J.

0:27:17.520 --> 0:27:19.280
<v Speaker 4>Watt, all five.

0:27:19.119 --> 0:27:21.119
<v Speaker 6>Of these teams that you're going to see in the

0:27:21.160 --> 0:27:26.240
<v Speaker 6>top five of chiplock rate are going to have incredible

0:27:26.240 --> 0:27:29.200
<v Speaker 6>pass rushers, and those guys are going to get theirs.

0:27:29.640 --> 0:27:34.800
<v Speaker 6>Offenses are kind of, you know, scrambling to really help

0:27:34.840 --> 0:27:37.560
<v Speaker 6>out on these guys a little bit extra just so

0:27:37.640 --> 0:27:42.080
<v Speaker 6>they don't get completely game broken, and so they're going

0:27:42.160 --> 0:27:44.879
<v Speaker 6>to end up getting a lot of sacks as it is.

0:27:45.920 --> 0:27:46.680
<v Speaker 4>Miles Garrett.

0:27:46.840 --> 0:27:49.000
<v Speaker 6>Really do want to focus on him for a second, because,

0:27:49.480 --> 0:27:53.399
<v Speaker 6>as everyone knows, he's a freaking nature but somehow he

0:27:53.680 --> 0:27:58.800
<v Speaker 6>is even better against chip blocks that one don't know

0:27:58.840 --> 0:28:00.560
<v Speaker 6>if I found a specific explanation.

0:28:01.400 --> 0:28:03.760
<v Speaker 4>He just you know, plays like he's possessed.

0:28:03.800 --> 0:28:08.160
<v Speaker 6>He goes full god mode when you know someone disrespects

0:28:08.240 --> 0:28:10.320
<v Speaker 6>him by throwing extra help or I guess respects him

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:13.840
<v Speaker 6>really but yeah, so he he got twenty nine pressures

0:28:13.840 --> 0:28:16.720
<v Speaker 6>against ship blocks this season. That's ten more than anyone

0:28:16.800 --> 0:28:22.120
<v Speaker 6>ever had in another season that we've tracked, and he's

0:28:22.119 --> 0:28:23.160
<v Speaker 6>in second place too.

0:28:23.320 --> 0:28:24.840
<v Speaker 4>He had nineteen in a different season.

0:28:25.359 --> 0:28:29.000
<v Speaker 6>So yeah, definitely just an incredible thing that we're seeing

0:28:29.000 --> 0:28:32.399
<v Speaker 6>out of him. Specifically, Browns were a solid fantasy defense

0:28:32.440 --> 0:28:34.840
<v Speaker 6>this year. I figure they're going to continue to be

0:28:35.000 --> 0:28:36.520
<v Speaker 6>a very.

0:28:36.119 --> 0:28:41.080
<v Speaker 3>Solid option and try to take this information and spin

0:28:41.160 --> 0:28:44.880
<v Speaker 3>it into a fantasy since, in your opinion that you've

0:28:44.920 --> 0:28:46.960
<v Speaker 3>done more studying on this than any.

0:28:46.880 --> 0:28:47.400
<v Speaker 4>Of us have.

0:28:48.000 --> 0:28:50.800
<v Speaker 3>Do you like, if you were targeting a defense for

0:28:50.840 --> 0:28:54.880
<v Speaker 3>fantasy purposes, are you thinking that having an elite pass

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:58.120
<v Speaker 3>rusher is top? Is it a team that creates a

0:28:58.120 --> 0:29:00.680
<v Speaker 3>lot of pressure as a whole? Are you targeting a

0:29:00.720 --> 0:29:04.480
<v Speaker 3>weak offensive line? Like, I'm sure it's probably a combination

0:29:04.640 --> 0:29:06.720
<v Speaker 3>of the three. But what do you think the most

0:29:06.800 --> 0:29:09.800
<v Speaker 3>important ingredients is when looking to stream a defense.

0:29:09.920 --> 0:29:11.560
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I can go into all of that a little bit,

0:29:11.680 --> 0:29:14.880
<v Speaker 6>And I mean, you guys are the authorities when it

0:29:14.920 --> 0:29:17.480
<v Speaker 6>comes to do you pick one or early or do

0:29:17.520 --> 0:29:20.080
<v Speaker 6>you decide to stream? So that's you know, up to

0:29:20.160 --> 0:29:22.960
<v Speaker 6>the player themselves as everyone's choice. But if you do

0:29:23.040 --> 0:29:26.040
<v Speaker 6>decide to pick early, I love a defense with a

0:29:26.080 --> 0:29:28.840
<v Speaker 6>good pass rusher or ideally with two. I would love

0:29:28.880 --> 0:29:33.040
<v Speaker 6>to pick the Texans as my fantasy defense because you know,

0:29:33.160 --> 0:29:35.520
<v Speaker 6>you're going to be lining up those two guys on

0:29:35.680 --> 0:29:39.200
<v Speaker 6>the edge pretty much every play, and that is going

0:29:39.240 --> 0:29:42.160
<v Speaker 6>to make life really hard on everybody on the other

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:45.400
<v Speaker 6>side of the ball. Like, you know, that's what creates

0:29:45.920 --> 0:29:49.880
<v Speaker 6>sacks obviously, but it's also what creates interceptions. Like you know,

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:52.240
<v Speaker 6>when you when you get pressure, that's where a lot

0:29:52.280 --> 0:29:56.240
<v Speaker 6>of the turnovers are coming from. And so yeah, I

0:29:56.320 --> 0:29:58.840
<v Speaker 6>think you definitely definitely want to look for an elite

0:29:58.840 --> 0:30:02.440
<v Speaker 6>pass rusher from a fantasy perspective a little more than

0:30:02.480 --> 0:30:06.160
<v Speaker 6>you would like an elite linebacker or elite corner or

0:30:06.200 --> 0:30:12.000
<v Speaker 6>something like that. And then you know, as far as streaming, yeah,

0:30:12.040 --> 0:30:17.560
<v Speaker 6>if you have let's say, Hutchinson against the Vikings, that's

0:30:17.600 --> 0:30:19.880
<v Speaker 6>a great time to stream. The Lions they were a

0:30:19.880 --> 0:30:22.960
<v Speaker 6>little bit more streaming tier last year. I think they

0:30:23.000 --> 0:30:25.320
<v Speaker 6>could bounce back because there is a lot of talent

0:30:25.560 --> 0:30:29.520
<v Speaker 6>just across that entire room. If they stay healthy, Like

0:30:29.560 --> 0:30:35.080
<v Speaker 6>the Lions are a great defensive option, but if they're facing.

0:30:34.840 --> 0:30:36.480
<v Speaker 4>An offense that is going to be.

0:30:36.600 --> 0:30:40.800
<v Speaker 6>Forced to chip or forced to provide extra help, then

0:30:41.520 --> 0:30:42.360
<v Speaker 6>that offense.

0:30:42.040 --> 0:30:43.000
<v Speaker 4>Could have a really rough day.

0:30:44.680 --> 0:30:47.480
<v Speaker 5>So James, even though I'm trying to vote out defenses

0:30:47.520 --> 0:30:49.960
<v Speaker 5>out of my fantasy leagues amongst my friends that just

0:30:50.080 --> 0:30:52.920
<v Speaker 5>keep voting for it, but is there a defense that

0:30:53.000 --> 0:30:55.880
<v Speaker 5>might be poised for a breakdown twenty twenty six based

0:30:55.920 --> 0:30:58.720
<v Speaker 5>on how often their edge rushers are being chipped in

0:30:58.720 --> 0:30:59.520
<v Speaker 5>twenty twenty five.

0:31:00.080 --> 0:31:04.400
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, yeah, I did find a few different options for that.

0:31:05.400 --> 0:31:08.160
<v Speaker 6>The one that kind of stood out, this was a

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:09.760
<v Speaker 6>little bit surprising, is not one that a lot of

0:31:09.760 --> 0:31:13.160
<v Speaker 6>people would think about, was the Indianapolis Colts. So they

0:31:13.320 --> 0:31:17.920
<v Speaker 6>have young edge rushers led by Layatsu Latsu.

0:31:18.360 --> 0:31:22.280
<v Speaker 4>He faced almost as many trips.

0:31:21.960 --> 0:31:24.920
<v Speaker 6>As Jared Verse and that was, you know, the second

0:31:25.000 --> 0:31:28.640
<v Speaker 6>most by any player that was a.

0:31:27.920 --> 0:31:30.640
<v Speaker 4>First or second year player. So he's getting tripped a lot.

0:31:30.720 --> 0:31:35.000
<v Speaker 6>People respect him, and we see you know, year three

0:31:35.040 --> 0:31:38.160
<v Speaker 6>breakouts for a lot of these guys as they get

0:31:38.200 --> 0:31:42.040
<v Speaker 6>accustomed to how to pass rush. And then another thing

0:31:42.200 --> 0:31:46.360
<v Speaker 6>is the Colts have a defensive coordinator that first of

0:31:46.400 --> 0:31:49.200
<v Speaker 6>all is regarded as a really you know, special coach,

0:31:49.240 --> 0:31:53.280
<v Speaker 6>Louayn Rumo. And then also in his second year implementing

0:31:53.360 --> 0:31:59.920
<v Speaker 6>the system, could really get a little more like creative

0:32:00.040 --> 0:32:03.680
<v Speaker 6>with his pass rush and you know, start stunning guys

0:32:03.720 --> 0:32:07.160
<v Speaker 6>a little bit more, or start dropping guys into coverage,

0:32:07.160 --> 0:32:10.920
<v Speaker 6>you know, disguising his blitzes. So yeah, between all of

0:32:10.920 --> 0:32:14.920
<v Speaker 6>that and the fact that lotso could be in line

0:32:14.960 --> 0:32:18.480
<v Speaker 6>for a breakout based on his hip rate, that's what

0:32:18.600 --> 0:32:21.200
<v Speaker 6>I would look at like a little more than we

0:32:21.320 --> 0:32:22.280
<v Speaker 6>have in previous years.

0:32:24.280 --> 0:32:27.840
<v Speaker 1>So sort of along with that, right with the you know,

0:32:28.120 --> 0:32:30.280
<v Speaker 1>chip blocks and pressure and all that sort of thing,

0:32:30.680 --> 0:32:33.000
<v Speaker 1>one of the big changes we've seen in recent years

0:32:33.000 --> 0:32:36.120
<v Speaker 1>and defenses has been the increased use of too high safeties.

0:32:36.200 --> 0:32:36.320
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:32:36.360 --> 0:32:39.120
<v Speaker 1>This was supposedly the thing that helped everybody figure out

0:32:39.120 --> 0:32:40.480
<v Speaker 1>the Kansas City Chiefs.

0:32:41.160 --> 0:32:42.760
<v Speaker 2>We can debate that at another.

0:32:42.480 --> 0:32:46.000
<v Speaker 1>Time, but you know, for people who maybe you are uninitiated,

0:32:46.040 --> 0:32:49.120
<v Speaker 1>explain sort of what that is, and you know how

0:32:49.160 --> 0:32:51.920
<v Speaker 1>we've seen this change into teams doing that a little

0:32:51.920 --> 0:32:52.640
<v Speaker 1>more defensively.

0:32:53.040 --> 0:32:58.040
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, the concept of too high coverage, it's it's three

0:32:58.080 --> 0:32:59.200
<v Speaker 6>different types of coverage.

0:32:59.200 --> 0:33:01.440
<v Speaker 4>It's covered two, cover four, cover six.

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:05.280
<v Speaker 6>And it basically just means that both of your safeties

0:33:05.320 --> 0:33:08.520
<v Speaker 6>are starting a little closer to the rest of your

0:33:08.560 --> 0:33:13.520
<v Speaker 6>defense and then they are both dropping back in opposite

0:33:13.560 --> 0:33:20.560
<v Speaker 6>directions into coverage. And so this is very, very truly

0:33:21.000 --> 0:33:25.920
<v Speaker 6>a league wide trend. It's happening everywhere. We see on

0:33:26.520 --> 0:33:31.200
<v Speaker 6>this image right here that everyone in the NFL, every

0:33:31.240 --> 0:33:36.000
<v Speaker 6>single defense played split safety coverage at least thirty percent

0:33:36.000 --> 0:33:37.640
<v Speaker 6>of the time this season. Too high and split safety

0:33:37.680 --> 0:33:39.520
<v Speaker 6>mean the same thing. By the way, exact same and

0:33:39.600 --> 0:33:44.719
<v Speaker 6>so that is pretty cool because it had not been

0:33:44.760 --> 0:33:48.360
<v Speaker 6>happening before we had you know, twenty eighteen to twenty twenty,

0:33:48.440 --> 0:33:51.719
<v Speaker 6>there were eight or so defense is a season who

0:33:51.760 --> 0:33:54.640
<v Speaker 6>would be under that thirty percent mark. And then it

0:33:54.760 --> 0:33:57.240
<v Speaker 6>just started moving up and up and up. And now

0:33:57.600 --> 0:34:01.920
<v Speaker 6>everyone has caught onto this thing. Offenses are seeing it

0:34:02.240 --> 0:34:05.680
<v Speaker 6>all the time, and some of the best defenses out

0:34:05.680 --> 0:34:10.880
<v Speaker 6>there are really you know, making this an efficient strategy.

0:34:11.640 --> 0:34:14.200
<v Speaker 6>The Seahawks were a team that did it very frequently

0:34:14.239 --> 0:34:17.080
<v Speaker 6>this year. They used a lot of cover six, which

0:34:17.120 --> 0:34:19.040
<v Speaker 6>didn't used to be a popular thing in the past,

0:34:19.040 --> 0:34:21.640
<v Speaker 6>but it drove them to a Super Bowl. Chiefs were

0:34:21.640 --> 0:34:24.359
<v Speaker 6>the pioneers, like you said, and you know, that worked

0:34:24.400 --> 0:34:26.960
<v Speaker 6>really well for them for a little while, and then

0:34:27.960 --> 0:34:30.439
<v Speaker 6>you know, people did catch on. You start seeing it more,

0:34:30.640 --> 0:34:33.080
<v Speaker 6>you develop a little bit of a counter.

0:34:34.840 --> 0:34:37.440
<v Speaker 3>And again, just trying to put a fantasy spin on

0:34:37.480 --> 0:34:39.360
<v Speaker 3>all you were touching on the Colts and lou Anramo

0:34:39.440 --> 0:34:41.640
<v Speaker 3>and I kind of credit him with being the mastermind

0:34:41.680 --> 0:34:44.160
<v Speaker 3>behind this. He did it two years in a row

0:34:44.200 --> 0:34:47.120
<v Speaker 3>to Josh Mahomes in the playoffs. Shut those guys down.

0:34:47.120 --> 0:34:48.279
<v Speaker 3>And then I feel like the rest of.

0:34:48.200 --> 0:34:53.360
<v Speaker 4>The league copied him. But how does this apply?

0:34:53.640 --> 0:34:54.839
<v Speaker 3>How can we apply.

0:34:54.640 --> 0:34:56.560
<v Speaker 4>This into a fantasy since.

0:34:56.320 --> 0:34:59.920
<v Speaker 3>Right, like, is it less big plays more like slot

0:35:00.040 --> 0:35:02.640
<v Speaker 3>and possession receivers. Now we're going to get targets, Like,

0:35:03.400 --> 0:35:05.279
<v Speaker 3>how can we take this and kind of apply it

0:35:05.280 --> 0:35:05.799
<v Speaker 3>to what we do?

0:35:06.840 --> 0:35:11.040
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, So, I mean what I would do is I

0:35:11.080 --> 0:35:15.040
<v Speaker 6>would look at the specific offensive players who have already

0:35:15.560 --> 0:35:20.480
<v Speaker 6>performed the best against this, and we found some really

0:35:20.480 --> 0:35:27.400
<v Speaker 6>cool stuff off of that. So, first off, JSN was

0:35:28.480 --> 0:35:33.000
<v Speaker 6>just way above everybody else in terms of the production

0:35:33.120 --> 0:35:36.759
<v Speaker 6>against Too High. He ended up with eight hundred and

0:35:36.760 --> 0:35:40.080
<v Speaker 6>forty one receiving yards against Too High last season, and

0:35:40.680 --> 0:35:43.879
<v Speaker 6>nobody else had seven hundred, So he was nearly two

0:35:43.960 --> 0:35:45.640
<v Speaker 6>hundred yards out in front of the rest of the field.

0:35:46.760 --> 0:35:50.040
<v Speaker 6>So people are like, Okay, JSN had this enormous year.

0:35:50.640 --> 0:35:53.480
<v Speaker 6>Is it really sustainable, especially with no Kubiak there? We

0:35:53.520 --> 0:35:59.839
<v Speaker 6>don't know, But like he is doing something that you know,

0:36:00.080 --> 0:36:03.520
<v Speaker 6>the rest of the NFL needs to start doing, which

0:36:03.560 --> 0:36:06.360
<v Speaker 6>is figuring out how to beat this kind of coverage

0:36:06.880 --> 0:36:11.759
<v Speaker 6>both underneath and deep. Like you know, Too High is

0:36:11.840 --> 0:36:14.960
<v Speaker 6>designed as a thing that will take away that deep

0:36:15.040 --> 0:36:18.439
<v Speaker 6>portion of the field, but if you go to the

0:36:18.480 --> 0:36:23.040
<v Speaker 6>middle against Cover two, if you get a one on

0:36:23.040 --> 0:36:26.759
<v Speaker 6>one outside go route against Cover four, Like, there is

0:36:26.800 --> 0:36:30.520
<v Speaker 6>a possibility if you're a really talented receiver that you

0:36:30.640 --> 0:36:33.920
<v Speaker 6>can make that work and produce off of that. Some

0:36:33.960 --> 0:36:37.000
<v Speaker 6>other guys that we saw doing really well against this

0:36:37.360 --> 0:36:40.840
<v Speaker 6>who could be in line for breakouts or you know,

0:36:40.920 --> 0:36:45.200
<v Speaker 6>continued progression after solid rookie years would be Amika Igbuka

0:36:45.440 --> 0:36:51.320
<v Speaker 6>and Tetero McMillan. Both of them were in the top

0:36:51.800 --> 0:36:55.479
<v Speaker 6>fifteen in receiving yards against this coverage. And we're also

0:36:55.640 --> 0:36:58.799
<v Speaker 6>taugh or near the top of the list in targets.

0:36:58.960 --> 0:37:01.719
<v Speaker 6>So like they clearly have a lot of trust and

0:37:02.960 --> 0:37:05.360
<v Speaker 6>you know they those two teams are going to be

0:37:05.400 --> 0:37:07.960
<v Speaker 6>trying to make those guys number ones. I think that's

0:37:08.000 --> 0:37:11.920
<v Speaker 6>pretty clear from their you know, team building strategy. So

0:37:13.000 --> 0:37:17.120
<v Speaker 6>I'm really excited to see how it progresses. With the

0:37:17.280 --> 0:37:20.080
<v Speaker 6>entire league playing a lot of too High every game

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:21.400
<v Speaker 6>it gets more valuable.

0:37:22.680 --> 0:37:25.479
<v Speaker 5>So let's go to Pittsburgh. Man, you talk about number ones.

0:37:25.560 --> 0:37:27.720
<v Speaker 5>Now we have two number ones in Pittsburgh with DK

0:37:27.800 --> 0:37:30.760
<v Speaker 5>Metcalf and Michael Pittman. In your article you spoke about

0:37:30.800 --> 0:37:34.160
<v Speaker 5>how too high data suggests both of these guys could

0:37:34.160 --> 0:37:37.320
<v Speaker 5>really be effective in PPR leagues. What is it about

0:37:37.320 --> 0:37:40.200
<v Speaker 5>their profile that makes them a fit for what McCarthy

0:37:40.239 --> 0:37:42.480
<v Speaker 5>wants to run And is there a case that one

0:37:42.640 --> 0:37:45.800
<v Speaker 5>or maybe both of them ends up being undervalued heading

0:37:45.800 --> 0:37:47.560
<v Speaker 5>into twenty twenty six drafts.

0:37:48.320 --> 0:37:49.480
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, yeah, potentially.

0:37:49.680 --> 0:37:54.400
<v Speaker 6>I mean I think especially Pittman could end up undervalued,

0:37:54.600 --> 0:37:58.720
<v Speaker 6>Like he has been a strong PPR guy for a while,

0:37:58.880 --> 0:38:02.040
<v Speaker 6>and you know, doesn't necessarily get the shine that he deserves.

0:38:02.400 --> 0:38:06.799
<v Speaker 6>He was more the kind of underneath outlet option I

0:38:06.840 --> 0:38:10.400
<v Speaker 6>would say against too high, like if he if he

0:38:10.440 --> 0:38:14.560
<v Speaker 6>would get a one on one underneath, or like find

0:38:14.560 --> 0:38:16.440
<v Speaker 6>a softer zone underneath, I guess would be more of

0:38:16.440 --> 0:38:21.440
<v Speaker 6>the idea he was getting. You know, these these easy

0:38:21.880 --> 0:38:25.279
<v Speaker 6>you know, slant routes, just over and over fade routes,

0:38:25.320 --> 0:38:28.000
<v Speaker 6>whatever you wanted to do. And so you know, he

0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:31.920
<v Speaker 6>caught forty balls against that coverage. Last year, d K

0:38:33.280 --> 0:38:35.360
<v Speaker 6>did not have quite the same volume, but he was

0:38:35.400 --> 0:38:40.759
<v Speaker 6>actually highly efficient when he was targeted. He caught just

0:38:40.960 --> 0:38:44.239
<v Speaker 6>over eighty percent of his targets when facing too high,

0:38:44.600 --> 0:38:48.520
<v Speaker 6>So like he could be more the intermediate.

0:38:47.840 --> 0:38:49.600
<v Speaker 4>Option on the other side of the field.

0:38:50.400 --> 0:38:53.640
<v Speaker 6>If it is Aaron Rodgers back, like that's going to

0:38:53.680 --> 0:38:57.319
<v Speaker 6>be read one and read two in some order when

0:38:57.360 --> 0:39:00.920
<v Speaker 6>he gets this coverage, and so, you know, I think

0:39:00.960 --> 0:39:03.880
<v Speaker 6>both of them could be really really productive.

0:39:04.320 --> 0:39:04.880
<v Speaker 4>Just off of that.

0:39:05.320 --> 0:39:08.520
<v Speaker 6>Another guy we saw be really efficient was Pat Farremouth.

0:39:08.719 --> 0:39:10.799
<v Speaker 6>You know, Rogers is a veteran. He knows how to

0:39:11.280 --> 0:39:14.680
<v Speaker 6>how to use his guys and you know, break down

0:39:14.760 --> 0:39:19.319
<v Speaker 6>whatever he is seeing with the defense opposite him. And

0:39:19.880 --> 0:39:23.319
<v Speaker 6>you know he's been he has worked with McCarthy for

0:39:23.360 --> 0:39:26.759
<v Speaker 6>a long long time. So if that's the quarterback they

0:39:26.760 --> 0:39:30.880
<v Speaker 6>elect to go with, then it could produce, you know,

0:39:31.040 --> 0:39:32.719
<v Speaker 6>really impressive fantasy results.

0:39:32.920 --> 0:39:34.760
<v Speaker 1>It warms my heart to hear you say that Michael

0:39:34.760 --> 0:39:37.239
<v Speaker 1>Pittman may be a little bit undervalued, because I've been

0:39:37.360 --> 0:39:39.959
<v Speaker 1>I've been trying to tell my esteemed co hosts this

0:39:40.120 --> 0:39:42.840
<v Speaker 1>for weeks and it's like getting them to eat broccoli

0:39:43.760 --> 0:39:47.080
<v Speaker 1>to get them to admit to this. So I appreciate that,

0:39:47.120 --> 0:39:49.920
<v Speaker 1>but I guess it does sort of lend to the

0:39:49.960 --> 0:39:53.480
<v Speaker 1>fact that the Colts felt like Michael Pittman was expendable

0:39:53.560 --> 0:39:56.319
<v Speaker 1>because they went out and re signed Alec Peerce to

0:39:56.360 --> 0:39:57.600
<v Speaker 1>a pretty sizable deal.

0:39:58.360 --> 0:40:02.239
<v Speaker 2>So do we see you know, maybe greater use.

0:40:02.320 --> 0:40:04.719
<v Speaker 1>Obviously we'll see greater usage for for Alec Pearce, But

0:40:05.120 --> 0:40:06.719
<v Speaker 1>is there a way that he can be a guy

0:40:06.760 --> 0:40:09.640
<v Speaker 1>who helps beat some of these split safety coverages. Can

0:40:09.680 --> 0:40:11.680
<v Speaker 1>they find a way to kind of make him that

0:40:11.800 --> 0:40:13.080
<v Speaker 1>lightning rod in the offense?

0:40:13.960 --> 0:40:15.040
<v Speaker 4>Yes? Absolutely?

0:40:15.440 --> 0:40:19.919
<v Speaker 6>Uh so so with Pittman, you know, he talked about

0:40:20.000 --> 0:40:24.080
<v Speaker 6>him as broccoli like he Uh.

0:40:24.920 --> 0:40:27.239
<v Speaker 4>I did think that was funny. Uh.

0:40:27.280 --> 0:40:30.080
<v Speaker 6>You know, he's not gonna get you the deep balls,

0:40:30.120 --> 0:40:32.560
<v Speaker 6>He's not going to get you the touchdowns. Alec Pierce

0:40:32.719 --> 0:40:36.480
<v Speaker 6>has that splash play capability, and then he is also

0:40:36.960 --> 0:40:40.520
<v Speaker 6>like a big body, quick twitch you know, I think

0:40:40.520 --> 0:40:42.719
<v Speaker 6>he's six y three and runs a four to four

0:40:42.840 --> 0:40:46.000
<v Speaker 6>sub four four or something like that, and so you know,

0:40:46.200 --> 0:40:48.440
<v Speaker 6>he is really a do it all receiver and he

0:40:48.640 --> 0:40:54.000
<v Speaker 6>has some of the same capabilities as a Jackson Smith

0:40:54.040 --> 0:41:00.440
<v Speaker 6>and Jigba. Alec Pierce was the number one receiver in

0:41:00.880 --> 0:41:05.440
<v Speaker 6>yards per target against too high coverage last season. So

0:41:05.480 --> 0:41:07.759
<v Speaker 6>the Colts were like, Okay, we have this guy in

0:41:07.800 --> 0:41:11.480
<v Speaker 6>the building and like, sure, we've been doing a good

0:41:11.560 --> 0:41:17.439
<v Speaker 6>job executing the shorter routes to Pittman, but like Alec

0:41:17.520 --> 0:41:19.520
<v Speaker 6>Pearce's is dynamic.

0:41:19.640 --> 0:41:20.560
<v Speaker 4>He's tearing it up.

0:41:21.040 --> 0:41:25.279
<v Speaker 6>Like if we give him more of that work, I

0:41:25.320 --> 0:41:26.120
<v Speaker 6>don't see why.

0:41:25.920 --> 0:41:26.840
<v Speaker 4>He shouldn't thrive.

0:41:28.160 --> 0:41:31.479
<v Speaker 6>He showed a really complete type of game last year

0:41:31.480 --> 0:41:33.640
<v Speaker 6>compared to like the deep ball, lonely thing he had

0:41:33.640 --> 0:41:37.040
<v Speaker 6>been doing in previous seasons. So I see no reason

0:41:37.040 --> 0:41:40.320
<v Speaker 6>why that couldn't continue to expand and he could become

0:41:40.400 --> 0:41:41.799
<v Speaker 6>like a really tough, light type of guy.

0:41:42.280 --> 0:41:45.760
<v Speaker 3>And I know in your article you are excited about

0:41:45.800 --> 0:41:48.759
<v Speaker 3>the Arizona Cardinals pass catchers, so I want you to

0:41:48.800 --> 0:41:51.120
<v Speaker 3>talk on that. But I'm gonna throw to a two

0:41:51.160 --> 0:41:53.400
<v Speaker 3>part at you, right, who do you like more between

0:41:53.440 --> 0:41:57.080
<v Speaker 3>Michael Wilson and Marvin Harrison Junior? And you touched on

0:41:57.120 --> 0:41:59.920
<v Speaker 3>Brock Bowers earlier. Is Trey McBride your tight end one?

0:42:00.200 --> 0:42:02.319
<v Speaker 3>Can Brock give him a run for his money this year?

0:42:02.480 --> 0:42:04.160
<v Speaker 4>Oh man? That is a tough question.

0:42:05.520 --> 0:42:07.799
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I'm gonna think about that for a second while

0:42:07.840 --> 0:42:10.840
<v Speaker 6>I talk about the receivers. So I really liked what

0:42:10.880 --> 0:42:13.120
<v Speaker 6>we saw out of Wilson late in the year last year.

0:42:13.480 --> 0:42:17.000
<v Speaker 6>And one of the craziest things really that I came

0:42:17.040 --> 0:42:20.400
<v Speaker 6>across when I was going through this research was Jacoby

0:42:20.440 --> 0:42:23.920
<v Speaker 6>Brissette was tied for the NFL lead in touchdowns against

0:42:23.960 --> 0:42:27.120
<v Speaker 6>split safety coverage last year, Like, who.

0:42:27.040 --> 0:42:27.759
<v Speaker 4>Would have thought that?

0:42:28.680 --> 0:42:32.719
<v Speaker 6>Not me personally. He threw ten tuddies and five of

0:42:32.760 --> 0:42:34.880
<v Speaker 6>them were to Wilson. Wilson was the only guy with

0:42:34.920 --> 0:42:37.920
<v Speaker 6>five touchdowns against split safety, which is really really interesting

0:42:37.960 --> 0:42:40.440
<v Speaker 6>because this is usually a thing that's played kind of

0:42:40.800 --> 0:42:44.279
<v Speaker 6>in the field between the twenties rather than in the

0:42:44.320 --> 0:42:47.440
<v Speaker 6>red zone where you're gonna play man. So like the

0:42:47.440 --> 0:42:51.040
<v Speaker 6>fact that he was able to get five touchdowns on

0:42:51.600 --> 0:42:58.080
<v Speaker 6>mostly like deeper throws, that's really promising, especially.

0:42:57.560 --> 0:42:59.560
<v Speaker 4>With a guy in.

0:43:01.200 --> 0:43:04.200
<v Speaker 6>Mike Lafleur who has been working with Sean McVay, who

0:43:04.280 --> 0:43:09.279
<v Speaker 6>is well known to shred this coverage to pieces. Just

0:43:09.480 --> 0:43:12.279
<v Speaker 6>with whoever he has on his offense. You know, it's

0:43:12.320 --> 0:43:16.319
<v Speaker 6>been Stafford Nikkouah recently, even with the golf and top

0:43:16.360 --> 0:43:18.560
<v Speaker 6>you know back in him years ago.

0:43:18.760 --> 0:43:21.279
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, there you go, MVP, absolutely right.

0:43:22.280 --> 0:43:24.439
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, So I think, you know, you could take kind

0:43:24.440 --> 0:43:28.520
<v Speaker 6>of that blueprint and these are not guys who are

0:43:28.560 --> 0:43:31.120
<v Speaker 6>going to go super high up in the draft, but

0:43:31.719 --> 0:43:34.799
<v Speaker 6>maybe at the very end, if you're playing two quarterbacks

0:43:35.239 --> 0:43:38.720
<v Speaker 6>and you want to go for Brissett, he's probably going

0:43:38.800 --> 0:43:42.640
<v Speaker 6>to get numbers even if that team doesn't get wins,

0:43:42.719 --> 0:43:44.359
<v Speaker 6>and that also means he's going to be throwing more

0:43:44.760 --> 0:43:46.480
<v Speaker 6>so a guy who is near the top of the

0:43:46.560 --> 0:43:55.200
<v Speaker 6>board in McBride. Personally, I think I would lean McBride

0:43:55.200 --> 0:43:57.279
<v Speaker 6>because he was so far out in front of the

0:43:57.320 --> 0:44:02.040
<v Speaker 6>field this year for over bowers. But you know, don't

0:44:02.080 --> 0:44:03.839
<v Speaker 6>hold me to that. We could we could change up

0:44:03.840 --> 0:44:05.520
<v Speaker 6>on that. They're they're they're a perfect number.

0:44:05.719 --> 0:44:08.399
<v Speaker 4>March nineteenth. That take is written in ink.

0:44:08.480 --> 0:44:13.080
<v Speaker 6>Now, stright, I guess, I guess I'm in every league.

0:44:13.080 --> 0:44:15.800
<v Speaker 6>I gotta, you know, put a put money in my office.

0:44:15.920 --> 0:44:19.439
<v Speaker 6>Uh okay now, but no, I am really excited about

0:44:19.440 --> 0:44:20.160
<v Speaker 6>train McBride.

0:44:20.280 --> 0:44:20.760
<v Speaker 2>UH.

0:44:20.840 --> 0:44:23.120
<v Speaker 6>If you go back to the chiplocks. This is not

0:44:23.160 --> 0:44:26.040
<v Speaker 6>going to surprise anyone. But he'd had the most targets,

0:44:26.040 --> 0:44:30.000
<v Speaker 6>receptions in yards against or when UH thrown a chiplock,

0:44:30.360 --> 0:44:33.840
<v Speaker 6>and then you know it was the same idea against

0:44:33.960 --> 0:44:38.680
<v Speaker 6>UH too high coverage. He was the only tight end

0:44:38.960 --> 0:44:43.000
<v Speaker 6>in the top ten for UH. Which stat is this,

0:44:43.480 --> 0:44:45.759
<v Speaker 6>oh yard's over expected, which is a cool one. That's

0:44:45.800 --> 0:44:47.680
<v Speaker 6>a that's a next gen stat that all of you

0:44:47.719 --> 0:44:50.880
<v Speaker 6>should check out. It's UH indicative of a lot of

0:44:50.880 --> 0:44:54.080
<v Speaker 6>things about a Guesst talent. But uh but you know

0:44:54.200 --> 0:44:58.880
<v Speaker 6>also led again in targets, receptions and yards, and you

0:44:58.880 --> 0:45:00.239
<v Speaker 6>know when you when you have a guy like that,

0:45:00.680 --> 0:45:03.680
<v Speaker 6>you just kind of send it like it's it's really

0:45:03.719 --> 0:45:06.879
<v Speaker 6>showing that he's doing it better than everyone else.

0:45:09.040 --> 0:45:12.799
<v Speaker 5>We didn't get, is it Michael Wilson mar person, Yes,

0:45:13.680 --> 0:45:14.160
<v Speaker 5>I did.

0:45:13.960 --> 0:45:16.200
<v Speaker 2>Say, well, we gotta know, no for sure.

0:45:16.239 --> 0:45:21.200
<v Speaker 6>I I'm definitely on Wilson pretty strong this year. You know,

0:45:21.280 --> 0:45:24.359
<v Speaker 6>Harrison's been super up and down. I was really in

0:45:24.360 --> 0:45:25.759
<v Speaker 6>on him last year. I thought he was going to

0:45:25.800 --> 0:45:28.319
<v Speaker 6>figure it out and that's not what we saw, so

0:45:28.840 --> 0:45:31.880
<v Speaker 6>especially with this too High data in mind, but also

0:45:32.040 --> 0:45:36.000
<v Speaker 6>just with how the second half of last year went like, yeah,

0:45:36.040 --> 0:45:38.600
<v Speaker 6>I would I would say Wilson has kind of taken

0:45:38.640 --> 0:45:39.120
<v Speaker 6>it over there.

0:45:40.640 --> 0:45:43.120
<v Speaker 5>Nice, Well, let's pivot to the Patriots. I mean, who

0:45:43.160 --> 0:45:45.600
<v Speaker 5>will be taken over to production against Too High? I mean,

0:45:45.680 --> 0:45:47.960
<v Speaker 5>could it be Booty, could it be Dobbs? I mean

0:45:48.040 --> 0:45:51.080
<v Speaker 5>both were highly efficient on the volume in twenty twenty five.

0:45:51.320 --> 0:45:53.320
<v Speaker 4>Mm hm, that's that's a really good question.

0:45:53.960 --> 0:45:57.680
<v Speaker 6>So I think the idea is kind of that we

0:45:57.719 --> 0:46:00.760
<v Speaker 6>need to think about who is taking over for the

0:46:00.800 --> 0:46:02.120
<v Speaker 6>workload of Stephan.

0:46:01.840 --> 0:46:04.480
<v Speaker 4>Dicks, and that could be both of them.

0:46:04.680 --> 0:46:07.840
<v Speaker 6>But I think the reason they went out and gave

0:46:08.000 --> 0:46:10.520
<v Speaker 6>a really big chunk of money to Romeo Dobbs is

0:46:10.560 --> 0:46:13.719
<v Speaker 6>because they kind of see him that way. So I

0:46:13.800 --> 0:46:18.200
<v Speaker 6>could easily foresee this being a career year for him.

0:46:18.640 --> 0:46:22.520
<v Speaker 6>You know, we saw Drake may being super super accurate

0:46:22.640 --> 0:46:27.200
<v Speaker 6>last year, just you know, high completion percentage guy, and

0:46:28.320 --> 0:46:34.520
<v Speaker 6>Dobbs has generally been really really good at getting himself

0:46:34.600 --> 0:46:39.080
<v Speaker 6>open in zone. So you know, that lends itself to

0:46:39.760 --> 0:46:42.240
<v Speaker 6>an accurate quarterback who can just hit him in stride

0:46:42.280 --> 0:46:46.520
<v Speaker 6>and get him going. And so you know, Stefan Diggs,

0:46:47.120 --> 0:46:49.520
<v Speaker 6>older guy who had a little bit of a fantasy

0:46:49.560 --> 0:46:53.360
<v Speaker 6>renaissance in the early part of last year. Dobbs seems

0:46:53.400 --> 0:46:55.000
<v Speaker 6>to fit right into that space.

0:46:56.440 --> 0:46:57.719
<v Speaker 4>I do love Booty as well.

0:46:57.800 --> 0:47:01.239
<v Speaker 6>Like, if you're gonna, you know, be looking at either

0:47:01.280 --> 0:47:01.839
<v Speaker 6>one of them in.

0:47:01.760 --> 0:47:03.560
<v Speaker 4>A draft, maybe you just go for both.

0:47:03.960 --> 0:47:08.080
<v Speaker 6>Because if you're talking about what I was saying earlier

0:47:08.160 --> 0:47:12.120
<v Speaker 6>with who is going to run that outside go and

0:47:13.080 --> 0:47:16.399
<v Speaker 6>be cover four or something like that.

0:47:15.560 --> 0:47:17.839
<v Speaker 4>That is k Shan Boody to a tea.

0:47:17.960 --> 0:47:21.279
<v Speaker 6>We saw it as far as the touchdown production more

0:47:21.320 --> 0:47:26.960
<v Speaker 6>than just about anyone else last season, and you know

0:47:27.120 --> 0:47:32.000
<v Speaker 6>so with more volume and more opportunities, that should only

0:47:32.000 --> 0:47:32.719
<v Speaker 6>continue to rise.

0:47:33.080 --> 0:47:35.520
<v Speaker 1>Hey well, James, we appreciate the time you had a

0:47:35.520 --> 0:47:37.520
<v Speaker 1>lot of great work. For everybody who's out there looking

0:47:37.520 --> 0:47:39.480
<v Speaker 1>for you can go find it at NFL dot com.

0:47:39.480 --> 0:47:43.120
<v Speaker 1>Look for stuff by the Next Gen Stats team, James,

0:47:43.120 --> 0:47:45.480
<v Speaker 1>with a few articles up there about the chip blocks.

0:47:45.520 --> 0:47:48.440
<v Speaker 1>It's called the secret weapon NFL offenses are using to

0:47:48.480 --> 0:47:51.400
<v Speaker 1>buy qbs an extra half second. Also some of the

0:47:51.400 --> 0:47:54.600
<v Speaker 1>two high safety work, the coverage that turned the Seahawks

0:47:54.600 --> 0:47:58.080
<v Speaker 1>into Super Bowl winners and is taking the NFL by storm. James,

0:47:58.120 --> 0:48:01.400
<v Speaker 1>we appreciate any anything you got working on anything in

0:48:01.400 --> 0:48:01.920
<v Speaker 1>the pipeline.

0:48:01.920 --> 0:48:03.320
<v Speaker 2>Maybe folks should keep an eye out.

0:48:03.160 --> 0:48:04.759
<v Speaker 4>For Yeah, yeah, for sure.

0:48:04.840 --> 0:48:09.400
<v Speaker 6>So within the last week or so, we did get

0:48:09.520 --> 0:48:13.040
<v Speaker 6>another one up on the site. So if you are

0:48:13.080 --> 0:48:16.960
<v Speaker 6>looking for what next Gen Status believes are the best

0:48:17.239 --> 0:48:21.680
<v Speaker 6>free agency fits of this recent crop of signings, someone

0:48:21.760 --> 0:48:25.960
<v Speaker 6>that's going to go really well with the new coachra

0:48:26.040 --> 0:48:29.279
<v Speaker 6>coordinator that they're working with, or fill a gap that

0:48:29.480 --> 0:48:33.680
<v Speaker 6>existed for that team, then yeah, definitely check that article out.

0:48:33.760 --> 0:48:34.440
<v Speaker 4>It is live.

0:48:35.400 --> 0:48:37.839
<v Speaker 6>These are all on NFL dot com. You can find

0:48:37.880 --> 0:48:39.759
<v Speaker 6>them under my name or under the Next Gen Stats

0:48:39.800 --> 0:48:42.840
<v Speaker 6>Analytics team. We're also going to be putting one out

0:48:42.960 --> 0:48:46.960
<v Speaker 6>on the kind of a draft primer, what we think

0:48:47.120 --> 0:48:51.960
<v Speaker 6>are ideal fits from a next perspective as we get

0:48:52.000 --> 0:48:53.839
<v Speaker 6>close to the draft, what could work out.

0:48:53.760 --> 0:48:54.600
<v Speaker 4>In the first round.

0:48:55.120 --> 0:48:57.959
<v Speaker 6>I'm not going to say it's like a hardline mock,

0:48:58.120 --> 0:49:02.120
<v Speaker 6>it's just like some speculation on the subject. And then

0:49:02.800 --> 0:49:06.319
<v Speaker 6>I would definitely say to follow our Twitter at Next

0:49:06.320 --> 0:49:09.279
<v Speaker 6>Gen Stats. We have new stuff coming out on there

0:49:09.360 --> 0:49:13.520
<v Speaker 6>all the time, some really good insights that you know

0:49:13.560 --> 0:49:14.960
<v Speaker 6>you can't get elsewhere.

0:49:14.840 --> 0:49:17.879
<v Speaker 2>So awesome. Sounds great. Sure to check that out.

0:49:17.960 --> 0:49:20.160
<v Speaker 1>NFL dot com slash nngs one of the easy ways

0:49:20.200 --> 0:49:22.040
<v Speaker 1>to find that, And as you mentioned, I'll follow the

0:49:22.040 --> 0:49:24.319
<v Speaker 1>Next Gen Stats Twitter account as well.

0:49:24.360 --> 0:49:25.840
<v Speaker 2>But that'll do.

0:49:25.840 --> 0:49:28.920
<v Speaker 1>It for this edition of the NFL Fantasy Football Podcast.

0:49:28.960 --> 0:49:31.040
<v Speaker 1>Stay happy, safe and healthy, do good and live well

0:49:31.160 --> 0:49:33.000
<v Speaker 1>if you want to tournament everybody, It's that time of

0:49:33.120 --> 0:49:56.480
<v Speaker 1>year and we will talk to you all again on Tuesday. Wow.